Outcomes from the G8 Summit and Ancillary Meetings
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July 13, 2009 Dear Friends and Colleagues; This brief update from the Global Health Program covers two issues: - Outcomes from the G8 summit and ancillary meetings - Secretary Clinton’s recent announcements and the future of U.S. foreign assistance As we have entered the summer vacation months in the northern hemisphere no further updates will released before mid-September, unless news developments warrant comment. Therefore, as the old song goes, “See you in September.” Outcomes from the G8 Summit and Ancillary Meetings Expectations were so low for last week’s G8 (+5+1+5) Summit in L’Aquila that some commentators are filled with cheer simply because the bulky gathering in an Italian earthquake-devastated region managed to produce a couple of consensus statements. In the lead-up to the gathering it seemed Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi was preoccupied
with scandals and domestic crises, and it was hard to discern a genuine focus to the gathering. A few days before the Group of Eight (plus China, India, Brazil, South Africa, Mexico – the G5 countries – AND Egypt, Australia, South Korea, Indonesia, Denmark, The Netherlands, Spain, Turkey, Algeria, Angola, Ethiopia, Lybia, Senegal, and Nigeria, along with the African Union and all of the International Organizations) gathered, Berlusconi gave a curious interview to a very contentious Bob Geldof – so odd, that we have attached it at the bottom of this update for your perusal. In this on-the-record argument (“Africa, I’m Sorry”), conducted on July 6th, Berlusconi acknowledged that Italy’s track record on development assistance and African affairs is abysmal. On the eve of the Summit, former UN Secretary-General, Kofi Annan, published a blistering attack on the credibility of the G8, in the form of a public letter to Berlusconi. Annan noted that the G8 committed in 2005 at Gleneagles to double aid to Africa by 2010. Japan, Canada, the US, UK, and Germany are roughly on track to deliver, but France and Russia are laggards. And Italy is going backwards: in 2009 Italian aid administered by the foreign ministry was cut by 56 percent. "Not honoring commitments and reducing official development assistance would betray the values of your country and be a breach of faith, dashing the hopes that these pledges have generated," charged Annan. "A G8 meeting that does not result in substantive outcomes backed by financial support for the world's poorer countries, not least to fulfill existing commitments, will harm the group's credibility and leadership." Similarly harsh words were hurled towards Rome by World Bank President Robert Zoellick and the leaders of most of the major health and development NGOs and humanitarian organizations. Meanwhile, Berlusconi was concerned about the impact of the Summit on his own country, and deliberately moved the meeting from Sardinia to earthquake-ravaged L’Aquila. Remarkably, construction of conference facilities, transport for VIPs, housing and food facilities rushed on schedule, and much of the media coverage seemed absorbed with this uncharacteristic model of Italian efficiency. In the end, what was resolved? The G8 (plus, plus) issued multiple statements on the urgency of dealing with climate change, poverty, water purification and scarcity, the financial crisis, and a host of issues. But in concrete terms the L’Aquila gathering yielded a food/agricultural scheme, a water development plan, and promises to fulfill past promises on health and development. 2
Climate Change: India and China, present at the Summit, declined to commit to specific carbon-reduction targets. Though climate change was a key element of President Obama’s interventions at the meeting, and the major Copenhagen Climate Summit lurks just six months away, few significant agreements were reached on the subject. In his summary speech Obama tried to put a positive face on the carbon and energy agreements: “So let me just summarize: We've made a good start, but I'm the first one to acknowledge that progress on this issue will not be easy. And I think that one of the things we're going to have to do is fight the temptation towards cynicism, to feel that the problem is so immense that somehow we cannot make significant strides. But, ultimately, we have a choice. We can either shape our future, or we can let events shape it for us. We can fall back on the stale debates and old divisions, or we can decide to move forward and meet this challenge together.” Food: The strongest and most promising agreement reached at the Summit calls for provision of $20 billion over three years for agricultural development, primarily in Africa. Significantly, the scheme shifts from donating surplus foods, shipped from rich countries to poor ones, to providing poor nations with the resources, tools and training to build up their own farming capacities. This is very much in keeping with recommendations found in last year’s Global Health Program food report and this year’s CFR foreign assistance reform action plan. As noted in these reports, and in a more recent General Accounting Office assessment, more than half of US taxpayer dollars for food relief are currently devoured by U.S. agricultural producers and shippers, and still more evaporates on-the-ground in recipient countries through inefficiencies and corruption. Originally the G8 draft statement called for $15 billion in food aid, but at Obama’s urging the commitment was up’ed to $20 billion ($3.5 billion of which will come from the U.S.), and shifted from “food aid” to “agricultural development”. According to multiple press accounts, the Summit opened with a draft $15 billion food aid accord, which seemed to quickly fall apart on day one of the gathering, whittling down to $12 billion, and focusing on humanitarian and famine relief. By all accounts, President Barack Obama stepped in on day three with a major proposal aimed at increasing the dollar commitment, and shifting to, as the White House put it, “helping Africa help itself.” Obama carried the day. "Obama's dragging the G-8 along, but at this point, the money's not looking all that good," Gawain Kripke, U.S. policy director for Oxfam International, told reporters as day three opened. By the end of the day Kripke and hundreds of other agricultural development advocates were stunned, and delighted. Obama pushed a “tough love” position on Africa (echoed in his Accra speech, as discussed below). Getting Africa’s poorest nations out of generations of foreign dependency, the President argued, requires investment in agricultural self-reliance. The LA Times offered this enlightening rendition of Obama’s role inside the G8 Summit: 3
As leaders discussed the problem of world hunger, according to people who were present, Obama at one point rose to make a personal appeal for a more substantial commitment to food security. When his father left Kenya five decades ago, his home country had a higher per capita income and gross domestic product than did South Korea. Today, South Korea is prosperous and Kenya still struggles with poverty, a state Obama attributes to stronger social institutions in South Korea. At his news conference, Obama acknowledged relying on his own history in arguing for extra aid. "My father traveled to the United States a mere 50 years ago," he said. "Yet now I have family members who . . . live in villages where hunger is real." The question he raised in the meeting, he said, was, "Why is that?" "If you talk to people on the ground in Africa, certainly in Kenya, they will say that, part of the issue here is the institutions aren't working for ordinary people," he said. Ethiopian premier Meles Zenawi told Reuters the Obama stance makes sense, but, "The key message for us is to ask the G8 to live up to their commitments." Barely had the G8 leaders shaken hands on the $20 billion agricultural agreement when White House aides discreetly began pressing this very point: Fulfillment on commitments. President Obama insists, aides say, that the only road to political stability in Africa is one paved by plentiful food. The White House linked national security concerns with food production independence for Africa. "There is no reason that Africa cannot be self-sufficient when it comes to food," Obama told reporters in L’Aquila. Read declaration on food security Read White House statement The Rome-based World Food Program (WFP) greeted the G8 initiative with a surprisingly mixed response. While pleased that the G8 leaders were committed to agricultural reform, WFP insisted that crisis food relief is still essential, as 1 billion people worldwide go to bed hungry each night. In a press release WFP argued: But as the world works to build the long term solutions to hunger, WFP is calling for due attention to be also focused on the immediate needs of the hungry. WFP analysts note that even tripling agricultural production overnight would not stop people being hungry because in many cases food is available but people cannot access it, often for economic reasons. “Meeting urgent hunger needs is the best long term investment we can make,” said Nancy Roman, WFP's Director of Communications, Public Policy and Private Sector 4
Partnerships. “It’s an investment in stability and world peace. It’s an investment in the next generation of global citizens and an investment in global human development”. In contrast to these cautionary, even negative WFP statements, most of the leading development NGOs praised the G8, and many singled out President Obama for accolades. For example: • “Bread for the World welcomes the statement issued today by G8 member nations at their meeting in L’Aquila, Italy, on reducing world hunger by increasing agricultural support and development in the world’s poorest countries.” -- Rev. David Beckmann, president of Bread for the World. • “CARE’s work in the field demonstrates the need to ensure that assistance reaches those most vulnerable to chronic hunger, the poorest of the poor. This initiative sets us on the path to do that. We look forward to working with all parties to make this commitment a reality.” -- Dr. Helene Gayle, president and CEO of CARE USA. • “Catholic Relief Services...applauds President Barack Obama’s announcement that G-8 nations have committed $20 billion to help millions of the world’s poor farmers to grow more food.” – press release statement • “To be realized these commitments must be pursued as part of a comprehensive strategy in order to help the world’s poor. The success of this global food strategy rests on the ability of the G-8 to be accountable to its promises. The bold decision of President Obama, the G8, and other leaders to significantly increase aid to agriculture and to partner with vulnerable countries is critical to addressing the food crisis and alleviating the disastrous impact of the global financial crisis.” -- Samuel A. Worthington President and CEO of InterAction, an alliance of 183 U.S. non- governmental organizations (NGOs). • “If G8 leaders follow through on the global food security initiative and fortify their commitment to maternal and child health with significantly increased investment, they could save millions of children’s lives a year. We hope the new push for accountability among the world’s wealthiest nations will turn good intentions into real results without delay.” -- Save the Children President and CEO Charles MacCormack. • “The G8 food security initiative committing $20 billion over three years to tackle global hunger is a laudable step toward saving lives worldwide...” – World Vision press release Malia and Sasha Obama walk along Rome's historical center on July 8 while visiting with their grandmother. Malia is sporting a peace-sign shirt, traditionally worn by U.S. anti-war protestors. The symbol was originally created in the UK during the 1950s as a sign of opposition to nuclear weapons. 5
Water: For the first time in its 35 year history the Global Leaders Summit addressed problems of water scarcity. Though no specific funds were committed to water problems, the links between drinking water scarcities, hygiene and health, farming and climate change were formally agreed to by the assembled 40 leaders. A Stronger G8-Africa Partnership on Water and Sanitation We are determined to build a stronger partnership between African and G8 countries to increase access to water and sanitation, based on the principles of shared responsibility and mutual accountability. Through the joint political weight of the G8 and the AU, we will ensure adequate momentum and commitment on water and sanitation improvements at national and international levels, for concrete results on the ground. To support the implementation of the African commitments, G8 countries will: assist the building of capacity in African countries to develop and implement national water and sanitation plans; improve coordination within multi-donor platforms to promote aid effectiveness; align assistance to better reflect national priorities; improve bilateral and multilateral contributions to financial mechanisms aimed at mobilizing investment; assist the AU Commission, AMCOW and Regional Economic Communities in response to the African demands for institutional support. While recognising that each country has the primary responsibility of its own development success, both parties will prioritise the achievement of water-related MDGs in the political agenda. The G8 focus on water is framed in an African context. While water-related problems clearly stymie health and farming developments in Africa, water is pivotal to the future of Asia, as well. Disappearing glaciers in the Himalayas threaten the survival of most of the major river systems of Asia, especially the Mekong, Ganges and Yellow Rivers. Researchers at Singapore’s RSIS Centre for Non-Traditional Security Studies this week issued a NTS-Alert on “Water Woes and Food Security.” With rice the primary staple of Asia, water-dependency for farming is acute and most Asian nations use upwards of 90% of scarce water supplies for agriculture. Financial Crisis: The G8+ Summit optimistically forecast that the world financial crisis will soon resolve. In his closing press conference, Berlusconi said that “unanimity” was reached that the worst of the financial crisis has passed. Berlusconi’s press department issued this statement: The World Leaders assembled in L’Aquila had also sent out an “unambiguous message of confidence and hope to the public” in the face of a financial crisis that “has now blown itself out,” at least as far as its impact on the economy was concerned. The leaders had, the prime minister added, voiced their “displeasure at the resumption of international speculation,” calling on the international financial institutions to step in. The talk had then turned to the need to introduce a new code of universally accepted and universally applied laws and 6
rules based on three principles: the right to own property, the value represented by ethics and morality and transparency. Global Health, specifically: The L’Aquila Summit failed to take up new health-related resolutions or commitments. Despite intense lobbying from the global health community, and Japan in particular, the Summit made no new monetary commitments to any health- related issue other than the above-described food program. Instead, the Summit reiterated its Gleneagles obligations, promising to fulfill prior promises. In other words, the G8 promised to promise. "Despite the severe impact of the crisis on our economies, we reiterate the importance of fulfilling our commitments to increase aid made at Gleneagles," the leaders said, acknowledging a failure to meet $25 billion worth of health and anti-poverty commitments to Africa since 2005. In his closing remarks, Berlusconi told reporters that the G8 will come up with the $25 billion within 12 months, though it may not all come from government coffers. Given the Italian Parliament voted to hack foreign assistance by more than 50% this year, and further cuts through 2012, Berlusconi will have to scramble to fill his country’s quota. He is a big fan of “innovative financing,” which seeks to “tax” citizens of rich countries on behalf of poor nations by levying fees on airplane tickets or various commodities. The RED campaign (set up by Bono), the French air tax, and advance marketing commitments for pharmaceuticals are all mechanisms that find favor with the leader of a country that refuses, politically, to provide bilateral or traditional budgetary backing for global health and development. At Italy’s insistence, the phrase “and other donors” was inserted into the pledge to meet Gleneagles commitments – a reference to Berlusconi’s hope to find ways to meet his country’s commitments without asking his Parliament for cash. The global health and development advocacy community and NGOs were not pleased: • "The reiteration of old promises is fine. The announcement of new plans is fine, but what we really need is action, action to put food into peoples' mouths and deliver treatment to the sick. Currently France is not meeting its promises and Italy is the worst performer, having slashed aid.” -- Oliver Buston, spokesman for the ONE campaign • "The buck stops here. The failure of the G8 to deliver the 50 billion dollars in aid promised to poor countries is a crisis of credibility which will cost three million lives," said the international group. What is the G8 for if they will not show leadership to save the lives of millions? They have two days left to show us their emergency plan to meet their broken promise." -- Emma Seery, spokeswoman for OXKAM International 7
• "Today G8 leaders failed a credibility test on Africa, with unimpressive action. The G8 have again failed to provide credible figures for how they will keep their Gleneagles promises on aid. If the G8 isn't believable, then it isn't relevant.” -- Otive Igbuzor, head of ActionAid • Save the Children told AP it was shocked that Italy had announced it would cut its foreign aid to poor countries by another 10 percent in 2010, after a 56 percent reduction made in December 2008. "The Italian government has used the eve of its own summit to announce not a reinstatement of aid but an extraordinary further cut. It's a disgrace. Coming from the host of the G8, this action raises serious questions about the credibility of the summit." -- Adrian Lovett, spokesman for Save the Children • U2 lead singer Bono urged Italians to protest against Berlusconi and their Parliament. It is possible the G8 leaders have concluded – for now – that their support of global health campaigns is sufficient. Interestingly, the Kaiser Family Foundation and UNAIDS jointly released a report during the Summit that demonstrates a dramatic trend in donor support. The timing of release is curious, given the L’Aquila gathering, and the Global Fund’s recently announced budgetary shortfall of nearly $4 billion. The report finds: • Overall commitments in AIDS funding from the developed world totalled US$ 8.7 billion in 2008, up from US$ 6.6 billion the previous year. Disbursements, which reflect actual resources made available in a given year and therefore provide a better measure of resource availability, rose even more rapidly, up 56 % to reach US$ 7.7 billion in 2008. • Disbursements from the United States totalled US$ 4 billion in 2008, more than half of all disbursements and more than any other single country. The United Kingdom was the second largest donor, followed by the Netherlands, France, Germany, Norway and Sweden. • Between 2002 and 2008, commitments and disbursements from developed nations each increased by more than five-fold. • In 2008, donor governments disbursed US$ 5.7 billion bilaterally and earmarked funds for HIV through multilateral organizations, as well as an additional US$ 1.7 billion to combat HIV through the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria and US$ 265 million to UNITAID. The Future of the G8+: In an editorial on July 11th the Times of India triumphantly declared, “G8 is dead, long live G14!” In remarks to the media, Berlusconi echoed the Indian proclamation, saying, “We saw that G8 is no longer a suitable format to show a global economic way of doing. Instead, a consolidated G14 representing 80% of the world economy could help create a real dialogue. We want to see if the G14 is the best solution for debates which will bring to us unique results.'' 8
Indian Foreign Secretary Shiv Shankar Menon told the press in L’Aquila that India will never again sit still and allow the old G8 to convene: It is now, he insisted, a G14, comprising India, the US, China, Russia, Japan, France, Germany, Brazil, South Africa, Mexico, Canada, the UK, Italy and one as- yet-unnamed Middle Eastern country (odds are, Egypt). Expansion of the G8 is a double-edged sword for advocates of health, development, climate change mitigation, and market structural reform. On the one hand, the debate is enlarged, and more realistically mirrors world economics and population: How can any discussion of global leadership take place without the presence of powerhouses China, India and Brazil? But as the failures in L’Aquila climate negotiation illustrate, the needs and capacities of the traditional rich world, versus the emerging new wealthy nations are not in harmony. In the context of global health, it is hard to see how a broader G14 (or 18 or 20+) can build progressive principles towards the human rights of HIV+ individuals, women’s access to family planning, central government responsibility for provision of health, and the target of spending 0.7% of GDP annually to support health and development in poor countries, especially African. Inclusivity is the order of the day, however, as signaled by the G20 London summit on the financial crisis four months ago. The emerging market nations are demanding seats at the management tables of the IMF, World Bank, and other major institutions, and the Euro- centric notions of health, governance and human rights will no doubt be modified in coming years – for good, and possibly bad. It was former Canadian Prime Minister Paul Martin who first proposed expanding the G8 to a more inclusive G20. For many years, Martin and his former staff have quietly pushed the expansion agenda, anticipating Canada’s 2010 turn at hosting the G8 in Ottawa. Given Canada’s strong foreign assistance record, and Martin’s longstanding advocacy of global governance inclusion policies, next year’s Summit might be cause for optimism, not only for global health, but larger transnational management issues (e.g. climate change mitigation and adaptation, trade policy, resource access equity). Sadly, current Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper is unpopular, and his government is fraught with scandals that are mild by Italian standards, but sufficient in polite Canada to get a leader booted out of office. In 2006, Harper enjoyed a 66% approval rating from Canadian voters: Today that is down to about 32%. And Harper’s conservative party is neck-and- neck in Canadian popularity polls with the liberal party, and its would-be PM, Michael Ignatieff. In L’Aquila Harper squandered goodwill generated by his government’s foreign assistance pledges by using the G8 Summit as an opportunity to attack Ignatieff – who he labeled “unpatriotic”. 9
It is almost certain that Harper will be forced to call a general election, but political insiders in Ottawa predict it will be in the conservatives’ interests to drag the process out into early 2010. Some observers predict Harper will wait until April, as his strongest base of support is in rural Canada where winter elections are sparsely attended. An alarming prospect therefore, is that Canada could be in the grips of a hotly contested national election during precisely the time the government ought to be planning the 2010 G8 (or 14 or 20) Summit, and the actual meeting might take place under the leadership of a weak government that has been in office less than four months. This would radically alter prospects for next year’s Summit, regardless of whether the ultimate flavor of the Canadian government is conservative or liberal, Harper or Ignatieff. Sec. Clinton’s Announcements and the Future of U.S. Foreign Assistance The U.S. still has no designated leader for its foreign assistance agency (USAID), or structural architecture for governance of its 40+ foreign aid programs, including those for AIDS, malaria, maternal health, child vaccination, and food policy. For many observers in Washington the apparent foot-dragging within the Obama Administration has been cause for rising consternation. Though Dr. Paul Farmer’s name continues to be at the forefront of Washington gossip about leadership of USAID, seven months into the Obama term rumors dominate, where leadership and facts would be better appreciated. This week, however, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is expected to offer some clarity on Administration schemes for foreign assistance when she delivers what her staff terms “a major policy address” on the subject at the Council on Foreign Relations in Washington, DC. (Clinton’s comments will appear on www.cfr.org Wednesday afternoon.) The broad outlines of Clinton’s plan, coupled with comments delivered by President Barack Obama in Accra over the weekend, offer clues to the direction the Administration plans to take with everything from development of war-torn Afghanistan to vaccination of infants in Guatemala. At 10pm Thursday the House approved the largest foreign assistance budget in American history: $49 billion. For hours key Republicans proposed modifications to the budget, and key Democrats rallied their party to vote the GOP down. In the end 76 Republicans voted with the Democrats to pass the budget by a House vote of 318-106. On the Senate side, the Appropriations Committee passed a $48.6 billion foreign 10
assistance package. The Senate bill includes $7.8 billion for global health (a $434 million increase over FY09), $5.7 billion of which is for HIV/AIDS. Some may quibble about the details, but $49 billion is a lot of foreign assistance money, with more than one-out-of-every-seven of those dollars going to global health. What remains unclear are the nature of a structure, hierarchy and professional staff to implement programs with those dollars. And that is where Sec. Clinton’s announcements and President Obama’s Accra speech come in. First, let’s dissect the speech, and Obama’s “tough love” message. There is a classic phrase in foreign policy circles: “Only Nixon could go to China,” referencing the thawing of Sino-U.S. relations that could only succeed under a conservative, pro-Taiwan Presidency. In a similar sense, only a half-African U.S. President could go to Africa, and speak truth to power: “Only Obama could go to Africa.” In a nutshell, Obama told rapt Africans that America stands behind them in their pursuit of better futures, but the continent’s leaders and their practices of corruption and conflict must change. It wasn’t quite a “pull yourself up by your own bootstraps” lecture, but Obama told Africans that it was time for Africa, to fix Africa. "For far too many Africans conflict is a part of life ... these conflicts are a millstone around Africa's neck," Obama said. "No country is going to create wealth if its leaders exploit the economy to enrich themselves or the police can be bought off by drug traffickers. No business wants to invest in a place where the government skims 20% off the top... That is not democracy. That is tyranny even if you sprinkle an election in it. Africa does not need strong men, it needs strong institutions.” In a Saturday address to the Ghanaian Parliament in Accra, Ghana, Obama said global health efforts should be integrated and comprehensive. The U.S. will not invest in diseases in isolation, Obama declared, adding that under his new $63 billion, 6-year Global Health Initiative the U.S. will place strong emphasis on improving African health systems, particularly those for maternal care and pregnancy. First Lady Michelle Obama and The President visited USAID-funded maternal health services at La General Hospital in Accra. President Obama told reporters at the hospital, "Part of reason this is so important is that throughout Africa, the rate of both infant mortality but also maternal mortality is still far too high." 11
"The President made a strong statement today to the women, children and families in Ghana and throughout Africa that the United States is committed to working in partnership to reduce maternal and child deaths on the continent," said Jeffrey L. Sturchio, President and CEO of the Global Health Council in a written statement. "The Global Health Council commends the Obama Administration's pledge to institute a comprehensive U.S. global health strategy that includes heightened commitment to maternal and child health and family planning." Implementation of the Global Health Initiative, newly-promised G8 food program, and hundreds of other foreign assistance initiatives will be administered primarily by the State Department, according to information that has dribbled out of Washington in advance of Sec. Clinton’s Wednesday policy address, and elements were revealed to State Department employees in a Friday town hall meeting. (See: Clinton to launch new development initiative) The State Department will launch a new "Quadrennial Diplomacy and Development Review" (QDDR) to be headed up by Deputy Secretary of State Jack Lew and Policy Planning chief Anne-Marie Slaughter. A similar review process is underway at the Defense Department, where about 100 experts are re-envisioning every aspect of U.S. military affairs. It is not clear how large the Clinton QDDR team will be, whether the yet-to-be-named head of USAID will co-chair the exercise, or how many of the health-related programs (e.g. PEPFAR, PMI, MCC) will have a seat at this table. According to insiders, the QDDR process is intended to head off Congressional efforts to mandate that the White House submit an over-arching strategic plan for foreign assistance to the House Foreign Operation Committee, and to find a coherent organizational structure for U.S. overseas operations. One very “insider” blog, puts the QDDR effort in the context of a leaderless, demoralized USAID, and wonders where Clinton and Obama plan to take the entire foreign assistance mission: There was much talk by the Obama team during the campaign about how international development was so important to national security and how it needed to be a priority. But six months into the Obama administration, the Agency for International Development, though deeply troubled and adrift, now finds itself without a single top job filled by an Obama appointee. This is not a question of a couple of senior folks being "home alone." We're talking a virtual haunted house. Given the Senate timetable, even if the White House moves immediately to put someone in charge, it's most likely that no top officials will be confirmed for jobs over 12
there until the fall or later. Most every one of the dozen Senate-confirmed jobs -- from administrator down to the regional chiefs -- has someone "acting" in the job, meaning a career officer babysitting and waiting for direction from new policymakers. It's so bad that when we called yesterday to verify the listings -- and to ask why Jonathan Addleton was listed as acting administrator for legislative and public affairs when the White House had announced last week he was going to be ambassador to Mongolia -- a spokeswoman said she could not talk about that or the other "actings." She instead referred us to the National Security Council. The Modernizing Foreign Assistance Network (MFAN) issued a statement on Friday regarding the QDDR, from Co-Chairs David Beckmann (Bread for the World) and George Ingram (Academy for Education Development). MFAN praised Clinton, calling her, “more committed to development than any Secretary of State in history. Beckmann and Ingram asked that the QDDR process take the following steps: • Name a USAID director as soon as possible, and include that individual in the leadership of the QDDR; • Give the USAID director a seat on the National Security Council; • Align U.S. development and global health policies across all agencies of the U.S. government, not just the State Department. (In FY07 about 22% of foreign assistant was handled by the Department of Defense.) • Include NGOs and independent experts in the QDDR process. The Global Health Program of the Council on Foreign Relations will, as always, endeavor to keep you informed on these, and similar issues. If you are in the northern hemisphere, have a great summer. (The Berlusconi/Geldof tête-à-tête follows.) Sincerely, Laurie Garrett 13
Berlusconi in Geldof Interview: “Africa, I’m Sorry” Jul 6th, 2009 4:09 PM EST Sunday’s special edition of La Stampa which Bob Geldof edited, also presented an opportunity for Geldof to interview Italy’s Prime Minister Berlusconi. In the interview, Geldof asks some very pointed questions about Italy’s failure to deliver on their promises to Africa, and the fact that Italy has only met 3% of what it had promised. Full account of the interview, courtesy of Eloise Todd, below: Silvio Berlusconi and Bob Geldof met each other in the courtyard of Palazzo Chigi. The Prime Minister was suffering from a stiff neck, but kept the promise to respond to the criticisms of the rock star famous for his public efforts for Africa. Geldof, straight in from London, wanted to go over the questions and data on Italian aid to Africa. They found each other again a moment later outside the study of the Prime Minister. They sat in the centre, next to one another, their teams were on two sofas facing each other, the advisers of ONE, the NGO for Africa, on one side, and the men of the Foreign Ministry and Palazzo Chigi on the other, including Gianni Letta and Paolo Bonaiuti. What followed was not a conventional interview, but an exchange which almost resembled a boxing match. I thought at times that first Berlusconi, then Geldof, would get up and abandon the meeting, but in the end they managed to get to the end of the interview and the encounter stayed gentlemanly. Geldof: “Signor Presidente, let’s get straight to the point. You are the senior statesman of the G8. In 2001 in Genoa, you created the Global Fund for HIV/AIDS, TB and malaria, which made ARVs available for free for 3 million people in Africa. Then you participated in the Gleneagles Summit, where you committed to invest 0.51% of GNI in ODA by 2010 and 0.7% GNI by 2015: right now Italy has met only 3% of that promise. From the hope of Genoa to the delusion of Gleneagles: do you feel the weight of this responsibility?” Berlusconi begins reading from a statement: “You are right. It’s a delay in payments. We, however, were out of government for two and a half years. When we returned, we found a deficit of 110% GDP. Now, because of the economic crisis, this deficit is up to 120% and the European Union will not allow us to stay at this level. When considering the budget law, the Parliament has decided to cut spending. Unfortunately they also cut aid to Africa, and we have started a debate on this. The Finance Minister Giulio Tremonti is committed to getting us back on track with our commitments in 3 years.” Geldof becomes agitated: “The G8 is in 3 days, not 3 years, as President of this Summit, what are you going to do?” Berlusconi: “Look, what has happened is absolutely the opposite of what I have been doing personally: this year I financed an orphanage in Thailand and a hospital for children in Brazil. I understand your worry and I very much appreciate the work that you have done for the poorest, but we have had external obstacles standing in our way.” 14
Berlusconi gives the floor to the diplomatic adviser of Tremonti “we have begun to repay the World Bank our outstanding payments, as well as other international financial organisations. In 2010 we will reach 0.33% of GDP to ODA, and we’ll get to 0.51% by 2015…” Geldof interrupts: “Excuse me, I am aware of all this. Thanks for the explanation,” and he turns towards the Prime Minister: “I don’t believe you. In order to reach those levels you will have to do an incredible job. And we don’t need any more plans, right now we need action. I’m sick of plans, we just need to act. We must have more ODA. When we cut aid, we take food from the mouths of the starving. We literally take the needles from the arms of patients. Why must we behave like this? Africa is the second biggest emerging market after China. It’s got more democratic countries than Asia. We’re talking about tiny amounts of money: why is it so difficult to find this money for aid? The German Chancellor, Angela Merkel Prime Minister Brown, even President Sarkozy have increased aid, but Italy has cut by €400m. All these countries’ economies are a disaster, but all have kept their promise they made to the poor. Except Italy. How can you lead the G8? Where is your credibility? This is a human question, not a tactical question. We are tired of seeing people that die of hunger! Berlusconi starts to nod, he has been struck by the image of starving children. Geldof adds: “I speak as a businessman. I’ve seen the agreement you have done with Gadaffi, all business and concrete action: why not extend this beyond to the entire continent? Guide the G8 towards a different perception of Africa?” Berlusconi: “Yes, yes. I am also the leader with the most experience on these matters. The others are children compared to me. On this point, however, I have had to follow the position of my Finance Minister. He has a strong personality and maintains that the first thing we must respect is our obligations to the EU institutions and international finance. But he has promised that we will be back on track with the commitments on ODA in 3 years. Look, you live this problem with intense emotion: money is food, and I appreciate your work very much. I have talked with Tremonti and have also argued with him about this, he’s presented me with his resignation many times – jokes Berlusconi - I however, have rejected it because I don’t have another Minister available. On the table at the G8 there will be 5 or 6 important issues: Africa will be one of these. Later, on the financing, I’ll look at changing the recovery plan.” Geldof shakes his head: He shows to Berlusconi the document that the PM approved at the G8 in Gleneagles: “Here is the signature of a country and the honour of a man.” Berlusconi reads it and admits: “I’m sorry, we have made a mistake.” Geldof then continues: “A reason why this crisis is so serious is the fact that we left 50% of the world outside the system. How is it possible to live on 2 dollars a day? And if you have so little, how can you buy our products? Africa is a bigger market than Brazil , Russia or Mexico: shouldn’t we include it? If African citizens can buy our goods, there would also be more jobs in Italy.” Berlusconi clenches his fist: “You are right, when one commits to something, it has to be maintained. We are behind, and we have to put this right. I’m sorry to have not maintained these promises, you have to take into account all the things that have got in the way of us achieving them. The crisis, the earthquake. We also have a big situation with the opposition, the judges that attack us..” 15
Gledof stops him again: “But this, Prime Minister, is not a discussion about media or the judicial system: we are talking about defenceless poor people.” At this point, looking to calm the tone, Gianni Letta intervenes “You heard: our Prime minister has expressed willingness to find a solution.” Geldof: “OK, but the G8 is in 3 days. The American President Obama has said that he also wants to deal with the emergency in poor countries: can we get to something concrete?” Berlusconi: “I had a great meeting with President Obama, he made a great impression on me. He said that he would like to create a fund for agriculture and food security; he promised to give $1bn dollars for the next four years and now he would like that the other 7 countries of the G8 put in another $1 billion.” Geldof: “Would that be new funds or from existing ODA?” Berlusconi: “New funds, yes. You see that I’m serious? Before we met I read the things you have written about us, berating Italy for not having met our commitments, and despite that I have not avoided this interview. I’ve done it because I appreciate your effort. We’re absolutely in the wrong and I want to put myself to work with someone like you who spends his life pursuing this beautiful mission. OK? We’re trying not to disappoint you.” Geldof: “Prime Minister, let’s forget this interview with La Stampa and speak frankly between us: what are we going to do?” Once again Letta intervenes: “Our Prime minister recognises your suggestions and will elaborate a response in the coming days.” Geldof: “It’s a question of credibility. Political credibility. You risk becoming known as ‘Mr 3%’ someone who keeps only 3% of his promises. What are you going to do in l’Aquila?” Berlusconi doesn’t understand what ‘Mr 3%’ means. His assistant, Valentino Valentini, who is providing interpretation for the meeting, explains Geldof’s accusation to him. Berlusconi becomes more serious and clearly enunciates his words: “As an entrepreneur, I have always fulfilled a promise, and with the electorate I have behaved in the same way. In this case it’s because of an impossible situation in the budget that was not in my control. If we had given funds in this way we would have received terrible penalties from Europe. We’re in the impossible situation of trying to fulfil our goals, without having the possibility of spending. Now we have to find a way to close other finances and put funds in the direction of aid. Perhaps we will have the possibility to do it, but there will be very painful cuts.” Geldof: “But this would be an investment” Berlusconi: “Yes, of that I’m sure. I read the latest UN report which said that in the next 15 years there will be 2 billion more people in the world, who will be born in countries where there is no social welfare. We will do it all, if not there will not be a chance for liberty, democracy and wellbeing to develop. But right now there has not been the possibility to do it, because Europe threatens penalties….” 16
Geldof: “Don’t blame Brussels, Prime Minister, Brussels is farther away from Rome than Africa. I’ve been to Lampedusa: if you want to stop the tragedy of illegal immigration you must help to create better living conditions and help build economies of the countries the people come from. Prime Minister, when the rich get less rich, the poor get even poorer.” Berlusconi: “Of course: and the more poor a person becomes, the more desperate he becomes. I know well that to help them is not only a duty but is also in our interest.” Geldof: “Would you say that in l’Aquila you will do something?” Berlusconi: “We will take the lead. Together with Obama we will act, of that I am absolutely convinced. We’ll see what we can do.” 17
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