Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa 2017 - ICA REPORT - 2017 WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG

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Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa 2017 - ICA REPORT - 2017 WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG
Infrastructure Financing
Trends in Africa – 2017

                           ICA REPORT – 2017
                           WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG
Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa 2017 - ICA REPORT - 2017 WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG
© 2018 The Infrastructure Consortium for Africa Secretariat c/o African Development Bank

01 BP 1387, Abidjan 01, Côte d'Ivoire

Disclaimer

This report was written by the ICA Secretariat in collaboration with Cross-border Information. While
care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of the information provided in this report, the authors
make no representation, warranty or covenant with respect to its accuracy or validity.

No responsibility or liability will be accepted by the ICA Secretariat, its employees, associates and/or
consultants for reliance placed upon information contained in this document by any third party.

2 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa 2017 - ICA REPORT - 2017 WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG
Infrastructure Financing
Trends in Africa – 2017

                                      ICA REPORT – 2017
                                      WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG

              INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 3
Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa 2017 - ICA REPORT - 2017 WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG
Acknowledgements

Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa – 2017 is          We express our personal thanks to all those who
the Infrastructure Consortium for Africa’s (ICA’s)           contributed data and insights for the report, including:
annual report on how financial resources are being
mobilised to facilitate the development of the               Clare Barrington, DFID          Ben-Hur Kabengele, AFD
continent’s transport, water and sanitation, energy          Malanda Barthelemy,             Mascha Klein, BMZ
and ICT sectors.                                             AfDB
                                                                                             Poirotte Ludovic, EU-AITF
The ICA’s flagship report was prepared by the ICA            Giovanni Baticci,
                                                             MFA/CDP                         Atadet Azarak Mogro,
Secretariat, consisting of Mike Salawou, ICA Coordinator,
                                                                                             CEEAC
Epifanio Carvalho de Melo and Kouadio Viviane, in            Mathilde Bord-Laurans,
cooperation with Cross-border Information (David Burles,     AFD                             Hellen Chimwemwe
Nick Carn, Mark Ford, Irina Gaubinger, Ivana Richardson,                                     Mwatuwa, AfDB
                                                             Francis Daniel Bougaire,
David Slater, Ajay Ubhi and Daniel Westbury-Haines) who      AfDB                            Ihcen Naceur, AfDB
were commissioned by the ICA Secretariat.                    Gregory Briffa, EIB             Maimuna Nalubega, AfDB
The ICA Secretariat acknowledges and thanks all those        Antonello Carpentieri,          David Niyonsenga,
organisations and people without whose help the              MFA/CDP                         NEPAD
production of this consistent annual monitor of Africa’s     Osward Chanda, AfDB             Fiore Pace, GAC
infrastructure financing and development would not have      Stephan Diefenthal, DEG         Peter Radloff, KfW
been possible. In particular, special thanks to all ICA      Katerina Evzona, DFID
members – the G7: Canada (Chair of ICA), France,                                             Michele Ruiters, DBSA
                                                             Gladys Wambui Gichuri,
Germany, Italy, Japan, UK and the USA; Russia; G20                                           Omar Vajeth, SAPP
                                                             AfDB
member South Africa; and MDBs members including the                                          Anna Waldmann, GIZ
EC, EIB, IFC, WB and the AfDB (the host) for their           Gianluca Grandi,
                                                             MFA/CDP                         Alvino Wildschutt-Prins,
contribution and guidance in preparing this report.
                                                             Etsuko Ito, JICA                DBSA
Institutions contributing to the report include: African                                     Ahid Maeresera, SADC
                                                             Yuki Ito, JBIC
Development Bank (AfDB), Arab Fund for Economic and
Social Development (AFESD), Global Affairs Canada            Jovana Jeftanovic,GIZ           Victoria Zabolotnyi, IFC
(GAC), Development Bank of Southern Africa (DBSA), East
African Development Bank (EADB), Eastern and Southern
African Trade and Development Bank (TDB) Ecowas Bank
For Investment And Development (EBID), European Bank
of Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), EU-Africa
Infrastructure Trust Fund (EU-AITF), European
Investment Bank (EIB), Agence Française de
Développement (AFD) of France, Germany’s Kreditanstalt
für Wiederaufbau (KfW), Deutsche Gesellschaft für
Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) and Deutsche
Investitions- und Entwicklungsgesellschaft (DEG),
International Finance Corporation (IFC), Islamic             Data Analysis, Text and Layout
Development Bank (IDB), Italy’s Cassa Depositi e Prestiti
(CDP) and Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International      Cross-border Information
Cooperation, Export–Import Bank of India, Japan Bank for     www.crossborderinformation.com
International Co-operation (JBIC), Japan International Co-
operation Agency (JICA), OPEC Fund for International         Graphics and Maps
Development (OFID), the UK’s Department for
                                                             David Burles
International Development (DFID), and the World Bank.

In particular, we also thank those Regional Economic         Photos
Communities (RECs) and Regional Power Pools (RPPs) that
                                                             iStock/Getty Images: Pages 6, 20, 24, 28, 49, 54, 60, 62, 64,
responded to our request for data to inform this report,
                                                             68, 70.
namely Central African Economic and Monetary
Community (CEMAC), East African Community (EAC),             Shutterstock: Pages 72,74, 76
Southern African Development Community (SADC) and
Southern African Power Pool (SAPP).                          EBRD/Dermot Doorly: Page 58

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Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa 2017 - ICA REPORT - 2017 WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG
Contents

Introduction                                         6   5.4 Non-ICA European Sources                        58
                                                         5.5 Other Sources of Financing                      60
About Us                                             6
                                                         5.6 Regional Development Banks                      63
Foreword                                             7
Definitions and Acronyms                             8
List of Graphics and Maps                           10   6. Private Sector                                  64
                                                         6.1 Private Sector Engagement with the Public Sector 64

1. The Big Picture                                  11
1.1 Key Messages and Findings                       12   7. Sectoral Analysis                               68
                                                         7.1 Overview                                        68

2. Financing Trends                                 14   7.2 Transport                                       70
                                                         7.3 Water and Sanitation                            72
2.1 Who is Financing Africa’s Infrastructure        14
                                                         7.4 Energy                                          74
2.2 Financing Trends by Sector                      16
                                                         7.5 ICT                                             76
2.3 Financing Trends by Region                      18

                                                         8. Regional Analysis                               78
3. Strategic Trends                                20
                                                         8.1 North Africa                                    78
3.1 Overview                                        20
                                                         8.2 West Africa                                     79
3.2 Infrastructure Financing Gap                    21
                                                         8.3 Central Africa                                  80
3.3 Intra-African Free Trade                        24
                                                         8.5 East Africa                                     81
3.4 Regional Cooperation                            25
                                                         8.6 Southern Africa                                 82
3.5 Regional Economic Communities and Power Pools 26
                                                         8.7 Republic of South Africa                        83

4. ICA Member Financing                            28    Annexes                                            84
4.1 Overview                                        28
4.2 Types of Funding                                30
4.3 Hard vs Soft Infrastructure                     32
4.4 Trends in Commitments and Disbursements         33
4.5 Projects Completed                              37
4.6 Disbursement Rates                              38
4.7 Trends in Regional Infrastructure Portfolios    39
4.8 PIDA/PAP Commitments, Disbursements & Trends 40
4.9 Country Allocations                             42
4.10 ICA Member Activities                          43

5. Other Public Sources of Financing               48
5.1 African State Spending on Infrastructure        48
5.2 China                                           54
5.3 Arab Co-ordination Group                        56

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Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa 2017 - ICA REPORT - 2017 WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG
About the ICA

The Infrastructure Consortium           South Africa joined the ICA as the first   objectives of the ICA can be broadly
for Africa (ICA) was launched at        G20 country non-G8, and first African      defined as follows:
the G8 Gleneagles summit in 2005.       country member of the ICA.
                                                                                   • Increase the amount of finance
The membership is the G8
                                        The ICA is a major initiative to           going to sustainable infrastructure in
countries, the Republic of South
                                        accelerate progress to meet the urgent     Africa from public and private sources;
Africa, the World Bank Group
(WBG), the African Development          infrastructure needs of Africa in
                                                                                   • Facilitate greater co-operation
Bank Group (AfDB), the European         support of economic growth and
                                                                                   between members of ICA and other
Commission (EC), the European           development. It addresses both
                                                                                   important sources of finance including
Investment Bank (EIB) and the           national and regional constraints to
                                                                                   African stakeholders, China, India,
Development Bank of Southern            infrastructure development with an
                                                                                   Arab Funds and the private sector;
Africa (DBSA).                          emphasis on regional infrastructure,
                                        recognising the challenges at this         • Highlight and help remove policy
African institutions such as the        scale.                                     and technical blockages and progress;
African Union (AU), the New
Partnership for Africa’s Development    The Consortium is intended to make         • Increase knowledge of the sector
(NEPAD) and the Regional Economic       its members more effective at              through monitoring and reporting on
Communities (RECs) all participate as   supporting infrastructure by pooling       the key trends and developments.
observers in the meetings of the        efforts in selected areas such as
                                                                                   Increasingly, the ICA is working to
consortium. AfDB has hosted the         information sharing, project develop-
                                                                                   improve the co-ordination of activities
Secretariat of the ICA since its        ment and good practices.
                                                                                   among members, and with other
inception in 2006.
                                        Although ICA is not a financing            significant sources of infrastructure
At the May 2011 Annual meeting of       agency, the consortium acts as a           finance, including China, India, Arab
the Consortium, the decision was        platform to broker more financing of       and Islamic financiers, African
made to enlarge ICA membership          infrastructure     projects     and        regional development banks and the
from G8 to G20. In November 2013,       programmes in Africa. The main             private sector.

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Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa 2017 - ICA REPORT - 2017 WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG
Foreword

We have the pleasure of presenting to you the ninth                continent and will be an essential component of the North-
edition of the ICA annual report, Infrastructure                   South (Cape to Cairo) power transmission corridor.
Financing Trends in Africa, 2017. Over the years the
                                                                   Mobilising funds for infrastructure is critical, and this report
report has become an important document for
                                                                   shows a high level of interest in new types of funding. In
presenting in a consistent manner how finance is
                                                                   particular, the report recognises the demand for blended
being mobilised to develop infrastructure across the
                                                                   finance, in which concessional finance seeks to leverage non-
energy, ICT, transport, and water and sanitation
                                                                   concessional finance. Infrastructure Financing Trends in
sectors. It also identifies emerging trends on how
                                                                   Africa, 2017 also reports for the second year that
resources are mobilised effectively to accelerate
                                                                   organisations are increasingly deploying development
Africa’s infrastructure development.
                                                                   capital. This is important because it is not a grant, rather it
One of the important issues addressed in this year’s report        creates an asset for the investor and can provide modest
is the amount African states spend on infrastructure. Such         financial returns alongside significant development impacts.
spending is analysed not only at a national level, but also
at a subnational level – where it can be identified that           This year’s report provides examples of how finance has
spending has not been accounted for in federal or national         been mobilised for bankable projects likely to have a
budgets. It is important to note that more work is required        significant development impact. One example is the
to develop methodologies that adequately capture spending          Benban solar park project in Egypt, which shows how a
by state institutions and subnational governments and              mixture of public and private sector finance can be
ensure that double counting is avoided.                            mobilised    by    establishing   sound    institutional
                                                                   arrangements to produce 23 bankable projects.
Another persistent issue is Africa’s infrastructure financing
gap and it is encouraging to see ICA’s own research on             Challenges for Africa’s infrastructure remain. More
financing trends contributing to this debate. This year’s          bankable projects will be needed to both attract new and
report examines the extent to which the lack of investment in      retain existing financiers to help close Africa’s
infrastructure is a matter of limited bankable projects            infrastructure financing gap. We hope that more
relative to the availability of financial resources.               institutions will join the cohort of financiers who address
Stakeholders interviewed for this report suggest that there        the challenges involved, from project preparation to
are enough funds for Africa’s infrastructure development.          capacity building, and see opportunities and benefits in
The challenge, however, is creating more bankable projects.        financing Africa’s infrastructure.
Other stakeholders maintain the financing gap remains for          It is encouraging to see that new financing techniques are
bankable projects.
                                                                   being developed. The challenge is to continue expanding
Africa is embarking on a journey to create a continental free      the range of financial instruments available and
trade area that must fully embrace the need to develop its         integrating offerings such as blended finance and
infrastructure. The African Continental Free Trade Area has        development capital with conventional instruments such
the potential to transform the continent. But infrastructure       as grants and loans that will continue to play a role in
is needed to ensure deeper and broader regional integration,       infrastructure financing.
add value to its resources and catalyse growth in intra-
                                                                   We hope this report will help broaden the range of
African trade. This is particularly important if Africa is to
                                                                   stakeholders and increase the range of financing
realise its potential in sectors where growth prospects are
                                                                   techniques used in Africa’s infrastructure development. We
brightest, such as agriculture and food, industry and services.
                                                                   also hope Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa, 2017
Regional infrastructure projects must play a key role in
                                                                   will help stakeholders address the challenge of establishing
promoting equitable and sustainable growth.
                                                                   sound institutional arrangements that provide the right
This report highlights some notable achievements in Africa’s       conditions for public and private sector actors to participate
infrastructure sector. It shows how regional infrastructure        in the development of projects. Finally, we hope this report
projects can have the continental impact needed for a fully        will help mobilise more finance for Africa’s infrastructure
functioning free trade area. A good example is the Zambia-         development.
Tanzania-Kenya Interconnector project which is one of the
                                                                   Pierre Guislain, Vice President, Private sector, industry
Programme for Infrastructure Development in Africa
                                                                   and infrastructure, AfDB
Priority Action Plan projects and programmes. Beyond the
regional benefits, the project will connect the southern and       Amadou Oumarou, Director Infrastructure and Urban
eastern African power pools and enhance inter-regional             development, AfDB
electricity trading by interconnecting the two pools’ grids. The   Mike Salawou, Manager Infrastructure Partnerships and
project is expected to create the largest power pool on the        ICA Coordinator

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Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa 2017 - ICA REPORT - 2017 WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG
Definitions and Acronyms

Budget Data                               includes feasibility testing and            Ethiopia, Kenya, Seychelles, Somalia,
                                          financial and legal structuring, as well    South Sudan, Sudan, Tanzania,
Budget allocations: Total approved        as raising capital.                         Uganda.
government budget for the respective
                                                                                      Southern Africa excluding RSA:
item.                                     Funding
                                                                                      Angola, Botswana, Comoros, Lesotho,
Total infrastructure budget: Sum          Commitments:         Direct   funds         Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius,
of energy, water and sanitation,          approved in a given year to projects        Mozambique, Namibia, Swaziland,
transport, and ICT budget allocations.    over their lifetime.                        Zambia, Zimbabwe.
Where available, significant multi-
sector or other infrastructure            Disbursements: Money outflow                RSA: Republic of South Africa.
allocations are indicated separately.     going to infrastructure projects during
                                          a given year.                               Regional Development
ICA Members                               ODA – official development                  Banks
                                          Assistance: Grant or loan with public
AfDB, DBSA, EC, EIB, G7 countries                                                     Central African States Development
                                          concessional modalities administered
and Russia, Republic of South Africa                                                  Bank (CASDB), DBSA (an ICA
                                          by donor government agencies.
and the World Bank Group. In 2011                                                     member), EBID, EADB, West African
all G20 countries were invited to join    Non ODA: Non-concessional funding           Development Bank (BOAD).
the ICA. The AU Commission,               from public or private sources.
NEPAD Secretariat and Regional            Regional project: Projects with
                                                                                      Sector
Economic Communities participate          direct beneficiaries in more than one       Transport: Airports, ports, rail, road.
as observers at ICA meetings.             country. These can either be cross-
                                          border projects or other regional           Energy: Generation, transmission
Infrastructure                            integration projects involving a            and distribution of electricity and gas
                                          minimum of two countries or national        (including pipelines, and associated
Total infrastructure budget: Sum
                                          projects.                                   infrastructure).
of energy, water and sanitation,
transport, ICT, and multi-sector
infrastructure budget allocations.
                                          Location                                    Water and sanitation: Sanitation,
                                                                                      irrigation, (trans-boundary) water
Hard infrastructure:          Physical    North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya,
                                                                                      resource infrastructure, water supply,
infrastructure.                           Mauritania, Morocco, Tunisia.
                                                                                      waste (solid & liquid) treatment
                                          West Africa: Benin, Burkina Faso,           and management.
Soft infrastructure: Measures to
                                          Cape Verde, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea,
support or accompany the production                                                   ICT: Information and communication
                                          Guinea Bissau, Côte d’Ivoire, Liberia,
of physical infrastructure outputs,                                                   technology, including broadband,
                                          Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra
including      research,    enabling                                                  mobile network, satellite.
                                          Leone, Togo.
legislation, project preparation and
capacity building.                        Central Africa: Burundi, Cameroon,          Multi-sector: Not sector-specific or
                                          Central African Republic (CAR),             cross-cutting projects. This could
Project      preparation:          The                                                include implementation of a PPP unit
                                          Chad, Congo, Democratic Republic of
undertaking of all project preparation                                                or capacity building programmes.
                                          Congo (DRC), Equatorial Guinea,
cycles or development activities
                                          Gabon, Rwanda, São Tomé and
necessary to take an infrastructure                                                   Unallocated: Commitments which
                                          Príncipe (STP).
project from identification through                                                   cover multiple ICA sectors but which
concept design to financial close. This   East    Africa:     Djibouti,    Eritrea,   are unable to be accurately allocated.

Acronyms                                  AfDB – African Development Bank             AKFED – Aga Khan Fund for Economic
                                                                                      Development
ACG – Arab Co-ordination Group            AFESD – Arab Fund for Economic and
                                          Social Development                          AU – African Union
ADFD – Abu Dhabi Fund for Development
                                          AfIF – EU-Africa Investment Facility        BADEA – Banque Arabe pour le
AfCFTA – Africa Continental Free Trade                                                Développement Economique en Afrique
Area                                      AICS – Italian Development Cooperation
                                          Agency                                      BMZ – Germany’s Federal Ministry of
AFD – Agence Française de                                                             Economic Cooperation and
Développement                             AIP – EU’s Africa Infrastructure Platform   Development

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BOAD – Banque Oueste Africaine de          G20 – Argentina, Australia, Brazil,          OFID – OPEC Fund for International
Développement                              Canada, China, EU, France, Germany,          Development
                                           India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico,
CADFund – China-Africa Development
                                           Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa,          OMVG – Organisation pour la Mise en
Fund
                                           Turkey, UK and US                            Valeur du Fleuve Gambie
CDP – Italy’s Cassa Depositi e Prestiti
                                           G8 – Canada, France, Germany, Italy,         PIDA – Programme for Infrastructure
CGC – China Geo-Engineering                Japan, Russia, UK and US
                                                                                        Development in Africa
Corporation
                                           GFI – Global Financial Integrity
CGGC – China Gezhouba Group                                                             PIDA/PAP – PIDA Priority Action Plan
Corporation                                GIZ – Deutsche Gesellschaft für
                                           Internationale Zusammenarbeit                PPA – power purchase agreement
COIDIC – China Overseas Infrastructure
Development and Investment                 HFO – heavy fuel oil                         PPDF – SADC Project Preparation and
Corporation                                ICA – Infrastructure Consortium for          Development Facility

Comesa – Common Market for Eastern         Africa
                                                                                        PPI – World Bank’s Private Participation
and Southern Africa                        ICD – Islamic Corporation for the            in Infrastructure
CRBC – China Road and Bridge               Development of the Private Sector
                                                                                        PPP – public-private partnerships
corporation                                IDA – International Development
CSP – concentrated solar power             Association                                  PV – photovoltaic

DBSA – Development Bank of Southern        IDB – Islamic Development Bank               rAREH – responsAbiity Renewable
Africa                                     IFC – International Finance Corporation      Energy Holding
DEG – Deutsche Investitions- und
                                           IFU – Denmark’s DFI                          RBD – regional development bank
Entwicklungsgesellschaft
                                           IPP – independent power producer             REC – Regional Economic Community
DFI – Development finance institutions
                                           JBIC – Japan Bank for International Co-
DFIC –Development Finance Institute                                                     REIPPP – South Africa’s Renewable
                                           operation
Canada                                                                                  Energy Independent Power Producer
                                           JICA – Japan International Co-operation      Procurement programme
DFID – UK’s Department for International
                                           Agency
Development
                                                                                        RIPDM – SADC Regional Infrastructure
                                           KFAED – Kuwait Fund for Arab Economic
DRC – Democratic Republic of Congo                                                      Development Master Plan
                                           Development
EAC – East African Community                                                            RPP – regional Power Pool
                                           KfW – Germany’s development bank
EAIF – Emerging Africa Infrastructure
                                           LPG – liquefied petroleum gas                RSA – Republic of South Africa
Fund
EAPP – Eastern Africa Power Pool           MAECI – Italy’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs   SADC – Southern African Development
                                           and International Co-operation               Community
EBID – Ecowas Bank for Investment and
Development                                MCC – US’ Millenium Challenge
                                                                                        SBM – State Bank of Mauritius
                                           Corporation
EBRD – European Bank for
                                           MENA – Middle East and North Africa          SFD – Saudi Fund for Development
Reconstruction and Development
EC – European Commission                   MIGA – Multilateral Investment               SGR – standard gauge railway
                                           Guarantee Agency
Ecowas – Economic Community of West                                                     SNCFT – Société Nationale des Chemins
African States                             NDB – BRICS’ New Development Bank            de Fer Tunisiens
EDC – Canada’s Export Development          NEPAD – New Partnership for Africa’s
                                                                                        TDB – Trade and Development Bank
Corporation                                Development

                                           NEPAD-IPPF – NEPAD Infrastructure            TTA – DFID Tripartite Trust Account
EGAS – Egyptian Natural Gas Holding
Company                                    Project Preparation Facility
                                                                                        UNECA – United Nations Economic
EIB – European Investment Bank             NIPP – National Integrated Power Project     Commission for Africa

ENH – Mozambique's Empresa Nacional        NPCA – NEPAD Planning and Co-                WBG – World Bank Group
de Hidrocarbonetos                         ordinating Agency
                                                                                        YMI – Yapi Merkezi Insaat ve Sanayi
EU – European Union                        ODA – official development assistance

                                           OECD – Organisation for Economic Co-         ZPC – Zimbabwe Power Company
EU-AITF – EU-Africa Infrastructure Trust
Fund                                       operation and Development                    ZTK – Zambia-Tanzania-Kenya power
FMO – Netherlands’ DFI                     OeEB – Austria’s development bank            transmission interconnector

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Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa 2017 - ICA REPORT - 2017 WWW.ICAFRICA.ORG
Graphics and Maps

Figure 1: ICA member commitments & disbursements, 2013-17         12   Figure 45: Allocations to infrastructure in national budgets,
Figure 2: Infrastructure commitment trends by source, 2013-17 12       2017, as percentage of GDP                                       51
Figure 3: Infrastructure commitment trends by sector, 2013-17 12       Figure 46: Percentage of infrastructure allocations in
Figure 4: Total infrastructure financing in 2017 by source        13   national budgets by sector and region, 2017                      51
                                                                       Figure 47: Total 2017 infrastructure capital expenditure
Figure 5: Total infrastructure financing in 2016 by region        13
                                                                       allocations in national government budgets, by sector            51
Figure 6: Total infrastructure financing in 2017 by sector        13
                                                                       Figure 48: Chinese commitments by sector, 2012-17                54
Figure 7: Reported and identified financing flows into Africa’s
                                                                       Figure 49: Chinese commitments by region, 2012-17                55
infrastructure, 2017                                              14
                                                                       Figure 50: ACG commitments by sector and region, 2013-17         56
Figure 8: Sources of finance 2017, public external and private    15
Figure 9: Infrastructure commitments by sector & region, 2017 15       Figure 51: ACG commitments, by member, 2013-17                   57

Figure 10: Infrastructure commitments by sector & source, 2017 16      Figure 52: Non-ICA European commitments by source, 2017          58
Figure 11: Total infrastructure financing by sector, 2013-17      17   Figure 53: Non-ICA European commitments by sector, 2017          59
Figure 12: ICA member commitments by sector, 2013-17              17   Figure 54: Non-ICA European commitment by region, 2017           59
Figure 13: Average annual total infrastructure financing               Figure 55: Indian commitments by sector, 2013-17                 61
by sector, 2013-2017                                              17   Figure 56: BOAD commitments by sector, 2017                      63
Figure 14: 2017 infrastructure commitments by region & source     18   Figure 57: EBID commitments by sector, 2017                      63
Figure 15: Total infrastructure financing by region, 2013-17      19   Figure 58: TDB commitments by sector, 2017                       63
Figure 16: ICA member commitments by region, 2013-17              19   Figure 59: PPI Project Database trends, 2013-17                  64
Figure 17: Average annual total infrastructure financing               Figure 60: Private sector financing by sector, 2017              64
by region, 2013-17                                                19
                                                                       Figure 61: Private sector financing by region, 2017              64
Figure 18: Infrastructure financing needs by sector               21
                                                                       Figure 62: Total financing by sector and source, 2017            69
Figure 19: Average annual commitments by sector 2012-17           21
                                                                       Figure 63: Total transport sector financing by source, 2013-17   71
Figure 20: ZTK Interconnector and regional power pools            25
                                                                       Figure 64: Total transport sector financing by region, 2016      70
Figure 21: Implementation status of EAC priority projects         26
                                                                       Figure 65: Total transport sector financing by region, 2017      71
Figure 22: ICA member 2017 commitments by sector                  28
                                                                       Figure 66: Transport sector financing by type of funding, 2017 71
Figure 23: ICA member 2017 commitments by region                  28
                                                                       Figure 67: Transport financing by sub-sector, 2017               71
Figure 24: ICA member 2017 commitments by type of funding         30
                                                                       Figure 68: Total water sector financing by source, 2013-17       73
Figure 25: ICA member 2017 hard/soft/project preparation
infrastructure commitments                                        32   Figure 69: Total water sector financing by region, 2016          72
Figure 26: ICA member 2017 hard/soft/project preparation               Figure 70: Total water sector financing by region, 2017          73
infrastructure disbursements                                      32   Figure 71: Water sector financing by type of funding, 2017       73
Figure 27: ICA member commitments by sector, 2010-17              33   Figure 72: Water financing by sub-sector, 2017                   73
Figure 28: ICA member commitments by region, 2010-17              33   Figure 73: Total energy sector financing by source, 2013-17      75
Figure 29: ICA member 2017 commitments by donor & region          34   Figure 74: Total energy sector financing by region, 2016         74
Figure 30: ICA member 2017 disbursements by donor & region        34   Figure 75: Total energy sector financing by region, 2017         75
Figure 31: ICA member 2017 commitments by sector & region 35           Figure 76: Energy sector financing by type of funding, 2017      75
Figure 32: ICA member 2017 disbursements by sector & region 35         Figure 77: Energy financing by sub-sector, 2017                  75
Figure 33: ICA member disbursements by sector, 2013-17            35   Figure 78: Total ICT sector financing by source, 2013-17         77
Figure: 34: ICA member supported projects completed                    Figure 79: ICT energy sector financing by region, 2016           76
in 2017 – commitments and disbursements                           37
                                                                       Figure 80: Total ICT sector financing by region, 2017            77
Figure 35: ICA member supported projects completed
in 2017 – breakdown by sector                                     37   Figure 81: ICT sector financing by type of funding, 2017         77

Figure 36: ICA member supported projects completed                     Figure 82: ICT financing by sub-sector, 2017                     77
in 2017 – breakdown by region                                     37   Figure 83: Financing to North Africa by sector & source, 2017 78
Figure 37: Disbursement rates per sector for selected ICA              Figure 84: Trends in North Africa financing by source, 2013-17   78
member projects completed in 2017                                 38   Figure 85: Financing to West Africa by sector & source, 2017     79
Figure 38: Trends in regional infrastructure portfolios, 2010-17 39    Figure 86: Trends in West Africa financing by source, 2013-17    79
Figure 39: Specified ICA member commitments to PIDA projects 41        Figure 87: Financing to Central Africa by sector & source, 2017 80
Figure 40: ICA member reported country-level                           Figure 88: Trends in Central Africa financing by source, 2013-17 80
commitments by region, 2017                                       42
                                                                       Figure 89: Financing to East Africa by sector & source, 2017     81
Figure 41: ICA member reported 2017 country-level
commitments, $ spend per capita and as percentage of GDP          42   Figure 90: Trends in East Africa financing by source, 2013-17    81

Figure 42: Government budget allocations by sector, 2013-17       49   Figure 91: Financing to Southern Africa by sector & source, 2017 82

Figure 43: Government budget allocations by region, 2017          49   Figure 92:Trends in Southern Africa financing by source, 2013-17 82
Figure 44: Allocations to infrastructure in national budgets, 2017,    Figure 93: Financing to RSA by sector and source, 2017           83
by $ per capita                                                        Figure 94: Trends in RSA financing by source, 2013-2017          83

10 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
1. The Big Picture 2017

                   Total funding reached $81.6bn in 2017

 Funding increased by 22%                                                                                              It came from
                   Ð11%
                                          6%
                                                                                  22%
                                                               Ð21%

                                                                                                                                           ICA members
                                                                                                                                             $19.7bn
                                                                                                                                              (24.1%)
                                                                                                         African national
                                                                                                          governments
                                                                                                             $34.3bn                          Arab Co-ordination
                                                                                                              (42.1%)                        Group $3.0bn (3.7%)

                                                                                                                                              China
                                                                                                                                             $19.4bn
                                                                                                                        Private
                                                                                                                                             (23.8%)
                                                                  2016: $66.9bn

                                                                                                                        sector
   2013: $83.3bn

                          2014: $75.4bn

                                               2015: $78.9bn

                                                                                        2017: $81.6bn

                                                                                                                        $2.3bn
                                                                                                                        (2.8%)

                                                                                                                       Other bilaterals/
                                                                                                                         multilaterals
                                                                                                                        $2.9bn (3.5%)

                   And these sectors                                                                       Went to these regions

                                                                                                                           North Africa
Transport $34.0bn (41.7%)                                                                                                   $15.9bn
                                                                                                                             (19.5%)

Water $13.2bn (16.2%)

                                                                                                         West Africa               Central
                                                                                                          $22.0bn                   Africa
Energy $24.8bn (30.4%)                                                                                    (27.0%)                                  East Africa
                                                                                                                                   $6.0bn           $15.8bn
                                                                                                                                   (7.4%)           (19.4%)

ICT $2.3bn (2.8%)
                                                                                                                                  Southern Africa
                                                                                                                                  excluding RSA
                                                                                                                                  $12.2bn (15.0%)
Multi-sector $5.1bn (6.3%)                                                                                 Pan-African
                                                                                                          $0.9bn (1.1%)
                                                                                                                                       RSA
                                                                                                                                     $8.7bn
Unallocated $2.2bn (2.7%)
                                                                                                                                     (10.7%)

                                                                                                INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 11
1.1 Key Messages and Findings

                                                                                             African national governments                          Other/unallocated
Overall commitments to Africa’s
infrastructure from all sources                                                              Private sector                                        Multi-sector

increased to $81.6bn in 2017 from                                                            Other bilaterals/multilaterals                        ICT

$66.9bn in 20161. Though fewer                                                               China                                                 Energy
                                                                              90                                                     90
ICA members reported data this                                                               Arab Co-ordination Group                              Water
year than in the past, this is                                                               ICA members                                           Transport
                                                                              $bn                                                    $bn
the highest level of directly com-                                                  Total: 83.3                                            Total: 83.3
parable commitments report-ed                                                       30.5                                      81.6          2.0                              81.6
                                                                              80                                              34.3   80                                       2.2
since 2010.                                                                                            78.9                                 2.3             78.9
                                                                                                        24.0                                1.9                1.0            5.1
                                                                                             75.4                                                  75.4        2.2
                                                                                                                                           28.6
Factors driving the higher                                                                    9.1                                                   2.7        2.4
                                                                                                                                                                             2.3
commitments include a $13bn                                                                         8.4 domestic
                                                                                                                                                    2.6
                                                                                                                                                            33.5
                                                                                                    bond issue
                                                                              70                                                     70                                      24.8
increase in identified Chinese                                                                      0.7 sub-national
                                                                                                                                                    2.4
                                                                                                    financing
investments from $6.4bn to $19.4bn,                                                                                66.9                                              66.9
                                                                                                                                                    24.1
                                                                                                                       30.7                                            3.4
and a $3.7bn increase in African                                                             34.5

national and subnational government                                                                                                                                    2.8
                                                                              60                                                     60
spending from $30.7bn to $34.4bn.                                                                                                                                     1.7
                                                                                                                                                                     20.6

According to the World Bank’s Private
                                                                                                         7.4
Participation in Infrastructure (PPI)
                                                                                     8.8
Project Database, the value of                                                50                                                     50

projects with private sector                                                                                                                11.2
                                                                                                         2.4                  2.3                                            13.2
participation reaching financial                                                                        20.9                  2.9
close in 2017 totalled $5.2bn, an                                                    2.0                                                            9.4
                                                                              40     13.4                                     19.4   40
increase from the $3.6bn reported in                                                                                                                           7.5
2016. Of this, $2.3bn (44.8%) was                                                                                                                                    12.2
                                                                                                                                            37.3
                                                                                                                       2.6
privately financed.
                                                                                                                        3.1                        34.2                      34.0
                                                                              30                                                     30                     32.4
Commitments from ICA members                                                                  2.9
                                                                                                                       6.4
to Programme for Infrastructure                                                      3.3      3.5

Development in Africa Priority                                                       25.3     3.1
                                                                                                                                                                     26.2
                                                                                                         4.4           5.5
Action Plan (PIDA/PAP) projects                                                      7.0                                      3.0
                                                                              20              3.4                                    20
                                                                                    Power
amounted to $2.8bn, one-third                                                       Africa               19.8                 19.7
higher than the $2.1bn committed to                                                          18.8                      18.6

PIDA from all sources in 2016.

ICA members committed $19.7bn                                                 10                                                     10
to African infrastructure projects

      ICA commitments (annual average: $20.4bn)
                                                                              0                                                      0
      ICA disbursements (annual average: $12.3bn)
                                                                                    2013     2014       2015           2016   2017         2013    2014     2015     2016    2017
      25.3

25                                                                            Figure 2                                               Figure 3
$bn          7.0                                                              Infrastructure commitment trends by                    Infrastructure commitment trends by
             Power                                                            source, 2013-2017                                      sector, 2013-2017
                                    19.8

                                                                19.7

20           Africa
                      18.8

                                                  18.6

                                                                              in 2017, an increase of 5% from the                    been adjusted to include identified
15                                                                            $18.6bn reported in 2016. This                         subnational spending.
                                                         13.4
                             13.0

                                                                              represents one of the highest
                                           12.6

                                                                                                                                     Commitments         from    non-ICA
             11.3

                                                                       10.9

                                                                              commitments since the ICA began
10
                                                                              collecting data in 2010, only slightly                 member bilaterals and multi-
                                                                              below the 2015 high of $19.8bn.                        laterals (excluding China) to
5                                                                                                                                    African infrastructure projects
                                                                              African state spending on infra-
                                                                                                                                     reached $5.8bn in 2017. Of this, the
                                                                              structure, which for the first
0                                                                                                                                    Arab Coordination Group (ACG)
                                                                              time includes subnational state
      2013            2014          2015          2016          2017
                                                                              spending, where it can be identified,                  committed $3bn compared with the
Figure 1
                                                                              increased from $30.7bn in 2016 to                      $3.8bn and $4.4m recorded in 2016 and
ICA members’ commitments and
disbursements, 2013-2017                                                      $34.4bn in 2017. Data for 2016 have                    2015, respectively.

12 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
India committed just over $700m                  Soft infrastructure commitments                   recent years, this is likely to
to infrastructure projects in 2017,              declined to $1.5bn in 2017 from                   underestimate the average annual
the highest level since 2013. However,           $1.7bn in the previous year.                      amount committed to Africa’s infra-
this is down from the high amount of             Although this is higher than the                  structure over recent years. Analysis in
$1.2bn committed in 2016. Identified             $1.3bn reported in 2015, it remains               this report shows average commit-
commitments made by South Korea in               below the $2.3bn and $1.8bn reported              ments over the last six years of $77bn,
2017 stood at $10m compared with                 in 2014 and 2013, respectively. ICA               suggesting an annual financing gap
$432m in 2016, but this was a                    member commitments made to project                over the period 2012-17 in the
significantly high figure compared               preparation fell from $245m in 2016 to            $53bn-$93bn range.
with previous years.                             $120m in 2017. After recovering to
                                                                                                   The infrastructure financing gap
                                                 $1.4bn in 2016, soft infrastructure
With commitments of $34bn, the                                                                     is certainly wider in some sectors
                                                 disbursements declined to $717m.
transport sector continued to be                                                                   than others. In this regard, the water
the largest beneficiary of infra-                ICA members disbursed $10.9bn in                  sector is a source of concern, with an
structure commitments in 2017 by                 2017, below the 2011-2016 average                 81-84% shortfall in its annual
a significant margin. Financing of               which ranges between $11.4bn-13.4bn.              financing requirement. But the
transport infrastructure was equal to            Consistent with reporting in previous             transport sector is short of its
                                                 years, the majority of disbursements in           financing requirement by only 8%.
41.7% of all funding. As with previous
                                                 2017 were directed towards the energy             This gap is considered very low.
years, most of the $20.1bn was
provided by African national or                  sector (44%).
                                                                                                   Public and private stakeholders
subnational governments. The energy              Recent estimates by the AfDB                      consulted in the preparation of
sector, which recorded $24.8bn of                published in its African Economic                 this report said the main reasons
investments in 2017, accounted for               Outlook, 2018 suggest that Africa’s               for Africa’s infrastructure deficit
30.4% of the total. The water sector             annual    infrastructure financing                centre not on a lack of funds but a
accounted for $13.2bn (16.2%), followed          requirements amount to $130bn–                    lack of bankable projects. As noted
by multi-sector investments, which               $170bn with a gap in the range of                 in previous years, countries with sound
registered $5.1bn (6.3%).                        $68bn–$108bn.                                     institutional    arrangements       are
                                                                                                   attracting public and private sector
Official development assistance                  Data analysed for Infrastructure                  finance.     Subsectors      attracting
(ODA) financing accounted for                    Financing Trends in Africa, 2017                  investment include renewable energy
62% of all ICA member commit-                    suggests a slightly narrower                      generation, ports and maritime
ments and non-ODA financing                      financing gap than that in the                    activities and mobile telephony. n
accounted for 25%. ICA members                   African Economic Outlook, 2018.
were unable to provide data on the               The latter is based on total
remaining 13%. About two-thirds of               commitments of $62.5bn as stated in
member disbursements in 2017 were                Infrastructure Financing Trends in
from ODA sources, with the remaining             Africa, 2016. Given that commitments          1
                                                                                                Due to new data, the 2016 figure of $62.5bn
third being non-ODA.                             reported in 2016 were the lowest in           has been restated in this report as $66.9bn.

                                                                   Pan-African                 Multi-sector    Unallocated
                                                                     $0.9bn                    $5.1bn (6.3%)     $2.2bn
                                                                RSA (1.1%)                                       (2.7%)
                                                              $8.7bn                           ICT
                                                                            North Africa       $2.3bn (2.8%)
                         ICA members                          (10.7%)
                                                                               $15.9bn
                           $19.7bn                                             (19.5%)
                            (24.1%)              Southern Africa
African national                                 excluding RSA                                                                 Transport
 governments                         Arab        $12.2bn (15.0%)                                                               $34.0bn
    $34.3bn          Total:      Co-ordination                        Total:                          Energy      Total:        (41.7%)
     (42.1%)        $81.6bn         Group                            $81.6bn                         $24.8bn     $81.6bn
                                 $3.0bn (3.7%)                                                       (30.4%)
                                                                                 West Africa
                                                       East Africa                $22.0bn
                               China                    $15.8bn                   (27.0%)
Private sector                $19.4bn                   (19.4%)
$2.3bn (2.8%)                 (23.8%)                                 Central                                       Water
Other bilaterals/                                                      Africa                                      $13.2bn
multilaterals                                                         $6.0bn                                       (16.2%)
$2.9bn (3.5%)                                                         (7.4%)

Figure 4                                         Figure 5                                      Figure 6
Total infrastructure financing in 2017           Total infrastructure financing in 2016        Total infrastructure financing in 2017
by source                                        by region                                     by sector

                                                                INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 13
2. Financing Trends

                               Europe                                                        Arab Co-ordination Group
 EC    EU-AITF France Germany UK                    Italy   Non-ICA      AFESD          IDB     KFAED    ADFD      OFID         BADEA      SFD

  0            39      2,123      838         623      89        1,604          1,043     597      500     449          181         119      97

$m
ICA members
are shown in                                                                                                                       Asia
orange type
                                                                                                            19,403                 China
 The Americas
                        292
          US
                                                                                                                2,361             Japan
                         19
      Canada                                                                                                    704
                                                                                                                                   India
                                                                                                                 10
                                                                                                                               South Korea

                                                                                                                              African national
                                                                                                            34,345                                Figure 7
                                                                                                                               governments
                                                                                                                                                  Reported and
  3,364        6,993          1,889     523             497        453     74           14                                                        identified
                                                                                                                                                  financing flows
  AfDB World Bank EIB                 IFC           DBSA        BOAD     TDB        EBID                                                          into Africa’s
                                                                                                            2,324                                 infrastructure,
Multilateral development banks                      Regional development banks                                                 Private sector
                                                                                                                                                  2017

2.1 Who is Financing Africa’s Infrastructure
A total of $81.6bn was committed to                           contribution of $7bn to 2013 figures,                     this decline is lower investments from
Africa’s infrastructure develop-                              this is the highest figure reported by                    India.
ment in 2017. The corresponding                               ICA members since 2010 when
                                                                                                                        The upward trend of ACG commit-
commitment for 2016 was $66.9bn.                              commitments of $29.1bn were reported.
                                                                                                                        ments in recent years appears to be
The difference of $14.7bn, equiv-                             For 2017, no data were received from
                                                                                                                        declining. For example, commitments
alent to a 22% rise, was largely due                          the EC for Infrastructure Financing
                                                                                                                        from the Arab funds dropped from
to a $13bn increase in reported                               Trends in Africa. In the previous three
                                                                                                                        $5.5bn in 2016 to $3bn in 2017.
Chinese investments from $6.4bn                               years the EC committed an annual
                                                                                                                        Commitments from non-ICA European
to $19.4bn, and a $3.7bn increase in                          average of $822m to Africa’s
                                                                                                                        development finance institutions (DFIs)
African national and some sub-                                infrastructure development.
                                                                                                                        and multilaterals increased signifi-
national government spending
                                                              Chinese funding appears to be back in a                   cantly from $393m in 2016 to $1.6bn in
from $30.7bn to $34.4bn.
                                                              big way, but the amounts of identified                    2017. In 2017, private sector funding as
African state spending on infra-                              funding from China vary substantially                     reported on the World Bank’s Private
structure, which for the first time in this                   from year to year. The $19.4bn of                         Participation in Infrastructure Project
report includes subnational state                             Chinese funding in 2017 is similar to                     Database reached a low of $2.3bn.
spending where it can be identified,                          the $20.9bn announced in 2015.
                                                                                                                        The New Development Bank (NDB),
increased from $30.7bn in 2016 to                             However, it is substantially higher than
                                                                                                                        the multilateral development bank
$34.4bn in 2017. Data for 2016 have                           the $6.4bn and $3.1bn reported in 2016
                                                                                                                        established by the BRICS states,
been adjusted to include identified                           and 2014, respectively.
                                                                                                                        reported no commitments to Africa in
subnational spending.
                                                              Contributions from non-ICA bilaterals                     2017. Africa50, the infrastructure
ICA members committed $19.7bn in                              and multilaterals apart from China                        investment platform established by
2017, up from $18.6bn in 2016.                                decreased from around $3.1bn in 2016                      AfDB, indicated that it would invest
Excluding the exceptional Power Africa                        to $2.9bn in 2017. The main reason for                    $8m in the Egyptian energy sector.n

14 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
23,248

24,000                                     22,478

                                                                 2013                     2014         2015             2016                2017
$m

20,000
                                                                                                        50
                                                                                                                                            47.5
                                                                                                        $bn 44.1                                                        44.8
                                                                                                        40
                                                                                                                                                       33.7
         15,894

                                                                                                                             28.0
16,000                                                                                                  30

                                                                                                        20

                                                                                                                                                                                                          7,442 (private investment only)
                                                                                                                                  Total public
                                                                                 12,679

                                                                                                        10
                                                                                                                               external financing
                                                                11,864

12,000
                                                            11,046

                                                                                                        0
                                   9,983

                                                                                                              2013           2014          2015       2016              2017
                                                                         9,442
                                                    9,177

                                                                                                                                                                                          8,764
8,000

                                                                                                                                                                7,115
                                                                                               6,462
                                                                                               6,458
                  5,784

                                                                                           5,654

                                                                                                                         5,528
                                                                                          5,419

                                                                                          5,316

                                                                                                                                                                                                  5,124
                                                                                                                                                     7,000                     2,899
                                                                                                                    4,412

                                                                                                                                                     Power                  privately
                                                                                                                3,460

4,000                                                                                                                                                Africa                 financed
                                                                                                               3,296

                                                                                                              2,986

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2,555
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2,324
                                                                                                                                                2,183

                                                                                                                                                2,134
                                                                                                                                             1,562
                                                                                                                                            1,347

                                                                                                                                          1,038

                                                                                                                                                                            1,001
                                                                                                                                                                          693                                                                        Figure 8

                                                                                                                                                                         311
                                                                                                                                                                        140
0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Sources of
                     Asia                            Multilateral                           Europe           Arab                        Regional                 Americas                     Private                                               finance 2017,
                                                    development                                         Co-ordination                  development                                             sector                                                public external
                                                       banks                                                Group                         banks                                                                                                      and private
                                                                                          Public external financing

              Total:
35,000       34,041                                                                                                                       Unallocated 2.5%
                                                                                                                                          Multi-sector 1.4%
                     132                                Pan-African                                                                       ICT 1.7%
                    3,995
$m                                                      RSA
                                                                                                                                                      Energy
                                                        Southern Africa                                                                               30.8%
                                                                                                                                                                 Transport
30,000                                                  excluding RSA                                                                                              47.0%
                    5,768                                                                                                                                    Water
                                                        East Africa                                                                                          16.5%
                                                                                                                                                                                        0.2%
                                                        Central Africa                                                                                        North Africa              1.4%
                                                                                                                        0.2%                                                                          2.7%
                                                                                                                                                               $15,875m
                                                        West Africa                                                                                                                      19.0%
25,000                                                                                     24,777
                                                                                                                 18.4%
                                                        North Africa                        405                                31.7%                                                                                                        51.2%
                    8,082                                                                   2,178             4.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                         25.6%

                                                                                            3,763                    38.5%         7.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                          East Africa
20,000                                                                                                                                                                                    $15,796m
                                                                                                                     West Africa           Central Africa
                                                                                                                     $22,010m                $6,017m
                                                                                            3,001
                                                                                                                                              21.7% 27.0%
                                                                                                                                       0.2%
                                                                                                                                       2.4%
15,000              1,622
                                                                                                                                              34.4% 14.3%                                Southern Africa
                                                                                            2,070
                                                        13,178                                                                                                                           excluding RSA
                    6,984
                                                              184                                                                                                                          $12,242m
                                                                                            8,468                                                                                            4.6% 0.03%
                                                             2,312                                                                                                 RSA
                                                                                                                                                                                          4.3%
                                                                                                                                                                 $8,694m
                                                                                                                                                                0.9% 1.5%
10,000                                                       1,609
                                                                                                                                                                                            30.7%                                            47.1%
                                                                                                                                                                25.1%
                                                             4,047                                                                                                          46.0%
                                                                                                                                                                26.6%                                13.1%
                    7,458

5,000                                                                                                                                      5,132
                                                              863                           4,893
                                                             1,540                                                           89                      124                                                                                     0       Figure 9
                                                                                                                             79                      129                                                                                     0
                                                                                                               2,269         531                     566                                  2,169                                              4       Total 2017
                                                             2,623                                                           215                     26                                                                                      426
                                                                                                                             145                     9
                                                                                                                                                                        0                                                                    1,307   infrastructure
                                                                                                                             933                     4,052                                                                                   33
0                                                                                                                            277                     225                                                                                     399     commitments by
           Transport                                        Water                          Energy                ICT                 Multi-sector                 Other                 Unallocated                                                  sector and region

                                                                                                                        INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 15
2.2 Financing Trends by Sector

35,000    Total:
         34,041
           20,117
$m
                                                                                African national governments
30,000                                                                          Private sector
                                                                                Other bilaterals/multilaterals
                                                                                China
25,000                               24,777
                                      5,581                                     Arab Co-ordination Group
                                                                                ICA members
20,000
                                      1,945

                                      1,306
15,000                                9,046
            360       13,179
            783
           3,390       5,876

10,000
           1,267
           8,125               19
                       1,841   243                                                                                       Figure 10
                                      1,126                            5,132
5,000                                 5,773
                        593
                                                             600               3                                 2,169
                                                                                                                         Total 2017
                       4,607                                 0                 0                                 n.a.
                                                     2,269   1                 525                       2,169   n.a.
                                                                                                                         infrastructure
                                                             1,051             4,075                             n.a.    commitments by
                                                             0                 0          0                      n.a.
0                                                            618               528                               n.a.    sector and source
         Transport     Water         Energy            ICT           Multi-sector       Other         Unallocated

Commitments from all sources to               ICA members’ commitments to the                    In 2017, ICA members’ water sector
all sectors were higher in 2017               transport sector peaked at $8.1bn in               commitments amounted to $4.6bn,
than they were in 2016. Transport             2017. The previous high was in 2010                slightly less than the $4.7bn reported
sector commitments increased the              when members committed $6.9bn to                   in 2016. Members’ average annual
most from $26.2bn in 2016 to $34bn            the sector. The annual eight-year                  commitments from 2010 to 2017 now
in 2017. This represents a 30%                average of ICA members’ transport                  amount to $4.1bn. ICA members
increase. Over the same period                commitments in the 2010-2017 period                reported water sector commitments of
commitments to energy were up                 now stands at $5.6bn.                              $3.2bn in 2015 compared with the
by 20%, from $20.6bn to $24.8bn.                                                                 $3.4bn in 2014 – substantially less
The corresponding increase in                 African state spending on transport                than commitments of $5bn and $4.7bn
commitments to ICT was 37%, from              reached $20.1bn in 2017, up by 23%                 in 2013 and 2012, respectively.
$1.7bn in 2016 to $2.3bn in 2017. An          from $16.3bn in 2016. However there
                                              were wide regional variations. For                 In 2017 China committed $1.8bn, of
8% rise in commitments to the
                                              example, transport spending in both                which $1.5bn is for the construction of
water sector from $12.2bn in 2016
                                              East and Southern Africa increased by              the Gerbi Dam in Ethiopia to provide
to $13.2bn in 2017 was the lowest of
                                              a little more than 50%.                            water to Addis Ababa.
all the sectors.
                                                                                                 African state spending in the water
Transport                                     Water
                                                                                                 sector declined by 3% from $6.1bn in
For the transport sector, commitments         Overall commitments to the water                   2016 to $5.9bn in 2017. In the same
of $34bn in 2017 are more than the six-       sector from all sources increased by 8%            period,    Central    African     state
year annual average of $32.4bn.               from $12.2bn in 2016 to $13.2bn in                 allocations declined by 67 %, from
Commitments to this sector peaked in          2017. It is important to note that there           $379m to $123m. In Southern and
2013     when     China     announced         are wide regional differences in the               North Africa spending declined by 28%
approximately two-thirds of all               changes in these commitments. In this              and 16 %, respectively. The only region
investments, including $3.75bn to             regard,     East Africa recorded the               that saw substantially increased state
finance the construction of the               highest increase with spending rising              allocations was West Africa. Its
Mombasa-Nairobi railway in Kenya,             by 64% from $2.4bn in 2016 to $4bn in              spending increased by 29%, from
and $3.3bn towards the construction of        2017. There was little change in                   $496m in 2016 to $641m in 2017.
a railway linking the Ethiopian capital       spending in South Africa, North Africa
                                              and Central Africa. Between 2016 and
                                                                                                 Energy
Addis Ababa with Djibouti’s port-
capital on the Red Sea. In 2017,              2017, water sector spending declined by            Overall commitments from all sources
Chinese investments in the sector were        28% in West Africa and by 14% in                   to energy increased by 20%, from
$3.4bn compared to $1bn in 2016.              Southern Africa.                                   $20.6bn in 2016 to $24.8bn in 2017.

16 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
During the same period, Southern Africa energy                   90
                                                                                           Transport          Water            Energy           ICT
commitments in Southern Africa increased by 137%, from                 Total:
                                                                 $bn
$1.6bn in 2016 to $3.8bn in 2017. Between 2016 and 2017,               83.3                Multi-sector        Other/unallocated
                                                                        2.0
                                                                                                                                        81.6
North and West Africa increased their energy sector funding      80                                    78.9
                                                                        2.3                                                               2.2
by about 50% each. For Central Africa, the corresponding rise           1.9         75.4                1.0
                                                                                                        2.2                               5.1
in energy commitments was 14%. On the other hand, in                                 2.7                2.4
                                                                                                                                          2.3
                                                                 70                  2.6
South Africa commitments to the energy sector decreased by                                                             66.9
                                                                                     2.4
4 %. Commitments to the energy sector in East Africa
                                                                                                                        3.4
declined substantially, by 42%.
                                                                                                                        2.8
                                                                 60     28.6
                                                                                                                        1.7
ICA member commitments to energy declined from $7.7bn                                                                                     24.8
in 2016 to 5.8bn in 2017, the lowest level since 2013 when                          24.1
                                                                                                       33.5
$5.7bn of commitments were reported. Members’ annual
                                                                 50                                                     20.6
commitments over the eight-years from 2010 to 2017
averaged $7.5bn. Energy commitments from members
peaked in 2010, due to large commitments to North Africa                11.2
                                                                 40
and the Eskom Investment Support Project for South                                                                                        13.2
                                                                                    9.4
Africa.                                                                                                 7.5
                                                                                                                        12.2
African state budget allocations to the energy sector            30
increased by 26%, from $4.4bn in 2016 to $5.6bn in 2017.
The highest increase was in Southern Africa where
allocations doubled from $1.1bn in 2016 to $2.2bn in 2017.       20
Allocations remained reasonably steady in West and East                 37.3
                                                                                    34.2                                                  34.0
                                                                                                       32.4
Africa and South Africa. In Central Africa, energy sector
                                                                                                                        26.2
allocations declined by 9%.                                      10

ICT
ICT commitments increased by 37%, from $1.7bn in 2016 to         0
$2.3bn in 2017. The commitments in 2014 and 2015 were                  2013         2014               2015            2016             2017
$2.3bn and $2.5bn, respectively.

ICA member commitments in 2017 amounted to $618m, up             30
                                                                       Total:
from $417m in 2016. This is close to the amount of $600m                25.3
                                                                 $bn
reported in 2015. Over the last eight years and after falling           1.5
                                                                        0.4
to very low levels in 2011 and 2012, average annual ICA          20                 18.8               19.8            18.6             19.7
                                                                                                       0.6                                0.5
member commitments to ICT infrastructure stand at $392m.                            2.2                0.6              0.8               0.6
                                                                                                                        0.4
                                                                        13.0        0.5                                                   5.8
                                                                                                        8.6             7.7
Between 2012 and 2016, Chinese average annual funding of                             9.2
                                                                 10
ICT infrastructure amounted to just $339m. In 2017, China                                                                                 4.6
                                                                        5.0                             3.2
                                                                                                                        4.7
announced ICT investments of $1.1bn. African state                                   3.4
                                                                                                        6.8                               8.1
spending on ICT declined by 33% to $600m in 2017 compared               5.3          3.6                                5.0
                                                                 0
with $894m in 2016. Spending by Central and Southern
                                                                       2013         2014               2015            2016             2017
African governments declined by 70% and 89%, respectively.
East Africa allocated 159% more to ICT in 2017 than it did in             32.8
2016 while North and West Africa reported increases in           30
budget allocations of 70% and 25%, respectively. During this                                        26.3
period, South Africa reported an 11% increase in ICT             $bn

allocations.n                                                    20

Figure 11
Total infrastructure financing by sector, 2013-2017                                 10.7
                                                                 10
Figure 12
ICA member commitments by sector, 2013-2017 (middle)
                                                                                                                      2.1           3.0
Figure 13
Average annual total infrastructure financing by sector, 2013-   0
2017 (bottom)                                                           Transport   Water          Energy             ICT        Multi-sector

                                                          INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 17
2.3 Financing Trends by Region

24,000

$m                     22,010
                                                                                  African national governments
                        3,620
20,000                                                                            Private sector
                                                                                  Other bilaterals/multilaterals
                         704                                                      China
         Total:          530
16,000   15,875         11,474
                                                       15,796                     Arab Co-ordination Group
           6,522                                        8,382                     ICA members

                                                                        12,242
12,000                                                                    6,196

           1,137
                                                                                          8,694
8,000                                                                                     6,694
           1,559                                                6
                                                        2,739   51
           1,447
                                      6,017
                                                                           321
                                      2,926                                591
                         795
4,000      1,555                                                          1,307
                        4,886                            528
                                                        4,092                     58
          3,654                                  156                      3,769                                    n.a.   Figure 14
                                       936       94                                                                0
                                                 50
                                                                                                   0               35     Total 2017
                                       1,855                                              1,500    0        934    0
                                                                                                                   0      infrastructure
0                                                                                          495     0               899
                                                                                                                          commitments by
          North         West         Central            East         Southern Africa       RSA          Pan-African       region and source
          Africa        Africa       Africa            Africa        excluding RSA

Of the $81.6bn total financing                 commitments to West Africa were                     little lower than the five-year annual
commitments from all sources to                substantially reduced. State funding                average of $4.4bn.
all infrastructure sectors in 2017,            fell from $4.9bn in 2016 to $3.6bn in
                                                                                                   With commitments of $15.9bn, North
West Africa accounted for $22bn,               2017. ACG commitments declined
                                                                                                   Africa reported the highest level of
North Africa $15.9bn, East Africa              from $1.5bn to $795m in the same
                                                                                                   commitments since 2014 when it
$15.8bn, Southern Africa $12.2bn,              period.
                                                                                                   received commitments of $23.2bn.
South Africa $8.7bn and Central
                                               West Africa has also experienced a                  Average annual commitments over
Africa $6bn. Intraregional and
                                               significant decline in private sector               the last four years amount to $16.1bn.
pan-African commitments totalled
                                               investment to just $704m in 2017. In                Investments in 2017 were bolstered
$934m.
                                               2013 private investments of $5.4bn                  by strong private sector interest
Central Africa is a concern because it         were reported. The private sector                   backed by DFI support for the Benban
witnessed a decline in funding from            invested $1.3bn in 2015 and $1.5bn in               solar project in Egypt. State spending
$7.9bn in 2016 to $6bn in 2017.                2016.                                               of $6.5bn in 2017 was the most the
Funding for the region had been on an                                                              region has committed in the last five
upward trend reaching $8.3bn in 2014           East Africa reported commitments of                 years.
but falling to $4.9bn in 2015. The             $15.8bn in 2017, 23% higher than the
                                               $12.9bn reported in the previous year               Southern Africa’s commitments for
decline is attributed mainly to
                                               but substantially lower than the five-              2017 of $12.2bn is almost double the
reduced budget allocations by the
                                               year high of $23.7bn reported in 2013               $6.5bn reported in the previous year.
region’s federal governments.
                                               when Chinese funding of major                       But 2016 was a year with
West Africa had the highest                    railway projects in Kenya and                       exceptionally low commitments. From
commitments in 2017 of $22bn, about            Ethiopia were announced. Funding                    2013 to 2015 commitments averaged
27% of all infrastructure investments          from China amounted to $9.3bn in                    $15.4bn. Over the past five years,
in Africa. The region’s leading position                                                           state     funding      has     declined
                                               2013 whereas in 2017 the Chinese
is largely due to Chinese funding of                                                               considerably in the region, from $12bn
                                               announced financing of $4.5bn.
11.5bn ($2.3bn in 2016), of which                                                                  in 2013 to $6.2bn in 2017, although
$5.8bn is for the 3,050MW Mambilla             State spending in East Africa at                    the latest figure is an increase on the
hydroelectric power project in Nigeria.        $8.4bn is the highest in the last five              $4.7bn reported in 2016. ICA
ICA member funding for the region              years during which budget allocations               members’ commitments of $3.8bn to
amounted to $4.9bn ($4.6bn in 2016).           have amounted to between $5.6-7.3bn.                the region in 2017 are the strongest in
Both state funding and ACG                     ICA members’ funding of $4bn is a                   the last five years over which the

18 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
average annual amount committed is                              90                North        West        Central          East
$2.3bn. ICA members’ commitments                                                  Africa       Africa      Africa           Africa
   T                                                                  Total:
                                                                $bn               Southern Africa          RSA        Pan-African
amounted to $1.4bn in 2016.                                           83.3
                                                                                  excluding RSA                                      81.6
                                                                            1.6
                                                                80                                78.9                               0.9
In the Republic of South Africa
                                                                           7.8    75.4              2.2
commitments to infrastructure amounted                                                                                                8.7
                                                                                      1.4
to $8.7bn. This amount is about the same                                              4.9
                                                                70                                  11.7         66.9
as the $8.6bn committed in 2016.
However, South Africa’s infrastructure                                                                                1.4
                                                                           16.2                                                      12.2
spending is variable compared with other                                          14.4                               8.6
                                                                60
regions of Africa. The main reason is that
                                                                                                    15.6
it is significantly buoyed by private sector
                                                                                                                     6.5
investment in years when it holds                               50                                                                   15.8
successful Renewable Energy Inde-                                                  11.4
                                                                           23.7
pendent Power Producer Procurement
                                                                                                                     13.1
(REIPPP) programme auctions. Over the                           40                                  18.8                             6.0
last five years, South Africa has recorded                                            8.3
investments as low as $4.9bn in 2014
                                                                                                                     7.9
which was followed by $11.7bn in 2015.                          30         4.8

The country has also attracted significant                                            11.7          4.7
                                                                                                                                     22.0
amounts of Chinese funding ($2.2bn in
2015 for example) which in most                                 20                                                   16.4
                                                                           21.7                     13.6
countries tends to cause a spike in
commitments, for instance its above-
mentioned multi-billion dollar funding of                       10                23.3
Kenyan and Ethiopian railways,                                                                                       12.9
                                                                                                                                     15.9
                                                                                                    12.4
Ethiopia’s Gerbi dam and Nigeria’s                                         7.5

Mambilla power plant.n                                          0
                                                                           2013   2014            2015               2016            2017

30
                                                                                       Figure 15
   TTotal:                                                                             Total infrastructure financing by region, 2013-2017
$bn 25.3                                                        $
      1.4
      1.1
20    2.5            18.8           19.8                         19.7
                                                   18.6                           1
                                                                    0.9
                       1.1           2.2              1.4           0.5
     6.9               1.5           1.7              1.0           3.8
                       2.0           1.8              1.4
                       2.0                            4.4            4.1
10    2.4                            4.7
                       3.7
                                     1.3              2.2            1.9
     8.5               3.4           4.0                            4.9
                                                      4.6
                       5.1           4.1
                                                                                       Figure 16
      2.4                                             3.7            3.7
0                                                                                      ICA member commitments by region, 2013-2017
     2013            2014           2015           2016             20172

20
              17.1                 16.6
$bn 14.4
    1                                       13.0
10
                                                        8.3
                             6.3

                                                               1.5
0
                                                                                       Figure 17
     North    West       Central    East Southern       RSA    Pan-
                                                               P                       Average annual total infrastructure financing by
     Africa   Africa     Africa    Africa  Africa             African
                                          excl. RSA                                    region, 2013-2017

                                                                 INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017 | 19
3. Strategic Trends

3.1 Overview
This chapter looks at the                  Effective institutional arrangements    analysis in this chapter deals with the
infrastructure     financing   gap,        are needed to expand the number and     financing needs and actual amounts
which is defined as the difference         variety of sources of investment for    committed to two RECs.
between the amount needed to               the infrastructure sector. In this
                                                                                   It is important to note that
develop Africa’s infrastructure and        regard, countries that have created     infrastructure    development    that
the amount actually invested in            conducive political, regulatory and     spreads evenly across the continent is
infrastructure development                 legislative    environments     have    more important than ever if the
                                           attracted investors. However, fluc-     anticipated African Continental Free
Recent estimates have suggested the        tuations in levels of financing per     Trade Area (AfCFTA) is to be
gap ranges from $68bn to $108bn1 (see      sector in the past few years suggest    successfully established.
page 21). As a result, closing this gap    that Africa’s infrastructure develop-
has, for many years, been given a high                                             Africa’s RECs and RPPs are
                                           ment is uneven.
priority in many African countries.                                                demonstrating a continental impact.
                                           The RECs and Regional Power Pools       For example, as discussed in this
The objective of this chapter is to shed   (RPPs) are playing key roles in         chapter, regional projects such as
light on the magnitude of Africa’s         facilitating the development of          the Zambia-Tanzania-Kenya Intercon-
infrastructure financing gap, which        infrastructure. This is the case with   nector have a high potential to
can in part be attributed to a shortage    their support for PIDA/PAP. As          contribute to the development of the
of bankable projects rather than a lack    expected, these regional bodies also    continent’s infrastructure.n
of funds for investment.                   focus on their own regions. The         1
                                                                                       AfDB’s African Economic Outlook, 2018

20 | INFRASTRUCTURE FINANCING TRENDS IN AFRICA – 2017
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