Grassroots Restaurants 2018 - SPOTLIGHT Savills China Research Retail

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Grassroots Restaurants 2018 - SPOTLIGHT Savills China Research Retail
Savills China Research
                                    Retail

SPOTLIGHT
Grassroots Restaurants             2018

                           savills.com.cn/research
Grassroots Restaurants 2018 - SPOTLIGHT Savills China Research Retail
Grassroots Restaurants

                              Hunger Breeds
                              Discontent

                               Diving into a RMB3.9 trillion market

                              T
                                       here are believed to be at least six million   The varied taste of consumers in different parts of    however, the majority of the F&B market still
                                       restaurants in China. The food & beverage      the country also generates significant competition     belongs to small and medium size enterprises
                                       (F&B) industry generated RMB3.9 trillion in    and opportunities. Overseas frontrunners have          (SMEs). In 2016, 74% of the industry's revenue
                              revenue in 2017 according to the National Bureau        already established a foothold in China. Starbucks     was contributed by F&B operators with annual
                              of Statistics, accounting for 11% of total retail       currently owns over 400 stores in Shanghai, while      sales below RMB2 million.
                              sales. The sector is also taking an increasingly        McDonalds owns approximately 250 stores in
                              large share in the tenant mix of shopping malls, up     Beijing. Leading local brands are also becoming        In this report, we take a look at a selection of small
                              from less than 20% to more than 30%. Some new           stronger than ever. China’s leading hot pot brand      scale F&B operations that are run by individual
                              projects even allocate over 50% to F&B tenants.         Haidilao operates over 150 restaurants in 50 cities;   partners who are passionate about food. We
                                                                                                                                             talked to 20 restaurateurs in Beijing, Shanghai,
                                                                                                                                             Guangzhou and Shenzhen to better understand
                                                                                                                                             their costs, challenges and future plans. The
                                                                                                                                             background of our interviewees varies from those
                                                                                                                                             who have previous experience in the F&B industry,
                              Figure 1: Tier-1 city restaurants, by cuisine                                                                  while others come from accountancy, advertising,
                                                                                                                                             financial to IT or education sectors. These
                                                                                                                                             restaurants range from a smaller 20 sq m coffee
                                                                      Western                   Non-western
                                                                                                                                             shop to a 400 sq m Cantonese food restaurant.

                                                                                                                                             The business model of individual restaurateurs is
                              100%                                                                                                           definitely different from established restaurant
                                                                                                                                             chains. A number of the restaurants surveyed
                                                                                                                                             opened their first outlets in street stores rather
                                                Shanghai                   Beijing         Guangzhou                Shenzhen                 than shopping malls. Food accounts for the
                              80%
                                                                                                                                             largest cost, though staff management is one of
                                                                                                                                             the key concerns. Thanks to the Internet, small
                                                                                                                                             restaurants can gain more exposure to the public
                              60%
                                                                                                                                             through key opinion leaders (KOLs) on Weibo and
                                                                                                                                             WeChat where social media users are eager and
                                                                                                                                             excited to discover up-and-coming stores.
                              40%

                              20%

                              0%

                              Source: Euromonitor, Dianping, EY, Savills Research

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Grassroots Restaurants 2018 - SPOTLIGHT Savills China Research Retail
Grassroots Restaurants

    Looking for Something New?
    Here today, gone tomorrow.

    T
            he first step is always the most difficult. All   Consumers are willing to pay a premium for             capitalize on these factors to seize the                                                                    up roughly the same amount in costs for                 Another issue that restaurateurs need to consider
            of our interviewees have utilized their own
            capital with no external investments. The
                                                              artisanal products. It could be the cheese-
                                                              cream-topped green tea, a bagel made with
                                                                                                                     consumers’ appetite with their quality and
                                                                                                                     variety.
                                                                                                                                                                                  The User base of                               traditional non-delivery operators, there are very
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 few savings in moving to a pure delivery business.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         is that just like paying higher rents for physical
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         space in more visible locations, with more F&B
    boom in the F&B sector has attracted waves of             French flour, spicy frogs mixed with noodles or                                                                    online food delivery                            Nevertheless, a restaurant that utilizes both           operators crowding the online platforms, vendors
    money into the industry—though the vast majority          Cantonese barbecue made by a renowned chef.                                                                                                                        platforms is able to enhance sales volumes and          will increasingly need to pay extra for search
    has found its way to the established brands rather        Things aside from food can also draw customers,         Delivery service                                                                                           better offset fixed costs. Cost savings are not         engine optimisation, advertisements and the like.
    than start-ups. Leading brands have an easier             such as a three-metre high doll, minimalistic                                                                                                                      purely limited to extra space, but also the cost of
    time as they have both higher affordability and           decorations or anything worthy to share on social      Delivery services have grown dramatically since                                                             wait staff. At the end of the day, every restaurant
    stronger bargaining power to secure good                  media.                                                 the third-party delivery services such as Ele.me                                                            and F&B outlet is different in terms of price point,

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    locations.                                                                                                       and Meituan launched. According to China                                                                    product range, cost breakdown, marketing
                                                              The essence of a restaurant, however, is always        Internet Network Information Centre (CNNIC), the                                                            strategy, customer demographics and scalability.
    Consumers will tend to choose established                 its food. In recent years, food safety and             user base of online food delivery surged by 64.6%                                                           For some, it may make sense for part or all of their
    restaurant chains in shopping malls, where they           restaurant sanitation scandals have made               to 343 million users in 2017. Meituan estimated                                                             sales to be done online and delivered to
    are more assured of food quality. Grassroots              consumers more aware of what they are eating,          that 4% of revenue from the F&B industry was                             million                            customers, for others it may not.
    restaurants, on the other hand, need something to         where it is coming from and who is preparing it,       generated from delivery services in 2016 and that
    distinguish themselves from other F&B outlets.            and they are willing to pay premium for peace of       this figure would increase to 10% by 2018.                                                                  A few of our interviewees mentioned the
                                                              mind. Products with natural ingredients and less                                                                                                                   importance of interacting and communicating with
                                                              preservatives are becoming more popular, which         Due to food safety regulations, the number of pure                                                          customers as a way to improve their operations or
     Innovation, artisanship, passion                         might explain why the number of salad shops and        delivery F&B operations is very limited (snacks and                                                         adjust their menus, but delivery services seem to
     and credibility                                          light food restaurants are exploding. Some of the      drinks kiosks are an exception); nevertheless, we                                                           be breaking this connection.
                                                              restaurateurs we interviewed have spent over 40        do see an increasing number of 30 to 40 sq m
    Some restaurants have concentrated on a limited           percent of their cost on food, hoping to establish a   micro stores with only enough seating for five to                                                           Restaurants are also not just about receiving
    range of products—becoming specialists in order           reputation of quality.                                 ten customers. Such stores are either serving                                                               nutritional sustenance, but also an important
    to eke out an advantage over their competitors.                                                                  highly specialised products, are take-away stores                                                           social activity. Delivery service will have an impact
    This normally comes hand-in-hand with a store             The future remains promising with household            or are looking to use the space for branding while                                                          on sales in the same way that ecommerce has,
    facelift and product innovation. Milk tea and juice       sizes shrinking, more people getting used to           relying on deliveries as the main source of                                                                 but it is unlikely to reach the same given existing
    shops are a great example: stores are upgrading           eating out and consumers’ palates refining. The        revenue. While some restaurants may look at                                                                 limitations. Nevertheless, restaurateurs may start
    their image from RMB10-15 per cup cheap drinks            trend is particularly clear in the wealthier           delivery being the whole business, others will                                                              taking into account deliveries when they look at
    to a customized, health-conscious, higher-quality,        Chinese cities with high population densities          continue to rely upon in-store sales, treating        Third-party delivery companies will typically         store locations, sizes and layouts to meet the
    no-additive RMB20-40 cup of milk tea.                     where there are open-minded consumers who              deliveries as icing on the cake.                      charge vendors roughly 15%-35% of sales value         needs of all customers.
                                                              are willing to spend. Restaurateurs can                                                                      for a single delivery. Given that rental rates make

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Grassroots Restaurants 2018 - SPOTLIGHT Savills China Research Retail
Grassroots Restaurants

    Costs and Challenges                                                                                                                                                       食材成本占比最高,
     Food material is the highest cost, but labour is the key concern.                                                                                                         但最大挑战
                                                                                                                                                                               来自人力因素
    W
               hat is the most challenging aspect             drinks shop; however, for a fine dining restaurant,
               about running an F&B store? 39% of             the percentage could be as high as 40%.
               our interviewees highlighted staff
    recruitment and management as the top concern,            Even for restaurants operating in the same sector,
    followed by branding (22%), which includes how            the F&B costs as a percentage of total expenses
    to promote the brand, maintain customer loyalty           could vary by up to 10 to 20 percentage points
    and increase footfall.                                    between restaurants. This is largely down to the
                                                              owners’ business strategy—some owners
    17% of interviewees put location as the number            emphasizing high-quality raw materials and offset
    one challenge; in particular, they are worried about      the additional cost by choosing a more affordable
    the higher cost for shopping malls and the                store location on a secondary or tertiary street in
    difficulty in finding a suitable street store with full   the city centre. Patrons discover the venue by
    licenses and qualifying facilities.                       word of mouth or through online review sites
                                                              rather than by stumbling upon them in expensive
    Although regulations in the F&B sector can be             high footfall locations.
    onerous, it is still a relatively minor concern for
    many of our interviewees—only 11% picked it as a
    key concern. Regulatory oversight can vary
    significantly depending upon the type of food
    preparation and kitchen, with Chinese restaurants
    typically requiring higher health and safety                                                                                                                              The increase of salary
    standards than cafés and dessert stores.
                                                                                                                                                                                in accommodation
                                                                                                                                                                               and catering service
     F&B costs
    For the restaurants interviewed, food material
    costs are the largest daily expense, accounting for
    over a third of the total cost on average. However,
    this percentage varies between stores
    significantly—more so than labour and rent.
    Statistics from China General Chamber of
    Commerce indicates that F&B costs typically
    account for 27% of the operational expenses for a

                                                                                                                     Staff salary and recruitment
    Figure 2: Cost distribution
                                                                                                                    Labour costs are the second highest cost for
                                                                                                                    grassroots restaurants, accounting for 27% of
                                                                                                                    total costs. This percentage is very close to the
                                                                                                                    national average for mature F&B outlets—24% of
              Food material:          32%                                                                           the total cost. Average national salary for SMEs’
                                                                                                                    employees in the accommodation and catering
                                                                                                                    industry increased 8.9% in 2016 to RMB2,893 per
              Labour:                 27%                           27%                                             month. A waiter in China’s first tier cities however

              Rent:                   23%
                                                                                         32%                        can cost RMB4,000 to 5,000 per month plus
                                                                                                                    accommodation.

              Others:                 18%                           23%         18%
                                                                                                                    Store managers also often complain about high
                                                                                                                    staff turnover rates. High turnover requires
                                                                                                                    managers to spend time and effort finding
                                                                                                                    replacements and training. New staff who are not       Wage inflation is hard to control, especially if you
                                                                                                                    yet familiar with the menu, certain practices or       want to reduce turnover, but overall labour costs
                                                                                                                    know regulars will also impact the restaurant’s        can be controlled and reduced by the adoption of
                                                                                                                    image and level of service. Managers consumed          new IT systems that enable ordering and paying
                                                                                                                    with training new staff have little time to focus on   online. Some restaurant operators may also adopt
    Source: Savills Research
                                                                                                                    other aspects of running the business.                 cafeteria-style service, ask customers to return

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Grassroots Restaurants 2018 - SPOTLIGHT Savills China Research Retail
Grassroots Restaurants

                                                                                                                                                                      From street to mall                                                                                            constantly under pressure to grow revenues and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     control costs rather than investing in the future
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     and developing a local client base.

                                                                                                                                                                       The growing influence of shopping malls and ecommerce                                                         Street stores have better visibility, a tremendous
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     amount of variety, longer lease term and,
                                                                                                                                                                       platforms is not good news for grassroots stores.                                                             potentially, a relatively stable customer base. The
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     restaurants we surveyed had a lease for 4.8 years
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     on average, which gives owners ample time to fine
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     tune business operations and brand image and

                                                                                                                                                                      W
                                                                                                                                                                                 e randomly selected 50 start-up F&B           provided to residents or is required by the           develop a sustainable business. A more unique
                                                                                                                                                                                 brands which are on the “hot list” at         government, rather than a focal point for the         consumer experience helps to establish customer
                                                                                                                                                                                 Dianping in Shanghai. Most have less          development. It therefore often lacks diversity and   loyalty.
                                                                                                                                                                      than three stores while a few have four or five.         an enriched retail ambiance.
                                                                                                                                                                      Results indicate that 60% started their business                                                               Street stores also enjoy longer and more flexible
                                                                                                                                                                      from a street store location. However, 64% of the        With shopping malls offering a one-stop shop for      operating hours. Malls tend to, for the majority of
                                                                                                                                                                      operators decided to open their second store             most conveniences, strong connectivity and a          vendors, require fixed operating times, typically
                                                                                                                                                                      within a shopping mall, showing that a presence in       growing share of retail stock, more diners are        10am to 9pm. This can sometimes be difficult for
                                                                                                                                                                      a mainstream location is important when trying to        choosing to go to restaurants in shopping malls. A    new start-ups that are open every hour possible to
                                                                                                                                                                      build a brand and expand a business (Figure 4).          total of ten million square metres of shopping mall   maximize business revenues, often with the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               space is expected to complete in the coming three     founder running the business themselves.
                                                                                                                                                                      Most of our interviewees operate out of street           years in the four first tier cities alone.            Moreover, some Cantonese-style restaurants,
                                                                                                                                                                      stores and are cautious about opening stores in                                                                crayfish restaurants and bars require
                                                                                                                                                                      shopping malls for many reasons:                         While there are new malls being completed every       non-standard business hours which are not readily
    trays themselves or adopt disposable utensils in      locations and that the additional cost would be       Shopping malls tend to be more expensive but               • Difficult and/or expensive to secure the          quarter, competition for space from an increasing-    accepted by shopping malls.
    order to cut down staffing costs.                     offset by more business. If rents become              should be able to generate significant footfall, a         right spot in a mall                                ly competitive and rapidly maturing F&B sector is
                                                          unsustainably high they have the option to seek       controlled environment and clear positioning,              • Shopping mall environments are too                pushing up the mall entry thresholds. Increasing      One area however that it might be possible for
                                                          alternative, more affordable premises elsewhere.      while providing property management and an                 commercialised                                      rents, extra management and promotion fees,           street stores to flourish could be in urban renewal
     Rent and location                                                                                          experienced landlord or agent to deal with tenant          • Business hours are too short and rigid            strict regulations, and restrictive business hours    projects and creative parks, especially those
                                                          When choosing a location to open a new                concerns.                                                  • Restaurant business is still in its infancy and   are not easy for start-up restaurants. A mature       supported by the government. These provide
    Rent accounts for roughly 23% of operational          restaurant, operators will consider whether or not                                                               not mature enough                                   brand can secure a lease period of five to eight      start-ups with an opportunity to secure city centre
    expenses after food and labour. However, the          to be situated in a prime or non-prime retail area,   Should the operators consider street stores, they                                                              years, sometimes even on a high footfall location     locations, often with unique architectural styles, at
    grassroots restaurants interviewed were much          on a main or secondary street, and whether to         will be looking for the right atmosphere while also   Entry into a mall is a sign of stepping into the         on the first floor, whereas a start-up might be       a discount to locations on main streets. At the
    more tolerant of the current rents, believe that      locate in a street store or shopping mall.            referencing some of the other restaurants in the      mainstream market and the maturity of the                squeezed into a food court with over 20 other         same time, landlords fill up retail spaces with
    higher rents are to be expected for higher footfall                                                         same location. Not every concept will work in a       business model. A lack of F&B experience could           outlets in a basement location. The lease period      entrepreneurial retail operators that relate to the
                                                                                                                specific location as catchment areas for street       expose the store to higher risks when operating in       for such stores is typically just one to two years.   SMEs and start-ups that are normally found in
                                                                                                                stores tend to be more limited. They will also have   malls. Mall owners will typically not accept a new       These locations give business owners very little      these locations.
                                                                                                                to be comfortable renting from a small company        restaurant concept until they have a proven              control over their environment and they are
    Figure 3: Key challenges in a manager’s brain                                                               or individual.                                        proven track record and loyal customer following.
                                                                                                                                                                      After all, they have to consider the impact that
                                                                                                                Longer lease terms are also attractive to             every tenant could have on the rest of the mall.
                                                                                                                grassroots restaurants, allowing the business                                                                  Figure 4: Location of first and second stores by 50 selected start-up F&B brands in Shanghai
                                                                                                                owners to have ample time to build awareness          The importance of street stores to grassroots retail
                                                                                                                and fine tune their operation. 65% of our             operators is one of the reasons why many are                  100%
                                                                                                Staff
                                                                                                                interviewees signed a lease for over five years,      concerned about the closure of these retail
                                                                                               39%              especially when securing a street store location.     premises and the continuous influx of large-scale,            80%
                                                                                                                                                                      mixed-use developments. Some of the street store
                                                                                                                                                                      closures are a result of F&B outlets working
            Branding                                                                       Location                                                                                                                                 60%
                                                                                                                                                                      without the proper licencing or a change in
             22%                                                                               17%                                                                    existing health and safety codes, but, instead of                                                                                                         Street
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    40%
                                                                                                                                                                      bringing properties up to code or applying for the
                                                                                                                                                                      proper regulations, many operations are being
            Regulation                                                                       Others                                                                                                                                 20%                                                                                         Mall
                                                                                                                                                                      permanently shut down.
            11%                                                                                11%
                                                                                                                                                                      In more decentralized areas or new master
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0%                                                                                          Others
                                                                                                                                                                      planned locations, large residential communities                                    1st store                      2nd store
                                                                                                                                                                      tend to lack suitable retail locations; many
    Source: Savills Research                                                                                                                                          developers see retail as a utility that must be          Source: Savills Research

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Grassroots Restaurants 2018 - SPOTLIGHT Savills China Research Retail
Grassroots Restaurants

     Interviews
     D
              uring the past six months, we talked with      related to food and beverages. But now I really         is usually free and comfortable. We were less
              20 restaurateurs in Beijing, Shanghai,         want to grow it in the future.                          restricted in terms of design and management, so
              Guangzhou and Shenzhen to better                                                                       it just started. However, if you want to grow your
     understand their costs, challenges and future           Q: What’s the most challenging step when                business and increase your brand reputation,
     plans. Some of the restaurants were already             you’re opening a restaurant?                            shopping malls will be more suitable. The biggest
     closed due to the street store cleaning campaign                                                                challenge for us is finding a suitable shopping
     in 2017, which reminds us of the risk and               Homeslice Pizza: My partner's main business is          mall. Apparently, there are not many choices for
     challenges of F&B market.                               providing support for restaurants—from the set up       both good positioning and affordability.
                                                             and back office side of things, so we avoided
     QWhere did you get the idea to open your                headaches on that side. In addition, this isn't the     Q: What are the key considerations for your
     restaurant?                                             first time opening a restaurant in China for me, so I   expansion plan?
                                                             was ready for most of the issues. The first time I
     Egg: I have always wanted to be in the food             did the whole process myself, so this [time] was        Shua Niu Man: The consumer profile in
     industry—I was that nerdy kid who read                  much easier. Construction always comes with             surrounding areas is very important. We are
     cookbooks at night instead of novels. I love the        some unexpected issues, but the biggest                 interested in areas where young people like to live.
     way that food brings people together, tells stories,    challenge for restaurants here is people—finding        But young consumers are not loyal to brands, so
     and creates experiences. When I moved to                and keeping good [employees] is hard.                   we have to constantly provide something new to
     Shanghai, there was a gap in the market for a                                                                   attract customers. Rental level is also very
     comfortable ‘neighbourhood’ place that served           Kaffeine: The most difficult decision we needed to      important. Shopping malls are also attractive to
     simple food done well—it was type of shop I             make was the retail location. Our coffee beans are      us, but business hours will be a key issue for us.
     missed from other cities I had lived in. Having lived   strictly selected—which means our quality and
     in New York and London, I would have never              cost of raw materials is very high. We needed to        Nooxo: We are looking for any location where
     thought that it would have been possible to open        be close to mature business areas which are             football is well-balanced, not too much concen-
     a restaurant with little capital and very little        normally surrounded by consumers with good              trated during lunch or dinner time. It will also be
     experience, but Shanghai is (was—less so now!)          taste and spending capacity for good coffee.            better if workday and weekend customers are well
     the perfect market. It was significantly less
     expensive to start up here when we opened,
                                                             Unfortunately, rents in the city centre are too high.
                                                             Some street stores could offer rents within our
                                                                                                                     spread.
                                                                                                                                                                             Please contact us for further information
     especially with the model chosen for the shop. It’s     budget, but it is very hard to find a street store      Homeslice Pizza: I like to work with smaller
     also a collaborative community, with chefs/owners
     ready to share information and help each other.
                                                             with full licences. We might consider going to a
                                                             shopping mall in the future, but now the focus is
                                                                                                                     spaces; it is easier to create atmosphere and it
                                                                                                                     means that you have less exposure on quiet
                                                                                                                                                                             Research                                                    Retail
                                                             on our existing stores.                                 nights. I would look for different landlords for
     Marway: I have been working in the F&B related                                                                  different concepts. Right now, we would like to
     business for years. Marway is our brand set up to       Sugo: Shekou is an international location in            find a second smaller space so that we can
     focus on F&B service for events and conferences.        Shenzhen, and is more suitable to the food and          increase our brand recognition and expand our
     We also manage a café and comfort food brand,           positioning of our restaurant. This store is not        delivery business—weekend business levels in our
     which works as a showcase for our products. We          facing the main street, so footfall was quite limited   existing space mean that we cannot do delivery
     are still looking at places and opportunities to        at the beginning. We are trying to establish our        on weekend nights. After that, I would like to find a
     open new restaurants, probably smaller, but which       brand reputation by providing quality food. The         space in a mall with predominantly Chinese
                                                                                                                                                                             James Macdonald                                             Siu Wing Chu                               Aileen Zhong                           Lesley Wang
     offers some new ideas and concepts to                   business is much better now, which gives us more        clientele. Our needs are different according to
                                                                                                                                                                             Head of Research                                            Managing Director                          Senior Director                        Director
     customers.                                              confidence to move on.                                  what stage of the brand lifecycle we are at.
                                                                                                                                                                             China                                                       Central China                              Central China                          North China
     Home Pub Craft Beer: The place and business             Rong Yi: We started our brand in a creative park
                                                                                                                                                                             +8621 6391 6688                                             +8621 6391 6688                            +8621 6391 6688                        +8610 5925 2086
     began with a hobby. I did not have any experience       in Guangzhou. The atmosphere of creative parks                                                                  james.macdonald@savills.com.cn                              siuwing.chu@savills.com.cn                 aileen.zhong@savills.com.cn            lesley.wang@savills.com.cn

     Figure 5: Restaurants interviewed

                                                                                                                                                                             Chester Zhang                                               Iris Lin                                   Dorian Zhi
                                                                                                                                                                             Associate Director                                          Director                                   Director
                                                                                                                                                                             China                                                       West China                                 South China
                                                                                                                                                                             +8621 6391 6688                                             +8628 8147 1803                            +86755 8828 5720
                                                                                                                                                                             chester.zhang@savills.com.cn                                iris.lin@savills.com.cn                    doriandl.zhi@savills.com.cn

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