Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa 2017 - ICA REPORT - 2017 WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG
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© 2018 The Infrastructure Consortium for Africa Secretariat c/o African Development Bank 01 BP 1387, Abidjan 01, Côte d'Ivoire Disclaimer This report was written by the ICA Secretariat in collaboration with Cross-border Information. While care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of the information provided in this report, the authors make no representation, warranty or covenant with respect to its accuracy or validity. No responsibility or liability will be accepted by the ICA Secretariat, its employees, associates and/or consultants for reliance placed upon information contained in this document by any third party. 2 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa – 2017 ICA REPORT – 2017 WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 3
Acknowledgements Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa – 2017 is We express our personal thanks to all those who the Infrastructure Consortium for Africa’s (ICA’s) contributed data and insights for the report, including: annual report on how financial resources are being mobilised to facilitate the development of the Clare Barrington, DFID Ben-Hur Kabengele, AFD continent’s transport, water and sanitation, energy Malanda Barthelemy, Mascha Klein, BMZ and ICT sectors. AfDB Poirotte Ludovic, EU-AITF The ICA’s flagship report was prepared by the ICA Giovanni Baticci, MFA/CDP Atadet Azarak Mogro, Secretariat, consisting of Mike Salawou, ICA Coordinator, CEEAC Epifanio Carvalho de Melo and Kouadio Viviane, in Mathilde Bord-Laurans, cooperation with Cross-border Information (David Burles, AFD Hellen Chimwemwe Nick Carn, Mark Ford, Irina Gaubinger, Ivana Richardson, Mwatuwa, AfDB Francis Daniel Bougaire, David Slater, Ajay Ubhi and Daniel Westbury-Haines) who AfDB Ihcen Naceur, AfDB were commissioned by the ICA Secretariat. Gregory Briffa, EIB Maimuna Nalubega, AfDB The ICA Secretariat acknowledges and thanks all those Antonello Carpentieri, David Niyonsenga, organisations and people without whose help the MFA/CDP NEPAD production of this consistent annual monitor of Africa’s Osward Chanda, AfDB Fiore Pace, GAC infrastructure financing and development would not have Stephan Diefenthal, DEG Peter Radloff, KfW been possible. In particular, special thanks to all ICA Katerina Evzona, DFID members – the G7: Canada (Chair of ICA), France, Michele Ruiters, DBSA Gladys Wambui Gichuri, Germany, Italy, Japan, UK and the USA; Russia; G20 Omar Vajeth, SAPP AfDB member South Africa; and MDBs members including the Anna Waldmann, GIZ EC, EIB, IFC, WB and the AfDB (the host) for their Gianluca Grandi, MFA/CDP Alvino Wildschutt-Prins, contribution and guidance in preparing this report. Etsuko Ito, JICA DBSA Institutions contributing to the report include: African Ahid Maeresera, SADC Yuki Ito, JBIC Development Bank (AfDB), Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development (AFESD), Global Affairs Canada Jovana Jeftanovic,GIZ Victoria Zabolotnyi, IFC (GAC), Development Bank of Southern Africa (DBSA), East African Development Bank (EADB), Eastern and Southern African Trade and Development Bank (TDB) Ecowas Bank For Investment And Development (EBID), European Bank of Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), EU-Africa Infrastructure Trust Fund (EU-AITF), European Investment Bank (EIB), Agence Française de Développement (AFD) of France, Germany’s Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau (KfW), Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) and Deutsche Investitions- und Entwicklungsgesellschaft (DEG), International Finance Corporation (IFC), Islamic Data Analysis, Text and Layout Development Bank (IDB), Italy’s Cassa Depositi e Prestiti (CDP) and Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cross-border Information Cooperation, Export–Import Bank of India, Japan Bank for www.crossborderinformation.com International Co-operation (JBIC), Japan International Co- operation Agency (JICA), OPEC Fund for International Graphics and Maps Development (OFID), the UK’s Department for David Burles International Development (DFID), and the World Bank. In particular, we also thank those Regional Economic Photos Communities (RECs) and Regional Power Pools (RPPs) that iStock/Getty Images: Pages 6, 20, 24, 28, 49, 54, 60, 62, 64, responded to our request for data to inform this report, 68, 70. namely Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC), East African Community (EAC), Shutterstock: Pages 72,74, 76 Southern African Development Community (SADC) and Southern African Power Pool (SAPP). EBRD/Dermot Doorly: Page 58 4 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
Contents Introduction 6 5.4 Non-ICA European Sources 58 5.5 Other Sources of Financing 60 About Us 6 5.6 Regional Development Banks 63 Foreword 7 Definitions and Acronyms 8 List of Graphics and Maps 10 6. Private Sector 64 6.1 Private Sector Engagement with the Public Sector 64 1. The Big Picture 11 1.1 Key Messages and Findings 12 7. Sectoral Analysis 68 7.1 Overview 68 2. Financing Trends 14 7.2 Transport 70 7.3 Water and Sanitation 72 2.1 Who is Financing Africa’s Infrastructure 14 7.4 Energy 74 2.2 Financing Trends by Sector 16 7.5 ICT 76 2.3 Financing Trends by Region 18 8. Regional Analysis 78 3. Strategic Trends 20 8.1 North Africa 78 3.1 Overview 20 8.2 West Africa 79 3.2 Infrastructure Financing Gap 21 8.3 Central Africa 80 3.3 Intra-African Free Trade 24 8.5 East Africa 81 3.4 Regional Cooperation 25 8.6 Southern Africa 82 3.5 Regional Economic Communities and Power Pools 26 8.7 Republic of South Africa 83 4. ICA Member Financing 28 Annexes 84 4.1 Overview 28 4.2 Types of Funding 30 4.3 Hard vs Soft Infrastructure 32 4.4 Trends in Commitments and Disbursements 33 4.5 Projects Completed 37 4.6 Disbursement Rates 38 4.7 Trends in Regional Infrastructure Portfolios 39 4.8 PIDA/PAP Commitments, Disbursements & Trends 40 4.9 Country Allocations 42 4.10 ICA Member Activities 43 5. Other Public Sources of Financing 48 5.1 African State Spending on Infrastructure 48 5.2 China 54 5.3 Arab Co-ordination Group 56 INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 5
About the ICA The Infrastructure Consortium South Africa joined the ICA as the first objectives of the ICA can be broadly for Africa (ICA) was launched at G20 country non-G8, and first African defined as follows: the G8 Gleneagles summit in 2005. country member of the ICA. • Increase the amount of finance The membership is the G8 The ICA is a major initiative to going to sustainable infrastructure in countries, the Republic of South accelerate progress to meet the urgent Africa from public and private sources; Africa, the World Bank Group (WBG), the African Development infrastructure needs of Africa in • Facilitate greater co-operation Bank Group (AfDB), the European support of economic growth and between members of ICA and other Commission (EC), the European development. It addresses both important sources of finance including Investment Bank (EIB) and the national and regional constraints to African stakeholders, China, India, Development Bank of Southern infrastructure development with an Arab Funds and the private sector; Africa (DBSA). emphasis on regional infrastructure, recognising the challenges at this • Highlight and help remove policy African institutions such as the scale. and technical blockages and progress; African Union (AU), the New Partnership for Africa’s Development The Consortium is intended to make • Increase knowledge of the sector (NEPAD) and the Regional Economic its members more effective at through monitoring and reporting on Communities (RECs) all participate as supporting infrastructure by pooling the key trends and developments. observers in the meetings of the efforts in selected areas such as Increasingly, the ICA is working to consortium. AfDB has hosted the information sharing, project develop- improve the co-ordination of activities Secretariat of the ICA since its ment and good practices. among members, and with other inception in 2006. Although ICA is not a financing significant sources of infrastructure At the May 2011 Annual meeting of agency, the consortium acts as a finance, including China, India, Arab the Consortium, the decision was platform to broker more financing of and Islamic financiers, African made to enlarge ICA membership infrastructure projects and regional development banks and the from G8 to G20. In November 2013, programmes in Africa. The main private sector. 6 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
Foreword We have the pleasure of presenting to you the ninth continent and will be an essential component of the North- edition of the ICA annual report, Infrastructure South (Cape to Cairo) power transmission corridor. Financing Trends in Africa, 2017. Over the years the Mobilising funds for infrastructure is critical, and this report report has become an important document for shows a high level of interest in new types of funding. In presenting in a consistent manner how finance is particular, the report recognises the demand for blended being mobilised to develop infrastructure across the finance, in which concessional finance seeks to leverage non- energy, ICT, transport, and water and sanitation concessional finance. Infrastructure Financing Trends in sectors. It also identifies emerging trends on how Africa, 2017 also reports for the second year that resources are mobilised effectively to accelerate organisations are increasingly deploying development Africa’s infrastructure development. capital. This is important because it is not a grant, rather it One of the important issues addressed in this year’s report creates an asset for the investor and can provide modest is the amount African states spend on infrastructure. Such financial returns alongside significant development impacts. spending is analysed not only at a national level, but also at a subnational level – where it can be identified that This year’s report provides examples of how finance has spending has not been accounted for in federal or national been mobilised for bankable projects likely to have a budgets. It is important to note that more work is required significant development impact. One example is the to develop methodologies that adequately capture spending Benban solar park project in Egypt, which shows how a by state institutions and subnational governments and mixture of public and private sector finance can be ensure that double counting is avoided. mobilised by establishing sound institutional arrangements to produce 23 bankable projects. Another persistent issue is Africa’s infrastructure financing gap and it is encouraging to see ICA’s own research on Challenges for Africa’s infrastructure remain. More financing trends contributing to this debate. This year’s bankable projects will be needed to both attract new and report examines the extent to which the lack of investment in retain existing financiers to help close Africa’s infrastructure is a matter of limited bankable projects infrastructure financing gap. We hope that more relative to the availability of financial resources. institutions will join the cohort of financiers who address Stakeholders interviewed for this report suggest that there the challenges involved, from project preparation to are enough funds for Africa’s infrastructure development. capacity building, and see opportunities and benefits in The challenge, however, is creating more bankable projects. financing Africa’s infrastructure. Other stakeholders maintain the financing gap remains for It is encouraging to see that new financing techniques are bankable projects. being developed. The challenge is to continue expanding Africa is embarking on a journey to create a continental free the range of financial instruments available and trade area that must fully embrace the need to develop its integrating offerings such as blended finance and infrastructure. The African Continental Free Trade Area has development capital with conventional instruments such the potential to transform the continent. But infrastructure as grants and loans that will continue to play a role in is needed to ensure deeper and broader regional integration, infrastructure financing. add value to its resources and catalyse growth in intra- We hope this report will help broaden the range of African trade. This is particularly important if Africa is to stakeholders and increase the range of financing realise its potential in sectors where growth prospects are techniques used in Africa’s infrastructure development. We brightest, such as agriculture and food, industry and services. also hope Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa, 2017 Regional infrastructure projects must play a key role in will help stakeholders address the challenge of establishing promoting equitable and sustainable growth. sound institutional arrangements that provide the right This report highlights some notable achievements in Africa’s conditions for public and private sector actors to participate infrastructure sector. It shows how regional infrastructure in the development of projects. Finally, we hope this report projects can have the continental impact needed for a fully will help mobilise more finance for Africa’s infrastructure functioning free trade area. A good example is the Zambia- development. Tanzania-Kenya Interconnector project which is one of the Pierre Guislain, Vice President, Private sector, industry Programme for Infrastructure Development in Africa and infrastructure, AfDB Priority Action Plan projects and programmes. Beyond the regional benefits, the project will connect the southern and Amadou Oumarou, Director Infrastructure and Urban eastern African power pools and enhance inter-regional development, AfDB electricity trading by interconnecting the two pools’ grids. The Mike Salawou, Manager Infrastructure Partnerships and project is expected to create the largest power pool on the ICA Coordinator INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 7
Definitions and Acronyms Budget Data includes feasibility testing and Ethiopia, Kenya, Seychelles, Somalia, financial and legal structuring, as well South Sudan, Sudan, Tanzania, Budget allocations: Total approved as raising capital. Uganda. government budget for the respective Southern Africa excluding RSA: item. Funding Angola, Botswana, Comoros, Lesotho, Total infrastructure budget: Sum Commitments: Direct funds Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, of energy, water and sanitation, approved in a given year to projects Mozambique, Namibia, Swaziland, transport, and ICT budget allocations. over their lifetime. Zambia, Zimbabwe. Where available, significant multi- sector or other infrastructure Disbursements: Money outflow RSA: Republic of South Africa. allocations are indicated separately. going to infrastructure projects during a given year. Regional Development ICA Members ODA – official development Banks Assistance: Grant or loan with public AfDB, DBSA, EC, EIB, G7 countries Central African States Development concessional modalities administered and Russia, Republic of South Africa Bank (CASDB), DBSA (an ICA by donor government agencies. and the World Bank Group. In 2011 member), EBID, EADB, West African all G20 countries were invited to join Non ODA: Non-concessional funding Development Bank (BOAD). the ICA. The AU Commission, from public or private sources. NEPAD Secretariat and Regional Regional project: Projects with Sector Economic Communities participate direct beneficiaries in more than one Transport: Airports, ports, rail, road. as observers at ICA meetings. country. These can either be cross- border projects or other regional Energy: Generation, transmission Infrastructure integration projects involving a and distribution of electricity and gas minimum of two countries or national (including pipelines, and associated Total infrastructure budget: Sum projects. infrastructure). of energy, water and sanitation, transport, ICT, and multi-sector infrastructure budget allocations. Location Water and sanitation: Sanitation, irrigation, (trans-boundary) water Hard infrastructure: Physical North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, resource infrastructure, water supply, infrastructure. Mauritania, Morocco, Tunisia. waste (solid & liquid) treatment West Africa: Benin, Burkina Faso, and management. Soft infrastructure: Measures to Cape Verde, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, support or accompany the production ICT: Information and communication Guinea Bissau, Côte d’Ivoire, Liberia, of physical infrastructure outputs, technology, including broadband, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra including research, enabling mobile network, satellite. Leone, Togo. legislation, project preparation and capacity building. Central Africa: Burundi, Cameroon, Multi-sector: Not sector-specific or Central African Republic (CAR), cross-cutting projects. This could Project preparation: The include implementation of a PPP unit Chad, Congo, Democratic Republic of undertaking of all project preparation or capacity building programmes. Congo (DRC), Equatorial Guinea, cycles or development activities Gabon, Rwanda, São Tomé and necessary to take an infrastructure Unallocated: Commitments which Príncipe (STP). project from identification through cover multiple ICA sectors but which concept design to financial close. This East Africa: Djibouti, Eritrea, are unable to be accurately allocated. Acronyms AfDB – African Development Bank AKFED – Aga Khan Fund for Economic Development ACG – Arab Co-ordination Group AFESD – Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development AU – African Union ADFD – Abu Dhabi Fund for Development AfIF – EU-Africa Investment Facility BADEA – Banque Arabe pour le AfCFTA – Africa Continental Free Trade Développement Economique en Afrique Area AICS – Italian Development Cooperation Agency BMZ – Germany’s Federal Ministry of AFD – Agence Française de Economic Cooperation and Développement AIP – EU’s Africa Infrastructure Platform Development 8 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
BOAD – Banque Oueste Africaine de G20 – Argentina, Australia, Brazil, OFID – OPEC Fund for International Développement Canada, China, EU, France, Germany, Development India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, CADFund – China-Africa Development Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, OMVG – Organisation pour la Mise en Fund Turkey, UK and US Valeur du Fleuve Gambie CDP – Italy’s Cassa Depositi e Prestiti G8 – Canada, France, Germany, Italy, PIDA – Programme for Infrastructure CGC – China Geo-Engineering Japan, Russia, UK and US Development in Africa Corporation GFI – Global Financial Integrity CGGC – China Gezhouba Group PIDA/PAP – PIDA Priority Action Plan Corporation GIZ – Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit PPA – power purchase agreement COIDIC – China Overseas Infrastructure Development and Investment HFO – heavy fuel oil PPDF – SADC Project Preparation and Corporation ICA – Infrastructure Consortium for Development Facility Comesa – Common Market for Eastern Africa PPI – World Bank’s Private Participation and Southern Africa ICD – Islamic Corporation for the in Infrastructure CRBC – China Road and Bridge Development of the Private Sector PPP – public-private partnerships corporation IDA – International Development CSP – concentrated solar power Association PV – photovoltaic DBSA – Development Bank of Southern IDB – Islamic Development Bank rAREH – responsAbiity Renewable Africa IFC – International Finance Corporation Energy Holding DEG – Deutsche Investitions- und IFU – Denmark’s DFI RBD – regional development bank Entwicklungsgesellschaft IPP – independent power producer REC – Regional Economic Community DFI – Development finance institutions JBIC – Japan Bank for International Co- DFIC –Development Finance Institute REIPPP – South Africa’s Renewable operation Canada Energy Independent Power Producer JICA – Japan International Co-operation Procurement programme DFID – UK’s Department for International Agency Development RIPDM – SADC Regional Infrastructure KFAED – Kuwait Fund for Arab Economic DRC – Democratic Republic of Congo Development Master Plan Development EAC – East African Community RPP – regional Power Pool KfW – Germany’s development bank EAIF – Emerging Africa Infrastructure LPG – liquefied petroleum gas RSA – Republic of South Africa Fund EAPP – Eastern Africa Power Pool MAECI – Italy’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs SADC – Southern African Development and International Co-operation Community EBID – Ecowas Bank for Investment and Development MCC – US’ Millenium Challenge SBM – State Bank of Mauritius Corporation EBRD – European Bank for MENA – Middle East and North Africa SFD – Saudi Fund for Development Reconstruction and Development EC – European Commission MIGA – Multilateral Investment SGR – standard gauge railway Guarantee Agency Ecowas – Economic Community of West SNCFT – Société Nationale des Chemins African States NDB – BRICS’ New Development Bank de Fer Tunisiens EDC – Canada’s Export Development NEPAD – New Partnership for Africa’s TDB – Trade and Development Bank Corporation Development NEPAD-IPPF – NEPAD Infrastructure TTA – DFID Tripartite Trust Account EGAS – Egyptian Natural Gas Holding Company Project Preparation Facility UNECA – United Nations Economic EIB – European Investment Bank NIPP – National Integrated Power Project Commission for Africa ENH – Mozambique's Empresa Nacional NPCA – NEPAD Planning and Co- WBG – World Bank Group de Hidrocarbonetos ordinating Agency YMI – Yapi Merkezi Insaat ve Sanayi EU – European Union ODA – official development assistance OECD – Organisation for Economic Co- ZPC – Zimbabwe Power Company EU-AITF – EU-Africa Infrastructure Trust Fund operation and Development ZTK – Zambia-Tanzania-Kenya power FMO – Netherlands’ DFI OeEB – Austria’s development bank transmission interconnector INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 9
Graphics and Maps Figure 1: ICA member commitments & disbursements, 2013-17 12 Figure 45: Allocations to infrastructure in national budgets, Figure 2: Infrastructure commitment trends by source, 2013-17 12 2017, as percentage of GDP 51 Figure 3: Infrastructure commitment trends by sector, 2013-17 12 Figure 46: Percentage of infrastructure allocations in Figure 4: Total infrastructure financing in 2017 by source 13 national budgets by sector and region, 2017 51 Figure 47: Total 2017 infrastructure capital expenditure Figure 5: Total infrastructure financing in 2016 by region 13 allocations in national government budgets, by sector 51 Figure 6: Total infrastructure financing in 2017 by sector 13 Figure 48: Chinese commitments by sector, 2012-17 54 Figure 7: Reported and identified financing flows into Africa’s Figure 49: Chinese commitments by region, 2012-17 55 infrastructure, 2017 14 Figure 50: ACG commitments by sector and region, 2013-17 56 Figure 8: Sources of finance 2017, public external and private 15 Figure 9: Infrastructure commitments by sector & region, 2017 15 Figure 51: ACG commitments, by member, 2013-17 57 Figure 10: Infrastructure commitments by sector & source, 2017 16 Figure 52: Non-ICA European commitments by source, 2017 58 Figure 11: Total infrastructure financing by sector, 2013-17 17 Figure 53: Non-ICA European commitments by sector, 2017 59 Figure 12: ICA member commitments by sector, 2013-17 17 Figure 54: Non-ICA European commitment by region, 2017 59 Figure 13: Average annual total infrastructure financing Figure 55: Indian commitments by sector, 2013-17 61 by sector, 2013-2017 17 Figure 56: BOAD commitments by sector, 2017 63 Figure 14: 2017 infrastructure commitments by region & source 18 Figure 57: EBID commitments by sector, 2017 63 Figure 15: Total infrastructure financing by region, 2013-17 19 Figure 58: TDB commitments by sector, 2017 63 Figure 16: ICA member commitments by region, 2013-17 19 Figure 59: PPI Project Database trends, 2013-17 64 Figure 17: Average annual total infrastructure financing Figure 60: Private sector financing by sector, 2017 64 by region, 2013-17 19 Figure 61: Private sector financing by region, 2017 64 Figure 18: Infrastructure financing needs by sector 21 Figure 62: Total financing by sector and source, 2017 69 Figure 19: Average annual commitments by sector 2012-17 21 Figure 63: Total transport sector financing by source, 2013-17 71 Figure 20: ZTK Interconnector and regional power pools 25 Figure 64: Total transport sector financing by region, 2016 70 Figure 21: Implementation status of EAC priority projects 26 Figure 65: Total transport sector financing by region, 2017 71 Figure 22: ICA member 2017 commitments by sector 28 Figure 66: Transport sector financing by type of funding, 2017 71 Figure 23: ICA member 2017 commitments by region 28 Figure 67: Transport financing by sub-sector, 2017 71 Figure 24: ICA member 2017 commitments by type of funding 30 Figure 68: Total water sector financing by source, 2013-17 73 Figure 25: ICA member 2017 hard/soft/project preparation infrastructure commitments 32 Figure 69: Total water sector financing by region, 2016 72 Figure 26: ICA member 2017 hard/soft/project preparation Figure 70: Total water sector financing by region, 2017 73 infrastructure disbursements 32 Figure 71: Water sector financing by type of funding, 2017 73 Figure 27: ICA member commitments by sector, 2010-17 33 Figure 72: Water financing by sub-sector, 2017 73 Figure 28: ICA member commitments by region, 2010-17 33 Figure 73: Total energy sector financing by source, 2013-17 75 Figure 29: ICA member 2017 commitments by donor & region 34 Figure 74: Total energy sector financing by region, 2016 74 Figure 30: ICA member 2017 disbursements by donor & region 34 Figure 75: Total energy sector financing by region, 2017 75 Figure 31: ICA member 2017 commitments by sector & region 35 Figure 76: Energy sector financing by type of funding, 2017 75 Figure 32: ICA member 2017 disbursements by sector & region 35 Figure 77: Energy financing by sub-sector, 2017 75 Figure 33: ICA member disbursements by sector, 2013-17 35 Figure 78: Total ICT sector financing by source, 2013-17 77 Figure: 34: ICA member supported projects completed Figure 79: ICT energy sector financing by region, 2016 76 in 2017 – commitments and disbursements 37 Figure 80: Total ICT sector financing by region, 2017 77 Figure 35: ICA member supported projects completed in 2017 – breakdown by sector 37 Figure 81: ICT sector financing by type of funding, 2017 77 Figure 36: ICA member supported projects completed Figure 82: ICT financing by sub-sector, 2017 77 in 2017 – breakdown by region 37 Figure 83: Financing to North Africa by sector & source, 2017 78 Figure 37: Disbursement rates per sector for selected ICA Figure 84: Trends in North Africa financing by source, 2013-17 78 member projects completed in 2017 38 Figure 85: Financing to West Africa by sector & source, 2017 79 Figure 38: Trends in regional infrastructure portfolios, 2010-17 39 Figure 86: Trends in West Africa financing by source, 2013-17 79 Figure 39: Specified ICA member commitments to PIDA projects 41 Figure 87: Financing to Central Africa by sector & source, 2017 80 Figure 40: ICA member reported country-level Figure 88: Trends in Central Africa financing by source, 2013-17 80 commitments by region, 2017 42 Figure 89: Financing to East Africa by sector & source, 2017 81 Figure 41: ICA member reported 2017 country-level commitments, $ spend per capita and as percentage of GDP 42 Figure 90: Trends in East Africa financing by source, 2013-17 81 Figure 42: Government budget allocations by sector, 2013-17 49 Figure 91: Financing to Southern Africa by sector & source, 2017 82 Figure 43: Government budget allocations by region, 2017 49 Figure 92:Trends in Southern Africa financing by source, 2013-17 82 Figure 44: Allocations to infrastructure in national budgets, 2017, Figure 93: Financing to RSA by sector and source, 2017 83 by $ per capita Figure 94: Trends in RSA financing by source, 2013-2017 83 10 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
1. The Big Picture 2017 Total funding reached $81.6bn in 2017 Funding increased by 22% It came from Ð11% 6% 22% Ð21% ICA members $19.7bn (24.1%) African national governments $34.3bn Arab Co-ordination (42.1%) Group $3.0bn (3.7%) China $19.4bn Private (23.8%) 2016: $66.9bn sector 2013: $83.3bn 2014: $75.4bn 2015: $78.9bn 2017: $81.6bn $2.3bn (2.8%) Other bilaterals/ multilaterals $2.9bn (3.5%) And these sectors Went to these regions North Africa Transport $34.0bn (41.7%) $15.9bn (19.5%) Water $13.2bn (16.2%) West Africa Central $22.0bn Africa Energy $24.8bn (30.4%) (27.0%) East Africa $6.0bn $15.8bn (7.4%) (19.4%) ICT $2.3bn (2.8%) Southern Africa excluding RSA $12.2bn (15.0%) Multi-sector $5.1bn (6.3%) Pan-African $0.9bn (1.1%) RSA $8.7bn Unallocated $2.2bn (2.7%) (10.7%) INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 11
1.1 Key Messages and Findings African national governments Other/unallocated Overall commitments to Africa’s infrastructure from all sources Private sector Multi-sector increased to $81.6bn in 2017 from Other bilaterals/multilaterals ICT $66.9bn in 20161. Though fewer China Energy 90 90 ICA members reported data this Arab Co-ordination Group Water year than in the past, this is ICA members Transport $bn $bn the highest level of directly com- Total: 83.3 Total: 83.3 parable commitments report-ed 30.5 81.6 2.0 81.6 80 34.3 80 2.2 since 2010. 78.9 2.3 78.9 24.0 1.9 1.0 5.1 75.4 75.4 2.2 28.6 Factors driving the higher 9.1 2.7 2.4 2.3 commitments include a $13bn 8.4 domestic 2.6 33.5 bond issue 70 70 24.8 increase in identified Chinese 0.7 sub-national 2.4 financing investments from $6.4bn to $19.4bn, 66.9 66.9 24.1 30.7 3.4 and a $3.7bn increase in African 34.5 national and subnational government 2.8 60 60 spending from $30.7bn to $34.4bn. 1.7 20.6 According to the World Bank’s Private 7.4 Participation in Infrastructure (PPI) 8.8 Project Database, the value of 50 50 projects with private sector 11.2 2.4 2.3 13.2 participation reaching financial 20.9 2.9 close in 2017 totalled $5.2bn, an 2.0 9.4 40 13.4 19.4 40 increase from the $3.6bn reported in 7.5 2016. Of this, $2.3bn (44.8%) was 12.2 37.3 2.6 privately financed. 3.1 34.2 34.0 30 30 32.4 Commitments from ICA members 2.9 6.4 to Programme for Infrastructure 3.3 3.5 Development in Africa Priority 25.3 3.1 26.2 4.4 5.5 Action Plan (PIDA/PAP) projects 7.0 3.0 20 3.4 20 Power amounted to $2.8bn, one-third Africa 19.8 19.7 higher than the $2.1bn committed to 18.8 18.6 PIDA from all sources in 2016. ICA members committed $19.7bn 10 10 to African infrastructure projects ICA commitments (annual average: $20.4bn) 0 0 ICA disbursements (annual average: $12.3bn) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 25.3 25 Figure 2 Figure 3 $bn 7.0 Infrastructure commitment trends by Infrastructure commitment trends by Power source, 2013-2017 sector, 2013-2017 19.8 19.7 20 Africa 18.8 18.6 in 2017, an increase of 5% from the been adjusted to include identified 15 $18.6bn reported in 2016. This subnational spending. 13.4 13.0 represents one of the highest 12.6 Commitments from non-ICA 11.3 10.9 commitments since the ICA began 10 collecting data in 2010, only slightly member bilaterals and multi- below the 2015 high of $19.8bn. laterals (excluding China) to 5 African infrastructure projects African state spending on infra- reached $5.8bn in 2017. Of this, the structure, which for the first 0 Arab Coordination Group (ACG) time includes subnational state 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 spending, where it can be identified, committed $3bn compared with the Figure 1 increased from $30.7bn in 2016 to $3.8bn and $4.4m recorded in 2016 and ICA members’ commitments and disbursements, 2013-2017 $34.4bn in 2017. Data for 2016 have 2015, respectively. 12 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
India committed just over $700m Soft infrastructure commitments recent years, this is likely to to infrastructure projects in 2017, declined to $1.5bn in 2017 from underestimate the average annual the highest level since 2013. However, $1.7bn in the previous year. amount committed to Africa’s infra- this is down from the high amount of Although this is higher than the structure over recent years. Analysis in $1.2bn committed in 2016. Identified $1.3bn reported in 2015, it remains this report shows average commit- commitments made by South Korea in below the $2.3bn and $1.8bn reported ments over the last six years of $77bn, 2017 stood at $10m compared with in 2014 and 2013, respectively. ICA suggesting an annual financing gap $432m in 2016, but this was a member commitments made to project over the period 2012-17 in the significantly high figure compared preparation fell from $245m in 2016 to $53bn-$93bn range. with previous years. $120m in 2017. After recovering to The infrastructure financing gap $1.4bn in 2016, soft infrastructure With commitments of $34bn, the is certainly wider in some sectors disbursements declined to $717m. transport sector continued to be than others. In this regard, the water the largest beneficiary of infra- ICA members disbursed $10.9bn in sector is a source of concern, with an structure commitments in 2017 by 2017, below the 2011-2016 average 81-84% shortfall in its annual a significant margin. Financing of which ranges between $11.4bn-13.4bn. financing requirement. But the transport infrastructure was equal to Consistent with reporting in previous transport sector is short of its years, the majority of disbursements in financing requirement by only 8%. 41.7% of all funding. As with previous 2017 were directed towards the energy This gap is considered very low. years, most of the $20.1bn was provided by African national or sector (44%). Public and private stakeholders subnational governments. The energy Recent estimates by the AfDB consulted in the preparation of sector, which recorded $24.8bn of published in its African Economic this report said the main reasons investments in 2017, accounted for Outlook, 2018 suggest that Africa’s for Africa’s infrastructure deficit 30.4% of the total. The water sector annual infrastructure financing centre not on a lack of funds but a accounted for $13.2bn (16.2%), followed requirements amount to $130bn– lack of bankable projects. As noted by multi-sector investments, which $170bn with a gap in the range of in previous years, countries with sound registered $5.1bn (6.3%). $68bn–$108bn. institutional arrangements are attracting public and private sector Official development assistance Data analysed for Infrastructure finance. Subsectors attracting (ODA) financing accounted for Financing Trends in Africa, 2017 investment include renewable energy 62% of all ICA member commit- suggests a slightly narrower generation, ports and maritime ments and non-ODA financing financing gap than that in the activities and mobile telephony. n accounted for 25%. ICA members African Economic Outlook, 2018. were unable to provide data on the The latter is based on total remaining 13%. About two-thirds of commitments of $62.5bn as stated in member disbursements in 2017 were Infrastructure Financing Trends in from ODA sources, with the remaining Africa, 2016. Given that commitments 1 Due to new data, the 2016 figure of $62.5bn third being non-ODA. reported in 2016 were the lowest in has been restated in this report as $66.9bn. Pan-African Multi-sector Unallocated $0.9bn $5.1bn (6.3%) $2.2bn RSA (1.1%) (2.7%) $8.7bn ICT North Africa $2.3bn (2.8%) ICA members (10.7%) $15.9bn $19.7bn (19.5%) (24.1%) Southern Africa African national excluding RSA Transport governments Arab $12.2bn (15.0%) $34.0bn $34.3bn Total: Co-ordination Total: Energy Total: (41.7%) (42.1%) $81.6bn Group $81.6bn $24.8bn $81.6bn $3.0bn (3.7%) (30.4%) West Africa East Africa $22.0bn China $15.8bn (27.0%) Private sector $19.4bn (19.4%) $2.3bn (2.8%) (23.8%) Central Water Other bilaterals/ Africa $13.2bn multilaterals $6.0bn (16.2%) $2.9bn (3.5%) (7.4%) Figure 4 Figure 5 Figure 6 Total infrastructure financing in 2017 Total infrastructure financing in 2016 Total infrastructure financing in 2017 by source by region by sector INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 13
2. Financing Trends Europe Arab Co-ordination Group EC EU-AITF France Germany UK Italy Non-ICA AFESD IDB KFAED ADFD OFID BADEA SFD 0 39 2,123 838 623 89 1,604 1,043 597 500 449 181 119 97 $m ICA members are shown in Asia orange type 19,403 China The Americas 292 US 2,361 Japan 19 Canada 704 India 10 South Korea African national 34,345 Figure 7 governments Reported and 3,364 6,993 1,889 523 497 453 74 14 identified financing flows AfDB World Bank EIB IFC DBSA BOAD TDB EBID into Africa’s 2,324 infrastructure, Multilateral development banks Regional development banks Private sector 2017 2.1 Who is Financing Africa’s Infrastructure A total of $81.6bn was committed to contribution of $7bn to 2013 figures, this decline is lower investments from Africa’s infrastructure develop- this is the highest figure reported by India. ment in 2017. The corresponding ICA members since 2010 when The upward trend of ACG commit- commitment for 2016 was $66.9bn. commitments of $29.1bn were reported. ments in recent years appears to be The difference of $14.7bn, equiv- For 2017, no data were received from declining. For example, commitments alent to a 22% rise, was largely due the EC for Infrastructure Financing from the Arab funds dropped from to a $13bn increase in reported Trends in Africa. In the previous three $5.5bn in 2016 to $3bn in 2017. Chinese investments from $6.4bn years the EC committed an annual Commitments from non-ICA European to $19.4bn, and a $3.7bn increase in average of $822m to Africa’s development finance institutions (DFIs) African national and some sub- infrastructure development. and multilaterals increased signifi- national government spending Chinese funding appears to be back in a cantly from $393m in 2016 to $1.6bn in from $30.7bn to $34.4bn. big way, but the amounts of identified 2017. In 2017, private sector funding as African state spending on infra- funding from China vary substantially reported on the World Bank’s Private structure, which for the first time in this from year to year. The $19.4bn of Participation in Infrastructure Project report includes subnational state Chinese funding in 2017 is similar to Database reached a low of $2.3bn. spending where it can be identified, the $20.9bn announced in 2015. The New Development Bank (NDB), increased from $30.7bn in 2016 to However, it is substantially higher than the multilateral development bank $34.4bn in 2017. Data for 2016 have the $6.4bn and $3.1bn reported in 2016 established by the BRICS states, been adjusted to include identified and 2014, respectively. reported no commitments to Africa in subnational spending. Contributions from non-ICA bilaterals 2017. Africa50, the infrastructure ICA members committed $19.7bn in and multilaterals apart from China investment platform established by 2017, up from $18.6bn in 2016. decreased from around $3.1bn in 2016 AfDB, indicated that it would invest Excluding the exceptional Power Africa to $2.9bn in 2017. The main reason for $8m in the Egyptian energy sector.n 14 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
23,248 24,000 22,478 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 $m 20,000 50 47.5 $bn 44.1 44.8 40 33.7 15,894 28.0 16,000 30 20 7,442 (private investment only) Total public 12,679 10 external financing 11,864 12,000 11,046 0 9,983 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 9,442 9,177 8,764 8,000 7,115 6,462 6,458 5,784 5,654 5,528 5,419 5,316 5,124 7,000 2,899 4,412 Power privately 3,460 4,000 Africa financed 3,296 2,986 2,555 2,324 2,183 2,134 1,562 1,347 1,038 1,001 693 Figure 8 311 140 0 Sources of Asia Multilateral Europe Arab Regional Americas Private finance 2017, development Co-ordination development sector public external banks Group banks and private Public external financing Total: 35,000 34,041 Unallocated 2.5% Multi-sector 1.4% 132 Pan-African ICT 1.7% 3,995 $m RSA Energy Southern Africa 30.8% Transport 30,000 excluding RSA 47.0% 5,768 Water East Africa 16.5% 0.2% Central Africa North Africa 1.4% 0.2% 2.7% $15,875m West Africa 19.0% 25,000 24,777 18.4% North Africa 405 31.7% 51.2% 8,082 2,178 4.2% 25.6% 3,763 38.5% 7.0% East Africa 20,000 $15,796m West Africa Central Africa $22,010m $6,017m 3,001 21.7% 27.0% 0.2% 2.4% 15,000 1,622 34.4% 14.3% Southern Africa 2,070 13,178 excluding RSA 6,984 184 $12,242m 8,468 4.6% 0.03% 2,312 RSA 4.3% $8,694m 0.9% 1.5% 10,000 1,609 30.7% 47.1% 25.1% 4,047 46.0% 26.6% 13.1% 7,458 5,000 5,132 863 4,893 1,540 89 124 0 Figure 9 79 129 0 2,269 531 566 2,169 4 Total 2017 2,623 215 26 426 145 9 0 1,307 infrastructure 933 4,052 33 0 277 225 399 commitments by Transport Water Energy ICT Multi-sector Other Unallocated sector and region INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 15
2.2 Financing Trends by Sector 35,000 Total: 34,041 20,117 $m African national governments 30,000 Private sector Other bilaterals/multilaterals China 25,000 24,777 5,581 Arab Co-ordination Group ICA members 20,000 1,945 1,306 15,000 9,046 360 13,179 783 3,390 5,876 10,000 1,267 8,125 19 1,841 243 Figure 10 1,126 5,132 5,000 5,773 593 600 3 2,169 Total 2017 4,607 0 0 n.a. 2,269 1 525 2,169 n.a. infrastructure 1,051 4,075 n.a. commitments by 0 0 0 n.a. 0 618 528 n.a. sector and source Transport Water Energy ICT Multi-sector Other Unallocated Commitments from all sources to ICA members’ commitments to the In 2017, ICA members’ water sector all sectors were higher in 2017 transport sector peaked at $8.1bn in commitments amounted to $4.6bn, than they were in 2016. Transport 2017. The previous high was in 2010 slightly less than the $4.7bn reported sector commitments increased the when members committed $6.9bn to in 2016. Members’ average annual most from $26.2bn in 2016 to $34bn the sector. The annual eight-year commitments from 2010 to 2017 now in 2017. This represents a 30% average of ICA members’ transport amount to $4.1bn. ICA members increase. Over the same period commitments in the 2010-2017 period reported water sector commitments of commitments to energy were up now stands at $5.6bn. $3.2bn in 2015 compared with the by 20%, from $20.6bn to $24.8bn. $3.4bn in 2014 – substantially less The corresponding increase in African state spending on transport than commitments of $5bn and $4.7bn commitments to ICT was 37%, from reached $20.1bn in 2017, up by 23% in 2013 and 2012, respectively. $1.7bn in 2016 to $2.3bn in 2017. An from $16.3bn in 2016. However there were wide regional variations. For In 2017 China committed $1.8bn, of 8% rise in commitments to the example, transport spending in both which $1.5bn is for the construction of water sector from $12.2bn in 2016 East and Southern Africa increased by the Gerbi Dam in Ethiopia to provide to $13.2bn in 2017 was the lowest of a little more than 50%. water to Addis Ababa. all the sectors. African state spending in the water Transport Water sector declined by 3% from $6.1bn in For the transport sector, commitments Overall commitments to the water 2016 to $5.9bn in 2017. In the same of $34bn in 2017 are more than the six- sector from all sources increased by 8% period, Central African state year annual average of $32.4bn. from $12.2bn in 2016 to $13.2bn in allocations declined by 67 %, from Commitments to this sector peaked in 2017. It is important to note that there $379m to $123m. In Southern and 2013 when China announced are wide regional differences in the North Africa spending declined by 28% approximately two-thirds of all changes in these commitments. In this and 16 %, respectively. The only region investments, including $3.75bn to regard, East Africa recorded the that saw substantially increased state finance the construction of the highest increase with spending rising allocations was West Africa. Its Mombasa-Nairobi railway in Kenya, by 64% from $2.4bn in 2016 to $4bn in spending increased by 29%, from and $3.3bn towards the construction of 2017. There was little change in $496m in 2016 to $641m in 2017. a railway linking the Ethiopian capital spending in South Africa, North Africa and Central Africa. Between 2016 and Energy Addis Ababa with Djibouti’s port- capital on the Red Sea. In 2017, 2017, water sector spending declined by Overall commitments from all sources Chinese investments in the sector were 28% in West Africa and by 14% in to energy increased by 20%, from $3.4bn compared to $1bn in 2016. Southern Africa. $20.6bn in 2016 to $24.8bn in 2017. 16 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
During the same period, Southern Africa energy 90 Transport Water Energy ICT commitments in Southern Africa increased by 137%, from Total: $bn $1.6bn in 2016 to $3.8bn in 2017. Between 2016 and 2017, 83.3 Multi-sector Other/unallocated 2.0 81.6 North and West Africa increased their energy sector funding 80 78.9 2.3 2.2 by about 50% each. For Central Africa, the corresponding rise 1.9 75.4 1.0 2.2 5.1 in energy commitments was 14%. On the other hand, in 2.7 2.4 2.3 70 2.6 South Africa commitments to the energy sector decreased by 66.9 2.4 4 %. Commitments to the energy sector in East Africa 3.4 declined substantially, by 42%. 2.8 60 28.6 1.7 ICA member commitments to energy declined from $7.7bn 24.8 in 2016 to 5.8bn in 2017, the lowest level since 2013 when 24.1 33.5 $5.7bn of commitments were reported. Members’ annual 50 20.6 commitments over the eight-years from 2010 to 2017 averaged $7.5bn. Energy commitments from members peaked in 2010, due to large commitments to North Africa 11.2 40 and the Eskom Investment Support Project for South 13.2 9.4 Africa. 7.5 12.2 African state budget allocations to the energy sector 30 increased by 26%, from $4.4bn in 2016 to $5.6bn in 2017. The highest increase was in Southern Africa where allocations doubled from $1.1bn in 2016 to $2.2bn in 2017. 20 Allocations remained reasonably steady in West and East 37.3 34.2 34.0 32.4 Africa and South Africa. In Central Africa, energy sector 26.2 allocations declined by 9%. 10 ICT ICT commitments increased by 37%, from $1.7bn in 2016 to 0 $2.3bn in 2017. The commitments in 2014 and 2015 were 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 $2.3bn and $2.5bn, respectively. ICA member commitments in 2017 amounted to $618m, up 30 Total: from $417m in 2016. This is close to the amount of $600m 25.3 $bn reported in 2015. Over the last eight years and after falling 1.5 0.4 to very low levels in 2011 and 2012, average annual ICA 20 18.8 19.8 18.6 19.7 0.6 0.5 member commitments to ICT infrastructure stand at $392m. 2.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.4 13.0 0.5 5.8 8.6 7.7 Between 2012 and 2016, Chinese average annual funding of 9.2 10 ICT infrastructure amounted to just $339m. In 2017, China 4.6 5.0 3.2 4.7 announced ICT investments of $1.1bn. African state 3.4 6.8 8.1 spending on ICT declined by 33% to $600m in 2017 compared 5.3 3.6 5.0 0 with $894m in 2016. Spending by Central and Southern 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 African governments declined by 70% and 89%, respectively. East Africa allocated 159% more to ICT in 2017 than it did in 32.8 2016 while North and West Africa reported increases in 30 budget allocations of 70% and 25%, respectively. During this 26.3 period, South Africa reported an 11% increase in ICT $bn allocations.n 20 Figure 11 Total infrastructure financing by sector, 2013-2017 10.7 10 Figure 12 ICA member commitments by sector, 2013-2017 (middle) 2.1 3.0 Figure 13 Average annual total infrastructure financing by sector, 2013- 0 2017 (bottom) Transport Water Energy ICT Multi-sector INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 17
2.3 Financing Trends by Region 24,000 $m 22,010 African national governments 3,620 20,000 Private sector Other bilaterals/multilaterals 704 China Total: 530 16,000 15,875 11,474 15,796 Arab Co-ordination Group 6,522 8,382 ICA members 12,242 12,000 6,196 1,137 8,694 8,000 6,694 1,559 6 2,739 51 1,447 6,017 321 2,926 591 795 4,000 1,555 1,307 4,886 528 4,092 58 3,654 156 3,769 n.a. Figure 14 936 94 0 50 0 35 Total 2017 1,855 1,500 0 934 0 0 infrastructure 0 495 0 899 commitments by North West Central East Southern Africa RSA Pan-African region and source Africa Africa Africa Africa excluding RSA Of the $81.6bn total financing commitments to West Africa were little lower than the five-year annual commitments from all sources to substantially reduced. State funding average of $4.4bn. all infrastructure sectors in 2017, fell from $4.9bn in 2016 to $3.6bn in With commitments of $15.9bn, North West Africa accounted for $22bn, 2017. ACG commitments declined Africa reported the highest level of North Africa $15.9bn, East Africa from $1.5bn to $795m in the same commitments since 2014 when it $15.8bn, Southern Africa $12.2bn, period. received commitments of $23.2bn. South Africa $8.7bn and Central West Africa has also experienced a Average annual commitments over Africa $6bn. Intraregional and significant decline in private sector the last four years amount to $16.1bn. pan-African commitments totalled investment to just $704m in 2017. In Investments in 2017 were bolstered $934m. 2013 private investments of $5.4bn by strong private sector interest Central Africa is a concern because it were reported. The private sector backed by DFI support for the Benban witnessed a decline in funding from invested $1.3bn in 2015 and $1.5bn in solar project in Egypt. State spending $7.9bn in 2016 to $6bn in 2017. 2016. of $6.5bn in 2017 was the most the Funding for the region had been on an region has committed in the last five upward trend reaching $8.3bn in 2014 East Africa reported commitments of years. but falling to $4.9bn in 2015. The $15.8bn in 2017, 23% higher than the $12.9bn reported in the previous year Southern Africa’s commitments for decline is attributed mainly to but substantially lower than the five- 2017 of $12.2bn is almost double the reduced budget allocations by the year high of $23.7bn reported in 2013 $6.5bn reported in the previous year. region’s federal governments. when Chinese funding of major But 2016 was a year with West Africa had the highest railway projects in Kenya and exceptionally low commitments. From commitments in 2017 of $22bn, about Ethiopia were announced. Funding 2013 to 2015 commitments averaged 27% of all infrastructure investments from China amounted to $9.3bn in $15.4bn. Over the past five years, in Africa. The region’s leading position state funding has declined 2013 whereas in 2017 the Chinese is largely due to Chinese funding of considerably in the region, from $12bn announced financing of $4.5bn. 11.5bn ($2.3bn in 2016), of which in 2013 to $6.2bn in 2017, although $5.8bn is for the 3,050MW Mambilla State spending in East Africa at the latest figure is an increase on the hydroelectric power project in Nigeria. $8.4bn is the highest in the last five $4.7bn reported in 2016. ICA ICA member funding for the region years during which budget allocations members’ commitments of $3.8bn to amounted to $4.9bn ($4.6bn in 2016). have amounted to between $5.6-7.3bn. the region in 2017 are the strongest in Both state funding and ACG ICA members’ funding of $4bn is a the last five years over which the 18 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
average annual amount committed is 90 North West Central East $2.3bn. ICA members’ commitments Africa Africa Africa Africa T Total: $bn Southern Africa RSA Pan-African amounted to $1.4bn in 2016. 83.3 excluding RSA 81.6 1.6 80 78.9 0.9 In the Republic of South Africa 7.8 75.4 2.2 commitments to infrastructure amounted 8.7 1.4 to $8.7bn. This amount is about the same 4.9 70 11.7 66.9 as the $8.6bn committed in 2016. However, South Africa’s infrastructure 1.4 16.2 12.2 spending is variable compared with other 14.4 8.6 60 regions of Africa. The main reason is that 15.6 it is significantly buoyed by private sector 6.5 investment in years when it holds 50 15.8 successful Renewable Energy Inde- 11.4 23.7 pendent Power Producer Procurement 13.1 (REIPPP) programme auctions. Over the 40 18.8 6.0 last five years, South Africa has recorded 8.3 investments as low as $4.9bn in 2014 7.9 which was followed by $11.7bn in 2015. 30 4.8 The country has also attracted significant 11.7 4.7 22.0 amounts of Chinese funding ($2.2bn in 2015 for example) which in most 20 16.4 21.7 13.6 countries tends to cause a spike in commitments, for instance its above- mentioned multi-billion dollar funding of 10 23.3 Kenyan and Ethiopian railways, 12.9 15.9 12.4 Ethiopia’s Gerbi dam and Nigeria’s 7.5 Mambilla power plant.n 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 30 Figure 15 TTotal: Total infrastructure financing by region, 2013-2017 $bn 25.3 $ 1.4 1.1 20 2.5 18.8 19.8 19.7 18.6 1 0.9 1.1 2.2 1.4 0.5 6.9 1.5 1.7 1.0 3.8 2.0 1.8 1.4 2.0 4.4 4.1 10 2.4 4.7 3.7 1.3 2.2 1.9 8.5 3.4 4.0 4.9 4.6 5.1 4.1 Figure 16 2.4 3.7 3.7 0 ICA member commitments by region, 2013-2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 20172 20 17.1 16.6 $bn 14.4 1 13.0 10 8.3 6.3 1.5 0 Figure 17 North West Central East Southern RSA Pan- P Average annual total infrastructure financing by Africa Africa Africa Africa Africa African excl. RSA region, 2013-2017 INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 19
3. Strategic Trends 3.1 Overview This chapter looks at the Effective institutional arrangements analysis in this chapter deals with the infrastructure financing gap, are needed to expand the number and financing needs and actual amounts which is defined as the difference variety of sources of investment for committed to two RECs. between the amount needed to the infrastructure sector. In this It is important to note that develop Africa’s infrastructure and regard, countries that have created infrastructure development that the amount actually invested in conducive political, regulatory and spreads evenly across the continent is infrastructure development legislative environments have more important than ever if the attracted investors. However, fluc- anticipated African Continental Free Recent estimates have suggested the tuations in levels of financing per Trade Area (AfCFTA) is to be gap ranges from $68bn to $108bn1 (see sector in the past few years suggest successfully established. page 21). As a result, closing this gap that Africa’s infrastructure develop- has, for many years, been given a high Africa’s RECs and RPPs are ment is uneven. priority in many African countries. demonstrating a continental impact. The RECs and Regional Power Pools For example, as discussed in this The objective of this chapter is to shed (RPPs) are playing key roles in chapter, regional projects such as light on the magnitude of Africa’s facilitating the development of the Zambia-Tanzania-Kenya Intercon- infrastructure financing gap, which infrastructure. This is the case with nector have a high potential to can in part be attributed to a shortage their support for PIDA/PAP. As contribute to the development of the of bankable projects rather than a lack expected, these regional bodies also continent’s infrastructure.n of funds for investment. focus on their own regions. The 1 AfDB’s African Economic Outlook, 2018 20 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
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