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KPMG IN RUSSIA AND THE CIS International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS 2015 kpmg.ru Hospitality & Leisure Advisory Services
c | International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS Contents A few words about franchising 3 franchising Components of successful franchising 5 Franchising in Russia and the CIS 6 Russia & CIS vs. other global regions 6 Russia & CIS specifics 7 3 How much does it cost? 8 Manchising – An option to consider? 9 Third-party operators – Extra benefits or extra costs? 10 Conclusion 11 Introduction 12 countries Russia 14 report Azerbaijan 17 Armenia 18 Belarus 19 12 Georgia 20 Kazakhstan 22 Kyrgyzstan 24 Turkmenistan 25 Ukraine 26 Uzbekistan 28 © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS | 3 franchising A few words about franchising 10–15 years ago franchising of trademarks and technical know- agreements were seldom seen in how) which benefits both parties to the the hospitality industry in Russia transaction. and the CIS. This was chiefly due For franchisors, the gains mainly to the existence of an immature come from achieving rapid growth at a market that lacked professional minimum level of investment – players who were prepared to run this helps create the critical mass a hotel business according to high (“minimum efficient scale”) that international standards. These days, is necessary to gain access to the Franchising however, international hotel operators core benefits of running a chain of view expansion via franchising as hotels. Franchising provides increased provides increased being almost as appealing as direct business activity with lower capital business activity management. risk, and as an option is usually with lower capital Franchising began in the US in the late preferable to company ownership 1940s, when the concept was applied in cases where a high level of initial risk... as a distinct means of launching a investment is required, or where new business, as opposed to a way of there is high growth. The scale effect distributing an existing product. combined with a flat organisational structure help ensure lower operating The franchising format involves the and administrative costs, as well as owner of a brand name and business improved purchasing power with (the franchisor) transferring through suppliers through increased sales a contract (the franchise agreement) volumes. the right to use a name and format to another party (the franchisee), typically In franchising the primary advantage for a fixed period and in an agreed for the franchisor is that franchisees location. In return, the franchisee are more highly motivated than pays an initial fee and subsequently paid managers. Hence franchising a royalty based on a percentage can help turn franchisees into bona- of revenue generated. Essentially, fide entrepreneurs. “Independent” the concept involves a transfer of business owners that are close to intellectual property rights (in the form markets are in the best position to © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
4 | International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS nurture such markets and to flexibly structure usually available only to major operate the business to meet the hospitality chains. The franchise has demands of their business. The already created a brand name, and the franchising structure enables the chain franchisee reaps the benefits from to be more responsive to customers this, in addition to attendant extensive and to be more flexible in terms of promotional campaigns. Franchisors service needs. Many organisations often provide both operational and The franchisee believe that franchisees at a local business management training to benefits from level can better identify opportunities, franchisees, as well as site selection cultivate key relationships, ascertain and general start-up assistance. acquiring the rights customer requirements, and more Franchisors typically provide pre- to own and run a effectively manage costs. Franchising opening staff training, comprehensive paves the way for new ideas, products operating manuals, and ongoing proven format while and services that come about as a support. In contrast to an independent at the same time result of the innovative and creative entrepreneur, a franchisee has the gaining access to a approaches that tend to be used in this option of calling on the support of concept. a large, experienced franchisor. In support structure The franchisee in turn benefits from addition, compared to other small usually available start-ups, the franchisee is exposed to acquiring the rights to own and run only to major a significantly lower risk of failure. a proven format while at the same hospitality chains. time gaining access to a support © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS | 5 Components of successful franchising Many branded hospitality service proficient practitioners. The franchisee organisations have achieved growth exists not only as a client, but also through deploying techniques as a partner who runs and grows the borrowed from manufacturing business for the franchisor. to establish uniform, reliable and Most franchisor organisations standardised brands. In connection stipulate that franchisees work with this, a common issue for Franchisors are according to set brand standards. The franchise organisations is that they must manage the tension that actual brand not only establishes a responsible for the market presence, but it also involves exists between standardisation and overall brand offer, adhering to a level of conformity that control on the one hand and business while franchisees constrains independence: as a result, freedom and flexibility on the other. At the same time, the franchise should franchisor organisations must monitor deal with decisions the franchisee operation. Customers be sufficiently decentralised to foster governing more day- these days expect a brand to deliver creativity and be responsive to local to-day operations... a consistent and reliable service, and service needs. the franchisor organisation must The franchise should be both stable ensure that customers know what to (so that all members – both direct expect and have their expectations employees and franchisees – know its satisfactorily met. Franchisors are mission and aims) and dynamic so that responsible for the overall brand offer, services reflect and meet changes in while franchisees deal with decisions customer needs and environmental governing more day-to-day operations circumstances. Many hospitality (recruitment, quality standards, service organisations offer brands advertising, etc.) that are uniform and meet customer In order to reduce the threat of security needs; however, increasingly, opportunism and to respect the services should reflect the “customer closely aligned interests of the as individual” – thus they need to franchisor and franchisee, detailed appreciate individual and regional franchising contracts are created. variations and tastes. In a survey (National Westminster Franchisors have no single base of Bank/FBA Survey, British Franchise power and decision making. Unlike Association), around half of all a traditional command and control franchisees globally opined that such organisation, franchises have multiple contracts favour the franchisor, while centres, as individually franchisees the other half stated that they felt they have rights and commitments which were neutral. That said, franchisees restrict the franchisor’s capacity are usually prepared to tolerate any to exercise controls. Although constraints in view of the benefits the franchisor initially has specific that they secure from the relationship knowledge and capabilities and (essentially, a franchisee is buying can provide support to franchisees, into a business concept that has franchising entails layers of expertise been tested in practice and shown rather than a centralised group of to work). This means that the level of self-contained professionals typically risk to the franchisee is lower than found within traditional structures. that associated with starting a new Franchisees have immediate, front-line business. As with “empowered” knowledge of the business, as well managers or employees, a franchisee as knowledge of the various business must be ready to work within a functions and how they affect the system designed by the franchisor’s business. Hence an interdependent management and accept the relationship exists in which franchisor constraints which it sets. and franchisee are both skilled and © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
6 | International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS Franchising in Russia and the CIS Russia and the CIS vs. other on these initiatives and are willing to Compared to mature markets in the US global regions expand their network via franchising, and Europe, regional markets in Russia while other international chains still and the CIS are at an early stage of Franchising has in recent years favour developing through direct franchising development. Figures also become a hot topic in the Russian management contracts. In addition, show that in terms of the proportion of and CIS hotel market. Many investors local third-party management franchised vs. managed hotels within have now gained sufficient experience companies are expanding in the major hotel chains, there is a trend of and are seeking to manage their region, and international operators are underdevelopment related to franchise own properties, but under an entering the market. models in the Russia and CIS region. established brand name. Some brands are prepared to cooperate Starwood Hotels & Resorts Hotels Carlson Rezidor 18% 6% 32% 29% 17% 83% 20% 80% Russia EMEA Russia 4% 25% EMEA 1% 2% & CIS & CIS USA 76% Americas 39% 71% 97% Midle East, Africa and Asia Pacific 100% Owned Managed Franchised Owned Managed Franchised Source: Starwoodhotels.com Source: Carlson Rezidor data InterContinental Hotel Group Accor Hotels 0.2% 15.6% 45% 27% 41% 9% 91% 0.1% 5.9% Europe Russia Russia & CIS Worldwide & CIS USA 84.2% 55% 32% 94% Owned/Leased Managed Franchised Owned/Leased Managed Franchised Source: ihgplc.com Source: accor.com Hilton Worldwide 34% 29% 43% 2% EMEA Russia 7% & CIS 37% 57% Americas 9% 8% 91% Midle East, Africa and Asia Pacific 83% Owned/Leased Managed Franchised Source: ir.hiltonworldwide.com © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS | 7 Russia and the CIS specifics in terms of getting established in the capitals of these countries. As the market matures, more investors are showing a willingness In Russia, hotel companies are to get into hotel management and interested in significantly expanding to structure their own professional into regional cities. As the targets teams. Representatives of major of hotel companies in terms of the hotel chains operating in the Russian number of operating hotels in regions market claim that in recent years grow, smaller cities are becoming more owners have been requesting more interesting for brands. Regional franchising agreements and not The majority cities have a cap that can be achieved management contracts. The majority for ADR, consequently there is a of international hotel chains in Russia of franchise business rationale for developing and the CIS are still not ready to agreements in mainly midscale and budget brands entrust the management of hotels Russia and the in such destinations. The potential under their brand to investors with margins of such properties do not no related industry experience. That CIS are signed for always motivate hotel chains to take said, the degree of strictness applied budget/midscale full responsibility for operations; in in reviewing investor profiles varies brands... addition, paying a fee to engage a from one hotel company to the next; hotel chain to run the property will not for example, Marriott International necessarily bring added value to the Inc. accepts the franchising model owner. Thus franchising represents only if the management company the most optimal method for brands to that will run the hotel is on the list develop in regions. of Marriott’s approved companies. brands (Ritz Carlton, Sofitel, MGallery, The need to raise debt financing for Such approved companies currently Planet Hollywood, W, St. Regis, hotel projects can act as an additional include professional international Intercontinental, etc.) This can be incentive for a franchising practice third-party management companies explained not only by the reputational to expand. As hotel projects are not (for example, Interstate Hotels & risks involved in such a move, but normally a top priority for Russian Resorts) with a proven record of also by the higher margins that luxury bankers, having the name of an managing successful hotel projects hotels generate for management international brand adorning the hotel in the region and management teams teams. property constitutes an advantage nurtured by Marriott via a process of for financial institutions potentially Each hotel company has its own direct management during the initial interested in financing such projects. strategic priorities in terms of years of operation, such as Comfort the geographical location of their Hotel Management. Marriott is managed/franchised properties, willing to consider other companies, and not all markets in Russia and as long as they can demonstrate the CIS are equally attractive for the necessary level of experience brands. The majority of companies and expertise. Wyndham prefers to agree that the most promising CIS expand its presence in the region by opening hotels under its brands in countries in terms of development Franchising are Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Georgia, represents the collaboration with known-in-the-market Armenia and Ukraine (as soon as Russian and international third-party most optimal the current geopolitical situation operators, while Intercontinental Hotel Group, Accor and some other chains stabilises). Attitudes vary among hotel method for chains when it comes to entering brands to are prepared to consider entering new markets. Some are ready to into franchise agreements with less develop in expand into unexplored locations only experienced owners. through franchises, due to the lower regions. The majority of franchise agreements operational risks franchise agreements in Russia and the CIS are signed provide; however, some chains are for budget/midscale brands, such prepared to manage properties in such as Hampton by Hilton, Holiday Inn destinations to ensure that the brand’s Express, Days Inn, Ramada Encore, reputation and standards do not suffer Ibis, Novotel, and Courtyard by under local management. Countries Marriott. It is very unlikely that hotel such as Uzbekistan, Tadzhikistan, chains would entrust to individual Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan are of investors the management of their top interest for hotel operators primarily © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
8 | International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS How much does it cost? Key issues to consider during the • T he marketing fee covers an • T he loyalty fee is part of a franchisor property franchising decision-making operator’s various promotional loyalty programme. Often the fee is process is fee structure and amounts activities related to increasing calculated as a percentage of total to be paid. Some structures differ brand awareness among the target revenue generated by loyal guests, from operator to operator; we have audience and developing new brand and typically ranges from 3 to 5 consolidated the general conditions initiatives. The fee, which is usually percent. an investor may come across in the based on gross room revenue Depending on the operator and project majority of franchise contracts. Most and sometimes on total revenue, there may be additional system and of the figures are confidential; for typically ranges between 2 and 3 technical support services provided convenience we cite some ranges. percent of room revenue or 1 and 2 by the hotel chain and related fees percent of total revenue. A typical fee structure involves: stipulated in a contract. Another • T he reservation fee covers costs common requirement, cited by all hotel • A n initial fee payable by the associated with an operator’s chains, is that the general manager of franchisee on the execution of the reservation system, such as central a property must be approved by the Franchise Agreement associated office operations, respective brand. Some franchisors offer extra with the initial granting of rights and personnel, and all distribution- services for franchised properties. IHG, costs incurred by the franchisor. Its related fees. Rates and the way for example, provides staff outsourcing aim is to cover the operator’s initial they are calculated vary between services for such key hotel positions as costs, (i.e. from reviewing the site, different operators and depending revenue manager or general manager, market potential analysis, evaluation on which systems they use. Rates as well as hotel performance support of the hotel’s plans / existing layout). may be charged as a percentage or (several visits per year, assistance on The initial fee typically takes the a fixed amount charged per booking, reviewing marketing / sales plans and form of either an amount based on depending on the brand. strategies etc., in order to maximise the hotel’s room count or a fixed owner profit). amount. This fee is sometimes non- refundable. • T he royalty fee is a recurring fee the franchisee pays to the franchisor, and covers the use of a trademark and a trade name, as well as continuing franchise services. The fee is typically based on room revenue and usually varies between 4 and 5 percent of gross room revenue. Some operators add 2 percent of F&B revenue to room revenue. • T he technical services fee covers the brand’s costs during the provision of ground support to the franchisee development team related to the design and development of the hotel. A technical service agreement (TSA) ensures that after a project has been completed it complies with brand standards and is operationally efficient. Technical fees usually range from USD500 per room for rebranding projects to USD1,000 for greenfield projects. © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS | 9 Manchising – An option to consider? In addition to traditional franchise brands and to exercise a degree of agreements, hotel chains operating operational control in the initial years in the Russia and CIS region have as the brand undergoes a ‘ramping begun to implement the practice of up’ period. These agreements also “Manchising”, which involves the give owners flexibility in terms of following: being able to cut expenses in the subsequent years of a property’s • owners engage an operator for an Manchising operation, after management teams initial period until the performance agreements also give have gained sufficient experience. of the property stabilises (around owners flexibility in five years) terms of being able to • the contract then reverts to a cut expenses in the franchise contract under which the owner assumes management subsequent years of a responsibility and retains the property’s operation, operator’s brand, for which he after management pays an annual franchise fee teams have gained Despite the hotel management model changing, there is no impact sufficient experience. on the external running of the hotel. Such structures are particularly useful in terms of helping hotel operating companies to launch new © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
10 | International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS Third-party operators – Extra benefits or extra costs? Another option for managing a of several brands if a brand has not hotel property is to attract a third- been chosen. Investors that plan to party management company which operate a number of properties, and specialises in providing such services are unsure about committing to a for hotels. A professional third- particular brand, would be better suited ...the third-party party management company can working with one third-party operator management benefit inexperienced owners who that manages their properties under do not wish to be involved in the various brands, or no brands at all. This company can help hotel’s day-to-day operations, and would also allow the management owners avoid engaging such a company does not company to cluster some positions, unnecessary costs necessarily mean in practice having and thus improve the operational a three-sided arrangement between efficiency of the managed hotels. and align a property the brand providing the franchise, The combined fees of a third-party to the standards of the management company running several brands ... operating company and the franchise the hotel, and the owner. Third-party fees for the brand will most likely management companies are able equal or exceed those of signing to more objectively advise owners one direct management contract on whether they should brand their with a hotel company. However, property – some hotel projects may A number of international companies such a dual structure gives extra not obtain any added value by having operate hotels in Russia and CIS, flexibility to owners, since the terms an international brand name; however, including Interstate Hotels & Resorts of management contracts with having an experienced management (the largest global third-party hotel third-party companies are usually team in place, whose remuneration is management company, operating shorter than those with hotel chains linked to hotel performance, will most properties all over the world under (10-15 years, vs. 20-25). In addition, likely benefit the owner. 40 brands). The company was the management contract termination Such third-party companies generally clauses are usually less stringent, first to establish in the region and work with a number of hotel chains and if an owner is not happy with the has the biggest portfolio of brands and brands and may propose a number brand or management company it is and hotels under management (13 of options to owners suitable to each easier to replace one of them rather properties, with over 4,000 rooms). project. When suggesting a brand, than terminate the direct management Hotel chains are keener to entrust they tend to be more interested in the contract with the hotel chain. In such upper-scale brands to international potential performance of a project than cases any negative impact on the management companies (Interstate in promoting a particular hotel chain. hotel’s day-to-day operations will be Hotels & Resorts, Sophos Hotels, During the construction phase, the minimal and the investor will incur Vienna International) when signing third-party management fewer losses. franchise agreements. However, local company can help owners competitors are also gaining in terms avoid unnecessary costs of both experience and in the number and align a property of properties they manage. Companies to the standards such as BS Hospitality management and IFK Hotel Management currently operate properties under the brands of Third-party one hotel company (Hilton and Louvre Hotels, respectively); however, IFK in management a recent interview with us stated that companies are able to more to become more competitive in the objectively advise owners market it plans to expand in the near future its portfolio of brands. on whether they should brand their property © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS | 11 Conclusion In order to arrive at a conclusion on the in implementing this structure than expansion of franchising in Russia and others, but, that said, an overall Franchising has become the CIS, we analysed operator pipelines increase in the number of franchised in terms of the number of franchised hotels in the market pipeline can be a development priority vs. managed hotels. No specific trend observed. The introduction of so-called for all hotel chains. appears to unite all brands operating in “Manchise” contracts also reflects the market or clearly demonstrates that that hotel chains in Russia and the CIS franchising has become a development are beginning to get more confident priority for all hotel chains. Some about the ability of owners to manage hotel companies are more proactive properties. © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
12 | International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS countries report Introduction The expansion of international hotel operators in Russia and potential economic growth of some countries, another 194 the CIS is progressing quite rapidly, with approximately 200 hotels with a total room stock of nearly 37,300 units are due hotels now operating in the whole region and 70 operating to open in the region by 2020 (59 hotels / 10,400 rooms in CIS countries (excluding Russia). Even though the current in the CIS, excluding Russia) according to the pipeline of economic climate is creating uncertainty in relation to the international hotel chains. Rating of international operators by presence in Russia and CIS market Rooms Hotels Rezidor Rezidor Marriott Marriott InterContinental Accor Accor InterContinental Hilton Hilton Starwood Starwood Rixos Wyndham Hyatt Rixos Wyndham Hyatt Kempinski Louvre Fairmont Kempinski Louvre Existing Addition by 2020 Fairmont Existing Addition by 2020 Sokos Sokos Capella Capella Other Other 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Source: KPMG analysis Rating of international operators by presence in Russia and CIS market Other Other Starwood 9% Starwood Rezidor 7% Rezidor Fairmont 5% Fairmont 6% 20% 3% 25% 2% Accor 11% Accor 19% Forecast 2014 6% Hilton for 2020 9% Hilton Hyatt 4% 2% Rixos Louvre 2% 4% Rixos Hyatt 4% 13% 11% 2% 12% InterContinental Marriott 4% 3% InterContinental Louvre 9% 4% 4% Marriott Kempinski Wyndham Kempinski Wyndham Source: KPMG analysis © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS | 13 Currently the leading hotel company in the region is Carlson Based on our interviews conducted within the frame of the Rezidor Hotel Group, with 41 hotels and a total inventory of survey with the representatives of major hotel chains in nearly 11,000 rooms operating under its brands in Russia Russia and the CIS, there has been no considerable drop-off and the CIS. By 2020 the leader in terms of number of in investor interest towards the hotel market, who plan to operating hotels is projected to change to Accor Hotels, continue implementation of already started projects, despite which is forecast to have 85 properties with a total inventory adverse geopolitical and economic conditions. However we of 15,400 rooms. believe that projects on early stage of development may be frozen and initiation of new construction may be put on hold until the situation stabilizes. Distribution of branded room stock and hotel supply in Russia and CIS market Rooms Hotels 60,000 7,000 300 35 6,000 30 50,000 250 5,000 25 40,000 200 4,000 20 30,000 150 3,000 15 20,000 100 2,000 10 10,000 50 1,000 5 0 0 0 0 Other Other Kazakhstan Azerbaijan Turkmenistan Uzbekistan Tajikistan Kyrgyzstan Kazakhstan Azerbaijan Turkmenistan Uzbekistan Tajikistan Kyrgyzstan Russia Georgia Armenia Russia Georgia Armenia Ukraine Belarus Ukraine Belarus Existing Addition by 2020 Existing Addition by 2020 Source: KPMG analysis © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
14 | International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS Russia In terms of hotel network Russia is the most developed development, although regional markets are also seeing country in the CIS, with 131 hotels in operation and around active development. Whereas in the past hotel operators 136 in the pipeline. Recent geopolitical and economic events preferred to establish a presence in cities with a population have worsened the business environment outlook, and as a exceeding one million, now they are actively seeking to result of banking sanctions financing costs could increase. expand their networks into regional centres with more than 300 thousand inhabitants. After recent economic and geopolitical developments and an attendant slowdown in tourism activity, Moscow remains the most attractive market in the country for hotel Rating of international operators by presence in Russia Rooms Hotels Rezidor Rezidor Accor Accor InterContinental InterContinental Marriott Marriott Hilton Hilton Kempinski Kempinski Starwood Starwood Wyndham Wyndham Hyatt Hyatt Domina Domina Fairmont Fairmont Louvre Existing Addition by 2020 Louvre Existing Addition by 2020 Lotte Lotte Capella Capella Other Other 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Source: KPMG analysis The majority of Russian room stock and hotels under Nikolskaya, which opened last spring under the Kempinski international brands are concentrated in Moscow (38% brand, has changed operator to Starwood Hotels & Resorts of current Russian room stock of international operators). and launched a new brand on the Russian market, St. At present, 44 out of 340 hotels in Moscow, or 11,192 of Regis. Another trend witnessed this year is the expansion 46,989 rooms, operate under various international brands. of international hotel brands into the Moscow region, with Upscale and luxury hotels currently account for the bulk of Radisson Zavidovo (239 rooms) and Hilton Garden Inn the hotel supply in Moscow, while there remains a lack of Moscow New Riga (162) open in the first half of 2014. Two international-quality hotel rooms priced in the mid range. No more hotels were open in Q3 2014 in the Russian capital: new midscale hotels are expected this year, and the budget Four Seasons Hotel Moscow (180 rooms) and Double Tree and midscale markets currently comprises only 12 hotels, by Hilton Moscow Marina (270). with a total inventory of approximately 2,700 rooms. By 2020 the room stock of hotel chains in Moscow is expected Each year more and more international hotel chains are to rise to nearly 22 thousand, with 42 new properties creating opening or assuming the operation of properties in Moscow, almost 11 thousand rooms, making the capital’s share of room from established brands such as Marriott and Radisson, stock in the future supply of Russia 39%. to relative newcomers such as Four Seasons. Hotel © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS | 15 Rating of international operators by presence in Moscow Rooms Hotels Accor Accor Rezidor Rezidor InterContinental InterContinental Marriott Marriott Starwood Starwood Hilton Hilton Kempinski Kempinski Fairmont Fairmont Hyatt Hyatt Wyndham Wyndham Lotte Lotte 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Existing Addition by 2020 Existing Addition by 2020 Source: KPMG analysis St. Petersburg, the second-most popular city in Russia for Two branded hotels opened in the first six months of 2014: hotel operators and investors, is less stable than Moscow Indigo by IHG and Park Inn by Radisson Pulkovo Airport. in terms of tourist flow, due to its high dependence on Currently over 70% of branded hotels in St. Petersburg leisure travellers in summer, the peak season for the city. belong to the upscale or luxury segments, while almost half Geopolitical and economic events this year have had an of pipeline properties belong to the midscale segment. adverse impact on the number of tourists visiting the city, New hotel brands are expected to enter the St. Petersburg mostly represented by a decline in European and American market in the near future: Hilton and Hampton by Hilton travellers. Consequently, hotel occupancy in St. Petersburg are due to open in 2015 (near the new Expo Center in the has been negatively affected. Nevertheless, hotel chains, city), while Golden Tulip Hotels is scheduled to commence which have not yet established a presence in Russia’s operations in the city in 1Q 2015, and Jumeirah is expected second-largest city, are still looking for opportunities to enter to launch in 2017. the market. Rating of international operators by presence in St. Petersburg Rooms Hotels Rezidor Rezidor InterContinental InterContinental Sokos Sokos Marriott Marriott Accor Accor Rocco Rocco Orient Orient Corinthia Corinthia Kempinski Kempinski Four Seasons Four Seasons Starwood Starwood Domina Existing Addition by 2020 Domina Existing Addition by 2020 Hilton Hilton Louvre Louvre Jumeirah Jumeirah Wyndham Wyndham Lotte Lotte Mandarin Mandarin 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Source: KPMG analysis © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
16 | International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS Distribution of branded room stock in Russia, After Moscow and St. Petersburg, the most developed by city city in the country in terms of hotel infrastructure is Sochi, whose leading position is explained by the recent Olympic Games held in the city, which created great demand for 25,000 1,400 international standard hotels. Somewhat surprisingly, Sochi’s development continued after the Olympics – five 1,200 more hotels, operated by Starwood Hotels, Marriott 20,000 International Inc., Hilton Worldwide, Accor Hotels and 1,000 Rezidor Hotel Group, are expected to add to the network of 20 existing branded properties in Sochi. 15,000 800 Among regional cities with a population exceeding one million, the most developed in terms of number of hotel 600 properties are Yekaterinburg, Samara, and Kazan, with four 10,000 or more branded hotels already operating. A further 10 large Russian cities (population > one million) have more 400 properties in the pipeline than are currently operating. 5,000 Rostov-on-Don has the biggest pipeline among regional 200 cities, with six hotels scheduled to open within the next four-to-five years under the Ibis, Mercure, Hyatt Regency, 0 0 Le Meridien, Sheraton and Ramada brands and none under Other Krasnodar Moscow Gelendzhik Chelyabinsk Murmansk Krasnoyarsk Novgorod Veliky Vladivostok Irkutsk Novosibirsk Petrozavodsk Omsk Izhevsk Sochi Kazan Yaroslavl Voronezh St. Petersburg Ekaterinburg Samara Kaliningrad Nizhny Novgorod Volgograd international brands currently operating. The second-highest number of projects (four) are being developed in Nizhny Novgorod, where only one branded property, Ibis Centre Nizhny Novgorod, has been opened. Cities with a population Existing Addition by 2020 exceeding one million are due to have from three-to-eight Source: KPMG analysis branded properties up and running by 2020. Among second-tier cities (population over 500 thousand), where one hotel, Hilton Garden Inn, has already opened and Yaroslavl has the highest number of hotels operating under three more international hotels (Four Points by Sheraton, international brands (Ibis, Mercure and Park Inn). In other Ibis and Adagio) are due to open in the next two years. Such second-tier cities international brands have established a strong pipeline is explained by the dynamic development a presence only in Krasnodar, Izhevsk and Lipetsk (Hilton of the automotive and related industries in the city. Garden Inn and Marriott in Krasnodar; Park Inn in Izhevsk; Another interesting case is the resort town Gelenzhik, Mercure in Lipetsk). Cities such as Ufa and Tyumen each where Kempinski has already established a presence, and have four hotel projects in progress and no hotels operating another branded hotel, Radisson Blu Primorye, is due to at present. Other second-tier cities are set to open no more open. Despite Gelenzhik having a population of only 65 than two properties by 2020, thus creating potential for thousand, it attracts many tourists in the summer season. further development for investors and brands. The town is following the Sochi trend (the city is located Looking at smaller regional centres, Kaluga is attracting not far from Sochi), where Soviet-era accommodation significant attention from international hotel operators, and is gradually being replaced with international quality is the only city with a population of less than 500 thousand facilities. © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS | 17 Azerbaijan Travel and tourism continues to be one of the most brand, which has successfully penetrated the market with crucial sectors for economic development in Azerbaijan, three resorts opening in recent years in Quba, Naftalan especially in terms of sustaining employment growth. The and Seredil. All major international operators preferred to tourism industry has made initial steps towards success, initially explore the market with luxury brands. Worth noting as demonstrated by considerable tourist flow growth in is that there are some brands present in Azerbaijan that 2003–2013, when the number of foreign tourists visiting the have not yet entered the Russian market (Jumeirah and country rose from around 600,000 to over 2.5 million. This Rixos). Wyndham Hotel Group is a current leader in the was followed by a substantial rise in hotel construction. The Azeri market, with four properties operating (three in Baku government forecasts a further increase of up to 3 million and one in Gence, with a total room stock of 438), while tourists annually by 2015. Rixos takes second place with three operating properties in the regional cities of the country. Other operators such as The capital Baku is the most actively evolving market Rezidor, Kempinski, Starwood, Fairmont, Hilton and Hyatt in the region (with 12 out of 16 existing branded hotels are represented by one operating hotel each and all intend to in the country, providing 2,390 rooms in the city). The open one or two properties more. The total branded pipeline regional market is still not so attractive for investors; Gence of the country is forecast to expand to almost 4,000 rooms currently has a branded hotel Ramada Plaza (180 rooms). in 21 properties by 2020. Other regional properties are represented by the Rixos Distribution of branded room stock and hotel supply in Azerbaijan, by city Rooms Hotels Baku Baku Quba Quba Gence Gence Naftalan Naftalan Seredil Seredil Existing Addition by 2020 Existing Addition by 2020 Ismayilli Ismayilli 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 0 5 10 15 20 Source: KPMG analysis Distribution of branded room stock and hotel supply in Azerbaijan, by operator Rooms Hotels Wyndham Wyndham Rixos Rixos Marriott Marriott Kempinski Kempinski Starwood Starwood Fairmont Fairmont Hilton Hilton Rezidor Rezidor Hyatt Hyatt Jumeirah Existing Addition by 2020 Jumeirah Existing Addition by 2020 Four Seasons Four Seasons InterContinental InterContinental 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 1 2 3 4 5 Source: KPMG analysis © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
18 | International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS Armenia Over the past few decades the tourism industry has been At present four hotels are operating under international a priority economic development area for the Government brands in Armenia, with a total of 526 rooms. By 2020 of Armenia. In February 2008, the government adopted a the total branded hotel stock is forecast to increase to tourism development concept paper aimed at increasing 11 facilities and 1,704 rooms. Marriott International Inc. tourism’s contribution to the country’s GDP. The number remains the market leader, with two operating hotels and of international tourists to the country has been steadily a total of 326 rooms (in Yerevan and Tsakhkadzor) in its growing since 2001. The CAGR for the number of incoming portfolio. Louvre Hotels Group manages a property with tourists for the period 2001–2011 was around 18.74%, a total of 104 rooms in Yerevan. Finally, a recent addition while the CAGR for internal tourism during the same (in 2013) to the branded market is a Hyatt facility, with 96 period stood at 13.9%. According to the Armenia Ministry rooms opened in Yerevan. Hyatt Corporation plans in early of Economy, the total number of tourists in 2013 was 2015 to further open a second hotel under the Hyatt Place approximately 1.08-1.09 million. The government has set a brand with 88 rooms in the spa resort town of Jermuk. target of 1.5 million international tourist arrivals by 2020. Wyndham Hotel Group plans to open two properties in the Most international hotel operators in Armenia opened country, both located in Yerevan. The hotels will be open their first hotels in the capital Yerevan, which remains the in 2015, both of them are at the final FF&E installation leader in the country in terms of room stock and number stage. Accor Hotels is also targeting Yerevan and plans to of hotel facilities. However, due to growth in tourist open two new hotels in the capital: one Ibis Yerevan and flows to the resort towns of Tsakhkadzor and Jermuk, one Ibis Styles Yerevan, with a room stock of 240 and 110, international hotel operators have begun to expand into respectively. Ibis Yerevan is planned to open in 2015, while these cities too, following the trend of local hoteliers, construction of Ibis Styles Yerevan has been put on hold. which have already established a significant presence Plans to construct a hotel under the Kempinski brand in there. Yerevan have been put on hold, and currently there is no publicly available information on the opening. Distribution of branded room stock and hotel supply in Armenia, by city Rooms Hotels Yerevan Yerevan Tsaghkadzor Tsaghkadzor Jermuk Existing Addition by 2020 Jermuk Existing Addition by 2020 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 0 2 4 6 8 10 Source: KPMG analysis Distribution of branded room stock and hotel supply in Armenia, by operator Rooms Hotels Marriott Marriott Louvre Louvre Wyndham Wyndham Accor Accor Hyatt Hyatt Existing InterContinental InterContinental Addition by 2020 Existing Addition by 2020 Kempinski Kempinski 0 100 200 300 400 0 1 2 3 Source: KPMG analysis © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS | 19 Belarus In the past three-to-five years the Belarus Government has Prior to the 2014 hockey world championship the Belarus demonstrated that it is serious about attracting foreign hotel market had only one internationally branded investors into the country, with the travel and tourism hotel (Crowne Plaza Minsk) operating in the country. industry being a major focus. A number of benefits and However, the holding of the championship stimulated the tax breaks to stimulate foreign investment activity were development of the Minsk hotel market, and Renaissance announced by the government to improve the image of Hotel opened in 2014, with a room inventory of 264 keys. the country, and in order to prepare for the hosting of the Despite the volatile economic situation in the country, 2014 Ice Hockey World Championship, the Belarusian it is attracting more attention from international hotel Government implemented a number of projects chains, and seven hotel projects under the brands Accor, aimed at developing the country’s travel and tourism Hilton, IHG, Louvre Hotels, Marriott and Wyndham, with infrastructure. These included the construction of new a total room inventory of 1,176, are due to be completed hotels, the redevelopment and reconstruction of existing within the next two-to-three years in Minsk. Accor and accommodation and hospitality facilities, improvements Marriott will occupy the leading position in terms of to road networks in the capital, and construction of an number of properties in the country, with each due to have ice-hockey arena. Minsk National Airport also underwent two hotels operating by 2016. No other cities have been a thorough refurbishment. The country’s tourism market earmarked for hotel openings. is characterised by a prevalence of business guests and guests attending events. Almost 6.2 million foreign visitor arrivals were registered in 2013, which included a 14% increase in the number of organised tourists. Distribution of branded room stock and hotel supply in Belarus, by operator Rooms Hotels Marriott Marriott InterContinental InterContinental Accor Accor Hilton Hilton Louvre Louvre 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 1 2 3 Existing Addition by 2020 Existing Addition by 2020 Source: KPMG analysis © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
20 | International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS Georgia Georgia’s Tourism sector is a rapidly growing industry. operates two facilities in Tbilisi, with a total room supply of The government of the country has identified tourism 245. Starwood Hotels & Resorts has one property under as a key area of investment and development, and has its brand, in Batumi, with 202 rooms. The Ascott chain is taken measures to attract investment into resort towns, currently also represented by one property, the Citadines which comprise: Sun-beach resorts: Batumi, Anaklia Freedom Square Tbilisi hotel (66 rooms). and Kobuleti; Winter Ski-Mountain resorts: Gudauri, The forecasted openings of hotels under international Mestia, Bakuriani, Goderdzi and Kazbegi, and Spa brands shows a positive trend. Carlson Rezidor Hotel resorts: Tsakhltubo, Borjomi and Akhtala. Tourist inflows Group plans an expansion by opening three more and investments are chiefly concentrated in Tbilisi and properties: one in Tbilisi (Park Inn by Radisson Rustaveli Batumi, however the government plans to open two free Tbilisi) and two Radisson Blue hotels in the towns of tourism zones in Anaklia and Kobuleti, which will boost Gudauri and Tsinandali. It is expected that the total investments for Black Sea resorts. In 2012 4.4 million number of rooms by Carlson Rezidor Hotel Group will people visited Georgia, representing an increase of 57% reach 848 units, and that the group will thus maintain its on 2011. Georgia had 22% more tourists in 2013 (5.4 current leading position. The InterContinental Hotel Group million) than in 2012. plans to grow its portfolio by another three new hotels in For a long time the majority of branded properties in the the country: one with 200 rooms (Intercontinental Tbilisi) country were concentrated in Tbilisi. However, alongside to be opened in the capital in 2016, and another two in the rapid development of the seaside town of Batumi, Borjomi and Batumi. An 84-key Crowne Plaza Borjomi will international operators began exploring Georgian regions open in 2015, while the Holliday Inn Batumi (148 rooms) is more actively. In addition to Batumi, operators are scheduled for 2020. Hilton Worldwide plans to enter the currently considering opening rather small hotels in other market with two hotels: one in Batumi and one in Tbilisi, regional towns in Georgia, such as Gudauri, Tsinandali and which will provide a total of 412 rooms under its brands by Borjomi. 2015. At present six hotels operate under international brands The major international hotel chains Kempinski Hotels, in the country, with a total room inventory of 1,116 units. Hyatt Corporation, Wyndham Hotel Group, Rixos Hotels By 2020 this number is forecast to increase to 18 facilities and Accor Hotels plan to open one hotel each in Georgia with 2,851 rooms. Carlson Rezidor Hotel Group holds by 2016; three of these facilities will be located in Tbilisi the leading position in terms of room supply, with two and the others in Batumi. Together they will provide operating properties in Tbilisi and Batumi and a total of an additional room supply of more than 643 units. The 417 rooms in its portfolio. InterContinental Hotel Group largest of the properties is planned to be the Grand Hotel manages one hotel with 252 rooms in Tbilisi and ranks Kempinski Batumi, with 250 hotel keys; however, this second in terms of room stock. Marriot International Inc. project has been put on hold. Distribution of branded room stock and hotel supply in Georgia, by city Rooms Hotels Tbilisi Tbilisi Batumi Batumi Guduari Guduari Tsinandali Tsinandali Existing Addition by 2020 Existing Addition by 2020 Borjormi Borjormi 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Source: KPMG analysis © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS | 21 Distribution of branded room stock and hotel supply in Georgia, by operator Rooms Hotels Rezidor Rezidor Marriott Marriott InterContinental InterContinental Starwood Starwood Hilton Hilton Kempinski Kempinski Wyndham Existing Addition by 2020 Wyndham Existing Addition by 2020 Rixos Rixos 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Source: KPMG analysis © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
22 | International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS Kazakhstan In May 2014 the Government of Kazakhstan approved the end of 2014 Marriot international Inc. was leading a blueprint to raise tourism’s share of GDP from the the way, operating five hotels in the country (in Astana, current level of 0.3% to 3% by 2020. Almaty is now Aktau, Almaty and Atyrau), with a total room stock of participating in a bid to host the 2022 Winter Olympics. 881. Rixos Hotels manages four properties, located in The government will allocate USD4 billion of the 2020 Almaty, Astana, Shymkent and Borovoe. With a total of blueprint’s USD10 billion price tag, with private investors 796 rooms, Rixos Hotels holds second place in terms of expected to contribute the rest. room stock. InterContinental Hotel Group is represented by two operating hotels in Almaty, with a total of 528 Excluding CIS countries, China and Turkey accounted for rooms. Carlson Rezidor Hotel Group is represented by the greatest number of arrivals in 2012; in 2013 a total of two hotels located in Astana, with a total of 429 rooms. 6.8 million people visited Kazakhstan, which represents an Wyndham Hotel Group manages one hotel in Astana with approximate 11% rise on the previous year. The number 228 rooms. Hilton Worldwide is represented by Hilton of internal tourists rose by 7.3% and reached 3.5 million. Garden Inn in Astana, with a room inventory of 229 rooms. A simplification of Kazakhstan’s visa policy with Hong And Louvre Hotels Group also has one operating hotel in Kong and potentially with a number of European countries Almaty, with 166 rooms. is expected to attract yet more visitors to the country. One of the drivers of arrivals is increasing awareness of The considerable number of planned openings indicates Kazakhstan as a travel destination. Foreigners enjoy the a positive trend in hospitality development in Kazakhstan. country due to its exotic culture and unique nature. The Among others, Marriott International Inc. has announced Shymbulak ski resort, the Medeo ice-skating rink (the it intends to increase its presence in the market with highest skating rink in the world) and the Schuchinsk- another hotel in Astana that will add 157 rooms to its Borovoye resort area (the so-called “Kazakh Switzerland”) portfolio; the total Kazakhstan room stock of the chain are all very popular destinations among tourists. will increase to 1,038, and this will ensure that the chain will retain its leading position in the country. Accor Hotels The majority of branded hotels in Kazakhstan are divided plans to open two new properties in Almaty and Astana, between the cities of Almaty and Astana, representing with a total of 448 rooms. Carlson Rezidor Hotel Group 31% and 38% shares of the branded hospitality market, plans to expand with one additional property in Almaty respectively. At the same time, there is a shift taking place (Park Inn by Radisson Almaty Airport). Wyndham Hotel to develop in other cites. Thus, an active pipeline of hotel Group announced an increase of one hotel in Astana, with construction can be observed in Atyrau, Borovoe, Aktau, 228 new rooms. Hyatt Corporation and Starwood Hotels & Aktobe and Shymkent, where the opening of at least one Resorts plan to each open at least one hotel in Kazakhstan or two branded properties are planned. Astana in turn by 2015 – one of the properties will open in Almaty, and also continues a steady growth of its share of branded another in Aktobe. Together these will add 447 keys to the properties. room stock. Future Hyatt Regency Almaty, with 270 units, 16 hotels are currently operating under the brands of will become the largest hotel in the pipeline. Meanwhile, six major international hotel chains in Kazakhstan, with as at the analysis date, the construction of Kempinski a total of 3,257 rooms. With nine new openings the Hotel Bayterek (218 units) has been put on hold and there branded hotel market is set to expand to 25 facilities by is no publicly available information on its opening. 2020, and total room occupancy will reach 4,972. As at © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS | 23 Distribution of branded room stock and hotel supply in Kazakhstan, by city Rooms Hotels Almaty Almaty Astana Astana Atyrau Atyrau Shymkent Shymkent Borovoe Borovoe Aktau Aktau Aktobe Aktobe 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 0 2 4 6 8 10 Existing Addition by 2020 Existing Addition by 2020 Source: KPMG analysis Distribution of branded room stock and hotel supply in Kazakhstan, by operator Rooms Hotels Marriott Marriott Rixos Rixos InterContinental InterContinental Rezidor Rezidor Wyndham Wyndham Louvre Louvre Hilton Hilton Accor Accor Hyatt Hyatt Kempinski Existing Addition by 2017 Kempinski Existing Addition by 2017 Starwood Starwood 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Source: KPMG analysis © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
24 | International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS Kyrgyzstan In recent years, tourism has contributed approximately Branded hotels, providing a room stock of 242 units, are 4% of Kyrgyz GDP. More than half of tourists visiting located in the Kyrgyz capital Bishkek. The largest property Kyrgyzstan go to Lake Issyk-Kul. Last year’s visa-free (178 units) is represented by the Hyatt Regency Bishkek regime for citizens from 44 countries proved a success, Hotel of the Hyatt Corporation chain. The second operating since the number of tourists from non-Soviet countries hotel, with 64 keys, is managed by Louvre Hotels Group. was seen to grow significantly. Last year, Kyrgyzstan The announced pipeline is rather modest, consisting of attracted 65,000 tourists from outside the former Soviet Novotel Bishkek (160 rooms) by Accor Hotels. However, Union; the figure was 26,000 in 2012. this project has been put on hold. Distribution of branded room stock and hotel supply in Kyrgyzstan, by operator Rooms Hotels Hyatt Hyatt Louvre Louvre Accor Accor 0 50 100 150 200 0 1 Existing Addition by 2020 Existing Addition by 2020 Source: KPMG analysis © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
International hotel operators in Russia and the CIS | 25 Turkmenistan Turkmenistan’s economy has been growing due to and legal conditions apply for foreign investors in order to exploration of the country’s vast natural resources, with incentivise activity in the Avara Zone. Vast infrastructure the gas sector playing the major role. The development and hospitality-related projects have already been of the energy sector attracts the majority of foreign implemented and more are planned. Hotels of various investment into the country, with China, Russia and Iran categories, cottages, waterparks, golf courses, tennis the biggest partners and the main feeder markets for courts, restaurants, health & spa facilities, and conference business tourism. As at the end of 1H 2014, two major centres, are planned to be located along a 16-kilometre contracts with South Korean companies had been signed stretch of beach. for a total of USD4 billion, and this should have a positive Currently the development of the Avara Zone only impact on the number of arrivals in the near future. An stimulates domestic tourism, thus no international increase in business arrivals to Ashkhabad has encouraged hotel brands have been announced to open in the area. the improvement of Ashkhabad’s infrastructure, as well Stringent visa procedures and strict regulations for as the opening of international brand hotels. Starwood foreign travellers do no facilitate an inflow of international Hotels & Resorts has two properties under its brands: leisure tourists. The country would be able to attract more Four Points by Sheraton (136 rooms) and Sheraton (120). foreign tourists if the government relaxed the regulations Accor operates one property under the Sofitel brand (299 and made greater efforts in relation to tourism-related rooms). Together these three properties form a rather marketing. modest branded market of 555 rooms. At present no other future projects have been announced. Apart from increasing activity in the energy sector (which drives business tourism), the government understands the importance of recreational tourism. The Avaza Tourism Zone, located on the Caspian Sea coast, was announced in 2007 by the President of Turkmenistan as being a major leisure destination for the country, with several billion US dollars of investment already earmarked. Special tax Distribution of branded room stock and hotel supply in Turkmenistan, by operator Rooms Hotels Accor Accor Starwood Starwood 0 100 200 300 400 0 1 2 Existing Addition by 2020 Existing Addition by 2020 Source: KPMG analysis © 2015 ZAO KPMG. All rights reserved.
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