HEALTHCARE INVESTING IN INDONESIAN - Opportunities for Australian businesses - Asia Society
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ASIAASIA TASKFORCE INTERIMPAPER TASKFORCE DISCUSSION REPORT No. 05 NOVEMBER 2020 INVESTING IN INDONESIAN HEALTHCARE Opportunities for Australian businesses Asia Taskforce is an initiative of Knowledge partners
BACKGROUND This Discussion Paper has been prepared as part of a Key points: series of short reports on specific topics identified by the In this Discussion Paper we aim to: Business Council of Australia • Draw attention to the opportunities that the Indonesian and Asia Society Asia Taskforce Healthcare sector presents (Taskforce) together with Knowledge Partners PwC • Outline the role that foreign investment has played and will play Australia and the University in funding Indonesia’s healthcare needs of Sydney Business School, to • Identify several specific areas in healthcare where Australian supplement the findings and companies have comparative advantages recommendations contained • Highlight the role that technology can play in the delivery of the in the Interim Report. One of Indonesian Government’s healthcare objectives the objectives of the Taskforce was to identify specific industry • Highlight case studies of the real-life experience of Australian sectors and countries where companies which have successfully entered the Indonesian Australia has a comparative healthcare market. advantage and where there is local demand. The paper is intended to contribute to a discussion about how Australian capability and talent can be involved in helping Indonesia reach its economic potential. It provides a starting point for Australian healthcare businesses to define the opportunities and, perhaps most importantly, illustrate how organisations can navigate the inevitable risks by bringing the ‘Team Australia’ approach outlined in the Interim Report to life. Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 2
INTRODUCTION The Indonesian economy Unsurprisingly, this translates Development Plan (Rencana has achieved consistent to lower capacity in healthcare Pembangunan Jangka Panjang infrastructure compared to its Nasional/RPJMN) 2020-2024. economic growth over the ASEAN peers and neighbours, It aims to do so by improving last two decades, and that of advanced economies. promotive and preventive efforts, delivering better social This is reflected in a number of particularly in the areas of mother and economic outcomes key indicators, such as hospital and child health, productive for its large and ever- beds and doctor-to-population health, nutrition, disease control, ratios (see Table 1). The COVID-19 community-level initiatives, health expanding population of pandemic has put a further systems, drug and food control.5 around 270 million people. spotlight on these issues. Either way, further increases in Growth in GDP has hovered around Although both government private financing of both soft and 5 percent per year over the last and private sector investment hard infrastructure will be critical, two decades making Indonesia just in healthcare has been rising, particularly as the government the fifth Asian economy to join the Indonesia still faces a steep hike faces greater fiscal pressures US$ 1 trillion club. PwC projects in investment to improve health managing the stabilisation and that Indonesia will become the outcomes across the board, recovery of the economy through world’s fourth largest economy by particularly as its population the current COVID-19 pandemic. 2050, up from 16th place in 2017, continues to grow, which will place Indonesia has lifted its previous overtaking a number of advanced additional demands on already budget deficit-to-GDP ratio of 3% economies including Japan, under-resourced healthcare to around 5% to accommodate an Germany and the United Kingdom.1 systems. Growing affluence brings US$ 47 billion stimulus program Ongoing urbanisation will support further challenges in the form for 2020, with further increases Indonesia’s growth and economic of a growing elderly population, expected in 2021. advancements.2 However, chronic diseases, cancer and obesity, and higher expectations As we explore in this paper, the improving overall health outcomes needs of Indonesia’s general is also a prerequisite for achieving of standards of care. population and the increasing higher and more equal growth. Researchers at Universities demand for quality care from Indonesia continues to grapple Indonesia (UI) estimate that the its growing upper-middle class, with a high national prevalence additional investment in health combine to offer an attractive of child undernutrition and infrastructure (e.g. hospitals market for both domestic and pronounced inequalities at a and medical facilities) amounts foreign investors. This is the case subnational level. This is linked to to between US$10.2 and now even more so for Australian poorer educational outcomes and US$16.4 billion per year, in order firms who will enjoy greater access in the longer term, it is correlated for Indonesia to achieve adequate and investment conditions under with lower income levels as an capacity levels by 2030.4 This the recently ratified economic adult. The burden of disease also represents a 20 to 30% uplift on agreement between Australia and remains high in Indonesia, which current expenditure levels. Indonesia - the Indonesia-Australia can impact the labour force Comprehensive Economic As a strategy to alleviate Partnership (IA-CEPA). through lower productivity.3 pressures on existing facilities Indeed, healthcare is one area going forward, the Government where Indonesia lags, with of Indonesia’s (GoI) is aiming to relatively low levels of spending strengthen primary healthcare on healthcare per capita. as part of its Long-Term National Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 3
Rising private healthcare Figure 1 Healthcare spending per capita and healthcare spending to %GDP (2017) Private healthcare already accounts for roughly two-thirds 6,000 of healthcare expenditure in 5,109 Indonesia, and growth continues to 5,000 4,816 outstrip that of public spending.6 For example, between 2014 and 4,000 3,844 2018, the number of private hospitals in Indonesia increased 3,000 from 1,476 to 1,830 (a 24% increase), with investments 2,000 from a number of foreign firms including those from Singapore, 841 1,000 the Netherlands, South Korea, and 247 253 368 the US. For the same period, the 130 133 0 Vietnam Philippines Thailand India Indonesia China Malaysia Australia OECD number of public hospitals only increased by 13% from 930 to 5.5% 4.4% 3.7% 3.5% 3.0% 5.2% 3.9% 9.2% 12.5% 1,047 hospitals. Healthcare spending per capita, PPP (in USD, 2017) Healthcare spending (% GDP, 2017) Considering Indonesia’s growing Source: World Bank middle class, private healthcare providers in Indonesia (both domestic and foreign) are likely Figure 2 Ratio of physicians and hospital beds to 1,000 population* to continue to expand their presence in the market. 4.5 4.2 One indicator of the potential 4 3.8 3.7 3.7 opportunity posed by the 3.5 Indonesia healthcare market is the significant resources spent 3 2.9 2.6 annually on outbound medical 2.5 tourism. As noted in a 2018 2.1 2.0 report by Oliver Wyman, lack 2 1.9 of trust in the local system and 1.5 1.5 infrastructure results in more than 1.2 1.0 600,000 people a year traveling 1 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7 to neighbouring countries such as 0.5 0.4 Singapore for medical treatment. The report authors estimate that 0 Indonesia Philippines Thailand Vietnam India Malaysia China OECD Australia the direct cost of such medical Ratio of physicians to 1000 population Ratio of hospital beds to 1,000 population tourism has grown at an annual rate of over 10% since 2006 and is Source: World Health Organization (WHO). now nearly US$ 1.9 billion a year. *Latest year of data available in each country for physicians and hospital beds, This suggests a key opportunity respectively, are as follows: Indonesia (2018,2015), Philippines (2017,2011), for private investment to capture Thailand (2018,2010), Vietnam (2016,2014), India (2018,2011), Malaysia (2018,2015), the higher end of the healthcare China (2017,2012), OECD (2017,2013), Australia (2017,2014). market locally, particularly in light of likely ongoing travel restrictions imposed in response to COVID-19. Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 4
Financing gap and the As the GoI grapples with an role of Public-Private increase in spending across many different priority areas, Partnerships there is considerable scope for The growing dominance of private public-private partnerships healthcare is a trend seen across (PPPs) to bridge the funding many emerging countries in gap required to raise the level South-East Asia. Although an of public care through private increase in the availability of such sector involvement. PPPs can be services, in and of itself, is positive, used to upgrade facilities, adding “ the main beneficiaries are upper- much-needed capacity and middle class Indonesians. The raising quality. PPPs need not be majority of the population rely on restricted to infrastructure, which typically accounts for a minority Indonesia already faces access to basic services provided through public hospitals, and some share of all health spending. In large disparities in health private providers, via the universal the drive for efficiency, many other clinical services could be outcomes between health coverage scheme (known as the BJPS). financed and managed privately, different income levels, contributing to higher standards Although the BJPS will likely put and the generation of savings over as well as between urban private healthcare within the reach the long-term.9 and rural areas.” of greater numbers of people over time, Indonesia also needs to The government highlighted ensure that sufficient investment PPPs in the most recent continues to go into public services Medium-Term National given that it already faces large Development Plan (“RPJMN disparities in health outcomes 2020-24”) as a key procurement between different income levels, modality to improve private as well as between urban and participation in public social rural areas.7 infrastructure provision, backed up with sector-level regulations Unequal geographic distribution and the funding of a number of of healthcare services puts hospital PPP feasibility studies. East Indonesia at the greatest However, further effort will be disadvantage. For example, only required to realise a hospital two-thirds of subdistricts in Papua PPP in Indonesia in the future, to have a health centre, as compared overcome key uncertainties such with all sub districts in regions as the affordability of availability such as Bali, DI Yogyakarta, and DKI payments (from government’s Jakarta. Only 53% of puskesmas perspective), project scope (public community health centres) and risks with planning and in Papua meet ‘basic amenities market alignments. readiness’, compared to 88% of health centres in DI Yogyakarta.8 Such disparities are also found in health personnel resources. The WHO has found that only 12% of health centres in West Papua have sufficient numbers of midwives, compared with 93.9% in Banten. Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 5
Increasing market access Figure 3 Growth of FDI in Indonesian healthcare to foreign investors $100m Given the issues outlined above, the GoI is acutely aware of the need to open up the sector to foreign private investment. A number of steps $75m have already been pursued such as opening up the sector to foreign investors from ASEAN and more recently from Australia via the ASEAN $50m Economic Community (AEC) and IA-CEPA agreements, respectively (discussed further below). $25m Foreign direct investment in the sector is growing quickly, and opportunities are increasingly being seized upon by players from $0m Singapore, Australia and China 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (see Figures 3 and 4). Foreign investment in greenfield Source: BKPM 2019, National Single Window for Investment development has been limited as it is perceived as higher risk, with new hospitals taking up to three Figure 4 Sources of FDI into Indonesian healthcare, by country, years for initial planning, regulatory as at 2019 and licensing procedures prior to construction commencing.10 $250m As such, a common entry strategy $207m has been investments in maturing $200m operating assets, to expand or enhance them. $150m For example, in 2018 Singapore- based private equity firm Kendall Court took a majority stake in the $100m Indonesian company Mandaya Medical International, to enable the expansion of a large hospital $53m $46m $50m in Jakarta. $31m $19m $17m $9m As noted above, PPPs have the $6m potential to be another investment $0m Singapore Australia China British Malaysia NetherlandsSeychelles Japan modality for foreign investors. Virgin Islands It would presumably require participation in the BJPS (which Source: BKPM 2019, National Single Window for Investment is currently optional for private providers), thus requiring flexible and innovative approaches particularly with regards to cost management and market segmentation.11 Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 6
Challenges remain 1. Development or 2. Provision of expansion of hospitals specialized health There are a number of factors and other healthcare services/facilities which cumulatively hinder foreign facilities to treat non-communicable investment. One of the main ones diseases (NCDs) is the availability of physicians to While Indonesia is severely lacking ensure standards can be met. in hospital capacity, Australia Through investment in hospitals, This would be less of an issue if on the other hand has delivered Australian providers will have the Indonesia were more open in world leading design, construction opportunity to improve disease allowing the practice of foreign and operational management of prevention and control. medical professionals. healthcare facilities, including coordination of end-to-end solutions. Due in large part to the negative The GoI has so far taken some impacts of urbanisation and small steps to relax restrictions, The IA-CEPA allows for up to 67% lifestyle changes – and one of with a certain number of foreign Australian ownership in hospitals, the highest smoking rates in the specialists now allowed to practice medical and dental clinics as well world – Indonesia faces a major on limited two-year passes. as residential and aged care with challenge to address the rapid rise However, the pool of incoming no geographic limitation. This of NCDs such as cardiovascular, doctors is constrained by other provides a significant advantage respiratory and digestive diseases barriers such as language tests. over other foreign investors, who as well diabetes and cancer. Either way, Indonesia will also need are currently limited to large Australia is a world-leader in to address internal constraints to hospitals in eastern Indonesia preventive and protective health local capacity development, such (excluding Makassar and Manado). policy and programs, with specific as the adequacy of its own training Australian investors will be able expertise in areas such as diabetes facilities. As discussed later in to invest in any location, even the prevention, smoking-related this paper, the IA-CEPA provides main cities of Jakarta and Surabaya, illness, as well as addressing a greater window for Australia’s and importantly will be able to scale infectious disease threats. TVET sector to help fill this gap. up their investment over time to meet scale requirements. Likewise, 3. Assistance with Opportunities for the 67% restriction should not aged-care facilities and be disadvantageous as there are treatment Australian firms considerable benefits and synergies Indonesia has a young population Australia has long been a leader in from working with a competent relative to its more advanced the global healthcare market, and local or regional healthcare neighbours, such as China, but it is recognised for its world-class provider, as has been the case for is entering the early stages of an healthcare system, its high-quality Ramsay and other foreign investors. aging population.13 Disability rates healthcare education and training At present, Ramsay Health Care for elderly people are relatively capabilities, and for its leading role is the only Australian healthcare high, with an increased incidence in the research and development company operating hospitals in of chronic diseases such as heart of medical devices and technology. Indonesia, where it operates three disease, strokes, hypertension More Australian companies hospitals through a joint venture and diabetes. There is limited though should be well positioned arrangement with the Malaysian availability of geriatric clinics to capitalise on the growing multinational conglomerate Sime and nursing homes in Indonesia, opportunities in the sector, while Darby Berhad. typically concentrated in larger assisting Indonesia to develop its urban areas, and their capability healthcare capacity. The following Ramsay will soon be joined by two to provide comprehensive nursing areas have been identified as areas other Australian companies, Docta and geriatric medical services is where there is good alignment and Aspen Medical, who have likewise limited. between Australia’s comparative recently entered into a US$1 billion advantages and Indonesia’s needs. deal with state-owned enterprise PT Jasa Sanara to build and operate 650 healthcare clinics and 23 hospitals in West Java.12 Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 7
There is a considerable opportunity diagnostics, microbiology, and 6. Building Indonesia’s to leverage Australian expertise in immunochemistry testing and healthcare workforce aged care and geriatric services genetics testing.15 through training and and to provide training for nurses exchange programs and caregivers, in order to improve In a separate Asia Taskforce the delivery of services across Discussion Paper “Insights, As noted, Indonesia needs to the archipelago. Outreach and Brokering: Taking train more doctors and nurses to Australia’s Healthcare Innovation improve ratios and quality of care. Indonesia is also seeing the Advantage to Indonesia”, the emergence of senior living homes, Australia-Indonesia Centre Australia is home to many of with high-quality facilities and uses the Monash Technology the world’s leading universities management services, proving Precinct as a case study in how in health education. It also has that there is a relatively untapped Australia’s healthcare innovation leading vocational training appetite for such services as precinct capabilities in healthcare programs to develop world-class pre-existing cultural norms with technology, medical services, multi-disciplinary teams. Through respect to aged care start to shift. healthcare and pharmaceutical the IA-CEPA there is also scope to infrastructure can be leveraged tap into the considerable training This presents opportunities to support Indonesia’s capacity of Australia’s vocational for Australian companies with health‑related challenges. education and training facilities experience in aged care to (“TAFEs”) and other registered partner with major developers in 5. Digital health training organisations (“RTOs”) Indonesia who are better placed to deliver accredited training for to handle the land and property nurses, administrators and other aspects of such ventures. One healthcare skilled and semi-skilled Australian company which has Indonesia is considered to have personnel such as orderlies and stepped into this space is Living the largest digital economy in nursing assistants. Accreditation Well, which operates a number of SouthEast Asia, built on its large recognised across both countries premium ‘club houses’ for seniors, and young population and high opens up the opportunity for in partnership with the Indonesia penetration of smartphones and training and exchange programs conglomerate Ciputra Property. the internet. Such a customer base in either country, and potentially has provided fertile ground for for the supply of much needed 4. Medical technology the growth of digital healthcare aged-care and child-care workers providers over the last 5 to in Australia. 10 years, which are helping to overcome many of the issues in Cooperation has already begun Australia is also a world leader traditional healthcare models in this area. The University of in the development of health related to cost, efficiency and Tasmania have partnered with technology and medical devices, geographic inequalities. the University Gadjah Mada to but to date has little penetration create an 18 month joint Masters into Indonesia’s large and rapidly There are opportunities for the of Nursing program. Eligible expanding market for medical export and delivery of Australian students are funded by the devices and laboratory equipment, healthcare IT solutions where Indonesian government through which is forecast to pass US$ Australian experience aligns with the Indonesia Endowment for 1.9 billion by 2024, despite 90% Indonesia’s needs. For example, Education (Lembaga Pengelola of devices being imported.14 the extent of Australia’s own rural Dana Pendidikan). According to Austrade, business and remote communities has opportunities primarily exist necessitated the development in surgical equipment, high- of solutions like telehealth and intensity focused ultrasound, telemedicine. Australia has also radio immunotherapy and been developing digital systems clinical laboratory equipment for broader applications, like used for diagnostic tests, medical databases. particularly for molecular Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 8
NOTES 1. PwC 2017, How will the global economic order change by 2050? Note that in PwC’s analysis, Indonesia is projected to rank fourth place in 2050 when measured in either Purchasing Power Parity or Market Exchange Rate terms 2. World Bank 2018, Indonesia Database for Policy and Economic Research 3. WHO 2017, The State of Health Inequality in Indonesia 4. LPEM FEB UI & JICA 2020, Estimating Social Infrastructure Needs in Diverse and Dynamic Asia. The investment gap has been estimated based on the cost of Indonesia expanding its stock of hospital and medical facilities to achieve a ratio of 3.5 beds per 1,000 population, the minimum recommended by the WHO. 5. Ministry of Health Indonesia 2020, Rencana Strategis Kementerian Kesehatan Tahun 2020-2024 6. Ministry of Health Indonesia 2019, Indonesia Health Profile 2019 7. WHO 2017, The State of Health Inequality in Indonesia 8. Ibid. Basic amenities readiness is defined as having the basic services required to provide medical care, such as electricity, water and sanitation, private room, toilet, communication, computer with internet, and transportation. 9. PwC 2017, Build and Beyond: Bridging the Gap 10. PwC 2017, Build and Beyond: Bridging the Gap 11. Private hospitals may choose whether they want to cooperate with JKN operator (i.e. Badan Penyelenggara Jaminan Sosial Kesehatan, BPJS Kesehatan) to be able to serve JKN market. However, in the case of emergency, all private hospitals, regardless of the presence of such cooperation or not, must treat BPJS patients. Once the patients are in a stable condition, then the hospital should refer to other hospital that cooperate with BPJS Kesehatan. 12. Australian Financial Review 2020, Aspen Medical, Docta ink $1.3bn Indonesia healthcare deal. 13. UNFPA 2014, Indonesia on the Threshold of Population Ageing 14. Austrade 2019, Healthcare to Indonesia - Trends and Opportunities Data from the Indonesian Health Ministry 15. ibid. Investing in Indonesian healthcare | 9
About Asia Taskforce In October 2019, the Business Council of Australia and Asia Society Australia together with Knowledge Partners PwC Australia and the University of Sydney Business School formed the Asia Taskforce of senior leaders from the business, education and government sectors to examine howAustralian companies and organisations can increase their presence and position in Asia to ensure our continued prosperity and deliver progress for future generations. This paper refers to Asia as the countries of South-East Asia, South Asia and North East Asia. This Discussion Paper and other publications by the Taskforce can be found at https://asiasociety.org/australia/asia-business-taskforce Asia Taskforce Advisors on Indonesian Healthcare • Jasminah Woodhouse Advisor, Economics and Policy Advisory, PwC Indonesia • David Ray Advisor, PwC Indonesia • Robert Herdiyanto Manager, Economics and Policy Advisory, PwC Indonesia • Inca Camilla Senior Associate, Economics and Policy Advisory, PwC Indonesia • Raihan Pradhana Associate, Economics and Policy Advisory, PwC Indonesia • Andrew Parker Partner and Asia Practice Leader, PwC Australia www.bca.com.au www.asiasociety.org/australia www.pwc.com.au/asia-practice 127079670 www.sydney.edu.au/business
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