Investor Presentation - February 2019 - Investor Relations
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Forward-Looking Statements Statements contained in this presentation, other than statements of historical fact, particularly those anticipating future financial performance, business prospects, growth, operating strategies and similar matters are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements, which are generally identifiable by the use of the words "will," "believe," "expect," "intend," "anticipate," "estimate," "forecast," "project," "plan," and similar expressions, are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, are made as of the date hereof, and we undertake no duty or obligation to update them. Because actual results may differ materially from those suggested or implied by such forward-looking statements, you should not place undue reliance on them when deciding whether to buy, sell or hold the company’s securities. Our 2019 guidance is based on certain assumptions, which we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances. These include, without limitation, assumptions regarding the timing, cost and synergies expected from integration of acquisitions; impact of changes in U.S. tax laws and trade policies; changes in the macro environment; fluctuations in foreign currency rates and share count; changes in the competitive landscape, including ongoing uncertainties driven by the consolidation in the traditional office products channels, and consumer behavior; as well as other factors described below. Among the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from our forward-looking statements are: a relatively limited number of large customers account for a significant percentage of our sales; risks associated with foreign currency fluctuations; challenges related to the highly competitive business environments in which we operate, including ongoing uncertainties driven by the consolidation in the traditional office products channels; risks associated with shifts in the channels of distribution for our products; our ability to develop and market innovative products that meet consumer demands; our ability to grow profitably through acquisitions and expand our product assortment into new and adjacent categories; our ability to successfully integrate acquisitions and achieve the financial and other results anticipated at the time of acquisition, including synergies; the failure, inadequacy or interruption of our information technology systems or supporting infrastructure; risks associated with a cybersecurity incident or information security breach; our ability to successfully expand our business in emerging markets which generally expose us to greater financial, operational, regulatory and compliance and other risks; risks associated with raw material, labor and transportation availability and cost fluctuations; the effects of the U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act; risks associated with changes to U.S. government policies, including increased import tariffs and other changes in trade relations and policies; the impact of litigation or other legal proceedings; consumer spending decisions during periods of economic uncertainty or weakness; the risks associated with outsourcing production of certain of our products, our information technology systems and other administrative functions; the continued decline in the use of certain of our products; risks associated with seasonality; our failure to comply with applicable laws, rules and regulations and self-regulatory requirements and the costs of compliance; the sufficiency of investment returns on pension assets and risks related to actuarial assumptions; any impairment of our intangible assets; risks associated with our indebtedness, including our debt service obligations, limitations imposed by restrictive covenants and our ability to comply with financial ratios and tests; the bankruptcy or financial instability of our customers and suppliers; our failure to comply with customer contracts; our ability to secure, protect and maintain our intellectual property rights; product liability claims or regulatory actions; our ability to attract and retain key employees; the volatility of our stock price; material disruptions at one of our or our suppliers' major manufacturing or distribution facilities resulting from circumstances outside our control; and other risks and uncertainties described in "Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2017, in "Part II, Item 1A. Risk Factors" in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2018 and in other reports we file with the SEC. 2 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Reg. G – Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial measures, including comparable net sales, adjusted gross profit, adjusted gross profit margin, adjusted selling, general and administrative expenses, adjusted selling, general and administrative expense margin, adjusted operating income, adjusted operating income margin, adjusted net income, adjusted net income per share, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization ("EBITDA"), free cash flow, free cash flow yield, net leverage ratio, and normalized tax rate. We have included a description of each of these measures and a reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure in the tables attached to this presentation and on page 4 in the case of free cash flow yield. We sometimes refer to comparable net sales as comparable sales, adjusted gross profit margin as adjusted gross margin, adjusted operating income margin as adjusted operating margin and adjusted net income per share as adjusted earnings per share. We use the non-GAAP financial measures both in the internal evaluation and management of our business and to explain our results to stockholders and the investment community. Senior management’s incentive compensation is derived, in part, using certain of these measures. We believe these measures provide management and investors with a more complete understanding of our underlying operational results and trends, facilitate meaningful comparisons and enhance an overall understanding of our past financial performance and our future prospects. The non-GAAP results are an indication of our baseline performance before gains, losses or other charges that we considered to be outside our core operating results. The non-GAAP financial measures exclude certain items that may have a material impact upon our reported financial results such as unusual income tax items, restructuring and integration charges, acquisition-related expenses, the impact of foreign currency fluctuation and acquisitions, and other one-time or non-recurring items. These measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for, or superior to, the directly comparable GAAP financial measures and should be read in connection with the company’s financial statements presented in accordance with GAAP. This presentation also provides forward-looking non-GAAP adjusted earnings per share, free cash flow, normalized tax rate and net leverage ratio. We do not provide a reconciliation of forward-looking adjusted earnings per share, free cash flow, normalized tax rate or net leverage ratio to GAAP because the GAAP financial measure is not accessible on a forward-looking basis and reconciling information is not available without unreasonable effort due to the inherent difficulty of forecasting and quantifying certain amounts that are necessary for such a reconciliation, including adjustments that could be made for restructuring, integration and acquisition-related expenses, the variability of our tax rate and the impact of foreign currency fluctuation and acquisitions, and other charges reflected in our historical numbers. The probable significance of each of these items is high and, based on historical experience, could be material. 3 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
ACCO Brands at a Glance Designer, marketer and manufacturer of recognized consumer and end-user demanded brands used in businesses, schools, and homes Founded HQ Products Sold in Employees 1903 Lake Zurich, IL 100+ Countries ~6,800 2018 Revenue 2018 Adj. Net Income 2018 Adj. EPS Dividend Yield2 $1.94B $122.0M $1.14 2.7% 2018 FCF 2018 FCF Yield1 2018 Adj. EBITDA 2018 Adj. Gross Margin $160.9M 16.7% $291.6M 32.3% 2018 Revenue by Region 2018 Revenue by Category 2% US School products 6% Storage & organization 6% Europe 9% 7% 22% Binding, laminating, shredding 9% Aus./NZ 9% 42% Calendars & planning Lat AM Stapling & punching 10% White boards & easels 21% Canada 10% 31% Computer accessories APAC 14% Writing, drawing & tools 1. Represents FCF divided by market capitalization. Operating cash flow yield is 20.2% ($195M, including $34M of cap ex / (107M shares x $9 stock price). FCF yield is 16.7% ($161M FCF/ (107M shares x $9 stock price)). 5 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation 2. $0.24 dividend per share / $9 stock price
Diverse and Profitable Portfolio More than 75% of our net sales come from brands that occupy the #1 or #2 positions in the select product categories in which we compete Product Category % Revenue Primary Brands School products 22% Storage & organization 21% Binding, laminating, shredding 14% Calendars & planning 10% Stapling & punching 10% White boards & easels 9% Computer accessories 7% Writing, drawing & tools 7% 6 2018 sales ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Iconic Brands and Customers We have increased our Top 12 brands sales concentration in represent $1.5B of growing channels Top 10 customers sales (mass, e-tail and represent 40% of sales independent dealers) Mass merchandisers Improving industry e-tailers and conditions coupled with independent dealers our strategies create the have been taking share potential for significant from office superstores value creation 7 2018 sales ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Broad Geographic Reach with Long-term Growth Opportunities Our Global Reach (% of 2018 Revenue) Flat to +2% EMEA Revenue CAGR 2019-2021 31% • We expect growth in faster growing markets of 5%+ over the next 3 years in aggregate NA 48% • We expect North America to be flat to slightly down, with growth originating from EMEA and International regions Revenue CAGR Estimate 2019-2021 INT’L NA EMEA INT’L 20% -2% – 0% 0% – 2% 3% – 5% Segment Income (% of 2018 Adj. OI) NA EMEA INT’L 51% 28% 21% 8 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Large Addressable Market – Focused on Geographic Reach Emerging Markets $60B • Brazil, Mexico, Asia, Chile School & • Higher growth, fragmented routes to Office Market market (End-user prices) • Strong brands • Leverage cross-selling opportunities • Stable end-user demand • Scalability $10.2B • Business capabilities Market Adjacencies $5.5B Addressable Mature Markets Market • U.S., Western Europe, Australia, Canada, Japan • Strong brands $1.9B • Leading market position 2018 Sales • Low growth, highly concentrated • Manage for enhanced profitability 9 *Source: NPD Inc., management estimates ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
We are Committed to Sustainability Social Environmental Safety and Responsibility Responsibility Compliance We are committed to being Our commitment to By using environmentally responsible local and environmental responsible materials and global corporate citizens. sustainability is a driving producing products with Our ethical vision extends force behind our products sustainable business beyond compliance and and processes and reflects practices, we provide builds on a fundamental a company built on people with solutions they commitment to integrity, integrity, accountability, can feel good about. embracing diversity, and stewardship. teamwork, respect, and acting responsibly in our global community. Progress made toward our goal Donated ~$2M in cash and Reportable workplace of zero waste with 89% of total in-kind contributions to accidents have declined waste recycled in 2017 in charitable organizations in 2017 . nearly 60% since 2014 EMEA 10 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Strategy 11 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Strengthen and Grow – Strategic Imperatives Channel Category Country Continuing investment in Focusing product assortment Managing each country with a growing channels and in stable and growing tailored approach to margin management of categories while de- maximize future growth declining channels to fund emphasizing those in secular potential. growth. declines. Expanding into faster growing and more profitable category niches. Innovation Productivity Acquisitions Increasing value-add in our Driving cost reduction Making of accretive products, becoming more initiatives across the business acquisitions to shift portfolio premium driven, expanding units and corporate functions to faster growing categories, into new adjacent categories. to fund growth and protect geographies and consumer profitability. oriented brands. 12 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Productivity Initiatives GOAL • Pass through commodity and tariff-driven cost increases Reduce costs by 2% • Optimize customer program spending of COGS annually Operational • Continue footprint rationalization and insourcing initiatives and maintain gross margin target range • Generate incremental COGS savings through supply chain of 33% to 34% optimization • Executing on synergy savings from acquisitions • Improving productivity and efficiency of IT and Finance shared services through centralization, standardization, improved Achieve SG&A as a SG&A insourcing/outsourcing mix and automation % of sales of less • Deployment of specialty tools and robotic process automation; than 19.5% enables improved automation and reduced costs 13 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Continuing To Execute Upon Our Cost Savings Track Record 2018 2019 $11M $40-$45M $5M $5M $13M $32M $10M $6M $6M $20-$25M ($21M) $19M Productivity Acquisition Total Productivity Acquisition U.S. Total Savings Synergy Savings Synergy Cost Savings Savings Reduction (Esselte) (Esselte) Savings will be largely reinvested back into the business 14 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Advancing Product Development and Innovation Innovation focuses on generating new and exciting products in order to: GROW IN MORE Shift from office supplies business to consumer 1 ATTRACTIVE products company by expanding in new categories CATEGORIES Counteract effects of private label with new products COUNTERACT under Mead, Hilroy, Tilibra, and Esselte brands to 2 PRIVATE LABEL maintain long-term health of the Company and brand relevance at competitive prices Accelerate innovation in existing categories to drive JUSTIFY PRICE 3 PREMIUMS demand for products the consumer wants and justify price premium vs. lower cost alternatives 15 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
1 Grow In More Attractive Categories • Market Overview: Expand into fast growing wellness category with a new range of air purifiers under the new TruSensTM brand. Global market for residential & portable air purifiers is estimated at $2B growing at 13% CAGR with the North American market estimated at $500M and 12% Experience the Difference CAGR • Consumer Insight: Indoor pollution is a growing concern…consumers want to understand their air quality and take control of the air they breathe • Point of Difference: TruSensTM air purifiers respond to the air you breathe utilizing proprietary features • SensorPod™ − Designed to measure air quality anywhere in the room and remotely drive and optimize purifier output accordingly • PureDirect™ − Proprietary dual air flow engineered to improve delivery of purified air throughout entire room – not just in vicinity of purifier • DuPont® branded Filters − Combined with Ultraviolet Lamp capture pollutants and destroy germs and viruses that can build up on filters, preventing re-circulation Global Launch − Q1 2019 16 16 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
2 Combating Private Label • The Mead® line is being expanded across our categories to satisfy the needs of value shoppers • The Mead® brand gives both independent dealers and retailers a trusted national brand to better compete against private label • We are adding 115 SKUs to the existing line of 85 items, creating a comprehensive value line across our categories 17 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
3 Justify Price Premiums • Leitz® is our largest global brand, covering multiple product categories, representing $184M in 2018 sales • In 2019, we are expanding the Leitz product offering to include Leitz® IQ shredders, which are quieter, have a modern design, and a wide range of models to choose from • All models are built for premium performance with up to 4 hours continuous run time, micro shredding for increased security, anti-jam technology, and simple state of the art touch controls • Kensington is a niche global brand in computer accessories • In 2019 we are adding a docking station exclusively designed for Surface Pro, certified by Microsoft • Powerful Connectivity Experience with seamless charging, syncing, locking, and creative engagement via the touchscreen • Articulating Hinge allows users to position the Surface Pro at any angle • Versatile Video Connections 18 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Marketing and Demand Generation 2016 – 2018 2019 –2021 ACCO Sales by Channel: 2016-18 Actuals to 2021 Outlook CAGR CAGR (Actual) (Forecast) Independent/Wholesale/Tech(c) -2.8% 0 to 2% Mass/Other Retail 1.4% 3 to 5% ACCO Sales OSS -6.6% -7 to -5% D2C & D2B -6.7% 0 to 2% E-Commerce 9.2% 11 to 13% 2016 2017(a) 2018(b) 2019 2020 2021 a) Pro-forma including January '17 impact of Esselte acquisition b) Pro-forma including Barrilito data from January - June Channel share is strategically shifting to growing platforms like e-tail; deliberate move away from OSS will continue into future 19 *Source: company information and estimates ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Acquisitions Are Core to Our Growth Strategy Strategic Focus Areas Categories/ • Categories with proven growth potential 1. Geographies with • Geographies with demographic tailwinds Opportunity for Growth • More focus on consumer-oriented brands and categories • Acquired brands are market share leaders Complementary • Strong brand preference among end-user consumers 2. Brand Attributes • Ability to extend existing or acquired brands across new categories or geographies Channel • Increased diversity of channels to market 3. Diversity • Increased access to end-user consumer Financial Criteria Returns > WACC Achievable Cost Accretive to Cash Flow • Consolidating transactions to deliver Synergies and EPS +15% ROIC driven by synergies • Easily recognized cost synergies in • Accretive to EPS in 1-2 years • New category/geography SG&A, footprint consolidation, • Consistent and predictable cash flow transactions to deliver +10% ROIC and/or sourcing/manufacturing • Ability to pay down debt quickly and • Predictable costs and timing to reload realize synergies 20 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Recent Acquisitions PELIKAN ARTLINE ESSELTE GOBA INTERNACIONAL (2016) (2017) (2018) Leading distributor of academic, Leading European Premier marketer and seller of consumer and business manufacturer and marketer of school and craft products in products in Australia and office and consumer Mexico New Zealand products Key brand: Barrilito Extended reach into Extended into school and Expanded channel and consumer and school craft categories, diversified geographic presence categories, adds scale customer base • $104M cash transaction • $327M cash transaction • $38M net cash transaction • ~4.1x (6.1x pre-synergies) for • ~4.0x (5.6x pre-synergies) for • ~6.0x for incremental $6M of incremental $25M annual Adj. incremental $83M of annual Adj. Adj. EBITDA EBITDA, incl. $8M of synergies EBITDA, incl. $23M of synergies • Modest EPS accretion • Immediately accretive to EPS • ~$55M incremental FCF in Yr. 3 Note: Adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow of acquired company based on IFRS, not U.S. GAAP, and excluding charges 21 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
We Are Executing Our Strategy Expanding our • Acquisitions of Esselte, Pelikan Artline, GOBA global footprint Growing our portfolio • Esselte: Leitz® staplers, laminators, notebooks, Rapid® DIY tools of consumer • Pelikan Artline: Artline® pens and markers brands • GOBA: Barrilito® school and craft products Increasing our presence in growing channels and • Investing in growing channels of mass and e-tail diversifying customer • Acquisitions have diversified customer base in Europe and Mexico base • Raised synergies from Esselte to $32M, up from $23M by the end Achieving significant of 2019 cost synergies and • Targeting $40-45M of savings in 2019: $20-25M of annual productivities savings productivity improvements, $11M of savings in 2019 from recent actions in North America, and $10M of remaining synergies • Significant FCF generation Focusing on shareholder • Dividend added to capital allocation strategy in 2018 returns • Balance between dividend, debt reduction, share repurchases, and acquisitions 22 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
North America Overview 23 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Segment Overview – North America Manage the transition from office-centric business to consumer-centric business, while driving for margin expansion 2018 Key Statistics Description Primary Brands Designs, sources, Revenue $941M manufactures, and distributes school Revenue CAGR notebooks, calendars, -2% - 0% (2018-2021) whiteboards, storage and organization products % of Total 48% stapling, punching, Revenue laminating, binding, % of Total Adj. shredding products, and Operating 51% computer accessories Income among others, which are primarily used in schools, Regions U.S. Served Canada homes, and businesses 24 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Historical Financial Performance – North America ($M) Revenue Comparable Sales $1,025.7 $1,016.1 $999.0 $940.7 -3.2% -5.9% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2017 2018 Fx N/A N/A 0.2% -- Adjusted Operating Income Adjusted Operating Margin $158.2 14.9% 15.8% $149.8 $151.0 14.6% 13.1% $122.8 2015 2016 2017 2018 2015 2016 2017 2018 25 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Key Market Trends • Prior to 2018, our U.S. business had four straight years of profit improvements with moderate sales declines largely caused by the office superstore consolidation • Growth in mass and e-tail channels largely offset office superstore retail and distribution center closures • We were able to drive significant profitability improvements in our US business due to cost reductions and productivity improvements • It is largely the U.S. improvements that drove organic profit improvements in our total business prior to 2018 • We saw major increases in raw materials and logistics costs beginning in the spring of 2018, with paper, steel, transportation, and fuel up double digits from 2017 levels • We expect the U.S. channel environment to remain difficult, with declines at wholesalers and superstores, but their decline is expected to be mitigated by 26 growth in mass, e-tail, and tech channels ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Strategic Focus in North America 01 02 03 04 Defend the core, Offer direct sales Computer accessories, US is an attractive manage channel shift, and fulfillment as under our Kensington market for premium broaden channel alternatives to retail brand, is a significant products; plan to participation and or wholesale, enabled growth driver in the increase/refine our maintain share with by a common ERP. U.S. We plan to go-to-market traditional We will offer our accelerate docking investments to customers, expand products directly to station and accelerate sales. US distribution in value end-users and to ergonomic sales is the primary market channels, leverage independent dealers at through expanded for the wellness attractive vertical competitive prices VAR and direct category. We plan to markets, and distribution create a $10M reallocate investments direct/e-tail business to accelerate growth in TruSensTM air purifiers by 2021 27 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
EMEA Overview 28 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Segment Overview – EMEA The Esselte acquisition enabled a market leading position with broad scale in critical countries and a more diverse customer base, positioning us for growth in EMEA 2018 Key Statistics Description Primary Brands Designs, manufactures, Revenue $605M sources, and distributes storage and organization Revenue CAGR products, stapling, 0% - 2% (2018-2021) punching, laminating, binding, shredding % of Total 31% products, do-it-yourself Revenue tools, and computer % of Total Adj. accessories among ® Operating 28% others, which are primarily Income used in businesses, Europe homes, and schools Regions Middle East Served Africa 29 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Historical Financial Performance – EMEA ($M) Revenue Comparable Sales $605.2 1.6% $542.8 $199.7 $171.8 2015 2016 2017 2018 -10.2% Fx N/A N/A 0.5% 2.0% 2017 2018 Adjusted Operating Income Adjusted Operating Margin 11.1% $67.4 9.1% $49.5 5.5% 4.7% $11.0 $8.0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2015 2016 2017 2018 30 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Key Market Trends • Comparable sales were up ~2% in 2018, with broad growth of branded products, offsetting declines in private label sales and a significant customer insolvency • We had especially strong growth with Rexel® shredders, Kensington® computer accessories and Derwent art pencils • We have expanded catalog listings in EMEA for 2019, which we expect to drive continued positive sales momentum • We realized substantial cost synergies from the merger with Esselte, and margins for the year were up significantly 31 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Strategic Focus in EMEA 01 02 03 04 05 Defend the core, Leverage Continue to Enter and Leverage scale be the partner of distribution, invest in growing increase for improved choice, and relationships, and Kensington® volumes in profitability category captain brand equity to computer adjacent for all legacy grow business accessories, categories, office categories machines, and Derwent art including and accelerate visual supplies, and wellness, storage growth at e-tail communications Rapid® Tools boxes, and in continental notebooks Europe 32 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
International Overview 33 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Segment Overview – International Emerging markets present our best opportunity for growth; our strategies within each country are tailored to country’s growing categories and channels 2018 Key Statistics Description Primary Brands ® Designs, sources or Revenue $395M manufactures and ® distributes school Revenue CAGR notebooks, calendars, 3% - 5% (2018-2021) whiteboards, storage and organization products, % of Total 20% stapling, punching, Revenue laminating, binding, % of Total Adj. shredding products, ® Operating 21% writing instruments and, Income janitorial supplies among Latin America others, which are primarily Regions Served Australia used in schools, businesses, Asia and homes ® 34 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Historical Financial Performance – International ($M) Revenue Comparable Sales 2.6% $407.0 $395.3 $369.2 $285.0 -2.5% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2017 2018 Fx N/A N/A 2.6% (5.4%) Adjusted Operating Income Adjusted Operating Margin $56.2 $57.1 15.2% $50.7 14.0% 12.8% 10.2% $29.1 2015 2016 2017 2018 2015 2016 2017 2018 35 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Key Market Trends • Sequential comparable sales improvement every quarter throughout 2018 • Despite a difficult economy, sales in Brazil were up high single-digits. Sell-in for 2018-2019 back-to-school was very strong. Business confidence in the country has improved and GDP growth is forecasted to increase • Australia and Mexico had a challenging start to 2018 as customers reduced inventory and two customers merged • Very pleased with the initial 6 months of the GOBA acquisition and believe our combined Mexican business is positioned for strong growth in 2019 • Select investments to grow organically outside of our core regions in Asia are beginning to take hold • There is improving momentum within International, and altogether, we expect mid- single digit organic sales growth in 2019 36 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Strategic Focus in International Australia/New Latin Zealand Brazil America Asia $169M sales in 2018 $108M sales in 2018 $70M sales in 2018 $48M sales in 2018 • Build branded • Drive core school • Leverage GOBA • Establish offering to reclaim business, with acquisition to grow relationships with share from private relevant licenses, in traditional key distributors and label and design to grow channels e-tailers and set up share local fulfillment in • Drive demand on • Place emphasis on India consumer-based • Expand offering sales beyond our categories outside of school core categories • Grow sales of e- categories (e.g., commerce, • Drive growth in new computer products) Derwent, and • Expand distribution channels, especially Kensington products e-tail and education • Diversify channels • Leverage global/regional • Expand distribution products to expand in both categories key assortment and countries outside of our core 2019-2021 REVENUE CAGR ~ Flat High single-digits Mid single-digits High single-digits 37 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Financial Overview 38 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Key Messages Strong balance History of profit History of cost sheet and targeted improvement and reduction execution net leverage to be strong execution in with 2019 plan in in the 2.0 – 2.5x a consolidating place to save range; currently industry $40M - $45M 2.8x Committed to Strong M&A generating capability with shareholder return capacity to grow through executing strategically our strategy 39 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Historical Financial Performance ($B) Revenue Comparable Sales $1.95 $1.94 $1.69 $1.51 $1.56 -1.0% -2.3% -3.3% -3.1% -3.8% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 ($M) Adjusted Operating Income/Margin Adjusted EPS $1.19 $1.14 $222 $250 $203 19.0% $175 $178 $0.80 $0.87 $0.78 $200 17.0% $155 15.0% $150 13.0% $100 11.0% 11.4% 11.4% 10.4% 10.2% 10.5% 9.0% $50 7.0% $0 5.0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 40 *Not pro forma for acquisitions ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Debt Capital Structure Balance1 Interest Rate Facility ($M) Methodology Rate ($M) Net Debt $500M $863 LIBOR+150 bps, 30 $821 multicurrency $181 3.76% $747 bps unused $674 $661 revolver Euro LIBOR+150 bps EUR Term Loan A $289 1.50% (LIBOR floor 0%) Australian BBSR+150 AUD Term Loan A $43 3.56% bps 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Subtotal Senior secured credit $513 Weighted average 2.47% facilities Net Leverage Ratio 2.9x Senior unsecured 2.8x 2.8x $375 5.25% fixed 5.25% notes 2.7x Weighted average 2.5x Total Debt $888 3.64% interest rate Debt largely consisting of No significant debt 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 variable rate foreign term maturities until 2022 loans and credit facilities 1 As of December 31, 2018 41 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Historical Cash Flow & Leverage ($M) Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow $205 $178 $195 $172 $171 $167 $161 $150 $146 $147 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2018 cash conversion rate Free cash flow yield of of 182%1 16.7%2 1$195M OCF / Adj. Net Income of $107M 2Represents FCF divided by market capitalization. Operating cash flow yield is 20.2% ($195M, including $34M of cap ex / (107M shares x 42 $9 stock price). FCF yield is 16.7% ($161M FCF/ (107M shares x $9 stock price)). ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
M&A Scorecard Against Acquisition Criteria ADDED CHANNEL/ SCALE/ ANNUALIZED ANNUALIZED EST. KEY MARKET MARKET GLOBAL SALES EBITDA* SYNERGIES YEAR BRANDS LEADER DIVERSITY PRESENCE ($M) ($M) ($M) 2012 $744 $152 $21 2016 $112 $17 $8 2017 $454 $60 $23 2018 $41 $6M NM Volatile market Consolidating global environment can create industry attractive opportunities Note: Sales and Adjusted EBITDA of acquired company based on IFRS, not U.S. GAAP, and excluding charges 43 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
2019 Guidance As of 2/13/2019 Sales Growth -3% to 0% Adj. EPS1 $1.10 – $1.20 Free Cash Flow $165M – $175M 1 Includes assumption for a $(0.03) Fx impact, based on recent spot rates, and a tax rate of 30-31%. 44 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
2019 Modeling Assumptions $M 2018 Actual 2019 Estimate1 Capital Expenditures $34 $35 Cash Restructuring / Integration Expenses2 $21 $8 Cash Interest, net $33 $34 Book Interest Expense, net $37 $36 Net Working Capital Source $17 Source Pension $21 $21 Depreciation $34 $35 Amortization $37 $35 Stock Comp Expense $9 $13 Cash Taxes $34 $48 Normalized Tax Rate 30% 30% – 31% Diluted Shares (ex. future repurchases) 107 105 1 Assumptions based on foreign exchange spot rates as of 12/31/2018. 2 2018 includes $6M of cash costs for the Esselte acquisition and $15M of cash restructuring costs; 2019 includes cash restructuring costs of $8M. 45 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Invest With Us as We Transform Our Company Focused on More than 75% of net Leading branded Scale, strategies and increasing sales sales from brands that supplier of consumer capabilities to concentration to faster occupy the #1 and #2 and business significantly grow growing, consumer positions within their products sales and EPS products categories respective product categories Strong cash flow More globally Acquisitive company Potential for more generation that diversified business skilled at integrating significant value supports growth, 46 creates more stable businesses and creation over the next innovation, and financial performance brands into portfolio several years improved shareholder returns 46 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Appendix 47 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
U.S. Customer Transition Update Number of Stores: 2013-2018 Total Square Feet: 2013-2018 74.1M 3,408 55.0M 2,598 43.6M 1,893 -29% -27% 1,378 31.1M 1,515 -19% 30.5M 1,220 -22% 23.9M 2013 2018 2013 2018 Source: Statista; IBISWorld • Significant changes by these customers drive much of our comparable sales decline through 2014-2018 • Consolidation has resulted in a 24% decline in number of retail outlets and 26% decline in total retail square footage among Office School Supplies (OSS) market leaders • Most store closures were in the US • International OSS assets were sold to private equity • We expect sales from the US commercial channels to move from 40% of sales today to 36% of sales by 2021, while mass and e-tail expands from 42% to 46% • We believe we are near the peak of the U.S. commercial channel transition today 48 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Reg G Reconciliations 49 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Reg G Reconciliations 50 50
Reg G Reconciliations 51 51
Reg G Reconciliations ACCO Brands Corporation and Subsidiaries Reconciliation of GAAP to Adjusted Non-GAAP Information (Unaudited) (In millions, except per share data) “Adjusted” results exclude all unusual tax items, restructuring, transaction and integration charges, costs associated with refinancing of the Company's debt and debt repurchases, asset impairment charges, in order to provide a comparison of underlying results of operations and taxes have been recalculated at normalized tax rates. 2 0 16 2 0 15 R e po rt e d % of A djusted A djusted R e po rt e d % of A djusted A djusted %of GA A P S a le s Items No n-GA A P % o f Sales GA A P S a le s Items No n-GA A P Sales Gro ss pro fit $ 5 14 .9 3 3 .1 % 0.4 515.3 33.1% $ 4 7 8 .2 3 1.7 % - 478.2 31.7% Selling, general and administrative expenses 3 2 8 .8 2 1.1 % (12.8) 316.0 20.3% 3 0 3 .9 2 0 .1 % - 303.9 20.1% Restructuring charges (credits) 5 .4 $ (5.4) $ - ( 0 .4 ) $ 0.4 $ - Operating inco me 15 9 .1 10 .2 % 18.6 177.7 11.4 % 15 5 .1 10 .3 % (0.4) 154.7 10.2 % Interest expense 4 9 .3 (2.5) 46.8 4 4 .5 (0.1) 44.4 Other expense, net 1.4 - 1.4 2 .1 (1.9) 0.2 Inco me befo re inco me tax 12 5 .1 8 .0 % 21.1 146.2 9.4 % 13 1.4 8 .7 % 1.6 133.0 8.8 % Inco me tax expense 2 9 .6 21.5 51.1 4 5 .5 1.1 46.6 Inco me tax rate 2 3 .7 % 35.0 % 3 4 .6 % 35.0 % Net inco me $ 9 5 .5 6 .1 % $ (0.4) $ 95.1 6.1 % $ 8 5 .9 5 .7 % $ 0.5 $ 86.4 5.7 % Diluted inco me per share $ 0 .8 7 $ (0.00) $ 0.87 $ 0 .7 8 $ 0.00 $ 0.78 Weighted average number o f shares o utstanding: Diluted 10 9 .2 109.2 110 .6 110.6 During 2016, w e incurred $0.4 million related to amortization of step-up in value of finished goods inventory During 2015, w e w rote-off $2.0 million in debt issuance associated w ith the acquisition of Pelikan Artline. During 2016, w e had $9.2 million and $3.6 million in costs and other costs associated w ith the Company's transaction and integration charges associated w ith the acquisition of Esselte and Pelikan Artline, respectively. refinancing. Income tax expense adjustment primarily During 2016, w e had $1.6 million of accelerated interest expense related to the refinancing of our Senior reflects the tax effect of the adjustments above and Unsecured Notes, a loan breakage fee of $0.5 million incurred in the acquisition of Pelikan Artline and the w rite- adjusts the Company's effective tax rate to a normalized off of debt issuance costs of $0.4 million due to a debt sw ap of part of our USD term loan for the new rate of 35%. The Company's estimated long-term rate is Australian dollar revolving loan. Income tax expense adjustment primarily reflects the tax effect of the subject to variations from the mix of earnings across the adjustments above and adjusts the Company's effective tax rate to a normalized rate of 35%. The Company's Company's operating jurisdictions. estimated long-term rate is subject to variations from the mix of earnings across the Company's operating jurisdictions. 52 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Reg G Reconciliations ACCO Brands Corporation and Subsidiaries Reconciliation of GAAP to Adjusted Non-GAAP Information (Unaudited) (In millions, except per share data) “Adjusted” results exclude all unusual tax items, restructuring, transaction and integration charges, costs associated with refinancing of the Company's debt and debt repurchases, asset impairment charges, in order to provide a comparison of underlying results of operations and taxes have been recalculated at normalized tax rates. 2 0 14 R e po rt e d % of A djusted A djusted GA A P S a le s Items No n-GA A P % o f Sales Restructuring charges $ 5 .5 $ (5.5) $ - Operating inco me 16 9 .8 10 .1 % 5.5 175.3 10.4 % Interest expense, net 4 3 .9 (0.7) 43.2 Inco me fro m co ntinuing o peratio ns befo re inco me tax 13 7 .0 8 .1 % 6.2 143.2 8.5 % Inco me tax expense 4 5 .4 4.7 50.1 Inco me tax rate 3 3 .1 % 35.0 % Inco me fro m co ntinuing o peratio ns $ 9 1.6 5 .4 % $ 1.5 $ 93.1 5.5 % Diluted inco me per share $ 0 .7 9 $ 0.01 $ 0.80 Weighted average number o f shares o utstanding: Diluted 116 .3 116.3 During 2014, w e accelerated amortization of $0.7 million in debt issuance costs resulting from accelerated bank debt repayments. Income tax expense adjustment primarily reflects the tax effect of the adjustments above and adjusts the Company's effective tax rate to a normalized rate of 35%. The Company's estimated long-term rate is subject to variations from the mix of earnings across the Company's operating jurisdictions. 53 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Reg G Reconciliations 54 54
Reg G Reconciliations 55 55
Reg G Reconciliations ACCO Brands Corporation and Subsidiaries Reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA and Net Leverage Ratio (Unaudited) (In millions) "Adjusted EBITDA" re pre sents ne t income after adding back depre ciation; stock-base d compensation e xpense; amortization of intangibles; intere st expense, ne t; other expense (income), net; and income tax expense . Adjusted EBITDA also excludes the amortization of the step-up in value of finishe d goods inventory, transaction, integration, restructuring charges and a pension curtailme nt gain related to a re structuring project for the inte gration of Esselte within the ACCO Brands EMEA segme nt. The following table sets forth a reconciliation of ne t income reported in accordance with GAAP to Adjusted EBITDA. "Net Leverage Ratio" represe nts total debt less cash and cash equivalents divided by adjusted EBTIDA. Ye ar e nded December 31, 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Net income $ 91.6 $ 85.9 $ 95.5 $ 131.7 $ 106.7 Inventory step-up amortization — — 0.4 0.9 0.1 T ransaction and integration expenses — — 12.8 14.9 4.6 Restructuring charges (credits) 5.5 (0.4) 5.4 21.7 11.7 Pension curtailment gain — — — — (0.6) Depreciation 35.3 32.4 30.4 35.6 34.0 Stock-based compensation 15.7 16.0 19.4 17.0 8.8 Amortization of intangibles 22.2 19.6 21.6 35.6 36.7 Interest expense, net 43.9 37.9 42.9 35.3 36.8 Other expense (income), net 0.8 2.1 1.4 (0.4) 1.6 Income tax expense 45.4 45.5 29.6 26.4 51.2 Adjusted EBIT DA (non-GAAP) $ 260.4 $ 239.0 $ 259.4 $ 318.7 $ 291.6 Net Leve rage Ratio (Net Debt/Adjusted EBITDA): 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Total debt (gross de bt) $ 800.6 $ 729.0 $ 703.5 $ 939.5 $ 888.0 Cash and cash equivalents 53.2 55.4 42.9 76.9 67.0 Net Debt (non-GAAP) $ 747.4 $ 673.6 $ 660.6 $ 862.6 $ 821.0 Net Leverage Ratio (non-GAAP) 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.7 2.8 56 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
Reg G Reconciliations ACCO Brands Corporation and Subsidiaries Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities to Free Cash Flow (In millions) “Fre e Cash Flow” re pre sents cash flow from ope rating activitie s less additions to prope rty, plant and e quipment, ne t of proce eds from the disposition of asse ts and othe r investing. The following table sets forth a re conciliation of re ported net cash provided (used) by operating activities in accordance with GAAP to Free Cash Flow. Ye a r e n d e d D e c e m b e r 3 1, 2 0 14 2 0 15 2 0 16 2 0 17 2 0 18 N e t c a s h p ro v id e d b y o p e ra t in g a c t iv it ie s $ 17 1.7 $ 17 1.2 $ 16 7 .1 $ 2 0 4 .9 $ 19 4 .8 Ne t c a s h (us e d) pro vide d by: Additio ns to pro pe rty, pla nt a nd e quipm e nt (29.6) (27.6) (18.5) (31.0) (34.1) P ro c e e ds fro m the dis po s itio n o f a s s e ts 3.8 2.8 0.7 4.2 0.2 Othe r inve s ting — 0.2 0.2 — — F re e c a s h flo w (no n-GAAP ) $ 145.9 $ 146.6 $ 149.5 $ 178.1 $ 160.9 57 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
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Reg G Reconciliations 59 59
Reg G Reconciliations ACCO Brands Corporation and Subsidiaries Supplemental Net Sales Growth Analysis (Unaudited) % Change - Net S ales $ Change - Net S ales GAAP Non-GAAP GAAP Non-GAAP Ne t Sale s C urre ncy Comparable Ne t Sale s C urrency C omparable Change Translation Acquisition C hange (A) Change Translation Acquisition C hange (A) Year ended December 31, 2014 (4.3)% (2.0)% —% (2.3)% $ (75.9) $ (35.2) $ - $ (40.7) Year ended December 31, 2015 (10.6)% (7.3)% —% (3.3)% (178.8) (123.9) - (54.9) Year ended December 31, 2016 3.1 % (1.1)% 5.2 % (1.0)% 46.7 (16.9) 78.5 (14.9) Year ended December 31, 2017 25.2 % 0.8 % 28.2 % (3.8)% 391.7 12.4 438.8 (59.5) Year ended December 31, 2018 (0.4)% (0.6)% 3.3 % (3.1)% (7.6) (11.5) 63.9 (60.0) (A) Comparable net sales represents net sales excluding acquisitions and with current-period foreign operation sales translated at prior-year t 60 ACCO Brands Investor Presentation
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