IE Insights ASEAN Economic Community: Opportunities through Economic Integration in Southeast Asia
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INTERNATIONAL ENTERPRISE SINGAPORE IE Insights Vol. 22_May 2015 ASEAN Economic Community: Opportunities through Economic Integration in Southeast Asia The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has promoted regional cooperation and deepened political and economic ties amongst its members. Further economic integration is underway to achieve the vision of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) by end 2015. This issue of IE Insights provides an update of the AEC and discusses how Singapore companies can fully tap the opportunities that the AEC will bring. By FOO May Yan, KOH Wan Ling, LAI Shu Ying, LAM Yin Yin Southeast Asia Group, Trade Group enquiry@iesingapore.gov.sg
Contents 03 Summary 04 Southeast Asia’s Strong Growth Potential 06 ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) 2015: Challenges and Opportunities 15 Current State of Play in AEC 18 How Singapore Companies Can Approach AEC 2015 21 Conclusion Disclaimer While every effort is made to ensure that the information in this document is accurate, the information is provided by IE Singapore to you without any representation or warranty. Any reliance on the information in this document is at your own risk. IE Singapore does not accept any liability for any errors, omissions or misleading information. IE Singapore and its employees shall not be held responsible for any consequence arising from your reliance on any information provided by us. You are advised to consult your own professional advisors. 2
Summary // ASEAN is Asia’s third largest growth engine after China and India and saw resilient growth despite the global financial crisis. Favourable factors like rising foreign direct investment, a young and large population and abundant natural resources will raise local productivity and create a rising middle class, to transform Southeast Asia into the world’s next consumerism and manufacturing hub. // The ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) Blueprint, signed by ASEAN Leaders at the Singapore Summit in November 2007, is the cornerstone of ASEAN’s efforts towards deeper regional integration. The ASEAN Trade in Goods Agreement (ATIGA), ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS) and the ASEAN Comprehensive Investment Agreement (ACIA) provide the foundation for a single market and production base. // Progress of the AEC varies, with some areas seeing more progress than others. In terms of trade in goods, most physical goods already flow without tariffs between the ASEAN-61 economies and hence the focus has turned to identifying and eliminating non-tariff barriers. In comparison, the free flow of services has seen slower progress // In the long term, the AEC will increase the overall competitiveness and productivity of ASEAN as a single economic region and make the region more attractive to global and pan-ASEAN investors. Singapore companies used to operating in a highly liberalised environment are poised to benefit. // Singapore companies should adopt a pan-Southeast Asia perspective and focus on economies and sectors that would gain the most from integration. 1 ASEAN-6 members are Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand 3
Southeast Asia’s Strong Growth Potential ASEAN – with a combined GDP of US$2.4 trillion in 2013 – is Asia’s third largest growth engine after China and India. Annual growth is projected to average 5.4% from 2014 to 2018. In 2013, 26% of Singapore’s total trade with the world was with ASEAN, Singapore’s largest trading partner. ASEAN-Singapore trade has seen a general upward trend since 2007. Despite the short-term domestic and geo-political uncertainties in individual ASEAN member states in 2014, global investors continue to recognise that the region’s strong growth potential is anchored on solid economic fundamentals. Southeast Asia is home to more than 600 million people (about 60% of its population is under 35 years old). This young and large population translates into a large and dynamic workforce. Growth is further supported by abundant land and natural resources, a wide range production capabilities and good intra-regional connectivity. The confidence that investors hold in ASEAN is reflected in the region’s strong FDI inflows. In 2013, the region attracted US$122 billion of foreign investment, more than China’s US$117.6 billion, an indication of the growing trend of global companies to “look South” to hedge against the rising costs of doing business in China. Large MNCs are increasingly adopting a “China-plus-one” strategy, benefitting the region due to its proximity and relatively lower labour costs. Looking forward, the ASEAN economies are expected to enjoy strong sustained growth over the next few years. ASEAN’s annual growth is projected to average 5.4% from 2014 to 20182. Furthermore, the upside potential for ASEAN is tremendous; intra-ASEAN trade was only 24.2% of ASEAN’s total trade in 2013, growing only five percentage points from 19.2% in 19933. In contrast, 65% of EU merchandise exports went to EU countries in 20104. Rising foreign direct investment coupled with the region’s large, young population and abundant natural resources will raise local productivity, creating a rising middle class that will transform Southeast Asia into the world’s next consumerism and manufacturing hub. 2 Source: “Economic Outlook for Southeast Asia, China and India”, OECD Development Centre, 2014 3 Source: ASEAN Secretariat 4 Source: World Trade Organisation 4
Southeast Asia’s Strong Growth Potential Figure 1: Strong Growth Potential of ASEAN Members Based on Projected Economic Indicators Myanmar Vietnam 56.4b 171b $1,740 $4,012 Laos 60.4m 89.7m 10b $3,068 6.0 7.4 5.6 8.9 6.58m Thailand 8.4 9.3 387b Cambodia $9,875 15.6b 64.4m $2,576 15.1m 5.5 7.0 6.2 10.3 Malaysia 312b Philippines $17,748 272b 30m $4,682 99.6m 4.4 8.1 4.2 7.1 Singapore 296b $64,584 5.3m 2.7 4.5 GDP Growth (%) 2012 Indonesia 870b 2012 – 2016 $5,214 247m GDP 2013 (US$ billions) 6.1 14.5 Brunei GDP (PPP) per cap 16.2b $53,431 Population 2013 (millions) 0.393m 3.2 0.4 Source: International Monetary Fund, 2012 5
ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) 2015: Challenges and Opportunities The ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) Blueprint, signed by ASEAN Leaders at the Singapore Summit in November 2007, is the cornerstone of ASEAN’s efforts towards deeper regional integration. It comprises four key pillars and ASEAN has been focusing on creating a single market and production base. This will lay the foundation for the other pillars to be built on and presents opportunities for Singapore companies. On the trade front, the elimination of tariffs on physical goods trade has largely been realised, though non-trade barriers remain a key impediment. In terms of investments, AEC is expected to liberalise more sectors for foreign participation. Singapore companies should however be aware that each country is still allowed to exercise some flexibility, and that implementation progress also differs. 6
ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) 2015: Challenges and Opportunities The blueprint outlines four key pillars // A single market and production base Barriers to trade in goods and services will be brought down or kept to a minimum. Flows of investment, capital and skilled labour will be facilitated and co-operation in sectors designated as priority integration sectors will be promoted. // A competitive economic region To foster a culture of fair competition and develop or strengthen institutions and laws that can allow businesses to compete on an even playing field. // Equitable economic development ASEAN member states will develop policies aimed at SME development and narrowing the development gap between members. // Integration into the global economy ASEAN strives to integrate itself better as a bloc into the global economy through various agreements, including the “ASEAN plus” Free Trade Areas (FTAs) and Closer Economic Partnerships (CEP) Agreements with major trading partners. In line with our mission of driving external trade and promoting overseas growth of Singapore companies, we focus our attention on the first pillar – a single market and production base – in this issue of IE Insights, which will lay the foundation for the growth of the other pillars. The core areas covered under the first pillar are the liberalisation of trade in goods, services, labour and investment in the region. The ASEAN Trade in Goods Agreement (ATIGA), ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS) and the ASEAN Comprehensive Investment Agreement (ACIA) provide the foundation for a single market and production base. 7
ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) 2015: Challenges and Opportunities Figure 2: Four Key Pillars of the AEC Blueprint ASEAN Economic Community 2015 Key Pillars of the AEC Competitive Economic Equitable Economic Integration into the Single Market Region Development Global Economy Core Elements of Each Pillar // Free flow of goods // Competition policy // SME development // Coherent approach // Free flow of services // Consumer protection // Initiative for ASEAN towards external // Free flow of // Intellectual Property integration economic relations investment Rights (IPR) through FTAs/CEPs // Free flow of capital // Infrastructure // Enhanced // Free flow of skilled development participation in global labour // Taxation supply networks // Ecommerce Actions to be taken • Eliminate tariffs and • Introduce • Promote participation • Enhance non-tariff barriers competition policy in of SMEs in the coordination towards • Harmonise trade and all member states building of regional a common position customs procedures • Establish networks production and in ASEAN’s external and standards of national distribution networks economic relations • Investment enforcement and best practices in • Enhance adoption protection and agencies to SME development of international liberalisation facilitate information • Enhance platforms best practices • Facilitate mobility exchange for to identify and and standards in of skilled personnel consumer and IPR implement technical production and through Mutual protection assistance and distribution Recognition • Improve physical and capacity building Agreements ICT infrastructure programmes, • Identify Priority • Lay policy and legal to narrow the Integration Sectors infrastructure for development gap to catalyse the ecommerce within ASEAN as integration process well as between ASEAN and the world Source: AEC Factbook 8 8
ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) 2015: Challenges and Opportunities Free flow of goods The ATIGA, which entered into force in 2010, contains the full tariff liberalisation schedule amongst ASEAN Member States (AMS), as well as more liberal rules of origin (ROO) for products to qualify for tariff concessions. The implementation of ATIGA is on track. ASEAN-6 has eliminated tariffs on 99.2% of tariff lines, whereas 77.6% of tariff lines from Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar and Vietnam (CLMV) have been reduced to 0% – 5%. Figure 3: Tariff Reduction or Elimination Schedule under ATIGA Product categorisation in Tariff reduction/ elimination schedule under ATIGA each ASEAN member state ASEAN-6 (Brunei CLMV (Cambodia, Lao PDR, Darussalam, Indonesia, Myanmar and Vietnam) Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand) Unprocessed agricultural Import duties were reduced to Vietnam: Import duties were products (e.g. sugar, rice, 0% – 5% in 2010. reduced to 0% – 5% in 2013. pineapples, etc.) Lao PDR and Myanmar: Import duties will be reduced to 0% – 5% by 2015. Cambodia: Import duties will be reduced to 0% – 5% by 2017. All other products Import duties were eliminated Import duties will be eliminated in 2010. by 2015, with flexibility of up to 2018. General exceptions Import duties are not subject to reduction or elimination. Source: IE Singapore 9
ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) 2015: Challenges and Opportunities Apart from the reduction and elimination of tariffs, the ATIGA also commits AMS to facilitate trade by tackling barriers faced by businesses as a result of burdensome customs procedures, technical barriers to trade (TBT) and sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) measures. Key initiatives include eliminating Non-Tariff Barriers (NTBs), establishing the ASEAN Self-Certification System and the ASEAN Single Window (ASW) to reduce customs administrative burden, and the ASEAN Trade Repository (ATR), a one-stop website containing trade related information of all AMS. What this means for Singapore companies // Singapore manufacturers can export to ASEAN without having to pay tariffs for most products. The increased access to ASEAN’s markets improves Singapore manufacturers’ access to the rapidly growing demand in ASEAN. // With freer flow of goods within ASEAN, manufacturing and production costs should be reduced due to lower costs for regionally-sourced raw materials or inputs. This increases the competitiveness for Singapore-produced goods. ASEAN has also placed significant emphasis on the elimination of NTBs. Nonetheless, discriminatory practices or “behind-the-border” issues remain an obstacle. To address these issues, the following initiatives have been developed to help companies tackle such barriers: // Launch of a publicly available ASEAN Non-Tariff Measures (NTMs) database This database will feature the range of NTMs that companies will likely face whilst trading in each AMS. This is to enhance transparency to traders and serves as a surveillance mechanism. // Harmonisation of national standards and technical regulations via the implementation of Mutual Recognition Arrangements (MRAs) by sector Many measures have been developed to harmonise standards across ASEAN. The establishment of MRAs for products (like electrical and electronics, pharmaceutical, automotive, prepared foodstuff, building and construction) will eliminate the need for duplicative testing when such products are exported to ASEAN, reducing the time- to-market. Harmonising technical requirements for products in specific sectors (like medical devices, cosmetics) will also make it easier for Singapore exporters to comply with the regulations when exporting to ASEAN. 10
ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) 2015: Challenges and Opportunities Free flow of services The AFAS has several objectives: • liberalise trade in services, • eliminate substantial barriers to trade in services, • enhance cooperation in services, and • provide mutual recognition of qualifications and experiences. ASEAN aims to finalise the 10th and last package of commitments in 2015. Under the AFAS, 12 broad sectors have been identified for liberalisation and five are earmarked as priority integration sectors. Figure 4: Liberalisation Timeline under the AFAS ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS) Priority Integration Sectors (5) Other Sectors (7) Air transport, e-ASEAN, healthcare, hospitality and Business services, construction and engineering, education, tourism and logistics services finance, environmental services, culture and others By 9th Package (2014) By 10th Package (2015) 70% equity participation in priority integration sectors 70% equity participation in all sectors Source: IE Singapore The 12 broad sectors should allow at least 70% foreign (ASEAN) equity participation by 2015. However, each member state can exercise flexibility in implementing the commitments set out in the AFAS. 11
ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) 2015: Challenges and Opportunities What this means for Singapore companies The AFAS will provide more opportunities for Singapore companies to participate in previously closed sectors. The five priority sectors for services integration have been identified as most crucial to ASEAN integration and offer potential opportunities for Singapore companies in the following areas: // e-ASEAN Increased consumer protection and standardisation of ecommerce laws would reduce the costs of overseas expansion for Singapore companies. Firms have the option of setting up a strong local online presence first, before physically entering the market. // Logistics ASEAN officials are committed to improving connectivity – with approximately US$4 billion5 lending commitment through the ASEAN Infrastructure Fund till 2020. Singapore companies would be able to export their expertise in supply chain management and build up strong networks necessary to support other businesses including food services, retail and even ecommerce. In countries that impose foreign land ownership restrictions, Singapore companies could partner local players with nationwide reach. // Air Transport Southeast Asia’s airline industry has enjoyed robust growth over the past ten years fuelled by the entrance of low cost carriers. The AEC aims to create a single aviation market characterised by open market access and a more flexible operating environment for the air transport industry. Airlines would be able to pick up and drop off passengers at more locations and explore different transit combinations. Companies that provide air transport-related services should face fewer roadblocks in operating across borders. It would make more routes commercially feasible and reduce operating costs for airlines and air freight operators. The cost of travel between cities will also decrease, making a regional business model more cost effective for our companies. // Healthcare Reputational risk and maintenance of standards are key considerations in the healthcare industry and more Singapore healthcare providers would be willing to invest abroad if they can have greater management control over investments. Under the AEC, foreign companies can enjoy greater autonomy in the hiring of personnel or purchase of equipment and would thus have a greater degree of control. // Tourism The liberalisation of the tourism sector and establishment of common standards for tourism professionals would increase service levels across the ASEAN countries and allow local communities to embark on partnerships with foreign equity providers. Singapore hospitality or real estate companies could also participate more actively in the development and operations of attractions or in the refurbishment of historical monuments in ASEAN countries. 5 Source: “Facts and Data about Southeast Asian Infrastructure”, Asian Development Bank, May 2012. 12
ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) 2015: Challenges and Opportunities Free flow of skilled labour The AEC blueprint recognises that the flow of skilled labour across borders is crucial to facilitating the free flow of services. The ASEAN Agreement on the Movement of Natural Persons (MNP) was signed during the 21st ASEAN Summit in November 2012 to regulate the temporary movement of skilled workers across borders. Separately, ASEAN has also signed eight Mutual Recognition Arrangements (MRAs) in the fields of accountancy, architecture, dentistry, engineering, medicine, nursing, quantity surveying, and tourism. As a result of the MRAs, skilled professionals in these fields can have their qualifications recognised in other ASEAN countries. What this means for Singapore companies Singapore companies in the services sector often cite the availability of skilled labour as a key roadblock to overseas expansion, particularly in developing markets. The freedom to move skilled professionals from one country to another would bring down the cost of doing business in skilled-labour scarce markets. Singapore-based companies planning to internationalise or expand into the ASEAN region will find it easier to move skilled professionals to other ASEAN countries. Similarly, Singapore companies who require foreign talent to complement our local workforce may tap into a wider pool of skilled professionals should they so require, subject to the immigration and visa requirements of local authorities. 13
ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) 2015: Challenges and Opportunities Free flow of investments and capital Investment cooperation is implemented through the ASEAN Comprehensive Investment Agreement (ACIA), which supersedes the earlier Framework Agreement on the ASEAN Investment Area (AIA), and the ASEAN Investment Guarantee Agreement (IGA). The ACIA covers the four pillars of liberalisation, protection, promotion and facilitation, and is ASEAN’s instrument to create a free and open investment regime in the context of an integrated economic community. The ACIA aims to provide greater confidence to investors to invest and maintain their investments in ASEAN. Additionally, the ACIA aims to encourage greater industrial complementation and specialisation among the AMS and increase intra-ASEAN investment in the region. Direct and portfolio investments are protected under the ACIA. It is based on international best practices and has comparable provisions on liberalisation and protection. Investors can also now make use of clearer and more transparent provisions to obtain approval and transfers of investments. In addition, investors will be protected through more comprehensive provisions on investor-state dispute mechanisms. What this means for Singapore companies The development of ASEAN as an integrated investment network would promote intra- ASEAN investments and attract more external FDI into ASEAN as a bloc. The streamlining of business procedures and enhanced investment protection would reduce the costs and risks of Singapore companies doing business in Southeast Asia. The availability of financing and arbitration options available in Singapore puts us in good stead to attract global MNCs and regional conglomerates to locate offices or ink contracts here. This would translate into opportunities for legal, accountancy and HR firms, which can serve as partners for regional or global companies looking to establish a pan-Southeast Asia footprint. 14
Current State of Play in AEC The movement towards the AEC is a complex and dynamic process that calls for the economic integration of ten diverse economies. Some sectors for integration have seen more progress than others. Tariffs on goods have been almost completely removed, especially amongst the ASEAN-6 economies and ASEAN continues to work towards creating an environment in which services and capital flow unhindered. This process of integration will eventually increase the overall competitiveness and productivity of ASEAN as a single economic region and make the region more attractive to global and pan-ASEAN investors. 15
Current State of Play in AEC Plans and priorities have been approved by the respective governments in the AEC process, though some sectors have seen more progress than others. Figure 5: Progress on ASEAN economic integration by sector Progress (%) 0–24 25–49 50–74 75–99 100 Trade Invest- Tariffs Non-tariff measures Services Labor procedures ment Standards Other Single Single Services FDI Tariffed Tariffed and regula- non-tariff window window Trade Trade restric- restric- Labor goods amount tions measures2 status trade Customs speed cost tiveness tions mobility Average Lowest Agriculture, 91 88 57 70 71 75 57 fisheries Rubber 93 98 98 96 71 82 58 Wood 94 99 96 75 68 80 58 Textiles 96 99 99 73 81 82 58 Goods 70 58 61 85 94 Auto 94 94 94 39 81 77 39 Electronics 98 99 57 62 81 76 57 Consumer 94 99 60 56 81 76 56 Resources3 84 93 79 89 61 78 58 Air travel 71 61 66 61 n/a5 E-ASEAN4 60 47 54 47 Health care 33 83 10 42 10 Services Tourism 71 90 30 64 30 Logistics 46 94 70 46 Finance 59 64 n/a5 62 59 Telecom 60 47 54 47 Average 93 96 80 70 70 58 61 85 94 57 72 20 69 20 Source: 1 Based on assessments of Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. Brunei, Cambodia, Laos, and McKinsey Global Myanmar excluded due to lack of comprehensive data; Singapore excluded to avoid bias toward developed economies. Institute integration 2 Includes administrative charges, certificates of approval, import licensing, quantity control measures, internal taxes, and database prohibition measures. 3 Includes mining, and oil and gas. 4 Digital readiness through connectivity, local content, e-commerce, common marketplace for ICT goods and services, skills development, and e-governance. 5 Sectors not covered in mutual recognition agreements. 16 16
Current State of Play in AEC In summary, good progress has been made for trade in goods and most physical goods flow without tariffs between the ASEAN-6 economies. The focus has turned to the identification and elimination of non-tariff barriers although this continues to be difficult, particularly in the non-commodities sectors as standards and regulations for non- commodity goods continue to vary. Progress towards the free flow of services has been slower as local governments face domestic pressure or resistance against the liberalisation of sectors dominated by strong local players or deemed critical to national security. For similar reasons, efforts towards facilitating and increasing the flow of investments and skilled labor across borders have also seen varying progress across different sectors. Nevertheless, the AEC is not a one-off project but an ongoing effort towards creating an ASEAN in which goods, services, people and capital flow unhindered. Taken in this stride, the continued commitment of ASEAN member states towards the AEC is an encouraging sign. When fully implemented, the AEC is expected to increase the competitiveness and productivity of ASEAN as a single economic region by allowing international and intra-ASEAN firms to fully leverage the comparative advantages offered by ASEAN economies. 17
How Singapore Companies Can Approach AEC 2015 Singapore companies need to adopt a pan-Southeast Asia perspective and focus on economies and sectors that would gain the most from integration, to fully tap into the opportunities created by the AEC. While economic integration will bring both challenges and opportunities, the impact of increased competition from foreign companies is likely to be minimal in Singapore which already has an open economy. Beyond the AEC, Southeast Asia has sound fundamentals for manufacturing and consumerism related opportunities. Singapore companies should take a long term investment horizon and tap into these growth trends. 18
How Singapore Companies Can Approach AEC 2015 Adopt a pan-Southeast Asia perspective for both opportunities and risk diversification Singapore companies need to adopt a pan-Southeast Asia strategy and recognise that the benefits of increased integration will outweigh the challenges brought about by increased competition given that Singapore’s economy is already highly liberalised. By entering different markets across Southeast Asia, Singapore companies would be able to take advantage of the regional trade and investment flows, particularly in production and distribution. Companies that have recognised these include our industrial park players. Singapore industrial park players have established presence in Malaysia, Vietnam and Indonesia. Already well positioned in the region, such companies are poised to benefit from the AEC when it comes to fruition. Focus on economies that are most ready or likely to gain from integration The ten members of ASEAN have varying levels of economic development and political structures. Thailand has spent as much as 8 billion baht (US$246 million) to prepare its companies for the AEC. Indonesia is also likely to benefit with foreign investors keen to tap into the largest population in Southeast Asia. Singapore companies can consider partnering firms in these countries to leverage their relative strengths to reap benefits from the AEC. For Thailand, third-country collaboration to take advantage of Thai conglomerates’ strong networks in neighbouring countries such as Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam and Myanmar is one possible mode. Apart from local or regional companies, MNCs can also make good partners for Singapore companies. Regional players are familiar with the local climate and have ready contacts while MNC collaboration would give our firms access to larger projects, particularly in the infrastructure sector. Indonesia, with the largest population in Southeast Asia, is expected to be one of the largest recipients for the increase in foreign investment resulting from the AEC. This will drive demand for infrastructure and the growth in affluence will increase the consumption appetite of Indonesian consumers. 19
How Singapore Companies Can Approach AEC 2015 Pay particular attention to sectors that tap into Southeast Asia’s strength as a manufacturing, and consumerism hub The economic potential of SEA is anchored upon its large and young population of 600 million people and abundance of land and natural resources. The AEC seeks to maximise these strengths by easing the flow of goods, people and knowledge across borders and manufacturing and consumerism are sectors that will benefit significantly from regional economic integration. In the manufacturing sector, the surge in FDI brought about by liberalised investment regimes will be accompanied by the flow of expertise and technology across borders. Singapore companies can explore locating different parts of their operations across different economies to maximise their cost efficiency. Increased productivity and lower logistical costs from looser trade regimes would contribute further to reducing costs for companies, making the region more attractive as a whole. This will pose benefits for Singapore companies as they increasingly look towards ASEAN to hedge against the rising costs of doing business in other parts of the world. The emergence of an increasingly affluent and connected urban middle class in Southeast Asia also creates opportunities for regional and global brands in the consumer sectors and the AEC will ease the expansion of such brands across borders. Take a long-term approach to investments in Southeast Asia In many countries, political, legal and economic frameworks are still undergoing updates and revision. These changes are not unexpected and investors need to factor in political and regulatory risk when evaluating opportunities in Southeast Asia. They should also take on a long-term view and not succumb to a knee-jerk reaction. Despite these uncertainties, the Southeast Asian economies have demonstrated resilience and strong overall growth over the past decade. 20
Conclusion The economic integration of such a diverse region is not without challenges. Nevertheless, the AEC 2015 should not be viewed as a deadline but an ongoing process aimed at creating an ASEAN in which trade and investments flow unhindered. Over and above the AEC, Southeast Asia has good fundamentals with a large young population, burgeoning middle class and abundant natural resources. Opportunities will continue to exist for Singapore companies in the manufacturing, infrastructure and consumerism spaces and the move towards integration will yield considerable benefits for businesses. 21
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