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FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW It’s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics June 2014 www.mashreqgold.com
mashreq FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW 2014 FIFA World Cup Report 05 June 2014 It’s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics We are pleased to launch our Special Report on the 20th edition of the FIFA World Cup 2014, which kicks-off on 12th June in Brazil, when the hosts face Croatia. The tournament will last for just over a month during which the 32 qualified teams will play a total of 64 matches in 12 cities, including the grand Finale on 13th July at the Maracana in Rio De Janeiro. We are sure you will be closely following the progress of your respective national teams, if they are playing in the tournament. Even if your national team is not involved in the action, we hope, either as neutrals or supporters of a team, you will be interested in the results. Brazil is staging the FIFA World Cup for the second time, the first being in 1950. Brazil and football are synonymous! Brazil is a football crazy nation. Since the first World Cup in 1930, only eight teams have won the title. Among them is five-time winner, Brazil, followed by Italy Moreover, Brazil is the only country to have participated in all 19 editions of this event. The country has produced some of the greatest players in the history of world football, including Pelé, Garrincha, Ronaldo and Kaká. Brazilian players have won the Ballon d‘Or five times in the past 15 years. Football is almost a religion in the country. In 1950, when Brazil lost the final match to Uruguay, a distressed fan committed suicide and three others died from heart attack. According to FIFA.com, the official site for the event, Brazilian fans purchased more than sixty percent of the tickets that went on sale online in mid-April 2014. World Cup likely to boost tourism in Brazil Several sectors, including civil construction, food and beverage, business services, and tourism and hospitality, are likely to benefit from the global event. In the 2010 World Cup held in South Africa, 3.2 million people attended the tournament. According to the Brazilian Ministry of Tourism, 3.7 million people are estimated to travel across the country during the month- long tournament. Approximately 1.9 million fans are estimated to travel to the 12 Brazilian cities hosting matches and FIFA fan fests, while another 1.8 million visitors would travel to Brazil to enjoy the festivities around the World Cup. Moreover, an average foreign tourist would attend four World Cup matches and spend approximately USD2,488 during the visit. Overall, the Brazilian economy is expected to grow by USD3.03 billion, led by tourist inflow during the 2014 FIFA World Cup. Minister of Tourism, Vinicius Lages, noted that the financial turnover in tourism may be more than double if the multiplier effect of indirect and induced financial transactions resulting from these visitors is considered. Brazilian government under criticism The government is estimated to have spent more than USD11 billion on World Cup preparations. Yet, there are delays in the completion of infrastructure projects and stadium constructions. According to market sources, the soccer stadiums in Natal and Porto Alegre still need work, while the Itaquerao stadium has not received approval from the fire department for the entire seating section. The stadiums were due to be completed last year. The delays have led to criticism from FIFA and angry protests have taken place in various cities over exceeding costs. Brazil’s national team under pressure to win Playing on home soil has its advantages, although Brazil has yet to win the tournament at home. Six host countries have won the title in previous editions: Uruguay (1930), Italy (1934), England (1966), Germany (1974), Argentina (1978), and France (1998). Brazil and Sweden were runners-up when they hosted the tournament in 1950 and 1958, while Chile (1962), Italy (1990), and Germany (2006) finished in the third place. It is interesting to note that a national team with a foreign coach has never won the World Cup. On 16 July, 1950, the entire nation mourned as Uruguay defeated Brazil in the finals. The match, termed as ―Maracanazo‖, is considered to be national tragedy and distresses the country to date. Accordingly, Brazil is under tremendous pressure given the high expectations from the country to win its first World Cup on home soil. Popular choice team, Champion, Runners Up and Award Winners We took inputs from our colleagues and clients over the last month and based on the number of votes polled for each player, we have come up with a Popular 11 (P 11). Furthermore, based on your votes, we also have the Champion and the Runners up for this edition, and winners of individual performance awards such as the Golden Ball, Golden Boot and Golden Glove. The response was overwhelming as we received entries not only from the GCC/MENA region but from Asia, Europe and North America as well. 2
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW Venue Details 12 Stadiums of World Cup 2014 The stadiums are spread across the country‘s five regions, spanning 12 cities: capital Brasília, Cuiabá, Salvador, Fortaleza, Natal, Manaus, Porto Alegre, Belo Horizonte, Rio de Janeiro, Recife, São Paulo, and Curitiba. The latter six cities would host the tournament for the second time in 2014. The opening match of the championship would be held at Arena de São Paulo in Brazil‘s largest city, São Paulo. The finals would be played in the historical Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, on July 13, 2014. This is the largest stadium in Brazil, and was also used for the 1950 edition of the game. Arena da Baixada is the smallest venue, with a capacity of 41,456. An average 5.33 matches would be played per venue. In 1950, a total of 1,045,246 fans watched the tournament, the largest audience until England 1966. Arena Amazônia Fortaleza Estádio Castelão Capacity : 42,374 Capacity : 64,856 Estádio das Dunas Manaus Capacity : 42,086 Natal Recife Arena Pernambuco Arena Pantanal Belo Capacity : 44,248 Capacity : 42,968 Horizonte Cuiabá Brasília Estádio Nacional Estádio Mineirão Capacity : 70,064 Capacity : 62,547 Salvador Arena Fonte Nova Capacity : 48,747 Rio de Janeiro São Paulo Estádio do Maracanã Arena da Baixada Capacity : 76,804 Capacity : 41,456 Arena de São Paulo Curitiba Capacity : 65,807 Porto Alegre Estádio Beira-Rio Capacity : 48,849 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 3
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW FIFA 2014 − Groups, Teams and Key Statistics Group A Group E Country Times FIFA Best performance Country Times FIFA Best performance qualified rank qualified rank Brazil 20 4 Winners (1958, 1962, 1970, 1994, 2002) Ecuador 3 26 Round of 16 (2006) Cameroon 7 50 Quarter-finals (1990) France 14 16 Winners (1998) Croatia 4 20 Third place (1998) Honduras 3 30 Group stage (1982, 2010) Mexico 15 19 Quarter-finals (1970, 1986) Switzerland 10 8 Quarter-finals (1934, 1938, 1954) Group B Group F Country Times FIFA Best performance Country Times FIFA Best performance qualified rank qualified rank Australia 4 59 Round of 16 (2006) Argentina 16 7 Winners (1978, 1986) Chile 9 13 Third place (1962) Bosnia 1 25 NA Netherlands 10 15 Runners-up (1974, 1978, 2010) Iran 4 37 Group stage (1978, 1998, 2006) Spain 14 1 Winners (2010) Nigeria 5 44 Round of 16 (1994, 1998) Group C Group G Country Times FIFA Best performance Country Times FIFA Best performance qualified rank qualified rank Colombia 5 5 Round of 16 (1990) Germany 18 2 Winners (1954, 1974, 1990) Côte d'Ivoire 3 21 Group stage (2006, 2010) Ghana 3 38 Quarter-finals (2010) Greece 3 10 Group stage (1994, 2010) Portugal 6 3 Third place (1966) Japan 5 47 Round of 16 (2002, 2010) USA 10 14 Third place (1930) Group D Group H Country Times FIFA Best performance Country Times FIFA Best performance qualified rank qualified rank Costa Rica 4 34 Round of 16 (1990) Algeria 4 25 Group stage (1982, 1986, 2010) England 14 11 Winners (1966) Belgium 12 12 Fourth place (1986) Italy 18 9 Winners (1934, 1938, 1982, 2006) S. Korea 9 55 Fourth place (2002) Uruguay 12 6 Winners (1930, 1950) Russia 10* 18 Fourth place (1966) rd Source: ww.fifa.com; *This is the 3 appearance of Russia at the World Cup. However, FIFA considers Russia as the successor team of the USSR; note: FIFA ranks as of May 2014 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 4
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW Mashreq - World Cup Popular Choice 11 (P 11) Manuel Neuer Phillip Vincent Lahm Company Thiago Sergio Silva Ramos Yahya Andre Bastian Toure Iniesta Schweinsteiger Robin Christiano Van Persie Ronaldo Lionel Messi Players of 16 countries were nominated for P 11 Some of the major footballing countries whose players did not get any votes are: Mexico, Chile, Colombia and Nigeria Germany has the most number of players (3) in P 11, followed by Spain (2) Christiano Ronaldo was the most popular player getting the highest number of votes Marcelo, Eden Hazard and Sergio Aguero missed selection in P 11 by a single vote only 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 5
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW Match Predictions and Awards Winners Groups Round of 16 QF SF Final SF QF Round of 16 Groups A Brazil Mexico A B Netherlands Spain B C Colombia Ivory Coast C D Uruguay Italy D E France Switzerland E F Bosnia Argentina F G Germany Belgium G H South Korea Portugal H Dark Horse A B C D E F G H Croatia Chile Japan England Ecuador Nigeria Ghana Russia Route to the Final At group stage, we don‘t expect any major surprises, although we have rated one team from each group as a dark horse. England‘s elimination from Group D is not an upset in our opinion. In our opinion, Round-of-16 will see elimination of some major names such as the Netherlands and Portugal Our quarter-final line up offers a strong chance to Brazil to avenge the defeat to Uruguay in the 1950 World Cup final at home Argentina could play against either Belgium or Portugal. In either case we expect Argentina to be third time lucky and win to finally proceed to the semi-final We have a heart-break in store for the home fans in the semi-final – Germany will be too good for Brazil Argentina, led by Lionel Messi will beat the current world champions, Spain in the other semi-final The final between Argentina and Germany will be mouthwatering. We are backing Argentina to avenge the defeat suffered at the hands of West Germany in 1990. Champion Champion Golden Ball Germany and Argentina received equal number of votes from you to Christiano Ronaldo win the World Cup. To resolve the tie, our colleague Usman Khan was a clear favourite. met Diego Maradona (El Diego) and asked him for his vote. Answer Neymar was a distant is obvious and hence Argentina was nominated as the second Champion. You can see a smiling Usman Khan in the picture above. Runner Up Golden Boot Christiano Ronaldo again, although Lionel Messi was very close Third Place Golden Glove Manuel Neuer was an almost unanimous choice. Thibaut Courtois got some votes but could not pose a serious challenge to the German. 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 6
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW Table of Contents GROUP A ................................................................................................................................ 8 Brazil (BRA) .............................................................................................................................................................. 9 Mexico (MEX) .......................................................................................................................................................... 11 Croatia (CRO) .......................................................................................................................................................... 13 Cameroon (CMR) ..................................................................................................................................................... 15 GROUP B .............................................................................................................................. 17 Spain (ESP)............................................................................................................................................................. 18 Chile (CHI) .............................................................................................................................................................. 20 Netherlands (NED) ................................................................................................................................................... 22 Australia (AUS) ........................................................................................................................................................ 24 GROUP C .............................................................................................................................. 26 Colombia (COL) ....................................................................................................................................................... 27 Greece (GRE) .......................................................................................................................................................... 29 Côte d'Ivoire (CIV) ................................................................................................................................................... 31 Japan (JPN) ............................................................................................................................................................. 33 GROUP D .............................................................................................................................. 35 Uruguay (URU) ........................................................................................................................................................ 36 Italy (ITA) ............................................................................................................................................................... 38 England (ENG)......................................................................................................................................................... 40 Costa Rica (CRC) ..................................................................................................................................................... 42 GROUP E ............................................................................................................................... 44 Switzerland (SUI) .................................................................................................................................................... 45 France (FRA) ........................................................................................................................................................... 47 Ecuador (ECU) ......................................................................................................................................................... 49 Honduras (HON) ...................................................................................................................................................... 51 GROUP F ............................................................................................................................... 53 Argentina (ARG) ...................................................................................................................................................... 54 Bosnia and Herzegovina (BIH) ................................................................................................................................... 56 Iran (IRN) ............................................................................................................................................................... 58 Nigeria (NGA) .......................................................................................................................................................... 60 GROUP G .............................................................................................................................. 62 Germany (GER) ....................................................................................................................................................... 63 Portugal (POR) ........................................................................................................................................................ 65 United States (USA) ................................................................................................................................................. 67 Ghana (GHA)........................................................................................................................................................... 69 GROUP H .............................................................................................................................. 71 Belgium (BEL) ......................................................................................................................................................... 72 Russia (RUS) ........................................................................................................................................................... 74 Algeria (ALG)........................................................................................................................................................... 76 Korea Republic (KOR) ............................................................................................................................................... 78 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 7
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW GROUP A Brazil | Mexico | Croatia | Cameroon 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 8
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW Brazil (BRA) Economy-USD2,243bn/ HDI-85/ FIFA-4 Will a World Cup Win Change the Nation’s Bleak Mood? Economic Performance Country Details • Brazil, the seventh-largest economy in the world in terms of PPP, Region South America will host the FIFA World Cup in 2014 and Olympic Games in 2016 – Currency Real events which generally boost growth driven by investment in Area Sq. Km. 8,514,877 requisite infrastructure. However, growth in Brazil‘s economy has Population Mn 198.3 slowed significantly over the past few years, decelerating to 2.3% Urban Population % 84.9 y/y in 2013 compared with 7.5% in 2010. Reforms, including tax Urban Population Growth % 1.1 cuts and increased public spending, have not been able to revive Source: IMF, UN data, CIA; Note: Urban the economy. population and growth thereof corresponds to 2012 and 2010–15, respectively • According to Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE) inflation rose to 6.15% in March 2014, led by hike in basic food Trade Balance 2013 items. The inflation rate remained well above the minimum target level of 4.5% and marginally below the 6.5% upper range set by Import USD bn 334 Brazilian authorities. To tackle the situation, the central bank Export USD bn 280 increased the benchmark interest rate to 11%, its highest level in Balance USD bn (54) two years. However, BBVA expects inflation to breach 6.5% by the Source: WTO; Note: Trade figures include middle of 2014. merchandise and commercial services • Brazil‘s fiscal deficit in 2013 reached BRL157.6 billion, the biggest Economic Indicators year-end deficit since 2002. However, the widening gap could not resonate with the country‘s economic growth. Furthermore, Brazil‘s 2012 2013 2014e gross debt reached BRL2,817 billion in February 2014, amounting GDP (USD bn) 2,248 2,243 2,216 to 57.5% of GDP. The government announced budget cuts of GDP/capita (USD) 11,437 11,311 11,080 around BRL44 billion in February 2014 to contain public debt and Unemployment (%) 5.5 5.4 5.6 curb inflation. CPI 3,603.5 3,833.1 NA • Despite hosting the World Cup, Brazil‘s economic growth would be Source: IMF data and estimates, IBGE; Note: GDP slow in 2014. The IMF now projects Brazil‘s economy to grow 1.8% is in nominal terms in 2014 compared with an earlier estimate of 2.3%, citing weak infrastructure and low private investment as primary reasons. S&P Economic Growth downgraded Brazil‘s rating to BBB- in March 2014, one notch 1.25 9.0 above junk, due to slow growth and rising debt levels. Political Structure 1.20 6.0 • Brazil is a federal presidential democratic republic, where the BRL tn In % president is the head of state and government. The current 1.15 President Dilma Rousseff became Brazil‘s first woman president in 3.0 1.10 2011. She would seek a second term in October 2014. • Brazil is a member of the UN, BRIC, G-20, and Mercosur. 1.05 0.0 Socio-economic Background 2010 2012 2014e • Brazil is the fifth-largest country in terms of population. IBGE Real GDP (LHS) % Change (RHS) estimates Brazil‘s population to have crossed 200 million in 2013. Source: IMF data and estimates The country‘s population is expected to reach 228.4 million in 2042, with an average life expectancy of more than 80 years. Current Account Balance, % GDP Economic Summary USD bn, unless specified 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0.0 Population (mn) 191.5 193.3 194.9 196.5 198.3 Growth (%) 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9 (1.5) In % GDP/Capita Growth (%) 5.8 15.3 8.9 5.2 9.2 Government Revenue 484 600 651 710 772 (2.2) (2.1) Government Expenditure 529 645 697 762 840 (3.0) (2.4) Tax Revenue (% of GDP) 32.3 32.4 NA NA NA FDI Inflows 26 49 67 65 NA (3.6) (3.6) PPP (BRL/USD) 1.63 1.74 1.83 1.88 2.00 (4.5) 2010 2012 2014e Foreign Population ( % of Total) NA NA NA NA NA Source: IMF data and estimates, OECD; Note: GDP/capita growth is in nominal Source: IMF data and estimates terms; Government revenue and expenditure are converted to USD using the Jan–Apr BRL/USD average exchange rate of 0.43 from Oanda 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 9
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW 2010 World Cup Performance Round-up Current Squad • Brazil ranked first among the 10 CONMEBOL members, Player DoB Club Caps Goals as per the May 2014 FIFA/Coca-Cola Rankings. At the Goalkeepers top of the Brazilian football league system is the annual Brazilian football club tournament – Campeonato Júlio César* 03-Sep-79 Toronto 78 0 Brasileiro Série A. Cruzeiro ranked first among the 20 Jefferson 02-Jan-83 Botafogo 9 0 clubs that participated in Série A during the 2013 Victor 21-Jan-83 Atlético Mineiro 6 0 season. Defenders • Brazil is the most successful national team at the FIFA David Luiz 22-Apr-87 Chelsea 34 0 World Cup, winning the title five times (1958, 1962, Dante 18-Oct-83 Bayern München 11 2 1970, 1994, and 2002) and finishing second twice Thiago Silva (c) 22-Sep-84 Paris St-Germain 45 2 (1950 and 1998). Moreover, Brazil is the only country Marcelo 12-May-88 Real Madrid 29 4 to have participated in every edition of the World Cup. As a host nation, it is a clear favorite to win this year‘s Dani Alves 06-May-83 Barcelona 72 5 tournament. Of the 19 World Cups so far, 6 Henrique 14-Oct-86 Napoli 4 0 tournaments have been won by the host country. Maicon 26-Jul-81 Roma 70 7 However, Brazil is not part of that list. Maxwell 27-Aug-81 Paris St-Germain 7 0 • At the 2010 World Cup, in the group stage, Brazil won Midfielders two games and drew the match against Portugal. The Oscar 09-Sep-91 Chelsea 29 9 team defeated Korea and Côte d'Ivoire by 2-1 and 3-1, respectively. Brazil claimed its third World Cup victory Ramires 24-Mar-87 Chelsea 41 4 over Chile in the round of 16 by a comfortable margin Paulinho 25-Jul-88 Tottenham 25 5 of 3-0 to face the Netherlands in the quarter-final, Luiz Gustavo 23-Jul-87 Wolfsburg 17 1 which it lost by 1-2. Fernandinho 04-May-85 Man. City 6 1 • Brazil was one of the top five scorers of the tournament Willian 09-Aug-88 Chelsea 5 1 with nine goals. Luis Fabiano was the highest scorer for Hernanes 29-May-85 Internazionale 23 2 the team, scoring three times, followed by Elano. Forwards • Carlos Caetano Bledorn Verri, popularly known as Fred 03-Oct-83 Fluminense 31 16 Dunga, was the coach of the national team during the 2010 World Cup, but he was dismissed following the Bernard 08-Sep-92 Shakhtar Donetsk 10 1 team‘s dismal performance. The current coach Luiz Neymar 05-Feb-92 Barcelona 47 30 Felipe Scolari had previously led the team to victory Hulk 25-Jul-86 Zenit 33 8 during the 2002 FIFA World Cup and the last year‘s Jô 20-Mar-87 Atlético Mineiro 15 5 Confederations Cup - Brazil defeated Spain in that final. Coach: Luiz Felipe Scolari Scolari's favorite formation is known to be a flexible 4- Source: fifa.com, bbc.com; Note: Current squad consists of 2-3-1. players included in the final 2014 World Cup squad; ‗c‘ denotes • The Brazilian team could be difficult to beat at captain; *César is on loan from QPR home. Striker Neymar would play a key role during the World Cup, supported by Hulk, defenders Dani Alves, David Luiz and Thiago Silva, and veteran goal keeper Júlio César. • Brazil is the strongest contender to win the championship. According to BSports’s StatsInsights, Brazil has more than 20% chance of winning the 2014 FIFA World Cup, clearly reflecting the advantage of playing on home soil. FIFA 2014: Group Stage Match Schedule 2010 FIFA World Cup Results Date Time Venue Against Matches Played: 5 Goals For: 9 Goals Against: 4 Arena de Sao Paulo, Sao 12 June 17:00 Croatia Paulo 1 Estadio Castelao, Won 17 June 16:00 Mexico Fortaleza Drawn Estadio Nacional, 1 3 23 June 17:00 Cameroon Lost Brasilia Source: fifa.com Source: fifa.com 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 10
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW Mexico (MEX) Economy-USD1,259bn/ HDI-61/ FIFA-19 Economy and Football Going from Strength to Strength Economic Performance Country Details • Officially known as United Mexican States, Mexico is Latin Region Central America America‘s second-largest economy. The country‘s economic growth Currency Mexican Peso slowed down to 1.1% in 2013 compared with the average growth Area Sq. Km. 1,964,375 of 4.3% during 2010–12, led by weakness in exports and major Population Mn 118.4 contraction in the construction sector. Urban Population % 78.4 • In 2013, annual inflation stood at 3.97%, toward the higher end of Urban Population Growth % 1.2 the central bank‘s 2–4% target range. However, in March 2014, inflation eased to 3.76% after soaring to a seven-month high of Source: IMF, UN data, CIA; Note: Urban population and growth thereof corresponds to 4.48% in January 2014, on introduction of new taxes. The bank 2012 and 2010–15, respectively expects inflation to remain within the target range in 2014. • The economy is likely to benefit from the structural reforms Trade Balance 2013 initiated by President Enrique Peña Nieto. Key reforms focus on Import USD bn 419 energy, financial, education, and telecommunication sectors along Export USD bn 400 with fiscal, labor, and governance and transparency issues. The government has allocated MXN7.7 billion toward its National Balance USD bn (19) Infrastructure Program 2014–18. Source: WTO; Note: Trade figures include merchandise and commercial services • Mexico is the second-largest tourist destination in North America, with tourism being one of the key sectors driving economic growth. Economic Indicators The government plans to spend MXN180 billion to turn the country into a global leader in the tourism industry. 2012 2013 2014e • The government expects steady economic performance in 2014, GDP (USD bn) 1,184 1,259 1,288 driven by expected increase in public spending and greater GDP/capita (USD) 10,111 10,630 10,767 external demand due to recovery in the US market. The IMF Unemployment (%) 5.0 4.9 4.5 estimates the economy to grow at 3% in 2014. CPI 105.2 109.2 113.6 • Moody‘s upgraded Mexico‘s rating to A3 from Baa1 with a stable Source: IMF data and estimates; Note: GDP is in outlook, making it the second Latin American country after Chile nominal terms with an A rating. Moody‘s raised the rating on account of improved growth prospects led by the economic reforms. Economic Growth Political Structure 14.00 6.0 • Mexico is a federal constitutional republic where the president is the head of state and government. 13.00 4.0 MXN tn • It is a member of various organizations, including the G-15, G-20, In % NAFTA, OECD, APEC, UN, and WTO. 12.00 2.0 Socio-economic Background • According to Demographia (May 2014 edition), Mexico City is the ninth-largest urban agglomeration in the world. 11.00 0.0 st 2010 2012 2014e • In 2012, Mexico ranked 61 on the World Bank‘s Human Development Index (HDI) and is characterized as an upper middle- Real GDP (LHS) % Change (RHS) income country. Source: IMF data and estimates Economic Summary Current Account Balance, % GDP USD bn, unless specified 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0.0 Population (mn) 112.6 114.3 115.7 117.1 118.4 (0.3) Growth (%) 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.1 (1.0) GDP/Capita Growth (%) (2.9) 8.2 8.1 6.0 2.0 In % (1.1) Government Revenue 202 226 252 277 284 (1.2) Government Expenditure 249 269 289 320 331 (2.0) (1.8) (1.9) Tax Revenue (% of GDP) 17.4 18.9 19.7 NA NA FDI Inflows 17 23 24 15 NA PPP (MXN/USD) 8.03 8.29 8.55 8.68 8.72 (3.0) Foreign Population ( % of Total) NA NA NA NA NA 2010 2012 2014e Source: IMF data and estimates, OECD; Note: GDP/capita growth is in nominal Source: IMF data and estimates terms; government revenue and expenditure are converted to USD using the Jan–Apr MXN/USD average exchange rate of 0.08 from Oanda 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 11
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW 2010 World Cup Performance Round-up Current Squad • Officially known as Liga Bancomer MX, the Primera Player DoB Club Caps Goals División is the highest professional football league in Goalkeepers Mexico. As of May 2014, Mexico ranked second among Alfredo Talavera 18-Sep-82 Toluca 13 0 the CONCACAF countries. Contested by 18 clubs, Cruz José Corona 26-Jan-81 Cruz Azul 32 0 Azul topped the 1a División 2014 Clau table. Guillermo Ochoa 13-Jul-85 Ajaccio 54 0 • In its last fourteen World Cup appearances, Mexico has Defenders qualified for the quarter-finals only twice – 1970 and Francisco Rodríguez 20-Oct-81 América 90 1 1986 – both the times on home ground. On every other Miguel Layún 25-Jun-88 América 10 0 occasion, including the World Cup in South Africa 2010, Rafael Márquez (c) 13-Feb-79 Guadalajara 120 15 it was eliminated in the round of 16. Despite being a Paul Aguilar 06-Mar-86 América 26 3 regional football powerhouse, El Tri, as the team is nicknamed, won only two of its 10 qualifying games, Andrés Guardado 28-Sep-86 Bayer Leverkusen 98 14 finishing fourth in the final CONCACAF six-nation group Héctor Moreno 17-Jan-88 Espanyol 50 1 phase. Mexico appeared in a play-off against New Diego Reyes 19-Sep-92 Porto 12 0 Zealand and qualified for its sixth consecutive World Carlos Salcido 02-Apr-80 Tigres 117 10 Cup after defeating New Zealand. Midfielders Carlos Peña 29-Mar-90 León 13 2 • In the 2010 FIFA World Cup, the team‘s performance Isaác Brizuela 28-Aug-90 Toluca 5 0 was dismal as it lost more matches than it won. Mexico Marco Fabián 21-Jul-89 Cruz Azul 11 3 was grouped with Uruguay, France, and the host country South Africa. It faced South Africa in the Miguel Ponce 12-Apr-89 Toluca 5 0 opening match of the tournament, which ended in a 1-1 Javier Aquino 11-Feb-90 Villarreal 21 0 draw. El Tri qualified for the next round following a 2-0 Héctor Herrera 19-Apr-90 Porto 10 0 victory over France. However, it lost two successive José Juan Vázquez 14-Mar-88 León 2 0 matches, the third group stage match against Uruguay Forwards (0-1) and the round-of-16 match against Argentina (1- Alan Pulido 08-Mar-91 UANL 3 4 3). With this, Argentina claimed its second round-of-16 Raúl Jiménez 05-May-91 América 21 4 victory over Mexico in FIFA World Cup. Giovani dos Santos 11-May-89 Villarreal 71 14 • Out of the four goals scored by Mexico in the Javier Hernández 01-Jun-88 Man. United 58 35 tournament, striker Javier Hernández scored two and Oribe Peralta 12-Jan-84 Santos Laguna 26 16 Rafael Márquez and Cuauhtemoc Blanco scored one Coach: Miguel Herrera goal each. Source: fifa.com, bbc.com, Guadalajara official website; Note: Current squad consists of players included in the final 2014 World • The Mexican team was coached by Javier Aguirre, Cup squad; ‗c‘ denotes captain popularly known as El Vasco, for the 2010 championship. He resigned after the tournament. Current national coach Miguel Herrera, nicknamed Piojo, replaced Víctor Manuel Vucetich in October 2013, making him team‘s fourth coach in less than two months. He prefers the attack-minded 3-5-2 formation. • After constant coaching changes, it is highly difficult to predict as to how the team would perform. However, key El Tri players would be Javier Hernández, Rafael Márquez and Giovani dos Santos, as well as young players such as Oribe Peralta, Raúl Jiménez, and Carlos Peña. • Mexico is expected to qualify for the round of 16, but is less likely to make it any further, according to BSports’s estimates. FIFA 2014: Group Stage Match Schedule 2010 FIFA World Cup Results Date Time Venue Against Matches Played: 4 Goals For: 4 Goals Against: 5 13 June 13:00 Estadio das Dunas, Natal Cameroon 1 Estadio Castelao, Won 17 June 16:00 Brazil Fortaleza 2 Drawn Arena Pernambuco, 23 June 17:00 Croatia Lost Recife 1 Source: fifa.com Source: fifa.com 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 12
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW Croatia (CRO) Economy-USD58bn/ HDI-47/ FIFA-20 Facing a Prolonged Economic and Footballing crisis Economic Performance Country Details • The Republic of Croatia was adversely impacted by the 2008 Region Southern Europe financial crisis. Consequently, the country‘s economy shrunk Currency Kuna almost 12% relative to the 2008 level. Croatia entered the fifth Area Sq. Km. 56,594 year of recession in 2013, as the real GDP contracted 1% y/y, led Population Mn 4.3 by a decline in exports and manufacturing. Domestic demand Urban Population % 58.1 remains subdued as households and corporations focus on Urban Population Growth % 0.4 reducing excessive debt levels. Moreover, FDI remains depressed Source: IMF, UN data, CIA; Note: Urban and stood at EUR530 million for 9M13 compared with EUR1.1 population and growth thereof corresponds to 2012 billion during 9M11. and 2010–15, respectively • Resulting from persistent recession, Croatia‘s unemployment rate Trade Balance 2013 stood at 21.1% in April 2014, with youth unemployment at over 40%, one of the highest in Europe. To ensure sustained growth, Import USD bn 25 government needs to address labor market rigidity and improve Export USD bn 25 business environment. Balance USD bn (0) • In July 2013, Croatia became the 28th member state of the EU. So Source: WTO; Note: Trade figures include merchandise and commercial services far, Croatia‘s accession to the EU has not benefitted the country as expected. Nonetheless, foreign investment as well as tourism is Economic Indicators likely to increase, in addition to access to European funds. However, Croatia is currently under the EU‘s excessive deficit 2012 2013 2014e procedure (EDP), as its estimated fiscal deficit is above 3%. In GDP (USD bn) 56 58 60 2013, the country‘s deficit and debt were around 5.5% and 60% GDP/capita (USD) 13,119 13,562 13,961 of GDP, respectively, as per IMF estimates. Unemployment (%) 16.1 16.5 16.8 • The IMF forecasts Croatia‘s economy to contract further (almost CPI 105.8 108.1 108.6 1%) in 2014. While domestic demand and fiscal consolidation are Source: IMF data and estimates; Note: GDP is in nominal terms likely to remain weak, exports would improve due to an expected uptick in activity in the Eurozone. In March 2014, Moody‘s lowered Croatia‘s Ba1 rating outlook to negative from stable owing to an Economic Growth unfavorable economic outlook. 0.28 2.0 Political Structure • Croatia is a parliamentary representative democratic republic, 0.27 0.0 HRK tn In % where the Prime Minister (presently, Zoran Milanović) is the head of the government. Executive power is exercised by the President 0.26 (2.0) and the government. • The country is a member of various organizations, including the EU, UN, Council of Europe, NATO, and WTO. 0.25 (4.0) 2010 2012 2014e Socio-economic Background • In 2012, Croatia ranked very high (47th) on the World Bank‘s Real GDP (LHS) % Change (RHS) Human Development Index (HDI). Source: IMF data and estimates Current Account Balance, % GDP Economic Summary 2.0 1.5 USD bn, unless specified 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1.2 Population (mn) 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 0.0 Growth (%) (0.2) (0.3) (0.2) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) In % GDP/Capita Growth (%) (4.1) (1.2) 1.7 (0.1) 0.1 (2.0) (1.2) (0.9) Government Revenue 23 22 22 23 22 Government Expenditure 25 25 25 25 26 (4.0) Tax Revenue (% of GDP) 19.4 19.2 18.4 NA NA FDI Inflows 4 1 1 1 1* (6.0) PPP (HRK/USD) 4.26 4.24 4.24 4.24 4.22 2010 2012 2014e Foreign Population ( % of Total) NA NA NA NA NA Source: IMF data and estimates, Indexmundi, Croatian National Bank; Note: Source: IMF data and estimates GDP/capita growth is in nominal terms; Government revenue and expenditure, and FDI inflows are converted to USD using the Jan–Apr HRK/USD and EUR/USD average exchange rate of 0.18 and 1.37, respectively, from Oanda; *Estimated 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 13
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW 2006 World Cup Performance Roundup Current Squad • Prva HNL or 1. HNL is the highest football league Player DoB Club Caps Goals championship in Croatia. Officially known as MAXtv Goalkeepers Prva Liga, it ranked 20th among European countries, Stipe Pletikosa 08-Jan-79 Rostov 109 0 according to the UEFA‘s league coefficients. Contested Danijel Subašić 27-Oct-84 Monaco 6 0 by 10 teams, Dinamo Zagreb topped the league in the Oliver Zelenika 14-May-93 Lokomotiva 0 0 2013–14 season. Defenders • Croatia has made three appearances at the World Cup Vedran Ćorluka 05-Feb-86 Lokomotiv Moscow 71 4 since it separated from Yugoslavia in 1990. In its Dejan Lovren 05-Jul-89 Southampton 24 2 maiden tournament, held in France in 1998, the team Danijel Pranjić 02-Dec-81 Panathinaikos 49 0 finished third. In subsequent World Cup finals (2002 G. Schildenfeld 18-Mar-85 Panathinaikos 20 0 and 2006), it was eliminated at the group stage. Croatia could not qualify for the 2010 tournament. Darijo Srna (c) 01-May-82 Shakhtar Donetsk 111 21 Domagoj Vida 29-Apr-89 Dynamo Kyiv 21 1 • In 2006, Croatia was placed with Brazil, Australia, and Šime Vrsaljko 10-Jan-92 Genoa 5 0 Japan. The team played three matches in the Midfielders tournament, of which it lost in one and the other two ended in stalemate. Croatia started on a losing note, in Marcelo Brozović 16-Nov-92 Dinamo Zagreb 0 0 its opening match to Brazil 0-1. The team managed Mateo Kovačić 06-May-94 Internazionale 8 0 draws against Japan (0-0) and Australia (2-2). The Ivan Močinić 30-Apr-93 Rijeka 0 0 indifferent performance led to the elimination at the Luka Modrić 09-Sep-85 Real Madrid 73 8 group stage for the second time. Ivan Perišić 02-Feb-89 Wolfsburg 27 1 • Zlatko Kranjcar guided the Croatian national team Ivan Rakitić 10-Mar-88 Sevilla 60 9 during the 2006 World Cup. However, he was replaced Sammir 23-Apr-87 Getafe 4 0 following the team‘s disappointing performance in the Ognjen Vukojević 20-Dec-83 Dynamo Kyiv 54 4 tournament. Niko Kovač, who captained the team in Forwards 2006, is the current national coach. Croatia has a Eduardo 25-Feb-83 Shakhtar Donetsk 61 29 strong midfield, and Kovač could employ a 4-2-3-1 or Nikica Jelavić 27-Aug-85 Hull City 31 5 4-3-3 formation at the 2014 World Cup in Brazil. Mario Mandžukić 21-May-86 Bayern München 48 13 • Some of the key players to watch out for are Ivica Olić 14-Sep-79 Wolfsburg 90 18 Captain and defender Darijo Srna, midfielders Ante Rebić 21-Sep-93 Fiorentina 3 1 Luka Modrić, Ivan Rakitić, and Mateo Kovačić, and Coach: Niko Kovač forwards Eduardo, Ivica Olić, Nikica Jelavić, and Source: fifa.com, bbc.com; Note: Current squad consists of Mario Mandžukić. players included in the final 2014 World Cup squad; ‗c‘ denotes • Croatia is in a tough group with the tournament’s captain favorites Brazil, Cameroon, and Mexico. According to BSports’s StatsInsights, the team has the third highest (38.3%) chance, after Brazil and Mexico, of making it to the top 16. Barring any major upset, we don’t expect Croatia to make it to the round of 16. FIFA 2014: Group Stage Match Schedule 2006 FIFA World Cup Results Date Time Venue Against Matches Played: 3 Goals For: 2 Goals Against: 3 Arena de Sao Paulo, Sao 12 June 17:00 Brazil Paulo Arena Amazonia, 1 Won 18 June 18:00 Cameroon Manaus Drawn Arena Pernambuco, 23 June 17:00 Mexico 2 Lost Recife Source: fifa.com Source: fifa.com 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 14
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW Cameroon (CMR) Economy-USD28bn/ HDI-150/ FIFA-50 Underachieving – Both Economy and the Team Economic Performance Country Details • Rich in natural resources, Cameroon, the ‗hinge of Africa‘, is the Region Central Africa largest economy in the six-nation Central African Economic and Currency CFA Franc Monetary Community (CEMAC) bloc. The IMF estimates Area Sq. Km. 475,650 Cameroon‘s economy grew at a real rate of 5.5% in 2013, up from Population Mn 22.0 4.6% in 2012, driven by sustained infrastructure investment and Urban Population % 52.7 strong performances by the oil & gas and tertiary sectors. This is Urban Population Growth % 3.2 well below the government‘s and CEMAC‘s forecast of 6.1% and Source: IMF, UN data, CIA; Note: Urban 6.7%, respectively. However, the economy would need to expand population and growth thereof corresponds to 2012 at a much higher pace for the country to achieve an ―emerging and 2010–15, respectively nation‖ status by 2035 as envisaged by the government‘s Vision 2035. Trade Balance 2013 • Inflation remained low and within CEMAC‘s threshold at 2.1% in Import USD bn 9 2013, according to IMF estimates. Meanwhile, Cameroon‘s Export USD bn 6 unemployment levels remain structurally high at over 50%, Balance USD bn (3) according to market sources. Moreover, the IMF estimates Source: WTO; Note: Trade figures include Cameroon‘s fiscal deficit expanded to 4.1% of GDP in 2013 from merchandise and commercial services; Merchandise exports and imports are only for East 2.5% in 2012. This can be ascribed to a rise in investment Cameroon expenditure and fuel subsidies. The fiscal gap is likely to widen to 5.7% in 2015. Economic Indicators • Cameroon‘s business environment needs to improve significantly 2012 2013 2014e to attract private investment. It ranked 168th in the World Bank‘s GDP (USD bn) 25 28 31 2014 Doing Business report (161st in 2013 edition). GDP/capita (USD) 1,181 1,271 1,370 • The IMF expects GDP growth to stabilize at about 5.5% in 2014, Unemployment (%) NA NA NA led by higher oil production, sustained capital expenditure, and CPI 227.4 232.0 237.8 strong domestic demand. Moreover, in December 2013, Fitch Source: IMF data and estimates; Note: GDP is in affirmed Cameroon‘s B rating with a stable outlook. nominal terms Political Structure • Cameroon is a unitary presidential republic where the president is Economic Growth (real) the head of state and government. Paul Biya, one of Africa‘s 11.50 6.0 longest-serving presidents, has been in power since November 1982. 10.50 5.0 • Cameroon is a member of various organizations, including the UN, XAF tn In % African Union, CEMAC, and WTO. 9.50 4.0 Socio-economic Background • Poverty, income inequality, and corruption remain key challenges. Cameroon has been unable to channelize its economic growth to 8.50 3.0 reduce poverty levels, which have stagnated at around 40% since 2010 2012 2014e 2001. Transparency International ranked Cameroon the 144th Real GDP (LHS) % Change (RHS) most corrupt country among 177 on its Corruption Perception Index 2013. Source: IMF data and estimates Economic Summary Current Account Balance, % GDP USD bn, unless specified 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0.0 Population (mn) 19.9 20.4 20.9 21.5 22.0 Growth (%) 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 (2.0) GDP/Capita Growth (%) (4.2) 3.8 5.3 4.9 4.2 In % Government Revenue 4 4 5 5 5 (3.0) (2.9) Government Expenditure 4 4 5 6 7 (4.0) (3.5) Tax Revenue (% of GDP) NA NA NA NA NA (4.0) (4.4) FDI Inflows 1 1 0 1 NA (6.0) PPP (XAF/USD) 246.48 250.84 255.11 257.71 259.12 2010 2012 2014e Foreign Population ( % of Total) NA NA NA NA NA Source: IMF data and estimates, UNCTAD; note: GDP/capita growth is in Source: IMF data and estimates nominal terms; government revenue and expenditure are converted to USD using the Jan–Apr XAF/USD average exchange rate of 0.002 from Oanda 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 15
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW 2010 World Cup Performance Round-up Current Squad • The Championnat du Cameroun de football is the Player DoB Club Caps Goals highest division of association football clubs in Goalkeepers Cameroon. Officially known as MTN Elite One, the Loïc Feudjou 14-Apr-92 Coton Sport 0 0 league comprises 14 clubs. Coton Sport FC ranked first Charles Itandje 02-Nov-82 Konyaspor 7 0 during the 2013 season. Sammy N'Djock 25-Feb-90 Fethiyespor 1 0 • Cameroon has qualified for seven World Cups (including Defenders Brazil 2014), the highest by any African team. The Benoit Assou-Ekotto 24-Mar-84 QPR 20 0 team, popularly known as the Indomitable Lions, Henri Bedimo 04-Jun-84 Lyon 28 0 delivered its finest performance in Italy 1990, when it Aurélien Chedjou 20-Jun-85 Galatasaray 29 1 reached the quarter-finals, becoming the continent‘s Cedric Djeugoue 28-Aug-92 Coton Sport 1 0 first country to do so. In all the following World Cups – 1994, 1998, 2002 and 2010 – and its debut tournament Nicolas N'Koulou 27-Mar-90 Marseille 44 0 in 1982, the team exited in the group stage. Dany Nounkeu 11-Apr-86 Beşiktaş 13 0 Allan Nyom 10-May-88 Granada 6 0 • The Indomitable Lions could not score a single point from the three matches it played during the 2010 World Midfielders Cup. Hence, the country was ranked 31st, just behind Eyong Enoh 23-Mar-86 Antalyaspor 32 2 North Korea, among 32 countries that participated in Jean Makoun 29-May-83 Rennes 67 5 the tournament. Cameroon could not live up to Joël Matip 08-Aug-91 Schalke 04 19 0 expectations, losing all three group-stage matches. In Stéphane Mbia* 20-May-86 Sevilla 48 3 its opening match against Japan, the Indomitable Lions Landry N'Guémo 28-Nov-85 Bordeaux 37 2 lost 0-1. Subsequently, the team was defeated by Edgar Salli 17-Aug-92 Lens 7 0 Denmark and Netherlands with the same score line (1- Alex Song 09-Sep-87 Barcelona 43 0 2). Forwards • Current captain Samuel Eto‘o scored the team‘s two Vincent Aboubakar 22-Jan-92 Lorient 23 2 goals. He gave Cameroon a lead in the match against Eric Choupo-Moting 23-Mar-89 Mainz 05 23 10 Denmark by netting his first goal. However, Denmark Samuel Eto'o (c) 10-Mar-81 Chelsea 113 54 defeated Cameroon by scoring the winning goal in the Benjamin Moukandjo 12-Nov-88 Nancy 13 2 61st minute. Eto‘s next goal came against the Dutch. Fabrice Olinga 12-May-96 Zulte Waregem 5 1 • Paul Le Guen coached the Indomitable Lions during the Pierre Webó 20-Jan-82 Fenerbahçe 52 18 2010 World Cup. However, he resigned in June 2010 Coach: Volker Finke after Cameroon became the first team to exit the World Source: fifa.com, bbc.com; Note: Current squad consists of Cup. In May 2013, Volker Finke was named the national players included in the final 2014 World Cup squad; ‗c‘ denotes coach. He had managed German football club SC captain; *Mbia is on loan from QPR Freiburg for 16 years (1991–2007). • Samuel Eto’o, who plays his fourth and probably last World Cup in 2014, would remain a threat up front. Supporting him would be midfielders Alex Song, Jean Makoun, and Stéphane Mbia, while Nicolas N'Koulou, Benoit Assou-Ekotto, and Aurélien Chedjou would be their main defenders. • The team is likely to be eliminated at the group stage. According to BSports’s StatsInsights, it has the lowest chance of qualifying for the round of 16 among the group countries. FIFA 2014: Group Stage Match Schedule 2010 FIFA World Cup Results Date Time Venue Against Matches Played: 3 Goals For: 2 Goals Against: 5 13 June 13:00 Estadio das Dunas, Natal Mexico Won Arena Amazonia, 18 June 18:00 Croatia Drawn Manaus Lost Estadio Nacional, 23 June 17:00 Brazil Brasilia 3 Source: fifa.com Source: fifa.com 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 16
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW GROUP B Spain | Chile | Netherlands | Australia 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 17
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW Spain (ESP) Economy-USD1,359bn/ HDI-23/ FIFA-1 Reigning Champion – Rising from Crisis Economic Performance Country Details • Spain, the fourth largest economy in the Eurozone, started Region Southern Europe displaying signs of recovery after it slipped into recession in 3Q08. Currency Euro The economy registered growth for two consecutive quarters – Area Sq. Km. 505,992 3Q13 and 4Q13. Spain‘s economy grew 0.3% in 4Q13, highest q/q Population Mn 46.6 increase in five years. However, on annual basis, the economy Urban Population % 77.6 shrank 1.2% y/y in 2013. Urban Population Growth % 1.0 • Unemployment continues to be the biggest challenge for Spain. Source: IMF, UN data, CIA; Note: Urban The labor market reforms introduced in February 2012 to tackle population and growth thereof corresponds to 2012 and 2010–15, respectively the situation resulted in a 0.3% q/q increase in seasonally adjusted employment rate in 4Q13 (for the first time since 2009). Trade Balance 2013 • Debt levels remain exceptionally high - as of February 2014, public Import USD bn 430 debt stood at EUR988 billion, equivalent to approximately 95% of Export USD bn 460 the annual GDP. Debt levels rose due to bad real estate debt following the collapse of the property market. However, ongoing Balance USD bn 30 financial sector reforms have helped banks to recognize losses and Source: WTO; Note: Trade figures include merchandise and commercial services clean up their balance sheets. • Inflation levels remain low - it stood at -0.15% in March 2014. Economic Indicators Separately, the downtrend in consumer prices reflects the absorption of VAT rate hike in September 2012. 2012 2013 2014e • Growth outlook for Spain is stronger as the IMF estimates GDP to GDP (USD bn) 1,323 1,359 1,415 rise 0.9% and 1% during 2014 and 2015, respectively. Moreover, GDP/capita (USD) 28,294 29,150 30,432 in December 2013, Moody‘s upgraded the country‘s credit rating Unemployment (%) 25.0 26.4 25.5 outlook to Stable from Negative. CPI 119.2 121.0 121.3 Political Structure Source: IMF data and estimates; Note: GDP is in nominal terms • Spain is a parliamentary monarchy - the monarch is the head of state, while the ―president of the government‖ (prime minister equivalent) holds the executive power. On December 20, 2011, Economic Growth Mariano Rajoy was elected ―president of the government‖. 1.06 2.0 • Spain is a member of the EU, UN, NATO, OECD, and WTO. 1.04 Socio-economic Background 0.0 EUR tn In % • Spain‘s population is expected to decline 5.6% in the next decade. 1.02 Mortality rate is projected to exceed the birth rate by 2017. (2.0) Furthermore, the financial crisis has led to a negative migratory 1.00 balance. According to the National Statistics Institute (INE), two persons would leave for every immigrant. 0.98 (4.0) 2010 2012 2014e • Catalonia, home to Spain‘s second-largest city Barcelona, is seeking independence from the country. Accordingly, Catalan Real GDP (LHS) % Change (RHS) President Artur Mas is likely to hold a self-determination referendum in November 2014, which was ruled unconstitutional Source: IMF data and estimates by the Constitutional Court of Spain in March 2014. Current Account Balance, % GDP Economic Summary 2.0 USD bn, unless specified 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0.7 0.8 Population (mn) 46.4 46.6 46.7 46.8 46.6 0.0 Growth (%) 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.1 (0.3) In % GDP/Capita Growth (%) (4.6) (0.5) (0.3) (1.7) (0.3) (2.0) (1.1) Government Revenue 505 527 520 525 533 Government Expenditure 665 665 658 676 634 (4.0) Tax Revenue (% of GDP) 30.9 32.5 32.2 32.9 NA (3.8) FDI Inflows 10 40 27 27 NA (4.5) PPP (EUR/USD) 0.78 0.77 0.76 0.74 0.74 (6.0) 2010 2012 2014e Foreign Population ( % of Total) NA 12.3 NA NA NA Source: IMF data and estimates, OECD; Note: GDP/capita growth is in nominal Source: IMF data and estimates terms; Government revenue and expenditure are converted to USD using the Jan–Apr EUR/USD average exchange rate of 1.37 from Oanda 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 18
It‘s Kick Off Time: Focus on Tactics, Not Statistics FOR THE PRIVILEGED FEW 2010 World Cup Performance Round-up Current Squad • Officially named Liga BBVA, La Liga or the Primera Player DoB Club Caps Goals División is the highest professional football division of Goalkeepers the Spanish football league system. It currently ranks Iker Casillas (c) 20-May-81 Real Madrid 153 0 first in Europe, according to the UEFA‘s league Pepe Reina 31-Aug-82 Napoli 31 0 coefficient ranking. In the 2013–14 season, Atlético David de Gea 07-Nov-90 Man. United 0 0 Madrid topped the 20 clubs that participated in La Liga, Defenders followed by Barcelona and Real Madrid. Raúl Albiol 04-Sep-85 Napoli 45 0 • Spain registered it‘s first-ever win at the finals of a FIFA Juanfran 09-Jan-85 Atlético Madrid 7 1 World Cup in 2010, defeating the Netherlands with a Sergio Ramos 30-Mar-86 Real Madrid 115 9 scoreline of 1-0. Spain became the eighth nation to win Jordi Alba 21-Mar-89 Barcelona 25 5 the Cup, led by Barcelona midfielder Andrés Iniesta‘s winning goal in the 116th minute. Javi Martínez 02-Sep-88 Bayern München 15 0 César Azpilicueta 28-Aug-89 Chelsea 5 0 • During the 2010 World Cup, Spain lost the first game to Gerard Piqué 02-Feb-87 Barcelona 59 4 Switzerland before winning the next two games at the Midfielders group stage. In the round of 16, Spain defeated Koke 08-Jan-92 Atlético Madrid 7 0 Portugal by 1-0 to face Paraguay in the quarter-finals. Andrés Iniesta 11-May-84 Barcelona 95 11 After winning the quarter-final by 1-0, Spain defeated Xavi Hernández 25-Jan-80 Barcelona 130 12 Germany in the semi-final, again by 1-0. Cesc Fàbregas 04-May-87 Barcelona 87 13 • Spain won the World Cup with eight goals, the Xabi Alonso 25-Nov-81 Real Madrid 109 15 fewest goals scored by a World Cup-winning Sergi Busquets 16-Jul-88 Barcelona 64 0 team. Captain Iker Casillas, one of the world‘s finest Santi Cazorla 13-Dec-84 Arsenal 62 11 keepers, received the Adidas Golden Glove for the best Juan Mata 28-Apr-88 Man. United 32 9 goalkeeper. Notable performances were displayed by David Silva 08-Jan-86 Man. City 78 20 pass-master Xavi Hernández and leading scorer David Forwards Villa. Villa scored five of the team‘s eight goals. Pedro Rodríguez 28-Jul-87 Barcelona 38 14 • Spain uses the tiki-taka style, characterized by short Diego Costa 07-Oct-88 Atlético Madrid 3 0 passing and maintaining possession while awaiting the Fernando Torres 20-Mar-84 Chelsea 106 36 chance to strike. The team is coached by Vicente Del David Villa 03-Dec-81 Atlético Madrid 95 56 Bosque who took over from Luis Aragones following the Coach: Vicente Del Bosque Euro 2008 win. Del Bosque is known to rely strongly Source: fifa.com, bbc.com; Note: Current squad consists of upon midfielders. He has also led Spain to victory in the players included in the final 2014 World Cup squad; ‗c‘ denotes European Championships hosted in 2012. captain • Players to watch out for during the 2014 World Cup would be Sergio Ramos, Jordi Alba, Pedro, Cesc Fàbregas and Álvaro Negredo, in addition to the keeper and captain Iker Casillas. • According to BSports’s StatInsights, the reigning world and European champion stands a 46.8% chance of qualifying to the quarter-finals and a 9.2% chance of winning the championship, after Brazil, Germany and Argentina in 2014. FIFA 2014: Group Stage Match Schedule 2010 FIFA World Cup Results Date Time Venue Against Matches Played: 7 Goals For: 8 Goals Against: 2 Arena Fonte Nova, 13 June 16:00 Netherlands Salvador 1 Estádio do Maracanã, 18 June 16:00 Chile Won Rio De Janeiro Drawn Arena da Baixada, 23 June 13:00 Australia Lost Curitiba 6 Source: fifa.com Source: fifa.com 2014 FIFA World Cup Report | 19
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