MARKET OUTLOOK EMEA REAL ESTATE

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                E M E A R E A L E S TAT E
CBRE RESEARCH

                MARKET
                OUTLOOK
                SLOVAKIA
MARKET OUTLOOK EMEA REAL ESTATE
2

        CONTENTS

    01                                                                          04
    ECONOMY                                                                     LOGISTICS
    The economy is seen contracting at a record pace this year before           Automotive, as the most dominant part of the industrial & logistics
    rebounding strongly in 2021. The gradual easing of pandemic-associated      segment in Slovakia, outperformed the expectations from the pandemic
    restrictions, coupled with EU funding, should ramp up domestic activity.    beginning of the year. All 4 OEM´s are currently active. The most
    However, the unpredictable course of the pandemic poses a key downside      dominant drivers of leasing activity are 3PL providers and e-commerce
    risk.                                                                       retailers.

    02                                                                          05
    INVESTMENT                                                                  RETAIL
    The investment activity in 2020 was mostly driven by the industrial         As the most affected segment across the whole real estate market in
    segment, followed by office and retail. We recorded 17 transactions.        Slovakia, retail is still slowed down. Shopping centers with worse
                                                                                expectations than retail parks.

    03
    OFFICE
    The vacancy rate is increasing, due to the strong pipeline and projects
    under construction. We have identified a new trend in sub-leases when the
    largest tenants mitigate the costs this way.

    EMEA REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA                                                                         CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
MARKET OUTLOOK EMEA REAL ESTATE
EMEA REAL ESTATE
MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA

01 RECOVER

ECONOMY
MARKET OUTLOOK EMEA REAL ESTATE
4

          UNEMPLOYMENT GROWTH WAS DAMPENED BY GOVERNMENT MEASURES

    MACROECONOMIC OVERVIEW                                                                       SLOVAKIA GPD GROWTH DEVELOPMENT
                                                                                                10%
    The COVID-19 pandemic was a determining factor in economic performance and                                              Before COVID-19          After COVID-19
    affected both domestic and foreign demand. After a gloomy second quarter in which we         5%
    saw a historic decline in GDP, the third quarter brought a rocket recovery. However, the
    recovery at the end of the year was affected by restrictive measures associated with a       0%
    growing number of infections. Restrictions should primarily affect the service sector
    during the winter. The industry should continue to develop relatively well, as it remains
                                                                                                 -5%
    untouched by European constraints and stable economic conditions in East Asia also
    provide help for long-term demand.                                                                                        FORECAST
                                                                                                -10%
    MAJOR INDICATORS                                                                                      2019        2020        2021        2022      2023        2024       2025
                                                                                                 Source: Oxford Economics
                                               2019     2020      2021      2022     2023
    Gross Domestic Product (y-o-y % change)    2,3%     -6,2%     4,3%      6,1%      3,4%       UNEMPLOYMENT
    Consumer Price Index (y-o-y % change)      2,7%     1,9%      1,4%      1,9%      2,1%       The labor market was not spared from the impact of the pandemic, However, the
                                                                                                 negative impact of COVID-19 was relatively low, due to the contribution of state
    Private consumption (in billion €)
                                              49,80     49,40     50,10    52,00     53,40       measures that were aimed at job protection. Our estimates are therefore more optimistic
                                                                                                 than they were in spring when we expected more significant negative development in the
    Unemployment rate (%)                                                                        labor market.
                                               5,8%     6,9%      7,1%      6,1%      5,8%
                                                                                                 OUTLOOK
                                                                                                 We expect a return to GDP growth next year at a rate of 6%, with a visible recovery,
    Source: Oxford Economics                                                                     starting from spring 2021. By the end of 2021, we can also expect the arrival of the
                                                                                                 European funds from the EU Recovery Fund program (New Generation of the EU), with
    GDP                                                                                          its results being visible already in 2022. In 2021, the unemployment rate could reach
    The economy grew by 11.6% quarter on quarter in the third quarter, and the year-on-          7.1%, with a subsequent gradual decline, visible mainly from 2022. This will go hand in
    year decline slowed down to -2.4%. The recovery came after a sharp drop in the second        hand with more modest wage growth compared to the dynamic growth of recent years.
    quarter, which was hit hard by the pandemic and recorded a year-on-year decline in           Our forecast, therefore, assumes an increase in consumer prices in 2020 reaches an
    economic activity by 12.1%. On average, the economy fell from January to September           average of 1.9%. In 2021, we expect lower growth in consumer prices, at 0.9%. The
    by 6% however, the end of the year brought a second wave of infections and associated        announced measures should help maintain favorable financing conditions and support
    measures to slow down the spread of the virus.                                               economic recovery and price stability over the medium term.

    EMEA REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA                                                                                               CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
MARKET OUTLOOK EMEA REAL ESTATE
EMEA REAL ESTATE
MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA

02 REBALANCE

INVESTMENT
MARKET OUTLOOK EMEA REAL ESTATE
6

          DESPITE NEW CHALLENGES INVESTMENT VOLUME REMAINS SOLID

    INVESTMENT ACTIVITY OVERVIEW
                                                                                            INVESTMENT ACTIVITY IN 2020                    INVESTMENT ACTIVITY IN 2020 BY
    The total investment volume transacted in 2020 reached € 516 million and was spread     BY USE                                         REGIONS
    among 17 transactions. The first half of 2020 with almost 90% of the total transacted                                                                                 Bratislava
    volume reflects the COVID-19 situation on the market throughout 2020. The pandemic                                                                   7%
                                                                                                            11%          Office
    outbreak in March 2020 negatively influenced the construction processes, with            49%                                             40%              13%         Košice
    speculative constructions being postponed (if not withdrawn) too.                                         3%         Industrial
                                                                                                                                                                          Senec
                                                                                                                         Retail
                                                                                                                                                                          Žilina
                                                                                                          37%            Hotel                   5%        35%
    INVESTMENT ACTIVITY BY YEARS                                                                                                                                          Others
    € 876M                         € 826M
                                                    € 676M                                  Source: CBRE Research
                    € 543M                                        € 516M       - 24%
                                                                                            The majority of real estate investments took place in the Bratislava region. We
                                                                               (Y-o-Y)      identified 4 large transactions over € 50 million there. All of these transactions were
                                                                                            closed in the Bratislava region within the two best performing segments (office &
       38               20               26            25               17                  industrial).
      2016            2017           2018            2019              2020
                                                                                            The largest transaction was the sale of Goodman logistics portfolio containing
               Total Investment Volume        Number of Transactions                        industrial parks in Senec and Košice, by Goodman International to GLP and
    Source: CBRE Research                                                                   amounted to € 105 million. Another significant transaction in the industrial segment
                                                                                            was the sale of Palmira Logistics Park in Senec by Palmira Capital Partners to GIC
    In general, the dominance of the office and industrial segments continued during        and amounted to nearly € 100 million. Both of these transactions contributed with a
    2020 followed by the retail segment. The industrial segment dominated with a share      total of € 205 million (40%) to the overall transaction volume. Within the industrial
    of 49% of total investment volume, closely followed by the office segment with 37%      segment, we also recorded one transaction in the 4th quarter. It involved the sale of
    and the highly affected retail segment with only 11%. HORECA (hotels, restaurants &     an industrial complex in Kežmarok worth more than 10 million. In the current
    catering services), as the most affected segment, accounted for about 3% of total       situation, we assume that even during this year there will be the highest demand for
    investment volume. In terms of year-on-year comparison of investment volume, we         industrial and logistics properties, despite the lack of premium quality developments
    record a decrease of 24%.                                                               ready for disposals- the trend which we perceive more often these days.

    EMEA REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA                                                                                            CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
MARKET OUTLOOK EMEA REAL ESTATE
7

         STRONG DEMAND FOR INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTIC ASSETS

    INDUSTRIAL PRIME YIELD DEVELOPMENT                                                         SHOPPING CENTRES PRIME YIELD DEVELOPMENT

     8,75%   8,75%   8,50%   8,50%
                                     7,90%                                                         7,20%   7,00%   7,00%     7,00%   6,90%
                                             7,75%   7,50%                                                                                      6,50%
                                                             7,00%                                                                                      6,00%   5,75%           5,75%   6,00%
                                                                     6,50%                                                                                              5,50%
                                                                             6,25%   6,15%

                                                                                                   2010    2011    2012      2013    2014       2015     2016   2017    2018    2019    2020
     2010    2011    2012    2013    2014    2015    2016    2017    2018    2019    2020      Source: CBRE Research

    Source: CBRE Research                                                                      Singaporean investors have the largest share of invested capital in 2020 with a total
                                                                                               share of 40% of the total investment volume. Their share is represented by 2 significant
    The office segment registered 2 dominant transactions closed in 2020, being also the       transactions from the first half of the year, totally amounted to € 205 million.
    most active segment of them all (in terms of the number of deals transacted). One of
                                                                                               INVESTMENT ACTIVITY BY YEAR                        INVESTMENT ACTIVITY BY COUNTRY
    these transactions were closed in Bratislava, namely the sale of Rosum Offices by Penta
                                                                                               PERIOD                                             OF ORIGIN
    Investments to Austrian European City Estates and the sale of the BCT 1 by Penta
    Investments to Occam Real Estate. Both of these transactions contributed a total of                                                                         40%                 Slovakia
    almost € 90 million.
                                                                                                                       12%
                                                                                                                                     1st half                                       Czech republic
    OFFICE PRIME YIELD DEVELOPMENT                                                                                                                     12%
                                                                                                                                     2nd half                                       Austria
    7,40%
                                                                                                     88%                                                11%
             7,25%   7,25%   7,25%   7,00%   6,90%   6,75%                                                                                                          37%             Singapore
                                                             6,25%   6,00%   5,60%   5,50%

                                                                                               Source: CBRE Research
     2010    2011    2012    2013    2014    2015    2016    2017    2018    2019     2020
                                                                                               OUTLOOK
    Source: CBRE Research                                                                      In 2020, the prime office yield even fell to 5.5% for the office properties. A partial
                                                                                               correction can potentially occur within secondary real estate, but also at secondary
    The most significant retail transaction in 2020 – the disposal of Duben SC by SIRS to      locations. The condition of retail is currently far from ideal, however, retail parks, which
    Atrium, reached the transaction amount of almost € 40 million. We recorded another 2       are less demanding on hygiene measures in times of pandemic, may be an interesting
    disposals of retail parks in Slovak regions. The overall investment volume in the Retail   investment product in the coming months. With the increasing e-commerce penetration
    segment reached € 56 million in 2020.                                                      rate on the retail sales we also expect strong demand on industrial & logistics.

    EMEA REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA                                                                                                      CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
MARKET OUTLOOK EMEA REAL ESTATE
EMEA REAL ESTATE
MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA

03 RETURN

OFFICE
MARKET OUTLOOK EMEA REAL ESTATE
9

          VACANCY RATE EXCEEDED 11%, DUE TO STRONG NEW SUPPLY IN Q4

    OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW                                                                         VACANCY

    In the first half of 2020, we recorded low leasing activity, due to the traditionally weaker   The vacancy rate across the office market increased significantly compared with the
    first quarter and subsequently the situation around the COVID-19. Tenants were affected        previous year to 11,13%. This rapid increase was occurred due to newly delivered
    by the „wait and see“ approach, mainly the largest ones. We identified strong demand in        projects with large remaining vacant areas available to lease. The lowest vacancy has
    Q3, thanks to postponed decisions from the first half. The last quarter of 2020 was            been recorded in the city center district at the level of 6.47%. The vacancy rate in the
    traditionally the strongest one in terms of leasing activity.                                  largest submarket reached 14,13% by the end of 2020. The highest vacancy rate was
                                                                                                   recorded in the Outer city submarket at the level of 14,31%.

    MODERN OFFICE STOCK
                                                                                                   TOTAL STOCK BY SUBMARKETS                      TOTAL STOCK BY OFFICE STANDARDS
    2 000 000                                                                              15%
                                                                                           12%              8%
                                                                                                                      25%           City Centre
                                                                                           9%                                                        34%                             A-class
    1 000 000                                                                                                                       Inner City
                                                                                           6%      30%
                                                                                                                                    Outer City                                       B-class
                                                                                           3%
                                                                                                                           15%      CBD                                66%
             0                                                                             0%
                    2015        2016       2017         2018       2019         2020                          22%                   Southbank
                                  Total stock           Vacancy rate
    Source: CBRE Research                                                                          Source: CBRE Research
    Bratislava modern office stock stands at ca. 1.92 million sq m as at end of 2020.
                                                                                                   UNDER CONSTRUCTION
    Modern office stock includes A and B class buildings completed or refurbished to
    international standards. Total office stock comprises 64% of A-class office buildings,         We record 10 projects under construction, with planned completion before the end of
    while the remaining 33% of the total stock represents B-class office buildings. In 2020,       2022. Their total area is almost 200,000 sq m of new supply in the class A standard.
    almost 75,000 sq m of new office supply was added to the market, which represents 5            The pre-lease ratio of these projects represents approximately 10%. Each of these
    new buildings within the A-class category. In terms of size, the largest submarket is CBD      projects respects the new standards of office space according to the current pandemic
    with almost 600,000 sq m of lettable area.                                                     situation.

    EMEA REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA                                                                                                 CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
MARKET OUTLOOK EMEA REAL ESTATE
10

          DEMAND EXCEEDED EXPECTATIONS FROM THE BEGINNING OF THE PANDEMIC

     TOTAL LEASING ACTIVITY                                                                       TOTAL LEASING ACTIVITY BY SECTOR
     In the first half of 2020, there was a noticeable decrease in the leasing activity by 50 %                                                             IT
     on the office market in Bratislava in y-o-y comparison. Tenants preferred a „wait and                                                                  Finance & Banking
                                                                                                                            8%
     see“ approach what negatively affected the leasing activity. After the stay home                                             16%
                                                                                                                    10%                                     Professional services
     campaign, we identified strong demand in the third quarter, which was reaching
     historical heights. The fourth quarter showed traditionally the strongest demand, driven                     11%                   16%                 Consumer Goods
     by 3 transactions over 6,000 sq m.
                                                                                                                                                            Manufacturing & Construction
                                                                                                                    11%
                                                                                                                                   14%                      Public
                                                                                       60%
                                                                                                                            14%
      200 000                                                                                                                                               Pharma & Medical
                                                                                       40%
                                                                                                    Source: CBRE Research                                   Other
      100 000                                                                          20%
                                                                                                  RENTAL LEVELS
              0                                                                        0%
                                                                                                  The prime rent for premium office space in Bratislava remained at €17.00/sqm/month.
                     2015       2016       2017        2018      2019       2020
                                                                                                  The achievable office headline rents in the City Centre and CBD location are in the
                              Total Leasing Activity          Renegotiation %                     range of €12.00-15.00/sq m/month. In non-prime locations, the average headline rents
                                                                                                  are within the range of €8.50-13.50/sq m/month.
     Source: CBRE Research
                                                                                                  OUTLOOK
     Total leasing activity in 2020 was mainly driven by the CBD submarket with more than         We expect the vacancy rate to increase, due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, and
     70,000 sq m leased. The share of renegotiations in CBD represents 41%. Leasing activity      also a lot of projects under construction, which will be delivered in 2021. We assume
     in City center, Outer city, and Inner city was around 30,000 sqm each. Southbank, as         that rents will be stable maintaining the same levels, as in 2020. On the side of the
     the smallest submarket in terms of size, also reached the lowest leasing activity in 2020.   tenants, the largest advantage will be longer rent-free periods. At CBRE, we think that
     Renegotiations were the most dominant with a 78% share. The largest transactions             home-office work is not sustainable in the long run and that the employer should pay
     occurred in CBD and City center, totaling 12,000 each. Both of these deals were              attention to the premises in which its employees work. The long-term trend in the
     transacted in 2nd half of the year. The size of the average deal is 650 sqm, which is 2%     construction of office buildings is the certification of sustainability of buildings (LEED,
     less, than in 2019. The best performing sector, in terms of leased sq m, was IT and          BREEAM). Buildings are becoming increasingly the center of technological progress and
     finance with 15% each.                                                                       development, and in the times of the pandemic, the emphasis is mainly on the
                                                                                                  cleanliness of the air environment, open-space, and many other conveniences to
                                                                                                  increase the quality of the environment for employees.

     EMEA REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA                                                                                                    CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
EMEA REAL ESTATE
MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA

04 RESILIENCE

LOGISTICS
12

           IN 2021, THE TOTAL STOCK WILL EXCEED 3,000,000 SQUARE METERS

     INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICS MARKET OVERVIEW
                                                                                               Even despite the ongoing pandemic crisis, there is still a number of I&L projects under
     The industrial & logistics market was the least affected segment by COVID-19 within the   construction. Eight developer-led projects are currently under construction with planned
     commercial real estate sector in Slovakia. New challenges brought new opportunities,      completion in 2021, offering a total lettable area of 248,560 sq m. Five developments
     and the market swiftly adopted them. Since the pandemic outbreak began, we have           under construction with a total lettable area of 151,797 sq m are located in GBA.
     identified some drops in leasing activity during the second and third quarters of 2020.
                                                                                               TOTALSTOCK BY REGIONS                        VACANCY RATE BY REGIONS
     Fourth-quarter, however, kicked back with leasing activity, and thus we recorded the
     strongest Q4 performance since 2016. In nowadays, the industrial & logistics segment
     still remains the most stable out of the segment we do monitor in Slovakia. The main                                GBA
                                                                                                                                                                   10,91%
     driver remains e-commerce and 3PL activities connected to online, retail, and                37%         10%                                                             9,30%
     pharmaceutical segments. Automotive was undergoing transformation even before the                                   Western Slovakia                8,19%
                                                                                                                  6%
     COVID-19 outbreak, however, the pandemic situation did affect this important sector’s                                                    6,47%
     leasing activity in 2020 even more. Staying positive, all 4 Automotive OEM´s are
     currently operating and new projects were assigned to 3 out of them during 2020,                                    Central Slovakia
     confirming the importance of Slovak plants within the portfolio of their mother
     companies.                                                                                            47%           Eastern Slovakia
     TOTAL STOCK                                                                               Source: CBRE Research
     3 000 000                                                                          10%
                                                                                        8%     VACANCY
     2 000 000                                                                          6%     The overall vacancy rate increased to 7.71% (+172 bps y-o-y) by the end of the fourth
     1 000 000                                                                          4%     quarter. The trend of low vacancies from previous years when the available leasable
                                                                                        2%
               0                                                                        0%     space represented less than 5% of the overall stock has been changing. On a quarterly
                      2015       2016        2017        2018      2019      2020              comparison basis, the vacancy had increased by 62 bps. The lowest vacancy rate is
     Source: CBRE Research
                                                                                               currently in the GBA region, thanks to strong demand provided by high-quality assets,
                                     Total stock          Vacancy rate                         mainly in Senec.
     The industrial & logistics market in Slovakia comprises approximately 2.95 million sq m
                                                                                               NEW SUPPLY
     of modern, A-class buildings completed or refurbished to international standards. The
     industrial & logistics market is divided into four submarkets, Greater Bratislava Area    Twelve industrial buildings were completed in the year 2020, adding 215,882 sq m of
     (GBA), Western, Central, and Eastern Slovakia. Approximately 47% of the total stock is    the lettable industrial area to the existing stock. Eight projects were completed in H1
     located within ca. 40 km from the capital city of the country in the Greater Bratislava   2020, while the four projects were developed in H2 2020 (three in Q3 2020 and one in
     area. 37% of total stock is located in fast-growing Western Slovakia and the other 16%    Q4 2020). Out of twelve industrial developments finished in 2020 three were completed
     represents Central and Eastern Slovakia.                                                  in the Greater Bratislava area.

     EMEA REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA                                                                                            CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
13

           LEASING ACTIVITY IN Q4 PULLED DOWN THE VACANCY RATE

     TOTAL LEASING ACTIVITY                                                                         TOTAL LEASING ACTIVITY BY SECTOR
     The demand for industrial and logistics space in the year 2020 reached 490,846 sq m,
     representing a small decrease of 9% compared to the year 2019, on the other hand, it                                                                         3PL
     still makes the year 2020 the fourth-best year of the last decade. We identified other                          14%
     60,000 square meters leased within B-class category assets. Almost 50% of all                                                                                Automotive
     transactions were finalized in Q4 2020 with the demand for industrial and logistics space
     reaching 228,196 sq m (+203% q-o-q, +137% y-o-y). The main reason behind the                             17%                                                 E-commerce
                                                                                                                                   49%
     reported downturn in 2020 is a significant drop in demand in Q2 2020 (-30% q-o-q, -
     185% y-o-y) as the effect of the national lockdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic that                       4%                                                Retail
     did not fully materialize in the first quarter.
                                                                                                                     16%
                                                                                                                                                                  Others
       800 000                                                                           60%
       600 000                                                                                       Source: CBRE Research
                                                                                         40%
       400 000
                                                                                         20%         RENTS
       200 000
               0                                                                         0%          The achievable headline rent across the country range between €3.20 – €4.90/sq
                     2015        2016       2017        2018       2019        2020                  m/month, moreover, achievable headline rent in production facilities is higher by up to €
                                                                                                     0.5 – 1.0 per sq m. Thanks to increasing big-box demand we do expect a slight decrease
                               Total Leasing Activity          Renegotiation %                       in average rent caused by more aggressive conditions for these projects as well as scale.
     Source: CBRE Research                                                                           The typical lease incentives are 1 month for 1-year of the lease term.
     Total leasing activity in 2020 was spread among four regions of Slovakia. 342,000
     square meters was leased in GBA as the most dominant region in terms of leasing activity        OUTLOOK
     historically. GBA dominates with a share of 70% of total leasing activity when almost half      We expect the demand will be traditionally driven by e-commerce, the automotive sector,
     of this amount of square meters were transacted in Senec. Western Slovakia represents           and logistics. There is quite a significant pipeline of projects under development and
     the fastest-growing region, reached 22% of total leasing activity in 2020, which presents       mainly thanks to good preparation of the parks for big-box demands, as well as raising a
     almost 110,000 square meters transacted. Central and Eastern Slovakia reached 8 % of            competitive environment, we might see a slight decrease in average rent throughout
     total leasing activity, while we identified only 11 transactions out of 74 in total in 2020.    2021. Despite several projects being developed on a speculative basis, we do not expect
     3PL providers dominated in terms of tenant category with almost 50% on the total                the vacancy rate to grow dramatically, since the activity from the tenant’s side seems to
     volume of square meters leased.                                                                 be there from early this year.

     EMEA REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA                                                                                                   CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
EMEA REAL ESTATE
MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA

05 REGAIN

RETAIL
15

           DESPITE THE PANDEMIC, CONSTRUCTION OF NEW PROJECTS CONTINUES

     RETAIL MARKET OVERVIEW                                                                        SATURATION
     Slovakia comprised more than 2.35 million sq m including shopping centers (SC) and            There have been limited new completions in 2020, increasing the saturation of each city
     retail parks (RP). Shopping centers represent over 1.54 million square meters, while          only marginally. We expect major changes in terms of the retail saturation of cities in late
     rapidly growing retail parks provide 0,81 million square meters. Almost 700,000 square        2021 with the opening of Stanica Nivy in Bratislava. The highest increase occurred in
     meters of retail space is located in the Bratislava region, which represents 29% of the       Prešov with the opening of Novum Prešov (27,000 square meters). Another change will
     total space. On the other side, the Banská Bystrica region provides only 7% of total retail   bring the extension of Eperia Prešov (7,500 square meters).
     space.
                                                                                                   The high saturation rate itself doesn’t necessarily mean that there is no room for
                                                                                                   additional retail schemes. It rather underscores the importance of future, but also
     TOTAL STOCK AND SATURATION (SQ M PER 1,000 INHABITANTS)
                                                                                                   existing, developments to be focusing on specific target groups and have a clear
                                                                                           480     strategy.
     2 500 000
                                                                                           460
     2 000 000                                                                             440     SATURATION BY REGIONS (SQUARE METERS PER 1,000 INHABITANTS)
                                                                                           420                                                                         1941
     1 500 000
                                                                                           400     1 520      1 546
                                                                                                                                                            1 402                 1463
     1 000 000                                                                             380                                                  1 230
                     2017        2018       2019         2020     2021 (f)     2022 (f)
                                                                                                                            830       898
                                    Total stock            Saturation
     Source: CBRE Research

     UNDER CONSTRUCTION                                                                             Nitra    Bratislava    Košice   Banská      Prešov      Trenčín   Trnava      Žilina
     The largest retail scheme under construction is currently Stanica Nivy in Bratislava with                                      Bystrica
                                                                                                   Source: CBRE Research
     70,000 square meters. This project is scheduled to open its doors in Q3 2021. The
     second phase of Eurovea in Bratislava is currently under construction after it obtained a
                                                                                                   RENTAL LEVELS
     building permit in 2019. The extension will include a 25,000 square meters shopping
                                                                                                   Due to the recent pandemic situation, we don´t expect any retail rental growth in the
     center and the completion is scheduled for 2022. The largest regional retail scheme
                                                                                                   short-term. Average rental levels in the regional shopping centers oscillate around 19€/
     under construction is Promenada Nitra with 25,000 square meters of retail space with
                                                                                                   per square meter, according to the shopping center index; a report summarizing the
     expected delivery in 2022. Several other schemes are in various stages of preparation
                                                                                                   performance of regional shopping centers published annually by CBRE.
     with certain pre-lease and permitting process.

     EMEA REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA                                                                                                     CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
16

           RETAIL PARKS WERE MORE ATTRACTIVE DURING THE PANDEMIC

     BRATISLAVA PRIME RENT DEVELOPMENT (€/SQ M/MONTH)                                             FOOTFALL AND TURNOVER DEVELOPMENT
                                        65       65                                        65
                              60
          55        55                                                                                                 Shopping Centres Turnover                   Retail Parks Turnover
                                                                                                  120%                 Shopping Centres Footfall                   Retail Parks Footfall

           2015           2016            2017           2018            2019              2020   100%

     Source: CBRE Research                                                                         80%
     BREAKDOWN OF TENANTS IN SLOVAKIAN SHOPPING CENTRES                                            60%
                     2%                                          FASHION
                    5%                                           SPECIALITY RETAIL                 40%
                  5%
                6%                                               LEISURE
                                 35%                             SERVICES                          20%
               7%                                                FOOD & BEVERAGE
                                                                 ACCESSORIES                        0%
               8%
                                                                 SPORTS
                  9%                                             ELECTRONICS
                             12%
                       10%                                       FOOD
                                                                 HOUSEHOLD & FURNITURE             Source: CBRE Research, based on data from retail schemes managed by CBRE, totalling
     Source: CBRE Research, based on data from retail schemes managed by CBRE, totalling           112,800 square meters of GLA
     112,800 square meters of GLA                                                                  OUTLOOK
     FOOTFALL & TURNOVERS                                                                          Expectations from the start of the pandemic have been exceeded and retail segment
     After y-o-y increases in footfall and turnover figures in January and February, the           performance has been rising since April. The bankruptcy of some stores was the result of
     following months revealed a significant drop in volumes. The most affected month was          pre-pandemic problems. We will see some bankruptcies in gastro segment especially on
     April with an 80% decrease in footfall and even an 87% decrease in turnovers compared         high street. Costs have increased for retailers due to the expansion of storage space and
     to the same month of 2019. After reopening, average footfall and turnover accounted           the penetration towards the online environment. The sale of older collections was
     for 40% of the figures recorded in May 2019. The best performing month in terms of            accompanied by large discounts. In 2021, we expect the arrival of new brands, mainly in
     footfall and turnovers was August, when turnovers reached a 2% y-o-y increase and             the specialty retail sector. We register new fresh concepts, which may replace empty
     footfall reached only a 7% decrease in y-o-y comparison. Activity in retail schemes was       spaces. We are expecting that some of the big international chains of the retailers will
     halted due to the second wave of pandemic and also due to strict government restrictions      reduce the number of their store. This will cause vacancy increase, rent might drop but
     lasting till the end of the year.                                                             just in a short term period.

     EMEA REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA                                                                                                     CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
17

            CONTACTS

     CBRE Slovakia
     Tomas Hegedus
     Managing Director
     tomas.hegedus@cbre.com

     Services and Advisory
     Lubor Prochazka                      Oliver Galata            Michal Cerulik                   Branislav Golan
     Head of A&T &                        Head of Office Agency    Head of Industrial & Logistics   Head of Retail Agency
     Investment Properties                oliver.galata@cbre.com   michal.cerulik@cbre.com          branislav.golan@cbre.com
     lubor.prochazka@cbre.com

     Research
     Natalia Barter                       Peter Slovak
     Director, Head of Client Strategy    Research Analyst
     natalia.barter@cbre.com              peter.slovak@cbre.com

       EMEA REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA                                                              CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
S L O V A K I A R E A L EST A TE
       MARKET OUTLOOK 2021

       CBRE RESEARCH

       This report was prepared by the CBRE Slovakia Research Team, which forms part of CBRE Research –a network of preeminent researchers who collaborate to provide real estate market research and econometric forecasting to real estate investors and occupiers around the globe.

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EMEA REAL ESTATE MARKET OUTLOOK 2021 | SLOVAKIA                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
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