HOW WOULD THE EU ACCESSION PROCEDURE REALLY IMPROVE?

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HOW WOULD THE EU ACCESSION PROCEDURE REALLY IMPROVE?
HOW WOULD THE EU
EUIROPE, POWER OF
VALUES

                           ACCESSION PROCEDURE
POLICY BRIEF

MARCH 2020

#ENLARGEMENT               REALLY     IMPROVE?
                           COMPARING THE PROPOSALS ON THE TABLE

▪ ANDREAS EISL             Introduction ▪                                                    Ahead of the European Council (26-
Research fellow, Jacques                                                                     27.03.2020) and the EU-Western Balkans
Delors Institute, Paris.   Following its veto of the opening of acces-                       Summit in Zagreb (05.-07.05.2020), the EU
                           sion talks with North Macedonia and Albania                       Member States now need to find a com-
                           in October 2019, the French government cir-                       promise among these different reform
                           culated a non-paper proposing an overhaul of                      proposals that can, on the one hand, allow
                           the EU accession procedure1. Partly respon-                       the French government to rethink its veto
                           ding to sharp criticism from other Member                         and, on the other hand, provide a renewed
                           States on the French No, the document                             impetus for the EU integration of the Wes-
                           outlined a comprehensive reform based on                          tern Balkans. If the EU wants to be a credible
                           a reinforced 'carrot & stick' approach. In res-                   partner for the countries of the Western
                           ponse, nine EU Member States led by Italy,                        Balkans and give pro-European parties a
                           Poland, Austria and Slovenia shared their                         chance in upcoming elections (North Mace-
                           own vision of a reformed accession pro-                           donia votes in mid-April), it has to rapidly find
                           cess in December 20192, less ambitious in                         a consensus on the reform of the accession
                           terms of scope and retaining more flexibility.                    procedure and show unanimous support for
                           Drawing on these reform options, the Euro-                        further integration efforts.
                           pean Commission designed its own reform
                           plan for the EU accession talks, integrating                      This policy brief looks at the three diffe-
                           elements from both non-papers3.                                   rent reform proposals for the EU accession
                                                                                             procedure in more detail. It provides a com-
                           1. HERSZHENHORN D.M. & MOMTAZ R. 2019. « France outlines proposal to overhaul EU accession process ». Politico, 17.11.2019.
                           2. BARIGAZZI J. 2019. « 9 EU countries push back on French enlargement revamp ». Politico, 13.12.2019.
                           3. European Commission. 2020. « Enhancing the accession process – A credible EU perspective for the Western Balkans ».
                           COM 2020/57.

                                                                                       1 ▪ 12
parison of the key elements of each reform                  sures based on these principles are (1)
option and discusses expected improve-                      the reorganisation of the thirty-five acces-
ments as well as potential problems for the                 sion chapters into seven policy blocks, (2)
accession process. Based on this analysis,                  their completion in a sequential order, (3) a
the policy brief will also highlight a number               revamped ‘stick & carrot’ approach, allowing
of (possibly unintended) broader conse-                     for reversible progress in negotiations but
quences of the individual reform directions,                also for more concrete benefits ahead of
such as the risk for candidate countries to                 EU accession, and (4) the reinforcement of
get stuck in half-in/half-out EU membership                 the political dimension of the accession pro-
limbo.                                                      cess.

Building on this assessment, the policy                     First, the French proposal sets out to bundle
brief argues that the Commission pro-                       the different accession chapters that contain
posal is a sensible compromise between                      the EU acquis into so-called blocks (see
the French and nine-country approaches.                     also Table 1 and the Annex)4. The plan for-
It is ambitious enough to be considered a                   mulates a possible organisation into seven
‘real’ reform while not unduly changing the                 blocks, beginning with a transversal block on
existing logic of the accession procedure.                  the rule of law, fundamental rights, the legal
The Commission’s reform approach should                     system and security. Other blocks would
thus be taken as the basis for negotiations                 deal, for example, with economic and finan-
among the EU Member States ahead of the                     cial matters or external affairs. In the view of
consequential Council Meeting of March                      the French government, this bundling is sup-
2020.                                                       posed to create more visibility for ongoing
                                                            negotiations in specific policy fields.

1 ▪ The three reform proposals for the EU                   Second, a unique feature of the French
accession procedure                                         reform approach is the requirement to
                                                            complete policy blocks in a sequential
With the French, nine-country and Commis-                   order. To reinforce the long-term preser-
sion proposals, three main reform options                   vation of the rule of law, the transversal
are on the table for a revision of the EU                   policy block must be completed success-
accession process. The following sub-sec-                   fully first, before any other negotiation
tions discuss the key elements of each                      blocks are opened. Subsequently, according
proposal which are subsequently summa-                      to the French proposal, there can always be
rized in Table 1 (see page 6), allowing for                 only one block opened (prohibiting the simul-
a direct comparison between the different                   taneous negotiation of different blocks),
approaches.                                                 which creates a very rigid system for the
                                                            EU accession process. The plan suggests a
                                                            certain order for the different blocks, but as
1.1. The French proposal                                    there is no ‘natural’ sequence for the indivi-
                                                            dual policy fields, the final approach would
The reform approach of the French govern-                   be open to political discussion and prioriti-
ment, which was shared in November 2019,                    sation.
lays out a comprehensive set of reforms to
the existing accession procedure. The four                  Third, to make this sequential approach more
main principles of the non-paper are “gradual               palatable, the French proposal wants to link
accession”, “rigorous conditions”, “concrete                the completion of specific policy blocks in
benefits”, and “reversibility”. Concrete mea-               the accession process with the partial or full
4. European Commission. 2020. Chapters of the acquis.

                                                        2 ▪ 12
access of candidate countries to the corres-                         rigid than the former, and a less ambitious
ponding policy fields and EU programmes                              departure from the existing methodology.
even before EU membership. In addition, pro-
gress in the adoption of the acquis should                           It states that “internal EU reform cannot be a
be further incentivized through increased                            precondition for enlargement”, opposing one
financial help. At the same time, the French                         of the arguments given by the French autho-
reform approach puts a lot of emphasis on                            rities to justify their veto on the opening
the reversibility of the accession process if                        of accession talks5. Underlining the more
candidate countries do not comply with the                           incremental reform direction taken by the
accession requirements, particularly with                            nine EU countries, the proposal stresses that
the rule of law. Allowing for gradual res-                           the ‘enhanced approach’ should be compa-
ponses from the EU, the French plan would                            tible with the already existing negotiating
also allow to reduce or cut back previously                          framework for EU accession.
granted benefits or even move back down
the sequence of blocks to the very start of                          In principle similar to the French vision, the
negotiations.                                                        nine-country approach wants to put funda-
                                                                     mentals first (the rule of law) and reinforce a
Fourth, the French non-paper calls for a rein-                       merit-based approach through strict but fair
forced political governance of the accession                         conditionality. It puts, however, a stronger
process. This includes at the same time more                         focus on the broader political situation in
rigorous benchmarking (including more and                            the Western Balkans, also urging to foster
better indicators), regular evaluations by the                       regional cooperation and good neighbourly
Commission of the realized progress by can-                          relations among the region’s countries
didate countries even after the completion of                        through deepened political exchange.
individual policy blocks, and the possibility
for Member States to review these evalua-                            Picking up on the French government’s idea
tions afterwards. The French proposal also                           to bundle the accession chapters into blocks,
strengthens the role of the Council regar-                           the nine EU countries want to group them by
ding the accession of candidate countries to                         main policy areas and propose to base them
specific sectoral policies and wants to insti-                       on the existing sub-committees of the Stabi-
tutionalise more annual high-level meetings                          lisation and Association Agreements (SAAs)
between the political leaders of EU member                           the EU has with the Western Balkans states.
states and the Western Balkans countries.                            Existing sub-committees are focusing, for
                                                                     example, on (1) customs, (2) trade and sus-
                                                                     tainable development, (3) economic and
1.2. The nine-country proposal                                       financial issues and statistics, (4) transport,
                                                                     energy, environment, climate change and
Responding to the French non-paper on                                regional development, and on (5) agriculture,
the reform of the EU accession procedure,                            fisheries and food safety. The nine-country
nine EU countries (Austria, Czech Republic,                          proposal, however, does not discuss these
Estonia, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland                     different policy fields nor the final composi-
and Slovenia) provided their own vision for                          tion of the blocks in more detail.
a revamped negotiation format. Partly in
line with the French approach, particularly                          In contrast to the French vision, there is no
regarding a greater degree of ‘politicisation’                       requirement for a sequential ordering of
of the accession process, the nine-country                           negotiation blocks. The nine EU countries
proposal is nevertheless considerably less                           explicitly allow for the possibility to nego-
5. See EISL A. 2019. « France’s questionable arguments against EU enlargement. Why the French government should rethink its veto on
the EU accession talks with North Macedonia and Albania, while pushing for reform of the accession procedure ». Blogpost, Paris: IJD.

                                                              3 ▪ 12
tiate several blocks in parallel. Importantly,                       and visibility would help facilitate the eva-
however, the chapters related to the rule of                         luation of reform progress and could thus
law should be reinforced by becoming more                            help to shape “a broader consensus on the
central to the negotiation talks, also through                       assessments of reforms and ensure advan-
clearer recommendations and more tho-                                cements”.
rough benchmarking. Regarding a possible
reversibility of accession progress, the nine-                       Finally, there should be a more pronounced
country proposal merely calls for the better                         communication strategy explaining the
use of existing instruments such as the                              benefits of EU accession among Wes-
so-called ‘imbalance’ clause6.                                       tern Balkan countries and their citizens to
                                                                     improve the acceptability of reforms.
Partly mirroring the ‘carrot & stick’ approach
of the French authorities, the nine-country
vision also wants to increase benefits, and                          1.3. The Commission proposal
thus incentives, for the candidate coun-
tries of the Western Balkans, including both                         Reflecting on these two different reform
financial and non-financial support. The                             proposals, the European Commission publi-
‘enhanced approach’ wants to introduce                               shed its own vision for a revamped EU
“effective and targeted financial incentives                         accession process in February 2020. Overall,
that reward as well as facilitate progress”,                         it integrates key elements of both (non)-
e.g. through gradual participation in the EU’s                       papers, nuancing the rigid French approach,
Single Market and specific EU programmes.                            while also going beyond the nine-country
It also aims at increasing EU support to fight                       proposal. Picking up the framing of the diffe-
organised crime and corruption.                                      rent national proposals, the Commission
                                                                     argues that the accession processes “has
The nine-country proposal puts a particular                          to become more predictable, more credible
emphasis on a strengthening of the political                         – based on objective criteria and rigorous
dimension of the accession process, to be                            positive and negative conditionality, and
achieved through more high-level political                           reversibility – more dynamic and subject
exchange and the integration of Western                              to stronger political steering”. The Commis-
Balkans countries into European confe-                               sion proposal is also the most detailed and
rences, committees and working groups.                               applied one, moving from rather general
It wants to give more importance to inter-                           reform ideas to more practical implementa-
governmental conferences, establish annual                           tion options.
meetings of the European Council with Wes-
tern Balkans leaders (as the French proposal                         Following the previous reform visions, the
suggests) as well as regional ‘Europe Confe-                         Commission also suggests reorganising the
rences’ to improve the dialogue between the                          accession chapters into blocks, calling them
region’s countries.                                                  ‘thematic clusters’. While also referring to the
                                                                     sub-committees of the SAAs (like the nine-
Another key element of a reinforced poli-                            country proposal), it provides a bundling of
tical dimension is to provide (similar to the                        chapters into six blocks: (1) fundamentals
stance of the French authorities) a “more                            (rule of law), (2) internal market, (3) com-
measurable, easily communicable and                                  petitiveness and inclusive growth, (4) green
comparable” presentation of the level of                             agenda and sustainable connectivity, (5)
EU acquis implementation in each policy                              resources, agricultures and cohesion, and
block by the Commission. In the view of the                          (6) external relations. In principle similar
nine EU countries, this heightened clarity                           to the French proposal, the Commission’s
6. See MAJSTOROVIĆ S. 2019. « To be or not to be – the case for Serbia’s European integration ».

                                                               4 ▪ 12
aggregation of chapters seems to make for          process, also suggesting a detailed annual
thematically more coherent policy blocks           policy cycle for the negotiation talks.
(see Table 1 and the contents of the current
accession chapters in the Annex).                  In this policy cycle, the Commission’s annual
                                                   enlargement package is supposed to take on
Finding a compromise between the rigid             a central role, providing better guidance for
sequential approach of the French autho-           candidate countries on the reform priorities
rities and the more flexible one of the nine       and alignment criteria as well as the broader
EU countries, the Commission suggests              EU expectations, while also checking the
that “negotiations on the fundamentals             compliance of candidate countries with
will be opened first and closed last, and          the EU acquis. Recommendations of the
progress on these will determine the ove-          EU can also include proposals for correc-
rall pace of negotiations”. This clearly puts      tive measures. Following the publication of
a stronger focus on the rule of law dimen-         the enlargement package, the Commission
sion of accession talks. At the same time,         proposal suggests country-specific inter-
the Commission approach does not forbid            governmental conferences which serve to
to open the negotiations of several blocks in      discuss the contents of the package and to
parallel.                                          shape the reform agenda through political
                                                   dialogue.
Mirroring the reform trajectories of the two
previously circulated papers, the Commis-          In terms of broader political exchange, the
sion also wants to reinforce a conditionality      Commission proposal includes a compre-
and incentive logic for the accession talks.       hensive set of new or revamped meetings
It proposes “accelerated integration and           between leaders of the EU (Member States)
‘phasing-in’ to individual EU policies, the EU     and the Western Balkans countries. Next to
market and EU programmes, while ensuring           intergovernmental conferences, it calls for
a level playing field”. In addition, it foresees   the holding of regular EU-Western Balkans
more financial support both in the form of         Summits, the inclusion of national public
direct funding and loans.                          officials as observers in EU meetings and
                                                   committees, and a stronger “focus of SAA
The Commission proposal is largely in line         bodies on key political issues and reforms”.
with the French non-paper on “the need for
more decisive measures proportionally sanc-        Going beyond the – at times – vague sug-
tioning any serious or prolonged stagnation        gestions of the French and the nine-country
or even backsliding in reform implementa-          proposal for a better inclusion of EU Member
tion and meeting the requirements of the           States in the negotiation process, the Com-
accession process”. It lays out a number of        mission proposal is more concrete. It invites
sanctions such as reducing financial sup-          Member States to contribute to the acces-
port, cutting the access to EU programmes,         sion process through direct input to the
putting negotiations in certain policy areas       annual reports on the progress of negotia-
on hold or to suspend them altogether. Also        tions, the provision of sectoral advice by
already closed chapters/blocks could be            national policy experts, and their monitoring
re-opened or reset following an assessment         of reform progress on the ground in the
by the Member States.                              candidate countries. Through the proposed
                                                   reinforced policy cycle, Member States
Even more so than the nine-country proposal,       should also have more and better oppor-
the Commission puts a particular focus on          tunities to review the overall progress of
the political dimension of the accession           accession talks.

                                              5 ▪ 12
Table 1 ▪ Key elements of the three different reform options for the EU accession procedure

                                                 FRENCH PROPOSAL                               NINE-COUNTRY PROPOSAL                                     COMMISSION PROPOSAL

       Publishing date          November 2019                                      December 2019                                           February 2020

    Negotiations in blocks      Yes (in 7 blocks)                                  Yes (along the lines of the 8 SAA sub-commit-           Yes (in 6 blocks)
                                                                                   tees)

 Blocks (areas, clusters) and   Block 1 (Rule of law):                             Grouping of negotiation chapters along the              Block 1 (Fundamentals):
     included chapters          • 23, 24                                           lines of the eight SAA sub-committees                   • 5, 18, 23, 24, 32
 (see Annex for description
         of chapters)
                                Block 2 (Education, research, youth, culture,      Examples of sub-committees from existing                Block 2 (Internal market):
                                sport, environment, transport, telecommunica-      SAAs are:                                               • 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 28
                                tions, energy:                                     • Customs
                                • 14, 15, 21, 22, 25, 26, 27                       • Trade and sustainable development                     Block 3 (Competitiveness and inclusive
                                                                                   • Economic and financial issues and statis-             growth):
                                Block 3 (Employment, social policy, health            tics                                                 • 10, 16, 17, 19, 20, 25, 26, 29
                                policy, consumers, competitiveness):               • Transport, energy, environment, climate
                                • 5, 7, 8, 19, 20, 28                                 change and regional development                      Block 4 (Green agenda and sustainable con-
                                                                                   • Agriculture, fisheries and food safety                nectivity):
                                • Block 4 (Economic and financial affairs):        • Sanitary and phytosanitary sub-committee              • 14, 15, 21, 27
                                   4, 16, 17, 18, 32                               • Migration issues
                                                                                   • Geographical indications                              Block 5 (Resources, agriculture and cohesion)
                                Block 5 (Internal market, agriculture and                                                                  • 11, 12, 13, 22, 33
                                fisheries):
                                • 1, 2, 3, 6, 10, 11, 12, 13                                                                               Block 6 (External relations)
                                                                                                                                           • 30, 31
                                Block 6 (Foreign affairs):
                                • 30, 31

                                Block 7 (Others):
                                • 33, 34, 35

   Sequential negotiations      Yes                                                No                                                      Partly
                                 • No parallel negotiations of different blocks    • Allows explicitly for parallel negotiations           • Rule of law block is opened first and closed
                                      allowed                                      • More importance given to the rule of law                 last
                                 • Rule of law as the first block                     block                                                • Parallel negotiations are possible

    Reversibility (linked to    Yes                                                No                                                      Yes
      conditionalities)          • Possibility of gradual withdrawal of            (or at least not discussed explicitly)                  • Possibility of gradual withdrawal of financial
                                      financial support and participation in EU                                                               support and participation in EU programmes
                                      programmes                                                                                           • Possibility of reopening of closed blocks or
                                 • Possibility of reopening of closed blocks or                                                               even restart of negotiation process
                                      even restart of negotiation process

          Incentives             • Financial support                               • Financial support                                     • Financial support (funds and loans)
                                 • Gradual access to the policy fields and EU      • Gradual access to the policy fields and EU            • Gradual access to the policy fields and EU
                                      programmes linked to completed blocks           programmes linked to completed blocks                   programmes linked to completed blocks
                                                                                   • Support to fight organised crime and
                                                                                      corruption

    Role of Member States       • More rigorous benchmarking which facil-          • Better presentation of EU acquis implemen-            • Direct input to annual reports on the negoti-
                                   itates evaluation of progress by Member            tation for evaluation by Member States                  ation progress
                                   States                                                                                                  • Provision of sectoral advice by national
                                • Strengthened role of Council regarding the                                                                  policy experts
                                   accession of candidate countries to specific                                                            • Monitoring of reform progress in the candi-
                                   sectoral policies                                                                                          date countries

    Political institutions &    • Institutionalisation of more annual high-level   • Intergovernmental conferences                         • Intergovernmental conferences
           processes               meetings between EU Member States and           • Annual meetings of the European Council               • EU-Western Balkans Summits
                                   Western Balkans countries                          with Western Balkans leaders                         • Inclusion of national public officials as
                                                                                   • Regional Europe conferences                              observers in EU meetings, committees
                                                                                   • Integration of candidate countries into Euro-         • Refocusing of SAA sub-committees
                                                                                      pean committees and working groups                   • Introducing a strengthened policy cycle
                                                                                                                                              centred around the Commission’s annual
                                                                                                                                              enlargement package

                                                                                                         Sources: Own summary based on the three proposals for a reform of the EU accession process
More broadly, the Commission proposal            elements of the French vision such as the
calls for increased transparency and             very rigid sequential approach to the diffe-
communication activities to improve the          rent policy fields.
public’s understanding of the accession
process and to create more support for EU        From the nine-country-proposal, the Com-
integration. And finally, the document also      mission adopted many suggestions for the
explicitly discusses what a revamped acces-      political dimension of the accession talks,
sion process would mean for the ongoing          including the better integration of candi-
negotiations with Serbia and Montenegro.         date countries into existing EU bodies and
Rather than imposing a new model on them,        the creation of more platforms for political
the negotiating framework can be amended         dialogue, also on the regional level. In some
but only if the two candidate countries agree    regards, the Commission approach goes
to this.                                         even further than what was suggested by
                                                 the nine countries, detailing a reinforced
                                                 role of Member States in the accession
1.4. Commonalities and differences of            talks across the policy cycle.
the three reform options
                                                 In terms of financial and non-financial incen-
Following the analysis of the three reform       tives, all three proposals largely agree, calling
proposals for the EU accession process,          for more financial support, expert help and
Table 1 summarizes their most important          the gradual accession of candidate coun-
elements along a number of key dimensions,       tries into EU policy fields and programmes.
which allow for a better comparison across
the different reform approaches. They
include (1) the bundling of accession chap-      2 ▪ Expected improvements and
ters into policy blocks, (2) the parallel and/   potential problems with the different
or sequential negotiation of these blocks, (3)
the possibility for reversibility mechanisms,
                                                 reform options
(4) the forms of incentives and conditiona-      The different reform options entail a number
lities, and (5) the political institutions and   of expected improvements but also potential
processes to be created and/or utilized. For     problems for the future EU accession pro-
all of the following comparisons it should,      cess in comparison to the status quo. The
of course, be acknowledged that informally       analysis of these anticipated outcomes is
circulated non-papers and an official com-       based on the following underlying assump-
mission proposal do not have the same            tions and premises.
status nor are they subject to the same
amount of scrutiny ahead of publication.         First, a reorganisation (and simplification) of
                                                 the existing 35 accession chapters is seen
As visible from a comparison of the diffe-       as an advancement in comparison to the
rent reform proposals, the Commission            status quo by raising political visibility and
proposal has integrated key elements of          thus supporting broader reform efforts. A
both the French and nine-country proposals.      reinforcement of the rule of law dimension of
The Commission paper borrows from the            the negotiation talks is also deemed positive
French approach particularly concerning the      as it raises the likelihood that basic tenets
bundling of accession chapters into blocks,      of the rule of law will be better anchored
the reversibility of negotiation progress and    in candidate countries in the medium- to
accompanying sanctions and more rigorous         long-term, drawing lessons from past enlar-
benchmarking to facilitate the evaluation        gement rounds.
of accession-related reforms. The Com-
mission, however, also attenuates some

                                            7 ▪ 12
Second, gradual and proportional sanctions       Giving it different names (blocks, areas, clus-
and incentives are viewed as positive, as        ters), the individual reform visions improve
they help to steer the negotiation progress,     the visibility of the actual reform agenda,
additionally supporting reforms while deter-     creating broader (and generally coherent)
ring faulty implementation or step-backs in      policy blocks, which can help to improve
the accession process.                           reform efforts, by raising the stakes and
                                                 linking them with clearer benefits. Among
Third, reforms of political institutions, pro-   the three reform visions, the Commission’s
cesses and participation are regarded            suggestions for the new negotiation blocks
in a favourable manner, if they allow for        seem to be the most coherent one, making it
more political exchange among the EU, its        slightly preferable to the other ones.
Member States and candidate countries, a
better integration of candidate countries into   Also concerning the rigidity of the procedure
EU fora, and if the role of Member States in     of accession talks and the reinforcement
the accession process is fostered in a way       of the rule of law dimension, the Commis-
that makes them stakeholders rather than         sion proposal probably provides the best
outsiders in a largely technocratic process.     overall package, mixing a refocused negotia-
In addition, increased transparency and          tion process based on a central rule of law
clearer benchmarking would also constitute       block while retaining sufficient flexibility for
an improvement to the current situation,         negotiations to move forward even if there
allowing for a better monitoring of the nego-    are blockades in particular policy areas. In
tiation talks and reform agendas.                comparison to the French proposal, which
                                                 demands the completion of the rule of law
Fourth, and more broadly, reform propo-          block before any other block can be opened,
sals are assumed to be sensible if they do       the Commission wants the rule of law block
not undermine the general objective of the       to be opened first and closed last, as men-
EU accession process, which is that candi-       tioned above.
date countries will become full EU Member
States if they fulfil all the requirements set   In terms of reversibility, two aspects make
out by the European Union at the start of        the Commission approach preferable to
the negotiations. Approaches which make          the French one. First, the Commission plan
it more likely that negotiation progress can     seems more practical, as it is politically
be blocked due to political reasons beyond       easier to simply not close an opened policy
the actual accession obligations are thus        block rather than reopening an already com-
viewed as negative.                              pleted one. Second, the French model is not
                                                 clear about how to deal with problems in
Based on these assumptions and premises,         the rule of law block while other blocks are
the different elements of the three reform       already finalised. Given the sequential logic,
proposals are evaluated and ranked with          would all other completed policy blocks also
+ (positive), ~ (neutral), and – (negative) in   be invalidated if one of the blocks on the
comparison with the existing EU accession        lower steps of the accession ladder are not
process. Table 2 (see page 9) summarizes         implemented correctly? This is a potential
the anticipated outcomes of the French,          shortcoming, at least in the current version
nine-country and Commission proposals,           of the French proposal, making the Commis-
also allowing for a comparison across the        sion proposal a clearer choice.
different reform visions.
                                                 On the issue of better incentives all three
Common to all three reform proposals is the      reform options contain improvements by
move towards a reorganisation and simpli-        wanting to provide more financial support
fication of the different accession chapters.    and gradual access in EU policy fields and

                                            8 ▪ 12
Table 2 ▪ Evaluation of expected improvements and potential problems
of the three reform proposals for the EU accession process

                            FRENCH PROPOSAL                   NINE-COUNTRY              COMMISSION PROPOSAL
                                                                PROPOSAL
   Negotiations in       + Blocks make the              + Blocks make the               + Blocks make the
      blocks               accession process more         accession process more          accession process more
                           accessible                     accessible                      accessible
                         ~ Aggregation of chapters      ~ Does not provide an           + Aggregation of chapters
                           for the individual blocks      explicit proposal for the       for the individual blocks
                           not particularly intuitive     aggregation of chapters         rather coherent
      Sequential         + Clear order of               ~ Proposal for strength-        + Gives a more important
     negotiations          negotiations                   ened rule of law block, but     role to the rule of law
                         - Rigidity of the sequential     no special role in negotia-     block
                           order of negotiation talks     tion organisation             + Possibility of parallel ne-
                           might be counter-            + Possibility of parallel ne-     gotiations of blocks
                           productive for the             gotiations of blocks            allows for more political
                           negotiation progress           allows for more political       flexibility
                                                          flexibility
 Reversibility (linked   + Clear and proportional       ~ No explicit information       + Clear and proportional
 to conditionalities)      sanctions                     on reversibility given           sanctions
                         ~ Lack of clarity
                           concerning the conse-
                           quences of a sequential
                           order for reversibility
      Incentives         + Better financial support     + Better financial support      + Better financial support
                         + Gradual access to EU pol-    + Gradual access to EU pol-     + Gradual access to EU pol-
                           icy fields and pro-            icy fields and pro-             icy fields and pro-
                           grammes                        grammes                         grammes
   Role of Member        + Better benchmarking of       + Better benchmarking of        + Strengthened participa-
        States             negotiation progress           negotiation progress            tion of Member States in
                         ~ Strengthened participa-      ~ Role of Member States           the monitoring, evaluation
                           tion of Member States in       not particularly strength-      and guidance of acces
                           deciding gradual               ened                            sion reforms
                           accession of candidates
                           to EU policy fields and
                           programmes
   Political institu-    + More high-level political    + More high-level political     + More high-level political
  tions & processes        dialogue between the           dialogue between the            dialogue between the
                           EU, its Member States          EU, its Member States           EU, its Member States
                           and candidate countries        and candidate countries         and candidate countries
                         ~ Remains rather vague         + Inclusion of candidate        + Inclusion of candidate
                           about the political            countries as observers in       countries as observers in
                           dimension of a reformed        EU bodies                       EU bodies
                           accession process            ~ Increased complexity          ~ Increased complexity
                                                          through creation of sever-      through creation of sever-
                                                          al new exchange plat-           al new exchange plat-
                                                          forms                           forms
                                                                                        + Inclusion of a detailed
                                                                                          policy cycle to analyse
                                                                                          and foster negotiation
                                                                                          progress
   Broader conse-        - Rigid structure of acces-    ~ Reform proposal does          + Comparatively ambitious
      quences              sion process could lead       not differ very much from        reform, which retains nev-
                           to the risk of candidate      the existing accession           ertheless a certain degree
                           countries getting stuck in    process in terms of setup        of flexibility
                           negotiation talks

                                                                                                        Sources: Own analysis

                                                        9 ▪ 12
programmes if there is adequate reform pro-     negotiation setup and the planned increased
gress. The French proposal links this with a    role for Member States in deciding on can-
bigger say for Member States in the Council     didate countries’ participation in specific EU
for the concrete participation of candidate     policy fields and programmes seem proble-
countries, which, on the one hand, would        matic in this regard.
make the process less technocratic, but, on
the other hand, could also lead to blockades    Difficulties in implementation limited to indi-
from particular Member States for domestic      vidual policy blocks could potentially derail
political reasons rather than European          the whole accession process. While aimed
concerns. This point should be taken into       at ensuring consistent reform efforts and
consideration for the upcoming negotiations     sincere implementation of the EU acquis, the
on the reform design.                           French plan for the organisation of acces-
                                                sion talks and the inbuilt logic of reversibility
More broadly, the Commission proposal           of negotiation progress could actually under-
contains the most concrete and com-             mine such efforts on the side of candidate
prehensive suggestions for a reinforced         countries. The peculiarities and the functio-
participation of Member States in the acces-    ning of national political arenas have to be
sion process. Beyond the general call for       taken into consideration when assessing
clearer benchmarking and thus easier moni-      reform trajectories, which an overly rigid
toring of reform progress, the Commission       approach might not be able to integrate.
wants to make Member States stakehol-
ders of the negotiations from the provision     At the same time, giving Member States a
of national expertise, over the monitoring      more political say over the participation of
on the ground, to the co-writing of annual      candidate countries in EU programmes and
reports.                                        policy fields could go beyond the general
                                                idea to make EU members stakeholders
Regarding additional and strengthened           of the accession process. It could rather
political exchange and institutions, the Com-   ‘over-politicize’ the accession process, as
mission and nine-country proposals are the      national parties could use such situations
most ambitious ones, suggesting the inclu-      to block accession progress to appeal to
sion of candidate countries as observers in     domestic audiences and to win electoral
existing EU fora. In addition, the Commission   battles on the national level.
provides a detailed and operational vision
for a reinforced annual policy cycle centred    In the end, while containing several clear
around the annual enlargement package.          improvements to the status quo, the French
Again, this makes the Commission proposal       reform proposal thus entails the potential
the best starting point for the upcoming        risk for candidate countries to get stuck in
negotiations between the Member States          a half-in/half-out EU membership limbo due
and the EU institutions.                        to domestic political factors among both
                                                the candidate countries and the EU Member
All three reform proposals for the EU acces-    States.
sion process stress that its final objective
remains ‘full and complete’ EU membership.      In comparison, the nine-country proposal
But how do these promises match with the        differs significantly less from the cur-
actual reform plans put forward?                rently existing accession process. Its most
                                                ambitious reform elements are about
Especially the French proposal entails the      creating additional political exchange
potential risk that candidate countries could   and participation, which are supposed to
get stuck in the accession process. Parti-      increase a stakeholder logic to the nego-
cularly the rigid structure of the sequential   tiation talks. There are considerably fewer

                                          10 ▪ 12
risks for candidate countries to get stuck in    even impossible under the veil of a progres-
the accession process following the nine-        sive reform. The Commission plan excludes
country reform option, but as their vision       most of the inbuilt rigidities and eventual
does not depart considerably from the            pitfalls of the French plan, which should
status quo, it might not be enough to over-      give more enlargement-friendly EU Member
come a French veto and existing problems         States confidence in the actual reform direc-
in the accession process and thus could          tion.
seem like an insignificant reform.
                                                 The coming weeks will show how the nego-
The Commission proposal finally has an           tiation positions of the different EU Member
ambitious reform objective but allevia-          States and the European Commission will
ting some of the potentially unintended          evolve. On the French domestic level, the
consequences of the French reform plan.          passing of the local elections in France (15th
The reorganisation of the accession pro-         and 22nd of March) should give the national
cess should allow for a renewed impetus          government more leeway to agree to a
for the advancement of negotiation talks         reform compromise and to simultaneously
and the planned increased stakeholder role       end its veto for the opening of accession
of Member States seems to find a good            talks with North Macedonia (and potentially
balance between a technocratic and political     with Albania as well). With a reform largely
governance of the process.                       in line with the Commission proposal, the
                                                 French authorities could also claim that their
                                                 veto was successful in bringing about consi-
3 ▪ The Commission proposal as a                 derable change to the existing EU accession
sensible foundation for the upcoming             process. A lifting of a veto could thus be jus-
                                                 tified to the domestic electorate while being
negotiations                                     potentially able to limit the damage done to
Based on the analysis and comparison of          the national political sphere particularly in
the French, nine-country and Commission          North Macedonia.
proposals on a reform of the EU accession
process, this policy brief believes the latter
proposal to constitute a very good point of                            ▪
reference for the negotiations amongst EU
Member States ahead of the Council Meeting
in late March 2020. It is a sensible compro-
mise between the different reform visions
laid out by France and the nine countries led
by Italy, Poland, Austria and Slovenia.

The scope of the Commission plan should
be able to convince the French authorities
that it is a significant reform going beyond
the creation of additional fora for political
dialogue among Member States and can-
didate countries. At the same time, the
Commission’s suggestions for a revamped
accession process should also weaken
the concerns of other EU Member States
that saw the French reform proposal as a
potential ‘poison pill’, rendering future EU
accession considerably more difficult or

                                           11 ▪ 12
Annex ▪

                                       List of accession chapters
                                        1   Free movement of goods
                                        2   Freedom of movement of workers
                                        3   Right of establishment and freedom to provide services
                                        4   Free movement of capital
                                        5   Public procurement
                                        6   Company law
                                        7   Intellectual property law
                                        8   Competition policy
                                        9   Financial services
                                       10   Information society and media
                                       11   Agriculture and rural development
                                       12   Food safety, veterinary and phytosanitary policy
                                       13   Fisheries
                                       14   Transport policy
                                       15   Energy
                                       16   Taxation
                                       17   Economic and monetary policy
                                       18   Statistics
                                       19   Social policy and employment
                                       20   Enterprise and industrial policy
                                       21   Trans-European networks
                                       22   Regional policy and coordination of structural instru-
                                            ments
                                       23   Judiciary and fundamental rights
Managing Editor: Sébastien
Maillard ▪ The document may be         24   Justice, freedom and security
reproduced in part or in full on the   25   Science and research
dual condition that its meaning is     26   Education and culture
not distorted and that the source is   27   Environment and climate change
mentioned ▪ The views expressed
are those of the author(s) and         28   Consumer and health protection
do not necessarily reflect those       29   Customs union
of the publisher ▪ The Jacques         30   External relations
Delors Institute cannot be held res-   31   Foreign, security and defence policy
ponsible for the use which any third
                                       32   Financial control
party may make of the document
▪ Original version ▪ Proofreading :    33   Financial and budgetary provisions
Barbara Banks ▪ © Jacques Delors       34   Institutions
Institute                              35   Other issues

                                                                 Source: European Commission (2020): Chapters of the acquis.

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