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Contents US HEALTH, WELLNESS Pandemic Response In US Consumer Health Market: OTC Pain Relief And Cough/Cold Purchases 3 Pandemic-Driven Trends Show Strong Immunity Supplement Future, Elderberry A Current ‘Darling’ 7 EU HEALTH, WELLNESS The Race Is On To Launch COVID-19 Antibody Home-Test In The UK 12 COVID-19 Prompts OTC Sales Restrictions Across Europe 15 GLOBAL BEAUTY COVID-19 Pandemic: ‘Clean Beauty’ Disruptor Or Reinforcer? 20 For Estee Lauder Companies, COVID-19 Has Changed Everything And Nothing 23 2 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
US HEALTH, WELLNESS Pandemic Response In US Consumer Health Market: OTC Pain Relief And Cough/Cold Purchases Executive Summary products’ retail sales grew 27% compared to the Pain relief product sales grew 27% and upper same period in 2019, while upper respiratory respiratory sales 35% for the week ended 7 March sales increased 35%, gastrointestinal discomfort as consumers respond to COVID-19, according products 11% and feminine care items 16%, the to Nielsen data noted in a Jefferies report on analysts said in the report published on 26 March. consumer health purchasing trends. Private label market share is up slightly, while OTC purchases Feminine care fits into the “essentials” category continue primarily in conventional stores. and “offers some signal of expectations for the prolonged nature of potential and increasingly widespread ‘stay in place’ orders,” according to the report by analysts Stephanie Wissink, David The COVID-19 outbreak drove a 20% jump in year- Steinberg and Brian Tanquilut. over-year sales of OTC drugs and other consumer health products in early March, with pain relief Total consumer health care product sales in product retail sales up 27%, according to a report the US are anticipated to reach $34bn for 2020, by Jefferies analysts. driven by vitamins and minerals, $11.2bn;, cough/ cold/flu, $6.3bn; skin care, $4bn; and analgesics, For the week ending on 7 March, pain relief $3.7bn. COVID-19 Influence On OTC Shopping Lists 3 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
US HEALTH, WELLNESS In Preparation For/Response To COVID-19 Pandemic In Previous 2 Weeks, Did Consumers Purchase Cough/Cold-Flu-Related Medicines? Other OTC Drug Categories Consumers Are Buying In Pandemic Response Jefferies analysts reported data on pandemic-related consumer health market trends, above and below, from an online survey conducted 19 March with 1,270 subjects demographically aligned with the general US population and year-to-date dollar share figures from Nielsen-tracked food, drug and mass retailers. Jefferies 26 March, 2020, research report 4 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
US HEALTH, WELLNESS Among households experiencing COVID-19 US population as well as from year-to-date or separate cold or flu symptoms, 72% had dollar share figures from Nielsen Co. Retail purchased OTC cough, cold or flu products. Measurement Services-tracked food, drug and Additionally, 45% of US consumers made their mass retailers. OTC drug and other health care purchases by the middle of the month in response to the pandemic 72% Symptomatic Households Purchased OTCs brought on by the spread of a novel coronavirus. The survey asked consumers whether in the previous two weeks, “in preparation for/response The report gleaned data from an online survey to the coronavirus,” they had purchased cough/ conducted 19 March on 1,270 consumers cold/flu related medicine as well as other OTC demographically aligned with the general health care products. OTC Market Sales Mix Of all respondents, 25% indicated they or “This 25% figure helps put into context the general someone in their household are experiencing confusion that exists in trying to navigate the cough, cold or flu symptoms. “This is the first COVID-19 symptom list as many of the symptoms measure we’ve seen that gives some context noted are common in other seasonal viruses/ for the potential extent of the virus and/or influenza-related periods,” the report added. symptomatic individuals (even if not carriers of the virus),” the Jefferies analysts said. The Jefferies report acknowledges an overall lack of understanding in the general population Consumers appear to be trying to address illness about COVID-19 and its symptoms even as it has symptoms on their own, to avoid doctor’s offices: infected 239,279 people in the US and caused 33% said they had delayed going to their doctor in 5,443 deaths as of 3 April, according to the Center the two weeks, the report noted. for Disease Control and Prevention. The Jefferies 5 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
US HEALTH, WELLNESS report notes the CDC has reported the seasonal household income looked “almost identical” in flu is surging late in the season, adding to that private label preference as those making below confusion. $50,000. Private Label Up Slightly Additionally, asked for key considerations In the two weeks, 62% of consumers surveyed when buying OTC products, 55% of consumer said they bought brand-name OTCs, 60% private said quality and 45% cost. “The gap was more label and 22% are buying both. Still, private label/ narrow than expected and aligns with a growing store brand sales are up in the OTC market dollar trend towards private label as substitutes for share from both a month and a year ago: dollar national brands. We also think this may reflect share was 22.6% on 22 February and 23.3% on 7 improvements in ‘private label’ branding, which March, while it was 22% in 2019. has improved substantially across drug, grocery and mass retailers,” Jefferies analysts said. Private label market share is strongest in gastrointestinal, 37%; pain relief, 29%; and upper “Mass and drug retailers in particular have publicly respiratory, 27%, according to Jefferies. spoken to their intentions to enhance their own brand offering – migrating from traditional ‘private Of consumers who buy both brand and private label’ toward more sophisticated store and label products, more are moving heavily toward owned brands,” according to a separate 31 March private label. The percentage of respondents who Jefferies report. said at least 80% of their purchases are private label increased to 57% from 41% three years ago, Overall, the findings of private label versus Jefferies found. store brands suggest “while cost is an important attribute, affordability is second to perceived Age is a factor in purchasing: younger consumers value,” according to Jefferies. cited shopping both brand and private label at twice the rate of older cohorts, the report said. Nielsen recently reported survey results demonstrating a sharp rise in dietary supplement However, income wasn’t as much determinant. purchases as well, showing sales – tracking all US The analysts suggest they were surprised the channels combined – up 7.8% and unit growth skew toward private label based on household 9.7% for the week of 16-22 February from the income “was almost non-existent,” which could be same period in 2019. (Also see “Coronavirus linked to an improving perception of private label Disruption Likely In Supply Chain, Stockpiling quality. Spikes Consumer Health Sales” - HBW Insight, 6 Mar, 2020.) Consumers with more than $100,000 a year in 6 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
US HEALTH, WELLNESS Pandemic-Driven Trends Show Strong Immunity Supplement Future, Elderberry A Current ‘Darling’ Executive Summary for immunity boosting, according to market VMS, homeopathic and other natural producs researchers. firms couldn’t plan for spike in demand from coronavirus 2019, but the pandemic provides Vitamin, mineral and supplement manufacturers, information to continue riding heightened as well as homeopathic and other natural consumer interest to higher ongoing sales, products firms couldn’t plan for the spike researchers said in recent Council for Responsible in demand the novel coronavirus 2019 has Nutrition webinar. generated largely across their product categories, but the COVID-19 pandemic should provide ample information to continue riding heightened consumer interest to higher ongoing sales, The overall dietary supplement industry is researchers said on 17 April during a sales trends proving to be “pandemic proof” while elderberry webinar conducted by the Council for Responsible has become consumers’ “darling” ingredient Nutrition. Favored Ingredients For Immunity 7 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
US HEALTH, WELLNESS SPINS data from Natural supermarkets, more mainstream regional and independent supermarkets and nutritional supplement and other health and wellness retailers for the week ending 22 march reflect elderberry’s surging popularity. SPINS LLC Presentation, 17 April, 2020 “We hope and believe this a huge silver lining Consumer spending since COVID-19 began of opportunity,” said Kathryn Peters, business spreading is mirroring a trend of growing interest development executive vice president at SPINS in self care that IRI research found in May and LLC, which tracks sales in natural health product December 2019, said the firm’s health care and specialty retailers. executive, Kristin Hornberger. Natural Marketing Institute, meanwhile, found an “Consumers already were reporting taking greater average 25% increase in VMS product sales during control of their health,” she said. March across the US and the 13 other countries it tracks. NMI managing partner Steve French With higher self-care spending before a pandemic said similar sales growth occurred during the late was declared, 45% of consumers were buying 2000s. more immunity supplements than they previously purchased. “While an immense trend as part of “This is definitely soothing we saw a decade- COVID-19, it actually was starting pre-COVIDE plus ago in 2008, 2009. Not only is the dietary that we were seeing a lot of consumers stocking supplement industry recession proof, it’s also up and beginning that purchase of immunity showing to be pandemic proof,” French pointed products,” Hornberger said. out. 8 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
US HEALTH, WELLNESS Expect More ‘Superbugs’ flu season,” Peters said. SPINS data show a pandemic-driven spike in elderberry supplement popularity immediately But the 100% growth from the previous cold/ followed growth during the typical cold and flu flu season in the number of elderberry product season that on its own generated strong results buyers soon was dwarfed. “That spiked to well for marketers. over 400% during the March time period, many new buyers coming into the category,” Peters “Elderberry already had been a darling of the cold/ added. Consumers Searching For Supplements Not Only To Boost Immunity, But Reduce Severity of Symptoms, Even Manage Stress and Anxiety IRI datafrom sales at US grocery, drug and convenience store chains and mass market, military, club and discount retailers show pandemic-driven sales growth across supplement categories. Information Resources Inc. presentation, 17 April, 2020 While sales were strong across numerous “Shelves were just wiped out particularly as VMS, homeopathic and other natural product people sought immunity type products within categories, for some the results could have been their natural supermarkets or supplement stores,” better if manufacturers could have replenished Peters said, adding, “The question really is how marketplace inventories faster. high could have high have been? How quickly can we qet products back on shelves?” 9 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
US HEALTH, WELLNESS Short-Term Prevention Or Permanent Change? On Average, 25% Of Global Consumers Surveyed Are Taking More Vitamins And Other Supplements As A Result Of Covid-19 Top 5 Supplements Used In Previous 30 Days Natural marketing institute global data show rate of consumers stating since the COVID-19 outbreak they have changed their behavior by doing a lot more/a little more of taking vitamins and other supplements, and the supplements they’re using. Natural Marketing Institute presentation, 17 April, 20202 10 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
US HEALTH, WELLNESS Still, higher consumer demand for nutritional “We know that there will not only be a period of supplements, particularly immunity-boosting time before we have a vaccine for this particular products, likely will continue after the COVID-19 novel coronavirus, there will be other superbugs pandemic ends. and things of that nature. Without effective vaccines, your body really is the front line of “A crystal ball might tell us what the future might defense. So how we do strengthen the body in hold, although we can make some good strategic order to just be better prepared for these types of planning now as to what those things might be,” superbugs is really going to be interesting to see Peters said. as we carry forward.” 11 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
EU HEALTH, WELLNESS The Race Is On To Launch COVID-19 Antibody Home-Test In The UK Executive Summary Once they have been evaluated, these tests would Feature: Public Health England has revealed it be distributed to the British public as soon as next is only a week away from approving a COVID-19 week, PHE revealed in a recent UK Parliament antibody test for distribution via Amazon. Science and Technology Committee meeting. HBW Insight looks at the race to place the first, government-approved coronavirus home-test on COVID-19 Tests On Amazon? the UK market. Interestingly, the tests would be made available via Amazon or through high-street retailers such as Boots, the authority suggested. The race is on to produce an effective and Visibly surprised by the news, Members of validated COVID-19 antibody test that can be used Parliament at the meeting – including Committee at home by consumers to find out if they have had chair and Conservative MP for Tunbridge Wells, the virus, are immune and can therefore safely go Greg Clark – then quizzed PHE’s director of the back to work. National Infection Service, Professor Sharon Peacock, on its implications. According to government officials, COVID-19 self-tests could soon be available to buy in the Firstly, Peacock clarified that there would be a UK and elsewhere based on a variety of sampling minimal charge for the tests, implying that these methods, for example using serum, plasma or products would be in some sense “over the blood from a finger prick to test for the presence counter,” much in the same way that pregnancy of virus-beating antibodies. tests can be bought without a prescription and used at home. However, there is little information on the accuracy of the tests, or on how a patient’s While the tests would be simple to use – using antibody response develops or changes during the finger-prick method described above, and like COVID-19 infection. home pregnancy tests, present the results on the testing device within a certain length of time – “It is not known whether either a positive or Peacock assured MPs that, once they were rolled negative result is reliable. Currently there is no out, a program would run in which PHE goes published evidence about the suitability of these into people’s homes and performed a blood test tests for diagnosing COVID-19 infection in a alongside the home tests to check they worked. community setting,” warns Public Health England. And finally, Peacock said PHE would prioritize Which is why PHE is currently rapidly evaluating certain groups crucial to fighting the virus and a sample of these tests in Oxford – taken from getting the country back to work, such as National a batch of 3.5m antibody home-tests the UK Health Service workers. government has purchased from an unnamed company – to find out if they really do work as Unanswered Questions they are claimed to do. However, many unanswered questions remain, 12 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
EU HEALTH, WELLNESS not just which company made the 3.5m tests she could provide any more information on which purchase by the UK government, but also how company might be have provided PHE’s with the these tests will be classified and distributed once tests. (Also see “UK Govt Buys 3.5M 15-Minute the first ones hit the market. COVID-19 Antibody Home Tests From Mystery Manufacturer” - Medtech Insight, 26 Mar, 2020.) “PHE’s statements provided considerable stimulus for discussion and speculation, but left a great “PHE’s Peacock mentioned it was a brand-new deal unclear,” the British In Vitro Diagnostic test,” Longworth commented. “My research Association’s chief operations officer, John showed that there are companies developing self- Bagshaw, told HBW Insight. tests such as the UK’s Alpha BioLabs which has an antibody test fitting the description on their “Blood samples require the provision of a lancet website and told me it would be available from 31 in the kit, and often a small pipette or capillary March.” to apply the drop of blood to the device,” he explained. “However, not everyone would be Warrington-based company Alpha BioLabs claims happy or competent to do this for themselves.” to have a rapid finger-prick antibody test for SARS-CoV-2. The CE-marked single-use qualitative “There is also a question of interpretation, as tests test detects both early and late marker IgG/IgM with no positive control line would be invalid, antibodies in human finger-prick blood samples. and most tests of this kind require reasonably accurate timing and the recording of even a faint To run the test, a sample of blood is collected line as positive, therefore good light conditions and added to the sample well of the test cassette and eyesight,” he added. along with two or three drops of a sample buffer, according to Alpha BioLabs, which said the test Self-testing in general also remained a can yield results within 15 minutes. controversial practice, Bagshaw pointed out. (Also see “ Direct-To-Consumer Tests Opening The Door Results Even Quicker To Personalized Medicine” - HBW Insight, 16 Jan, HBW Insight identified another UK company 2020.) claiming to have developed a test that can detect coronavirus infection within 10 minutes “At some point in the future it may be that people and render both self-isolation and incubation can reliably self-test, as they do for HIV,” he unnecessary. reflected. “For now, with this disease being so new, we recommend people rely on the National Derby-based Sunscreen Diagnostics’ new Health Service to provide testing for those that coronavirus lateral flow test – which also uses need it.” a finger-prick procedure like that described by PHE – had an accuracy of 98.7%, had been Who Is The Supplier? validated in China and was already being used As for the identity of the PHE test manufacturer, in the UK, Ireland, Germany, Spain, Switzerland, BIVDA said it couldn’t comment at this time. Netherlands, Turkey, UAE, Kuwait and Oman, the company claimed. HBW Insight asked industry expert Catherine Longworth – who recently wrote a piece on “We’ve been working hard to produce a COVID-19 antibody tests for MedTech Insight – if coronavirus test that can be used at the patient 13 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
EU HEALTH, WELLNESS side, with capillary blood, easily taken from virus without knowing, or having the issue of self- someone’s fingertip and diagnose them within 10 isolation.” minutes,” commented Sunscreen director David Campbell. Sunscreen’s self-tests – which Campbell said were “ready to go with clinical data behind it” – had “There is a big problem with the diagnosis of the already been ordered by “one multinational oil disease currently because the standard method and gas firm and a cruise liner firm,” with the of screening is to send samples to the laboratory, manufacturer claiming to be able to produce which takes a lot of time,” he continued. 500,000 tests a week. “Meanwhile, someone could be spreading the 14 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
EU HEALTH, WELLNESS COVID-19 Prompts OTC Sales Restrictions Across Europe Executive Summary from imposing official restrictions. Countries across Europe are restricting sales of OTC drugs in response to COVID-19 to maintain Austria supply and counteract stockpiling. The approach Austria’s Federal Office for Safety in Health Care varies widely across the region: countries such as has urged consumers not to stockpile OTC drugs Germany and France have introduced strict limits, in response to the coronavirus outbreak. while others, such as the UK and Ireland, have not ordered official restrictions. HBW Insight presents The regulator said that based upon the latest an analysis of the actions taken by 14 European information it had from pharmaceutical countries to the upsurge in demand for OTCs. manufacturers and wholesalers, the supply of drugs was currently secure. While it was closely monitoring the situation, the COVID-19 is spreading rapidly across Europe Federal Office said at this time there was no need leading to an unprecedented upsurge in demand for Austrian consumer to “hamster away drugs”. It for popular OTC drugs which can be used to treat has reminded pharmacies to only dispense drugs some of the virus’ symptoms. in the “necessary quantities.” While some countries in the region have been hit Belgium harder than others by the pandemic, stockpiling Belgium’s Federal Agency for Medicines and of non-prescription products appears to be an Health Products (FAMHP) has introduced limits on almost universal problem, according to reports OTC sales of paracetamol and warned consumers from regulators, retailers and the pharmaceutical not to panic buy drugs. industry. The agency said it had asked pharmacies – both Seeking to prevent shortages of OTCs, a number bricks-and-mortar stores and online outlets – not of national drug regulators have introduced strict to supply more than one pack of paracetamol limits to the number of non-prescription products per customer. Anyone looking to purchase which consumers can purchase at any one time, paracetamol in a larger quantity will now require a while others have urged retailers to be mindful of doctor’s prescription. depleting stocks too low. Alongside the paracetamol restriction, FAMHP has HBW Insight has investigated the response of 14 asked consumers “not to pointlessly stock up on European countries to OTC drug stockpiling and medicinal products” with stocks of certain OTC outlined the measures regulators are taking to drugs “selling out rapidly” in Belgian pharmacies. ensure continued supply. Consumers should only buy the quantities of The actions taken vary widely across the medicinal products that they need right now, region, with countries like France and Germany according to the agency, as depleting stocks could introducing strict limits on OTC purchases, while put other patients in danger. others, such as the UK and Ireland have refrained 15 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
EU HEALTH, WELLNESS Despite the new restrictions, FAMHP reassured Limits Sale Of OTC Analgesics In Response To consumers that there were still sufficient Covid-19” - HBW Insight, 19 Mar, 2020.) wholesale stocks of medicinal products in Belgium, with no shortages currently anticipated. Germany Due to a significant increase in demand for Denmark paracetamol in Germany, minister of health Denmark has introduced restrictions on the sale Jens Spahn has told pharmacies – both bricks- of all OTC drugs to prevent hoarding. and-mortar and mail-order – to only supply the drug without prescription if there are no National drug agency Laegemiddelstyrelsen has suitable therapeutic alternatives. If paracetamol is ruled that Danish consumers can purchase only required, pharmacies must only supply a limited one pack of OTCs per active ingredient each day. amount for a short duration of treatment. The rule applies to both pharmacy and grocery. Pointing to “bottlenecks” in drug supply chains, Due to supply problems for OTC pediatric Spahn also told manufacturers and wholesalers paracetamol, the agency has banned all sales of not to rush to over-supply pharmacies with such presentations outside pharmacy, specifically paracetamol, a move which would only deplete for the liquid suspension and suppositories. It stocks further. said it was acting to ensure children in need could access the drug. The minister said he wanted to “continue to ensure a needs-based supply of medicines “There is a great deal of pressure on demand containing paracetamol.” from the companies that manufacture [paediatric paracetamol], and the COVID19 Spahn’s move comes after Germany’s Federal pandemic is a contributing factor to that,” Institute for Drugs and Medical Devices, BfArM, noted Laegemiddelstyrelsen director Thomas asked manufacturers and wholesalers not to Senderovitz. supply drugs “beyond normal needs.” Supplies to pharmacies should be based on average monthly France sales volumes for 2019. France’s drug agency, ANSM, has taken measures to limit sales of non-prescription analgesics. “According to the information available to BfArM, there is currently an excessive stockpiling of “In order to guarantee their availability, from individual market participants with medicinal March 18 pharmacists will be able to dispense products, which leads directly to an unequal without prescription only one single pack of distribution,” the agency noted. paracetamol (500mg or 1g) per patient with no symptoms, or two packs (500mg or 1g) in the Ireland event of symptoms of pain and/or fever,” ANSM Ireland’s Healthcare Products Regulatory stated on its website. Authority has not implemented sales restrictions on OTC drugs, but has asked consumers “not to Additionally, online sales of medicines containing seek supplies of medicines over and above their paracetamol, ibuprofen and/or aspirin were also normal requirements.” suspended, the agency declared. (Also see “France 16 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
EU HEALTH, WELLNESS “Doing so,” HPRA noted, “will disrupt existing stock shortages, it is yet to introduce any official limits levels and hamper the supply of medicines for on purchasing for consumers. others.” Netherlands The regulator said it additional stocks of drugs The Netherlands is yet to place any formal were built into the Irish supply chain therefore it restriction on the supply of OTC drugs, however, was unlikely to face supply issues “now or in the local drugstore association Centraal Bureau near future as a result of any COVID-19 related Drogisterijbedrijven (CBD) has introduced its own issues.” measures to combat shortages. “There is no need for hospitals or healthcare Following consultation with Netherlands’ Ministry professionals to order extra quantities of of Health, Welfare and Sport, the CBD has urged medicines,” the regulator added, “or for doctors to all drugstores to move paracetamol behind the issue additional prescriptions.” counter and to limit supply to two packs per customer. Italy Italy’s drug agency AIFA has teamed up with While there were “sufficient” stocks of industry trade groups to monitor and counteract paracetamol in Dutch drugstores, CBD it was shortages in the countries pharmaceutical supply taking action after seeing a notable rise in chain. demand from consumers. “If we take each other into account, there is enough for everyone,” the Enrique Häusermann, president of Italy’s generic group stated. drug manufacturers association Assogenerici, noted that while production and distribution of Meanwhile, the health ministry said it continued pharmaceuticals had gone into overdrive in the to monitor drug availability in the Netherlands, country, the sector was “reacting well.” and internationally. “There are currently no drug shortages due to the outbreak of the virus. In particular, the demand for all drugs belonging However, it cannot be ruled out that supply to the classes of muscle relaxants, anesthetics, problems may arise if trade with China and India opioids and sedatives had notably increased, is hindered for a longer period of time.” Häusermann reported. Norway “Companies in this our hour of need are showing Norway’s drug agency Statens Legemiddelverk has a sense of responsibility and unprecedented ordered pharmacies to limit supply of all non- collaboration,” he noted. “Production has prescription products “to ensure everyone gets been increased, production lines have been the medicines they need.” transformed, imports made in record time from other countries, a frenetic activity that has seen a Pharmacies can now only supply one adult great collaboration between companies, with the formulation and one child formulation of an OTC immediate support of AIFA.” product per customer. The agency said the limit applied to all drugs classified in Norway as OTC. While AIFA is working closely with the pharmaceutical industry to prevent drug Informing consumers of the new purchase 17 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
EU HEALTH, WELLNESS limitations, Statens Legemiddelverk called on the Separately, Spain’s ministry of health has public to “show solidarity,” adding “don’t buy more published a list of “essential” drugs that than you need!” manufacturers must continue to supply during the COVID-19 epidemic. Many OTC drugs are on the Portugal list, including paracetamol. (More to follow on this Portugal’s drug agency Infarmed has urged story.) pharmacies and other retail outlets to limit sales of all non-prescription products to one pack per Media reports in Spain note that Spain’s military active ingredient per customer. have begun producing paracetamol – along with disinfectants – to meet demand. The Centro “Particular attention should be paid to Militar de Farmacia de Defensa, located in observing this guidance for all presentations of Colmenar Viejo, is acting on the orders of the paracetamol,” Infarmed noted. Ministry of Health. The regulator said it was taking action to Sweden prevent hoarding of OTC drugs and to ensure all Sweden’s medical products agency, consumers had access to the treatments they Lakemedelsverket, has called on pharmacies and needed. other retail outlets to limit the amount of OTC drugs they sell to individual consumers to prevent Currently, there were no issues in OTC drug stockpiling. supply in Portugal, Infarmed noted. While it had not received reports of disruptions in Spain drug deliveries due to the outbreak of COVID-19, Spain’s General Council of Pharmacists has urged the agency said it had seen signs of increased consumers not to stock up on popular OTCs, such demand for certain drugs at individual pharmacies as paracetamol, to avoid future shortages. and retail outlets. This has led to the temporary suspension of certain drugs in product ranges. The Council noted that the move by France to limit sales of paracetamol had led to an upsurge “We want to encourage all concerned to do what in demand for the drug in Spain as consumers they can to counteract excessive purchases of feared its own country would follow suit. medicines,” said Catarina Andersson Forsman, Lakemedelsverket’s director general. While OTC stocks remained high, Spanish pharmacists would now assess the Switzerland appropriateness of all paracetamol purchases, Switzerland’s Federal Council has introduced sales the association noted, while the Council would restrictions for a number of non-prescription centrally monitor availability of all in-demand products to ensure continued supply for the OTCs on a daily basis to help control supply. duration of the coronavirus outbreak. “We must insist that citizens do not stock up on Analgesics such as paracetamol, acetylsalicylic certain drugs if we want to make them available to acid and ibuprofen are limited to one pack those who need them most,” commented Council per customer in pharmacies and drugstores. president Jesús Aguilar. Carbasalate calcium, diclofenac, codeine and 18 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
EU HEALTH, WELLNESS mefenamic acid are among the other drugs John Smith, chief executive of the Proprietary limited to one pack per sale. Association of Great Britain, said there had been in recent weeks an “unprecedented increase in Valid for an initial period of six months, the demand for paracetamol.” restrictions are based on Switzerland’s state supply act, which enables the Federal Council to “PAGB member companies are working incredibly take measures to ensure supply of essential goods hard to increase supplies and will do all they can in the event of existing or imminent shortages. to ensure paracetamol products are available in pharmacies and supermarkets across the UK,” UK Smith noted. In the UK there have been reports of shortages of paracetamol as a result of consumers stockpiling While the Medicines and Healthcare products the drug. Regulatory Agency is yet to introduce official restrictions on paracetamol sales, PAGB said it HBW Insight’s sister publication Chemist + understood some stores were limiting purchases Druggist says that while pharmacists are having of the drug. difficulty getting hold of the drug, the UK’s Department of Health and Social Care insists there “We welcome the measures that retailers are is no shortage. putting in place to manage demand,” Smith said. “We urge people to only buy what they currently Responding to reports of depleted stocks, need.” 19 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
GLOBAL BEAUTY COVID-19 Pandemic: ‘Clean Beauty’ Disruptor Or Reinforcer? Executive Summary rate of around 5% from 2019, would top $48bn by Marketing intelligence firms have different ideas 2025. about how the COVID-19 pandemic will impact the “clean beauty” phenomenon. That was before the novel coronavirus began sweeping across the globe, infecting millions, disabling markets and altering housebound consumers’ outlook on the world, their health London-based Mintel Group, Ltd. and New York and the products they rely on, among many other state-based The NPD Group, Inc. agree the things. coronavirus pandemic will have transformative effects on the beauty market. So how will those changed perspectives come to bear on the clean beauty movement? (Also see One area to watch, they say, is “clean beauty.” “Cosmetics Market In 2019: ‘Clean’ Beauty Picks Up Speed As Legislative Reform Efforts Chug Along” - Clean beauty branched from the “natural” trend HBW Insight, 8 Jan, 2020.) as an even less defined concept with potentially greater popular appeal. Analysts from NPD and Mintel have different views on the subject. For some brands, clean beauty means mixing natural and synthetic ingredients to achieve NPD’s Larissa Jensen, vice president and industry what they deem an optimal balance between advisor for beauty, suggests in a 7 April post that performance and hazard avoidance. They often “clean beauty, which is already an important trend publish blacklists of ingredients they refuse to to watch, will be amplified as consumers re- use due to safety concerns. The lists tend to differ interpret what safety means to them.” from one brand to the next. It seems reasonable that after months of rigorous For others, clean beauty encompasses a range of handwashing, sanitizer use and social distancing practices, including transparency, environmental in the interest of cleanliness and risk avoidance, stewardship and/or socially responsible sourcing consumers may emerge from their homes, post- activities, in addition to safe, natural-leaning pandemic, ready to embrace healthy living in all of formulation standards. its forms, or anything with “clean” in its name. The variability and alleged rise in “cleanwashing” On the other hand, the explosion in demand for makes it difficult to quantify the clean beauty antibacterial soaps and hand sanitizers during opportunity. the COVID-19 pandemic could serve to remind the world of the importance of antimicrobial Forecasts from market watchers tend to equate ingredients and preservatives to kill germs and clean beauty with natural. Grand View Research, keep products from spoiling. Inc. predicted last year that the global natural cosmetics market, growing at a compound annual Cosmetic preservatives, which typically are 20 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
GLOBAL BEAUTY prominently listed among ingredients that clean to accept these ingredients as long as brands beauty brands eschew, have been coming under provide evidence of efficacy and safety, both steady fire for years on the basis of purported from a health and environmental perspective,” safety concerns. Hennigan says. Many in the sector say industry’s shrinking Further, she says “the arrival of the novel preservative palette is a greater concern, coronavirus will further push the notion that potentially making products more susceptible to natural isn’t always better, especially when it contamination. comes to ingredient safety and shelf life. … More than ever, consumers will scrutinize ingredient The trend has regulatory authorities’ attention safety and evaluate the risk of possible product as well. (Also see “EC Trims Permitted Cosmetic contamination and expiration.” Preservatives List, Warns About ‘Stigmatizing’ Safe Options” - HBW Insight, 24 Jul, 2017.) Hennigan suggests that while “clean beauty isn’t going anywhere,” shifting perceptions could drive Still, NGOs continue to target industry’s remaining an evolution of the clean beauty concept. preservative options. (Also see “CIR Panel Not Changing Its Mind About Parabens Safety, It could be interesting to see what that looks like. Renewing NGO Accusations Of Bias “ - HBW Despite clean beauty’s superior airs, the case has Insight, 4 Oct, 2018.) always been that most beauty and personal-care companies strictly use ingredients they believe Conversation Changer? to be safe based on scientific consensus and The COVID-19 pandemic could be a prime regulatory guidelines. So there is no compelling opportunity for renewed discussion regarding the reason why they all could not claim “clean virtues of antimicrobial ingredients and the vital beauty” status and stand their ground against any role that preservatives play in cosmetic products, “cleanwashing” allegations. building on positive consumer sentiment for hand sanitizers and wipes and the companies that have Tellingly, “clean beauty” claims have not been supplied them during the crisis, in many instances targeted by false advertising class actions the through charitable donations. way “natural” claims on cosmetic products have, presumably because the former is an even Mintel’s Clare Hennigan, senior beauty analyst, more ambiguous term than the latter, owing its states in a 25 March post, “Prior to COVID-19, existence purely to the subjective applications of natural consumers avoided ingredients such as the brands that pioneered it. preservatives and artificial ingredients in their beauty products due to perceived health risks.” If traditional preservatives suddenly become worthy of use in clean beauty products, could These days, consumers are relying on not cases be made for the importance of certain preservatives to extend the shelf lives of products phthalates, surfactants and other ingredients they are rationing at home, she points out. that clean beauty brands are wont to disparage despite repeated expert findings supporting their “With more concern surrounding shelf-stability safe use? and sanitation across consumer packaged goods (CPG) categories, consumers will be more willing And if more and more disowned ingredients are 21 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
GLOBAL BEAUTY welcomed back as clean beauty-compatible, will for mainstream companies eyeing clean beauty clean beauty brands just be … beauty brands? acquisitions. (Also see “Shiseido Bets Big On ‘Clean’ Movement With $845M Drunk Elephant For now, clean beauty clearly is having Buy” - HBW Insight, 8 Oct, 2019.) tremendous influence on the market. (Also see “Ulta Teases Developing Program For ‘Clean A good many in the industry likely are hoping that Beauty’ Shoppers” - HBW Insight, 18 Mar, 2020.) any renewed faith in preservatives that results from the COVID-19 global crisis will outlive the Its lasting power is likely to be a key consideration clean beauty phenomenon. 22 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
GLOBAL BEAUTY For Estee Lauder Companies, COVID-19 Has Changed Everything And Nothing Executive Summary Engines In FY 2020 Back Half “ - HBW Insight, 7 Lauder’s business has been thrashed by Feb, 2020.) COVID-19, but the firm is encouraged that its biggest growth drivers before the crisis are the However, China began picking up again quickly same ones carrying it through. in March as new COVID-19 cases fell, consumers reemerged and retail doors started reopening. The revival carried Lauder’s Asia-Pacific business to net sales of $928m, a decline of just 1%, like- If normalcy is what the world craves right now, for-like, making the region its best performer for Estee Lauder Companies Inc.’s fiscal 2020 third- the quarter. quarter performance offers the promise of a vaguely familiar global beauty market post- In comparison, the Americas declined 23% to pandemic. $892m, and Europe, the Middle East and Africa slumped 5% to $1.52bn. Albeit a much leaner one. What were Chinese consumers buying from online On 1 May, the New York-based multinational channels while sheltering at home, and what do posted a 9% decline in its third-quarter sales, or they seem to be prioritizing as they venture out 11% reported, to $3.74bn. again to shop? Skin care. Lauder’s third-quarter results contrasted sharply Lauder’s skin-care growth was roughly flat in the with its financials reported three months earlier, third quarter in constant currency terms, with when Q2 sales broke organic growth records at sales totaling approximately $1.72bn. The next- the company, driven by avid prestige skin-care best performance came from fragrance, which consumption and continued explosion in Asian was down 10%, while makeup sales fell 20%. markets, particularly China. (Also see “What A Difference A Quarter Can Make: Estee Lauder Across categories, Lauder’s online business has Companies’ Q3 Results” - HBW Insight, 6 May, taken off during the shutdown, growing at a 2020.) double-digit rate. Obviously, a lot has happened since. “We have long believed in the excellent growth prospects of online and have been investing in At the start of Lauder’s third quarter, end of this dynamic channel for years. Our presence is calendar 2019, stores in China were rapidly global with online sales in over 50 countries. We closing and consumers retreating indoors to are highly diversified with over 300 brand.com escape the outbreak. Lauder’s sales in the sites, over 60 brand boutiques on platforms such country plummeted accordingly, as anticipated by as Tmall and over 1,700 retail.com doors,” Freda company leadership in the firm’s second-quarter said. earnings call in February. (Also see “Estee Lauder Companies: Coronavirus Will Drag On Growth The COVID-19 crisis, out of necessity, has only 23 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
GLOBAL BEAUTY deepened Lauder’s focus on this dimension of its Worse Before It Gets Better business. Of course few foresaw a pandemic of such scope. Freda provided the example of Lauder’s Freda noted, “The magnitude of the impact on our namesake. “The Estée Lauder brand expanded business was far greater than initially anticipated.” its online sales strategy to include a broader array of social selling activities, from live shows Lauder provided no formal guidance for the full on Instagram focused on self-care with global fiscal year. spokesmodels to live streaming from its brand sites with global and local mega-parties, to “History has not provided any truly comparable live chats with consumer on its brand site, to recent events we can use as guidance concerning personalized 1:1 outreach through various the effects of the global pandemic,” Freda said. communication tools.” Chief financial officer Tracey Travis noted, “At The CEO noted, “I’m especially encouraged by this point in the fourth quarter the majority of the online growth we have seen from the ageless our distribution, with the exception of China and consumers. Globally, our brands are seeing a few other markets, remains closed. And while increases in new consumers of 3 to 4x. Some we are encouraged by the weekly acceleration rates are even higher. For La Mer in the United of our global online business, we do not have Kingdom, new consumer acquisition is higher by enough visibility into the progression of the rest 5x, while in Thailand, across all brands, it is higher of the business until more retail doors open in the by 8x.” coming months.” Lauder believes new generations of e-commerce Travis further cautioned that store traffic could shoppers will stay on the digital channel once the resume at a crawl initially, as some consumers COVID-19 dust clears. choose not to take their chances until a COVID-19 treatment or vaccine is developed. Skin care, digital and Asia/Pacific – China specifically – were leading growth engines for “Unlike the third quarter where many of our Lauder before the COVID-19 crisis, so their global doors were opened until the last month endurance suggests that the post-pandemic world of the quarter, we expect that most of our retail may be tuned to many of the same rhythms as distribution will remain closed for much of the that which preceded it. fourth quarter, and consumer traffic will likely recover slowly in brick-and-mortar,” the exec said. In Freda’s words, “the best drivers for our growth before the crisis are the one which seem to be The result is likely to be greater sales and margin coming stronger out of the crisis.” declines in the fourth quarter, according to Travis. He estimated that the global prestige beauty This validates Lauder’s strategic plan and confirms market will sink by double digits in the second half consumers’ “passion” for its prestige beauty of Lauder’s fiscal year. portfolio, the CEO said. 24 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
GLOBAL BEAUTY Fewer, Bigger Innovations our innovation on hero franchises, meaning Another remark from Travis evokes the specter of [those] that have high consumer loyalty and high lasting COVID-19 effects. “We are also mindful of consumer awareness. Because in this moment of the risk of a global recession and a slow recovery transition, in the middle of the crisis and out of in employment impacting consumer sentiment the COVID crisis, we clearly see the consumers are and discretionary spending,” he said. interested in the brands they trust.” With consumers potentially clinging tight to their Lauder already has been implementing cost- wallets, smart, well-selected innovation will be cutting measures, amounting to $250m in savings imperative. in the third quarter. According to Freda, “We are focusing our ratio on It plans to cut further in May, including advertising fewer and bigger innovation. We are focusing our and promotion reductions and employee actions, innovation on what works better online in this to bring down operating expenses by $500m to transition or trying to pivot online where possible $600m in the fourth quarter. because of the closures. And we have focused 25 / June 2020 © Informa UK Ltd 2020 (Unauthorized photocopying prohibited.)
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