Innovations for the 2020 Census - Interim Report - Census Bureau
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Innovations for the 2020 Census Executive Summary. Innovations for a 21st Century Census . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Chapter 1. History and Process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 The Importance of the Census . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Technological Innovation and the Decennial Census . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 What it Takes to Get it Done . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Chapter 2. Operations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Planning for a 21st Century Census . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Establishing Where to Count . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Responding to the Census . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Leveraging Administrative Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Reengineering Field Operations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Improved Information Technology (IT) Systems, Including Mobile Computing, Cloud Infrastructure, and Enterprise IT Solutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Chapter 3. Outreach, Communication, and Partnership . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 The 2020 Census Advertising and Communications Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Innovations for the 2020 Census Surrounding Digital Communications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 2020 Census Innovation: A Bigger Digital Presence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 A Bigger, Better, and More Targeted Partnership Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 2020 Census Innovation: Wider Outreach in Schools and Communities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 The Higher Education Initiative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 Complex Households and the Undercount of Young Children . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 Chapter 4. Protecting the Census: IT Systems, Business Processes, and Data Confidentiality . . . . . . . 51 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census i
Executive Summary. Innovations for a 21st Century Census The 2020 Census has incorporated many innova- the U .S . Census Bureau more efficiently reach all tions to promote greater participation across the households across the nation . nation, streamline data collection procedures, and ensure the security of the data collected . These Motivating people to participate . The 2020 Census innovations are prevalent throughout the census employs state-of-the-art marketing tools to target cycle and are intended to improve the national multicultural audiences throughout the country . address roster, marketing, ease of self-response, Data analytics will be used to carefully monitor field management of nonresponse followup, and self-response rates to identify areas for additional completeness of the final data set . The 2020 marketing attention, application of mobile response Census is utilizing Web-based technology to units, and other follow-up activities . enhance self-response rates, participation among the traditionally undercounted, and manage the Facilitating self-response . The introduction of vast field operations of nearly 500,000 staff . Internet and telephone alternatives will greatly enhance people’s ability to respond to the 2020 Identifying where to count . Using the geospatial Census . Respondents will also continue to have technology of aerial photography and Geographic the choice to respond using the traditional paper Information Systems, the Census Bureau’s Master version of the questionnaire . Address File (MAF) is the most complete list of residential locations ever assembled . This tool helps U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 1
Streamlining nonresponse followup . The oversight out to the entire higher education community, and management of hundreds of thousands of school districts nationwide, businesses large and field enumerators that contact households that do small, local civic organizations, faith-based groups, not self-respond is a challenging undertaking . The and many others to engage their support for the Census Bureau has employed a series of electronic census . The response has been exhilarating as, to technologies to facilitate an efficient system to hire, date, more than 265,000 partners have agreed to train, communicate with, and manage this large help . workforce . New software capabilities optimize daily route assignments, monitors progress, and ensures Data security . The introduction of Web-based data rapid quality control of field work . collection options requires ongoing cybersecurity vigilance to safeguard household responses from Expanding outreach, digitizing communication, outside interference . The Census Bureau has intro- and widening partnerships . The Census Bureau has duced a wide range of best-practice security inno- conducted extensive outreach and communication vations to protect the privacy and confidentiality of at the national, state, and local levels to educate 2020 Census data . and motivate the general public about their civic duty to participate in the census . We have reached 2 Innovations for the 2020 Census U.S. Census Bureau
Table 1 . INNOVATIONS FOR THE 2020 CENSUS I. Census Operations Innovation Specific Activities Outcome Knowing where to count: • Geographic information systems . • Greater address and location The Master Address File (MAF) • Aerial photography . accuracy . • Early coordination with the • More recent data . U .S . Postal Service, and state, • Reduced resource requirements . local, and tribal governments . Motivating people to respond • More robust partnerships and • Marketing messages will reach communications campaign . 99 percent of the population up • Partnership specialists in the to 61 times . community . • Partnership specialists serving as trusted voices to enhance participation . Facilitating self-response • Web-based option . • Ease of participation . • Mobile response capability . • Improved response options for • Telephone response option . the traditionally hard-to-count . • Improved language program . • Reduced nonresponse followup requirement . Streamlining nonresponse • All electronic recruitment, hiring, • Management efficiencies . followup management, timecards, payroll, • Improved data quality . and assignments . II. Outreach, Communication, and Partnership Innovation Specific Activities Outcome Outreach • Address populations hard to • Advertising focus on multicul- reach . tural and hard to count . • Engagement of institutions of • Expanded outreach to students . higher education (letters to over • More precise targeting of 6,000 presidents) . communications and partnership • Improved system for tracking assistance to enhance response partners called the Customer rates . Relationship Management system . Communication—Partnerships • Partnership recruitment . • Improved utilization of partner- • Integrated communications ship capabilities in hard-to-count campaign . areas . • Utilization of digital advertising . • Expanded reach to households . III. Protecting the Data Innovation Specific Activities Outcome Cybersecurity • Partnership with industry and • Ability to protect, detect, government agencies . respond, and recover firmly iden- Fraud Protection tified events . • NIST framework assessment . Data Privacy • Model based response . • Protect and preserve the integ- rity of the data . • Privacy and confidentiality best practices . U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 3
As mandated by the U.S. Constitution, since 1790 our nation gets just one chance each decade to count its population. The 2020 Census will employ up to 500,000 office and field staff nationally, which is the largest nonmilitary mobilization of the American public. Chapter 1. History and Process THE IMPORTANCE OF THE CENSUS As mandated by the U .S . Constitution, our nation the number of representatives from each gets one chance each decade to count its popu- state may change, as well as the boundaries lation . The decennial census is designed to count and population centers of each congressional everyone living in the United States . It is mandated district . by Article I, Section 2 of the Constitution . In 1790, • Second, the census generates the population Secretary of State Thomas Jefferson headed the counts that help determine how the govern- first census conducted by 650 U .S . Marshals . It is ment will allocate hundreds of billions of dollars now conducted by the Census Bureau, a bureau in federal funding each year . These funds are within the Department of Commerce, located used for infrastructure and services includ- in Suitland, Maryland . For the 2020 Census, the ing health care, schools, emergency response, Census Bureau will employ as many as 500,000 and social services, among others . By having census takers and other temporary workers, many a complete and accurate count of the nation’s with local or direct ties to the neighborhoods they population, services tied to population are more count . effectively and fairly apportioned . The decennial census has three significant • Finally, the census creates one of the most purposes: statistically sound data sets in the world . People use census data for economic, political, • First, the census count determines the appor- commercial, health, and related uses . Urban tionment of congressional seats in the House and rural planners, as well as researchers, use of Representatives . Each state receives at least the data to track population growth and move- one representative, the remaining 385 members ment . The data also inform business decisions . of the House of Representatives are appor- For example, Census Bureau data help stores tioned among the states based on the count of decide how to stock their shelves and compa- each states’ total population . After each census, nies decide where to open a business . U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 5
The importance of census data will continue to are in the midst of a technological and data revolu- grow . Our country has evolved through the indus- tion, where businesses and technology companies trial and agricultural revolutions, which shaped the rely on timely data for cutting-edge decisions and way our businesses and households operate . We innovations . TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION AND THE DECENNIAL CENSUS The 2020 Census builds on the long history of technological innovation that drives the decennial census . The census requires the largest nonmilitary mobi- lization of the American people . Each decennial census is a time to create a better, more effective system to count a larger and ever-more complex population . Historical innovations with roots in the Census Bureau include: • The Hollerith machine . A precursor of the Built by the Census Bureau for the 1960 and 1970 censuses, modern computer, this machine was created in the Film Optical Sensing Device for Input for Computers the late 1800s to read census data cards . (FOSDIC) is another Census Bureau innovation. an electronic format . The first scantron machine ever built was used in censuses from 1960–1990 . In the 2000 census, the Census Bureau relied on the biggest optical character recognition system in existence at that time . • A geospatial database of all of the roads in the entire country . This mapping database was created in 1990 and updated for the 2000 and 2010 censuses . This database became the foun- dation of all Global Positioning System (GPS) and online mapping programs . At the time, it was the only comprehensive road mapping database of the country available for down- load and public access . It is referred to as the The Hollerith machine, precursor of the Topologically Integrated Geographic Encoding modern computer, started in the late 1800s to read and Reference System (TIGER) . The TIGER census cards, and is part of the long Census Bureau history automates the geographic support processes to of technological innovation. meet the major geographic needs of the Census Bureau’s censuses and surveys . • Optical character sensing and recognition The Census Bureau also pioneered new ways of via a computerized text reader . The Census conducting surveys and diverse hiring, including: Bureau built the Film Optical Sensing Device for Input for Computers (FOSDIC) reader, which • The mailout/mailback survey . Until 1960, converted the census paper questionnaires into Census Bureau surveys were conducted entirely 6 Innovations for the 2020 Census U.S. Census Bureau
by enumerators going door to door . Mail was trained enumerators . Walker believed that it tested as a vehicle in 1960 and became the was important to hire people who reflected the norm during the 1970 Census, resulting in signif- communities that they counted, which in turn icant savings in time and resources . would increase participation . For this reason, he sought to hire a diverse workforce that included • Statistical sampling . Statisticians at the Census widows of Union veterans, freed slaves, and Bureau created the foundation for the statistical disabled soldiers . This diversity of hiring also sampling field that has become the worldwide included employees in the regional and head- standard, dating back to work on the 1940 quarters offices, where women and minorities census . generally worked as clerks or in the tabulation • Workplace diversity . From 1790 to 1870, divisions . With the advent of the Hollerith tabu- U .S . Marshals and their temporary assistants lating machine in 1890, women and minorities acted as census takers . Due to the increase moved into the role of keypunchers . When the in the scope and complexity of the census, Census Bureau became a permanent agency Francis Amasa Walker, then-superintendent of in 1902, half of the permanent employees were the Census Office, replaced the marshals with women . Each decennial census hires hundreds of thousands of new workers, the largest nonmilitary mobilization of the American public. The emphasis on hiring directly from local communities has historically provided new inroads to women and minorities who had previously experienced barriers in the workplace. U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 7
Accessing genealogy records Every 10 years, another set of census data from 72 years prior is released. These records are a major input for genealogy and ancestry programs, allowing people to access information about their family history. A sample of the 1940 Census results—Autauga County, Alabama 8 Innovations for the 2020 Census U.S. Census Bureau
The Evolution of Innovation 1830 Uniform Printed Schedules Statistical Atlas/Data Visualizations 1870 1890 Hollerith Tabulating Machine 1902 Permanent Census Bureau 1940 Statistical Sampling/Long Form 1950 UNIVAC 1960 1970 FOSDIC Mail Out/Mail Back 1990 TIGER American Community Survey 2010 2020 Online Response U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 9
2020 Census A complete and accurate count of the population and housing in the United States Self-Response Group Quarters Motivate People Nonresponse to Respond Followup Establish Tabulate Data and Where to Release Census Count Results Count everyone once, only once, and in the right place. 10 Innovations for the 2020 Census U.S. Census Bureau
WHAT IT TAKES TO GET IT DONE Conducting the decennial census is a complex encouraged to send it back . In 2020, people and monumental task . It progresses through a will be invited to respond via the Internet, over series of key phases as outlined on page 15 . the telephone, or by returning a paper census questionnaire . Establish Where to Count Account for People Living in Unique Situations The decennial census begins with the develop- ment of the list of household addresses, which The decennial census must include everyone determines where we count the population . The living in the United States . Special operations Census Bureau maintains the most complete are used to enumerate the people living in and accurate address list of the United States in nontraditional housing units . This includes existence, and each decade it must be checked people in nursing homes, college dormitories, to ensure that new housing has been added, the military, migratory farm workers, people in housing that no longer exists is removed, and prisons, and people experiencing homeless- that all housing units are accurately placed ness . Special operations are also conducted to within the correct geographic boundaries . account for people living in very rural or remote In past decades, this has required well over areas, federal employees, and military person- 100,000 census listers to walk every street in nel stationed overseas . These operations are America to check the addresses . described in detail on the next page . Motivate People to Respond Nonresponse Followup Then the Census Bureau must motivate people The Census Bureau must also include all of the to respond to the mailings that will initiate the people who do not respond to the census after Self-Response operation, when every house- they have been contacted . This is by far the hold is encouraged to provide their responses most expensive phase of the decennial census to the census questionnaire . Self-response data because it involves hiring, training, and deploy- provided by the household are more accurate ing hundreds of thousands of census takers and cost-effective for the Census Bureau . The who must knock on doors and interview every 2020 Census employs a nationwide commu- nonresponding household . nications campaign to educate and motivate people to participate in the enumeration . Process, Tabulate, and Release Census Results Finally, data collected by the Census Bureau is Self-Response tabulated, and the apportionment counts are The Census Bureau then begins the process of delivered to the President by December 31, gathering data on the people living in the coun- 2020 . Redistricting data are then delivered to try . Up until 1960, this was done by sending a the states by March 31, 2021 followed by detailed census taker to interview every housing unit . statistics on the American population . From 1970 to 2010, a census questionnaire was mailed to every housing unit and people were U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 11
THE 2020 CENSUS ENCOMPASSES NUMEROUS LINES OF BUSINESS NECESSARY FOR A SUCCESSFUL NATIONAL ENUMERATION Line of Business Activity Real estate 2,856,000 square feet of rentable office space 248 area census offices 6 regional census centers 10 telephone call centers 2 paper data capture centers Human resources Up to 500,000 people to hire and train Printing 1.6 billion printed items Mailing/postage $230–$240 million in postage 588 million mail pieces IT security Secure deployment, mentoring, and protection Equipment 56,000 Laptops 30,000 Tablets 477,000 Smartphones Marketing $500 million advertising/communication campaign to motivate, remind, and thank participants 94 hours of video content tailored to all segments of the population Counting People Living in Unique Situations Enumeration at Transitory Locations. Counts transitional shelters, soup kitchens, regularly people at transitory locations who do not have scheduled mobile food vans, and targeted a usual home elsewhere . Transitory locations nonsheltered outdoor locations . include recreational vehicle parks, campgrounds, racetracks, circuses, carnivals, marinas, hotels, Update Enumerate. Counts people in very and motels . remote areas where the Census Bureau conducts a direct enumeration, visiting and interviewing Federally Affiliated Enumeration Overseas. each housing unit . Counts by home state the U .S . military and federal civilian employees stationed or deployed Update Leave Enumeration. Counts people overseas and their dependents living with them . in areas where the majority of housing units do not have or receive mail through city-style Group Quarters Enumeration. Counts people addresses, receive mail at post office boxes, have living in group quarters (e .g ., college/university been affected by major disasters, or are season- student housing, residential treatment centers, ally vacant housing . The address is updated nursing/skilled nursing facilities, group homes, and the people living there will be offered three correctional facilities, workers’ dormitories, and different ways to complete the questionnaire domestic violence shelters) . including Internet, phone, or by mailing back a completed paper questionnaire . Service-Based Enumeration. Counts people experiencing homelessness or utilizing 12 Innovations for the 2020 Census U.S. Census Bureau
Counting Hard-to-Reach Populations in Northern Alaska In January, the 2020 Census count began country is counted, the tundra is thaw- in Alaska’s Toksook Bay, a rural village on ing and parts of rural Alaska turn to an the Bering Sea that can only be reached impassable swamp . Therefore, the census by snow machine or bush plane when the takers begin in January in Alaska—when ground is still frozen . the tundra is frozen and the population is easier to reach . As the census is committed to counting every person once, only once, and in the As in previous decennial census counts, right place, special efforts must be made the Census Bureau director visited rural to enumerate people who live in hard- Alaska in January 2020 to mark the to-reach places such as rural Alaska . official beginning of the national count . In large portions of Alaska that are not Traveling in subzero temperatures and connected by roads and have irregular working with local residents, Census mail service and no access to Internet, Bureau staff will make sure that every census takers must do an in-person person in Alaska is counted . The count count . In the spring, when most of the began on January 21, 2020 . Every decennial census begins with counting villages in remote Alaska on the Bering Sea, which can only be reached by traveling frozen terrain in winter months. In warmer temperatures when the ice thaws, much of the region is impassable. U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 13
Chapter 2. Operations PLANNING FOR A 21ST CENTURY CENSUS The decennial census requires the largest nonmili- These innovation areas represented significant tary mobilization of the American people and infra- cost-savings opportunities, as they rely heavily structure conducted by the U .S . government . The on new technology and working smarter . The four majority of this work and the associated costs are innovation areas explored through research, devel- related to three key areas of the census: determin- opment, and testing for the 2020 Census design ing where to count, providing an opportunity for mirror the operational progression of the decennial the public to respond, and following up with those census . Each area leverages data and technology that do not return a census questionnaire . When in new ways to increase efficiency and potentially the Census Bureau began efforts to modernize the contain costs as the Census Bureau establishes census design by leveraging technology and data, where to count people, motivates and enables we focused on the following four innovation areas: households to respond to the census, and follows up with those households that do not submit the • Reengineering address canvassing . census questionnaire . • Optimizing self-response . • Utilizing administrative records and third-party data . • Reengineering field operations . U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 15
ESTABLISHING WHERE TO COUNT One of the most labor-intensive tasks for any continuous updates from the U .S . Postal Service decennial census is compiling an accurate and and state, local, and tribal governments . complete list of all the household addresses in the United States . This list is the basis for delivering the Housing blocks were classified into three invitations to respond to the census and following categories: up with those households that do not submit a • Active blocks were those images that had census questionnaire . It is developed throughout changed from their 2009 counterparts and/ the decade using data from the Census Bureau, or the Census Bureau was unable to confirm U .S . Postal Service, and state, tribal, and local completeness of the MAF . For these active governments . blocks, a lister walked the route to observe and document the updates in housing units, and In previous years, Census Bureau listers checked included these updates in the new MAF . the accuracy and completeness of the address list by walking the 11 million blocks in the country . From • Passive blocks were those for which no change major streets and rural roads, to back alleys and was made and blocks in which the in-office unconventional living arrangements, census listers address update kept up with changes on the would manually ensure that every housing unit was ground . Instead of sending a lister to the field, accounted for in the Master Address File (MAF) . the address list remained as-is, unchanged from the 2010 Census . For the 2020 Census, the Census Bureau first utilized aerial and satellite images from the National • On-hold blocks were those captured in Geospatial-Intelligence Agency to supplement images not clear enough to make a determi- nation: perhaps blurry, or under cloud cover, New for the 2020 Census, the Census Bureau utilized aerial and satellite images to update the master address list on file. 16 Innovations for the 2020 Census U.S. Census Bureau
or a problem with the image that would not Innovation Outcomes allow for a clear delineation . In these cases, These innovations reduced boots-on-the-ground we requested new images from the National operations by 70 percent: a drastic shift from 2010 Geospatial-Intelligence Agency . A determina- when virtually 100 percent of the country—600 tion was then made as to how the blocks should million miles—was walked by Census Bureau staff . be classified . The 2010 Census address canvassing operations The Address Canvassing operation was part of a consisted of a nearly 100 percent in-field canvass- suite of processes employed by the Census Bureau ing of the nation’s blocks in FY 2009 . This involved to update and validate the address list for the 2020 the opening of 151 early local census offices (LCOs) . Census . The Census Bureau conducted biannual The 2020 Census re-engineered address canvass- processing of the U .S . Postal Service’s Delivery ing operations consisted of 100 percent in-office Sequence File, and regular processing of address address canvassing of the nation’s blocks, followed data from tribal, state, and local governments . The by in-field canvassing of just over a third of the Census Bureau has long partnered with such orga- nation’s blocks in FY 2019/2020 . This involved the nizations to create a full address list, but this time opening of 39 early area census offices (ACOs) . partnerships began earlier in the decade with more effort devoted to maintaining and building these Following preliminary assessment of the field oper- relationships . The Census Bureau also relied on the ational costs of the in-field and in-office address use of aerial imagery to identify areas where the canvassing operations as well as the estimated cost address list had been stable and unchanged, where of the early ACOs/LCOs, the 2010 Census address it was keeping up with changes on the ground, and canvassing operations cost approximately 2 .5 times where differences existed between the address list more than the 2020 Census address canvassing and the number of housing units visible in imagery . operations in nominal dollars . These coordinated efforts contributed to a more accurate 2020 address list at a much earlier date than in previous decennial census counts . Address Canvassing Characteristics: 2010 and 2020 2010 Census 2020 Census Early field offices 151 39 Total field offices 494 248 Number of staff budgeted for Address Canvassing1 130,000 42,000 Address Canvassing productivity (cases/hour)2 15.37 21.08 1 Number of staff are estimated “Deploy to Field” (production and quality control) . 2 2020 Census Address Canvassing productivity rates are expected, 2010 Census Address Canvassing productivity rates are actual (production) . U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 17
The 2020 Census is now available online. Households will be encouraged to go online and fill it out, though paper questionnaires are still available for families who prefer those. RESPONDING TO THE CENSUS Internet and telephone make it easier for people to respond to the census. The 2020 Census will provide an Internet response paper questionnaires need to be scanned and option to the general public for the first time . It will processed . Internet response also makes it easier also be the first census to promote response over for people to respond in languages other than the telephone . Paper questionnaires will also be English . With three modes of response—Internet, available giving the public three ways to respond to telephone, and paper—the 2020 Census makes it the census . People will be encouraged to respond easier than ever before for people to submit their via the Internet because research shows that data questionnaires . quality is improved, and costs are reduced as fewer 18 Innovations for the 2020 Census U.S. Census Bureau
Screenshot of the Web landing page for the 2020 Census questionnaire. The Census Bureau will send up to five paper mail- questionnaire in the first mailing . We call this the ings to every housing unit, urging people to respond “Internet Choice” cohort . The remaining 80 percent to the questionnaire online . This begins with an are the “Internet First” cohort . We encourage invitation letter and is followed by reminder letters Internet response because our research shows that and post cards . For approximately 20 percent of we get better data and it is more cost effective . By the country, predominately those living in areas the fourth mailing, every household that has not yet with low Internet connectivity, we include a paper responded will receive the paper questionnaire . U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 19
The 2020 Census: Contact Strategy Internet First—80% Internet Choice—20% 1 Letter 1 Paper Questionnaire + z Letter z 2 Letter z 2 Letter z 3* Postcard z 3* Postcard z 4* Paper Questionnaire + Letter 4* Paper Questionnaire + z Letter z 5* “It’s Not Too Late” Postcard 5* “It’s Not Too Late” Postcard *Mailed only to nonrespondents. Approximately Approximately 87% of addresses will 13% of addresses will receive English-only receive bilingual questionnaires, letters, questionnaires, letters, and postcards. and postcards. 20 Innovations for the 2020 Census U.S. Census Bureau
Real-Time Non-ID Processing The Census Bureau works with partners across the country to identify key locations in areas In the 2020 Census, it will be easier than ever for a with low self-response rates . Possible locations household to respond without providing a census include grocery stores and markets, houses of ID number assigned by the Census Bureau . This worship before and after services, community ID number has always been required because it festivals, public transit hubs, libraries, community enables us to ensure that the address is correctly centers, and other locations where people naturally located on our geographic database . We now have congregate . the technology to do this automatically, in real time, without requiring verification by Census Bureau MQA staff will help people access the census staff in the field . People will enter their address in questionnaire on mobile devices in English, or one the Internet response instrument, or provide it to a of 12 other languages . Respondents will be able to telephone agent, and Census Bureau systems work- complete the form online or over the phone . MQA ing behind the scenes will match it to the MAF . This staff will also have language guides for the 59 means that people can respond anywhere, anytime, non-English languages the Census Bureau supports . using their smartphones, tablets, or computers . This These guides help people by providing trans- is a significant innovation that will enable organi- lated instructions on how to complete the census zations supporting the 2020 Census to respond at questionnaire . conferences, conventions, and faith gatherings . Identification of Low Response Areas During previous decennial census operations, part- ner organizations were encouraged to ask people In late March, initial MQA locations will be based to go home, find the questionnaire we mailed them, on historical response rates . The 20 percent of and mail it back . While forms were available for tracts with the lowest historical response rates people to fill out in some cases, processing them have been identified as areas for MQA . Partnership was inefficient and required field verification . Now, specialists will review events and activities planned partnership organizations can host an event with in these tracts to identify those that are best suited mobile devices or computers that people can use for MQA . Recruiting managers will review the list to respond to the census questionnaire . They can of MQA events for their area census office (ACO) also just encourage people to take out their smart- and will schedule census response representatives phones and respond to the census . Partners, like (CRRs) . When feasible, CRRs will be scheduled to the American Library Association, can also provide work in MQA locations where they can support a access to devices at local libraries . We believe necessary language for that community . that this will have a significant positive impact on self-response rates . Beginning in mid-April, the Census Bureau will start identifying on a weekly basis MQA locations based Mobile Questionnaire Assistance on actual response rates . The 20 percent of tracts with the lowest actual response rates will be identi- The Mobile Questionnaire Assistance (MQA) fied . Partnership specialists will again review events program is a direct outcome of real-time non-ID and activities planned in these tracts to determine processing . This is a field initiative in which Census those best suited for MQA . If no events are currently Bureau staff will work closely with community orga- planned then partnership specialists will work with nizations and local governments to go directly into local partners to establish a new event . Recruiting neighborhoods and visit events, resident gatherings, managers will then review the MQA events for their and high traffic areas with Census Bureau-issued area census office and will schedule the CRRs . mobile devices . The goal is to boost self-response by providing additional accessibility to make it MQA is expected to have a significant positive easier for people to respond to the 2020 Census . impact on response rates as well, particularly among traditionally undercounted populations . U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 21
Language Support for the 2020 Census English Korean Arabic Polish Chinese Portuguese (Mandarin/Cantonese) Russian 中文1 French Spanish 日本語 Haitian Creole Tagalog Japanese Vietnamese The 2020 Census is available in 13 languages. The Language Program providing a translated response option cover over 98 percent of the households with limited English Language assistance for the 2020 Census goes far proficiency . This figure increases to over 99 percent beyond anything provided in previous censuses . when the language guides in 59 languages are People can respond via the Internet in the 13 taken into account . languages in the chart above simply by clicking on that language on the first screen of the response Innovation Outputs instrument . Telephone agents will be available in each of these languages as well as through dedi- The goal of these innovations is to make it easier cated phone lines that will be promoted in commu- for every person to respond to the census by nities through advertising and partnership support giving them more options and outlets to do so; materials . In addition, language guides will be avail- and by removing obstacles that stand in the way able in 59 languages . Respondents can use these of self-response . Improvements in self-response guides to navigate through the English question- and Internet self-response have been associated naire . Online videos in each of the 59 languages will with enhanced data accuracy . By giving three ways be available as well . to respond, via Internet, paper questionnaire, or telephone, a greater percentage of the population This is a dramatic improvement over 2010 when may be motivated to respond . The Internet option translated forms were only available by request- makes it much easier for people who do not speak ing the form through telephone questionnaire English to respond, due to the instant availability of assistance centers . The 12 non-English languages census materials in 12 non-English languages . 22 Innovations for the 2020 Census U.S. Census Bureau
LEVERAGING ADMINISTRATIVE DATA Data that people have already provided to the government can increase the efficiency of Nonresponse Followup operations. The 2020 Census innovations for Medicaid and Medicare one is living there . During previ- leverages administrative data in Services . ous censuses, staff members many operations . This includes would visit a home up to six accounting for households that The Census Bureau has a long times before determining that no do not respond to the census . history of using administrative one lived there . With the help of Administrative data can also be records to provide quality infor- administrative data, the Census used to remove vacant houses mation about the U .S . popula- Bureau can send a staff member from the MAF, which is valuable tion and economy . These data once to make the determination during enumeration and prevents are used to produce population and then do follow-up visits if repeatedly sending census takers estimates and projections . The warranted . to addresses where no one 2020 Census will utilize admin- lives . Administrative data can istrative and third-party data to Innovation Outputs improve on details census takers gain information about house- holds that do not respond to Using administrative data receive from proxy individuals, the census . The Census Bureau to compile the 2020 Census such as neighbors or apartment will use this data to enumerate improves the data quality and managers . about 6 percent of nonrespond- reduce costs, but it must be ing households after determining harnessed appropriately and Administrative data is infor- that the data are high quality . effectively, with proper oversight . mation people provide to the The Census Bureau has estab- government . The Census Bureau Vacant and Nonexisting lished a set of guiding principles has access to administrative Housing Units to determine which adminis- records from the databases trative sources are appropriate . of more than 30 government The use of administrative records However, no one-size-fits-all agencies, including the Internal also aids in determining which approach exists for accomplish- Revenue Service, Social Security housing units are vacant or ing this, and the Census Bureau Administration, Department nonexisting (e .g ., condemned continues to research new ways of Housing and Urban or removed) . If administrative to create a positive customer Development, U .S . Postal Service, data indicates such a unit, the experience and improve data Selective Service System, Indian Census Bureau will still send a quality . Health Service, and the Centers staff member to the address—at least one time—to verify that no U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 23
REENGINEERING FIELD OPERATIONS Leveraging technology to automate the hiring process, the collection of data, the distribution of work to field personnel, and the collection of payroll and travel information. Nearly every housing unit in the country is mailed Early testing by the Census Bureau showed that or hand-delivered an invitation to respond to the the “notice of visit” left by enumerators on their census, and the Census Bureau goes to great first visit generated a spike in self-response: lengths to make sure no one is overlooked . Based simply seeing the reminder encouraged people to on prior analyses of censuses and the American complete and submit their questionnaires . Community Survey, the Census Bureau estimates a 60 .5 percent response rate, which means that The innovations surrounding the field operation for roughly 40 percent of the population will not the 2020 Census can be divided into three areas: reply to the questionnaire prior to the start of hiring and onboarding, payroll and administration, Nonresponse Followup (NRFU) . Even with the tech- and workload management . nological innovations made to allow for Internet response and removing the requirement for a Recruiting, Hiring, and Onboarding census ID, the Census Bureau must still conduct a In previous decennial census field operations, those robust NRFU operation to ensure every household seeking to become census takers, field manag- is contacted . ers, or administrative personnel had to fill out an application by hand in an office, and complete an The NRFU operation is the most expensive part of in-person screening . A Census Bureau employee the census . It requires the recruiting, onboarding, would key in by hand the responses and scores: a and deployment of as many as 500,000 census time-consuming and error-prone process . takers nationwide, and it is the largest nonmilitary mobilization of the American people . The 2020 Census has automated all aspects of the application and screening process . This streamlines NRFU utilizes robust technological innovations, hiring field personnel, reduces the number of errors, including the use of mobile devices and real-time and allows for a more efficient process to bring data . We have also updated the way enumerators people on board . (who conduct NRFU) are hired and paid, allowing for greater efficiency and better oversight . Given the strong economy, the Census Bureau is facing significant challenges recruiting the neces- sary pool of applicants necessary to hire and deploy a workforce of up to 500,000 that will be needed for all field operations . Automating the process has helped, but we also have increased the pay rates, boosted advertising, and conducted tens of thousands of recruit- ing events all over the country . We are now on track to reach our goal of an applicant pool of 2 .6 million, which is necessary to absorb attrition and ensure that we can hire from the communities where our field staff will be working . The Census Bureau has undertaken a robust campaign to recruit part time enumer- ators from the local communities necessary to conduct NRFU . Using paid advertising, part- nerships with colleges and universities, and support from state and local governments, 24 Innovations for the 2020 Census U.S. Census Bureau
the Census Bureau has generated more than 2 .2 These technological innovations also provide work- million applicants as of February 10, 2020 . load optimization for census takers, pointing them toward the most efficient routes for completing Once hired, the process for collecting and process- their work . The 2020 Census is relying more heavily ing required information for background checks, on route optimizations developed with assistance and much of the training, is automated as well . from key private sector organizations, including Esri, U .S . Postal Service, and United Parcel Service . Payroll and Administration Innovation Outputs The Census Bureau has automated all aspects of the payroll and administration of field personnel, The Census Bureau experienced dramatic increases allowing for better oversight, fewer errors, and a in productivity for Address Canvassing and more effective process for the 2020 Census . Nonresponse Followup . In fact, the 2018 End-to- End Census Test has shown that productivity Workload Management increased dramatically relative to the 2010 Census . Census takers are responsible for contacting Online payroll has allowed for better oversight and people who have not responded to the census and accountability, and enumerators’ progress can be urging them to do so . Every household that has tracked online, in real time, reducing errors—both not responded receives a visit . In previous decen- those deliberate and unintentional . nial census counts, some households that sent in a questionnaire later in the census cycle were still Leveraging digital technology for all aspects of counted among those who had not responded, field operations has dramatically reduced the need and warranted an unnecessary follow-up visit . The for face-to-face interactions between field supervi- duplication of such efforts was largely unavoid- sors and employees, as well as the brick and mortar able, given the inability to process paper-based footprint of field offices . In the 2010 Census all questionnaires on a flow basis in order to remove operations were based on paper forms . Supervisors responses from the nonresponse followup work- met with their staff daily to provide and receive load . The 2020 Census allows for a daily refresh of paper maps, case work, payroll, and administrative data, giving field personnel the most up-to-date forms . These then had to be turned into the local information . This will lead to fewer annoying dupli- offices where they were processed . Now all of this cative efforts and greater efficiency, by allowing work is transferred digitally using handheld devices . for the near-immediate removal of households for The result is that we only need 248 instead of the which census responses have been received . 494 local offices required in the 2010 Census . Challenge: Avoid Duplication of Efforts During previous decennial The 2020 Census will be the With both of these innovations, census follow-up efforts, some first time that enumerators will the Census Bureau expects to people were often frustrated rely on real-time data . On a daily significantly reduce the dupli- because they received visits basis, responses will be removed cation of efforts: making better from census takers if they and updated from the nonre- use of the enumerators’ time returned their responses late in sponse followup workload . After and efficiency by avoiding the census cycle . Enumerators extensive internal testing, the households that have already sent to do follow-up visits were Census Bureau has contracted responded, and avoiding frustra- given sets of data that did not with the private sector to lease tion on the part of people who always reflect the immediate 300,000 mobile wireless devices submit their questionnaires later changes, so it would inevitably for 10 weeks to eliminate the in the cycle . lead to duplication of efforts . technological uncertainties and human errors that come from relying on multiple interfaces . U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 25
Smartphone Technology Used to Manage Nationwide Enumerator Workforce: 2020 Technology can efficiently and effectively manage the 2020 Census fieldwork. The costly 2010 Census paper-based workforce operations have been replaced. Paper questionnaires Timesheets Registers listing each enumerator’s caseload along with paper maps Resulting in the potential for significant savings 26 Innovations for the 2020 Census U.S. Census Bureau
IMPROVED INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (IT) SYSTEMS, INCLUDING MOBILE COMPUTING, CLOUD INFRASTRUCTURE, AND ENTERPRISE IT SOLUTIONS Among the technological innovations for the 2020 By leasing the mobile devices and tablets, the Census are improvements to the Census Bureau’s Census Bureau can avoid purchasing millions of IT systems . Building on existing technology, and dollars of hardware that it will not need once the in preparation for online responses and a reliance decennial field operations conclude . on real-time data refresh, the 2020 Census has invested in IT infrastructure and mobile computing The 2020 Census will rely on Cloud infrastruc- to ensure a smooth operation . ture to scale systems, so that every computerized application or infrastructure will be able to handle The 2020 Census is moving away from laptops and an increased load . This will allow online systems instead relying on smartphones and tablets for processing to be more effective and efficient, while census takers to follow up with people who have maintaining the security and integrity of the data not responded to their census questionnaire . captured . The Census Bureau is also using enterprise IT solutions during the 2020 Census so that other data collection operations will benefit from it . U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 27
Chapter 3. Outreach, Communication, and Partnership INTRODUCTION Prior to the 1970 Census, data collection was Challenge: How Do We Communicate With People primarily a door-to-door operation . In 1970, the About the Census? Census Bureau spearheaded the first mail-out, The census is complex, and each decade it becomes mail-in version of the census questionnaire . more difficult to complete . Distrust in government is greater than ever, and the public seems increasingly Recognizing that response rates were declining, the reluctant to cooperate with censuses and surveys . Census Bureau launched the Partnership Program People are concerned about sharing their personal in 1990 . This program mobilized census supporters information and may not recognize the value of at both the national and local levels, encouraging statistical information produced by the government . the partners to help the public better understand In addition, households are more complex, diverse, the importance of the census . In 2000, the first and dynamic . For example: national paid advertising campaign was launched to raise awareness of and increase response to the • Blended families may include children who have census . two primary residences . • Households may include more than one family Every decade since, the Census Bureau has or multiple generations . stepped up efforts . The largest, most sophisticated push to attract partners and boost response rates • Families facing economic difficulties, or other for any census is currently underway . This chapter crises, often pair up or stay with family or outlines our wide-scale effort to reach a mass audi- friends . ence and encourage participation in the decennial • Young people such as college students and census . others may stay in multiple places . • More households speak languages other than English . U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 29
It’s a challenge to include all these people in census counts . The United States continues to be a highly 2020 Census Technology and Innovations— mobile nation; about 15 percent of the population Outreach, Communication, and Partnership moves in a given year . Also an increasing number of Highlights households speak languages other than English . • Expanded social media communications In the United States, in past censuses, the census and monitoring . experienced a persistent undercount of minority • Established higher education outreach populations and an overcount of the white popu- programs with universities . lation . This is referred to as the differential under- count, and it has a disproportionate effect in • Improved advertising and messaging . high-density urban areas . • Leveraged data to optimize the commu- nications and partnership campaign . The differential undercount has existed in previ- ous censuses because certain population groups • Created more complete partnerships with had a greater number of the characteristics that a stronger foundation . were observed in undercounted households . These • Cultivated an ubiquitous digital presence include low income, single-parent families, and across all audiences . many other factors contributing to the increas- ing diversity and complexity of the population . • Achieved wider outreach in schools and To conduct a complete and accurate census that communities . includes everyone living in the United States, the Census Bureau’s motivation, outreach, and promo- tional efforts are specifically designed to address spread the message that responding to the census households with historically lower participation is important and safe . rates . Since the 2000 Census, the Census Bureau has relied on a massive paid advertising campaign Many of our innovations surrounding the 2020 aimed at reaching everyone—especially tradition- Census are designed to tackle the challenge of how ally undercounted populations . In addition, the to reach people to encourage them to respond and campaign is part of building a strong partnership participate in the census, as discussed in detail in program that can mobilize trusted voices to help this section . 30 Innovations for the 2020 Census U.S. Census Bureau
THE 2020 CENSUS ADVERTISING AND COMMUNICATIONS PROGRAM Each decade since the 2000 Census, the Census stories in news media across the country in print, Bureau has mounted an increasingly robust and social, and digital media . This campaign will include sophisticated communications campaign . It a national events strategy that is more robust than includes advertising in all major media outlets: paid what we saw in previous censuses . This began with print, television, out of home (e .g . any advertising the census kickoff on April 1, 2019, and included that reaches consumers outside of their home), events on Constitution Day in September and a radio, and social media ads targeted at English- recruiting event in October . See table below for speaking audiences as well as specific popula- upcoming events . tion groups, including: Black/African American, Hispanic/Latino, Asian, American Indian and Alaska Additional components of the outreach, commu- Native, and Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific nications, and partnership effort include a Islanders . Advertising is extensive, and it includes strong research foundation, paid advertising, the mass media . Paid ads will air in English and the Partnership Program, social and digital media, the other 12 languages supported by the 2020 Census Statistics in Schools Program, and stakeholder Internet and telephone self-response systems . engagement—each of which build on the experi- ence of prior censuses . The Census Bureau will also continue to mount a traditional earned-media campaign that will inform 2020 CENSUS PLANNED NATIONAL EVENTS Calendar as of January 1, 2020 Planned Event Date Location Integrated Communications Campaign (ICC) Launch January 14, 2020 Washington, DC 2020 Census Interfaith Summit February 18, 2020 Washington, DC Counting Young Children in the 2020 Census February 22, 2020 Cleveland, OH Invitation-Focused Media Blitz March 16, 2020 Atlanta, GA Census Day 2020 April 1, 2020 New York, NY It’s Time to Respond to the Census—Community Benefits April 14, 2020 Oakland, CA Major League Baseball Event—Get a Full Count April 28, 2020 Milwaukee, WI 2020 Census Neighborhood Celebration May 13, 2020 San Antonio, TX U.S. Census Bureau Innovations for the 2020 Census 31
2020 Census Integrated Partnership and Communications Operation Public Relations and Events Partnership Program and Crisis Communications Website Development Rapid Response and Digital Activities Activities Advertising and Statistics Media Buying In Schools Data Social Media Dissemination Field Recruitment Advertising Stakeholder Relations and Communications Building the Research Foundation respondent behavior so that messaging, media, and other communications activities can be deployed Prior to the 2020 Census, the Census Bureau built in a manner that maximizes impact . These low the strongest research foundation ever put in place response scores are then combined with additional to drive messaging and media placement for a information including media usage data to allocate census communications campaign . This process groups into larger segments of the population, began with the analysis of the public’s response to which will drive the purchase and placement of censuses and surveys throughout the decade, as advertising in the campaign . These segments are well as other sources, including third-party data . described in the following chart . This data is used to build predictive models that provided estimates for the likelihood that people Audience segmentation was based on the Census in all population groups, and at all levels of geog- Barriers, Attitudes, and Motivators Study (CBAMS) . raphy, will respond to the census . These models CBAMS was far more robust than a similar study were then translated into “low response scores” conducted in 2010, where it was only used to that helped the Census Bureau, and the adver- inform messaging . In 2020, it is driving the entire tising firms they collaborated with, understand campaign . First, a quantitative survey was fielded 32 Innovations for the 2020 Census U.S. Census Bureau
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