Oracle's Top 10 Cloud Predictions 2019 - Predicting the future of the enterprise cloud by 2025-your company in the cloud.
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10 Oracle’s Top 10 Cloud Predictions 2019 Predicting the future of the enterprise cloud by 2025—your company in the cloud.
Contents Oracle’s Top 10 Cloud Predictions 05 Prediction #5 85% of customer interactions will be automated. 06 Prediction #6 The developer community will expand 10× and productivity will increase by 400%. 07 01 08 Predicting the future of the enterprise cloud by 2025—your company in the cloud. Prediction #7 Prediction #8 90% of enterprises will use a single More than 50% of data will be identity platform that bridges managed autonomously. premises and the cloud. 01 Prediction #1 Second-generation cloud providers will offer 100% data-center replacement. 02 Prediction #2 80% of all enterprise (and mission-critical) workloads will move to the cloud. 09 Prediction #9 The number of security events will increase 100×, and automation... 10 Prediction #10 70% of IT functions will be completely automated. 03 Prediction #3 All applications will incorporate AI—further distancing themselves from legacy applications. 04 Prediction #4 AI (and emerging technologies) will double our productivity. Conclusion 2
Your Company in the Cloud Shifting toward a whole-enterprise cloud. Cloud technology and its adoption They’re no longer experimenting with In “Oracle’s Top 10 Cloud Predictions have been transformative for nearly these new technologies in a sandbox; 2019,” we explore what the enterprise every business, industry, and product. they’re applying them in meaningful IT world will look like by 2025 as the From running applications that are ways across their operations, driving adoption of cloud rises. Together, these always-on and available, to limitless new business, creating new value, and predictions demonstrate the need for a infrastructure scalability, today’s building more sophisticated applications complete enterprise cloud approach in enterprise technology norm is defined than ever before. By 2025, we expect the years to come, and provide a future- by these cloud capabilities. to see both cloud providers and the facing view of how businesses will need enterprises they serve move toward to plan their move to a cloud-native We’ve reached a remarkable tipping a next-generation cloud model where IT environment. point, where enterprises are now they have access to these outpacing consumers in their adoption new technologies, better security, of emerging technologies—including improved price performance, and artificial intelligence (AI), blockchain, deep automation capabilities. digital assistants, containers, serverless, and the Internet of Things (IoT). 3
01 Prediction #1 Second-generation cloud providers will offer 100% data-center replacement. 4
Prediction #1 Further Reading There’s an almost limitless number of ways Second-generation clouds enable highly Video: Oracle OpenWorld to use the cloud. But no matter how your complex workloads and mission-critical Announcement: Gen 2 Cloud journey begins, all routes eventually lead to systems. They deliver better guarantees the same destination—running your entire for security, continuity, control, and price company in the cloud. performance. In addition, this provides White Paper: Next-Generation access to innovations spanning autonomous 100% data-center replacement is only Cloud Delivers Enterprise Scale database, AI, machine learning (ML), possible when cloud solutions are afforded blockchain, IoT, and human interfaces. at least the same level of reliability and Ultimately, IT organizations will have performance as on-premises technology. IPaper: Oracle Cloud the confidence and new capabilities to Everything you run in the cloud needs to be Infrastructure Cloud Essentials completely rely on the cloud for their secure from core to edge, leveraging the mission-critical operations. latest advances in automation technology. The design principles for many first-generation clouds were opportunistic: commodity servers, storage, network, shared tenancy, Oracle Cloud Trial and best-efforts management. These early capabilities successfully captured the market’s attention for low-risk workloads. 5
02 Prediction #2 80% of all enterprise (and mission-critical) workloads will move to the cloud. 6
Further Reading Prediction #2 Press Release: Oracle and We are now in an era of coexistence The considerations from moving all and critical Top-Flight Customers Lead the among private data centers, managed cloud workloads to the cloud come from its flexibility, Charge in Cloud Applications environments, and self-service public clouds. reliability, and performance capabilities. These Enterprises almost universally consume core capabilities of the cloud provide the IPaper: Cloud Essentials public-cloud resources today, and mission- foundational infrastructure needed for all types for Migrating Any Application critical workloads are an increasing part of of workloads—AI, traditional, mission-critical, to the Cloud that consumption. performance-intensive, and high-performance computing (HPC). Mission-critical applications that cannot afford to Report: Moving Critical Apps suffer any downtime are leaving the enterprise From point-of-sale systems for retail operations to the Cloud: Understanding data center behind. This shift is inexorable, and to high-speed transaction systems for financial the Benefits and Challenges it’s increasingly a major part of the conversation services, these critical enterprise applications about moving enterprise IT forward in terms of will benefit most from moving to the cloud. Assessment Tool: Oracle efficiency and reliability. Cloud Confidence Tool The migration of applications and workloads from all corners of enterprise IT has created of all enterprise 80% demand for a new breed of integration and (and mission-critical) Learn More: migration tools that can ease an enterprise’s workloads will move Why Oracle Cloud? path to the cloud. to the cloud. 7
03 Prediction #3 All applications will incorporate AI—further distancing themselves from legacy applications. 8
Prediction #3 Further Reading Today, we collect more data than ever AI is being applied in many exciting ways IPaper: Oracle Cloud before. When applied intelligently, that data today, and it’s hard to visualize a future where Essentials; Artificial Intelligence: informs our processes and provides us with it’s not an important part of every application. The Next Generation the insights needed to work more quickly, Whether AI is a sophisticated algorithm based efficiently, and flexibly. on deep learning that can analyze product Research Paper: MIT Tech Review: quality, or a new cognitive user-engagement To this end, artificial intelligence is finishing Machine Learning-Driven Analytics paradigm for speech, vision, gesture, or touch, what business intelligence started. By we predict it will be at the foundation of all gathering, contextualizing, understanding, and next-generation applications. White Paper: Harvard Business Review: acting on huge quantities of data, AI has given Using Digital Platforms and Artificial rise to a new breed of applications—one Intelligence to Outpace Rivals that’s continuously improving and adapting to the conditions around it. Report: Forrester: The CIO’s Guide to Automation Driving Business We’re already seeing applications change Value Requires Investments in before our very eyes. Conventional back-office Strategic Competencies applications are becoming legacy. They’re being reinvented with innovative front ends and aggressive commercial automation. Looking ahead, transformation is only going to become more widespread. 9
04 Prediction #4 AI (and emerging technologies) will double our productivity. 10
Further Reading Prediction #4 AI augmentation already has immense power This enables businesses to reduce the time to Blog: A Practical Path to increase human productivity—and as AI complete tasks and the costs of maintenance, to AI Podcast Series capabilities keep improving, those productivity and will lead to the creation of higher-value gains are only going to get bigger, and be jobs and new engagement models. Blog: Trying to Understand experienced by more people. With built-in AI and more integration of Blockchain? Here’s a Simple As the volume and depth of data available to emerging technologies like blockchain for Explanation businesses grow, AI will become better at secure high-trust transactions, this will enable making decisions—seeing it evolve from a companies to shift resources to focus on Report: Cloud Development: technology used to reduce human effort into business growth and innovation. The Key to Rapid Innovation something that can truly reduce human bias. As we move forward, these converging AI changes the productivity equation for many efficiency gains will culminate in a huge jobs by automating activities and adapting productivity boost across the business. We current jobs to solve more complex and time- predict that by 2025, the productivity gains consuming problems, from recruiters being delivered by AI, emerging technologies, Oracle Cloud Trial able to source better candidates faster to and augmented experiences could double financial analysts eliminating manual error- compared to today’s operations. prone reporting. This type of automation will not replace all jobs but will invent new ones. 11
05 Prediction #5 85% of customer interactions will be automated. 12
Prediction #5 Further Reading For customers and employees alike, AI is conversation naturally wanders or how an Video: Exelon Readies AI-Driven ushering in a new era of experiences—one individual communicates. As AI technology Chatbots for Millions of Customers characterized by natural interactions, easy gets better at tracking and understanding that engagements, predictive recommendations, context, more and more customer interactions and friction-free journeys. can be automated effectively. Video: Oracle Digital Assistant: In fact, AI has already had a profound impact With AI-driven analytics helping businesses The Power of AI at Your Fingertips on how businesses and customers interact. understand customer needs, IoT bringing Today, 89% of people use voice assistants customers closer to companies directly, for customer service, and 69% of enterprise and digital assistants providing humanized Oracle Analytics Cloud Trial customer service functions use chatbots for digital experiences, automation of customer anywhere, anytime engagement. engagement is going be extremely common by 2025. We predict that 85% of all This widespread adoption has seen interactions will be automated. automation quickly go from being a nice to have to becoming a basic customer Oracle Cloud Trial expectation across nearly all markets. The key element for successful automated of customer interactions engagement is to continuously understand 85% will be automated. context and intent, no matter how the 13
06 Prediction #6 The developer community will expand 10× and productivity will increase by 400% 14
Further Reading Prediction #6 Despite huge growth in the number of components into an application. This visual Learn More: Step Up to developers working today, demand for “no-code” approach to development will see Modern Cloud Development applications continues to outpace the supply nonprofessional developers start to reduce the of trained developers. Between 2012 application backlog, and even encourage line- and 2018, GitHub went from 5 million to of-business experts to build their own solutions Blog: Step Up to Modern 31 million users, but even this level of growth in where necessary. Cloud Development developer numbers isn’t enough to keep up with Automation will take this to the next level. increasing demand for modern technical skills. Developers will be able to work in a virtual Video: Interviews and The newest innovations require mastery world of coding components and simulations presentations on key of new technologies as well as knowledge that span the entire development lifecycle. development trends. disciplines. For example, adding natural Using gestures and conversation, future interfaces, such as language processing or programmers will select software modules data-enhanced imagery (augmented reality), where they can be evaluated, assembled, requires advanced degrees in artificial and debugged. intelligence and image processing—a level Oracle Cloud Trial With these new tools, 2025 will see a of expertise and qualification that’s certainly larger developer community than ever not widespread. before—and that community will be far With the next-generation environments, they more effective, due to immersive, AI-driven hide the technical underpinnings and simply development experiences. allow dragging and dropping of intelligent 15
07 Prediction #7 More than 50% of data will be managed autonomously. 16
Prediction #7 Further Reading The motivation to deliver high availability and to Oracle has taken the next step in extreme Video: Autonomous Database: protect our technology ecosystems has never automation with the Oracle Autonomous Larry Ellison at Oracle been higher. However, looking forward, it will no Database. It is the industry’s first database that OpenWorld 2018 Highlights longer be necessary to expect IT organizations to is self-driving, self-securing, and self-repairing. respond to these demands with people, training, Looking forward, we expect a huge proportion Video: Sound Familiar? Larry and process. of businesses to explore similar capabilities for Shares the Oracle Autonomous every aspect of data management. Database Story Data is a crucial organizational asset and it must always be available, trusted, and secure. The first step to ensure higher availability is to eliminate a Press Release: Larry Ellison Charts broad collection of maintenance activities, such a Course for the Future of Cloud as patching, updates, and upgrades while the system is running. of data will For small companies with big ideas (and big companies with experimental ideas), autonomy >50% be managed autonomously will become a crucial factor for business Oracle Cloud Trial continuity and low operational costs. Put simply, autonomy enables them to bring applications online faster, cheaper, and more reliably, without investing in additional skills or people. 17
08 Prediction #8 90% of enterprises will use a single identity platform that bridges premises and the cloud. 18
Further Reading Prediction #8 The “Oracle and KPMG Cloud Threat Report, By 2025, privacy regulations that require White Paper: Manage Identities 2018” highlighted that the number one immediate audit capabilities of users Across the Hybrid Cloud identity and access challenge organizations across apps and services will drive these deal with today is the use of multiple identity organizations into a unified platform out of provisioning platforms, both on premises and liability needs, as well as to help speed up Report: Oracle and KPMG in the cloud. Over a third cited how cloud has provisioning of new apps, users, and devices. Cloud Threat Report greatly added complexity in how they can manage the real-time needs of provisioning and deprovisioning. IPaper: Cloud Essentials for Securing SaaS at Scale Organizations are now starting to leverage of enterprises will technologies in the identity and access use a single identity Report: Oracle Database management (IAM) space that cross the hybrid cloud and grant the ability to deliver 90% platform that bridges premises Security Assessment a unified identity that stretches into all and the cloud. applications and services. Oracle Cloud Trial 19
09 Prediction #9 The number of security events will increase 100×, and automation will become the most reliable way of preventing, detecting, and mitigating threats. 20
Prediction #9 Further Reading Today’s organizations face an overwhelming Bad actors will use nonlinear (usually Ebook: Cloud Security number of security-related events every single AI-based) techniques that inject randomness for Dummies day. This volume makes timely prioritization into the pattern of behavior of botnets and troubleshooting a unique challenge, to launch an unprecedented number of because every event needs to be evaluated extremely difficult-to-detect attacks. IPaper: Cloud Essentials: Secure and either acted upon or disregarded. We predict that moving forward, organizations and Manage Hybrid Clouds In the “Oracle and KPMG Cloud Threat will also have to employ cloud-based AI to Report, 2018,” the number one challenge to help defend against these threats. The most respondents was analyzing security event effective way to defeat a highly automated Assessment Tool: Take the telemetry at scale. This is further reinforced network of attackers is for enterprises to turn Cloud Security Assessment by McAfee’s 2019 Cloud Adoption and over the mass analysis of events to intelligent Risk Report, which showed the average AI-driven analysis platforms that span the organization will find only 1 out of 100 million entire enterprise IT estate. events to be a threat. So how can security We should expect that many enterprises will teams identify the real threats among all Oracle Cloud Trial embrace a core-to-edge security model by this noise? 2025, to ensure customers’ data is secure By 2025, malicious traffic will use AI to hide from the core of the infrastructure to the edge within the mass of regular and legitimate of the cloud. human-based traffic. 21
10 Prediction #10 70% of IT functions will be completely automated. 22
Further Reading Prediction #10 Video: Accelerating Growth in Every year, billions of work hours are spent For companies running entirely in the cloud, the Cloud: Mark Hurd at Oracle performing necessary, extremely complex, this will be invaluable. Once all high-value OpenWorld 2018 routine IT tasks. These tasks take up a huge enterprise processes can be attended to amount of IT’s time, making them a perfect in the cloud as truly managed services, Article: WSJ: For Chinese Property target for automation. businesses will have a huge volume Developer, the Cloud Opens New of resources that can be reallocated to Cloud services are evolving to include lifecycle Data-Driven Opportunities innovation projects and delivering further and advanced run-time automation such digital transformations. as self-patching and real-time tuning, and White Paper: The Autonomous as automation capabilities improve, so will Advantage: The Rise of the reliability, availability, scalability, and ultimately Strategic DBA application SLAs. Video: Oracle Cloud: The Future By 2025, automated software and hardware of IT functions 70% Is Autonomous: Steve Daheb at lifecycle management will be the norm. In this OpenWorld 2018 world of 100% managed services, SLAs will will be completely increase and security threats will decrease. automated. This will enable both cloud providers and their customers to have more time to focus on improving business outcomes. Oracle Cloud Trial 23
Conclusion Companies have moved beyond the questions have access to all three layers of the cloud, of why they should be using cloud and spanning applications, platform services emerging technologies, to arriving at the more and infrastructure services. We deliver important question of: “How do I get there?” stronger security controls from built-in core-to-edge, workload-migration tools With Oracle, that path is as simple as an to protect our customers’ investments, upgrade. Oracle provides a simple upgrade and superior economics with automation, path for customers, leveraging their existing performance, reliability, and other advantages investments and skills to move to new that lead the industry. versions that upgrade their capabilities and experience, while reducing risk and driving Oracle provides customers with multiple greater business value. paths to the cloud and access to an AI-based future today. It’s all part of Oracle’s mission to support customers’ journeys to the cloud—wherever their starting point might be. Learn More And Get Started Oracle provides a complete, open, and integrated cloud solution infused with intelligence at every layer. Customers Oracle Cloud Trial 24
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