GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY'S HOT ISSUE - DECEMBER 2019
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DIRECTOR’S FOREWORD A FEW MONTHS AGO Sydney was witness to a sobering sight: our children in our streets, on strike from school to protest the world’s failure to take action on our changing climate. They chanted and sang and made passionate speeches, with the timeless optimism of the young. Like all protest movements they carried signs, and among many memorable one-liners was this one, held aloft by a young girl: If you did your job we WOULD be in school. These words speak directly to what this paper is about. At the Western Sydney Leadership Dialogue we don’t pretend to be experts on the complex questions of climate change, nor do we claim to have all the answers. We understand deeply the divisive nature of the debate. But as a multi-stakeholder community engagement forum with a focus on Greater Western Sydney (GWS), our job is to try to advance beyond it, to a more co- operative place where practical solutions can be found. Climate change is just a set of practical problems, but for those in GWS, they are now urgent ones. Urban Heat Island effect in the region’s dense suburbs, and bushlands on the outer fringes, means that few Sydneysiders will be harder hit by rising temperatures and fiercer fires. This summer may be our most challenging ever. GWS must lead in changing our basic utilities of life, such as how we manage our water, energy and waste, to make them more sustainable. Our kids have reminded us that the time for divided inaction has passed. We need practical ideas and coherent strategies that all Australians, regardless of our views, can get behind. The recommendations in WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE are our suggestions for what some might look like, and our best shot at responding — like grown-ups — to that young girl’s optimistic plea. Finally, I would like to thank the Dialogue team for all their hard work researching and producing this paper, and in particular Jack Robertson who has driven this important contribution to the ongoing discussion on the impact of climate change on our region. ADAM LETO EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR WESTERN SYDNEY LEADERSHIP DIALOGUE adam@westernsydney.org.au WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
CONTENTS Executive Summary 04 Beyond the climate change wars 09 A whole-of-community working bee 13 Greater Western Sydney’s risk factors 14 Heat in Greater Western Sydney 15 Water in Greater Western Sydney 17 Waste in Greater Western Sydney 21 Linear to circular utilities 27 Utilities’ challenges and opportunities 28 Recommendations 30 Putting the water market to work 31 Expanding waste stewardship 36 LGA greening and cooling 43 Demand managing our energy 49 Inventing the green utilities future 54 References 59 3
THE WORSENING DROUGHT, record low dam levels and early start to the bushfire season have confirmed the need for practical action in response to rising temperatures and increasingly volatile weather patterns. The shift in public perceptions already underway is accelerating. Overwhelmingly, Australians now want to stop arguing about climate change and take steps to mitigate its worsening impact. That impact is felt more intensely in Greater Western Sydney (GWS) than in other parts of Sydney, and for people living in the region it is a day-to-day reality, not a far-off problem for future generations and future governments to solve. A transforming built environment, fewer green spaces and natural waterways, more concentrated traffic pollution and a lack of sea breeze creates an Urban Heat Island effect which can lead to temperatures in GWS 10 to 15 degrees above those in Sydney’s east. As climate change progresses, its impact on health, productivity and amenity will be felt first and most ferociously by those living in the region. For this reason, climate change is Western Sydney’s Hot Issue and the Dialogue believes a focus on our utilities is the best way to circumvent the raucous and unproductive policy debate around national or global solutions. Notwithstanding the now infamous intransigence at the policy and political level and the need for a collaborative community effort, our recommendations call strongly on government to lead. While the community’s expectations for big sweeping policy solutions are tragically low, it is not unreasonable to ask for practical solutions to the here-and-now side-effects of climate change, and to question the fairness of the community bearing the burden of policy failures past – we deserve better than to have to accept load shedding in our energy grid whenever there is a heatwave, for example. In the utilities space, there are a myriad of small actions that can add up to a giant leap in addressing the Hot Issue. HEAT, WATER AND WASTE IN GWS Since 1965 the mean maximum January temperature in GWS has increased over twice as much as it has in the rest of Sydney, and the number of January days over 35 degrees has grown ten times more. Sydney’s water usage and leakage rates are high, and our water recycling rate is low in comparison to other major Australian cities and many overseas jurisdictions. Following changes to recycling export markets and with population growth and infrastructure activity continuing apace, Sydney’s excessive per capita waste generation, modest recycling performance and virtually non-existent waste-to-energy recovery capacity now also demands a complete rethink. 5
UTILITY TRANSITION AND GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY This city is getting hotter, squandering too much water and producing too much waste. The extra urgency of these converging ‘basic provisions’ factors in GWS, combined with ambitious projected growth rates and ageing existing utilities infrastructure, now demand the region to take the lead in calling for disruptive but coherent strategic change to our utilities networks: how we provide ourselves with food and water, shelter and sanitation, energy and communications. The necessary transition will be away from the existing Linear Economy utility networks, of centralised large- scale generation, one-way distribution, and inefficient single-use consumption, towards Circular Economy models. In this more environmentally sustainable approach, the currently ‘siloed’ utilities functions, feedstocks and outputs will become progressively integrated and coordinated, minimising waste and carbon footprint and maximising consumption efficiencies. The transition will be complex, expensive and multigenerational, with much of the operational detail necessarily refined ‘as we go’. It will demand an epic collective effort in practical problem-solving, one we need to start now. With this in mind, the Dialogue recommends five immediate bold policy steps, to kickstart a whole-of-community utilities transition ‘working bee’ – or at least to focus discussion beyond the ‘climate change wars’. OUR RECOMMENDATIONS ARE GUIDED BY FIVE TRANSITIONAL PRINCIPLES: 1. Political and public service leadership will be vital. 2. Whole-of-community participation, however, is what will make or break successful transition. 3. Expertise must prevail — as must our individual agency for collective change. 4. Cooperative goodwill between the commercial and not-for-profit sectors is critical. 5. No-one gets left behind in this utilities transition. WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
RECOMMENDATIONS PUTTING THE We recommend that a twinned target of 100 Gigalitres/20% of recycled water in SYDNEY WATER Sydney’s water use ‘budget’ by 2030 be set as a standing Premier’s Priority. Last MARKET TO year Sydney consumed a massive 210 litres per day per resident, which is much WORK: A HARD more than most Australians. Most of this we used only once and then flushed RECYCLING wastefully out to sea. Meanwhile recycled water represented less than seven TARGET percent of our total consumption, lagging far behind national and world’s best 1 practice. Reusing drinking water for other purposes doesn’t just ease our dependence on unpredictable rainfall, it also retains our most powerful ‘cooling and greening’ tool in our local communities, helping keep temperatures down in our suburbs. Our poor water recycling performance is largely the result of an inefficient water sector framework, in which neither the supplier, Sydney Water, nor the many private sector specialists can fully deploy their world-class expertise. A recycling ‘hard 2 target’ is the strategic spur that will drive a long-overdue recalibration, and put Sydney’s water market properly to work. EXPANDING We recommend a whole-of-community ‘stewardship of waste’ pilot project to WASTE reduce our use of non-recyclable takeaway coffee cups. We call on the NSW STEWARDSHIP: Government to lead it by committing to avoid these problem-waste items in all SOLVING OUR procurement, and the rest of us to join in by choosing reusable or compostable TAKEAWAY options, too. Expanding waste stewardship, which prices the full cost of COFFEE PROBLEM consumption into our purchases, is the key to maintaining our high standard of 3 living while reducing its current unsustainable waste byproducts. LGA GREENING We recommend that our local Councils’ individual capacity to lead the fight AND COOLING: against Western Sydney’s Hot Issue in their own communities be enhanced, EQUIPPING where necessary by sharpening, streamlining and devolving to them the planning OUR COUNCILS authority and tools that determine how their built environments evolve. No-one is FOR THE FIGHT better placed to keep their own suburbs cool and sustainable than those who live, AGAINST URBAN work and govern in them. Sydney’s planning framework must recognise this, and HEAT 4 facilitate their doing so. MANAGING We recommend that the NSW government lead in a whole-of-community easing of ENERGY DEMAND: our dependence on excessive air-conditioning, by adopting a minimum thermostat WEANING setting of 25 degrees in government premises — and inviting us to do the same. OURSELVES OFF Abundant electricity has eroded our capacity for energy self-discipline, nowhere UNSUSTAINABLE more so than with our emissions-intensive air-con. This is now a critical grid AIR-CONDITIONING overload issue in our worsening summers. We all need to moderate – only slightly 5 – our ‘need’ to live in fridges. INVENTING OUR Finally, we recommend that a strategic ‘green utilities’ precinct be established SUSTAINABLE in the existing light industrial zone of Camellia. Our utilities transition will need FUTURE: A ‘GREEN a dedicated strategic hub for the coordinated development of integrated green UTILITIES’ R&D technologies, new green research and trade skills, and recalibrated investment PRECINCT FOR and project delivery models. Camellia, integrated within, but sensitively delineated CAMELLIA from, precisely the kind of dense urban infill areas that our utilities transition will ultimately benefit the most, fits the bill well. 7
WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
BEYOND THE CLIMATE CHANGE WARS 9
THE WESTERN ARGUING about Climate Change is now pointless. The only people still doing so are those of us who aren’t Climate Change experts. So SYDNEY whether we’re right or wrong, we’re just blowing more hot air into the LEADERSHIP atmosphere. DIALOGUE DOESN’T Which is the last thing it needs. CARE WHETHER OR NOT YOU ‘BELIEVE’ Our experts stopped arguing about it long ago. The global community IN CLIMATE of climate scientists, field researchers, technicians, data analysts and modellers, along with every credible peak body on the planet, has been CHANGE in broad consensus about the threat of Climate Change for decades. Lately they’ve been joined by a growing international network of policy negotiators, investment and insurance risk strategists, not-for-profit advocates and, of course, billions of ordinary people all over the planet, who simply want to safeguard their children’s future. That‘s just the adults. We all know what our kids have had to say about it lately. It doesn’t matter now that we’ve taken longer than we should have to recognise the danger we’re putting ourselves in. It doesn’t matter now who was right and who was wrong yesterday. All that matters now is what we do today and tomorrow. Thankfully, more and more of us are agreeing with those who actually know what they’re talking about: our climate experts. The latest surveys indicate that a clear and growing majority of WE’RE SIMPLY Australians are now deeply worried about Climate Change, and want URGING EVERYONE our community to listen to what they are telling us we need to do to stay TO DO THEIR BIT, safe. 1 IN A COLLECTIVE This is as it should be in any rational, democratic community, whether COMMUNITY the problem we’re worried about is a bushfire approaching the edge of EFFORT TO town, an outbreak of measles in our daycare centres, or the structural cracks that suddenly appear in our high rise investment property. When CHANGE THE in doubt? Call in the experts. Listen to their expert advice. Act on it. WAY WE PROVIDE It’s hard to argue with that approach to community problem-solving. So OURSELVES WITH let’s not. Not any more. Not for any longer. LIFE’S BASICS — WITHOUT LOSING There’s a lot to do. And not a lot of time to do it. ANY OF ITS QUALITY The best place to start? With the basic practicalities of life. WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
“WE CULTIVATED OUR LAND, JUST ANOTHER UTILITIES UPGRADE, IN A 60,000+ YEAR ROLLING RENOVATION BUT IN A WAY DIFFERENT FROM THE WHITE MAN. WE The women and men who provide us with the basic ENDEAVOURED TO LIVE WITH needs of living – our food and water, our shelter and sanitation, our energy and communications – are THE LAND; THEY SEEMED TO the best at what they do in the world. They’ve had to LIVE OFF IT. I WAS TAUGHT be. Australia is as harsh an environment as any on the planet. The magnificent living standards they’ve TO PRESERVE, NEVER TO helped create in our country are testament to their DESTROY.” ingenuity and hard work. Indigenous Elder2 But it’s wrong to presume that by ‘utilities’ we mean only the systems and methods we late arrivals brought with us, and have refined continuously since. Wrong – and a colossal missed opportunity to emulate the truly time-proven experts at living efficiently in our tricky, unforgiving geography. As successful as our modern solutions have been over the last few centuries, they’ve also engineered “WHAT IS UNDERWAY IS some serious problems we will now have to rebuild A TRANSITION TO A LOW- ourselves beyond. Business as usual just won’t cut it any longer. CARBON FUTURE. THAT DIRECTION IS IRREVERSIBLE There’s much to learn from the masters of Australian sustainable living. Sixty thousand years’ worth, and AND THE SMART MONEY still counting. HAS WORKED THAT OUT AND CAN SEE GLOBALLY THE TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF INFRASTRUCTURE REQUIRED…” Geoffrey Summerhayes3 Australian Prudential Regulation Authority & Sustainable Insurance Forum 11
“NO ONE IS TOO WHATEVER OUR SIZE, WE ALL HAVE TO PULL OUR WEIGHT SMALL TO MAKE A Everyone has to pitch in and we need to get cracking. To develop and DIFFERENCE” take even more of the strategic and practical courses of action than Greta Thunberg4 many of us already are. It’s not going to be easy to move beyond divisive public arguments and contested symbolic gesturing, because the contradictions and complexities involved in changing our day-to-day systems of living can often feel intimidating, even overwhelming. No solution is a magic bullet. There is no cure-all medicine. Every useful option we have has its downsides and its drawbacks — and its losers. This means that every practical suggestion anyone makes will have its critics. Often their criticisms will be fierce – and entirely valid. It will be tempting to fall into the oldest trap there is for public policy makers. But: “YES, THERE IS Allowing ‘the perfect to become the enemy of the good’ will mean continuing utilities transition paralysis – and Climate URGENCY, BUT Change suicide. WE STILL HAVE We don’t have to solve every problem at once. No single solution needs AGENCY.” to be perfect. Let’s just roll up our sleeves and get on with the jobs, big Michael E. Mann5, US Climate or little, that each of us is able to do in a whole-of-community utilities Change expert transition “working bee”. WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
A WHOLE-OF-COMMUNITY WORKING BEE POLITICAL AND BUT OUR EXPERTISE MUST COMMERCIAL AND PUBLIC SERVICE COLLECTIVE PREVAIL ANEW NOT-FOR-PROFIT LEADERSHIP RESPONSE IS KEY COOPERATION IS MATTERS VITAL To make disruptive It’s not really how This shouldn’t need Both the commercial and changes, someone our leaders lead that saying but we live in odd NFP advocacy sectors needs to go first. It will matter in this times, in which certain will need to bring to needn’t always be our transformation. It’s kinds of expertise bear their unique and politicians and public whether the rest of arouses suspicion, if equally critical strengths. servants, but the us follow, or not. Our not hostility. It’s obvious To transform how our complexity of utilities recommendations we must heed our community provisions transition demands maximise the sharing utilities experts to get all its individuals’ basic it in this case. Only around of the hardest this transition right, but needs, we require both those with oversight work of utilities a return of respect for tool-sets – and a tonne of all parts of our civic transition. specialised excellence of co-operative goodwill. machinery can hope to needs to extend far integrate the often- A key is going to beyond that in water, The powerful levers of competing imperatives be changing our energy, waste and a vibrant marketplace: of the sector’s multiple individual lifestyles and communications. competition, risk-taking stakeholders. In any consumption habits just innovation, consumer case, leaders are a little bit each, adding A renewed compact of choice, positive supposed to lead, right? up to a seismic shift at mutual trust and shared price signals for new the community level. obligation between our green utilities, and Our recommendations community and our disincentives for old, hone in on challenging So when our politicians media, academic and unsustainable ones. them to seize the most do lead us by example, policy leaders is also Above all, the collective powerful leadership of instead of mocking and crucial to this challenge. buy-in to this transition all: leading by example. opposing them, why not We must re-embrace our must incorporate a get behind them? We own agency and capacity mutual obligation to elect them, after all. for elite achievement. safeguard the common public good, and ensure that no one is left behind. NO ONE GETS LEFT BEHIND 13
GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY’S RISK FACTORS There are many urgent reasons why Sydney’s West will lead the way in our whole-of-community transition to more sustainable utilities: AMBITIOUS EXISTING UTILITIES URBAN HEAT A TIMELY GROWTH TARGETS INFRASTRUCTURE ISLAND EFFECT OPPORTUNITY FOR AND MODELS BECOMING A BOLD LEADERSHIP UNDER PRESSURE CRITICAL HEALTH RISK Over the next twenty Meanwhile, much of the The West needs all For our politicians and years, Greater Western existing infrastructure the local cooling and our business leaders, the Sydney (GWS) will in the Sydney’s dense greening it can get. easiest utilities strategy become home to another middle ring is already However quickly the rest of all will be to change 1.5 million people. under stress and some of Sydney is set to heat nothing, remaining That’s a lot of new water, is nearing its end-of-life. up, the searing impact of politically ‘safe’ and energy and waste needs, Especially our ocean heat-absorbing buildings commercially reactive by with the distances outfall feeder networks, and roads, fewer green assuring everyone that involved – for pipes, via which we squander open spaces, heavy what we’ve done in the grids, waste trucks – a whole Sydney Harbour pollution and no sea past will go on working always lengthening. of perfectly good water breezes will always in the future. Until the ‘Business as usual’ each year. Rather than ensure that the west utilities crisis hits, when (BAU) simply won’t cut it. paying a fortune to keep gets hotter, faster, and voters and shareholders pumping that abundant for longer. This is no will invariably demand resource uselessly out to longer just a matter of action. sea, let’s keep its cooling comfort or productivity. and greening qualities In the West, Urban Heat close to home. Island (UHI) effect is now literally a life-or-death issue. WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
HEAT IN GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY This paper is called Western Sydney’s Hot Issue for good reason. We know the world has been warming for at least half a century6. GWS’s higher risk factors mean that those living here have felt it much more than most Sydneysiders. Temperature trends well-documented by the Bureau of Meteorology record, with a sweat-inducing absence of ambiguity, the disproportionately high rate of increase in GWS7: Parts PartsofofWestern WesternSydney, Sydney,such suchasasRichmond, Richmond,will willexperience experienceeven evenmoremoreextreme extremeheat heat days: days:upan ...and uptoalarmingly to6767per peryear year byby2090. Parts iniquitous2090. CSIRO CSIROand of increase Western and the inSydney, the theBureau Bureau such total asofRichmond, number ofMeteorology ofMeteorology days per will year(BoM) (BoM) overproject experience project 35°C even m that thatacross acrossWestern WesternSydney Sydney between between a a quarter quarter andand a a third third ofofsummer summer days: up to 67 per year by 2090. CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorol days days will willbebeover over Parts of Western Sydney, such as Richmond, will experience even more extreme heat 3535degrees degreesbyby2090. 2090. that across Western Sydney between a quarter and a third of summ days: up to 67 per year by 2090. CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) project 35 degrees by 2090. that The across Thedata dataalsoWestern also predicts Sydney predicts large between increasesainquarter largeincreases indays daysover and40a40degrees, over third of summer degrees, from days will fromWestern Western be over Sydney’s Sydney’s 35 degrees historical historical by 2090. average average ofof1 1day dayover The over40 data 40degrees also degrees predicts per per year largeyear upuptoto1212 increases days in days daysover over over 4040 40degrees degrees degrees, per per from year yearbyby2090. 2090.Some SomepartspartsofofWestern Western Sydney Sydney will willexperience experience even even more more historical average of 1 day over 40 degrees per year up to 12 days o extreme extreme heat heat The data also predicts large increases in days over 40 degrees, from Western Sydney’s days, days,including includingRichmond Richmondyearwith with by upuptoto17 2090. 17days Some days per parts peryear of yearover over40Sydney Western 40degrees degreeswillbyby2090. 2090. even m experience historical average of 1 day over 40 degrees per year up to 12 days over 40 degrees per days, including Richmond with up to 17 days per year over 40 degre year by 2090. Climate Climate change changeSome will parts willnot of Western notaffect affecteveryone everyoneSydney equally.willPeople equally. experience PeopleininWesterneven more Western Sydney extreme Sydney will heat willendure endure days, more more including hot hotdays Richmond daysthan thanpeople peoplewith Climate up ininother toparts other change 17 days parts will ofnot per ofthe the year state, over state, affect Greening 40 degrees asasshown everyone Australia, shown based in by inFigure equally. on Burea Figure 2090. 2 2below: People below: of Meteorology indata Western more hot days than people in other parts of the state, as shown in F Climate Figure These change Figure2:numbers 2:Days will Daysover overnot won’t affect 3535degrees degrees surprise everyone inanyone equally. inselected selected People locations livinglocations with in Western the(current (current impact UHISydney policies ofpolicies willGWS. scenario) scenario) effect in endure Modelling by the Australia more hot days than people Institute’s in 2: other Western Sydney Heatwatch 8 shows that the Figure Daysparts overof35the state, as degrees shown inlocations in selected Figure 2 below: (current polici trends will accelerate if we continue Historical Historical utilities 2030 2030 BAU.2070 2050 2050 2070 20902090 Figure 2: Days over 35 degrees in selected locations (current policies scenario) 6767 Historical 2030 2050 2070 2090 7070 5959 67 6060 70Historical 2030 2050 2070 2090 5252 4848 59 67 60 Days per year over 35 degrees 5050 70 4343 4343 52 48 3737 4040 60 50 59 3737 43 3333 52 43 2929 3030 37 37 3030 48 40 2626 50 2525 33 2424 43 2222 43 30 2222 1818 37 29 1919 2020 1515 40 30 25 1515 24 1616 37 1616 26 33 1313 1111 22 1212 2920 8 8 30 18 19 9 9 1010 30 25 15 24 7 7 26 154 47 7 16 22 13 11 22 12 18 19 8 7 0 0 15 20 10 15 16 16 13 11Camden 12 Richmond Richmond Penrith Penrith Camden Parramatta Parramatta Bankstown Bankstown Coogee Coogee 9 0 8 7 7 10 4 Richmond Penrith Camden Parramatta Eastern Bankstown Eastern 0 Going GoingWest West Suburbs Suburbs Richmond Penrith Camden Parramatta Bankstown Going West Coogee 15 Source: Source: CSIRO CSIRO and and Bureau Bureau ofof Meteorology Meteorology (2018) (2018) Climate Climate projections, projections, provided provided onon request request Eastern
WHAT WILL BE THE IMPACT OF HOTTER DAYS — AND MANY MORE OF THEM? Health: Studies suggest that unmitigated UHI effect can increase heat-related deaths in GWS to as many as 14 per 100,000 people, compared to a coastal average of 59. Productivity: Lost productivity due to extreme heat in Australia in 2013-14 was estimated at costing $6.9 billon10. Southeast Australia’s 2009 heatwave blackouts cost its economy $800m and overall caused 874 deaths11. Infrastructure: Hotter temperatures increase stresses on water pipes and pumps, roads and public transport, power lines, substations and transformers. GWS’s electricity demand doubles with a temperature rise from 20 to 40’C12. Amenity: The hotter it gets, the harder and unhappier life becomes for everyone. WHAT DO WE NEED TO DO ON HEAT? To keep our suburbs cooler we’ll need to: Green our local A powerful coolant of urban communities is ‘green infrastructure’. An abundance communities of trees, shrubs, roof gardens, parks, grass and soil surfaces brings with it shade, rainfall and moisture retention, heat reflection and pollution-absorbing photosynthesis. Water our local More local green infrastructure needs more local ‘blue infrastructure’. Not simply communities irrigation of parks and rejuvenation of rivers, but fully integrated Water Sensitive Urban Design (WSUD). Natural watercourses and catchments, urban ponds, pools and canals all directly mitigate UHI effect through enhanced convective and evaporative cooling. Plan for natural WSUD should be aligned with built design at all scales that maximises other urban cooling natural heat mitigation strategies: airflow, orientation, size and architectural shade, cooling surface, material and colour choices, window and door designs, and internal watering. And, of course, On the larger, collective scale, everything and anything at our local community reduce GHG level – big or small – that reduces the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions that are emissions warming the planet will ultimately help put the brake on the temperature in our back yards, too. Think global, act local on emissions! WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
WATER IN GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY The first and most important thing we need to do to cool down is some hard looking at — and thinking about – how we supply ourselves with water and how we could do it a whole lot smarter. The current terrible drought is heart-breaking for all Australians, especially those directly impacted. But it’s also a red herring when it comes to improving how coastal city dwellers manage water resources. We must grasp that the important question when it comes to provisioning our water sustainably is not ‘How much do we have?’ It’s ‘how cleverly do we use what we have?’ On the first question, Sydneysiders have always been lucky. We live in a lush river-fed basin surrounded by friendly hills which offer ample natural water catchments, convenient dam sites and powerful gravity-pumping. Even in droughts, our region’s rainfall is relatively reliable. While Warragamba Dam, the source of 80% of our potable water, is low right now13, it’s still holding about a trillion litres, around two years’ worth if we’re frugal. Given the plight of others we’d be gracious to see it as half-full rather than half-empty. Especially since the Sydney Desalination Plant can top up our supply with 250 million litres daily from the Pacific Ocean. That capacity may soon double, meaning that regardless of rainfall it alone could supply a third of our daily needs14. Compared to the rest of Australia, Sydney is not ‘suffering’ from drought. And we probably never will be. All the more reason to take an honest look at the questions that really matter. HOW MUCH WATER DO WE WASTE? Even compared only to other east coast city regions – a lot. It’s not really our fault, and as our adherence to restrictions in the last major drought proved, we can be as self-disciplined with water as any Australian. We’ll examine why (and how to change it) later, but the awkward fact is that on water efficiency, Sydney is currently under-performing. 17
Our performance and five-year plan 2.1 Water use in 2017-18 2017-18 Total water use (potable water and unfiltered water) 4, including 599,885 million litres (or 600 GL) • Residential sector 65% • Non-residential sector (industrial, commercial and 24% government properties) • Non-revenue water including leaks 11% (including 9% from leakage) Observed average water use per person 324 litres a day (or 118 kL a year) Weather corrected average per person water demand 306 litres a day (or 112 kL a year) Historical Demand in Sydney Population (million)* Water Demand (GL/yr)^ Demand corrected for weather 700 5.5 Water Water Restrictions Water Wise Rules Restrictions 650 5.0 Water Demand (GL/yr) 600 Population (million) 4.5 550 4.0 500 3.5 450 400 3.0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Financial Year Ending June * estimated ^ not corrected for weather Figure 2-1 Despite a 25% increase in population the total demand for drinking water remains lower Sydney than itWater figures did before show mandatory we can restrictions slash were usage introduced rates in late 2003.when we try.thatFurther, It is estimated the hotter the rise drier in demand from 2012 weather in 2017-18 resultedmostly reflects in a 33 GL increasepopulation not per in demand compared capita to what wouldgrowth. be expected in a our Nonetheless, year with average weather consumption is conditions. still too high compared to Melbourne and Brisbane.15 4 Sectoral splits are estimated based on available consumption data for period April 2017 to March 2018. Water use by metropolitan jurisdiction Residential litres per capita per day Water Conservation Report | 2017-2018 Page | 5 Sydney 210 Melbourne 161 (target of 155) Brisbane/Gold Coast 169 Water cost and pricing Residential, per 1000 litres Sydney $2.28, flat rate, public monopoly Melbourne $2.64 - $4.62 (volume scale), retail (example Yarra Valley Water) competition Brisbane/Gold Coast $2.915, public wholesale supplier Figures: 15 16 17 18 19 Sydney Water Corporation Million litres per day leakage losses15 2014-15 99 2015-16 103 2016-17 114 2017-18 129.5 = over 25L per day per capita! WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
WATER RECYCLING: HOW DO WE RATE? THE “RIGHT WATER FOR THE RIGHT JOB” One word: embarrassingly. Especially as the biggest Water recycling is a discussion we can’t avoid, city in the driest continent! however awkward. Deemed too delicate and divisive, to date merely raising the issue can send some of Last year Sydney recycled only 6.7% of our total water us jumping to conclude we’ll be forced to drink our provisioning budget20, with most of the rest flushed own sewerage. What is needed is a more nuanced out to sea. discussion about water’s true worth, as a precious and endlessly re-usable resource to be carefully Internationally, Israel leads the world, recycling about husbanded. 90% of its ‘used’ water21. Cyprus (90% of wastewater reused for irrigation)22 sets the pace for a Europe The banal fact is that we’re awash in ‘recycled’ rapidly if belatedly recalibrating its aspirations, with water already. Sydney’s Desalination Plant pumps Spain already managing 20%23. Other middle-eastern 250 million litres into our taps daily (saltwater and countries, such as Kuwait (35%)24, have long reused wastewater processing is essentially the same). Last water well. Closer to home, Singapore’s ‘NEWater’ year St Marys Recycling Plant added 10.5 billion now meets approximately 40% of its needs, too25. litres to the Nepean River.30 It already keeps many Even in the USA, for years, about 10% of municipal parks, ovals and golf courses green and lush, and wastewater has been recycled or reused26. those few of us with dual water systems on tap have the luxury of ‘purple pipes’, for keeping their gardens Here at home, Perth has increased its wastewater alive and their cars clean, without any drought-time reuse by 70% over the last decade, and is aiming guilt. Meanwhile industrial users, such as those for 45% recycling by 203027. Adelaide at 31%28 and supplied by the Rosehill Recycled Water Scheme, Melbourne (9.5%)29 are both ahead of us, while on have come to regard their recycled feedstock as small scales some rural town recycling arrangements far superior to regular tap water, offering many stack up with the world’s best. commercial advantages. So, it’s not that we can’t do it. In fact, Australians While nomenclature is important, we can’t get stuck developed much of the world’s best-practice water on whether we refer to ‘recycled’ water, ‘premium’ recycling technology. water or ‘new’ water, when what we really mean is the right water for the right job. EACH YEAR WE PUMP TEN PROSPECT RESERVOIRS OF DRINKING WATER DOWN FROM THE HILLS, THEN MILES OUT TO SEA…BARELY USING IT ON THE WAY THROUGH OUR SWELTERING CONCRETE JUNGLE. 19
WHAT DO WE NEED TO DO ON WATER? REDUCE PER USE THE RIGHT REDUCE OUR RATE KEEP AS MUCH CAPITA POTABLE WATER FOR THE OF LEAKAGE LOSS WATER AS CLOSE TO WATER USE RIGHT JOB HOME AS WE CAN Melbournians consume Counting all water use, The hotter and drier The ultimate aim is around 160 litres per Sydneysiders splash the ground, the more to keep more water day, approaching their through 320 litres of prone the water pipes circulating in our target of 155 litres using drinkable water each, running through it are communities, greening price signals, a few every day.33 Considering to cracking, shifting — and cooling us. The NSW rules and a whole-of- that few of us would and leakage. Our high Premier’s Priorities set community campaign.31 actually drink more than and increasing loss rate a target of planting one In Sydney, though per 1% of that, there is vast isn’t due to laziness or million trees over the capita consumption has scope for more efficient incompetence from our next three years. To do started reducing from supply chain optionality. water sector, but rather that, they’ll need a lot last year’s 210 daily a ‘cost-benefit’ outcome of the water that we’re litres32, we must do even of water that’s cheaper currently flushing out to better. to let fritter away than sea, rather than using invest in salvaging our drinking water — a maintenance. large proportion of which is also coming from the sea via desalination, at great financial and GHG emissions cost. WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
WASTE IN GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY NATIONAL WASTE REPORT: GENERATION AND RECOVERY Inextricably entwined with changes to how we manage our water resources will be a big rethink on our waste. Like most developed countries, Australia produces a problematic amount of waste. In 2016-17, about 67 million tonnes (Mt) of waste, or 2.7t each. Of this, 54 Mt was ‘core waste’, managed by the waste and resource recovery industry, comprising 20.4 Mt from the commercial and industrial sector (C&I), 20.4 Mt from construction and demolition (C&D), and 13.8 Mt of municipal solid waste (MSW). Thirty-seven million tonnes was recycled, 2 Mt otherwise recovered — and 27 Mt dumped in landfill or stockpiles.34 HOW DO WE STACK UP GLOBALLY? Comparison with similar developed countries puts our waste efficiency into perspective34: 8.2 Municipal waste Country generation and Australia fate Denmark Norway UK USA This subsection compares 2016-17 MSW generation and fate in Australia with selected countries. The data Recyclingfor presented rate 62from Australia is 68 all jurisdictions apart 41 (2017), which attempts sourced from Eunomia 74 to 45 % report a consistent definition of MSW generation and recycling rate for a selection of developed countries Total for 2016 reporting period25. It 63 theresource 94rate as the percentage defines the recycling 78 of materials75 recycled, 49 recovery % composted and digested divided by the MSW generated. Australia’s Total 2016-17 recovery ratesMSW data include was adjusted toshowing waste-to-energy, be as consistent as possible just how far ahead thewith the Eunomia leading definitions. European nations are in This included embracing removing next-gen all masonry energy materials technologies, suchfrom the MSW as clean stream. and biogas capture and use. incineration MUNICIPAL SOLID Figure 35 compares theWASTE adjusted per capita MSW generation in Australia with other nations as published in Eunomia This (2017). and local government rubbish we all generate in our homes and communities. Adjusted is the household comparisons provide useful context for the waste performance we’re each able to improve in our daily lives34: Figure 35 Comparison of MSW generation and recycling rates in selected countries The average MSW waste generation across the reported countries was around 500 kg per capita. Australia’s Average adjusted MSW (developed world)waste MSW generation generationwas about500 is about 540kg kgper percapita, capita or 9%approximately with higher than the 50%average. of it recycled. Adjusted, Australia generates 540 kg per capita or 9% over average, and recycles a below-par 45%.34 The average MSW recycling rate was about 50%. Australia’s adjusted MSW recycling rate was about 45%. 21 Australia’s MSW generation and recycling rates are not far from the average of the countries compared.
Comparison of recycling alone masks the extent to which other countries further recover their non-recycled MSW — via waste-to-energy. For example, the Netherlands has a total ban on 35 kinds of household waste going to landfill, meaning that the vast majority of the 54% they can’t recycle goes to waste-to-energy (12% of the country’s energy generation) or clean incineration (with burn residuals in turn captured and repurposed).35 In Sweden, about half of the 98% of household waste that is recovered is incinerated for energy.36 In Australia, almost all of the 270-280 kg of household waste we each generate yearly but don’t recycle now goes into our bursting landfills — and ugly stockpiles. FOOD WASTE Of this MSW, in 2016-17 a total of 5.0 Mt was food waste, or around 200 kg of wasted food each (about 36% of our average weekly bin contents34. Only 18% of this is recycled, with 76% going to landfill, producing vast amounts of environmentally disastrous methane.37 The opportunity cost, in lost potential energy from food waste, is also huge. In other words, there’s still plenty of gains to be made in our own backyards and bins when it comes to our daily waste. The good news is that nationally, we’re heading in the right direction, having reduced MSW since 2006 by about 10% per capita while increasing by 11% what we do recycle of it.34 As with our water efficiency, when we put our minds to it we can easily do better on rubbish too. NSW WASTE GENERATION AND RECYCLING The 2016-17 national figures for NSW are partly estimates only, due to recent changes in data collection, but they give us an idea of where the state stands. NSW VIC QLD WA SA TAS ACT NT AUS Core waste (annual, Mt) 18.1 13.7 11.2 5.2 4 0.9 0.9 0.4 54.4 Tonne per capita 2.37 2.13 2.25 2.01 1.15 1.71 2.15 1.62 2.16 Recycling rate 59 68 44 53 78 49 49 11 58 % Total resource recovery 62 72 47 57 82 53 53 15 62 % All figures National Waste Report34 WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
While overall NSW recycling and recovery rates are around par, Australian averages tend to be dragged upwards by generally good rates of C&I and C&D waste recovery. In NSW construction is booming, likely skewing our comparative performance. According to the EPA38 last year our generation had risen to just over 20 Mt of waste, 4.25 Mt of it now MSW. Recent changes in overseas markets for recycling material plus the freeze this year on the significant Mixed Waste Organic Output (MWOO) recycling industry – plus of course Sydney’s ever-expanding population – puts more pressure on us than most parts of Australia to lift our household waste game. NSW WASTE AND RESOURCE RECOVERY (WARR) STRATEGY 2014-21 AND UPDATES Our state’s 2014-15 WARR Strategy39 set out six clear key goals, of which four are directly within our individual capacity to pitch in on. Results so far40 show we have more work to do: KEY RESULT AREA 2020-21 TARGET 2017-18 UPDATE Avoid/reduce waste generation Reduce waste per capita 15% increase Increase recycling Increase MSW recycling to 70% 42% (no change) Divert more waste from landfill Increase diversion to 75% 65% (up 2%) Reduce litter 40% reduction (2016-17) 30% reduction Before we get too glum, note again that the construction boom and robust economic activity associated with it have contributed significantly to overall per capita generation. Changes to data collection methods, including more accurate reporting from waste recovery facilities, are yet to fully wash through the system, too. We’re also making solid progress on litter reduction, a Premier’s Priority nudged along by a focused Litter Prevention Strategy. But in a fast-growing Sydney, we’re not doing as well as we must. Because all that rubbish has to go somewhere. 23
SO WHERE WILL IT ALL GO? Landfill A 2017 EPA audit identified a NSW capacity of 31.8 million tonnes of putrescible landfill space a year, representing an annual ‘gap’ of 742,000t which relied on meeting WARR targets41. There are now only two landfills taking Sydney’s putrescent rubbish – at Woodlawn (operated by Veolia), and at Lucas Heights (SUEZ). No new landfills have been approved for a decade.42 For Sydney, burying our rubbish is a rapidly diminishing option. Export For years we’ve dispatched it on trucks, trains and ships, despite an EPA ‘proximity law’ prohibiting transport of our waste over 150km from source. In 2016-17 up to 690,000 tonnes of Sydney’s C&D43 waste was sent to Queensland (to avoid our local levies), forcing that state to impose levies to degrade its economic viability as our dumping ground44. As for overseas, annually NSW exports 420,000 tonnes of waste paper alone45, but this avenue too is narrowing. Recycling and While recycling has steadily become a central component of our waste sector and Recovery is now set for a major scale-up, recovery of the latent energy in the waste we can’t recycle is an option Australians still resist. This is of particular relevance to GWS, where waste-to-energy projects have been rejected over the last decade, despite quantum improvements in the public health and environmental credentials of the technology, and the embrace of it internationally. Sensitively evolving public attitudes towards proposals like an Eastern Creek waste-to-energy incinerator, back on the table again after rejection only eighteen months ago on ‘social license’ grounds, will be a key leadership task during our utilities transition. WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
“IT’S OUR WASTE WASTE AND GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY AND IT’S OUR Waste management in GWS is as in the rest of Sydney: a mixed bin- RESPONSIBILITY.” bag. Some Councils achieve generation and recycling rates better than The Hon. Scott Morrison, MP average, some worse. There are great local initiatives underway in GWS, Prime Minister of Australia47 but a rethink on waste is especially critical to the region, because GWS invariably gets lumped with everyone’s. Whether it’s new-gen waste- to-energy proposals as above, or just the existing array of landfills, stockpiles, treatment centres and waste truck convoys (10% of all heavy traffic in Sydney46), the region must accommodate much of the sector infrastructure. With this in mind, the Dialogue believes GWS must lead on the transition of our waste management to a more sustainable future, exploiting the potential jobs and skills on offer but, importantly, also ensuring the rest of Sydney fairly pulls its weight in funding support and behaviour change. CHINA’S NATIONAL SWORD POLICY & COAG RESPONSE In 2016-17 Australia exported a record high 4.3Mt of bundled-up waste for recycling overseas, but China’s ‘National Sword’ policy of tougher contamination standards on imported recycling feedstock saw its traditionally high share of our junk already declining sharply (by 40%). Since then other Asian markets for our rubbish have begun tightening restrictions too, upending a well-established export market that at its peak took about 43% of our discarded metals, 70% of our plastic and 43% of our paper and cardboard for recycling.34 In response, Prime Minister Morrison and the Council of Australian Governments agreed in August 2019 to work towards a ban on all recycling exports, flagging a major revitalisation and expansion of the local industry47. In NSW the government has responded with a $47 million package as part of its ongoing Waste Less, Recycle More campaign, to assist councils and recyclers in transitioning to the supply chain ‘new normal’.48 Meanwhile, NSW’s Energy & Environment Minister is developing a 20-Year Waste Strategy and a Circular Economy one, too. 25
5R: WHAT DO WE NEED TO DO ON WASTE? REDUCE Change the language and idea of ‘waste’ REUSE Rubbish, junk, waste — all literal and figurative throwaway words. We must REPURPOSE instead reimagine all the things we consume as ‘5Resources’, to be used and reused as ‘multiple-entry feedstocks’ in a ‘Hierarchy of Waste’ circular supply RECYCLE chain. RECOVER Reduce our per capita waste production The most powerful 5R supply chain option is to Reduce the amount we generate by buying less and using what we do more efficiently. Over half a ton of household rubbish each a year puts us in the world’s top twenty of the world’s most wasteful countries per capita49. Reuse and repurpose Reuse and repurpose what we used to throw away wherever possible. Improve EVERY link in our Recycling supply chain This will not just need governments and the waste industry to expand our recycling infrastructure and capacity. Diligent 5R ‘feedstock quality control’ with our kerbside bin sorting will be critical to making more recycling economically viable. Help grow new markets for 5R feedstocks We need to deploy our individual consumer power in the same way government and business procurement choices should: to grow viable 5R markets. Buy recycled paper. Don’t buy single-use plastics. Switch to biodegradable takeaway coffee cups. Evolve our 5R Recovery Social License We’ll all need to rethink what we’ll accept, including in our own back yards, as necessary to manage our consumption sustainably. Better recovery of 5R that can’t be recycled will need more treatment facilities and energy-to-waste projects, demanding open-mindedness, goodwill — and fair sharing of the collective community burden. WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
UPGRADING OUR UTILITIES: LINEAR TO CIRCULAR To transition from the old Linear to a new Circular Economy Utilities Model... Linear Utility Model Circular Economy Model products/ materials products/ water energy water energy materials 5G 5G 5G Single-use telcos Multiple circular re-use 5G 5G Discard excess Recovery … we’ll have to solve a lot of very complex problems BY GETTING IT RIGHT WE CAN ENSURE: A cooler, greener, smarter, more sustainable future • Retaining our cooling, greening water locally, in order to use the right water for the right job • Diversifying and integrating our sources of energy generation, reducing our carbon footprint • Creating less rubbish and harvesting more of it as abundant 5Resources for re-use • Cost-sharing more truly across the whole supply chain, reducing our impact on the planet A supercharged ‘next-gen’ Green Economy and a workforce to drive it • Building an integrated utilities Australia will demand a complete recalibration of our economy • Green utilities research and development, financing, planning, engineering and construction • A new green utilities high-skills workforce, working to a visionary, multigenerational blueprint • Limitless opportunities for new export markets in green utilities IP and green energy A new standard of sustainable living for all • Our whole-of-community transition can be a nation-building project on an epic scale • Aligning Australian technology, ingenuity and egalitarian aspiration • Setting a new standard of sustainable living FOR EVERYONE ON THE PLANET TO SHARE. 27
SOME KEY CHALLENGES – AND OPPORTUNITIES “I THINK THAT THE UTILITIES INTEGRATION AND ENGINEERING AT SCALE REGULATORS ARE Although it’s the isolated laboratory breakthroughs that capture public STRUGGLING TO attention and dominate discussions, this aspect of transition will UNDERSTAND arguably be the least problematic. Just as our climate change experts have been way ahead of us on the science, our research engineers THE CIRCULAR are well advanced in refining the individual components of our future ECONOMY integrated utilities. The real trick will be fitting them all together at large BUSINESS scales. MODELS.” INVESTMENT DE-RISKING Lisa McLean, Somebody has to pay for the transition, and disruptive change is Chief Executive Officer, never risk-free. Securing the billions that will be needed over long ROI Open Cities Alliance50 timelines, for integrated utilities projects even the utilities experts themselves haven’t fully conceptualised yet, is a huge financial challenge. COST-DISTRIBUTION AND PRICING Equally complex will be customer cost distribution and pricing mechanisms once they are completed. Current linear arrangements make it viable to price in user-pays certainty and distribute shared asset costs equally with service charges. But when the whole point of transition is to move away from large, environmentally-unsustainable frameworks – getting us all progressively ‘off grid’ – who’ll pay for those common infrastructure components still needed? The energy sector is already grappling with the even thornier matter of ‘prosumers’: renewable energy (RE) producer-consumers who don’t want to ‘chip in’ for the shared electricity grid they think they’ll no longer need, instead expecting to be paid for their RE inputs back into it. PUBLIC UTILITIES, PRIVATE PROPERTY Then there’s the matter of ownership and jurisdiction – and finding somewhere to put things. Sydney’s existing utilities were largely created on our then-plentiful public lands. These days – in the greenfields of the Western Sydney Airport and the Aerotropolis especially – most suitable land is privately owned. And expensive! WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
“HOW THE HELL MANAGEMENT AND CO-ORDINATION ARE WE GOING How will we coordinate the long process of transitional integration? TO CREATE A Public-private partnerships? Joint commercial ventures? Re- PUBLIC DOMAIN nationalisation? There are growing calls for a state-appointed ‘Utilities Commissioner’, potentially sitting within the Greater Sydney [FOR INTEGRATED Commission, to coordinate this activity across the rapidly growing and UTILITIES] WHEN developing Sydney area. WE DON’T OWN ANY AN EVOLVING UTILITIES ‘SOCIAL LICENSE’ LAND?” Last – and anything but the least of our challenges – will be ensuring Geoff Roberts AM, that everyone, in every community, is included in the transition. The Chief Coordinator, change in the way we provision ourselves will demand above all else Western Parkland City50 a recalibration of our shared utilities ‘social license’. The most vital task will be ensuring no-one gets left behind, or lumped with the easy ‘solution’ to everyone else’s utilities needs. We cannot outsource problems to others. 29
RECOMMENDATIONS WE LEARN BEST by ‘having a go’, so here are some specific policy ideas to kick the transition along. Our recommendations seek to contribute to a whole-of-community approach from a few different angles, while adding to the public discussion that’s already well underway. WESTERN SYDNEY’S HOT ISSUE| westernsydney.org.au | December 2019
1 PUTTING THE WATER MARKET TO WORK THE DIALOGUE RECOMMENDS THAT A TARGET OF 100GL/20% OF RECYCLED WATER IN SYDNEY’S WATER BUDGET BY 2030 BE MADE A STANDING PREMIER’S PRIORITY GETTING THE BEST OF BOTH WORLDS Sydney’s water marketplace isn’t working as well as it could — and must. Making the necessary strategic changes won’t be easy, because like our national electricity system, our water utilities have become a complicated machine of many moving parts. As things stand, these often have clashing imperatives. We’re all aware of the agonised evolution now finally underway in our even more complex energy marketplaces. Sydney’s water sector faces very similar transition challenges. PUBLIC MONOPOLY TO MIXED MARKET For over a century our water and wastewater services were provided by a straightforward public utility under the direct control of our elected politicians and their public servants, funded by taxpayers and delivered via centralised budgeting, planning and management. It’s easy to overlook just how brilliantly it has worked. Our evolving Water Board, and since 1995 its corporatised descendant, Sydney Water Corporation (SWC)51, has unfussily furnished us all with a mundane daily miracle on a mass scale: unlimited clean water and impeccable sanitation. No one familiar with the many international cities that still lack these basics will take this magnificent achievement for granted. But after corporatisation in 1995, it quickly became clear that to ensure the realisation of its full benefits – efficiencies, innovation, investment diversity and sustainability – the broad monopoly SWC retains needed a commercial nudge. In 2006 the Water Industry Competition Act (WICA) set out the rules and roadmap by which private water companies could enter – enhance, invigorate — the ever- dependable stalwart’s domain. The detailed history of how it’s since unfolded is complicated, often contentious, and beyond this paper’s scope. It’s certainly not a simple tale of ‘good guys’, ‘bad guys’ and the relative merits of public versus private activity. Continued bickering about yesterday simply risks squandering the world-class expertise in both camps, united in their passion to show us non-experts what they can really do with our water, if only we’d extend them the upgraded marketplace — and recalibrated social license – to empower them to get on with it together. 31
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