Myeloma Diagnosis (England) - June 2021 - Myeloma UK Policy Position ...
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Contents June 2021 • Myeloma Diagnosis (England) Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 What are the barriers to a timely diagnosis? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 What is the impact of a delayed diagnosis on myeloma patients? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Will current policy initiatives in England help address delayed diagnosis in myeloma? . . 6 1. LTP ambition to diagnose 75% of cancers at stages one or two by 2028 . . . . . . . . . . 6 2. Improving GP awareness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 3. Implementation of Rapid Diagnostic Centres (RDCs) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 4. From Long Term Plan to COVID-19 Cancer Services Recovery Plan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 A new future for myeloma diagnosis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 What Myeloma UK is doing to help diagnose myeloma earlier . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Advocating for best care for myeloma patients in the NHS Long Term Plan and Cancer Services Recovery Plan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Carrying out research into the negative health impacts of delayed diagnosis . . . . . . . 10 Myeloma UK Early Diagnosis Programme . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Establishing an Early Diagnosis Research Programme . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Our vision . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 We need new metrics and measures of progress to drive improvement in myeloma and other blood cancers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Development of Rapid Diagnostic Centres must address barriers to diagnosis in myeloma and other blood cancers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Policy Position Paper We need better awareness and support for GPs to accurately suspect, test and refer patients with suspected myeloma . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 We need scientific and technological developments to influence change in early diagnostics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 2
Introduction June 2021 • Myeloma Diagnosis (England) Myeloma is a rare blood cancer with non-specific symptoms. There are two characteristics; rarity and “vague symptoms” which contribute to myeloma patients experiencing some of the longest delays in diagnosis of all cancer patients.1 This position paper outlines the extent of the problem and the main barriers to achieving timely diagnosis. It sets out Myeloma UK’s activity in diagnosis and our vision for improving myeloma diagnosis. The target audience is decision makers in the UK Government, NHS England, elected members and other charities. The current myeloma diagnosis position shows: • The median time to diagnosis (first symptom to diagnosis) is 163 days2 • 31% of myeloma patients are diagnosed by an emergency route3 • 50% of myeloma patients wait over five months before getting the right diagnosis2 • 34% of myeloma patients visit their GP at least three times before getting a diagnosis4 The main policy driver for improvement in cancer care in England has been the Long Term Plan (LTP)5, published by NHS England in 2019. This paper is also written in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic and, while there is no published data on the diagnosis of myeloma since March 2020 when the COVID-19 pandemic began, there are national concerns about delays in cancer diagnosis. This paper considers whether measures in the LTP, which remain in place as part of COVID-19 recovery, are likely to improve diagnosis in myeloma. Policy Position Paper 3
What are the barriers June 2021 • Myeloma Diagnosis (England) to a timely diagnosis? Barriers to timely diagnosis in myeloma are long-standing and complex, and can be found in primary and secondary care and within diagnostic laboratory services. • Presentation with vague, non-specific symptoms such as: pain, fatigue, easily broken bones and recurring infections6 • Myeloma is rarely seen in a primary care setting and is therefore unfamiliar to a GP. The average GP sees one new myeloma patient every 8–10 years7 • Myeloma has associated comorbidities8 which could indicate a number of conditions and lead to an incorrect referral within secondary care • Lack of consistency in laboratory reporting making it difficult for GPs to interpret test results • Patients’ hesitancy to visit their GP with general symptoms or which they may associate with ageing or other, less serious conditions The language used about diagnosis in rare disease highlights a culture which accepts that myeloma patients will have a poorer diagnosis experience than patients with more common solid tumour cancers. Policy Position Paper 4
What is the impact of a delayed June 2021 • Myeloma Diagnosis (England) diagnosis on myeloma patients? Delays in diagnosis have a significant negative impact on patients’ survival and quality of life. • Delayed diagnosis can lead to emergency presentation which is associated with advanced disease and poor survival9 – 38% of myeloma patients diagnosed via the emergency route die within the first 12 months after diagnosis,2 compared to 12% diagnosed via GP referral • Presenting as an emergency means a higher likelihood of two or more serious complications caused by myeloma, which can reduce patients’ quality of life. These include; vertebral fractures resulting in surgery and delay in starting myeloma treatment, renal impairment which may result in lifelong dialysis, anaemia or bone pain. (These complications are known as CRAB features6; elevated Calcium, Renal failure, Anaemia, Bone lesions.) Policy Position Paper 5
Will current policy initiatives June 2021 • Myeloma Diagnosis (England) in England help address delayed diagnosis in myeloma? 1. LTP ambition to diagnose 75% of cancers at stages one or two by 2028 In 2019 the LTP made earlier diagnosis of cancer a priority, describing it as “one of the biggest actions the NHS can take to improve cancer survival.” The main LTP target for improving diagnosis, and therefore cancer survival, is that 75% of cancers should be diagnosed at stages one or two by 2028.5 A staging system is used to classify the progression of myeloma.10 However, the significance of staging in myeloma treatment and its link to survival differs from solid tumours. The stage at which a myeloma patient is diagnosed does influence outcomes and treatment, but whether a patient responds well to key “backbone” treatments in myeloma also has a significant bearing on patient outcomes. Therefore, whilst earlier staging is important, the impact of delayed diagnosis is often experienced by patients in reduced quality of life, rather than overall survival. By focusing solely on the link between staging and survival outcomes, the metrics in the LTP designed to drive improvement in cancer diagnosis are not a good fit for myeloma.i In addition, the biology and progression of myeloma does not fit the “top down” data capture model used by the NHS in England. The discussion of cases at Multi-Disciplinary Meetings and the Tumour, Nodes, Metastases recorded for the Cancer Registry does not match the management and progression of myeloma. This means that myeloma is effectively excluded from the main national policy mechanism to improve diagnosis in England, with attention and effort focused largely on common solid tumour cancers; despite the fact that diagnosis performance in these Policy Position Paper cancers is often far better than in myeloma. 2. Improving GP awareness The LTP committed to “ensure that all GPs used the latest evidence-based guidance from NICE to identify those at risk of cancer.” NICE’s Suspected cancer: Recognition and Referral guideline (NG12) published in 2015 outlines symptoms caused by cancer, suitable follow-up investigations and appropriate specialists for referral. i NHS England will only report on performance against the 75% goal for cancers which reach the threshold of completeness in staging data collection. Currently myeloma staging data does not meet this threshold. 6
Without better support for GPs, the NICE guideline will not help to improve delayed June 2021 • Myeloma Diagnosis (England) diagnosis in myeloma. Whilst knowledge and awareness of myeloma among GPs is important, the rarity of myeloma means that this must be complemented by a fundamental change to diagnosis pathways. GPs must be better supported in dealing with the vague, non-specific symptoms of the disease, and need the knowledge, opportunity and resources to request the right laboratory tests and interpret them correctly. 3. Implementation of Rapid Diagnostic Centres (RDCs) The LTP specifies that RDCs will “in time, play a role in the diagnosis of all patients with cancer, including self-referral for people with red-flag symptoms.” The need for a fundamental shift in diagnosis pathways for rare cancers with non-specific symptoms was behind the establishment of RDCs. The RDC model builds on a pilot of 10 Multidisciplinary Diagnostic Centres (MDC) in 2018 to deliver a new pathway for patients with vague but concerning symptoms to receive diagnostic tests, designed to rule out cancer more quickly. An evaluation of the first five MDC pilots in 2020 found that 13% of cancer cases diagnosed were blood cancers (n=30).11 In comparison, 9% of all cancer cases diagnosed in 2016 were a type of blood cancer.12 This difference demonstrates the RDC model’s potential for blood cancers. A recent evaluation of an RDC pilot in Neath Port Talbot Hospital, Wales, found that the average waiting time for diagnosis was reduced from 84.2 days in standard care, to 5.9 days if the RDC made the diagnosis.13 Where further tests were needed, the time for diagnosis was still reduced to 40.8 days when investigations were arranged by the RDC. Early evidence suggests that RDCs do have potential to improve diagnosis in vague symptom cancers, identifying blood cancers like myeloma and speeding up the time to diagnosis. However, it is not yet clear whether RDCs will enable cancers to be diagnosed earlier, in addition to providing a faster pathway. Policy Position Paper Under the LTP, RDCs were to be rolled out across Cancer Alliances in 2019/20. This commitment was impacted by COVID-19 but the implementation of RDCs remains a key goal for the NHS in England. Following the COVID-19 pause in development, in January 2021 there were 72 live RDCs, with another 55 in development.14 Between May 2020 and January 2021, RDCs diagnosed 531 cancers with a conversion rate of 6%.14 This is double the predicted value for cancer diagnosis by urgent investigation.15 It is too early in the development and rollout of this new model to know what the impact of RDCs will be on diagnostic delays in myeloma. The MDC pilots and RDC pilot modelling show promise. The benefit for myeloma patients will be realised through RDC eligibility criteria, which includes vague symptoms and prompt access to diagnostic tests. We are hopeful this is an important step in recognising that fundamental pathway reform is needed. 7
4. From Long Term Plan to COVID-19 June 2021 • Myeloma Diagnosis (England) Cancer Services Recovery Plan The coronavirus pandemic has had a significant impact on cancer patient care, particularly in diagnosis. We have seen a pause in plans arising from the LTP, but coming out of the pandemic, key commitments remain in place and are set out in the Cancer Services Recovery Plan16 developed by the Cancer Recovery Taskforce. The Cancer Services Recovery Plan commits to: • restoring demand to at least pre-pandemic levels • taking immediate steps to reduce the number of people waiting for diagnostics and/or treatment • ensuring sufficient capacity to manage future increased demand Although we do not yet understand the full impact of COVID-19 on delayed diagnosis in myeloma, Cancer Research UK reported that urgent referrals for diagnostic tests for suspected cancers dropped by 75% in England.17 This is due to a combination of people not coming forward to their GP and GPs not referring to secondary care. UCL and DATA-CAN also reported that there has been a 70% decrease in urgent referrals from GPs for people with suspected cancers.18 We expect myeloma patients to be included in both of these datasets and will see an increase in the number of patients diagnosed late with long-term negative health impacts. It is essential that the Cancer Services Recovery Plan ambitions go beyond getting back to the pre-pandemic “state of play” and ensures that measures to drive improvement are prioritised. Policy Position Paper 8
A new future for myeloma diagnosis June 2021 • Myeloma Diagnosis (England) In addition to influencing the current system to deliver positive change, there needs to be research and investment into new diagnostic models and detection techniques for myeloma. We have seen recent innovation in research which has been filtered through to routine standard of care. The risk for myeloma is that, as a rare cancer with smaller numbers, it does not feature in the inception and any subsequent roll-out of new programmes. We have seen the 100,000 Genome Project and establishment of Genomics England, leading to the launch of the Genomic Test Directory in 2018. As this programme continues to develop with stratified medicine and personalised treatment becoming routine standard of care, research investment must be made to include myeloma treatment to ensure patients get effective treatments and avoid unnecessary side effects. The Galleri blood test developed by GRAIL which can detect early stage cancers by checking for molecular changes is an example of the kind of scientific development which could have a significant impact on diagnosis in myeloma. Myeloma is included in the trial cohort and we look forward to this rolling out during 2021. There is potential to research precursor conditions as all myeloma patients have the pre-existing condition MGUS (monoclonal gammopathy of uncertain significance) prior to developing myeloma. While all myeloma patients will have had MGUS, only around one percent of people with MGUS will go on to develop myeloma. More research is needed to understand the development of MGUS to myeloma in some patients. Policy Position Paper 9
What Myeloma UK is doing to help June 2021 • Myeloma Diagnosis (England) diagnose myeloma earlier Advocating for best care for myeloma patients in the NHS Long Term Plan and Cancer Services Recovery Plan We advocate for positive change in care by engaging with decision makers like the NHS England Cancer Programme team and members of the Westminster All Party Parliamentary Group (APPG) on Blood Cancers. We work with charity partners in coalitions such as the Blood Cancer Alliance (BCA), Cancer52 and One Cancer Voice to amplify the voice of myeloma patients in diagnosis policy. Through both the BCA and Cancer52, we have contributed to the development of the Cancer Services Recovery Plan. We have been supported in this work by the evidence we gathered in our Patient and Family COVID-19 surveys. Carrying out research into the negative health impacts of delayed diagnosis We will commission a report to better understand the negative health impacts and reduced quality of life which patients can experience as a result of delayed diagnosis. We will use this to ensure that policy initiatives and performance measures to improve diagnosis give due weight to quality of life alongside survival outcomes. Myeloma UK Early Diagnosis Programme Under our Early Diagnosis Programme we are working with leading myeloma clinicians and primary care experts to: • investigate the causes of delayed diagnosis • explore early markers of myeloma and the role of MGUS Policy Position Paper • develop and promote educational resources for GPs including diagnostic tools and online learning modules • develop laboratory best practice guidelines and resources for clinical scientists • identify key stakeholders to support this work Establishing an Early Diagnosis Research Programme We will invest £500k to establish an Early Diagnosis Research Programme which aims to focus research in myeloma diagnosis. We aim to engage with both myeloma and early diagnosis researchers. 10
Our vision June 2021 • Myeloma Diagnosis (England) Myeloma patients deserve equality with all other cancer patients in relation to receiving a timely diagnosis. Achieving this will require: the development of meaningful performance metrics, investment in better data capture and reporting, and changes to the diagnosis pathway and research into new diagnostic models and technologies. We need new metrics and measures of progress to drive improvement in myeloma and other blood cancers We ask NHS England and Public Health England to develop new measures to reduce diagnostic delays and that myeloma is included in future policy ambitions. New measures should include a reduction in numbers of diagnoses via an emergency route and numbers of GP visits before referral to secondary care. New metrics must include the quality of life impacts of delayed diagnosis in incurable cancers. Data systems must be developed so that this data is captured. Development of Rapid Diagnostic Centres must address barriers to diagnosis in myeloma and other blood cancers RDC outputs need to be transparent and accessible to ensure they are meeting the needs of myeloma and other blood cancer patients. This should include capturing specific myeloma data from this new pathway. Any RDC review should look at enabling patients to self-refer for diagnostic tests at RDCs and how this is implemented. We need better awareness and support for GPs to accurately Policy Position Paper suspect, test and refer patients with suspected myeloma It is vital that GPs are better supported in ordering the right diagnostic tests and interpreting results. Standardised guidance for laboratory staff and services should be developed to ensure that best practice is followed when engaging with GPs on myeloma diagnostic tests. We need scientific and technological developments to influence change in early diagnostics We need investment in research into the progression of known precursor conditions and a focus on blood cancers in continued development of initiatives like the Galleri test and expansion of the NHS Genomic Medicine Service. 11
Conclusion June 2021 • Myeloma Diagnosis (England) Diagnosis in myeloma remains poor and this has a significant impact on patients’ survival and quality of life. Although we are pleased to see ambitions for improvements in cancer diagnosis in the NHS Long Term Plan and in plans for COVID-19 recovery, we need more evidence on the performance of myeloma compared to common solid tumours. We currently lack policy recommendations to improve myeloma diagnosis in England however this paper outlines the changes we believe could help diagnose myeloma earlier. We need key decision makers in the Government, NHS and research communities to work together to bring about change in early diagnosis and improve outcomes for myeloma patients. Policy Position Paper 12
References June 2021 • Myeloma Diagnosis (England) 1. Howell DA, Smith AG, Jack A et al. (2013) Time-to-diagnosis and symptoms of myeloma, lymphomas and leukaemias: a report from the Haematological Malignancy Research Network. BMC Haematol. 13:9 2. Koshiaris C, Oke J, Abel L, Nicholson BD, Ramasamy K, Van den Bruel A. (2018) Quantifying intervals to diagnosis in myeloma: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ Open. 8(6):e019758. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-019758. 3. National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service, Routes to Diagnosis 2006-2016 workbook (a) http://www.ncin.org.uk/publications/routes_to_diagnosis 4. Myeloma UK (2020) National Cancer Patient Experience Survey 2018: Seeing a GP, available at: https://www.myeloma.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Myel oma-UK-National-Cancer-Patient-Experience-2018-Seeing-a-GP.pdf 5. NHS England (2019) The NHS Long Term Plan, available at: https://www.longtermplan.nhs.uk/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/nhs-long-term-p lan-version-1.2.pdf 6. International Myeloma Working Group (IMWG) criteria for the diagnosis of multiple myeloma, available at: https://www.myeloma.org/international-myeloma-working-gr oup-imwg-criteria-diagnosis-multiple-myeloma 7. Rubin G, Berendsen A, Crawford SM et al. (2015) The expanding role of primary care in cancer control. Lancet Oncol. 16(12):1231-72. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(15)00205-3. PMID: 26431866. 8. Kleber et al. Comorbidity as a prognostic variable in multiple myeloma: comparative evaluation of common comorbidity scores and use of a novel MM-comorbidity score (2011) Blood Cancer J. 1(9):e35. doi: 10.1038/bcj.2011.34. Epub 2011 Sep 16. PMID: 22829196; PMCID: PMC3255252. Policy Position Paper 9. Howell D, Smith A, Appleton S et al. (2017) Multiple myeloma: routes to diagnosis, clinical characteristics and survival – findings from a UK population-based study. Br J Haematol. 177(1): 67-71 10. International Staging System (ISS) and Revised ISS (R-ISS), available at: https://www.myeloma.org/international-staging-system-iss-reivised-iss-r-iss 11. Chapman, D. et al. (2020) First results from five multidisciplinary diagnostic centre (MDC) projects for non-specific but concerning symptoms, possibly indicative of cancer. British Journal of Cancer, 123:722-729. 13
12. NCRAS, Routes to Diagnosis yearbook, available at: June 2021 • Myeloma Diagnosis (England) https://www.cancerresearchuk.org/health-professional/cancer-statistics/ incidence/commoncancerscompared#heading-Zero 13. Sewell et al. (2020) Rapid cancer diagnosis for patients with vague symptoms: a cost-effectiveness study, Br J Gen Pract. 70(692): e186–e192. Published online 2020 Jan 14. doi: 10.3399/bjgp20X708077 14. NHS Cancer Programme, Monthly RDC Progress Update, March 2021, available at: https://mcusercontent.com/68b588bc5847cde662b4ac613/files/ 9cc6abc9-6426-429f-a93a-3c7188d65870/NHS_Cancer_Programme.pdf 15. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence. Suspected cancer: recognition and referral. NICE guideline (NG12, 2015). 16. NHS Cancer Programme (2020) Cancer services recovery plan, available at: https://www.england.nhs.uk/coronavirus/wp-content/uploads/sites/52/2020/12/ C0821-COVID-19-Cancer-services-recovery-plan-14-December-2020.pdf 17. House of Commons Health and Social Care Committee (2020) Delivering core NHS and care services during the pandemic and beyond, available at: https://committees.parliament.uk/publications/2793/documents/27577/default 18. Lai AG et al. (2020) Estimated impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer services and excess 1-year mortality in people with cancer and multimorbidity: near real-time data on cancer care, cancer deaths and a population-based cohort study. BMJ Open. 10:e043828. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-043828 Policy Position Paper Myeloma UK 22 Logie Mill, Beaverbank Business Park, Edinburgh EH7 4HG 0131 557 3332 myelomauk@myeloma.org.uk Registered Charity No: SC026116 14
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