Monthly Transport Indicators - Recommendation(s) That the Board: Auckland Transport
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Board Meeting | 23 October 2013
Agenda item no. 11
Open Session
Monthly Transport Indicators
Recommendation(s)
That the Board:
i. Notes this report.
Executive summary
The monthly transport indicators report provides an overview of key trends within the
transport system as well as wider economic indicators that impact on the performance of the
transport networks.
Economic activity
Official economic activity figures are reported quarterly so there has been no update since
last month’s transport indicators report. ANZ’s Truckometer uses NZTA national traffic
volumes to help predict trends in economic performance. Truck volumes were up 8.3%
compared to last September, indicating improving economic activity for the September
quarter.
Auckland Traffic
State highway traffic flows on the harbour Bridge, SH20 and SH1 at Tip Top corner and
Drury rose in September whilst traffic at ALPURT dropped slightly compared to September
2012.
Fuel Prices
Fuel prices continue to be volatile and have decreased slightly in September. The price of 91
octane petrol has remained above $2 per litre for the past year which has seen consumers
share of spending on fuel continue increase.
Public Transport
Auckland public transport patronage totalled 69,277,456 passengers for the 12-months to
September 2013 an increase of +0.2% on the 12-months to August 2013. The September
monthly patronage was 5,853,318 an increase of 107,445 boardings or +1.9% on
September 2012.
Rail patronage increased in September 2013 and totalled 10,217,793 passengers for the
twelve months to September 2013 (Figure 5), an increase of +1.0% on the 12-months to
August 2013. Patronage for September 2013 was 925,014 boardings, an increase of
+12.4% (+102,143 boardings) on September 2012. Punctuality in September 2013 was
86.3% and remains above the 85.4% target.Board Meeting | 23 October 2013
Agenda item no. 11
Open Session
Attachments
Number Description
1 Monthly Transport Indicators Report: September 2013
Document ownership
Submitted by Richard Scott
Transport Monitoring Research
Analyst
Recommended by Peter Clark
General Manager Strategy and
Planning
Approved for David Warburton
submission Chief ExecutiveAuckland Transport - Transport Indicators Report September 2013
Monitor trends driving transport demands:
Economic Economic Indicators
Indicators
Auckland Economic Activity ANZ Truckometer Auckland Economic Activity - increased
by 1.5% in the June 2013 quarter, with a
Composite index of Economic Activity Auckland ANZ Heavy Traffic Index and GDP year-on-year growth rate of 3.5% for the
5
Regional Economic Activity Quarterly change Auckland year to June 2013.
4 Growth Rate (%) Auckland 1,320 $38,500 Source: ANZ Regional Trends: Auckland
National growth
(Quarterly data)
3
1,220 $36,500
2 ANZ Truckometer - uses NZTA data as an
1,120 $34,500 indicator of national economic activity.
1
The heavy traffic growth of 8.3% in Sept
0 1,020 $32,500 2013 vs. Sept 2012 indicates an
%
-1 improvement is likely for the September
920 $30,500 GDP results.
-2
Source: ANZ Truckometer (Data available
-3 820 $28,500 12th of the month)
Source : ANZ
-4
Auckland Employment - Auckland
ANZ heavy traffic index (LHS) Jan 04=1000 GDP $m (RHS)
employment has risen by 4% in the first 6
months of 2013 with a similar drop in
unemployment. The recovery has been
Total Auckland Employment Dwelling Consents Issued gradual compared to the decline during
the recession.
900 100% 800 8,000
Source: Statistics NZ Quarterly
800 98% 700 7,000 Employment Survey (Quarterly data)
700 96%
600 6,000
94% Dwelling Consents issued - have
600
500 5,000 continued to rise since mid 2011
92%
Thousands
500 indicating an increased amount of activity
90% 400 4,000
400
in the building industry. The 12 month
88% 300 3,000 rolling average is 30% higher than 12
300 months ago and August 2013 consents
86%
200 2,000 were 33% higher than August 2012.
200 84%
100 1,000 Source: Statistics NZ
100 82%
0 80% - -
Employed (LHS) Unemployed (LHS) Employed % (RHS) Monthly (LHS) 12m Rolling (RHS)Auckland Transport - Transport Indicators Report September 2013
Monitor Trends Driving Transport Demands: Prices and AT Hop Card
Monthly Fuel Prices Auckland Annual Fuel Sales Fuel Prices - continue to be volatile however
they currently appear to be on an upward
Cents per litre (litres, millions) trajectory placing pressure on travellers
250 1,800
wallets by reducing the amount of money
230 1,600 available for discretionary spending. Petrol
210 Prices has been around $2.20 over the last
1,400
190
four months but have dropped significantly
1,200 in October.
170
Source: Ministry of Business, Employment
150 1,000
and Innovation (Updated Weekly)
130 800
110
600
Auckland Fuel Sales - total fuel sales
90 continue to increase on the back of
400 increased diesel sales.
70
200 Source: Auckland Council Fuel Tax returns
50
(Data available 1 month following)
Diesel Petrol 91 Petrol Diesel Total Card Spending on Fuel - increasing fuel
prices are putting a greater amount of
pressure on budgets taking 13% of total
Electronic Card Spending on Fuel Bus Adult AT HOP and Real Cash fares 2004-2013 spending in Sept. Spending on fuel in Sept
(Millions) 2013 is $62 million more than in Sept 2012
2013 prices
14% 780 and spending on vehicles is $6m more than
$8 Cash Stage 5
in Sept 2012.
12% 740 HOP Stage 5
$7 Source: Statistics NZ monthly Electronic
10% 700 Cash Stage 4 Card Transactions
$6
HOP Stage 4
8% 660 Public Transport Fares - Change in the 1-5
$5
Cash Stage 3 stage bus cash fares in 2013 prices over
6% 620
$4 HOP Stage 3 time. The HOP fares (dotted line) show the
4% 580 equivalent HOP fares. The HOP stage 1 bus
$3 Cash Stage 2
fare is equivalent to the 2004 stage 1 cash
2% 540 HOP Stage 2 fare and for other stages is cheaper than the
$2
Cash Stage 1 2004 cash fares. (Nominal Fares are adjusted
0% 500
$1 based on CPI index to provide their relative
HOP Stage 1
cost in real terms)
$0
Fuel % of Total Spending (LHS) Total Fuel Spending (RHS)Auckland Transport - Transport Indicators Report September 2013
Monitor Statement of Intent Key Performance
RoadIndicators:
PerformanceTransport
Indicators
network moves people and goods efficiently
State Highway Average Daily Traffic Volumes AT CBD Carparks Early Bird Price per day State Highway Traffic Volumes - shows the
amount of traffic on each state highway.
180 $14 Compared to the same month last year, in
160 $13 Sept traffic volumes on the Harbour Bridge
$12 were 1.4% higher while on State Highway
140
$11 20 volumes were 5.4% higher, State
120 $10 highway 1 at Tip top corner was 3.4%
Thousands
100 $9 higher, Traffic at Drury was 2.8% higher and
80
60
$8
$7
. = Confirmed prices traffic on Alpurt was -0.4% lower.
Source: NZTA Data
$6
40 $5 Arterial Road Productivity - is a measure of
20 $4
the efficiency of the road network
$3 2012 Early Bird Changed
- comparing the number of vehicles, average
$2 from 9:30 am to 8:30 am
journey speed and occupancy. In Sept the
$1
AM peak productivity was 57%, PM peak
Auckland Harbour Bridge SH1 Tip Top corner $0
productivity was 68% and the combined
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
SH20 Puhinui Rd to Massey Rd SH1 Drury
SH1 Orewa to Puhoi average productivity was 63%.
Source: AT Road Corridor Operations
Arterial Road Productivity % Earlybird Parking Price - in AT owned
carparking buildings in the CBD. There has
Arterial Road Productivity (%) been no change in the price since 2011
70 however in 2012 the conditions were
changed with earlybird parking only
65
available before 8:30am compared to
60 previously being before 9:30am. (reported
55 as prices change)
50
45
40
35
30
AM Peak PM Peak Combined Average SOI TargetAuckland Transport - Transport Indicators Report September 2013
Monitor Statement of Intent Key Performance Indicators: Transport network moves people and goods efficiently
Annual Public Transport Trips - 69.2m Annual Rail Trips - 10.0m Public Transport - Auckland public
transport patronage totalled 69,277,456
Millions (Millions) passengers for the 12-months to Sep-2013
14
80 an increase of +0.2% on the 12-months to
70 12 Aug-2013. September monthly patronage
was 5,853,318 an increase of 107,445
60 10 boardings or +1.9% on Sep-2012,
50 normalised to ~-2.1% accounting for one
8
40 more business day in Sep-2013 compared
6 to Sep-2012.
30
Source: AT PT Ops / operator returns
20 4
10 2 Rail Trips- Rail patronage improved in Sep-
2013 and totalled 10,217,793 passengers
-
- for the twelve months to Sep-2013 (Figure
5), an increase of +1.0% on the 12-months
to Aug-2013.
Annual SOI Target 12m Rolling Total Annual SOI Target 12m Rolling Total Patronage for Sep-2013 was 925,014
boardings, an increase of +12.4%
(+102,143 boardings) on Sep-2012,
Rail Working Weekday Average - 37k Rail Punctuality - 86% normalised at ~+5.5% to ~+6.1%.
Source: AT PT Ops / operator returns
40,000 30.0% 100%
35,000 95% Rail Working Weekday - Working weekday
20.0% patronage in Sept 2013 was 37,646, 9.7%
30,000 90% higher than Sept 2012.
10.0% Source: AT PT Ops
25,000 85%
20,000 0.0% 80% Rail Punctuality - Punctuality in September-
2013 Fell to 86.3% compared to August-
15,000 75%
-10.0% 2013 but remains above the 85.4% target.
10,000 70% Service delivery was 97.9%.
-20.0% Source: AT PT Ops / operator returns
5,000 65%
HOP Transition
0 -30.0% 60%
YoY Change 12m Rolling Average Target Monthly Punctuality 12m Rolling AverageAuckland Transport - Transport Indicators Report September 2013
Public Transport Indicators cont.
Annual Northern Express Bus Trips - 2.3M Annual Bus (excl NEX) Trips - 51.2M Northern Express - The Northern Express
bus service carried 2,280,688 passenger
(Millions) (Millions) trips for the 12-months to Sep-2013, an
3.0 60.0 increase of +0.1% on the 12 months to Aug-
2013. Northern Express bus service
2.5 50.0
patronage for Sep-2013 was 187,738, an
increase of 2,708 boardings or +1.5% on
2.0 40.0
Sep-2012, normalised to ~-2.5% accounting
for one more business day in Sep-2013.
1.5 30.0
Source: AT PT Ops / operator returns
1.0 20.0
Bus (excl Northern Express) - Other bus
0.5 10.0 services carried 51,223,526 passenger trips
for the 12-months to Sep-2013, a 0.0%
0.0 0.0 change on the 12-months to Aug-2013.
Other bus services patronage for Sep-2013
was 4,365,633, a decrease of -951
Annual SOI Target 12m Rolling Total Annual SOI Target 12m Rolling Total boardings or 0.0% on Sep-2012, normalised
to ~-4.0%.
Source: AT PT Ops / operator returns
Annual Ferry Trips - 5.5m Percentage of Trips using AT HOP - 16%
Ferry Trips - Ferry services carried
(Millions) 100% 5,555,449 passenger trips for the 12-
7.0
90% months to Sep-2013, an increase of +0.1%
6.0 80% on the 12 months to Aug-2013. Ferry
70% services patronage for Sep-2013 was
5.0 374,933, an increase of 3,545 boardings or
60%
4.0
+1.0% on Sep-2012, normalised to ~-3.0%.
50% Source: AT PT Ops / operator returns
3.0 40%
30% Trips using AT HOP - continues to increase
2.0
20% for all modes. 16% of all trips are now being
1.0 made with AT HOP. Over the coming
10%
months we expect to see these figures lift
0.0 0%
substantially.
Source: AT PT Ops/operator returns
Annual SOI Target 12m Rolling Total Rail Bus Ferry Total TripsAuckland Transport - Transport Indicators Report September 2013
Other National Transport Indicators
Auckland Airport Passenger Movements New and Used Vehicle Registrations Airport Passenger Movements - increased
in August for both domestic and
(Rolling 12 month total, millions) (Rolling 12 month total, Thousands) international journeys. Domestic traffic
9.0 25 continues to increase at a much faster rate
8.0 than international traffic.
7.0 20 Source: AIAL Monthly traffic (reported 28th
of the month)
6.0
15
5.0 New and Used Vehicle Registrations - The
4.0 recovery in car sales following the recession
10
3.0 in 2008 has continued with 19% higher
registrations In the year to Sept 2013
2.0 5 compared to the year to Sept 2012.
1.0 Source: NZTA Vehicle registration Centre
0.0 0 (reported 10th of the month)
Auckland Car registrations - Cars first
International Domestic NZ car registrations registered to an Auckland Postal code.
September sales were 12% higher in 2013
compared to 2012.There has been a
significant improvement in car sales over the
Auckland car registrations 12 month moving average last 6 months indicating an improvement in
9,000 economic conditions. During the recession
8,000 people delayed replacing vehicles and the
fleet aged. Now economic conditions are
7,000 replacement of vehicles is occurring.
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
-Auckland Transport - Transport Indicators Report September 2013
Active Mode and Safety Indicators
Cycling Counts Average Daily CBD Pedestrian Counts Cycling Counts - AT counts cyclists at 9 key
sites around the region. 60,140 cyclists
Thousands were recorded during Sept 2013 -1.2% lower
30,000
100 than Sept 2012. There was one working day
25,000 less this September compared to last. The
90
12 month rolling average is 5.8% higher than
20,000
80 last year. Cycling numbers are impacted by
15,000 wet weather so there is a strong seasonal
70 variation.
10,000 Source: AT Community Transport (reported
60 10th of the Month)
5,000
50 Daily CBD Pedestrian Counts - Automatic
-
pedestrian counts are made by fixed
40
cameras and show high levels of pedestrian
30 use of Queen St compared to other streets
210 Queen st 261 Queen st
59 High st Darby St monitored within the CBD.
Britomart Te Ara Tahuhu 205 Queen st Source: Heart of the city (reported 10th of
the Month)
Auckland Annual Road Crash Deaths Road Crash Deaths - There was 1 fatal
accident on Auckland roads in September
90
2013.
80 3 less than September 2012. The total road
70
toll for the 12 months to September 2013
was 44, 1 more than the 12 months to
60 September 2012.
50 Source: NZTA (reported weekly)
Total
40
30
20
10
0
Annual total, year to Dec 12m Rolling TotalAuckland Transport - Transport Indicators Report September 2013
Media Indicators
AT HOP Media Coverage City Rail Link Media Coverage
Auckland Mayor Len Brown’s view that the AT HOP has been poorly promoted The CRL was most frequently discussed as part of the debate over whether
was reflected in this month’s coverage, with most reports being unfavourable funding for the project should be brought forward, with proponents of the
in tone. idea pointing to Auckland Transport’s cost estimates of an additional $100
million for each year it is postponed after 2015, and Auckland Mayor Len
While the delayed rollout of the card to Ritchies and Northern Express services Brown warning of gridlock unless the government’s 2020 start date is
forced Auckland Transport Chair Lester Levy to defend the system against changed.
comparisons with the government’s troubled Novopay payroll service, like last
month, the sharpest criticism was aimed at the concurrent fare increases for Like several other transport topics this month, the CRL was also mentioned in
some groups of commuters. a report that surveyed the opinions of candidates for the upcoming mayoral
elections, which was syndicated widely across suburban newspapers.
The failure in these reports to distinguish between the rollout of the card and
the fare increases, with an implied causal connection between the two,
appeared to underscore Len Brown’s concerns.Auckland Transport - Transport Indicators Report September 2013
Media Indicators cont.
Roading and Infrastructure Media Coverage Leading Messages
A wide array of projects were mentioned in this month’s reporting on roading and infrastructure, with few
receiving sustained coverage and most discussed in neutral terms.
Aside from residual reporting of last month’s announcement that engineering firm Beca had been
awarded the contract for the Dominion Road upgrade, notable coverage included proactively generated
reports on the planned $10 million facelift of Federal Street to create a more pedestrian-friendly
environment, with SkyCity and Auckland Council sharing the cost.
There were also reports on the planned three-year closure of bus lanes along the
North Western Motorway as part of NZ Transport Agency works on State Highway
16. The significant inconvenience the closures will pose for bus commuters was noted in several reports,
with columnist Brian Rudman asserting it typified the NZTA’s prioritisation of roading over public transport
(The New Zealand Herald, 16
September 2013). A subsequent opinion piece by NZTA’s Tommy Parker, titled
“Working together we can build a better motorway” (The New Zealand Herald, 19
September 2013), did little to persuade otherwise.
The option of a Harbour tunnel was mentioned in a widely syndicated report on the policies of candidates
for the upcoming mayoral elections.You can also read
