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OPHI
Oxford Poverty & Human
 Development Initiative

                                               Empowered lives.
                                               Resilient nations.

                          Charting pathways out of
                          multidimensional poverty:
                                  Achieving the SDGs
The team that created this report includes Sabina Alkire, Pedro
                                                            Conceição, Cecilia Calderón, Jakob Dirksen, Maya Evans, Rolando
                                                            Gonzales, Jon Hall, Admir Jahic, Usha Kanagaratnam, Maarit Kivilo,
                                                            Milorad Kovacevic, Fanni Kovesdi, Corinne Mitchell, Ricardo Nogales,
                                                            Anna Ortubia, Mónica Pinilla-Roncancio, Natalie Quinn, Carolina
                                                            Rivera, Sophie Scharlin-Pettee and Nicolai Suppa. Peer reviewers
                                                            include Enrique Delamonica, Ivan Gonzalez de Alba, Gonzalo Hernandez
                                                            Licona, Frances Stewart and Bishwa Tiwari. The team would like to
                                                            thank the editors and layout artists at Communications Development
                                                            Incorporated—led by Bruce Ross-Larson, with Joe Brinley, Joe Caponio,
                                                            Christopher Trott and Elaine Wilson.

For a list of any errors and omissions found subsequent to printing, please visit http://hdr.undp.org and https://ophi.org.uk/multidimensional-poverty-index/.

Copyright @ 2020
By the United Nations Development Programme and Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative
Global Multidimensional Poverty Index 2020
Charting pathways out of multidimensional poverty: Achieving the SDGs

 OPHI
 Oxford Poverty & Human
  Development Initiative

                                                           Empowered lives.
                                                           Resilient nations.
Contents
Introduction                                                                            1   9    In 52 of the 71 countries with both multidimensional and monetary poverty
                                                                                                 data, the incidence of multidimensional poverty fell faster in absolute terms     13
Part I. The global Multidimensional Poverty Index                                       2   10   Overlaying trends in the incidence of national and international monetary and
                                                                                                 multidimensional poverty provides a fuller picture of a country’s poverty
Key findings                                                                            3
                                                                                                 situation: Colombia, Pakistan and Sierra Leone                                    14
What is the global Multidimensional Poverty Index?                                      4   11   South Asia and Sub-­Saharan Africa had the largest annualized absolute
The global Multidimensional Poverty Index in 2020                                       5        reductions in multidimensional poverty                                            15
Trends in multidimensional poverty: Progress and challenges                             5   12   Forty-seven countries are on track to halve multidimensional poverty by 2030,
                                                                                                 and eighteen are off track if observed trends continue                            16
Projections of multidimensional poverty                                                12
                                                                                            13   Under a conservative scenario of the impact of COVID-19 on school attendance
                                                                                                 and a moderate scenario of the impact on nutrition, simulations indicate that the
Part II. The Sustainable Development Goals and the global
                                                                                                 increase in deprivations because of COVID-19 may set poverty levels back by 9.1
Multidimensional Poverty Index                                                         18
                                                                                                 years, with an additional 490 million people falling into multidimensional poverty 17
Key findings                                                                           19   14   Sustainable Development Goals that link to the global Multidimensional
The wide scope of interlinkages                                                        20        Poverty Index                                                                     21

The MPI and immunization                                                               22   15   Interlinked deprivations across 107 countries                                     21
                                                                                            16   There is a negative correlation between immunization coverage and the
The intersectionality of multidimensional poverty in education                         25
                                                                                                 incidence of multidimensional poverty                                             23
The MPI and the rural‑urban divide                                                     27   17   The percentage of people who are multidimensionally poor and deprived in
The MPI, climate change and the environment                                            28        child mortality is highest in Nigeria, which also has one of the lowest
                                                                                                 percentages of DTP3 coverage globally                                             24
The MPI, work and employment                                                           31
                                                                                            18   In Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Nigeria and Pakistan the
                                                                                                 percentage of people living with a child who did not receive the third dose of
Notes and references                                                                   35
                                                                                                 the DPT-HepB-Hib vaccine is highest among multidimensionally poor people          24
Notes                                                                                  36   19   Sub-­Saharan African countries have the highest percentages of people who are
References                                                                             38        multidimensionally poor and deprived in years of schooling and school attendance 25
                                                                                            20   In Mali the mean years of schooling of adults older than 25 is higher for men
                                                                                                 than for women across all poverty groups                                          26
STATISTICAL TABLES
                                                                                            21   In Haiti the differences in mean years of schooling between women and men
1    Multidimensional Poverty Index: developing countries                              41
                                                                                                 who live in rural and urban areas in different poverty groups are clear           26
2    Multidimensional Poverty Index: changes over time based on harmonized
                                                                                            22   Of the 1.3 billion people who are multidimensionally poor, 1.1 billion people­
     estimates                                                                         44
                                                                                                 —­84.2 percent­—­live in rural areas                                              28
                                                                                            23   The percentage of people who are multidimensionally poor and deprived in
BOXES                                                                                            each indicator is always higher in rural areas than in urban areas                29
1    Definitions for measuring changes in multidimensional poverty                      6   24   In Kenya the impact of recent natural disasters is greater in provinces with
2    Reducing multidimensional poverty in Sierra Leone during the Ebola crisis          6        higher multidimensional poverty                                                   30
3    The global Multidimensional Poverty Index and the Sustainable Development Goals 20     25   The percentages of people who are multidimensionally poor and deprived in
                                                                                                 access to clean cooking fuel, access to clean drinking water and access to
                                                                                                 improved sanitation are highest in Sub-­Saharan Africa                            30
FIGURES                                                                                     26   The average contribution of environmental indicators to the Multidimensional
1    Structure of the global Multidimensional Poverty Index                             4        Poverty Index differs significantly between rural and urban areas and across
2    Poorer countries with the highest initial Multidimensional Poverty Index values             regions                                                                           31
     and countries with low values tend to have slower absolute reduction rates         5   27   Child labour is more prevalent in countries with higher multidimensional poverty 32
3    In Madagascar multidimensional poverty declined most slowly among children,            28   Higher employment in the agricultural sector is associated with higher
     even though they were the poorest age group                                 7               multidimensional poverty in Sub-­Saharan Africa                                   32
4    Some of the poorest countries in Sub-­Saharan Africa achieved the fastest              29   A higher share of informal employment in nonagricultural employment is
     absolute reductions in multidimensional poverty                                    8        associated with higher multidimensional poverty                                   33
5    Reductions in multidimensional poverty can be driven by improvements in                30   In countries with high multidimensional poverty a large share of the
     different indicators                                                               8        population lacks any social protection                                            34
6    Absolute and relative annualized reductions in multidimensional poverty           10
7    Bangladesh, Lao People’s Democratic Republic and Mauritania show a                     TABLE
     pro-poor trend in reducing multidimensional poverty                               11
                                                                                            1    COVID-19 scenarios, projected global Multidimensional Poverty Index values,
8    Which country reduced each indicator fastest and when?                            12        increases in the number of multidimensionally poor people, and length of setback 17

ii | GLOBAL MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY INDEX 2020
Introduction
The lives of poor people are an intricate balance; their steps out of poverty even more so. Millions of daily labourers, herders
and farmers eking out subsistence on rugged terrain have no access to clean drinking water and no electric light at home.
Street vendors’ children may be undernourished, and entire families illiterate. In tough times many children drop out of
school. Improvements may come­—­an electrification scheme, better water and sanitation, upgraded schools with lunch
programmes, and good local health clinics. But conflicts, migrations, disasters and shocks also threaten.

Launched in 2010 by the Oxford Poverty             and greater environmental threats. By detailing
and Human Development Initiative at the            the connections between the MPI and other
University of Oxford and the Human Devel-          poverty-related SDGs, the report highlights
opment Report Office of the United Nations         how the lives of multidimensionally poor peo-
Development Programme for the flagship             ple are precarious in ways that extend beyond
Human Development Reports, the global              the MPI’s 10 component indicators.
Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) meas-            The COVID-19 pandemic unfolded in the
ures the complexities of poor people’s lives,      midst of this analysis. While data are not yet
individually and collectively, each year. This     available to measure the rise of global poverty
report­—­released 10 years after that launch­      after the pandemic, simulations based on dif-
—­focuses on how multidimensional poverty          ferent scenarios suggest that, if unaddressed,
has declined. It provides a comprehensive          progress across 70 developing countries could
picture of global trends in multidimensional       be set back 3–10 years.
poverty, covering 5 billion people. It probes         The firm hope is that it will not. As Amart-
patterns between and within countries and by       ya Sen observes, Britain during World War II
indicator, showcasing different ways of making     suffered food shortages and an overall decline
progress. Together with data on the $1.90 a        in food availability. Yet with judicious rationing
day poverty rate, the trends monitor global        and proactive policies, life expectancy rose. In
poverty in different forms.                        the decade before the war, life expectancy had
  This is a key moment to study how nonmon-        risen by 1.2 years for men and by 1.5 years for
etary poverty goes down. It is 10 years before     women. But during the war it rose by 6.5 years
2030, the due date of the Sustainable Develop-     for men and by 7 years for women.1 Evidence
ment Goals (SDGs), whose first goal is to end      suggests a similar story in Sierra Leone, which
poverty in all its forms everywhere. And it is a   had the fastest reduction in MPI value among
year when a pandemic and economic slowdown         all countries with trend data. And this occurred
are pushing many more into poverty, while the      during the Ebola crisis, not after. One by one
spectre of racism still haunts, and environmen-    these stories seem tenuous, even improbable.
tal threats such as locusts surge.                 But the hope is that the information on mul-
  Multidimensional poverty is strongly associ-     tidimensional poverty summarized here and
ated with other SDG challenges. Concentrated       detailed online will encourage and empower
in rural areas, multidimensionally poor people     readers to fight to end poverty during these
tend to experience lower vaccination rates and     difficult times, even against all odds. If they do,
secondary school achievement, insecure work        progress is possible.

                                                                      Charting pathways out of multidimensional poverty: Achieving the SDGs | 1
PART I
The global Multidimensional
             Poverty Index
Key findings                                              reduction in the number of multidimension-
                                                          ally poor people (273 million). Ten coun-
• Across 107 developing countries, 1.3 billion            tries, including China, came close to halving
  people­—­22 percent­—­live in multidimen-               their MPI value.3
  sional poverty.2                                    •   In nearly a third of the countries studied,
• Children show higher rates of multidimen-               either there was no reduction in multidimen-
  sional poverty: half of multidimensionally              sional poverty for children, or the MPI value
  poor people (644 million) are children under            fell more slowly for children than for adults.
  age 18. One in three children is poor com-          •   The countries with the fastest reduction
  pared with one in six adults.                           in MPI value in absolute terms were Sierra
• About 84.3 percent of multidimensionally                Leone, Mauritania and Liberia, followed by
  poor people live in Sub-­Saharan Africa                 Timor-Leste, Guinea and Rwanda. North
  (558 million) and South Asia (530 million).             Macedonia had the fastest relative poverty
• 67 percent of multidimensionally poor                   reduction, followed by China, Armenia,
  people are in middle-income countries,                  Kazakhstan, Indonesia, Turkmenistan and
  where the incidence of multidimensional                 Mongolia. Each of these countries cut its
  poverty ranges from 0 percent to 57 percent             original MPI value by at least 12 percent a
  nationally and from 0 percent to 91 percent             year.
  subnationally.                                      •   In 14 countries in Sub-­Saharan Africa, the
• Every multidimensionally poor person is be-             number of multidimensionally poor people
  ing left behind in a critical mass of indicators.       increased, even though their MPI value de-
  For example, 803 million multidimensionally             creased, because of population growth.
  poor people live in a household where some-         •   How countries reduced their MPI value var-
  one is undernourished, 476 million have an              ies by indicator and by subnational region.
  out-of-school child at home, 1.2 billion lack           Twenty countries significantly reduced dep-
  access to clean cooking fuel, 687 million lack          rivations for every indicator. Bangladesh, Lao
  electricity and 1.03 billion have substandard           People’s Democratic Republic and Maurita-
  housing materials.                                      nia had pro-poor reductions in subnational
• 107 million multidimensionally poor                     regions.
  people are age 60 or older­—­a particularly         •   Multidimensional poverty trends do not
  importantly figure during the COVID-19                  match monetary poverty trends, suggesting
  pandemic.                                               different drivers.
• 65 countries reduced their global Multidi-          •   Charting trends in multidimensional and
  mensional Poverty Index (MPI) value signif-             monetary poverty measures and using glob-
  icantly in absolute terms. Those countries are          al data and national statistics, as Atkinson
  home to 96 percent of the population of the             (2019) proposed, provides an overall picture
  75 countries studied for poverty trends. The            of a country’s poverty situation.
  fastest, Sierra Leone (2013–2017), did so           •   Before the pandemic 47 countries were on
  during the Ebola epidemic.                              track to halve poverty between 2015 and
• Four countries halved their MPI value. India            2030, if observed trends continued. But 18
  (2005/2006–2015/2016) did so nationally                 countries, including some of the poorest,
  and among children and had the biggest                  were off track.

                                                                          Charting pathways out of multidimensional poverty: Achieving the SDGs | 3
The 2020 global Multidimensional Poverty                 terms, poverty is now understood to include
                                 Index (MPI) provides current levels of multi-            the lived reality of people’s experiences and the
                                 dimensional poverty in developing countries,             multiple deprivations they face. Since 2010 the
                                 the highlights of which are listed in the key            global MPI has compared acute multidimen-
                                 findings. Part I first introduces the global             sional poverty across more than 100 countries.
                                 MPI and presents trends in poverty reduction             The global MPI examines each person’s dep-
                                 for 5 billion people living in a subset of those         rivations across 10 indicators in three equally
                                 countries. It then presents projections to an-           weighted dimensions­—­h ealth, education
                                 swer two pressing questions: Are countries on            and standard of living (figure 1) and offers a
                                 track to halve poverty by 2030, and how might            high-resolution lens to identify both who is
                                 their poverty be affected by the COVID-19                poor and how they are poor. It complements
                                 pandemic?                                                the international $1.90 a day poverty rate by
                                                                                          showing the nature and extent of overlapping
                                                                                          deprivations for each person.
                                 What is the global                                          In the global MPI, people are counted as
                                 Multidimensional Poverty Index?                          multidimensionally poor if they are deprived
                                                                                          in one-third or more of 10 indicators (see fig-
                                 Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 1 aims                ure 1), where each indicator is equally weighted
                                 to end poverty in all its forms everywhere.4             within its dimension, so the health and educa-
                                 Although previously defined only in monetary             tion indicators are weighted 1/6 each and the

                                 FIGURE 1

                                 Structure of the global Multidimensional Poverty Index

                                                                                                               Nutrition

                                                                Health

                                                                                                               Child mortality

                                                                                                               Years of schooling
                                          Three
                                          dimensions         Education
                                          of poverty
                                                                                                               School attendance

                                                                                                               Cooking fuel
                                                                                                               Sanitation
                                                                Standard                                       Drinking water
                                                                 of living                                     Electricity
                                                                                                               Housing
                                                                                                               Assets

                                 Source: OPHI 2018.

4 | GLOBAL MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY INDEX 2020
standard of living indicators are weighted 1/18     global MPI, home to roughly 5 billion people
each. The intensity of multidimensionally poor      across all developing regions (figure 2).11 The
people is measured by the average number of         timespan for the analysis ranges from 3 years
weighted deprivations they experience. The          between surveys to 12 years. The MPI estimates
MPI is the product of the incidence of poverty      used in this section are rigorously harmonized
(proportion of poor people) and the intensity       and denoted by MPIT so indicator definitions
of poverty (average deprivation score5 of poor      match between time periods (for example, if
people) and is therefore sensitive to changes in    one survey collected only child nutrition rather
both components. The MPI ranges from 0 to 1,        than adult nutrition, data for the other survey
and higher values imply higher poverty.             are restricted to child nutrition as well).12 Due
   To ensure transparency, the detailed defini-     to this harmonization, the MPIT values in sta-
tion of each indicator is published online, with    tistical table 2 may differ from those in statis-
country-specific adjustments and the computer       tical table 1 (which represents the best possible
code used to calculate the global MPI value for     MPI estimate that can be calculated with the
each country.6                                      information available).13 Box 1 defines key
                                                    terms used in the discussion of poverty trends.

The global Multidimensional                         FIGURE 2
Poverty Index in 2020
                                                    Poorer countries with the highest initial
                                                    Multidimensional Poverty Index values and
The 2020 update of the global Multidimensional      countries with low values tend to have slower
Poverty Index (MPI) covers 107 countries­—­28       absolute reduction rates
low income, 76 middle income and 3 high
income­7—­and 5.9 billion people in developing                         Arab States
                                                                       East Asia and the Pacific
regions. MPI values and data for the MPI’s com-                        Europe and Central Asia
ponent indicators are also disaggregated by age                        Latin America and the Caribbean
group, for rural and urban areas and for 1,279                         South Asia
                                                                       Sub-Saharan Africa
subnational regions. Data for 25 countries cover-
ing 913 million people have been updated from           MPIT value
                                                        0.700
the 2019 release.8 The 2020 estimates are based
on 47 Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS),
                                                         0.600
47 Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS),
3 Pan Arab Population and Family Health                                                              Ethiopia

Surveys and 10 national surveys. All surveys are         0.500

dated 2008–2019, and data for 83 countries­—­                                                                  Sierra Leone
home to 92 percent of multidimensionally poor            0.400

people­—­were collected in 2013/2014 or later.9                                                                        Nigeria
The global MPI is thus a key resource for recent         0.300
                                                                             India
poverty data across developing regions.
                                                         0.200

Trends in multidimensional                               0.100
                                                                                    China
poverty: Progress and challenges
                                                         0.000
                                                             2000            2005       2010       2015                  2020
While the United Nations Development Pro-                                        Year of the survey
gramme has previously published tables with
estimates on global trends in multidimensional      MPIT is the Multidimensional Poverty Index estimate that is based on harmonized
poverty, this is the first study that focuses on    indicator definitions for strict comparability over time.
                                                    Note: The figure shows the level of multidimensional poverty in the starting and
harmonized trends to shed light on the dynam-       ending periods of the study. The size of each bubble represents the number of
                                                    multidimensionally poor people in each year, the colour indicates the region of the
ics of poverty reduction and to increase un-        country and the trend line connecting the bubbles depicts the speed of reduction.
derstanding of what is possible.10 The analysis     The horizontal placement refers to the years of the surveys.
                                                    Source: Alkire, Kovesdi, Mitchell and others 2020.
covers 75 of the 107 countries included in the

                                                                                    Charting pathways out of multidimensional poverty: Achieving the SDGs | 5
BOX 1

                                 Definitions for measuring changes in multidimensional poverty

                                     Absolute change (annualized). The difference in a pov-                                Headcount ratio (also called incidence) is the most fa-
                                     erty measure between two years, divided by the number                                 miliar measure. It shows the change in the percentage
                                     of years between surveys.                                                             of people who are multidimensionally poor (but not the
                                                                                                                           intensity of poverty or the number of poor people).
                                     Relative change (annualized). The compound rate of
                                     change per year.1 It shows the percentage by which the                                Intensity shows how the average deprivation score of
                                     previous year’s poverty has changed.                                                  poor people has changed.

                                     What has changed? Changes in…                                                         Number of multidimensionally poor people (calcu-
                                                                                                                           lated as the product of the incidence of multidimensional
                                     Multidimensional Poverty Index value (MPIT value)                                     poverty and the population size) shows how the overall
                                     is the most comprehensive measure of multidimension-                                  number of multidimensionally poor people in a country
                                     al poverty. It considers changes in both the incidence                                has changed and reflects both demographic change and
                                     and the intensity of poverty (but not the number of poor                              population growth (but not the MPIT or the intensity of
                                     people).                                                                              poverty). It is important for budgeting and targeting.

                                 Note
                                 1. The compound rate of change is the geometric progression ratio that provides a constant rate of return over the time period.

                                 Sixty-five countries significantly                                                       countries in the middle of the distribution, with
                                 reduced multidimensional poverty                                                         moderate to high MPI values had the fastest
                                                                                                                          reductions. Overall, 62 of the 65 countries with
                                 Sixty-five countries, home to 96 percent of the                                          a significant reduction in MPI value had a sig-
                                 population of the 75 countries studied, signifi-                                         nificant reduction in the incidence of poverty.
                                 cantly reduced multidimensional poverty.14 The                                           In 23 of those countries, more than 2 percent of
                                 fastest country, Sierra Leone (2013–2017) did                                            the population moved out of poverty every year
                                 so during the Ebola epidemic (box 2).                                                    during the included period­—­rising to nearly
                                    Figure 2 depicts changes in MPIT value for                                            4 percent a year in Sierra Leone. The incidence
                                 all 75 countries between two periods of time.                                            of poverty in these countries in their starting
                                 Poorer countries with the highest initial MPI                                            year ranged from 20 percent in Mongolia to
                                 values and countries with low MPI values tend                                            82 percent in Liberia, showing that progress
                                 to have slower absolute reduction rates, whereas                                         is possible across countries with very different

                                 BOX 2

                                 Reducing multidimensional poverty in Sierra Leone during the Ebola crisis

                                     From December 2013 to March 2016, the Ebola crisis                                    largest annualized absolute reduction in depriviation in
                                     spread in West Africa. As terrible as the tragedy was, it                             clean cooking fuel and in child mortality among the 75
                                     did not create a widespread slide into poverty. The fast-                             countries studied. It had the fastest absolute reduction
                                     est reduction in multidimensional poverty among the                                   in MPI value among children of all countries, though
                                     75 countries studied, covering nearly 5 billion people,                               poverty among adults declined faster. And although the
                                     was in Sierra Leone, where the percentage of people in                                poorest regions did not move the fastest, 12 of Sierra
                                     multidimensional poverty fell from 74 percent in 2013                                 Leone’s 14 subnational regions reduced their MPIT value.
                                     to 58 percent in 2017­—­the same years as the Ebola                                       Public health emergencies require fast responses,
                                     crisis. The percentage of people who were multidimen-                                 and human error as well as tragedy seem inevitable.
                                     sionally poor and deprived declined for all 10 indicators,                            Despite this, Sierra Leone shows that it is possible to
                                     with the biggest reductions related to deprivations in                                reduce the interlinked deprivations of multidimensional
                                     cooking fuel and electricity. Sierra Leone also had the                               poverty during an epidemic.

6 | GLOBAL MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY INDEX 2020
poverty rates. The remaining countries moved          FIGURE 3
more slowly.
                                                      In Madagascar multidimensional poverty declined
                                                      most slowly among children, even though they
Halving multidimensional                              were the poorest age group
poverty is possible
                                                                                     MPIT value, 2008/09
Four countries­—­Armenia (2010–2015/2016),                    0.100        0.200       0.300        0.400      0.500        0.600
India (2005/2006–2015/2016), Nicaragua                    0.000
(2001–2011/2012) and North Macedonia
                                                        –0.002
(2005/2006–2011) halved their global MPIT
value and did so in 5.5–10.5 years. These coun-                                                               Ages 0–17
                                                        –0.004
tries show what is possible for countries with
very different initial poverty levels. They account                           Ages 65 and older
                                                        –0.006
for roughly a fifth of the world’s population,
mostly because of India’s large population.15 Ten       –0.008                                           Ages 18–64
countries­—­including China and Indonesia­—­             Annualized
came close to halving their level of multidimen-         absolute change
sional poverty (MPIT).16 Only two countries           MPIT is the Multidimensional Poverty Index estimate that is based on harmonized
(Nicaragua and North Macedonia) halved the            indicator definitions for strict comparability over time.
                                                      Source: Alkire, Kovesdi, Mitchell and others 2020.
incidence of multidimensional poverty. SDG
1 and the Third Decade on Poverty Reduction
call for ending multidimensional poverty using        10 and 10.5 years respectively, and during that
integrated approaches and policy frameworks;17        time both countries halved their MPIT values
these trends show that progress is possible.          among children. So decisive change for children
                                                      is possible but requires conscious policy efforts.
Some reductions overlook children
                                                      Some of the poorest countries
Across the 75 countries studied, nearly half of       in Sub-­Saharan Africa achieved
poor people are children under age 18. But in         the fastest absolute reductions
nearly a third of these countries, either there       in multidimensional poverty
was no reduction in multidimensional poverty
for children (ages 0–17), or the MPI value fell       Sub-­Saharan African countries have the highest
more slowly for children than for adults (ages        poverty rates and some of the bleakest prog-
18–64). In 13 countries there was no statisti-        noses. Several of these countries struggle with
cally significant reduction in multidimensional       political conflicts, violence, environmental
poverty among children.18 And in 11 of the            problems and rapid population growth. Yet
60 countries with a significant reduction for         some of the poorest countries in Sub-­Saharan
both age groups­—­all of them in Sub-­Saharan         Africa are among those with the fastest abso-
Africa­—­the reduction in poverty was faster for      lute reduction in multidimensional poverty
adults than for children. This includes Mad-          (figure 4).
agascar, where multidimensional poverty fell             Sierra Leone, Mauritania and Liberia re-
most slowly among children, even though they          duced their MPI value fastest. Mauritania start-
were the poorest age group (figure 3). A focus        ed with a multidimensional poverty headcount
on children is critical, as in 13 of the 60 coun-     of 63 percent, Sierra Leone with a headcount
tries studied there was no reduction in child         of 74.1 percent and Liberia with a headcount
poverty, and these countries span every major         of 81.6 percent. Their success was driven by
geographic region except South Asia as well as        improvements in different indicators (figure 5).
low to high levels of MPI.                            In Sierra Leone (2013–2017), deprivations in
   On a positive note, Mauritania, Sierra Leo-        nutrition, school attendance, cooking fuel, san-
ne, Timor-Leste, Liberia and Rwanda had the           itation, water, electricity and housing all fell by
fastest reduction in child poverty in absolute        more than 2 percentage points a year. In Mau-
terms. India and Nicaragua’s time periods cover       ritania (2011–2015), improvement in years of

                                                                                     Charting pathways out of multidimensional poverty: Achieving the SDGs | 7
FIGURE 4

Some of the poorest countries in Sub-­Saharan Africa achieved the fastest absolute reductions in multidimensional poverty

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Congo, Democratic Republic of the (2007–2013/2014)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Tanzania (United Republic of) (2010–2015/2016)
                                                                                                                                           Sao Tome and Principe (2008/2009–2014)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Central African Republic (2000–2010)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Eswatini (Kingdom of) (2010–2014)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Madagascar (2008/2009–2018)
                                                                                                                                                                                    Côte d’Ivoire (2011/2012–2016)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Zimbabwe (2010/2011–2015)
                                                                                                                 Rwanda (2010–2014/2015)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Namibia (2006/2007–2013)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Gambia (2005/2006–2013)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Burundi (2010–2016/2017)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Malawi (2010–2015/2016)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Zambia (2007–2013/2014)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Burkina Faso (2006–2010)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Congo (2005–2014/2015)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Kenya (2008/2009–2014)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Mozambique (2003–2011)
                  Sierra Leone (2013–2017)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Chad (2010–2014/2015)
                                             Mauritania (2011–2015)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Senegal (2005–2017)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Lesotho (2009–2014)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Ethiopia (2011–2016)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Uganda (2011–2016)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Nigeria (2013–2018)
                                                                                            Guinea (2012–2016)
                                                                      Liberia (2007–2013)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Gabon (2000–2012)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Ghana (2011–2014)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Niger (2006–2012)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Mali (2006–2015)
        0.000

      –0.005

      –0.010

      –0.015

      –0.020

      –0.025

      –0.030
      Annualized absolute change in MPIT value

MPIT is the Multidimensional Poverty Index estimate that is based on harmonized indicator definitions for strict comparability over time.
Source: Alkire, Kovesdi, Mitchell and others 2020.

FIGURE 5

Reductions in multidimensional poverty can be driven by improvements in different indicators

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Sierra Leone (2013–2017)                                                                                                                                                                                                         Mauritania (2011–2015)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Liberia (2007–2013)
                                                                                             Child                                                                                            Years of                                                                               School                                                                           Cooking                                                                                                                                                                                         Drinking
                Nutrition                                                                   mortality                                                                                        schooling                                                                             attendance                                                                           fuel                                                                     Sanitation                                                                                                            water                                                                                      Electricity                                                                                                      Housing                                                                                          Assets
       0

      –1

     –2

     –3

     –4

     –5

     –6
     Annualized absolute change in percentage of people who are multidimensionally poor and deprived in each indicator (percentage points)

Source: Alkire, Kovesdi, Mitchell and others 2020.

                                                                                                                                                                                    schooling was the main factor. Deprivations                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 in school attendance and asset ownership drove
                                                                                                                                                                                    in school attendance, sanitation, and drinking                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              the reduction. Deprivations in cooking fuel,
                                                                                                                                                                                    water also fell by more than 2 percentage points                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            sanitation and electricity also fell by more than
                                                                                                                                                                                    a year. In Liberia (2007–2013), improvements                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2 percentage points a year.

8 | GLOBAL MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY INDEX 2020
Strong reductions in multidimensional                number of poor people rose because of rapid
poverty in East Asia and Pacific                     population growth. In Niger, the country with
                                                     the highest MPI value, the population grew
East Asia and Pacific and Europe and Central         by a quarter in six years, and the number of
Asia boast notable examples of MPIT reduc-           multidimensionally poor people increased by
tion relative to starting levels (figure 6). China   21.7 percent, despite reductions in both the
(2010–2014) led East Asia and Pacific, with an       incidence and the intensity of multidimension-
annual relative reduction of over 19 percent,        al poverty. These findings show the impact of
lifting more than 70 million people out of           population growth on the number of multidi-
poverty in just four years, thanks to substantial    mensionally poor people.
improvements in nutrition, access to drinking
water, clean cooking fuel, education and asset       Leaving no one behind: When the
ownership. Indonesia (2012–2017), anoth-             poorest subnational regions reduce
er populous country, reduced incidence by            multidimensional poverty the fastest
12.2 percent a year, and 17 of its 33 subnational
regions halved their MPIT value in merely            The SDGs aim to make equitable progress­—­
five years. In relative terms, Thailand and Lao      which means prioritizing interventions for the
People’s Democratic Republic reduced their           poorest of the poor. Of the 625 subnational
MPIT value by about 10 percent a year, and           regions included in the analysis, 398—­home
Indonesia, Lao People’s Democratic Republic          to over three-quarters of multidimensionally
and Timor-Leste had statistically significant        poor people in both periods­—­had statistical-
decreases in the percentage of people who were       ly significant decreases in their MPIT value.
multidimensionally poor and deprived in every        Fourteen countries reduced multidimensional
indicator. Only seven years after receiving for-     poverty in all their subnational regions: Bang-
mal UN recognition, Timor-Leste reduced the          ladesh, Bolivia, the Kingdom of Eswatini,
incidence of multidimensional poverty from           Gabon, Gambia, Guyana, India, Liberia, Mali,
69.6 percent in 2009/2010 to 46.9 percent in         Mozambique, Niger, Nicaragua, Nepal and
2016, the fastest absolute reduction in East         Rwanda.
Asia and Pacific and the fourth fastest among           Disaggregating the global MPIT by subna-
the 75 countries studied.                            tional region shows whether the poorest areas
                                                     are making faster progress. Bangladesh and Lao
Fewer multidimensionally poor                        People’s Democratic Republic show a clear pro-
people in many countries­—­                          poor trend, with the poorest regions generally
but not in all countries                             reducing their MPIT value the fastest in abso-
                                                     lute terms (figure 7). Still, the poorest region of
Of the 65 countries that reduced their MPIT          Lao People’s Democratic Republic (Saravane)­
value, 50 also reduced the number of people          —­which had more poor people than the three
living in poverty. The largest reduction was in      next-poorest regions­—­did not have the fastest
India, where approximately 273 million people        progress.
moved out of multidimensional poverty over
10 years.19 In China more than 70 million            Every indicator makes a difference
people moved out of multidimensional poverty
over four years, and 19 million people in Bang-      All 10 of the indicators on which the MPI is
ladesh and almost 8 million people in Indo-          based played a role in reducing poverty. Of
nesia did so over five years. In Pakistan almost     the 75 countries studied, 20 significantly re-
4 million people moved out of poverty over           duced deprivations in every indicator, and 11
five years. Some smaller countries also achieved     of those were in Sub-­Saharan Africa.20 Of the
a remarkable reduction: almost 4 million in          625 subnational regions studied, 45 reduced
Nepal and more than 3 million in Kenya over          deprivations in every indicator. Figure 8 dis-
five years.                                          plays the countries that had the largest absolute
   Nevertheless, in 14 Sub-­Saharan African          reduction in deprivation for each of the 10
countries that reduced their MPIT value, the         indicators. All these countries are low income

                                                                        Charting pathways out of multidimensional poverty: Achieving the SDGs | 9
FIGURE 6

Absolute and relative annualized reductions in multidimensional poverty

            Absolute annualized change in MPIT value                                                                                                  Relative annualized reduction in MPIT value (%)
    –0.030 –0.025 –0.020 –0.015 –0.010 –0.005 0.000                                                                                               0          5        10        15        20        25
                                                                        Sierra Leone                                        North Macedonia
                                                                        Mauritania                                                       China
                                                                        Liberia                                                      Armenia‡
                                                                        Timor-Leste                                               Kazakhstan
                                                                        Guinea                                                      Indonesia
                                                                        Rwanda                                                  Turkmenistan
                                                                        Lao People’s Democratic Republic                            Mongolia
                                                                        Sao Tome and Principe                        Sao Tome and Principe
                                                                        Côte d’Ivoire                     Lao People’s Democratic Republic
                                                                        Honduras                                                   Kyrgyzstan
                                                                        India                                                       Honduras
                                                                        Malawi                                                       Thailand‡
                                                                        Nepal                                                       Suriname
                                                                        Congo                                          Eswatini (Kingdom of)
                                                                        Bangladesh                                                    Albania
                                                                        Mozambique                            Bolivia (Plurinational State of)
                                                                        Cambodia                                    Bosnia and Herzegovina
                                                                        Bolivia (Plurinational State of)                          Bangladesh
                                                                        Lesotho                                          Dominican Republic
                                                                        Gambia                                                      Tajikistan
                                                                        Nicaragua                                                      Guyana
                                                                        Uganda                                                      Nicaragua
                                                                        Niger                                                              Peru
                                                                        Kenya                                                            Nepal
                                                                        Zambia                                                           Egypt
                                                                        Eswatini (Kingdom of)                                            Belize
                                                                        Ethiopia                                                        Congo
                                                                        Ghana                                                           Ghana
                                                                        Tanzania (United Republic of)                                     India
                                                                        Haiti                                                     Timor-Leste
                                                                        Mali                                                       Mauritania
                                                                        Sudan                                                    Sierra Leone
                                                                        Central African Republic                       Moldova (Republic of)
                                                                        Mongolia                                                       Lesotho
                                                                        Burundi                                                     Cambodia
                                                                        Senegal                                                    Philippines
                                                                        Burkina Faso                                                  Rwanda
                                                                        Congo, Democratic Republic of the                                  Iraq
                                                                        Namibia                                                         Gabon
                                                                        Pakistan                                                 Côte d’Ivoire
                                                                        Nigeria                                                          Kenya
                                                                        Madagascar                                                      Guinea
                                                                        Zimbabwe                                                        Liberia
                                                                        Gabon                                                          Malawi
                                                                        China                                                          Mexico
                                                                        Suriname                                                          Haiti
                                                                        Chad                                                           Uganda
                                                                        North Macedonia                                                Gambia
                                                                        Tajikistan                                                 Zimbabwe
                                                                        Peru                                                           Zambia
                                                                        Iraq                                                          Namibia
                                                                        Indonesia                                                   Colombia
                                                                        Kyrgyzstan                            Tanzania (United Republic of)
                                                                        Dominican Republic                                            Pakistan
                                                                        Philippines                                              Mozambique
                                                                        Belize                                                          Sudan
                                                                        Egypt                                                         Senegal
                                                                        Guyana                                                         Nigeria
                                                                        Mexico                                                        Ethiopia
                                                                        Bosnia and Herzegovina                                             Mali
                                                                        Turkmenistan                                                     Niger
                                                                        Colombia                                                       Burundi
                                                                        Albania                          Congo, Democratic Republic of the
                                                                        Thailand‡                                   Central African Republic
                                                                        Kazakhstan                                               Madagascar
                                                                        Moldova (Republic of)                                    Burkina Faso
                                                                        Armenia‡                                                          Chad

‡
 indicates that the change in MPIT is significant only at 90 percent.
 PIT is the Multidimensional Poverty Index estimate that is based on harmonized indicator definitions for strict comparability over time.
M
Source: Alkire, Kovesdi, Mitchell and others 2020.

10 | GLOBAL MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY INDEX 2020
FIGURE 7                                                                               except Timor-Leste and Mauritania, which are
                                                                                       lower middle income.
Bangladesh, Lao People’s Democratic Republic
                                                                                          The starting and ending percentages for child
and Mauritania show a pro-poor trend in reducing
multidimensional poverty                                                               mortality are by far the lowest because this tragic
                                                                                       deprivation has the lowest incidence, so its re-
                  Lao People’s Democratic Republic                                     duction is the smallest. The proportional reduc-
                           2011/2012–2017                                              tion of deprivations is smallest in cooking fuel.
                         MPIT value, 2011/2012
         0.000      0.100      0.200                      0.300           0.400        Trends in multidimensional and
    0.000      Vientiane Capital                                                       monetary poverty­— ­different
   –0.010
                                                                                       but complementary

   –0.020                                                                              Trends in multidimensional poverty com-
                                                                      Saravane         plement trends in monetary ($1.90 a day)
   –0.030                                                                              poverty.21 In 52 of the 71 countries with both
                                                                   Phongsaly           multidimensional and monetary poverty data,
   –0.040                                                                              the incidence of multidimensional poverty fell
    Annualized
    absolute change                                                                    faster in absolute terms (figure 9), while the
                                                                                       incidence of monetary poverty fell faster in 19
                           Bangladesh 2014–2019                                        countries. The difference was particularly strik-
                                 MPIT value, 2014
            0.100          0.150       0.200      0.250                   0.300
                                                                                       ing in the Arab States, where every country saw
   –0.010                Dhaka
                                                                                       either a slower reduction in monetary poverty
                                                                                       than in multidimensional poverty or an increase
   –0.015         Khuina                                                               in monetary poverty. Some of the poorest
                                                                                       countries, such as Niger and Chad, saw larger
   –0.020                                                                              reductions in monetary poverty than in multi-
                                                                                       dimensional poverty. This is partly because the
   –0.025                                                             Sylhet
                                                                                       incidence of multidimensional poverty (which
                                                                                       can be compared with the monetary poverty
   –0.030
    Annualized                                                                         headcount ratio) does not tell the entire story.
    absolute change                                                                    Niger had the fourth fastest absolute reduction
                                                                                       in the intensity of multidimensional poverty
                            Mauritania 2011–2015                                       and reduced deprivation across all 10 indicators­
                               MPIT value, 2011
                                                                                       —­a reduction captured by the MPIT but not by
         0.000 0.100 0.200 0.300 0.400 0.500 0.600
    0.000
                                                                                       the trends in the MPIT headcount ratio.
                                                          Tagant
                               Nouakchott                                              Triangulating poverty trends to
   –0.020                                                                              reveal the overall picture

   –0.040                                                             Gorgol           Overlaying trends in national and international
                                                                                       monetary poverty measures and national and
                                                             Hosh el Gharbi            international multidimensional poverty meas-
  –0.060
    Annualized                                                                         ures in one place­—­as suggested by the late Sir
    absolute change
                                                                                       Tony Atkinson, a leading voice in poverty and
MPIT is the Multidimensional Poverty Index estimate that is based on harmonized
                                                                                       inequality measurement, in Measuring Poverty
indicator definitions for strict comparability over time.                              around the World22­—­can provide a fuller pic-
Note: Regions are ordered horizontally from the least poor in terms of their
starting MPIT value on the left to the poorest on the right, and vertically from the   ture of a country’s poverty situation. Figure 10
slowest absolute progress on the top to the fastest at the bottom. The size of
the bubbles indicates the number of multidimensionally poor people in the initial
                                                                                       presents this analysis for three countries­—­
period. Grey bubbles indicate that no statistically significant change in MPIT         Colombia, Pakistan and Sierra Leone­—­in
occurred for that region.
Source: Alkire, Kovesdi, Mitchell and others 2020.                                     different regions and with different incidences
                                                                                       of poverty.23 In Colombia multidimensional
                                                                                       poverty measured by national definitions fell

                                                                                                         Charting pathways out of multidimensional poverty: Achieving the SDGs | 11
FIGURE 8

                                  Which country reduced each indicator fastest and when?

                                        Share of people who are multidimensionally poor                                                                                                                                                                                   Year 1                                     Year 2
                                        and deprived in each indicator (%)
                                        80
                                        70
                                        60
                                        50
                                        40
                                        30
                                        20
                                        10
                                         0
                                                                Nutrition
                                                 Rwanda (2010–2014/2015)

                                                                                       Child mortality
                                                                            Sierra Leone (2013–2017)

                                                                                                             Years of schooling
                                                                                                         Mauritania (2011–2015)

                                                                                                                                   School attendance
                                                                                                                                  Liberia (2007–2013)

                                                                                                                                                                     Cooking fuel
                                                                                                                                                        Sierra Leone (2013–2017)

                                                                                                                                                                                                  Sanitation
                                                                                                                                                                                    Malawi (2011–2015/2016)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Drinking water
                                                                                                                                                                                                               Timor-Leste (2009/2010–2016)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Electricity
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Timor-Leste (2009/2010–2016)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Housing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Guinea (2012–2016)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Assets
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Liberia (2007–2013)
                                  Note: The height of the bar indicates the percentage of people who were multidimensionally poor and deprived in that indicator at the beginning of the survey period, and
                                  the orange portion of the bar indicates the percentage by the end of the survey period.
                                  Source: Alkire, Kovesdi, Mitchell and others 2020.

                                  faster than monetary poverty. The incidence                                                                                                       Projections of
                                  of multidimensional poverty according to the                                                                                                      multidimensional poverty
                                  global MPIT in Colombia is low, suggesting
                                  the need for a global measure of moderate                                                                                                         The estimates of changes in multidimension-
                                  poverty in addition to the existing measure of                                                                                                    al poverty over time can be used to project
                                  acute poverty (global MPI). In Pakistan trends                                                                                                    whether countries are on track to achieve the
                                  in the incidence of multidimensional poverty                                                                                                      SDG target of at least halving the proportion
                                  according to national definitions and the global                                                                                                  of people living in poverty in all its dimensions
                                  MPIT suggest that multidimensional poverty                                                                                                        by 2030 as well as the possible impacts of
                                  fell more slowly than monetary poverty. Trend                                                                                                     COVID-19.24
                                  data are not available for Sierra Leone’s nation-
                                  al MPI, as it was first launched in 2019, but its                                                                                                 Projections based on observed trends
                                  global MPIT incidence fell faster than mone-
                                  tary poverty.                                                                                                                                     Before the COVID-19 pandemic, 47 coun-
                                                                                                                                                                                    tries were on track to halve multidimensional
                                  South Asia and Sub-­Saharan                                                                                                                       poverty by 2030, and 18 were off track if the
                                  Africa lead in absolute reduction                                                                                                                 observed trends continued (figure 12).25 Of the
                                  in multidimensional poverty                                                                                                                       18 countries that were off track, 14 were in Sub-­
                                                                                                                                                                                    Saharan Africa and were among the poorest,
                                  As the poorest regions in the time periods                                                                                                        suggesting that they will require a substantial
                                  studied, South Asia and Sub-­Saharan Africa                                                                                                       boost in resources and action to halve multidi-
                                  had the largest annualized absolute reductions                                                                                                    mensional poverty. Results for the remaining
                                  in multidimensional poverty (figure 11). Three                                                                                                    10 countries differ according to the projection
                                  South Asian countries (Bangladesh, India and                                                                                                      model used, though the model based on linear
                                  Nepal) were among the 16 fastest countries to                                                                                                     trends projects that for 9 of those countries,
                                  reduce their MPIT value.                                                                                                                          multidimensional poverty will be halved.

12 | GLOBAL MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY INDEX 2020
FIGURE 9

In 52 of the 71 countries with both multidimensional and monetary poverty data, the incidence of multidimensional poverty fell faster in
absolute terms

                Incidence of multidimensional povertya                           Incidence of monetary poverty ($1.90 a day)

                                                                                                                                                            Sierra Leone (2013–2017)
                                                                                                                                                            Rwanda (2010–2014/2015)
                                                                                                                                                            Timor-Leste (2009/2010–2016)
                                                                                                                                                            Sao Tome and Principe (2008/2009–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Lao People's Democratic Republic (2011/2012–2017)
                                                                                                                                                            Mauritania (2011–2015)
                                                                                                                                                            Congo (2005–2014/2015)
                                                                                                                                                            Honduras (2005/2006–2011/2012)
                                                                                                                                                            Liberia (2007–2013)
                                                                                                                                                            Côte d’Ivoire (2011/2012–2016)
                                                                                                                                                            Lesotho (2009–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            India (2005/2006–2015/2016)
                                                                                                                                                            Bolivia (Plurinational State of) (2003–2008)
                                                                                                                                                            Bangladesh (2004–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Nepal (2011–2016)
                                                                                                                                                            Malawi (2010–2015/2016)
                                                                                                                                                            Eswatini (Kingdom of) (2010–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Kenya (2008/2009–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Guinea (2012–2016)
                                                                                                                                                            Nicaragua (2001–2011/2012)
                                                                                                                                                            Mongolia (2010–2013)
                                                                                                                                                            Uganda (2011–2016)
                                                                                                                                                            Tanzania (United Republic of) (2010–2015/2016)
                                                                                                                                                            Gambia (2005/2006–2013/2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Zambia (2007–2013/2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Ghana (2011–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Mozambique (2003–2011)
                                                                                                                                                            Zimbabwe (2010/2011–2015)
                                                                                                                                                            China (2010–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Gabon (2000–2012)
                                                                                                                                                            Pakistan (2012/2013–2017/2018)
                                                                                                                                                            Mali (2006–2015)
                                                                                                                                                            Namibia (2006/2007–2013)
                                                                                                                                                            Sudan (2010–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Burundi (2010–2016/2017)
                                                                                                                                                            Peru (2005–2012)
                                                                                                                                                            North Macedonia (2005/2006–2011)
                                                                                                                                                            Nigeria (2013–2016/2017)
                                                                                                                                                            Senegal (2005–2017)
                                                                                                                                                            Ethiopia (2011–2016)
                                                                                                                                                            Tajikistan (2012–2017)
                                                                                                                                                            Central African Republic (2000–2010)
                                                                                                                                                            Madagascar (2003/2004–2008/2009)
                                                                                                                                                            Cameroon (2011–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Iraq (2011–2018)
                                                                                                                                                            Kyrgyzstan (2005/2006–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Indonesia (2012–2017)
                                                                                                                                                            Togo (2010–2013/2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Burkina Faso (2006–2010)
                                                                                                                                                            Congo, Democratic Republic of the (2007–2013/2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Dominican Republic (2007–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Belize (2011–2015/2016)
                                                                                                                                                            Egypt (2008–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Niger (2006–2012)
                                                                                                                                                            Guyana (2009–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Philippines (2013–2017)
                                                                                                                                                            Bosnia and Herzegovina (2006–2011/2012)
                                                                                                                                                            Mexico (2012–2016)
                                                                                                                                                            Colombia (2010–2015)
                                                                                                                                                            Jamaica (2010–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Thailand (2012–2015/2016)
                                                                                                                                                            Albania (2008/2009–2017/2018)
                                                                                                                                                            Chad (2010–2014/2015)
                                                                                                                                                            Kazakhstan (2010/2011–2015)
                                                                                                                                                            Moldova (Republic of) (2005–2012)
                                                                                                                                                            State of Palestine (2010–2014)
                                                                                                                                                            Armenia (2010–2015/2016)
                                                                                                                                                            Ukraine (2007–2012)
                                                                                                                                                            Jordan (2012–2017/2018)
                                                                                                                                                            Serbia (2010–2014)

   –5                   –4                   –3                –2              –1                           0                    1                      2
                                                       Annualized change in headcount ratio
a. Refers to MPIT , the Multidimensional Poverty Index estimate that is based on harmonized indicator definitions for strict comparability over time.
Source: Alkire, Kovesdi, Mitchell and others 2020.

                                                                                                                         Charting pathways out of multidimensional poverty: Achieving the SDGs | 13
FIGURE 10
                                                                                                                     Impact of COVID-19
                                  Overlaying trends in the incidence of national and
                                  international monetary and multidimensional poverty
                                  provides a fuller picture of a country’s poverty                                   The COVID-19 pandemic has jeopardized
                                  situation: Colombia, Pakistan and Sierra Leone                                     progress in reducing multidimensional poverty.
                                                                                                                     Substantial impacts on multidimensional pov-
                                                                  National monetary poverty                          erty are anticipated through two indicators on
                                                                  $3.20 a day
                                                                  $1.90 a day
                                                                                                                     which the global MPI is based that are being se-
                                                                  National MPI value                                 verely affected by the pandemic­—­nutrition and
                                                                  Global MPIT value                                  children’s school attendance.26 This section pro-
                                                                                                                     vides simulations of multidimensional poverty
                                                                    Sierra Leone                                     if deprivation across those indicators increases
                                        % of population                                                              to different extents.27 The analysis includes 70
                                        90                                                                           countries with 4.8 billion people.28
                                                                                                                        The COVID-19 pandemic has interrupted
                                        80                                                                           education globally, as schools close in the face of
                                                                                                                     national and local lockdowns. School closures
                                        70
                                                                                                                     peaked in April 2020, with over 91 percent
                                        60                                                                           of the world’s learners out of school. Between
                                                                                                                     May and July 2020 the proportion of learners
                                        50                                                                           out of school fell gradually, from over 70 per-
                                        40
                                                                                                                     cent to over 60 percent.29 In the simulations of
                                              2000        2005           2010            2015           2020         the impact on multidimensional poverty, the
                                                                                                                     conservative scenario for school attendance
                                                                                                                     anticipates continued moderate improvements
                                                                       Pakistan
                                                                                                                     over the remainder of 2020 and assumes that
                                        % of population
                                                                                                                     50 percent of primary school–age children in
                                        60
                                                                                                                     the countries analysed will experience contin-
                                                                                                                     ued interruption to school attendance.
                                        40
                                                                                                                        The COVID-19 pandemic has also disrupt-
                                                                                                                     ed livelihoods and food supply chains globally.
                                                                                                                     According to the World Food Programme,
                                        20                                                                           the number of people facing acute food inse-
                                                                                                                     curity may increase by 130 million across 55
                                                                                                                     countries.30 The simulations of the impact on
                                          0                                                                          multidimensional poverty extend this to all 70
                                              2005              2010                2015                2020         countries covered in the analysis, and the mod-
                                                                                                                     erate scenario for nutrition anticipates that
                                                                       Colombia                                      about 25 percent of multidimensionally poor
                                        % of population                                                              or vulnerable people who were not undernour-
                                        40                                                                           ished before the pandemic become undernour-
                                                                                                                     ished. In the hope that some potential rise in
                                        30                                                                           food insecurity is prevented, or less correlated
                                                                                                                     with other deprivations, the lower-impact
                                        20                                                                           scenario explores what would happen if about
                                                                                                                     10 percent of the already poor or vulnerable
                                        10                                                                           but not undernourished become undernour-
                                                                                                                     ished. Conversely, recognizing that the World
                                          0                                                                          Food Programme estimates represent only
                                              2010        2012           2014            2016           2018         56 percent of the population of the countries
                                                                                                                     covered, in the worst-case or upper-impact
                                  MPIT is the Multidimensional Poverty Index estimate that is based on harmonized
                                  indicator definitions for strict comparability over time.                          scenario about 50 percent of the already poor
                                  Source: Alkire, Kovesdi, Pinilla-Roncancio and Scharlin-Pettee 2020.               or vulnerable but not undernourished become
                                                                                                                     undernourished.

14 | GLOBAL MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY INDEX 2020
FIGURE 11

South Asia and Sub-­Saharan Africa had the largest annualized absolute reductions in multidimensional
poverty

      MPIT value

          0.700
                                                                                                                             Sub-Saharan Africa
                                                                                                                             South Asia
          0.600                                                                                                              East Asia and the Pacific
                                                                                                                             Latin America and the Caribbean
                                                                                                                             Arab States
          0.500                                                                                                              Europe and Central Asia

          0.400

          0.300

          0.200

          0.100

          0.000

                        y1 y2          y1 y2        y1 y2         y1 y2         y1 y2          y1 y2
                                                Year of the survey

MPIT is the Multidimensional Poverty Index estimate that is based on harmonized indicator definitions for strict comparability over time.
Source: Alkire, Kovesdi, Mitchell and others 2020.

   Combining the conservative scenario of                                                 impact on livelihoods and nutrition, addition-
the impact on school attendance (50 percent)                                              al simulations were implemented to assess the
with the moderate scenario of the impact on                                               impact of COVID-19 on multidimensional
nutrition (25 percent), the simulations indicate                                          poverty through just the nutrition indicator.
that the aggregate global MPI across the 70                                               In that case, under the moderate scenario the
countries could increase from 0.095 to 0.156 in                                           aggregate global MPI across the 70 countries
2020, which is the same value as around 2011                                              could increase from 0.095 to 0.125 in 2020,
(figure 13). So, the increase in deprivations                                             which is the same value as around 2015 (see
because of COVID-19 may set poverty levels                                                figure 13). This increase in deprivations
back by 9.1 years, with an additional 490 mil-                                            because of COVID-19 would set poverty re-
lion people falling into multidimensional pov-                                            duction back by 5.2 years, with an additional
erty across the 70 countries (table 1).                                                   237 million people falling into multidimen-
   Recognizing that the impact on school                                                  sional poverty across the 70 countries (see
attendance may be less persistent than the                                                table 1).

                                                                                                                         Charting pathways out of multidimensional poverty: Achieving the SDGs | 15
FIGURE 12

Forty-seven countries are on track to halve multidimensional poverty by 2030, and eighteen are off track if observed trends continue

                                                                                                                                                                                            2030 target
                                                                                                                                                                                            Progress (logistic model)
  MPIT value                                                                                                                                                                                Linear model
                                                                                                                                                                                            Constant rate of change
 0.600
                                  Off track                           On track                                                                       On track
                                (all models)                       (some models)                                                                   (all models)

 0.400

 0.200

 0.000

                                     Turkmenistan
                                            Albania
                                            Guyana
                                        Kyrgyzstan
                         Bosnia and Herzegovina
                                              Belize
                                         Suriname
                                         Indonesia
                                              Egypt
                                              China
                              Dominican Republic
                                               Chad
                                              Niger
                                      Burkina Faso
                                           Ethiopia
                         Central African Republic
                                            Burundi
                                                 Mali
                                      Madagascar
              Congo (Democratic Republic of the)
                                             Benin‡
                                           Senegal
                                               Togo‡
                                            Nigeria
                                             Sudan
                                        Cameroon‡
                                           Pakistan
                                            Serbia‡
                                            Jordan‡
                                      Mozambique
                                            Uganda
                    Tanzania (United Republic of)
                                            Gambia
                                            Zambia
                                           Namibia
                                        Zimbabwe
                                            Mexico
                                          Colombia
                                          Jamaica‡
                                             Guinea
                                      Sierra Leone
                                             Liberia
                                        Mauritania
                                            Malawi
                                      Côte d’Ivoire
                                           Rwanda
                                      Timor−Leste
                                                Haiti
                                              Kenya
                                       Bangladesh
                                         Cambodia
                                           Lesotho
                                              Nepal
                                                India
                                             Congo
                                             Ghana
                         Sao Tome and Principe
                           Eswatini (Kingdom of)
                                         Honduras
                                             Gabon
                                         Nicaragua
                                                 Iraq
                                          Mongolia
                                                 Peru
                    Bolivia (Plurinational State of)
                                         Tajikistan
                                        Philippines

                                          Thailand‡
                               Palestine, State of‡
                                 North Macedonia
                            Moldova (Republic of)
                                       Kazakhstan
                                          Armenia‡
                                           Ukraine‡
              Lao People’s Democratic Republic

‡
  indicates that the underlying change is not significant at p < .05.
Note: The top of the red line is the projected starting MPIT value in 2015, the dots are the projected MPIT value in 2030 and the black line is the MPIT value that would reflect multidimensional poverty being halved between
2015 and 2030. If all three dots are below the black line, a country is on track regardless of model.
Source: Alkire, Nogales and others 2020.

16 | GLOBAL MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY INDEX 2020
FIGURE 13

Under a conservative scenario of the impact of COVID-19 on school attendance and a moderate scenario of
the impact on nutrition, simulations indicate that the increase in deprivations because of COVID-19 may set
poverty levels back by 9.1 years, with an additional 490 million people falling into multidimensional poverty

     Aggregate global Multidimensional Poverty Index value
                                                                                                                            Projected aggregate global
     0.250                                                                                                                  Multidimensional Poverty
                                                                                                                            Index value
                                                                                                                            Modelled COVID shock
                                                                                                                            Impact on nutrition (moderate
     0.200                                                                                                                  scenario) and school attendance
                                                                                                                            (conservative scenario)
                                                                                                                            Impact on nutrition
                                                                                                                            (moderate scenario)
     0.150

     0.100

     0.050

                                         9.1 years                              5.2 years
                                         setback                                 setback
     0.000
               2005                           2010                           2015                           2020

Note: Aggregate global Multidimensional Poverty Index projection, with simulations of setbacks in poverty reduction due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Simulated (conservative) impact on school attendance: 50 percent of primary school–age children attending school stop attending. Simulated (moderate) impact on
nutrition: 25 percent of people who were poor or vulnerable but not undernourished become undernourished. Upper (lower) scenarios: 50 percent (10 percent) of people
who were poor or vulnerable but not undernourished become undernourished. The analysis covers 70 of the 75 countries with trends data; Colombia, Dominican Republic,
Indonesia, Philippines and Ukraine were excluded because analysis is not feasible due to missing information on the nutrition indicator.
Source: Alkire, Nogales and others 2020.

TABLE 1

COVID-19 scenarios, projected global Multidimensional Poverty Index values, increases in the number of
multidimensionally poor people, and length of setback

                    COVID-19 scenario                                                                    Projection for 2020
                                      Share of primary
    Share of people                 school–age children
    who are poor or                   who experience
    vulnerablea and                    interruption to                                                     Increase in
  become deprived in                 school attendance                                                    the number of
                                                                        Multidimensional                multidimensionally
          Nutrition                  School attendance                   Poverty Index                     poor people                            Setback
                               (%)                                              value                           (million)                          (years)

               10                                na                              0.112                              131                               3.1
               25                                na                              0.125                              237                               5.2
               50                                na                              0.134                              310                               6.4
               10                                50                              0.144                              413                               7.8
               25                                50                              0.156                              490                               9.1
               50                                50                              0.164                              547                               9.9
n a is not applicable.
 a. See definition of vulnerable to multidimensional poverty in statistical table 1.
 Note: Pre-COVID-19 estimates are 0.095 for MPI value and 941 million for the number of people in multidimensional poverty. The analysis covers 70 of the 75 countries
 with trend data; Colombia, Dominican Republic, Indonesia, Philippines and Ukraine are excluded because of missing data for the nutrition indicator.
 Source: Alkire, Nogales and others 2020.

                                                                                                                      Charting pathways out of multidimensional poverty: Achieving the SDGs | 17
PART II
           The Sustainable
Development Goals and the
   global Multidimensional
             Poverty Index
Key findings                                            rural women face more disadvantage than
                                                        their male counterparts, and the differences
• Of the 1.3 billion multidimensionally poor            by sex are higher (by about 2 years) among
  people, 82.3 percent are deprived in at least         the nonpoor and vulnerable groups.
  five indicators simultaneously.                   •   84.2 percent of multidimensionally poor
• 71 percent of the 5.9 billion people covered          people live in rural areas, where they are
  experience at least one deprivation; however,         more vulnerable to environmental shocks.
  the average number of deprivations they ex-       •   In every developing region the proportion of
  perience is five.                                     people who are multidimensionally poor is
• There is a negative, moderate but statistically       higher in rural areas than in urban areas.
  significant correlation between the incidence     •   In Sub-­Saharan Africa 71.9 percent of people
  of multidimensional poverty and the coverage          in rural areas (466 million people) are multi-
  of three doses of the diphtheria, tetanus and         dimensionally poor compared with 25.2 per-
  pertussis (DTP3) vaccine. Some of the poorest         cent (92 million people) in urban areas.
  countries (Central African Republic, Chad,        •   In South Asia 37.6 percent of people in rural
  Guinea, South Sudan) vaccinate less than half         areas (465 million people) are multidimen-
  of surviving infants with the DTP3 vaccine.           sionally poor compared with 11.3 percent
• In Nigeria, which has one of the lowest per-          (65 million people) in urban areas.
  centages of DTP3 coverage globally, the per-      •   Deprivation in access to clean cooking fuel
  centage of people who are poor and deprived           persists worldwide: 20.4 percent of people in
  in child mortality is the highest among               the developing countries covered by the MPI
  comparator countries Democratic Republic              are multidimensionally poor and lack access
  of the Congo, Ethiopia and Pakistan. This             to clean cooking fuel.
  suggests that child deaths can be prevented       •   Deprivation in access to clean cooking fuel
  and multidimensional poverty reduced by               among poor people in rural areas and urban
  widespread immunization programmes.                   areas in Sub-­Saharan Africa as well as in ru-
• Multidimensionally poor people have less              ral areas in South Asia, the Arab States and
  access to vaccinations: in the four countries         Latin America and the Caribbean requires
  studied, the percentage of people living with         urgent attention.
  a child who did not receive the third dose        •   Environmental deprivations are most acute
  of the DPT-HepB-Hib vaccine31 is higher               in Sub-­Saharan Africa: at least 53.9 percent
  among multidimensionally poor people and              of the population (547 million people) is
  people vulnerable to multidimensional pov-            multidimensionally poor and faces at least
  erty than among nonpoor people.                       one environmental deprivation. Environ-
• Sub-­Saharan African countries have the               mental deprivations are also high in South
  highest percentages of people who are mul-            Asia: at least 26.8 percent of the population
  tidimensionally poor and deprived in years            (486 million people) is multidimensionally
  of schooling (Niger, Burkina Faso, South              poor and lacks access to at least one of the
  Sudan, Chad and Ethiopia) and school at-              three environment indicators.
  tendance (South Sudan, Burkina Faso, Niger,       •   There is a strong positive association between
  Chad and Mali).                                       employment in agriculture and multidimen-
• In Haiti, with the highest percentage of              sional poverty, particularly in Sub-­Saharan
  people who are multidimensionally poor                Africa. Agricultural employment may not
  and deprived in years of schooling in Latin           help reduce poverty in these countries with-
  American and the Caribbean (22.8 percent),            out additional pro-poor policy interventions.

                                                                       Charting pathways out of multidimensional poverty: Achieving the SDGs | 19
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