Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities - (OREO) H2 2021 - Iress
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Octopus Australia – Bringing investors and communities closer to the renewable energy assets which will power Australia’s green energy future
Contents 1 Executive Summary 8 2 Key Terms 14 3 Market Opportunity and Pipeline 16 4 Octopus Group and the Manager 29 5 The Trustee 40 6 Octopus Renewables’ track record 42 7 Octopus Investment and Asset Management Strategy 46 8 Risk Factors and Conflicts of Interest 55 Appendices: A Key assumptions 71 B Key Terms 72 C Restrictions and Overseas Investors 81 D Tax considerations 82 E Definitions and Glossary 85
This Memorandum is not an offer to subscribe for that are proposed to exist at the time that the Fund Units or an invitation to participate in the Octopus and OAMT are established and offers to subscribe for Renewable Energy Opportunities Fund (the ”Fund” or interests in the Fund are made. The Fund and OAMT ”OREO”). This Memorandum is given to you on that the have not yet been established as at the date of this basis that you are, and you represent and warrant that Memorandum, and each of the Fund and OAMT will you are, a ‘wholesale’ client as defined in section 761G be established prior to First Close. This Memorandum of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) (”Corporations may therefore be updated or supplemented at any Act”). If you are not such an investor, please do not time, but the distribution of this Memorandum does consider the contents of this Memorandum and return not constitute a representation that the information it immediately. This Memorandum is given to you for will be updated at any time after the date of this information purposes only and neither the Memorandum Memorandum. In addition, this Memorandum nor anything contained in it shall form the basis of may contain statements which are either missing any contract or commitment and no reliance should information or which assume completion of matters be placed upon the contents of this Memorandum expected to be completed by the date that the Fund by any person who may subsequently decide to apply and OAMT (as applicable) are established. All future for units in the Fund following circulation of the legal dates are indicative only and subject to change. documents constituting the Fund. Without limiting the Each recipient of this Memorandum should make generality of the foregoing, this Memorandum does its own independent assessment of the information not constitute, and may not be used for the purposes contained in this Memorandum and take its own of, an offer to subscribe for Units or an invitation to independent professional advice in relation to the apply to participate in the Fund by any person in any information and any action taken on the basis of the jurisdiction. No agreement to subscribe for the Units in information. The provision of this Memorandum is not the Fund will be entered into between Equity Trustees and should not be considered as financial product Limited (ACN 004 031 298, AFSL No. 240975), the advice. Nothing in this Memorandum constitutes trustee of the Fund, and any person on the basis of investment, legal, tax or other advice. The information this Memorandum. in this Memorandum is general only and does not This Memorandum is highly confidential and has been take into account your individual objectives, taxation given to you solely for your information and may not position, financial situation or needs. be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. It By accepting this Memorandum, you acknowledge should also be noted that this Memorandum has been and agree that you understand the contents of this prepared to reflect the state of affairs relating to the notice and that you agree to abide by the terms and Trust and the Octopus Australia Master Trust (”OAMT”) conditions of this notice. Important Information and Disclaimer for all Investors This Information Memorandum (the ”Memorandum”) The Manager has prepared and is the issuer of this dated 5 November 2021 is issued by Octopus Memorandum. The trustee of the Fund is Equity Investments Aust Pty Ltd ACN 626 662 039, Australian Trustees Limited (ACN 004 031 298) (the ”Trustee”) Financial Services Licence No: 520121. It is proposed (AFSL No. 240975). Equity Trustees has not prepared that Unitholders in the Fund (”Unitholders”) will this Memorandum other than section 5 (The Trustee) own units in the Fund on the terms described in this and to the maximum extent permitted by law, disclaims Memorandum. liability to any person for reliance on this Memorandum. 4 Confidential Information Memorandum
Statements in this Memorandum are made only as to any liability for, or remedy in respect of, fraudulent of the date of this Memorandum, unless otherwise misrepresentation, no responsibility or liability or duty stated. The Manager and Trustee are not responsible of care is, or will be, accepted by the Manager, the for providing updated information to any prospective Trustee or any of their respective associates, advisers, investors of the Fund (”Prospective Investors”). directors, officers, employees or agents as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness, currency, reliability This Memorandum is circulated to a limited number or reasonableness of the information or opinions of Prospective Investors on a confidential basis by contained in this Memorandum or any other written the Manager. Prospective Investors must be, and or oral information made available to any Prospective investments in the Fund can only be made by, Investor or its advisers in connection with any proposed ‘wholesale’ clients as defined in section 761G of the subscription or otherwise in connection with this Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) (”Corporations Act”) Memorandum. In particular, but without prejudice and each recipient of this Memorandum represents to the generality of the foregoing, no representation and warrants that it is, and at all times will be, a or warranty is given as to the achievement or ‘wholesale’ client for the purposes of the Corporations reasonableness of any future projections, forecasts, Act. As such, any offer or issue made under or in targeted returns or illustrative returns (”Forward- connection with this Memorandum does not require Looking Information”). a product disclosure statement or other disclosure document as defined under the Corporations Act. Past performance information contained in this No action has been taken to permit a public offering Memorandum, or in such other written or oral of the units in the Fund (”Units”) in any jurisdiction material, is not an indication of future performance. where action for that purpose would be required. This Such information has not been audited or verified Memorandum does not constitute an offer to sell or a by an independent party and should not be seen as solicitation of an offer to buy Units in any jurisdiction any indication of returns, which might be received by outside Australia unless expressly authorised by the Investors in the Fund. Similarly, where Forward-Looking Trustee and permitted by law in such jurisdiction to Information is, or related statements or expressions make such offer or solicitation. of opinion are given, it or they should not be regarded by any recipient of this Memorandum as a guarantee, Nothing in this Memorandum takes into account prediction or definitive statement of fact or probability. the investment objectives, financial situation or Actual events and circumstances are difficult or particular needs of any Prospective Investors, and impossible to predict and will differ from assumptions. does not purport to contain all the information that A number of factors, in addition to the risk factors a Prospective Investor may require in evaluating a stated in this Memorandum, could cause actual possible investment in the Fund, nor does it contain all results to differ materially from those in any Forward- the information which would be required in a product Looking Information. There can be no assurance that disclosure statement prepared in accordance with the the Fund’s investment strategy or objectives will be requirements of the Corporations Act. Prospective achieved or that Unitholders will receive a return on the Investors should carry out their own due diligence amount invested. on the Fund and of the information contained in or referred to in this Memorandum and should form their In making an investment decision, Prospective Investors own assessment and take independent professional must rely on their own examination of the Fund, the advice on the merits and risks of an investment in the Manager, the Trustee and any other information they Fund and the legal, regulatory, tax and investment consider relevant. consequences and risks of doing so. Prospective To the fullest extent possible, by accepting delivery Investors should also carefully review the information of this Memorandum, each Prospective Investor and warnings set out in Section 8: ”Risk Factors and releases, the Manager, the Trustee and each of their Conflicts of Interest” of this Memorandum. respective associates, advisers, directors, officers, No representation or warranty, express or implied, employees and agents in all circumstances (other is, or will be, given by the Manager, the Trustee or than fraud) from any liability whatsoever and any of their respective associates, advisers, directors, howsoever arising from its use of this Memorandum officers, employees or agents and, without prejudice or any information or communications in connection Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities (OREO) 5
with this Memorandum, or due to information being any transaction that may be described herein, other omitted from the Memorandum, whether by way of than by providing this Memorandum or such further negligence or otherwise. In addition, no responsibility information as may be furnished by the Manager, or liability or duty of care is, or will be, accepted by all of which will be subject to the same terms as this the Manager, the Trustee or any of their respective Memorandum and, if given or made, such information associates, advisers, directors, officers, employees or or representation must not be relied upon as having agents for the accuracy, reliability or completeness been so authorised. of the information contained in this Memorandum, No reliance should be placed upon the contents of this updating this Memorandum (or any additional Memorandum by any person who may subsequently information), correcting any inaccuracies in it or decide to apply for Units following circulation of providing any additional information to any Prospective the Fund Documents. This Memorandum does not Investor. Nothing contained in this Memorandum (nor constitute, and may not be used for the purposes of, an any other information made available to Prospective offer to subscribe for Units or an invitation to apply to Investors in the further due diligence materials participate in the Fund by any person in any jurisdiction provided) is, or shall be relied upon as a promise, in which such offer or invitation is not authorised or in representation, warranty or guarantee, whether as to which the person endeavouring to make such offer or the past, present or future. Accordingly, to the extent invitation is not qualified to do so or to any person to permitted by law, neither the Manager, the Trustee whom it is unlawful to make such offer or invitation. nor any of their respective associates, advisers, directors, officers, employees or agents shall be liable Prospective Investors should not construe the contents for any loss (whether direct, indirect or consequential) of this Memorandum as legal, tax, financial, investment, or damage suffered by any person as a result of accounting or other advice or as a recommendation relying on any statement in, or omission from, this by the Manager that any Prospective Investor should Memorandum or in, or omitted from, any other acquire any Units. information or communications in connection with Each recipient of this Memorandum may ask questions any proposed subscription of Units. of representatives of the Manager concerning the terms The Manager will be appointed as investment manager and conditions of participation in the Fund and to obtain of the Fund prior to First Close of the Fund. Prospective any additional information in connection with the Investors should review the trust deed, the investment contents of this Memorandum. The Manager may, management agreement and subscription agreement at its discretion, make further information available (”Fund Documents”) for further information regarding to Prospective Investors in response to such questions, the rights and obligations of Unitholders in the or of its own volition, and any further information will Fund and of the Trustee and the Manager. Where a be subject to the same terms as this Memorandum. statement in this Memorandum expresses or implies All financial and other data in this Memorandum that a state of affairs exists as at the date of this is as at [31 August 2020] unless otherwise stated. Memorandum, that statement must be read and Note the following FX rates were used as of this date: interpreted to the effect that the state of affairs will GBP:AUD 1.8112. exist by no later than the date of issue of Units. This The recipients of this Memorandum may request Memorandum is proprietary to the Manager, a trade clarification and further documentation by contacting: secret and furnished to recipients on a confidential basis. By accepting delivery of this Memorandum, Sophie Gibbons the recipient agrees not to reproduce or distribute Head of Wholesale this Memorandum, in whole or in part, by electronic Octopus Investments Aust Pty Ltd or any other means, and not to disclose any of its sophie.gibbons@octopusinvestments.com contents (other than to obtain advice on it from a legal, business, investment or tax adviser). If any of the Como Centre, 644 Chapel St, South Yarra, restrictions, set out above or below are unacceptable, Melbourne, Victoria, 3141 this Memorandum should be returned immediately. The Manager has not authorised any person to give any information or make any representation concerning 6 Confidential Information Memorandum
Octopus and OREO at a glance Octopus Group in Australia: Fund and Investment Strategy: • Experienced renewable energy Investment • The Manager will seek to provide liquidity Manager with over 270 energy sites under quarterly. management, representing $7 billion of • Target net IRR 7.0% (post fees, pre-tax, value and c2.5GW of capacity. including yield). • Supported by a 80 strong team of dedicated • Target 4-5% per annum net yield to be renewable energy professionals. distributed bi-annually to Unitholders. • Experienced team of more than twenty on • Investing in Australia’s transition towards the ground, based in Melbourne and Sydney, a renewable energy future. building the investment pipeline, performing • Investment indirectly in the Octopus Australia due diligence and executing transactions. master trust (”OAMT”), which will hold a • Octopus Group has raised in excess of $1 billion portfolio of investments on construction from wholesale and institutional investors ready and operational utility scale renewable over the past 18 months, into renewable energy sites. energy assets. • Revenue for the portfolio will be generated by OAMT through a mixture of the sale of energy via fixed term and fixed price contracts (”Power Purchase Agreements” or ”PPAs”) Renewable Energy Market Opportunity and wholesale energy trading. in Australia • Attractive proposed cornerstone asset for • $170 billion of renewable investment over next OAMT, being a majority interest in Darlington 30 years. Point Solar Farm (333MWp), one of Australia’s • Contraction of electricity supply as coal plants largest utility scale solar plants. retire and the grid adopts a diverse energy mix. • Integrating and bringing all stakeholders • Electricity demand driven by one of the (communities and investors) closer to the fastest-growing populations in the developed Octopus Australia managed assets in which world, record heatwaves and calls for cleaner they have a vested interest. energy from consumers and investors. Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities (OREO) 7
1. Executive Summary 1.1 Octopus Introduction Octopus is one of the largest specialist renewable energy investment managers in the world, and with an experienced team based in Australia. Founded on an obsession with always delivering above expectations for customers, Octopus Group is building companies and investments that people love and which make a difference. Our core strategy is to focus on markets that are outdated and in need of change, where there is lack of supply, a shift in demand, or a change in attitudes, which provides an opportunity to shape better outcomes for customers and their communities. Today, Octopus Group1 is a multi- strategy independent investment manager, with over 800 employees in London, New York, Melbourne and Sydney, and approximately $16 billion of funds under management.2 Octopus Group works with in excess of 5,000 financial advisers, utilising our investment teams experience to offer clients a combination of traditional and tax-efficient investment solutions. Since 2018, Octopus Australia has been using its experience from other countries to help shape Australia’s energy transition away from fossil fuels, to provide a cleaner and more sustainable future. 1 ”Octopus Group” refers to Octopus Capital Limited, a UK private company and its majority owned subsidiaries. 2 Octopus Investments, January, 2020. Octopus Group headquarters, London UK. 8 Confidential Information Memorandum
Global Energy Experience The Octopus Renewables (”OR”) team of the Octopus capital from investors deployed into renewable energy Group is a global specialist energy investment team assets. In addition, the team managed market leading that was established in 2010 with a primary focus on project refinancings across all of its major technology the sourcing, financing, construction and operation of portfolios including Solar PV (c$1.1bn), Wind ($594m) renewable energy assets, especially utility scale solar and biomass ($274m). To support its growing activities photovoltaic (”Solar PV”) and onshore wind (”Wind”) and portfolio, OR employs over 80 professionals with plants. OR has grown significantly since inception and wide-ranging experience and strong track records is now one of the largest renewable energy investment in investment sourcing, deal execution and asset management teams globally. The team led investment management. By drawing on this experience and into the largest portfolio of European Solar PV (1.3GW) leveraging its wider relationships, OR believes it is well and manages in total a portfolio c2.5GW of installed placed to identify and execute attractive investment capacity across over 270 energy sites worth $7 billion. opportunities, and develop and implement value OR’s managed funds are split across retail, wholesale enhancement strategies, thereby delivering attractive and institutional investors, with over $1 billion of raised returns to investors. Figure 1: OR European Energy Portfolio Number 1 in European Solar market Octopus Group managed sites Octopus in Australia In Australia, Octopus Group’s fund management for OR in London and oversaw the expansion of the is carried out through Octopus Investments Aust OR portfolio to $4.6 billion. Sam is supported on the Pty Ltd or associated entity (the ”Manager”) and ground by senior energy professionals who successfully its Melbourne and Sydney based team (”Octopus delivered similar investment strategies outlined in this Investments Australia or OIA”). OIA is led by document (see Sections 1.3 and 6.3). Managing Director, Sam Reynolds. Sam, originally from In total, OIA comprises twenty individuals with a Australia, was previously Head of Energy Investments range of experiences as asset operators, engineers, Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities (OREO) 9
investment professionals and lawyers, working within In December 2018, OIA, in agreement with the OIAIC, the Octopus Group, OR and other energy businesses reached financial close on Darlington Point, its first across Europe and Australia. Details of the team are Australian asset. At 333MW, Darlington Point is one listed in Section 4. of the largest Solar PV sites in Australia. More detail is provided in section 6.4. Darlington Point has now been An Octopus Investments Australia Investment fully constructed and is operational, providing enough Committee (”OIAIC”) is responsible for making the energy to power more than 115,000 Australian homes. final decisions on new investment opportunities and allocations presented to it by OIA’s investment team. Since then, OIA has utilised its experience to further The overriding role of the OIAIC is to ensure that all build its team and pipeline. In 2020, OIA entered a JV proposals that are approved are in the best interests with the Federal Government backed Clean Energy of the Unitholders, are within the Fund’s strategy and Finance Corp (CEFC) to develop 2 solar and energy that all statutory, regulatory, fiduciary and contractual storage sites in Victoria. In 2021, OIA reached financial obligations and OIAIC procedures are adhered to close on the Dulacca wind farm. Once constructed throughout the investment. Further detail on the OIAIC the wind project, 350km north-west of Brisbane within can be found in Section 4.5. the Western Downs Region, will consist of 43 wind turbines and generate enough electricity to power approximately 124,000 homes. Figure 2: Octopus Team and Corporate Structure Overview Team Structure Corporate Structure (‘Octopus Group’) Octopus Capital Limited Octopus Renewables (‘OR’) FCA Regulated (80+ Energy Professionals in London) Octopus Investments Limited Other Subsidiaries UK Australia Octopus Capital Aust Pty Ltd (OCA) Octopus Investments Australia Octopus Investments Aust Octopus Service Contract and (More than 25 professionals Pty Ltd (and related entities) Revenue Management Pty Ltd in Melbourne & Sydney) (‘Manager’) (‘OSCAR’) 1.2. Market Opportunity Australia, known for its reliance OIA has been committed to the Australian renewable on coal, is ripe for a transition energy market for the last 3 years and believes the current environment provides a ripe opportunity for towards renewable energy. Prospective Investors to be a catalyst for Australia’s transition to renewable energy. During Octopus Group’s time in Australia, the OIA team have 3 solar projects in Despite a large reliance on coal, Australia is poised construction, with two of the sites complemented with to follow examples set by the UK and Europe in a lithium ion batteries. transition to renewable energy, as the cost of such technologies continues to fall. Over the next 30 years, OIA see the below drivers underpinning this transition c$170 billion is forecast to be invested into Australia’s and driving investment into the sector (discussed renewable energy infrastructure. further in Section 3.2): 10 Confidential Information Memorandum
Figure 3: Forecast Australian Coal Plant retirement3 25 20 Generation capacity (GW) Coal Fleet Retiring 15 10 5 85% reduction in coal fleet 0 2040 2046 2049 2044 2048 2030 2050 2036 2039 2034 2038 2043 2045 2020 2026 2029 2033 2035 2024 2028 2042 2047 2023 2032 2037 2025 2022 2027 2019 2041 2031 2021 Remaining coal generation Coal plant being retired Energy Supply Constraints one of the fastest-growing countries in the developed • Coal plant retirements: Today, 80% of Australia’s world (40 million by 20506). electricity is generated from an increasingly ageing • Shift in attitudes: Popular attitudes toward fleet of coal and gas plants. Over the next 30 years, energy consumption and investment are changing. 85% of coal capacity is forecast to retire with little Large corporates, governments and other large to no planned reinvestment or new construction of energy users are increasingly committing to coal plants. sustainable consumption including the procurement • Electricity Transmission and Distribution Grid: of renewable energy. Additionally, as younger The replacement of coal-fired baseload energy with generations begin to command greater wealth and a new generation mix containing renewables will influence, sustainability will increasingly become a most likely not be orderly, as Australia’s energy core factor in making investment decisions. grid was not designed to accept energy sources Defensibility characteristics embedded throughout the grid that generate intermittently. OIA believes a delayed modernising Renewable energy assets also exhibit a large number of the grid will benefit those assets able to secure of defensive characteristics making them beneficial an early grid connection, while keeping upward to a portfolio. These include: pressures on energy prices. • The fuel source (i.e., the sun or wind) is free, and has little correlation to market sentiment. There is also decades Energy – Demand Drivers of weather dating meaning the generation capability • Climate Change and Population trends: The impact can be predicted with good statistical confidence; of climate change on weather patterns is becoming • A portion of revenues is typically fixed via a fixed more pronounced, with December 2019 being the price Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) as well as warmest such month on record for Australia, for all exposure to the strong underlying energy market states and Territories except Tasmania. Maximum and fundamentals (discussed in Section 3.2). minimum temperatures were above average for nearly all of mainland Australia. Rainfall was the lowest on • Low level of day to day requirements for ongoing record. With record warmth, accompanied by record maintenance, which typically leads to low ongoing low rainfall over Eastern Australia bush fires ensued operational and capital expenditure; and in early 2020, highlighting the impact of climate • A robust capital structure: Debt is normally structured change.4 Compounding these issues is Australia’s around the fixed cash flows. As such, the solvency population, which increased by 16.9% over the last of the asset may be preserved in times of economic decade to 25.5 million people5 and is forecast to be shocks or volatility. 3 AEMO observations: Operational and market challenges to reliability and security in the NEM, 2018. 4 Australian Government, Bureau of Meteorology December 2019. 5 Australian Bureau of Statistics, September 2019. 6 Population Australia, 2020. Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities (OREO) 11
1.3. OR Track Record7 OREO represents the Australian rollout of a strategy successfully deployed by OR in the UK8 Octopus Group have a proven track record of helping to Members of the OR team relocated to Melbourne and accelerate the development of local renewable energy Sydney. These members were part of the team that markets by providing flexible funding opportunities to helped negotiate and invest in the portfolios listed attract investment, which supports the development on Table 1, and who now form the senior team of and construction of renewable energy assets. OIA will OIA supported by local recruitment adding domestic deploy a similar strategy. knowledge. Table 1: Renewable Energy Track Record Strategy #Assets Geography Investment Period Equity Invested ($m) Gross IRR Solar: Construct and realise 131 UK 2011 - 2018 794.4 10.6% Operational solar 158 UK & FR 2014 - today 1,428.0 6.0% (Greenfield + Brownfield) Operational wind 15 UK 2015 - today 696.4 8.2% (Greenfield + Brownfield) Operational Biomass 29 UK 2015 - today 289.2 9.2% In construction Australian Solar 1 AUS 2018 - today 264.2 8.8% Finnish Wind 1 FIN 2019 - today 52.2 9.1% French Wind 2 FR 2019 - today 91.8 8.7% Swedish Wind 1 SWE 2020 - today 106.9 7.3% 7 The information in Table 1 obtained from the OR’s origination, operations and delivered returns track record has also been included to demonstrate the capabilities of OIA and the wealth of experience which the team can call upon from OR in London. 8 As above. 12 Confidential Information Memorandum
1.4. The Fund and Investment Strategy Proprietary origination channels and a highly experienced investment team with opportunities for rapid capital deployment into a strong pipeline. Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities (”OREO”, which is an unregistered wholesale Australian Unit or the ”Fund”) will benefit from the experience of OIA Trust. The Fund will target a net Internal Rate of Return (supported by the OR team) in order to capitalise (”Net IRR”) of 7.0%, including a yield of approximately on the Australian market opportunity. The Fund’s 4-5%, (post annual management and performance primary strategy will be to drive value to Unitholders fees, but before tax). For further details, please see through its co-investment with Octopus Australia Appendix B. Sustainable Investments (”OASIS”) in OAMT, which The target portfolio mix of the Fund (including through will construct new utility scale renewable energy its investment in OAMT) will include: assets that develop strong operational track records, complemented by existing operational assets providing • Solar PV parks, onshore wind, storage and robust track records. The Fund may also acquire assets hydrogen opportunities; where an investment opportunity sourced for OAMT • Leverage across the portfolio to not exceed 65% of is not acquired by the OAMT, and such investment gross asset value of the Fund; and opportunity is allocated for consideration and • More than 40% of revenues at any one time will acquisition by the Fund in accordance with the Octopus be covered by a fixed price contract. Australia Investment Committee Allocation Policy. The cornerstone asset for OAMT is a majority interest The Manager anticipates that OAMT will invest in Darlington Point Solar Farm (”DPSF”), based in New in a mixture of ‘shovel ready’ projects, meaning South Wales. Given its size and location OIA considers development works are complete (see Section the site is a perfect cornerstone asset for the OAMT 7.2), all construction and operational contracts are (and, through its investment in OAMT, the Fund). DPSF finalised, and contractors are ready to commence is a 333MWp solar farm that covers over 750 hectares work onsite, alongside operating, energy generating and enough energy to power 115,000 homes. assets. The intention is for OREO to be an open- ended portfolio allowing investment to indirectly, via As the seed asset for OREO, the site will be OREO's investment in OAMT, finance the construction substantially de-risked with grid connection secured programme through to steady state operations, and site operational. alongside assets that are performing at the time of OIA believes it is well placed on the grid with connection OAMT's acquisition. Value to Unitholders will be driven to TransGrid’s 330KV transmission network on-site and by the de-risking of sites by OAMT post construction by a connection agreement in place. Furthermore, 55% normalising operations, selling sites’ energy generation, of its output is contracted for 11 years, providing an and paying a proportion of OAMT’s returns in the form attractive mix of contracted and merchant revenues. of distributions. From a revenue perspective (detailed further in Section 7.9), the investment manager of OAMT (”OAMT Manager”) will target a proportion of energy to be sold on a fixed term, for a fixed price. To allow flexibility, energy will also be traded on the wholesale energy market to capture any upside movement in energy prices or fixed for short periods of time based on the OAMT Manager’s view of the energy market. Unitholders will acquire and hold legal and/or beneficial title to Units in the Fund (subject to the terms of the trust deed described in the Appendix ‘Trust Deed’), Darlington Point Solar Farm. Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities (OREO) 13
2. Key Terms The following is a summary of the proposed principal terms of Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities Fund (‘OREO’). 2.1 The Fund The following is a summary of the principal terms of OREO Fund Name Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities (”OREO” or ”the Fund”) Fund Structure The Fund will be an unregistered wholesale Australian unit trust Investment Focus The Fund will focus on investing indirectly in a portfolio of Australian clean energy infrastructure assets (including associated businesses) through its investment in the Octopus Australia Master Trust alongside other Octopus Group-managed vehicles. The fund may also invest directly or alongside third parties. For more information, please refer to Investment Strategy Trustee Equity Trustees Limited (AFSL: 240975) is the Trustee of the Fund Investment Manager Octopus Investments Aust Pty Ltd, or a related entity of Octopus Investments Aust Pty Ltd, is the manager of the Fund (”Manager”) Initial Target Size $100 - 150 million at first close Minimum Commitment $100,000 Targeted Returns 7.0% net IRR (post fees, pre-tax, including yield) Targeted Yield 4-5% per annum net yield will be provided to Unitholders in bi-annual distributions, starting from the first 30 June following the initial issue of Units (the ”Start Date”) Liquidity Facility The Manager will seek to provide quarterly liquidity for Unitholders. For more information about liquidity, please refer to Redemption in Appendix B Term Open-ended Note: The summary is qualified in its entirety by reference to the Fund Documents and to the extent of any inconsistency the terms of the Fund Documents will prevail. 14 Confidential Information Memorandum
2.2 Octopus Australia Master Trust (OAMT) The Fund will predominantly obtain its exposure to (a) approval of a liquidity proposal for the unitholders a portfolio of Australian clean energy infrastructure of OAMT; assets (including associated businesses) that are (b) election for some or all of the distributions from consistent with the Fund's Investment Strategy the OAMT to be reinvested (subject to approval of through its co-investment with the OASIS in OAMT. the trustee and the investment manager of the The investment manager of OAMT will source OAMT); and new investment opportunities for OAMT, and any investment opportunity sourced for the OAMT that is (c) approval of entry by OAMT into any related party not acquired may be allocated for consideration and transactions pursuant to which the OAMT Manager acquisition by the Fund in accordance with the OAIC or any other Octopus entity has a conflict of interest, Allocation Policy. or that involves a transaction between the OAMT Manager or any other Octopus entity, except As a unitholder in OAMT, the Fund will have in relation to entry into the OAMT investment representation on the Investor Committee of OAMT management agreement and any development, for so long as it holds at least 20% of the total number property or other asset management agreement of units on issue in OAMT. The Investor Committee will with OSCAR. be responsible for considering certain items reserved for consideration by the Investor Committee, and the The Manager and the investment managers of OASIS investment manager of OAMT must seek approval and OAMT have adopted a Conflicts Management of the Investor Committee prior to taking any action Protocol that identifies and seeks to manage actual, (other than preparatory steps) in respect of such potential or perceived conflicts of interest which may reserved items. Representatives of the Fund on the arise as between the Fund, OASIS and OAMT, and Investor Committee will be one or more Octopus OIA (and its related entities) as appointed investment Investment Australia representatives (each subject managers of those funds. A summary of the proposed to appropriate conflicts of interest protocols in their principal terms of OAMT will be provided separately. role) acting on behalf of the Unitholders. The Fund's The summary is qualified in its entirety by reference to representatives on the Investor Committee may not the final versions of the relevant fund documents of approve the following items without having received the OAMT, and to the extent of any inconsistency the terms approval of Unitholders holding units representing at of the OAMT fund documents will prevail. least 75% (by value) of the votes that may be exercised: Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities (OREO) 15
3. Market Opportunity and Pipeline OR believes that Australia is at the precipice of a fundamental shift in how it produces and consumes energy. Driven by a constraint of energy supply with the removal and is resulting in new milestones for the industry. of coal from the grid and robust demand from a growing Europe is now on course to source 50% of its energy and more discerning population, Australia’s transition from renewable sources by 2024.9 As the largest towards a more diverse, dispersed and cleaner energy investor into European solar, OR contributed to the mix will not be without challenge; however, it provides success of the UK and wider European market, placing significant opportunities for investment. OIA in a strong position to help drive forward renewable energy investment in Australia. 3.1. The transition from fossil fuels: Europe offers a vision of the future Australia is in a prime position to benefit from the Australia’s transition away from fossil fuels is lagging in experience of these other markets as renewable energy comparison to countries with similar energy markets becomes cost competitive with traditional fossil fuel where OR is active. energy sources. The country is already on track to reach 50% of energy generation in the next 9 years, but As the OR team saw specifically in the UK, once OIA believes this transition could occur more rapidly momentum behind renewables deployment gathers, the and turbulently than implied by the gradual transition transition away from non-renewable sources has been shown in Figure 5 and discussed further in 3.2. quicker than forecast by governments or economists Figure 5: Changing Energy Mix: Europe/UK/Australia (Fossil fuels vs Renewables) (%)10 Europe's Energy Generation Mix (%) UK’s Energy Generation Mix (%) Australia’s Energy Generation Mix (%) 100 86% Renewables 79% Renewables 80 60 50% 50% 50% 50% Renewables Renewables Renewables Renewables 40 20 0 2012 2020 2024 2035 2012 2020 2024 2035 2012 2020 2024 2029 2035 Coal Renewables 9 Bloomberg New Energy Finance, 2019. 10 Bloomberg New Energy Finance, 2019. 16 Confidential Information Memorandum
3.2. Drivers of renewables investment in Australia Australia is forecast to invest $170 billion into renewable energy by 2050. With the prevalence of cheap domestic reserves of coal economic life, requiring investment to redevelop and gas, Australia has been slow to adopt renewable these overworked assets should they continue to run. energy: in 2019, Australia sourced 76% of its energy By 2030, 55% of Australia’s coal powered stations on demand from non-renewable sources, 54% from coal the National Energy Market (”NEM”) will be 40 years alone.11 However, the unannounced closure of the or older, approaching obsolescence, and becoming Hazelwood power station saw a dramatic increase in more unreliable, costly to maintain, and subject to energy prices and highlighted the need to replace an failures.13 In response, the Government’s Environment ageing energy infrastructure. At the same time, cost and Communications Committee noted in 2016, ”the competitive renewables helped launch the utility scale question is not if coal fired power stations will close, solar industry from a near standstill in 2016, when just but how quickly and orderly these closures will occur, c300MW was in operation, to an estimated 2.0GW and what supporting policies, if any, will be in place commencing construction in 2018 alone, but this is to help manage the process.” 14 still short of the 28GW the Australian Energy Market The sudden closure of the 1.6GW Hazelwood power Operator (”AEMO”) anticipate would be needed to station in March 2017 illustrates the impact an help replace retiring coal generators see Figure 6.12 unorderly transition can have across states, as OIA sees the following as the key supply and demand energy prices rose significantly over the following drivers which will underpin a robust market for year in Victoria (up 85%), New South Wales (63%), renewable investment. Queensland (53%) and South Australia (32%).15 Liddell and Vales Point power stations are both Energy Supply Constraints similar sizes to Hazelwood and are forecast to close • Coal plant retirements and cost competitive over the next 10 years (see Figure 6) with closures renewables: Many of Australia’s existing coal and gas- accelerating thereafter. powered stations are reaching the end of their useful Figure 6: Australia’s retiring coal fleet between 2018 and 205016 Department of Environment and Energy, Australian Energy Statistics, 2020. 12 PV Magazine, Australia’s Clean Energy Council reports 11 2GW of utility scale commencing construction in 2018. 13 Climate Council, End of the Line Coal: Coal in Australia, p8. 14 Senate Standing Committee on Environment and Communications, Retirement of Coal Fired Power Stations Interim Report, 2016. 15 Australian Energy Regulator, Wholesale electricity prices higher since Hazelwood exit, 2018. 16 AEMO observations: Operational and market challenges to reliability and security in the NEM, 2018. Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities (OREO) 17
AEMO, who is responsible for the stability of Australia’s (10.5GW) and storage (17GW/90Gwh), with small gas energy system, noted that, over the next 20 years, a mix plants in a supportive role (0.5GW). of renewable energy and storage is best placed to The transition is driven by cost competitive renewables, replace existing energy supply instead of reinvestment relative to the cost of extending the life of coal or new investment into the coal fleet. Planned or brand-new coal generation capacity over the replacement is to be led by solar (28GW), wind foreseeable future (Figure 7).17 Figure 7: Cost of energy generation in Australia18 120 Levelised cost of energy, A$/MWh 100 80 60 40 20 0 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 New coal Life extending coal Onshore wind Combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) Firm utility-scale solar PV Utility-scale solar PV While the cost of renewables technology (like solar constraints on new development resulting in upward panels and wind turbines) has dropped significantly pressure on energy prices. AEMO reiterated this view, in recent years, remaining costs of a site are made up stating that, in certain areas across Australia, new of components such as framing, transformers, and renewable energy generators ”will likely be prevented inverters as well as labour costs, transport and any from generating at full capacity unless additional requisite grid upgrades that may be imposed by AEMO, investment was made to remediate the impacts on which are not following similar cost reduction trends system strength.” 19 seen with the core renewables technology. In July 2020, AEMO published an update to the Grid infrastructure: The NEM operates the world’s Integrated System Plan, which sets out a road map longest and thinnest interconnected power system as the grid transitions away from using fossil fuels to between Port Douglas, Queensland; Port Lincoln, renewable energy, rooftop solar and electric vehicles. South Australia; and Geeveston, Tasmania, with an The Integrated System Plan proposes remediation such end-to-end distance of approximately 5,000 kilometres. as investment into new and existing transmission lines, This system was built to distribute energy from a few minimum notice periods for coal plant closures and select large (mainly coal) generators to large cities as strategic reserves to avoid blackouts. While some of well as disparate towns and areas across the entire east these proposals are being put in place (such as required and south of the country. notification of coal closures three years in advance20) unless required investment into the grid is forthcoming, AEMO recognise that a diverse energy mix will include immediate renewables deployment could be tempered. renewable energy plants located around the country and, as such, the grid will need to be upgraded to OIA view such potential restrictions as benefiting accommodate these new generation sources that assets that can secure connections with AEMO on behave differently to older technologies. Despite advantageous locations on the grid, as these will this recognition, OIA’s view is that investment in the benefit from short-term supply constraints, which grid may be slower than needed, which could put should feed through to energy pricing. AEMO, Integrated System Plan, 2018. 17 18 Bloomberg 2020. 19 AEMO, Integrated System Plan, 2018. 20 AEMO, National Electricity Amendment, 2018. 18 Confidential Information Memorandum
Energy Demand Drivers • The impact of prolonged heatwaves on grid resilience Climate Change and Population Growth (where increased system stress can result in increases in individual plant failures, particularly in ageing Increasing temperatures and presence of prolonged plants); and heat events impact the reliability of the energy system in various ways. These include increased challenges • The increased risk associated with bushfires during associated with the following: these periods, which impact system availability. • Managing ”coincident peaks” (concurrent hot and AEMO has also highlighted that sustained 40-degree humid days in multiple regions and across major days in Victoria and Sydney could be a catalyst for cities in the NEM, particularly when combined with energy demand levels typically seen only once a projected population growth and an increase in decade. Such increases would need an additional air-conditioning); 380MW of resources to compensate in Victoria alone.21 Figure 8 – Australian mean temperature anomaly showing year-on-year change in average temperatures22 1914 +0.22 °C +1.2 ºC +1.0 ºC +0.8 ºC +0.6 ºC +0.4 ºC +0.2 ºC 0 +0.2 ºC +0.4 ºC +0.6 ºC +0.8 ºC +1.0 ºC +1.2 ºC 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Mean temperature anomalies averaged over Australia (as calculated from the 1961-1990 average.) The black line shows the 11-year moving average Australia’s population is growing, which could exacerbate countries in the developed world, increasing in population the issues shown in Figure 8. Over the last decade, the to 40 million by 2050,24 and, rising with it, the potential population increased by 16.9% to 25.5 million people.23 for greater energy demand. Australia is forecast to be one of the fastest-growing 21 AEMO, 2018 Electricity Statement of Opportunities, 2018. 22 Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Annual Climate Statement, 2019. 23 Australian Bureau of Statistics, September 2019. 24 Population Australia, Population growth of Australia, 2020. Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities (OREO) 19
Shift in attitudes: Energy customers, consumers The demand for corporate PPAs is also likely to and investors are becoming much more discerning remain strong, with sustained interest and activity in regarding the impact of their consumption and Corporate PPAs in the current market. According to a investment. 90% of Australians expect their survey of members of the Business Renewables Centre superannuation and other investments to be invested Australia there were high levels of interest and activity responsibly and ethically.25 amongst buyers and developers with 62% of buyer members pursuing or investigating renewable PPAs.26 Corporates, governments and other large energy users also understand that their customers and constituents The market for PPAs is also expanding, with PPAs expect them to consider their environmental impact. being considered by many non-profit organisations, Corporate PPAs are now an established feature of the recreation and exhibition venues, transportation Australian market with nearly half (46%) of big businesses infrastructure projects and governments. Some in Australia currently using renewable energy. Unilever, notable examples of executed renewable energy Mars, Telstra, BlueScope, Coca-Cola Amatil, ANZ, power offtake agreements within these sectors include Woolworths and AB Inbev as just a few examples – have Sydney Opera House, Zoos Victoria and Melbourne all signed power offtake agreements with Australian Convention and Exhibition Centre, Sydney Metro and renewable energy projects. Australia has seen one Yarra Trams, University of Melbourne, the University of of the highest levels of corporate and industrial PPA Queensland, Victoria (via the VRET), Queensland (via uptake in the world, with demand for PPAs second only the Renewables 100) and the ACT. to the United States with respect to total PPA capacity (MW). See Figure 9 below. Figure 9: Global Power Purchase Agreement market ex-USA27 Australia 2,367 Sweden 2,180 Norway 1,925 Brazil 1,632 Chile 1,363 United Kingdom 1,310 Mexico 1,114 Spain 949 Finland 822 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 PPA Capacity (MW) The Australian public is becoming more discerning a premium for products or services made with about how energy is generated, and this impacts their renewable energy.28 preferences. Most Australians are willing to pay 80% 76% 64% Australian consumers believe big would choose a product or service would pay a premium for businesses should be using more made with renewable energy over a products or services made renewable energy comparable one that wasn’t with renewable energy Responsible Investment Association Australasia, Growing consumer demand for ethical investing, 2017. 25 26 ARENA, The Business of Renewables, 2017. 27 BNEF 2020. 28 ARENA, The Business of Renewables, 2017. 20 Confidential Information Memorandum
Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities (OREO) 21
3.3 Investment Characteristics: Defensibility and Diversity Like infrastructure, established renewable energy underpin defensible returns and provide diversity to investments such as solar and wind represent a wider portfolio of investments. Below illustrates the ownership in the physical components and land that 4 key characteristics of renewable energy assets, which provide an essential public service (clean energy). underpin the defensibility and diversity infrastructure Once constructed, infrastructure assets are designed investment thesis. to perform in a stable and predictable manner, which 1. Fuel Source 2. Revenues Fuel sources of Solar and Wind assets have 3 key Renewable assets monetise the energy generated from important characteristics. First, renewable energy fuel their fuel sources in two ways: First via long term fixed volumes like the sunlight and wind are not market linked. price contracts with corporate or government buyers (‘Power Purchase Agreements’ or ‘PPAs’) which provide Second, global bankable standards are used for long term visibility on cashflows. PPAs look to the direct how sun and wind fuel volumes are measured. Such credit risk of the offtaker, which are either investment methodologies take into account decades of weather grade or have support from an investment grade data to give a good statistical understanding of the credit. Given the uncorrelated nature of the fuel source availability of the natural resource. alongside a PPA, sites can perform consistently through Finally, such natural fuels are zero marginal cost or free times of market volatility. to use. Meaning renewable energy is cost competitive Second, revenues are also generated from selling against fossil fuels (which have to pay for their fuels) the residual energy not covered by a PPA into the when selling its energy in the wholesale market. As a wholesale energy market. As discussed in Section 3.2, result, for a given level of demand, renewable energy the Manager believes the Australian energy market will likely be utilised ahead of more expensive forms of provides some compelling fundamentals that are energy such as coal and gas as renewable energy can driving returns. Further, as recent shocks to Australian realise a gross margin for its energy at any positive price. GDP from the COVID-19 pandemic have shown, this revenue stream is relatively resilient. Unlike other infrastructure revenue streams (such as airport or road traffic), energy demand has remained strong in Australia dropping only 3-6% (depending on the state). Further, these short term demand shocks have not fundamentally altered, in the Manager’s view, the long term drivers discussed in Section 3.2. 22 Confidential Information Memorandum
3. Operations 4. Capital Structure With revenue lines established as per (1) and (2) above, The Manager believes capital structures for renewable the robustness of operational cashflows is driven by the energy assets should be structured to protect the long term visibility of operations and maintenance costs solvency of the asset, especially in times of volatility or of a renewable site. The operations for Solar and Wind economic shocks. This could be achieved by sizing debt sites are relatively self-contained: that is few onsite around the fixed cashflows derived from the PPA and manual tasks are required to operate a plant day to day taking into account the fixed operational and capital as the sites are responding to the availability of natural expenditures. As a result fluctuations in wholesale resources instead of manual or mechanical tasks (such energy prices would not overly pressure the solvency of as feeding a combustion turbine a fuel source). the asset in times of uncertainty, as witnessed during the COVID-19 pandemic. A relatively low touch point for operations translates into visible long term fixed operational contracts and low on-going capital expenditures relative to revenues. The robust availability of natural resources and visible revenue streams combined with low fixed on-going operation and capital expenditure, are likely to result in high EBITDA and cash margins. Octopus Renewable Energy Opportunities (OREO) 23
3.4 Government Policy overview Federal Government Policy The Renewable Energy Target – incentivising investment into Renewable Generation. The Renewable Energy Target (‘RET’) is an Australian With the recent boom in renewable energy investment, Government scheme implemented originally in 2001 the LRET target is forecast to be met over the coming and designed to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases years. Additionally, with renewable energy now becoming in the electricity sector and encourage the additional viable without subsidies like the LRET, the government generation of electricity from sustainable and recently signalled that it will shift its policy towards renewable sources29. accommodating the anticipated build out of non- subsidised renewable energy into the market. This was The Renewable Energy Target works by allowing detailed in the Department of Industry, Science, Energy both large-scale power stations and the owners of and Resources’ Technology Investment Roadmap, which small-scale systems to create large-scale generation sets out Australia’s energy priorities as it seeks to bring certificates (‘LGCs’) and small-scale technology down carbon emissions over the next 30 years. certificates for every megawatt hour of power they generate. Certificates are then purchased by electricity The immediate energy focus of the roadmap retailers (who supply electricity to householders is on integrating renewables into the system and businesses) and submitted to the Clean Energy with natural gas a supporting technology for Regulator to meet the retailers’ legal obligations under renewables going forward. the RET. This creates a market which provides financial incentives to both large-scale renewable energy power Given that renewables are now viable without subsidies, stations and the owners of small-scale renewable the Government recognises that support is needed energy systems. around the power grid and what are known as ‘firming’ The Large-scale Renewable Energy Target (LRET), technologies which provide support when intermittent encourages investment in large-scale renewable generation from renewables does not cover demand. power stations to achieve 33,000 gigawatt hours of Core to that end is storage technology and additional renewable electricity generation by 2020, understanding how to make intermittent generation which represents about 20% of Australia’s energy dispatchable. As such, this will be a key focus of where consumption. The target stays the same from 2020 support will come from the Government. OIA are to 2030 and, under the current law, new renewable already seeing this at a state level where the team energy power stations can continue to be accredited are engaged in multiple processes to realise storage after 2020. capabilities on our sites. The Technology Investment Finally, another consideration is the role fossil fuels will play in according to the roadmap: the report is silent Roadmap details policy to support on coal support, which is significant given coal is the incorporating renewables into the largest supplier of energy in Australia. Furthermore, Australian energy mix. natural gas is mentioned in the report as having a supporting role to play in fostering the build out of renewables instead of replacing large capacities of retired coal generation. 29 http://www.cleanenergyregulator.gov.au/RET 24 Confidential Information Memorandum
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