GREEN JURISDICTIONAL ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA ASSESSMENT FOR THE REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA
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&GREEN JURISDICTIONAL ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA ASSESSMENT FOR THE REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA March 2020 Prepared for: &GREEN FUND PRINS BERNHARDPLEIN 200, 1097JB AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS PT Hatfield Indonesia Plaza Harmoni Unit B5-B7 Jl. Siliwangi No.46 Bogor 16131 Indonesia
&GREEN JURISDICTIONAL ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA ASSESSMENT FOR THE REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA Prepared for: &GREEN FUND PRINS BERNHARDPLEIN 200 1097JB AMSTERDAM NETHERLANDS Prepared by: PT HATFIELD INDONESIA PLAZA HARMONI UNITS B5-B7 JL. SILIWANGI NO.46 BOGOR 16131 INDONESIA MARCH 2020 AGRN10116-BG VERSION 5
TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES .............................................................................................II LIST OF FIGURES ............................................................................................II LIST OF APPENDICES ....................................................................................II LIST OF ACRONYMS ......................................................................................III DISTRIBUTION LIST ..................................................................................... VII AMENDMENT RECORD ............................................................................... VII 1.0 INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................1 HIGH LEVEL OF SUMMARY .................................................................1 JURISDICTIONAL SCOPE .....................................................................4 3.1 BACKGROUND: KEY ECONOMIC DATA AND MAPS ................................ 5 3.2 NATIONAL AUTHORITY............................................................................. 10 3.2.1 Planning and Budgeting ................................................................ 10 3.2.2 Environment and Forestry Governance ......................................... 14 3.2.3 Summary of Jurisdiction Scope Analysis ....................................... 19 4.0 CHECKLIST JEC 1: SCOPE ............................................................... 21 5.0 CHECKLIST JEC 2: AMBITION AND STRATEGY ............................. 24 6.0 CHECKLIST JEC 3: PROGRESS ....................................................... 35 7.0 CHECKLIST JEC 4: MONITORING, REPORTING AND VERIFICATION (MRV) ......................................................................... 41 8.0 CHECKLIST JEC 5: SOCIAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFEGUARD ....................................................................................... 45 &Green JEC Assessment Report i Hatfield Indonesia
LIST OF TABLES Table 1 Key economic data for Indonesia and in the nine selected provinces. ......................... 9 Table 2 The changes to authority under previous and new laws on local government in the forestry sector. ......................................................................................................11 Table 3 The authority of MOEF, provincial, districts, and municipal governments on licensing in forestry sector. .........................................................................................12 Table 4 Regulations to promote cooperation between central and provincial government. ................................................................................................................14 Table 5 Deforestation rates from 1990 to 2017. ......................................................................17 Table 6 Global Forest Watch tree cover loss from 2010 to 2018 (million ha). .........................17 Table 7 BAU GHG emission levels and 2030 CM1 and CM2 projections. ..............................18 Table 8 Actual emission rates and reductions in forestry and other sectors from 2010 to 2017. ...........................................................................................................................19 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1 Forest cover (2018) in Indonesia with nine selected provinces indicated. ................... 6 Figure 2 Extent of deforestation (1990-2018) in Indonesia with nine selected provinces indicated. ....................................................................................................................... 7 Figure 3 Peatland distribution (2018) in Indonesia with nine selected provinces indicated. ....................................................................................................................... 8 Figure 4 Planning and budgeting mechanism and process at the national and provincial levels. ..........................................................................................................................12 Figure 5 Development plan national and subnational reporting mechanisms. .........................13 Figure 6 The National Monitoring, Reporting, Verification (MRV) System. ...............................16 Figure 7 Comparison of forestry sector GHG emissions to BAU from 2010 to 2017 with emission reduction slope line. .....................................................................................20 LIST OF APPENDICES Appendix A1 Province Assessment and Selection Process Appendix A2 Conservation and Protected Area Details in the Nine JECA Priority Provinces Appendix A3 Subnational Plan and Strategic Action for GHG Emission Reduction in JECA Priority Provinces Appendix A4 Regulations on Forests, Ecosystems, Protection and Land Use Management Appendix A5 Historical Reference Level from Deforestation, Forest Degradation, Peat Decomposition, and Emission Projection in Indonesia &Green JEC Assessment Report ii Hatfield Indonesia
LIST OF ACRONYMS AFOLU Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land use AMDAL Analisis Mengenai Dampak Lingkungan (Environmental Impact Analysis) ATR-BPN Agraria dan Tata Ruang Badan Pertanahan Nasional (Ministry of Agrarian, Spatial and National Land Agency) BAPPEDA Badan Perencanaan Daerah (Agency for Regional Development) BAPPEDALDA Badan Pengendalian Dampak Lingkungan Daerah (State Ministry for Environmental) BAPPENAS Badan Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional (National Development Planning Agency) BAU Business as Usual BLU Badan Layanan Umum (Public Service Agency) BPDLH Badan Pengelola Dana Lingkungan Hidup (Environment Fund Management Agency) BRG Badan Restorasi Gambut (Peatland Restoration Agency) BUR Biennial Update Report CA Cagar Alam (Nature Reserve) CBD Convention on Biological Diversity CITES The Convention on the International Trade of Endangered Species CM1 Counter Measure 1 (Unconditional) CM2 Counter Measure 2 (Conditional) CO2e Carbon Dioxide Equivalent CSR Corporate Social Responsible DBH-DR Dana Bagi Hasil-Dana Reboisasi (Revenue Sharing from Restoration Fund) DG Directorate General EU European Union FCPF Forest Carbon Partnership Facility FFI Fauna and Flora International FLEGT Forest Law Enforcement Governance and Trade FMU Forest Management Unit FOLU Forestry and Other Land Use FORDA Forest Research and Development Agency FREDDI Funding Mechanism For REDD+ Indonesia FREL Forest Reference Emission Level GHG Gas House Green GOI Government of Indonesia GRK Gas Rumah Kaca (Green House Gas) HCS High Carbon Stock HCV High Carbon Value &Green JEC Assessment Report iii Hatfield Indonesia
HCVF High Conservation Value Forest HD Hutan Desa (Village Forest) HKM Hutan Kemasyarakatan (Community Based Forest Management) HTHR Hutan Tanaman Hasil Rehabilitasi (Planted Forest from Rehabilitation Program) HTI Hutan Tanaman Industri (Industrial Forest Plantation) HTR Hutan Tanaman Rakyat (Community Forest Plantation) IBSAP Indonesian Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan ICCTF Indonesia Climate Change Trust Fund ICRAF International Centre for Research in Agroforestry IEU CEPA Indonesia-European Union Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPHHK Izin Pemungutan Hasil Hutan Kayu (Timber Harvest Permits) IPPU Industrial Process Product Use ISPO Indonesia Sustainable Palm Oil IUCN Union for the Conservation of Nature IUPHHK Izin Usaha Pemanfaatan Hasil Hutan Kayu (Timber Utilization Permit) IUPHHK-RE Izin Usaha Pemanfaatan Hasil Hutan Kayu-Restorasi Ekosistem (Timber Utilization from Restoration Ecosystem Forest Permit) IUP RAP Izin Usaha Pemanfaatan Penyerapan dan/atau Penyimpanan Karbon (Carbon Sequestration and Stock Utilization Permit) JEC Jurisdictional Eligibility Criteria JECA Jurisdictional Eligibility Criteria Assessment KEE Kawasan Ekosistem Essensial (The Essential Ecosystem Area) KKI WARSI Komunitas Konservasi Indonesia Warung Informasi Konservasi KLHK Kementerian Lingkungan Hidup dan Kehutanan (Ministry of Environment and Forestry) KLHS Kajian Lingkungan Hidup Strategis (Strategic Environmental Assessment) KPA Kawasan Pelestarian Alam (Nature Conservation Area) KPH Kesatuan Pengelolaan Hutan (Forest Management Unit) KPHK Kesatuan Pengelolaan Hutan Konservasi (Conservation Forest Management Unit) LCD Low Carbon Development LGR Local Government Regulation LOA Logged Over Area LUCF Land use change and forestry LULUCF Land use Land Use Change Forestry MAB Man and Biosphere Program MOEF Ministry of Environmental and Forestry MPTS Multi-Purpose Tree Species MRV Monitoring, Reporting and Verification Mt Million Metric Ton &Green JEC Assessment Report iv Hatfield Indonesia
NCCC National Council on Climate Change NDC National Determined Contribution NFMS National Forestry Monitoring System NGO Non-Government Organization NGHGEI National Greenhouse Gases Emissions Inventory NOAA National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration PAA Performance Assessment Areas PCI Principles, Criteria, and Indicator PERDA Peraturan Daerah (Regional Regulation) PERGUB Peraturan Gubenur (Governor Regulation) PESONA Pengembangan Perhutanan Sosial Nusantara (The Archipelago of Social Forestry Development) PHPL Pengelolaan Hutan Produksi Lestari (Sustainable Production Forest Management) PPIKHL Balai Pengendalian Perubahan Iklim Kebakaran Hutan Lahan (Climate Change and Forest Fire Response Unit) PRISAI Prinsip, Kriteria, Indikator, Safeguards Indonesia (Principe Criteria Indicator Safeguard Indonesia) RAN-API Rencana Aksi Nasional – Adaptasi Perubahan Iklim (National Action Plan on Climate Change Adaptation) RAN-GRK Rencana Aksi Nasional – Gas Rumah Kaca (National Action Plan on Green House Gas) REDD+ Reduce Emission from Deforestation and Degradation RKU Rencana Kerja Usaha (Business Work Plan) RMTDP Regional Medium-Term Development Plan RPJMD Rencana Pembangunan Jangka Menengah Daerah (Regional Medium – Term Development Plan) RPJMN Rencana Pembangunan Jangka Menengah Nasional (National Medium – Term Development Plan) SEA Strategic Environment Assessment SIMONTANA Sistem Monitoring Hutan Nasional SIS-REDD+ Safeguards Information System REDD+ S-LK Sertifikat Legalitas Kayu (Certification of Timber Legality) SM Suaka Marga Satwa (Wildlife Sanctuary) SNC The Second National Communication S-PHPL Sertifikat Pengelolaan Hutan Produksi Lestari (Certification of Sustainable Production Forest Management) SRAP Strategi dan Rencana Aksi Propinsi (Provincial Strategy and Action Plan) SVLK Sistem Verifikasi Legalitas Kayu (Timber Legality Verification System) TAHURA Taman Hutan Raya (Grand Forest Park) TN Taman Nasional (National Park) &Green JEC Assessment Report v Hatfield Indonesia
TWA Taman Wisata Alam (Nature Recreation Park) UKCCU United Kingdom Climate Change Unit UM Unit Management UNFCCC United Nation Framework Convention on Climate Change WACLIMAD Water Management for Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptive Development of Lowlands WPK Wilayah Penilaian Kinerja (Measurement Area of REDD+ Performance) WWF World Wide Fund for Nature VPA Voluntary Partnership Agreement &Green JEC Assessment Report vi Hatfield Indonesia
DISTRIBUTION LIST The following individuals/firms have received this document: Name Firm Hardcopies CDs Email FTP Michael Schlup SAIL Ventures - - - Aris Wanjaya IDH Sustainable Trade - - - AMENDMENT RECORD This report has been issued and amended as follows: Issue Description Date Approved by 1 First draft version 2019-12-12 2 Second draft version 2020-01-29 3 Third draft version 2020-02-25 4 Fourth draft version 2020-03-04 5 Fifth draft version of &Green 2020-03-13 Jurisdictional Eligibility Criteria Assessment for the Republic of Indonesia Jim Webb Rio Rovihandono Project Director Project Manager &Green JEC Assessment Report vii Hatfield Indonesia
1.0 INTRODUCTION The objective of the &Green Fund is to catalyze investment in jurisdictions 1 where local authorities are committed to reducing deforestation and are actively taking steps to work with the private sector, communities and civil society to protect forests and peatland. &Green is only able to invest when the country, region, or province where the investment is located meets the Jurisdictional Eligibility Criteria (JECs) of the &Green Fund. This report document outlines the results of desktop assessment of the Republic of Indonesia relative to the five (5) criteria as set out in the JEC. Section 2 includes a high-level summary of the overall assessment findings of all five JECs while Sections 4 to 6 outline the assessment of JEC 1 to JEC 5. In addition, Section 3 provides a determination whether the Republic of Indonesia meets the &Green Fund objectives. This Jurisdictional Eligibility Criteria Assessment (JECA) report has been developed by assessing the Indonesian setting which considers the presence of natural forests and peatlands as the main indicators related to the impact of development and the dynamics of existing policies and regulations at the national level to provide sustainable solutions. Since this JECA focusses on the country as the jurisdiction, a selection of nine provinces has been included to provide subnational insight on policies or measures that may support or could compromise national efforts due to potentially disproportionate representation of a province based on the select criteria (APPENDIX A1). Of note: this approach includes all three previously approved &Green jurisdictions in Indonesia – Jambi, South Sumatera, and West Kalimantan provinces. HIGH LEVEL OF SUMMARY Analysis concludes that the Republic of Indonesia is the correct jurisdictional scope in accordance with the &Green Fund’s objectives. Since initiated through the Kyoto Climate Agreement in 1997, sustainable development policies led by the national level in Indonesia have improved the environmental and social governance within the country to reduce impacts on natural forests, peatlands and maintain land productivity. Government policies at the national level to support sustainable development through adaptation and measures to address climate change reflect a strong commitment to protect natural forests and peatlands. JEC 1 – Scope The Republic of Indonesia is the largest archipelagic nation in the world with a total terrestrial area of 188 million hectares (ha); forested areas of 93.9 million ha and non-forested areas of 94 million ha. Indonesia is the second largest mega-biodiversity country after Brazil with substantial, intact tropical forests that extend over 88.1 million ha. Peatland ecosystems encompass approximately 14.9 million ha across 17 provinces although peatland is concentrated on three major islands: Sumatera (6.4 million ha or 43% of the total peatland), Kalimantan (4.8 million ha or 32.1%), and Papua (3.7 million ha or 24.7%) 2. 1 The &Green Terms of Reference defines “Jurisdictions” as a national or subnational administrative unit with national or subnational governance structures endowed with the requisite political and decision-making authority to sustainably manage, preserve, and monitor forest and/or peatland natural resources. 2 Sistem Informasi Sumber Daya Lahan Pertanian [Internet]. 2011. Bogor: Balai Besar Penelitian dan Pengembangan Sumber Daya Lahan Pertanian; [updated 2017; cited 2019 October 11]. Available from: http://sisultan.litbang.pertanian.go.id/# &Green JEC Assessment Report 1 Hatfield Indonesia
The Ministry of Environment and Forestry (MOEF) at the national and provincial levels manages 552 designated conservation areas – national parks, grand forest parks, and wildlife reserves - covering a total area of 27.4 million ha. These areas are home to 25 endangered species listed on the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species and the GOI has established targets to increase the populations of these species by at least 10 percent from their 2013 baseline populations3. Additionally, there are 16 biosphere reserves in total area of 27.6 million ha which have been established to manage interrelated protected areas, buffer zones and landscapes that support economic, social and cultural of communities surrounding the protected ecosystems and conservation areas. Details on these conservation areas in the nine provinces deemed most essential for Indonesia to reach its forest and peatland conservation targets are listed in APPENDIX A2. As a mega-biodiversity country45, Indonesia plays a strategic role towards biodiversity preservation globally and this role has been developed in the 2015 to 2020 Indonesian Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan (IBSAP). The government of Indonesia (GOI) has ratified several international agreements and conventions related to biodiversity, including the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), the UNESCO Man and Biosphere Program (MAB), the World Heritage Convention, the Convention on the International Trade of Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (CITES), and the Ramsar Convention (the Convention on Wetlands of International Importance as Waterfowl Habitat) 6. JEC 2 – Ambition and Strategy The total unconditional national greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction target for Indonesia by 2030 is 29% (CM1), and the conditional target is 41% (CM2). The emission reduction is relative to the emissions defined in a “Business as Usual” (BAU) or baseline scenario which is calculated using deforestation data from primary and secondary forests across the country between 1990 to 2012. The Forest Reference Emission Level (FREL) is calculated from this same data and the National Forest Inventory (NFI) to assess Indonesia's success in reducing GHG emissions in the forestry sector.7 The first National Determined Contribution (NDC) provides the baseline assumption used for a 2020 to 2030 scenario: BAU: an emissions scenario when the development trajectory does not consider action plan8 and mitigation policies. This is conservative scenario as there were existing policies when it was determined and reaching the counter measure targets will require additional policies or support. Counter Measure 1 (CM1) or unconditional: emissions scenario with mitigations and considers sectoral development targets. 3 Murniningtyas, E., Darajati, .W., Sumarsja, E. S., editor. 2016. Indonesia Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan (IBSAP) 2015 - 2020. Jakarta: Kementerian Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional/BAPPENAS 4Supriatna Jatna. 2018. Konservasi Biodiversitas Teori dan Praktik di Indonesia. Jakarta: Yayasan Pustaka Obor Indonesia . 5 Rosoman, G., Sheun, S.S., Opal, C., Anderson, P., and Trapshah, R., editor. 2017. Toolkit Pendekatan SKT. Singapura: Kelompok Pengarah Pendekatan SKT. 6 Ministry of Environmental and Forestry. 2018. The State of Indonesia Forest 2018. Jakarta: Ministry of Environmental and Forestry Republic Indonesia 7 Tingkat Emisi Rujuikan Deforestasi dan Degradasi Hutan (Forest Reference Emission Level) [Internet]. 2016. Jakarta: Direktorat Jenderal Pegendalian Perubahan Iklim; [updated 2020; cited 2020 March 01]. Available from: http://ditjenppi.menlhk.go.id/berita-ppi/2655-tingkat-emisi-rujukan-deforestasi-dan-degradasi-hutan-frel.html 8 Academic Script Presidential Decree. 2010. Rencana Aksi Nasional Penurunan Emisi Gas Rumah Kaca. Jakarta &Green JEC Assessment Report 2 Hatfield Indonesia
Counter Measure 2 (CM2) or conditional: emissions scenario with more ambitious mitigations and considers sectoral development targets when international support is applied. Within these GHG emission reduction targets, the lion’s share is to be achieved by reductions of emissions from the forestry sector, i.e. as the result of a comprehensive mix of policies, strategies and regulations that aim to improve the protection of forests, reducing deforestation and peatland degradation as well as restoration. The emission reductions from the forestry sector, and related to that, the reduction of deforestation and peatland exploitation are ambitious, both in absolute terms but also relative to the contribution of other sectors to the targets: Compared to the BAU scenario for 2030, emissions from forestry are expected to be reduced by 69% (CM1) or 91% (CM2) respectively. This is equivalent to reaching an emission level from forestry related sources of 33% from 2010 levels (CM1) or 10% from 2010 levels (CM2). JEC 3 - Progress The GOI has enacted policies and regulations to minimize deforestation, forest degradation and peatland restoration as well as improved the capacity of key national and subnational stakeholders. These policies most recently include: Presidential Instruction 8/2018 – this regulation places a moratorium on the utilization of peatland and primary forests for palm oil concessions; Presidential Instruction No. 5/2019 – this regulation permanently suspends the granting of new permits in conservation forests, protected forests, production forests, and non-forest estates; and Presidential Decree No. 77/2018 - this regulation establishes a trust fund for the environment and forests to support climate change adaptation and mitigation program in the near future. Building on these regulations, the GOI signed a policy national action plan on sustainable palm oil plantation for 2019 to 2024 and recently prepared a presidential regulation on the certification system for sustainable palm oil to strengthen current Indonesia Sustainable Palm Oil (ISPO) which needs presidential approval. Progress on emissions reduction appears to have been substantial as initial emission reductions in 2010 were 7.34% below the baseline level although this decreased to -27.83% (i.e. an increase in emissions) in 2015 until reversing in 2017 to reach 17.54% (equal to 506.4 million metric ton (Mt) CO2e). This variability in emissions reductions remains strongly influenced by external conditions. Dry weather in 2015 resulted in a high incidence of wildland and peatland fires which increased emissions over the BAU scenario while unusually wet weather in 2017 enabled a significant reduction in emissions. The GOI has implemented measures to reduce deforestation. Since 1990, deforestation rates peaked between 1996 to 2000 when the average annual rate was 2,255,196 ha 9 to more recently when rates from 2015 to 2016 were 629,177 ha10 and from 2016 to 2017 were 480,011ha11. Additionally, the Badan Restorasi Gambut (BRG) stated that restoration and revitalization of peatland in 2017 encompassed 1.2 million ha in seven provinces. 9 National Forest Reference Emission Level for Deforestation and Forest Degradation, MOEF, 2016. 10 Deforestasi Indonesia, MoEF, 2017. 11 Deforestasi Indonesia, MoEF, 2018. &Green JEC Assessment Report 3 Hatfield Indonesia
JEC 4 – Monitoring, Reporting, and Verification The Directorate General (DG) of Climate Change in the MOEF manages a functional national MRV system that inventories GHG emissions from deforestation, forest degradation, and peatlands in Indonesia (APPENDIX A5). The MRV system is a transparent mechanism integrated into the national forestry management system and provides publicly accessible information. Periodic training at the subnational level is provided through the DG of Climate Change to ensure consistent tracking and reporting of GHG emissions to support reporting at the national level. Data from the national MRV is used to prepare the FREL, NDC, and Biennial Update Report (BUR) documents that are submitted to the UNFCCC Secretariat. JEC 5 – Social and Environment Safeguard In accordance with the Cancun Agreements from 201012, a framework on social and environment safeguards was established to mitigate and minimize potential negative impacts from the implementation of REDD+ activities on existing forestry plans and programs. The MOEF established the Principles, Criteria, and Indicator (PCI) framework and Safeguards REDD+ Information System (SIS-REDD+) based on a multi-stakeholder process in 2011 and 2012. Since piloting of the SIS-REDD+ in East Kalimantan and Jambi provinces started in 2013, activities now recorded in 11 provinces. Four of the nine priority provinces are included in these 11 provinces, namely: East Kalimantan, West Kalimantan, Riau, and Jambi. However, technical support such as training to conduct SIS-REDD+ for local stakeholders is needed. JURISDICTIONAL SCOPE This section describes the governance, legislative and regulatory frameworks of the assessed jurisdiction as well as main decision-making structures at the national and select provincial levels. The Indonesia JECA analyzes the national policies, strategies and regulations relative to the five &Green JECs. The analysis assesses various components, including the governance structures at the national level and the identification of key decision makers, and relevant socio-economic data. To assess the impact of subnational policies at province level this study has selected nine provinces that were considered essential for Indonesia to reach its national targets due to the importance of their forests and peatlands and analyzed them more closely how their respective provincial policies and strategies support or counter the national policies. These nine provinces are: 1) Riau, 2) South Sumatera, 3) Jambi, 4) Central Kalimantan, 5) West Kalimantan, 6) North Kalimantan, 7) East Kalimantan, 8) Papua, and 9) West Papua (APPENDIX A1). The methodology used to select these provinces is provided in Appendix 1 and key economic details for the country and these selected provinces are listed in Table 1. The purpose of the analysis at provincial level was to establish the potential risk of Indonesia missing relevant targets and failing to meet international commitments due to key provinces not having the right policies, strategies, tools and targets in place to deliver their respective contributions to the national level. While targets, ambition and strategy related to deforestation, as well as measuring progress in Indonesia are now set at the national level, the analysis detailed in Appendices A2 and A3 suggests 12 Cancun Agreements: https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/conferences/past-conferences/cancun-climate-change- conference-november-2010/cancun-climate-change-conference-november-2010-0 &Green JEC Assessment Report 4 Hatfield Indonesia
some variability between how national regulations are implemented at the provincial level and implies that further alignment between the governance levels will be necessary over time to ensure and improve consistency. 3.1 BACKGROUND: KEY ECONOMIC DATA AND MAPS Indonesia has an estimated population of 270,625,568 which ranks number four in the world13. The total territory for the country encompasses 191,686,220 ha14 of which the terrestrial area consists of 93.9 million ha of forested area and 94 million ha of non-forested area. Of the terrestrial area, 120.6 million ha are state-owned forests. Not all areas classified as forests are forested due to various factors including encroachment and illegal logging. The country also has extensive mangrove ecosystems, high endemism and is home to numerous key flora and fauna species. Biodiversity management in Indonesia is currently guided by the 2015 to 2020 IBSAP. The distribution of forest cover, deforestation and peatland across the country and in the nine priority provinces are illustrated in Figure 1, Figure 2, and Figure 3.Peatland ecosystems cover 7.9% of Indonesia’s total land area (Figure 3). As peatlands ecosystems are effective for absorbing and storing carbon dioxide, protecting them from wildfires is a key measure towards achieving Indonesia’s emission reduction commitments in the Paris Agreement. Approximately 40% of Indonesia’s total carbon emissions come from peatlands burned for palm oil and pulp wood plantations. In an effort to protect peatland ecosystems, the President of Indonesia established the Indonesian Peatland Restoration Agency (Badan Restorasi Gambut [BRG]) in 201615. The palm oil industry sector employs more than 17 million people including smallholders and farmers with indirect education and health care effects on a population of 30 million people in 190 districts in 22 provinces16. Main agricultural products produced in North Sumatra, South Sumatra, Central, West, East Kalimantan, Aceh, Lampung and South Sulawesi provinces include rubber, coffee, cacao, tobacco, and wood products. Indonesia is the largest palm oil producer in the world, and the second largest global producer of rubber and coffee 17. 13 Worldometers [Internet]. 2019. American Library Association (ALA): Indonesia Demographic - Indonesia Population Live; [cited 2019 October 14]. Available from: https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/indonesia-population/ 14 Ministry of Environmental and Forestry. 2018. The State of Indonesia Forest 2018. Jakarta: Ministry of Environmental and Forestry Republic Indonesia 15 Pickup Francine [Internet]. 2017. Why Indonesia Has to Save The Peatland. [Cited 2019 October 26]. Available from: https://www.id.undp.org/content/indonesia/en/home/presscenter/articles/2017/01/09/why-indonesia-has-to-save-the- peatland.html 16 Rismansjah.2018. Makalah Rancangan Perpres Kelapa Sawit, disampaikan di Hotel Sahira Bogor, 16 April 2018 17 Informasi Komoditi Online: Komoditas Unggulan Beberapa Provinsi di Indonesia [Internet]. 2019. Komoditi Online Guide; [cited 2019 October 10]. Available from: http://komoditi.co.id/komoditas-unggulan-beberapa-provinsi-di-indonesia/ &Green JEC Assessment Report 5 Hatfield Indonesia
Figure 1 Forest cover (2018) in Indonesia with nine selected provinces indicated. &Green JEC Assessment Report 6 Hatfield Indonesia
Figure 2 Extent of deforestation (1990-2018) in Indonesia with nine selected provinces indicated. &Green JEC Assessment Report 7 Hatfield Indonesia
Figure 3 Peatland distribution (2018) in Indonesia with nine selected provinces indicated. &Green JEC Assessment Report 8 Hatfield Indonesia
Table 1 Key economic data for Indonesia and in the nine selected provinces. Proportion Central West East North South of Selected Socio-Economic Attribute Indonesia Papua Riau Jambi West Papua Total Kalimantan Kalimantan Kalimantan Kalimantan Sumatera Provinces to Indonesia Provincial Area/Indonesian Territory (Terrestrial*) (million ha)18 (187.9*) 33.0 15.4 14.7 9.0 12.9 6.9 8.7 4.9 9.9 115.4 60.2% Number of Districts19 416 28 13 12 10 7 4 13 9 12 108.00 26% Number of Cities20 98 1 1 2 2 3 1 4 2 1 17.00 17.3% Population Density per km2 (2017)21 137 10 17 33 77 28 9 90 70 9 343 N/A Size of land cover (forest + non-forest) (million ha)22 88.01 24.8 7.2 5.5 1.5 6.5 5.6 0.7 1.02 8.8 61.8 70.2% Peatland area (million ha)23 14.9 2.6 2.6 1.6 3.9 0.16 0.17 1.28 0.60 1.03 14.1 94.7% Total deforestation 2015-2018 (million ha)24 1.9 0.11 0.26 0.22 0.12 0.26 0.08 0.05 0.11 0.04 1.2 64.1% Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at current market prices 2018 14,837,358 210,660 138,741 194,033 755,274 638,177 86,059 419,723 208,379 79,644 2,730,690 18.4% (billion rupiah)25 Per Capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at current market prices 55,987 63,404 52,154 38,794 110,827 174,882 120,126 50,144 58,365 84,958 753,654 N/A 2018 (thousand rupiah)26 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at constant market prices 2010 10,425,316 159,729 94,596 130,584 482,087 464,823 57,826 298,569 142,995 60,454 1,891,663 18.1% (billion rupiah)27 Per Capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at constant market 39,339 48,075 35,560 26,108 70,740 127,390 80,716 35,670 40,052 64,487 528,798 N/A prices 2010 (thousand rupiah)28 Main Agricultural Non-Forest Products (ha) a) Palm oil (2017)29 14,030,753 66,563 1,500,948 1,553,932 2,776,440 1,046,746 251,689 1,166,421 887,228 98,355 9,348,322 66.6% b) Rubber (2017)30 3,659,129 3,741 281,232 366,897 349,803 70,875 1,412 837,431 378,926 0 2,290,317 62.6% c) Cacao (2017)31 1,732,002 40,950 2,017 11,296 6,339 7,902 7,926 11,315 2,264 11,753 101,762 5.9% d) Coffee (2017)32 1,253,796 11,227 1,674 11,580 4,505 2,893 1,733 263,339 27,446 506 324,903 25.9% e) Coconut (2017)33 3,653,167 125,616 28,757 106,650 510,925 21,742 1,393 66,556 119,069 21,204 1,001,912 27.4% f) Nutmeg (2017)34 180,205 0 0 85 0 133 0 0 11 15,317 15,546 8.6% g) Clove (2017)35 548,091 25 0 887 0 2 0 314 167 614 2,009 0.4% Palm Oil Plantation (million ha)36 16.38 0.11 1.78 1.81 3.39 1.28 0.23 1.47 1.13 0.06 11.27 68.79% Percentage of palm oil plantation to provincial area 8.54% 0.33% 11.55% 12.30% 37.64% 9.98% 3.40% 16.88% 23.16% 0.59% ---- 9.76% 18 Peta Interaktif KLHK [Internet]. 2019. Indonesia: Kementerian Lingkungan Hidup dan Kehutanan; [cited 2019 October 11]. Available from: http://geoportal.menlhk.go.id/arcgis/apps/Viewer/index.html?appid=8f491695fab04bb99d03962bbd747abd 19 Wikipedia Ensiklopedia Bebas. 2019. Daftar Kabupaten dan Kota di Indonesia; [cited 2019 October 15]. Available from: https://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daftar_kabupaten_dan_kota_di_Indonesia 20 Wikipedia Ensiklopedia Bebas. 2019. Daftar Kabupaten dan Kota di Indonesia; [cited 2019 October 15]. Available from: https://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daftar_kabupaten_dan_kota_di_Indonesia 21 Badan Pusat Statistik. 2019. Statistik Indonesia 2018. Indonesia: Badan Pusat Statistik 22 Peta Interaktif KLHK [Internet]. 2019. Indonesia: Kementerian Lingkungan Hidup dan Kehutanan; [cited 2019 October 11]. Available from: http://geoportal.menlhk.go.id/arcgis/apps/Viewer/index.html?appid=8f491695fab04bb99d03962bbd747abd 23 Sistem Informasi Sumber Daya Lahan Pertanian [Internet]. 2011. Bogor: Balai Besar Penelitian dan Pengembangan Sumber Daya Lahan Pertanian; [updated 2017; cited 2019 October 11]. Available from: http://sisultan.litbang.pertanian.go.id/# 24 Peta Interaktif KLHK [Internet]. 2019. Indonesia: Kementerian Lingkungan Hidup dan Kehutanan; [cited 2019 October 11]. Available from: http://geoportal.menlhk.go.id/arcgis/apps/Viewer/index.html?appid=8f491695fab04bb99d03962bbd747abd 25 Badan Pusat Statistik. 2019. Produk Domestik Bruto Indonesia Menurut Pengeluaran 2014-2018. Indonesia: Badan Pusat Statistik 26 Badan Pusat Statistik. 2019. Produk Domestik Bruto Indonesia Menurut Pengeluaran 2014-2018. Indonesia: Badan Pusat Statistik 27 Badan Pusat Statistik. 2019. Produk Domestik Bruto Indonesia Menurut Pengeluaran 2014-2018. Indonesia: Badan Pusat Statistik 28 Badan Pusat Statistik. 2019. Produk Domestik Bruto Indonesia Menurut Pengeluaran 2014-2018. Indonesia: Badan Pusat Statistik 29 Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan Kementerian Pertanian. 2017. Statistik Perkebunan Indonesia 2016-2018 (Kelapa Sawit). Jakarta: Sekretariat Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan 30 Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan Kementerian Pertanian. 2017. Statistik Perkebunan Indonesia 2016-2018 (Karet). Jakarta: Sekretariat Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan 31 Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan Kementerian Pertanian. 2017. Statistik Perkebunan Indonesia 2016-2018 (Cokelat). Jakarta: Sekretariat Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan 32 Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan Kementerian Pertanian. 2017. Statistik Perkebunan Indonesia 2016-2018 (Kopi). Jakarta: Sekretariat Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan 33 Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan Kementerian Pertanian. 2017. Statistik Perkebunan Indonesia 2016-2018 (Kelapa). Jakarta: Sekretariat Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan 34 Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan Kementerian Pertanian. 2017. Statistik Perkebunan Indonesia 2016-2018 (Pala). Jakarta: Sekretariat Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan 35 Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan Kementerian Pertanian. 2017. Statistik Perkebunan Indonesia 2016-2018 (Cengkeh). Jakarta: Sekretariat Direktorat Jendral Perkebunan 36 Menteri Pertanian.2019. Penetapan Luas Tutupan Kelapa Sawit Indonesia Tahun 2019.Keputusan Menteri Pertanian Nomor 833/KPTS/SR.020/M/12/2019. Jakarta: Kementerian Pertanian &Green JEC Assessment Report 9 Hatfield Indonesia
3.2 NATIONAL AUTHORITY 3.2.1 Planning and Budgeting Indonesia is a democratic unitary state with a three-tier administrative structure (national, provincial and local governments) and is made up of 34 provinces, 98 municipalities (Kota), and 416 districts (Kabupaten) and more than 70,000 villages. The country has parliaments at the city, district, provincial and central levels. In general, districts are governed by a regent (Bupati) and located in rural areas, municipalities are governed by a mayor (Walikota) and located in urban areas and provinces are governed by governors who serve as the central government’s representative. The country has implemented wide-ranging decentralization measures to bring a measure of autonomy to Indonesia’s many culturally diverse regions 37. Although drafted in 1999, regional autonomy legislation – Law No. 22/1999 (administrative decentralization) and Law No. 25/1999 (financial administration) – were implemented in 2001 to focus on empowering sub-provincial governments. The provincial government is responsible for coordinating functions among the district and city governments and performing certain roles that the district and city governments are unable to perform. The central government retained the responsibility for defense, justice, finance, monetary policy and development planning38. As Law No. 22/1999 on regional government and Law No. 25/1999 on fiscal balance between central and regional governments were drafted without a well-developed transition and implementation process, a resultant increase in the issuance of land use permits at the subnational level required the central government to mediate. As a result, Local Government Law No. 23/2014 distributed most governmental functions between the central and provincial governments while the district and municipal governments retained the authority for several functions to a lesser extent than in the former Law No. 32/2004 (Table 2), resulting in overall improved land-use planning and associated permitting. The forestry sector is an example where, under the previous law, authority was decentralized to the district level but under the new law, the authority to manage the forestry sector transferred from the district to the provincial government39. Under the 2014 Local Government Law the central and provincial governments share responsibility for the forest inventory, forest management (Table 2) and issuance of forest business permits (Table 3). However, residual issues of land use permit allocations remain from the earlier transition period and are important issues to be addressed in the context of policies to control deforestation activities and peatland development. 37 Mumbunan S, Ring I and Lenk T. 2012. Ecological Fiscal Transfers at the Provincial Level in Indonesia. Leipzig: Helmholtz – Zentrum für Umweltforschung GmbH - UFZ Permoserstr. 15 04318 Leipzig. 38 Green Keith [Internet]. 2005. Decentralization and Good Governance: The Case of Indonesia. [cited 2019 October 10]. Available from:https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/18097/1/Decentralization_and_Good_Governance The_Case_of_Indonesia.pdf 39 Steni Bernadius. 2016. Review of the New Local Government Law. Jakarta: Institut Penelitian Inovasi Bumi (INOBU) &Green JEC Assessment Report 10 Hatfield Indonesia
Table 2 The changes to authority under previous and new laws on local government in the forestry sector40. Law No. 32/2004 Authority Law No. 23/2014 Province District/Municipality Forest inventory Conducting inventories of Conducting inventories of Provincial governments are given production forest, production forest, the opportunity to assist forest protected forest, and protected forest and planning by providing technical forest parks and forest parks, and considerations, such as proposing watershed areas that cut watershed areas in changes in forest area status and across several districts/ district/municipal areas functions, establishment of FMUs, municipalities and others Designation of Providing technical Proposing the designation forest production considerations regarding of production forests, forests, the designation of protection forest, protected forest, production forest, conservation areas, conservation protection forest, wildlife reserves and forest and conservation areas, hunting area parks hunting park wildlife reserves and area hunting park areas Forest area for Preparing and providing Proposing the special purposes technical considerations management of forest regarding the areas with special management of forest purposes for customary area for special purposes law communities, for customary law research and communities, research development, forestry and development, forestry education and training, education and training, and social and religious and social and religious institutions at the institutions at the district/municipal scale provincial scale taking into account the governor’s considerations Forest Providing technical Proposing a change in Provincial government is conducting management or considerations for the status and function of the designation of forest functions in utilization change of forest area forest area and change of FMU, except for conservation forest status and function, land status from private management unit (KPHK) change of land status from land to forest area and Provincial government is conducting private land to forest area, utilization and exchange forest utilization in production and and use/exchange of of forest areas. protected forest areas, including: forest areas. Providing consideration 1.Utilization of forest area; Conducting the regarding the architecture 2.Utilization of non-timber-forest formulation of architecture and proposal to establish products; and establishment and management areas for proposing the designation protected forest and 3. Extraction of forest products; and of protected and production forests and 4.Utilization of forest area for production forest institution of forest environmental services, except for management unit (FMU) management areas. carbon storage sequestration. and providing technical District and municipal government consideration regarding responsible for the management of regional institution for Grand Forest Park (TAHURA) forest management 40 Steni Bernadus. 2016. Review of the New Local Government Law. Jakarta. Institute Penelitian Inovasi Bumi (INOBU) &Green JEC Assessment Report 11 Hatfield Indonesia
Table 3 The authority of MOEF, provincial, districts, and municipal governments on licensing in forestry sector41. Ministry of District or Provincial Permit or Authority Environment Municipal Government and Forestry Government Business Permits for Timber Utilization in Natural Forest, Ecosystem Restoration Forest, Industrial Timber Plantation (HTI), Reserved Areas for People’s Timber Plantation (HTR) and Plantation Forest from Rehabilitation (HTHR) Business Permits for Non-Timber Forest Products Utilization (IPHHK) Business Permits for Timber Forest Product Extraction (IPHHK) Forest Area Lease Permits Approval for Principle for Forest Area Exchange Approval for Principle Forest Area Exchange At the national level, the Ministry of National Development Planning (BAPPENAS) provides guidance on mechanisms and procedures for planning and budgeting with the central and regional governments (Law No. 25/2004 on National Development Plan System) (Figure 4). Figure 4 Planning and budgeting mechanism and process at the national and provincial levels. To ensure monitoring and evaluation on planning and budgeting activities under Law No. 25/2004, government Regulation No. 39/2006 prescribes various reporting mechanisms (Figure 5). 41 Steni Bernadus. 2016. Review of the New Local Government Law. Jakarta. Institute Penelitian Inovasi Bumi (INOBU) &Green JEC Assessment Report 12 Hatfield Indonesia
Figure 5 Development plan national and subnational reporting mechanisms. &Green JEC Assessment Report 13 Hatfield Indonesia
3.2.2 Environment and Forestry Governance The central government has taken important steps to respond to climate change through the establishment of and strengthening institutional arrangements that aim to achieve the national targets, coordinate with the provincial government and fulfil commitments on the global level. The central government has established policies and a national strategic plan to address biodiversity conservation, sustainable development, and climate change adaptation and mitigation (Table 4). Table 4 Regulations to promote cooperation between central and provincial government. Level Authority Category Regulation Central Government Provincial Government Biodiversity Indonesian BAPPENAS ensures The provincial Conservation Biodiversity Strategic biodiversity conservation is government is Action Plan (IBSAP) adopted in the Long-Term responsible for the 2015 to 2020 Development Plan in all management and relevant national ministry conservation of offices and institutions. protected areas within The DG of their boundaries. Conservation Natural MOEF mandated that Resources and protected areas outside of The provincial Ecosystem-MOEF existing conservation areas, government ensures Regulation within and outside the state- the conservation of No.8/KSDAE owned forests, are managed natural resources and /BPE2/KSA.4/2016 to maintain natural ecosystems are biodiversity. incorporated in the strategic environment assessment (SEA). Ecosystem The Law No.32/2009 Central government ensures The provincial Protection the policy implementation of government is ecosystem protection, responsible for the Government protected areas and management and Regulation No. management. conservation of 28/2011 protected areas within Peatland Restoration Agency (BRG) developed an action their boundaries. Government plan for sustainable peatland Seven provincial Regulation No. management through a government have 57/2016 and rehabilitation and restoration supported the BRG by Presidential Decree program in priority areas. restoring 2.5 million ha No. 1/2016 The GOI permanently stopped of peatland ecosystems issuing new permits for in Riau, Jambi, South Sumatera, West President concessions in natural forests and peatlands. Kalimantan, Central Presidential Kalimantan, South Instruction No. Kalimantan, and Papua 5/2019 provinces with support from various donors including the Norwegian government, GIZ and I World Bank Group. Environment Government Central government monitor The provincial Assessment Regulation No. and evaluate the government manage 46/2016 implementation of the Strategic provincial Environment Assessment environmental (SEA) to ensure the assessment and Government sustainability of natural management including Regulation No. resources and to minimize managing and 27/2012 potential environmental risks at controlling high national level. conservation value Central government ensure the areas outside the state- implementation of environment owned forest &Green JEC Assessment Report 14 Hatfield Indonesia
Level Authority Category Regulation Central Government Provincial Government The Ministry of Home impact assessment (EIA) is The provincial Affairs Regulation No. measured and monitored at government also acts 7/2018 national level as supervisor and The Ministry of Home Affairs decision maker for monitor, evaluate and provide issuing environmental guidance for SEA permits and reviewing implementation to District and impact assessments Provincial. (AMDAL [EIA]). REDD+ Presidential Decree MOEF conducting the The Provincial Implementati 16/2015 on the implementation of REDD+ from Government establish on establishment of the the GHG inventory through the Regional Plan on DG of Climate Change MRV to set out FREL and NDC GHG Emission in MOEF to develop and reporting to the United Reduction (RAD-GRK) National REDD+ Nation Framework Convention to measure the level of Strategy and MRV on Climate Change (UNFCCC). emissions and to framework which BAPPENAS developed project the emission enables the GOI to guidance for mainstreaming reductions report on the NDC and REDD implementation and low While up to 11 FREL carbon development initiative to provinces had a Presidential Decree sectoral ministry and provincial regional committee for No. 61/2011 on the governments. REDD+ implementation National Action Plan (Papua, Central, East, for the Reduction of West Kalimantan, South Emissions of and West Sumatra, Greenhouse Gases Jambi, Aceh and South (RAN-GRK) Sulawesi), this committee currently exists in only West Sumatra and East Kalimantan provinces. Monitoring President Decree No. MOEF inventories GHG N/A Reporting 71/2011 emissions, monitors the MRV and MOEF Regulation No. system implementation once Verification P72/Menlhk/Setjen/ku annually to generate the FREL, m.1/12/2017 NDC, and Biennial Update Report (Figure 6). MOEF Regulation No. P73/Menlhk/Setjen/ku MOEF conducts an annual m.1/12/2017 review of the National Action Plan for GHG reduction to assess results from the energy, transportation, industrial process product use (IPPU), agriculture, forestry, and waste sectors. Land Use Presidential Decree Ministry of Economic Affairs is Provincial and district Management No. 9/2016 implementing the One Map government should Policy to ensure utilization of provide regional land use data for development geospatial information strategy. that connect to the The DG of Climate Change - national level. MOEF provide data on GHG inventory. Financial Presidential Decree MOEF, Coordinating Ministry of Provincial government Support for No. 77/2018 Economy and Ministry of can propose funding in REDD+ Finance is assessing the climate change Implementati applicability and function of an adaptation and on The governments of environmental trust fund mitigation projects once Indonesia and Norway (Badan Pengelola Dana the BPDLH is Letter of Intent in May Lingkungan Hidup [BPDLH]). functional. 2010 The BPDLH would finance climate change adaptation and &Green JEC Assessment Report 15 Hatfield Indonesia
Level Authority Category Regulation Central Government Provincial Government mitigation (environment, forestry, renewable energy, carbon trade, and ecosystem services). The DG on Climate Change conducted MRV and mitigation actions for reducing GHG emissions from deforestation and forest degradation on the “resulted based payment mechanism. The government of Norway will provide results-based payments for actual emission reductions from deforestation (were 228,349,830 tCO2 – a reduction of 8,597,610 tCO2) and from forest degradation (were 42,743,041 tCO2 – an increase of 1,191,560 tCO2.) While emissions from forest degradation increased, the net reduction due to deforestation was 7,406,051 tCO2. Figure 6 The National Monitoring, Reporting, Verification (MRV) System42. 42 Direktorat Jendral Pengendalian Perubahan Iklim. 2017. Laporan Inventarisasi GRK dan Monityoring, Pelaporan dan Verifikasi. Jakarta. Kementerian Lingkungan Hidup dan Kehutanan. &Green JEC Assessment Report 16 Hatfield Indonesia
Progress Towards REDD+ Target and Commitments Deforestation rates and emissions have varied between 1990 and 2017 (Table 5). Prior to submitting the first NDC to the UNFCCC, the highest deforestation rate of 2.25 million ha/year was recorded from 1996 to 2000. Following the submission, the highest deforestation rate of 1.09 million ha from 2014 to 2015 was predominantly due to forest fires. This later data does not include emission rates. Table 5 Deforestation rates from 1990 to 2017. % Deforestation Emissions Forest Deforestation Years Period Annual Rate Period Total Annual Rate cover (ha) to Forest Cover Total (ha) (ha/year) (tCO2e) (tCO2e/year) 1990 to 1996 1 n/a n/a 3,828,973 638,162 1,193,476,158 198,912,693 1996 to 2000 1 n/a n/a 9,020,783 2,255,196 2,948,024,748 737,006,187 2000 to 2003 1 n/a n/a 1,333,085 444,3627 428,854,857 142,951,619 2003 to 2006 1 n/a n/a 2,527,909 842,636 793,089,246 264,363,082 2006 to 2009 1 n/a n/a 2,741,459 913,820 859,201,887 286,400,629 2009 to 2011 1 n/a n/a 1,101,040 550,520 347,782,080 173,891,040 2011 to 2012 1 90,110,6003 0.87% 786,052 786,052 248,937,119 248,937,119 2012 to 2013 2 89,052,9003 0.82% 728,000 728,000 n/a n/a 2013 to 2014 2 88,323,0003 0.45% 397,400 397,400 n/a n/a 2014 to 2015 2 88,136,0003 1.24% 1,092,182 1,092,182 n/a n/a 2015 to 2016 2 86,626,0003 0.73% 629,177 629,177 n/a n/a 2016 to 2017 2 87,728,3003 0.55% 480,011 480,011 n/a n/a 1 Source: National Forest Reference Emission Level for Deforestation and Forest Degradation (emission not included peat decomposition), MOEF, 2016 2 Source: Deforestation Indonesia, MoEF, 2014,2015,2016,2017,2018. 3 Source: Recapitulation of forest cover in Indonesia, MoEF, 2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017. Global Forest Watch has also determined tree cover loss from 2010 to 2018 based on satellite imagery (Table 6) resulting in different deforested areas compared to the nationally reported data in Table 5. Table 6 Global Forest Watch tree cover loss from 2010 to 2018 (million ha) 43. Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Tree Cover Loss 1.3 1.5 2.2 1.1 1.9 1.7 2.4 1.3 1.2 (million ha) Following the Paris Agreement, Indonesia strengthened its commitment to CO 2e reductions with the first NDC submitted to the UNFCCC in November 2016. The NDC included an unconditional national target (CM1) of 29% or 834 MtCO2e and a conditional national target (CM2) of 38% or 1,081 MtCO2e over the BAU scenario by 2030 (Table 7). However, the Indonesian NDC states that the CM2 target is 43 Global Forest Watch: http/data.globalforestwatch.org/search &Green JEC Assessment Report 17 Hatfield Indonesia
41% of the BAU scenario although the data in the table state 38%. The table in the NDC is replicated in Table 7. This discrepancy has not been explained in the NDC or other documents. Table 7 BAU GHG emission levels and 2030 CM1 and CM2 projections44. BAU CM1 CM2 Emission Emission Emission Emission Sectors % of % of 2010 2030 Level Reduction Level Reduction Total Total (MtCO2e) (MtCO2e) 2030 2030 2030 2030 BAU BAU (MtCO2e) (MtCO2e) (MtCO2e) (MtCO2e) Forestry 647 714 217 4971 17.2% 64 6502 23% Other 688 2,154 1,817 337 11.8% 1,723 432 15% sectors3 All sectors 1,334 2,869 2,034 834 29% 1,787 1,081 38% 1 A decrease of 69% compared to 2030 BAU. 2 A decrease of 91% compared to 2030 BAU. 3 Other sectors are energy, waste, IPPU, and agriculture. To meet these targets, various sector-specific mitigation actions have been identified in the National Action Plan for the Reduction of Emission of Greenhouse Gases while actual GHG emissions are reported by the DG of Climate Change, MOEF. The forestry and other sectors achieved reductions in emissions from 2010 to 2017 and emission reductions in 2017 in the forestry sector was impressive at 506.4 MtCO2e which exceeded the 2030 CM1 target of 497 MtCO2e (Table 8 and Figure 7). However, the forestry sector reductions were not consistent due to climatic events. In 2014 and into early 2016, dry weather conditions and an El Nino event contributed to a severe fire seasons in Indonesia resulting in extensive forest and peatland fires 45. The net result in 2014 and 2015 was an increase in deforestation and emissions in the forestry sector (Table 5 and Table 8). The wetter weather pattern leading into a weak La Nina event in early 2018 resulted in fewer fires and a reduction in emissions. A trend line analysis, which indicates the progress over time, for the 2010 to 2017 emission reductions in the forestry sector produces a negative or declining slope; the red dotted line in Figure 7. This trend line indicates that because emission reductions are decreasing and becoming further away from the target, emission reductions are too ambitious and require additional land management and policy and planning to be reached, in particular to improve the resilience of forests and peatlands to climatic variability. The progress in later years has been supported through the establishment of the Peatland Restoration Agency (BRG and policies to protect forests and peatlands (Presidential Instruction No. 5/2019) and improve palm oil plantation management (Presidential Instruction No. 8/2018) as well as policies on law enforcement. The Second BUR in 2018 looks at all sectors and indicates, for example, that while emissions in the agricultural sector in 2016 were 117 MtCO2e which exceeded the BAU of 114 MtCO2e, the forestry sector emissions of 635 MtCO2e was a reduction from the 764 MtCO2e BAU. 44 Direktorat Jendral Pengendalian Perubahan Iklim. 2017.Strategy Implementasi NDC. Jakarta. Kementerian Lingkungan dan Kehutanan. 45 NASA: Severe 2015 Indonesia Fire Season Linked to El Nino Drought. 2015; [cited 2020 January 21]. Available from: http://www.nasa.gov/feature/Goddard/2016/severe-2015-indonesia-fire-season-linked-to-el-nino-drought &Green JEC Assessment Report 18 Hatfield Indonesia
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