Mobility Reimagined Tracking transportation trends in the U.S. using mobile app & location data - July 2 2020

Page created by Billy Bishop
 
CONTINUE READING
Mobility Reimagined Tracking transportation trends in the U.S. using mobile app & location data - July 2 2020
Mobility
Reimagined
Tracking transportation trends in the U.S. using
mobile app & location data

JULY 2020

                             1
Mobility Reimagined Tracking transportation trends in the U.S. using mobile app & location data - July 2 2020
MOBILITY REIMAGINED

    Largely driven by the COVID-19 pandemic, people in the U.S. are shifting away from public
    transportation and ridesharing. Instead, they’re opting for more isolated modes of
    transportation, such as driving and biking.

    By combining Apptopia’s mobile app performance estimates and Foursquare location
    data, we’ve created a clear, comprehensive picture of this mobility evolution.

    These data signals will help you market more intelligently within this rapidly shifting sector
    — discover new opportunities, identify potential roadblocks, and plan for the road ahead.

                 RIDESHARE                                           DRIVING

                 BIKES & SCOOTERS                                    PUBLIC TRANSIT

                                                             2
Mobility Reimagined Tracking transportation trends in the U.S. using mobile app & location data - July 2 2020
DOWNSHIFT: PUBLIC TRANSIT

     Non-essential places of work closed in March, and while public transportation remained open, far fewer
     people chose this mode of transportation. Even as more people return to work, public transportation
     continues to decline — perhaps because it’s difficult to distance in these environments.

     KEY INSIGHT: Visits to metro stations are down 68% since mid-                                       KEY INSIGHT: Daily active users of Apptopia’s Public Transit Index
              February, while train stations are down 60%                                                           have declined 59% since mid-February

                Indexed Foot Traffic To Public Transit Stations                                                       Public Transit Index Daily Active Users, U.S.
      120                                                                                                 300000
                               Metro Stations       Train Stations      Bus Stations
      100                                                                                                 250000
       80                                                                                                 200000
       60                                                                                                 150000
       40                                                                                                 100000
       20                                                                                                  50000

      2020-02-19 2020-03-12 2020-04-03 2020-04-25 2020-05-17 2020-06-08                                       02/15/20     03/08/20     03/30/20     04/21/20     05/13/20     06/04/20

      Chart illustrates indexed foot traffic to metro, train & bus stations, where visits February        App Index is comprised of DART, MBTA, MTA and MUNI mobile apps [Dallas, Boston,
      19, 2020 is 100, using rolling 7 day averages to account for fluctuations by day of week.           New York City, San Francisco].

                                                                                                     3                                                                                      3
DOWNSHIFT: PUBLIC TRANSIT

                                             KEY INSIGHT: Top public transit apps saw their downloads halved year-over-year

                                                                                 New Mobile App Installs, U.S.

                                                                                     2019                    2020

                                             1100000

                                             825000

    Top public transit schedule apps have    550000

    seen their demand halved from one
    year ago — further evidence that         275000

    there’s a lack of interest in subways,
    trains and buses amongst U.S.                 0
                                                               March                     April         May          June
    commuters.
                                              App Index is comprised of Citymapper, Moovit, Transit.

                                                              4                                                               4
DOWNSHIFT: PUBLIC TRANSIT

    People may return to public transit in
    some markets sooner than others.                                    Ranking Public Transit Recovery By DMA
    Location data shows the designated
    market areas (DMAs) in which we               Rank                         DMA                        Relative Decline             Rate of Recovery

    expect public transit to recover                 1                    Atlanta, GA                           Medium                          High
    soonest, based on both the relative
    decline at the height of the pandemic            2                   San Diego, CA                          Medium                       Medium
    as well as the rate of recovery.
                                                     3                      Dallas, TX                             Low                       Medium

                                                     4                 Philadelphia, PA                         Medium                       Medium

                                                     5                 Minneapolis, MN                          Medium                       Medium

                                              Relative decline indicates how far a DMA fell in terms of relative foot traffic to public transit locations (metro,
                                              train and bus stations) at the height of the pandemic. Rate of recovery indicates the speed at which visits to
                                              public transit is picking back up.

                                             KEY INSIGHT: Public transportation is picking back up faster in Southern cities
                                               like Atlanta & Dallas, and slower in the Northeast (New York, Boston) and
                                                                   Northwest (San Francisco, Seattle)

                                                               5                                                                                                    5
ROCKY ROAD: RIDESHARE

                                          KEY INSIGHT: Rideshare demand is still slightly below pre-pandemic levels

                                                      Average U.S. iOS App Store Overall Rank Per Month
                                                                Uber                      Lyft
                                           0

                                           100

                                           200

   While consumers have been slower
   to start using public transit again,    300

   rideshare demand is on the rise.
                                           400

   However, combined downloads
                                           500
   (March through June) for the two
                                           February          March            April              May           June
   leading ride share apps, Uber and
   Lyft, are still down 21% year-over-
   year.

                                                  6                                                                   6
ACCELERATING: DRIVING

                                                      KEY INSIGHT: Visits to auto dealerships continue to pick up, and
                                                     active users in Apttopia’s Vehicle Index rebound fully from small dip
   Rather than taking public transit,
   commuters are turning to more isolated
   forms of transportation, like driving, to                                      Driving Indicators
                                               140
   avoid crowds while commuting.                             Traffic to Auto Dealerships         Vehicle Index Daily Active Users

                                               120
   Indicators from both Foursquare and
   Apptopia show a returned interest in        100
   acquiring new and/or used vehicles.
                                                80

                                                60

                                                40

                                               2020-02-19    2020-03-11    2020-04-01      2020-04-22    2020-05-13     2020-06-03

                                               Chart illustrates indexed foot traffic to auto dealerships by region, where visits on
                                               February 19, 2020 is 100, using rolling 7 day averages to account for fluctuations by day
                                               of the week. App Index is comprised of Autotrader, CarGurus, Carvana, FordPass,
                                               HondaLink, Tesla,Toyota, Volkswagen Car-Net.

                                                      7                                                                                    7
ACCELERATING: DRIVING

                                            KEY INSIGHT: Interest in and purchases of new and/or used vehicles has grown YoY

                                                                    Vehicle Index New Mobile App Installs, U.S.

                                                                                2019                         2020

                                               1100000

                                               825000

   Aside from April, new user growth has
                                               550000
   increased year-over-year for apps used
   to shop for and purchase automobiles
                                               275000

       March +12% YoY
       April -13 YoY                                0
                                                                March              April               May                  June
       May +5.2 YoY
       June +16.4% YoY                           App Index is comprised of Autotrader, CarGurus, Carvana, FordPass, HondaLink, Tesla,
                                                 Toyota, Volkswagen Car-Net.

                                                            8                                                                           8
ACCELERATING: DRIVING

                                           KEY INSIGHT: Visits to gas stations are up most in the Midwest (up 13%), while visits are
                                                              back to roughly pre-pandemic levels in the West
    As people drive or use ridesharing
    rather than take public                                      Indexed Foot Traffic To Gas Stations By Region
    transportation, we’re seeing
                                                               Midwest            Northeast             South                West
    visitation to gas stations return
                                              120
    roughly to pre-pandemic levels. It’s
    even up in certain regions, despite
    the fact that fewer people are            110

    commuting to and from work.
                                              100

                                               90

                                               80

                                              2020-02-19   2020-03-09    2020-03-28   2020-04-16   2020-05-05   2020-05-24    2020-06-12

                                                           9                                                                               9
ACCELERATING: BIKES & SCOOTERS

                                                                                                  Bird + Lime Average Daily Active Users Per Month, U.S.
   As the summer months usher in good weather across the                                                                    2019                  2020
   U.S., outdoor forms of isolated travel, including bikes and                                    1500000
   scooters, are seeing an increase in usage.                                                      1125000

                                                                                                   750000
   While scooters are making their typical comeback from
                                                                                                   375000
   the winter months, it’s bikes that are the inexpensive
                                                                                                          0
   travel method of choice. New mobile app installs in May &                                                    March          April          May            June
   June of bike share apps are up 15.6% and 23.3% year-                                          App Index is comprised of Bird and Lime
   over-year, respectively.
                                                                                               KEY INSIGHT: Scooter usage is down compared to its ceiling in 2019
               Indexed Foot Traffic To Bike Shops & Shares
     120
                                       Bike Shops & Shares                                               Bikeshare Index New Mobile App Installs, U.S.
     100                                                                                                                   2019                     2020

                                                                                                300000
      80
                                                                                                225000

      60                                                                                        150000

                                                                                                 75000
     2020-02-19 2020-03-08 2020-03-26 2020-04-13          2020-05-01 2020-05-19
                                                                                                     0
     Chart illustrates indexed foot traffic to bike shares / rentals & bike shops where                       March           April            May             June
     visits on February 19, 2020 100 = 100, using rolling 7 day averages to account              App Index is comprised of Bay Wheels, Bluebikes, Capital Bikeshare,
     for fluctuations by day of the week.                                                        Citi Bike, Divvy Bikes

                                                                                               KEY INSIGHT: Bikeshare providers are in higher demand this year         10
                                                                                          10
TIME WARP

 Not only are modes of transportation changing, but also when we travel is shifting, with people out and about more midday.

                Metro Station Visits By Time of Day                                                  Train Station Visits By Time of Day
   10%                                                                                 10%

    8%                                                                                 8%

    5%                                                                                 5%

    3%                                                                                 3%

    12:00 AM 3:00 AM   6:00 AM   9:00 AM 12:00 PM   3:00 PM   6:00 PM   9:00 PM         12:00 AM 3:00 AM   6:00 AM   9:00 AM 12:00 PM   3:00 PM   6:00 PM   9:00 PM

                  Gas Station Visits By Time of Day                                             Bike Shares / Rentals Visits By Time of Day
   10%                                                                                 10%

    8%                                                                                 8%

    5%                                                                                 5%

    3%                                                                                 3%

    12:00 AM 3:00 AM   6:00 AM   9:00 AM 12:00 PM   3:00 PM   6:00 PM   9:00 PM         12:00 AM 3:00 AM   6:00 AM   9:00 AM 12:00 PM   3:00 PM   6:00 PM   9:00 PM

                                                Before        After
                                                                                  11 Foursquare data 2020; before = week ending 2/19; after = week ending 6/19 11
THE DRIVER’S SEAT
                                                             Commuter Audience Profiles

               METRO                                 TRAIN                                   DRIVE                                    BIKE

          COFFEE LOVERS                        CULTURE VULTURES                        FAST FOOD FANS                     FREQUENT TRAVELERS
         more likely to visit…                  more likely to visit…                 more likely to visit…                 more likely to visit…
     Coffee Shops, Peet’s Coffee,          Galleries, Museums, Theaters          QSRs, Sonic Drive-In, Hardee’s,         W Hotels, Hotel Bars, Airport
       Philz Coffee, Starbucks               Performing Arts Venues                 Zaxby’s, Burger Joints                Lounges, Marriott Hotels

        LUXURY SHOPPERS                        HOSTS & FOODIES                          FIXER UPPERS                    ACTIVE HEALTH FOOD FANS
         more likely to visit…                 more likely to visit…                  more likely to visit…                   more likely to visit…
     Bloomingdale’s, Nordstrom,             Gourmet Shop, Wine Shops,               Hardware Stores, Garden             Nike, Cycle Studios, CorePower
         Saks Fifth Avenue                  Organic Groceries, BevMo!               Centers, Furniture Stores           Yoga, Salad Places, Juice Bars

            SPORTS FANS                      SELF-CARE ENTHUSIASTS                     HOUSEHOLD CEOS                     OUTDOOR ENTHUSIASTS
         more likely to visit…                  more likely to visit…                  more likely to visit…                 more likely to visit…
    Basketball & Baseball Stadiums,            Sephora, Nail Salons,             Big Box & Warehouse Stores, Pet            Parks, REI, Bike Trails,
      Hockey Arenas, Sports Bars               Acupuncturists, Spas                 Stores, Post Offices, Banks             Rock Climbing Spots

                   KEY INSIGHT: Diff erent audiences may be more apt to choose certain modes of transportation in the days ahead

                                                                            12
THE NET NET

    KEY TAKEAWAYS
    WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR YOU?

         Transportation has changed
         People are changing how and when they travel

         Publishers can reach commuters while they’re in transit
         Take advantage of moments of receptivity

         Mobility players can capitalize on changing preferences
         Adapt strategies and contextualize performance

         Other brands can engage commuters along their journey
         Influence the places people go on their way from point A to point B.

         Investors can enable the future of mobility
         Consider brands and services that tap into consumers’ changing
         preferences.

                                                                  13            13
UNDER THE HOOD

  Methodology

   APPTOPIA                                                         FOURSQUARE

   Apptopia provides competitive intelligence for the mobile app    Foursquare is the leading independent location technology
   economy. Apptopia was founded on the belief that the mobile      platform. Location is at the center of everything we do: we
   app community requires transparency to level the playing field   understand location, how people move through the real world,
   and make way for innovation and industry advancements.           and how those patterns change over time. We use that
   Mobile publishers and developers, service providers, and         knowledge and our proprietary technologies to help brands,
   investors use Apptopia on a daily basis to understand and        developers, marketers and analysts understand consumers
   monitor competitors, inform business strategies, and identify    and engage with them.
   emerging consumer interests and trends.
                                                                    In this report, Foursquare analyzed consumer behavior based
   In this report, Apptopia analyzed groupings of individual        on foot traffic data from millions of Americans that make up
   mobile apps, estimating downloads and daily active users         our always-on panel. All data is pseudonymized, aggregated
   from February through June 2020. Apps included are: DART,        and normalized against U.S. Census data to remove any age,
   MBTA, MTA and MUNI, Citymapper, Moovit, Transit, Uber, Lyft,     gender and geographical bias. This report analyzes visitation
   Autotrader, CarGurus, Carvana, FordPass, HondaLink, Tesla,       to metro stations, train stations, bus stations, auto
   Toyota, Volkswagen Car-Net, Bird, Lime, Bay Wheels,              dealerships, gas stations, bike rentals, and bike shops in
   Bluebikes, Capital Bikeshare, Citi Bike, and Divvy Bikes.        2019-2020, using rolling 7-day averages to account for
                                                                    fluctuations by day of week.

                                                                                                                                    14
hi@foursquare.com

humans@apptopia.com
You can also read