Industry Overview and Analysis SAICE Networking - Icivil Enjiniyering December 2016 Vol 24 No 11

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Industry Overview and Analysis SAICE Networking - Icivil Enjiniyering December 2016 Vol 24 No 11
Icivil Enjiniyering
                                 December 2016 Vol 24 No 11

Industry Overview and Analysis
SAICE Networking
Industry Overview and Analysis SAICE Networking - Icivil Enjiniyering December 2016 Vol 24 No 11
Reinforced Earth
    Applications

     Roads            Railways
  & Motorways

     Rivers             Ports
  & Waterways      & Coastal works

    Water              Dams
  management        & Reservoirs

     Mining         Construction
   & Minerals        materials

                                                                  FIRST IN MSE
     Energy           Industry

Land development      Airports
    & Building

                                                                                                                     © Photo Credits: Photo Gallery Soletanche Freyssinet - 2016
    Waste          Environmental
  management

    Military           Sports
                      & Leisure

    Bridges

                                              Design                In partnership
                                             engineers                  through              Contractors
                                                                   Reinforced Earth®

                                     a Design of MSE structures                          a Tender assistance
Mentone Media Centre
1 Park Road, Richmond,
                                     a Stability assessment                              a Material supply
Johannesburg                         a Cost analysis                                     a Construction support
South Africa                         a Tendering
Tel: +27 11 726 6180                 a Specifications

www.recosa.co.za
                                                                   Client requirements
www.terre-armee.com

Global Presence                                                                                        Local Experience
Industry Overview and Analysis SAICE Networking - Icivil Enjiniyering December 2016 Vol 24 No 11
FROM THE CEO’S DESK

Staying alive
I’ve always bought into the concept of economic freedom.                  As South Africans we need to do more to root out the iniquitous
Economic freedom is entwined in the fabric of the Freedom                 rhizomes of crime – poverty, lack of education, lack of job creation,
Charter, which was adopted at the Congress of the People on               lack of adequate policing, poor community awareness. Some of the
26 June 1955. It’s there in the South African Constitution as well.       Ten Commandments, it seems, are dead in South Africa.
I am just waiting for Juju to get rid of the reckless race rhetoric,           If you are reading this little piece, you are probably employed
and exchange it for rhetoric on innovation, art and setting hands         in the most beautiful profession – civil engineering. You get
to that old rugged plough. As younger people, myself included,            to serve people by improving the quality of life through the
we owe our country – not the other way around. We owe our                 development of infrastructure. And you get paid to do it, too.
resourcefulness and our vuma. When I consider young people,               In South Africa – because we straddle both First World and
especially the Black taxed, I believe we are delivering on that           developing economies – we get to do innovative engineering,
obligation. When you take a public position on imperatives, hold          providing unique solutions to the assortment of infrastructure
leaders and systems accountable, struggle through societal preju-         engineering challenges. This region is prime territory to become
dice and economic bias – contrary to popular belief, this is not          accomplished engineering practitioners and to make a difference
wishbone philosophy, this is backbone stuff. The young people             as civil engineering professionals. The prospect of making an
make me realise the dream of the New South Africa is alive.               impact through civil engineering in South Africa is alive.
     There are too few countries in the world that provide stand-up            So what is this about? I am writing to you from New Zealand,
comedy in parliament like we do. But we need to give our parlia-          and I’ve had some intriguing encounters about South Africa. I’ll
mentarians credit for getting the business done, too – consider “pay      stop at that. Nevertheless, I’ve been thinking about the quality
back the money.” The fun we see in parliament, together with expo-        of life back home – politics, property, safety and security, educa-
sure in the press on state capture, lending downgrades, shebeens,         tion, sport, our people, music, the taxis, e-toll, and so on. Quite
Zumadom, and so on – this is evidence of transparency in a working        frankly, we are spoilt in Mzansi. I have been pondering the things
democracy. Equal opportunity, freedom of speech, tolerance and            that are important to me, like making a difference in the lives of
other manifestations of democracy ironically work this way, too.          others through my work, my career, education, and my family,
Perhaps an example might help make the point. The great thing             and, after having travelled to more than 35 countries, my South
about living in South Africa is freedom of worship and religion. You      Africa has a soul, and is alive to meaning and purpose – if one
can worship a frying pan if you wanted to and nobody will bother          has the appetite for it.
you. This lavish freedom encourages expression of worship, and                 It’s Christmas – count your blessings. Merry Christmas and
more so, because we live in a democratic society, it is required of       happy holidays!
the rest of us to practise tolerance of that expression. This is what a
free and democratic society is all about – and a mature society too.
Transparency works that way, too. Those who want rain must also
accept mud. This is the premise upon which we relish democratic
liberties. Our young democracy is pulsing with life.
     There are days when I have breakfast with my family in
Johannesburg, lunch in Durban, late-afternoon tea in Cape Town
and back for dinner with my family. I could do this in Europe
with some difficulty. Furthermore, having developed a penchant
for the outdoors, I am mesmerised by the beauty of the Eastern
Cape, Limpopo and Mpumalanga, together with the variety of
breath-taking mountains and charming little towns like Clarens,
Coffee Bay, Graaff Reinet, Montagu, Prince Albert and others.
I must not forget the Mediterranean in Cape Town, India in
Durban and New York in Johannesburg. As a single destination,
South Africa is alive with travel diversity and a salubrious cli-
mate under which to do it.
     Here’s the one thing that has me stumped – and quite frankly,
being a father it scares me too. We need to contend with crime,
especially violent crime. We should not have to live in anxiety. Life
is sacred, so too are our properties, belongings and relationships.

                                                                                                              Civil Engineering December 2016   1
Industry Overview and Analysis SAICE Networking - Icivil Enjiniyering December 2016 Vol 24 No 11
Icivil Enjiniyering
                                        December 2016 Vol 24 No 11

   Industry Overview and Analysis
   SAICE Networking

Icivil Enjiniyering = IsiZulu

 ON THE COVER                                                        ON THE COVER                                                                                                                                                                                                                              P4
 Devotech Africa is continually developing
 cutting-edge civil engineering design                                ­Devotech’s iDAS software and their support team are instrumental in changing the workflows in their
 automation software that fully supports                             customers’ businesses, with time savings of over 400% having been achieved on some projects
 Building Information Modelling (BIM)
 workflows for the most complicated
 design scenarios imaginable. The photo
 shows the Nseleni Bridge on the P496
 (also known as the John Ross Highway)
                                                                         FROM THE CEO’S DESK
 between Empangeni and Richards Bay.
 (Photo credit: Royal HaskoningDHV)                                      Staying alive ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 1

                            South African
                            Institution of
                                                                         ON THE COVER
                                                                         Design automation offers huge time saving on civil engineering projects������������������������������������������� 4
                            Civil Engineering

                                    Icivil Enjiniyering

                                                                         YEAR-END MESSAGE FROM SAICE’S PRESIDENT
                                  December 2016 Vol 24 No 11

                                                                         May peace, joy and purpose fill you��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 6
PUBLISHED BY SAICE
Block 19, Thornhill Office Park,
Bekker Street, Vorna Valley, Midrand
Private Bag X200, Halfway House, 1685
Tel 011 805 5947/8, Fax 011 805 5971
http://www.saice.org.za | civilinfo@saice.org.za

CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
Manglin Pillay Pr Eng
                                                                         INDUSTRY OVERVIEW AND ANALYSIS
manglin@saice.org.za

                                                                         Game Changers�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 7
Tel 011 805 5947/8

EDITOR
Verelene de Koker
verelene@saice.org.za

                                                                         Quantity surveying trends for 2017�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������10
Tel 011 805 5947/8, Cell 083 378 3996

EDITORIAL PANEL
Marco van Dijk (chairman), Irvin Luker (vice-
chairman), Chris Herold (president), Manglin Pillay

                                                                         CESA's BECS: Times still tough for consulting engineering industry���������������������������������������������������������12
(CEO), Steven Kaplan (COO), Johan de Koker, Andile
Gqaji, Gerhard Heymann, Jeffrey Mahachi, Avi
Menon, Jones Moloisane, Beate Scharfetter, Phuti
Seopa (corresponding), Marie Ashpole, Verelene

                                                                         2017 – a better year for construction �����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������14
de Koker (editor), Elsabé Maree (editor’s assistant),
Rebekka Wellmanns (editor’s assistant),
Barbara Spence (advertising)

ANNUAL SUBSCRIPTION RATE
SA R675.00 (VAT included), International US$140.00
                                                                         SEIFSA’s monitoring service continues to support
ADVERTISING
Barbara Spence, Avenue Advertising

                                                                         the built environment professions������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������15
barbara@avenue.co.za
Tel 011 463 7940, Fax 011 463 7939
Cell 082 881 3454

                                                                         Fix the pipeline! ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������17
DESIGN AND REPRODUCTION
Marketing Support Services, Ashlea Gardens, Pretoria

PRINTING
Fishwicks, Pretoria

The South African Institution of Civil Engineering
accepts no responsibility for any statements made or
                                                                         SAICE-PDP continues to make great strides in capacity building initiatives�������������������������������� 20
opinions expressed in this publication. Consequently
nobody connected with the publication of the magazine,

                                                                         Give that man a Bells!������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 27
in particular the proprietors, the publishers and the
editors, will be liable for any loss or damage sustained
by any reader as a result of his or her action upon any
statement or opinion published in this magazine.

ISSN 1021-2000                                                           Government reaches transformative agreement

                                                                         with major construction companies ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 29
Industry Overview and Analysis SAICE Networking - Icivil Enjiniyering December 2016 Vol 24 No 11
P64

FOCUS ON SAICE NETWORKING
THE WORLD ACCORDING TO SAICE
Introduction �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������31

Quick finder �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������32

Statutory bodies and associated structures���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 34

Discipline-specific bodies ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 41
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          P20
International bodies ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 53

Tertiary institutions where civil engineering can be studied �������������������������������������������������������������59

Additional acronyms and abbreviations
relevant to the engineering environment��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 62

DEALING WITH READYMIX CONCRETE
Testing readymix concrete ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������63

SAICE AND PROFESSIONAL NEWS
YMP on the road again!���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 64

SAICE International Bridge Building Competition ������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 66

Letter��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 68

SAICE Training Calendar 2017�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������70

CARTOONS
Civillain by Jonah Ptak������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 33

Closing the vote on our cartoon caption competition����������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 69
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          P66
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Civil Engineering December 2016   3
Industry Overview and Analysis SAICE Networking - Icivil Enjiniyering December 2016 Vol 24 No 11
ON THE COVER

Design automation offers huge time saving
on civil engineering projects
INTRODUCTION                                                          rehabilitation; advanced site grading; and stormwater, sewer, water
Local company Devotech Africa is continually developing               networks and bulk water networks, complete with analysis, and
cutting-edge civil engineering design automation software that        without leaving the engineer’s AutoCAD® Civil 3D® user interface.
fully supports Building Information Modelling (BIM) technology            iDAS has the ability to design a complete road network
for the most complicated design scenarios imaginable.                 within seconds. The same functionality is also applicable to pipe
    Jaco Viljoen, Managing Director of Devotech Africa, ex-           networks, stormwater catchments, sewer connections and inter-
plains: “It is becoming increasingly difficult and complex to         section design for a complete township with a simple selection of
deliver fast-tracked projects on time. To enable engineers to         AutoCAD® base objects such as polylines. Artificial intelligence
deliver projects on time, and to also evaluate alternative designs,   allows one to complete designs in a fraction of the time needed
they need software that can automate the design processes. It is      when using conventional design software and methods.
even more important to be able to design all facets of the project        iDAS converts one’s AutoCAD® Civil 3D® into a fully BIM-
in one environment, without the need to export design compo-          supported design application, allowing usage of all the facets of
nents between modules or other external software. The days of         design, without importing or exporting data to other design or
drawing CAD plans are long gone. Plans should be a by-product         analysis modules or applications. iDAS has been developed with
of the design, and should be dynamically updated in line with         South African standards built in, but also allows the utilisation of
any design changes. The requirement to deliver projects that          any standard, anywhere in the world. This technology has been
are supported by BIM is increasing internationally – the United       taken up rapidly by companies from South Africa, the United
Kingdom, for example, demands BIM-supported designs."                 Arab Emirates, New Zealand and Australia.
                                                                          iDAS builds on top of the AutoCAD® Civil 3D® database, and
FOCUS ON CUSTOMER NEEDS                                               allows one to share one’s design with other designers who do not
Over the years Devotech Africa has been a leader in developing        have the iDAS product. They in turn can edit and change the
new technologies for civil engineering design processes. The          design before returning it for re-analysis, or for further design
company has completely changed the way design is done. Their          adjustments to be made with iDAS, based on the adjusted data.
software development is focused purely on the needs of their          This allows designers complete freedom to share their designs
customers, and they believe that this is the reason for their suc-    anywhere in the world on the AutoCAD® Civil 3D® platform,
cess in the civil engineering industry. Their software (iDAS –        without losing any design or analysis input or output.
Infrastructure Design Automation Suite) and their support team
have been instrumental in changing the workflows in their cus-        ROADS
tomers’ businesses, to the extent that time savings of over 400% on   iDAS builds road models based on road centrelines (polylines
project design and drafting have been achieved. The automation        or alignments). The automation includes the creation of vertical
of designs allows one to model large numbers of civil engineering     alignments based on the natural ground profiles, cross-sections
road and pipe networks in a few minutes, compared to weeks using      and long-sections, with only some fine-tuning to be done by the
old technology software. iDAS is rapidly becoming the industry        engineer. The long-sections and cross-sections are developed
standard for civil engineering locally and internationally.           based on client standards, with all design information immediately
                                                                      available. Design standards for SANRAL (South African National
iDAS (INFRASTRUCTURE DESIGN AUTOMATION SUITE)                         Roads Agency Limited) and other authorities are already built
iDAS provides the engineering industry with automated design          into iDAS, allowing the engineer to model dual-carriageways,
functionality within the AutoCAD® Civil 3D® interface. iDAS al-       single-carriageways or township roads in seconds. Quantities for
lows the automated design of highways, township roads and road        each road model are immediately available, and are dynamically

    4   December 2016 Civil Engineering
Industry Overview and Analysis SAICE Networking - Icivil Enjiniyering December 2016 Vol 24 No 11
driven by the particular road model. Intersections are built based     erven connections. (A full report of connection depth, etc, would
on engineering principles, and the final plans can be generated by     be available from the sewer manager.)
selecting single or multiple alignments. iDAS makes the creation
of final design plans a hands-free exercise, with very little input    WATER
needed from the engineer. Approximately 80 township roads              iDAS supports both bulk water systems and reticulation net-
can be modelled in less than five minutes, and their final plans       works. With iDAS the engineer is able to also analyse bulk and
generated in about ten minutes. Devotech Africa’s intelligent          reticulation systems as a unit.
SANRAL cross-section assemblies allow the design of a complete
dual-carriageway without manually specifying regions throughout        ROAD REHABILITATION
the length of the road. Medians and super-elevation, as well as cut-   iDAS has a dedicated module for road rehabilitation that also
and-fill conditions, are applied for the complete length of the road   supports panoramic images for road investigations.
through one assembly. Kerbs, barriers and drains are automatically
added to all long-sections, and will update dynamically with any       SUPPORT FOR BIM
changes to the road design.                                            iDAS stores all design data and objects within AutoCAD®
                                                                       Civil 3D® objects in a single DWG drawing file. This means that
STORMWATER                                                             design files are always BIM-compatible and in an international
The creation of a stormwater network can also be done from a           file format, enabling teams to work interactively on designs
selection of polylines. iDAS will calculate the outfall position,      without the need to export data.
or the engineer can specify the outfall position manually. The
grades of all branches are calculated based on design criteria         CASE STUDY
specified by the engineer. Flows from catchments are calcu-            In a recent case study, iDAS was able to complete a large-scale
lated based on the catchments and flow paths, and recalculated         project comprising more than 600 roads, and various intersec-
dynamically with any changes. iDAS not only supports dual              tions, stormwater systems and attenuation ponds in less than
drainage systems, but can calculate the flow depth on road             eight weeks. Originally the estimated delivery time of this pro-
surfaces, and can incorporate retention/detention ponds and            ject was more than eight months. “This case study confirmed
rivers in the analysis as a combined model. Automatic sizing           that using our new iDAS technology, with proven workflows
of pipes can be applied to the whole network, and is driven by         and implementation, drastically impacts on our civil engi-
design parameters that are easily edited on a design criteria page.    neering customers’ profits,” concludes Viljoen.
Automatic pipe branches are developed, and long-sections cre-
                                                                                                                                           INFO
ated with all design information, such as flow, velocities, grades
and inverts. Final plans for these long-sections can be generated                                                                Jaco Viljoen
for the entire network by using iDAS’s plan production wizard.                                                              Managing Director
                                                                                                                      Devotech Africa (Pty) Ltd
SEWER                                                                                                                        +27 12 547 7873
The sewer network can be designed in the same way as a storm-                                                            jaco@devotech.co.za
water network, but also allows for the automated calculation of                                                           www.devotech.co.za

                                                 Report view from iDAS Stormwater Manager

                                                                                                         Civil Engineering December 2016    5
Industry Overview and Analysis SAICE Networking - Icivil Enjiniyering December 2016 Vol 24 No 11
YEAR-END MESSAGE FROM
         SAICE’S PRESIDENT

May peace, joy and
purpose fill you
                                                                       ECSA, and severe drought (and floods!), which have exposed the
                                                                       consequences of accumulated years of de-professionalisation in
                                                                       all three tiers of government.
                                                                            Visits to most of our Divisions and Branches (where we were
                                                                       made to feel extremely welcome) were really illuminating. Each
                                                                       regional visit, for example, included meetings with the local
                                                                       Branch, consulting firms, government departments and univer-
                                                                       sity engineering faculties.
                                                                            The list of concerns of hard-pressed consulting firms was
                                                                       always topped by the lack of technical capacity in the public sector
                                                                       (resulting in decision-making paralysis and poor management)
                                                                       and abysmal procurement systems (resulting in an untenable
                                                                       downward spiral in fees, questionable appointments and degraded
                                                                       fitness-for-use). Despite these massive obstacles, compounded by
                                                                       South Africa’s economic woes, hard-pressed firms endowed with
                                                                       bright, innovative and determined engineers (the hallmark of engi-
                                                                       neering) are finding ways to cope, and even flourish.
                                                                            National Treasury’s new procurement policy, with buy-in from
                                                                       SAICE, was enacted earlier this year and training in its use is under
                                                                       way. This should go a long way towards redressing the procurement
    SAICE’s 2016 presidential couple, Chris and Marina, wish readers
                     a very happy year-end break!                      problem. Lack of public sector capacity will take a lot longer to solve,
                                                                       although some promising contacts are being pursued.
                                                                            Engineering faculties have been hard hit by the
Wow, what a year this has been! One of the privileges I enjoyed        #FeesMustFall unrest, which has threatened to erode educational
was to get a bird’s-eye view of the big picture, and also to drill     quality and led to the freezing of some lecturing posts. But here
down and appreciate just how much is involved in the myriad of         again, the enthusiasm of the bright young minds who are being
essential tasks that are being accomplished on our behalf by our       nurtured by bright not-always-so-young professors is something
highly motivated and hard-working National Office staff.               to behold.
     But it does not stop there. We are also blessed by a team of           So I am happy to be able to hand over the reins of a thriving
dedicated and competent volunteers who render a wide variety of        organisation that is stronger than it was a year ago, and that will
services to their fellow engineers, ranging from guiding the ship      continue to rise above every challenge and meet every opportu-
through sometimes very murky and stormy seas to plain hard             nity that 2017 brings our way.
work to make things happen.                                                 Above all else, keep your vision. God didn’t place you here for
     Sure, I got to recognise some of this before 2016 through         nothing. He has a fulfilling purpose and plan for your life. Find it
participation in SAICE’s Water Division, Executive Board and           and accomplish it.
Council. But this year was a real eye-opener as to just how much            May the peace, joy and purpose that only our Lord can give
is happening. I don’t know if 2016 is unique (I suspect not), but      us, fill you, your home and all your loved ones.
it is amazing how fast events unfold and need to be dealt with.
This year we had to face the fallout of #FeesMustFall, a series of                                                               Dr Chris Herold
massive economic and political crises, Hlaudi-like power plays in                                                            chris@herold7.co.za

6    December 2016 Civil Engineering
Industry Overview and Analysis SAICE Networking - Icivil Enjiniyering December 2016 Vol 24 No 11
I N D U S T R Y O V E R V I E W A N D A N A LY S I S

Game Changers
How the face of the civil engineering industry has
changed – and how it will continue changing
INTRODUCTION                                    soon to those heady days of the resources
What a ride we have had in the civil engi-      boom in South Africa. This should therefore
neering industry the last few years! This       be seen as a longer-term market correction.
past year has, however, been filled with            Transformation of the built environ-
challenge upon challenge. Yet, somehow          ment has largely not taken place, and
we South Africans square up to the chal-        there is a signifcant amount of work to be
lenges, face them and overcome them.            done to see this sector transform itself.
    When writing an article of this nature      There has been a growth in black-owned
at the end of the year, when most of us are     businesses, but relatively few have risen to
contemplating the new one ahead, one            become icons in the built environment.
feels tempted to focus on the negatives             Business confidence is low in general,
and lament what should have been. I want        and the private sector is hesitant to invest
to take the opportunity to rather look at       cash in fixed infrastrucutre. This could
those things that have turned into game         be attributed to low levels of confidence
changers in our industry, and those that        in the policies portrayed by government,
probably will. The challenge, though, is to     and the lack of progress in implementing
have a positive view on this.                   policy and government expenditure.
    When considering an overview of                 The civil engineering industry has not     Werner Jerling
the civil engineering industry, one must        performed admirably in recent years. The
consider the industry holistically. The         construction of current mega projects,         Pr Eng Pr CPM
industry consists of client project spe-        such as the Ingula pumped storage scheme
cialists and decision-makers, consulting        and the Kusile and Medupi coal-fired           Managing Director
engineers and contractors. We are all in-       power stations, is costing more than budg-     Stefanutti Stocks Structures
separably linked to the success or failure      eted for, and the projects are not being
of our industry and the contribution we         completed in the envisaged time frames.        Business Unit
must make to the success of our busi-           We have also unfortunately seen serious        Werner.Jerling@stefstocks.com
nesses and our country.                         safety incidents on a number of projects.
                                                    We are plagued by problems that exist
THE CURRENT STATUS QUO                          the world over. A recent study of the UK
The market for civil engineering design and     construction industry indicated the fol-
construction services is depressed and is not   lowing critical factors as contributing to
recovering fast. It will probably not recover   poor performance:

                                                                                                     Civil Engineering December 2016   7
Industry Overview and Analysis SAICE Networking - Icivil Enjiniyering December 2016 Vol 24 No 11
NNLow productivity                            the way in which the industry operates         of a Bargaining Council for the Civil
NNPoor predictability                         may be found in legislation regulating the     Engineering Industry is seen as a positive
NNStructural fragmentation                    following:                                     game changer in labour relations in the
NNLeadership fragmentation                    NNPublic management and financing              industry (see pp 36–37 in the December
NNLow margins, adversarial pricing mod-       NNLabour and employment                        2015 edition of Civil Engineering and p 49
   ules, and financial fragility              NNOccupational health and safety               in this edition).
NNInappropriate training funding and          NNBroad-based black economic empower-              The creative procurement of re-
   delivery model                                ment                                        newable energy by the Department of
NNWorkforce size and demographics             NNEmployment equity                            Energy heralded a new era for procuring
NNLack of collaboration and improvement       NNEnvironmental matters                        capital projects in South Africa. This
   culture                                    NNMining and minerals                          was positively supported by the invest-
NNLack of R&D and investment in innova-       NNMunicipal finance and administration         ment community and technology sup-
   tion                                       NNThe creation of the Construction             pliers worldwide.
NNPoor industry image.                           Industry Development Board                      The collusion scandal in the con-
In the South African context, the rela-       NNRegulation of the built environment          struction industry had a significant impact
tively small construction economy and            professions.                                on construction companies. The Voluntary
challenges with low skills levels further     Not only has legislation been put in place,    Rebuild Programme, recently agreed to
contribute to the poor performance.           but the ability of government to imple-        between some of the listed construction
     On a more positive side, the industry    ment and police these laws has improved        companies and government (see page 29 in
has been able to deliver a number of very     and is still improving.                        this edition), will hopefully make a positive
successful infrastructure projects in the          The execution of a number of mega         contribution in improving dialogue and
past. The local industry is, and has been,    projects, such as the Gautrain, Gauteng        relations with government, and is expected
involved in projects throughout Africa,       Freeway Improvement Project, airport           to support the growth of larger black-
and has proved its ability to rise to the     expansions, the 2010 Soccer World              owned construction enterprises.
challenge of projects large and small.        Cup stadiums, record-level commodity
South Africa has a legacy of developing       prices, and the Eskom capital expansion        THE GAME CHANGERS
world-class infrastructure, much of that      programme have all changed the way in          OF THE FUTURE
by virtue of a strong and competent           which the industry operates. These pro-        So what will the future game changers
local industry. Much of this capacity and     jects had impacts such as the following:       be? What must we as civil engineers con-
intellectual property still reside here and   NNThe industry grew at a phenomenal rate       sider when strategising about the future
remain available to support our economy.         – the boom years.                           of our organisations?
South Africa is by and large not at the       NNForeign companies entered the South               Environmental changes and the
mercy of foreign players in the civil engi-      African market, in particular off the       impact of global warming will require
neering industry.                                base of a global financial crisis which     the support and intervention of the civil
                                                 arguably had a delayed impact on our        engineering industry. Temperature changes
GAME CHANGERS OF THE PAST                        economy.                                    and water shortages are keenly felt in South
As Clem Sunter and Chantal Illbury tell       NNShifts in employment, conditions, ex-        Africa. The threat of large storms and rising
us in their Mind of a Fox series of books,       pectations and costs took place.            sea levels no longer seems speculative.
we need to understand those things that       NNCompanies procured plant and new             Humanity will depend on civil engineers
are the “rules of the game”, identify the        technology.                                 for their survival, and we need to deal with
“flags” (game-changing events) and set        NNAlternative designs and construction         these issues. The impending water crisis
our scenario planning up in consideration        methods entered the country.                in South Africa cannot be ignored! “Water
and anticipation thereof. In our industry     The boom years in our industry allowed         shedding” will make “load shedding” look
those “rules of the game” are surely          business owners and founders to realise        like a Sunday school picnic. This must be
changing. So what are those things that       their investments in the businesses they had   treated as a national crisis now. Planning
have played a role in changing the rules      built. This was evident in a number of con-    and execution of water projects take a long
of the game? The following paragraphs         struction company stock exchange listings      time, and there is not nearly enough ur-
cover the main game changers of the past      and the entry of multinational engineering     gency displayed in this regard by politicians
20 years.                                     practices into our market. Ownership           and decision-makers in government.
    As South Africans we are all proud        shifted in many organisations.                      The delivery of infrastructure (and
of our achievement of peacefully trans-            Labour expectations, and the cost         the performance of national and local
forming our society into a true democ-        of salaries and wages have impacted the        government in this regard) is no longer
racy; this surely had to be the number one    industry. Low levels of employment and         an option; it must happen now, and civic
game changer.                                 the high cost of living have created a lot     activism in this respect is marked. It is no
    Efforts to redress the ills of the past   of tension in the labour market, coupled       longer acceptable for government to fail
are embedded in our constitution and in       with high expectations and militancy           in planning and implementing infrastruc-
legislation that has been put into place.     in the labour environment. This created        ture projects. The matter of funding will
The legislative environment has thus          a taxing labour environment for mega           be a significant challenge.
introduced new and necessary laws.            projects, as was evident in the challenges          New trends in contracting models
Legislation that has significantly changed    around the Medupi project. The creation        will become inevitable as the ability

8    December 2016 Civil Engineering
of governments to fund infrastructure          by competition and the entry of interna-        a culture of poor performance and disci-
projects diminishes. The example of            tional players into Africa and potentially      pline to take hold. This applies to students
the renewable energy programme,                South Africa. New contracting models            and educators alike. Acquired skills and
mentioned earlier, will invariably find        will change the way we deal with wasteful       work ethic will in future be a globally
its way into the funding and execution         expenditure resulting from poor produc-         traded commodity as global mobility in-
of other infrastructure. Cost and time-        tivity. We will no longer be able to tolerate   creases and language and cultural barriers
certainty in projects in the public and        poor productivity, and in the journey to        decrease. The businesses of the future will
private space will question traditional        improve wages and living conditions we          be able to choose from larger potential
procurement and design models. We are          will have to solve the problem of poor          pools of workers. Industry and educators
already observing this in the manner in        productivity. We must realise that this         must seriously debate what the engineer
which the professional indemnity insur-        does not lie at the feet of the worker          of the future must look like. EQ and IQ
ance and risk management practices in          alone. As leaders, designers and project        will both be valued, and the training of
many of our design houses are changing.        managers we are able to create a produc-        civil engineers will have to develop not
The worldwide trend for Design and             tive environment for workers to excel in.       only scientific and technical skills, but
Construct as well as Engineer, Procure         Consider the impact of designing and            also management skills. A single degree
and Construct (EPC) contracting strate-        planning for high productivity. There is        will not be a sufficient qualification –
gies will become more commonplace in           much to improve in this regard.                 multiple, diversified qualifications will
South Africa. To deal with this form of             Technological innovation will pro-         define the successful candidate of the
project execution we will learn new skills,    vide the competitive edge, and organisa-        future. In the South African context con-
and will learn to collaborate and contract     tions will start adopting this at a higher      sideration must be given to a more robust
in new and innovative ways. The risk allo-     rate. We will see the larger-scale introduc-    regime of post-graduate short-course type
cation in projects will undergo a marked       tion and implementation of technologies:        qualifications, with an element of distance
shift. Higher levels of collaboration and      NNAccess to broadband will improve,             learning included.
integration between organisations in the          which will impact project design and
industry will be driven by the new pro-           execution. Mobile and handheld com-          CONCLUSION
curement and delivery processes. We will          puting will be an advantage. This will       Times will forever become more chal-
need to learn how this can be achieved, as        also further improve communication           lenging. Leadership in our industry will
the model for large conglomerates may be          and real-time management and infor-          be needed to guide the civil engineering
challenged by effective collaboration be-         mation flow.                                 industry through perilous waters. With
tween smaller, specialised, independent        NNThe use of precast and repetitive con-        our eyes fixed on what can be, rather than
providers of services.                            struction processes will drive               being absorbed by what is or cannot be,
    Meaningful transformation will                costs downward.                              we will need to encourage one another to
be achieved in our industry, and the           NNBuilding Information Management               positively contribute towards the future
workplace will become more equitable.             (BIM) will be commonplace.                   health of our industry.
More than a legislative imperative, we         NN5D estimating and the benefit to subse-           What will your legacy as a civil en-
must see the simple common business               quent construction processes will be a       gineer be? What are the game changers
sense therein. The new entrepreneurs will         reality.                                     that you will recognise and act upon?
continue to arise and, with support, will      NNWired, intelligent structures will be         You decide!
develop their emerging businesses into            constructed that communicate mainte-
sustainable large construction and design         nance and other data to us.                  Meaningful transformation
firms. The new generation of managers          NNNew construction materials will be
and employees come from a generation              introduced. The use of composite             will be achieved in our
unfettered by the past. Herein we must            materials will become commonplace.           industry, and the workplace
have faith and choose to adopt a positive         Imagine a world where steel as con-
point of view. We have a great country            struction material is replaced with          will become more equitable.
with fantastic people! Believe it!                cheap titanium, for example.                 More than a legislative
    The scourge of corruption threat-          NNHigher levels of mechanisation in the
ening the fabric of society is a wolf at the      construction process will be inevitable.     imperative, we must see the
door, or maybe a hyena in the kitchen          NNInnovations in geomatics have not             simple common business
already. This threatens to destroy all the        come to an end and interesting oppor-
good that has been created and robs us of         tunities will still be exploited.            sense therein. The new
the will, drive and finances to achieve the    In preparing the next generation of civil
                                                                                               entrepreneurs will continue
investment and development we need in          engineers we must take note of what their
our country. With a positive view we must      future world will require. Here we as           to arise and, with support,
believe that this can be turned around         South Africans will need to heed warn-
                                                                                               will develop their emerging
and a society built free thereof. Rooting      ings being sounded across the oceans
out corruption will truly be a game            as we observe what impacts investment           businesses into sustainable
changer for South Africa.                      in education and work ethic have had in
    Productivity improvement and               India and the Far East. We are doing the
                                                                                               large construction and
better project performance will be driven      next generation a disservice by allowing        design firms.
                                                                                                          Civil Engineering December 2016   9
Quantity surveying trends for 2017
                                       BOOM-AND-SLUMP CYCLE                          veloping in line with other industries.
                                       The construction industry has always          Various software packages exist for
                                       been cyclic, enjoying a boom for several      quantity surveying, and they should
                                       consecutive years, only to face a slump       make the most of suitable technologies.
                                       afterwards. But eventually things pick up     Automation of repetitive tasks brings
                                       again. South Africa's last upward cycle       greater efficiency, resulting in faster ser-
                                       ended around 2010 in step with the global     vice and higher profits. However, tech-
                                       economic crisis. Since then, quantity         nology is only a tool and cannot replace
                                       surveyors have been feeling the pinch.        sound business advice, solve problems or
                                       Unfortunately, this trend looks set to con-   suggest alternatives.
                                       tinue into 2017.
                                           However, quantity surveyors have          STUDENT PROTESTS
                                       always been value enablers in the con-        The #FeesMustFall movement has called
                                       struction industry. In 2017 they should       into question whether or not 2017 would
                                       strive to promote the results they            suffer a skills gap due to a lack of gradu-
                                       produce, not just their technical capa-       ates. We’ve yet to see how this will affect
                                       bilities. In a down economy, investors        quantity surveying. However, the con-
                                       hope to do more with less, and quantity       struction industry is a cornerstone of the
                                       surveyors are in a prime position to help     South African economy. The government
Larry Feinberg                         them reach that goal. The price of their      is well aware of the talent required to
                                       services are easily offset by the cost        keep it strong, and there is a huge drive to
Executive Director                     savings achieved from their advice on         develop skills in all fields. The expectation
ASAQS                                  sensible construction choices, such as        therefore is that there will in fact be suf-
                                       cost-effective substitutes or avenues for     ficient expertise next year.
director@asaqs.co.za                   realising lower building life cycle costs.
                                       So, quantity surveyors can thrive, but        GREEN ENGINEERING
                                       they will need to work harder to build        In the past, green buildings were as-
                                       awareness of the value they add.              sumed to cost nearly 60% more than
                                                                                     traditional ones. But a recent study by
                                       REVISED CONSTRUCTION SECTOR                   ASAQS, the Green Building Council
                                       CODES                                         of South Africa and the University
                                       Another notable trend for 2017 is the         of Pretoria, using data from 54 green
                                       Construction Sector Charter Council’s         star certified office buildings around
                                       revised construction sector codes. The        the country, shows that costs actually
                                       new codes are designed to bring the           average around 5% more, and may drop
                                       industry in line with the black economic      as low as 1.1%. That is a small price to
                                       empowerment and transformation tar-           pay for protecting our future. In 2017,
                                       gets set by the Department of Trade and       quantity surveyors should take the initia-
                                       Industry. While the codes are still open      tive and recommend sustainable building
                                       for comment, quantity surveying firms         practices and materials.
                                       should familiarise themselves with the
                                       codes to ensure they are prepared in the      CONCLUSION
                                       coming year.                                  While the forecast for 2017 is not ideal,
                                                                                     there is a greater need for quantity sur-
                                       SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT                          veying than ever. By leveraging every op-
                                       Technologies available to the quantity        portunity and promoting their cost-cutting
                                       surveyor appear set to continue de-           guile, quantity surveyors will thrive.

10   December 2016 Civil Engineering
dŚĞƐƐŽĐŝĂƟŽŶŽĨ
             ^ŽƵƚŚĨƌŝĐĂŶ
           YƵĂŶƟƚLJ^ƵƌǀĞLJŽƌƐ

                               QuanƟty Surveying…
                                    …at the heart of
                                       every successful
                                           construcƟon
                                               project

Find out more…
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                                                                                        11
CESA’s            BECS:
                                               Times still tough for consulting
                                               engineering industry
                                                   Contractors have for some time           policy alongside a sharper than expected
Chris Campbell Pr Eng                          reported on the slow pace at which con-      increase in inflation.
                                               tracts are awarded, as well as the slow
CESA CEO                                       roll-out of government projects. This        GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION –
chris@cesa.co.za                               creates disconnect between opinions          DETERIORATING
                                               expressed by engineers and contractors,      Growth in gross fixed capital formation
INTRODUCTION                                   where projects are in planning stages,       lagged GDP growth in 2014, and con-
The Consulting Engineers South Africa          supporting earnings in the consulting        tracted by 0.3% on average for the year,
(CESA) Biannual Economic and Capacity          engineering industry, but implementa-        compared to a 1.5% increase in economic
Survey (BECS) for the period January to        tion is slow.                                growth. Investment in fixed capital for-
June 2016, recently released, indicates that                                                mation showed a mild recovery in 2015,
times remain tough. Confidence levels          TRANSFORMATION OF THE                        up 1.4% on average, supported by a 6%
amongst firms have deteriorated over the       INDUSTRY – SIGNIFICANT PROGRESS              increase in investment by general govern-
last few years, alongside modest increases     The appointment of Black executive           ment. Investment growth from SOEs
in fee earnings. The outlook for gross         staff (Black, Asian and Coloured staff)      and the private sector remained muted,
fixed investment has deteriorated and is       increased to 40.8% from 39.5% and 38.0%      increasing by 0.8% and 0.4% respectively.
expected to fall behind GDP growth in the      in the previous two surveys. The appoint-
next three years. Over 537 firms employing     ment of Black executive staff has steadily   FEE EARNINGS – MUTED
just over 24 315 staff, who collectively       increased from 28.1% in the June 2012        Fee earnings in the first six months of
earn a total fee income of R25 billion per     survey. This shows real progress in terms    2016 fell marginally by 0.2% compared to
annum, are members of CESA.                    of industry transformation. There has also   the last six months of 2015, following the
     Three key factors continue to influ-      been a steady improvement in the ap-         increase of 6.0% in the previous period.
ence the global outlook – the gradual          pointment of women at an executive level.    Larger firms reported a stronger decline
slowdown and rebalancing of the Chinese                                                     of 5.3%, while medium and smaller-sized
economy, lower prices for energy and           BUSINESS CONFIDENCE – LOW                    firms improved earnings by 15.1% and
other commodities, and the gradual tight-      Confidence in the consulting engineering     10.6% respectively. This follows a similar
ening of the US monetary policy.               sector generally lags business senti-        trend reported in the previous survey,
     The South African economy has faced       ment. Business confidence is currently       whereby larger firms recorded more
several headwinds in 2016, some of which       at 42, as at the third quarter of 2016.      muted growth compared to a more robust
were expected, while others were not.          This continues to depict negative market     increase in earnings by the medium and
Global factors play a much bigger role         sentiment, which does not bode well for      smaller-size firms. Fee income stabilised at
than may be suggested, with the sluggish       private sector fixed investment. Business    R25 billion, annualised, at current prices as
global economy offering little relief in the   confidence is negatively impacted by         at June 2016. Respondents expect earnings
demand for South African goods and ser-        poor economic growth, threatened by a        to increase by 6% in nominal terms during
vices, which has waned considerably over       looming recession, increase in political     the last six months of 2016, compared to
the last two to three years.                   instability, and tightening of monetary      the first six months of the year.

12   December 2016 Civil Engineering
The contribution to fee earnings by          significantly weaker in the last six months            Unlocking greater private sector
        the private sector improved slightly to          of 2015, compared to expectations in the           participation is seen as a critical element
        41.0% (from 40.3% in the December 2015           June 2015 survey. Since then there has             to fast-track delivery, which will support
        survey), but is largely on par with the          been some improvement with the net                 engineering fees and as such engineering
        average over the last two-year and five-         satisfaction rate improving to 75% in the          development in the industry. Many of the
        year periods.                                    first six months of 2016 (from 39.4% in            projects highlighted in the NDP can be
            The public sector remains the most           the December 2015 survey), with similar            carried out by the private sector through
        important client to the industry, but due        levels projected for the next 12 months.           public-private partnerships.
        to the decrease in central government            Levels remain well below the average over              Service delivery, especially at mu-
        (down from 5.9% in December 2015 to              the last five years, and are recovering from       nicipal level, remains a critical burning
        4.0% in the current survey), the contribu-       historically low levels, surpassed only by         issue. Lack of attention to maintain infra-
        tion by the public sector moderated to           the 1998/99 recession caused by the Asian          structure poses a serious problem for the
        58% from 60%.                                    financial crisis.                                  industry, with infrastructure being left to
                                                                                                            deteriorate to such a state that mainte-
        PAYMENT – A SERIOUS ISSUE                        INDUSTRY CHALLENGES –                              nance becomes almost impossible.
        Payment remains a serious issue, having          PROCUREMENT THE BIGGEST                                Fraud and corruption are affecting
        a broad-based effect on firms operating          CHALLENGE                                          the ethos of our society, with a lot of
        in the industry. After having shown some         Regulation issues, including the procure-          talk and little action accompanying
        improvement in the December 2015                 ment of consulting engineering services,           the growing evidence of corruption.
        survey, the percentage of fees outstanding       remain one of the biggest challenges faced         CESA is aware that members are under
        for longer than 90 days as a percentage          by the industry. Unrealistic tendering             pressure from contractors and corrupt
        of total estimated income (including late        fees remain a concern for members, while           officials to certify payment for work
        payments) deteriorated to an average of          the extended time it takes in which to             not completed. This is regarded as an
        25% from 23.0% and 24.5% in the previous         finalise a proposal is affecting profitability     extremely serious matter, and CESA will
        two surveys. At 25% this is the highest          in the industry. The quality of technical          remain relentless in holding those in
        recorded level since 1999.                       personnel is argued by some firms to have          power accountable.
                                                         deteriorated, putting greater risk on the
        INDUSTRY CONFIDENCE LEVELS –                     built environment sector. Skills shortage          QUALITY MANAGEMENT
        WELL BELOW AVERAGE                               is regarded as one the most significant            SYSTEM (QMS)
        Confidence levels among firms have               institutional challenges faced by the pri-         All CESA member firms are required
        deteriorated over the last few years,            vate and the public sector.                        to have a QMS as a condition of CESA
        alongside modest increases in fee earn-               The involvement of non-CESA mem-              membership. The majority of firms re-
        ings. The current weakening in the               bers in government tenders and procure-            ported to have a QMS system in place
        confidence index, depicting less than            ment continues to threaten the standard            (97%). While all the larger firms have
        satisfactory conditions, may therefore           and performance of the industry. Firms             the QMS in place, 93% of the micro
        predict weaker growth in earnings. In            from beyond South African borders are              enterprises that responded to the survey
        the December 2015 survey confidence              tendering at rates that are not competitive        currently comply, up from 88% in the
        levels fell to their lowest level in 16 years,   for local firms.                                   December 2015 survey.

                                                                                                                         Civil Engineering December 2016        13

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2017 – a better year for construction
                                       POISED TO GROW                                  for readymix producers is relatively low.
                                       South Africa’s economy is poised to grow        This has opened the market to unscru-
                                       by between 2% and 3% in real terms next         pulous producers who do not produce
                                       year, which will have a knock-on effect in      the right quality of readymix concrete.
                                       the building and construction sectors and       In a recent market size survey, SARMA
                                       lead the way out of the protracted down-        found 344 readymix plants around the
                                       turn the market has experienced.                country, representing 139 companies,
                                            This is according to the acclaimed         and this total is still growing. It is im-
                                       economist, Dr Roelof Botha, managing            portant for specifiers to insist on and
                                       director of GOPA Group SA, who                  specify quality readymix concrete to
                                       was speaking at the recent Readymix             ensure that all producers have a level
                                       Conference, organised by SARMA                  playing field when tendering.
                                       (Southern Africa Readymix Association),             The market size survey has also shown
                                       where he encouraged delegates to look out       an increase in the use of readymix con-
                                       for opportunities as the markets turn.          crete of 390 000 m3 from 2014 to 2015.
                                            “Despite the largely negative senti-       This increase is projected to continue.
                                       ment that exists in South Africa at
                                       present, the economy is still in relatively     READYMIX TO AID DELIVERY
                                       good shape, and has in fact faired far          Building professionals are being urged
                                       better than other emerging market peers.        to harness the amazing characteristics
                                       Due to the diversity of our economy we          of modern-day readymix concrete to
                                       have largely ‘ridden out the storm’ thanks      build better structures and speed up
Johan van Wyk                          to sectors such as the agriculture and          the delivery of critical infrastructure
                                       services industries which provided a            throughout southern Africa.
General Manager                        counter-balance to ill performers.                  New techniques, as well as advances
SARMA                                       “Other factors also indicate reasons to    in cement technology and admixtures,
                                       be bullish, such as increased gold demand,      are allowing readymix producers to tailor
johan@sarma.co.za                      which is at the second highest level in the     their offerings more precisely to produce
                                       history of the world. Just recently China       a far wider range of product choices than
                                       purchased 1 400 tons of gold, and Russia        ever before. This means that the types of
                                       1 000 tons, amongst others. This is good        concrete produced today are suitable for a
                                       news for our mining sector and, as com-         greater variety of uses and can be tailored
                                       modity prices begin to swing back up, it        to suit exact project requirements.
                                       will get even better,” says Dr Botha.               Builders and specifiers need to
                                            On the building front the number of        be more keenly aware of the types of
                                       building plans being passed is looking better   readymix that can be ordered, and
                                       and will lead to increased activity in future   SARMA encourages them to work more
                                       when they are converted to actual building      closely with readymix producers in future.
                                       projects. Another indication of improve-
                                       ment is that hardware sales are turning         MACRO-ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
                                       upwards. As this is, according to Dr Botha,     According to Dr Botha, “There is a lot of
                                       an inherently stable market, the slightest      positive and a lot of money to be made.
                                                                                                                                         C

                                       bit of improvement in the economy should        We predict that the CPI will go down, and
                                       translate to positive growth in the sector.     as a result interest rates will not rise again    M

                                            With the advent of new players in the      in the near future. At present, our per           Y

                                       cement market, the increased competi-           capita disposable income ratio is good, the      CM

                                       tion has pushed cement prices down.             index of manufacturing volume is rising,         MY

                                       Similarly, more competition in the              and metals prices, of the type mined in
                                                                                                                                        CY
                                       readymix market, coupled with lower ce-         South Africa, are up by 20%. That means
                                       ment prices, have pushed concrete prices        overall our macro-economic outlook is            CMY

                                       down. Unfortunately the barrier to entry        better than one reads in the media.”              K

14   December 2016 Civil Engineering
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