INQUIRY INTO AND REPORT ON ALL ASPECTS OF THE CONDUCT OF THE 2016 FEDERAL ELECTION AND MATTERS RELATED THERETO
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Inquiry into and report on all aspects of the conduct of the 2016 Federal Election and matters related thereto Submission 76 - Supplementary Submission Supplementary Submission 1 to the Federal Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters INQUIRY INTO AND REPORT ON ALL ASPECTS OF THE CONDUCT OF THE 2016 FEDERAL ELECTION AND MATTERS RELATED THERETO Ian Brightwell: Date: 12th November 2016
Inquiry into and report on all aspects of the conduct of the 2016 Federal Election and matters related thereto Submission 76 - Supplementary Submission Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters INQUIRY INTO AND REPORT ON ALL ASPECTS OF THE CONDUCT OF THE 2016 FEDERAL ELECTION AND MATTERS RELATED THERETO Table of Contents Recommendations .................................................................................................................................. 1 1 Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 2 2 Roll Divergence ............................................................................................................................... 2 3 Enrolment Voting ............................................................................................................................ 4 4 Delayed Election Night Results ....................................................................................................... 4 5 Counting Senate Papers on Election Night ..................................................................................... 5 6 Senate Count Costing ...................................................................................................................... 5 7 System Renewal Options ................................................................................................................ 6 Author: Ian Brightwell i Submission - Fed 2016 IWB - Supp 1 v1.docx
Inquiry into and report on all aspects of the conduct of the 2016 Federal Election and matters related thereto Submission 76 - Supplementary Submission Recommendations The author commends the following recommendations for the Committee’s consideration in additional to recommendations in the original submission. Recommendation 1 The committee should recommend to government that COAG consider the establishment of a Electoral Process Council1 to deal with the harmonisation of electoral legislation related to roll management, election funding disclosures and management of electoral process and, also the potential for sharing electoral technical and human resources across jurisdictions. Recommendation 2 The committee should recommend to government legislation be amended to allow enrolment voting to be undertaken at the next general election. Recommendation 3 The committee should recommend to government legislation be amended to allow for electronic voting to be used with paper docket verification in pre-poll venues at the next general election to increase the number of votes counted and returned on election night. Recommendation 4 The committee should reiterate to government the importance of retaining the counting of senate votes in polling places and pre-polls on election night to first preference by group. Recommendation 5 The committee should request the AEC provide a report on the senate preference capture process used at the 2016 election. The report should in addition to assessing the effectiveness and efficiency of the process provide costings and assess alternative methods of capturing senate preferences. Recommendation 6 The committee should recommend to government that the Digital Transformation Agency (DTA) be made the lead agency for the redevelopment of election systems with a view to the developed systems being adopted by all election bodies in Australia. The DTA should in the first instance prepare a strategy and feasibility study determining the viability of a national election technology service organisation providing election technology services to all Australian jurisdictions. 1 COAG Councils provide a forum for intergovernmental collaboration and decision-making http://www.coag.gov.au/coag councils 1
Inquiry into and report on all aspects of the conduct of the 2016 Federal Election and matters related thereto Submission 76 - Supplementary Submission 1 Introduction This supplementary submission focuses on issues arising from the AEC’s submission to the inquiry. This submission addresses the following areas of the AEC’s submission: Role divergence – page 16 Enrolment Voting Election Night – page 37 Counting Senate Papers on Election Night Senate count costing System Renewal Options – page 4 2 Roll Divergence My personal experience in managing polling places in NSW is that roll divergence is a significant issue for electors. Any further increase roll divergence would undermine the public’s confidence in the enrolment process. Page 16 of the AEC submission touched on the topic of roll divergence. The submission identified that divergence is still a significant issue with no real prospect of a solution to the problem. A previous submission by the AEC to JSCEM on 20 February 2015 entitled “Electoral Roll Divergence” not only identified the level of roll divergence at that time but also identified the source of divergence between NSW and Victorian rolls. It said in part: As of 11 November 2014, there were 525,839 divergent enrolments (see Table 4.1). Of these, 19 309 were divergent due to entitlement differences (that is, single enrolments where the individual was not eligible for enrolment at both levels of government), and 506,530 were divergent for other reasons, such as direct enrolment programs. The detailed divergence figures by federal Division are listed in Appendix A. – page 4 One of the explanations for the large amount of divergence where the state enrolment is more recent is the focus of the Victorian and NSW SDE programs on enrolling 18 year olds onto their state rolls. Both Victoria and NSW use data from school assessment authorities (see Table 4.2) to enrol new electors in this cohort. The FDEU program has no equivalent data source specifically targeting 18 year olds, although young people will be captured in the FDEU process when they engage with a driver's licence issuing authority or Centrelink. – page 6 Without wishing to make comment on the decisions of other commissions, the (Commonwealth) Electoral Commissioner, as the responsible officer, formed the view that automatically applying state direct enrolment (SDE) and update transactions as federal enrolment transactions presented a potential risk to the integrity of the Commonwealth 2
Inquiry into and report on all aspects of the conduct of the 2016 Federal Election and matters related thereto Submission 76 - Supplementary Submission electoral roll. In any case, much of the data that meets the AEC’s standards is already captured through the mail review program. – page 10 The statement above from the federal commissioner related to his unwillingness to use school assessment authority data is perplexing as this is very high quality data that has been vetted by the state’s education authorities for year 12 examination purposes. The AEC’s only possible complaint about quality is that the address data provided is not always accurate post end of year because young electors are by their nature relatively itinerate and not easily managed by the current relatively arcane roll management practices of the AEC. What is apparent from the above statements and the recent AEC submission is that the AEC does not have a viable solution to the divergence problem. Additionally, it should be noted that the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) is in the later stages of implementing a new Roll Management System (RMS). The business case for the new system is based entirely on removing the need for AEC roll data from the NSW roll preparation process and using “free” source data. This is supported by the statement below. The NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) has indicated its desire to reduce its current financial contribution under the JRA and then cease contributions in 2015- 16, as it will have developed its own capability to maintain a roll and deliver roll related processes in NSW for state and local government events. – page 3 Further the NSWEC annual report for FY 14-15 said: The Agreement with the Commonwealth, running at $4.8 million per annum, for provision of elector enrolment information will be phased out in just over a year’s time. The Commission is investing in its own Roll Management System leveraging off the investment previously made in the ‘SmartRoll’ product that utilises NSW databases, such as the register of drivers’ licences, to update elector enrolment details. The software development programme for the Roll Management System has a capital investment of $5.7 million and will be completed by the end of 2016. – page 11 It should also be noted that state election bodies resent paying the Commonwealth for a roll which in is part built from data the states have provided via their motor and birth, death and marriages registries. The business case for the NSW Roll Management System project was built on the concept of removing the need for NSW to pay the AEC for a federal roll which comprised substantially NSW agency sourced data. Given the new RMS system may be operational early next year, it is my view, that NSW roll divergence may significantly increase should the NSWEC no longer use the federal roll as its foundation. Conversely, should in NSW continue to pay for the federal roll then the business case for RMS would be completely undermined. I see the only way to properly address this issue is for it to be raised at COAG and the issue be treated as a national issue rather than leaving it to the Commissions to resolve by agreement. It is my observation that each Commission’s management is too parochial in their outlook to be able to effectively address the roll diversion issue. It is my view that until these issues are addressed roll divergence will continue for Australia’s two largest states. 3
Inquiry into and report on all aspects of the conduct of the 2016 Federal Election and matters related thereto Submission 76 - Supplementary Submission Further I would suggest that the only viable solution to this issue is for a national enrolment body to be formed which can deal with all Commissions roll requirements equitably and reliably. It is possible that much of the current roll management resources available within the AEC could be used by a national body to manage a national roll. However, it is important that the management and governance of these resources are separated from the AEC and reflect the needs of all jurisdictions. The establishment of such a body could also be considered by COAG in parallel with other electoral issues which could also benefit from a national approach. See recommendation 1. 3 Enrolment Voting The use of enrolment votes is now common for most states at their general elections. NSW at the last state general election accepted into the count some 15,000 new electors during voting and corrected the addresses for some 32,000 incorrectly enrolled electors. I would recommend the AEC adopt enrolment voting using similar procedures to NSW. This would result in the AEC potentially accepting into the count an extra 50,000 votes and correcting the enrolment details (and in many cases their division) of about 100,000 electors at the next general election. However, to implement enrolment voting the AEC will also need to update their systems, voting procedures and training. Plus, the AEC will need to provide electronic roll lookup devices in all voting venues. Enrolment voting requires a reliable means by which an elector’s correct enrolment details can be found quickly by election officials. See recommendation 2. 4 Delayed Election Night Results Although the below statements by the AEC are correct they omit stating that only 87% of prepoll and polling place TCP votes were counted by the end of election night. 117. By approximately 3am (AEST) on 3 July, 96.7 per cent of all ordinary House of Representatives votes (11 422 070 ordinary House of Representatives ballot papers) and 73.9 per cent of all ordinary Senate votes (8 732 945 Senate ballot papers) were counted and results published on the AEC Tally Room (TR). 118. The election night count involved a count of House of Representatives first preferences, the Two‑Candidate‑Preferred (TCP) count and Senate first preferences. The Senate votes that were not counted on election night were primarily those taken at PPVCs. The figures in the AEC report shown above relate only to first preference votes. It should be noted that the HOR TCP vote is the most critical vote count required on election night hence its timely availability is important to determining the HOR election outcome. 4
Inquiry into and report on all aspects of the conduct of the 2016 Federal Election and matters related thereto Submission 76 - Supplementary Submission Most of the missing TCP results on election night are for pre-poll venues and as such the use of electronic voting with paper docket in pre-polls would add over 250,000 TCP votes to the election night count before 9pm. Similarly, because no pre-poll senate ballots were counted on election night the use of electronic voting in pre-polls would add more than 850,000 senate votes to the election night count before 9pm. See recommendation 3. 5 Counting Senate Papers on Election Night The below statement from the AEC submission suggests counting of votes may have contributed to the excessive working hours experienced by OICs. Some staff worked long hours on election day. Contributing factors were the increased complexity in voting and counting procedures and the prescriptive parcelling and packaging procedures designed to achieve a high degree of integrity. The balance between integrity and managing staff working hours is not yet optimal. In some locations, staffing allocations were not sufficient. – page 54 In my view the unacceptably long working hours for OICs was due almost entirely to the slower return of materials processes used at this election not the counting of either the senate or HOR votes. In particular, the counting of senate votes is not a large contributor to the longer working hours and is an essential process for senate count integrity. The handling and flattening of Senate votes takes the most time at polling places in the Senate count process and this must be done regardless of whether senate votes are counted or not. See recommendation 4. 6 Senate Count Costing The AEC published costings for the election on page 62 of their report which provided some insight into the increase in costs associated with the new ballot paper procedures and the senate count. Although the Senate data capture costs are not broken out specifically it is possible that the additional cost of scanning and keying senate was in the order of $30M to $40M. If this is the case I would recommend the AEC consider examining alternative methods of capturing Senate preference data, such as double keying (not scanning the first round of keying). My rough calculations would suggest that double data entry could be done for the whole of Australia for about $30M. I would also suggest that it would be easier to find venues to perform keying and find suitable operators than it was to source and manage the scanning technology utilised for the senate data capture which now is potentially a signal source supply arrangement. See recommendation 5. 5
Inquiry into and report on all aspects of the conduct of the 2016 Federal Election and matters related thereto Submission 76 - Supplementary Submission 7 System Renewal Options The AEC’s submission on page 4 flagged that they will be requesting additional funding for new systems. While the AEC’s funding has been sufficient for election delivery within the existing model, there has not been any capacity for significant improvement or replacement of systems. A comprehensive funding review conducted in 2011 by the Department of Finance found that the AEC was under‑funded. The additional funding then provided by Government has since been eroded and the AEC is yet again in a position where it cannot invest in system renewal, staff capability or redevelopment of the temporary staffing model. As I have stated at various Parliamentary committee hearings, I believe the temporary staffing model and the AEC’s election and roll management IT systems are at the end of their useful life. As a result, much of the delivery of elections and the data for monitoring and reporting on that delivery, is reliant on human intervention and manual processes. The IT systems, which have been built over a long period of time, are not able to be easily integrated with contemporary mobile platforms and in many cases, will not be supported by vendors in future. I agree with the Commissioner that the AEC’s systems are well past their end of life and the AEC is unable to effectively implement business process change without a significant overhaul of their systems environment. The current approach in Australia for refresh of electoral systems is for respective governments to provide individual election bodies funding to develop their own systems in isolation. To give the committee a sense of the scale of this process, I understand the VEC has recently spent well over $20M to redevelop some of their systems and the NSWEC has over the past 10 years spend about $30M to develop is current systems environment. An ANAO2 report on the last major system development undertaken by the AEC said: 18. The AEC has in place a centralised roll-management system (RMANS) that is used, amongst other things, to generate the roll that is available for public inspection and the certified lists of electors used at polling booths on polling day. Another key computer system is the AEC's Election Management System (ELMS). 19. The staged redevelopment of the AEC's election-management and electoral-roll systems (ELMS and RMANS) has been underway since mid-2004. However, the project has not proceeded as planned, with the AEC: • informing the ANAO that the cost estimate had risen from the original $27 million to ‘somewhere between $56 million and $60 million'; 2 The Australian Electoral Commission's Preparation for and Conduct of the 2007 Federal General Election Wednesday, April 21, 2010, 28 of 2009-2010, ANAO https://www.anao.gov.au/work/performance-audit/australian-electoral-commissions-preparation-and- conduct-2007-federal-general 6
Inquiry into and report on all aspects of the conduct of the 2016 Federal Election and matters related thereto Submission 76 - Supplementary Submission • estimating that the redevelopment would be completed by December 2014 if it was to proceed, 42 months after the originally planned completion date of June 2011; and • in October 2009, placing on hold any further development of the next stages of the systems-redevelopment project until it has a more comprehensive understanding of the implications of the JSCEM report on the 2007 federal election, the Government's second Green Paper on electoral reform6 and this ANAO performance audit. Given the above, it would reasonable to expect that the AEC will need now more than $60M to replace the current ELMS and RMANS/GENESIS systems and even more to upgrade the election funding systems to satisfy potential legislation changes. This would be a significant project and one which the AEC has not in its own right got a good track record implementing. I have attached below, for the benefit of the committee, a diagram which identifies the types of systems required by Australian election bodies to manage elections. It is my observation that the system requirements for election bodies in Australia are very similar, therefore I believe it would be possible for these bodies to utilise one configurable centrally managed system to conduct election functions for all Australian bodies. By way of example it would be possible and probably advantageous for all jurisdictions to use a common system for venue management, staffing and training, particularly as state and federal bodies already share3 common venue and staffing data e.g. about 70% the staff used by the states are the same people as those used by the AEC for a subsequent election and nearly all venues used are the same for state and federal elections. I do not believe that repeating the isolationist approach of the past is the best way forward for the AEC’s next system redevelopment. Assuming the system needs of the AEC are similar to those of other electoral Commissions in Australia. It would make sense that any development undertaken by the AEC should be done in such a way that their as at least a potential for these systems to be used by election bodies in other Australian jurisdictions. However, history shows that the AEC and state jurisdictions appear to have a difficulty agreeing how services are to be provided and to what standard. This is reflected by some states running their own roll system and also the lack of participation by the AEC in technology sharing initiatives. These issues suggest the AEC may not be the most suitable organisation to undertake a role of national election technology manager. At present the Queensland Electoral Commission has about $10M of funding to redevelop its systems. This project was proposed to be completed by their 2018 election but given the project is yet to commence is unlikely to meet this timeline. Similarly, the NSWEC is undertaking a redevelopment of its election funding systems and will potentially need a significant system upgrade post their 2019 election which would cost in the area of $20M to $30M. Other states (with the exception of Victoria) typically have limited system infrastructure which is managed with minimal 3 Note privacy issues between agencies can be overcome by staff giving their explicit approval to share data. The AEC currently provides all states files with venue related survey data outlining venue conditions and accessibility which each state puts back into their own systems. 7
Inquiry into and report on all aspects of the conduct of the 2016 Federal Election and matters related thereto Submission 76 - Supplementary Submission resources. In general, terms the systems environment for most commissions in Australia will require additional funding to satisfy community expectations with the AEC currently at the top of the redevelopment list. There are several management models which could be used to provide a national election technology infrastructure to all Australian jurisdictions. One is the PSMA4 model, PSMA Australia Limited is an unlisted public company owned by Australia’s federal, state and territory governments. Their goal is to facilitate broad and sustainable access to high-quality location data. Another is to use an existing corporate entity either government or private sector. A suitable government entity would be AustPost, while there would be a number of corporate entities interested in providing election technology services. The following is a list of election processes that could be shared by all Australian jurisdictions on common technology infrastructure; Electronic voting – coordinate development of systems and supplying services to support the delivery of the technology to run internet elections in Australia Electronic Mark-off in voting centres – supply services and equipment to allow the electronic mark-off in voting centres, including maintaining an inventory of devices for reuse Australia wide. Note currently NSW, Victoria and Queensland share 6,500 android tablet devices and software for static roll lookup. These devices could form the core pool of devices and technology. Election Management systems – develop or coordinate the supply of election systems and associated services to all electoral authorities in Australia. I would expect this could be a combination of adopting bespoke systems currently in use by States like NSW or Victoria or licencing best of breed systems from election system suppliers. National Electoral Roll Management – provide core electoral roll management technology which can be managed separately by all Australian jurisdictions for their purposes. The system should use data matching as the principle means by which electors are maintained on the roll and facilitate online interaction with electors where possible. Venue and Staffing Management – develop as system which supports the management of venues, staffing and training for attendance voting. This system should maximise the use of common data used by both state and federal jurisdictions. Election Funding and Disclosure – there is a strong demand for the harmonisation of election funding laws in Australia. Gaps between federal and state legislation and systems has caused significant decay in elector trust. The use of a funding and disclosure system which ensures the public can be confident the funding of elections is done in an ethical manner is best achieved by the states and the Commonwealth using a common system for disclosures. If the above approach is to be implemented COAG will need to be involved, to ensure the engagement and commitment of all jurisdictions. This project will be a significant transformation project which is not only changing the way technology services are delivered but also reducing costs and improving service delivery (which is the current public expectation). One of the primary aims of 4 https://www.psma.com.au/about 8
Inquiry into and report on all aspects of the conduct of the 2016 Federal Election and matters related thereto Submission 76 - Supplementary Submission such a transformation would be to create a critical mass of systems skills focused on specific election technologies which would reduce the potential for a ‘census fail” situation occurring. Given the transformational nature of this project I would recommend that the government direct the recently formed Digital Transformation Agency to be the lead agency and for them in the first instance develop a national strategy and funding program which identifies the best utilisation of election technology across all Australian jurisdictions. See recommendation 6. 9
Inquiry into and report on all aspects of the conduct of the 2016 Federal Election and matters related thereto Submission 76 - Supplementary Submission
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