IHP news 565 : Acceleration - International Health Policies
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IHP news 565 : Acceleration ( 27 March 2020) The weekly International Health Policies (IHP) newsletter is an initiative of the Health Policy unit at the Institute of Tropical Medicine in Antwerp, Belgium. Pour les lecteurs qui préfèrent une version française de la newsletter: à partir de cette semaine, nous essayons également de fournir une traduction française (voir pdf). Dear Colleagues, As we all see the horrific images of overwhelmed health systems and immeasurable sadness of the people left behind on our tv screens, day after day and in country after country, and with a “Third Wave” now starting to hit LMICs, refugee camps and other very vulnerable populations, this is perhaps not the right moment to ask too many questions, or contemplate already the post-Covid-19 world. And yet, we must, as it’s clear that some countries, societies and health systems are coping better, while others feel in many ways the neoliberal (globalization) edifice coming down like never before (although admittedly, some so called “leaders” are also giving a hand…). By the way, you probably noticed with me that the likes of Steven “the world is slowly but steadily getting better” Pinker - also quite popular in some global health circles, I recall - are remarkably silent these days. Against the backdrop of the now rapidly accelerating pandemic, and with billions of people under a lockdown regime, dr. Tedros used a football metaphor earlier this week to describe the situation: “We shouldn’t just defend (cfr the lockdowns), but also attack”. Clearly, Tedros is no fan of José Mourinho, he probably favours Jürgen Klopp’s strategies (but who doesn’t like Klopp, these days, in global health ?) PS: I bet Tedros already misses high-level football as much as I do, it’s the one neoliberal toy I can’t do without. With FIFA, WHO also started a campaign earlier this week, the “Pass the message to kick out coronavirus” campaign. While central banks, multilateral organisations & development banks, massive stimulus packages, … under the leadership/coordination of the G20 (or not), will hopefully be able to prevent the worst including in terms of global economic impact, now that suddenly and almost magically all neoliberal monetary & fiscal frameworks are being abandoned (Let’s call it the Covid-19 version of ‘Billions becoming Trillions’ (ahum)), I hope dr. Tedros will also be inspired by the wisdom of Marcus Aurelius, who invented a ‘Pandemic tax’ for the rich in the year 166 already. Hope he’ll use one of his media briefings to argue forcefully for a global “corona-tax” on the strongest shoulders. I reckon he can start with some of these football super stars featured in the campaign spots ! #Solidarity Meanwhile, as you might recall, 2020 is also the ‘Year of the Nurse & Midwife’. And boy it is. But it’s not just nurses and other care workers working their asses off (often in dangerous conditions, given the lack of proper protection material), the same goes for the many ordinary people who keep working and on whom we rely to maintain a semblance of normality in our societies - the often underpaid people in supermarkets, cleaning ladies, postmen & women, … and who also worry about the Covid-19 risk they run, by the way… It’s abundantly clear now who has a ‘bullshit job’ (see 1
Graeber) in ordinary times and who doesn’t (PS: Slightly worried about mine too ). Let’s hope we’ll remember that when, one day, we will build up again a hopefully fairer world on the ashes of the Covid-19 tragedy. Enjoy your reading. Kristof Decoster Featured Article Political forces in the frontlines of service delivery: How do they matter in India and beyond? Sudha Ramani (Doctoral Scholar, Tata Institute of Social Sciences, Mumbai; Fellow, Health Policy Analysis Program ) The 6th Global Symposium on Health Systems Research (Dubai 2020) intends to facilitate deeper engagement with the political forces that surround health systems. While politics exist everywhere and at all levels, there is a tendency to equate these forces with ‘Big Politics’, the power dynamics that play out at global and national levels. In doing so, the micro-level political forces at the frontline of service delivery, that is, the set of everyday conditions that create frontline behaviours and shape ground-level action, often get discounted. But these micro-level political forces merit careful consideration. These forces have the potential to explain why certain underlying challenges continue to persist in health systems, leading to health inequities. Indeed, many of the work by Dr. Lucy Gilson and team (for instance, see here) focus on the ‘everyday politics’ in health systems. In this article, I talk about how and why we need to engage with the micro-level everyday politics in health systems from my experiences. As a doctoral scholar, I have had the opportunity to spend some time observing the frontline of public primary health care delivery in rural India and engaging in discussions at this level. In these settings, medical doctors have often been blamed for having disrespectful attitudes or exhibiting behaviour that amounts to negligence of patients. However, an alternate way of looking at these attitudes and behaviour is by considering these as ways through which doctors cope with the everyday situational complexities they face. Such a perspective resonates with theorists such as Lipsky (1980), who hold that frontline health providers do not exhibit ‘random acts’ of poor behaviour; instead, such acts are contextually-rooted. When considered through the above lens, doctors appear to navigate an extremely complex world. Professionally, they face a world that touts primary care models as accessible and affordable means to health equity and yet, the actual provision of primary care is associated with little prestige. Doctors share that they often feel like invisible workers, who merely complete mandated checklists imposed on them by senior management. In these settings, helping patients beyond these select mandates is often considered risky behaviour. For instance, a professionally laudable act like attempting to do a complicated delivery of a woman who simply cannot reach referral care on time is thought of as risky since any mishaps could give government health services a bad name and the media would leave no stone unturned to blame the doctor. In the web of power relationships that doctors function within, 2
they are expected to be the “master-spiders”, yet, they often report feeling like trapped insects. In coping with several unrealistic demands from the system, limited support to staff and a culture of risk- avoidance, most doctors appear resigned to being less-than-ideal professionals. The above experiences show that micro-level, everyday politics in health systems matters. While ‘Big Politics’ determines broadly what policy solutions get to the table, the effect of these solutions is often shaped at the frontline. If frontline politics matter and can shape the way policies work, what can we do about it? For instance, in this case, how can we make doctors feel secure enough to take necessary professional risks? How can we create a culture where doctors can voice their concerns rather than remain silent about impractical or unrealistic expectations? There are no ready-made answers to such questions. But one does see scattered positive indications that such answers are worth looking for. Once, I met an exceptionally committed doctor, who had painstakingly created an innovative kitchen garden in his health facility for the use of families with malnourished children. To me, such doctors signal that despite organizational constraints and other conditions that limit them, doctors can do more than what they do now, when they think of themselves as leaders and change agents. Thus, interventions that provide space for frontline participation, reflection and leadership can bring about culture change and make deep contributions to improving health systems. But in the Indian setting, health systems strengthening has, conventionally, mostly been about structural interventions (the procurement of drugs and equipment, recruiting human resources and technical training). In fact, the Indian government has recently committed to a large-scale structural program to strengthen primary-level services (see here). While there is no denying that such initiatives are critical, our field experiences signal that even if they are properly resourced, they may not be adequate to overcome all frontline hurdles. There is also a need to work with the ‘software’, that is, the ideas, beliefs and values within health systems. Health system reform frameworks in India need to acknowledge the myriad interactions between the structural inputs and the system ‘software’. For instance, in this case, the uptake of structural interventions like technical training in the frontline may not be optimal if the primary care doctors are not motivated to act; but at the same time, one cannot realistically motivate all doctors to perform under stark conditions of insufficient resources. Hence, structural inputs need to be combined with culture change interventions for the system to really improve. One set of interventions is handicapped without the other in place. Having said this, I must also point out that culture change interventions in the Indian setting are definitely not easy to design. Prior experiences warn us that the ‘letter’ of such interventions can get enacted even while their ‘spirit’ gets sacrificed. There is no denying that it is a challenge to design and implement interventions that remain true to the spirit of culture change, particularly in top-down hierarchies wherein frontline thinking and power have been historically supressed. But if we really consider health systems as Complex Adaptive Systems, it is evident that we need to move into these less familiar intervention arenas. To conclude, globally, we have recognised that engaging with frontline political forces is essential for bringing about lasting positive changes in health systems. As we move forward, however, there is much more to think about. What combination of interventions is feasible? What sort of time frames do culture change interventions need? How can we truly embed such interventions? These are some questions to deliberate on in the upcoming symposium (fingers crossed that it materializes!) and beyond. 3
The author would like to acknowledge Dr. Kerry Scott, Dr. Stephanie Topp and Kristof Decoster for their inputs. Highlights of the week Lancet Global Health (Comment) - COVID-19 gives the lie to global health expertise Sarah Dalglish https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30739- X/fulltext “As the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak began spreading in Europe and the USA, a chart started circulating online showing ratings from the 2019 Global Health Security Index, an assessment of 195 countries' capacity to face infectious disease outbreaks, compiled by the US-based Nuclear Threat Initiative and the Johns Hopkins School of Public Health's Center for Health Security. The USA was ranked first, and the UK second; South Korea was ranked ninth, and China 51st; most African countries were at the bottom of the ranking. Things look different now….” “Is preparedness in the eye of the beholder? COVID-19 is giving the lie to prevailing notions of expertise and solidarity. The global health model is based in large part on technical assistance and capacity building by the US, the UK, and other rich countries, whose response has been sclerotic and delayed at best. A recent report by Global Health 50/50 showed … . Global health will never be the same after COVID-19—it cannot be. The pandemic has given the lie to the notion that expertise is concentrated in, or at least best channelled by, legacy powers and historically rich states. We must move quickly, for our own security, beyond the rhetoric of equality to the reality of a more democratic, more multipolar, more networked, and more distributed understanding and operation of global health. …” Why WHO needs a feminist economic agenda Lancet Comment by A Herten-Crabb & Sara Davies; https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30110-0/fulltext “In September, 2019, Alan Donnelly and Ilona Kickbusch called for a chief economist at WHO. Such a position, they argued, would enable WHO to better advocate for greater recognition of, and thus action on, the interdependency of health and the economy. We support this proposal: recognition of the interdependence of health and the economy is vital for WHO to achieve its mandate: “the enjoyment of the highest attainable standard of health…without distinction of race, religion, political belief, economic or social condition”. Given this mandate, WHO should be more ambitious than the appointment of one economist. A more strategic and enlightened approach, especially in the aftermath of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, would be for WHO to embrace and articulate a feminist economic agenda….” 4
“A feminist economic agenda interrogates power dynamics and peoples’ relative access to and use of wealth and resources. A feminist economic lens that incorporates intersectionality must address the power dynamics between genders and acknowledge the power relationships between nation states, ethnicities, ages, abilities, and other dimensions of diversity, and how they are interconnected with gender inequality and the economy…” One of the must-reads of the week. Lancet World Report - WHO launches crowdfund for COVID- 19 response In other WHO related news, check out this Lancet World Report - WHO launches crowdfund for COVID-19 response “For the first time, WHO is asking the general public and private donors for support. The project is a test run for the WHO Foundation, to be launched later this year. Ann Danaiya Usher reports.” “The mechanism is unprecedented for WHO, says Kate Dodson at the UN Foundation. While UN agencies such as UNICEF have a long tradition of private fundraising, this has never been the case for WHO. Because of the agency's standard-setting role, it has been seen as important to keep an arm's length from private interests. This breakthrough was possible in the midst of the current health crisis because the UN Foundation has a well established relationship with WHO, she says….” “Suerie Moon, co-director of the Global Health Centre at the Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies in Geneva, Switzerland, says the donors’ failure to step up left WHO with little choice. “Their backs are against the wall. Ideally, governments would adequately fund WHO to do the work they have asked the agency to do”, she says. “The launch of the Solidarity Response Fund is a good sign that WHO is agile and responding quickly to a rapidly changing situation. But the real question is why do they need to do so in the first place? It reflects donors’ total failure to fund the response to this outbreak at the international level.” According to Gaudenz Silberschmidt, director for health and multilateral partnerships at WHO, the origins of this new COVID-19 fund are linked to another, much larger project: the WHO Foundation, an external independent entity that will broaden WHO's funding base by raising money from the general public, private foundations, and the private sector.;..” Covid-19 Given that you probably all get your daily dose of Covid-19 updates, via newspapers like the Guardian/NYT/… or more specific health news media (like STAT, Cidrap News, HPW, …) and daily global health newsletters, as this is a weekly newsletter, we will try to focus on our knowledge management role in our own niche – that is, with a focus on analysis (rather than the latest updates), and links with global health policy/governance and health policy & systems. Structure of this big Covid-19 section: (1) Some additional resources; (2) Funding updates (& multilateral coordination); (3) some key news updates (of which you should be aware); (4) Science 5
(with a focus on readable articles on scientific trends on vaccines, drugs, …); (5) Analysis (from various angles). Focus lies on the Analysis section. Figures from this morning (via JH university global dashboard): “The global number of confirmed cases of coronavirus has passed 532,000; The latest number of confirmed deaths worldwide was 24,072.” (1) Resources WHO Technical guidance on Covid-19 (by topic) https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/technical-guidance Constantly updated. FT – Coronavirus tracked https://www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest Now open access. With the daily visualisations of trajectories of different countries (also split up subnationally). Stat News also launched a new Covid-19 Tracker with helpful data on case numbers by country, state, province and county. Global MediXchange for Combating COVID-19 (GMCC) https://covid-19.alibabacloud.com/#J_7231040460 “The Jack Ma Foundation and Alibaba Foundation jointly established the Global MediXchange for Combating COVID-19 (GMCC) programme, with the support of Alibaba Cloud Intelligence and Alibaba Health, to help combat the global outbreak of the novel coronavirus, COVID-19. This programme was established to facilitate online communication and collaboration across borders, as well as provide frontline medical teams around the world with the necessary communication channels to share practical experience about fighting the pandemic. This center offers overseas Chinese compatriots with COVID-19 prevention and treatment consultation from frontline doctors, and supports medical scientific research institutions with AI, big data, and cloud computing capabilities…” PS: with the support of the GMCC, the Chinese experts have also published the Handbook of COVID- 19 Prevention and Treatment. 6
George institute for Global Health - Frontline health workers in COVID-19 prevention and control: rapid evidence synthesis https://www.georgeinstitute.org.in/frontline-health-workers-in-covid-19-prevention-and-control- rapid-evidence-synthesis “… The Government of India is embarking on a mammoth task to prevent COVID-19 spread among communities. The Rapid Evidence Synthesis team received a request to support the planning and development of resources for ensuring preparedness of FLHWs (frontline health workers) for COVID-19 . The rapid evidence synthesis was conducted in a period of three days. The findings highlight what we can learn from recent pandemics such that we are prepared for potential scenarios and challenges due to COVID-19….” HSG (Wakelet) COVID-19: sharing learning and evidence for health policy and systems https://wakelet.com/wake/e30cc9ad-dba9-4928-8972-765da1519c04 “An ongoing collection of articles, blogs, social and multimedia content exploring evidence and learning on and for health policy and systems responses to COVID-19 (Coronavirus). Curated by members of Health Systems Global (HSG)…” WHO Afro newsletter on Covid-19 http://whotogo-whoafroccmaster.newsweaver.com/JournalEnglishNewsletter/jme2vxx6b31 A weekly newsletter focusing on the African region. See the WHO Afro website on Covid-19. You find the situation reports & newsletters on Covid-19 there, as well as the dashboard. Meanwhile, “African countries move from COVID-19 readiness to response as many confirm cases.” There’s also a weekly briefing (on Thursday – lunchtime). Covid-19 visualizer https://www.covidvisualizer.com/ Using the most-up to date data. 7
EQUINET Information sheet on COVID-19 - Produced by Training and Research Support Centre for the Regional Network for Equity in Health in east and southern Africa (EQUINET)1 March 20, 2020 https://www.equinetafrica.org/sites/default/files/uploads/documents/EQUINET%20COVID%20brief 1%20%2020March.pdf Recommended. Focus on East & Southern Africa. COVID-19 and the Core Humanitarian Standard: How to meet our CHS commitments in the coronavirus pandemic https://www.chsalliance.org/get-support/article/covid-19-and-the-chs/ (from Civil society). “The Core Humanitarian Standard on Quality and Accountability (CHS) sets out our sector’s core commitments to the people we assist.” Some other resources: • Social Science in Humanitarian Action (brief) - Key considerations: online information, mis- and disinformation in the context of COVID-19 • WHO - WHO Information note on COVID-19 and NCDs WHO information note on #COVID19 and #NCDs. “Older people and people with preexisting conditions (as heart diseases, diabetes, respiratory conditions) appear to be more susceptible to becoming severely ill with the #coronavirus. “ • WHO Tips for Living in Quarantine (7 tips) (2) Funding & coordination With an overview of funding announcements, multilateral initiatives taken, etc. UN Launches humanitarian appeal https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/03/1060222 “To confront the unprecedented worldwide challenge posed by the COVID-19 Coronavirus pandemic, top UN officials on Wednesday, launched a massive humanitarian appeal to mitigate its impact, particularly on fragile countries with weak health systems.” 8
“At a joint virtual press briefing, Secretary-General António Guterres, UN Humanitarian Coordinator Mark Lowcock, UN Children’s Fund (UNICEF) Executive Director Henrietta Fore and World Health Organization (WHO) Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, launched a $2 billion coordinated global humanitarian response plan, to fight COVID-19 in some of the world’s most vulnerable countries in a bid to protect the millions most at risk….” You find the full (Global Humanitarian Response on Covid-19) plan here. PS: you wonder why it’s an ‘appeal’, though, now that central banks etc are ‘creating’ trillions for economic stimulus packages … Reuters - UN to create global coronavirus fund, Norway says https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-unitednations-norw/un-to-create-global- coronavirus-fund-norway-says-idUSKBN21A0Q4 As you notice, Norway was one of the key initiators of this UN donor fund. “…The purpose of the fund is to assist developing countries with weak health systems in addressing the crisis as well as to tackle the long-term consequences. … Norway, which suggested the fund, has not committed how much money it would put into the initiative, similar to a 2014 United Nations Ebola Response Fund….” “…On Thursday, the UN secretary general António Guterres warned “millions” of lives were at stake if the international community did not show solidarity, especially with the world’s poorest countries, amid the coronavirus outbreak….” Devex - World Bank, IFC look to quickly deploy COVID-19 funds https://www.devex.com/news/world-bank-ifc-look-to-quickly-deploy-covid-19-funds-96813 “Using new funds, existing vehicles, and fast-track authorities, the World Bank and International Finance Corporation aim to get recently announced COVID-19 funding to the countries and companies that need it fast, to tackle immediate health needs, and also to address longer-term economic and social impacts….” See also Reuters - World Bank moving forward on first $1.7 billion in pandemic aid projects In less positive (WB related) news (FT), Waiting game continues for pandemic bonds payout “Countries will not find out until April whether virus-fighting funds will be released.” “Poor countries affected by the coronavirus outbreak will have to wait until the middle of next month to find out if the World Bank’s specially designed “pandemic bonds” will release funds to help fight the disease. Some investors are questioning whether they will pay out at all…. … The bonds require 84 days to have passed since the outbreak date determined by the World Health Organization, which is a milestone that will be reached on March 23. But the World Bank says it will take a further two and a half weeks to determine if the final trigger conditions for the bonds have 9
been met, meaning investors and governments will find out on April 9 at the earliest. … … Investors are already bracing for steep losses as all but two of these conditions have been reached; among them, a minimum of 2,500 deaths, and more than 20 of them outside of the country of origin…..” African finance ministers call for $100 billion stimulus, debt holiday https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2020-03-23/african-finance-ministers-call-for-100- billion-stimulus-debt-holiday (from last week already) “African finance ministers have called for a $100 billion stimulus package, including a suspension of debt service payments, to help the continent combat coronavirus. … Some $44 billion would come from not servicing debt and they would also tap existing facilities in the World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF), African Development Bank (AfDB) and other regional institutions. … “ … The ministers held a virtual conference on Thursday to discuss how to deal with the social and economic impacts of the pandemic on African nations, a statement by the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa said on Monday….” Africa leads calls for debt relief in face of coronavirus crisis https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2020/mar/25/africa-leads-calls-for-debt-relief- in-face-of-coronavirus-crisis “IMF and World Bank lend their support in bid to help poorest countries strengthen their health systems.” “Government ministers across Africa have called for the suspension of debt interest payments as the Covid-19 crisis deepens. … … On Monday the heads of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund expressed support for debt relief to help countries strengthen their health systems in readiness. During a conference call for G20 ministers on Monday, the IMF’s leader, Kristalina Georgieva, pointed to the replenishing of funds used in a debt relief and aid mechanism during the 2014 Ebola epidemic that struck three African countries. The ministers also requested that principal payments – the actual debt payment, as opposed to interest charges – be waived for fragile states, where people are deeply vulnerable to a pandemic….” • See also the Guardian - Urgent call to head off new debt crisis in developing world “Covid-19 crisis is raising borrowing costs for poorer nations just as commodity exports, tourism and remittances sent home fall.” • And see also the Guardian - Western governments told to suspend debt interest amid Covid-19 “IMF and World Bank asking countries to agree to requests for forbearance.” 10
G7 G7 Finance ministers pledged “to do whatever is necessary” (to restore confidence & economic growth…” . G7 Foreign ministers apparently didn’t reach agreement on a joint consensus statement, as Pompeo (the American Minister of State) insisted on calling the virus the ‘Wuhan virus’. G20 virtual summit (hosted by Saudi Arabia) (26 March) https://g20.org/en/media/Pages/default.aspx Ahead of Thursday’s G20 virtual summit, a number of op-eds were published, advocating for a thorough joint G20 response, both in terms of public health & economic coordination. Or with some more specific demands. A virtual meeting of Finance ministers also took place, early in the week (23 March) The COVID-19 pandemic: A letter to G20 leaders Erik Berglöf, Jeremy Farrar et al; https://voxeu.org/article/covid-19-pandemic-letter-g20-leaders “The COVID-19 pandemic is a two-pronged health and economic crisis, and requires a two-pronged response. Ahead of an extraordinary meeting of G20 Leaders, this letter signed by 20 economists and global health experts has one simple message: this crisis is global and requires unprecedented cooperation across countries and disciplines.” Check out what they asked, both in terms of public health response (see also below) (including proper financing of WHO, obviously) & global economic coordination. Project Syndicate - A Pandemic Strategy as Global as COVID-19 Erik Berglöf: https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/covid19-pandemic-g20-cooperation- by-erik-berglof-2020-03 Excerpt: “The Global Preparedness Monitoring Board has requested at least $8 billion in immediate new funding, including $1 billion to strengthen the WHO’s emergency and preparedness response, $250 million for surveillance and control measures, $2 billion for vaccine development, $1 billion for distributed manufacturing and delivery of vaccines, and $1.5 billion for therapeutic drugs to treat COVID-19….” … “G20 finance ministers must provide the necessary resources … “ 11
Global Justice Now - G20 must fund ‘massive global health plan’ to tackle coronavirus crisis https://www.globaljustice.org.uk/news/2020/mar/22/g20-must-fund-massive-global-health-plan- tackle-coronavirus-crisis Joint statement from Amnesty International, CIVICUS and Transparency International: The G20 must put human rights and the public interest at the heart of its response to the Covid-19 pandemic Transparency international; Jim O’Neill in Project Syndicate - The G20’s Pandemic Moment https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/g20-must-create-covid-fund-by-jim-o-neill-2020- 03 Jim O’Neill also hoped that the G20 would seize the ‘Pandemic Moment’: “Just as a meager investment to address antimicrobial resistance could yield a 2,000% return in the future, so, too, would an immediate modest outlay to finance development of COVID-19 therapeutics. As world leaders gather to formulate a response to the crisis, they must not lose sight of this simple cost- benefit calculus.” “Given the risks, the G20 will have no excuse if it fails to muster at least that amount [10 billion] for the immediate provision of COVID-19 diagnostics and treatments, and another $10 billion to kick- start the market for new antibiotics.” G20 Finance ministers’ virtual meeting (23 March) • WB president (D Malpass) - Remarks by World Bank Group President David Malpass on G20 Finance Ministers Conference Call on COVID-19 “… Today I want to make a call to action to the G20. I urge all official bilateral creditors of the poorest countries to act with immediate effect to help IDA countries through debt relief, allowing the countries to concentrate their resources on fighting the pandemic. In many cases this will require comprehensive and fair debt restructuring that includes NPV reductions sufficient for restoring debt sustainability. … … I’m calling on the G20 Leaders to allow the poorest countries to suspend all repayments of official bilateral credit until the World Bank and the IMF have made a full assessment of their reconstruction and financing needs…” • Guardian - G20 finance ministers' talks hampered by US-China standoff - Ministers fail to issue joint declaration on response to coronavirus as divisions persist 12
“G20 finance ministers have held telephone talks but were not expected to issue a joint declaration, as divisions persist primarily between the US and China over responsibility for the coronavirus pandemic….” For the press release of the virtual meeting, see G20. G20 Leaders’ virtual summit (26 March) Via the Guardian: “Leaders of the G20 industrialised nations, meeting in a virtual video conference call, have committed to do “whatever it takes” to minimise the social and economic damage of the world-wide pandemic. But a largely unspecific and uncontroversial joint communique set no specific commitments such as deferring debt repayment to the world’s poorest countries, as sought by the World Bank and the IMF. The two hour long meeting agreed to assess gaps in pandemic preparedness and increase funding for research and development in funding for vaccines and medicines, an area in which the G20 has shown an active interest in the past. However, an IMF call for a doubling of its funding to $2 trillion was not addressed specifically in the communique. The joint statement instead asserted G20 members had already undertaken a $5 trillion stimulus, through targeted fiscal policy and insurance schemes…” You find the full communiqué here. With four sections, the first one on ‘Fighting the pandemic’. A few excerpts: “…The G20 is committed to do whatever it takes to overcome the pandemic, along with the World Health Organization (WHO), International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank Group (WBG), United Nations (UN), and other international organizations, working within their existing mandates. We are determined to spare no effort, both individually and collectively, to: …” “…We fully support and commit to further strengthen the WHO’s mandate in coordinating the international fight against the pandemic, including the protection of front-line health workers, delivery of medical supplies, especially diagnostic tools, treatments, medicines, and vaccines. We acknowledge the necessity of urgent short-term actions to step up the global efforts to fight the COVID-19 crisis. We will quickly work together and with stakeholders to close the financing gap in the WHO Strategic Preparedness and Response Plan. We further commit to provide immediate resources to the WHO’s COVID-19 Solidarity Response Fund, the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness and Innovation (CEPI) and Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, on a voluntary basis. We call upon all countries, international organizations, the private sector, philanthropies, and individuals to contribute to these efforts….” “We ask the WHO, in cooperation with relevant organizations, to assess gaps in pandemic preparedness and report to a joint meeting of Finance and Health Ministers in the coming months, with a view to establish a global initiative on pandemic preparedness and response. This initiative will capitalize on existing programs to align priorities in global preparedness and act as a universal, efficient, sustained funding and coordination platform to accelerate the development and delivery of vaccines, diagnostics and treatments…” • PS: notice the difference between the ‘voluntary’ global health funding & “We are injecting over $5 trillion into the global economy, as part of targeted fiscal policy, economic 13
measures, and guarantee schemes to counteract the social, economic and financial impacts of the pandemic.” • PS: Tedros’ statement at the G20 summit - WHO’s Director General calls on G20 to Fight, Unite, and Ignite against COVID-19 (with also a quick overview of the G20 pledges & commitments) • After the virtual meeting, Boris Johnson also announced a US$270 million boost in funding for CEPI. “The extra funding makes the UK the largest single contributor to the international coalition searching for a vaccine.” Global Fund Supports Countries in Response to COVID-19 https://www.theglobalfund.org/en/updates/other-updates/2020-03-23-global-fund-supports- countries-in-response-to-covid-19/ “Under WHO guidance, the Global Fund strongly encourages countries to take prompt action to mitigate the potential negative consequences of COVID-19 on existing programs supported by Global Fund grants. Particular attention should be given to health worker protection, communication with affected communities, maintenance of essential services, supply chain coordination, early replenishment of stocks, disinfection of assets, and waste management. Fifteen countries and a regional grant have already accessed the funds to support their response. The 15 countries include Afghanistan, Belarus, Bhutan, El Salvador, Eritrea, Georgia, India, Kyrgyzstan, Madagascar, Malawi, Malaysia, Moldova, Myanmar, Rwanda and Ukraine. The regional grant in West Africa covers border screening and passenger tracing in five countries along the Abidjan-Lagos corridor….” Gavi Board calls for bold engagement to respond to COVID-19 https://www.gavi.org/news/media-room/gavi-board-calls-bold-engagement-respond-covid-19 (21 March) “With the COVID-19 pandemic already affecting 47 Gavi-supported countries, Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance has already taken new steps to help strengthen the preparedness of health systems in lower-income countries with the full support of its Board. Gavi will also be working closely with WHO, CEPI, World Bank, UNICEF and other partners to create the optimal conditions for the acceleration of priority candidate vaccines with a focus on access including assuring adequate scale up of production and delivery to be sure the vaccine gets to where it is needed to stem the pandemic….” You might also want to read Seth Berkley’s Science Editorial - COVID-19 needs a Manhattan Project “…If ever there was a case for a coordinated global vaccine development effort using a “big science” approach, it is now….” Berkley explains what such a Manhattan project for a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine would require. 14
KFF - Preparing for COVID-19 in Low and Middle Income Countries: Leveraging U.S. Global Health Assets J Kates et al ; https://www.kff.org/global-health-policy/issue-brief/preparing-for-covid-19-in-low- and-middle-income-countries-leveraging-u-s-global-health-assets/ “To assess where the U.S. government has existing global health assets that could be mobilized when and if needed, we identified all countries that received U.S. government bilateral global health assistance in FY 2018. We also identified LMICs that the U.S. has designated as high-priority for receiving COVID-19 assistance….” Some other Funding & (stakeholder) coordination news: • Tweet Tedros: “Today the #COVID19 Solidarity Response Fund reached over $100M in donations & pledges from individuals & orgs.” • Tweet: “The #EU will support the @WHO global preparedness and response plan with €114 million to help weaker health systems tackle #coronavirus. Another €15 million are for rapid diagnosis and epidemiological surveillance in Africa, including for the Institute Pasteur Dakar.” • OECD Action plan on Covid-19 : https://www.oecd.org/coronavirus/ • Global Financing Facility - The GFF’s Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic (3) Some Key Updates of the past week As we already mentioned, it’s impossible to give a full overview of all key updates related to the (now very much global) pandemic, especially as the ‘Third Wave’ of the pandemic (after China + East Asia, and then Europe/US) has unfortunately fully started now, also hitting very vulnerable populations. We will also not try to give a geographical overview (KFF has good daily updates on this, per continent/region). So in general, for this section, we refer to your daily updates, newsletters, media, … Here just some of the things that struck our attention the past week. Many of these will also come back, under some form, in the Analysis section. We will also try to give some key WHO messages from this week. But check out certainly the daily briefings from Tedros, Ryan, … here. In no particular order: COVID-19: UN chief calls for global ceasefire to focus on ‘the true fight of our lives’ https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/03/1059972 15
Just one example of the bizarre times we’re living in… “In an appeal issued on Monday, UN Secretary-General António Guterres urged warring parties across the world to lay down their weapons in support of the bigger battle against COVID-19: the common enemy that is now threatening all of humankind.” See also UN News - Ease sanctions against countries fighting COVID-19: UN human rights chief “As the COVID-19 pandemic progresses, the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights on Tuesday called for an easing of sanctions against countries such as Iran to allow their medical systems to fight the disease and limit its global spread. Michelle Bachelet said humanitarian exemptions to sanctions measures should be authorized for essential medical equipment and supplies to avoid the collapse of any national healthcare system. …” Should be a no-brainer, indeed, but unfortunately the US don’t see it like that (vs Iran, Venezuela, …) Foreign Policy – The Next Wave https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/03/23/coronavirus-hitting-developing-countries-war-zones-united- nations-urgent-donation-appeal-syria-gaza-yemen-south-sudanthe-next-wave/ Background piece related to the UN Humanitarian Appeal (see above): “U.N. and relief agencies warn the coronavirus pandemic could leave an even bigger path of destruction in the world’s most vulnerable and conflict-riven countries.” “…“While all countries need to respond to COVID-19, countries with existing humanitarian crisis are particularly vulnerable and will require all humanitarian partners to look at their existing operations to see how they can be reprioritized and adapted [to tackle the virus],” according to a confidential draft Global Humanitarian Response Plan reviewed by Foreign Policy. … … As the arc of the pathogen spreads from global capitals to war zones and refugee camps, U.N. relief officials and aid organizations are bracing for what they fear could be a cataclysmic second phase of the pandemic: spreading in the close-quarters encampments of the world’s more than 25 million refugees and another 40 million internally displaced people….” See also the Guardian - This virus is ravaging rich countries. What happens when it hits the poor ones? Guardian - Everyone will be contaminated': prisons face strict coronavirus controls https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2020/mar/23/everyone-will-be-contaminated- prisons-face-strict-coronavirus-controls “New WHO guidelines are aimed at protecting one of the most vulnerable sectors of society from the spread of Covid-19.” 16
WHO - United States could become coronavirus epicenter: WHO https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-who-usa/u-s-has-potential-of-becoming- coronavirus-epicentre-says-who-idUSKBN21B1FT One of WHO’s key messages this week. And probably an understatement… “The United States has the potential to become the new epicenter of the coronavirus pandemic due to a “very large acceleration” in infections there, the World Health Organization said on Tuesday. Over the past 24 hours, 85 percent of new cases worldwide were from Europe and the United States, WHO spokeswoman Margaret Harris told reporters. Of those, 40 percent were from the United States….” Some other WHO messages from this week: The pandemic is accelerating (cfr. the now rapidly rising numbers), the ‘young are not invincible’, … “India’s swiftness in dealing with Covid-19 will decide the world’s future, says WHO” Or at least countries like India – cfr Ryan: “The future of this pandemic will be determined by what happens to densely-populated countries.” Also: “Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, said the time to act had been a month or two ago. “We squandered the first window of opportunity … this is a second opportunity, which we should not squander,” he said.” Lockdowns not enough to defeat coronavirus - WHO's Ryan https://www.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-who-ryan-idINKBN2190E2 Another key message, both by Tedros & Ryan. “Countries can’t simply lock down their societies to defeat coronavirus, the World Health Organization’s top emergency expert said on Sunday, adding that there need to be public health measures to avoid a resurgence of the virus later on.” “What we really need to focus on is finding those who are sick, those who have the virus, and isolate them, find their contacts and isolate them… … “The danger right now with the lockdowns ... if we don’t put in place the strong public health measures now, when those movement restrictions and lockdowns are lifted, the danger is the disease will jump back up.”…” HPW - Protective Equipment Manufacturing Must Increase By 80-100 Times During COVID-19 Pandemic; World Health Organization Projects 26 Million Healthcare Workers In Need https://www.healthpolicy-watch.org/world-health-organization-projects-protective-equipment- manufacturing-must-increase-by-80-100-times-26-million-healthcare-workers-in-need/ Let these figures sink in. Key message from WHO (last week Friday): “Manufacturing of personal protective equipment (PPE) for the COVID-19 pandemic response should be scaled up by 80 to 100 17
times to meet the projected needs of the healthcare workforce, the World Health Organization said on Friday. Amid a growing PPE shortage crisis in hotspots like Italy, the United States, and Iran, some 26 million healthcare workers around the world who may have to engage with COVID-19 patients could be in need of personal protective equipment, WHO projected….” See also Cidrap News - WHO grapples with PPE, test shortages UN News - Human rights must be maintained in beating back the COVID-19 pandemic, ‘without exception’ – UN experts https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/03/1060372 “Dozens of independent UN human rights experts stressed on Thursday that in addition to public health and emergency measures, battling the COVID-19 pandemic, must respect the fundamental human rights of every individual.” Life Sciences Companies Commit Expertise and Assets to the Fight Against COVID-19 Pandemic Alongside Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation https://www.gatesfoundation.org/Media-Center/Press-Releases/2020/03/Life-Science-Companies- Commit-to-the-Fight-Against-COVID-19-Pandemic-alongside-Gates-Foundation “Collaboration to address product development and scale-up challenges posed by the current pandemic.” “… Following a conference call with Gates Foundation leadership earlier this month, companies are working to identify concrete actions that will accelerate treatments, vaccines, and diagnostics to the field. As a first step, 15 companies have agreed to share their proprietary libraries of molecular compounds that already have some degree of safety and activity data with the COVID-19 Therapeutics Accelerator—launched by the Gates Foundation, Wellcome, and Mastercard two weeks ago—to quickly screen them for potential use against COVID-19. Successful hits would move rapidly into in vivo trials in as little as two months….” Guardian - Trump signals change in coronavirus strategy that could clash with health experts https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/23/trump-social-distancing-coronavirus-rules- guidelines-economy Also a big story from this week. (PS: Bolsonaro even outdid him, still not taking it very seriously) “Donald Trump has signalled a potential change in his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, amid warnings of a record plunge in economic activity and unemployment…” The Donald wants to get 18
‘back to business’ for the US by Easter (if it’s up to him). Public health experts clearly think this would be a disaster. But the ‘long game’ – and exit strategy will become an issue in many countries in the coming weeks & months (see below for Analysis). U.S. insisting that the U.N. call out Chinese origins of coronavirus NBC; “A Security Council resolution on the coronavirus stalls over attempts to single out China as the country of origin.” “The Trump administration is pushing the U.N. Security Council to call attention to the Chinese origins of the coronavirus, four diplomats posted to the United Nations told NBC News, triggering a stalemate as the global body seeks to cobble together a response to the pandemic. Talks among U.N. Security Council nations over a joint declaration or resolution on the coronavirus have stalled over U.S. insistence that it explicitly state that the virus originated in Wuhan, China, as well as exactly when it started there. China's diplomats are enraged according to the diplomats, even as they seek to put their own language into the statement praising China's efforts to contain the virus. The dispute at the United Nations comes amid growing finger-pointing between Washington and Beijing over the coronavirus….” FT Health – Hidden infections challenge China’s claim coronavirus is under control https://www.ft.com/content/4aa35288-3979-44f7-b204-b881f473fca0 “Official figures suggest a breakthrough but local medics reveal unreported cases “. “China’s official figures for new coronavirus cases suggest transmission has all but ended in many regions, but local experts have warned that official numbers omit important categories of cases. Hubei, the province where the outbreak originated, has reported no more than one new case a day for more than a week, allowing the government to signal the end of the crisis period. Officials and disease control teams have been able to leave the area, and travel restrictions and quarantines have also been relaxed. But interviews with local medics and disease specialists reveal that the situation in Hubei’s capital Wuhan could be worse than the official figures make out, suggesting any declaration by Beijing of victory against the pandemic would be premature. Experts have highlighted the existence of unreported cases, as well as the large number of asymptomatic cases that the government refuses to publicise in its official tally….” Reuters - Gilead's potential coronavirus treatment gets FDA's orphan drug label https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-gilead-sciences-idUSKBN21A3PR 19
This was a big story this week re Gilead’s experimental drug, remdesivir (causing big uproar, and fortunately, Gilead already backed off). Cfr tweet Els Torreele: “@GileadSciences does it again: morally and intentionally abusing legislation and financial incentives designed to stimulate medical R&D for otherwise neglected health needs, and turning it into a mega money making opportunity, likely precluding access for the most vulnerable…” For some analysis, see The Intercept - Coronavirus treatment developed by Gilead Sciences granted “rare disease” status, potentially limiting affordability See also Stat Gilead pauses access to experimental Covid-19 drug due to ‘overwhelming demand’ Fortunately, Stat already reported: “ Under intense criticism, Gilead forsakes monopoly status for its experimental Covid-19 drug” Well done, campaigners! HPW - Médecins Sans Frontières Announces Campaign For $5 COVID- 19 Test On ‘GeneXpert’ TB Platform https://www.healthpolicy-watch.org/medecins-sans-frontieres-announces-campaign-for-5-covid-19- test-on-tuberculosis-testing-platform/ “Médecins Sans Frontiéres (MSF) on Tuesday launched a campaign to push for a US $5 price tag on a new COVID-19 rapid diagnostic test that can be used on GeneXpert, a diagnostic instrument widely deployed around the world for diagnosing tuberculosis. The test for SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, received US Food and Drug Administration emergency use approval just last Friday, and represents a hope for scaling up COVID-19 testing in low- and middle-income countries. The MSF announcement coincided with World Tuberculosis Day, and reflected one of the many ways in which the battle against one of the world’s oldest respiratory diseases…” HPW - Costa Rica Urges WHO To Lead Global Initiative For Pooled Rights To COVID-19 Diagnostics, Drugs & Vaccines https://www.healthpolicy-watch.org/costa-rica-urges-who-to-lead-global-initiative-for-pooled- rights-to-covid-19-diagnostics-drugs-vaccines/ “Costa Rica’s president, Carlos Alvarado Quesada has appealed to Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Director General of the World Health Organization, to “pool rights to technologies that are useful for the detection, prevention, control and treatment of the COVID-19 pandemic”. The presidential letter dated Monday, 23 March, and co-signed by Minister of Health, Daniel Salas Peraza, proposed that the global pool “should include existing and future rights in patented inventions and designs, as well as rights in regulatory test data, know- how, cell lines, copyrights and blueprints for manufacturing diagnostic tests, devices, drugs, or vaccines”. “It should provide for free access or licensing on reasonable and affordable terms, in every member country.”….” 20
See also Stat News - WHO is asked to create a voluntary intellectual property pool to develop Covid-19 products Other updates: • To increase access to reliable information, WHO has worked with @WhatsApp and @Facebook to launch a new WHO Health Alert messaging service. • Last week on Thursday, Big Pharma promised to deliver a vaccine everywhere in the world, within 12-18 months (with 18 months their deadline) • FT - UK in talks with Amazon and others to deliver coronavirus tests “The UK government has approached Amazon and other companies about using their services to increase urgently the delivery of coronavirus tests to frontline health and social care workers. In a move that would have been unthinkable in Britain’s largely publicly funded health sector before the Covid-19 crisis, the government is in talks with companies about boosting the availability of tests for healthcare staff, according to two public health officials….” • Coronavirus: S'pore Government to make its contact-tracing app freely available to developers worldwide Meanwhile, you see similar trends in Northern (democratic) countries… hopefully they’ll manage to protect privacy better (than Singapore or South Korea). • Reuters - Exclusive: U.S. axed CDC expert job in China months before virus outbreak • HPW - WHO & FIFA Launch Campaign to “Kick Out Coronavirus” (4) Science As we mentioned, given that this is not our niche, with a preference for ‘readable’ (i.e. not too technical/biomedical) articles here, to sketch some of the broader trends on the science of Covid- 19, drugs, vaccines, tests, epidemiology, modelling … Stat - What we’ve learned about the coronavirus — and what we still need to know https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/26/what-weve-learned-about-the-coronavirus-and-what-we- still-need-to-know/ By Helen Branswell (26 March). Cutting through the crap. Recommended. 21
Guardian - Men are much more likely to die from coronavirus - but why? https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/26/men-are-much-more-likely-to-die-from- coronavirus-but-why “Trend has been replicated in all nations, but scientists cannot yet fathom the cause.” With the various hypotheses. Science - WHO launches global megatrial of the four most promising coronavirus treatments https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/03/who-launches-global-megatrial-four-most-promising- coronavirus-treatments News from late last week. “On Friday, the World Health Organization (WHO) announced a large global trial, called SOLIDARITY, to find out whether any can treat infections with the new coronavirus for the dangerous respiratory disease….” For an update, see Science - Race to find COVID-19 treatments accelerates (27 March) “… The World Health Organization (WHO) last week announced a major study to compare treatment strategies in a streamlined clinical trial design that doctors around the world can join. Other trials are also underway; all told, at least 12 potential COVID-19 treatments are being tested, including drugs already in use for HIV and malaria, experimental compounds that work against an array of viruses in animal experiments, and antibody-rich plasma from people who have recovered from COVID-19….” FT Analysis - The global hunt for a coronavirus drug https://www.ft.com/content/91bd081e-6e7b-11ea-9bca-bf503995cd6f “With a vaccine up to 18 months away, drug companies are testing existing virus treatments.” “… Scientists are investigating three main types of drugs. The first are antivirals to stop the virus from replicating. Treatment guidelines compiled by the Chinese government during the outbreak include HIV drug combination Kaletra, which US biotech AbbVie recently waived its patents on so it can be made available as a generic; antimalarials such as chloroquine, which generic drugmakers are gearing up to manufacture at scale; and favipiravir, an anti-flu drug from Japan’s Fujifilm. The second category is anti-inflammatories that treat the lungs after the immune system is overwhelmed. Regeneron and Sanofi have partnered on Kevzara, while Roche has started a trial on Actemra, approved for use on rheumatoid arthritis in 100 countries. The third group are antibody- based treatments, derived either from recovered Covid-19 patients or developed in labs, to be given to the seriously ill or as a temporary prophylactic for healthcare workers. Eli Lilly has paired up with Canadian start-up AbCellera to work on antibodies developed from one of the first US Covid- 19 patients, while Japan’s Takeda is developing a new drug derived from the blood plasma of others who have survived the virus….” 22
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