Making Multilateralism Work: How the G-20 Can Help the United Nations
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Making Multilateralism Work: April 2010 How the G-20 Can Help the United Nations Bruce Jones Dr. Bruce Jones is Director and Senior Fellow of the New York University Center on International Cooperation and Senior Fellow at The Brookings Institution, where he directs the Managing Global Insecurity project that produced the recent coedit- ed volume, Power and Responsibility: Building International Order in an Era of Transnational Threats (Brookings Press, 2009). Dr. Jones previously served in several capacities at the United Nations, including as Senior Advisor in the Office of the Secretary-General during the 2004-05 UN reform effort and Deputy Research Director of the High-Level Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change leading into the push for reform. The moves in 2008-09, prompted by the global different starting point. It regards the universality financial crisis, to convene the G-20 at the level of of the United Nations, apart from certain opera- heads of state constituted the first major adapta- tional weaknesses, as an enduring political tion of global arrangements to better fit with the strength of the organization. It also assumes that fact of the emerging powers. Clearly it will not be the G-20 (like the G-8 before it) will have mini- the last. G-20 negotiations have already given a mal operational or actionable roles and will critical impetus to governance reforms at the depend on the formal institutions to implement International Monetary Fund (IMF) and The most, if not all, of its major initiatives. Given their World Bank. nature, then, there is a necessary relationship between the G-20 and similar bodies and formal, Predictably, if somewhat ironically, the expansion inclusive institutions. An important factor for the of the G-8 to include a wider range of countries G-20/UN relationship, in particular, is the struggle including from the “Global South” drew angry to maintain UN legitimacy and effectiveness, cries of exclusion, illegitimacy, and preemption at given the world body’s recent overstretch and the United Nations. Early G-20 decisions also underperformance, as well as stalled reforms. A provoked a new bout of tensions between the better way to think about the relationship Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC) and the between the two entities is to ask if the G-20 international financial institutions. helps the United Nations perform and reform. Criticisms of the G-20 from within the UN focus Taking the idea even further, this paper asks on its illegitimacy (defined in UN-centric terms) whether the G-20 could play useful roles in broader and its potential usurpation of functions formally institutional reform. The contemporary internation- tasked to UN bodies by the Charter. The funda- al system confronts a wide range of transnational mental problem with the nascent rivalry between and global problems. It also has a broad panoply of the G-bodies and the UN bodies is an underlying international and regional institutions—technical, misconception of their comparative advantages political, and operational—geared to solving these and of the potential relationship between them. problems. Yet these two realities don’t add up. Gaps, overlaps, incoherence and underperformance Rather than viewing the G-20 as a threatened are chronic to the world of multilateral institutions. usurper of the United Nations, this paper takes a Can the G-20 help drive improved performance? Policy Analysis Briefs are thought-provoking contributions to the public debate over peace and security issues. The views expressed in this brief are those of the author and not necessarily those of the Stanley Foundation. The author’s affiliation is listed for identification purposes only.
2 Background: Globalization and Global security” challenges.2 The flurry of activities Arrangements and innovations in peacekeeping, mediation, The pertinent context for any discussion of humanitarian assistance, and international evolving global arrangements is the inter- justice were a reflection not of great power linked phenomena of economic and political politics, but of middle power activism. globalization. These two currents, and the backlashes against them, have been the dom- Second, the 9/11 attacks on the United inant forces shaping global life in the post- States intensified multilateral cooperation, Cold War era. Three major effects of both through formal and informal institu- globalization are: tions, to tackle a range of transnational threats.3 The extent of adaptation of institu- • Widening and deepening interdependence, tions to this transnational agenda has varied in economic, health, climate, and even by issue and institution, but every major (partially) in security terms. multilateral body has undertaken reform measures related to transnational threats. • Rising salience of transnational threats, This line of reform continues, the next point and of “global issues.” notwithstanding. • The growth of the emerging economies and After the 2003 launch of the Iraq War, insti- global financial centers—i.e., a shift in the tutional evolution has aimed toward a rather economic balance of power. different goal, namely to constrain or frus- trate US power.4 These reforms have been The basic arguments about the nature of spread across the entire international system. globalization and interdependence are by Some have taken place within existing insti- now well understood, and need not be tutions—as in South Africa’s efforts in 2004 rehearsed. So, too, are the issues of transna- to kick-start UN Security Council member- tional threats and global issues, particularly ship expansion and drives for voting reform in the setting of the United Nations.1 And the at the International Financial Institutions question of the emerging powers—more (IFIs). In other cases, the point was to specifically the adaptation of the United upgrade existing institutions, most signifi- Nations to the changed balance of power— cantly China’s elevation of the Shanghai has likewise loomed over the United Nations Cooperation Organization, but also the since the backlash against the Iraq War and French/German focus on European Union the failure of UN Security Council (UNSC) military planning capacity separate from reform in 2005. NATO. Still other initiatives focused on cre- ating new institutions in which the United That said, international institutions have not States does not participate, especially in completely failed to adapt. Indeed, there has Latin America.5 been far more adaptation of international (and, increasingly, regional) institutions than Currently, in the aftermath of the financial is generally understood. The evolution has crisis, we are, arguably, in a fourth phase of taken place in three mini phases. reform. Based on a change in approach by the US administration and the underlying First, after the end of the Cold War, a set of mutual interests among the major and rising enterprising states—primarily the western powers, the new phase emphasizes issue- middle powers, with underlying support based clubs of major powers—for instance, from the United States—worked with inter- the G-20 for global finance, the Major national organization secretariats to craft Economies Forum (MEF) for energy/climate, new tools to deal with a range of “human and the upcoming Nuclear Summit for nuclear safety.
Now that informal “leadership clubs” have Congo in the 1960s), they were confined to 3 become the chief means of bringing together force-separation and operating under Chapter established and emerging powers, important VI mandates. The United Nations currently questions arise regarding the future of global has over 110,000 troops in the field alongside arrangements. Will power be concentrated a similar number from NATO. Traditionally, within these informal great power mecha- neither the UN Development Programme nisms, or will they instead be used to spur (UNDP) nor The World Bank had any major decision making in other formal institutions? roles in post-conflict peacebuilding; now they Will these informal forums acquire greater are part of an alphabet soup of organizations institutionalized trappings—e.g., a secretari- and literally thousands of nongovernmental at to the G-20? (Unlikely.) Most important: organizations (NGOs) working in post-conflict will they develop implementation capacities, settings. Two decades ago, the Comprehensive or will implementation remain in the hands Test Ban Treaty Organization did not exist, of governments and other intergovernmental nor did the Organization for the Prohibition of organizations? If so, how will the major Chemical Weapons. By 2008, the Yearbook of power clubs relate to the formal institutions? International Organizations listed 246 formal international institutions, and when the tally A Changing and Challenging includes subsidiary bodies, treaty bodies, Institutional Landscape regional organizations, and technical agencies, To see where the G-20 countries could make the number tops 6,000.6 a difference in multilateral institutions, we have also to review (briefly) the evolution of Then ask which of the following is more the institutional landscape itself. The post- astonishing: the massive expansion of the Cold War era has seen a profusion of inter- machinery of international cooperation, or national, regional, and nongovernmental the fact that during this era of multilateral organizations arrayed to deal with state and growth, not one formal international institu- human security challenges, economic and tion has been closed down due to anachro- social development goals, and human rights nism? Either way, these twin facts have and humanitarian agendas. inevitably led to incoherence, coordination problems, and perverse competition (over Much of the innovation has taken place with- turf, not performance). in the formal institutions themselves. To illus- trate the point, just recall that twenty years But gaps and overlaps between traditional ago, neither the UN Department for intergovernmental organizations are only part Peacekeeping Operations nor the Office for of the problem. New regional arrangements the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs and evolving roles for existing ones add not existed. Humanitarian operations were large- only to the solution set, but also to the coor- ly conducted by the UN High Commissioner dination challenge. The proliferation of for Refugees (UNHCR) and the International NGOs has had the same effect. And in some Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) and areas, private corporations and foundations operated with a small fraction of the person- now play roles that are at least as large as nel, funds, and caseload of today’s multilater- those of official multilateral instruments. al humanitarian system. Now there are dozens of humanitarian agencies responding Looking across the wide range of sectors, to crises in more than thirty countries, at a net some common phenomena can be observed: annual cost of several billion dollars. For most of the United Nations history, peace- Coordination Challenges. As institutional keeping operations were few and far between and NGO proliferation gained momentum and, with occasional exceptions (e.g., in in the 1990s, it sparked a number of efforts at coordination. Initiatives to tame institu-
4 tional incoherence in particular sectors the policing of shipping lanes. But outside (Peacebuilding Commission [PBC] in peace- the financial realm, the G-7 often missed a building, the Secretary-General’s Counter- trick in failing to set up links between these Terrorism Implementation Task Force, and gap-filling mechanisms and other key multi- the Inter-Agency Standing Committee for lateral bodies, adding to problems of dupli- humanitarian actors) have either dealt only cation and coordination. with part of the given problem or met with only partial success. In some cases, the All this matters for three reasons. First, coordinating entities, lacking the power to many transnational problems are intercon- actually fix gaps and overlaps in mandates, nected in nature, and so the solutions must have become actors in their own right— also be. Yet opportunities for collaboration adding to, rather than minimizing, coordi- are frequently undermined by turf wars nation problems. between secretariats or theological disputes within governing boards. Basic lack of policy Hybridity. A newer mode of operation is coordination within governments about the “hybridity,” whereby two or more organiza- positions they take in the governing boards tions coengage in a given response, some- of institutions compounds the problem. times in parallel structures, sometimes under (Governing boards blame secretariats; secre- unified command (United Nations Interim tariats blame governing boards; the truth is a Administration Mission in Kosovo pattern of mutually reinforcing codepen- [UNMIK], United Nations Mission in Sudan dence with each using the other to block [UNMIS]). This term is best known in the serious efforts at collaboration.) The recent realm of peacekeeping operations but, institutional bickering over who would arguably, also describes aptly the relation- “own” the fund for donor responses in Haiti ship between UN political missions and the is only the latest dispiriting evidence that NATO operation in Afghanistan as well as proliferation of agencies and mandates fre- the informal links among the United quently overshadows performance, to say Nations, the Elders, and the Centre for nothing of basic purpose. Humanitarian Dialogue for their cosupport- ed mediation efforts in Kenya. In the public Second, tackling global problems is expen- health sector, the Joint United Nations sive, and we’ve only begun to tally the costs Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) is a of the financial crisis, fragile states, or the formally integrated structure between multi- transition to a low-carbon world. Yet money ple institutions, and the Global Partnership and talent are being wasted in duplication was set up as a semi-formal hybrid arrange- and anachronistic approaches to problems. ment between the United Nations, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, and NGOs. Third, and most important, a mounting backlash against globalization is mingling Filling Gaps. Even after multilateralism’s with widespread loss of faith in the multilat- economic boom times, institutional prolifer- eral system—with the conspicuous gap ation has left important gaps in the interna- between expectations and outcomes in tional response to transnational threats. In Copenhagen being merely the latest example. many such instances, ad hoc policy initia- This matters a great deal, because if publics tives—best described as “gap filling” meas- believe that cooperation doesn’t work, gov- ures—have served as an alternative to ernments will have greater difficulty mar- permanent formal mechanisms. Indeed, the shaling the political will or financial G-7 showed particular agility in occasionally resources to carry out multilateral solutions. filling such gaps when formal organizations Governments’ domestic political incentive moved too slowly, for example, in tackling then is to withhold needed funding and even terrorist financing or proliferation through publicly criticize institutions—fueling rather
than fixing the problem. We thus end up in a incentives standpoint, the opportunity to 5 negative cycle of underinvestment and bring issues before leaders of twenty of the underperformance that, arguably, character- most powerful countries in the world can izes the United Nations’ core problem in serve as a serious spur to performance. For contemporary international politics. example, the United Nations’ most creative response to the financial crisis came not And then the establishment of several new from ECOSOC or the General Assembly major power groupings has the potential to (GA) but from the Secretariat’s proposals to add to the problem of institutional prolifera- the G-20 for a trillion dollars in spending to tion—as the G-7 did. However, there are non- prevent instability in small and medium trivial reasons to believe that the G-20 can economies, and a tool for monitoring social do better. vulnerability. By making room on the agenda of G-20 sessions for different multilateral Can the G-20 Help? bodies to present their ideas, the G-20 can Many of the thousands of international and help drive such creative approaches. regional organizations that make up the multilateral system were designed for a dif- The G-20 can also use such invitations to ferent age. There are myriad overlaps and stimulate collaboration. For instance, it could redundancies in international capacity—for ask The World Bank and the UN secretary- example, in the mushrooming network of general to conduct a shared analysis of the agencies and departments involved in post- likely impact of the financial crisis on renewed conflict stabilization and peacebuilding, to internal conflict or ask the World Trade say nothing of NGOs. Yet gaps remain in Organization (WTO) and the United Nations other important areas, such as managing to conduct a joint study of the impact of trade resource scarcity or building preventive liberalization on the risk of violent conflict. defenses against biological threats.7 Theoretically, nothing stops different interna- tional institutions from collaborating in this The G-20 can help. This may sound sur- way without the spur of powerful govern- prising, because the issue of UN/G-20 rela- ments; in reality, that spur is highly useful to tions is usually cast in terms of the G-20 shape incentives and prioritization. stealing the United Nations’ thunder. But this misunderstands the nature of the G-20, Where the issue is not overlap but gaps in the purposes and strengths of the United the response, the G-20 may well be in a bet- Nations, and the potential relationship ter position than the G-7 to fill gaps in ways between the two. that build connections to existing arrange- ments rather than simply piling one multilat- Because the G-20 meets at the heads of eral mechanism on top of another. state level, it has the ability to range across different policy sectors. Heads of state do G-20 decisions have already given life to not face the same constraints of institution- IMF and The World Bank governance al prerogative and can override turf defens- reforms that were long discussed and long es. Indeed, their job is to make trade-offs delayed. It now seems set that the major among priorities, see connections, and gal- “emerging” economies—specifically China, vanize bureaucratic action—all areas where India, and Brazil—will gain greater voice in the governing boards of formal institutions the management of the international finan- often come up short. cial system, just as the move from the G-8 to the G-20 boosted their influence. Optimally, the G-20 could extract excellence from other multilateral institutions. From an Although the expansion of the G-8 to the G-20 prompted concerns at the United
6 Nations over lack of representation and As with everything, there are times and lack of connection to the formal multilater- places where this will work well, and times al system, the emerging power members and places where it won’t. At the United may actually be more motivated than the Nations, for example, a G-20 “position” original G-8 would to forge links to the on peacekeeping could alienate several United Nations. On climate, China and leading troop contributors that are not rep- India have both resisted efforts by some to resented in the G-20. But if approached move negotiations from the UN Framework with some skill and sensitivity, concerns Convention on Climate Change to the could be assuaged through preconsulta- Major Economies Forum (basically a G-20 tions and/or careful wording—in other for global warming). Brazilian and Indian words, effective diplomacy. foreign policies have emphasized the United Nations as well as aspirations for increased Why Should the G-20 Care? roles there; they will thus have national Clearly the biggest source of controversy interests in finding ways to connect the G- regarding G-20 (like the G-8) is its perceived 20’s work to broader institutions. Middle lack of legitimacy. True, if the concept is powers like Australia and Indonesia have taken narrowly. On the other hand, the likewise made a point of highlighting the frank fact of the 2008 financial crisis is that United Nations’ roles in a wide range of no formal institution could have mounted a issue areas. collective global response the way the G-20 did, and there is a certain legitimacy that Of course, the decisions of the G-20 coun- comes from successfully averting a catastro- tries do not automatically translate into phe of historic proportions. Add in the fact action within any formal multilateral organi- that the G-20 represents 80 percent of the zations, and there is no international institu- world’s population and 90 percent of the tion (except perhaps the IMF) where world’s finance, and the “no legitimacy” consensus among the G-20 even constitutes argument seems a little hollow. Here, of enough votes for a decision. But neither is course, an important philosophical differ- there any institution in which a G-20 con- ence arises: between the one-state, one-vote sensus would not be a powerful position system on which the state system of sover- around which other states could rally and eign equality is predicated, and the counter- which could form a firm basis for negotia- claim that other metrics such as population tions. Most global deals on any subject are (i.e., weighted voting) should hold sway—by prebrokered by a “green room” of 15-25 which measure the G-20 is vastly more rep- leading countries plus representatives of other resentative than the United Nations. groupings. The G-20 process—or a G-20 cau- cus of permanent representatives—could play But legitimacy, or the lack thereof, is not similar roles, especially if tentacles were even even the main reason the G-20 should worry further extended via informal consultation about the connection to global institutions. with five or six others representing broader Put aside ethical/legitimacy/democracy argu- clusters of states. ments for a moment. The real reason for the G-20 to care about its relationship to the The way in which the G-20 (and similar United Nations lies in the pervasive nature major power groupings) relate to formal of interdependence today and the fact that institutions will differ from issue to issue. the problems we are confronting both But when it comes to global and transna- affect and can be affected by most nations. tional problems such as climate change and The G-20 nations may, for instance, pos- fragile states, the G-20 can hardly ignore the sess the bulk of the financial resources that longstanding structures and efforts of for- can be devoted to fragile states, but Africa mal, inclusive institutions.
provides a critical quantum of troops for Can the G-20 Help the United Nations? 7 peacekeeping in those states. The G-20 More important than the above arguments is may emit most carbon, but if a carbon deal the basic point that the United Nations does not have global political buy-in, works when its most powerful members can investors will likely game the system by cooperate; when North and South see past shifting to less restricted markets. The G- their (diminishing) differences; when rising 20 nations may have tremendous assets to powers and established powers see a shared throw at the counterterrorism fight, but interest either in direct cooperation, or in any counterterrorism strategy that is limit- using the good offices of the United Nations ed to 20 countries is bound to fail. The G- to help them find common ground. 20 countries can coordinate their responses to pandemic outbreaks, but if there is an In the coming period, this will not be easy. outbreak of a deadly infectious disease in In the Human Rights Council, the disjunc- the 21st country, or in the 192nd, gaps in tions of interests are likely to contribute th e re sp o n se will aid in its sprea d. toward still nastier and more dysfunctional However much influence the 20 have, politics in that body.8 The climate change many of the problems they confront are the fight will remain contentious, even if kind where the weakest link can break the Mexico succeeds in devising a productive chain. Therefore, inclusive collective action new relationship between G-group negotia- is absolutely critical, not just coordination tions (through the MEF) and UN negotia- among the biggest players. This is precisely tions—which, after all, eluded the process what the United Nations has to offer. leading to Copenhagen. The major and ris- ing powers will also be in competition over Even in the realm of finance, the G-20 energy and strategic resources, in the should spare a thought for the simple point process ignoring established norms about that the basic structure of the international good governance or good investor/donor system is sovereign equality among nation- behavior. (And lest the point be missed: the states. Odd though it is that a tiny nation West is every bit as abusive of democratic has the same vote in the United Nations as norms in its own ways and in its own China, that’s the rule on which internation- regions of dominance—notably, the Middle al order is built, and we abuse it at some East—as China is in Africa.) risk. The G-20 can blow past the structure of sovereign equality in a crisis (thankfully), While it is not likely that these various sources but if it operates against that system over of tension will escalate into a great power con- time, it will sow the seeds of instability in flict, that possibility cannot be entirely other elements of the international system. ignored. Had John McCain been president in Denying some states a voice in the basic 2008, for example, and acted on his cam- structures of international order only cre- paign’s stated policy on the Russia/Georgia cri- ates incentives for them to behave as if they sis, it may have spiked not just tension but have no responsibility to uphold or comply actual, if limited, confrontation. The US and with the order’s norms and expectations. Chinese navies are engaged in a dangerous Given the number of issues that depend on game of cat and mouse in the South China broad cooperation, that is an unwise Sea. Border tensions between India and China course. By contrast, the decision of the are mounting. And if Brazil goes ahead with United States’ G-20 sherpa to make repeat- nuclear cooperation with Iran, its relations ed trips to New York to consult with with the West will deteriorate. ECOSOC and least developed UN member states about the G-20’s agenda is both good Ironically, the possible beneficiary of any politics and good substance. great power tensions could be the UN itself,
8 within limits of course. After all, peace- and the United States in Iraq, in this keeping was born in the Middle East when decade, repeat all the same mistakes that the two superpowers of the day needed a the United Nations made and internalized UN solution to avoid direct confrontation in the early 1990s, is a reminder of the when war between their respective allies fact that institutions are capable of learn- escalated. 9 The United Nations likewise ing and are vital repositories of best prac- played a major role in Kosovo in the late tice. Granted, of late, the United Nations 1990s, not because the great powers saw has sometimes slipped and seemed to for- eye to eye, but precisely because they did get those lessons, but this deterioration not. But such a world of endless tensions often stems directly from pressure by would make the United Nations useful in member states. an entirely negative sense—as a tool of cri- sis avoidance rather than progress in • Universality breeds consent. The inclusivity achieving the ideals of the Charter. of the United Nations, as well as regional organizations in their own geographical In conjunction with the United Nations, the sphere, often proves extremely helpful in G-20 is an essential tool in avoiding this sce- giving an option for a member government nario. And here comes the good news. The to invite the organization to play a role. place where the major and rising powers Time and again political leaders have have the most deeply shared interests, and shown they find it easier to welcome, and also where they most need cooperation from explain to citizens, an external presence of others, is precisely in the area where the a body of which their nation is a member. United Nations (and the wider panoply of The fact that even the smallest member multilateral instruments) is best structured to state has an equal voice in fora such as the respond: in confronting transnational General Assembly gives that state, domesti- threats; areas of civil and regional conflict cally, a credible storyline with which to and fragile states; public health and infec- defend its sovereignty while simultaneously tious disease; climate change; poverty; pira- seeking external assistance, peacekeepers, cy; and even terrorism. This is where etc. This is the essence of the legitimacy of multilateral institutions already play impor- the United Nations when present on the tant roles, with the potential to become even ground. Those who eschewed the opera- more effective. tional implications of sovereignty and legit- imacy concerns have been learning the No small grouping of member states, no hard way in Iraq and Afghanistan. matter how powerful collectively, can replace the geographic or political reach of • Geographical breadth. The fact that the the multilateral system, with the United United Nations operates globally can be Nations at its core. The United Nations has a hindrance given the sensitivities at play the following comparative advantages in whenever staff need to be assembled for a dealing with transnational threats: political department or mediation team. But it is a huge advantage in both policy • Long experience. Much as its critics would and political terms, in the ability of the like to denigrate UN performance, the fact United Nations (and other global organi- is that the United Nations has spent most zations like The World Bank) to mobilize of the post-Cold War era dealing with governments on a global level, and to transnational threats of a wide variety— mix-and-match expertise from different especially those related to internal state regions and income categories. Think of weakness and conflict—and, in so doing, Lakhdar Brahimi’s unique credibility gained invaluable experience. Watching with Afghans, or the ability to deploy European institutions in the south Balkans neutral Scandinavians into political
debate in Africa (or to select from within one established, rising, or regional power’s 9 a region to draw on regional networks security improves if nuclear weapons spread. and relationships). The United Nations plays critical roles in combating each of those threats; the G-20 • Substantive breadth. The more we learn members have deep interests in seeing the about transnational threats, the more we United Nations succeed. see the powerful interconnections among different issues. Freestanding, single-issue Not all on its own, of course. The United organizations may have greater depth in Nations will work ever more in hybrid and comparison with a UN counterpart. But coordinated responses with regional organi- the United Nations has unique breadth and zations and other multilateral actors. And the ability to pull disparate elements of its here again, the fact that G-20 members wield portfolio together in integrated responses. substantial influence not just in the United That the United Nations frequently fails to Nations but across that wider set of institu- make use of this comparative advantage is tions, means that they can, if willing, help a source of frustration—but as noted ensure that those integrated responses work above, this is where the G-20 can offer more smoothly than they have to date. some assistance. Conclusion The United Nations needs to continue G-20 members can play important roles in strengthening its performance in several of unblocking two major obstacles to improved these areas, including peacekeeping and UN performance. The first is gaps between counterterrorism. In other areas, like com- governing mechanisms of the Secretariat and bating poverty, the need is for a serious the governing mechanisms of agencies, policy shift. And the evidence is mounting already discussed. The second are gaps that in such areas as development in post- between security and economic governing conflict and fragile states, both radical pol- bodies. Across a wide range of issue areas, icy change and radical institutional surgery the United Nations is caught between mech- are necessary. anisms that are largely the purview of the UN Security Council and thus the P-5, on Whatever the appropriate strategy and the one hand, and the ECOSOC and the reform path, the United Nations will need General Assembly on the other. Cleverly the G-20 countries on board. Support from used, a G-20 caucus or informal consulta- the G-20 is not a sufficient condition of UN tion mechanism could bridge this gap and action—but it is a necessary one. Gone are infuse the UN with political dynamics that the days when a coalition of western states are more representative of today’s power with nominal support from African members configuration. Related concerns that this could drive a forward agenda at the United would undermine progress to Security Nations. The rising powers are flexing their Council reform should not be heeded. First institutional muscles and have the ability to of all, right now there is no progress to UN block or frustrate reforms where those Security Council reform, so little is being reforms don’t serve their interests.10 But this risked. Second, if G-20 collaboration, how- is not necessarily a recipe for gridlock, ever informal, works toward greater interna- because in broad terms, the rising powers tional consensus, effective channels to share interests with the West on transnation- resolve differences, and spurring improved al threats. Not one member of the G-20 has UN effectiveness, it will only help ease the an interest in letting terrorists wreak havoc way to UNSC reform. If instead, more wide- or seeing a proliferation of fragile states. Not ranging informal G-20 consultations within one profits from the breakdown of regional the United Nations reveal serious divisions, security in the Middle East or elsewhere; not
10 we are surely better off knowing this before compared to the bigger picture—i.e., a stable we lock in membership or voting reform at global order in which the United Nations’ the UNSC. members can pursue their wider goals. If the G-20 succeeds in buttressing a stable For truly transnational problems, only glob- international financial system and, thereby, al institutions can marshal the broad collec- reducing tension and conflict between the tive responses needed. Despite current fears, major and rising powers, it will have made a the G-20 will not replace the United Nations major contribution to a healthy global order. or other global institutions, but it can—and Sometimes, it may appear to usurp UN roles, should—help mobilize those organizations or rough a UN process out of the way. But to do their jobs better. these are incomparably minor frustrations Endnotes 7 Jones, Pascual and Stedman 2009, pp. 139-169. See 1 For one reference, see A More Secure World: Our also, Alex Evans, Bruce Jones and David Steven, Shared Responsibility. Rxeport of the Secretary- “Confronting the Long Crisis of Globalization: Risk, General’s High-Level Panel on Threats, Challenges, Resilience and International Order,” Paper for the and Change. New York: December 2004. Joint Brookings Institution/Center on International Cooperation Project on Managing Global Insecurity, 2 See for example, Abby Stoddard, “International January 2010, available at: http://www.cic.nyu.edu Humanitarian Cooperation: Aiding War’s Victims in /internationalsecurity/docs/01_globalization_evans_j a Shifting Strategic Environment,” in Bruce D. ones_steven.pdf. Jones, Shepard Forman, and Richard Gowan (eds.) Cooperation for Peace and Security: Evolving 8 For a recent survey of the structure of interests in the Institutions and Arrangements in a Context of Human Rights Council (HRC) see Richard Gowan Changing U.S. Security Policy (Cambridge: and Franziska Brantner, “A Global Force for Human Cambridge University Press, 2010): 247-268. Rights: An Audit of European Power at the UN,” European Council on Foreign Relations Policy Paper 3 Eric Rosand and Sebastian von Einsiedel, “9/11, the (Fall 2008). War on Terror, and the Evolution of Multilateral Institutions,” in Bruce D. Jones, Shepard Forman, and Richard Gowan (eds.) 2010: 143-165. 9 Bruce D. Jones, “The Security Council and the Arab- 4 This trend is frequently seen as “soft balancing” Israeli Wars: Responsibility without Power,” in efforts. See, Robert Anthony Pape, “Soft Balancing Vaughan Lowe, Adam Roberts, Jennifer Welsh and Against the United States,” International Security Dominik Zaum (eds.) The United Nations Security 30, no. 1: 7-45; T. V. Paul, “Soft Balancing in an Council and War: The Evolution of Thought and Age of U.S. Primacy,” International Security 30, Practice Since 1945 (Oxford: Oxford University no. 1: 46-71. Press, 2008): 298-323. 5 The recent Rio Summit in Cancun, Mexico, saw 10 Jones, Stedman and Pascual 2009: pg. 23; Bruce D. the announcement of the Community of Latin Jones and Andrew F. Hart, “Building, Bargaining or American and Caribbean States, which excludes Blocking,” Discussion Paper Prepared for the the United States. Conference on Emerging Powers, Global Security, and the Middle East, February 8-10, 2010 (New 6 Yearbook of International Organizations 2008- York: NYU Press, forthcoming). 2009: Revised Edition (Union of International Associations, 2009).
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