M&A in the Insurance Industry - 2022 Insurance Year in Review January 2023 - Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP
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BRUSSELS CHICAGO FRANKFURT HOUSTON LONDON LOS ANGELES MILAN NEW YORK PALO ALTO PARIS ROME SAN FRANCISCO WASHINGTON 2022 Insurance Year in Review M&A in the Insurance Industry January 2023
2022 Insurance Year in Review January 2023 To Our Clients and Friends: At this time last year, as 2021 faded into a glowing mid-winter sunset, we took the opportunity in our 2021 Insurance Year in Review to reflect on a busy and productive year for the insurance and reinsurance industry. Little did we foresee the economic and global turmoil to come in 2022. The most recent Consumer Price Index reading in November showed an increase of 7.1% over the preceding 12 months. While this rate is down from June’s 9.1%, it remains substantially above the 4.7% average figure for full year 2021. In short, the United States and much of the world is experiencing inflation not seen since the 1980s. Monetary actions by the Federal Reserve and European, Japanese and other central banks to control inflation have adversely affected both bond and equity markets. At this time last year the yield on the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note was 1.51% and the S&P 500 was at 4,766. As this Year in Review goes to press, the ten year note yields 3.70% and the S&P 500 is off from the prior year-end by approximately 20%. With bond and equity prices falling in tandem, some commentators noted that 2022 was the worst investing environment since the late 1930s. The consequences of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, including the imposition of sanctions on an unprecedented scale, dislocations in the global energy market and the leveraging of sovereign balance sheets have further impacted the macroeconomic environment. Geopolitical tensions in the Asia-Pacific region, together with government responses to the Covid pandemic, disrupted supply chains for much of 2022, and added momentum to an already extant debate in the United States on the efficacy of offshoring and globalization. These events generated powerful cross-currents in the insurance industry. Inflation adversely affected the bottom lines of some insurers and reinsurers, particularly but not exclusively those paying property/casualty claims. At the same time, the rising interest rate environment after years of low rates boosted book yields for most insurers. Similarly, the legacy of the pandemic in terms of elevated mortality and morbidity continued to affect life insurance industry results. Accounting rules, including the change in GAAP accounting for long-duration contracts and the renewed relevance of the treatment of negative IMR on a statutory basis, created additional issues for the industry. And, as seems to be the case every year, the weather contributed to another year of catastrophe losses, after a calm early hurricane season gave way to the devastation of Ian in late September. However, notwithstanding all these macro and other challenges, the industry continued to fulfill its mission of providing commercial and personal lines and life protection, investment and retirement products at a time and in circumstances where these products are needed more than ever. In this year’s review we focus primarily on M&A and other strategic activity affecting the insurance industry. Our review concentrates on activity in the United States, London/Europe and Bermuda. We also discuss regulatory and other developments which impacted M&A activity in 2022 or which may impact activity in future years, and offer a few thoughts on 2023 industry trends. For readers looking for additional information about insurance industry legal developments, we note that we prepare insurance capital markets reviews during the year (including our highly popular ’34 Act insurance industry risk factor review, which comes out semi-annually), as well as quarterly reviews of NAIC actions and periodic targeted insurance regulatory alerts, all of which are posted on our firm’s website. For convenience we are sharing a link to our most recent insurance regulatory roundup from the December NAIC meeting in Washington D.C. As always, we wish to thank our clients for the privilege of advising them on many of the more significant transactions and issues involving the industry in 2022. All the best for a better 2023, Insurance Transactional and Regulatory Practice, Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP 2022 Insurance Year in Review i M&A in the Insurance Industry
I.Contents Review of M&A Activity I. U.S. Life and Annuity 1 A. Overview 1 B. Spotlight – Variable Annuities 2 C. 2022 – Noteworthy Life and Annuity Deals and Observations 3 II. U.S. Property and Casualty; Brokers and Agents 6 A. Overview 6 B. Noteworthy P&C Carrier Deal 6 C. Legacy P&C and Run-off 7 D. Deals Involving Brokers, Agents and Other Intermediaries 7 III. U.S. – Sidecars In M&A Deals and Other Transactions 9 IV. U.S. Insurtech 10 A. A Tide Going Out 10 B. Collecting Shells 11 C. Looking Forward 11 V. U.S. M&A-Related Insurance Regulatory Developments 13 A. NAIC Considerations Related to Private Equity Ownership of Insurers 13 B. NAIC to Consider Industry Request Regarding Statutory Accounting Treatment of Negative IMR 14 C. Principles-Based Bond Project 15 D. Company Division and Insurance Business Transfer Laws 15 E. Reinsurance Collateral Reduction for Reciprocal Reinsurers 16 VI. United Kingdom and Europe 17 A. Overview 17 B. Continuing Private Equity Investment and Broker/Fee-based Insurance M&A 17 C. Bolt-on M&A and Some Pruning by Large Insurance Carrier Groups 18 D. Shining a Spotlight on UK and European Legacy Liability M&A Activity 18 i. An Increasingly Competitive Market 18 ii. Diversification and Specialization 19 iii. Market Innovation 20 iv. A Strong Outlook 20 E. Regulatory Developments in the UK and the EU: EIOPA Confirms its Approach to Private Equity Investors in EEA Run-off Undertakings 21 i. EIOPA’s Concerns and Recommendations 21 ii. Considerations for Private Equity Investors 21 iii. Looking Forward 22 2022 Insurance Year in Review ii M&A in the Insurance Industry
I. U.S. Life and Annuity structured credit which play to the strengths of the sponsor and offer enhanced return opportunities. As an ancillary I. U.S. LIFE AND ANNUITY benefit, such assets, when managed by the sponsor, may A. Overview be less likely to be mandated away to other managers than might be the case with other assets under the sponsor’s If we were looking for an aphorism to sum up 2022 M&A management. activity in the life and annuity industry, we would be hard pressed to find a better one than “the more things change, Private equity has for many years committed investment the more they stay the same.” For another year, M&A capital to the P&C sector, particularly and most recently activity was dominated by established life and annuity in broker/distribution, insurtech and specialty carriers. companies seeking to restructure their businesses, and However, brokers are traditionally capital-light with finding willing partners in newer, private equity-sponsored relatively small balance sheets and specialty carriers insurance platforms. typically do not have as large a pool of investment assets as is the case with life insurers, and the duration of their assets The drive to restructure has arisen from multiple causes. tends to match the shorter duration of their liabilities, which Until recently, the low interest rate environment has makes them less susceptible to yield enhancement than made it more difficult for insurers to achieve their return would be the case with life insurance or annuity business. objectives for certain lines of business such as fixed annuities and made them more sensitive to the volatility We believe it would be overly simplistic to characterize associated with other lines such as variable annuities. private equity interest in the industry as a search for so- Variable product portfolios have also brought a penalty in called “sticky assets.” For one thing, it is relatively common the equity markets, leading their issuers to consider ways in sponsor-backed reinsurance deals for an affiliate of to part with them. Many restructuring insurers have sought the ceding insurer to retain management of a portion of to redeploy capital to higher return lines, or alternatively to the investments backing the reinsured reserves, under return the capital used to support these businesses to their a multiyear asset management agreement. This sort of shareholders. Shareholders have attached and continue agreement often (but not always) covers more “plain to attach a higher value to those insurers who consistently vanilla” asset classes where the sponsor would add generate high levels of free cash flow and offer buybacks less value. Also, sponsors with the benefit of best-in- and dividends to shareholders. Also, as will be discussed class actuarial, accounting, financial and legal advisors later in this review, there is a perception – which in some engage in significant due diligence and seek to price cases may be exaggerated – of heightened activist focus risk appropriately so that the acquisition of the target is on the insurance industry, which has further sharpened attractive to their investors on its own merits. Following managements’ taking a hard look at their businesses to buyouts, those sponsor-backed platforms add value by determine whether they are best configured to generate their investment expertise, which in general exceeds the highest return. All of these factors have over the last the cost of new asset management fees payable to the several years created significant sell-side interest which sponsor. Also, as the sponsored reinsurers grow through continued into 2022. acquisition, the benefits of scale and diversification and aggregation benefits encourage further growth, which in At the same time, and as discussed in our prior reviews, some cases may be organic as well as through M&A. As private equity-sponsored life insurers have been a key force time passes, the dividing line between sponsored insurers supporting much of the restructuring activity in the life and and traditional strategics has become increasingly blurred. annuity industry over the last decade. For private equity sponsors, life insurers offer a large pool of investment While commentators often point to Apollo, through its assets that can be rotated into asset classes such as sponsorship of Athene Re, as being one of the first private 2022 Insurance Year in Review 1 M&A in the Insurance Industry
I. U.S. Life and Annuity equity sponsors to engage in the consolidation of life and B. Spotlight – Variable Annuities annuity blocks, this business model has a longer history. Insurers such as Life Re (subsequently acquired by Swiss One trend that bears watching is the continued interest Re), through its administrative reinsurance strategy, among some PE-sponsored reinsurers in acquiring Protective Life, Wilton Re and Global Atlantic, among blocks of variable annuities with death and living benefit others, had been engaged in the consolidation of the U.S. guaranties. Prior to Voya’s sale of Voya Insurance and life insurance industry going back more than twenty years Annuity Company in 2018 to Apollo-managed funds and in some cases, and in any event prior to Athene’s 2012 others to become their platform for acquiring blocks of acquisition of Aviva’s U.S. businesses, Athene’s marquee variable annuities (now known as Venerable), there was transaction. And it should not be forgotten that on the limited PE interest in variable annuity block acquisitions. other side of the Atlantic, Sir Clive Cowdery through Variable annuities, particularly those with living benefit predecessors to his Resolution platform was engaged in the riders, are complex insurance products which require similar process of helping restructure the UK life insurance sophisticated risk management compared to products industry during the same period. whose liabilities are less sensitive to equity market and interest rate changes. Because of these risks the number of Currently, many of the largest private equity firms have reinsurers with the expertise and appetite to reinsure VAs sponsored life reinsurance roll-up vehicles. These include and to execute the hedge strategies required to manage the Apollo, which closed its acquisition of the remaining risks inherent in these products is more limited compared publicly held equity interest in Athene this year; Blackstone, to other life and annuity blocks. The demonstrated which entered into a strategic partnership with Sir Clive appetite for and ability to complete VA transactions, as Cowdery’s Resolution Group in October, after a busy 2021 some of these buyers (Fortitude Re, Global Atlantic, Talcott which saw it enter significant deals with Allstate and AIG; Resolution, Venerable) have done, differentiates them from Sixth Street, which added several large blocks of business other sponsor-backed buyers. The execution of VA deals in 2022 to its Talcott Resolution platform, which was continued in 2022, and we would not be surprised to see purchased by affiliates of that sponsor in 2021; Brookfield additional transactions in 2023. through its American National acquisition; Carlyle through its ownership interest in Fortitude Re, which closed a From a legal perspective, one of the principal structuring significant deal with Prudential Financial in 2022; KKR, challenges in VA block deals has been managing the ceding following its acquisition of a controlling interest in Global company’s counterparty risk to the reinsurer. In block Atlantic in another of 2021’s life insurance acquisitions; reinsurance transactions the ceding company typically Ares, which closed its acquisition and further establishment negotiates a right to recapture the ceded business if the of the Aspida insurance platform in the last two years; and reinsurer’s financial condition or insolvency no longer make Aquarian, which announced its acquisition of Somerset it an acceptable counterparty. Most sellers seek collateral Re in 2022. Many other private equity sponsors have in the form of a funds withheld collateral mechanism and/ committed or indicated a willingness to commit capital or reinsurance comfort trust to ensure that on a recapture to life and annuity M&A transactions. As the field has the reinsurer will be able to transfer to them assets to fund become more crowded, the “buy-side” interest in these the reserves the ceding company will need to carry with kinds of transactions has generally kept pace with the sell- respect to the recaptured business. Although managing side interest, resulting in an active M&A market which counterparty risk through comfort trust and funds withheld continued into 2022. collateral mechanisms is common to all life insurance and fixed annuity block deals, doing so in the context of VA rider reinsurance can be more complex. 2022 Insurance Year in Review 2 M&A in the Insurance Industry
I. U.S. Life and Annuity Because of the sensitivity of general account reserves for C. 2022 – Noteworthy Life and Annuity Deals death and living benefit VA riders to equity markets and and Observations interest rates, most insurers develop sophisticated hedge programs to protect their balance sheets from the volatility In contrast to 2021 when Blackstone-managed funds inherent in these kinds of annuity products. While hedge acquired Allstate Life, Brookfield announced its acquisition strategies may differ among insurers based on balance of American National and Apollo announced the acquisition sheet size, risk appetite, whether they are public companies of Athene’s public float, no significant legal entity and other factors, from the ceding company’s perspective acquisition of a U.S. life insurer was announced in 2022. the hedge assets are an important element to counterparty As previewed above, 2022’s active life and annuity M&A risk mitigation. market was dominated by the acquisition of large blocks of business. These deals were structured as reinsurance As an (overly simplified) illustration, consider a reinsurer transactions, with supporting infrastructure assets and which has hedged 100% of the equity market risk on a employees conveyed to the extent that administration of ceded block of variable annuities where the only investment the block was transferred to the reinsurer. option is equity funds. As equity markets decline the reinsurer’s reserve requirement may increase. However, The year started off with the announcement of two of assuming hedge effectiveness and a hedge strategy which the more significant of 2022’s transactions – Talcott hedges 100% of this equity risk, the increase in reserves Resolution’s reinsurance agreement with Allianz Life in our illustration would be funded by the increase in the (actually announced in December 2021, but close enough value of the derivatives held by the reinsurer. As the to 2022 in our view for inclusion) and Talcott’s reinsurance derivatives become more in-the-money, the derivatives transaction with Principal Financial Group (announced at counterparty will be required to post additional variation the end of January 2022). In the Allianz transaction, Talcott margin – essentially collateral to secure its obligations to Resolution and Sir Clive Cowdery’s Resolution Life reinsured the reinsurer. This variation margin funds the increased approximately $35 billion of fixed indexed annuity liabilities reserve requirement in our example. Conversely, as in one of the largest transactions of its kind. Of those equity markets increase the reserves which the reinsurer liabilities, $20 billion were placed with Talcott Resolution is required to hold for the ceded variable annuities would and one of its Bermuda affiliates and $15 billion were placed decline, and the excess reserves would fund the variation with Resolution Life. Allianz Life continues to service and margin that the reinsurer would need to provide its administer the ceded business, and retained management hedge counterparty because of the increased value of the of a portion of the asset portfolio. In a very large transaction derivative on the counterparty’s books. such as this one, the ceding company may seek to mitigate its exposure to a single reinsurer’s non-performance How to provide the ceding company with the benefits under the reinsurance agreement by contracting with two of the reinsurer’s derivatives portfolio on a recapture reinsurers, in addition to negotiating comfort trusts or can be challenging and implicates commercial, legal funds withheld collateral arrangements. However from and operational issues. In addition, some reinsurers the ceding company’s perspective this diversification may not hedge specific books of business as opposed to benefit must be weighed against the incremental difficulty implementing a hedge strategy with respect to all of their of completing a three-way deal, and the resulting pressure business. Addressing these issues in recent transactions on price, terms and conditions that comes from negotiating has required commercial, financial and legal creativity. with two counterparties rather than one. In late January, Talcott Resolution also announced a $25 billion reinsurance transaction with Principal Financial Group. Under the terms of the transaction an offshore 2022 Insurance Year in Review 3 M&A in the Insurance Industry
I. U.S. Life and Annuity affiliate of Talcott agreed to reinsure approximately $16 assets across private credit, real estate and asset-based billion of retail fixed annuities and $9 billion of secondary finance markets, with the total quantum of assets managed guarantee universal life insurance from Principal. Principal by Blackstone expected to grow to up to $60 billion over continues to service and administer the reinsured blocks. the next six years. The release also states that Blackstone Further, an affiliate of Principal Life was appointed as and Resolution plan to raise $3 billion of new equity investment manager for a limited portion of the transferred capital, including a $500 million strategic investment from assets. Principal announced that it would use the capital Blackstone. created by the sale primarily for share repurchases. Although strictly speaking Prudential Financial’s In an active year for Talcott, in October 2022 the insurer transaction with Fortitude Re is not a 2022 deal since it also announced a reinsurance transaction with a subsidiary was announced in September 2021, given its size and the of Guardian Life Insurance Company of America. Pursuant fact that it closed in April 2022 the authors of this review to the transaction, Guardian, one of the largest U.S. mutual have determined to stretch the criteria for inclusion. Under life insurers, ceded a $7.4 billion variable annuity portfolio the terms of the deal Fortitude Re acquired Prudential to Talcott. Equitable’s reinsurance of a legacy block of VA Annuities Life Assurance Corporation. Included in the sale business to Venerable in 2021 demonstrated the viability of is approximately $31 billion of in-force variable annuity structuring sales of VA blocks which satisfy the pricing and account values primarily consisting of non-New York risk management objectives of the ceding company. Since variable annuities with guaranteed living benefits that were then, in addition to the Guardian transaction, Manulife in a issued prior to 2011. Prudential will continue to service and 2021 deal and Equitable in a 2022 deal with KKR affiliate administer the block. Unlike the Equitable, Guardian and Global Atlantic as counterparty have also ceded significant Manulife deals referred to above, which were structured blocks of VA business. as reinsurance transactions, the Prudential deal involved the sale of a legal entity, albeit one without meaningful The Equitable deal with Global Atlantic was announced assets and liabilities other than those related to its variable in August 2022. Under the deal, U.S. affiliates of Global annuities. Atlantic reinsured on a quota share basis approximately $10 billion in general account and separate account As this report goes to press, American Equity Life has drawn value. Equitable retains servicing and administration of the attention of an insurer controlled by an investment the policies. In its press release announcing the Equitable group that is well-known for its PE investments and activist transaction, Global Atlantic noted that the Equitable deal tactics. This insurer proposed a business combination with was its second block reinsurance transaction in 2022, AEL, which was publicly rebuffed. Further developments, having reinsured a $4 billion block of annuities in March. if any, have not been publicly reported. More generally, we note that the insurance industry periodically draws In one of the more novel transactions of 2022, in October the attention of activists, although the number of publicly Blackstone and Resolution Life announced a strategic disclosed instances of significant activist involvement is partnership with respect to closed block transactions, relatively limited compared with other industries. This may including reinsurance in the life and annuity sector globally. be explained by the heavily regulated nature of the industry, In the transaction, Resolution Life will become Blackstone’s technical issues resulting from differing interpretations partner for new closed book acquisition transactions. under the holding company acts of the various states A majority of Resolution Life’s existing equity holders which can complicate activist tactics, possible rating are expected to roll over their investments into the new agency implications and the sheer complexity of insurance structure. According to the press release announcing the companies – particularly life insurance companies – which transaction, Blackstone will be Resolution Life’s investment require substantial investment in developing specialized manager for certain key areas, including directly originated expertise to comprehend. The authors believe that the 2022 Insurance Year in Review 4 M&A in the Insurance Industry
I. U.S. Life and Annuity marginal effort of an activist campaign involving an insurer and the price paid for the block. To the extent capital is exceeds that of a less complex business, which may itself involved, some reinsurers have made the point that there is be a deterrent. However, with the growing interest of a cost and it is up to the ceding company to strike the right sophisticated private equity groups in the industry, we may balance between risk mitigation and price. see greater activist activity in future years. We also observe that the allocation of regulatory approval Before moving on to our next topic, we would like to risk continues to be a heavily negotiated contract provision. conclude this discussion with some observations regarding Regardless of how this risk is allocated, we believe that both block reinsurance transactions. First, to state the obvious, parties to the transaction are unlikely to want to announce a sales of blocks of business which are structured as deal with respect to which there is not high conviction that reinsurance are oftentimes more complex and difficult to it will be approved. While not all states will engage with document than the sale of a legal entity. The complexity parties in a substantive manner prior to a deal being signed, among other things is a consequence of the continuing we have noted recently a greater willingness on the part counterparty exposure of the ceding company to the of certain regulators to provide guidance prior to signing. reinsurer. Collateral structures (trusts, funds withheld, Where this is the case, we believe that, especially in cases modified coinsurance) can go a long way to protect where the deal is sizable or the proposed transaction cedents, but must be thoughtfully structured to achieve structure may involve a novel structure or terms, the best results. As a result, deals structured as reinsurance parties should strongly consider availing themselves are typically heavily engineered, and the negotiation of of the opportunity to engage with their regulators pre- terms and conditions can be more protracted and difficult signing. Such engagement will often help facilitate the than a legal entity deal. As many of our readers know, it negotiation of the regulatory closing condition and related is sometimes the case that sales of legal entities involve regulatory approvals efforts standard. These provisions will carve-out transactions pursuant to which policies which continue to be critical in both legal entity sales and in block are outside the transaction perimeter need to be ceded by transactions where a regulatory approval is required. In the target company to an affiliate of the seller or conversely, 2023, they may become even more hotly contested given policies which were written on the paper of an affiliate the increased regulatory attention to private equity-owned that are within the transaction perimeter and need to be insurers, as discussed below. ceded to the target. Depending on the amount of business being moved in or out of the target company, these kinds Finally, we note that the type of collateral mechanism – of carve-out transactions can be as difficult to execute as even in deals where credit for reinsurance is based on pure block reinsurance transactions. the accredited, licensed or reciprocal (RJR) status of the reinsurer – can affect the counterparty credit risk capital We further observe that notwithstanding the number charge. Accordingly, actuarial and statutory accounting of deals that have been completed over recent years staff of ceding companies considering block sales structured and the fact that there are a limited number of actuarial, as reinsurance should take into account any incremental financial and legal advisers who handle most of the more capital charge when evaluating a buy-side proposal. significant transactions, terms and conditions do not reflect the same degree of standardization as in legal entity sales. The customization is oftentimes a consequence of the risk tolerance of the ceding company. Leaving aside debates about what constitutes overcollateralization (and whether regulators will agree with the parties’ views on the topic), there is a clear relationship between the amount of collateralization, how collateral mechanisms are structured 2022 Insurance Year in Review 5 M&A in the Insurance Industry
II. U.S. Property and Casualty; Brokers and Agents formed to take advantage of market opportunities has been impacted by alternative accordion capital vehicles such as II. U.S. PROPERTY AND CASUALTY; sidecars, as well as (until recently) relatively soft market BROKERS AND AGENTS conditions. A. Overview To the latter point, we note that certain P&C segments have experienced substantially hardening market conditions Large M&A transactions involving U.S. or Bermuda property in 2022. As market conditions harden and become more and casualty companies were rare in 2022. The only profitable, it is more difficult to make the case for a sale transaction announced involving consideration in excess of unless the sale price reflects those conditions. Also, organic $1 billion was Berkshire’s merger with Alleghany, which we growth is an attractive alternative to business combination discuss further below. Given the varied segments of the activity during a hardening market. Conversely, in a soft property and casualty industry, each of which has unique market the benefits of scale, synergies and diversification attributes and sensitivities, making general statements make M&A activity more attractive. We further note that regarding the drivers of M&A activity is not without risk. with the increase in interest rates insurers’ book yields have However, even at the risk of being second-guessed, we will increased, further adding to their profitability. go out on a limb and provide our perspective on the relative absence of large-scale deal activity in 2022. Our final observation is that while large U.S. P&C insurer/ reinsurer transactions were rare in 2022, there was First, as we noted in the cover letter to this Year in Review, significant activity involving legacy books and run-off the macroeconomic environment in 2022 was extremely business, as well as brokers and MGAs, which we discuss difficult. The war in Ukraine and its geopolitical and below. Finally, M&A in the United Kingdom and Europe is economic fallout, and the effects of anti-inflation measures addressed in a later section of this report. in the United States and other countries, have all made deal- making on a large scale challenging, to say the least. Also, B. Noteworthy P&C Carrier Deal the effects of claims cost inflation, particularly in personal lines, made it harder to earn a profit today and to predict On October 19, 2022, Berkshire Hathaway completed its what the future will look like tomorrow. Uncertainty like acquisition of Alleghany Corporation, in a public merger this adversely affects the risk appetite of potential buyers transaction worth $11.6 billion. As our readers know, and is not conducive to deal-making. Further, these recent Alleghany is a conglomerate whose property and casualty conditions are coupled with declines in excess capital and subsidiaries include Transatlantic Holdings, Inc., a leading liquidity in recent years given pressure on investment global reinsurer; RSUI Group, Inc., which underwrites portfolios in the low interest rate environment, weak wholesale specialty insurance coverages; and CapSpecialty, underwriting results and top line growth. Finally, there is Inc., an underwriter of specialty casualty and surety the perennial concern about taking over another company’s insurance coverages. The deal was originally announced on back book, which affects M&A relating to P&C insurers. March 21, 2022. The acquisition is one of the five largest in Berkshire’s history. Further, over the last several years the number of potential P&C targets has shrunk as consolidation has occurred This deal had several features which are quite unusual in within the P&C industry. This is particularly the case in public company M&A transactions, and perhaps reflect Mr. Bermuda, where consolidation has had a substantial impact Buffett’s oftentimes unique approach to transactions. First, over the past ten years. It also applies in regards to U.S. Mr. Buffett made his highest and best offer at his initial domestic targets. In addition, as we have discussed in our meeting with Mr. Brandon, and refused to increase it. He prior year-end reports, the number of new companies being insisted, as well, that any banker fees paid by Alleghany be 2022 Insurance Year in Review 6 M&A in the Insurance Industry
II. U.S. Property and Casualty; Brokers and Agents deducted from the price. Further, Alleghany received the enhanced importance of collateral mechanics in run-off benefit of both a go-shop period and a subsequent no-shop reinsurance transactions remains to be seen. period in which it could entertain unsolicited proposals, and moreover the deal provided that Alleghany could accept In 2022, we saw a number of robust auction processes any deal its board deemed a superior proposal made during for mid- and large-sized blocks of legacy business. We either period, without the payment of any break-up fee. believe this reflects greater industry acceptance of run-off Post-signing, more than 30 potential buyers were contacted divestment as a strategy, as well as increased focus from by Alleghany’s financial advisor, but the company received brokers, investment banks and intermediaries. Outside of no alternative proposals. the insurance market, large U.S. industrials, both public and private, continue to divest companies with long- C. Legacy P&C and Run-off tail asbestos (and sometime environmental) liabilities while retaining their operating assets. Run-off insurance As rates harden, property/casualty carriers are experiencing carriers and a number of private equity-backed non- more pressure to optimize their capital bases and rates of insurer acquirers are prepared to acquire these long-term return. As a result, selling legacy blocks of run-off business liabilities – when the target is appropriately funded with to reduce capital charges, and to allow carriers to focus investment assets to pay future claims – and to generate more of their resources on writing new business (especially float investment income in the meantime. These types of in a hardening market), has become more attractive as part transactions continue to require rigorous bankruptcy law of an overall capital management strategy. In addition, analysis, as sellers strive to reach legal finality for these several new entrants to the run-off market have emerged long-tail liabilities. in the last few years, and the number of run-off and legacy specialist firms backed by private equity have increased as D. Deals Involving Brokers, Agents and Other well. The private equity participants in the run-off market Intermediaries have brought heightened attention to investment returns and alternative investments. The year 2022 saw the continuation of significant consolidation among U.S. insurance intermediaries. While many of these In the United States at least, where a definitive Part VII-style deals are quite small in dollar terms, several buyers made legal transfer of liabilities still remains relatively elusive multiple deals as part of continuing roll-up strategies, with in market terms, this has meant increased negotiation the majority backed by private equity. According to data from around the collateral posted, as well as new and unique OPTIS Partners, private equity-backed/hybrid acquirers were collateral mechanisms. Legislative changes in Oklahoma responsible for 78% of all announced transactions in the first and a handful of other states relating to insurance business three quarters of 2022 by deal volume, with Acrisure leading all transfers and to corporate divisions have not yet resulted in a sea change in how run-off transactions are structured. buyers with eighty transactions during such period. The reinsurance broking sector has been through a significant Enhanced asset strategies, as well as U.S. retrospective accounting rules, have increased the use of funds withheld period of dislocation in recent years, following Marsh and multiple layers of collateral within run-off transactions. McLennan’s acquisition of JLT (resulting in the biggest three Where reinsurance trusts are used, we have seen more reinsurance brokers holding materially in excess of an 80% sophisticated collateral mechanisms to permit greater share of the brokered market). This market was shaken up diversity in alternative investments. Whether the continued again in June 2022, when Howden agreed to acquire TigerRisk use and development of Part VII-like legislation, as well (then the fourth-largest reinsurance broker) for $1.6 billion. as the possibility of corporate divisions, will change the Howden has made no secret of its intention to use the deal as a springboard to challenge the “big three” brokers and signaled 2022 Insurance Year in Review 7 M&A in the Insurance Industry
II. U.S. Property and Casualty; Brokers and Agents its willingness to continue pursuing “mega-deals” in the sector Transverse Insurance Group, a fronting carrier platform. The as it seeks to do that. deal (which closed on January 3, 2023 right before our go- to-press deadline), marked the first notable acquisition in the Program managers (often colloquially referred to as MGAs) P&C fronting sector since Markel’s acquisition of State National remained attractive targets in 2022, sought by private equity for $919 million in July 2017. That deal’s eye-catching price firms, wholesalers, insurers and reinsurers, given the typical fueled a surge in start-up activity in the fronting sector, with ability of such companies to demonstrate a high level of Transverse being one of the two dozen or so new entrants in the annual revenue retention, consistent growth and margins and space (almost all of which have been private equity-backed) low set-up costs. In fact, the year’s biggest intermediary deal that followed in the wake of the State National acquisition. was White Mountains’ agreement to sell NSM Insurance The Transverse deal allows Mitsui Sumitomo optionality to Group to investment funds affiliated with Carlyle. NSM is a simply take fronting fees on U.S. program business, retain leading administrator of specialty insurance program business, a material amount of the risk on its balance sheet, or even including for classic automobiles among many other lines. The provide strategic financial investment in certain select partners transaction valued NSM at $1.775 billion. White Mountains as an added incentive to place business with Transverse rather purchased its interest in NSM in 2018 (in a deal that valued than one of its competitors. The deal is also expected to lead NSM at $388 million), and supported NSM in making six to an upgrade of Transverse’s A.M. Best financial strength acquisitions since that time. NSM has undergone several rating to A+, which would be a further benefit in the fronting changes of ownership in the last decade, from a private equity carrier market. It remains to be seen whether the substantial sponsor, to AIG, back to a private equity sponsor, to White hardening of certain key segments of the P&C reinsurance Mountains, and now back to a new private equity-sponsored market has a knock-on effect on program managers/MGAs vehicle. (and by extension fronting carriers), as such businesses work While insurers look at program managers/MGAs (including to obtain the reinsurance capacity to support their aggressive many insurtechs) as means to access new markets and growth targets. develop new products quickly and with minimal commitment Given the hardening reinsurance market and general market (in terms of time and resources), program managers have been conditions, including the effect of higher interest rates on the historically able to attract high valuation multiples based on appetite of private equity players, it seems likely that the velocity their ability to market industry talent, underwriting processes, of deals involving brokers, agents and other intermediaries will technology and a consistent and renewing revenue stream slow and EBITDA multiples will finally plateau or even begin to (retained policy expirations/renewals) free of material financial decrease in 2023. risk, which is borne by carriers and/or reinsurers (depending on the model of the program manager in question). Notable transactions in this sector in 2022 also included Aquiline’s majority investment in Distinguished Programs, one of the largest independent program managers in the United States. With the growth of program manager/MGA structures, an increasing number of P&C “fronting” carrier platforms have been established which serve as “connectors” in the insurance- risk-to-reinsurance-capital value chain. In August 2022, Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Co. announced its acquisition of 2022 Insurance Year in Review 8 M&A in the Insurance Industry
III. U.S. - Sidecars In M&A Deals and Other Transactions As block reinsurance transaction sizes continue to increase in terms of the magnitude of ceded reserves, reinsurers that III. U.S. – SIDECARS IN M&A DEALS establish these vehicles may have a competitive advantage AND OTHER TRANSACTIONS over those that do not. For this reason, we expect more life insurers and reinsurers active in the life and annuity M&A market will form sidecars. From a ceding company’s We note that a number of the more active private equity- perspective, the use of sidecars is likely a favorable sponsored life reinsurers, including Apollo/Athene (with development to the extent that it results in better pricing its ACRA vehicle) and Global Atlantic (Ivy Re), have in and smoother transaction execution, while maintaining recent years established co-investment sidecar vehicles acceptable counterparty risk. to facilitate large block acquisitions as well as pension risk transfer and other trades. In addition, in 2022 MassMutual, As these life sidecars continue to proliferate, we see their Centerbridge and Brown Brothers Harriman launched effects on a broadening suite of products, impacting not just Martello Re, a Bermuda-based sidecar with reported M&A and flow life and annuity business, but also pension initial equity of approximately $1.65 billion, which provides risk transfer, funding agreements and other spread-based MassMutual and its subsidiaries with reinsurance capacity products. Sidecars, and their secondary transactional on its current product offerings. These so-called “sidecar” impacts, reflect the changes to the industry being brought vehicles borrow extensively from the ILS structures that by private equity firms’ continued prioritization of the have been used for years to provide accordion capital to insurance industry as part of their long-term strategy. P&C reinsurers, primarily with respect to catastrophe Outside of the life insurance industry, sidecars remain risks. The benefit to investors is that they can leverage important to the property reinsurance and retrocession the expertise of the reinsurer by co-investing through the markets, particularly in an increasingly hard property sidecar. The reinsurer benefits principally by having on- reinsurance market. We have also seen the casualty side demand retrocessional capacity as well as the opportunity of the P&C industry adopting longer tail sidecars, including to earn fee income. for diversified whole-account casualty business (RenRe’s Given the long-term duration of these liabilities, and the recent Fontana Re transaction), the run-off industry diversity and complexity of the products and transactions (R&Q’s Gibson Re) and, with the recent closing of Ferian Re these sidecars support, these sidecar investments are (by insurtech Coalition), in the cyber line of business. P&C increasingly complex and sophisticated. Moreover, the producers, MGAs and program administrators have also importance of asset returns and float to the strategy of rapidly adopted the use of sidecars, captives and alternative these vehicles, as well as the fees charged by private equity risk transfer. Often linked with complex fronting insurance and traditional asset managers, requires asset management arrangements, we have seen increased disaggregation of expertise as well as enhanced corporate governance in the value chain and heightened specialization as between contrast to traditional sidecars in the property and casualty producers, licensed carriers, and the capital that supports industry. In addition, the long-term duration of life and the casualty industry. annuity business (in contrast to many P&C structures) requires unique approaches to provide capital markets investors a clear path to liquidity prior to the expiration of the underlying liabilities. 2022 Insurance Year in Review 9 M&A in the Insurance Industry
IV. U.S. Insurtech profitability, rather than prioritizing growth and brand marketing; IV. U.S. INSURTECH a number of venture capital investors and reinsurers are reeling from investing heavily in insurtechs that While there have been isolated examples of notable U.S. overpromised and under-delivered and are now more insurtech transactions in 2022, based on data collated by discerning in their vetting process. Notably, some of the FT Partners, CB Insights and Coverager, most M&A activity highest-profile insurtechs ceded reinsurers material losses in the U.S. insurtech sector in the past year has involved for multiple years, until forced to apply more rigorous struggling insurtech entities taking exits at low valuations, underwriting standards in 2022, which has led to increased typically after capital fundraising failed to materialize. scrutiny of insurtechs as a whole by certain reinsurers; On its face, this marks a remarkable shift in fortunes for insurtechs and investors’ transactional and deal activity the hard reinsurance market has caused reinsurers to re- in late 2020 through 2021, which saw enthusiasm in the examine the best places to allocate their capital, which in sector leading to near exponential growth in fundraising turn has led, in certain notable examples, to a move away volumes. However, beneath the gloomy statistics, those from reinsuring insurtech carrier and program manager insurtechs that have appropriately tailored their operations business or, at least, a reduction in reinsurance assumed; to take advantage of change in the insurance market cycle and have been able to raise impressive funding amounts on insurtech entities are heavily concentrated in the property reasonable terms and remain attractive acquisition targets. and casualty space, with a number of the largest insurtechs being focused on the homeowners and personal auto A. A Tide Going Out space. Those sectors have been particularly susceptible Some key market context: to economic inflation and social inflation and thus have been faced with some of the hardest parts of the current after a record-breaking 2021, the U.S. IPO market took a reinsurance market. sharp turn in the opposite direction in 2022. Throughout 2022, U.S. IPO activity was affected by increased market Those insurtechs whose funding cycles are (or were) volatility and other unfavorable market conditions, with such that they did not have sufficient time to undertake private insurtech investors concerned by the dismal the necessary realignment or otherwise ride out these performance of the big name insurtechs listed in late 2020 headwinds have been faced with “down rounds” of funding and 2021. For example, at the time of writing, the shares or a collapsed funding round altogether, leading to hasty of Root, Hippo and Lemonade are down 99%, 96% and and distressed exits through M&A transactions simply in 81% respectively since their listing. While there are global order to “keep the lights on” and stave off bankruptcy. and market-wide reasons for the decrease in IPO activity, Distressed insurtech M&A transactions are characterized the failures of the public insurtechs, which were almost all by difficult deal dynamics and require a careful and sensitive direct mass-market model businesses, were attributable approach to negotiating definitive documents. Most to a consistent factor: the market’s perception that they notably, typical insurtech equity waterfall arrangements were overvalued given their relatively weak underwriting and venture debt financing arrangements are premised performance and high cost base. This has led to a significant on beneficial exit terms and high valuations – in line with reorientation of valuation methodologies for private past high-value funding rounds – and it is likely that a insurtechs, with funders of similar insurtech businesses distressed M&A exit will leave many “out of the money” now primarily focused on quality of underwriting and or facing substantial “haircuts” on sums owed. Among 2022 Insurance Year in Review 10 M&A in the Insurance Industry
IV. U.S. Insurtech other things, a buyer of such a target will need to price into B. Collecting Shells any acquisition (a) the cost of retaining key management and employees who may well be disheartened by their One sign that new insurtech players are still entering the employee stock plans potentially proving to be worthless; market is the high demand for the acquisition of dormant and (b) the litigation and other risks associated with the insurance companies as “clean shells” – being the principal relevant insurtech board (or equivalent) selling the entity way for insurtech buyers to bring new products to market or at a low valuation. In this respect, a buyer would ideally be enter new jurisdictions and for fronting carriers to expand looking to obtain the consent of all sellers rather than rely their offerings to insurtechs. By having its own carrier, an on drag rights, even if such rights are superficially robust in insurtech can capture more revenue and control the entire the applicable organizational documents. underwriting process. Clean shells now typically sell for total consideration that includes statutory surplus at closing Given the headwinds described above, we would expect plus an agreed-upon amount for each of the target’s active there to be some insurtech M&A transactions in 2023 with licenses. In today’s market, sellers are now routinely able values in excess of $200 million, involving some of those to attract valuations of $150,000 to $200,000 per license insurtechs that were previously “unicorns,” i.e., start-ups held. with post-money valuations in excess of $1 billion based on their last funding rounds These targets will likely be Examples of U.S. insurtechs or others acquiring shells in 2022 companies that were once eyeing splashy public listings include: (i) the acquisition by Coalition, the cybersecurity but are now mulling mergers with other insurtechs or other insurtech, of Digital Affect Insurance Company from exits to avoid “down rounds” or otherwise running out of Munich Re Digital Partners US; and (ii) the acquisition by funding runway. The majority of such insurtech businesses ManyPets, the pet insurance insurtech, of Digital Edge have shed between 10% and 25% of their workforce over Insurance Company, also from Munich Re Digital Partners 2022 as they look to reduce their “burn rate” as the chance US. In addition, in January 2022, Tesla Insurance purchased of a big-ticket IPO exit disappears in the rearview mirror. It Balboa Insurance Co. from Bank of America Corp. and is also possible that certain of the publicly listed insurtechs has since been using that carrier as an underwriter of its become acquisition targets themselves, in the same innovative connected car personal auto product. way that Metromile, a personal auto insurtech (which went public via a special purpose acquisition company in C. Looking Forward February of 2021, with a valuation of over $1 billion) was acquired by Lemonade for approximately $145 million in Despite the high-profile market pricing correction for the Lemonade stock in July 2022. At the time the deal was big-name insurtechs from the dizzying funding rounds of announced, in November 2021, the all-Lemonade stock deal 2020 and 2021, there is no denying the impact that insurtech consideration was valued in excess of $500 million but the innovation has had on the insurance market in the last five subsequent collapse in the value of Lemonade stock meant years. Insurance is now often found, priced, underwritten that Metromile shareholders ended up receiving $145 and handled in an entirely digital way and carriers have million worth of Lemonade shares for a business with over come to recognize that embracing innovation leads to $155 million in cash, over $110 million in premiums, and an growth, improved loss ratios and decreased expense ratios. insurance carrier licensed in 49 states (albeit Metromile’s Some of the most notable insurtech M&A transactions in cash on hand had fallen by almost $100 million between 2022 have paired targets focused on data, analytics and sign and close, demonstrating the profitability issues with systems with buyers seeking an insurance technology the business). edge. For example, in January 2022, American Financial Group announced the acquisition of Verikai, Inc., a machine learning and artificial intelligence company that utilizes 2022 Insurance Year in Review 11 M&A in the Insurance Industry
IV. U.S. Insurtech a predictive risk tool for assessing insurance risk, for approximately $120 million. We would expect that trend to continue as insurance carriers, intermediaries, and other insurance industry participants continue to recognize the need for digitization, modernization, development of new channels, cost reduction, and new business development. Looking further ahead: an impressive list of insurtech companies raised large equity funding rounds in the latter part of 2020 as investors (including a large number of strategic insurance companies) waded back into the insurtech investment waters. It remains the case that insurers and other market participants will be on the lookout for ways to collect more and better data, to analyze and apply that data effectively and to access new distribution and marketing avenues. These are all things that the best insurtechs do well, and as these companies grow and improve they become ever more attractive acquisition targets. 2022 Insurance Year in Review 12 M&A in the Insurance Industry
V. U.S. M&A-Related Insurance Regulatory Developments company acquisition (“Form A”) transactions involving private equity buyers. The NAIC is developing an V. U.S. M&A-RELATED INSURANCE electronic Form A database to streamline Form A filings, REGULATORY DEVELOPMENTS and, as a practical matter, we are already seeing much greater coordination among states in reviewing private equity Form A transactions. The NAIC recently asked M&A-related insurance regulatory developments in 2022 regulators to share their “best practices” for such review, were keenly focused on matters related to private equity and we expect that regulators with more experience ownership of insurers and related affiliated transactions. In reviewing Form A filings for private equity ownership (e.g., recent months, at the request of the industry, the National Iowa, New York) will develop and share their practices Association of Insurance Commissioners (“NAIC”) has also with regulators not as familiar. focused on current statutory accounting guidance requiring the nonadmittance of negative interest maintenance Regulators are focusing on indicia of control outside of reserve in a rising interest rate environment. Investments the 10% of voting securities presumption of control. of insurers – including with respect to the terms of These factors include economic ownership, shareholder investment management agreements (“IMAs”), disclosure rights, board representation, loan arrangements and requirements, investments in complex structured other contractual arrangements such as IMAs. The securities, and what investments should constitute bonds NAIC’s Group Solvency Issues (E) Working Group plans – have remained a continued focus at the NAIC. The NAIC to brainstorm how to train regulators and share best also continued in 2022 to evaluate the development of practices in this area, with a goal of reaching consensus guardrails for insurance company division and insurance around when “control” of an insurer may be found aside business transfer transactions. from the bright line of 10% ownership of voting securities. The NAIC is likely taking its lead from the New York State A. NAIC Considerations Related to Private Equity Department of Financial Services, which in April 2022 Ownership of Insurers issued a Circular Letter to New York-domiciled insurers cautioning that a determination of “control” (and resulting In August 2022, the NAIC adopted a document outlining requirement to obtain pre-acquisition approval) depends 13 “Regulatory Considerations Applicable (But Not on “all the facts and circumstances,” and the presumption Exclusive) to Private Equity (PE) Owned Insurers” (the of control at 10% or more of an insurer’s voting securities “Considerations”), and a work plan to address each, on does not “create a safe harbor for acquisitions below the which we reported here. The NAIC’s Macroprudential 10% threshold.” (E) Working Group coordinates the NAIC’s workstreams related to the Considerations, which generally pertain to IMAs in the context of private equity ownership of state insurance regulators’ ability to effectively monitor the insurers continue as a focus for regulators. The NAIC’s solvency of insurers and assess risks faced by the insurers’ Risk-Focused Surveillance (E) Working Group expects to holding company systems under private equity ownership. share proposed revisions to the NAIC’s Financial Analysis Key areas of focus in 2022 related to the Considerations Handbook and Financial Condition Examiners Handbook involved the following areas: regarding affiliated service agreements in early 2023, and we expect that areas of focus may include fees, Regulators want to understand the potential risks posed to termination provisions, indemnification and the extent insurance holding companies by private equity ownership to which an investment manager controls an insurer’s and have highlighted as part of the NAIC’s work this year investment decisions. the need for enhanced training and increased uniformity for state insurance regulators reviewing insurance 2022 Insurance Year in Review 13 M&A in the Insurance Industry
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