Leap forward Indian Warehousing: June 2018 - JLL

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Leap forward Indian Warehousing: June 2018 - JLL
Indian Warehousing:
The evolutionary
leap forward
June 2018
Leap forward Indian Warehousing: June 2018 - JLL
With advancements in technology, India’s logistics industry is undergoing rapid
                                                      evolution and paving an encouraging path for what lies ahead.

                                                      Logistics 4.0 embarks on newer tech enablers such as sensors, augmented reality and
                                                      the Internet of Things (IOT). Robotics and Analytics are enabling warehousing facilities
                                                      to adapt to significant changes in the environment and their business as well as tackle
                                                      tasks efficiently, while working with people.

                                                      Indian logistics is experiencing a myriad of changes and is gradually improving its
                                                      positioning as seen in the latest Logistics Performance Index (LPI), wherein India’s
                                                      rank has jumped by impressive 19 positions to reach the 35th rank.

                                                      The Indian Government’s increasing thrust on core infrastructure is eminent from
                                                      the all-time high allocation of funds (INR 5.97 trillion) in Budget 2018-19. This is poised
                                                      to exponentially impact the transport and logistics sector.

                                                      This white paper aims to showcase India’s position in this logistics evolution. It gives
                                                      a snapshot of current trend and market dynamics which will boost growth and
                                                      pave the way for the future. It covers in detail, aspects such as various infrastructure
                                                      initiatives, government policies and aspirations of developers and tenants within the
                                                      logistics sector.

                                                      I am confident you will find this an interesting read.

                                                                                 Best regards,
                                                                                 Ramesh Nair
                                                                                 CEO & Country Head
                                                                                 JLL India
                                                                                 ramesh.nair@ap.jll.com

2 Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward
Leap forward Indian Warehousing: June 2018 - JLL
CONTENTS
Preface
Evolution of Logistic Industry			                 4
India’s position in Logistics Evolution		         6
Policy Boosters					7
Infrastructure Booster				12
Tenant Aspirations					14
Developer Aspirations				15
Indian Warehousing market Update		                17
Emerging Warehousing Locations		                  19
Way Forward					22

                                        Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward 3
Leap forward Indian Warehousing: June 2018 - JLL
Logistics 1.0
                                                                 (late 18C to early 19C)
                                                              Mechanization of Transport
                                                      Steam engine based transportation enabled longer
                                                        distances, faster processes and more products

                   Logistics 4.0                                                                         Logistics 2.0
                  (early 21C to Present)                                                                  (early 19C to mid 20C)

                                                              Evolution
                Smart Logistics                                                                                Automation of
                IoT and services                                                                              handling system
                adapted to aspects                                                                             Electric power and
                of smart factory,
                smart warehouses,                                of Logistic                                     mass production
                                                                                                                   enabled global
                smart products
                 and services                                     Industry                                     resource planning,
                                                                                                                       automatic
                  focusing on                                                                                        warehouse
                   cyber, physical                                                                              processes, and
                    and AI                                                                                         centralized
                     technology                                                                                    transport
                                                                                                                    modes

                                                                  Logistics 3.0
                                                                    (mid 20C to late 20C)
                                                            Logistics Management Systems
                                                      Computing system for integration of autonomous
                                                        inventory management, autonomous forklift
                                                                 and warehouse processes

4 Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward
Leap forward Indian Warehousing: June 2018 - JLL
Logistics 4.0 Supply Chain Adaptations

                                       Logistics
Supply Chain Logistics                4.0 – Major
 Global resource planning            Technological
     and controlling
                                     Components

           1
                                                     In bound Logistics
                        Networking (IoT)             Autonomous inventory
                                                         management

                                                               2

Warehouse Management                 Data Analysis
  Automated Warehouse
       Network

           3
                                                         Intralogistics
                        Locating (RTLS)              Auto forklift and machine
                                                            production

                                                                4

  Outbound logistics
   Automatic Delivery                Sensing (CPS
     Management

           5
                                                       Logistics Routing
                         Identification
                                                      Real time routing and
                        (RFID Systems)                      navigation

                                                               6

                                                                Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward 5
Leap forward Indian Warehousing: June 2018 - JLL
India’s position
     in Logistics
     Evolution

    India is in the early stages
    of Logistics evolution and is
    showing tremendous potential
                                                                                                       Indian Logistics
    for development which can be
                                                                                                           evolution
    seen in its improvement in LPI                                                                       falls between
    India jumped 19 places in LPI                                                                       Logistics 2.0 to
                                                                                                          Logistics 3.0
    ranking from Rank 54 in 2014
    to Rank 35 in 2016

                                            LOGISTIC 1.0                             LOGISTIC 2.0                          LOGISTIC 3.0       LOGISTIC 4.0

    The advancement in technologies
    and infrastructure, along with                                                                                                             Key Boosters for
                                                                                                                                 Tenant &
    Government’s support through policy                                                                   Infrastructure                       India’s Logistics
                                                                                  Policy Booster                                Developer
                                                                                                             Booster
    initiatives is paving way for positive                                                                                      Aspirations    Evolution
    improvements and boosting growth
    for the logistics sector in India.

    Disclaimer: India’s positioning w.r.t the evolution of the logistics is based on JLL perceptions
    Source: The Logistics Performance Index and its Indicators. Washington, DC: The World Bank

6 Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward
Leap forward Indian Warehousing: June 2018 - JLL
Policy Boosters                                                Logistics sector to get credit on long term
                                                               basis at competitive rates

Indian logistics
                                                   • Access to funds as External Commercial Borrowings (ECB)
sector being                                       • Access to long tenure funds from insurance and pension funds
granted                                            • Borrow from India Infrastructure Financing Company Ltd (IIFCL)

infrastructure
                                                      Multi-modal Logistics Park: minimum investment of INR 50 crores
status                                                and minimum area of 10 acres

                                                      Cold Chain Facility: minimum investment of INR 15 crores
                                                      and minimum area of 20,000 sq.ft.

                                                                        Warehousing Facilities: minimum
                                                                        investment of INR 25 crores and
                                                                        minimum area of 100,000 sq.ft.

With warehousing being granted infrastructure status, the availability of longer tenure financing
facilities at reduced cost of debt will support the development of much-needed, large-scale
logistics parks in the country.
The increase in funding is helping logistic companies focus on integrating new technologies,
improve inter-modal transportation, and bring in more automation in logistics management.
This will result in an efficient and fairly vast network of warehouses & logistics facilities that will
trigger growth opportunities for the entire warehousing industry and the country.
RAJESH JAGGI
Managing Partner - Real Estate at Everstone Group

                          The transport and logistics sector has always stood the test of time and now that the category
                          has acquired the status of ‘infrastructure’, the country is about to witness heights of landmark
                          growth. Categories like warehousing facility and cold chain facility have achieved their ‘much
                          longed for’ definition. The changed mindsets will have positive implications, making industrial
                          and logistics sector one of ‘investor’s ambitious favorites.
                          ANSHUL SINGHAL
                          CEO - Industrial Real Estate, Embassy Industrial Parks

                                                                                             Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward 7
Leap forward Indian Warehousing: June 2018 - JLL
Establishment
    of Logistics
    division

                                                                                            Policy changes
    The Logistics division in the Department of
    Commerce was created on 7th July 2017
    The primary mandate of this division is to
                                                                      Improvement              Gaps and
    develop an Action Plan for the integrated                                                                      Identification of
                                                                        in existing         introduction of
                                                                                                                     bottlenecks
    development of the logistics sector in                             procedures             technology
    India, by addressing the following heads -

                                   Logistics sector to get credit on long term basis at competitive rates from financial institution
                                   and access to funds as External Commercial Borrowings (ECB), as well as access long
                                   tenure funds from insurance and pension funds and borrow from India Infrastructure
                                   Financing Company Ltd (IIFCL). This is bound to boost the growth of Logistics sector.
                                   ABHIJIT MALKANI
                                   CO-CEO - ESR ADVISORS INDIA

                                                       Hub and Spoke to Rule
  Impact of                                                     Impact: Organizations will now be able to explore a different distribution
  GST on                                                        model from the traditional carrying and forwarding (C&F) distributor-
  Warehousing                                                   based models. Growing demand for Larger Hubs / Regional Distribution
                                                                Centre as well as Smaller ‘Spoke’ warehouses

                                                       Consolidation

                                                                Impact: Post GST, the focus would shift on efficiency rather than tax
                                                                saving through smaller warehouses. Companies to re-structure their
                                                                warehousing portfolio to bring in larger and ‘supply –chain’ efficient
                                                                warehouses, typically built to their specific warehouse requirements

                                                        Quicker Supply

                                                                Impact: State-border check points for scrutiny and location based tax
                                                                compliance, which accounts for almost 60% of a truck’s transit time, can
                                                                hugely reduce, thus quicker supply.

8 Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward
Leap forward Indian Warehousing: June 2018 - JLL
Efficient and Larger Warehouses                                      More Organized Logistics Players

             Impact: Efficient warehouse management                                 Impact: Existing organized warehousing
             is expected to boost the sector as the                                 developers can expect significant
             warehouses are expected to have ‘economies                             increase in demand. More organized
             of scale’ thus increasing Per Cubic Metre                              players are expected to enter the sector.
             storage efficiency of warehouses.

  Larger Investments                                                    Reduced cost to customers

             Impact: Warehousing developers
                                                                                    Impact: Reduction in tax cascading may
             investing in larger logistic parks and
                                                                                    lead to lower cost of production and
             buying land at strategic locations.
                                                                                    distribution which can be eventually
                                                                                    passed on to the consumers.

                        The tenants have become ambitious and are thinking of consolidating in fewer locations to
                        service more efficiently. They are desiring for larger floor plates, enhanced specifications in
                        terms of FM2 flooring and an increased clear height of about 12-14 metres. They are going for
                        a hub and spoke model on a regional basis. On a national level, they are scaling up multiple
                        key locations to occupy the space in strategically placed clusters. This augurs well with the
                        industry. The traction this industry is drawing post GST is significant and has resulted in an
                        elated occupiers’ sentiment. It suits tenants to consolidate their locations and integrate the
                        processes therein.
                        SANDEEP CHADHA
                        CEO -All Cargo Logistics & Industrial Parks

Consolidation of logistics infrastructure requirements are widespread post GST, which
led to implementation of systems and processes to improve efficiency, resulting in
improvement of service level and reduction of overall logistics cost.
ALOKE BHUNIYA
CEO - Ascendas Firstspace

                        Post GST Implementation tenant requirements have changed. Tenants are demanding
                        knowledge on network modeling to reconfigure their supply chain and compliant
                        infrastructure.
                        MEHUL SHAH
                        CEO - LOGOS INDIA

                                                                                        Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward 9
Leap forward Indian Warehousing: June 2018 - JLL
Multi Modal                                                      Multi-Modal Logistics Parks (MMLPs) are a key policy initiative of the Government of
                                                                     India to improve the country’s logistics efficiency and its international competitiveness
    Logistics Park                                                   under the Logistics Efficiency Enhancement Program (LEEP)

    MMLP are freight-handling facilities                                        Benefits
    with various modes of transport
    access.
                                                                                    Intermodal                   Reduced                          Warehousing
    MMLP serve the functionalities of                                               freight                      inventory                        cost
    freight aggregation and distribution,                                           movement                     holding costs                    reduction
    storage and warehousing,
    multimodal freight transportation
    and value added services.                                                                     Transport                      Reduced
                                                                                                  cost                           freight
                                                                                                  reduction                      transport lead
    Phase 1: 15 Multimodal Logistic Parks                                                                                        times
    with an investment of
    INR 33,000 crores
    through PPP mode.
                                                                                                                 Key Players/ Operators
    These would cover about           of        40%
    the total road freight movement in
    the country.

    Souce: IndiaOnTheGo. (n.d.). Logistic Parks in India; Terminal
    Network. (n.d.). Retrieved from Concor India:
    http://www.concorindia.com/map.asp                                                                                                                 State
                                                                                                                                                    Governments

10 Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward
JAMMU
            NORTH PUNJAB
          (Amritsar, Jalandhar,
                   Gurdaspur)

                                                      SOLAN
                                                                           Multi Modal Logistics Park
            SOUTH PUNJAB                         CHANDIGARH
   (Ludhiana, Patiala ,Sangrur)            AMBALA    DEHRADUN
                                  BHATINDA AHMEDGARH         PANTNAGAR
                                               NCR DELHI                     SOUTH PUNJAB
                                      HISAR                                  (Ludhiana, Patiala ,Sangrur)
                                  KATHUWAS
                                   JAIPUR
   KANDLA
(Kandla port,
                                             KOTA                                                                              GUWAHATI
       Bhuj)
                                                                                             PATNA

                                                                                  SUNDARGARH
                                               INDORE      BHOPAL                            KOLKATA
                                      TIHI
                RAJKOT                                                                JHARSUGUDA
                                    VARNAMA

                            VALSAD                                     RAIPUR
                                 NASIK                NAGPUR                      JAGATSINGHPUR
  NORTH GUJARAT                                                     NAYA RAIPUR
        (Ahmedabad,           MUMBAI
           Vadodara)
                                                      HYDERABAD
                                  PUNE                            VISAKHAPATNAM
  SOUTH GUJARAT                                                NAGULAPALLE
      (Surat, Bharuch)
                                                         VIJAYAWADA

            MUMBAI                PANAJI
   (Mumbai, Mumbai
      Suburbs, JNPT,
 Mumbai Port, Thane,
             Raigad)
                                         BENGALURU
                                                                                             EXISTING MMLP
                                                        CHENNAI
                                                                                             PHASE 1 (15 LOCATIONS)
                                                COIMBATORE                                   PHASE 2 (PRIORITIZED LOCATIONS)
                                            KOCHI

                                                                                                      Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward 11
Rail                                                                                                       Road
   DEDICATED FREIGHT CORRIDOR                                                                                BHARATMALA
   Ministry of Railways is developing Western Dedicated                                                      Its main focus is on development of roads to optimize
   Freight Corridor (WDFC) and Eastern Dedicated                                                             efficiency of traffic movement across the country by bridging
   Freight Corridor (EDFC) to decrease freight transit                                                       the infrastructure gap.
   time substantially
                                                                                                             It will cover- economic corridors, inter corridors, feeder roads,
                                          (WDFC)                     (EDFC)                                  proposed ring roads, logistic parks, international connectivity
                             1504                                   1856                                     road, port connectivity roads, coastal roads and expressways.
           Total length (km) (Dadri to                              (Khurja to
                             JNPT)                                  Bhaupur)
   Projected completion Sep-20                                      Dec-20                                   Investment                   NH linkage                Phase I:                  Phase I to be
                                                                                                             Size: INR                    to 550                    24,800                    implemented
               Land acquired 98.80%                                 97.1%*
                                                                                                             800,000 crore                districts                 KMS to be                 over 2017-18
          Sanctioned cost
                                                            81,459                                           (approx.)                                              developed                 to 2021-22
     of project (INR crore)

   (*with the exception of Sonnagar- Dankuni section in EDFC where only 67% of land
   has been acquired)

                                                                      Infrastructure Booster

                                                                                                                                                                      WATER
                               RAIL                                        ROAD                                        AIRPORT                                       MARITIME
                                                                                                                                                                      PORTS

     Airport                                                                                                      Water / Maritime / Ports
   Civil Aviation Policy 2016 aims at:                                                                       SAGARMALA
   Make India 3rd largest civil aviation market by                                                           The Logistics Sector will invariably receive a boost under
   2022                                                                                                      the Port let developments under Sagarmala, which are as
                                                                                                             follows:
   Increase cargo volumes to 10 million tonnes i.e.
   by 4 times by 2027                                                                                        Around 116 initiatives were identified across 12 major
                                                                                                             ports to unlock more than 100 MTPA capacity just
   Enhancing ease of doing business through
                                                                                                             through efficiency improvement.
   simplified procedures, deregulation and
   e-governance                                                                                              6 new major ports are planned which will bring in
                                                                                                             significant capacity expansion
   Promote ‘Make In India’ in Civil Aviation Sector

   Source: India, G. o. (n.d.). Port Modernization & New Port Development. Retrieved from Ministry of Shipping: http://sagarmala.gov.in/project/port-modernization-new-port-development#; India, G. o. (n.d.).
   Bharatmala Pariyojana. Retrieved from National Portal of India: https://www.india.gov.in/spotlight/bharatmala-pariyojana-stepping-stone-towards-new-india; Dedicated Freight Corridor Corporation of India Ltd.
   (n.d.). Retrieved from http://dfccil.gov.in/dfccil_app/Project_Phasing; Indian Aviation Industry. (n.d.). Retrieved from Indian Brand Equity Foundation: https://www.ibef.org/industry/indian-aviation.aspx

12 Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward
SRINAGAR

                             AMRITSAR
                                    LUDHIANA

                                             DADRI

KANDLA

                                                                      KOLKATA
                                                                                    HALDIA
   PORBANDAR
                                                                               TAJPUR

                                                                       PARADIP OUTER HARBOUR
               VADHAVAN
                                                                     PARADIP
                MUMBAI
                 JNPT                          VISAKHAPATNAM

                                         MACHILIPATNAM
                  MORMUGAO

                  BELEKERI

                        NMPT

                                                     ENNORE
                                                     CHENNAI
                                                               EDFC
                                 BANGALORE                     WDFC
                                                               Major ports
                 KOCHI                                         Proposed Greenfield ports
                                  CUDDALORE
                                                               End-points of industrial corridor/ DFC
                                 TUTICORIN                     North South Corridor - National Highway
                                                               Amritsar-Kolkata Industrial Corridor
                                                               Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor
                        ENAYAM                                 Bengaluru-Mumbai economic corridor
                                                               Chennai-Bengaluru Industrial Corridor
                                                               Bengaluru-Kolkata Industrial Corridor
                          KANYAKUMARI                          East West Corridor – National Highway

                                                                         Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward 13
What tenants can look                                    What tenants can look
    forward to                                               forward to
    Last mile delivery is having a huge impact on            Tenants are looking for technological solutions for
    logistics sector, wherein it is providing a wide         achieving greater efficiency and optimization in the
    range of products to its consumers along with            warehouse, as follows:
    the option of same or next day delivery
                                                             Digitalization and Network Collaboration to enable
                                                             efficient capacity planning and demand forecasting for
                                                             warehousing
                                                             Application of automation in the use of physical robots
                                                             that replicate manual tasks

                                        Last Mile Delivery                 Automation
                                 Last mile is a term             Logistics sector is seeing a
                              used in supply chain                unprecedented change due
                            management and                      to the advent of digitization and
                          transportation planning to         automation. With its implementation
                        describe the movement of                        being precision and process
                       goods from a fulfilment                                     driven, high quality
                       centre to their final                                           warehouses will
                       destination                                              provide the necessary
                                                                                              solution.

                     Consolidation of Space                                           Transportation
                                                                                      related change
                      Implementation of GST has
                       had a positive effect on                      Indian Government’s increasing
                        warehousing activities in                        thrust on core infrastructure
                         India due to diminishing                       sector is poised to improve
                           state boundaries and has                    the transport and logistics
                             made way for cost and                sector (e.g. railways, roads &
                                operationally efficient            highways, maritime, civil
                                    Hub & Spoke Model                        aviation etc.)
                                         of warehousing

    What tenants can look                                      What tenants can look
    forward to                                                 forward to
    Tenants are looking forwards to                            Post Dedicated Freight Corridor (DFC) completion and
    shifting from low quality redundant                        commissioning, large volume of cargo can easily be transported via
    warehouses to big box, good quality                        rail and the logistics sector is bound to experience high demand in
    Grade A warehouse.                                         future across storage spaces connected to railway facilities
                                                               Sagarmala initiative is going to promote port led development to
                                                               enhance transportation through coastal shipping. Additionally,
                                                               the Inland waterways has a vision to connect major logistic nodes
                                                               through transportation through rivers.

14 Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward
Developer Aspirations                                  India invests around 10% of its GDP in infrastructure,
                                                       which is significantly more than other developing
Impact of Initiatives and                              countries. Large infrastructure projects like DFC, DMIC,
‘Infrastructure Status’ on                             Sagarmala, Bharatmala is bound to impact the growth
Logistics Sector                                       of industrial and logistics sector in the long run

                                                    These government policies and initiatives in Infrastructure
                                                    will take India into the Global league inviting the Global
                                                    players to invest more in India and making the Indian
                                                    players to improve to compete in international standards in
                                                    the long run.

                                                    SHOUVIK MANDAL
                                                    Assistant Director, Finance - Apeejay Surrendra Group

                     Development of infrastructure is an excellent opportunity
                  for the industrial and logistics sector, however to effectively
                   capitalize on the opportunity the sector needs to modernize
                       its systems & processes, invest in manpower and ensure          ALOKE BHUNIYA
                           regulatory compliance. We expect significant capital        CEO - Ascendas
                      investment across all of these opportunities, leading to a       Firstspace
                 more efficient logistics performance and higher capital inflow
                                                              in manufacturing.

                             Infrastructure status to this industry has paved the way for institutional players to
                             invest in this promising sector. Funding has become easier and there is renewed
                             interest from incumbents as well as players from across the spectrum.
                             Lending rates have gone down paving way for greater liquidity in the sector. It will
                             help bringing in international standards and would result in setting up of well-
                             defined logistics clusters throughout the country.

                             SANDEEP CHADHA
                             CEO -All Cargo Logistics & Industrial Parks

                                                                                       Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward 15
Adoption of global                                 Focus on the adoption of best practices in design and construction and promote
                                                       sustainable and self-sustaining ecosystem
    best practices                                     Focus on the use of automation and robotics, and supply chain management systems
                                                       to increase management efficiencies in warehousing

                              Globally, the use of automation, robotics and supply chain management
                          systems to increase management efficiencies in warehousing, is on the rise.
                              Drones and self-driving vehicles are being introduced in warehouses to RAJESH JAGGI
                             support seamless operations; also robots are being introduced to help in Managing Partner - Real
                         managing and sorting of warehouse inventory, leading to increase in output. Estate at Everstone Group
                          We expect India to soon adopt smart warehouse technologies for achieving
                                innovation in storage, inventory management and improved tracking.

                                    This space has essentially been dominated by standalone non institutional grade properties.
                                    There is a significant depth of global logistics operators in the market and the best global
                                    practises are being imbedded into the operations of the country’s leading logistic operators,
           MEHUL SHAH               this necessitates the development of institutional product on a standalone as well as on a
                CEO - LOGOS         park level basis. Some of the key specifications include FM global compliant standards,
                       INDIA        warehouse design & simulation for internal, product with sustainable long term build
                                    quality, improvised truck turnaround time within the park, support the users with the fit-out
                                    infrastructure and bring the expertise in supporting fit-out infrastructure.

                                                                       REIT listings will help provide liquidity to developers who
    REIT listing                          ANSHUL SINGHAL
                                                                       could partially exit from assets or a group of assets, whilst
                                                                       retaining some holding. They will enable the participation of
    for Logistics                            CEO - Industrial Real
                                                Estate, Embassy
                                                                       small retail investors in the growth of logistics asset class.
                                                                       REIT will provide an opportunity for the income yielding
    assets class                                 Industrial Parks      asset class to get organized and institutionalized. Any
                                                                       regulation in favor of public good is generally desired.

16 Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward
Indian
    Warehousing                                                                                                                                140
                                                                                                                                          million sq ft
                                                                                                                                                                     Warehousing Stock 2017
                                                                                                                                                                     For Grade A and Grade B
                                                                                                                                                                     for 8 Primary Locations
    market Update
                                                                                      37.16
                                                                              40      19%                                                                                                            20%
    Top 8 Cities                                                                                                                                                                                     18%
                                                                              35
    - Grade A
                                                 Warehouse Space (mn sq ft)

                                                                                                                                                                                                     16%
    and Grade B                                                               30               14%                                28.04                                      16%
                                                                                                                15.02                                                                                14%
    Warehouse                                                                 25     30.88     14%                                               11%                                                 12%
                                                                                                                11%
    Stock &                                                                   20               18.63                              23.34                         9%                                   10%
    Vacancy,                                                                                                                                     13.79                       11%
                                                                                      10%                                          7%                                                      11.24      8%
    2017                                                                      15               10.60                9%                            6%                                        6%
                                                                                                                                                                            11.60                     6%
                                                                                                                   6.04                                         5%
                                                                              10                                                   4%            5.24                                       8.70
                                                                                                                                                                    8.00                              4%
                                                                              5                                                                            4.42                              2%
                                                                                      6.27     8.03                8.98                           8.55                                                2%
                                                                                                                                  4.70                     3.69     3.60
                                                                              0                                                                            0.66                           2.54       0%
                                                                                   NCR DELHI BENGALURU          PUNE            MUMBAI          CHENNAI AHMEDABAD KOLKATA              HYDERABAD

                                                                                                    Grade A         Grade B     Vacancy (%) Grade A         Vacancy (%) Grade B

                                                                                                      Top national players

                                        Top 8 Cities - Grade A and Grade B Warehouse Stock Projections*
                                                                                                                                                                     2017 - 2019 is expected to see
                                     Hike in the supply of Grade A Stock                               Stabilisation in the Supply Market
                                                                                                                                                                     substantial increase in the supply
                                      Stock has substantially increased                                   Grade A and Grade B Stock is
                                            post-GST lementation                                        expected to stabilise in 2020-2021
                                                                                                                                                                     of warehouse stock owing to
                                                                                                                                                                     the implementation of the GST
                                                                                                                                                                     which will have a positive effect
                                           15% CAGR (2014-16)                                 21% CAGR (2017-19)                  20% CAGR (2020-21)                 on warehousing activities in
                                                                                                                                                                     India due to diminishing state
                                         Pre - GST Implementation                                       Post - GST Implementation
                                                                                                                                                                     boundaries
                                                                                                                                                    297
                             300.0
Warehouse Space (mn sq ft)

                                                                                                                                         247
                             250.0                                                                                                                                   Implementation of GST has made
                                                                                                                          204
                             200.0                                                                            170                                   180              way for cost and operationally
                                                                                                                                         154
                             150.0                                                            140                                                                    efficient Hub & Spoke Model of
                                                                                       113                                131
                                                                         98                                   112                                                    warehousing and has shifted the
                             100.0       86                                                    97
                                                                         71             80                                                                           end user demand and developer
                             50.0        63                                                                                               93        117
                                                                                                              58           73                                        supply from inefficient, low
                                         23                      27                     33     43
                               0.0
                                        2014                    2015                   2016   2017        2018*           2019*         2020*      2021*             quality redundant warehouses to
                                          Grade A                                  Grade B              2017 - GST is Implemented                                    large box, good quality Grade A
                                                                                                                                                                     warehouse

       Note: It does not take into consideration Grade-C, the stock owned by government, ICD, FTWZ and captive warehousing stock by manufacturing
       companies that are within or beyond their premises. The warehouse stock and absorption data of the year 2017 have been estimated
       The Future projections of stock for Grade A and Grade B space is done taking into consideration future supply of projects and market conditions in
       each cities.. The Projections are cumulative total stock.

                                                                                                                                                            Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward 17
Emerging Warehousing
                                                                                  Locations
                                                                                  While the top eight cities are witnessing fabulous growth; GST
                                                                                  implementation has taken away the state barrier in storage.
                                                                                  Going forward, location would be a major selection criteria
                                                                                  irrespective of state. And as a result, tier - II cities are coming
                                                                                  into focus. JLL has identified select cites other than the
                                                                                  top eight and evaluated their potential to become the next
                                                                                  growth centre of logistics.

                                       LUDHIANA & AMBALA
                                               CHANDIGARH
                                                   DEHRADUN

                                           NCR DELHI

                                      JAIPUR

                                                             LUCKNOW & KANPUR                                        SILIGURI
                       JODHPUR
                                                                                                                                GUWAHATI
                                                   GWALIOR
                                                                                                PATNA

               AHMEDABAD                               BHOPAL
                                                                                                   KOLKATA
                                         INDORE                                          RANCHI
                           SURAT
                                                                         RAIPUR
                                 NASIK                 NAGPUR
                                                                                   BHUBANESWAR
                                           AURANGABAD
                          MUMBAI
                                                 HYDERABAD
                             PUNE                                  VISAKHAPATNAM

                                                            VIJAYAWADA

                                       BELGAUM
                               GOA

                                                        TIRUPATI
                                                                                     8 Primary Cities and
                                     BENGALURU CHENNAI                               30 Major Emerging Cities
                                  MANGALORE
                                           COIMBATORE                                8 PRIMARY CITIES       30 MAJOR EMERGING CITIES
                                      KOCHI
                                                                                     Source: JLL Internal Research
                                         TIRUCHIRAPPALLI
                                                 MADURAI
                                             TUTICORIN

18 Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward
Methodology
adopted
Parameters taken
into consideration

                                                                                       Population of                         Road                             Road Distance
                                                                                         the city                         Connectivity                          from Port

                                                                 Presence of Airport              Manufacturing Potential                    Number of                     Consumer Price Index (CPI)
                                                                     in the City                                                             IEMs filed                      for Industrial Workers

                                                                                 Human Development                        Ease of Doing                    6 Hours Distribution
                                                                                    Index (HDI)                             Business                            Potential

                                                                         6 Hours Distribution Potential and Composite Logistics Score Index

                                                              3.05

                                                                                                                        Surat
                                                              2.85

                                                              2.65
       Better Warehouse - Conducive

                                                              2.45                                                Nasik                                        Favorable Locations
                                                                                                       Tirupati
                                      Composite Score Index

                                                                                                                        Coimbatore
                                                                                      Vijayawada                  Jaipur
                                                              2.25                                                             Ranchi
                                                                                 Goa        Indore           Madurai
                                                                                              Bhopal
                                                                         Jodhpur          Raipur        Vapi            Ludhiana & Ambala
                                                              2.05           Visakhapatnam      Indore Kochi                                               Kanpur & Lucknow
                                                                                                                     Tiruchirappalli
                                                                           Mangalore                                                       Gwalior
                                                              1.85
                                                                                          Bhubaneswar                                     Chandigarh
                                                                                          Belgaum                  Aurangabad
                                                              1.65
                                                                                          Guwahati
                                                                                                                                                                                  Patna
                                                                                                                                              Dehradun
                                                              1.45
                                                                                                       Siliguri

                                                              1.25
                                                                     0         20            40            60           80          100           120           140             160               180
                                                                                                        6 Hours Distribution Potential (Million Persons)

                                                                                                             Increasing population catered

Source: JLL Internal Research
Disclaimer: Composite Score index is based on various qualitative and quantitative parameters and Distribution Coverage potential is based on the derivation of population catered / serviced for distribution is
arrived from a software based om distances from respective city center covered by existing road network with an assumption of avg. achievable travel speed depending upon the different types of road (40kms/hrs
for NH and Expressways and 30 km/h SH and other district roads).

                                                                                                                                                       Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward 19
Investment                                                           Warehousing and logistics have emerged as one of the biggest growth areas in recent
                                                                         times. We have seen Rs 15,000 crore private equity investments in warehousing space since
    outlook                                                              2014. While it made up around 10% of total private equity investment in 2017, the share
                                                                         is now expected to grow further claiming larger share of investment. India’s logistics and
    Select Foreign & PE
                                                                         warehousing sector is rapidly transitioning through a revolutionary phase.
    Investments in Indian
    Logistics Sector

        INVESTOR                         INVESTEE                       INVESTMENT
                                                                           (INR CRORES)                  Year                       INVESTOR                         INVESTEE                       INVESTMENT
                                                                                                                                                                                                       (INR CRORES)

             KKR                       TVS Logistics                             242                      2012                  New Silk Route                     VRL Logistics                             206

        Everstone
         Capital
                                         Transpole
                                          Logistics                              220                      2014                      Everstone
                                                                                                                                     Capital
                                                                                                                                                                      AS Cargo                               277

         Warburg
         Pincus
                                          Embassy
                                           Group                                1750                      2015                        Warburg
                                                                                                                                      Pincus
                                                                                                                                                                  Ecom Express                               850

         Warburg
         Pincus
                                       Stellar Value
                                          Chain                                  850                      2016                      Everstone
                                                                                                                                     Capital
                                                                                                                                                                  Shree Kailash
                                                                                                                                                                    Logistics                                200

                                          IndoSpac                                                                                  Macquire +                    Logos + Assetz
           CPPIB                                                              3,200*                                                                                                                       2,800
                                                                                                                                     Ivanhoe’

         Ascendas                          Arshiya                               534                                              Turnit Capital                          FWS                        Undisclosed
                                                                                                          2017                                                    Mahindra Life
         Ascendas                        FirstSpace                            3,800                                                      IFC                                                                600
                                                                                                                                                                     Space

                More than 10,000 Crore invested in 2017                                                                               Alibaba                      XPRESSBEES                                224

          Morgan
          Stanley
                                              KSH                        Undisclosed                      2018                       Proprium
                                                                                                                                                                    Musaddilal
                                                                                                                                                                     Projects                                335

             50,000                                 India is set to witness investments close to Rs 50,000 crore for creation of warehousing facilities across
                                                    the country between 2018 and 2020. Various categories of warehousing are expected to create around
           crore to be                              20,000 jobs to during these three years at different levels of specification and specialization. This
        invested by 2020                            investment comes on the back of the fact that nearly Rs 10,000 crore was invested in 2017

    Disclaimer: Information provided above is collated by JLL from various sources. JLL has not verified the investments proposed herein and do not take any responsibility on its authenticity.
    * 3 stage deals totalling $ 1.3 Bn with $500 Mn. (Rs. 3,200) invested in JV IndoSpace Core, $700 million for buying additional industrial and logistics parks and an additional $100 Mn. Investment in IndoSpace Fund III

20 Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward
New Start ups
in the Logistics
Sector

                       A number of start-ups are coming up to support and fill the gaps in the existing fragmented and
                       unorganized Indian logistics industry. These start-ups cater to the demands of the specialized
                       deliveries including last mile distribution or reverse logistics and use technology to provide
                       services like tracking and fleet visualization, route optimization, real-time driver tracking, etc.

                             Leap India                             4tigo                              ElasticRun
      Category             Freighting Solutions               Freighting Solutions                    Last Mile Delivery

  Location & Year of
                              Mumbai, 2013                      Bengaluru, 2015                           Pune, 2016
    Incorporation

      Funding                   $23 million                       $12 million                              $9 million

                          returnable packaging              technology platform for                network aggregation of
                             and pooling of                   fleet owners, drivers,                transport and logistic
     Focal Area           equipment, transfer of            brokers and companies                     vendors and space
                                 goods                          to find best modes                        providers
                                                                      and rates

                              LogiNext                             Fareye                              Shadowfax
      Category             Enterprise Solutions               Enterprise Solutions                         Hyperlocal

  Location & Year of
                              Mumbai, 2014                      New Delhi, 2013                        Bengaluru, 2015
    Incorporation

      Funding                  $10.5 million                      $3.5 million                            $8.8 million

                                                            solves last mile delivery
                              cloud-based                    issues by scheduling
                         optimization of delivery                                                     geo-based tracking,
                                                               and dispatch jobs                     location-based rider
     Focal Area           routes and resource                 for companies, real                         allocation
                               utilization                      time analysis of
                                                                  performance

                                                                                        Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward 21
Way Forward

                                  Present India                     Indian Logistics evolution falls between
                                                                    Logistics 2.0 and 3.0

                                                        Government’s support through policy initiatives like establishment
                                                        of Logistics division, granting Logistics an ‘infrastructure status’,
                                                        implementation of GST and establishment of MMLPs; is paving way for
                                    Policy Booster      positive improvements and boosting the growth of the logistics industry
   Key boosters paving way for
    India’s Logistics evolution

                                                        Indian Government’s increasing thrust on core infrastructure sector as
                                                        seen in projects DFC, DMIC, Sagarmala, Bharatmala; is bound to impact
                                    Infrastructure
                                                        the growth of industrial and logistics sector in the long run
                                       Booster

                                                        Tenants and developers aspirations in the sector are bound to expedite
                                                        the evolution of Logistics sector. They are looking forward to various
                                      Tenant &
                                     Developer          upcoming changes like consolidation of spaces to upgradation of
                                     Aspirations        warehouse design, automation, last mile delivery and much more.

                                  Future India                      Towards Logistics 4.0 - Smart Warehouse

     Smart Warehouse is the adoption of automation & interconnected technologies wherein goods are handled with
     minimum human intervention to boost productivity, efficiency & speed through the logistic supply chain.

     Technology
     Applications in
                                                                                                                    Real-time
     Smart Warehouse                    Robots         Sensors              Drones            Augmented             Inventory
                                                                                                Reality              software

22 Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward
About JLL’s Industrial Services

                             351
                           transactions
                                                                 118+
                                                                                                         Services nearly

                                                                                                             43
                                                                consulting work
                            concluded                                                                     Cities in India
                                                                   delivered

 27.60+
  million sq ft built
                                             1,487+
                                                acres of land
                                                                                      Team of

                                                                                       39
 up area transacted                              transacted                         personnel in
                                                                                      8 cities

                                             Our Core Services
                                          Business Location            Land Acquisition /              Project / Equity partner
Feasibility & Market Study
                                              Advisory                     Disposal                             Search

   Business Plan & Entry            Supply Chain Consulting            Lease Acquisitions            Individual Asset & Portfolio
   Strategy Formulation                                                – Ready Built & BTS              Acquisition/ Disposal

                                                                                                      *Numbers as on December, 2018

                                                                                        Indian Warehousing: The evolutionary leap forward 23
Contacts
For business enquiries, contact
N Srinivas                            Yogesh Shevade                                 Chandranath Dey
Managing Director                     Senior Vice President &                        Senior Vice President &
Industrial Services, JLL India        Head Industrial Transaction, JLL India         Head Industrial Consulting, JLL India
srinivas.n@ap.jll.com                 yogesh.shevade@ap.jll.com                      chandranath.dey@ap.jll.com
+91 98454 45495                       +91 96197 11280                                +91 90999 71598

Author                                Support Team
Ishita Kachru                         Shweta Bhupatiraju                             Shristy Singh                        Sujash Bera
Senior Executive                      Intern,                                        Executive                            Manager
Industrial Services                   Industrial Services                            Industrial Services                  Industrial Services

Special Acknowledgement
Abhijit Malkani,                      Aloke Bhuniya                                  Anshul Singhal                       Rajesh Jaggi
CO-CEO - ESR ADVISORS                 CEO - ASCENDAS                                 CEO - INDUSTRIAL                     MANAGING PARTNER -
INDIA                                 FIRSTSPACE                                     REAL ESTATE, EMBASSY                 REAL ESTATE AT
                                                                                     INDUSTRIAL PARKS                     EVERSTONE GROUP

Sandeep Chadha                        Shouvik Mandal                                 Mehul Shah
CEO - ALL CARGO                       ASSISTANT DIRECTOR,                            CEO - LOGOS INDIA
LOGISTICS & INDUSTRIAL                FINANCE - APEEJAY
PARKS                                 SURRENDRA GROUP

About JLL
JLL (NYSE: JLL) is a leading professional services firm that specializes in real estate and investment management. A Fortune 500 company, JLL helps
real estate owners, occupiers and investors achieve their business ambitions. In 2016, JLL had revenue of $6.8 billion and fee revenue of $5.8 billion
and, on behalf of clients, managed 4.4 billion square feet, or 409 million square meters, and completed sales acquisitions and finance transactions of
approximately $145 billion. At the end of the second quarter of 2017, JLL had nearly 300 corporate offices, operations in over 80 countries and a global
workforce of nearly 80,000. As of June 30, 2017, LaSalle Investment Management had $57.6 billion of real estate under asset management. JLL is the
brand name, and a registered trademark, of Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated. For further information, visit www.jll.com

JLL has over 50 years of experience in Asia Pacific, with 36,800 employees operating in 95 offices in 16 countries across the region. The firm won the
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real estate investment advisory firm in Asia Pacific for the sixth consecutive year by Real Capital Analytics and ranked among Fortune Magazine’s
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About JLL, India
JLL is India’s premier and largest professional services firm specializing in real estate. With estimated revenue for FY 2017-18 expected to be ~INR
3,200 crores, the firm is growing from strength to strength in India for over the past 20 years. JLL has an extensive geographic footprint across 10
cities (Ahmedabad, Delhi, Mumbai, Bengaluru, Pune, Chennai, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Kochi and Coimbatore) and a staff strength of over 9,500. The
firm provides investors, developers, local corporates and multinational companies with a comprehensive range of services. This includes research,
strategic advisory and consultancy, capital markets, transaction management, project and development services, integrated facilities management,
property and asset management. These services cover various asset classes such as commercial, residential, industrial, retail, warehouse and
logistics, hospitality, healthcare, senior living and education.

JLL was recognised as one of the Best Places to Work in India 2017 in the annual survey of ‘India’s Best Companies to Work For’ – a joint study
conducted by Great Place to Work® and The Economic Times. The firm has also been acknowledged as ‘Property Consultant of the Decade’ at the
10th CNBC-Awaaz Real Estate Awards 2015 and the Best Property Consultancy in India at the International Property Awards Asia Pacific 2016-17.
For further information, please visit www.jll.co.in

Jones Lang LaSalle Property Consultant (India) Pvt Limited © 2018. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no
representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof.
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