IDEOLOGY AND PARTISANSHIP IN THE 87th (2021) REGULAR SESSION OF THE TEXAS LEGISLATURE - Mark P. Jones, Ph.D. Fellow in Political Science, Rice ...

Page created by Alfredo Deleon
 
CONTINUE READING
IDEOLOGY AND PARTISANSHIP IN THE 87th (2021) REGULAR SESSION OF THE TEXAS LEGISLATURE - Mark P. Jones, Ph.D. Fellow in Political Science, Rice ...
IDEOLOGY AND PARTISANSHIP IN THE 87th (2021)
REGULAR SESSION OF THE TEXAS LEGISLATURE

Mark P. Jones, Ph.D.
Fellow in Political Science, Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy

July 2021
IDEOLOGY AND PARTISANSHIP IN THE 87th (2021) REGULAR SESSION OF THE TEXAS LEGISLATURE - Mark P. Jones, Ph.D. Fellow in Political Science, Rice ...
© 2021 Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy

This material may be quoted or reproduced without prior permission, provided
appropriate credit is given to the author and the Baker Institute for Public Policy.

Wherever feasible, papers are reviewed by outside experts before they are released.
However, the research and views expressed in this paper are those of the individual
researcher(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the Baker Institute.

Mark P. Jones, Ph.D.
“Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature”

https://doi.org/10.25613/HP57-BF70
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Executive Summary

This report utilizes roll call vote data to improve our understanding of the ideological and
partisan dynamics of the Texas Legislature’s 87th regular session.

The first section examines the location of the members of the Texas Senate and of the
Texas House on the liberal-conservative dimension along which legislative politics takes
place in Austin. In both chambers, every Republican is more conservative than every
Democrat and every Democrat is more liberal than every Republican. There does,
however, exist substantial ideological diversity within the respective Democratic and
Republican delegations in each chamber.

The second section explores the extent to which each senator and each representative was
on the winning side of the non-lopsided final passage votes (FPVs) on which they voted. In
the Senate, the one-third of senators with the highest FPV Win Rates are all Republicans,
while the one-third of senators with the lowest FPV Win Rates are all Democrats. In sharp
contrast, in the House, the one-third of representatives with the highest FPV Win Rates are
split at a three-to-two ratio among Democrats (62%) and Republicans (38%), while the one-
third of representatives with the lowest FPV Win Rates are all Republicans.

The third section uses the data from the first two sections to examine the relationship
between ideology, partisanship, and FPV Win Rates in the Texas Senate and House. The
data suggest that a Republican agenda dominated the Texas Senate during the 2021 regular
session, with the Republican senators at the ideological center of the GOP Senate Caucus
having a FPV Win Rate that was 31% greater than that of the Democrat at the ideological
center of the Democratic Senate Caucus.

The data reveal a Texas House where a Republican agenda did not dominate to the same
degree as in the Senate, despite Republicans holding a majority similar in size to that in the
Senate and despite the Speaker of the House, like the Lieutenant Governor who leads the
Senate, being a Republican. The median Democrat on the Lib-Con dimension in the House
had a FPV Win Rate that was 11% higher than that of the median Republican on the Lib-
Con dimension.

The final section examines the partisanship of the Texas Senate and House via an analysis
of partisan roll rates—the proportion of FPVs where a majority of the respective caucuses’
members were on the losing side. The data reveal one similarity and two differences
between the Senate and House. The similarity is that a large majority of the FPVs had a
bipartisan consensus (73% in the Senate and 69% in the House), with neither party being
rolled. The first difference is that while Senate Republicans were rolled on only 0.3% of the
FPVs, House Republicans were rolled on 29.4% of FPVs, almost 100 times more. The
second is that Senate Democrats were rolled on 26.4% of FPVs, more than twice the rate for
House Democrats (10.4%).

                                                3
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Introduction

This report utilizes roll call votes cast during the 87th (2021) regular session of the Texas
Legislature to better understand the partisan and ideological forces that influenced the
legislation that passed and failed to pass between January and May of 2021.

The report first examines the position during the 2021 regular session of the Texas senators
and representatives on the liberal-conservative dimension that dominates legislative
behavior in Austin (as well as Washington, D.C.). It provides the ideological location (the
Liberal-Conservative Score, or Lib-Con Score) for every senator in relation to every other
senator and the ideological location of every representative in relation to every other
representative. The 31-member Texas Senate is examined first, followed by the 150-
member Texas House.

The report then analyzes the extent to which each senator and each representative was on
the winning side of non-lopsided Final Passage Votes (FPVs) in their respective chamber.
The higher a legislator’s FPV Win Rate, the more they were in agreement (or at least were
not in disagreement) with the legislation that obtained final passage in their chamber
during the 2021 legislative session.

The report then brings together the Lib-Con Score and the FPV Win Rate data from the
preceding two sections to better understand the ideological and partisan balance of power
in the Texas Senate and in the Texas House during the 2021 regular session. To do so it
employs information about the ideological location (Lib-Con Score) of the median
Democrat, median Republican, and median legislator in the chamber to ascertain which
partisan and ideological groups experienced the most success in terms of agreeing with the
most legislation that passed out of their chamber, and which partisan and ideological
groups experienced the least success in terms of disagreeing with the most legislation that
passed out of their chamber.

A final section moves from an individual-level analysis to a party-level analysis via the
study of roll rates in the Texas Senate and in the Texas House. A party is “rolled” on an FPV
when a majority of its members casting a vote are on the losing side of the vote.
Conversely, a party is not “rolled” on an FPV when a majority of its members casting a vote
are on the winning side of the vote. It is possible for no party (Democrat or Republican) to
be rolled on a vote, or for one of the two parties to be rolled on a vote.

                                                4
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Liberals and Conservatives in the Texas Legislature: 2021

This section locates the Texas senators and representatives on the liberal-conservative
dimension along which most activity in the Texas Legislature (and U.S. Congress) now
takes place (Poole and Rosenthal 2006, 1997; Voteview 2021). The section begins with a
brief discussion of the methodology utilized to determine the ideological location of the
legislators in each chamber, followed by an analysis of the Texas Senate and then an
analysis of the Texas House of Representatives.

Methodology
Political scientists have for more than 40 years used roll-call votes cast by members of the
U.S. Congress to plot them on the Liberal-Conservative dimension along which most
legislative politics now takes place. In this tradition, here I use a Bayesian estimation
procedure belonging to the family of methodological approaches that represent political
science’s gold standard for roll-call vote analysis (Carroll et al. 2009; Clinton, Jackman, and
Rivers 2004).

The ranking of the Texas Senate draws on the 898 non-lopsided roll-call votes taken during
the 2021 regular session. As with previous rankings conducted in 2019, 2017 (post-special
session), 2017 (regular session), 2015, 2013, and 2011, the senators are ranked from most
liberal to most conservative based on their Liberal-Conservative Score, with the 95%
credible interval (CI) for this point estimate also provided.

The ranking of the Texas House members draws on the 1,235 non-lopsided roll-call votes
taken during the 2021 regular session. As with previous rankings conducted in 2019, 2017
(post special session), 2017 (post regular session) 2015, 2013, and 2011, the representatives
are ranked from most liberal to most conservative based on their Liberal-Conservative
Score, with the 95% credible interval (CI) for this point estimate also provided.

If two legislators’ CIs overlap, their positions on the ideological spectrum might be
statistically equivalent, even if their Lib-Con Scores are different. In no case in 2021 did the
CI of a Republican senator overlap with that of a Democratic senator, indicating that in the
Texas Senate every Republican is significantly more conservative than every Democrat,
and every Democrat is significantly more liberal than every Republican. By the same
token, in no case in 2021 did the CI of a House Republican overlap with that of a House
Democrat, indicating that in the Texas House every Republican is significantly more
conservative than every Democrat, and every Democrat is significantly more liberal than
every Republican.

Following standard practice (Poole and Rosenthal 2006, 1997), House votes that are
lopsided are excluded from the analysis, with “lopsided” being defined as when fewer than
2.5% of representatives are on the losing side of the vote (in most cases, fewer than four).
For the Senate, votes are considered lopsided if fewer than two senators are on the losing
side of the vote. The Senate and House Lib-Con Scores are not directly comparable.

                                                5
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

The 2021 Texas Senate, from Left to Right
The Texas Senate’s roll-call votes from this year’s regular session make it possible to rank
the state’s 31 senators from left to right on the state’s ideological spectrum (see Figure 1).

Figure 1. Texas Senate Liberal-Conservative Location, 87th Legislature (2021)

Senate Republicans
The 18 Republican senators fall into three general groups in regard to their ideological location.

                                                6
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

At the most conservative end of the GOP ideological spectrum are four senators: Bryan
Hughes of Mineola, Drew Springer of Muenster, Brandon Creighton of Conroe, and Bob
Hall of Edgewood. All four have Lib-Con Scores that are significantly more conservative
than those of more than three-quarters of the other 14 Republicans, ranging from 11 of 14 for
Hall to 14 of 14 for Hughes. Within this conservative quartet however, no senator is
significantly more or less conservative than another.

At the other end of the GOP ideological spectrum is a single senator, Kel Seliger of Amarillo.
Seliger’s Lib-Con Score is significantly less conservative than that of every one of his 17
fellow Republicans.

The remaining 13 Republicans fall into a middle category, ranging from Brian Birdwell of
Granbury at the most conservative end of the spectrum to Larry Taylor of Friendswood at
the less conservative end. The CIs of a majority of these 13 senators overlap, indicating that
for most pair-wise senator vs. senator comparisons within this sub-group, neither senator is
significantly more or less conservative than the other. The only exceptions follow: Birdwell
and Charles Schwertner of Georgetown are significantly more conservative than Taylor, Joan
Huffman of Houston, and Donna Campbell of New Braunfels; Robert Nichols of Jacksonville
and Dawn Buckingham of Lakeway are significantly more conservative than Taylor and
Huffman; and Angela Paxton of McKinney is significantly more conservative than Taylor.

The median Senate Republicans, who represent the absolute center of the 18-member GOP
Senate caucus, are Paxton and Kelly Hancock of North Richland Hills.

Senate Democrats
The 13 Democratic senators also fall into three general groups in regard to their
ideological location.

At the liberal extreme of the Democratic ideological spectrum is a single senator, Sarah
Eckhardt of Austin. Eckhardt’s Lib-Con Score is significantly more liberal than that of every
one of her 12 fellow Democrats.

At the centrist end of the Democratic ideological spectrum are two South Texas senators,
Eddie Lucio Jr. of Brownsville and Juan “Chuy” Hinojosa of McAllen. Both possess Lib-Con
Scores that are significantly more centrist than those of every one of their 11 other
Democratic colleagues. Neither Lucio Jr. nor Hinojosa is, however, significantly more or less
centrist or liberal than the other.

The third group of 10 Democrats ranges from Beverly Powell of Burleson on the centrist side
of the Democratic ideological spectrum to Borris Miles of Houston at the liberal end. The CIs
of a majority of these senators overlap, indicating that their Lib-Con Scores are not
significantly different, and that neither is more or less liberal than the other. One exception
however is Miles, who, among these 10 Democratic senators, is significantly more liberal
than Powell, Judith Zaffirini of Laredo, and Royce West of Dallas. The other exceptions: John
Whitmire of Houston is significantly more liberal than Powell and Zaffirini; and Carol

                                                7
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Alvarado of Houston, Nathan Johnson of Dallas, and Roland Gutierrez of San Antonio are
significantly more liberal than Powell.

The median Senate Democrat, who represents the absolute center of the 13-member
Democratic House caucus, is César Blanco of El Paso.

The 2021 Texas House, from Left to Right
The Texas House’s roll-call votes from this year’s regular session make it possible to rank 149
of the state’s 150 representatives from left to right on the state’s ideological spectrum.
Republican House Speaker Dade Phelen of Beaumont, who by custom doesn’t ordinarily
vote, is not included in the analysis.

House Republicans
The 82 members of the Republican House delegation reflect a wide range of ideological
positions (see Figure 2). The delegation stretches from Matt Schaefer of Tyler, Briscoe Cain
of Deer Park, Bryan Slaton of Royce City, Steve Toth of Spring, Cody Vasut of Angleton, and
Tony Tinderholt of Arlington at the most conservative end, to Lyle Larson of San Antonio,
Dan Huberty of Houston, Morgan Meyer of Dallas, Charlie Geren of Fort Worth, Kyle Kacal
of College Station, and J.M. Lozano of Kingsville at the other.

Within the Republican delegation, three distinct blocs of representatives appear in the data.

At the most conservative end of the spectrum is a set of 16 representatives ranging from
Schaefer to Matt Krause of Fort Worth. As a group, these 16 representatives are significantly
more conservative than more than three-fourths of their fellow Republican legislators. At the
most conservative end of this group, Schaefer is significantly more conservative than 74 of
his 81 fellow Republicans (91%), compared to 62 of 81 (77%) for Krause at the other end, with
Cole Hefner of Mt. Pleasant and Mayes Middleton of Wallisville in the middle, each
significantly more conservative than 66 of their 81 GOP colleagues (82%).

At the most centrist end of the GOP spectrum is a set of seven representatives ranging from
Larson to Jim Murphy of Houston. As a group, these seven representatives are significantly
less conservative than more than three-fourths of their fellow Republican legislators, ranging
from 73 of 81 (90%) for Larson to 63 of 81 (78%) for Murphy.

The majority of House Republicans (59 of 82, or 72%) occupy a middle ground between these
two Republican ideological poles. The median House Republicans in 2021, who represent the
absolute center of the 82-member GOP House caucus, are DeWayne Burns of Cleburne and
Stephanie Klick of Fort Worth.

                                                8
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Figure 2. Texas House Liberal-Conservative Location, 87th Legislature (2021)

                                               9
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

House Democrats
The 67 Democratic House members also reflect a diverse array of ideological worldviews,
albeit slightly less polarized internally than their GOP counterparts (see Figure 3). The
delegation ranges from Michelle Beckley of Carrollton, Ana-Maria Ramos of Richardson,
Jasmine Crockett of Dallas, Gina Hinojosa of Austin, Toni Rose of Dallas, and Jessica
González of Dallas at the liberal end of the Democratic ideological continuum to Ryan
Guillen of Rio Grande City, Richard Peña Raymond of Laredo, Tracy King of Batesville,
Terry Canales of Edinburg, Abel Herrero of Robstown, and Eddie Morales of Eagle Pass at
the centrist end of the Democratic continuum.

Within the Democratic delegation, three distinct blocs of legislators also appear in the data.

At the most liberal end of the Democratic ideological spectrum, five representatives stand
out for having a Lib-Con Score that is significantly more liberal than that of at least one-
half of the members of the Democratic delegation. They range from Beckley, who is
significantly more liberal than 48 of her 66 (73%) fellow Democrats, to Rose, who is
significantly more liberal than 33 of her 66 (50%) fellow Democrats.

At the other end of the Democratic ideological spectrum are 12 Democrats whose Lib-Con
Score is significantly more centrist than that of at least half of their fellow Democrats. They
range from Guillen, who is significantly more centrist than 63 of his 66 (96%) Democratic
colleagues, to Armando “Mando” Martinez of Weslaco, who is significantly more centrist
than 33 of his 66 (50%) fellow Democrats.

The majority of House Democrats (50 of 67, or 75%) occupy a middle ground between these
two Democratic ideological poles. The median House Democrat in 2021, who represents
the absolute center of the 67-member Democratic House caucus, is Trey Martinez Fischer
of San Antonio.

                                               10
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Figure 3. Texas House Liberal-Conservative Location, 87th Legislature (2021)

                                               11
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Final Passage Vote Win Rates in the Texas Senate and House

A measure of legislative behavior that complements the Lib-Con Score is a legislator’s Final
Passage Vote (FPV) Win Rate. For every legislator, an FPV Win Rate was calculated by
dividing the number of FPVs where they were on the winning side by the total number of
FPVs on which they cast a vote, excluding any lopsided FPVs as defined in the previous
section. During the 2021 regular session there were 314 non-lopsided FPVs in the Senate
and 659 non-lopsided FPVs in the House.

Final Passage Vote Win Rates in the Texas Senate
Table 1 ranks the 31 Texas senators based on their FPV Win Rate. Also included is their
partisan affiliation, Senate district number, and hometown.

Table 1. 2021 Texas Senate FPV Win Rates
           Name              Party              District            Hometown           FPV Win Rate (%)
      Joan Huffman         Republican             17                  Houston               99.57
        Larry Taylor       Republican             11               Friendswood              99.57
    Donna Campbell         Republican             25              New Braunfels             97.84
       Jane Nelson         Republican             12              Flower Mound              97.40
      Lois Kolkhorst       Republican             18                  Brenham               96.51
    Paul Bettencourt       Republican              7                  Houston               96.05
      Kelly Hancock        Republican              9            North Richland Hills        93.07
      Angela Paxton        Republican              8                 McKinney               92.64
      Brian Birdwell       Republican             22                 Granbury               90.48
   Dawn Buckingham         Republican             24                  Lakeway               90.48
     Robert Nichols        Republican              3                Jacksonville            90.48
       Charles Perry       Republican             28                  Lubbock               90.04
   Charles Schwertner      Republican              5               Georgetown               89.61
         Kel Seliger       Republican             31                  Amarillo              86.58
      Eddie Lucio Jr.      Democratic             27                Brownsville             81.82
   Brandon Creighton       Republican              4                   Conroe               80.79
          Bob Hall         Republican              2                 Edgewood               79.65
  Juan "Chuy" Hinojosa     Democratic             20                  McAllen               77.06
      Drew Springer        Republican             30                 Muenster               75.76
      Bryan Hughes         Republican              1                  Mineola               70.56
      Judith Zaffirini     Democratic             21                   Laredo               64.94
     Beverly Powell        Democratic             10                  Burleson              63.64
       César Blanco        Democratic             29                   El Paso              62.34
        Royce West         Democratic             23                    Dallas              61.97
     José Menéndez         Democratic             26               San Antonio              61.23
    Nathan Johnson         Democratic             16                    Dallas              59.57
     Carol Alvarado        Democratic              6                  Houston               59.39
    Roland Gutierrez       Democratic             19               San Antonio              59.31
     John Whitmire         Democratic             15                  Houston               58.01
        Borris Miles       Democratic             13                  Houston               54.67
     Sarah Eckhardt        Democratic             14                   Austin               46.32

The Senate FPV Win Rates range from a high of 99.57% (Republicans Joan Huffman and
Larry Taylor) to a low of 46.32% (Democrat Sarah Eckhardt). The data indicate that
Huffman and Taylor were on the winning side of all but one of the 314 FPVs cast, with 10
other Republican senators on the winning side of more than nine out of every ten FPVs:

                                                  12
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Donna Campbell (97.84%), Jane Nelson of Flower Mound (97.40%), Lois Kolkhorst of
Brenham (96.51%), Paul Bettencourt of Houston (96.05%), Kelly Hancock (93.07%), Angela
Paxton (92.64%), Brian Birdwell (90.48%), Dawn Buckingham (90.48%), Robert Nichols
(90.48%), and Charles Perry of Lubbock (90.04%).

The median Senate FPV Win Rate is 80.79% (Brandon Creighton), signifying that the
median senator was on the winning side of slightly more than four-fifths of all Final
Passage Votes during the 2021 regular legislative session. The median Republican FPV Win
Rate in the Senate is 90.48%, while the median Democratic FPV Win Rate is almost 30%
lower at 61.23%.

Among the 31 senators, 14 of the 18 Republicans (78% of the GOP Caucus) have higher FPV
Win Rates than the Democrat with the highest FPV Win Rate, Eddie Lucio Jr. at 81.82%.
Lucio’s FPV Win Rate is higher than that of four Republicans (Creighton, Bob Hall, Drew
Springer, Bryan Hughes), while Democrat Juan “Chuy” Hinojosa’s FPV Win Rate (77.06%) is
higher than that of two Republicans (Springer and Hughes).

Eleven of the 13 Democrats (85% of the Democratic caucus) have FPV Win Rates that are
lower than that of the Republican with the lowest FPV Win Rate, Hughes (70.56%). Or, put
another way, the Republican with the lowest FPV Win Rate still was on the winning side of
more FPVs than 85% of the Democratic senators.

Republicans account for 18 (58%) and Democrats 13 (42%) of the 31 senators. Among the
one-third (10 senators) of the Senate with the highest FPV Win Rates, 100% are Republicans
and 0% are Democrats. Among the one-third (11 senators) of the Senate with the next
highest FPV Win Rates, 73% are Republicans and 27% are Democrats. Finally, among the
one-third (10 senators) of the Senate with the lowest FPV Win Rates, 0% are Republicans
and 100% are Democrats.

Overall, these data suggest that the center of lawmaking gravity within the Texas Senate
during the 2021 legislative session was located firmly within the GOP Caucus.

Final Passage Vote Win Rates in the Texas House
Table 2 ranks the 149 Texas representatives based on their FPV Win Rate. Also included is
their partisan affiliation, House district number and hometown. As was the case for the
Lib-Con Score, Speaker Dade Phelan is not included in the analysis.

Table 2. 2021 Texas House FPV Win Rates
         Name               Party              District           Hometown         FPV Win Rate (%)
    Garnet Coleman        Democratic            147                 Houston             96.74
    Morgan Meyer          Republican            108                  Dallas             95.81
     Ryan Guillen         Democratic             31             Rio Grande City         95.80
     Dan Huberty          Republican            127                 Houston             95.79
      J.M. Lozano         Republican             43                Kingsville           95.18
       Kyle Kacal         Republican             12             College Station         94.88
      Lyle Larson         Republican            122               San Antonio           94.76

                                                 13
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Richard Peña Raymond       Democratic             42                  Laredo            94.32
       Steve Allison       Republican            121               San Antonio          93.56
        Jim Murphy         Republican            133                 Houston            93.54
       Tracy O. King       Democratic             80                Batesville          93.15
       Todd Hunter         Republican             32              Corpus Christi        92.94
        John Raney         Republican             14             College Station        92.52
      Charlie Geren        Republican             99               Fort Worth           92.43
       Leo Pacheco         Democratic            118               San Antonio          92.22
       Abel Herrero        Democratic             34                Robstown            92.06
       Philip Cortez       Democratic            117               San Antonio          91.22
    Phil Stephenson        Republican             85                 Wharton            90.29
  Armando Martinez         Democratic             39                 Weslaco            90.23
      Eddie Morales        Democratic             74                Eagle Pass          90.21
   Angie Chen Button       Republican            112               Richardson           90.08
     Eddie Lucio, III      Democratic             38               Brownsville          90.06
       Joe Deshotel        Democratic             22                Beaumont            90.02
      Jarvis Johnson       Democratic            139                 Houston            89.65
  Harold V. Dutton, Jr.    Democratic            142                 Houston            89.63
          Ken King         Republican             88                Canadian            89.11
    Alex Dominguez         Democratic             37               Brownsville          89.02
       Julie Johnson       Democratic            115             Farmers Branch         89.00
         Joe Moody         Democratic             78                  El Paso           88.94
         Liz Campos        Democratic            119               San Antonio          88.91
Barbara Gervin-Hawkins     Democratic            120               San Antonio          88.89
     Dustin Burrows        Republican             83                 Lubbock            88.84
    Geanie Morrison        Republican             30                 Victoria           88.82
         Hubert Vo         Democratic            149                 Houston            88.78
     Mary Ann Perez        Democratic            144                 Houston            88.61
      Shawn Thierry        Democratic            146                 Houston            88.19
       Ina Minjarez        Democratic            124               San Antonio          88.11
 Senfronia Thompson        Democratic            141                 Houston            87.69
  R.D. 'Bobby' Guerra      Democratic             41                 Mission            87.65
  Claudia Ordaz Perez      Democratic             76                  El Paso           87.45
        Chris Paddie       Republican             9                  Marshall           87.45
     Ana Hernandez         Democratic            143                 Houston            87.38
     Victoria Neave        Democratic            107                  Dallas            87.31
     Oscar Longoria        Democratic             35                 Mission            87.10
    Sergio Muñoz, Jr.      Democratic             36                Palmview            87.00
         John Frullo       Republican             84                 Lubbock            86.86
        Jacey Jetton       Republican             26                Richmond            86.86
          Art Fierro       Democratic             79                  El Paso           86.62
     Donna Howard          Democratic             48                  Austin            86.31
        Drew Darby         Republican             72               San Angelo           86.29
      Jon Rosenthal        Democratic            135                 Houston            86.28
       Ernest Bailes       Republican             18                Shepherd            86.26
  Ramon Romero, Jr.        Democratic             90               Fort Worth           86.15
        Chris Turner       Democratic            101              Grand Prairie         86.02
     James Talarico        Democratic             52               Round Rock           85.96
     Armando Walle         Democratic            140                 Houston            85.94
       Yvonne Davis        Democratic            111                  Dallas            85.85
        Lina Ortega        Democratic             77                  El Paso           85.71
       Diego Bernal        Democratic            123               San Antonio          85.69
        John Turner        Democratic            114                  Dallas            85.58
     John H. Bucy III      Democratic            136                  Austin            85.44
     Mary González         Democratic             75                   Clint            85.35
         Celia Israel      Democratic             50                  Austin            85.16
          Gene Wu          Democratic            137                 Houston            85.09

                                                  14
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

        Terry Meza        Democratic            105                   Irving           85.06
     Hugh D. Shine        Republican             55                  Temple            84.95
        Alma Allen        Democratic            131                 Houston            84.92
 Trey Martinez Fischer    Democratic            116              San Antonio           84.77
      Ann Johnson         Democratic            134                 Houston            84.70
   Christina Morales      Democratic            145                 Houston            84.62
      Ron Reynolds        Democratic             27              Missouri City         84.41
     Vikki Goodwin        Democratic             47                  Austin            84.39
        Sheryl Cole       Democratic             46                  Austin            84.10
       Erin Zwiener       Democratic             45               Driftwood            83.94
         Ray Lopez        Democratic            125              San Antonio           83.91
     Rhetta Bowers        Democratic            113                 Garland            83.90
     John Kuempel         Republican             44                  Seguin            83.43
    Eddie Rodriguez       Democratic             51                  Austin            82.76
      Travis Clardy       Republican             11              Nacogdoches           82.57
   Carl Sherman, Sr.      Democratic            109                  DeSoto            82.57
      Ed Thompson         Republican             29                 Pearland           82.31
 Penny Morales Shaw       Democratic            148                 Houston            81.87
      Terry Canales       Democratic             40                 Edinburg           81.84
    Jessica González      Democratic            104                   Dallas           81.64
Charles 'Doc' Anderson    Republican             56                   Waco             81.63
      Glenn Rogers        Republican             60                  Graford           81.26
      Nicole Collier      Democratic             95               Fort Worth           81.25
      Brad Buckley        Republican             54                  Killeen           81.21
      Gina Hinojosa       Democratic             49                  Austin            81.18
      Rafael Anchia       Democratic            103                   Dallas           81.15
      Stan Lambert        Republican             71                  Abilene           81.14
    Gary VanDeaver        Republican             1               New Boston            79.92
       James Frank        Republican             69              Wichita Falls         79.88
   Jasmine Crockett       Democratic            100                   Dallas           79.73
         Toni Rose        Democratic            110                   Dallas           79.27
   Michelle Beckley       Democratic             65               Carrollton           78.60
         Four Price       Republican             87                 Amarillo           78.07
        Jake Ellzey       Republican             10              Waxahachie            78.04
   Ana-Maria Ramos        Democratic            102               Richardson           77.99
       Trent Ashby        Republican             57                   Lufkin           77.76
         Keith Bell       Republican             4                   Forney            77.44
         Lacey Hull       Republican            138                 Houston            76.55
 Giovanni Capriglione     Republican             98                Southlake           76.35
    DeWayne Burns         Republican             58                Cleburne            75.86
     Mike Schofield       Republican            132                    Katy            75.81
      John Smithee        Republican             86                 Amarillo           75.67
        Tan Parker        Republican             63             Flower Mound           75.29
       Lynn Stucky        Republican             64                  Denton            75.20
      Tom Craddick        Republican             82                 Midland            73.76
       Sam Harless        Republican            126                  Spring            73.19
     Stephanie Klick      Republican             91               Fort Worth           71.78
      James White         Republican             19                  Hillister         71.59
     Craig Goldman        Republican             97               Fort Worth           69.59
          Phil King       Republican             61              Weatherford           68.94
      Greg Bonnen         Republican             24              Friendswood           67.78
      Scott Sanford       Republican             70                McKinney            67.50
          Jay Dean        Republican             7                 Longview            67.25
       David Spiller      Republican             68                Jacksboro           67.05
       Cecil Bell, Jr.    Republican             3                 Magnolia            66.80
        John Cyrier       Republican             17                 Lockhart           66.41
      Reggie Smith        Republican             62                 Sherman            65.14

                                                 15
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

   Brooks Landgraf        Republican             81                 Odessa             64.33
      Dennis Paul         Republican            129                Houston             63.26
     Tom Oliverson        Republican            130                 Cypress            62.04
       Gary Gates         Republican             28               Richmond             61.26
        Jeff Leach        Republican             67                  Plano             61.15
       David Cook         Republican             96                Mansfield           60.38
      Cody Harris         Republican             8                 Palestine           60.30
      Candy Noble         Republican             89                  Lucas             59.70
     Justin Holland       Republican             33                Rockwall            58.14
       Ben Leman          Republican             13                Anderson            57.87
     Andrew Murr          Republican             53                Junction            57.20
      Will Metcalf        Republican             16                 Conroe             55.30
      Matt Krause         Republican             93               Fort Worth           52.27
   Valoree Swanson        Republican            150                  Spring            51.80
   Kyle Biedermann        Republican             73             Fredericksburg         51.33
       Jeff Cason         Republican             92                 Bedford            49.42
   Mayes Middleton        Republican             23               Wallisville          48.76
     Matt Shaheen         Republican             66                  Plano             47.92
    Jared Patterson       Republican            106                  Frisco            46.68
    Shelby Slawson        Republican             59              Stephenville          45.08
       Cody Vasut         Republican             25                Angleton            40.53
   Tony Tinderholt        Republican             94                Arlington           40.04
      Cole Hefner         Republican             5               Mt. Pleasant          39.85
      Terry Wilson        Republican             20              Marble Falls          39.85
      Bryan Slaton        Republican             2                Royse City           39.20
       Steve Toth         Republican             15             The Woodlands          35.93
      Briscoe Cain        Republican            128                Deer Park           35.29
     Matt Schaefer        Republican             6                    Tyler            33.90

Twenty-three representatives have FPV Win Rates greater than 90%, indicating that on
more than nine out of every 10 final passage votes in which they participated they were
on the winning side. Of these 23 representatives, 12 (52%) are Republicans and 11 (48%) are
Democrats. At the lower end of the distribution, 13 representatives have FPV Win Rates
that are less than 50%, meaning they were on the losing side of more than one out of
every two final passage votes. All 13 are Republicans. The Democrat with the lowest FPV
Win Rate is Ana-Maria Ramos at 77.99%, meaning that she was on the winning side of
almost eight out of every 10 FPVs. Ramos’ FPV Win Rate is higher than that of 50 (61%) of
the 82 Republican representatives.

The median House FPV Win Rate is 83.91% (Ray Lopez of San Antonio), indicating that the
median representative in the chamber was on the winning side of FPVs more than four-fifths
of the time during the 2021 regular session. The median House Democratic FPV Win Rate is
86.02% (Chris Turner of Grand Prairie) while the median House Republican FPV Win Rate is
more than 10% lower at 75.25% (Lynn Stucky of Denton [75.20%] and Tan Parker of Flower
Mound [75.29%]).

Republicans account for 82 (55%) and Democrats 67 (45%) of the 149 representatives (excluding
Speaker Phelan). Of the one-third (50) of the House with the highest FPV Win Rates, 38% are
Republicans and 62% are Democrats. Among the one-third (49) of the House with the next
highest FPV Win Rates, 27% are Republicans and 73% are Democrats. Among the one-third of
the House with the lowest FPV Win Rates, 100% are Republicans and 0% are Democrats.

                                                 16
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Comparing Final Passage Vote Win Rates in the Senate and House
There exists a stark difference between the relationship of legislator partisanship and FPV
Win Rates in the Texas Senate and House.

While the Senate (80.79%) and House (83.91%) median FPV Win Rates are very similar, the
distribution of Republicans and Democrats above and below this median value is quite
different. Excluding the median senator (a Republican), of the 15 senators with FPV Win
Rates above the Senate median, 14 (93%) are Republicans and one (7%) is a Democrat.
Excluding the median representative (a Democrat), of the 74 representatives with FPV Win
Rates above the House median, 21 (28%) are Republicans and 53 (72%) are Democrats.

Of the 15 senators with FPV Win Rates below the Senate median, three (20%) are Republicans
and 12 (80%) are Democrats, while in the House, of the 74 representatives with FPV Win Rates
below the median, 61 (82%) are Republicans while 13 (18%) are Democrats.

While in the Senate, 100% of the one-third of senators with the highest FPV Win Rates are
Republicans and 0% are Democrats, in the House only 38% of the one-third of representatives
with the highest FPV Win Rates are Republicans, while 62% are Democrats. And, at the other
extreme, while in the Senate 100% of the senators with FPV Win Rates in the bottom third
are Democrats and 0% are Republicans, in the House the proportions are inverted, with 100%
of the representatives in this lowest category Republicans and 0% Democrats.

Ideology, Party, and FPV Win Rates in the Senate and House

This section brings together the information from the preceding two sections on Lib-Con
Scores and FPV Win Rates to better understand the dynamics of the Texas Senate and House
during the 2021 regular session.

For both the Senate and for the House, a figure was created with the legislators arrayed on
the X-Axis from most liberal on the left to most conservative on the right, with the Y-Axis
reflecting those legislators’ respective FPV Win Rates. Blue circles represent Democrats and
red circles represent Republicans. A LOESS smoothing parameter is then added (the curved
solid horizontal black line), which shows the relationship between the Lib-Con Score and the
FPV Win Rate for each chamber. Finally, each figure has three vertical dashed lines: D (the
location of the median Democratic legislator based on the Lib-Con Score), R (the location of
the median Republican legislator based on the Lib-Con Score), and F (the location of the
median chamber legislator based on the Lib-Con Score, or the Floor median).

Ideology, Party, and FPV Win Rates in the Senate
In the Senate (see Figure 4) the LOESS curve peaks near the Floor (F) Lib-Con median,
represented by Republican Joan Huffman, with an FPV Win Rate of 99.57%. This Floor FPV
Win Rate is only 7% higher than the Lib-Con median Republican (R) Win Rate of 92.86%,
the average of the FPV Win Rates of the two Lib-Con median Republican senators, Angela
Paxton (92.64%) and Kelly Hancock (93.07%). Both the Floor and the Median Republican

                                                17
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

FPV Win Rates are substantially greater than the FPV Win Rate of the median Senate
Democrat on the Lib-Con dimension (represented by a D in the figure), César Blanco, at
62.34%. That is, the FPV Win Rate of the median Republican senator on the liberal-
conservative ideological dimension is more than 30% higher than that of the median
Democratic senator on the liberal-conservative ideological dimension.

Figure 4. Win Rates in the Texas Senate – 87th Legislature (2021, Final Passage Votes)

These data underscore that the Texas Senate was a body dominated by the conservative
Republican majority during the 2021 legislative session, where fewer than one out every
10 bills opposed by the median GOP senator obtained final passage, while the median
Democrat in contrast saw close to two out of every five bills that they opposed obtain
final passage.

Ideology, Party, and FPV Win Rates in the House
In the House (see Figure 5) the LOESS curve also peaks near the Floor (F) Lib-Con median,
represented by Republican Todd Hunter of Corpus Christi, with a FPV Win Rate of 92.94%.
This FPV Win Rate is 8% higher than the Democratic Lib-Con median (D), represented by
Trey Martinez Fischer at 84.77%. The FPV Win Rate of the Lib-Con median Democrat is in
turn 11% higher than that of the Lib-Con median House Republicans (R), 73.82%; the
average of the FPV Win Rates of DeWayne Burns (75.86%) and Stephanie Klick (71.78%).
And, while the FPV Win Rate of the median Democrat on the Lib-Con dimension is only
8% less than the Floor Lib-Con median, the FPV Win Rate of the median Republican on the
Lib-Con dimension is 19% less than the Floor median.

                                               18
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Figure 5. Win Rates in the Texas House – 87th Legislature (2021, Final Passage Votes)

These data suggest that the Texas House agenda was not dominated by a single political
party during the 2021 legislative session in the same way as in the Texas Senate. And, to the
extent to which one party in the House fared better in terms of not having bills it opposed
obtain final passage, the advantaged party in the House was the minority Democratic Party
rather than the majority Republican Party.

Comparing the Two Chambers
The data in Figure 4 reveal a Texas Senate where a Republican legislative agenda
dominated the 2021 regular legislative session. Two-thirds (12 of 18) of the GOP Senators
were on the winning side of more than 90% of FPVs, while with the exception of two
Democrats (Eddie Lucio Jr. at 81.82% and Juan “Chuy” Hinojosa at 77.06%), all Democratic
senators had FPV Win-Rates below 66.67%, indicating they were on the losing side of more
than one in three FPVs, more than one in two in the case of Sarah Eckhardt.

In contrast, the data in Figure 5 reveal a Texas House that was by and large dominated by
centrist and center-right Republicans and Democrats during the 2021 legislative session.
More than one-third (30) of the Republicans (all with Lib-Con Scores to the right of the
GOP Lib-Con median) had FPV Win-Rates below 66.67%, indicating they were on the
losing side of more than one in three FPVs, with 13 Republican representatives on the
losing side of more than one in two FPVs.

                                                19
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Partisan Roll Rates in the Senate and House

A leading measure of partisan agenda control in a legislature is the partisan roll rate (Cox
and McCubbins 2005). A party leader who controls the legislative agenda should, through
the use of their agenda control, be able to ensure that their party is rarely if ever rolled on
the chamber floor. That is, if they so desire, the leader should be able to prevent any
legislation that is opposed by a majority of their party’s legislators from ever reaching the
floor via their control of the legislative agenda. As a result, a low roll rate for a party
suggests that its leader exercises strong agenda control with the goal of ensuring that the
majority of their party’s legislative caucus is never on the losing side of a final passage vote.

In the Texas Senate, there were 314 non-lopsided FPVs during the 2021 regular session—that
is, FPVs where at least two senators were on the losing side of the vote. Among these FPVs,
the most common outcome, 230 votes (or 73.3%), was a bipartisan consensus where a
majority of both Republicans and Democrats were on the winning side of the FPV (i.e.,
neither party was rolled). The next most common outcome was a vote where Democrats
alone were rolled, which occurred 83 times (26.4%). In sharp contrast, Republicans alone were
rolled on only one vote (0.3%). And even on the lone FPV where Republicans were rolled (SB
179, related to the use of public school counselors’ work time), seven of the 18 Republican
senators were on the winning side, joining the 13 Democrats for a 20 to 11 passage.

In the Texas House, there were 659 non-lopsided FPVs—that is, FPVs where at least 2.5% of
the representatives voting were on the losing side of the vote. Among these FPVs, the most
common outcome, 456 votes (or 69.2%), was a bipartisan consensus where a majority of
both Republicans and Democrats were on the winning side of the FPV (i.e., neither party
was rolled). The next most common outcome was a vote where Republicans alone were
rolled, which occurred 134 times (29.4%), followed by 69 times (10.4%) where Democrats
alone were rolled. In spite of Republicans holding a majority (83) of the 150 Texas House
seats and the Speaker of the House being a Republican, House Republicans as a party were
rolled almost three times more than House Democrats during the 2021 regular session.

Figure 6 provides the roll rates for Senate Republicans, Senate Democrats, House
Republicans, and House Democrats. Senate Republicans’ roll rate is a miniscule 0.3%,
followed in size by that of the House Democrats (10.4%) and Senate Democrats (26.4%), with
House Republicans possessing the highest roll rate at 29.4%. The data suggest that the
Republican leader of the Texas Senate, Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick, exercised a
powerful level of control over the Senate agenda, in particular determining what reached
the floor for a Final Passage Vote and what did not. In contrast, Speaker Dade Phelan either
did not exercise a similar level of agenda control in the Texas House or, if he did, this
agenda control was not always highly partisan in terms of its motivation and goals, given
that Phelan is a Republican and House Republicans have a roll rate that is almost triple that
of House Democrats.

                                               20
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Figure 6. Partisan Roll Rates in the Texas House and Senate, 2021

An important caveat to the above analysis is that each one of the non-lopsided FPVs has an
equal impact on the FPV Win Rate, whether it was a high-profile bill such as the Election
Integrity, Heartbeat and anti-CRT legislation or a low-profile bill that few outside of the
Capitol were even aware of. That said, the main power provided to a legislative leader by
agenda control is keeping legislation opposed by a majority of the faction, party, or
coalition they represent from ever reaching the floor, thereby keeping that group (faction,
party, or coalition) from being rolled. And, in the case of the House, the data illustrate quite
clearly that, contrary to the case in the Senate, the GOP Caucus was regularly rolled, and at
a notably higher rate than the Democratic Caucus.

                                                21
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

References

Carroll, Royce, Jeffrey B. Lewis, James Lo, Keith T. Poole, and Howard Rosenthal.
  2009.“Comparing NOMINATE and IDEAL: Points of Difference and Monte Carlo
  Tests,” Legislative Studies Quarterly 34: 555-91.

Clinton, Joshua, Simon D. Jackman, and Douglas Rivers. 2004. “The Statistical Analysis of
   Roll Call Data: A Unified Approach,” American Political Science Review 98: 355-70.

Cox, Gary W., and Mathew D. McCubbins. 2005. Setting the Agenda: Responsible Party.
  Government in the U.S. House of Representatives. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Poole, Keith T., and Howard Rosenthal. 1997. Congress: A Political-Economic History of Roll
  Call Voting. New York: Oxford University Press.

Poole, Keith T., and Howard Rosenthal. 2006. Ideology and Congress: A Political-Economic
  History of Roll Call Voting. New York: Routledge.

Voteview. 2021. www.voteview.com.

                                               22
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Appendices

Below is a table with the 31 Texas Senators ranked from most liberal to most conservative
based on their Lib-Con Score from the 2021 regular session.

Appendix Table 1. 2021 Texas Senate Lib-Con Scores
    Rank                 Name            Party           District        Hometown           Lib-Con Score
     1             Sarah Eckhardt      Democratic          14               Austin              -1.81
     2                Borris Miles     Democratic          13              Houston              -1.31
     3             John Whitmire       Democratic          15              Houston              -1.14
     4             Carol Alvarado      Democratic           6              Houston              -1.14
     5            Nathan Johnson       Democratic          16                Dallas             -1.14
     6            Roland Gutierrez     Democratic          19           San Antonio             -1.13
     7             José Menéndez       Democratic          26           San Antonio             -1.03
     8               César Blanco      Democratic          29               El Paso             -1.03
     9                Royce West       Democratic          23                Dallas             -0.94
     10             Judith Zaffirini   Democratic          21               Laredo              -0.87
     11            Beverly Powell      Democratic          10              Burleson             -0.86
     12         Juan "Chuy" Hinojosa   Democratic          20              McAllen              -0.45
     13             Eddie Lucio Jr.    Democratic          27            Brownsville            -0.28
     14                Kel Seliger     Republican          31              Amarillo              0.48
     15               Larry Taylor     Republican          11           Friendswood              0.72
     16             Joan Huffman       Republican          17              Houston               0.74
     17           Donna Campbell       Republican          25          New Braunfels             0.79
     18              Jane Nelson       Republican          12          Flower Mound              0.85
     19             Lois Kolkhorst     Republican          18              Brenham               0.87
     20           Paul Bettencourt     Republican           7              Houston               0.97
     21              Charles Perry     Republican          28              Lubbock               0.97
     22             Kelly Hancock      Republican           9        North Richland Hills        0.99
     23             Angela Paxton      Republican           8             McKinney               1.02
     24          Dawn Buckingham       Republican          24              Lakeway               1.02
     25            Robert Nichols      Republican           3            Jacksonville            1.05
     26          Charles Schwertner    Republican           5           Georgetown               1.08
     27             Brian Birdwell     Republican          22             Granbury               1.12
     28                 Bob Hall       Republican           2             Edgewood               1.38
     29          Brandon Creighton     Republican           4               Conroe               1.44
     30             Drew Springer      Republican          30             Muenster               1.44
     31             Bryan Hughes       Republican           1              Mineola               1.55

                                                    23
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

Below is a table with the 149 Texas representatives (excluding Speaker Phelan) ranked
from most liberal to most conservative based on their Lib-Con Score from the 2021
regular session.

Appendix Table 2. 2021 Texas House Lib-Con Scores
    Rank                   Name           Party           District      Hometown        Lib-Con Score
     1             Michelle Beckley     Democratic          65           Carrollton         -1.22
     2            Ana-Maria Ramos       Democratic         102          Richardson          -1.20
     3            Jasmine Crockett      Democratic         100             Dallas           -1.17
     4               Gina Hinojosa      Democratic          49             Austin           -1.13
     5                   Toni Rose      Democratic         110             Dallas           -1.12
     6             Jessica González     Democratic         104             Dallas           -1.07
     7               Rafael Anchia      Democratic         103             Dallas           -1.06
     8              Vikki Goodwin       Democratic          47             Austin           -1.06
     9                Nicole Collier    Democratic          95          Fort Worth          -1.05
     10               Erin Zwiener      Democratic          45           Driftwood          -1.04
     11                Chris Turner     Democratic         101         Grand Prairie        -1.02
     12                 Celia Israel    Democratic          50             Austin           -1.02
     13             John H. Bucy III    Democratic         136             Austin           -1.02
     14                  Gene Wu        Democratic         137            Houston           -1.01
     15              Ron Reynolds       Democratic          27         Missouri City        -1.01
     16                 Sheryl Cole     Democratic          46             Austin           -1.00
     17            Eddie Rodriguez      Democratic          51             Austin           -1.00
     18               Ann Johnson       Democratic         134            Houston           -1.00
     19           Christina Morales     Democratic         145            Houston           -1.00
     20           Carl Sherman, Sr.     Democratic         109            DeSoto            -0.99
     21                Lina Ortega      Democratic          77            El Paso           -0.99
     22             Rhetta Bowers       Democratic         113            Garland           -0.98
     23             Donna Howard        Democratic          48             Austin           -0.98
     24         Penny Morales Shaw      Democratic         148            Houston           -0.97
     25              Jon Rosenthal      Democratic         135            Houston           -0.96
     26                Terry Meza       Democratic         105             Irving           -0.95
     27               Diego Bernal      Democratic         123          San Antonio         -0.95
     28             James Talarico      Democratic          52          Round Rock          -0.95
     29               Yvonne Davis      Democratic         111             Dallas           -0.94
     30            Armando Walle        Democratic         140            Houston           -0.94
     31                  Ray Lopez      Democratic         125          San Antonio         -0.94
     32                John Turner      Democratic         114             Dallas           -0.92
     33             Mary González       Democratic          75              Clint           -0.92
     34         Trey Martinez Fischer   Democratic         116          San Antonio         -0.91
     35              Jarvis Johnson     Democratic         139            Houston           -0.89
     36             Ana Hernandez       Democratic         143            Houston           -0.89
     37                 Alma Allen      Democratic         131            Houston           -0.89
     38          Ramon Romero, Jr.      Democratic          90          Fort Worth          -0.88
     39                  Art Fierro     Democratic          79            El Paso           -0.88
     40              Shawn Thierry      Democratic         146            Houston           -0.87
     41                 Hubert Vo       Democratic         149            Houston           -0.87
     42          Claudia Ordaz Perez    Democratic          76            El Paso           -0.85
     43               Ina Minjarez      Democratic         124          San Antonio         -0.83
     44               Julie Johnson     Democratic         115        Farmers Branch        -0.83
     45         Senfronia Thompson      Democratic         141            Houston           -0.83
     46                 Liz Campos      Democratic         119          San Antonio         -0.82
     47             Victoria Neave      Democratic         107             Dallas           -0.82
     48                 Joe Moody       Democratic          78            El Paso           -0.81
     49            Garnet Coleman       Democratic         147            Houston           -0.79
     50            Mary Ann Perez       Democratic         144            Houston           -0.78

                                                     24
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

51             Oscar Longoria       Democratic        35              Mission         -0.77
52              Joe Deshotel        Democratic        22            Beaumont          -0.76
53             Eddie Lucio, III     Democratic        38           Brownsville        -0.75
54        Barbara Gervin-Hawkins    Democratic        120          San Antonio        -0.75
55            Alex Dominguez        Democratic        37           Brownsville        -0.73
56          Armando Martinez        Democratic        39             Weslaco          -0.72
57               Philip Cortez      Democratic        117          San Antonio        -0.71
58          R.D. 'Bobby' Guerra     Democratic        41              Mission         -0.71
59            Sergio Muñoz, Jr.     Democratic        36            Palmview          -0.69
60          Harold V. Dutton, Jr.   Democratic        142            Houston          -0.68
61               Leo Pacheco        Democratic        118          San Antonio        -0.65
62             Eddie Morales        Democratic        74            Eagle Pass        -0.63
63              Abel Herrero        Democratic        34            Robstown          -0.59
64              Terry Canales       Democratic        40             Edinburg         -0.49
65              Tracy O. King       Democratic        80            Batesville        -0.47
66        Richard Peña Raymond      Democratic        42              Laredo          -0.43
67               Ryan Guillen       Democratic        31         Rio Grande City      -0.41
68                Lyle Larson       Republican        122          San Antonio        -0.16
69              Dan Huberty         Republican        127            Houston          -0.11
70             Morgan Meyer         Republican        108              Dallas         -0.10
71              Charlie Geren       Republican        99           Fort Worth         -0.09
72                 Kyle Kacal       Republican        12         College Station      -0.09
73               J.M. Lozano        Republican        43            Kingsville        -0.06
74               Jim Murphy         Republican        133            Houston          -0.05
75               Todd Hunter        Republican        32          Corpus Christi      -0.05
76                  Ken King        Republican        88            Canadian          -0.02
77                John Raney        Republican        14         College Station       0.00
78           Angie Chen Button      Republican        112          Richardson          0.00
79              Steve Allison       Republican        121          San Antonio         0.01
80               Chris Paddie       Republican         9             Marshall          0.02
81               Drew Darby         Republican        72           San Angelo          0.04
82              Ernest Bailes       Republican        18            Shepherd           0.05
83            Geanie Morrison       Republican        30              Victoria         0.05
84            Phil Stephenson       Republican        85             Wharton           0.07
85              Travis Clardy       Republican        11          Nacogdoches          0.09
86             John Kuempel         Republican        44              Seguin           0.09
87                John Frullo       Republican        84             Lubbock           0.10
88               Jacey Jetton       Republican        26            Richmond           0.11
89              Stan Lambert        Republican        71              Abilene          0.13
90             Dustin Burrows       Republican        83             Lubbock           0.13
91             Hugh D. Shine        Republican        55              Temple           0.14
92              Ed Thompson         Republican        29             Pearland          0.15
93                 Four Price       Republican        87             Amarillo          0.16
94        Charles 'Doc' Anderson    Republican        56               Waco            0.16
95               Trent Ashby        Republican        57               Lufkin          0.19
96              Glenn Rogers        Republican        60             Graford           0.20
97               James Frank        Republican        69           Wichita Falls       0.22
98            Gary VanDeaver        Republican         1           New Boston          0.23
99               Sam Harless        Republican        126              Spring          0.23
100             Brad Buckley        Republican        54              Killeen          0.24
101                Jake Ellzey      Republican        10           Waxahachie          0.24
102             John Smithee        Republican        86             Amarillo          0.24
103             Tom Craddick        Republican        82             Midland           0.25
104                 Keith Bell      Republican         4              Forney           0.25
105              Lynn Stucky        Republican        64              Denton           0.26
106               Tan Parker        Republican        63         Flower Mound          0.26
107        Giovanni Capriglione     Republican        98            Southlake          0.26

                                                 25
Ideology and Partisanship in the 87th (2021) Regular Session of the Texas Legislature

108          Stephanie Klick      Republican         91            Fort Worth         0.27
109         DeWayne Burns         Republican         58             Cleburne          0.27
110               Phil King       Republican         61           Weatherford         0.29
111           Mike Schofield      Republican         132                Katy          0.32
112           Craig Goldman       Republican         97            Fort Worth         0.33
113            James White        Republican         19               Hillister       0.33
114              Lacey Hull       Republican         138             Houston          0.33
115            Greg Bonnen        Republican         24           Friendswood         0.35
116            David Spiller      Republican         68             Jacksboro         0.35
117             John Cyrier       Republican         17              Lockhart         0.35
118               Jay Dean        Republican          7             Longview          0.36
119            Cecil Bell, Jr.    Republican          3             Magnolia          0.39
120             Dennis Paul       Republican         129             Houston          0.39
121            Reggie Smith       Republican         62              Sherman          0.40
122             Gary Gates        Republican         28            Richmond           0.40
123         Brooks Landgraf       Republican         81               Odessa          0.41
124           Scott Sanford       Republican         70             McKinney          0.42
125           Tom Oliverson       Republican         130              Cypress         0.42
126             David Cook        Republican         96             Mansfield         0.44
127            Candy Noble        Republican         89                Lucas          0.44
128              Jeff Leach       Republican         67                Plano          0.44
129             Cody Harris       Republican          8             Palestine         0.46
130            Will Metcalf       Republican         16               Conroe          0.48
131           Andrew Murr         Republican         53              Junction         0.48
132             Ben Leman         Republican         13             Anderson          0.48
133           Justin Holland      Republican         33              Rockwall         0.48
134            Matt Krause        Republican         93            Fort Worth         0.62
135           Matt Shaheen        Republican         66                Plano          0.63
136         Kyle Biedermann       Republican         73          Fredericksburg       0.63
137         Valoree Swanson       Republican         150               Spring         0.64
138          Shelby Slawson       Republican         59           Stephenville        0.65
139              Jeff Cason       Republican         92              Bedford          0.66
140          Jared Patterson      Republican         106               Frisco         0.68
141         Mayes Middleton       Republican         23            Wallisville        0.68
142             Cole Hefner       Republican          5           Mt. Pleasant        0.77
143            Terry Wilson       Republican         20           Marble Falls        0.78
144         Tony Tinderholt       Republican         94             Arlington         0.79
145             Cody Vasut        Republican         25             Angleton          0.80
146             Steve Toth        Republican         15          The Woodlands        0.82
147            Bryan Slaton       Republican          2            Royse City         0.85
148            Briscoe Cain       Republican         128            Deer Park         0.87
149           Matt Schaefer       Republican          6                 Tyler         0.89

                                               26
You can also read