Next level sustainable energy provision in line with people's needs - A proposal for extending the Multi-Tier Framework for monitoring the SDG7 ...

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Next level sustainable energy provision in line with people's needs - A proposal for extending the Multi-Tier Framework for monitoring the SDG7 ...
Next level sustainable energy provision
       in line with people’s needs
 A proposal for extending the Multi-Tier Framework for
                  monitoring the SDG7
Next level sustainable energy provision in line with people's needs - A proposal for extending the Multi-Tier Framework for monitoring the SDG7 ...
Commissioned by the

Authors                 Dr. Inga Boie, Dr. Jan Steinbach, Catrice Christ, Natalia Ashley Belbin, Oliver Lösch,
                        Alexandra Denishchenkova, Jose Ordonez

Contracting Authority   Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH

Implemented by          Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (Fraunhofer ISI)
                        Institute for Resource Efficiency and Energy Strategies GmbH (IREES)

Pictures cover sheet    right position - shutterstock.com/HQuality; left top - shutterstock.com/Monkey Business
                        Images; left middle: shutterstock.com/Sebastian Noethlichs; left bottom
                        shutterstock.com/Dusan Petkovic
Pictures report         Tier 6: shutterstock.com/Vlad Teodor; Tier 7: shutterstock.com/AdaCo;
                        Tier 8: shutterstock.com/gyn9037; Tier 9: shutterstock.com/ssguy;
                        Tier 10: shutterstock.com/Norenko Andresy

Published               November 2018
Next level sustainable energy provision in line with people's needs - A proposal for extending the Multi-Tier Framework for monitoring the SDG7 ...
TABLE OF CONTENT

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ________________________________________________ 1
1   INTRODUCTION _________________________________________________ 8
2   CONCEPTS AND INSTRUMENTS FOR MONITORING SDG7 _______________ 10
3   LINKAGES BETWEEN SDG7 AND GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE POLICIES _____ 12
     3.1   The Paris Agreement and ‘Nationally Determined Contributions’ __________ 12
     3.2   Relevance of economic development and industrial growth in the
           context of the SDG7 ______________________________________________ 15
4   THE MULTI TIER FRAMEWORK FOR MEASURING ENERGY ACCESS ________ 17
     4.1   Review of the MTF for measuring access to electricity ___________________ 20
     4.2   Development of an assessment framework for the electricity access
           requirements of commercial and industrial applications _________________ 23
              General requirements and criticality of energy access for commercial and
              industrial users _______________________________________________ 23
              Comparison of reliability and quality of electricity supply in Europe and
              developing countries ___________________________________________ 26
              Classification of industrial and commercial uses of energy _____________ 28
              Assessment of economic sectors regarding electricity access requirements 29
              Recommendations for the further development of the SDG7 monitoring
              framework ___________________________________________________ 37
5   CONCLUSION AND OUTLOOK _____________________________________ 44
     5.1   Relating the proposed MTF-extension to the status quo and the
           challenges of developing and emerging countries _______________________ 45
     5.2   Relevance of the supporting framework for a sustainable energy
           transformation in the context of the SDGs ____________________________ 46
     5.3   Outlook and possible further analysis activities _________________________ 47
REFERENCES ________________________________________________________ 48
ANNEX ____________________________________________________________ 53
Next level sustainable energy provision in line with people's needs - A proposal for extending the Multi-Tier Framework for monitoring the SDG7 ...
Next level sustainable energy provision in line with people's needs - A proposal for extending the Multi-Tier Framework for monitoring the SDG7 ...
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The Sustainable Development Goals and              Economic growth and climate and energy
the productive use of electricity                  strategies
In 2016, the United Nations (UN) adopted 17        Along with economic growth, developing
sustainable development goals (SDGs)               and emerging economies face the formation
within the framework of the UN Agenda              and expansion of commercial activities and
2030. Of the 17 SDGs, the SDG7 aims to             energy-intensive industrial sectors, which
ensure universal access to affordable,             may lead to significant increases in
reliable, sustainable and modern energy for        greenhouse gas emissions. Economic
the entire world population and to increase        development, the creation of jobs and the
the global share of renewable energy and           increase of welfare for the population have a
the level of energy efficiency. Enhanced           high political priority, especially in
access to electricity for productive uses          developing and emerging countries.
especially is also expected to catalyse an         However, economic growth and increased
increase in welfare and economic                   purchasing power, the expansion of
development across all sectors, as it              infrastructures and the emergence and
constitutes a key element for job creation         extension of commercial and industrial uses
and increased added value.                         of electricity are generally related to an
                                                   increased energy demand. This inevitably
In this context, productive use of electricity
                                                   leads to growing greenhouse gas emissions if
can be defined as the utilisation of electricity
                                                   no strategies for developing a clean and
for activities which generate a monetary
                                                   sustainable energy supply are implemented
value or, based on a broader definition of the
                                                   at the same time.
term, contribute to an enhanced
productivity or increased welfare of the           Especially the industrial sectors of
affected population (Kapadia 2014, Brüderle        developing countries show a remarkable
and Bodenheimer 2011). This may involve a          growth rate, e.g. a compounded average
broad range of activities such as water            annual growth rate of 6.1 % in non-OECD
pumping in agriculture, water purification,        countries compared to 1.1 % in OECD
processing of agricultural products,               countries in the timeframe 2000-2017.
preservation or refrigeration of goods,            Further, non-OECD countries have a
manufacturing of durable products or               substantially higher energy intensity, i.e.
provision of various types of services.            energy consumption per unit of value added,
Therefore, productive uses go beyond the           in comparison to OECD countries. This again
consumption of electricity for private             becomes particularly apparent when looking
household applications. However, a clear           at the industrial sector: with 0.2 koe/$, non-
separation between productive uses and             OECD countries use almost twice as much
household use of electricity is difficult,         energy as OECD countries, with 0.08 koe/$.
especially if small family-run businesses or
                                                   These figures highlight the significant impact
productive activities in the informal sector
                                                   that the growing productive use of electricity
are concerned. Therefore, there is a fuzzy
                                                   in developing and emerging economies can
transition between the utilisation of
                                                   have on global CO2 emissions and emphasise
electricity in households and by commercial
                                                   the need for an integrated framework for
businesses or service providers in developing
                                                   monitoring and managing the access to
and emerging countries.
                                                   sustainable electricity sources in these
                                                   countries.

                                                                                                    1
Next level sustainable energy provision in line with people's needs - A proposal for extending the Multi-Tier Framework for monitoring the SDG7 ...
The present monitoring framework for                       connection power and daily available
    SDG7                                                       capacity as defined for households (see table
                                                               below). For the five tiers describing the
    The progress towards reaching the SDG7 is
                                                               levels of energy supply for productive
    currently monitored based on a Multi-Tier
                                                               applications, the MTF further assumes that
    Framework (MTF) for assessing the
                                                               tiers 3-5 successively meet the requirements
    electricity access conditions on the national
                                                               of commercial activities and that in tier 5,
    level. Although separate matrices exist for
                                                               electricity access does not cause significant
    the assessment of energy access for
                                                               issues for productive activities (Bhatia et al.
    households, public and productive uses, so
                                                               2015).
    far, the focus of the MTF has been mainly on
    the electricity needs of private households,               However, considering the connection power
    for example, for the provision of lighting,                and daily capacities defined for the tiers, it
    clean     cooking     solutions   or    basic              becomes evident that the present
    communication services such as mobile                      monitoring of the attainment of SDG7 mainly
    phone charging.                                            places emphasis on the fulfilment of the
                                                               basic needs for the use of private household
    Regarding the definition of the metrics for
                                                               applications and does not allow for a
    the tiers for assessing electricity access, the
                                                               systematic and comparable assessment of
    MTF for productive applications is based on
                                                               electricity access conditions for private and
    the     same      assumptions       concerning
                                                               productive uses.

    Excerpt from Multi-Tier matrix for electricity supply for productive applications

                       Tier 0      Tier 1      Tier 2      Tier 3             Tier 4             Tier 5
     Power                         ≥3W         ≥ 50 W      ≥ 200 W            ≥ 800 W            ≥ 2 kW
     Daily                         ≥ 12 Wh     ≥ 200 Wh    ≥ 1.0 kWh          ≥ 3.4 kWh          ≥ 8.2 kWh
     capacity
     Availability of               Min 2 hrs   Min 4 hrs   Half of the        Most of            Almost all
     electricity                                           working            working            working
     (daily)                                               Hours (min 50 %)   hours (min 75 %)   hours (min 95 %)
     Reliability                                                              Reliability        No reliability
                                                                              issues with        issues or
                                                                              moderate           little (or no)
                                                                              impact             impact
     Quality                                                                  Quality            No quality
                                                                              issues with        issues or
                                                                              moderate           little (or no)
                                                                              impact             impact
    Source: Bhatia et al. (2015)

    Goal of this study                                         industrial applications), the results further
                                                               aim to support the implementation of
    Considering the above, it is the goal of this
                                                               sustainable energy strategies, i.e. the
    study to review the present methodology for
                                                               development of energy supply solutions
    monitoring the SDG7 targets and to develop
                                                               which are needs-oriented and at the same
    an approach for monitoring access to
                                                               time sustainable. Thus, the developed
    electricity which also considers the
                                                               framework can be used as a tool for energy
    significant role of productive uses of
                                                               planning to safeguard that, as a basis for
    electricity in developing and emerging
                                                               economic development, the requirements of
    economies. By adding to a better
                                                               various types of productive users of
    understanding of the electricity access needs
                                                               electricity can be met while at the same time
    of a broader range of user types (including
                                                               being consistent with climate change
    households as well as commercial and
                                                               strategies.

2
Next level sustainable energy provision in line with people's needs - A proposal for extending the Multi-Tier Framework for monitoring the SDG7 ...
Review of the present MTF framework                 average connected load of about 2.5 kW.
                                                    Regarding the productive use of electricity,
Tier 1 covers merely very basic energy
                                                    tier 4 assumes that for 75 % of the working
services for simple lighting applications with
                                                    hours electricity supply is available and that
a strongly limited availability during the day.
                                                    reliability issues only cause a moderate
Even for household applications it is
                                                    impact. However, with a connection power
questionable whether the parameters
                                                    of only 800 W, only the requirements of
defined for this tier actually represent a
                                                    basic applications at a small scale (such as
significant step towards enhanced energy
                                                    e.g. a food blender, a rice cooker, simple
access. A productive use of electricity in this
                                                    tools or a sewing machine) could be covered.
tier cannot be assumed.
                                                    Tier 5 would allow a household to use
Tier 2 intends to cover the needs for electric
                                                    various types of domestic applications in
lighting, air circulation and basic
                                                    addition to lighting and communication
communication needs such as television and
                                                    services but a use of basic applications with
phone charging in private households.
                                                    a higher connection load such as electric
However, although a peak capacity as low as
                                                    stoves would still not be possible.
50 W would be sufficient for charging a
mobile phone, it would not suffice to provide       Productive uses of electricity, for example in
enough electricity for powering a television        a small family-run workshop or a retail shop,
or for using lighting and communication             would be possible, based on this definition.
applications in parallel. Also, productive uses     With 95 % availability and no significant
of electricity are likely not possible based on     quality issues, economic activities would not
this definition. Therefore, in order to             be severely affected. However, the assumed
represent a more substantial step towards           connection power and daily capacity would
enhanced electricity access and towards the         only suffice to cover small to medium scale
simultaneous provision of a minimum of              commercial businesses but would not allow
adequate lighting and basic communication           for larger-scale commercial or even
services for a significant timeframe, the           industrial activities. The emergence and
definition of the parameters for this tier          evolution of such productive activities in
should be raised at least to an available           developing and emerging economies,
minimum capacity of 100 W for 4 hours daily.        however, is a key element for the creation of
                                                    jobs and a sustained increase in value added.
Tier 3 would allow for the simultaneous use
of lighting and communication appliances as         Recommendations for an extended
well as, for example, ventilators or other          monitoring framework for SDG7
small household applications. However, for
                                                    Against the background of the above, this
the use of electric hotplates or other
                                                    study suggests revising and extending the
fundamental domestic appliances, such as
                                                    current MTF in order to:
electric cooling units, this capacity and daily
availability would still not be sufficient. It is     Reflect significant steps towards an
also questionable whether an availability of           enhanced electricity access for
200 W (or 1 kWh daily) for 50 % of the                 households and small-scale family
working hours would be sufficient to allow             businesses;
for any significant productive activity.
                                                      Take account of the important role that
Tier 4 is characterised by a connection                the productive use of electricity plays at
capacity which would be enough to allow for            all stages of value chains (ranging from
the provision of lighting and communication            family businesses or agricultural
services as well as the parallel use of several        applications to the provision of
household appliances such as ventilators,              professional services or large-scale
but it still does not suffice to power, for            industrial production) for climate
example, a small electric hotplate with an

                                                                                                     3
Next level sustainable energy provision in line with people's needs - A proposal for extending the Multi-Tier Framework for monitoring the SDG7 ...
change abatement and sustainable            Allow for a closer link between climate
         energy strategies;                           change policies and strategies for
                                                      economic development and sustainable
      Develop an integrated and seamless             energy supply to safeguard that the
       framework for monitoring and                   electricity requirements on all tiers can
       managing the access to sustainable             be met with needs-oriented but
       electricity sources which considers the        environment-friendly energy solutions.
       fuzzy transition between the needs of          Here, especially the application of
       households and commercial or                   decentralized      renewable      energy
       industrial applications;                       solutions plays a major role.

    This implies the following recommendations:
         Revising the current MTF tiers for            Adding 5 additional tiers for
          the household sector in order to               productive uses covering electricity
          represent essential development                access requirements of a broad
          steps from basic household                     range of business activities along
          applications and requirements for              value chains - ranging from
          clean (electric) cooking and cooling           processing of agricultural products
          applications       to     small-sized          to highly sensitive and energy-
          commercial activities.                         intensive production processes.

    Overview over the proposed revision of the current MTF

    Source: Own depiction IREES / Fraunhofer ISI

    Instead of applying different MTF matrices     of manufacturing and processing industries,
    for households and productive uses, the        on the other hand the smaller development
    proposed framework represents an               steps of the current scale might be adjusted
    integrated scale covering the electricity      with a potential reduction from 5 to 3 tiers.
    access requirements of households, various
                                                   Thus, the approach generates a tool to
    commercial or manufacturing activities and
                                                   evaluate electricity access not only against
    industrial processes. On the one hand, the
                                                   the background of the current economic
    scale is extended to consider requirements
                                                   structures as present in many developing

4
Next level sustainable energy provision in line with people's needs - A proposal for extending the Multi-Tier Framework for monitoring the SDG7 ...
and emerging countries, i.e. a strong focus        For each category of productive activities,
on agricultural production and extraction of       the following characteristics are described:
raw materials, but also from a forward-            Share of electricity consumption in total
looking, development perspective. The steps        energy demand and specific energy demand
defined for the revised framework represent        in relation to turnover (as indicators for the
the fuzzy transition between household             capacity requirements and energy-intensity
electricity demand and commercial activities       of the activities) and the main critical
and allow for an assessment of electricity         processes affected by potential power
supply conditions as required to increase the      outages (as an indicator for the sensitivity of
local manufacturing share in the value-chain       the processes to power cuts and voltage
of products based on the productive use of         fluctuations and the potential economic
electricity.                                       impact that a power outage might have on
                                                   the respective business).
The newly developed tiers for productive
uses are categorised based on a systematic         On this basis, the electricity access
analysis of a broad range of business              requirements of each economic activity are
activities and production processes. For this      evaluated as specified for the MTF, namely
purpose, the European classification of            referring to the availability, reliability,
economic activities, NACE, is used as it           quality and affordability of the electricity
ensures transparency and comparability on a        supply. The results are further clustered in
European as well as on a global level. For the     order to derive groups of productive
analysis, the focus is laid on manufacturing       activities with similar requirements
and industrial production processes                regarding electricity access. Thereby five
(including mining) to include a wide range of      tiers for electricity access for productive uses
possible economic activities along the value       can be derived (see box below).
chain.
Classification of productive uses of electricity for the definition of tiers

                       Tier 6: Mechanical manufacturing technologies with low electrical control
                               requirements and a low automation level, such as e.g. crop and
                               animal production, production of wearing apparel, leather,
                               tobacco products or furniture.

                       Tier 7: Mass production of consumer goods without utilisation of sensitive
                               production technologies, such as e.g. food products, beverages,
                               textiles, wood and wood products, print media or other
                               manufacturing.

                       Tier 8: Mass production of investment goods and durable products with a
                               relevant degree of automation and electric control systems, such
                               as e.g. paper and paper products, metal products, electrical
                               equipment and machinery, motor vehicles and transport
                               equipment.

                       Tier 9: Manufacturing of high technology or highly sensitive products with
                               a high degree of automation, such as e.g. production of basic
                               pharmaceutical products or computers, electronic and optical
                               products.

                       Tier 10: Mining and chemical processing of raw material with a very high
                              energy demand, such as e.g. processing of coal, metal ores, natural
                              gas, coke and petroleum products, chemicals, rubber and plastic
                              products, non-metallic and metallic products.

                                                                                                      5
Next level sustainable energy provision in line with people's needs - A proposal for extending the Multi-Tier Framework for monitoring the SDG7 ...
A more detailed description of the five tiers      framework       for     electricity      access
    for productive uses of electricity, including      requirements. Therefore, the applied top-
    the specification of the respective NACE           down method, based on the analysis of the
    codes, is provided in the table below.             energy intensity and process technologies of
                                                       the most relevant industrial sectors, is a valid
    Even though the industry structure and the
                                                       approach for deriving a holistic MTF for
    standard of production processes in
                                                       productive uses in the industry and service
    developing and emerging countries
                                                       sector since the classification comprises all
    obviously vary from those in developed
                                                       potential business activities.
    countries, the approach is still suitable to
    obtain a reliable indication of the capacity       Outlook and possible further analysis
    requirements of a broad range of productive        activities
    activities. Many economic activities, such as
                                                       Based on the results of this study a range of
    higher-level processing and manufacturing
                                                       further activities could be pursued to verify
    processes, are not yet established in
                                                       and refine the results.
    developing and emerging economies as
    these countries still largely rely on the export   It would be particularly beneficial to make
    of raw materials or unprocessed agricultural       further use of the results of the still ongoing
    products. However, in order to allow for a         World Bank enterprise survey in order to
    forward-looking and development-oriented           verify and possibly refine the proposed
    approach, the assessment of electricity            definition of the extended MTF matrix for
    access requirements should not be limited to       productive uses. This would permit to
    the status quo of economic activities in           compare the systematic top-down approach
    developing countries but should also               applied in this study against the country-
    consider the requirements of potential             level bottom-up assessment of the World
    future industries and orientation at world         Bank survey to ensure that the definitions
    market standards.                                  actually capture the requirements of the
                                                       local industries and businesses.
    In contrast to the MTF framework for
    household electricity access, the results          Another focal point of further activities
    indicate more qualitative assessments of the       should      be     the   development     of
    electricity supply requirements for each tier.     methodologies and frameworks for the
    This is due to the fact that business              collection of data for country level
    operations and company sizes within each           assessments of the suggested tiers. Here, it
    group of activities can be highly                  would be particularly important to
    heterogeneous. This distinguishes the              coordinate and align efforts with national
    commercial and industrial sector from the          climate change mitigation strategies as well
    household sector where defining standard           as with plans for economic development and
    sizes and typical applications is more             industry expansion. In this context it is
    straightforward, while, for example, the           particularly crucial to ensure that the
    electricity demand of a commercial business        institutions concerned work together in
    is almost freely scalable depending on the         order to avoid adverse effects and to
    size of the company. A more detailed               maximise policy efficiency.
    analysis of the commercial and industrial          Also, in order to ensure the practicability
    sector      would     require    a    further      when using the proposed framework for the
    differentiation on the level of subgroups or       targeted selection and prioritisation of
    even a bottom-up assessment on the                 actual energy supply or infrastructure
    company level. However, although such an           projects, it would be helpful to develop a
    approach could capture the individual              more detailed definition and design of
    characteristics of a particular country or         suitable technical solutions to meet the
    region, it would not suffice to derive a           respective access requirements for the
    universally       applicable      assessment       proposed tiers.

6
Proposal for the extension of the Multi-Tier Framework for productive uses

                                Tier 6                Tier 7               Tier 8                Tier 9              Tier 10

                                Mechanical            Mass production      Mass production       Manufacturing       Mining and
                                manufacturing         of consumer          of investment         of high             chemical
                                technologies          goods without        and durable           technology or       processing of
              Definition        with low              sensitive            products and a        highly sensitive    raw materials
                                electrical control    production           relevant degree       products with a
                                requirements/         technologies         of automation         high degree of
 Tier

                                low automation                             and electric          automation
                                level,                                     control systems
                                agriculture

              Industry          1, 12, 14, 15, 31,    10, 11, 13, 16,      17, 22, 25, 27,       21, 26              5 - 8, 19, 20, 23,
              sectors           33                    18, 32               28, 29, 30                                24
              NACE Code

              Capacity
                                Low                   Low - medium         Medium - high         Low                 Low - high
              requirements

                                All working           All working          All working           All working         All working
              Availability      hours (100 %)         hours (100 %)        hours (100 %)         hours (100 %)       hours (100 %)

              Reliability       Power cuts           Short power         Power cuts           No power cuts      No power cuts
                                 during working        cuts during          during working        acceptable          acceptable
              Intolerance to
                                 hours                 working hours        hours critical as    Significant        Significant
              power cuts         acceptable            acceptable           significant           impacts on          impacts on
                                No harmful           Harmful              damage to             products            machinery,
                                 impacts on            impacts on           products is                               processes and
                                 machinery,            products             possible                                  products
                                 processes and         possible
                                 products              (temperature
 Indicators

                                                       sensitive
                                                       process such as
                                                       food
                                                       production)

                                Low: voltage          Low: voltage         High: undue           High: undue         High: undue
              Quality           fluctuations do       fluctuations do      voltage               voltage             voltage
                                not significantly     not significantly    fluctuations          fluctuations        fluctuations
              Intolerance to    affect                affect               affect                affect              affect
              voltage           production            production           production            production          production
              fluctuations      processes             processes            technologies          technologies        technologies

              Affordability
              Economic
                                Low                   Low - medium         Medium                High                High
              impacts of
              power cuts

                                                                                                                                          7
1 INTRODUCTION

    In 2016, the United Nations (UN) adopted 17           development based on energy use for the
    sustainable development goals (SDGs)                  entire world population across all sectors.
    within the framework of the UN Agenda                 The objective is to ensure that this expansion
    2030 (UN 2015). The goals are set equally to          of energy supply has the lowest possible
    industrialised, emerging and developing               impact on the environment and climate. Due
    countries. They cover interlinked targets             to the greenhouse gas emissions from
    aiming at various aspects of social and               energy conversion and use, there is a close
    economic development for the entire global            link between SDG7 and the Nationally
    population while taking into account                  Determined Contributions (NDCs), i.e. the
    environmental aspects and ensuring a                  greenhouse gas reduction plans submitted
    sustainable use of resources.                         by all countries under the Paris Agreement.
    Against this background, the SDG7 aims at             The specific targets and related indicators as
    ensuring universal access to affordable,              defined for monitoring the progress towards
    reliable, sustainable and modern energy for           reaching the SDG7 are summarised in Table
    all (UNDP 2018a). This goal aims at enabling          1

    Table 1:    SDG7 – Targets and indicators

    Targets                                              Indicators

    7.1 By 2030, ensure universal access to               7.1.1 Proportion of population with access to
        affordable, reliable and modern energy                  electricity
        services                                          7.1.2 Proportion of population with primary
                                                                reliance on clean fuels and technology
    7.2   By 2030, increase substantially the share of    7.2.1 Renewable energy share in the total final
          renewable energy in the global energy mix             energy consumption
    7.3   By 2030, double the global rate of              7.3.1 Energy intensity measured in terms of
          improvement in energy efficiency                      primary energy and GDP
    7.a   By    2030,     enhance      international      7.a.1 Mobilised amount of United States dollars
          cooperation to facilitate access to clean             per year starting in 2020 accountable
          energy research and technology, including             towards the $100 billion commitment
          renewable energy, energy efficiency and
          advanced and cleaner fossil fuel
          technology, and promote investment in
          energy infrastructure and clean energy
          technology
    7.b By 2030, expand infrastructure and                7.b.1 Investments in energy efficiency as a
        upgrade technology for supplying modern                 percentage of GDP and the amount of
        and sustainable energy services for all in              foreign direct investment in financial
        developing countries, in particular least               transfer for infrastructure and technology
        developed      countries,    small   island             to sustainable development services
        developing     states     and   landlocked
        developing countries, in accordance with
        their respective programmes of support
    Source: UNDP (2018b)

8
The progress towards reaching the SDG7 is       supply solutions which are needs-oriented
currently monitored based on a Multi-Tier       and at the same time sustainable.
Framework (MTF) for assessing electricity
                                                Structure of this report
access conditions on national level. So far,
the focus of the MTF has been mainly on         This report is structured as follows:
the basic electricity needs of private          Subsequent to this introductory section,
households, for example for the provision       chapter 2 provides an overview over the
of lighting, clean cooking solutions or basic   concepts and instruments which are
communication services such as mobile           currently used to monitor SDG7.
phone charging.
                                                Chapter 3 outlines the linkages between
However, economic development and the           SDG7 and global climate change strategies
increase of welfare for the population have     and highlights the significance of industrial
a high priority, especially in developing and   development and productive uses of
emerging countries, and access to               electricity in the context of climate change
electricity is a key catalyst for enhancing     abatement and sustainable energy
productivity and enabling economic              strategies.
growth. Economic development and the
emergence and extension of commercial           Chapter 4 presents the major part of the
and industrial uses of electricity are          analysis. It starts with a critical assessment
generally related to an increased energy        of the existing MTF and examines to what
demand. This inevitably leads to growing        extent the present framework suffices to
greenhouse gas emissions if no strategies       represent the requirements related to the
for developing a clean and sustainable          productive use of electricity in developing
energy supply are implemented at the            and emerging economies (section 4.1). On
same time.                                      this basis, an extension of the present MTF
                                                matrix, i.e. a seamless assessment
Therefore, strategies and monitoring            framework capturing the basic electricity
frameworks for enhanced energy access           access needs of households as well as the
should consider the needs of both,              more challenging technical specifications
households and commercial and industrial        needed for various productive uses of
applications, and should be closely linked      electricity is developed (section 4.2). To
to climate change policies and strategies       this end, as a first step, the general
for sustainable energy supply.                  electricity access requirements of various
Goal of this study                              commercial and industrial activities are
                                                outlined and the present electricity access
Against this background, it is the goal of
                                                conditions in developed and developing
this study to review the present
                                                countries are contrasted. Then, to allow for
methodology for monitoring the SDG7
                                                a transparent and systematic classification
targets and to develop an approach for
                                                of the large range of possible productive
monitoring access to electricity which
                                                uses of electricity, major commercial and
considers the significant role of productive
                                                industrial activities are grouped according
uses of electricity in developing and
                                                to typical production processes and the
emerging economies. By adding to a better
                                                associated electricity access requirements.
understanding of the electricity access
                                                On this basis a possible extension of the
needs of different consumer types, the
                                                MTF matrix is developed.
results further aim to support the
implementation of sustainable energy            Chapter 5 concludes the study and
strategies, i.e. the development of energy      provides an outlook on potential further
                                                activities.

                                                                                                 9
2 CONCEPTS AND INSTRUMENTS FOR MONITORING
       SDG7

     In order to monitor the progress towards             Energy Progress Report' (formerly known as
     achieving SDG 7 and to allow for a systematic        Global Tracking Framework GTF), the
     planning of the transformation of the energy         progress of all countries for the three main
     sectors and development of corresponding             SDG7 targets 7.1-7.3 (cf. Table 1) is assessed
     investment strategies on national level,             annually. The reports are hosted by the
     suitable assessment tools are required. In           World Bank’s Energy Sector Management
     this regard, different reporting formats and         Assistance     Programme       (ESMAP)       in
     analytical frameworks have been developed.           cooperation with the International Energy
                                                          Agency (IEA), the International Renewable
     On global level, the Economic and Social
                                                          Energy Agency (IRENA), the UN Statistical
     Council (ECOSOC) of the United Nations
                                                          Department and the World Health
     prepares annual reports for the UN
                                                          Organisation. The quantification of the
     Secretary-General to evaluate the overall
                                                          indicators draws upon different data sources
     progress towards the SDG targets (UN 2016,
                                                          compiled by the respective custodian
     UN 2017, UN 2018a). Further, within the
                                                          agencies assigned for each indicator (see Box
     framework of the ‘Tracking SDG7: The
                                                          1 below)

      Box 1: Data sources and methodology used for monitoring the indicators for the SDG7 (Tracking
      SDG7)

      The indicator access to electricity is measured based on the World Bank’s Global Electrification
      Database (GED) (The World Bank 2016a). This database draws upon household survey data and
      contains data from 144 countries for the timeframe for 1990–2017. Additionally, data from the Socio-
      Economic Database for Latin America and the Caribbean (CEDLAS SEDLAC 2017) and the Europe and
      Central Asia Poverty Database (ECAPOV) (The World Bank 2016c) are regarded. The custodian agency
      is the World Bank.
      The access to clean fuels is monitored based on household survey data of the World Health
      Organization (WHO), which are compiled in the WHO Household Energy database (WHO 2018). The
      survey covers household energy use for cooking, lighting and heating in 157 countries. The indicator
      measures the exposure of the population to pollutants released by burning fuels such as wood,
      charcoal, crop waste, coal, dung or kerosene. The custodian agency is the WHO.
      To calculate the percentage share of renewable energy (RE) in total final energy consumption (TFEC),
      data from the IEA World Energy Balances database (IEA 2018) and the United Nations Statistics
      Division (UNSD) are used. The custodian agencies for this indicator are the IEA, the International
      Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) and UNSD.
      The level of energy efficiency (EE) is calculated based on the IEA World Energy Balances data and the
      World Bank’s World Development Indicators (WDI) (The World Bank 2018b). For countries not
      covered by these databases, information is supplemented by the UNSD. The indicator is expressed as
      the ratio of TFEC to GDP (measured at purchasing power parity at constant 2011 US dollars) in order
      to capture the energy consumption per unit of economic output. The respective custodian agencies
      are the IEA and UNSD.

10
•   The ‘State of the Electricity Access’
On the country level, member states
                                                      report (SEAR) (ESMAP 2018a) which
voluntarily prepare national progress
reports on the status of the SDGs (Voluntary          serves as a periodical stocktaking of the
National Reviews) which are compiled on the           status and nature of progress on the
Sustainable     Development      Knowledge            issue of access to energy services. The
Platform of the UN (2018c). Beyond                    SEAR was first published in 2017 and
reporting on the progress towards the SGD             examines the critical role of energy in
targets, these national reports also include          achieving the SDGs. It provides a
background information on national policy             snapshot of the status of electricity
measures at varying levels of detail.                 access worldwide, based on the GTF.

However, the most established initiative for      •   The ‘Global Renewable Energy Policies
tracking the global progress on energy                and Measures Database’ hosted by the
access and the quality of energy services is          IEA and IRENA (IEA and IRENA 2018)
the Multi-Tier Framework (MTF), which is              compiles current information on energy-
part of the ‘Sustainable Energy for All’              related     policies   and     measures
(SEforALL) ‘Global Knowledge Hub’ hosted              implemented in IEA member countries
by ESMAP. The MTF provides a quantitative             for the reduction of greenhouse gas
assessment of the status of energy access             emissions, the improvement of energy
based on global survey data. Together with            efficiency and the support of renewable
the Energy Progress Report, the MTF                   energy deployment.
constitutes the main SEforALL access              •   The ‘Renewables Global Status Report’
indicator and a primary source for tracking           (REN21 2018) published by REN21, a
SDG7. The MTF is discussed in detail in               global renewable energy policy network,
section 4.                                            provides an overview over the trends
Beyond the direct reporting on the status             and developments of renewable energy
quo regarding the SDG7 goal attainment,               markets, investments and policies
there are numerous assessment frameworks              worldwide.
for the evaluation of national energy             •   The ‘Climate Scope Index’ (Bloomberg
systems,      policies    and      regulatory         New Energy Finance 2018) published by
environments for sustainable energy                   Bloomberg New Energy Finance is a
transitions. To mention just a few prominent          composite indicator that provides
examples:                                             country-level data on the framework
•   The     ‘Regulatory      Indicators     for       conditions for clean energy and climate-
    Sustainable Energy’ (RISE 2018), a                related investments as well as low-
    benchmarking tool that was developed              carbon technology value chains in 71
    by the World Bank to measure the                  countries worldwide.
    progress towards establishing the
    necessary policy and regulatory
    frameworks for promoting sustainable
    energy. It covers 27 indicators across 111
    countries.

                                                                                                  11
3 LINKAGES BETWEEN SDG7 AND GLOBAL CLIMATE
       CHANGE POLICIES

     The goals of SDG7 are strongly linked with      Determined Contributions (NDCs) developed
     other political agendas and national policies   in the framework of the Paris Agreement
     such as climate protection and economic         (section 4.1) and the relevance of industrial
     development, which highlights the relevance     development and the productive use of
     of closer alignment and coordination. The       energy in the context of the SDG7 (section
     following section thus provides an overview     4.2).
     over the relevance of the Nationally

     3.1 The Paris Agreement and ‘Nationally Determined
         Contributions’
     In 2015, not only the ‘2030 Agenda for          improve basic infrastructure supply for the
     Sustainable Development’ with its 17            population and ameliorate the basis for
     Sustainable Development Goals (UN 2018b)        economic        development.          However,
     was adopted by the countries of the UN          discrepancies between the two agendas
     General Assembly but also the Paris             might also occur if energy access is increased
     Agreement on combatting climate change          without considering renewable energy and
     was ratified by the members of the United       energy efficiency targets or if efforts towards
     Nations Framework Convention on Climate         industrial development are not embedded in
     Change (UNFCCC). Both frameworks                strategies for the efficient use of resources.
     constitute significant achievements towards     Other potential conflicts might concern land-
     establishing a sustainable future and strong    use for the deployment of renewable
     interlinkages exist between them. An            energies that could conflict with targets of
     inherently strong synergy exists between the    ecological conservation or food security.
     targets of SDG7 (cf. Table 1) and climate       Therefore, a careful alignment and
     change mitigation strategies, as energy         coordination of the agendas is required.
     conversion and energy use account for a
                                                     Process and methodology for deriving NDCs
     significant share of global greenhouse gas
     emissions.                                      Negotiations before the Paris Agreement
                                                     focused on a top-down approach to establish
     Dependence on fossil fuels for energy
                                                     mandatory emission reductions but were
     generation and the associated CO2 emissions
                                                     impeded by distributional conflicts among
     are a major driver for climate change and
                                                     developed and developing countries. In
     breaking this dependence through transition
                                                     contrast, the bottom-up concept envisioned
     to renewable energy usage (SDG7 target 7.2)
                                                     since the COP21 acknowledges the
     is a major component of national climate
                                                     importance of domestic politics and a
     action plans. The same applies to
                                                     framework was created that allows the
     improvements in energy efficiency (SDG7
                                                     participating countries to make voluntary
     target 7.3) which is an important climate
                                                     pledges. This allows the national
     change measure, especially if combined with
                                                     governments to determine what they can
     the expansion of renewable energy usage.
                                                     contribute to the collective mitigation effort
     Enhancing access to energy (SDG target 7.1)
                                                     (Falkner 2016).
     especially is a main development goal for
     many low-income countries which aim to

12
Prior to the COP21 and the ratification of the    Parties agreed on information to be provided
Paris Agreement, all countries were asked to      by parties when communicating their INDCs.
submit national climate plans, the so-called      However, the document has provided
intended          nationally       determined     limited guidance on NDC elaboration.
contributions (INDCs) in the Lima Call for        Countries have been free to choose whether
Climate Action. The term INDC was                 or not to consider adaptation (Decision
introduced at COP19 in Warsaw in 2013             1/CP.20, paragraph 12); how to interpret
where countries agreed to “initiate or            ‘clarity, transparency, and understanding’
intensify domestic preparations for their         (paragraph 13); how to formulate a
intended          nationally       determined     mitigation contribution (paragraph 14); and
contributions” to be submitted by the first       how to consider its contribution to be ‘fair
quarter to 2015 (UNFCCC 2013 Decision             and ambitious’ (paragraph 14).
1/CP.19, paragraph 2). In this context
                                                  As a result of this limited guidance, the
“nationally determined” means that
                                                  submitted NDCs vary significantly in the
contributions will be developed by countries
                                                  information they present. Many NDCs
in accordance with domestic policies, rather
                                                  explicitly specify GHG reductions targets in
than      determined       collectively   and
                                                  absolute or relative terms, but some only
“contribution” refers to the global objective
                                                  indicate general actions to be undertaken, or
to “achieve the stabilization of greenhouse
                                                  pledges framed in terms of technology goals
gas concentrations in the atmosphere”
                                                  (Bakkergaard et al. 2015).
according to the definition of UNFCCC 1992.
Article 3 of the Paris Agreement requests the     The actions contained in all NDCs represent
submission       and     implementation     of    the collective global effort, which will
ambitious NDCs and their advancement over         determine      whether     the     long-term
time and also acknowledges the necessity to       temperature goal of the Paris Agreement will
provide support to developing countries.          be     achieved.    However,      the     UN
Article 4 goes into detail on the NDCs. Each      Environment’s Emissions Gap Report 2017
country should be enabled to determine the        concludes that the NDC pledges submitted
type and scope of the intended actions to         so far cover only about one third of the
combat climate change taking into account         emissions reductions needed to be on a
national circumstances.                           least-cost pathway to reach the global target
                                                  of “well below 2°C” (UNEP 2017).
The     Paris   Agreement        subsequently
established the requirement that all              Opportunities and challenges when linking
countries should increase their climate           NDCs and SDG7
actions communicated in the INDCs every
subsequent five years (Article 4.9) and the       The global gap and the lack of ambition and
agreement expects new pledges to raise the        political commitment regarding climate
overall ambition level (Article 4.3).             action is partly due to the fact that, in many
Since the COP23 in November 2017 there are        developing countries the NDC framework
currently 180 parties that ratified and signed    plays a minor role for national governments
the Paris agreement. At the point of              or other relevant domestic stakeholders as
ratification the INDCs turn into the nationally   their priorities are focused on improving
determined contributions (NDCs). The NDCs         energy security, reducing poverty and
are recorded in the NDC registry which is         strengthening the economy. Nevertheless,
publicly available (NDC Registry 2018). All       as these are also targets of the SDG agenda,
participating countries are requested to          it appears obvious that a stronger alignment
submit the next round of NDCs (new or             of the SDGs with the NDCs carries a great
updated) by 2020.                                 potential for synergies and could enhance
                                                  national action on all fronts.
In the Lima Call for Climate Action (UNFCCC
2014 Decision 1/CP.20) the Conference of

                                                                                                   13
Several studies have looked into the           and industrial sector to allow for economic
     alignment possibilities of the NDCs and the    growth and improved employment
     SDGs (e.g. Dzebo 2017, Bouyé et al. 2018,      opportunities, rising energy demand and
     Northrop et al. 2016, CDKN 2017). Both         growing CO2 emissions may result in
     agendas recognise the close connection         drawbacks with regard to climate protection
     between climate action and sustainable         goals.
     development. More than half of the
                                                    Also, challenges regarding the aligned
     activities specified in the NDCs globally
                                                    implementation relate to institutional and
     relate to increasing the share of renewable
                                                    procedural issues, as the SDG and NDC
     energy in the energy mix (SDG target 7.2)
                                                    processes are mostly coordinated by
     and more than one third relate to the
                                                    separate    national     institutions    and
     improvement of energy efficiency (SDG
                                                    sometimes lack a consistent political backing
     target 7.3). However, especially low and
                                                    and budget allocation (Bouyé et al. 2018,
     lower middle income countries also have a
                                                    CDKN 2017). To realise potential benefits
     strong focus on activities aiming at
                                                    from the two agendas, countries need to
     enhancing access to energy (SDG target 7.1)
                                                    undertake a systematic process to define
     and actions specified by these countries
                                                    potential benefits and co-benefits at the
     comprise, for example, the construction of
                                                    national and sector levels. Synergy
     power plants, the diffusion of clean cooking
                                                    reinforcement of both processes should be
     solutions, technologies for decentralised
                                                    coordinated at the national level to prevent
     energy supply or efficient appliances and
                                                    double counting and thereby reduce costs.
     lighting solutions (DIE and SEI 2018).
                                                    To align both implementation tracks it is also
     Therefore, the approach to the fulfilment of
                                                    important to link institutional, policy,
     climate change targets has an essential
                                                    financial,    monitoring and reporting
     impact on meeting certain targets of SDGs
                                                    frameworks that have been developed for
     and vice versa (Stechow et al. 2016). Most
                                                    the NDCs and SDGs. In terms of monitoring
     studies thus conclude that the linkages of
                                                    frameworks, developing indicators that help
     climate action and sustainable development
                                                    to track progress across the agendas would
     objectives are co-beneficial but in some
                                                    also be a significant step towards minimising
     cases, the achievement of one target can
                                                    the information management burden on
     also threaten the achievement of another.
                                                    countries (Bouyé et al. 2018).
     Especially in low income countries or lower
     and middle income countries with a strong
     emphasis        on     developing      basic
     infrastructures and building the commercial

14
3.2 Relevance of economic development and industrial growth
    in the context of the SDG7
Looking from a top-down perspective on at                  Furthermore, non-OECD countries show a
economic growth of countries or groups of                  substantially higher energy intensity, i.e.
countries, value added creation (i.e. GDP)                 energy consumption per unit of value added,
primarily takes places in the industrial,                  in comparison to OECD countries (see Figure
tertiary and agricultural sector. With a                   1). This becomes particularly apparent when
compounded average growth rate of 6.1 % in                 looking at the industrial sector: With a value
non-OECD countries as opposed to 1.1 % in                  of 0.2 koe/$ 2 in non-OECD countries and
OECD countries in the timeframe 2000-                      0.08 koe/$ in OECD countries, more than
2017 1, the industrial sectors of developing               twice as much energy is required to produce
countries show a remarkable growth                         one unit of value added in the industrial
dynamic as opposed to industrialised                       sectors of non-OECD countries compared to
nations.                                                   OECD countries.

                           Energy intensity by sectors in OECD and non-OECD countries
                 0.25

                 0.20
    koe / $

                 0.15

                 0.10

                 0.05

                 0.00
                                  Industry                  Services                     Agriculture
              Non OECD              0.20                       0.02                          0.05
              OECD                  0.08                       0.02                          0.10

Source: ENERDATA (2018)

Figure 1:            Energy intensity in OECD and non-OECD countries in 2017

Considering both, the strong expansion of                  considerable growth dynamic, which is
the economic output in the industrial sector               consistent with the figures presented above
of developing countries as well as its higher              regarding energy intensity and economic
energy intensity, its relevance for the total              growth.
energy requirements and the resulting
                                                           Furthermore, the development of public
greenhouse-gas emissions becomes evident.
                                                           infrastructure and the development of an
Figure 2 presents the development of CO2                   industrial sector in developing countries and
emissions in non-OECD countries by sectors                 emerging        economies        unavoidably
in the time period of 2000-2015. The graph                 encompasses the establishment of energy
shows that the industrial sector not only has              intensive industries such as, among others,
the highest contribution to CO2 emissions                  primary metals manufacturing (e.g. steel,
during the whole period, but also shows a                  aluminium, copper), ceramic and non-

_________________________________
1    Calculation based on ENERDATA Global Stat after       2    Calculation of energy intensity based on kilogram
     IEA Energy Statistics, last access 09/2018.                of oil equivalent (koe) per 2015 US$.

                                                                                                                    15
ceramic minerals (e.g. cement, concrete),                   go beyond the consumption of electricity for
     machinery, transport equipment and others.                  private household applications. However,
     These    industries      are, by   nature,                  they also cannot be clearly separated from
     characterized by the dominance of energy                    household electricity needs, especially when
     intensive processes in their production                     small family-run businesses or productive
     chains, and hence the establishment and                     engagements in the informal sector are
     expansion of these economic branches                        concerned. Therefore, there is a flowing
     entails a structural change that strongly                   transition between the utilisation of
     affects climate change abatement and                        electricity in households and by commercial
     sustainability strategies.                                  businesses or service providers in developing
                                                                 and emerging countries.
     From a bottom-up perspective, enhanced
     access to electricity in developing and                     Against this background and considering the
     transition countries catalyses productive                   above described significant impact that the
     uses of electricity and thus promotes                       growing industrial sectors in developing and
     economic development across all sectors.                    emerging economies can have on global CO2
                                                                 emissions, it becomes clear that an
     Productive use of electricity can be defined
                                                                 integrated framework for monitoring and
     as the utilisation of electricity for activities
                                                                 managing the access to sustainable
     which generate a monetary value or, based
                                                                 electricity sources in these countries is
     on a broader definition of the term,
                                                                 necessary.       Furthermore,    access     to
     contribute to an enhanced productivity or
                                                                 sustainable electricity sources is relevant
     increased welfare of the affected population
                                                                 from both, the top-down perspective, i.e. for
     (Kapadia 2014, Brüderle and Bodenheimer
                                                                 large-scale development of commercial
     2011). This may involve a broad range of
                                                                 activities and energy intensive industrial
     activities such as water pumping in
                                                                 branches, and from the bottom-up
     agriculture, water purification, processing of
                                                                 perspective, i.e. to increase the access to
     agricultural products, preservation or
                                                                 electricity for productive engagements on all
     refrigeration of goods, manufacturing of
                                                                 levels. Therefore, it is important to consider
     durable products or provision of various
                                                                 centralized as well as decentralized solutions
     types of services. Therefore, productive uses
                                                                 for electricity supply.

     Source: ENERDATA (2018) - Global Stat after IEA Energy Statistics, last access 09/2018
     Figure 2:    CO2 emissions by sectors in non-OECD countries

16
4 THE MULTI TIER FRAMEWORK FOR MEASURING
  ENERGY ACCESS

The aim of SDG7 is to ensure universal access   The aim of the MTF is “to monitor and
to affordable, reliable, sustainable and        evaluate energy access by following a
modern energy for all. However, defining        multidimensional        approach”       (ESMAP
and tracking the access to energy poses a       2018b). This is done by measuring energy
special challenge. First, in terms of how to    access using a multi-tiered-spectrum which
define affordable, reliable, and modern         ranges from tier 0, which means ‘no access’,
energy services; and second, regarding how      to tier 5, the highest level of access.
to measure the progress toward universal
                                                The four main objectives of the MTF are to:
access.
                                                •   “Establish a global baseline of energy
In order to measure progress towards
                                                    access, starting in 10-15 high access
reaching SDG7, the World Bank established
                                                    deficit countries based on the
the Global Tracking Framework, which
                                                    multifaceted definition according to
presented an initial system for regular
                                                    MTF;
reporting on progress towards reaching
SDG7. However, energy access used to be         •   Transfer capacity to national statistical
defined and measured using binary                   offices to keep tracking progress toward
indicators. That means, measuring whether           SE4ALL goals and SDG in the future and
a household had access to electricity or not.
                                                •   Continue improving tools and capacities
It soon became clear, that such binary
                                                    for tracking progress towards reaching
indicators do not sufficiently depict the
                                                    the SE4ALL objective of universal access
needs of households and businesses.
                                                    to modern energy services by 2030,
Therefore, a more holistic framework for
                                                    based on MTF and;
measuring and defining energy access was
needed.                                         •   Provide reliable data on energy sector
                                                    that can meet the needs of multiple
In order to measure access to energy with a
                                                    stakeholders, including governments,
multidimensional approach that goes
                                                    regulators, utilities, project developers,
beyond a binary assessment, the World
                                                    civil        society        organisations,
Bank/ESMAP developed a Multi-Tier
                                                    developmental        agencies,   financial
approach of energy access. This multi-tier
                                                    institutions, appliance manufacturers,
approach was first introduced in the GTF
                                                    international programs and academia”
2013 Report (SEfor ALL 2013).
                                                    (ESMAP 2018b).
In 2015, the World Bank, within the SEforALL
                                                Based on the GTF 2013, the MTF defines
initiative, finally published the Multi-Tier
                                                three broad areas of energy use. These are
Framework (MTF) for measuring energy
                                                households, productive engagements, and
access, called “Beyond Connections, Energy
                                                community facilities (see Figure 3).
Access Redefined” (Bhatia et al. 2015). The
framework intends to capture not only the       For the index covering the access to energy
existence or non-existence of power supply      for households, three sub-indices are
but to assess whether the available energy      defined: access to electricity, access to
actually meets the requirements as defined      energy for cooking solutions and access to
by the respective use case.                     energy for space-heating solutions.

                                                                                                 17
Source: Bhatia et al. (2015)

     Figure 3:     Hierarchy of energy access indices

     The attributes regarded for the assessment         survey that covered household access to
     of energy access consider the availability,        electricity and clean cooking was initially
     quality, adequacy and affordability of the         implemented in 10-15 high access deficit
     energy and whether access and use are legal,       countries and expanded to a global energy
     safe and healthy.                                  access survey in 15 countries in April 2016.
     The approach is based on the definition of         Regarding energy access for productive
     tiers for different energy use applications. So    applications (see Table 3), the Multi-Tier
     far, the use cases are mainly focused on           Framework is based on the same
     household applications such as lighting,           assumptions concerning connection power
     cooking, air-conditioning or heating (see          and daily available capacity as defined for
     Table 2).                                          households (cf. Table 2). For the five tiers
                                                        describing the levels of energy supply for
     The scores for the different tiers are then
                                                        productive applications the approach
     weighted and aggregated into an overall
                                                        further assumes that tiers 3-5 successively
     index for energy access. The MTF aims to
                                                        also meet the requirements of commercial
     acknowledge progress as households move
                                                        activities and that in tier 5, electricity access
     from lower to higher tiers. The data is
                                                        does not cause significant issues for
     retrieved through a bottom-up assessment
                                                        productive activities (Bhatia et al. 2015).
     based on household surveys (cf. Box 1). The

18
Table 2:       Excerpt from Multi-Tier matrix for access to household electricity supply
                                     Tier 0   Tier 1        Tier 2          Tier 3        Tier 4        Tier 5

 Capacity           Power                     ≥3W           ≥ 50 W          ≥ 200 W       ≥ 800 W       ≥ 2 kW

                    AND Daily                 ≥ 12 Wh       ≥ 200 Wh        ≥ 1.0 kWh     ≥ 3.4 kWh     ≥ 8.2 kWh
                    capacity

                    OR Service                Lighting of   Electrical
                                              1,000 lmhr    lighting, air
                                              per day       circulation,
                                              and phone     television
                                              charging      and phone
                                                            charging
                                                            are
                                                            possible

 Duration           Hours per                 Min 4 hrs     Min 4 hrs       Min 8 hrs     Min 16 hrs    Min 23 hrs
                    day

                    Hours per                 Min 1 hr      Min 2hrs        Min 3 hrs     Min 4 hrs     Min 4 hrs
                    evening

 Reliability                                                                              ≤ 14          ≤3
                                                                                          disruptions   disruptions
                                                                                          per week      per week
                                                                                                        of total
                                                                                                        duration
                                                                                                        < 2hrs

 Quality                                                                                                Voltage
                                                                                                        problems
                                                                                                        do not
                                                                                                        affect use
                                                                                                        of desired
                                                                                                        appliances
Source: Bhatia et al. (2015), p.6

Table 3:       Excerpt from Multi-Tier matrix for energy supply for productive applications
                                    Tier 0    Tier 1        Tier 2          Tier 3        Tier 4        Tier 5

 Availability of Electricity                  Min 2 hrs     Min 4 hrs       Half of the   Most          Almost all
 daily supply                                                               working       working       working
                                                                            hours (min    hours         hours
                                                                            50 %)         (min 75 %)    (min 95 %)
 Reliability                                                                              Reliability   No
                                                                                          issues with   reliability
                                                                                          moderate      issues or
                                                                                          impact        little (or
                                                                                                        no)
                                                                                                        impact
 Quality                                                                                  Quality       No quality
                                                                                          issues with   issues or
                                                                                          moderate      little (or
                                                                                          impact        no)
                                                                                                        impact
Source: Bhatia et al. (2015), p.13

                                                                                                                      19
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