Local Labour Market Plan Update 2020-2021 - RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE - Workforce ...

 
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Local Labour Market Plan Update 2020-2021 - RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE - Workforce ...
WE MAKE T
                    HERE
                       GRAND ERI
                                   E

  Local Labour Market Plan Update 2020-2021
RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE
Local Labour Market Plan Update 2020-2021 - RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE - Workforce ...
OUR VISION

A skilled, resilient workforce contributing to
dynamic communities and their economies

                   This project is funded in part by the Government of Canada and the Government of Ontario.
               The views expressed in this document do not necessarily reflect those of the Government of Ontario.
      The material in this report has been prepared by WPBGE and is drawn from a variety of sources considered to be reliable.
                We make no representations or warranty, expressed or implied, as to its accuracy or completeness.
                          In providing this material, WPBGE does not assume any responsibility or liability.

                     Prepared by: Danette Dalton, Executive Director, Workforce Planning Board of Grand Erie;
                         Wynona Mendes, Labour Market Analyst, Workforce Planning Board of Grand Erie;
                                   Bob Seguin, Advisor, Workforce Planning Board of Grand Erie;
                                 Mark Skeffington, Editor, Workforce Planning Board of Grand Erie.

                                      Graphic Design: Cath Strung, Strung Design House Inc.
                                    Translation: Lisette Martineau, Translations Paris Traductions
                   Cover photograph: Courtesy Haldimand County; Page 4 photograph courtesy Norfolk County
Local Labour Market Plan Update 2020-2021 - RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE - Workforce ...
CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 4                            EMPLOYMENT SERVICES .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 38
 Introduction and Methodology .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 6                    Grand Erie .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .38
                                                                                                                   TRANSPORTATION  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .39
The Grand Erie Labour Force                                                                                          Grand Erie .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .39
Year in Review 2020-2021  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 8
                                                                                                                   MIGRATION  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .41
ABOUT THE LABOUR FORCE  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 8                                      Migration Patterns .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .41
 Population  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 8
                                                                                                                   HOUSING  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .42
EMPLOYMENT  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 9              Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .42
 Grand Erie Labour force characteristics .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 9                        Western Ontario Wardens Caucus (WOWC) .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 43
 Demographic Trends: Gender .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 10                     A Place to Grow  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 43
 Demographic Trends: Age .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 11                  Brantford-Brant Mayors’ Housing Partnerships Task Force . . . . . 44
GRAND ERIE COVID-19 RECOVERY .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 12
 Scenario Planning (OLMP) .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 12                Workforce Planning Board of Grand Erie
 WPBGE Worker Impact Survey Results  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .14                           Project Review 2020-2021  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 45
HEALTH AND WELLNESS  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .16                                   Marketing and Communications  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 45
 Grand Erie COVID-19 Case Profiles .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .16                        Skilled Trade Awareness  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .46
 Made in Grand Erie Wellness .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .17                     Workforce Transportation  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 46
                                                                                                                       Skills2Advance: Manufacturing and Warehousing .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 47
GRAND ERIE RECOVERY TASK FORCE PRIORITIES .  . 18
 Business Supports Working Group .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .18                      Workforce Planning Board of Grand Erie
 Economic Development Working Group  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .19                              Action Plan 2021-2022  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 48
 Skills Development Working Group .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .19
 Education Working Group  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 20                WORKFORCE SUPPORT .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 49
                                                                                                                    Work/Life Balance in Grand Erie .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .49
EDUCATION, SKILLS & TRAINING  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 21
 Educational Attainment by Gender  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .21                       WORKFORCE SKILLS .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .49
 Skills Composition of Grand Erie’s Workforce  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 21                             Grand Erie Workforce Succession Strategy .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .49
 Training in Grand Erie .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .23          WORKFORCE RESOURCES  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .50
INDUSTRY  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 24      Grand Erie Workforce Hub .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 50
  General Industry Trends in Brantford CMA .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .24                           WPBGE LOCAL LABOUR MARKET PLAN  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .50
  Top Sectors in Grand Erie by Employment .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 24                            Employment Planning Advisory Committee .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .50
  Top Sectors in Grand Erie by Business Count .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .25                            Partnership Project Review .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .50
  Spotlight on Manufacturing in Grand Erie  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .27
  Spotlight on Healthcare & Social Assistance in Grand Erie .  .  .  .  .  .28                                     Appendices  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 51
  Spotlight on Wholesale & Retail Trade in Grand Erie  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .29                                 APPENDIX A  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .51
  Spotlight on Construction in Grand Erie .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .30                       Employment Planning Advisory Committee .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .51
  Spotlight on Educational Services in Grand Erie .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .31
  Spotlight on Accommodation & Food Services Grand Erie .  .  .  .  .  .32                                         APPENDIX B  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .52
  Spotlight on Agriculture in Grand Erie  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 33                      Grand Erie COVID-19 Recovery Task Force Members .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 52
OCCUPATIONS  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .35               APPENDIX C  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .53
 2020 Employment by Occupations in Brantford CMA .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .35                                        Grand Erie Recovery Task Force Priorities  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 53
 Trends in Key Occupations  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .35               APPENDIX D  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .58
 Top Occupational Groups in Growth .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .36                        Grand Erie Area Schools and Continuing Education .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .58
 Top Occupational Groups in Decline .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .36
 Top Occupations in Demand  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .37
 5-Year Income Trends .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .37
 Income by Gender .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .37

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                                                                                                                                                       2020-2021 LOCAL LABOUR MARKET PLAN UPDATE
Local Labour Market Plan Update 2020-2021 - RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE - Workforce ...
E XECUTIVE SUMM ARY
    Wow, 2020 was quite a year! It’s been a year of great          Six Nations of the Grand River and Mississaugas of the Credit
    challenge for all of us. And for some, it has been             First Nation communities have a unique relationship with
    a time of reprieve and rest                                    the land, its resources and the workforce, which continues to
    as the world around us slowed                                  shape the history and economy of the area today. The WPBGE
    down. No matter how it has                                     recognizes the unique role that Indigenous peoples have had
    affected you, we all find                                      and will continue to have in the growth and development of
    ourselves recalibrating.                                       the Grand Erie area.

    The Workforce Planning                                         From across our great nation from Signal Hill, to Ellesmere
    Board of Grand Erie (WPBGE)                                    Island to Victoria Island, and right across the globe, the
    Board of Directors and Staff                                   pandemic that began in 2020 brought new rituals to all of us.
    are proud to serve the communities of Six Nations of the       From how we run our businesses, and households and conduct
    Grand River, Mississaugas of the Credit First Nation, Brant,   our classrooms, and everything in between we all continue
    Haldimand and Norfolk counties and the City of Brantford, in   to adapt. However you view or perceive the pandemic, there
    the Province of Ontario, Canada.                               has been a huge impact on people’s lives, livelihood, work and
                                                                   job market. We have lost loved ones, we have lost jobs and
                                                                   businesses. We have lost a life we once knew.

                                                                   Through all of this we have shared the experience…no one
                                                                   is immune. We have shared the same news feeds and have
                                                                   relied more than ever on that “little” invention by Alexander
                                                                   Graham Bell.

         WE MAKE T
         HERE    GRAND ERI
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RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE
Local Labour Market Plan Update 2020-2021 - RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE - Workforce ...
Even with advanced technology and telephones, the                 As a result of the pandemic, businesses are reporting
pandemic has reminded us of how important the essentials          that many of the soft skills such as good communication
of life truly are, such as our loved ones, healthcare, the food   skills and digital literacy are still in-demand. As businesses
chain and employment to support ourselves and the needs           recalibrate, they are also identifying skills in-demand that
of our families.                                                  have increased significantly to adapt to the future of work.
                                                                  Some of these skills are: adaptability/flexibility; resilience;
Public health data indicates that COVID-19 cases within
                                                                  teamwork/interpersonal skills; and customer relations.
the Grand Erie area in 2020 were not as widespread as in
                                                                  Parents, workforce, educators and trainers, must continue
surrounding regions such as Hamilton, Waterloo Region
                                                                  to work together holistically to pass on the skills and
and Guelph. Case counts, however, have been on the rise,
                                                                  knowledge that is required to keep the foundation of our
in long term care homes, hospitals and schools. Our local
                                                                  communities strong and healthy.
healthcare institutions find themselves recalibrating every
minute of every day as the virus changes and develops.            Thank you to our Provincial and Federal leaders for your
                                                                  tireless efforts this year, and for all the support you have
Many of the healthcare job postings in 2020 took particularly
                                                                  given us in 2020. None of this is easy.
long to fill. The healthcare system is under great pressure,
and it points to the fragility of human life and the              To all of the communities we serve, the local governments
importance that must be placed on health and well-being.          and staff, partner agencies and educational institutions that
We all have a role to play in taking a holistic approach to       keep our communities safe and operational, thank you for
health and well-being, and the value of work in healthcare        your partnership and support this year with everything we do.
cannot be understated.
                                                                  To all essential workers, in all sectors we thank you for
Agriculture is one of the largest sectors in Grand Erie.          your courage and hard work! To all members of the Grand
Ontario’s Garden is a place that many Norfolk residents           Erie Workforce, thank you. Thank you for looking after the
call home. Grand Erie’s Agriculture industry is robust in         community, your families and yourself.
Brant, Haldimand and Norfolk counties. This industry was
                                                                  My hope for all of Grand Erie in 2021 is health and prosperity.
hit hard this year as much of their workforce comes from
                                                                  Take some time to discover all the amazing things we have
away each spring. With less foreign workers travelling
                                                                  and make, right here in Grand Erie. Support local.
from other countries, many Grand Erie residents rolled
up their sleeves and helped out on many local farms in            On behalf of the WPBGE Board of Directors and team of staff,
2020… experience or no, people wanted to help and learn.          take care. Look after yourselves. Look after each other. We
A crash course for some members of the workforce and              are all the future. When all else is lost, the future still remains.
farm operators, but the shining light here is that people         Tomorrow is a new day. Let’s take it one day at a time. We
responded to the call for help. And not only were new skills      have the flexibility and tenacity to bounce back from this.
developed, but a new appreciation was also formed for skills

                                                                   Danette Dalton
they may not have known or understood before. We are
surrounded by the farms that feed and fuel us every day.
Local investment in agricultural resources and technology         Danette Dalton, Executive Director
and skill development is essential to our future prosperity       519-756-1116 x227 danette@workforceplanningboard.org
and wellness.

Grand Erie has many learning and training opportunities
that are becoming more informed with local business data,
and skill development opportunities to better prepare the
workforce. More and more organizations are recalibrating                                       The #LightItBlue initiative originated in the
                                                                                               United Kingdom (early spring 2020) when over
and partnering on educational, skill development and
                                                                                               100 landmarks were lit with blue light. The blue
job creation projects. All these efforts benefit the local                                     font used throughout this document recognizes
economy and promote a greater quality of life.                                                 the “Light it Blue” campaign of 2020 and
                                                                                               beyond as a colourful thank you to frontline and
                                                                                               essential workers. Monotone photography is used
                                                                                               throughout the document in memory of 2020.
Local Labour Market Plan Update 2020-2021 - RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE - Workforce ...
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                   Background
                   The Grand Erie Local Labour Market Plan is an annual                 systematic process that involves all community stakeholders
                   document that is funded by the Province of Ontario, and              to proactively plan to avoid gaps in talent, develop training
                   the Government of Canada and provides an overview of the             programs, and align with other community priorities to ensure
                   state of the current workforce in Grand Erie and aims to plan        a synergistic approach.
                   for the future workforce. The area referred to as Grand Erie
                                                                                        Forecasting and planning for talent needs will help ensure
                   includes the communities of Six Nations of the Grand River,
                                                                                        communities and businesses can maintain future success.
                   Mississaugas of the Credit First Nation, Counties of Brant,
                                                                                        Simply reacting to events is not a recipe for success. Preparing
                   Haldimand and Norfolk and the City of Brantford. The Grand
                                                                                        for the inevitable helps mitigate negative impacts on
                   Erie Local Labour Market Plan is one of 26 Local Labour Market
                                                                                        communities, businesses, and workforce. Planning in this way
                   Plans produced annually in the Province of Ontario.
                                                                                        ultimately results in lower turnover rates, lower labour costs,
                   Workforce planning is key to community building, quality of          less need for layoffs, smoother shift schedules, and helps
                   life and economic development. Workforce data provides               to maintain workforce morale and productivity. It can help
                   Return-on-Investment (ROI) evidence for workforce and                explain why the workforce is not engaged, performing at their
                   workforce training related decisions; it also offers insight on      best and what factors are impacting productivity. All of this
                   future workforce planning. Workforce planning is not just the        leads to a better quality of life for all.
                   responsibility of any one human resource department, it is a

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          RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE
This Local Labour Market Plan will present a snapshot of       Consultations
Grand Erie’s labour market in 2020 and look ahead to 2021.     The Grand Erie Employment Planning Advisory Committee
The Grand Erie area is home to a diverse set of employers,     (EPAC) is comprised of individuals representing education,
and employees, all of whom were impacted in many ways by       community services, economic development, local
the global coronavirus pandemic. This report delves into the   government, and local businesses across the Grand Erie area.
many labour market shifts that took place leading up to, and   Collectively, these individuals work together to prioritize
during, 2020.                                                  key issues and develop solutions. In addition to the EPAC
                                                               consultations, the following working groups were established
Labour Market Statistics
                                                               to help inform workforce priorities and concerns:
A variety of recognized data sources are used to inform our
                                                                •   The Grand Erie COVID-19 Recovery Task Force Meetings
knowledge about industry trends, occupational demand,               (A sub committee of the LLMP EPAC) including two
population, migration and labour force supply conditions.           community surveys
These sources include, but are not limited to:                  •   The Grand Erie Agricultural Task Force
 •   Labour Force Survey Data                                   •   The WPBGE Marketing Strategy Project
 •   Grand Erie Jobs – Job Demand and Job Search Data           •   The Grand Erie Job Fair and Skills Exploration Event
 •   Canadian Business Counts Data                              •   The WPBGE Transportation Survey
 •   Census 2016 Data
 •   Employment Ontario Annual Data
 •   Vicinity
 •   EMSI
 •   Regional Economic Development Strategies

                                                                                                       Photo courtesy Norfolk County

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                                                                                  2020-2021 LOCAL LABOUR MARKET PLAN UPDATE
The Grand Erie Labour Force
                                                           Year in Review 2020-2021

                                                           The Year of the
                                                           Coronavirus Pandemic
    ABOUT THE L ABOUR FORCE
     P O P U L AT I O N

    Grand Erie is home to more than 270,000 residents according               Regionally, the City of Brantford and Six Nations has a
    to 2019 population estimates, with a slightly higher proportion           significantly younger population when compared to the rest
    of females (51%).                                                         of Grand Erie.

    Grand Erie’s population is aging. As of 2019, the average age             Population Changes in Grand Erie
    of Brant CD’s residents was 41, and that of Haldimand-Norfolk             According to StatCan’s population estimates1, between
    was 43.5. Across all regions, younger core-working age adults             2016-2020, the population of Grand Erie grew by
    (aged 25 to 44) make up the smallest proportion of the                    approximately 6%, or 15,000 residents.
    population, while older adults (aged 50 to 65) make up the
    largest population group.
                                                                                  300,000
                                                                                                  Brant
            0 to 4 years                                                                          Haldimand-Norfolk
            5 to 9 years
         10 to 14 years                                                           250,000
         15 to 19 years
         20 to 24 years
         25 to 29 years                                            Male           200,000
                                                                   Female
         30 to 34 years
         35 to 39 years
                                                                                  150,000
         40 to 44 years
         45 to 49 years
         50 to 54 years
                                                                                  100,000
         55 to 59 years
         60 to 64 years
         65 to 69 years                                                            50,000
         70 to 74 years
         75 to 79 years
         80 to 84 years
                                                                                                 2016            2017             2018            2019            2020
     85 years and over

                                   2,000   4,000   6,000   8,000     10,000

8
                                                                              1 Statistics Canada. Table 17-10-0139-01 Population estimates, July 1, by census division, 2016
    Source: 2016 Census Custom Tables                                           boundaries (https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1710013901)

RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE
EMPLOYMENT
 G R AND ER IE L ABOUR FORCE CHAR AC TER ISTICS

The tables below present an overview of Grand Erie’s labour market between 2016 and 2020. The last two columns provide
an indication of how our labour market has changed over the last five years, and how much of that is attributable to COVID-19
related changes in the employment landscape.

   Brantford census metropolitan area (CMA)*                                                                                 Change           Change
   		                           2016      2017                                         2018        2019       2020         since 2016        since 2019
   Persons
      Labour force participation                        74,700            76,000      74,600     82,200      79,400           + 4,700           - 2,800
      Employment                                        70,200            72,300      70,000     78,700      72,800           + 2,600           - 5,900
      Full time employment                              56,700            58,700      57,600     63,900      59,500           + 2,800           - 4,400
      Part time employment                              13,500            13,600      12,400     14,800      13,400              -100            -1,400
      Unemployment                                       4,500             3,700       4,600      3,500       6,500           + 2,000          + 3,000
      Not in labour force                               38,400            38,600      41,800     36,000      40,200           +1,800           + 4,200
   Percentage
      Unemployment rate                                      6.0               4.9       6.2         4.3        8.2           Up 2.2          Up 3.9
      Participation rate                                    66.0              66.3      64.1        69.5       66.4           Up 0.4        Down 3.1
      Employment rate                                       62.1              63.1      60.1        66.6       60.9         Down 1.2        Down 5.7
* Excludes data for Haldimand-Norfolk census area

   Norfolk CA                                                                                                                Change           Change
   		                                                     2016               2017      2018        2019       2020         since 2016        since 2019
   Persons
      Labour force participation 31,900                                   31,600      31,900     32,700      32,500            +600               -200
      Employment                 29,600                                   30,000      30,000     30,700      29,600                0            -1100
      Unemployment                2,300                                    1,500       1,900      2,000       2,900            +600              +900
      Not in labour force        20,200                                   19,900      19,600     23,600      25,200           +5,000           +1,600
   Percentage
      Unemployment rate                                      7.2               4.7       6.0         6.1        8.9           Up 1.7           Up 2.8
      Participation rate                                    61.2              61.5      61.9        58.2       56.3         Down 4.9         Down 1.9
      Employment rate                                       56.8              58.4      58.3        54.6       51.3         Down 5.5         Down 3.3
Source: Statistics Canada. Table 14-10-0391-01 Labour force characteristics, annual

In November 2019, Brantford CMA hit a record low                                               sector and among manufacturing and construction jobs.
unemployment rate of 3.1%. Within the same timeframe, the                                      Meanwhile, occupations in health and education increased
number of jobs in Norfolk CA dropped by around 700, raising                                    slightly. In June 2020, pandemic related business closures
the unemployment rate to 6% (+ 0.3% since 2018).                                               brought the unemployment rate up to 12.7% in Brantford
                                                                                               CMA and 10.2% in Norfolk CA.
During the early months of COVID-19, employment dropped
significantly across almost all sectors in Brantford CMA.                                      Businesses began to recover during the summer and fall
Between January and May 2020, almost 9,000 jobs were lost                                      of 2020, with employment almost at January 2020 levels
in the Grand Erie area, much of which were within our service                                  according to StatCan’s December LFS data. The Workforce

                                                                                                                                                            9
                                                                                                                   2020-2021 LOCAL LABOUR MARKET PLAN UPDATE
Planning Board of Grand Erie highlighted just some of the       of the pandemic in 2020 to help drive the relatively strong
   resilient businesses and their workforce in a January 2021      gains in Grand Erie employment throughout 2020. However,
   local news feature called “Workforce Heroes”. Apotex            many of these job gains were not in the same sectors or
   Pharmachem, Battlefield International, Brooks Signs,            occupations as the jobs lost. These will be examined in
   Hometown Brew and Six Nations of the Grand River                greater detail in the following sections.
   Development Corporation quickly pivoted at the beginning

    DEMOGR APHIC TRENDS: GENDER

   Males                                                           Females
   In 2019, males made up 59% of all full-time workers and 29%     More part-time work within Brantford CMA was taken up by
   of all part-time workers. While male part time work increased   females, who made up 71% of the part-time workforce and
   slightly in 2020, male full-time employment remained            41% of the full-time workforce.
   stagnant.
                                                                   This uneven distribution of work has been amplified by the
   While male employment is beginning to plateau, recent LFS       pandemic; female part-time employment grew in 2020 at a
   data indicates that male participation may be on the rise,      fairly steep rate. Meanwhile, many females in full-time work
   mirroring national trends.                                      lost their jobs.

   LFS data suggests that some male-dominated industries           Female employment has been on the increase because of
   – such as manufacturing, construction and transportation        these part-time workers, but the participation rate appears
   and warehousing – are on the decline, as a result of which      to be trending downwards, signaling that some women are
   some males – namely tradespeople – have lost work. Given        leaving the labour force because of difficulties finding suitable
   the seasonal nature of male-dominated industries like           employment or challenges balancing other responsibilities
   construction and agriculture, some males may struggle to        like childcare.
   find suitable work in the winter months of 2020-2021.
                                                                   Some female-dominated industries – such as education and
                                                                   accommodation and food services – grew in 2020, and with it, so
                                                                   has female employment. That said, much of this employment is
                                                                   within part-time work, and in lower-skilled jobs, despite the fact
                                                                   that our female workforce is more highly educated.
   Photo: Vandenberg Farms courtesy Brant County

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RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE
DEMOG R APHIC TRENDS: AG E

Youth                                                                The number of seniors employed moved in the opposite
While it is typical for unemployment among youth (aged 15            direction, with labour force trends highlighting small, but
to 24) to drop in the summer months, a significantly larger          consistent declines since April 2020. Given the higher
proportion of youth remained unemployed during the                   likelihood of COVID-19 affecting those 65+, it is likely that
summer of 2020; the Labour Force Survey estimated that this          there exists some reluctance in the labour market, both
year’s local youth unemployment rate was almost double               among employers who are hesitant about hiring from an
that of 2019.                                                        at-risk group, and among laid-off seniors, who have been
                                                                     advised to take public health precautions seriously.
As of late 2020, our region’s youth have begun reentering the
labour market. Many continue to be absent from the labour            Future Trends/Challenges
force, but others are starting to look for work again and many       An examination of sex and age related labour force survey
have been successful in this endeavor. Both participation            trends reveal, quite clearly, that COVID-19 has affected some
and employment increased, but these continue to remain               groups more than others. It is integral that the most impacted
below pre-pandemic levels as of December 2020. It is worth           groups: such as part-time female workers, youth, and males
noting, however, that almost all of these employment gains           in low-skilled occupations are given the support they need
amongst youth have been in part-time work. While full-time           to re-skill for emerging jobs and are successfully re-integrated
employment among young males is gradually increasing again           into the labour market in the coming months. This is reliant
– due in large part to gains in wholesale and retail trade sectors   on a thorough understanding of industry and occupational
– full-time employment among young females has stagnated.            trends, occupations typically held by marginalized groups and
                                                                     the obstacles they face to alternate opportunities.
Core-Working Age Adults
Local unemployment drops in the core working age                     Gap Analysis
group have been fairly low throughout the course of 2020.            There are many reskilling opportunities available in the
Brantford CMA’s unemployment rate grew less drastically              community that cater to prominent business sectors in
when compared to surrounding regions, and has decreased              Grand Erie. What remains a struggle for most members of the
consistently after peaking in May. In December 2020, full-time       workforce is their ability to participate in the training. Either
and part time employment within this group appeared similar          time, finances and/or family commitments will stand in the
to the same month in 2019. Gender data, however, reveals             way of educational opportunities.
some differences. Many men lost their full-time jobs in sectors
like manufacturing and construction, as a result of COVID-19         Reskilling opportunities will provide an increased knowledge
related closures. Meanwhile, among women, part-time                  and understanding of a skill set, but time and experience is
workers were disproportionately affected. Two (2) of every           also required to gain the confidence that most employers
three (3) females that lost their jobs in March were previously      seek when hiring. Businesses would benefit from a robust
employed in part-time work, presumably in sectors where this         orientation and training program within their facility and/or
type of work is more common – like accommodations, food              partnering with local skill development programs and post-
services and retail. Sectoral employment changes are further         secondary institutions to provide more experiential training
examined in the section below.                                       and learning opportunities.

                                                                     Care and support is something all members of the
Older Adults and Seniors
                                                                     workforce need. Some people have a strong support
Among adults aged 55 to 64, employment grew following
                                                                     system to rely on. Others have few options. Where there
a dip in the spring. While not as many older adults have
                                                                     are few options, there is a weak foundation. Cracks in the
returned to part time work, full-time older workers increased
                                                                     foundation leave the workforce and the community unwell,
in the final months of 2020, surpassing employment levels at
                                                                     and it potentially leaves those they care for in the same
the same time last year. Older females, in particular, took on
                                                                     circumstance. Prioritizing well-being, and self-care must be
many new jobs from June onwards. This may be indicative of
                                                                     at the foundation of everything we do. The most vulnerable
underlying financial needs among our older adults and their
                                                                     members of our community depend on it.
families, coupled with a hiring climate that prefers experience,
and the soft skills that come with it.
                                                                                                                                     11
                                                                                          2020-2021 LOCAL LABOUR MARKET PLAN UPDATE
GR AND ERIE COVID -19 RECOVERY
    S C E N A R I O P L A N N I N G ( O L M P)

   In the months leading up to the COVID-19 pandemic,              the COVID-19 Economic Recovery Plans will be robust,
   Grand Erie’s labour force was faced with a complex set of       comprehensive, and capable of withstanding all future
   challenges. As a result of skills mismatches and growing        scenarios.
   barriers to employment, certain businesses and labour force   Between March and June 2020, over 2,500 jobs were
   segments were strained. These pre-existing conditions,        lost in Brantford CMA alone, primarily in manufacturing,
   coupled with the drastic shifts to employment triggered       construction, and transportation and warehousing. Many
   by the pandemic, will have lasting impacts on the region’s    of these individuals were core-working age adults in full-
   employment landscape and its economy.                         time jobs. To provide context, Ontario lost around 108,500
   Scenario planning allows us to examine the potential          employees in those sectors between March and June.
   impacts that may be faced by various labour market groups     Meanwhile, some industries gained jobs during this period
   and to prepare for these changes by developing the            including the agricultural sector, healthcare, the finance
   appropriate supports.                                         sector and public administration.
   Benefits of scenario-based planning:                          From an occupational perspective, the majority of job
    • Provides framework for managing the unprecedented          losses during the first few months of the pandemic were
      uncertainty posed by COVID-19.                             within intermediate (Skill level C) occupations. Meanwhile,
                                                                 managerial/professional (Skill level A) and labouring
    • Supports proactive decision-making by identifying
                                                                 occupations (Skill level D) grew in the early months of the
      challenges, opportunities, and potential actions well in
                                                                 pandemic.
      advance.
    • Encourages a holistic and collaborative approach to        As of December 2020, both Brantford’s employment and
      planning that manages system complexity and ensures        participation rates have returned to pre-pandemic levels, and

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RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE
remain higher than the provincial rates, signalling that the                                                                                 EMPLOYMENT SHIFTS BY SKILL LEVEL IN
region is recovering faster than surrounding communities.                                                                                    BRANTFORD CMA
However, the impact that the pandemic has had on certain                                                                                       30,000
sectors and populations remains significant.
As lock-down restrictions were lifted during the summer                                                                                        25,000
and fall months, the external drivers of employment in
Grand Erie became more apparent. While employment
                                                                                                                                               20,000
in the service sector bounced back, employment in the
goods-producing sector continued to drop.
                                                                                                                                               15,000

EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR IN BRANTFORD CMA
                                                                                                                                               10,000
70,000

                                                        Services-producing sector
60,000                                                                                                                                          5,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                       Skill Level A
50,000                                                                                                                                                                                                 Management and Professional Occupations
                                                                                                                                                           DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN Skill
                                                                                                                                                                          30,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Level SEP
                                                                                                                                                                                                        JUL AUG       B OCT NOV DEC
                                                                                                                                                          2019 2020       25,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Technical, Paraprofessional and Skilled Occupations
40,000
                                                                                                                                                                          20,000

                                                                                                                                             Skill Level A                15,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Skill Level C
                                                                                                                                             Management and Professional Occupations
                                                                                                                                                                          10,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Intermediate Occupations
                                                                            30,000
                                                                                                                                             Skill Level B                 5,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Skill Level D
30,000                                                                      25,000
                                                                                                                                             Technical, Paraprofessional and Skilled Occupations       Labouring and Elemental Occupations
                                                                                                                                                                                   DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN
                                                                                                                                                                                   2019 2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

                                                                            20,000

                                                                            15,000
                                                                                                                                             Skill Level C
                                                                                                                                             Intermediate Occupations
20,000                                                                                                                                       Source: Statistics Canada. Table 14-10-0313-01 Employment by census metropolitan areas and
                                                                            10,000

                                                                             5,000
                                                                                                                                             Skill Levelthree-month
                                                                                                                                             occupation,    D           moving average, unadjusted for seasonality (x 1,000)
                                                           Goods-producing sector    DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN   JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC   Labouring and Elemental Occupations
                                                                                     2019 2020

10,000
          DEC       JUN      DEC       JUN      DEC      JUN       DEC      JUN                       DEC
          2016      2017     2017      2018     2018     2019      2019     2020                      2020                                   October 2020 job demand data suggests that only around
                                                                                                                                             11% of jobs available were for individuals with university
Source: Statistics Canada. Table 14-10-0097-01 Employment by industry, three-month moving
average, unadjusted for seasonality, census metropolitan areas (x 1,000)                                                                     degrees or occupational training1. Among these, the most
                                                                                                                                             common job postings were in healthcare and finance –
                                                                                                                                             specifically registered nurses, retail and wholesale trade
Manufacturing saw a small rise but has since dipped again,                                                                                   managers and financial officers. Many of the healthcare
likely as a result of supply chain issues. This was somewhat                                                                                 jobs took particularly long to fill. Job search data, however,
offset by growth within the construction sector, prompted                                                                                    indicated that 36% of Grand Erie’s job seekers were
by an increase in consumer demand for home renovations                                                                                       looking for professional occupations, and this interest
as well as new apartment and business buildings. Along                                                                                       was concentrated among education, social service and
with growth in the construction sector, the region saw                                                                                       management jobs2.
moderate growth in employment within business, building
and other support services.                                                                                                                  Similarly, there were more job seekers looking to get
                                                                                                                                             back into their trades positions in manufacturing and
Between July and Nov. 2020, the service sector gained 5,900                                                                                  construction, relative to the number of postings for such
jobs, primarily in food services, wholesale and retail trade,                                                                                occupations. The most in-demand Skill Level B jobs were
and education.                                                                                                                               in healthcare (practical nurses) and education and social
As a result of these shifts, many of the jobs gained were                                                                                    services (social and community service workers, early
labouring occupations (Skill level D) in the service sector.                                                                                 childhood educators). The demand for cooks also increased
Meanwhile, more people in intermediate occupations                                                                                           as the food service sector picked back up in the summer,
(Skill level C) lost their jobs, as did many in professional                                                                                 but based on posting length data, many businesses are
occupations (Skill level A).                                                                                                                 struggling to fill these positions.
Examining this data by gender, we see that a lot of the
professional jobs lost were held by female workers, while
the intermediate occupations were more commonly held
by males.
                                                                                                                                             1 https://workforceplanningboard.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/20-10-GE-
                                                                                                                                               Job-Demand-Report.pdf
                                                                                                                                             2 https://workforceplanningboard.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/20-10-GE-
                                                                                                                                               Job-Search-Report.pdf                                                                       13
                                                                                                                                                                          2020-2021 LOCAL LABOUR MARKET PLAN UPDATE
A vast majority – 69% – of job postings were for intermediate                               the fact that many women who lost their part-time jobs in the
   and labouring occupations such as general farm workers,                                     service sector are unable to find other part-time work/remote
   material handlers, retail salespersons and customer and                                     work, and cannot assume full-time, in person jobs due to other
   information service representatives. While many of the                                      responsibilities like childcare. Many of these individuals are
   top jobs were in demand even before the pandemic, a                                         also hesitant or unwilling to re-enter service sector jobs where
   few – such as delivery and courier service drivers, light duty                              physical distancing is not always possible.
   cleaners and bus drivers – have increased in demand over
   the last few months.
                                                                                                     Employment Planning Advisory Committee:
   It is also worth noting that Brantford’s participation rate has                                               See Appendix A
   seen a slight dip in recent months, and this decline is primarily
   among core-working age women. Based on local news                                             Grand Erie COVID-19 Recovery Task Force Members:
   reports and stakeholder consultations, this is attributable to                                                 See Appendix B

     W P B G E W O R K E R I M PA C T S U R V E Y R E S U LT S

   In April 2020, WPBGE conducted a Worker Impact Survey                                       Survey question:
   to measure the immediate impact of COVID-19 on area                                         The government is              Strongly           Strongly
                                                                                                                              disagree           agree
   residents/employees1. Results revealed that while many                                      doing enough to                    14%            18%
   lost their jobs, around 19% were working more, primarily                                    support me and my
   in healthcare, transportation and warehousing. This was                                     family during the
   true for remote workers as well. For many parents of young                                  crisis
   children, this meant juggling parenting and an increased                                                      Somewhat
   workload simultaneously. The survey also highlighted                                                            disagree
                                                                                                                       20%
   significant levels of concern among recently laid-off
                                                                                                                                                       Somewhat
   individuals about being able to pay for groceries, rent and                                                                                         agree
                                                                                                                                                       24%
   other monthly bills.
                                                                                                                              Neither agree
                                                                                                                               nor disagree
   1 https://workforceplanningboard.org/many-local-workers-lose-work-due-to-covid-19-survey/                                           15%

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RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE
Survey question:            Permanently                                   Survey question:
What is your               lost work due                                  Top reasons for reduction in work are…
                             to COVID-19
current job status?                  5%
                                                                            Employer/business shut
                                                                                 down temporarily                                                   30.18%
                                                       Working in usual
                                                       place of work                     Slow down
                                                       35%                               in business                                   23.10%
         Temporarily not                                                    Requirement to provide
            working due                                                       care for dependent(s)            9.19%
            to COVID-19
                    37%                                                        Requirement to self-
                                                                                       quarantine 4.72%

                                           Working from home
                                           temporarily
                                           23%
                                                                          Survey question:
                                                                          As a result of the COVID-19 crisis, I am more worried
Survey question:
                                                                          about being able to…
Change in work volume; you are…
                                               …working more                                                                                   Strongly
                                               19%                               11%                                            12%            disagree
           …no longer                                                                                    12%
             working                                                             10%                                            16%
                 36%                                                                                     8%                                    Somewhat
                                                                                 13%                                                           disagree
                                                                                                         17%                    14%
                                                                                                                                               Neither agree
                                                                                 29%                                                           nor disagree

                                                       …working about                                    24%                    28%
                                                       the same amount                                                                         Somewhat
                                                       27%                                                                                     agree
                       …working less
                               18%                                               32%                     29%                    27%            Strongly
These changes have brought additional levels of stress to                                                                                      agree

the workforce. Programs such as the Canada Emergency
                                                                           Pay my monthly          Pay my rent or         Have enough food
Response Benefit (CERB) were able to keep these concerns                        bills                mortgage              for me and my
at bay, but only temporarily. As the pandemic stretches on,                                                                    family

there is growing concern about the mental health and well-
being of Grand Erie’s residents. Further, access to mental
healthcare has been negatively affected by COVID-191.
Supporting wellness, thus, is of top concern, and critical to
                                                                          1 https://cmha.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/CMHA-UBC-wave-2-Summary-of-Findings-
holistic workforce development.                                             FINAL-EN.pdf

                                                                                                                                                               15
                                                                                                       2020-2021 LOCAL LABOUR MARKET PLAN UPDATE
HE ALTH AND WELLNESS
    G R A N D E R I E C O V I D -19 C A S E P R O F I L E S

   Public health data indicates that cases within the Grand      Brant County Health Unit (Brantford, Brant)
   Erie area were not as widespread in 2020 as in surrounding    Infectious Diseases Coronavirus
   regions such as Hamilton, Waterloo and Guelph. Case           Wellness Works
   counts, however, have been on the rise, due to varying
                                                                 Health and Social Services Haldimand and Norfolk
   complications with the virus mutating and supply of
                                                                 Additional daily statistics | HealthUnit Haldimand-Norfolk
   vaccines. Health units in Grand Erie provide real-time
                                                                 Health Topics | HealthUnit Haldimand-Norfolk
   information about COVID-19 case counts and information on
   how and where to get help and information and education       Six Nations Health Services
   on how to best protect yourself and your family:              SKODEN | Six Nations – COVID-19
                                                                 Six Nations Health Services
   Government of Canada
   Coronavirus disease (COVID-19): Outbreak update               Mississaugas of the Credit First Nation
                                                                 MCFN Community Health Unit
   Province of Ontario
   The Province of Ontario’s COVID-19 vaccine distribution
   is lead by Retired General Rick Hillier, Chair of Ontario’s
   COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution Task Force
   COVID-19 vaccines for Ontario | COVID-19 in Ontario

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RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE
MADE IN GRAND ERIE WELLNESS

To the invaluable Workforce of Grand Erie, don’t forget to look after you!! Take time for you and enjoy what we’ve “made” right
here in Grand Erie. Spend the day clearing your head in the woods, or on a trail. It's free, its local and it comes complete with
fresh air and vitamin D!! Pack a snack and don’t forget your hand sanitizer! Thank you to our many partners and fellow members
of the Grand Erie workforce for all you do to keep the facilities mentioned below, maintained and safe. Click on the links to
virtually visit just some of Grand Erie’s natural and recreational resources.
National Wellness                                                     Haldimand County
Wellness Together Canada                                              Recreation and Facilities – Haldimand County
Ontario Parks in Grand Erie                                           Trails & Pathways – Haldimand County
Long Point Provincial Park                                            Things to See and Do – Haldimand County
Rock Point Provincial Park                                            Crisis Assessment and Support Team – Community and
Selkirk Provincial Park                                               Mental Health Services – CAMHS
Turkey Point Provincial Park                                          Crisis Service | St. Leonard’s
                                                                      Contact Us | Health Unit Haldimand-Norfolk
Grand River Conservation Authority
Outdoor recreation – Grand River Conservation Authority               Norfolk County
                                                                      Parks and Recreation – Norfolk County
Six Nations                                                           Norfolk County Trails – Norfolk County
Six Nations of the Grand River Parks and Recreation                   Explore Norfolk County Trails – Norfolk Tourism Home
Six Nations Nature Trail – Six Nations Tourism                        Crisis Assessment and Support Team – Community and
Six Nations Health Services                                           Mental Health Services – CAMHS
Indigenous Health                                                     Contact Us | Health Unit Haldimand-Norfolk
New Credit                                                            City of Brantford
Recreation – Mississaugas of the Credit First Nation                  Parks and Recreation – City of Brantford
Social & Health Services – Mississaugas of the Credit                 Trails – City of Brantford
First Nation                                                          Discover Brantford
Indigenous Health                                                     Let’s Talk Brantford
Brant County                                                          Crisis Service | St. Leonard’s
Parks, Trails and Activities – Brant County                           Mental Health and Addiction – BCHS
Recreation – Brant County
Things to see and do – Brant County
Mental Health and Addiction – BCHS
Crisis Service – St. Leonard’s

                                                                                                                               17
                                                                                       2020-2021 LOCAL LABOUR MARKET PLAN UPDATE
GR AND ERIE RECOVERY TA SK FORCE PRIORITIES
   Key factors that would influence recovery were identified by        programs, gaps and challenges as they pertained to each
   the Grand Erie Recovery Task Force in April and May, 2020.          area of focus. As of early December, members of the Grand
   Between June and August 2020, critical uncertainties were           Erie Recovery Task Force were beginning to engage in
   identified and the Grand Erie scenario matrix was built. In the     conversations around collaborating and incorporating the
   fall of 2020, WPBGE established 4 working groups: economic          identified priorities into their organization’s deliverables.
   development, skills development, education and businesses           The priorities as identified by each working group are
   supports – to build out, revise and validate scenarios and          identified here:
   action plans. In October and November 2020, each working
   group shortlisted their top 5 priorities, and identified existing

    BUSINESS SUPPORTS WORKING GROUP

   Priority #1: Advocate for adjustment of legislation to              Priority #4: Support industry network development
   allow employers more flexibility                                     • Building relationships between business leaders/HR
    • According to a recent StatCan business survey (2020),               reps with the same sector and with other community
      30.4% of businesses did not know how long they could                agencies was identified as a top priority during LBS’s
      continue to operate at their current level of revenue and           Brant, Haldimand and Norfolk Community Stakeholder
      expenditures before considering further staffing actions,           Discussion (in October 2020).
      closure, or bankruptcy1.
                                                                       Priority #5: Develop a consistent “one-stop shop” for
   Priority #2: Increase financial support for new cleaning            information, resources, etc.
   protocols                                                            • Community stakeholders recognize Grand Erie Jobs
    • During the summer of 2020, 70% of Grand Erie businesses             Portal as a central resource for job seekers, and new
      were concerned about longer term access to PPE and                  developments to the platform to increase supports for
      workers feeling unsafe, according to WPBGE’s Business               job seekers are being considered.
      Recovery Survey (2020).

   Priority #3: Design digital inclusion supports for
   residents & employers with limited internet access
    • According to WPBGE’s Business Recovery Survey (2020),
      internet connectivity was the biggest barrier for Grand
      Erie’s remote workforce. Employers called for government
      investments in broadband infrastructure and incentives
      for tech programs to support remote workers.
    • Ontario is investing nearly $1 billion to expand and
      improve broadband and cellular access. Historic
      investment will support unserved and underserved
      communities during COVID-19 and beyond.
    • Based on the report: The Sudden Shift to Remote Delivery
      in LBS in Ontario (2020), an estimated 45% of learners likely
      had internet access, and 27% had limited connectivity
      using cell phones2. These numbers are likely even lower
      in remote areas, such parts of Haldimand, Norfolk, Six
      Nations and New Credit.
    • According to a recent StatCan business survey (Nov.  2020),
      once the pandemic is over, 14.7% of businesses anticipate
      that all of their workforce will continue to primarily
                                                                       1 https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/201113/dq201113a-eng.htm
      telework or work remotely.”3                                     2 https://alphaplus.ca/download/shift-remote-delivery-report/?fbclid=IwAR0Xy7bZJAHzGwGMG

18
                                                                         m9ZmTFCA9IIvnIGWuyPm2772OYsz33-mE9hJSMLI7k
                                                                       3 https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/201113/dq201113a-eng.htm

RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE
ECO N OM I C D E V E LO PM E NT WO R K I NG G ROUP

Priority #1: Advocate for forgivable loans & grant                Priority #4: Advocate for affordable and attainable
programs                                                          housing
• According to WPBGE’s Business Recovery Survey                   • Grand Erie area government representatives, municipal
  (2020), the #1 support that businesses are looking for is         councils and the Western Ontario Warden’s Caucus
  government investment in promoting local businesses.              have all undertaken projects to advocate and plan for
                                                                    more affordable and attainable housing. These steps
Priority #2: Identify business needs in key sectors
                                                                    will help ensure that the importance of housing and the
• According to WPBGE’s Business Recovery Survey (2020),             responsibility that comes with it, is understood by all
  18% of businesses would like to develop new business              members of the community from Government through
  strategies for the next 1-5 years, but do not know how/           to the workforce. Housing is an investment and provides
  have the resources to do so.                                      shelter and wellness. A good understanding of this and
                                                                    a good variety of options provides a better quality of life
Priority #3: Increase promotion of skills training
                                                                    and builds stronger communities.
programs
• According to WPBGE’s Business Recovery Survey                   Priority #5: Share insightful labour market data
  (2020), around 75% of businesses across all sectors and         • A recently undertaken and approved WPBGE
  business sizes said they would be interested in receiving         Marketing Strategy provides direction for the best
  government grants to help with designing and delivering           way to disseminate data and information to Economic
  essential skills and custom technical training to staff.          Development Partners, businesses, agency partners and
                                                                    the workforce.

 SKILLS DEVELOPMENT WORKING GROUP

Priority #1: Increase digital/technical skills                    Priority #4: Support soft-skills training within the
development                                                       workplace
• According to WPBGE’s Business Recovery Survey (2020),           • According to the OECD, on average, Canadian employers
  81% of businesses with remote workers indicated the               spent $889 CAD per employee on learning and
  need for digital skills training for staff.                       development from 2016-2017, relatively little compared to
                                                                    their international counterparts1.
Priority #2: Design and deliver HR training for                   • According to WPBGE’s Business Recovery Survey (2020),
employers                                                           75% of businesses value support with the development
• A variety of training needs were identified through               and delivery of essential skills training.
  WPBGE’s Business Recovery Survey (2020), including health
  and safety training, digital marketing training, and training   Priority #5: Align labour market information (LMI) with
  on industry-specific guidelines related to COVID-19.            skills training focuses
• The same survey revealed that over 1 in 4 businesses do         • WPBGE’s (2019) Job Seeker and Employee Survey results
  not have any crisis response plan to guide them in the            reveal high levels of underemployment within our region,
  event of an outbreak.                                             with many employees stating they are unable to use their
                                                                    skillsets regularly at work.
Priority #3: Develop transferable skills training
curriculum
• As a result of the pandemic, transferable skills such as
  adaptability/flexibility, resilience and interpersonal skills
  have grown significantly in demand based on WPBGE’s
  Business Recovery Survey (2020) results.

                                                                   1 https://fsc-ccf.ca/research/return-on-investment-industry-leadership-on-upskilling-and-
                                                                     reskilling-their-workforce/
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                                                                                              2020-2021 LOCAL LABOUR MARKET PLAN UPDATE
E D U C AT I O N W O R K I N G G R O U P

   Priority #1: Enhance student education around career              Priority #4: Find new ways of engaging/involving
   pathways                                                          parents/families about education and career pathways
    • Employers who participated in WPBGE’s 2019 In-Demand           as early as primary grades
      Skilled Trades study highlighted the importance of             • Based on the results of WPBGE’s 2019 In-Demand Skilled
      reducing stigma around the trades by increasing                  Trades Study, ‘stigma around the trades’ is the #1 issue
      education around it.                                             impacting the trades in Grand Erie. As a result of this,
                                                                       employers indicated that their biggest barrier to hiring
   Priority #2: Increase integration of digital skills                 apprentice is a lack of interest/participation.
   training and technology into core courses
    • Prior to the pandemic this was identified as a need. As        Priority #5: Strengthen connectivity between career
      a result of the pandemic and the ever-changing work            counsellors and industry professionals
      and learning environments, digital literacy has become         • Encouraging businesses to view the Ministry of Education,
      a primary skill needed for success. Finding new ways of          career counsellors and Parent Councils/School Board
      integrating digital skills training into required curriculum     Trustees as a resource for their workforce needs, and
      would benefit students who wouldn’t naturally pursue             developing educational and marketing materials around
      computer education or have regular access to technology          their business is needed. This material could be housed in
      or internet.                                                     career counselling offices to help inform the counsellors
                                                                       and the students about the availability and type of work
   Priority #3: Broaden the scope of experiential learning             available right here in Grand Erie. More support is needed
    • The school boards offer experiential learning options            to describe career ladders and pathways.
      to students in a variety of ways. More could be done
      to develop working relationships with area businesses
      to encourage more opportunities that will benefit the
      student’s learning experience and assist area businesses
      with workforce and retention. Retaining graduating                 Detailed Group Priority Table: See Appendix C
      students in the Grand Erie Area will contribute to the
      overall well-being of the community.

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RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE
EDUC ATION, SKILL S & TR AINING
The Grand Erie community is abundant with many learning
opportunities and institutions, from Day Care facilities to Post                                      Grand Erie Area Schools and Continuing Education:
Secondary Institutions and everything in between.                                                                      See Appendix D

 E D U C AT I O N A L AT TA I N M E N T B Y G E N D E R
                            No certificate, diploma or degree    42%                                                                                                            58%
   Secondary (high) school diploma or equivalency certificate    41%                                                                                                            59%
              Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma    73%                                                                                                            27%
 College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma   49%                                                                                                            51%
                     University certificate, diploma or degree   52%                                                                                                            48%
                                                                   Male
                                                                   Female
                                                                                                                                                       Source: 2016 Census Custom Tables

 SK ILL S COM POSITI O N O F G R AN D E R I E’S WO R K FO RCE

Individuals in professional occupations
(requiring university education) make                                                                           14%
                                                                                                     Skill Level D
up around 20% of Grand Erie’s labour                                             Labouring and Elemental Occupations
force, while people in labouring                                                                                                                     32%
occupations (requiring no formal                                                                                                                     Skill Level C
                                                                                                                                                     Intermediate Occupations
education) make up around 15%. Of
the remainder, approximately one-third                                                              22%
                                                                                         Skill Level A
are in technical and skilled occupations                         Management and Professional Occupations
and the other third are people in
intermediate occupations.

                                                                                                                                 32%
                                                                                                                                 Skill Level B
                                                                                                                                 Technical, Paraprofessional and Skilled Occupations

Educational Attainment by Skill Level
                                  Skill Level A
           Management and Professional Occupations          5%                  18% 4                                   29%                                                  44%
                                     Skill Level B
  Technical, Paraprofessional and Skilled Occupations            8%                          26%
                                                                                      Skill Level C
                                                                                      Intermediate Occupations   16%                                          39% 11%
                                      Skill Level C
                              Intermediate Occupations                   17%                                             40% 7%                                   28% 8%
                                    Skill Level D
                 Labouring and Elemental Occupations                                  28%                                                     47% 5%                     15% 4
                                                                 No certificate, diploma or degree
                                                                 Secondary (high) school diploma or equivalency certificate
                                                                 Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma
                                                                 College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma
                                                                 University certificate, diploma or degree
                                                                                                                                                       Source: 2016 Census Custom Tables

                                                                                                                                                                                     21
                                                                                                                             2020-2021 LOCAL LABOUR MARKET PLAN UPDATE
Based on educational attainment data, both professional             result in skills loss among our more educated workers as
   occupations and labouring occupations have a skills-                they settle for jobs they are overqualified for. Even worse, we
   mismatch. The former employs a significant portion                  could see a brain drain as these individuals seek work outside
   of individuals with secondary school diplomas, trades               of Grand Erie. The pandemic has increased the likelihood
   certificates and even college diplomas; this is likely the result   of this by making remote work more commonplace. There
   of employers settling for less qualified candidates, which          may be some opportunities to educate employers about this
   ultimately affects business performance.                            available talent pool, or to attract external businesses who are
                                                                       looking for Skill level A workers.
   Meanwhile, around 24% of individuals with a post-secondary
   education are in jobs that do not require it, which results in      Inversely, people with no formal education made up around
   underemployment of these individuals and underutilization           4% of job seekers between June and October 2020, but 12%
   of their skillsets.                                                 of postings were for labouring occupations. These individuals
                                                                       face a greater set of socio-economic barriers to employment,
   People in technical/skilled and intermediate professions
                                                                       and these will likely be augmented by the pandemic if the
   seemed to be better matched, although there are still some
                                                                       appropriate supports are not made available to both job
   who are underemployed.
                                                                       seekers and employers.
   Job search trends captured by Grand Erie Jobs between June
   and October indicate that around 44% of job seekers are
   looking for professional occupations. Meanwhile, only 11%
   of jobs posted require this skill level. Given that around 20%
   of Grand Erie’s workforce has the skill level for professional
   occupations, this points to the skills-mismatch; more of Grand
   Erie’s university educated residents have been on the job
   hunt during this pandemic, even though there are fewer
   professional jobs available. In the longer term, this could

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RECALIBRATING: BUILDING A ROBUST WORKFORCE IN GRAND ERIE
TRAINING IN GRAND ERIE

Apprenticeships                                                 Employment Services

I		Number of New Registrants in 2019: 374 (+24 since 2018)      I		Number of assisted clients increased by 53% to 3,020
I		Number of Certificates of Apprenticeship issued in 2019:        in 2019
  141 (+5 since 2018)                                           I		Number of unassisted clients increased by 79%
I		Apprentices by demographic:                                  I		2019 Employment Services Clients by demographic:
   I ~ 48% are aged 15-24, and the remaining 51% are               I 24% between 15-24 years old (up 48% since 2018);
     between 25-44 years old                                         3% over 65 years old (up by 144% since 2018)
   I ~ 86% male (up from 2019)                                     I 40% completed secondary school, 26% had a
   I ~ 14% have less than Gr. 12 education                           certificate or diploma and 9% had a bachelor’s degree
I		Top trades by number of active apprentices:                       or higher
                                                                   I 13% identified as aboriginal
   1.		310S: Automotive Service Technician
                                                                   I 11% have a disability
   2.		433A: Industrial Mechanic Millwright
                                                                   I 47% reported no income, while 17% reported
   3.		309A: Electrician – Construction and Maintenance
   4.		 310T: Truck and Coach Technician                             Employment Insurance and another 15% reported
   5.		332A: Hairstylist                                             Ontario Works as their primary source of income
                                                                   I Rise in number of people from manufacturing, retail
   6.		313A: Refrigeration and Air Conditioning
       		 Systems Mechanic                                           trade and healthcare and social assistance industries
   7.		313D: Residential Air Conditioning Systems Mechanic      Literacy and Basic Skills
   8.		429A: General Machinist
   9.		306A: Plumber                                            I		Number of new in person learners doubled to 510
                                                                I		Number of clients aged 15-24 increased significantly
                                                                I		Around one-third are female

Future Trends/Challenges                                       We have an opportunity before us to come together as
Predicting the skills that the workforce will need was a       a community, including parents, educators, trainers and
challenge in the days prior to the pandemic. The pandemic      businesses to expand the local knowledge base among
has exacerbated this challenge. The economic crisis and        the Grand Erie workforce within many different sectors. It’s
worldwide uncertainty that has come with the pandemic,         a once in a lifetime chance to build a foundation of a more
creates more uncertainty with future predictions and           innovative and inclusive post-pandemic economy and society
planning around skills. This challenge will stand in the way   for Grand Erie, Ontario and Canada.
of achieving a workforce that is responsive, adaptable
and resilient.

Gap Analysis
The pandemic has highlighted gaps more clearly with our
ability to predict labour market trends and the importance
of developing new approaches to planning. There is a need
to ensure a more equitable distribution of opportunities
for training and education. Whether this is through post-
secondary education for young people prior to entering
the workforce or as continuing education. What is clear is
that there is a gap between the needs of businesses and
educators and the opportunities they could provide for
training, either within the business, or in partnership with
local education facilities.

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                                                                                   2020-2021 LOCAL LABOUR MARKET PLAN UPDATE
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