IC N AI & Data Technologies 2021 Atlas - ICON Corporate Finance

Page created by Adrian Nguyen
 
CONTINUE READING
IC N AI & Data Technologies 2021 Atlas - ICON Corporate Finance
AI & Data
                                                            Technologies

  CO RPORATE FI NANC E
                                  IC N
                                  ICON                      2021 Atlas

Strategic Analysis for AI & DataTech Fundraising & M&A

           Investment
     AI & DataTech     Banking
                   – 2021 Atlas   for DeepTech Disruptors
IC N AI & Data Technologies 2021 Atlas - ICON Corporate Finance
2

Contents
 AI & DataTech Overview
 •   ICON’s Expertise
 •
 •
 •
     Key Insights
     DataTech Stack
     Detailed Market Segmentation
                                    AI & DataTech
 Setting The Stage
 • Snowflake’s Path
                                    Overview
 • IPO Influence

 Fundraising Trends
 •   VC Feeding Frenzy
 •   Transaction Trends
 •   Fundraising Valuations
 •   Most Active Investors

 M&A Activity
 •   Rebound & Resilience
 •   Broadening Of The Buyer Pool
 •   Premium Valuations
 •   Private Equity Activity

 About ICON Corporate Finance

       AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas
IC N AI & Data Technologies 2021 Atlas - ICON Corporate Finance
3

ICON’s AI & DataTech Expertise
Identify Strategic Opportunities. Leverage Competitive Dynamics. Achieve Execution Advantage.
Data-driven advice for a data-driven industry – ICON’s AI & DataTech Platform is a curated, proprietary data platform utilized to achieve optimal results.

Company & Transaction Database                                                      Proactive & Proprietary Analysis

               >4,300                M&A Transactions By                                     VC, CVC & PE Trends
                                                                                             ▪ Firm-specific Investment Analysis
               >2,900                Acquirers                                               ▪ Breakdown By Size & Valuation

               >3,200 VC Financings From                                                     Acquirer Appetite Analyses
                                                                                             ▪ Product Gap Analysis
               >2,900                Investors                                               ▪ Highlights Premium Acquirers

               >1,700                Companies                                               Hyperdetailed Categorization
                                                                                             ▪ Identifies Competitive Dynamics
               >160            Sectors                                                       ▪ Vendor Financial Sizing

            AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas                                                  ICON’s AI & DataTech Platform is continuously updated. Data contained in this report will adjust over time.
IC N AI & Data Technologies 2021 Atlas - ICON Corporate Finance
4

Predictions                                                                                               DataTech Stack
                 Demand Driving Investment
                 In its IPO prospectus, C3.ai cited research pointing to enterprise AI growing at a               Data Apps
                 24% CAGR from 2020 to 2024. VCs will continue funding companies feeding this
                 demand, but investment will skew toward DeepTech and growth-stage companies.                      Vertical Apps
                                                                                                                  Horizontal Apps
                 Strategic M&A
                 Corporate acquirers will continue to pay strategic valuations for early- and mid-
                 stage DeepTech companies, continuing activity we saw in 2020. Last year, 4 years                   Analytics
                 old was the largest age cohort of acquired companies                                            Advanced Analytics
                                                                                                                 Marketing Analytics
                 Unicorn Platforms                                                                                   Reporting

                 Most AI & DataTech unicorns today have achieved success by maniacal focus on
                 single product excellence. As they further grow into their valuations, they’ll broaden       Data Governance
                 their offerings to becoming platforms. DataRobot underscores this prediction.
                                                                                                                 Data Management
                                                                                                                   Data Security
Opportunity Complexity                                                                                             Data Provider
We predict investment and M&A activity will be most active in the Data Apps layer, with PE being
particularly active here. Data Governance will continue to be a source of robust opportunity –
especially in data security and data management. Analytics companies will see the most premium
                                                                                                              Data Infrastructure
M&A valuations.                                                                                                      Database
                                                                                                                     Processing
However, the sheer number of companies throughout the DataTech stack is overloading and                             Query Engine
confusing investors and acquirers. For startups seeking acquisition or investment—precision,                        Management
preparation, and identifying the right targets is key.

          AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas
IC N AI & Data Technologies 2021 Atlas - ICON Corporate Finance
5

Detailed Market Segmentation
                         VERTICAL APPS                                                                                                               HORIZONTAL APPS
                         Accounting          Construction            Farming           Industrial          Oil & Gas           Shipping              Asset Management   Loss Prevention      Security
                         Advertising         CPG                     Finance           Insurance           Pharma              Smart Cities          Contact Center     Marketing            Smart Buildings
                         Agriculture         Credit                  Food              IT                  PR                  Sports                Customer Support   Networking           Supply Chain
Data Apps                Automotive          Defense                 Forestry          Law Enforcement     Public Safety       Supply Chain          Drone Data         Payroll              Translation
                         Auto. Driving       eCommerce               Gaming            Legal               Publishing          Telecom               Economics          Pricing Analytics
                         Batteries           Education               Geopolitical      Logistics           Railroad            Traffic               Fraud              Product
                         Cities              Energy                  Government        Manufacturing       Real Estate         Transportation        HR                 Research
                         Civic               Entertainment           Healthcare        Materials           Regulatory          Utilities             Industrial         Risk
                         Commercial RE       Environmental           Hospitality       Mining              Retail              Weather               IT                 Sales

                         ADVANCED ANALYTICS                                                                                                 MARKETING ANALYTICS                             REPORTING
                         AI                      Computer Vision         Log Analytics          Predictive            Semantic Analytics    Behavioral Analytics   Media Intelligence       BI
Analytics                AutoML                  Content Analytics       ML                     Prescriptive          Social Analytics      Customer Churn         Mobile Analytics         BPM
                         BPM                     Conversational AI       Model Ops              Prog. Languages       Sound Recognition     CDP                    Social Analytics         CPM
                         Collaborative Analytics Decision Support        Optimization/Solvers   Quantum Computing     Spatial AI            Customer Journey       VoC                      Embedded Analytics
                         Community               Geo Analytics           Platform               Real-time Analytics                         CX Analytics           Web Analytics            Interactive Visual.

                         DATA MANAGEMENT                                                                                                            DATA SECURITY                  DATA PROVIDER
                         Archiving & Recovery           DataOps                        Metadata Management            Search                        Data Discovery & Privacy       Data as a Service
Governance               Data Catalog                   eDiscovery                     Platform                       Sharing                       Data Loss Prevention           Data Exchange
                         Data Lineage                   Integration                    Prep                           Training Data                 Encryption                     Data Extraction
                         Data Quality                   Master Data Management         Quality                                                      Platform                       Web Scraper

                         DATABASE                                                                             PROCESSING                        QUERY ENGINE                    MANAGEMENT
Infrastructure           DBaaS           GPU              IaaS               NoSQL/NewSQL Time Series         Acceleration    IMDG              Access        Virtualization    Administration Deployment
                         Edge Comp.      Graph            Real-Time          SQL/on-Hadoop                    Computing                         Data Lake     Warehousing       Automation     Monitoring

            AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas                                                                                                                                                         Source: ICON
IC N AI & Data Technologies 2021 Atlas - ICON Corporate Finance
6

Setting The
Stage

  AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas

  AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas
IC N AI & Data Technologies 2021 Atlas - ICON Corporate Finance
7

Snowflake’s Path To A Premium Valuation                                   The Result

                                                                   (September 16, 2020)

                                                                          $68bn
                                                                    Opening Market Cap

                                                                            9,714x
                                                                    Increase in valuation
                                                                        since Series A

                                                                          $3.4bn
                                                                        Amount raised

   AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas   Source: ICON research; Company reports; Pitchbook; Capital IQ
IC N AI & Data Technologies 2021 Atlas - ICON Corporate Finance
8

IPO Influence
• Amid global lows of 2020, AI and data
  companies saw record highs in public                                  Datadog                              54.8x         SNAPSHOT EV/TRAILING REVENUE

                                                Data Apps
  markets.                                                                                                                 VALUATIONS FOR SELECT PUBLIC
                                                                 Verisk Analytics   12.4x                                  DATATECH COMPANIES
• Data cloud provider Snowflake marked the
                                                                  Health Catalyst   11.0x
  largest-ever software IPO in its September
  debut. Sumo Logic went public the next
  day followed by Palantir two weeks later.                                C3.ai                                          78.8x

                                                Analytics
  C3.ai ended the year with a debut in
  December. Telus International, new owner                               Palantir                     43.1x
  of AI annotation company Lionbridge, filed
  its IPO prospectus in January 2021.                                 SumoLogic      14.2x

                                                Governance
                                                                          Elastic            27.3x
• As of this analysis, Snowflake is valued at
  a whopping 159x Enterprise Value /
                                                                          Alteryx     16.5x
  Trailing Revenue multiple.
                                                                          Splunk    12.4x
• Public valuations like these influence
                                                Infrastructure

  future private company fundraising and                              Snowflake                                                                                     159.3x
  M&A.
                                                                       MongoDB                       40.3x

                                                                          Exasol            25.2x

                                                                 Nasdaq Average     5.0x
            AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas                                                                                                          Data as of January 15, 2021.
                                                                                                             Source: ICON research; Company reports; Capital IQ; Yahoo Finance
IC N AI & Data Technologies 2021 Atlas - ICON Corporate Finance
9

Fundraising
Trends

  AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas

  AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas
IC N AI & Data Technologies 2021 Atlas - ICON Corporate Finance
10

                                                                   12                                                                                                                   45
                                                                                                                                                                            $41.3m

VC Feeding                                                         10
                                                                                                                                                                                        40

Frenzy                                                                                  $47.2bn
                                                                                                                                                                                        35

                                                                                        TOTAL RAISED
                                                                   8                                                                                             $28.2m                 30
• Driven by cheap capital, seemingly

                                              Total Raised ($bn)

                                                                                                                                                                                             Average Size ($m)
  insatiable customer demand, and
                                                                                                                                                                                        25
  growing competition among the VC                                                                                                                    $22.2m
  universe, 2020 set records for the                               6
  amount of capital raised and the average                                                                                                 $23.2m
  size of rounds raised by AI & Data                                                                                                                                                    20
  Technology vendors.                                                                                                 $16.1m

                                                                   4                                                             $13.6m                                                 15
• 1,107 investors made at least one
  investment last year, just shy of the                                                                    $10.8m
                                                                                $9.1m   $9.6m
  1,125 record set in 2019. However, the                                                         $8.4m                                                                                  10
  average number of investors per round
  set a new record of 4, topping the                               2    $6.2m
  previous record of 3.2 in 2019.
                                                                                                                                                                                        5

• Although total capital raised and average                             $0.2bn $0.5bn $0.8bn $1.0bn $2.0bn $3.7bn $3.2bn $6.5bn $7.1bn $10.0bn $11.4bn
  round sizes reached new highs, the total                         0                                                                                                                    0
  number of rounds announced dropped to                                 2010    2011    2012      2013       2014      2015       2016       2017       2018      2019       2020
  the lowest level since 2016.                                                                        Total Raised           Average Round Size

            AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas                                                          Excludes rounds of
11

Total Raised By Sector By Year
               $12bn                                                                                                                                                                   $70m

                                                                                                                                                                                       $60m
               $10bn

                                                                                                                                                                                       $50m
                $8bn

                                                                                                                                                                                               Average Round Size
Total Raised

                                                                                                                                                                                       $40m
                $6bn
                                                                                                                                                                                       $30m

                $4bn
                                                                                                                                                                                       $20m

                $2bn
                                                                                                                                                                                       $10m

                $0bn                                                                                                                                                                   $0m
                           2010            2011           2012        2013       2014          2015         2016           2017            2018           2019            2020
                                                    Infrastructure             Governance                   Analytics                          Data Apps
                                                Avg. Infrastructure          Avg. Governance             Avg. Analytics                     Avg. Apps

                       AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas                                                 Excludes rounds of
12

                                                                                                                   NUMBER OF ROUNDS ANNOUNCED

Trends in
                                               180

                                               160

Transaction                                    140

Sizes                                          120

                                               100
• Early-stage financings in AI & DataTech
  continued to decline while the number of
  rounds worth more than $100m reached          80
  a record percentage of total rounds
  announced.
                                                60

• In the second half of 2020, a total of 20
  rounds worth >$100m were announced            40
  – equal to one nearly every week.

                                                20
• Mid-stage rounds in the $10-30m range
  declined slightly, while deals in the $30-
  50m range set a new record.                    0
                                                     2010   2011   2012    2013        2014        2015        2016        2017        2018        2019        2020
                                                            >1m to 10m    >10m to 30m          >30m to 50m           >50m to 100m           >100m

             AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas                                   Excludes rounds of
13
                                            2020 DEAL DISTRIBUTION BY SECTOR AND SIZE

Financing
                                                                >1m to >10m to >30m to >50m to
                                                                 10m    30m     50m     100m   >100m

                                                  Data Apps

Frequency &
                                                                   25     31      13         9       15

                                                   Analytics
                                                                   35     40      11         5         3

&Valuations
Valuations                                      Governance
                                                                   18     21       3         7         5

                                               Infrastructure                                                                       2020 MEDIAN POST-$ VALUATIONS
                                                                   11      8       8         4         3
• With the exception of the Data
  Infrastructure sector, $10-30m rounds
  were most common for our three other                                                            Data Apps      $100.0m
  macro sectors. Data Apps vendors raised
  more rounds of at least $100m than they
  did in each of the two immediately
  smaller tiers.                                                                                   Analytics     $65.0m

• Median post money valuations in two of
  our four macro sectors reached $100m
                                                                                                 Governance      $47.3m
  or more last year.

• Data Governance vendors, which are
  becoming increasingly critical to                                                           Infrastructure     $110.0m
  producing accurate analytics, are
  attractive investment opportunities.

            AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas                                          Excludes rounds of
14

               Andreessen Horowitz LLC
         New Enterprise Associates, Inc.
                       Battery Ventures
                         Data Collective
            Lightspeed Venture Partners
                        Sequoia Capital
                                       GV
                          Accel Partners
                             Intel Capital
                            Bain Capital
                     First Round Capital
                  Khosla Ventures, LLC                                                                                                                   Most
                      Index Ventures SA
         Y Combinator Management LLC
                Sapphire Ventures, LLC
                                                                                                                                                        Active
                                                                                                                                                     Investors
             Bessemer Venture Partners
        Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers
                   AME Cloud Ventures
             SV Angel Management, LLC
General Catalyst Group Management, LLC                                                                    Infrastructure           Governance             Analytics          Data Apps

               AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas    Includes rounds across all stages and sizes. Excludes rounds of
15

M&A
Activity

   AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas

  AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas
16

                                                             2020 Quarterly Deal Volume & Value                                                     Volume by Sector
Rebound &                                       140                                                                             $14bn                  Infrastructure

                                                                                                                                              Governance

Resilience                                      120                                                                             $12bn                Analytics      Apps

                                                100                                                                             $10bn
• Alongside all other economic activity,                                                                                                                Major M&A
  M&A volumes and value halted in the
                                                                                                                                             18
  second and third quarters of 2020 as           80                                                                             $8bn
  global uncertainty weighed on acquirers’                                                                                                                               ≥$100m
                                                                                                                                             12                          Deal
  acquisition strategies.
                                                                                                                                                                         Volume
                                                                                                                                               6
                                                 60                                                                             $6bn                                     ≥$1bn
• In Q3 of last year, however, US GDP grew                                                                                                     0                         Deal
  a remarkable 33.4% Q/Q, more than                                                                                                                                      Volume

                                                                                                                                                   1Q20
                                                                                                                                                   2Q20
                                                                                                                                                   3Q20
                                                                                                                                                   4Q20
  recouping GDP lost in Q2.
                                                 40                                                                             $4bn
                                                                                                                                                     Value by Sector
• That led to a boom in activity in the
  fourth quarter. Twilio kicked off Q4                                                                                                                Infrastructure
                                                 20                                                                             $2bn           Governance
  announcing it would acquire customer
  data platform startup Segment for $3.2                                                                                                                          Apps
  billion – it’s largest-ever acquisition. By
  our estimates, the deal values Segment          0                                                                             $0bn
                                                                                                                                                        Analytics
  at roughly 13-20x trailing revenue.                 1Q20              2Q20             3Q20                  4Q20
                                                       PE Deal Volume          Strategic Deal Volume            Total Value

             AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas                                                                Includes ICON proprietary data, estimates, and publicly reported deal values.
                                                                                        Source: ICON research; Company reports; Capital IQ; Pitchbook; Bureau of Economic Analysis
17

Broadening Of The Buyer Pool
• As the need to become data-driven has grown over       $635m / NA
  the years, so too has the pool of acquirers of data
  vendors. The diversity of the buyer pool has
  expanded to include agriculture, publishing, and       $935m / 4x
  even fast-food conglomerates.

                                                         $4.4bn / 2x
• Atypical acquirers are seeking both commercial and
  operational benefits of AI and data technologies,
  but also financial returns. In November 2020,
  Canadian telco Telus announced it was acquiring AI    $325m / 10.8x
  annotation company Lionbridge for $935m. Two
  months later, Telus announced it was taking its
  newly acquired Lionbridge business public as a        $525m / 8.8x
  separate entity.

• We expect this ‘broadening’ trend to continue as      $500m / 10x*
  VCs fund ever more data-driven applications
  vendors that can become data empowerment
  targets for digitizing industries.
                                                         $600m / NA

                                                         $930m / NA

            AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas                      *Includes ICON proprietary data, estimates, and publicly reported deal values.
                                                                                                 Source: ICON research; Company reports
18

Strategic
                                             ICON PROPRIETARY GAP ANALYSES
Opportunity
Snapshot
• Nimble and well-capitalized startups are
  developing disruptive technologies at
  breakneck speed. With nothing to do but
  work during the pandemic, development
  cycles have shortened significantly.

• Acquirers have frequently maintained
  pace via M&A, and they oftentimes
  acquire companies that appear to
  overlap.                                   Available one-on-one only

• For startups seeking an acquisition—
  identifying the right acquirers and
  precise messaging are key to
  differentiate from the scores of other
  companies with similar positioning.

            AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas                                       Source: ICON research
19

Premium Valuations For Deep Technology
• Financial performance is typically the
  greatest influencer on M&A valuations.         Transaction   Date       EV ($m)          Rev. ($m)*       EV/Rev.*         Description
  However, in DeepTech sectors such as AI
  and DataTech, the value of a startup’s                       11/30/20   230              23x                  AI platform
  technology and talent oftentimes
  supersedes financial metrics.                                11/3/20    60*              20x                  AI infrastructure & ModelOps

                                                               10/27/20   50*              17x                  Computer Vision
• ServiceNow has been among the most
  frequent premium buyers of AI and data                       10/20/20   38               13x                  Digital experience monitoring
  management companies in recent years.
  True to its core business, it has preferred                  6/22/20    28.1             9x                   Configuration data management
  IT-leaning targets but its most recent and
  largest acquisition is that of horizontal AI                 1/22/20    58.4             19x                  Log analytics
  startup Element AI.
                                                               1/15/20    ~200*            67x                  Edge AI platform

• Coinciding with the rise of DevOps, over                     1/3/20     128.1            43x                  Computer vision
  the past few years the acquirers paying
  strategic valuations most often focused on                   12/11/19   117.5            12x                  Database monitoring
  the IT market.
                                                               11/1/19    24               8x                   Streaming data integration
• This selection of 12 acquisitions over the
                                                               4/24/19    39               13x                  Mobile data infrastructure
  past two years highlights technical value:
  approximately $1 billion spent for less
  than $50 million of revenue.                                 2/6/19     37               12x                  ML-based event analytics

             AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas                                                 *Includes ICON proprietary data, estimates, and publicly reported deal values.
                                                                          Source: ICON research; Company reports; Capital IQ; Pitchbook; Bureau of Economic Analysis
20

                                                         PE DEAL VOLUME, 2020                                SELECT TRANSACTIONS BY SECTOR

Private                                               Apps
                                                                                                                              Carlyle Group acquires VC-
                                                                                                                              backed clinical trials data

Equity
                                                                                                                              management provider
                                                                                                                              TriNetX.

Primetime                                                                                         Accel-KKR-backed
                                                                                                  SugarCRM acquires VC-
                                                  Analytics
                                                                                                  backed AI-based customer
                                                                                                  analytics startup Node.io.
• Buoyed by record-setting fundraises in
  2019, private equity firms entered the
  pandemic period hungrier than ever.

                                                                                              Providence Strategic Growth
• Historically, PE generally were                                                             acquires bootstrapped
  underbidders on acquisitions that traded     Governance
                                                                                              master data management
  to strategic acquirers. That’s all in the                                                   startup Semarchy.
  past – they are now offering competitive
  valuations and should be considered in
  nearly every M&A or financing process.
                                                                                       Great Hill & Catalyst
• In 2020, PE firms acquired more in the                                               Investors-backed EDB
                                              Infrastructure                           continues PostgreSQL
  data-driven vertical and horizontal
  applications market than any other                                                   consolidation by acquiring
  sector. We expect that to continue.                                                  bootstrapped 2ndQuadrant.

            AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas              Infrastructure   Governance   Analytics   Apps          Source: ICON research; Company reports; Capital IQ; Pitchbook
21

About ICON
Corporate Finance

  AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas

  AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas
22

    Deep Experience
                                                                                                                 Industry Specialization

                                                                                                                    AI & Data       Enterprise

                                            180+
              250+
                                                                                                                      Cloud          FinTech

                                                                          8
                                            Combined years’
                                              experience

                                                                                                                   Cybersecurity   Digital Media
                                                                    Languages spoken
                Closed transactions

                                                   25+                                          1
                                                                                       Focus – Tech Investment
                                                  Countries we’ve                              Banking
                                                   transacted in

Banker Backgrounds

               AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas
23

Global Transaction Record
Select Transaction Experience Across Verticals, Geographies & Structures

                                                                           For further details, contact:

                                                                           Ben Kolada, Head of AI & DataTech,
                                                                           Head of US Tech Investment Banking
                                                                           +1 415 385 8189
                                                                           ben@iconcorpfin.com

                                                                           Alan Bristow, CEO
                                                                           +44 (0) 207 152 6375
                                                                           alan@iconcorpfin.com

                                                                           ICON Corporate Finance
                                                                           • San Francisco
                                                                           • London
                                                                           • Bristol

                                                                           www.iconcorpfin.com

                                                                           Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Member of the
                                                                           BVCA. Registered in England & Wales No. 3714426

                                                                           Registered Representatives of and Securities Products and
                                                                           Investment Banking Services are offered through BA Securities,
                                                                           LLC. Member FINRA SIPC. ICON Corporate Finance and BA
                                                                           Securities, LLC are separate, unaffiliated entities.

            AI & DataTech – 2021 Atlas
You can also read