Investment opportunities in the New Zealand Petfood industry - v1.02; February 2014 Part of the Food and Beverage Information Project ...
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Investment opportunities in the New Zealand Petfood industry v1.02; February 2014 Part of the Food and Beverage Information Project www.foodandbeverage.govt.nz
Contents Summary & conclusions Large & attractive global market New Zealand petfood exports are growing Modern and robust value chain Strong drivers of success Track record of innovation Investment opportunities Appendix 1 – Key firm profiles 2
Objectives of Coriolis’ assignment Petfood emerged as one of the six best “emerging growth opportunity” sectors of the New Zealand food & beverage industry in previous research § All 559 food-related HS trade codes were screened and ranked using qualitative and qualitative methods § Petfood was achieving strong export volume and value growth § Petfood had strong comparative advantage and clear links into existing New Zealand strengths § See related document (http://www.med.govt.nz/sectors-industries/food-beverage/pdf-docs-library/information-project/coriolis-report-investors-guide.pdf) Coriolis was asked to develop the case for further investment in the New Zealand petfood industry § Make the case for further investment in the industry § Targeting investors, both domestic and international § Provide a potential investor with a preliminary overview of the industry § Including the facts and analysis required to “come up to speed” on the industry and the opportunity Project incorporates extensive, recent independent research § Interviews with all multinational industry participants and most key domestic firms § Extensive quantitative analysis of all available data sources on the industry § Surveys, benchmarks from other countries, commercial research and Coriolis expertise 3
The New Zealand petfood industry presents investors with a strong potential opportunity for growth Key Takeaways § Petfood is an attractive market with strong fundamentals – Petfood is a growing global market – Petfood is strongly on trend with changing global consumer behaviour – Petfood is a profitable industry, particularly in the growing super-premium (cat and dog) sector – Petfood is attracting investment from both global multinational companies and private equity § New Zealand has a vibrant petfood industry with strong comparative advantage – New Zealand has a strong supply of safe raw materials, some of which are unique, and there is a strong and competitive Petfood ingredients sector – New Zealand has a vibrant retail Petfood industry of both global leaders and innovative local firms driving industry growth § There are clear opportunities for growth in both products and markets – Continued marketing, innovation and new product development leveraging strengths in safe, fresh, free-range meat – Continued market development to build position in both existing and emerging new markets 4
New Zealand has the opportunity to be part of the growing global demand for petfood, taking advantage of its strong reputation as a safe, free range supplier of unique meat based ingredients and brands Global Demand New Zealand’s disease free status allows preferential access into key markets. Demand for petfood is growing globally. The increasing number of pet-owners are treating their pets as part of the family, demanding better quality and spending more on their companions. The second export area is in value added retail ready petfood products. Two distinct exporting Trends in petfood are strongly mirroring trends in human food. groups are in New Zealand; MNC’s and medium sized New Zealand based firms. Mars, for example, is a significant exporter of pouched cat food to Australia. Many medium sized firms Key markets for petfood are richer Western markets with high pet penetration and numbers, in also exist in New Zealand, some are already exporting petfood globally while others are looking particular USA, Australia and Western Europe. But strong growth, and a higher dollar per kilo, is to export super-premium meat based products to new markets through specialty channels and occurring in key Asian markets and South America where small dogs in particular are treated invest in extrusion based cooking of dry pellets. with premium dog foods and treats. New Zealand firms have successfully innovated in this space, both in product and processes. Dry foods dominate the petfood market, seen as more convenient and logistically easier. Large Firms are required to overcome the real challenges involved in exporting meat based products. multinational corporations (MNC’s) such as Nestle and Mars take the lion share of this market. To assist in this, technology has focussed on packaging and producing petfood and treats in Their large factories are located close to major markets (USA, Europe) or in developing rolls, frozen, freeze-dried and air dried states. countries, such as Thailand. Challenges also exist around supply. As meat processors become more efficient at maximising New Zealand use and value of the carcass, less waste is produced. New human consumption markets (e.g. New Zealand is traditionally a primary based exporting economy, specialising in: dairy, meat, China) have been found for offal and by-products traditionally used for petfood. Reducing stock fruit, and food and beverages. Food and beverage products make up 56% of all exports. Petfood numbers of both sheep and deer also add supply pressure. Companies must develop strong comprises 1.4% of this, reflecting New Zealand’s low penetration in the global market and supply relationships and consider vertical integration or investment along the supply chain. almost no presence in the dry category (Tux baked biscuits have a large share in New Zealand but are not exported and Addiction dry kibble is produced solely for the export market). Opportunities Opportunities exist throughout the supply chain for investment to increase the quality of However, New Zealand’s comparative advantage in meat and protein is driving growth in its ingredients and to highlight and target key high value customers and markets. In retail ready petfood industry, particularly due to the availability and reliability of meat based ingredients (in petfood products, multiple opportunities exist in the super premium categories of cat and dog particular lamb and beef) and innovation around retail ready products. food and treats. For medium sized companies, the biggest opportunity is in finding in-market partners to enhance sales and distribution. To attract additional investment, New Zealand must promote its unique species, good reputation, disease free status as well as its Asian positioning, Petfood exports can be separated into two main areas, the first being ingredients consisting of with its close proximity and free trade agreements providing access into these key markets. either frozen MDM (mechanically deboned meat) or MBM (meat and bone meal). Ingredients are exported to large multinational corporations who then manufacture the finished retail ready petfood. Our advantage in this space is in having unique species such as lamb and deer. Advantages are also in having high food safety standards/regulations and free range stock. 5
Contents Summary & conclusions Large & attractive global market New Zealand petfood exports are growing Modern and robust value chain Strong drivers of success Track record of innovation Investment opportunities Appendix 1 – Key firm profiles 6
There are a large number of pets around the globe; companion pets such as dogs and cats are in over a third of households in many markets Total number of cats and dogs Households owning a cat Households owning a dog Animals; millions; 2013e % of households; 2013e % of households; 2013e New Zealand 47% USA 37% USA 74 72 Canada 38% Canada 35% China 11 28 USA 32% Australia 34% Japan 10 12 United Kingdom 26% New Zealand 30% United Kingdom 99 Australia 22% United Kingdom 18% Germany 8 5 Germany 17% Japan 17% Canada 95 Japan 10% Germany 14% Australia 23 Hong Kong 4% South Korea 14% 3 South Korea 0.3 Cats Dogs China 2% Hong Kong 7% New Zealand 1 1 South Korea 2% China 7% Source: Euromonitor; Coriolis analysis & classification 7
Petfood supports a wide range of prices, from discount store brands to super-premium products EXAMPLE: Retail shelf price per kilogram of select dog food products in the United States US$/kg.; actual; 1/2014 $45.74 $33.05 $12.12 $7.91 $8.33 $4.85 $5.58 $3.14 $2.12 $0.88 Ol' Roy bag Pedigree Ol' Roy can Eukanuba Nutro Hills Iams Woof Vital Missing SmartBones Prescription Diet Source: Wal-Mart online; PetSmart online; photo credit (fair use; low resolution; complete product/brand for illustrative purposes); Coriolis analysis 8
Pet owners globally spent a total of $92 billion on pet care in 2012; almost three quarters ($67b) was on dog and cat food; petfood is a large category globally Global Petcare retail sales Global retail sales: Cat and dog food vs. select categories US$b; 2012 US$b; 2012 Cheese $130 Oils and fats $117 Bottled water - off Dog Food $101 trade $41 45% Pet Products Cat and dog food $67 $20 22% Cat & Dog Total $67b Baby food $52 $92 billion 73% Other Food Noodles $46 $5 5% Cat Food Baby milk formula $36 $26 28% Breakfast cereal $32 Snack bars $12 Source: Euromonitor; Coriolis analysis & classification 9
Retail cat and dog food sales are growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4% and global trade is growing at 10% Global cat and dog food retail sales Global cat and dog food export trade US$b; 2008-2013e US$b; 2002-2012 CAGR (08-13) 4% $10.42 $69.0 $9.93 CAGR $64.9 $65.3 (02-12) 10% $8.78 $60.0 $8.52 $8.34 $56.7 $57.2 $7.27 $6.23 $5.63 $5.23 $4.60 $3.86 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Euromonitor; UN Comtrade; Coriolis analysis & classification 10
Global retail cat & dog food exports were more than $10b in 2012; Europe is strong in the trade, followed by North America and Asia Global export value share of retail cat & dog food (HS230910) by country/region Top 25 petfood exporting countries US$m; FOB; 2012 US$m; FOB; 2012 UK France $1,473 $359 Denmark 3% Belgium USA $1,312 Hungary $231 Switz. $443 Italy $425 2% 4% $267Spain Austria $155 Germany $979 4% 3% $218 $212 1%Lithuania Netherlands $882 2% 2% $145 Germany 1% China $835 $979 Thailand $828 9% Belgium $443 Other Europe Hungary $425 Europe 62% $762 United Kingdom $359 7% Netherlands Canada $323 $882 Italy $267 8% Australia $187 2% New Zealand Denmark $231 Total Australasia 2% $62 $10,424m Poland $224 S. America $289 3% 1% Other Spain $218 $92 Austria $212 1% E/SE Asia 16% Australia $187 Thailand France $828 Czech Rep. $157 $1,473 North America 15% 8% Switzerland $155 14% Other E/SE Asia Lithuania $145 $66 1% Ireland $139 China Argentina $123 Canada $835 $323 Sweden $91 8% 3% USA $1,312 Russian Federation $74 12% New Zealand $62 Mexico $28 Note: Denmark, Italy & Austria uses 2011 data as 2012 not yet filed with UN; Source: UN Comtrade database (custom job); Coriolis classifications and analysis 11
Global retail cat & dog food exports have been growing at a 10% CAGR over the past decade; exports still dominated by the European countries Global export value of retail cat & dog food (HS230910) by sending country/region US$m; FOB; 2002-2012 10y Absolute 10y CAGR $10,424 Growth (02-12) $9,931 $10,000 China +$828 61% E/SE Asia +$43 11% 10y CAGR Thailand +$592 13% (02-12) $8,783 $8,519 Other +$77 20% 10% $8,344 S. Amer. +$125 15% New Zealand +$28 +6% Australia -$17 -1% $8,000 Other Europe +$615 18% $7,267 Lithuania +$73 7% Switzerland +$75 7% Austria +$116 8% Spain +$144 11% $6,233 Italy +$205 16% Belgium +$362 19% $6,000 $5,635 UK +$226 10% $5,233 Denmark +$57 3% Hungary +$316 15% $4,600 Germany +$631 11% $3,857 $4,000 Netherlands +$497 9% France +$785 8% $2,000 Canada +$175 8% USA +$613 7% $- 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Note: Denmark, Italy & Austria uses 2011 data as 2012 not yet filed with UN; Source: UN Comtrade database (custom job); Coriolis classifications and analysis 12
Petfood is a robust global market with both large multinationals and a strong long tail of regional leaders and specialist or niche players Global petcare sales by key manufacturer and other Top 25 petcare firms by sales US$b; 2011 US$b; 2011 Mars $16.2 Nestle $10.4 Colgate $2.2 P&G $1.8 Del Monte $1.8 Heristo $0.6 Other $12.8 25% Agrolimen $0.5 Nutriara Alimentos $0.5 Mars $16.2 31% Unicharm $0.4 Total Alimentos $0.4 Blue Buffalo $0.4 American Nutrition $0.4 Total = US Mogiana Alimentos $0.3 $50b Next 15 $3.8 7% Partners in Pet Food $0.3 V.I.P. Petfoods $0.3 Natural Balance $0.3 Total $0.4 1% Arovit Petfood $0.3 Unicharm $0.4 1% Ainsworth Pet $0.3 Del Monte $1.8 4% Nutriara Alimentos $0.5 1% P&G $1.8 4% Nestle $10.4 20% Dibaq Mascotas $0.2 Colgate $2.2 4% WellPet $0.2 Agrolimen $0.5 1% Vitakraft-Werke $0.2 Heristo $0.6 1% Nippon Pet $0.2 Maruha Nichiro $0.2 Top 2 = 51% Top 5 = 63% Sunshine Mills $0.2 Top 25 = 75% Marukan $0.2 Source: Pet Food Industry magazine; Coriolis analysis and estimates 13
Manufacturing and marketing petfood is a highly profitable enterprise EXAMPLE: Operating profit of Nestle pet care division EXAMPLE: Operating profit % of sales: Nestle divisions & select NZ %; CHF; FY2012 %; CHF or NZ$; FY2012 21% 20% Beverages 22% 17% Pet Care 20% 16% 15% 16% 15% Infant formula 18% 15% 15% 14% 13% Nestle Confectionery 17% Operating divisions Dairy 15% Prepared foods 14% Water 9% Fonterra 5% Silver Fern Farms-2% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: various Nestle annual reports; Fonterra and Silver Fern Farms annual reports; Coriolis analysis 14
The industry is attracting investment from large global FMCG/CPG firms Presence in Petfood by large FMCG/CPG multinationals 1935-2013 Year entering Method of Firm Petfood entry Key acquisitions Key brands Mars 1935 Organic - Kal Kan Foods (1968) Cesar, Greenies, Nutro, Pedigree, Royal Canin, Sheba, Whiskas, KiteKat, - Royal Canin (2001) Chappi, Catsan, Goodlife Recipe - Nutro (2007) 1998 Acquisition - Carnation (1985) Purina, Purina One, Alpo, Beneful, Busy Bone, Chew-rific, Deli-Cat, Dog - Spillers Petfood (1998) Chow, Fancy Feast, Friskies, Gourmet Gold, Mon Petit, HiPro, Kibbles and - Ralston-Purina (2002) Chunks, Kit ‘N Kaboodle, Mighty Dog, Pro Plan, TBonz, Purina Veterinary - Waggin’ Train (2010) Diets, Whisker Lickin's Colgate 1976 Acquisition - Hill’s Pet Products (1976) Hill's Science Diet, Hill's Prescription Diet, Hill's Science Plan P&G 1999 Acquisition - Iams (1999) Eukanuba, Iams, Evo, - Natura Pet Products (2011) Del-Monte 2002 Acquisition - Heinz’s North America Petfood (2002) Meow Mix, Kibbles n' Bits, 9Lives, Milk-Bone, Pup-Peroni, Pounce, Gravy - Meow Mix Holdings (2006) Train, Jerky Treats, Canine Carry Outs, Snausages, Nature's Recipe (Cat - Kraft’s Petfood brands (2006) and Dog), Meaty Bone - Natural Balance Petfoods (2013) Unicharm 1986 Organic - Hartz Mountain Corp (2012) Aiken Genki, Neko Genki, Gaines Source: various published articles; various company annual reports; Coriolis analysis 15
The industry has also proven attractive to private equity which is attracted by its stable cash flow and strong profitability Major global private equity investment in the Petfood sector – current or recently exited 2007-2013 Firm Target Year Activity Detail KKR Del-Monte 2007 - Acquisition Acquired producer and distributor of premium branded pet and consumer food products for the USA market KKR Pets at Home 2010 - Acquisition Leading UK based specialty retailer of Petfood and accessories and services Berwind Corp. WellPet LLC 2008 - Acquired Sold by Catterton $400m In 2012 unveil a $20m dog food processing plant expansion increasing capacity to 80,000 tons pa Pegasus Capital Halo Purely for Pets pre 2008 - Majority ownership Part owned by Ellen DeGeneres 2008 Advisors Catterton Partners M.I. Industries/ Nature's - - Investment Premium petfood, kibble, raw an canned, gluten free and grain free Variety VMG Partners Natural Balance Petfoods 2013 - Merged with Del- Founded in 1989 by actor Dick Van Patten and company. The company, based in the Monte Southern California makes super-premium Petfood for dogs and cats. Aim to expand Del Monte's presence in fast-growing pet specialty channel VMG Partners Waggin’ Train 2010 - Sold to Nestle Real-meat dog treats business Advent International Provimi Petfood (PPF) 2011 - Acquisition The third largest producer of private label wet and dry Petfood in Europe, from the Provimi Group for an enterprise value of €188 million. Motion Equity Partners Acraplanet (Italy) 2010 - Acquisition Purchased petfood and accessory business for €46m Retail operation with 50 pet stores Archer Capital Growth Best Friends Pet Supercentre 2012 - Investment Investment to support expansion plans Funds Quadrant Private Equity City Farmers (AU) 2013 - Majority stake Majority stake in petfood retailer for A$93m. Support the expansion of the 31 large format stores nationwide Source: various published articles; various company annual reports; Coriolis analysis 16
Contents Summary & conclusions Large & attractive global market New Zealand petfood exports are growing Modern and robust value chain Strong drivers of success Track record of innovation Investment opportunities Appendix 1 – Key firm profiles 17
New Zealand exports four classes of petfood product; some unmeasured amount of meat and offal exports will also end up in Petfood Simplified petfood industry supply chain Model; 2013 Primary ingredients Petfood ingredients Retail-ready Petfood processors processors manufacturers Markets Grains Retail-ready Domestic market 4 Product form - Canned Vegetables - Refrigerated - Frozen - Air dried Other ingredients - Freeze dried - Baked biscuits Export markets - Kibble, extruded Packaging 2&3 Meat, organs, offal, ? bones, blood & by- Further-processed products meat-based ingredients - Rendered MBM* - MDM** Seafood & by-products 1 *MBM – Meat and bone meal **MDM – mechanically deboned meat; Source: Coriolis 18
New Zealand petfood exports – both ingredients & retail ready products – are showing strong growth New Zealand export value of select animal feed codes US$m; FOB; 2000-2012 $260.1 Absolute 12y CAGR (00-12) (00-12) $230.6 Retail Cat and 12y CAGR $221.0 $61.5 dog food +$47m 12.6% (00-12) $212.5 $216.2 (HS230910) 9% $49.4 4 $41.4 $46.1 $56.5 Mechanically Deboned Meat $64.6 (MDM) +$42m 9.2% $153.0 $146.9 $60.4 (HS051199) $135.2 $53.1 $49.3 $129.8 $35.9 $52.5 3 $38.0 $111.5 $113.5 $28.3 $100.8 $37.8 $92.5 $33.2 $36.9 $33.5 $36.1 Meat & Bone Meal $25.8 $33.5 +$66m 9.5% $14.8 $99.2 (MBM) $31.1 $95.7 $91.4 $92.5 $80.3 (HS230110) $22.5 $19.2 $27.2 $24.2 2 $50.6 $49.8 $58.2 $33.3 $34.2 $31.2 $35.3 $43.6 Seafood Meal $31.8 $29.4 $34.8 $21.9 $21.6 $19.6 $20.8 $22.2 $23.5 $22.0 $25.5 $25.2 (HS230120) +$13m 3.9% $17.3 1 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Note: HS trade codes; Source: UN Comtrade database (custom job); Coriolis classifications and analysis 19
All classes of petfood exports showing long term value per unit ($/kg) growth; retail has been major standout performer New Zealand export dollar per kilo of select animal feed codes US$/kilo; FOB; 2000-2012 3y CAGR 12y CAGR (09-12) (00-12) $3.00 Retail Cat and 28.9% 10.3% dog food 4 $2.50 $2.00 Seafood Meal 9.5% 3.7% 1 $1.50 Deboned Meat 3.4% 6.8% $1.00 3 $0.50 Meat Meal -15.4% 4.7% 2 $- 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: UN Comtrade database (custom job); Coriolis classifications and analysis 20
New Zealand’s total petfood exports of $260m – both ingredients and retail-ready – went to a wide range of export destinations New Zealand pet/animal feed export value by destination region New Zealand pet/animal feed export value by country US$m; reported FOB; 2012 US$m; reported FOB; 2012 Other E/SE Asia USA $75 Includes all four $5 product types on 2% Indonesia $47 pages prior Australia $45 Thailand $4 China $20 2% Japan $14 Indonesia Taiwan $10 $47 USA 18% $75 S. Korea $8 29% Canada $7 North America Netherlands $5 $83 Thailand $4 S. Korea E/SE Asia $8 $108 Germany $4 3% Total Taiwan Papua New Guinea $2.2 $260m $10 Fiji $2.0 4% Canada France $1.6 China Europe $7 $20 $16 Philippines $1.5 3% 8% Other Germany $3 Australasia Netherlands Belgium $1.4 $4 $51 $5 1% Hong Kong SAR $1.2 Japan 2% $14 France $2 1% United Kingdom $1.2 5%Pacific Islands $6 Australia Other Europe Italy $1.1 HS Codes 2% $45 $6 2% 051199 Malaysia $1.0 230110 17% 230120 Singapore $0.9 230910 Source: UN Comtrade database (custom job); Coriolis classifications and analysis 21
New Zealand exports petfood ingredients (including some animal feed) to a wide range of countries; destinations that are primarily for use in poultry and aquaculture feed earn a lower dollar per kilo New Zealand export MDM (HS051199) by market New Zealand export rendered meat meal (HS230110) by market US$m; FOB; 2012 US$m; FOB; 2012 $/kilo $/kilo USA $40.0 $1.05 $0.26 Indonesia $42.9 Australia $4.7 $1.65 USA $28.8 $1.16 “All of the MDM going to the USA is going into Petfood, it’s the meat component. Its Indonesia $3.3 $0.86 China $5.1 going to the large Petfood “The rendered meat going $0.66 companies.” CEO, Meat to Indonesia is going into Processing Company, 2013 pig and poultry feed. Most Canada $3.0 $1.32 Canada $3.2 other countries are pet food.” CEO, Rendering $0.96 Company, 2013 Netherlands $2.5 $0.97 Thailand $2.6 $0.71 Belgium $1.3 $2.68 Other Asia $2.4 $0.72 Thailand $1.3 $1.48 Netheralnds $2.4 $1.04 China $1.2 $0.82 Germany $2.0 $1.18 Italy $0.9 PNG $1.9 $3.57 $0.58 UK $0.7 Fiji $1.9 $16.18 $0.58 Source: UN Comtrade database (custom job); Coriolis classifications, analysis, interviews 22
Total NZ retail-ready industry turnover of $375m, of which $234m domestically produced; 32% of domestic production is exported; domestic industry developing, but supermarkets still 80% of market New Zealand total retail ready petfood market New Zealand petfood wholesale value by channel NZ$m; export FOB; domestic and import wholesale; 2012e NZ$m; 2012e Total Domestic Production 62% NZ$234m 32% Domestic production $158 42% Pet stores $24 8% Total Domestic Market Total = Total = Rural retailers Exports $76 NZ$300m Supermarket NZ$375m NZ$300m $16 6% 20% $241 80% Vet $10 3% WHS $6 2% Imports $141 Other $3 1% 38% Source: Coriolis estimates 23
Both the New Zealand domestic petfood market and exports are showing strong growth; many in double digits Five year New Zealand petfood market growth rates (CAGR): by domestic channel and by export market product %; CAGR; last 5 years Domestic by channel Pet superstore 17% Grocery 7% Pet shops 6% Vet clinics 6% Other 12% Exports Retail C&D 11% by product MDM 12% MBM 11% Seafood meal 10% Source: UN Comtrade database; Euromonitor; Coriolis analysis and estimates 24
Two-thirds of New Zealand’s retail cat/dog petfood exports by value go to Australia (primarily Mars); only the US and Japan also took more than US$5m worth of product in 2012 NZ exports of retail cat & dog food (HS230910) by country/region Top 25 export destinations for NZ retail cat & dog food US$m; FOB; 2012 US$m; 2012 Australia $39.4 USA $6.7 Japan $6.2 Australia $39.4 Taiwan $2.3 64% Canada $1.0 Hong Kong SAR $0.9 Germany $0.9 Rep. of Korea $0.6 Aus/Pacific 65% Cook Isds $0.3 Netherlands $0.3 Denmark $0.3 Turkey $0.2 Total Finland $0.2 $61.5m Other 1% Pacific Islands $0.5 1% Other $0.3 1% United Arab Emirates $0.2 Sweden $0.2 E/SE Asia 18% United Kingdom $0.1 Japan $6.2 10% India $0.1 Europe 4% North America 12% Italy $0.1 Fiji $0.1 China $0.1 Other Europe Taiwan $2.3 4% Samoa $0.1 $1.4 Canada Other E/SE Asia $2.8 4% Belgium $0.04 2% $1.0 USA Germany 2% $6.7 Russian Federation $0.04 $0.9 11% French Polynesia $0.03 1% Kuwait $0.02 Note: Global imports do not match global exports (for a range of understood reasons); Some countries use 2011 data as 2012 not yet filed with UN; Source: UN Comtrade database (custom job); Coriolis analysis 25
New Zealand’s existing export markets can be grown significantly; targeting the high growth, high value markets New Zealand’s top destinations for retail-ready petfood (HS230910) US$; CIF; %; 2012 NZ import NZ share of value in receiving Total Petfood 10yr Import Share of receiving countries NZ’s $/kilo by Total $/kilo by Overall Imports CAGR global country import value receiving receiving attractiveness Country ($m) (%) imports (%) ($m) (%) country country Australia $195 15% 2% $35.9 18% $2.92 $2.49 !" Japan $831 3% 9% $6.4 1% $2.23 $2.76 !" USA $736 17% 8% $3.7
While New Zealand currently has a strong presence in Australia it has a wide range of growth opportunities in other major markets Top 25 retail cat & dog markets by imports 10y CAGR of import value NZ share of import value by country US$m; CIF; 2012 % on US$; 2002-2012 US$m; CIF; 2012 Germany $857 Germany 5% Germany 0.1% Japan $831 Japan 3% Japan 0.8% United Kingdom $785 United Kingdom 8% United Kingdom 0.0% USA $736 USA 17% USA 0.5% Italy $603 Italy 11% Italy 0.0% Canada $580 Canada 9% Canada 0.2% France $515 France 12% France 0.0% Belgium $469 Belgium 6% Belgium 0.0% Netherlands $353 Netherlands 10% Netherlands 0.1% Austria $259 Austria 12% Austria 0.0% Spain $229 Spain 8% Spain 0.0% Russian Federation $222 Russian Federation 26% Russia 0.0% Australia $195 Australia 15% Australia 18.4% Sweden $182 Sweden 9% Sweden 0.1% Switzerland $178 Switzerland 5% Switzerland 0.1% Poland $158 Poland 20% Poland 0.0% Czech Rep. $156 Czech Rep. 21% Czech Rep. 0.0% Portugal $152 Portugal 9% Portugal 0.0% Denmark $140 Denmark 6% Denmark 0.2% Rep. of Korea $113 Rep. of Korea 12% Rep. of Korea 0.8% Note: Global imports do not match global exports (for a range of understood reasons); Some countries use 2011 data as 2012 not yet filed with UN; Source: UN Comtrade database (custom job); Coriolis analysis 27
Contents Summary & conclusions Large & attractive global market New Zealand petfood exports are growing Modern and robust value chain Strong drivers of success Track record of innovation Investment opportunities Appendix 1 – Key firm profiles 28
New Zealand has a modern, robust, well-developed petfood value chain Simplified model of key players in the New Zealand petfood value chain Model; 2013 Beef, lamb & venison processors Specialist petfood abattoirs Nick's Petfoods Petfood manufacturers Fordes Petfood Down Cow Others… Poultry Specialist renderers Export Markets Others… Pork Seafood Local Market Vegetable processors Grain traders Source: interviews; Coriolis analysis 29
New Zealand meat & seafood production growing long term and country is not intensively farmed, indicating significant spare capacity to produce more meat Total New Zealand meat and seafood production volume Meat production in tons per square kilometre: NZ vs. peers Metric tons; millions; 1961-2011 Metric tons/square kilometre; 2011 Wild Capture Aquaculture 2.0 Other Venison Singapore 166 Pork Chicken Lamb & mutton Beef 1.5 Netherlands 79 1.0 Denmark 48 0.5 Ireland 14 New Zealand 5 - 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Note: 2011 is latest data available from United Nations; Source: UN FAO AgStat database; UN FAO FishStat database; CIA World Fact Book; Coriolis classification and analysis 30
New Zealand is a major meat exporter and has significant global trade share across a number of meats New Zealand share of global export value by meat product Situation/drivers % of US$; 2011 New Zealand and Australia combined command almost two thirds of the global lamb trade 35% – NZ is the largest lamb exporter in the world – NZ has a large industry with ample supply – NZ has a wide range of processors – If petfood suppliers are using lamb, it is coming from the Australasia region New Zealand pioneered deer farming and in the global leader in farmed venison production – Venison is sustainably produced 19% – Animals are processed similarly to beef and lamb (not wild caught by hunters) 17% Meat “not elsewhere specified” is a catch-all code for meats undefined when the trade codes were set up New Zealand exports under this code include possum (sometimes described on packaging as brushtail); 5% while possum are protected in Australia, they are 3% culled in New Zealand as an introduced pest 1% – NZ is effectively the only global supplier of this meat Sheep & lamb Deer & all other Meat "not Boneless beef Prepared beef Goat New Zealand has a large rabbit population that has game elsewhere the potential to enter the meat supply chain in secified" quantity Source: UN FAO AgStat database; Coriolis analysis 31
While New Zealand has a secondary position overall in the beef trade, it is strong in “manufacturing beef,” partially as a offshoot of the growth of the New Zealand dairy industry Number of dairy cows in New Zealand EXAMPLE: New Zealand share of US frozen boneless beef imports Head; million; 81/82-10/11 % of US$ value; 1996-2012 5.0 22% 4.5 21% 21% 21% 29y 20% 19% 19% 4.0 CAGR 18% 18% 18% 2.8% 18% 18% 17% 17% 3.5 16% 16% 15% 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 - 1981/82 1983/84 1985/86 1987/88 1989/90 1991/92 1993/94 1995/96 1997/98 1999/00 2001/02 2003/04 2005/06 2007/08 2009/10 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2011 2012 2004 2008 2006 2009 2001 2010 2002 2007 2005 2003 Source: DairyNZ New Zealand Dairy Statistics 2010-11; UN FAO AgStat database; UN Comtrade database; MAF/MPI; Coriolis analysis 32
New Zealand has a robust meat industry with a wide range of firms participating; no single supplier dominates any key species New Zealand meat slaughter and primary processing share: beef and sheep meat % of volume; 2012 or as available Beef & veal Sheep & lamb Wilson Hellaby 2% Lean Meats Alliance Taylor 3% 9% Greenlea Preston 8% 5% AFFCO Wilson Alliance 29% Ovation 17% Hellaby 7% 7% UBP 5% Other Taylor Preston 10% 3% Lean Meats 0% ANZCO Other 20% 1% AFFCO 12% SFF SFF 23% ANZCO 30% 9% Source: New Zealand Meat Board; Coriolis analysis 33
Livestock and meat processing plants are spread across the country with no single region dominating any key species Share of total livestock numbers by region Location of all export certified beef and sheep plants in NZ As of 30 June 2012 2013 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 8% 6% Northland 7% 2% Auckland 2% 12% 14% 15% 8% 3% 27% 9% 21% 5% 52% Waikato/B.O.P. 25% 0% 8% 3% 28% 20% 17% 7% Hawke's Bay/Gisb. 4% 57% 7% Tara./Mana./Wel. 3% Tasman/Marl./W.C. 16% 37% 11% Canterbury 31% 14% 12% Otago/Southland 4% Cattle Sheep Deer Pigs Goats Source: Statistics New Zealand; Beef + Lamb New Zealand (http://www.beeflambnz.com/Documents/Market/Meat%20processors%20in%20New%20Zealand%20map.pdf ); Coriolis analysis 34
Like livestock, petfood manufacturers are spread across the country; many regions appear to have “spare capacity” for more processors Location of key retail pet food manufacturing firms in New Zealand 2014 Data and interviews give strong indications of spare capacity in the Waikato/ BOP region Data and interviews give strong indications of spare capacity in the South Island Source: Coriolis 35
Contents Summary & conclusions Large & attractive global market New Zealand petfood exports are growing Modern and robust value chain Strong drivers of success Track record of innovation Investment opportunities Appendix 1 – Key firm profiles 36
There are strong drivers in place for the further growth of the New Zealand petfood industry Conclusions on the future growth potential for the New Zealand petfood industry based on supporting drivers Model; 2013 Conclusions Supporting drivers Petfood manufacturers leverage New - Primarily low cost pastoral farming systems (lamb, beef, venison, pork) Zealand’s position as a low cost producer of - 80%+ of meat production is exported; local price is freely traded world price less shipping protein - New Zealand exports meat to the US market, itself the world’s largest meat exporter Petfood manufacturers leverage New - New Zealand has a well-regarded, world-class food safety system Zealand’s reputation for safe, secure, - New Zealand is an island in the middle of the South Pacific ocean out of the path of migratory birds disease-free meat - New Zealand has strong biosecurity laws and systems in place to keep out introduced pests and diseases - New Zealand is free of many of the key global livestock diseases (e.g. foot-and-mouth, BSE, bird flu) Petfood manufacturers can choose from a - New Zealand has a robust meat industry wide range of suppliers - Meat production is widely distributed across the country; no single region or species dominates - New Zealand has 66 export grade meat plants spread across the country There is ample available supply of raw - New Zealand is not intensively farmed indicating capacity for further production growth materials for further industry growth - Production of key meat species is growing medium term, other than lamb which is flat - New Zealand exports 3x as much petfood ingredients by value than retail petfood indicating available supply New Zealand petfood manufacturers have - Leading petfood firms are strongly leveraging New Zealand unique ingredients to differentiate their products against the demonstrated an ability to innovate competition - New Zealand firms are innovating with product states, including freeze dried, cooked rolls and air-dried products - New Zealand firms are innovating around functional ingredients, unique to New Zealand - New Zealand firms are well positioned in and pushing the “Prey Diet”, the replicating a wild animals natural diet - New Zealand companies are producing products that are firmly “on trend” Source: Coriolis 37
New Zealand has an excellent range of meats available to Petfood manufacturers – some are unique to New Zealand Major exporter Domestic production Lamb Free range beef Seafood Poultry Possum Deer/Venison Rabbit Pigs (farmed & wild) Unique to New Zealand Source: various; photo credit (Copyright free or public domain); Coriolis analysis 38
New Zealand is a trusted supplier of food, particularly in Asia, as this example from Japan shows Japanese public image of foreign products Index 100 80 Japan 60 Lower cost & trusted High cost Safety 100 = safe, -100 = unsafe 40 & trusted EU Scandinavia NZ & 20 Australia 0 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 -20 Lower cost & lower trust USA -40 -60 Asia (excl. China) -80 Low cost & China low trust -100 Cost 100 = expensive, - 100 = inexpensive Source: USDA Gain report JA8713; Coriolis 39
New Zealand is a well known and trusted source of ingredients, in particular lamb; “New Zealand” is often stated front of pack Ingredients exported from New Zealand, manufactured offshore Manufactured in, and exported from, New Zealand Source: various; photo credit (fair use; low resolution; complete product/brand for illustrative purposes); Coriolis analysis 40
New Zealand has particular strength across a number of attractive market niches Particular niches where New Zealand has strength/opportunity Model; 2013 Category/ Core NZ strength Consumer angle/marketing pitch Opportunities segment Driver of NZ success Lamb Major lamb producer Exotic meat in most markets Further leverage this exotic ingredient Largest lamb exporter in the world Consumer visualises their dog “chasing a lamb” Strong food safety systems Excellent product quality Farmed deer/ NZ pioneered deed farming Exotic meat in most markets Further leverage this exotic ingredient venison Largest global producer Consumer visualises their dog “chasing a deer” Leverage sustainable production angle Perception as a “wild” or “natural prey” Possum Effectively the only global source of the Highly exotic meat in all markets Create clear point-of-difference vis-à-vis competitors “Brushtail” product Appeals to consumer as “natural prey” Pitch as helping protect native NZ forests Animal is introduced pest Can be positioned as sustainable pest control Rabbit Animal is an introduced pest Appeals to consumer as “natural prey” Pitch as helping protect native NZ plants Can be positioned as sustainable pest control Roll or chub Strong in meat; weaker in grains “Fresher”, more natural, more healthy Continue to lead segment growth and innovation packaging Pioneered in New Zealand Drive growth in the US market Freeze-dried Strong in meat; weaker in grains More efficient (less weight) Continue to lead segment growth and innovation Pioneered in New Zealand More health (high meat content) “Prey diet” Strong in meat; weaker in grains More healthy Embrace emergence of this new positioning Pioneered in New Zealand More natural for the animal Source: Coriolis 41
In particular there is widespread recognition of New Zealand’s strength in lamb ingredients Quotes from interviewees supporting New Zealand strength in lamb Examples of global leaders products containing NZ lamb 2013 2013 “New Zealand lamb is highly sought after as it’s BSE free, we have no foot and mouth disease and we have a good food safety record. This is really important to the large companies.” CEO, multinational, MDM supplier Nestle P&G “New Zealand’s specialty is ovine (lamb). Cats and dogs like variety and New Zealand is a good high quality supplier of lamb. We are disease free and have high volumes. Our lamb gets a premium. We have an excess we need to export.” MD, major renderer “Brand NZ is very strong in petfood, especially with lamb and venison.” Manager, medium sized export company “We use ‘NZ lamb’ on the label because we are perceived to be very near the top of the quality tree. We are leading the way in super-premium.” CEO, New Zealand medium sized company Source: various; photo credit (fair use; low resolution; complete product/brand for illustrative purposes); Coriolis analysis 42
New Zealand petfood manufacturers use a wide range of ingredients, most of them sourced locally Ingredients being sourced wholly or partially from New Zealand by key petfood manufacturers May not be NZ manufactured or sourced 2013 Firm Lamb Beef Deer Chicken Seafood Fats & by- Veget- Grains Other Vitamins & minerals products ables Vegetable oils Mars ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Natural flavours Some colours Nestle ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Flax seeds Some grains & cereals (e.g. rice) Whey protein Cheese Gelling agents & emulsifiers Dextrose Heinz ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Taurine Methionine Butch ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Garlic Soy Bombay/ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Horse Jimbo’s Fond Foods/ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Garlic Chunky Possum Ziwipeak ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Dried kelp Parsley Omega-3 Natural ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Fruit Food/ Eggs K9 Natural Garlic PetfoodNZ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Fruit Biophive ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Natural Pet ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Greenlipped Treat Co/ mussel Zeal Omega 3&6 milk Source: interviews; various company websites; various product ingredient lists; Coriolis analysis 43
Leading petfood firms are strongly leveraging New Zealand unique ingredients to differentiate their products against the competition EXAMPLE: Ziwipeak Venison & Fish air-dried dog food 2013 Venison offal 28% Hoki (Blue Grenadier) is fished commercially only in New Zealand New Zealand and Australian pioneered deer farming waters Hoki fish and is the largest 12% global producer Green Lipped Mussels (Perna canalicula) is a NZ-unique species farmed in aquaculture; Green lipped it is used as a supplement for mussel joint health and mobility 3% Other Lecithin 7% Chicory Inulin Dried Kelp Parsley Naturally preserved with Vitamin E Venison meat Vitamins 50% Chelated Minerals Source: Ziwipeak website and package; photo credit (fair use; low resolution; complete product/brand for illustrative purposes); Coriolis analysis 44
As a result of its strength in meat, but limited position in grains, the New Zealand pet food industry has a strong focus on wet products for export EXAMPLE: Mars/Whiskas pouch range produced in Wanganui, New Zealand currently being EXAMPLE: Sample ingredients sold in Coles Australia Ingredients: Sheep and/or Chicken Core NZ Beef strength Gelling Agents Vitamins and Minerals Colouring Agents Vegetable Oil Flavours Plant Extracts Taurine Source: Coles Online (accessed January 2014); photo credit (fair use; low resolution; complete product/brand for illustrative purposes); Coriolis analysis 45
Contents Summary & conclusions Large & attractive global market New Zealand petfood exports are growing Modern and robust value chain Strong drivers of success Track record of innovation Investment opportunities Appendix 1 – Key firm profiles 46
New Zealand companies are innovating with product states, including freeze dried, cooked rolls and air-dried products EXAMPLES: Innovative New Zealand products leveraging new product forms, temperature states and meal occasion As of 2013 K9 Freeze dried cat and dog “A natural, raw diet provides your dog “When we first went to the US we were food with nutrition it needs to thrive, the the first freeze dried company on the way nature intended.” shelves. You see more now.” “Freeze drying preserves the product in its natural state; it also makes the product light.” Butch dog roll A lightly cooked and wrapped meat based “Globally customers aren't used to meat product with over 75% meat; no sugar, no rolls this product is new for them.” wheat, no gluten, no yeast, no artificial flavours Zeal air-dried treats “Absolutely no 'nasties' – no vaccines, “We have a range of 18 real dried Veal, hormones, steroids, antibiotics, Sheep and Venison meat and bone treats colouring, flavouring, and are also non- to choose from.” HTP. We have a range of real dried Veal, Sheep and Venison meat and bone treats” Source: various; photo credit (fair use; low resolution; complete product/brand for illustrative purposes); Coriolis analysis 47
New Zealand companies are innovating around functional ingredients, unique to New Zealand EXAMPLES: Innovative New Zealand unique ingredients added to petfood As of 2013 Ingredient Health Benefits Product Example food Green-lipped mussel – Pain relief Glucosamine – Hip and Joint Health Liprinol – Movement and Mobility Mucopolysaccharides – Anti inflammatory Betain omega-3 fatty acids Deer antler/velvet – Promote growth and Chondroitin Sulphate immune system Glucosamine development Collagen – Cardiovascular and Amino acids nervous system health King Salmon – Brain function Omega 3 & 6 & oils – Shiny coat Protein – Control of inflammation in Amino acids the digestive tract Bioactive peptides – Support for joint cartilage Manuka honey – Dental care Antibacterial – Gut health Antiviral – Skin care Flax seed oil/flake – Omega 3 Immune, circulatory and structural systems Source: various; photo credit (fair use; low resolution; complete product/brand for illustrative purposes); Coriolis analysis 48
New Zealand companies are well positioned in and pushing the “Prey Diet”, the replicating a wild animals natural diet EXAMPLES: Innovative New Zealand products replicating wild prey As of 2013 K9 Sausages Possum Patties minced chicken Possum, heart, kidney, liver, frame, heart, ground bone. “animals diet should kidney, liver, green replicate an animal with tripe and Power Patties are made bone, offal and meat” tukkathyme. with minced chicken frame, green tripe, heart, kidney and liver. Lamb Feast Venison Feast Lamb meat, lamb bone, Venison meat, venison blood, lamb blood, lamb green venison bone, venison green tripe, “natural goodness of fresh tripe, lamb liver, broccoli, venison liver, broccoli, cauliflower, whole foods, blended into cauliflower, carrot, spinach carrot, spinach (chard), cabbage, a convenient feed (chard), cabbage, apple, apples, pears, venison hearts, product.” pear, lamb hearts, lamb venison kidneys, eggs, green kidneys, eggs, green lipped lipped mussel mussel and garlic. Air dried Venison cuisine Moist Lamb – cat food Venison - Meat (includes up to 3% finely Lamb - Meat, Liver, Tripe, ground bone) Venison - Liver, Lung, Heart, Kidney, Green- Tripe, Heart and Kidney, New Zealand “designed to mirror wild prey” Lipped Mussel, Vitamins, Green-Lipped Mussel, Lecithin, Chicory Minerals, Taurine, DL- Inulin, Dried Kelp, Parsley, Naturally Methionine. preserved with mixed tocopherols (Vitamin E), Vitamins, minerals Source: various; photo credit (fair use; low resolution; complete product/brand for illustrative purposes); Coriolis analysis 49
New Zealand companies are producing products that are firmly “on trend” EXAMPLES: Innovative New Zealand products that are inline with identified global petfood industry trends As of 2013 Trend Description Example Producer Example Product Natural and Organic – No preservatives, added colours, Zeal flavours Jimbos – Free from hormones, antibiotics Butch – Free range cows, sheep, deer Humanised Food – Reflecting products available for human Zeal (pet milk) consumption Addiction (Homestyle venison and cranberry dinner) Raw Food / Dried / – 100% Natural ingredients Addiction (dehydrated) Dehydrated – Fast re-dehyration times more ZiwiPeak (dried) convenient K9 (freeze dried) Biophive (air dried) Gluten free (grain free) – Move away from allergen inducing Ultra grains Zeal Grainfree Superpets Convenience Packaging – Convenient and easy opening food , Maranui free flow frozen single serve pouches and cans or patties + resesalable fresh resealable containers meat Jimbos free flow patties Mars pouches (x12) Weight management – Use of lean meats such as venison, Addiction (weight turkey management) Source: various; photo credit (fair use; low resolution; complete product/brand for illustrative purposes); Coriolis analysis 50
New Zealand has world-class food and beverage research and development capabilities, including a long history of meat-specific research, spread across a wide range of universities and research institutes Key Food & Beverage Industry research bodies in New Zealand 2013 RESEARCH AND SCIENCE ORGANISATIONS UNIVERSITIES Source: Coriolis analysis 51
Mars is working with AgResearch to leverage New Zealand’s meat science capabilities to develop successful new products “Mars Incorporated has already confirmed new research funding and is “Mars worked with AgResearch to create a premium petfood product, making an ongoing commitment to research and development in New being made at Mars’ Wanganui manufacturing plant, to grow export Zealand, with product innovation being a core part of our long term markets.” Jonathan Cox, Product and Innovation Manager, Mars, FoRST, Press vision. [I am] optimistic there will be further growth opportunities for release, May 2009 Mars in Wanganui.” Jonathan Cox, Product and Innovation Manager, Mars, FoRST, Press release, May 2009 “Agriculture Minister David Carter will be in Wanganui today to sign a memorandum of understanding between the three partners [Mars, “In 2007, we started some work with AgResearch and Massey AgResearch & Massey] and also to launch a new range of pet care University that was looking at new ideas for pet food. We have products produced by Mars Petcare factory. The product is the result of developed a new protein innovation with them. The research has funding received from TechNZ and the signing will form a new group allowed us to bring out a new range of products under the Whiskas called Protein Innovation NZ.” Wanganui Chronicle, May 2009 brand, which we have launched in Australia… … That launch has been reasonably successful, and we've seen a marked increase in volumes required for that market. This project and growth in demand for our product were linked." Colin Fergus, plant manager, Mars Petfood Wanganui, May 2009 52
As a result of being an island nation with strong biosecurity controls, New Zealand is free of a wide range of animal diseases; this leads to higher yields and excellent market access EXAMPLES: Livestock diseases that are and are not present in New Zealand* 2013 Major global diseases Species Present in New Zealand Not present in New Zealand (select) Cattle Bovine TB Foot-and-mouth Johne’s Disease Bovine Spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) Bovine Brucellosis Sheep Footrot Scrapie Foot-and-mouth Blue tongue Deer Bovine TB Foot-and-mouth Chronic Wasting Disease Horse - Potomac horse fever African Horse Sickness West Nile virus Equine encephalomyelitis Poultry - Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (Bird flu) Infectious Bursal Disease Newcastle’s Disease (Fowl pest) Pigs - Foot-and-mouth Porcine Reproductive & Respiratory Syndrome Porcine Brucellosis Classical Swine fever Salmon - Infectious Salmon Anemia (ISA) * Full list available at MPI http://www.biosecurity.govt.nz/pests/surv-mgmt/surv/freedom 53
Looking beyond food, New Zealand has clear comparative advantage in a some other product categories; of these nutraceuticals/supplements stands out for growth Screen of potential/emerging opportunities across wider pet products and petcare Model; 2013 Product Overall Growing Growing NZ Growing NZ Traditional sources of comparative advantage Comments/notes category global production export market Safe/secure Unique raw Low cost Lack of key systems materials protein diseases Supplements/ Leveraging unique plants & animals nutraceuticals #" !" #" !" #" #" $" #" Growing in human-grade space Emerging market for pet supplements Veterinary !" !" !" !" #" $" $" #" Lack of diseases key driver of success to date medicines Leveraging strength in farm animal health Pet litter (cat, Growing hay, straw & bedding exports small animal) !" !" $" !" !" !" $" !" Cages/housing Capabilities in metal fabrication !" $" !" $" $" !" $" $" Major exporter of wood and some metals Pet apparel China dominates global trade $" !" $" $" $" $" $" $" No clear leverage or drivers for success Grooming China dominates global trade supplies $" !" $" $" $" $" $" $" No clear leverage or drivers for success Pet diapers/ Limited market outside Japan nappies $" !" $" $" !" $" $" $" Toys China dominates global trade $" !" $" $" $" $" $" $" No clear leverage or drivers for success Live pets Trade is typically breeding stock not volume $" $" $" $" #" $" $" #" Growing cultural and ethical issues $%%!%%#" Low Medium High Source: Coriolis from interviews; Coriolis estimates & analysis of available data 54
Contents Summary & conclusions Large & attractive global market New Zealand petfood exports are growing Modern and robust value chain Strong drivers of success Track record of innovation Investment opportunities Appendix 1 – Key firm profiles 55
New Zealand has a robust petfood industry with a wide range of firms participating Key firms in the New Zealand petfood industry 2013 Manufacturers Example Companies Multinationals* Retail-ready Product form Larger - Canned - Refrigerated - Frozen - Air dried - Freeze dried - Baked - Dry kibble Medium Smaller/Other *Significant petfood imports; Source: Coriolis 56
Three major multinationals have petfood operations in New Zealand Profiles of the key multinational firms in the New Zealand petfood sector NZ$m; various; 2013 or as available Year Production Turnover % Employees Company founded (tpa) (NZ$) Export1 (FTE) Ownership Brands Note/comments ~1988 14-18,000 $70-$75m 80% 250 Private USA (Mars Pedigree, Whiskas, - Mars Petcare (NZ) (190 manuf) Family) MyDog, Schmackos, - www.mars.com/global/ Optimum, Royal brands/petcare Canin, Temptations, Nutro 1926 ~10,000+ $65-70m 0% ~40 (manuf) Public Swiss; listed Purina, Tux, - Nestle – Purina (NZ) 100-140 (Nestle) Friskies, Tux, Cat - www.purina.co.nz Chow, Fancy Feast, - Tux production only in NZ Waggin Train 1932 ~30,000 $80-90m 15% 150 Private Equity: USA Champ, Chef, - HJ Heinz (NZ) (Berkshire Hathaway PurePet, Nutriplus, - www.heinzwatties.co.nz/ and 3G Capital) Bruno, Gourmet - NRM, Farmlands contract manuf. dry 1. NZ production value; Source: interviews, various industry publications; various published articles; company websites and annual reports; Coriolis analysis 57
Multinationals in New Zealand – and those sourcing from New Zealand – have a wide range of supply options Further details on multinationals in New Zealand or sourcing from New Zealand 2013 or as available Global position Location of NZ factory Location of NZ Source of supply Meat processors with plants near the NZ facility tonnage (tpa) head office factory Firms with own manufacturing in New Zealand Mars #1 petfood firm globally Manawatu- 14-18,000 Auckland Primarily lower North AFFCO, Alliance, ANZCO, Inghams, Wanganui Island Kintyre, Ovation, Progressive Meats, Silver Fern Farms, Taylor Preston, Nestle #2 petfood firm globally Manawatu- ~10,000+ Auckland Primarily lower North Tegel Wanganui Island Heinz Former global petfood Hawke’s Bay ~30,000 Auckland Primarily Napier, AFFCO, Alliance, Crusader, Greenlea, major; sold US business Gisborne, Waikato and Inghams, Ovation, Silver Fern Farms, to Del Monte; NZ Lower North Island Tegel potentially a portfolio orphan Firms identified to be sourcing from New Zealand Unicharm #2 Japan petfood firm None - None Canned meat based - #9 global petfood firm product currently contract packed in NZ P&G #4 global petfood firm None - Sales agency Nationwide Nationwide Colgate #3 global petfood firm None - Auckland Nationwide Nationwide Source: Coriolis from interviews and analysis 58
New Zealand has a robust group of larger petfood producers Profiles of the key larger-sized firms in the New Zealand petfood sector NZ$m; various; 2013 or as available Year Production Turnover % Employees Company founded (tpa) (NZ$) Export1 (FTE) Ownership Brands Note/comments 1976 10-20,000 $15-20m 5-10% 50-60 Private NZ: (Roby Butch, Golden Boy, - Butch Petfoods Family) Wag, Hound Dog, - www.bpfstore.co.nz Bow Wow, - Dog rolls GingerTom, Carnivore 1967 3,500 $14m 0% 40-50 Private NZ: Jimbos - Bombay Petfoods (Lawson, David Purely Petfoods - www.jimbos.co.nz/ Allan, others) First Choice - Fresh meat products Max 2007 2-2,500 ~$10- 0% - Private NZ: (Baker, Superior Chunky, - Fond Foods Ltd $12me Larkman, Page, Chunky, Possyum - www.superiorchunky.co.nz others) 2007 500 $10-15m 97% 43 Private NZ/USA: ZiwiPeak - Ziwipeak Ltd (Stewart, Woodd, - www.ziwipeak.com Mitchell (USA)) 2006 800-900 $5-10m 75% 25 Private NZ: (Smith, K9 Natural - Natural Food Group Stewart, Bowers, - www.k9natural.com others) 2013 3,000 $6m 98% 14 Private NZ/Sing: Petfood NZ - PetfoodNZ International Ltd (2005) (VLR Global, 60%, - www.petfoodnz.com Moulds,20%, Taylor - Started in 2005, sold, bought back 20%) 2013 2011 250-300 $5-10m 95% 15-20 Private NZ: (Signal, Biophive - Biophive NZ (dry) Lloyd, others) eN’vee - www.biophive.com/ “Superior Farms Pet - www.superiorfarmspetnz.com Provisions” - Venison and lamb based treats, chews, supplements & ingred’s (bulk & private label) e = Estimate ; 1 NZ production value; Source: interviews, various industry publications; various published articles; company websites and annual reports; Coriolis analysis 59
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