Mr. Do Nhat Hoang Director General Foreign Investment Agency Ministry of Planning and Investment - Hanoi, November 12, 2020
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Mr. Do Nhat Hoang Director General Foreign Investment Agency Ministry of Planning and Investment Hanoi, November 12, 2020 Copyright © 2020 Ministry of Planning and Investment. All rights reserved. 1
CONTENT Overview of FDI flows in Preparation of Vietnam to Vietnam 1 receive the shifted FDI flows 3 Trends of global FDI flows shifting Which elements investor interested (where, which sector, and how?) 2 in? 4 Copyright © 2020 Ministry of Planning and Investment. All rights reserved. 2
1. Economic in Vietnam GDP 8.00 % 7.02 % 7.13 % 7.08 % 6.89 % 6.68 % 7.00 % 6.81 % 6.42 % 6.24 % 5.98 % 6.21 % 6.00 % 5.66 % 5.42 % ⮚ GDP in the first 9 months of 2020 increased 5.40 % 5.25 % 5.00 % by 2.12%, and GDP in 2020 is expected to 4.00 % increase 2-3%. ⮚ GDP in 2019 is 262 billion USD, GDP in 3.00 % 2019 per capita is nearly 2,715 USD 2.00 % ⮚ Trade turnover in 2019 reached 517 billion USD 1.00 % 0.00 % 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: Vietnam’s Ministry of Planning and Investment Copyright © 2020 Ministry of Planning and Investment. All rights reserved. 3
1.2. FDI in Vietnam 80,000 4,500 4,000 70,000 The first 10 months in 2020: 3 3,500 60,000 - Disbursement Investment: decrease 2,5% (15.8 billion USD). However, the decrease level is 3,000 gradually going down comparing to the first 50,000 months of the year. 2,500 - Total newly registered capital, adjusted capital 40,000 and capital contribution to share purchase: 23.4 2,000 billion USD. 30,000 - Export of foreign investment areas 147.9 1,500 billion USD 20,000 1,000 Positive points: - Adjusted capital: increase 4.4% (5,7 billion USD). 10,000 - The trade surplus of the foreign-invested sector 500 makes up for the trade deficit of the domestic sector. 0 0 Vốn đăng ký Vốn thực hiện Số dự án cấp mới Source: Vietnam’s Ministry of Planning and Investment Copyright © 2020 Ministry of Planning and Investment. All rights reserved.
1.2. FDI IN VIETNAM BY SECTORS Others 12% Accommodations & Restaurants 3% Constructio Processing n &Manufactu 4% ring 59% Electricity production and distribution… Real Estate 15% TRIỆU USD BY PARTNER BY LOCATION 160,000 TRIỆU USD 140,000 136,785 250,000 193,646 120,000 200,000 100,000 150,000 80,000 68,316 60,098 60,000 54,742 100,000 47,724 40,000 33,238 37,638 34,908 32,510 31,484 24,731 50,000 20,000 0 - TP. Hồ Chí Minh Hà Nội Bình Dương Bà Rịa - Vũng Tàu Đồng Nai Các địa phương khác Hàn Quốc Nhật Bản Singapore Đài Loan Hồng Kông Các đối tác khác Nguồn: Cục Đầu tư nước ngoài, Bộ KHĐT Việt Nam Copyright © 2020 Ministry of Planning and Investment. All rights reserved. 5
II. Trends of global FDI flows shifting Global context ▪ The trade conflict between the large economy caused international corporations and enterprises to move production locations to avoid high tax rates. ▪ The COVID-19 pandemic and its heavy consequences caused countries and international corporations to speed up the investment restructuring process to avoid dependence on one country and one partner. ▪ Some developed countries such as the United States, Japan, Korea, ... have issued preferential policies and support packages to urge companies to relocate production lines to the country or to invest in the third country. three to diversify the supply chain. ▪ According to the forecasts of UNCTAD and OECD, global FDI inflows will decrease by 40% in the period 2020-2021. ▪ All M&A deals on a global scale tend to decrease. 6
II. Trends of global FDI flows shifting 2. Shifting of manufacturing chains 1. M&A activity is stalled (UNCTAD forecast a 70% decrease compared to 2019). 2. Global value chain interrupted. 3. Increase the investment restructuring according to the trend of "China +1" 4. Investment shift in manufacturing and supply chain of smart technology products. 5. Developing countries will be the places to attract the shifting foreign investment capital. 6. According to some surveys: 67% of companies in the EU sought other sources outside of China; 37% of the 2,600 Japanese companies intend to diversify production in other countries; 50% of the total 160 manufacturers in the US moved some of their operations from China to Mexico. However, the movement of FDI flows out of China will be difficult to happen in the short-term because China still has outstanding advantages compared to other developing countries. 7
II. Trends of global FDI flows shifting 3. Shifting FDI flows trend of some country partners 3.1. Korea 1. Vietnam ranks 4th out of 10 countries attracting the most Korean investment. Vietnam accounts for about 30% of total Korean FDI into ASEAN. 2. Some Korean enterprises have chosen Vietnam as a destination for investment transfer such as: Hyosung TNS Company has implemented the project to build ATM factory in Bac Ninh; Daewoo Bus Company is researching to transfer the bus production line from a factory in Korea to a factory in Khai Quang Industrial Park, Vinh Phuc. 3. Korean foreign investment in Vietnam next time: manufacturing industry, finance, banking, insurance, energy, infrastructure, logistics, distribution, M&A, startup ... 8
II. Trends of global FDI flows shifting 3. Shifting FDI flows trend of some country partners 3.2. Japan 1. Many Japanese enterprises have been transferring production lines from China to other countries due to (i) the US-China trade war, Covid-19, the pressure to diversify the supply chain. 2. Japan is still actively implementing the policy of "China + 1" and looking for more locations outside China to diversify the current supply chain. 3. According to the JETRO Quarter I / 2020 survey: 41% plan to move to Vietnam, 48% of Japanese enterprises said they will still stay in China. 4. Some areas of Japanese enterprises are interested in the coming time: component production, distribution, increased use of robots, AI application, IoT, M&A activities. 9
II. Trends of global FDI flows shifting 3. Shifting FDI flows trend of some country partners 3.3. Europe 1. Businesses will tend to study economically and politically stable countries for business investment. 2. European businesses are expected to diversify their supply 3. Vietnam has advantages compared to other ASEAN countries when it has signed many new generation free trade agreements such as CPTPP, EVFTA, .... Especially, on June 8, 2020, the National Assembly passed. Resolution approving the EVFTA and EVIPA Agreements. 10
II. Trends of global FDI flows shifting 3. Shifting FDI flows trend of some country partners 3.4. Taiwan 1. In the eight months of 2020, Vietnam is the third largest investment destination for Taiwan. Vietnam accounts for more than 30% of the total investment capital that Taiwanese investors enter into the ASEAN region. 2. In the medium term (the next 2-3 years), Taiwan's technology groups and supporting enterprises will still prioritize Vietnam as an investment destination or expand investment due to the advantages of Vietnam. 3. From the end of 2019, Foxconn Group has invested in two new projects in Bac Giang (200 million USD) and Quang Ninh (about 50 million USD). In early 2020, Wintron, Compal, Quisda, and Pegatron groups all expand production and invest in new ones in Vietnam. 11
II. Trends of global FDI flows shifting 3. Shifting FDI flows trend of some country partners 3.5. Singapore 1. The trend of gradually shifting production out of China, building new production and assembly facilities in ASEAN countries. 2. Singapore's investment in Vietnam in the coming time: high-quality infrastructure and services. 3. In the eight months of 2020, Singapore is the largest investor in Vietnam with a total investment of more than 6.5 billion USD. 4. On April 17, the Ministry of Planning and Investment cooperated with Vietnam Embassy in Singapore + SMF (Singapore Production Federation) to organize an online investment promotion seminar. 12
4. Sectors and fields with prospects to attract investment shifting flows Food Processing Consumer goods and retails Electronic equipment and Automotive industry components E-commerce and logistics Supporting industry Heavy industry (steel, Textiles, leather and shoes petroleum, chemicals) 13
III. PREPARATION OF VIETNAM TO RECEIVE THE SHIFTED FDI FLOWS 1. Industry park land fund 6. Taskforce promoting FDI corporation 2. Labour training RECEIVING SHIFTED FDI FLOWS 5. Building legal frame more favourable and 3. Energy more incentives 4. Facilitating supporting industry 14
IV. PREPARATION OF OVERVIEW OF INDUSTRIAL LANDS IN SOME BIG PROVINCES VIETNAM TO RECEIVE Unit: Hectares SHIFTED FDI FLOWS 8,000 91.5% 100.0% 88.4% 83.2% 84.4% 90.0% 7,000 80.0% 74.1 90.1% 80.0% 6,000 85.8% 70.0% 58.8% 1. Industrial Land 5,000 69.3% 60.0% 60.9% INDUSTRIAL 260 IPs PLANNING 4,000 55.3% 59.5% 57.0% 50.0% 75,933 ha LAND 86,66 thousand hectares 3,000 40.0% UNDER BASIC 93 IPs CONSTRUCTION 2,000 30.0% 20.0% 32,27 thousand hectares 55% OCCUPATION RATE OF 17 EZs ESTABLISHED 1,000 10.0% INDUSTRIAL 65 thousand hectares - 0.0% LAND 2 EZs PLANNING INCLUDING INDUSTRIAL ZONES AND 27,3 thousand hectares ECONOMIC ZONES Đất công nghiệp Industrial land Tỷ lệ lấp đầy rate Occupation Copyright © 2020 Bộ Kế hoạch và Đầu tư. All rights reserved. Cấm sao chép khi không được phép
IV. PREPARATION OF VIETNAM TO RECEIVE SHIFTED FDI FLOWS 2. Trainning human resources Cooperate between universities, colleges, vocational training centers with Corporations, enterprises to train according to “Orders”. NĂM 2025 Develop a database of trained labor force in foreign countries to connect the demands of FDI and U.S enterprises. 2026-2030 16
IV. PREPARATION OF VIETNAM TO RECEIVE SHIFTED FDI FLOWS 3. Energy ELECTRICITY DEVELOPMENT PLANNING CAPACITY PLANNING OPERATIONAL CAPACITY YEAR 2020 60,000 MW 2016-2020 21,651 MW YEAR 2025 96,500 MW 2021-2025 36,192 MW YEAR 2030 129,500 MW 2026-2030 38,010 MW 17
IV. PREPARATION OF VIETNAM TO RECEIVE SHIFTED FDI FLOWS 4. Improving investment environment NATIONAL ASSEMBLY APPROVED Law on Investment in forms of Law on Investment Law on Enterprises Public – Private Partnership (17/6/2020) (17/6/2020) (PPP) (18/6/2020) ⮚ NĂM 2025 Create open mechanism ⮚ Increase decentralization ⮚ Clarify and diversify forms of investment 2026-2030 ⮚ Supplement investment incentives, investment supports 18
IV. PREPARATION OF VIETNAM TO RECEIVE SHIFTED FDI FLOWS Comparison of corporate income tax in ASEAN countries COUNTRY Corporate income tax CAMBODIA 20% INDONESIA 22% LAOS 24% MALAYSIA 24% MYANMAR 25% PHILIPPINES 30% SINGAPORE 17% THAILAND 20% VIETNAM 20% Source: World Bank and KPMG update 8/2020 Copyright © 2020 Ministry of Planning and Investment. All rights reserved. 19
IV. PREPARATION OF VIETNAM TO RECEIVE SHIFTED FDI FLOWS REGULATION ON INCENTIVES ON SPECIAL INCENTIVE UNDER INVESTMENT LAW CORPORATE INCOME TAX No. 61/2020/QH14 (Investment Law 2014, Law on Corporate Income Tax 2013 and Decree 218/2013/NĐ-CP) (1) Duration 10% within 30 years Maximum 5% within 37,5 years (2)Exemption Exemption maximum 6 years, reduction maximum 50% in 13 4 years exemption , 50% reduction in 9 years Rate years 1) Investment projects have great impact on socio-economic 1) By sectors development (3) Conditions 2) By location 2) Large-scale projects over 30,000 billion VND 3) By business scale, 6,000 billion VND capital or 3) Innovation Center, R&D Center... more, the minimum disbursement of 6,000 4) Additional conditions for high technology, the portion of billion VND within 3 years. Vietnamese enterprises participating in the supply chain, rate of production value of Vietnamese enterprises. (4) Legal bases Article 15, 16 Investment Law 2014, Corporate Clause 4 Article 75 Investment Law No.61/2020/QH14 Income Tax Law and related Decrees 20
IV. PREPARATION OF VIETNAM TO RECEIVE SHIFTED FDI FLOWS 5. Promote supporting industry 1. Ministry of Industry and Trade develops website on supporting businesses to connect Vietnamese business with foreign market (buyvietnam.com.vn) 2. Establish the National Innovation Center - NIC (training, connection, technology incubator) 21 Copyright © 2020 Ministry of Planning and Investment. All rights reserved.
V. PREPARATION OF VIETNAM TO RECEIVE SHIFTED FDI FLOWS 6. Working groups promote cooperation of foreign investment HEAD OF TASK FORCE DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER PHAM BINHMINH HEAD OF TASK FORCE DEPUTY HEAD OF TASK FORCE MINISTER OF PLANNING AND VICE MINISTER OF PLANNING INVESTMENT AND INVESTMENT NGUYEN CHI DZUNG Ministry Ministry of Ministry of Ministry Ministry of Ministry of Govern Ministry Ministry Ministry Ministry of Natural of Agricultur of Labor, War Informatio State of of Public of Resources Science ment Industry e & Rural Culture, Invalids, & n& Bank of Foreign Security Finance and Trade & & Office Affairs Developm Environme Sports & Social Communic Vietnam Technolo Tourism ations ent nt Welfare gy Copyright © 2020 Ministry of Planning and Investment. All rights reserved. 22
V. SUPPORT OF MPI PROVIDE INFORMATION ON LAWS AND POLICIES CONNECT STATE AGENCIES AT DIFFERENT LEVELS AND PROVINCES ORGANIZE BUSINESS MATCHINGS SUPPORT TO SOLVE DIFFICULTIES AND ENTANGLEMENTS 23
VIET NAM Destination of success and safety THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION! 24
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