Indonesia Country Strategy 2013-2016 - Swiss Economic Cooperation and Development
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Federal Department of Economic Affairs, Education and Research EAER State Secretariat for Economic Affairs SECO Swiss Economic Cooperation and Development Indonesia Country Strategy 2013-2016
State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) SECO’s Economic Cooperation and Development Accordingly, SECO’s economic and trade policy Division is responsible for the planning and imple- measures strive to integrate its partner countries mentation of economic cooperation and develop- into the global economy and foster economic growth ment activities with middle income developing coun- that is both socially responsible and environmentally tries, with countries of Eastern Europe and the friendly. The Economic and Development Division Commonwealth of Independent States (transition bases its activities on its specific areas of compe- countries) as well as the new Member States of tence and experience in promoting economic and the European Union. It coordinates Switzerland’s fiscal policy, urban infrastructures and utilities, the relations with the World Bank Group, the regional private sector and entrepreneurship, sustainable development banks and the economic organizations trade and climate-friendly growth. Special emphasis of the United Nations. SECO is part of the Federal is placed on issues relating to economic governance Department of Economic Affairs, Education and and gender. SECO is headed by the State Secretary Research (EAER). Marie-Gabrielle Ineichen-Fleisch. SECO’s Economic Cooperation and Development Division employs The overriding objective of Switzerland’s interna- 100 people at headquarter and spends approximately tional cooperation is sustainable global develop- 380 million Swiss francs per year. Ambassador ment that will reduce poverty and global risks. Beatrice Maser heads the division.
Editorial Egypt, Ghana, South Africa, Indonesia, Vietnam, Colombia, Peru – all rapidly expanding economies on the threshold of global market integration yet still facing the problem of poverty. These have been SECO’s priority countries since 2008 and, together with Tunisia, they will remain the focus of our intervention over the next four years. All of SECO’s priority countries are classified as middle-income countries (MICs). As their role in the global economy expands, they continue to gain in significance, for example in providing global public goods. However, despite rapid growth rates in these coun- tries, their development remains fragile. Poverty and social disparities persist, accompanied by other global challenges such as urbanisation, infrastructure bottlenecks and unemployment. Through its economic cooperation, SECO strives to integrate its partner countries into the global economy and to foster economic growth that is both socially responsible and environmentally friendly. These approaches correspond to the main challenges facing MICs. Middle-income countries are also important regional hubs of development for neighbouring States and serve as valuable examples. SECO’s activities are based on our many years of experience in international cooperation and our specific expertise in economic issues. Whether we are seeking to strengthen economic and fiscal policy, expand urban infrastructure and utilities, support the private sector and entrepreneurship, promote sustainable trade, or stimulate climate-friendly growth: all of our measures are aligned with Switzerland’s foreign trade policy and the Federal Council’s foreign policy objectives. In 2012 the Swiss Parliament passed the 2013-2016 Message on International Cooperation. For the first time, all of the tasks in international cooperation were presented in a single bill, incorporated into a joint, overall strategy. This has the overriding objective of sustainable global development that will reduce poverty and global risks. The present Country Strategy is based on the framework credit for economic and trade policy measures, as described in the afore- mentioned Message. It is determined by our areas of expertise and comparative advantages and paves the way for our continued efforts over the next four years. We firmly believe that, in doing so, we can support our partner countries on their development path while also making a contribution to addressing global challenges. Marie-Gabrielle Ineichen-Fleisch Beatrice Maser State Secretary, Ambassador, Director of SECO Head of Economic Cooperation and Development SECO Indonesia 3
Abbreviations AIMS Aid Information Management System MoF Ministry of Finance APBN National Budget (Revenues and Expenditures) MP3EI Master Plan for Acceleration and Expansion of Indonesia’s (Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara) Economic Development 2011-2025 ASEAN Association of South-East Asian Nations ODA Official Development Assistance Bappenas National Development Planning Agency of Indonesia OECD Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development CHF Swiss Franc OJK Indonesia Financial Services Authority (Otoritas Jasa Keuangan) EFTA European Free Trade Association PEFA Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability Program EU European Union PFM Public Financial Management FDI Foreign Direct Investment PPP Public-Private Partnership FTA Free Trade Agreement REDD+ Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation G2G Government to Government RPJM Medium-term Development Plan (Rencana Pembangungan GDP Gross Domestic Product Jangka Menengah) GHG Green House Gas SECO State Secretariat for Economic Affairs GoI Government of Indonesia SME Small and Medium-sized Enterprise ILO International Labour Organization SPS Sanitary and Phytosanitary Agreement IMF International Monetary Fund TBT Technical barriers to Trade IPR Intellectual Property Rights WB World Bank 4 Indonesia
Contents Editorial 3 Abbreviations 4 1. Country context 6 1.1 Political situation 6 1.2 Economic and social situation 8 1.3 Bilateral economic relations 11 2. Development cooperation context 12 2.1 Partner country development strategy 12 2.2 Donor landscape 14 2.3 Lessons learnt from 2009-2012 15 3. Development challenges and SECO’s response 16 4. Financial resources 20 5. Results monitoring 21 6. Partner institutions 23 7. Statistical annex 24 Sustainable value chains need good produce.
1. Country context 1.1 Political situation Indonesia has regained political stability. This Internationally, Indonesia has gained self-confi- is underpinned by the achievements of the reform years, dence. The role and importance of Indonesia in multi- i.e. democratic institutions, a free press, and a transfer of lateral fora (e.g. G20) and in the region (i.e. ASEAN, East power to local governments. Cases of slow implementa- Asian Summit) is increasing. Being the only ASEAN tion of reform efforts or missed targets may have been member that is a permanent member of the G20, Indo- caused by the political environment but also by the slip- nesia is expected to contribute to creating a systemic page in deadlines or overambitious targets. Reforms will impact in the Southeast Asian region as well as strength- continue to depend on a critical mass of reform willing- ening the ties between the liberal-democratic systems ness at senior executive positions in the administration. and Muslim-majority countries. In the regional arena, under Indonesia’s chairmanship of ASEAN in 2011, sev- In 2008, the scene was set for even faster pro- eral important agendas were adopted or reinforced, gress. Indonesia had just emerged from a decade of including a master plan on ASEAN Connectivity. Addi- economic crisis and political transition. President Susilo tionally, the ASEAN Framework for Regional Compre- Bambang Yudhoyono was re-elected for a second term hensive Economic Partnership reaffirms the commitment in 2009. His was the first re-elected government after a of Indonesia and other member countries to further decade of instability and change – a manifestation of strengthen economic cooperation through comprehen- the electorate’s trust in recent achievements in response sive partnerships between member states as well as to the demands for reformasi, i.e. fundamental reforms other partner countries.1 All of these involvements are of the political and economic system that had been built fostering increasing regional and global integration, a under Suharto. Immediately after these elections, there more pro-active Indonesian foreign policy, and frequent were high expectations that reforms would be imple- exchange and peer-to-peer learning in key policy areas. mented with courage and determination. However, many big corruption cases revealed over the past two At the sub-national level, coordination, institu- years have created a growing sense of frustration tional capacity, and good governance remain among the public. While the administration makes pro- key issues. This comes after more than a decade since gress in reforming weak institutions and in enforcing a large decentralization program was initiated in the law, the agenda is still unfinished. Also, Indonesia’s Indonesia. With a total of 530 local governments infrastructure challenges need to be addressed with (431 regencies and 99 cities) – 205 of which are newly urgency. The pace of reform in public administration and autonomous regions – vertical coordination across gov- the judiciary as well as in combating corruption is seen ernment levels has become more intricate, while hori- by many as too slow, and there are claims of setbacks zontal inter-ministerial coordination could still be in the protection of religious or ethnic minorities. The improved. Fundamentally, the challenges faced at the current government is a coalition led by the National sub-national level are no different from those at the Democrats (25% of votes) which is divided over many central level, namely the need to build more capable issues with its coalition partners, including the powerful and accountable institutions and to create stronger Golkar party. citizen demand. Planning at the central and provincial 1 ASEAN Framework for Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, www.aseansec.org/26744.htm. 6 Indonesia
Competent institutions for a good public service. levels is confronted with challenges during implemen Elections in 2014 will dominate politics. The tation. Overlap of governmental functions result in inef- run-up to the next presidential elections (2014) will ficiencies and sometimes poor delivery of public services. increasingly dominate Indonesian domestic politics. In response to this, the government is currently revising Contenders for the presidency will search for issues (e.g. and drafting laws.2 The central government is instru- corruption cases) or policy areas (trade) on which they mental in setting the directives and creating enabling can capitalize. This has its risks and opportunities: it may mechanisms. A strategic and relevant platform capable work as an incentive to some parties in the ruling coali- of impacting on decentralization has not yet been tion to deliver on issues of their reform agenda, but it is formed successfully, despite substantial support from also likely to slow down public administration in 2014, various donors in the past. The success of Indonesia’s and the ways in which the government wants to engage decentralization will depend on the ability of districts/ with donors. In addition, a new medium-term develop- municipalities to supply the services people need, and ment plan (2015-2019) will frame the government’s on the control of officials’ decisions and behaviour cooperation programs beyond 2014. through public scrutiny as well as a fair and transparent electoral process. 2 On regional administration for more clarity on governmental functional assignment across the three tiers; a major law on civil service apparatus to emphasize professionalism and meritocracy. Indonesia 7
1.2 Economic and social situation The macroeconomic fundamentals for Indo- Extreme poverty is still an issue. On the social side, nesia look good. This is particularly the case if seen in one-fifth of the population is still living in extreme pov- the context of the current difficulties of the global econ- erty and half the population is barely above the thresh- omy. Indonesia’s GDP growth is projected to remain old. Rising inequality and high prices for food, fuel and robust and grow well. Officially, unemployment is on a gas risk stirring popular unrest. The prices of petrol and downward trend. However, this rice, for example, are subsidized for that very reason. conceals the high level of under- However, the government’s subsidies for fuel constitute Fuel subsidies and a employment in the informal sec- an increasing burden to its budget and are also becom- growing economy pose tor. The size and resilience of ing an obstacle to more effective public spending. Ironi- environmental risks if Indonesia’s domestic economy cally, the poor benefit less from these subsidies than the has helped it to weather the rich and middle-income strata of the population. not well managed. 2008 financial crisis relatively Attempts to abolish those subsidies have so far been well. The factors that contrib- futile. In addition, if the economy cannot create enough uted to that resilience persist: a growing middle class, a jobs outside of the agriculture sector for the growing young population, rapid urbanization, a diversified population of educated young people, the consequences economy based on both export commodities and broad- could be dire and Indonesia’s demographic dividend based domestic consumption. However, there is a cer- could become a liability. Pervasive corruption, if not tain degree of vulnerability in the Indonesian economy tackled, could also generate discontent.3 Fuel subsidies – which is benefitting substantially from commodity and a growing economy also pose environmental risks if exports in coal, timber and palm oil. Projections for not well managed. The Indonesian government’s good growth over the period 2012-16 are an average 6.5% a intentions for a green economy are welcome in this year. regard. 3 Indonesia Competitiveness Report 2011: Sustaining the Growth Momentum, http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GCR_Indonesia_ Report_2011.pdf. 8 Indonesia
Cocoa, worldwide high in demand. Resilience to external financial shocks is better Acceleration and Expansion of Indonesia’s Economic than in the past. The government has proven its capa- Development 2011-2025 (MP3EI) is ambitious, and its bility to manage public sector debt and is committed to implementation will be challenging. In addition, fiscal fiscal sustainability. Also the debt-to-GDP ratio stands spending on ineffective subsidy policies (e.g. fuel) con- very low (2011 at 26%). The banking sector is profitable tinues and is weighing heavily on the state budget. and well capitalized but remains vulnerable to volatility in global capital markets (e.g. sudden outflows of short- The Indonesian economy needs to become more term capital). Despite numerous achievements in competitive. This is particularly the case in the manu- strengthening the financial sector, Indonesia still faces facturing sector and relates to the sustainability and challenges to preserve financial stability and develop its impact of its commodity extraction. The high logistics financial system. Weaknesses in the legal and govern- costs and the lack of skilled labor and innovation are the ance framework prevent the country from fully leverag- major domestic constraints, while Indonesia’s manufac- ing its potential. To strengthen financial sector oversight, turers are increasingly confronted with foreign competi- the government has set up a new independent regulator tors, foremost China. Although export commodities are (OJK, Financial Services Authority). Overall, however, a significant contributor to recent growth, their social there is confidence among investors in macroeconomic and environmental cost is high, and may increase in the stability, and FDI is increasing. There is a heightened future. However, each of the major commodities – coal, awareness that world economic growth will increasingly gas, palm oil, timber, agricultural commodities – pre- depend on emerging markets in Asia, including Indone- sents a different picture in this respect. Finally, Indonesia sia and the ASEAN region. exports not only commodities but also migrant labor (Malaysia, Middle East), and the remittances from Public sector investment remains low. Underin- migrant workers are important in many regions. Despite vestment exists in strategic areas. There are also con- its strong economic performance, Indonesia faces chal- cerns that the bulk of government spending is going on lenges that stifle private-sector development. Skilled salaries and that the government has been unable to labor shortages, poor infrastructure and an onerous reach even pre-1998 investment ratios (as a percentage regulatory framework are three major bottlenecks to of GDP) in areas of key relevance for economic develop- business expansion. ment (e.g. infrastructure). The 2011 Master Plan for Indonesia 9
Indonesia is at an efficiency-driven development stage, alongside Malaysia, China and South Africa. Financial inclusion is suffering from low levels. In Looking forward, Indonesia’s most important eco- terms of financial inclusion, access to finance – also for nomic and social challenge is to embark on a SMEs – and a well-functioning financial system are a more sustainable and inclusive growth path. This fundamental prerequisite in the economic and social means addressing underinvestment in strategic areas, development process of Indonesia, where only about economic disparities between urban and rural areas, half of the population has access to the formal financial competitiveness of the Indonesian economy, open trade system. A nationwide household survey on access to and investment climate, and social equity and environ- financial services in Indonesia (conducted by the WB in mental degradation. Indonesia is seen as being at an 2010) shows that only 49% of the population has “efficiency-driven” development stage, alongside China, access to the formal banking sector. If combined with Malaysia and South Africa. In international rankings, access to formal non-bank financial institutions, only Indonesia remains one of the best-performing countries 52% of the population is served by the formal financial within the developing Asia region but still needs to system. This means that there are more than 110 million improve physical infrastructure (e.g. port facilities, elec- people who have no access to formal financial institu- tricity) and persevere in its efforts to combat corruption. tions. About 31% of the population obtains financial Enhancing market efficiencies, e.g. by eliminating opera- services from non-formal institutions. Thus, 17% of the tional rigidities and improving labor productivity, is also population (or nearly 40 million people) are excluded important in order to move Indonesia into a highly effi- from the financial system altogether. cient economy. Furthermore, it is vital that Indonesia redirect current fuel subsidies to other more critical In addition, while Indonesia has made notable progress spending that would benefit poor and low-income on the macroeconomic front, efforts to improve public households. A range of social assistance programs exist, administration have lagged. Public investment levels are but the spending trend on such programs is falling as a not back to pre-Asian crisis levels, and the quality of percentage of the government budget. This needs to be public services remains inadequate. This is a reflection of adjusted, especially given that one in four Indonesians institutional weaknesses and a lack of transparency and was classified as poor at least once in the years between accountability which affect public resource use and rev- 2008 and 2010 and total social assistance spending is enue generation. These, in turn, pose continuing con- far below regional standards. As highlighted by the straints on the government’s efforts to alleviate poverty. World Bank, the execution and management of such programs also need to be better targeted, and a crisis monitoring and response system should be established to enable Indonesia to respond swiftly to macroeco- nomic and microeconomic shocks. There are still considerable needs 10 Indonesia for improving public infrastructure.
1.3 Bilateral economic relations The trading volume between Switzerland and Indo- Swiss investors play an important role in Indonesia. Cur- nesia is growing. The trade balance is traditionally posi- rently, some 70 Swiss companies are active in Indonesia. tive in favor of Switzerland. In terms of share of Switzer- In terms of investment stock, Switzerland accounted for land’s total trade, Indonesia accounts for 0.2%. Swiss some CHF 7 billion. This corresponds to 0.8% of total exports to Indonesia are mainly machines as well as Swiss foreign direct investment and created over 40,000 chemical and pharmaceutical products. As for imports to jobs in Indonesia in total. Switzerland, textiles and clothing as well as agricultural products top the list. EFTA (of which Switzerland is a member country) is cur- rently negotiating a Comprehensive Economic Partner- ship Agreement (CEPA) with Indonesia, which is ex- pected to enhance bilateral exchange in the areas of trade and investment. Indonesia 11
2. Development cooperation context 2.1 Partner country development strategy National development planning is regulated by law The RPJM priorities that SECO can help to address are as and coordinated by the National Development Planning follows: Agency (Bappenas). Within the current long-time plan- 1. Administrative reform: “Bureaucracy reform” in ning framework (2005-25), four five-year plans have the state administration, improving good governance been, or will be, put in place. These are so-called and the quality of public services, both at the central medium-term development plans (Rencana Pembangu- (e.g. reform of public function) and sub-national levels nan Jangka Menengah, RPJM). The current one started (e.g. effectiveness of fiscal transfers, better harmoniza- in 2010 and will end in 2014. It will thus still cover the tion of laws and regulations between central and sub- first two years of SECO’s current country program com- national level). mitment period. The RPJM also provides information on 2. Reducing poverty: Reducing absolute poverty to the strategic plans and budgets of the line ministries below 10% and improving income distribution through and is a major reference document for donors. The RPJM social protection (e.g. food assistance programs) and defines five agendas and 11 national priorities. The most the expansion of economic opportunities (community pertinent to SECO’s objectives and instruments is empowerment funds, smallholder business credits). Agenda 1, “Economic development and increase in 3. Infrastructure development: Given that infra- the welfare of the people”, and six priorities. On the structure issues are considered the single most impor- outcome level, the plan aims at an average economic tant constraint to enhanced economic growth, the growth of 6.3%-6.8% per year and a poverty rate of approach of the RPJM was far from comprehensive. The below 10% in 2014. It also sets a target value for coordination of policies regarding land use, land acqui- corruption (CPI of 5.0 in 2014). sition and spatial planning are well-known constraints. 12 Indonesia
SECO aligns its support with Indonesia’s development priorities. On the larger domestic geographical scale, the MP3EI 5. Energy supply including renewable energy: has elaborated on how to solve some of the pressing Indonesia’s low energy generation capacity is addressed infrastructure bottlenecks of the country. In 2011, the with a “crash program” that intends to add 3,000 MW government launched an additional long-term plan annually, of which one-third – or a total of 4,000 MW (2011-2025) for the acceleration of infrastructure devel- – should come from renewable energy including geo- opment called MP3EI, which is expected to deliver on thermal. Indonesia’s long-term development goals by focusing 6. Environmental protection and climate change on those major challenges. The plan is based on the con- mitigation: Efforts to reduce deforestation which cept of six specific “economic corridors”, each of which would contribute to Indonesia’s ambitious GHG emis- is attributed a main economic function and infrastruc- sion reduction target (-26% by 2020) are most promi- ture investments required over the longer term (i.e. until nent here; addressing degradation of river basins and 2025). The MP3EI is very ambitious but will guide gov- pollution from industrial activities is also mentioned, as ernment action and investment planning to quite some is the increasing importance of disaster risks. extent. The plan also defines 22 priority economic activ- ities and areas 4 which require – or are supported with – public policy action. 4. Investment and business climate: This needs to be facilitated through enhanced legal certainty, better information systems (e.g. the National Single Window for exports and imports), simplification of procedures (e.g. reducing business start-up costs) and the develop- ment of special economic zones. The link between labor policies and employment is also recognized though vaguely addressed. Good foundations for a good harvest. 4 This list is pragmatic and commodity-focused and includes cocoa, fishery, food, animal husbandry, agriculture, timber, oil & gas, coal, nickel, copper, bauxite, tourism, etc. Indonesia 13
2.2 Donor landscape In 2010, the total amount of ODA disbursed in favor capacity building; they are sometimes used complemen- of Indonesia was nearly USD 6.5 billion (0.93% of Indo- tary to larger investments funded with loans. Of particu- nesia’s GDP of USD 707 billion; the State Budget was lar note are the facts that Norway committed to an USD 104 billion).5 important funding in climate change (up to USD 1 bil- lion for REDD+), the UK DFID closed operations in Indo- There are presently 25 active donors based on the num- nesia in 2011 but established a “UK Climate Change ber that participated in the AIMS online survey 2011.6 In Unit” at the British Embassy in Jakarta, and USAID is the context of its programs, SECO collaborates with streamlining its operation directives so as provide more other donors (e.g. Germany, the Netherlands, the World flexibility to procurement and enable it to join multi- Bank). The larger bilateral donors in 2011 included donor trust funds. Japan, France, USA, and Australia. Among multilateral donors, the World Bank ranks first followed by the Asian The government coordinates ODA both through Bap Development Bank. A large part of the aid from the WB, penas and the Ministry of Finance (“on-budget, on- the ADB, Japan and France are loans, some of which are treasury”). Donor country strategies are aligned with co-financed. Grant funds, coming more often from bilat- the government’s priorities in G2G consultations with eral donors, are playing an important role for TA and Bappenas. 5 Data sources for total amount of ODA disbursed in 2010, GDP, and State Budget are obtained from the AIMS survey, Indonesia Economic Quarterly December 2011, and Law 47 Year 2009 regarding the State Budget of Revenue and Expenses 2010, respectively. 6 OECD 2011 Survey on Monitoring the Paris Declaration, First Draft of Indonesia Chapter, OECD, June 2011. See also www.aims-indonesia.org for a 2010 country spreadsheet. 14 Indonesia
SECO needs to remain flexible and responsive Sound urban planning for prioritized infrastructure investments. to the needs expressed by partners. 2.3 Lessons learnt from 2009-2012 This country strategy document builds on SECO’s cooperation with government authorities requires flexi- 2009-12 strategy for Indonesia, which proved relevant bility, intercultural skills and patience but is rewarding and in line with Indonesia’s national development strat- in terms of insight and visibility. In operational terms, egies. Significant improvements have been made in the relatively rigid budget planning and approval as well as areas of public finance management (budget planning procurement processes on the government’s side make and implementation, parliamentary budget oversight, direct implementation – i.e. the use of government tax and revenue collections) as well as in the field of systems – very resource-intensive. SECO will maintain a access to finance. Also very relevant was the support in mix of the multi-bi and bilateral mode in an effort to trade logistics (e.g. the establishment of the Indonesian exploit complementarity and potential synergies. National Single Window portal and related regulations). Nonetheless, some important lessons can be drawn: Support donor coordination. Donor coordination often takes place in informal ways. The working groups Remain responsive and flexible. SECO’s activities in defined under the Jakarta commitment are not yet very Indonesia are perceived by partners, including the Indo- active. Coordination or information exchange in specific nesian government, as relevant, timely and welcome in sectors (e.g. in climate change, renewable energy, agri- nature (grants). In order to capitalize on this, SECO cultural development) are initiated on an ad-hoc basis needs to remain flexible and responsive to the needs by lead donors. Multi-donor Trust Funds, to which SECO- expressed by the partners. These are qualities estab- contributes, also play a role in that respect (with the WB lished by Switzerland’s long-standing development and the respective ministry in the conveners’ role). The cooperation with Indonesia, on which SECO can build implementation of the Paris Agenda still leaves room for further. This offers Switzerland a comparative advantage implementation. SECO will participate in informal donor over other donors, which needs to be maintained. coordination relevant to its program and support the strengthening of donor coordination. Fill relevant niches. Indonesia is a fast-moving econ- omy in South-East Asia. Donor assistance is below 1% Keep decentralization in mind. Relations between of GDP. The volume of financial aid from donors is thus central and local government are fraught with many of decreasing importance, while technical assistance uncertainties and coordination problems. A better artic- and capacity building remain important needs for the ulation and coordination of central and local govern- government and society at large. The precise activities ment action (e.g. in budget spending) will be key to solv- are not necessarily resource intensive in financial terms ing many of the persisting development challenges that but rather demanding in terms of defining the niche and Indonesia faces. Rather than working from a strategic concrete support required. SECO will strive to keep this platform or facility to address the decentralization issue, approach. SECO’s program will try to identify opportunities across its program focus areas where work on the sub-national Use a balance of multi-bi and bilateral coopera- level (districts, municipalities, provinces) is needed and tion mode. Relying on a multi-bi delivery mode remains justified, e.g. in strengthening PFM capacities of dis- important, given the presence of strong and established tricts, or implementing improved municipal solid waste multilateral donors and the government’s preference for management systems. Thus, SECO will address decen- working with donors in a coordinated way to advance tralization as a cross-cutting issue on a selective basis. its development agenda and reform strategies. Bilateral Indonesia 15
3. Development challenges and SECO’s response Based on the context analysis as well as Indonesia’s Focus: SECO supports Indonesia in building stable mac- development priorities and SECO’s strategic orientation roeconomic framework conditions. It thus contributes to and core competencies, the economic cooperation pro- enhanced public service delivery, accountable and effi- gram with Indonesia will contribute towards the follow- cient public financial institutions, stability and economic ing objectives: development. Second-generation reforms with a focus on more effective budgeting and public spending as well as PFM reforms that address deficiencies and weak Objective 1: Good economic management capacities at the sub-national decentralized level build (public sector) on past achievements in Public Financial Management (e.g. more efficient legal framework, better control and Challenge: Maintain achievements and proceed oversight in treasury and tax administration). with an unfinished economic governance agenda. The government of Indonesia is facing various challenges in economic governance (institutions, enforcement of laws Proposed SECO measures: and regulations, fighting corruption). These elements are also important in Indonesia’s unfinished decentraliza- Strengthen public financial management and tion agenda, where districts and municipalities still need revenue administration (including in the field of to prove that they are able to supply the services people revenue administration, budget and treasury need. Sustained reform efforts, notably in the perfor- reform, improved financial reporting and control mance orientation of the budget and PFM, will remain and tax reform) key challenges for Indonesia despite its impressive track Strengthen fiscal risk and debt management record so far in terms of many aspects of its economic capacity policies (e.g. debt management, fiscal policy, economic Strengthen and intensify the financial sector growth). Efforts to improve economic governance will (e.g. financial sector regulation, stability, diversifi- need to encompass enhancing the framework condi- cation and inclusion) tions for economic actors in order to improve the busi- Develop national disaster risk financing and ness environment. Fostering continued private sector insurance strategies development in terms of the ease of doing business and ease of access to finance therefore remains high on the agenda. Achievements so far need to be stabilized to enable Indonesia to pursue and further develop its Contribution to Indonesia’s country development growth path. objectives: With these proposed measures, SECO aims at contributing to Indonesia’s administrative reform as defined in its RPJM (improving good governance and the quality of public services), both at the central level (e.g. reform of public functions) and sub-national levels (e.g. effectiveness of fiscal transfers, better harmoniza- tion of laws and regulations between central and sub- national level). 16 Indonesia
Objective 2: Competitiveness, business finance, infrastructure bottlenecks, logistics cost, the framework conditions and trade (private lack of skilled labor and weaknesses in innovation need sector) to be addressed. Furthermore, export opportunities, labor issues and the adherence to internationally Challenge: Enhance competitiveness in order to required norms and standards (both SPS/TBT and pri- improve the country’s international trade position. As vate voluntary standards) need to be addressed. the biggest economy in South-East Asia, Indonesia needs to enhance its competitiveness in A growing middle order to improve international trade Proposed SECO measures: positions and attract domestic and inter- class, a young national investment. Cost drivers like Strengthen the competitiveness of employ- population, rapid high logistics expenses or the lack of ment and income-relevant export sectors; facili- urbanization skilled labor and insufficient innovation tate the integration of SMEs into value chains are threats to Indonesia’s economic posi- and their access to the European and Swiss mar- and a diversified tion. Indonesia’s role in regional and kets economy are worldwide trade is therefore under con- Promote social and environmental standards; opportunities for stant pressure, and growth-contributing enhance compliance with international labor export commodities like coal, gas, palm standards as well as national labor law; provide Indonesia. oil, timber and agricultural products SMEs with effective tools to increase productivity all have their own social and environmental costs. and monitor compliance Export opportunities need to be harnessed, labor issues Improve access to long-term finance for pri- addressed and the adherence to internationally required vate enterprises via SIFEM AG (Swiss Investment norms and standards reinforced. At the same time, a Fund for Emerging Markets); including for invest- dynamic and strong private sector creates employment ments in clean technologies; support skills devel- and helps to introduce innovative technologies and to opment by way of targeted entrepreneurship increase tax revenues. It is therefore crucial to enhanc- programs; support sustainable corporate govern- ing Indonesia’s business environment and enabling ance efforts for SMEs and the private sector at SMEs to access financial means more easily. A growing large (including financial institutions) middle class, a young population, rapid urbanization Improve the business climate (regulatory and a diversified economy represent opportunities in the reform, transparency, predictability and simplifica- interests of Indonesia, which is on a path towards tion of administrative procedures; cost of doing greater integration within ASEAN, and are contributing business); improve the protection of Intellectual factors to easing this pressure. Property Rights and enhance the economic bene- fits from it Focus: SECO supports Indonesia’s efforts to obtain a non-discriminatory and free market access for goods, services and natural resources. This serves to improve Contribution to Indonesia’s country development the global division of labour, create jobs in Indonesia objectives: The proposed measures are expected to and contribute to poverty reduction and inequality. The contribute to Indonesia’s RPJM objectives regarding opaque business environment, gaps in SME access to investment in the business sector, i.e. the needs to be facilitated through enhanced legal certainty, better information systems, simplification of procedures and the development of special economic zones. Indonesia 17
Enhance the economic benefit from an improved business climate. Objective 3: Environmental protection, climate change mitigation and sustain- Proposed SECO measures: able urbanization Support investments, measures and trans Challenge: More sustainable and inclusive growth. action advisory in renewable energy and energy While growth rates are projected to remain relatively efficiency robust and at high levels, this should not be at the Support integrated and sustainable urban expense of sustainability and inclusiveness. From an planning processes which lead to prioritized environmental point of view, Indonesia’s ambitious infrastructure financing greenhouse gas reduction target (-26% by 2020) merits Reduce GHG from urban solid waste by intro- international support. The achievement of this target ducing sustainable municipal solid waste man- will depend on many factors, including a more environ- agement systems mentally friendly energy mix, such as the promotion of Improve the private sector’s access to finance renewable energies and energy efficiency measures as for investments in energy efficiency measures well as the speed at which the Indonesian urbanization and develop capacity to apply resource-efficient process evolves. This process will entail a number of and cleaner production methods in the industry challenges with regard to accessing affordable and reli- Strengthen the capacity to reduce emissions able public service infrastructure in cities in order to from deforestation and forest degradation, enable decent human life and the resultant inclusive including the coordination of the related financial economic activity. resources of international donors, and facilitate Indonesia’s market readiness for new carbon Focus: Reaching the GHG reduction target will depend market schemes on a range of factors, including how quickly and effec- tively Indonesia can enhance energy efficiency and shift its energy mix towards renewable energy. It will also depend on how Indonesia provides energy Contribution to Indonesia’s country development access to remote areas (currently there is still more than objectives: These measures address priorities set in 30% of the population without access to electricity) and Indonesia’s RPJM in terms of infrastructure development how it tackles urbanization challenges and its resultant and better connectivity, given that infrastructure issues needs in terms of infrastructure. Carbon finance may are considered a major constraint to enhanced eco- help to mobilize the necessary investments but will nomic growth. It also supports the government’s wish to require monitoring and verification of the CO2 impact. increase private sector participation and to provide a set SECO contributes to improving access to affordable and of rules and regulations that create incentives for inves- reliable public service infrastructure and thus supports tors to engage, e.g. through PPPs. Furthermore, it con- Indonesia in its transition to a green economy and low tributes to including renewable energy in the energy carbon growth. supply and to environmental protection as well as cli- mate change mitigation. 18 Indonesia
Modality mix Economic governance and gender as cross-cutting issues SECO’s program will be implemented in line with the The reinforcement of economic governance in the principles of Aid and Development Effectiveness. SECO partner countries is an essential component of SECO’s will seek to align its program with the government’s pri- support for the integration of partner countries into the orities and to harmonize it with other donors’ activities. global economy and the promotion of sustainable eco- SECO’s program will be reinforced by thorough policy nomic growth. Economic governance comprises all insti- dialogue with key government partners and, whenever tutions, regulations, judiciary systems and norms that possible, will use country systems in order to foster own- promote the effectiveness, non-discrimination, legiti- ership and effective institutions. To ensure effective macy and accountability of economic activity and there- development cooperation, SECO is committed to build- fore contribute to combating corruption. The majority of ing capacity and interacting closely with public and pri- SECO’s interventions strengthen good economic gov- vate actors. ernance at public and private levels. Multi-donor setups are increasingly a modality with SECO sees gender equality as an important element of which the government of Indonesia works with donors poverty reduction and improving the economic pros- in order to coordinate their contribution with its devel- pects of partner countries. No projects should place opment agenda and reform strategies and to reduce women or men at a disadvantage. The gender dimen- absorption of government officials. In order to take this sion is integrated into project design and implementa- trend into account, an increasing number of SECO’s tion, where it can contribute to the greater effectiveness activities in Indonesia are carried out in a multi-donor of SECO’s projects. context. A balance between multi-bi and bilateral will therefore be sought over the duration of this strategy in order to match the government’s needs and expecta- tions with SECO’s expertise and capacity. SECO’s activi- ties are being coordinated with regional activities of the Swiss Agency for Cooperation and Development (SDC). Indonesia 19
4. Financial resources SECO’s interventions under this strategy will be financed through the Swiss Framework Credit for Inter- national Cooperation 2013-16. The allocation of funds Commitment for Indonesia 2013-2016: to individual countries, programs and projects will CHF 75 million* depend on the identification of suitable interventions, the absorption capacity as well as the efficiency and The approximate distribution of funds foreseen effectiveness of the cooperation with the relevant part- among the three objectives is as follows: ners in each country. 1. Good economic management 13% (public sector) Accordingly, the following information on planned com- 2. C ompetitiveness, business framework mitments for the four-year period of this strategy is 51% conditions and trade (private sector) indicative only. It cannot be considered a firm commit- 3. E nvironmental protection, ment or claimed as such by the partner country. This climate change mitigation and 36% information serves merely as a basis for the forward sustainable urbanization spending plans that are reviewed each year. Actual disbursements will depend on various factors, such as * Indonesia also benefits from regional and global initiatives financed by SECO. When these measures cannot be earmarked changes in the project portfolio and the framework to a specific country, they are not accounted for in the financial conditions in the partner country. projections mentioned above. Trade logistics matter, for better market access. 20 Indonesia
5. Results monitoring The following table provides an overview of the implemented by SECO. The different projects agreed future economic cooperation with the proposed moni- upon will contain some of these indicators. This will toring and evaluation indicators at the outcome level make SECO and the Indonesian partners accountable and alignment with Indonesia’s development objectives. with regard to what has been achieved by the projects implemented in the framework of this country strategy. The monitoring and evaluation indicators are selected It is not SECO’s intention to measure Indonesia’s devel- examples; the success of implementation of this country opment objectives as a whole. strategy will be measured in relation to the projects SECO’s overall objective for Indonesia Support Indonesia in further improving its economic governance and in enhancing its international competitiveness in investment and trade while aiming at more sustainable and inclusive growth. Main objectives of Contribution by SECO’s program Indonesia’s country development objectives SECO’s interventions (from 2010-14 RPJM) Objective 1: • Economic reforms and an improved financial Administrative reform: Improving good governance Good economic policy lead to a more transparent fiscal policy and the quality of public services at the central (e.g. management and a more reliable management of public reform of public functions) and sub-national level resources. (e.g. effectiveness of fiscal transfers, better harmoni- Selected indicators: Number and type of relevant zation of laws and regulations between central and measures for financial market regulation and sub-national level) supervision; Key Public Finance Indicators following PEFA methodology. Objective 2: • A more profound understanding of the Investment in the business sector: Needs to be Competitiveness, business framework conditions of international trade facilitated through enhanced legal certainty, better framework conditions and improves the partner country’s access to the information systems (e.g. the National Single trade world market. Window for exports and imports), simplification of Selected indicators: Number of successful reform procedures (e.g. reducing costs to establish a measures for facilitating market access; number business) and the development of special economic of jobs created and retained; implementation of zones. the core ILO labour standards. • Better entrepreneurial framework conditions through a lean administration and good governance improve competitiveness. Selected indicators: Number and type of impeding procedures that have been eliminated; Doing Business indicators (particularly the 5-year change in DB indicators). Indonesia 21
Main objectives of Contribution by SECO’s program Indonesia’s country development objectives SECO’s interventions (from 2010-14 RPJM) Objective 3: • Through reform and investment measures, energy Infrastructure development and better connectivity Environmental protection, providers are increasingly able to offer a reliable across the Indonesian archipelago are a key climate change mitigation basic infrastructure based on energy efficiency objective given that infrastructure issues are and sustainable urbanization and renewable energy sources; sustainability and considered a major constraint to enhanced climate compatibility are included as important economic growth. The coordination of policies that criteria in energy policy; additional kilowatt- are enabling investment into infrastructure (i.e. PPP hoursfrom renewable energy and from energy- frameworks, land acquisition and spatial planning) efficiency measures through project interventions. needs to be enhanced. Selected indicator: Savings in greenhouse gas Increase of private sector participation and emissions (in tCO2). provision of a set of rules and regulations that create incentives for investors to engage. • Support for improved planning capacity and financial structuring through the development of Energy supply including renewable energy: integrated urban infrastructure development. Indonesia’s low energy generation capacity is Selected indicator: Population numbers expected addressed with a “crash program” that plans to to benefit from development plans; number of add 15,000 MW by 2014, of which one-third – or a persons having access to improved public total of 5,000 MW – should come from renewable services; ratio to output unit of energy (mainly geothermal). • water volume Environmental protection and climate change • raw materials mitigation: efforts to reduce deforestation would • energy contribute to Indonesia’s ambitious GHG emission • CO2 reduction targets (-26% by 2020 compared to BAU) • waste volume are most prominent here, but addressing degrada- tion of river basins and pollution from industrial activities is also mentioned, as is the increasing importance of disaster risks. The strategy will be monitored on an annual basis, with SECO’s strategy is aligned with the development strat- the following purposes: egy of the partner country. Therefore, the annual country Institutional learning: Documentation and repli- strategy monitoring also seeks to verify that SECO’s cation of best practices or lessons learnt. portfolio does indeed contribute to the achievement of Monitoring of relevance, topicality, efficiency and the partner country’s development goals. Adaptive or effectiveness of SECO’s programs and projects (and corrective measures will be implemented if any major corrections/adaptations where necessary) changes occur in the country context or development Accountability: goals occur. • between the field and headquarters • to the public • to the partner country 22 Indonesia
6. Partner institutions SECO continues to work with both local and interna- ticular, SECO will work with the following main partners, tional partners in the public and private sector. In par- depending on the thematic priority: Abbreviation Institution Local partners Bappenas National Development Planning Agency (Indonesia) CMEA Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs DGIPR Directorate General for Intellectual Property Rights KLH Ministry of Environment (Kementerian Negara Lingkungan Hidup) MOF Ministry of Finance MOI Ministry of Industry MOT Ministry of Trade MTCE Ministry of Tourism and Creative Economy OJK Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (Indonesia Financial Services Authority) PU Ministry of Public Works Swiss partners IPI Swiss Federal Institute for Intellectual Property SC Swisscontact SIFEM Swiss Investment Fund for Emerging Markets SIPPO Swiss Import Promotion Programme International partners GIZ Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit HEID Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies IFC International Finance Cooperation ILO International Labour Organization IMF International Monetary Fund ITC International Trade Centre ITTO International Tropical Timber Organization IUCN International Union for the Conservation of Nature KFW Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau PPIAF (WB) Public Private Infrastructure Advisory Facility PIDG Private Infrastructure Development Group UNCTAD United Nations Conference on Trade and Development UNIDO United Nations Industrial Development Organization UNDP United Nation Development Program WB World Bank Indonesia 23
7. Statistical annex The following data from the respective years are national bodies, including the IMF 7, the World Economic based on statistics from the World Bank and other inter- Forum, the ILO and the UNDP. 2012 2013 Sustainable Growth* 2008 2009 2010 2011 (proj.) (proj.) GDP per capita (current international USD) 2.212 2.299 2.981 3.509 3.797 4.255 Real GDP growth (annual %) 6.0 4.6 6.2 6.5 6.1 6.6 Global Competitiveness Index (rank) – – 54 44 46 – External debt stocks (% of GDP) 28.9 30.2 25.3 – – – Government gross debt (% of GDP) 33.2 28.6 27.4 25.0 23.2 21.1 Gross Capital Formation (% of GDP) 28 31 32 – – – Inflation. average consumer prices (annual %) 9.8 4.8 5.1 5.4 6.2 6.0 Domestic credit provided by banking sector (% of GDP) 36.8 37.0 36.5 – – – Interest rate spread8 5.1 5.2 6.2 – – – Strengthened integration 2008 2009 2010 2011 in the world economy* Exports of goods and services (E) (% of GDP) 29.8 28.7 24.1 – Imports of goods and services (I) (% of GDP) 28.7 24.1 21.3 – FDI (net inflows. BoP. current USD) (millions) 9.318 4.877 13.371 – 7 International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2012. 8 Lending rate minus deposit rate (%). 24 Indonesia
Reduction of disparities* 2008 2009 2010 2011 Gini index 9 – – – – Unemployment rate (%). labor force survey 8.4 7.9 7.1 6.6 Poverty headcount ratio at national 15.4 14.2 13.3 – poverty line (% of population) Improved water source. urban 89 – 92 – (% of population with access) Improved sanitation facilities. urban 36 – 73 – (% of population) Access to electricity (%) – 64.5 – – Improvement of economic governance* 2008 2009 2010 2011 Ease of doing business (rank) 129 122 121 129 Trade across borders (rank) – 45 47 39 Governance indicators of the World Bank: 10 a) Government effectiveness (%) 46.6 46.4 47.8 – b) Regulatory quality (%) 44.7 43.1 39.7 – c) Rule of law (%) 31.7 34.1 31.3 – d) Control of corruption (%) 33.5 21.5 27.3 – Improvement of environmental conditions* 2008 2009 2010 2011 CO2 emissions / population (tonnes per capita) 1.69 1.64 – – Share of renewable energy of TPES (%) 34.4 34.6 – – Energy use per unit of GDP (tonnes of oil equivalent 0.22 0.22 – – per thousand US dollars) 11 * Missing data due to one of the following reasons: – Depending on source, no projections available – Statistics collected only on perennial base – Data for the respective year not yet available 9 A value of 0 represents absolute equality, and a value of 100 absolute inequality. 10 Percentile rank indicates the percentage of countries worldwide that rate below the selected country. Higher values indicate better governance ratings. 11 The GDP data have been compiled for individual countries at market prices in local currency and annual rates. These data have been scaled up/down to the price levels of 2000 and then converted to US dollars using the yearly average exchange rates of 2000 or purchasing power parities (PPPs). Indonesia 25
You can also read