Making a Success of the National Skills Fund - Adult Training and Retraining for All in the 2020s - NCFE

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Making a Success of
the National Skills Fund
Adult Training and Retraining for
All in the 2020s

March 2020
Michael Lemin and Julia Wright (Editors)
NCFE
NCFE is an awarding organisation which designs, develops and certifies nationally recognised
qualifications and awards.
www.ncfe.org.uk

Campaign for Learning
The Campaign for Learning is a national charity which works for social and economic inclusion
through learning.
www.campaignforlearning.org.uk

Disclaimer
The views expressed by contributors are those of the authors and, where relevant, not necessarily
the views of their respective organisations.

Previous NCFE and Campaign for Learning Policy Pamphlets

    Earn or Learn for 18-21 year olds: New Age Group, New Policies
    November 2015, Mark Corney

    University or Apprenticeships at 18: Context, Challenges and Concerns,
    April 2016, Mark Corney

    Reforming Technical and Professional Education: Why should it work this time?
    February 2017, Mick Fletcher

    Mending the Gap: Are the needs of 16-18 year olds being met?
    January 2018, John Widdowson

    Shaping the new National Retraining Scheme
    March 2018, Susan Pember

    T-Levels for 19-23 Year Olds – The value of maintenance loans
    August 2018, Mark Corney

    The Post-18 Review of Education and Funding – A Review of a Lifetime
    December 2018, Editors: Michael Lemin, Julia Wright and Mark Corney

    Post-16 Education and Apprenticeship Levy Funding – Next Steps for English Devolution
    April 2019, Editors Michael Lemin, Julia Wright and Mark Corney

    Future Proofing Apprenticeship Funding in England for the 2020s, October 2019, Editors
    Michael Lemin and Julia Wright

    No 16-18 Left Behind – As the Cohort Grows, February 2020, Editors
    Michael Lemin and Julia Wright

                                           ___________________________________________________________
2                                           Making a Success of the National Skills Fund
Contents
4    Introduction

9    Stephen Evans, Learning and Work Institute
     Renewing Lifelong Learning through the National Skills Fund

11   Tom Bewick, Federation of Awarding Bodies
     Backing Adults - Turning the National Skills Fund into Skills Accounts

13   Mark Dawe, Association of Employment and Learning Providers
     Funding Skills Accounts through the National Skills Fund

15   Ewart Keep, University of Oxford
     A Dual Approach - Retain the National Retraining Scheme and Devolve the
     National Skills Fund

17   Jamie Driscoll, North of the Tyne Combined Authority
     Devolve the National Skills Fund to Elected Mayors and LEPs

19   Gemma Gathercole, Coventry and Warwickshire LEP
     The National Skills Fund and Part-In, Part-Out Devolution

21   David Hughes, Association of Colleges
     Bringing the National Skills Fund and Adult Education Budget Together

23   Simon Parkinson, WEA
     The National Skills Fund – Engaging the Whole Community

25   Kim Chaplain, Centre for Ageing Better
     The National Skills Fund – No Older Adult Left Behind

27   Greg Wade, Universities UK
     HE and FE must collaborate over the National Skills Fund

29   Andy Westwood, University of Manchester
     From the National Skills Fund to a ‘Right to Retraining’

31   Mark Corney, Policy Consultant
     The National Skills Fund - Creating a Retraining Revolution

                                                                              3
Introduction

We enter the 2020s when adults        In February 2020, the                investment in staff retention, skills,
and employers are confronted          government outlined its new-         technology and automation.
with unprecedented economic           skilled based immigration policy
and labour market change.             using a points system.               The temperature is rising over
                                                                           whether special arrangements
Longer Working Lives                  From 1st January 2021, a high-       – or carve-outs – should apply
                                      skilled worker route will be         to sectors requiring low skilled
The state pension age will            introduced. Workers from any         migrant labour. Key sectors
increase to 66 in October and         country in the world will be able    include construction and adult
rise again to 67 between 2026         to apply for jobs sponsored by       social care. The government has
and 2028. Longer working lives        UK employers requiring RQF3+         said it will keep under review
is a reality for thousands of older   qualifications and paying above      sectors adversely affected by the
adults in their fifties and sixties   £25,600 per year.                    new skills-based immigration
who will seek to remain in paid                                            system.
employment – as an employee,          No cap on numbers is planned.
agency worker or self-employed        Migration at RQF3+ could be          Risks and Opportunities from
– up to and, indeed, beyond           higher than 65,000 per year if       Increasing Automation
state pension age because of          UK companies take high skilled
economic necessity.                   migrants on as employees. Self-      About 7% of jobs in the UK in
                                      employment will no longer be an      2017 are at a high risk of being
Limits on Low-Skilled Migrant         option.                              affected by automation and a
Workers                                                                    further 65% of a medium risk of
                                      The government does not plan         being so. Workers most at risk
The working age population            to introduce a low-skilled worker    have qualifications at Level 2 and
in the UK is projected to rise        route (jobs requiring RQF2 and       below. Automation will gather
by 2.3m between 2018 and              below qualifications). Nor does it   pace as the 2020s wear on. Some
2027. This forecast includes an       plan to introduce a self-employed    job roles will disappear, new ones
assumption that net-migration         worker route (irrespective of the    will be created. Employment
will fall from 265,000 per year in    RQF level).                          in some sectors will increase –
2018/19 to 190,000 by 2024/25.                                             as jobs in new roles outweigh
                                      From 1st January 2021, a cliff-      declines in old ones.
At present, about 65,000 migrant      edge low-skilled migration policy
workers – mainly from the             could cut the labour supply by       An Increasingly Flexible
EU – fill skilled jobs requiring      90,000 per year. On the other        Labour Market
qualifications on the regulated       hand, the government has
framework (RQF) equivalent            decided to increase the number       Over 25% of employees work
to Level 3 and above. These           of migrants on the agricultural      part-time, some 7m in total.
jobs might be on an employee,         seasonal worker pilot from 5,000     More than 1 in 20 are temporary
agency or self-employed basis. A      to 20,000 per year.                  workers. And 15% of workers are
further 90,000 migrant workers                                             self-employed – now over 5m –
fill low-skilled jobs requiring RQF   The rationale for restricting low-   with self-employment becoming
Level 2 and below qualifications,     skilled worker migration is to       an important employment for
again as employees, agency            shift the economy away from a        workers aged 50 and over.
workers or self-employed              reliance on cheap labour from
workers.                              Europe. The government wants         Average earnings in real terms
                                      UK employers to concentrate on       has only just reached pre-2008
                                                ___________________________________________________________
4                                                Making a Success of the National Skills Fund
Introduction

financial crash levels. Close to 1      form of A levels – and aged 19-24      must be swept away. Graduates
in 8 part-time workers would like       or even older wishes to re-skill       need to re-skill at any level they
a full-time job. And a quarter of       to achieve a second Level 3 –          wish, from Level 2 to Level 6.
temporary workers are looking           usually in the form of vocational      Non-graduates need up-skill to
for permanent jobs.                     qualifications.                        Level 6 if they wish but re-skill
                                                                               at Level 2 and 3 if it meets their
The Need for Adults to Train            Myths                                  needs.
and Retrain
                                        In the higher education world,         Post-18 Education and
The need for adults to train and        there is a strong belief that a        Training
retrain is strong and obvious.          graduate with a Level 6 who
Developing a system of post-            needs to reskill means achieving a     Our best estimate is that the cash
18 education and skills to meet         second Level 6. Whilst this might      cost of post-18 education and
these needs will be a challenge         be the case for some adults with       training in England in 2019/20
which the new Conservative              graduate level qualifications,         is about £22.4bn (See Table
Government must fulfill.                many might choose careers              1). If these figures are correct
                                        and occupations where a Level          in general terms, 83.5% went
Up-skilling                             2 or 3 is required or can only         to higher education (i.e. Level
                                        find employment requiring              4+) and 16.5% to adult further
We start the 2020s, with 30% of         Level 2 and 3 qualifications.          education, adult retraining and
19 year olds in England not having      And so, re-skilling at Level 2 and     adult apprenticeships which is
achieved a Level 2 in maths and         3 is the answer. In the further        primarily at Level 3 and below
English – including functional          education world, by contrast,          (although Level 4-6 provision is
qualifications but primarily GCSEs      there is an equally held belief        growing through apprenticeship
– and 1 in 5 of 18-64 year olds         that up-skilling is the priority       funding).
without a Level 2 qualification         with adults achieving a first Level
and more than 1 in 3 without            3 and progressing to first Level       The Review of Post-18
Level 3 qualification. On current       4-5 and then first Level 6. Many       Education and Funding in
trends, more than 10% might still       adults, however, with a Level 3        England
not have a Level 2 qualification by     qualification could be seeking
2027 and 26% without a Level 3.         employment re-skilling at Level 3      Extending Up-skilling through
                                        or Level 2.                            the Adult Education Budget
Increasing the proportion of the
adult workforce with a first Level      A large amount of publicly             One of the key recommendations
3, first Level 4-6 and indeed a         funded post-18 education and           of the Independent Panel
first Level 7-8 is a critical part of   training funds up-skilling primarily   Report to the Review of Post-
the policy challenge not least          in the form of a first Level 4-6       18 Education and Funding (May
because employers are likely to         qualifications. Add to this the fact   2019) was to create an all-age
demand workers with Level 3+            that higher education funding is       entitlement to a first full Level 2
qualifications. And yet, the policy     not generally available to support     and a first full Level 3. Effectively
challenge is also about re-skilling.    qualifications equal or lower than     an up-skilling measure, the
                                        a qualification achieved – the         proposal was estimate to cost
Re-skilling                             so-called ELQ rule – FE policy         £500m and would represent an
                                        makers want to restrict graduates      up-lift to the grant-based Adult
There are two classic examples of       with Level 6 qualifications from       Education Budget.
re-skilling. The first is from higher   accessing public money for
education where an adult with a         retraining because they have           Re-skilling at Level 3 through
first Level 6 wishes to re-skill to     had a large amount of taxpayer         Adult Learner Loans
achieve a second Level 6. The           subsidy already.                       If introduced, the all age
second is from further education                                               entitlement to free training for
where typically 16-18 year olds         As adult training and retraining       a first full Level 3 in particular
achieve a first Level 3 – in the        policy develops, these constraints

                                                                                                                    5
would have a knock-effect on the        Re-skilling at Level 4-6 through           4, 5 and 6 regulated degrees.
role of Adult Learner Loans – i.e.      HE fee-loans                               If this is accepted by the new
fee-loans – in the adult further                                                   Conservative Government, adults
                                        Another important
education sector. In effect, Adult                                                 seeking to re-skill at Level 4, 5
                                        recommendation by the
Learner Loans would become a                                                       and 6 would be eligible to access
                                        Independent Panel on Post-18
reskilling funding stream at Level                                                 fee-loans which would probably
                                        Education and Funding was the
3 (noting that fee-loans at Level                                                  be part-time fee loans. A separate
                                        removal of the ELQ rule for Level
4+ are relatively small).                                                          question, however, is whether

    TABLE 1: ESTIMATED CASH COST OF POST-18 EDUCATION AND TRAINING IN ENGLAND: FY2019/20
    HIGHER EDUCATION
    Post-Graduate HE
                 Level 8: Doctorates      Fee and Maintenance Loans                                         £35m
                 Level 7: Masters         Fee and Maintenance Loans                                        £675m
                 Total:                                                                                    £710m
    Undergraduate HE
                 Level 4-6: Full Time     Fee-Loans                                                      £9,430m
                                          Maintenance-Loans                                              £6,840m
                 Level 4-6: Part-Time     Fee-Loans                                                        £290m
                                          Maintenance-Loans                                                 £60m
                Total:                                                                                  £16,620m
    Office for Students                   Teaching Grant                                                  £1,387m
    TOTAL HIGHER EDUCATION                                                                               £18,717m
    ADULT FURTHER EDUCATION
                Level 3-6                 Fee-Loans                                                        £220m

                                          AY: 2016/17 (i) L4-6: 19-23                         £2m
                                          (ii) L4-6: 24+                                    £12m
                                          (iii) L3: 19-23                                   £35m
                                          (iv) L3 24+                                      £140m
                                          (v) Access to HE: 19-23                            £16m
                                          (vi) Access to HE: 24+                            £40m
                                          Maintenance Grants Linked to                                      £35m
                                          Adult Fee Loans (AY 2015/16)
                Level 3 and Below         Adult Education Budget
                                          Provision                                                       £1,376m
                                          Discretionary Learner Support (AY 2015/16)                         £86m
    TOTAL ADULT FURTHER EDUCATION                                                                         £1,717m
    ADULT RETRAINING
                                          National Retraining Scheme (Grant Funding)                        £55m
                                          National Skills Fund 2021/22 £600m
    TOTAL ADULT RETRAINING                                                                                  £55m
    ADULT APPRENTICESHIPS
                Level 2-7                 English Apprenticeship Programme Budget
                                          c£2,410m in 2019/20 - Assume 65% Adults                         £1,566m
    TOTAL ADULT APPRENTICESHIPS                                                                          £1,566m
    OTHER
                                          CITB Grants (FY 2018/19) Not all Adults                          £144m
                                          ESF GRants (FY 2018/19) Not all Adults                           £198m
    TOTAL OTHER                                                                                            £342m
    GRAND TOTAL                                                                                         £22,397m
                                          Higher Education - share                                          83.5%
                                          Adults - share                                                    16.5%

                                                  ___________________________________________________________
6                                                  Making a Success of the National Skills Fund
DIAGRAM 1: APPROACHES AND OPTIONS FOR THE NATIONAL SKILLS FUND
                               Funding Devolution                          Mechanism

Apprenticeship Levy            Single Employer                             Employer – Grant - Account

HE Fee and Maintenance
Full-Time                      Single Adult                                Adult – Loan - Account
Part-Time

Adult Fee Loans                Single Adult                                Adult – Loan - Account

National Retraining Scheme Sectors
                               Employers and Workers Affected by
                               Automation
                               Note: Scheme could be
                               - scrapped
                               - retained
                               - linked to National Skills Fund

National Skills Fund           Option 1:                                   Adult – Grant - Account
                               Single Adult
                                                                           Adult Skill Accounts
                                                                           Individual Learning Accounts
                                                                           Adult Opportunity Grant

                               Option 2:                                   Regional and Sub-Regional
                               Adults in a Region or                       Commissioning
                               Sub-Region with an Elected Mayor

                               Note: Opens up question about LEP Areas

Adult Education Budget         Adults in a Region or Sub-Region with       Regional and Sub-Regional
                               Elected Mayors                              Commissioning

                               Note: Opens up question about LEP areas

Combined National Skills       Adults in a Region or Sub-Region with       Regional and Sub-Regional
Fund and Adult Education       Elected Mayors                              Commissioning
Budget
                               Note: Opens up question about LEP areas

16 - 18 Education              Providers

adults re-skilling at Levels 4-6       Skills Fund from 2021/22 at a     and construction training grants).
would be eligible for part-time        cost of £3bn over five years.     This £3bn investment is seen as a
maintenance loans.                     At £600m, the National Skills     down-payment towards a Right
                                       Fund would represent about        to Retraining.
The National Skills Fund and a         3% of public spending on post-
‘Right to Retraining’                  18 education and training and     Issues to Address
                                       18% in public spending on adult
During the general election,           further education, the National   There are, perhaps, five separate
the Conservatives promised             Retraining Scheme and adult       but interrelated issues.
to introduce the National              apprenticeships (excluding ESF    The first is how the National Skills

                                                                                                          7
Introduction

Fund will relate to existing funding    account mechanism can take             participation. This is why policy
for post-18 education and               the form of a loan account – to        makers attempt to take the sting
training, and decisions by the new      manage income contingent fee           out of training and retraining
Government to take forward any          and maintenance loans – or a           by offering entitlement to free
of the specific recommendations         grant account – also known as          provision or provide access to
made by the Independent Panel.          Adult Skills Accounts, Individual      income contingent fee-loans
                                        Learning Accounts or Adult             which precludes up-front funding
The second is the level of              Opportunity Grants.                    by adult learners. And yet, even
training and retraining the                                                    where provision is free or covered
National Skills Fund will support.      And finally, there is the question     by fee-loans, adult training and
The introduction of an all-age          of whether the National Skills         retraining might be held back by
entitlement to free training for a      Fund should be brigaded in some        income insecurity and low-pay.
first Level 2 and first Level 3 could   way with other budget lines such
form part of the Adult Education        as the Adult Education Budget          In-Work Progression and
Budget, and re-skilling at Level        although this would depend on          Adult Training and Retraining
4, 5 and 6 should be funded             the level of qualification since
through HE fee-loans. In turn,          up-skilling at Level 4, 5 and 6 are    At the Whitehall level, a major
adult fee-loans are available for       funded via fee-loans and if the        ideological difference exists
reskilling at Level 3.                  ELQ rule ceases so to would re-        between the Department for
                                        skilling at these levels.              Work and Pensions, and the
The third is how the National                                                  Department for Education. For
Skills Fund will specifically           Levelling-Up All Adults                the DWP, in-work progression is
relate to the National Retraining       through Training and                   about increasing weekly earnings
Scheme which among other                Retraining                             through working extra hours. For
things has a sector focus.                                                     DfE, progression in work is about
Originally, the National Retraining     We recognise the importance the        investing in adult training and
Scheme was designed to                  recently returned Conservative         retraining to secure and increase
assist employers and workers            Government to levelling-up             earnings in the future.
in a sector confronted by the           deprived communities in England.       Universal Credit is expected to
challenge of automation. The end        Access to adult training and           be rolled-out by 2024. A third
of low-skilled migration adds to        retraining opportunities will          of claimants will be in work.
the rationale for a sector focused      enable adults, employers and           Enabling adults claiming UC to
scheme. Even so, the National           communities to level up.               retrain through the National Skills
Retraining Scheme could be                                                     Fund without loss of benefit will
scrapped, retained – bearing in         Even so, longer working lives, the     be a critical policy challenge.
mind its potential sector focus         impact of automation and flexible
– or linked in some way to the          labour markets will impact the         The Pamphlet
National Skills Fund.                   nation as a whole. Our position
                                        is that every adult – whether 24       In this context, we asked twelve
The fourth is the nature and            or 64 - should have the same           authors to set out their initial
extent of devolution and whether        opportunities to train and retrain     thoughts on the National
the National Skills Fund is seeking     from Blythe to Basildon, and           Skills Fund and the journey
to support a specific employer          Grimsby to Grantham.                   towards a ‘right to retraining’.
akin to the apprenticeship levy                                                The contributions are rich and
and digital employer accounts           Income Insecurity and Low              diverse and have influenced the
in England, a specific adult (via       Pay as a barrier to Adult              preparation of this introduction.
account mechanism), a specific          Training and Retraining                We would like to express sincere
place (such as areas with elected                                              thanks to all of our contributors
mayors) or indeed to providers          Making a financial contribution to     and invite everyone to read their
in line with 16-18 education            the cost of a training or retraining   thought provoking articles and
(see Diagram 1). In terms of            course is rightly viewed by            recommendations.
devolution to a specific adult, the     policy makers as a barrier to in

                                                  ___________________________________________________________
8                                                  Making a Success of the National Skills Fund
Renewing Lifelong Learning
through the National Skills Fund
Stephen Evans, Learning and Work Institute

Lifelong learning matters           young people to replace adults in     individuals and employers. It sits
                                    the workforce.                        alongside existing funds including
The case for lifelong learning                                            the £1.5 billion per year adult
is widely made. Learning and        Decade of decline                     education budget and £2.8 billion
improving your skills improves                                            per year apprenticeship levy, as
your chances of being in work       The bad news is that the 2010s        well as the developing National
and climbing the career ladder.     were a decade of decline in           Retraining Scheme and Shared
It boosts productivity and          lifelong learning in England.         Prosperity Fund intended to
economic growth. But more           Just one in three adults say they     replace European Social Funds.
than this, learning helps people    participated in learning in the       This gives a real opportunity
be active in their communities,     last three years, the lowest in the   to innovate and tackle these
improve their health and            23 year history of Learning and       structural challenges in a holistic
wellbeing, and access public        Work Institute’s annual survey.       way.
services which are increasingly     This is partly because the adult
digital by default.                 education budget has been cut         Recommendation 1: Take a
                                    by around 45% since 2010.             joined-up approach with local
This case is strengthening                                                leadership
over time. Economic change,         There are stark and profound
including advances in technology,   inequalities in access to learning    The National Skills Fund will
is changing the jobs available      by socioeconomic group                only work if we decide what
and the skills needed for them.     and region, important for a           it’s for and think about how all
Reports of robots taking our jobs   Government that has promised          the pieces of the jigsaw, the
grab the headlines, but advances    to ‘level up’ opportunity across      many other funding streams and
in technology are having a more     the country. To tackle these          policies, fit together.
profound and nuanced impact:        challenges, we do need more
creating new jobs, replacing        investment, but also new ways         The National Skills Fund is
old jobs, and changing the skills   of investing too. Our research        a great opportunity to align
needed in many current jobs.        shows a need to inspire people        new skills provision with
There is a rising bar of skills     to want to learn, support people      infrastructure investment and
needed to get into the labour       with the cost of learning, and find   priorities identified in national
market at all, and a changing set   ways to fit learning around work      and local industrial strategies.
of skills needed over time in the   and home life. It also shows clear    In this way we can help boost
same job or to retrain for a new    gaps in existing policy: support      economic growth, which has
career.                             is limited for those looking to       been weak since 2008 in part
                                    retrain and, while apprenticeships    because improvements in skills
Meanwhile, longer working lives,    are great, by definition they are     have stalled. We need to avoid
with 50 year careers becoming       not an option for people who          a predict and provide approach.
the norm, means people will be      are self-employed (you cannot         But what about focusing effort
living with this changing labour    apprentice yourself).                 on co-designing provision in
market for longer. Adaptability,                                          key sectors in different parts of
updating skills and changing        Toward a National Skills Fund         the country with employers and
careers will be essential. At the                                         trades unions? And making this
same time, an aging population      The National Skills Fund is           provision free at all levels for
means that 80% of our 2030          expected to be worth £3 billion       those that need it?
workforce have already left         over the next five years, and aim
school: we cannot simply wait for   to match contributions from           We should also empower local

                                                                                                          9
Stephen Evans - Renewing Lifelong Learning through the National Skills Fund

areas, such as Mayoral Combined       or numeracy, and even more             benefit them. Let’s test new ways
Authorities, to lead and use          with low digital skills or those       to inspire and engage adults in
their convening power to join         without a level 2 qualification.       learning.
up support. Beyond this, their        This is increasingly a barrier both
role could be anything from the       to finding work and to being           We could also test, in new
ability to set financial incentives   adaptable to changes in the            provision designed with
to target provision on Local          workplace or need to change            employers aligned with
Industrial Strategy priorities        careers. Yet the number of adults      the Industrial Strategy, new
through to full responsibility for    improving their skills has fallen      approaches to supporting
commissioning the fund, perhaps       by more than one third in recent       people with the non-course
based on outcome agreements           years.                                 costs, such as maintenance,
setting out what will be achieved                                            of learning. We would need to
through the funding (such as the      The National Skills Fund should,       rigorously evaluate all these
number of people finding work).       therefore, have as much focus on       new approaches, encourage
                                      increasing take-up of basic skills     innovation from providers, and
Recommendation 2: Focus on            as it should on promoting level        build in work to disseminate
learning at all levels                3 learning. And learning should        these findings. That would help
                                      mean modules as well as full           us build the evidence base on
We need to increase the               qualifications – flexibility is key.   what works, and spread the use
proportion of people qualified                                               of best practice more widely.
at levels 3 and above, and to         Recommendation 3: New
help people already qualified at      approaches to engagement
this level to retrain where they      and delivery
need to. That’s something the
National Skills Fund could usefully   The National Skills Fund is an
do, given it’s not something the      opportunity to design and test
adult education budget currently      new approaches. For example,
supports well.                        Learning and Work Institute’s
However, this should not be at        research shows that many adults
the expense of the nine million       don’t even think about learning
adults who have low literacy          or how improving skills could

                                                ___________________________________________________________
10                                               Making a Success of the National Skills Fund
Backing Adults - Turning the
National Skills Fund into
Skills Accounts
Tom Bewick, Federation of Awarding Bodies

20% of the Workforce Under-           2010. It is just 0.3 per cent per     Skills Fund has a real job of work
Skilled for Their Jobs by 2030        annum today compared to the           cut out to try and improve, or
                                      long-term trend rate of growth        at least reverse, some of these
Andy Haldane knows a thing or         for the British economy of            negative trends. The new national
two about the UK’s skills and         around 1.75 per cent.                 imperative – given that 80 per
productivity puzzle. As the long-                                           cent of the workforce will still be
standing chief economist at           Official unemployment is              in employment in 2030 – must
the Bank of England, he’s had a       currently low by historical           be to shift the entire skills base
ringside seat on developments in      standards, yet, under-                up the value chain; creating
the British economy – both pre-       employment – particularly             better quality, higher-wage, more
and post the 2008 financial crisis.   amongst graduates – is at an all-     environmentally friendly and
The historic weaknesses in the        time high. The Office for National    digitally-based jobs.
country’s vocational skills base      Statistics (ONS) estimates that
is what he calls: “the collapsed      31 per cent of millennials, who       To achieve this, the National Skills
left lung of the UK’s education       studied bachelor’s programmes         Fund must essentially deliver on
system.”                              at Level 6 and above after 2007,      three key aims.
                                      graduated into job roles that do
As chair of the UK government’s       not require a university degree.      The first aim of the National Skills
Industrial Strategy Council,                                                Fund must be to halt the collapse
Haldane hasn’t pulled any             Redressing a Decade of                in post-compulsory participation
punches about the scale of the        Lifelong Learning Going               in lifelong learning which has
challenges ahead: He says:            Backwards                             seen a reduction of 4 million
                                                                            adults taking up opportunities
  “The ISC estimates that             These major mismatches, that          since 2010, according to the
  an additional 7 million             a number of economists and            Learning and Work Institute’s
  people – 20 per cent                business lobby groups have long       respected annual participation
  of the workforce will be            pointed to, coincide with over a      survey.
  significantly under-skilled         decade of going backwards in
  for their jobs by 2030; and         lifelong learning policy. A perfect   Second, there is an enhanced
  another 1 million will be           storm has gathered around falling     role for government and the
  over-skilled. That will leave       participation levels in learning;     private sector coming together to
  many more workers less              reductions in employer workforce      tackle skills gaps and shortages
  productive in their jobs or         investment; over-reliance on          on a more geographical and
  out of work completely”             low-skilled migration from the        sectoral basis. The Confederation
  (Worsening UK skills gap            EU; government austerity cuts         of British Industry (CBI) has
  will hold the country back,         disproportionately affecting FE       called for the “partnership of the
  Financial Times, 24th               colleges; and weak linkages           century” which, in part, is to deal
  October 2019.)                      between higher-education              with the fact training investment
                                      expansion and productivity            per employee has actually fallen
Low Productivity and Under-           improvements in the economy as        in the UK, by an average of 23
Employment                            a whole.                              per cent since 2005 (British
                                                                            firms invest five times less per
To compound matters still             Three Aims for the National           employee than their German
further, wage growth – a key          Skills Fund                           counterparts, according to cross-
measure of increases in output                                              national studies funded by the
per worker – has slumped since        Against this context, the National    European Commission).

                                                                                                             11
Tom Bewick - Use the National Skills Fund to finance Adult Skill Accounts

And third, post-compulsory             that is earmarked to come with          has the potential, over time,
public spending on education           it, is a recognition at least, that     to help reduce the country’s
and training needs to be               for too long the patient has been       reliance on low-skilled labour
rebalanced towards higher              hooked up to basic life support.        from overseas. The National
technical qualifications at Levels     Now is the time, in the words           Skills Fund, perhaps topped up
4 and 5 (sub-degree level), as well    of the Prime Minister, Boris            from the fees employers and
as ensuring the ‘skills progression    Johnson, to “level-up” education        individuals will have to pay to
ladder’ of opportunity is not          and skills investment across the        acquire new work visas, could
kicked away by the Department          whole country. That is ultimately       be specifically targeted at those
for Education by removing –            how the UK’s productivity puzzle        sectors – like health, hospitality
too hastily or crudely – many          can and will be solved.                 and social care – which have
important qualifications at Level                                              in recent decades overlooked
3 and below. Apprenticeships           Recommendation 1: Adult                 attracting, retaining and retraining
might be excluded from the             Skill Accounts funded through           the resident labour force.
scope of the National Skills Fund,     the National Skills Fund
but reform of the employer Levy                                                Recommendation 3:
could benefit from being co-           We know from past experience            Introduce a ‘Right to Time Off
ordinated with other forms of          that the Individual Learning            to Retrain’
post-18 education and training         Accounts concept was a
spend. Indeed, there is an             popular one amongst adult               Linked to new skill accounts,
argument to consolidate all forms      learners. The problem was not           the government could look at
of non-schools-based funding           so much simulating demand,              statutory legislation to give all
into a single National Skills Fund,    but weak implementation of the          employees, with workers aged
including HE student finance,          scheme, which led to fraud. A           over 35, the ‘right to retrain.’
with tripartite contributions          reintroduction of more secure           The legislation would grant
from the state, employers              skills accounts, linked to a lifelong   employees a statutory right to
and individuals collected and          learning entitlement to retrain         request up to 8 days annual
disbursed via the tax system.          in accredited qualifications that       ‘learning leave.’ The self-
                                       meet specific skills needs up to        employed would receive tax
                                       Level 5, could be just the kind of      credits in lieu of the time taken
Breathing New Life into                kick-start the British economy          off. All or even a more limited
Lifelong Learning                      needs.                                  combination of these measures
                                                                               would help create additional
What is clear is that breathing        Recommendation 2: Targeting             demand and boost productivity.
new life into the economic lungs       Sectors No Longer Able to
that will drive Britain’s future       Recruit Low Skilled Migrant
prosperity, skills and improved        Workers
productivity performance, will
take some time to fully realise.       As the country recalibrates to
Skills 4.0 and the fourth industrial   life outside of the European
revolution beckons.                    Union and an end to Freedom
                                       of Movement with the EU27
The National Skills Fund,              in January 2021, the intended
including the extra investment         points-based immigration system

                                                 ___________________________________________________________
12                                                Making a Success of the National Skills Fund
Funding Skills Accounts through
the National Skills Fund
Mark Dawe, Association of Employment and
Learning Providers

Two Schemes                           AELP has called for the creation
                                      of a form of adult traineeship        National Skills Fund Financed
Since the general election            for both the unemployed and           skills accounts
manifesto commitment, we have         employed participants through
learnt that there will be a tie-up    the scheme. Its recent shaping        The faults with the original
between the proposed National         into an information-sharing           individual learning accounts
Skills Fund and the National          platform simply duplicates            largely relate to failures in quality
Retraining Scheme. The latter of      existing government-backed job        control. Addressing these
course owes its conception to a       signposting initiatives.              should be at the forefront of a
previous manifesto but progress                                             relaunch of skills accounts and
in getting it off the ground under    What’s needed is a clearly defined    we should start by ensuring that
its ‘Right to Retrain’ brand has      set of outcome and progression        their funding is routed through
been slow.                            measures within a proper training     a robustly tested and approved
                                      scheme, with providers being          provider base as opposed to the
The National Retraining               financially incentivised to support   unmanageable 8,910 providers
Scheme                                participants to both complete         that previously accessed
                                      and progress. At present, the lack    funding for individual learning
AELP hopes that the £3bn              of investment in core delivery and    accounts. This is not about
allocation for the Fund over the      provider participation funding is     restricting access to the market
course of the new Parliament          a weakness and there’s a danger       for new providers who offer
doesn’t all get channelled into       that government will repeat the       innovation and competition but
the National Retraining Scheme.       mistakes made with the Employer       learning from past mistakes and
It is true that we were one of        Ownership of Skills pilot which       experiences from programmes.
the organisations who said that       over five years until 2017 saw
the £100m initial funding for the     £350m of taxpayers’ money             The government should control
scheme wouldn’t be enough to          completely wasted.                    the breadth of qualifications
make a tangible impact, but on                                              and programmes available for
the basis of what we have seen        The National Skills Fund              individuals to buy with their skills
so far, a further injection of £3bn                                         account with a catalogue of
would be unwise and difficult to      AELP believes that the National       approved programmes, building
justify.                              Skills Fund gives us the              on the lessons from advanced
                                      opportunity to bring back skills      learner loans and the use of an
Irrespective of whether much          accounts twenty years after           approved central qualifications
more funding will be allocated to     the experiment with individual        catalogue. In 2013 for the launch
the National Retraining Scheme,       learning accounts went so             of advanced learner loans,
the government should work            badly wrong. The link-up              the ESFA produced a central
with employers, trade unions and      with the National Retraining          online catalogue of fundable
training providers to transform       Scheme makes sense because            programmes which is regularly
the programme to really make          one of the areas in which             updated. Having a similar
a difference to the 1.5 million       skills accounts could make an         catalogue for skills accounts
individuals whose jobs are at         impact is supporting the right        would be a sensible way forward.
risk of automation along with         to retrain. Other target areas
supporting those trapped in           should include: the digital skills    Digital Skills Accounts
low-level employment with little      entitlement; level 2 and level 3
prospects.                            entitlements; Higher Education        The National Skills Fund should
                                      and Advanced Learner Loans            actively embrace the latest
                                      funding; and maths and English.
                                                                                                               13
Mark Dawe - Funding Skills Accounts through the National Skills Fund

technological advancements to         enables it to flexibly direct         Recommendation 2:
enhance, control and protect          funding to support additional         Reintroduce Skills Accounts
the integrity of the skills account   specific targets to meet new or       financed from the National
system. This means identifying        developing needs; for example,        Skills Fund
trends quickly, with the ability to   it could include an amount in
suspend or investigate accounts       an account to fund training           The government should
based on specific behaviours          on digital skills development.        reintroduce skills accounts
or patterns, be that by learner       An account should be able to          financed from the National Skills
type, geographical location or by     facilitate a mix of grants and loan   Fund and drawing on lessons
programme/qualification type.         funded provision in one place,        from the first individual learning
                                      acting as a one-stop shop for the     account experiment.
We shouldn’t always expect            individual to control and make
government alone to shoulder          informed choices.
                                                                            Recommendation 3:
the full responsibility to meet
                                                                            Individual Choice to Drive use
the total cost of the investment      Recommendation 1: Retain
required. In addition to the                                                of Skills Accounts
                                      the National Retraining
entitlements and access to            Scheme
loans, there could be incentives                                            Skills Accounts should be
for individuals and employers                                               designed in such a way as to
                                      The government should retain          allow individual choice from a list
(and even combined authorities)       the National Retraining Scheme
to top up a skills account for                                              of approved courses but enables
                                      to meet the needs of adult            government to direct funding to
targeted training. Incentives         workers whose jobs are at risk
could be in the form of tax relief,                                         specific priorities.
                                      from automation and use some
national insurance contribution       of the National Skills Fund to
relief or rebates.                    finance it but by no means
The government should structure       exclusively.
skills accounts in a way that

                                                ___________________________________________________________
14                                               Making a Success of the National Skills Fund
A Dual Approach - Retain the
National Retraining Scheme and
Devolve the National Skills Fund
Ewart Keep, University of Oxford

A Right to Adult ‘Training and        In any event, the National            profiles and requirements altered,
Retraining’                           Retraining Scheme is the vehicle      sometimes in quite profound
                                      for a sectorally-focused attempt      ways. Workers across different
The National Skills Fund’s            to reach out to employers over        sectors and occupations, at
underlying long-term aim is           adult skills and there is little      very varied skill levels are likely
stated to be moves towards a          point in the National Skills Fund     to need to upgrade and change
‘right to train’, analogous to (how   duplicating this approach, not        their skills, not least if employers
is unspecified) the Conservatives’    least as experience with the levy     continue to retreat from offering
famous ‘right to buy’ (the council    suggests that this road ends in       substantive training to the bulk of
house you live in). Does this         deadweight. In other words,           their employees.
focus on the individual make          public money ends up supporting
sense?                                training that employers would         Recommendation 1: A step
                                      otherwise have had to undertake       change in IAG for Adults
The overall answer seems to           and pay for themselves.               linked to the National Skills
be ‘yes’. There are huge adult                                              Fund
learning challenges looming           The employer-focused strand of
and the trend has been one            adult learning policy will, sooner    First, we need to address
of decline in both individual         or later, have to try to nail down    the current inadequacies in
participation and a huge fall         what employers are responsible        information, advice and guidance
over time (60% in the volume          for and fund. Don’t hold your         (IAG) which render it extremely
of training days between 1997         breath!                               difficult for adults to understand
and 2017) in employer-provided                                              the shape and direction of travel
learning opportunities. As ever,      Adult Focused - Regionally            within their local labour markets,
the nature and scale of the           Devolved – ‘National Skills           or to know what learning
rights, roles and responsibilities    Fund’                                 opportunities and options they
of employers within our skills                                              may be able to access to help fit
system unfortunately remain as        The second strand of policy           them new opportunities. Unless
nebulous and ill-defined as ever.     development covered by the            we deal with this and put in
Even so, the government needs         National Skills Fund needs to         place a high quality IAG offer that
to develop a dual policy for adult    adopt an individual focus and         provides a blend of computer
training and retraining.              to offer tailored support to          and face-to-face based support,
                                      adults who want to up or re-skill     the National Skills Fund is very
Sector-Focused ‘National              themselves, either in order to        unlikely to be able to deliver what
Retraining Scheme’                    progress within an occupation         is needed for individuals.
                                      or sector, or to change
First, on what employers need to      jobs, perhaps in the face of          Recommendation 2: Setting
start doing. The existing National    technological change. It would        the right output measures for
Retraining Scheme is already          be unwise to assume, as some          the National Skills Fund
piloting how best to work with        commentators do, that only
firms to re-skill workers facing      lower level workers are going         Second, there is a need to think
technological change and              to be impacted by digitalisation      hard about what the outputs
potential redundancy. It is still     and automation. It is clear from      and performance indicators
early days, but rumours suggest       emerging research that many           for National Skills Fund activity
that employers are proving hard       graduate level jobs (for instance,    should be. In the past, there
to engage with.                       in legal services) will be impacted   has been an obsession with
                                      by digitalisation and their skills    imparting full qualifications –
                                                                                                             15
Ewart Keep - A Dual Approach - Retain the National Retraining Scheme and Devolve the National Skills Fund

witness New Labour’s Train to        learning packages. Designing         have started to do with their
Gain programme. It is doubtful       and developing these kinds of        devolved Adult Education Budget
whether this approach is what        courses and finding appropriate      allocations. There have been
is either wanted or needed by        and enthusiastic providers to        interesting attempts to slim
all adult learners. For a lot of     deliver them is likely to be by no   down the number of contracted
adults, time, energy and money       means simple or easy.                providers, offer more courses
are in short supply, and learning                                         that target a gap in provision at
structured around monolithic         Recommendation 3: Pilot              levels 2 and 3 for adults in work,
full qualifications will be off-     Regional Devolution of the           and give financial incentives
putting. For some, perhaps           National Skills Fund                 to providers to innovate. The
many, what they will be seeking is                                        Combined Authorities may
the opportunity to access bite-      Third, the policy makers             be ideally placed to pilot the
sized chunks of learning, perhaps    developing the design of the         National Skills Fund.
certificated through micro-          National Skills Fund would
qualifications or credits, which     do well to look at what some
over time can be assembled and       of the combined authorities
aggregated into more substantive

                                               ___________________________________________________________
16                                              Making a Success of the National Skills Fund
Devolve the National Skills Fund to
Elected Mayors and LEPs
Jamie Driscoll, North of the Tyne Combined Authority

From the Adult Education              market could be under-skilled           funding commissioner for the
Budget to the National Skills         for their job requirements. If skills   Adult Education Budget in
Fund                                  mismatch in the UK’s labour             Newcastle, North Tyneside and
                                      market is projected to worsen,          Northumberland. This allows us
The additional opportunities the      then we need to mitigate against        to focus funding of approximately
National Skills Fund will offer are   this by making lifelong learning        £22million on the current
welcome. This, in conjunction         the norm.                               challenges facing our region;
with our newly devolved Adult                                                 high levels of worklessness
Education Budget will start to        These lifelong interventions will       and economic inactivity, low
address the decline we’ve seen in     vary by sector and job role, but        employment rates and high in
the adult education participation     workplace skills set to experience      work poverty.
rate in the North East, which         the most acute under-skilling
according to the Learning and         in 2030 are basic digital, STEM         In the longer term, our economy
Work Institute has the lowest         and social and emotional skills.        will shift toward growth in sectors
proportion of adult learners in       Unison has identified that digital,     such as digital and technology,
2019.                                 supervisory and management              financial and professional
                                      skills are most needed in the           business services, health and
Any new money that is coming          workplace, with older workers           life science, energy, offshore
into the Combined Authority           needing more computer and               and advanced manufacturing
from central government is a          digital skills.                         and tourism, leisure and culture.
fraction of the money that a                                                  We are going to work with our
decade of austerity has taken         The National Skills Fund is ideally     providers to drive our residents
away. These are our taxes being       placed to respond to these skills       toward opportunities in these
returned to us. As the IFS has        needs. The Fund shouldn’t be            sectors.
stated, the proposed £600m per        prescriptive in the courses or
year National Skills Fund would       sectors it will support and be          We will also be supporting
‘reverse about one fifth of the       flexible enough to allow each           already excellent local provision.
cuts to total spending on adult       MCA to respond appropriately            There will be ongoing skills
education and apprenticeships         with the best fit provision for         replacement needs as people
since 2010’.                          lifelong learning, through the          leave the workforce, with analysis
                                      appropriate learning providers.         showing that the North of Tyne
Safeguarding the Skills of our                                                area also has skills shortage
Workforce                             Creating Synergy within the             vacancies in Transport, Business
                                      North of Tyne Combined                  Services & Education and the
By devolving this fund to Mayoral     Authority                               wholesale & retail sectors. We
Combined Authorities (MCAs),                                                  are also mindful of economic
regions will be empowered             We are keen to avoid duplication        shocks that may be forthcoming
to safeguard the skills of their      and ensure alignment of skills          and be ready to respond to these
workforce and will be trusted to      interventions. There is an obvious      through our provider network.
make the best decisions for the       synergy between a National Skills
future prosperity of their region.    Fund targeted at adults and the         And we will be working with
                                      work ongoing devolution of the          further education colleges and
This additional investment is         Adult Education Budget.                 local authorities based in and
sorely needed. Industrial Strategy                                            around the North of Tyne area to
Council analysis has found that       From August this year, the              address these challenges, whilst
by 2030, about 20% of the labour      NTCA will become the                    also working with innovative

                                                                                                              17
Jamie Driscoll - Devolve the National Skills Fund to Elected Mayors and LEPs

and high-quality providers           skills interventions in a region.       smaller businesses that have
selected through last year’s         This will ensure that we make           difficulty accessing training and
procurement activity. Ideally        adult education meaningful and          development opportunities
more local and smaller providers     tailored to the individual, not the     through other channels.
should be involved upskilling        institution. A route to richer lives,
their workforce, the National        not just better trained workers.        Recommendation 3: Use the
Skills Fund is an opportunity to                                             National Skills Fund to Fund
support smaller business that        Recommendation 1: Devolve               Flexible Provision
have difficulty accessing training   the National Skills Fund to
and development opportunities        Regions and LEPs                        The National Skills Fund should
through other channels.                                                      not be restricted to courses or
                                     The £600m per year National             sector and be flexible enough
The National Skills Fund will        Skills Fund should be devolved to       to allow each region to respond
provide wraparound support           and commissioned by Mayoral             appropriately with the best fit
for this activity by taking our      Combined Authorities (where             provision for lifelong learning.
residents beyond their initial       they exist) and Local Enterprise
levels of training and build a       Partnerships.
culture and habit of lifelong
learning and opportunity.            Recommendation 2: Use the
                                     National Skills Fund to Assist
It makes sense for MCAs to           Small Firms to Train
take on this commissioning, to
ensure that it complements, and      The National Skills Fund
does not compete with, existing      should be available to support

                                                ___________________________________________________________
18                                               Making a Success of the National Skills Fund
The National Skills Fund and
Part-In, Part-Out Devolution
Gemma Gathercole, Coventry and Warwickshire LEP

Local Enterprise Partnerships         full membership and voting            a postcode lottery of provision
                                      rights, including voting for the      and access.
At the core, local enterprise         West Midlands Mayor. However,
partnerships are about                Warwickshire County Council           We cannot escape that funding
collaboration. They are business      and four of the five district         drives behaviour. What is needed
led partnerships between local        councils are non-constituent          is better access to information
authorities and local private         members, which gives them less        about what skills are needed in
sector businesses, playing a          voting rights, they do not vote on    the labour market, while this is
central role in determining           the Mayor and are not part of the     relatively easy to do in the short
local economic priorities and         devolved Adult Education Budget.      term, it’s much harder in the long
undertaking activities to drive                                             term.
economic growth and job               This in and out reality gives us
creation, improve infrastructure      an unusual perspective on the         The National Skills Fund is
and raise workforce skills within     impact of devolution and the          needed to support individuals
the local area.                       issues that arise from imposing       to access training that leads to
                                      policy borders that create dividing   better paid, more secure work, to
Coventry and Warwickshire             lines that people, jobs and skills    enable them to progress in their
Economy                               needs do not recognise.               chosen careers and, should they
                                                                            want or need to, it should allow
The economy of Coventry and           National Skills Fund                  them to retrain in another sector.
Warwickshire builds on its central                                          For employers it should provide
location, distinctive businesses,     Read any report on skills and         access to a pool of suitable
innovation assets and highly          you will be clear that we have a      talent for their roles or support
talented workforce. Coventry          skills gap in the UK. What is less    them in accessing training to
and Warwickshire is recognised        clear is any form of consensus        upskill where there isn’t a pool of
as a global hub in the advanced       over how we can address it.           suitably qualified applicants.
manufacturing and engineering         The reasons for the skills gap
sector, with business and             are numerous, complicated and         Recommendation 1: Allow
research links across the world.      interconnected.                       decisions to be made locally
It is a major player in the Digital
arena which plays a key part in       We can and should make the            At local levels, business support
the local economy.                    system easier for individuals         providers and intermediary bodies
                                      and employers and for training        can have detailed conversations
A Mixed Devolution Area               providers to deliver. As a Local      with individual businesses to
                                      Enterprise Partnership within a       understand the support required
But in the context of devolution,     devolved area, we have some           by businesses, the National Skills
this doesn’t explain the whole        experience of implementation          Fund needs to replicate this for
story. While Coventry and             and some lessons to learn for the     skills training.
Warwickshire LEP is a non-            skills fund.
Constituent member of the West                                              When examining data for skills
Midlands Combined Authority,          There is a fine tightrope for the     needs, it is easy to aggregate and
our partner local authorities and     National Skills Fund to tread in      come to a conclusion that there’s
district councils have different      order to be a success. It needs       enough commonality of requests
positions. Coventry City Council      to be sufficiently locally focused    that national policy and national
is one of seven Constituent Local     to respond to skills needs in local   entitlements can appropriately
Authorities, which gives them         areas, but not too local to create    serve skills needs, but there are

                                                                                                              19
Gemma Gathercole - The National Skills Fund and Part In, Part Out Devolution

different emphases when you          While, WMCA constituent               to access more than one
look at the data available in        residents can access a more           intervention, probably over time
smaller geographic areas. The        flexible and locally defined offer,   but a skilled Engineer does not
qualification levels of Coventry     Warwickshire residents can only       enter the workforce day 1 at
and Warwickshire are generally       access the national offer. This       the highest level. A senior care
high, but within that there’s        complexity will only increase         worker was probably a junior care
great variety and across the         with further devolution and given     worker at one stage. Put simply
employment landscape there’s a       that the UK workforce doesn’t         the expert at anything was once a
great diversity of industry, which   always live and work in the same      novice. The National Skills Fund
makes any attempt to capture a       area, never mind post code, the       and probably the skills system
single picture a challenge.          skills fund needs to understand       more widely needs to support
                                     individual mobility a little more.    individuals to understand not only
Recommendation 2: Avoid a                                                  the breadth of opportunities but
Postcode Lottery                     Recommendation 3: Work                also the pathways to achieving
                                     Collaboratively                       them and the pathways within
While it might feel a little                                               that career as a whole and that
contradictory to the above, our      The National Skills Fund will not     needs FE, HE, employers, local
experience of devolution tells       exist in a vacuum and we can’t        authorities, LEPs and others to
us to be cautious of creating        expect wholesale change to the        support a more collaborative
artificial dividing lines. Our       machinery of government and           approach.
providers, especially those in       particularly to the skills system
border locations, now have to        institutions. And so, there needs
maintain two different offers        to be a greater emphasis on
– that supported by the West         collaboration. The reality is that
Midlands Combined Authority          individuals needing upskilling
and that of national entitlement.    or reskilling will probably need

                                               ___________________________________________________________
20                                              Making a Success of the National Skills Fund
Bringing the National Skills Fund
and Adult Education Budget
Together
David Hughes, Association of Colleges

A Nice Problem to Have                 Consult in Partnership
                                                                              How will the National Skills
We have a nice problem – how           The promised approach of               Fund fit with Other Post-18
to help the Government decide          engaging and consulting on             Programmes?
how to spend £3bn over the             the design of the National Skills
next 5 years on a programme            Fund is a great start, but we need     If those drivers result in those
which feels at the moment like         to ensure that it continues into       challenges, then we can start
a fairly blank sheet of paper.         implementation, monitoring,            to see a world in which the
The commitment was one of              review and the inevitable              emerging National Retraining
relatively few in the Tory party       tweaking and adapting that will        Scheme could be linked closely
election manifesto, and shows          be needed to make it work. Co-         to the Adult Education Budget
that skills and colleges are           design is important, but shared        to provide opportunities for
significantly higher priorities than   destiny is equally essential.          people with lower level skills and
for a long time.                                                              education needs.
                                       Seismic Changes
Three Risks                                                                   A reformed apprenticeship
                                       The seismic changes happening          scheme could help people move
It is a nice problem to have, but      in our world – technology,             into the semi-skilled and skilled
there are 3 key risks which must       climate crisis and demographic         jobs which employers will find
be avoided. First, we will need to     changes - are starting to have         hard to recruit to. Leaving the
help officials resist the threat of    profound impacts. Brexit and its       new National Skills Fund to be
‘urgency’ which besets many new        impact on immigration will also        focused on people already in
policies and programmes. I’ve          be an important driver for labour      work who need a module or two
seen too many sound reforms go         market pressures. Making sense         of new skills in their profession/
pear-shaped when politicians ask       of that is not easy, but three big     craft to be able to stay current
for quick results – Train to Gain,     challenges are likely to dominate      and be productive. A module or
Individual Learning Accounts           for adults.                            two which can also add up to full
and the current apprenticeship                                                qualifications over time, delivered
reforms come to mind.                  The first is the need for more         flexibly to help fit with people’s
                                       adults to have good literacy,          lives and work.
Secondly, we should work hard          numeracy and digital skills in
to achieve as much clarity as          order to be able to learn new          If the National Retraining
possible about the purpose and         things to stay active in the labour    Scheme, Adult Education
the success measures of the            market. The second is that people      Budget, Apprenticeships and
programme. Let’s not accept            already in work will need to learn     the National Skills Fund could
muddled thinking, or overly            new things as their jobs, sectors      be properly aligned, colleges
ambitious, lofty aims.                 and employers transform. And           should be funded once to
                                       third is that employers will find      deliver all of them. That would
Thirdly, we need to make sure          it increasingly difficult to recruit   cut the bureaucracy and make
that we do everything we can           skilled and semi-skilled people        the system more coherent for
to make sure it fits with other        in many sectors where colleges         everyone – colleges, employers
existing policies and programmes       provide the bulk of the current        and students alike.
and does not increase                  skills provision.
bureaucracy and complexity for                                                Policy makers should also go a
colleges, employers or students.                                              bit further though, because we

                                                                                                               21
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