Net-Zero 1 - Community Event - Lake Preston - August 30, 2021 - Gevo
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WELCOME & INTRODUCTIONS A-1 DEVELOPMENT SOLUTIONS JUHL ENERGY • Ty Eschenbaum, Partner • Clay Norrbom, Juhl Energy • Aaron Thibert, Juhl Energy GEVO • Patrick Gruber, CEO • Paul Bloom, Chief Carbon Officer • Tony Wells, Site-Leader & General Manager • Andy Carlson, Plant Engineer • Natalie Mason, Commercial Area Leader • Daniel Koch, Operations Area Lead • Kimberly Bowron, Chief People Officer • Heather Manuel, VP of Investor Relations & Communications • Karen O’Brien, Sustainability Engineering Manager 3
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS Any statements in this presentation about our future expectations, plans, outlook and prospects, and other statements containing the words “believes,” “anticipates,” “plans,” “estimates,” “expects,” “intends,” “may” and similar expressions, constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including risks relating to: our Net-Zero 1 project and other projects; the success of our sales and production efforts in support of the commercialization of our products; our growth plans and strategies; our technologies; the sizes of markets for our products; the benefits and characteristics of our products, including CI score and reductions in greenhouse gas emissions; our ability to obtain and maintain certifications related to our products; our ability to enter into additional contracts to sell our products; the status of our contract discussions and negotiations; memoranda of understanding, discussions and negotiations relating to potential projects; our ability to raise funds to continue operations or fund growth projects; our projected revenues or sales; our ability to perform under current or future contracts; our ability to become profitable; our projections of internal rates of return on investments for our projects; and other factors discussed in the “Risk Factors” of our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020 and in other filings that we periodically make with the SEC. In addition, the forward-looking statements included in this investor presentation represent our views as of the date of this investor presentation. Important factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those indicated or implied by forward-looking statements, and as such we anticipate that subsequent events and developments will cause our views to change. However, while we may elect to update these forward-looking statements at some point in the future, we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so. These forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any date subsequent to the date of this investor presentation 4
GAINING PERSPECTIVE It’s the burning of fossil carbon to make electricity, to heat buildings and production processes, and for transportation that generates the vast majority of GHG emissions Electricity demand is going to go up: • 30% of people in the world don’t have access to electricity • Demand in transportation sector will increase Source: OurWorldinData.org 6
LIQUID FUELS ARE IN OUR FUTURE…THE QUESTION IS HOW MUCH? Current EIA Projection of Hypothetical Projection Assuming Transportation sector consumption (by fuel) Significant Penetration Of Electrification* quadrillion British thermal units quadrillion British thermal units 30 2019 2019 30 history projections history projections 25 25 20 20 motor gasoline 15 motor gasoline 15 distillate fuel oil distillate fuel oil 10 10 jet fuel jet fuel electricity 5 5 electricity other 0 other 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2020, Reference Case *Hypothetical case based on EIA numbers and data from Rhodium Group Study 2020. The penetration rate of electrification is highly uncertain. 7
ENORMOUS TOTAL ADDRESSABLE MARKET Total Market 80%+ EV Scenario (Low Estimate) Single Net-Zero Plant Capacity • Gevo expects to be able to change the mix of jet fuel and gasoline production with a catalyst change • Jet fuel is uniquely reliant on low-carbon replacements to achieve net-zero (cannot be replaced by EVs) • Increasing value for Gevo’s isooctane for both low-carbon attributes, and as a high-quality blendstock to upgrade to premium gasoline (vehicle get better mileage, less smog, etc.) 888 Billion 245 Billion 46 Million gallons per year gallons per year(3) gallons per year(1) 2050E Global Liquid Fuels Demand Required in 80% EV Planned Capacity of One Gevo Net-Zero plant 2030E Global Liquid Fuels Demand Scenario(2) Represents 0.02% of Market in 80%+ EV Scenario(2) (1) Source: BP Energy Outlook 2020. Reflects Business-as-usual scenario. (2) Based on BP Energy Outlook 2020. Net Zero scenario assumes that global carbon emissions fall by over 95% by 2050 broadly in line with a range of scenarios limiting temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius. Net Zero assumes EV adoption rate of 80%+ and renewable energy share of ~59% by 2050E. Based on Project Net-Zero 1 planned capacity. 8
BURNING OF FOSSIL FUEL RELEASES FOSSIL CARBON Liquid Hydrocarbons are a Terrific Energy Carrier; Infrastructure Already Exists Isooctane (gasoline) Burning to release energy! Carbon Dioxide Water Jet Fuels 9
MOVING BEYOND NET-ZERO: SEQUESTRATION OF CARBON Inherent Energy of Concentrating CO2 and Putting the Energy Process Energy Back into the Fuels (Reverse of Burning) Isooctane (gasoline) Requires renewable carbon and renewable energy to achieve Net-Zero Carbon Dioxide Water To Move Beyond Net-Zero GHG’s Jet Fuels Capture of CO2 Capture of CO2 Capture of CO2 during production from production during energy of raw materials production 10
THINKING ABOUT CARS: WHAT IF WE COULD ELIMINATE THE FUEL EMISSIONS OF CARS ON A FULL LIFE CYCLE BASIS? Lithium Battery Other Manufacturing Fuel Related Emissions Source: ICCT, “Effects of battery manufacturing on electric vehicle life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions”, Feb 2018 11
IF WE USE A NET-ZERO FUEL, IT’S CONCEIVABLE! Lithium Battery Other Manufacturing Fuel Related Emissions Source: Adapted from ICCT, “Effects of battery manufacturing on electric vehicle life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions”, Feb 2018 by eliminating the tailpipe GHG emissions to make a point. 12
GEVO – WHAT WE DO & OUR VISION
CHANGING WHAT IS POSSIBLE: CREATING A LOW-CARBON FUTURE • We intend to Transform renewable energy sources into a “drop in” fungible TRANSFORM RENEWABLE hydrocarbons for fuels and chemicals ENERGY INTO LIQUIDS (liquid hydrocarbons, such as jet fuel and gasoline, as well as ingredients for plastics, rubber, specialty chemicals products, and food chain products) • We intend to manage carbon and sustainability across the whole business ENABLES DECARBONIZATION OF FOOD, system FUELS, CHEMICALS AND MATERIALS • We are developers and investors in biogas, wind electricity, in addition to hydrocarbons 24 14
HIGH-VALUE PROTEIN, DROP-IN GASOLINE, JET FUEL, AND OTHER HYDROCARBONS WITH NET-ZERO GHG EMISSIONS WHEN BURNED High-Value Protein (Pet Nutrition/Aquaculture )(1) & Oil Raw Materials Jet Fuel § Proven technology in production and product use § The value of carbon can now be priced Renewable Premium Gasoline (Isooctane)(2) § We believe we have customer demand to require multiple large plants § We are using a Take-or-Pay Oxygenated Blendstocks for Gasoline(Isobutanol) contract approach, Most carbohydrate-based raw successfully, with customers material can work Diesel (Future Intent) (1) Added to end products (2) Certain regulatory approvals required in some jurisdictions. 15
CREATING A LOW-CARBON BUSINESS SYSTEM GEVO’S BUSINESS SYSTEMS, FROM RAW MATERIALS TO RENEWABLE FUELS, EXEMPLIFIES THE CIRCULAR ECONOMY IN ACTION Fossil GHG Emissions Driving the Life-cycle GHG’s Emissions of Jet, 100g/MJ CO2 Emissions Gasoline, and Diesel to Net Zero Re n ew Re Fe ab ne e d le w s t Ca ab oc rb k on le En er gy 0g/MJ CO2 Emissions Soil Carbon Capture has Potential to Drive to Negative Life-Cycle GHG Emissions 16
DEMAND IS INCREASING: WE BETTER THINK BIGGER, SOONER Market Traction 46 MMGPY 54 MMGPY ~900 MMGPY Planned Capacity of Total Volumes in Total Volumes Single Gevo Contract Currently Renewable Fuels Development Contracted Plant(4) Pipeline ~$1.6 billion >$20 billion Take-or-Pay offtake Take-or-Pay Offtake Other Off-Takes(3) (negotiations and (signed)(1) discussions)(2) Gasoline Global City of Seattle Companies Jet Fuel Global Companies (1) The estimate is based on certain revenue assumptions in the contracts, including the value of certain environmental credits and the sales price of the fuel. This estimate represents the revenue over the entire term of the contracts (2) Calculated as in (1) and represents an estimate of potential outcomes depending on discussions and negotiations. There can be no guarantee that any of these contracts get executed and close. They are being discussed and/or negotiated (3) Includes distributors and end customers 17 (4) Based on Project Net-Zero 1
KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION Cash, Cash Equivalents, Restricted Cash, ~$567 million (6/30/2021) and Marketable Securities Debt ~$67 million (6/30/21) Common Shares Outstanding ~198 million (6/30/2021) 18
PROJECT DESCRIPTION & STATUS Tony Wells, Site-Leader & General Manager Andy Carlson, Net-Zero Operations
PROJECT NET-ZERO 1 SUMMARY ENGINEERING WORK IS ON TRACK---WE ARE CONTINUING WORKING THROUGH OPTIMIZATIONS Site – Key Milestones Overview § Optioned Lake Preston site; site is ~240 acres § Fuel products are expected to achieve a net-zero GHG footprint § Conditional Use Permits approved for site and wind across the whole life cycle(1) farm: 2H 2021 § Environmental permitting on schedule: 1H 2022 § Fuels produced from abundant, sustainable corn feedstock, while producing high-value protein products and corn oil § Planned construction start: 1H 2022 § Planned Start-Up: 1H 2024 § Waste-water treatment and on-site biogas production is currently planned. On-site biogas production is expected to meet the thermal demand for the plant. Financing, Commercial, Engineering & Construction § A separate but related wind power project is being developed to meet the majority of the NZ1 electricity demand. This wind project § Development costs & construction equity fully funded would be “wired” directly to NZ1 by Gevo § Project debt financing expected close: 1H 2022 § Green Hydrogen is expected to be made from water and renewable § Capacity sold-out using take-or-pay contracts electricity § Engineering, Procurement & Construction (EPC) firm engaged in front-end engineering and design § Optionality to bring additional RNG § Project delivery contract (EPC) in negotiation (1) Based on full cradle-to-cradle analysis using Argonne National Laboratories GREET model. Includes agricultural practices, energy sources, supply chain, and end fate of product. 20
LAKE PRESTON SITE Feed Loading Grain Receiving Fuel Loading • Infrastructure • Roads • Water • Wastewater • Natural Gas • Electricity Truck Entrance Process Isobutanol, Hydrocarbon (Jet Fuel & Gasoline), Hydrogen 21
ENVIRONMENTAL, HEALTH, AND SAFETY (EH&S) • Environmental Permitting • Air • Wastewater • Other • Health • Acute • Chronic • Safety • Process Safety Management (PSM) • Personnel 22
COMMERCIAL IMPACT Natalie Mason, Commercial Area Leader
SCOPE OF NET-ZERO 1 – PRODUCT OVERVIEW An “Off-the-Grid” Renewable Protein, Oil, Chemical and Hydrocarbon Plant** +340 Million lbs of Value-added Nutritional Protein Products ~30 Million lbs of Vegetable oil Production Processes ~44 Million lbs of IBA Residual Starch Low Carbon Corn Slurry ~30 Million Bu Protein & Oil Chemical/Hydrocarbon ~46 Million Gallons of (1.68B lbs) Production Hydrocarbons (Jet and Gasoline) Waste-Water Biogas Water Electricity Hydrogen Biogas On-Site Off-Site Wind On-Site Renewable Electricity Electricity Water Treatment/Biogas Production Hydrogen Production Production Production Energy, Utilities, Water Processes *Currently Planned for Lake Preston, volumes of inputs and products are subject to change. **The plant would be connected to the grid to supply energy to the grids, and also to take energy from the grids if needed. The plant is being designed to be self sufficient for its energy between what can be generated on-site and from the planned off-site wind farm. Gevo may also bring RNG to the plant from its RNG 24 project.
CORN DEMAND • ~30 million bushels of corn required to meet off-take obligations • 15 day of corn storage will be part of the original site plan: currently exploring potential ground pile opportunities during harvest each year • Gevo wants to buy bushels directly from farmers and commercial elevators within 40-mile radius 25
RENEWABLE FUEL PRODUCTS Renewable Gasoline Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) • A drop-in, high-octane, gasoline blendstock • Lower freezing point than petro-jet • Meets existing gasoline specifications • Higher energy density than petro-jet • No changes need to be made to pipelines, storage, • Very low sulfur means lower sulphur oxides (SOx) blending and engines • SAF energy density is higher than petro-jet with the • Higher energy with the potential for more miles per gallon potential for more miles per gallon of fuel, or more • Less corrosivity for less wear and tear on certain types of weight might be carried by a plane. engines 26
OPERATIONS/PROCESS Daniel Koch, IBA Area Leader
PROCESS FLOW AT NET-ZERO 1 – TO ENSURE CARBON NEUTRAL OPERATIONS 28
EMPLOYMENT & HIRING Kimberly Bowron, Chief People Officer
EMPLOYMENT & HIRING At Gevo, we are committed to creating the culture that allows people to not only do their best work but to also secure a green future for the world The NZ1 construction is expected to employ ~1000 people The permanent regional employment impact is estimate to be over 900 jobs (~70 Full Time Employees on NZ1 site) 30
GREAT JOBS AND GREAT BENEFITS • Maintenance Techs • Purchasing • Quality and Lab Services • Plant Operators and Shift Leaders • Corn Processing • Human Resources and Accounting 24/7 Operation • Engineers • Logistics and Purchasing 70 Full Time Employees Overnight shift available 31
WIND PROJECT Clay Norrbom, Juhl Energy
JUHL ENERGY – WIND PROJECT PROJECT SPECIFICS – “Kingsbury County Wind Fuel” • Up to 60 MW Electrical Capacity • Will be directly interconnected to feed the NZ1 Plant’s electrical needs • Will utilize up to twenty wind turbines, such as the GE 3.03 MW • 81 meter or 98 meter hub height (based on FAA and siting considerations) • 140 meter rotor diameter • Capitalizes on strong locally available wind resource • Average annual wind speed estimated at 8.3 meters/second (18.6 miles/hour) • Annual Average Energy Production of approx. 240,000 MWH/year • Turbine siting will incorporate good neighbor principles to reduce impacts on neighbors • Juhl and Gevo successfully collaborated together to build wind turbines near Gevo’s Luverne, MN facility • Juhl has a long history of developing smaller and community-based wind projects like this project 33
Purpose of Gevo’s outreach FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT GEVO These short videos explain more about Gevo, our process, business system, and how we think about sustainability NET ZERO 1 (1:52): https://vimeo.com/540736374 PAST Gevo – Solving Energy (2:00): https://vimeo.com/531083659 Working Toward Zero Carbon Footprint (2:46): https://vimeo.com/440219829 Food and Fuel (1:19): https://vimeo.com/440220247 Where we are so far (1:21): https://vimeo.com/416215170 Our Process (1:01): https://vimeo.com/416215010 Replacing Fossil Based Carbon (2:07): https://vimeo.com/396232536 Farming Carbon & Soil Conservation (1:54): https://vimeo.com/379773448 FUTURE Sustainable Jet Fuel (1:59): https://vimeo.com/379896308 Partners with Mother Nature (1:49): https://vimeo.com/416215170 Going After the Whole Gallon(0:50): https://vimeo.com/451342705 We are Recycling Carbon (0:45): https://vimeo.com/451341985 Our Circular Economy (0:48): https://vimeo.com/451341499 www.gevo.com 34
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