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NCIS - data quality and its ability to provide timely and accurate information on work-related traumatic fatalities in Australia NATIONAL OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH AND SAFETY COMMISSION Canberra, Australia
December 2002 FURTHER INFORMATION AND USE OF THIS PUBLICATION Commonwealth of Australia 2001 ISBN 0 642 70594 1 This work is copyright. It may be reproduced in whole or part subject to the inclusion of an acknowledgment of the source and no commercial usage or sale. Reproduction for purposes other than those indicated above require the written permission of the Commonwealth available through AusInfo. Requests and inquiries should be addressed to the Manager, Legislative Services, AusInfo, GPO Box 1920, Canberra ACT 2601. The suggested citation is: NCIS - data quality and its ability to provide timely and accurate information on work-related traumatic fatalities in Australia. National Occupational Health and Safety Commission: December 2002. ii
TABLE OF CONTENTS TABLE OF CONTENTS iii LIST OF TABLES v LIST OF FIGURES vi EXECUTIVE SUMMARY vii Introduction vii Main findings vii Conclusions viii INTRODUCTION 10 AIMS 11 METHODS 11 Approval for Access 11 Access Via the Web 11 Speed of Access 12 Identification of Work-Related Cases 14 Data Used in the Review 14 Final Selection Criteria 16 Merging Files 16 Identifying Work-Related Fatalities 16 Analysis 17 RESULTS 18 General Description of Overall File 18 Overall Reporting 18 Identifying Work-Related Cases 19 Inspection of the Police Description of Circumstances 19 NCIS Activity at the Time of the Incident 22 Basic Description 22 Validity 22 NCIS Work-Related Data Element 23 Basic Description 23 Validity 24 Final Decision on Work-Related Fatalities 26 Assessment of the Coverage of Work-Related Fatalities 27 Cases with an Appropriate Police Description of Circumstances 27 Comparison Between the NCIS, NDS and WRF2 28 Using the NCIS Activity at the Time of the Incident 32 iii
Using the NCIS Work-Relatedness Data Element 32 Basic Review of Main Data Elements 32 Problems with Case Type and Intent 34 DISCUSSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS 35 Overall 35 Identification of Work-related Fatalities 35 Areas for Improvements 36 CONCLUSIONS 36 REFERENCES 38 ABBREVIATIONS 39 APPENDIX ONE 40 iv
LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Data elements useful for identifying work-related cases ....................................................... 13 Table 2: External cause deaths by jurisdiction of Coroner's investigation. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Actual and expected1. Number and percent. ............................................................ 18 Table 3: Presence and adequacy of police description of circumstances of external cause deaths. By jurisdiction. Only external cause deaths with a known mechanism. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number and percent..................................................................................... 19 Table 4: Presence and adequacy of police description of circumstances of external cause deaths. By jurisdiction and mechanism. Only external cause deaths with a known mechanism. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number and percent.......................................... 20 Table 5: Classification on the basis of the police description of circumstance. External cause deaths. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number and per cent. ................................................ 21 Table 6: NCIS activity at the time of incident. External cause deaths. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number and per cent................................................................................................. 22 Table 7: Comparison of NCIS activity at the time of incident with the work-related classification on the basis of the police description of circumstance. Only files with an adequate police description. External cause deaths. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number. ............................................................................................................................... 23 Table 8: NCIS work-related data element. External cause deaths. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number and per cent............................................................................................................ 24 Table 9: Comparison of NCIS activity at the time of incident with NCIS work-related data element. External cause deaths. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number. ............................. 24 Table 10: Comparison of NCIS work-related data element with work-related classification on the basis of the police description of circumstance. Only files with an adequate police description. External cause deaths. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number. ............. 25 Table 11: Final classification of work-related status of cases. External cause deaths. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number and per cent. ................................................................................ 26 Table 12: Comparison of proportion of classifiable NCIS files that were work-related to classified proportions of work-related deaths from WRF2. External cause deaths. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Per cent. .................................................................................... 28 Table 13: Number of fatalities in Australian jurisdictions, excluding QLD. Data was recorded in 1999-2000 in the NCIS and NDS. WRF2 data is the average for 1989-1992. ................ 29 Table 14: Percentage of fatalities in Australian jurisdictions, excluding QLD, estimated from thee databases. NCIS and NDS data was recorded in 1999-2000. WRF2 data is the average for 1989-1992. ........................................................................................................ 29 Table 15: Distribution of fatalities by industry in Australian jurisdictions, excluding QLD. Data was recorded in 1999-2000 in the NCIS and NDS. WRF2 data is the average for 1989-1992. ........................................................................................................................... 31 Table 16: Percentage of known status for selected data elements. For all deaths and work- related deaths. External cause deaths. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Per cent..................... 33 v
LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Distribution of fatalities by occupation in Australian jurisdictions, excluding QLD. Data was recorded in 1999-2000 in the NCIS and NDS. WRF2 data is the average for 1989-1992. ..................................................................................................................... 30 vi
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Introduction The National Occupational Health and Safety Commission (NOHSC) has reviewed the content and quality of the National Coroners Information System (NCIS) database with a view to assessing the suitability of the NCIS to provide timely and accurate information on work-related fatalities in Australia. There is currently no on-going and comprehensive source of such information. Australian work-related fatalities recorded between July 2000 and June 2001 in the NCIS were reviewed in this study. Only cases available at end September 2001 were reviewed to determine which were work-related fatalities. Main findings The review found that the NCIS dataset was very large comprising of 3,546 cases. This presented a significant challenge to NOHSC in accessing the cases. Access is normally attained through downloading data from the NCIS website via the Internet. This proved impractical since the process was painstakingly slow and data integrity could not be maintained. NOHSC is grateful to Monash University National Centre for Coronial Information (MUNCCI) for copying the NCIS data to a CD ROM which proved the only practical medium through which NOHSC could access the data to carry out the review and statistical analysis of the full NCIS dataset. Inspection of the NCIS dataset indicated that it was not possible to rely on a single coded data field to adequately identify work-related fatalities. The methodology for identifying all work- related fatalities in Australia required a multi-faceted approach that relied on the police text description of the circumstances surrounding the incident resulting in fatality, the work- relatedness data element and the activity at the time of incident. Some other data fields were also used (e.g. cause of fatality, object causing fatality) where these suggested a work-related fatality. A review of work-related cases identified by police text descriptions of the incident revealed that jurisdiction coverage was very poor especially in NSW (9%) and VIC (30%). The review found that police text descriptions provided adequate information enabling work-relatedness to be determined in only 1 in 4 cases. The adequacy of the text descriptions was poorest in NSW (6%) and VIC (17%) and best in WA (71%) and the ACT (74%). Further analysis of work-related cases identified using police text descriptions where an external cause of injury was present suggested that the adequacy of text descriptions was highly dependent on the circumstances of the incident. Nationally, only 1 in 4 cases with information on external causes had enough information to allow a definitive work-related classification. NOHSC found that overall, reporting of coronial cases by jurisdictions to the NCIS was incomplete. For example, coverage of WA cases was 7% lower than what was expected based on the second work-related study (WRF2, 1998). It was estimated the NCIS was underreporting work-related fatalities in WA and VIC when the National Data Set for Compensation-based Statistics (NDS) is used as the yardstick. The NCIS tended to report more cases in the small jurisdictions such as TAS and NT compared to the NDS. There were significant differences in the distribution of workers by industry and occupation between the NCIS and either the NDS or WRF2. For example, the NCIS had proportionately fewer fatalities than the NDS and WRF2 in the Transport and Storage, Wholesale Trades and vii
Electricity, Gas and Water and Mining industries. Further, fatalities among Labourers and Related Workers in NCIS were proportionately four times those in the NDS or WRF2. Ninety-two of the 3,546 NCIS cases (2.8%) were classified as work-related using the incident activity data element alone. This data element was missing in 340 of the 3,546 cases (9.6%). The work-related data element and the incident activity field identified comparable numbers of work-related fatalities. However, evidence suggests that codes for the work-related data may need refining to further enhance this alignment. The case-status field in the NCIS provides information on whether a coronial inquest is still ongoing (i.e. open case) or complete (i.e. closed case). This review found that main data elements (e.g. incident activity, mechanism, object, occupation and industry) were incomplete in most open cases and cases identified as work-related using the work-related data element. In general, closed cases had better coverage of the main data elements. Among the main data elements, incident activity and place had the highest coverage (80-100%) and occupation and industry both had the lowest (0-0.3%). There was generally a higher chance for a given data element to have text information rather than coded information. For a given data element, there was a higher chance that the information was missing if it related to the secondary or tertiary level of classification. About 169 cases that were identified by NOHSC as working and commuting and 20 bystanders were coded by occupation and industry following the ASCO (ABS 1997) and ANZSIC (ABS 1993) coding systems. The occupation and industry codes will be given to MUNCCI for uploading to the NCIS. Conclusions The review has concluded that the NCIS is not yet able to reliably identify all work-related fatalities in Australia. Notwithstanding, there is no other system in Australia, other than compensation-based systems such as the NDS, capable of identifying such cases. It is suspected that compensation based systems under-report work-related fatalities mainly because most some self-employed (and military personnel) are excluded. Of course, also missing from compensation-based data were cases where no compensation of any kind is paid – e.g. where there were no relatives. The NCIS could potentially be a surveillance system for occupational fatalities providing a wide workforce coverage because it is not restrained by working arrangements or compensation status. The NCIS can potentially provide timely surveillance information about age, gender, external cause of injury and bodily location of injury all of which are important to the detection of emerging injury trends and formulation of appropriate OHS preventive measures as well as the identification of priority areas for further research. Further, the NCIS is potentially capable of providing time series information on a given injury type and therefore information for monitoring the effectiveness of OHS preventive measures. At present, identification of work-related fatalities in the NCIS cannot be reliably achieved on the basis of a single coded data field. Consequently, a time consuming strategy involving a manual comparison of coded values and free text, with external criteria, is required. This situation should improve as a result of changes already adopted by MUNCCI. It is unlikely, however, that within the next twelve month period, the NCIS will achieve the ideal of being a comprehensive source of data on work-related fatalities in Australia. viii
This review has identified a number of improvements necessary to the NCIS before it can be confidently used as a national surveillance system for work-related fatalities in Australia. The review found that of the 3,546 cases recorded in the NCIS, only 2 in 5 were closed cases, meaning that a coronial inquest was complete. Further, only 1 in 3 work-related case was closed. It is therefore strongly recommended that NOHSC continues to have access to all NCIS cases (both open and closed) in order to obtain optimal coverage. NOHSC has produced a separate report which provides a blueprint for statistically analysing and reporting work-related fatalities estimated by the NCIS in the future (NOHSC, 2002). The report is based on work-related fatalities identified using the police text descriptions of the circumstance surrounding the fatal work-related incident. ix
INTRODUCTION Until now, there has been no on-going source of information in Australia providing all work-related fatalities (Moller, 1994; Harrison and Frommer, 1986). The only on- going collected data capable of identifying work-related fatalities is the compensation-based, NDS. It is suspected that the NDS underreport work-related fatalities since it covers conforms to strict work-arrangements, covers only persons in the workforce and does not cover military personnel or some self-employed persons. National surveillance systems for traumatic occupational fatalities exist in OEDC countries such as the USA (Herbert and Landrigan, 2000; NIOSH, 2000; Feyer et al., 2001), the United Kingdom (HSE, 2002) and New Zealand (Langley et al., 1997; Feyer et al., 2001). Since all work-related fatalities are (by definition) external cause fatalities, and all external cause fatalities are supposed to be reported to, and investigated by, a coroner, the coronial system, is potentially a source of information on all work-related traumatic fatalities. This has been the basis for the two work- related fatalities studies conducted by NOHSC, and which provided the only comprehensive and reliable information on work-related fatalities in Australia over the last twenty years. These two studies covered the periods 1982 to 1984 inclusive (Harrison and Frommer, 1986; Harrison et al., 1989) and 1989 to 1992 inclusive (WRF2, 1998). Unfortunately, until very recently, coronial records were paper based and poorly indexed from an injury prevention viewpoint. This meant that identifying fatalities of interest, and extracting the relevant information from the cases files, was very time consuming and resource intensive (Harrison and Frommer, 1986). The work-related fatalities studies, and other similar studies of other public health issues, could therefore only be conducted on an irregular basis. The National Coroners Information System (NCIS) was designed to overcome many of these problems. The NCIS is an electronic database and supporting infrastructure for all coronial cases in Australia (Stathakis and Scott, 1999; Owens and Lightfoot, 2000). The information is provided in the form of coded data elements, structured text and free text, with coding done largely by clerical officers in each coronial office. Data quality and IT integrity is monitored and supported by the managing organisation at Monash University, the Monash University National Centre for Coronial Information (MUNCCI), which is based at the Victorian Coroner’s Court. Development work began on the NCIS in February 1998 (Owens and Lightfoot; 2000). Capital funding of $165,000 was provided by Monash University, and the Victorian Department of Justice provided $165,000. In June 1998 the Commonwealth Department of Health and Aged Care provided development funding of $355,000. Funding for the NCIS for 1999/2000 was received from the Commonwealth, of which NOHSC contributed $50,000 and a proportionate amount from the States and Territories totalling $250,000. The State and Territory figure was calculated at $10,000 base fee plus a fee per population. Commonwealth funding of the NCIS development will continue into the financial year 2002/03 after which a fee-for- service payment system will be considered. NOHSC has been closely involved in the development and implementation of the NCIS since its inception (Owens and Lightfoot; 2000). This is because the NCIS is potentially a very valuable source of information for occupational health and safety purposes. Some of its advantages over other datasets include coverage of all persons 10
regardless of compensation status or work arrangement (i.e. covers self-employed persons) and timeliness, as it is an on-going data collection. With the NCIS now in operation, NOHSC wishes to assess how useful the NCIS, as implemented, is for OHS purposes, and to describe the available information on work-related fatalities recorded in the NCIS. The assessment process has been on going, with identified problems reported to MUNCCI and addressed by them as and when they were able. Therefore, some of the problems or issues documented in this report have already been resolved. This is noted where appropriate. AIMS In May 2001, the Information Committee of NOHSC approved a project to assess the quality and completeness of coverage of work-related fatalities by the NCIS, to code work-related cases in the NCIS by occupation and industry and to prepare a final report on the NCIS project by the end of June 2002. The NCIS project has two main aims. The first aim is to review the adequacy of the NCIS as a source of information on work-related fatalities and to suggest areas of improvement, if relevant. The second aim is to summarise the information on work- related fatalities to provide an up-to-date description of work-related fatalities in Australia. This report focuses on the first aim. The second aim will be covered in a separate report. METHODS The NCIS began operation in 2000. Access was available to external users from 1 July 2001. Cases have been entered systematically from 1 July 2000. Approval for Access Access to the NCIS by external users is only provided after approval by an ethics committee established by MUNCCI and based at Monash University. A second ethics approval, provided by a Western Australian ethics committee, is required for access to data from the Western Australian coronial system. NOHSC provided the first application for external access and received approval from both the Monash University and Western Australian ethics committees. The approval process was thorough, straightforward, and appears appropriate. Access Via the Web The main intended method of obtaining information from the NCIS is via a secure internet connection, entered via the MUNCCI web site (http://www.vifp.monash.edu.au/ncis/). This connection is password protected. The speed and ease of access to the site has been considerably improved since it first began operation, and it now functions well as a source of information on individual cases or small groups of cases selected against specific criteria. However, a number of issues have been identified, and while many of these remain, most are being addressed at the moment. The structure and function of the web site are documented 11
elsewhere by MUNCCI (Owens and Lightfoot; 2000; NCIS, 2002). They are briefly summarised here where necessary to give context to the comments. Speed of Access Access is much easier out of normal business hours, or at least early in the morning and late in the afternoon. It is not unusual for requests for information to be “timed out”, and the connection broken, although this was much more common when a specific request for data extraction from the database was being made than when information from a particular case was being sought. It is not clear to what extent access problems arise from the internet connection as opposed to the set up of the NCIS itself. There are five sections in the NCIS site. The first of these is “Home”, from which the other four sections can be accessed. The “NCIS Search” section allows a specific case to be requested, based on various identifying criteria such as case number, name, age, sex and court. This section also allows queries to be designed, accessed and downloaded. The “Case” section provides access to the five main forms relevant to each case. It is only relevant if a case has already been selected and opened. This is the section that contains the information of interest in the NCIS. The five forms within this section are “Case detail”, “Time location”, “Procedure”, “Mechanism”, and “Linking numbers”. These forms are discussed in more detail later. The key data elements of interest in terms of identifying work-related cases are shown in Table 1. 12
Table 1: Data elements useful for identifying work-related cases Case detail Description Work-relatedness This should be the main coded data element for identifying work-related cases. However, its completion may initially be unreliable for the first 18 months of the system, because the data element was only introduced in late 2001. Case-type (on This is used to distinguish between natural and external cause fatalities. notification and An external cause fatality is defined as any fatality that resulted directly or on completion) indirectly from environmental events or circumstances that caused injury, poisoning and other adverse effects. All other fatalities are natural cause fatalities, unless the cause cannot be determined. Intent (on This data element is required to exclude suicides (coded as ‘intentional self- notification and harm’). on completion) Police file This is used to validate coding and identify work-related cases. Each file should have a police description of the circumstances of the event. These descriptions are the best way of validating the coding, but the quality and depth of the descriptions vary widely. Some descriptions are detailed but do not address the question of work-relatedness. This is especially the case in motor vehicle crashes. Other descriptions are too brief to provide much useful information. At present, many cases do not have accessible police descriptions, primarily because of problems at the coronial office end of the system, although there have also been some difficulties in attaching some of the police description files to the relevant case. This latter problem is being corrected by MUNCCI, and the former problem is being addressed by MUNCCI in conjunction with the coronial offices. Usual occupation This is sometimes helpful when trying to put the police description of text circumstances into context. Time location Incident location – Fatalities in certain locations are likely to be work-related. levels 1 and 2 Incident activity – This should identify all work-related fatalities of workers and commuters. levels 1 and 2 Fatality date This identifies fatalities occurring in the time period of interest. Procedure Finding If present and comprehensive, the coronial finding is the best source of information on the circumstances of fatality and should serve as the definitive document used to identify work-related fatalities. However, to date, there are very few findings in the NCIS, and nearly all of them come from the Northern Territory, though not all completed NT cases have the findings attached. Cause of fatality Ib This often has a brief description that identifies a fatality as work-related (e.g. “industrial accident”). However, it is unlikely that text here will definitively identify a fatality as work-related without other supporting information from, more specific, data elements. 13
Table 1 (continued) Data elements useful for identifying work-related cases Mechanism Mechanism levels These may be useful as broad screening data elements. For example, the majority 1, 2 and 3 of (but by no means all) electrocutions will be work-related. Note that there are a primary, and two secondary, mechanisms, each with three levels. Object category 1 Fatalities involving certain objects are likely to be work-related. Note that there and description are a primary, and two secondary, objects, each with three levels. Vehicle details These data elements actually describe the crash details for motor vehicle crashes. The four related data elements may be useful in identifying work-related road incidents by specifying working vehicles. For example, nearly all motor vehicle crashes involving semi-trailers will be work-related. Linking numbers WorkCover If there is a number present, it means that WorkCover has probably investigated number the case, and that the case is probably work-related. However, nearly all cases have no information in this data element. Identification of Work-Related Cases Cases of interest in the review of work-related fatalities were persons who died as a result of external causes sometime in the 12-month period 1 July 2000 to June 30 2001, and whose fatality was related to work. The definition of work was the same as that used for the second work-related fatalities study, except that only working persons, commuters and bystanders were included. The second work-related fatalities study also included a number of other groups whose fatality was related to work in a more indirect way. These groups were volunteers, students, persons performing home duties and persons fatally injured on farms but not due to obvious farm work. These groups did not form part of the current review. The relevant definitions are available in most publications arising from WRF2 (1998), and are documented in detail in the main report on pages 143-152. These are summarised in APPENDIX ONE. A several stage approach was used to identify fatalities as work-related. These were initially conducted independently, to allow a comparison to be made between the different approaches. The results from the various approaches were then combined to produce a final dataset of work-related fatalities. Data Used in the Review Cases of interest were those that met, or might meet, the criteria of all non-suicide external cause fatalities that occurred in the period 1 July 2000 to 30 June 2001 inclusive. This period was chosen as it was the earliest 12-month period for which information from the NCIS is available. Since it can take many months for the coronial investigation process to be completed, many cases from this period were expected to still be open at the time the data was to be reviewed. Data was first obtained from the MUNCCI in September 2001. This information was always intended as draft information that could be used to develop the screening and analysis protocol. It was then intended that data would again be extracted in early 2002, by which time it was hoped that most of the cases from the time period of 14
interest would have been closed. This second data extraction occurred in February 2002 and forms the basis of the review. Although the criteria for selection were straightforward, extracting these cases was not simple. The case-type on completion could not be relied upon to identify external cause cases because this had not been completed for many cases. For the same reason, the intent on completion could not be relied upon to identify non-suicide cases. To a lesser extent, date of fatality could not be relied upon because it was missing in some instances. Therefore, an inclusive approach was taken with the data supplied by MUNCCI, and unwanted cases excluded later. The February 2002 data set comprised all cases entered into the dataset except the following: - case type equal to natural cause at both notification and completion; - intent equal to intentional self harm at both notification and completion; and - Queensland cases. The February 2002 information was extracted by MUNCCI staff according to NOHSC requirements. Initially, an attempt had been made by NOHSC to extract the data using the enquiry procedure via the NCIS web site. However, this system proved too inflexible to obtain the large class of cases with varying selection criteria that were required for this project. The data was supplied in four data files – one containing the main case data, including cause of fatality; one containing information from the time-location form; one containing information from the mechanism form; and one containing the police descriptions of circumstances. All files uniquely identified a case with the combination of the year, state and sequence data elements. Not every case appeared in all four MUNCCI files, because certain case types (e.g. natural causes) would not be expected to have all forms completed, and certain cases had no information entered into a form. A case with a blank form in the NCIS did not appear in the MUNCCI data file corresponding to that form. The main case-fatality file contained the main data elements of interest, being most of those from the "Case detail" form. All potential cases appeared in this file. The time-location file contained information on the dates of incident and fatality, the activity at the time of incident (and fatality), and the place of activity and fatality. Virtually all potential cases appeared in this file. However, many cases had more than one row in the file, as there was a separate row for each of the ‘incident’, ‘fatality’, ‘last seen alive’ and ‘found’ aspects of the form. Also, some cases had only one entry, either for date of incident or date of fatality, because the other information had not been entered. The mechanism file contained information on mechanism and object from the mechanism form. Multiple entries per case were possible in this form also, because of the facility to enter multiple mechanisms and agencies in the mechanism form. The police description file contained the police descriptions for each case. There was an entry for each case, but many of the cases did not have an associated description. 15
Final Selection Criteria The final dataset consisted of cases that met one of the criteria for each of date of fatality, case type and intent. Date of fatality Date of fatality between 1 July 2000 and 30 June 2001 inclusive; OR No date of fatality, but date of incident between 1 July 2000 and 29 June 2001 inclusive; OR No date of fatality or date of incident, but date of notification strongly implying the fatality occurred between 1 July 2000 and 30 June 2001 inclusive. Case type Case type on completion equal to external cause; OR Case type on completion coded as unknown or missing, and case type on notification was external cause; OR The cause of fatality (described in the four cause of Fatality text data elements) clearly external cause, or clearly related to an External Cause, regardless of the final case type (but note that cases coded as natural cause on notification and completion would not have been in the initial dataset, so their description of cause of fatality was not inspected). Intent Intent on completion was not equal to Deliberate Self-harm. Merging Files Data supplied in September 2001 were in the form of Excel files, and included most of the data elements in the NCIS. Data supplied in February 2002 were flat data files. The data was initially imported into Excel, partially matched by hand, and partially cleaned and checked. The edited Excel files were then made into comma-delimited (CSV) files and imported into SAS, where the files were merged. Identifying Work-Related Fatalities Prior to applying the above selection criteria and merging the files, the police description of circumstances from the September files were read and classified as to their work-relatedness, based on the study definitions. Fatalities were classified as working, commuting, bystander (separately as workplace or road bystander), not work-related, indeterminate because of inadequate information in the text description, and indeterminate because there was no text description. No other information in the NCIS was used in making this determination. The police description of circumstances obtained in February 2002 contained all the descriptions provided in the September 2001, plus several hundred more. (The content of some of the text descriptions for Victorian cases corrupted the importation of the file into Excel, requiring a labour-intensive manual correction of the file prior 16
to its use.) The new descriptions were read and classified as had been done for the September cases. Descriptions classified from the September file were not re- classified. A final classification into the work-related and other categories was made using the merged files. The definitive classification based on the police description of circumstances was used as the most valid measure of work-relatedness. Definitive classification was possible for 744 fatalities. For the remaining 2,802 fatalities, classification was made in a series of steps. Those with an incident activity code of working or commuting were assigned the relevant classification. Fatalities coded as working or commuting were assigned as working fatalities. Next, fatalities assigned as indeterminate because of inadequate information in the text description were given a final classification of indeterminate. Then, fatalities with a code of work-related using the NCIS work-related data element were accepted as bystanders. Remaining fatalities were either classified as not work-related, if they had a definitive incident activity code, or as unknown if they had a missing or unknown activity code. Working fatalities were further classified as workplace and work-road on the basis of the location and mechanism of the incident. Fatalities that involved a motor vehicle crash on a public road were classified as work-road. All other working fatalities were classified as workplace. Bystander cases were classified as workplace or road on the basis of the text description classification or, if there was no description, on the basis of the location and mechanism of the incident. Analysis The analysis of the work-related determination and cases is the focus of this review, but some general data description is also presented here. Estimates of the expected numbers and proportions of various parameters were made using the information collected during WRF2. Relevant information available from this study included the total and state-specific number and percentage of coronial files. This provided an indication of the likely coverage of all external cause cases by the NCIS. Similar information on working, commuting and bystander cases was also available, both overall and stratified by various characteristics such as state, place of occurrence and mechanism. The findings from the current review were compared to the WRF2 findings to provide an insight into the completeness of coverage of work- related cases by the NCIS. Since Queensland cases were not included in the data upon which this review was based, Queensland cases were also excluded from the WRF2 data used for comparison. All analysis was performed using SAS and Excel. 17
RESULTS General Description of Overall File The main file sent by MUNCCI in February 2002 had 7,586 cases. The selection procedure described above resulted in a final dataset for analysis of 3,546 cases. Overall Reporting The overall percentages suggested that there was an under-reporting to the NCIS of cases from Western Australia, with only 4.2% of cases compared to an expected 11.4%. All the other jurisdictions except New South Wales and the Australian Capital Territory had a lower than expected percentage of cases, but the differences were too small to be sure that there was significant under-reporting. Consideration of the number and percentage of cases reported in three-month periods during the 12 months covered by the review supported a suspicion of problems with reporting of cases in some jurisdictions. For example, the percentage of reported fatalities in each three- month period varied from 4% to 34% in South Australia, whereas it could be expected that there would be approximately 25% reported each quarter. Under-reporting in the July to December 2000 period might be expected, since this was the first six months covered by the NCIS, and this appears to have occurred in Tasmania. However, only 4% of South Australia's reported cases died in the final quarter. Similar problems of significant apparent under-reporting in the final quarter were seen in Victoria (only 12% of reported cases), Western Australia (15%) and the Australian Capital Territory (12%) (Table 2). Table 2: External cause fatalities by jurisdiction of coroner's investigation. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Actual and expected1. Number and percent. Jurisdiction NSW VIC SA WA TAS NT ACT Australia Number - actual 1,765 1,014 304 150 125 113 75 3,546 - expected 1,657 1,215 425 472 168 155 63 4,153 Percent - actual 49.8 28.6 8.6 4.2 3.5 3.2 2.1 100.0 - expected 39.9 29.2 10.2 11.4 4.0 3.7 1.5 100.0 Number Jul-Sep 2000 462 345 98 27 15 33 19 999 Oct-Dec 2000 470 313 103 64 23 26 23 1,022 Jan-Mar 2001 414 234 90 37 52 25 24 876 Apr-Jun 2001 419 122 13 22 35 29 9 649 Total 1,765 1,014 304 150 125 113 75 3,546 Percentage2 Jul-Sep 2000 26.2 34.0 32.2 18.0 12.0 29.2 25.3 28.2 Oct-Dec 2000 26.6 30.9 33.9 42.7 18.4 23.0 30.7 28.8 Jan-Mar 2001 23.5 23.1 29.6 24.7 41.6 22.1 32.0 24.7 Apr-Jun 2001 23.7 12.0 4.3 14.7 28.0 25.7 12.0 18.3 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1: Expected on the basis of WRF2 results. 2: Percentage of all files in the relevant jurisdiction. 18
Identifying Work-Related Cases Cases were identified as being work-related using three main approaches: - inspection of the police descriptions of circumstances; - analysis of the activity at the time of the incident data element; and - analysis of the general work-related data element. Inspection of the Police Description of Circumstances The definitive classifications of work-relatedness based on the police text descriptions were used as a basis against which NCIS coded values could be compared. However, only 1,213 cases (34%) had police text descriptions available at the time the data was provided by MUNCCI, and only 744 cases (21%) had enough information in the description to be assigned a definitive classification. (Information on about 1,500 further NSW cases was provided in late February, but this arrived too late to be incorporated into the analysis). Descriptions were available for only 9% of fatalities from New South Wales and 29% from Victoria, but virtually all fatalities from the other jurisdictions had police descriptions. The adequacy of the descriptions for allowing definitive classification of the work-relatedness of the fatality varied from 54% (in South Australia) to 76% (in the Australian Capital Territory), giving an Australian value of 61%. This meant that only 21% of all fatalities in the NCIS had a text description that allowed adequate classification of the work-relatedness of a fatality (Table 3). Table 3: Presence and adequacy of police description of circumstances of external cause fatalities. By jurisdiction. Only external cause fatalities with a known mechanism. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number and percent. Jurisdiction NSW VIC SA WA TAS NT ACT Australia Description1 - number 152 298 304 149 124 112 74 1,213 - %2 8.6 29.4 100.0 99.3 99.2 99.1 98.7 34.2 Adequate description3 - number 108 167 164 106 79 64 56 744 - % description4 70.0 56.0 53.9 71.1 63.7 57.1 75.7 61.3 - % all fatalities5 6.1 16.5 54.0 70.7 63.2 56.6 74.7 21.0 1: Fatalities with a police description. 2: Percentage of all fatalities. 3: Fatalities with an adequate police description. 4: Percentage of all fatalities with an adequate police description. 5: Percentage of all fatalities. 19
The adequacy of the text description was strongly dependent on the circumstances of the incident. Most fatalities that involved a motor vehicle crash on a public road did not have an adequate text description. This was usually because the purpose of the journey was not documented. This problem existed in all jurisdictions (nationally, 25% of such descriptions were adequate), and particularly in South Australia and Tasmania, where the descriptions that were present were adequate in less than 20% of cases. In contrast, the adequacy of text descriptions for non-motor vehicle crash fatalities was very good, with 90% of such descriptions at a national level being adequate for definitive classification of the work-relatedness of fatalities. However, it should be noted that only 55% of all fatalities had a valid mechanism code and only 25% of all fatalities had both an adequate text description and valid mechanism code (Table 4). Table 4: Presence and adequacy of police description of circumstances of external cause fatalities. By jurisdiction and mechanism. Only external cause fatalities with a known mechanism. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number and percent. Jurisdiction NSW VIC SA WA TAS NT ACT Australia Known motor vehicle crash fatalities1 - number 16 53 13 16 7 14 3 122 2 - % description 32.7 30.3 11.3 30.8 19.4 27.5 27.3 25.0 - % all fatalities3 5.9 18.9 11.3 30.2 19.4 26.9 25.0 14.9 Known non-motor vehicle crash fatalities4 - number 90 110 22 1 61 34 29 347 - % description5 89.1 92.4 88.0 100.0 80.3 94.4 100.0 89.7 - % all fatalities6 15.4 29.9 88.0 100.0 80.3 94.4 100.0 31.0 1: Fatalities with an adequate police description and a motor vehicle crash mechanism code. 2: Percentage of all fatalities with a police description and a motor vehicle crash mechanism code. 3: Percentage of all fatalities with a motor vehicle crash mechanism code. 4: Fatalities with an adequate police description and a non-motor vehicle crash mechanism code. 5: Percentage of all fatalities with a police description and a non-motor vehicle crash mechanism code. 6: Percentage of all fatalities with a non-motor vehicle crash mechanism code. Two of the main problems with the text descriptions that were present were concentrated on the aspects of the circumstances important from a legal point of view rather than an injury prevention point of view, and lack of inclusion of information on the purpose of travel of persons involved in motor vehicle crashes. 20
Of the 1,213 cases with text descriptions, 5.4% were coded as working fatalities, 0.4% as commuting, 0.7% as workplace bystander, 0.9% as road bystander, and 54% as not work-related. The remaining 39% cases with a description had insufficient information to allow the fatality to be definitively classified (Table 5). Table 5: Classification on the basis of the police description of circumstance. External cause fatalities. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number and percent. Work-relatedness Number % all files1 % all % all classified3 descriptions2 n = 3,564 n = 1,213 n = 744 Not working 655 18.5 54.0 88.0 Working 65 1.8 5.4 8.7 Commuting 5 0.1 0.4 0.7 Bystander - work 8 0.2 0.7 1.1 Bystander - road 11 0.3 0.9 1.5 Inadequate information 469 13.2 38.6 - No description 2,333 65.8 - - Total 3,546 100.0 100.0 100.0 1: Percentage of all files. 2: Percentage of all files with a police description. 3: Percentage of files with an adequate police description. 21
NCIS Activity at the Time of the Incident Basic Description The work-related status of fatalities coded as indeterminate on the basis of the police description, or which did not have a police description, was determined by using the NCIS-assigned values of activity at the time of the incident and the work-related data element. Fatalities where the activity at the time of the incident was coded 3.1 were accepted as working cases, and those coded 3.2 were accepted as commuting cases. Fatalities where the activity was coded 3.9 were accepted as working, on the basis of the coding of activity for known work-related cases with a police description. One hundred and twenty eight fatalities had an incident activity of working or “working or commuting”. Another 16 were coded as commuting. Activity was unknown for 382 fatalities and missing for another 340, so no information on incident activity was available for 20% of the fatalities (Table 6). Table 6: NCIS activity at the time of incident. External cause fatalities. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number and percent. Activity Number % Sport 100 2.8 Leisure 548 15.5 Working 92 2.6 Commuting 16 0.5 Working or commuting 36 1.0 Home duties 105 3.0 Resting, etc 534 15.1 Being nursed 195 5.5 Formal education 2 0.1 Other specified 1196 33.7 Unspecified 382 10.8 Missing 340 9.6 Total 3,546 100.0 Validity The activity codes of the 744 cases with a definitive classification based on the police description are shown in Table 7. Seventy of these cases were definitively categorised as working or commuting, of these, 44 (63%) had an incident activity of working or commuting. Half of the remaining 26 were coded to another specified activity, with general travel accounting for most of these. All five commuting cases had an NCIS activity code of general travel. If the NCIS activity category of “working or commuting” is accepted as meaning working, then 66% of the true working cases had an NCIS activity code of working. Again looking only at the 744 cases with a definitive work-related code, 46 of these fatalities had an NCIS activity code of working, commuting or commuting and working. There were two apparent errors in these - one of the working fatalities was not work-related, and one of the commuting fatalities was actually a working fatality. Another fatality classified as a road bystander fatality had an incident activity code of 22
commuting, which may have been correct if other information was available (Table 7). These results suggest that the NCIS activity coding system underestimates the number of work-related fatalities amongst reported cases, with an underestimate of approximately 32% for working cases and 60% for commuting cases. Table 7: Comparison of NCIS activity at the time of incident with the work-related classification on the basis of the police description of circumstance. Only files with an adequate police description. External cause fatalities. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number. Activity True classification Not working Working Commuting Bystander Total Sport 22 3 0 0 25 Leisure 74 1 0 5 80 Working 1 23 0 0 24 Commuting 0 1 0 1 2 Working or commuting 0 20 0 0 20 Home duties 13 1 0 0 14 Resting, etc 223 0 0 0 223 Being nursed 56 1 0 0 57 Formal education 1 0 0 0 1 Other specified 166 8 5 10 189 Unspecified 91 5 0 2 98 Missing 8 2 0 1 11 Total 655 65 5 19 744 NCIS Work-Related Data Element Basic Description The work-related data element was designed to identify all work-related fatalities, regardless of whether the person was working, commuting or a bystander. Working and commuting fatalities should be identifiable using the incident activity data element. However, bystanders would, by definition, not have an activity of working or commuting. Therefore, the incident activity data element cannot be used to identify them. Fatalities that have an incident activity code other than working or commuting, and an NCIS work-related code of one, should therefore be bystander fatalities. One hundred and sixty four fatalities (4.6%) were identified as work-related using this data element, and 2,025 (57%) as not work-related. However, this information was unknown for 38% of fatalities (Table 8). 23
Table 8: NCIS work-related data element. External cause fatalities. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number and percent. Work-relatedness Number % Not work-related 2,025 57.1 Work-related 164 4.6 Unspecified 1,254 35.4 Missing 103 2.9 Total 3,546 100.0 The agreement between the work-related data element and the incident activity data element for working cases was very good, with only two fatalities with an incident activity coded as working or commuting not being identified as such by the work- related data element (Table 9). Table 9: Comparison of NCIS activity at the time of incident with NCIS work-related data element. External cause fatalities. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number. Activity Work-relatedness Not work- Work- Unspecified Unknown Total related related Sport 57 0 42 1 100 Leisure 274 7 255 12 548 Working or commuting 1 142 1 0 144 Home duties 40 0 64 1 105 Resting, etc 444 1 72 17 534 Being nursed 98 2 85 10 195 Formal education 2 0 0 0 0 Other specified 850 6 313 27 1,196 Unspecified 246 4 97 35 382 Missing 13 2 325 0 340 Total 2,025 164 1,254 103 3,546 Twenty fatalities were identified as work-related by the work-related data element but had an activity code other than working or commuting, and another two had a missing activity code. These fatalities were initially accepted as bystander cases, subject to the gold standard classification made on the 744 fatalities classified on the basis of their police description. Validity The NCIS work-related data element codes were compared to the definitive classifications that were possible for 744 fatalities on the basis of the police descriptions. Of the 70 fatalities definitively classified as working or commuting, 45 (64%) had an NCIS work-related code of work-related. Most of the rest were coded as not work-related rather than as unknown. All five commuting cases had an NCIS work-related code of not work-related (Table 10). 24
Again looking only at the 744 cases with a definitive work-related code, 53 of these fatalities had an NCIS work-related code of work-related. Forty-nine of these appeared to be correctly coded. The remaining four were actually not work-related fatalities. These results suggest that the NCIS work-related code under-estimates the number of work-related fatalities amongst reported cases by about 40%. Table 10: Comparison of NCIS work-related data element with work-related classification on the basis of the police description of circumstance. Only files with an adequate police description. External cause fatalities. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number. Work-relatedness True classification Not working Working Commuting Bystander Total Not work-related 547 15 5 15 582 Work-related 4 45 0 4 53 Unspecified 75 4 0 0 79 Missing 29 1 0 0 30 Total 655 65 5 19 744 25
Final Decision on Work-Related Fatalities On the basis of this approach, 149 cases were identified as working, 20 as commuting and 30 as bystanders (16 as workplace bystander and 14 as road bystander). Working cases were further classified as workplace and work-road on the basis of the location and mechanism of the incident. Fatalities that involved a motor vehicle crash on a public road were classified as work-road. All other working fatalities were classified as workplace. There were 94 workplace fatalities and 55 work-road fatalities identified. Unless fatalities had an NCIS activity code of indicating working or commuting, fatalities that had an inadequate or missing text description were classified on this basis, regardless of the NCIS activity code (Table 11). NOHSC has coded the 169 cases identified as working and commuting by occupation and industry following the ASCO (ABS 1997) and ANZSIC (ABS 1993) coding systems and will give the codes to MUNCCI for uploading onto the NCIS. Table 11: Final classification of work-related status of cases. External cause fatalities. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Number and percent. Work-relatedness Number % Not working 655 18.5 Working - workplace 94 2.7 - workroad 55 1.6 - total 149 4.2 Commuting 20 0.6 Working and commuting 169 4.8 Bystander - bystander - work 16 0.5 - bystander - road 13 0.4 - total 29 0.8 Inadequate information 466 13.1 No description 2,227 62.8 Total 3,546 100.0 26
Assessment of the Coverage of Work-Related Fatalities One hundred and forty nine work-related fatalities of workers (working fatalities) were identified in the NCIS for the 12-month period under review. There is no gold standard against which to compare this number to directly gauge its validity. However, information from WRF2 provides a good indication of what numbers might be expected, with the proviso that a drop of 10% or 20% in the rate of fatality might be expected as a result of possible improvements in OHS in the decade since the period covered by WRF2. For this comparison, Queensland fatalities were excluded from the WRF2 data because the available NCIS information did not include Queensland fatalities. Cases with an Appropriate Police Description of Circumstances The classification of fatalities for which the police description allowed a definitive classification to be made provides the best insight into the true level of work-related fatality over the 12-month period under review. Of the 744 fatalities that could be definitively classified, 8.7% were classified as working cases. This compares to 8.2% of all coroner's files in WRF2 being classified as working fatalities. Percentages of workplace and work-road fatalities were also similar between the definitively classified files and WRF2. Assuming that the classifiable fatalities are a representative sample of all the fatalities from the NCIS, this result suggests that the number of working fatalities has not changed greatly between the period covered by WRF2 and the 2000-2001 period covered by this review (although the rate may have changed). It also suggests that those text descriptions that do provide adequate information can be used to appropriately identify working fatalities (Table 12). Note that it is likely that fatalities with classifiable text descriptions are not a fully representative sample of all NCIS external cause fatalities. This is because workplace fatalities are more likely to be able to be identified or excluded on the basis of basic descriptive information than are work-road fatalities, which often require an explicit statement regarding the purpose of the journey to allow them to be identified or excluded (see Table 4 and the preceding text). Assuming that the 744 fatalities are approximately representative of all the 3,546 external fatalities under review, the 65 working fatalities extrapolate to a figure of about 310 working fatalities (3,546/744 * 65), compared to a predicted 340 fatalities based on WRF2 findings. The finding regarding coverage of commuting and bystander fatalities is not as encouraging as that for working fatalities. The percentage of fatalities identified as commuting was much lower in the classifiable NCIS group than in WRF2 (0.7% versus 2.9%). Similarly, the percentage was lower in the NCIS group for workplace bystanders (1.1% versus 1.5%) and road bystanders (1.5% versus 2.4%). These results suggest that the police descriptions are not a sensitive source of information for identifying commuting fatalities. This is not surprising, because identifying a fatality as involving commuting requires detailed information about the purpose of the journey, since the vehicle involved will often not be an obvious work vehicle, such as a truck. Similar problems seem to affect the identification of road bystander fatalities, although not to the same extent, especially when it is considered that improvements in road safety in the last decade may have decreased the proportion of road fatalities that might be expected. (This may also have affected the expected number of commuting 27
fatalities.) In addition, the four years covered by WRFS included two incidents that resulted in a significant loss of life for road bystanders, so the number of road bystander fatalities expected as a result of the WRF2 results may be a little exaggerated. Workplace bystander fatalities also seem to be somewhat underestimated in the NCIS using the work-relatedness and incident activity data elements (Table 12). Table 12: Comparison of proportion of classifiable NCIS files that were work-related to classified proportions of work-related fatalities from WRF2. External cause fatalities. 1 July 2000 - 30 June 2001. Percent. Work-relatedness % all classified1 % of WRF2 files2 n = 744 n = 16,612 Working - workplace 5.6 5.6 - workroad 3.1 2.6 - total 8.7 8.2 Commuting 0.7 2.9 Working and commuting 9.4 11.1 Bystander - bystander - work 1.1 1.5 - bystander - road 1.5 2.4 - total 2.6 3.9 1: Only files with an adequate police description 2: Excludes Queensland files. Comparison Between the NCIS, NDS and WRF2 A study was undertaken to further assess how well the NCIS compared with the NDS and WRF2. The NDS data was obtained from the NOHSC Online Statistics Interactive (NOSI). The comparison carried out with the knowledge that the WRF2 data predated the NCIS and NDS data by 10-12 years and that the NDS being a compensation-based system has particular attributes which are not necessarily similar to those of the NCIS (e.g. age group coverage and work arrangements). In this comparison, the Queensland data was omitted, as it is not currently reported in the NCIS. Since the NCIS did not adequately identify bystanders in work-related situations (especially on roads and highways), it was decided to include all by- standers in the NCIS data (see Table 11). Overall, the total number of fatalities in the NCIS and NDS datasets were nearly identical and about 60% of the number of fatalities recoded in the WRF2 dataset (Tables 13). A closer scrutiny of the results reveals that the NCIS contained about the same number and proportion of fatalities in NSW as the NDS (Tables 13-14). However, the authors suspect a slight under-reporting in the NCIS because all NSW files were not uploaded to this system when the study was carried out. Clearly, the NCIS seriously under-reported the number of fatalities in the other large states namely 28
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