IHP news 544 : Crunch time for global health - International ...
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IHP news 544 : Crunch time for global health ( 25 October 2019) The weekly International Health Policies (IHP) newsletter is an initiative of the Health Policy unit at the Institute of Tropical Medicine in Antwerp, Belgium. Dear Colleagues, Earlier this week, I came across a review of a Jeff Bezos biography, in “Alternatives Economiques”. Turns out the richest man on earth is known for ‘having no empathy whatsoever’, and his extremely “successful” company (Amazon, we reckon you might have heard of it) has ruthless competition structurally built into all layers of the organization, from the top till the (rather notorious) work floor, with all that entails (turnover, burnout, …). The fact that somebody like that is ‘the most successful person on earth’ tells you all you need to know about our current economic system, and who’s thriving in it. Of course, a quick glance at the current crop of ‘political leaders’, or the ever expanding list of millionaires, already told you as much. And hence it cannot come as a big surprise that in many countries around the world where there’s still some level of (political) ‘democracy’ remaining, people don’t take it anymore. Whether it’s Lebanon, Hongkong, Iraq or Chile, ordinary citizens have had enough. Laurie Garrett framed the new wave (with flashes of ‘1968, she thought) as follows on Twitter:” Like their counterparts in #HongKong young people in #BeirutProtests want genuine democracy, freedom and an end to corruption.” While true ( see ‘massive anti-government protests sweeping the globe’), it’s also obvious many of these ordinary citizens’ claims are linked to their disgust with decades of neoliberalism, and the enormous socio-economic inequality (including lack of good public services) that goes with it. See a NYT op-ed, ‘Chile learns the price of economic inequality’. Or ask the Americans, with their world class ‘tax system for plutocrats’ ‘ . Globally, citizens also want economic justice. And increasingly, the need for a fair transition to a low-carbon economy adds an additional layer of complexity in quite some countries (as in Chile, Ecuador, France, …). Cfr a telling tweet: “What we're seeing in Chili needs to serve as a warning to anyone who thinks we can deal with climate change by simply raising the cost of emitting. If you push the cost of the transition on to onto the poorest you get a rebellion. And no transition.” In short, it’s crunch time for many among us, including for global health. Whose side are you on, what will you fight for, and what exactly is your Theory of Change (and hence the allies you’re seeking)? Sounds like a nice question for the World Health Summit in Berlin, which starts this weekend. Against this backdrop of huge global/national inequality and an equally massive ecological challenge (and their intersection), the term ‘crunch time’ is probably even an understatement. By way of example, Richard Smith just laid out what it would actually involve to ‘walk the talk’ (as compared to being a 'carbon boomer'), for health people and the many planetary health fans among you. So did Richard Horton, in a YouTube video related to Extinction Rebellion. It’s clear that the ones among us in more or less democratic regimes need to lead on this double fight against global inequality and climate breakdown, as many of our (often braver) brothers and sisters in more authoritarian regimes are currently facing a huge crackdown (or worse). Ask the 1
Uyghur people in Xinjiang for example. Hope Bill Gates, dr. Tedros and other global health leaders bring this up next time they meet with Xi Jinping. As “every life has equal value”, wasn’t it? Enjoy your reading. Kristof Decoster Featured Article Reframe everything you are doing within the lens of planetary health: the Canadian Conference on Global Health in a time of Fragmentation Sameera Hussain (Senior Advisor, Strategic Policy and Development, Canadian Society for International Health & IHP correspondent for Canada) Last week marked the annual Canadian Conference on Global Health (CCGH), bringing together academics, practitioners, and policy makers around the theme of governance – specifically, the power and politics that have become so characteristic of global health today. From October 17-19 ( with a side event on the 20th), the focus was on all countries, and in particular, Low- and Middle- Income Countries (LMICs) with existing partnerships and collaborations with Canadian research and programmatic partners, acknowledging the importance of accountability in governance as well as the power and privilege occurring in North/South collaborations. For a policy wonk who did her PhD on tracking the discourse around global governance for health leading up to the SDGs, this was a particularly exciting conference year, but as luck would have it, I came down with pneumonia, rendering me incapable of attending. Instead, I experienced first-hand the decentralized Canadian health system as a service user (!). Nevertheless, as an avid Twitter follower and member of the conference planning committee, I feel I can still write this editorial more or less “legitimately”. The plenaries addressed global health diplomacy, accountability, and the various frameworks that shape policy such as Universal Health Care and/or Coverage (whatever lingo suits your ideology and convictions) (Day 1); challenges of good governance in times of conflict (Day 2), and the impacts of climate change and diversity on health (Day 3). Gender equity was a cross-cutting theme and was highlighted at a networking breakfast where one could meet some of the leaders listed in the Canadian Women in Global Health directory, and identify structural barriers to women’s career advancement and begin a discussion on how to mitigate these. The closing panel – Intersectoral Action for Governance and Policies - was a stellar one, with a reminder to link the ecological and social determinants of health and a call to action on climate. With the CCGH closing just before the federal election (scheduled for October 21), one speaker very strongly appealed to the audience, “the system isn’t working! We need to adapt! I don’t very much trust the older generation with this,” urging students and young professionals to go out and vote for a much-needed transformation from the status quo. 2
The sentiments expressed at the conference represent what many, if not most people have on their minds, not just in Canada but all over the world: a hope for good governance, combating social injustice, and ensuring that the power is with people instead of entities with competing (or questionable) interests. In line with the mood of many (and especially young) people around the globe, a rising anxiety was also palpable about rapidly unfolding climate events and the impact they already have on our food systems, living conditions, and health. In a sense, this conference, ending the day before a federal election in Canada was more than timely. Except the outcome of this election indicated only that Canada is deeply divided (like many other countries now in the Global North), and there is little scope for the economic justice, social justice, and bold climate action plan that we urgently need, both in Canada and overseas, partly due to this polarization. All of these topics were addressed in some aspect of the CCGH program - panels and posters spoke to the unequal power held by multinational companies and other commercial determinants of health that promote the consumption of salt, sugar, and fat, contributing to NCDs; issues of social justice, local governance, women’s active participation in decision-making, culturally appropriate and gender-sensitive services for health, disability justice; and finally, the SDGs and wide-ranging intersectoral action needed in the face of looming climate catastrophe. The results from the popular vote (speaking to Canada’s broken electoral system) indicated that many Canadians want action on those issues, but certainly the re-election of a government with a lukewarm approach to making bold social and economic decisions within planetary boundaries makes it difficult to believe that anything outside the realm of business-as-usual is about to happen. From my own experience these past two weeks as a user of Canada’s widely lauded Universal Health Care system (that makes up part of Canadians’ identity), I can happily confirm it is a very good one, but there is work to be done if we want it to be known as an equitable health system as well. This relates to important issues like patient-centred care, making diagnostic services easily accessible, making pharmacare a reality, and linking these with other socially important services such as (clean) transportation (in my case, 24km to access my family doctor, and a further 8km for X-ray imaging services) and others that are very much part of the national conversation around determinants of health (i.e. affordable housing, indigenous communities’ access to safe drinking water, universal basic income). These serve as a reminder that all countries, be they LMICs or high-income, have challenges in having responsive, well-functioning and equitable public health systems. Or as Dr. Tedros and others keep telling us, UHC (and making progress towards the highest attainable standard of health) is a never-ending journey. Final note: it’s nice to see CCGH is moving away from a neo-colonial, internationalist framing of health to one that acknowledges the important work we still have to do in our own communities, in the lands that we live in, as custodians or as settlers. Highlights of the week G20 Okayama Health Ministers’ summit (19-20 October) Some background: “Health has been an important G20 agenda since 2017. Major pillars include “The Achievement of UHC,” “Response to Aging Societies,” and “Health Risk Management and Health Security (Including AMR).” 3
HPW - G20 Health Ministers Issue Detailed Declaration On Global Health Goals https://www.healthpolicy-watch.org/g20-health-ministers-issue-detailed-declaration-on-global- health-goals/ “A G20 Health Ministers Declaration, issued after a two-day meeting of ministers in Okayama Japan, has endorsed rapid achievement of universal health coverage, a more effective support of healthy ageing, increased attention to health emergencies and their underlying causes such as poverty and weak health systems, and more forceful action on antimicrobial resistance (AMR). The detailed 11- page statement by health ministers of the world’s 20 largest economies – goes well beyond the more general commitment by G20 leaders to advance global health goals, which was issued at the close of their two-day meeting on 27-28 June….” You find the 11-page declaration here. Now let’s hope G20 money will be equally ‘detailed’, in the years to come. Japan Center for International Exchange/UN Foundation - Next Steps on UHC: Moving Forward from the G20 and the HLM-UHC http://www.jcie.org/researchpdfs/globalhealth/next_steps_on_UHC_report.pdf Short report of a meeting from 24 September, but a must-read. And only 4 pages! “On September 24, the morning after the landmark UN High-Level Meeting on UHC (HLMUHC), the Japan Center for International Exchange (JCIE) and the United Nations Foundation convened senior policymakers and global health experts for a closed roundtable at the UNAIDS New York office to discuss what the next steps should be to advance UHC in low- and middle-income countries around the world….” Check out the 10 points raised by them. World Polio Day (24 October): Global eradication of wild poliovirus type 3 declared on World Polio Day Stat - Two down, one to go: After decades-long campaign, type 3 polioviruses are set to be eradicated H Branswell; Stat; (from earlier this week) Excellent update on where things stand in the fight against polio. “After months of bad news, the international army of people who have been working for decades to eradicate polio will likely have something to celebrate this week. A global commission [is expected to] announce that type 3 polioviruses have been eradicated. The announcement is expected on Thursday, which is World Polio Day. If it comes, type 3 polio will be the second species of polioviruses to have been vanquished….” WHO - Two out of three wild poliovirus strains eradicated. 4
See also Devex - The world is now wild poliovirus type 3 free, but experts warn the job is not yet done Excerpt: “… international donors also need to stay committed until polio is finally wiped out globally. At present, GPEI’s plan to 2023 has a funding gap of $3.27 billion, which it hopes will be filled at the polio pledging summit in Abu Dhabi on Nov. 19. That money does not yet include funding for inactivated polio vaccine. Funding for that is expected to come from Gavi’s replenishment next year….” More coverage in the Telegraph - The war on polio: Two out of three strains eliminated but hotspots persist. Quick link: The Conversation - Valuable lessons from Nigeria’s marathon effort to eradicate polio (by O Tomori) “Ending the Boko Haram insurgency is the only thing that can see Nigeria through to the end of this race.” Planetary Health BMJ (blog) - Emerging thinking of a new chair of the UK Health Alliance on Climate Change Richard Smith; BMJ blog; Last week, Richard Smith was appointed as the chair of the UK Health Alliance on Climate Change (UKHACC). “As its name implies, the Alliance comprises health organisations, including the BMA and many royal colleges, committed to reducing the harm to health from the climate emergency….” In this piece, he lays out what the role of health professionals might be, in 7 domains (in line with their 7 professional roles). This paragraph is worth giving in full: “Might we conduct a similar kind of study by urging health professionals to make changes to reduce their carbon footprint? We might ask health professionals to make some of the changes listed below (and others), record their commitments on a website, and follow up on what they actually manage. The possible actions include not only lifestyle changes, but also forms of advocacy: abandoning flying (or committing to not more than one return flight a year); reducing the amount they drive; stopping driving to work; switching to a largely vegetarian diet; reducing the number of clothes they buy, perhaps committing not to buy any for a year; measuring their own carbon footprint and developing a plan to reach a personal net-zero by 2025, including off-setting where necessary; leaflets for their patients; writing to their MPs; joining organisations that are active in combatting environmental damage.” Oops. 5
Laconic tweet from Brendan Kwesiga: “They could do a benchmarking from my village in Uganda. I think that's the life style of 99.9% of the population.” Annals of Tourism research - Celebrities, air travel, and social norms https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016073831930132X?dgcid=author This article discusses moral and social norms presented by Fridays for Future. It distinguishes four celebrity types in relation to their positions on climate change and shows that celebrities live highly carbon-intense aeromobile lifestyles. The article then discusses the implications of celebrity type agency in relation to norms regarding air travel. “…In this paper, four celebrity agency types are identified, i.e. the ‘carbon boomers’, who promote carbon-intense lifestyles; the ‘carbon’ philistines, who are oblivious to issues of climate change and lifestyle implications for emissions; the ‘climate change advocates’, who raise carbon awareness but continue to live highly carbon-intense lifestyles; and the low-carbon performers living lives without air travel….” Coverage in the Conversation - These celebrities cause 10,000 times more carbon emissions from flying than the average person “The jet-setting habits of Bill Gates and Paris Hilton mean that they produce an astonishing 10,000 times more carbon emissions from flying than the average person. This was the conclusion of my research mining their social media accounts (tweets, Instagram and Facebook posts) as well as those of a number of other celebrities for clues as to where they were in the world over the course of 2017 and how they got there….” HPW - Mayors Take Charge On Reining In Air Pollution https://www.healthpolicy-watch.org/mayors-take-charge-on-reining-in-air-pollution/ “Although it was governments that made the big commitments to tackle climate change in the 2015 Paris Agreement, mayors are leading the charge in reducing air pollution on the ground. At a first- ever World Air Quality Conference, hosted by the City of London, mayors and city leaders from around the world convened Wednesday, to confer with each other and with experts from the World Health Organization and civil society about how to ramp up action on air pollution and climate change….” And last but not least, *BREAKING* see Youtube “ The editor of @TheLancet, one of the most prestigious medical journals in the world, has come out officially asking all health professionals to engage in non-violent social protest to protect people from the climate & ecological breakdown. Yes you heard that right.” 6
CRISPR & other gene-based cures Stat news - New CRISPR tool has the potential to correct almost all disease- causing DNA glitches, scientists report Stat; “A new form of the genome-editing tool CRISPR-Cas9 appears to significantly expand the range of diseases that could be treated with the technology, by enabling scientists to precisely change any of DNA’s four “letters” into any other and insert or delete any stretch of DNA — all more efficiently and precisely than previous versions of CRISPR. Crucially, scientists reported on Monday, it accomplishes all that without making genome-scrambling cuts in the double helix, as classic CRISPR and many of its offshoots do.” For more on this (very promising) “prime editing”, see the Guardian - New gene editing tool could fix most harmful DNA mutations “…The landmark work opens the door to a new era of genome editing, but scientists caution that more research is needed before it can be safely used in humans. Beyond proving its safety, another major hurdle is how to deliver the molecular machinery to cells that need it in sufficient amounts to treat a disorder.” Stat - NIH and Gates Foundation launch effort to bring genetic cures for HIV, sickle cell disease to world’s poor Stat; “The National Institutes of Health and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation will together invest at least $200 million over the next four years to develop gene-based cures for sickle cell disease and HIV with an attribute even rarer in the world of genetic medicine than efficacy, the groups announced on Wednesday: The cures, they vowed, will be affordable and available in the resource- poor countries hit hardest by the two diseases, particularly in Africa….” The initiative aims to test potential cures in the U.S. and SSA countries in the next 7-10 years, and to then make such therapies available in the hardest-hit areas. See also Science News - NIH and Gates Foundation lay out ambitious plan to bring gene-based treatments for HIV and sickle cell disease to Africa “…sub-Saharan Africa is home to about two-thirds of the 20 million people with sickle cell disease and the 38 million living with HIV. The NIH-Gates partnership “is an incredible opportunity to find new therapies and possible cures for two diseases that affect millions of Africans and to make them available at affordable costs,” said Matshidiso Moeti, who heads the Regional Office for Africa at the World Health Organization.” 7
Update on health SDG indicators (Addis) On 21-24 October, the IAEG-SDGs meeting convened in Addis Ababa to prepare for the 2020 comprehensive review of the indicator framework. A few reads: IISD - Statistical Group to Consider 53 Changes to SDG Indicators IISD “The UN Inter-Agency and Expert Group on the SDG Indicators is considering 53 suggested changes to the SDG indicator framework based on input gathered through an open consultation. The IAEG- SDGs is expected to agree on a final set of proposals during its upcoming tenth meeting in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.” Key messages: The IAEG-SDGs will address 53 proposals for revision, replacement, addition and deletion within the global SDG indicator framework. New indicators are proposed on breastfeeding, mental health, AMR, energy use by tourism, migrant deaths, pledges to the GCF, and GHG emissions and concentrations, among other issues. IISD - Tracking Antimicrobial Resistance in the Sustainable Development Goals IISD; “Without progress on antimicrobial resistance, attainment of the SDGs will fall short; yet the indicators to track the SDGs have thus far failed to include tracking of AMR. During the 2020 Comprehensive Review of the SDGs indicators, the WHO has proposed an AMR-specific indicator to track two priority drug-resistant pathogens in the SDGs. It is also critical to tracking access to needed antimicrobials.” AMR GARDP - Uniting Against Antibiotic Resistance: Delivering 5 BY 25 https://www.gardp.org/2019/news-resources/events/uniting-against-antibiotic-resistance-5-by-25/ “On 28th October, Join …the World Health Summit to learn how GARDP’s ‘5 BY 25’ goal will accelerate the development and delivery of five new and improved treatments to address antibiotic-resistant infections that pose the greatest threat to health and development.” See also Gardp - 5 by 25 “5 BY 25’ is designed to contribute to tackle the issue of AMR. As an integral element of WHO’s Global Action Plan on AMR, GARDP is calling on Member States, philanthropic and other global organizations to support ‘5 BY 25’ and contribute towards its target of €500 million. This will allow GARDP to bring five new treatments that address the most urgent public health needs to patients.” 8
“The five new treatments will focus on the priority pathogens identified by WHO, and current unmet needs for diseases and key populations. This includes developing and delivering treatments for children, newborns with sepsis, and sexually-transmitted infections.” New Lancet series on drug use - Lancet report calls for new international approach to drug use https://www.thelancet.com/series/drug-use “The drug use landscape is dynamic and changing. Changes in public attitudes and laws towards drug use have occurred in an increasing number of countries. Global drug production and consumption are increasing as are the risks and harms to health, while new substances continue to emerge. This Series focuses on opioids, cannabinoids, stimulants, and new psychoactive substances. The Series authors review the evidence on the epidemiology of drug use and related harms and interventions (treatment and policies) to address them. They highlight issues that are likely to become increasingly important in the next decade.” Some key messages of this new series via the press release: “The Lancet: 20th century views and responses to drug use are no longer fit for purpose Report authors warn that the effects of cannabis legalisation will probably not be seen for another decade, problems resulting from stimulants are growing globally, and current responses to emerging substances may no longer be fit for purpose with rapid changes in drug supply and demand. To meet the growing challenges that drug use poses to future global health, policies and actions must be based on science, and not on moral judgements. Authors call for increased research funding to improve treatments, and for global policymakers to implement only evidence-based policies and therapies – they estimate that increased provision of opioid agonist treatment could help avoid around 8-26% of opioid-related deaths, compared to no treatment. A report from The Lancet calls for a new international approach to drug use – using evidence-based policies, which adapt faster, and respond more humanely and effectively to new drugs and their changing availability and patterns of use. The five-paper Series publishes as the opioid crisis continues, cannabis legalisation expands, global stimulant problems grow, and the number of new psychoactive substances (NPS) identified continues to increase. It reviews the global evidence on these four drug types – analysing patterns of use, related harms, and interventions, and estimating the benefits of opioid agonist therapy and the growing health impact of stimulant use. The report will also be presented at the Lisbon Addictions meeting in Lisbon, Portugal on 24 October.” If you are short of time, we certainly also recommend this Introductory Comment (by Pam Das & Richard Horton) - The global drug problem: change but not progression which provides a great overview of the papers (& key messages). 9
With also this short paragraph: “ One region that has not achieved sufficient global attention in drug policy is Africa. By 2050, it is estimated there will be 14 million more people using drugs in sub-Saharan Africa. An increase in injecting drug use will be a substantial challenge over the coming decades for African countries with limited health workforce capacity or health infrastructure….” World Bank and Global Fund Deepen Partnership with Co- Financing Agreement https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2019/10/22/world-bank-and-global-fund- deepen-partnership-with-co-financing-agreement “The World Bank and the Global Fund have signed a co-financing framework agreement to accelerate efforts by countries to end HIV, tuberculosis and malaria and build sustainable systems for health. The framework agreement outlines a new approach for joint financing of investment- type operations between the two organizations, as well as results-based financing….” “… The first transaction anticipated to be governed by the framework agreement is a proposed Global Fund/World Bank investment in Laos to work towards universal health care, with payments to the country tied to specific results.” Global Fund Aidspan - Post-Replenishment: from Pledges to Results http://www.aidspan.org/node/5088 “Following the Global Fund’s Sixth Replenishment, which raised $14 billion for the Fund’s next funding cycle, Global Fund Chair Donald Kaberuka and Vice-Chair Lady Roslyn Morauta set out their priorities for the Global Fund to translate pledges into results. In this Op Ed for Aidspan they emphasize that there is “room for stronger focus on purpose and efficiency”, as the Board prepares to make decisions on allocations for 2020 to 2022 at the next Board meeting, in November….” For the full newsletter, see Aidspan. Make sure you check out, among others, this Comment by Clare Gibson - Country Coordinating Mechanisms - key component or white elephant? “Behind the Global Fund's particularly utilitarian definition of CCMs ("Country Coordinating Mechanisms") lies a very complex reality. This reality impacts the way that CCMs operate, consultant Clare Gibson says. CCMs are considered by some to be artificial entities that are expensive and cumbersome, embodying the blatant hypocrisy of the developed world - hiding behind misleading concepts such as “national ownership” and “democratic multisectoriality” - and demonstrating little 10
or no return on investment. There are, however, some interesting ways that this innovative partnership model can restore its full value and operational efficiency….” O’Neill (blog) – More or the same? Reflecting on debates around the Global Fund’s mandate M Pillinger; https://oneill.law.georgetown.edu/more-or-the-same-reflecting-on-debates-around- the-global-funds-mandate/ By Mara Pillinger. “… beneath the relief [on the 14 billion reached], there is a simmering debate over scope of the Global Fund’s mandate and the balance of resources among global health institutions more broadly. In the days after the replenishment conference, I took part in two conversations which highlight the differing views within the global health community…” Broadly agree with Pillinger’s three takeaways. And a GF link - Technical Review Panel Observations on the 2017-2019 Allocation Cycle. Annual meetings IMF/WB : final analysis & way forward? Bretton Woods Project - Annual Meetings wrap-up: Bretton Woods Institutions continue sleepwalking, as economic uncertainty and social tensions intensify https://www.brettonwoodsproject.org/2019/10/annual-meetings-wrap-up-bretton-woods- institutions-continue-sleepwalking-as-economic-uncertainty-and-social-tensions-intensify/ Must-read wrap-up analysis. “Bank and Fund struggle to prepare for next financial crisis. A tale of two leaders: Contrasting styles of Georgieva & Malpass. As BWIs plot climate policies, the way forward remains murky. Bank faces implementation gap on citizen engagement. Bretton Woods at 75 conference discusses future of multilateralism.” Seems like WB & IMF are heading in rather different directions, with the new leadership in place. For example on climate change & on (going beyond) the Washington Consensus or not. Devex - Substance over style at Malpass' first World Bank Annual Meetings https://www.devex.com/news/substance-over-style-at-malpass-first-world-bank-annual-meetings- 95861 “…The 19th replenishment of the International Development Association, implementing reforms connected to the bank’s recent capital increase, and debate over efforts to strengthen the institution’s accountability mechanisms topped the agenda….” (for the World Bank) 11
“Against a backdrop of global economic turbulence brought on by trade wars and Brexit uncertainty, climate change protests, and protracted conflicts, World Bank President David Malpass has turned his attention inward. The new bank president is choosing to focus on the institution’s country operations during his first six months in office, instead of flashy global initiatives.” And a link: Eurodad - Annual Meetings round-up: 75 years of the Bretton Woods institutions, little cause for celebration WB - Staying focused on better outcomes for the world’s poorest people https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2019/10/19/staying-focused-on-better-outcomes- for-the-worlds-poorest-people?cid=SHR_SitesShareTT_EN_EXT “….key messages from the Development Committee, a ministerial-level forum of the World Bank Group and the International Monetary Fund, in a communiqué issued at the close of the institutions’ Annual Meetings in Washington. ….to address global development challenges… to help implement country platforms that will make better use of development resources and mobilize private sector solutions… urged continued efforts to protect the most vulnerable, spur job creation, and strengthen public sector efficiency.” See also BWP - Development Committee communiqué analysis – Annual Meetings 2019. Guardian - The Guardian view on the IMF and World Bank: back a global Green New Deal Guardian; “In 1944, and for many years afterwards, the World Bank and the IMF were the international manifestation of the New Deal. They backed expansionary economic policies and social inclusion, and were mindful of the rights of individual countries to govern their own affairs. There are now proposals, backed by the UN, for a global Green New Deal. It would be a good thing all round – for the world economy, for the planet and for their own long-term prospects – if the IMF and World Bank chose to back the idea”. Global Tax justice Icrict (Independent Commission for the Reform of International Corporate Taxation) - A time for developing nations to speak up José Antonio Campo ; https://www.icrict.com/icrict-in-thenews/2019/10/18/a-time-for-developing- nations-to-speak-up J A Campo, who chairs the ICRICT tax reform commission, stresses it’s time for developing countries to get their act together with respect to the ongoing global tax reform (proposals). 12
“This is an international tax emergency. In the face of global outrage at the low or no taxes paid by some of the world’s largest multinational companies, the G20 appointed the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) a few years ago to design alternatives to end these abuses. In response, last week, the OECD put forward proposals for a new international tax system that could be imposed on the world in the coming decades. “ “After decades of inaction, the process could move forward very quickly. After the publication, a few days ago, of its first proposal in this field, the organization will make a final one in 2020, laying the base for the new international tax system. After that date, the die will be cast, and it will be practically impossible to influence the reform process.” “That is why we need to raise the alarm for developing countries. They can no longer say that they have no voice in the process. The OECD has offered them a place at the negotiating table by creating a group called the “inclusive framework.” With 134 members, this is the arena where tomorrow's global tax system will be decided.” Global Health Security John Hopkins Center for Health Security launched a Global Health Security index https://www.ghsindex.org “The #GHSIndex is the first comprehensive assessment of global health capabilities in 195 countries.” • “The Global Health Security (GHS) Index is the first comprehensive assessment and benchmarking of health security and related capabilities across the 195 countries that make up the States Parties to the International Health Regulations (IHR [2005]). The GHS Index is a project of the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) and the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security (JHU) and was developed with The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU). These organizations believe that, over time, the GHS Index will spur measurable changes in national health security and improve international capability to address one of the world’s most omnipresent risks: infectious disease outbreaks that can lead to international epidemics and pandemics….” It's “a detailed and comprehensive framework of 140 questions, organized across 6 categories, 34 indicators, and 85 subindicators to assess a country’s capability to prevent and mitigate epidemics and pandemics.” The 6 categories are: Prevention; Detection and reporting; Rapid Response; Health System; Compliance with International Norms; Risk Environment. • For the report, see https://www.ghsindex.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/GHS-Index- Report_FINAL_Oct2019.pdf “…This report summarizes the results of the first GHS Index, including overall findings about the state of national health security capacity across each of the six GHS Index categories, as well as additional findings specific to functional areas of epidemic and pandemic preparedness. The full report also offers 33 recommendations to address gaps identified by the GHS Index. All the findings and recommendations are summarized on pages 12–15 and described in detail throughout the full report, which begins on page 31.” 13
An overall finding: “National health security is fundamentally weak around the world. No country is fully prepared for epidemics or pandemics, and every country has important gaps to address”. “…The average overall GHS Index score among all 195 countries assessed is 40.2 of a possible score of 100…” “Only 13 out of 195 countries assessed by the #GHSIndex score in the highest tier of capacity to address epidemic threats.” On the ‘Health System’ category in particular: “ HEALTH SYSTEM: The average score for health system indicators is 26.4 of 100, making it the lowest-scoring category.” Coverage for example in Cidrap News - Inaugural Global Health Security Index notes wide readiness gaps CEPI launches new call for innovative platform technologies to rapidly respond to Disease X https://cepi.net/news_cepi/cepi-launches-new-call-for-innovative-platform-technologies-to-rapidly- respond-to-disease-x/ (15 October) “The Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI) has [today] launched a call for proposals to invite funding applications for innovative platform technologies that can be used to develop vaccines and other immunoprophylactics to rapidly respond to future outbreaks of emerging infectious diseases and unknown pathogens, known as “Disease X”.” Health policy watch - We’re Learning More About Gaps In Epidemic Preparedness; Now We Must Act Rapidly To Close Them A McClelland et al; https://www.healthpolicy-watch.org/were-learning-more-about-gaps-in- epidemic-preparedness-now-we-must-act-rapidly-to-close-them/ Great update on the JEEs - (Joint External Evaluation). The second round of JEEs will begin soon. “A critical tool to gauge a country’s preparedness ahead of a crisis is the Joint External Evaluation (JEE), a tool developed by WHO to assess how ready countries are to find, stop, and prevent epidemics. The recent completion of the 100th JEE is evidence that the tool has received widespread uptake since it was launched in Tanzania in 2016 – although many gaps identified in the JEE have yet to be addressed.” “Nearly half of all countries with completed JEEs are in the WHO African Region, with 91 percent of African countries having completed an assessment. However, African countries have the lowest average JEE score (41 on a scale of 100) – the DRC scored only 35% in its recent assessment. Of the nine countries sharing a border with DRC, none of the WHO priority 1 countries have achieved an average JEE score above 60% (Uganda, Rwanda, South Sudan, and Burundi). And of the WHO priority 2 countries, none have scored above 50% (Zambia, Tanzania, Central African Republic and Republic of Congo; Angola has not yet carried out a JEE). These scores indicate that these countries are underprepared and remain vulnerable to real risks that are playing out within the region….” 14
And a few tweets related to a GHS meeting in Goma: “Investing in disease outbreak preparedness is essential. Ministers from 10 African countries, convened by @MinSanteRDC” “@WHOAFRO & partners - are together today in Goma, #DRC, to finalize an #Ebola preparedness framework & set up cross-border collaboration.” Ebola DRC – Still a PHEIC, but slowing down at last ? HPW - Ebola Public Health Emergency Still In Force, Despite Decline in Cases https://www.healthpolicy-watch.org/ebola-public-health-emergency-still-in-force-despite-decline- in-cases/ News from late last week. “The World Health Organization is not yet ready to declare that the Ebola public health emergency in the Democratic Republic of Congo is over – despite significant recent declines in the pace of new infections. WHO Director General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said Friday that he did not find it prudent to end the “Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC)” designation for the DRC outbreak, due to continued uncertainties about the rate of case transmission in rural areas, where new infections are not always reported….” So still a PHEIC for the next three months at least. Meanwhile, on the funding front: “….However, WHO is still facing a funding shortfall of at least US $70.5 million for outbreak response activities in the DRC and US$ 16.7 million for strengthening regional preparedness. Dr Tedros appealed to donors and regional countries to increase funding, calling the current lack of funding for regional preparedness “grossly inadequate.”…” For the full statement, see WHO. Telegraph - Is Congo's 14 month Ebola outbreak finally nearing an end? https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/congos-14-month-ebola-outbreak- finally-nearing-end/ “Some 14 months after the Ebola outbreak was declared in the Democratic Republic of Congo, there are signs that the crisis may be winding down….” See also Nature - The Ebola outbreak is finally slowing down “The World Health Organization says that the rate of new infections in the Democratic Republic of the Congo has dropped, as a vaccine moves closer to approval….” 15
On the latter, see also: Stat - With European backing, the world is on the brink of the first approved Ebola vaccine https://www.statnews.com/2019/10/18/with-european-backing-the-world-is-on-the-brink-of-the- first-approved-ebola-vaccine/ From late last week: “The world came a big step closer to having a fully licensed Ebola vaccine on Friday, with a panel of the European Medicines Agency recommending conditional marketing authorization for Merck’s experimental Ebola vaccine. Meanwhile, the company announced the brand name for the vaccine; it will be sold as Ervebo. The vaccine protects against the most common strain of Ebola viruses to cause outbreaks, the Zaire ebolavirus….” See also WHO - Major milestone for WHO-supported Ebola vaccine Lancet Offline – The mistakes we made over Ebola Richard Horton; https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)32634- 0/fulltext Horton on last week’s Global Health Lab at the London school. Overview of the mistakes made over Ebola (in West-Africa and again in the DRC), but also of what lessons were learnt (in the DRC vs W- Afr). Nevertheless, he concludes, wryly: “…I sat in international conferences, convened after the west Africa outbreaks, where country leaders pleaded for the equivalent of a Marshall Plan, a west African recovery programme, to counter the de-development that Ebola had wreaked on their economies. Big promises were made. But the fact is that once Ebola withered away, the international community lost interest in Africa. The US and Europe were concerned about Ebola only in so far as it represented a threat to their own borders. Once that threat had dissipated, Africa was once again left to clear up the debris of a humanitarian catastrophe. Watching this betrayal unfold was not surprising. It was simply one more deception western nations have perpetrated on African peoples. Yes, a vast amount of money was invested in controlling Ebola. Yes, important lessons were learned. Yes, the global health community did sharpen its understanding of public health emergencies. But Ebola showed how western countries bequeathed one more chapter of duplicity and treachery on the history of Africa.” Other reads & links from this week on the Ebola DRC crisis: • Devex - WHO: Ebola in DRC still a global public health emergency “…The PHEIC declaration, first made in July, has become a source of ongoing debate in the global health community. Some experts expected it would inspire much-needed funding for the response, but three months later, the disbursement of promised dollars remains slow….” • Devex - Tanzania continues to dodge WHO recommendations on Ebola. 16
International Lead Poisoning prevention week (20-26 October) Health policy watch - Campaign To Ban Lead Paint Worldwide Featured For International Lead Poisoning Prevention Week https://www.healthpolicy-watch.org/campaign-to-ban-lead-paint-globally-highlight-of-international- lead-poisoning-prevention-week/ “The World Health Organization and UN Environment kicked off a week-long campaign asking countries to take more assertive action to ban lead paint, coinciding with International Lead Poisoning Prevention Week.” The Global Alliance to Ban Lead Paint, a WHO-UN Environment Partnership involving countries and civil society, has set a goal to ban lead paint in all countries by 2020. To date, only 73 of the 194 WHO member states have legally binding control measures on lead paint.” “According to WHO, there is no minimum “safe” level of exposure to lead, which is particularly toxic to children, and can reduce their IQ along with increasing the risk of developmental and behavioral problems. Lead paint is a leading source of domestic lead exposure in children.” Urban health Thomson Reuters Foundation - African slum map exposes true scale of urban poverty http://news.trust.org/item/20191023161812-i4je0/ “Urban scientists on Wednesday launched the first digital map of Africa's sprawl of slums to expose the true scale of urban poverty and bring services to millions of people. The "Million Neighbourhoods" project by a team at the University of Chicago aims to map the whole world - eventually - and become a tool for better city planning as mayors decide which areas most need sewers, roads and other basics. The interactive, online map was created with an open-source database that lets any and all volunteers add the location of roads and buildings in unmapped places….” “About 53 million people in sub-Saharan Africa live in slums, representing about half the urban population, according to a study out earlier this year. Africa's urban population is expected to triple in the next 50 years, according to the United Nations, which has set a goal of ensuring universal access to affordable housing by 2030. The size of slums is generally under-estimated, even by local governments, said a programme coordinator at UN-Habitat, the agency for housing and urban development….” 17
UHC UHC 2030 – UNGA: A historic consensus on universal health coverage https://www.uhc2030.org/news-events/uhc2030-news/unga-a-historic-consensus-on-universal- health-coverage-555304/ UHC2030 published “a series of articles on the #HLMUHC starting with an overview of the HLM & then reports from side events organised by ourselves & our partners.” “UHC2030 report from the UN High-level Meeting on UHC.” If you want to read about the meeting all over again (from now almost a month ago), and then some more! With lots of quotes from participants. Check out also (UHC 2030) Primary Health Care on the Road to UHC: Launch of the 2019 Global Monitoring Report, New York, 22 September ; Civil society responds to the 2019 UHC Global Monitoring Report & 1,460 days left: countdown to 2023 - the mid-point of the SDGs. Stat News - Put communities at the center of universal health coverage G Carlsson, K Dain et al ; https://www.statnews.com/2019/10/21/communities-center-universal- health-coverage/ “The Political Declaration on Universal Health Coverage, adopted recently at the United Nations General Assembly, could set the stage for a fairer world in which health is viewed as a human right and not as a commodity. On paper, we have a compact that enshrines the idea of universality. At the local, state, and country levels it will mean healthier populations and greater global health equity. Moving from declarations to reality won’t be easy. Lessons from the response to the AIDS epidemic over the past four decades and the evolving response to the global emergency around noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) clearly demonstrate that community engagement and human rights must be front and center….” Bloomberg - China Is Striving for the World’s Best, Cheapest Healthcare D Lyu et al; Bloomberg; “Less than five years ago, Chinese healthcare was a closed-off, low-quality system where the richest left the country for medicines and treatments, and the poorest took a bad diagnosis as a death sentence. Now, the world’s second largest economy is striving to become a place where patients can get the best, newest drugs and services faster and cheaper than anywhere else. Pressured by its growing middle class, the Chinese government has set itself an ambitious target: first-world health outcomes at a fraction of the cost that other countries, especially the U.S., pays. To get there, China has doubled the amount it’s pouring into public hospitals in the last five years to $38 billion. It wants to see a healthcare industry valued at $2.3 trillion by 2030, more than twice its size now. The cost control part will be much harder. Beijing wants the biggest pharmaceutical companies in the world to bend the knee, lowering their prices drastically in order to get access to 18
its vast patient pool. In new drugs, pharmaceuticals from Pfizer to Roche have agreed to cuts of as much as 70%....” Lancet World Report – Modi's health reforms: between hope and hype https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)32601-7/fulltext “On Sept 6, Narendra Modi's National Democratic Alliance Government completed the first 100 days of its second term in office. Patralekha Chatterjee investigates its performance on health.” Focus here not just on Ayushman Bharat (and its 2 pillars), but also on other health related initiatives of the Modi government. “On May 23, Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won a sweeping mandate for a second 5-year term, under the campaign slogan Sankalpit Bharat, Sashakt Bharat—determined India, empowered India. Modi's campaign promises included continuation of his flagship schemes, the Swachh Bharat (Clean India) Mission and Ayushman Bharat (Healthy India), making the National Nutrition Mission a mass movement, strengthening the capacity of government-run anganwadis (child-care centres), and setting up a new Ministry of Water Power that would work towards ensuring piped water for every Indian household by 2024….” Measles comeback in Africa LA Times - Measles making a deadly comeback across Africa LA Times; Measles outbreaks are returning to many African countries, as low vaccination coverage leaves many vulnerable. “… Measles is having a deadly resurgence across Africa, where, as of September, about 44% of this year’s cases worldwide have been recorded. That’s due in large part to a massive outbreak in the island nation of Madagascar off the coast of Mozambique, where more than 150,000 cases have been reported and more than 1,000 people have died due to low vaccination rates and a vaccine shortage once the outbreak took hold. … … In Uganda, vaccination rates are higher, but thinly stretched health budgets, mistrust of vaccines and complacency among people who think measles is a disease of the past have helped lead to the outbreaks. … … Eight other African countries have also experienced outbreaks, many in places where health workers are in short supply and where keeping the vaccines cold and effective until they reach children in remote areas is extremely challenging….” Stroke & World Stroke Day (29 October) Lancet (Editorial) – Don't be the one: individual responsibility in stroke prevention https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)32460-2/fulltext 19
“The latest campaign of the World Stroke Organization (WSO), for World Stroke Day, Oct 29, is clearly aimed at the individual. With the provocative hashtag and slogan, Don't be the one, it explains that one in four of us—referencing the 25% lifetime risk of stroke—might not make it home today. Such a hard-hitting, personalised approach might seem justified given the size of the problem….” But the Lancet is no fan: “…The WSO's current campaign, Don't be the one, urges people to avoid having a stroke by using simple steps including exercising five times per week, eating a healthy balanced diet, maintaining a healthy weight, stopping smoking, and managing stress and depression. Placing the responsibility to change solely on the shoulders of the individual is unlikely to be successful unless supported by sustainable, empowering, and widespread actions from governmental and international agencies.” Dementia summit (Japan, 18 Oct) Guardian - Dementia poses threat to health similar to HIV and Aids, summit told https://www.theguardian.com/society/2019/oct/18/dementia-similar-threat-global-health-hiv-aids- world-summit (Last week) “On Friday ( 18th Oct), In a speech to the World Dementia Council summit in Japan, Hugo de Jonge, the Dutch health minister, said dementia was underfunded, misunderstood and overlooked, as HIV and Aids were in their early days.” …“Today, we are on the verge of another epidemic; not a disease that attacks our immune systems, but our brain, our memory, our personality, ourselves. Like HIV/Aids in its early days, dementia is a globally underfunded area of medicine.” COPASAH conference New Delhi IHP - Accelerating Social Accountability for Health: short takes from the COPASAH Global Symposium in New Delhi, 15-18 October 2019 Ravi Ram; https://www.internationalhealthpolicies.org/featured-article/accelerating-social- accountability-for-health-short-takes-from-the-copasah-global-symposium-in-new-delhi-15-18- october-2019/ Excellent blog on the recent COPASAH symposium in India. The symposium focused on Citizenship, Governance and Accountability in health. Among others, Ravi Ram dwells on the conceptual discussions, the focus on corruption in health systems, UHC & its (gap in) social accountability, and the need for systems thinking on questions of accountability and governance in health. 20
ITM colloquium IHP- The 60th ITM Colloquium – Were the dots connected? Sophie Vusha; https://www.internationalhealthpolicies.org/blogs/the-60th-itm-colloquium-were- the-dots-connected/ IHP resident Sophie Vusha connects many of the dots at the recent (60th) ITM colloquium, which was themed ‘Connecting the dots’. Well worth a read, whether you attended the colloquium or not! RCTs in global health Lancet Editorial – Where next for randomised controlled trials in global health? https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)32458-4/fulltext Editorial linked to last week’s Nobel prize Economics. Excerpt: “…While development economics has drawn lessons from medicine, what can medicine learn from this experimentalist turn in economics? The laureates have shown that RCTs can be done in some of the most challenging human circumstances. Importantly, the design of interventions must be based on a detailed understanding of context. Too often, a policy shown to work in one setting is transplanted to another, with scant regard for whether the situation is at all similar. This scenario is especially true for health policy, in which a community of highly paid international consultants travel business class from country to country peddling their favourite idea…. RCTs in global health must evolve to become more meaningful. Too often, trials are severely restricted, with little ability to plan for changes across the study (adaptive) and being ready for unforeseen decision making (simulation modelling) at a huge cost and effort. An upcoming Lancet Global Health Series on improving efficiency in global health clinical trials aimed both at researchers and funding bodies will focus on innovative designs and avoiding research waste. The lesson from this year's Nobel Prizes is that one size does not fit all. In conceiving and doing rigorous experiments to find out what really works, we need to listen to the voices of the poor and design interventions that respond to their beliefs, needs, and expectations.” The Editorial says the HOPE-4 trial published last week is a good example of this. A few webcasts you might want to re-watch • CGD (Event of 18 October) - Do We Still Care About Principles and Measures of ‘Aid Effectiveness’? “For OECD-DAC countries who still provide substantial volumes of aid, do we agree on and still care about principles, measures and comparisons of what makes development aid “effective”? The context has changed significantly since donor countries agreed principles in a series of high-level 21
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