Government AI Readiness Index 2021 - Oxford Insights
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This report has been produced by Oxford Insights. The lead authors were Pablo Fuentes Nettel, Annys Rogerson, Tom Westgarth, Kate Iida, Horlane Mbayo, Alejandra Finotto, Sulamaan Rahim and André Petheram. Regional commentary was contributed by Elissa Strome, Claudia May Del Pozo, Gina Neff, Radu Puchiu, Abdijabar Mohamed, Fadi Salem, Raj Shekhar, Karthik Nachiappan and Yaseen Ladak. Edited by André Petheram and Sulamaan Rahim. Please contact research@oxfordinsights.com for more information and with any comments. Design: Maira Fragoso | Ápice This version was released on 21 January 2022, with minor corrections to a version published on 19 January 2022. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. Government AI Readiness Index 2021
Contents Executive Summary 5 Sub-Saharan Africa 43 Introduction 7 Spotlight: Mauritius 47 Regional analysis 18 South and Central Asia 48 Spotlight: Turkey 52 North America 19 Spotlight: Canada 22 East Asia 53 Spotlight: Singapore 56 Latin America and the Caribbean 23 Spotlight: Chile 26 Pacific 57 Spotlight: Australia 60 Western Europe 27 Spotlight: United Kingdom 31 Annex I: Global Ranking 61 Annex II: Methodology 69 Eastern Europe 32 Spotlight: Czech Republic 35 Middle East & North Africa 37 Spotlight: Oman 41 4 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
Executive Summary Artificial Intelligence in Government The past decade has witnessed a boom in ar- a broader and deeper picture of government AI tificial intelligence (AI) development. Throughout readiness. However, it makes it harder to make 2021, the commercial applications of AI research direct comparisons with last year’s Government and development have become ever clearer to AI Readiness Index. Instead, we recommend companies across the globe. However, the bene- that this year’s index be used as a tool to com- fits of these technological trends are not reserved pare the current state of government AI readi- for the private sector. Globally, governments are ness in countries and regions across the globe. turning to AI to improve their public services and gain strategic economic advantages. But po- As in last year’s index report, we have split the sitioning themselves to make the most of this world into 9 regions: North America, Latin AI-powered transformation requires governments America and the Caribbean, Western Europe, to have the right tools and operating environment; Eastern Europe, Sub-Saharan Africa, the Mid- governments need to be AI-ready. In this report, dle East and North Africa, South and Central Oxford Insights presents the findings of the 2021 Asia, and the Pacific. For each region, we in- Government AI Readiness Index. clude a regional analysis based on a combi- nation of the opinions of interviews held with regional experts, our index scores, and com- plementary desk research. Government AI We have also included one spotlight country Readiness Index per region. These highlight any countries with exciting developments in the last year that we think could lead them to become an important AI player in the future or that solidify their position The Government AI Readiness Index is now in as leaders in AI readiness. its fourth edition. The 2021 index has the same ‘exam question’ as in previous editions: how Last year, we published the first ever Responsi- ready is a given government to implement ble AI sub-index. This tool is set to be published AI in the delivery of public services to their again in 2022 as its own standalone project. As citizens? a result, further insights around the adoption of AI that adheres to the OECD’s High-Level Prin- To answer that question, we draw on 42 indi- ciples on AI will be forthcoming, contributing to cators (9 more than last year’s index) across 10 a more complete understanding of the global dimensions. This expansion of the index gives state of AI. 5 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
Our Findings The USA tops the global rankings, in large As governments are increasingly aware of the part thanks to the unrivalled size and maturity opportunities and risks presented by AI, we see of its technology sector. Singapore ranks sec- a continued proliferation of national AI strat- ond as a result of its institutional strength and egies globally. We have found that 30% of the government digital capacity. The other countries countries included in our rankings now have in the top 5 are Western European (United King- a national AI strategy and a further 9% have dom, Finland, and the Netherlands). confirmed they are drafting one. This has been paired with government action to create a re- For the first time, East Asian countries make silient environment for the use of AI in both the up one quarter of the top 20 ranked coun- public and private sectors, marked by countries tries. The top-scoring countries in the region are making advancements in cybersecurity and boosted by skilled workforces and advanced re- data protection legislation. search and technological infrastructures, which drive the region’s competitive research capacity. While government action is increasing, the pri- vate technology sector has also grown sig- Other high scoring groups in the 2021 index nificantly. Public technology companies have include the Nordic countries. Finland and its increased in size and private technology start- peers outperform their economic size (in terms ups have found homes in a growing number of of GDP) as a result of effective governments and countries worldwide. We are hopeful that gov- innovative business environments. ernments will be able to harness these private sector advancements to improve their public The index unearths clear inter-regional and in- service delivery, especially with new services tra-regional inequalities. The average score of based on AI technologies. the 2 lowest ranked regions is 36.27 (Sub-Sa- haran Africa and Central & South Asia), whereas These trends within the public and private sector the average for the top 2 is more than double are made possible by a backdrop of sufficient that with 76.75 (North America and Western Eu- technological infrastructure and the availability of rope). There is also an evident divide within re- large amounts of data on populations. We find gions, with the greatest range of scores seen in signs that more and more data is becoming East Asia and Middle East and North Africa. available across regions as the use of the in- ternet and mobile devices grows. However, the index exposes inequalities in access to the in- We have found that ternet between genders and socioeconomic 30% of the countries groups, presenting obstacles to the creation of AI tools which answer to all citizens’ needs. As included in our rankings the public moves online and governments aim to keep up, ensuring the representativeness of data now have a national AI must remain a priority. strategy and a further 9% have confirmed they are drafting one. 6 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
Introduction Artificial Intelligence The Government AI and Government Readiness Index We first published the Government AI Readiness In the 2021 index, our ambition remains the Index in 2017. At this time, governments were same: to score governments on their readiness yet to realise the full potential of using AI in their to implement AI in the delivery of public services. public services. Since then, we have seen the Our approach is defined by three hypotheses, wide-ranging adoption of AI across governments each of which corresponds to a fundamental pil- for use cases including: lar of government AI readiness: • improving the citizen’s experience of a public The Government pillar: a government should service: for example, the deployment of chat- have a strategic vision for how it develops and bots in US Citizenship and Immigration Ser- manages AI, supported by appropriate regula- vices to help users receive feedback on their tion and attention to ethical problems (gover- immigration queries immediately; nance & ethics). Moreover, it needs to have • supporting evidence-based decision making strong internal digital capacity, including the throughout the policymaking process: for ex- skills and practices that support its adaptability ample, the UK’s Department for International in the face of new technologies. Development and partners’ use of a machine learning algorithm to analyse satellite images The Technology Sector pillar: a government and predict population distribution in some depends on a good supply of AI tools from the developing countries, providing data essential country’s technology sector, which needs to for the planning of services; and, be competitive and dynamic (size). The sector • increasing democratic engagement amongst should have high innovation capacity, under- citizens: for example, the use of Consul (a pinned by a business environment that sup- platform that experiments with the use of ports entrepreneurship and a good flow of R&D Natural Language Processing techniques to spending. The skills and education of the people bring together like-minded citizens) by the na- working in this sector are also crucial (human tional governments of Uruguay and Colombia capital). to facilitate debates, proposals, and partici- patory budgeting. The Data and Infrastructure pillar: AI tools need lots of high-quality data (data availability) As use cases increase, the importance of AI readi- which, to avoid bias and error, should also be ness increases. Governments need the right tools representative of the citizens in a given country and environment to successfully implement and (data representativeness). Finally, this data’s manage AI in their public services. Oxford Insights’ potential cannot be realised without the infra- Government AI Readiness Index assesses these structure necessary to power AI tools and de- conditions in order to help governments better liver them to citizens. prepare for the adoption of AI in their services. 7 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
Fig. 1: The pillars and dimensions of the Government AI Readiness Index GOVERNMENT Ca p a a l Gov ics city & Et Digit er na h ility nce Vi ab sio pt n a Ad Data Size Representativeness DATA AN OR Inn ty ova bili tion aila ECT v Ca aA pac D D at ity YS INF Hum ture OG RA an ruc OL ST Cap ast N RU C Infr ital H TU C RE TE For a full description of the indicators that make up the dimensions to each pillar, refer to Annex II: Methodology. 8 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
Global findings World leaders • The USA tops the rankings, in large part point to a mature stage of AI development in the thanks to the unrivalled size and maturity of USA; AI is being commercialised and adopted its technology sector. across the economy. This is important for gov- • Singapore ranks second, topping the Gov- ernment AI readiness. It indicates that: the pool ernment pillar as a result of its institutional of suppliers will have genuinely useful tools for strength and digital capacity. government, and the country’s workforce will be • East Asian countries make up one quar- developing the skills required for the use of AI, ter of the Top 20 ranked countries for the which is likely to spillover into the government’s first time as skilled workforces and advanced internal capacity. infrastructure drive the region’s competitive research capacity. • Finland outperforms its comparatively small Singapore’s advancements economic power as effective governments and innovative business environments mean mark it as a highly Nordic countries again rank highly in the proactive government in 2021 index. terms of promoting AI. The USA is home to the Singapore ranks second most technology unicorns Singapore places 2nd in the rankings and top in the Government pillar. Singapore’s scores in the and most of the highest- digital capacity dimension stand out, being top in indicators measuring Government promotion valued large public of investment in emerging technologies and ICT technology firms. use and government efficiency (a measure of the extent to which ICT use improves the quality of government services). These scores reflect the The USA tops the rankings government’s huge efforts to digitalise public The USA’s top position in the index is in large part services, where their ambitions have been set a consequence of its comparatively large tech- out in their Digital Government Blueprint. This nology sector, which drives much of the world’s was most recently updated in December 2020 research into and commercialisation of AI. The when the government added strategies that put USA is home to the most technology unicorns greater importance on using AI technologies. and most of the highest-valued large public The government also announced that 20 of its technology firms. The USA also scores high- ministries have submitted plans to use AI since est in indicators measuring Computer software the creation of the Blueprint in 2018. Singapore’s spending and Company investment in emerging advancements mark it as a highly proactive gov- technologies. High scores in these indicators ernment in terms of promoting AI. With its Na- 9 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
tional Artificial Intelligence Office sitting within the national AI strategies, the lack of data availabili- Prime Minister’s Office, at the heart of govern- ty compared to their regional peers, and having ment, the country’s high ranking demonstrates comparably small technology sectors. the sustained, organised effort required for AI readiness. Nordic countries rank highly in the index Finland has the 41st largest economy in the East Asian countries make up one quarter world,1 yet ranks 4th in the Government AI of the top 20 ranked countries Readiness Index. Sweden has the 22nd largest For the first time in our index, one quarter of the economy in the world yet ranks 6th, higher than countries in the top 20 are in East Asia: Singa- the Western European economic centres of Ger- pore (2nd), South Korea (10th), Japan (12th), many (8th) and France (11th). Denmark (9th in China (15th), and Taiwan (18th). These countries, our index), Norway (13th) and the Nordics’ close other than Taiwan, all score significantly above neighbour Estonia (22nd) also perform well. the global average in both the Human Capital These results demonstrate how a country’s size and Infrastructure dimensions, pointing to the does not determine its ranking in the index.2 region’s global success in AI research and its ad- vanced computing power. The Nordic nations tend to score well because of their governments’ high internal capabilities, China tops the Number of research papers implying that they will successfully manage AI published in AI, and the country outperformed projects. The Finnish government is regarded as the USA for the first time in 2020 in terms of one of the most effective in the world in terms the number of times an academic article on AI of its delivery of public services and the integrity is cited by others. Similarly, Singapore produc- of its policymaking, reflected in its high-scoring es a competitive number of AI research papers. Adaptability dimension. Its research capacity has attracted and been added to by large industry players setting up in the country. Following the likes of Alibaba, Dys- The Nordic countries on, and DataRobot, Salesforce opened its first overseas AI research center in Singapore, citing combine institutional the government’s focus on developing AI talent strength with business as one of its motivations. Moreover, access to large-scale computing is a key enabler of AI de- environments that allow velopment. Top-scoring East Asian countries for innovation. score highly on the Number of Top 500 Super- computers as well as other advanced infrastruc- ture such as 5G. The Nordic countries combine institutional strength with business environments that allow Despite the advances of many of the top scoring for innovation. For example, Sweden scores countries in the region, East Asia is one of the highly in the Technology Sector pillar because most unequal regions in terms of AI readiness. of its strong entrepreneurial culture, its compar- Several countries score below the global overall atively high R&D spending, and the willingness of average of 47.42 out of 100. These lower scoring its businesses to invest in emerging technologies. countries are disadvantaged by the absence of 1 2020 GDP (current US$), World Bank data: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?most_recent_value_ desc=true. 2 We can point to other such cases, though they do not fall into such a clear geographic grouping. For example, Luxembourg has the world’s 67th largest GDP but ranks 16th in the index. Malta is the world’s 118th largest economy but ranks 32nd in the index. 10 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
Fig. 2: Government AI Readiness Index Scores Worldwide 15-20 20-25 25-30 30-35 35-40 40-45 45-50 50-55 55-60 60-65 65-70 70-75 75-80 80-85 85-90 11 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
15-20 20-25 25-30 30-35 35-40 40-45 45-50 50-55 55-60 60-65 65-70 70-75 75-80 80-85 85-90 12 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
15-20 20-25 25-30 30-35 35-40 40-45 45-50 50-55 55-60 60-65 65-70 70-75 75-80 80-85 85-90 13 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
Global Inequality • There are clear inter-regional and intra-re- The global picture is gional inequalities in AI readiness across all three pillars of our methodology. one of highly unequal government AI readiness. As in previous versions of the index, the scores of the Government AI Readiness Index 2021 show clear disparities amongst and within re- The global picture is one of highly unequal gov- gions. The average score of the two lowest ernment AI readiness. Reducing these inequal- ranked regions is 36.27 (Sub-Saharan Africa and ities will require policy action and international Central & South Asia), whereas the average for cooperation across our three pillars. As such, we the top two is more than double that, with 76.75 welcome the incorporation of elements like R&D, (North America and Western Europe). There is digital infrastructure and innovation—amongst also an evident divide within regions. We have others—in international development initiatives come across the major differences within East like the UN 2030 Agenda. Asia already. The MENA region is similar; here we find top 20 countries, like the UAE and Isra- el, alongside some of the lowest-ranked globally, like Yemen and Iraq. Government Pillar The AI Readiness divide is present across our three pillars. Most of the business activity measured in our Technology Sector pillar is taking place in the • There is a continued proliferation of nation- developed world and in the biggest economies. al AI strategies globally. For instance, the US and China host 52 AI uni- • Governance & Ethics is receiving attention corns, which is roughly three times more than the from governments worldwide as countries rest of the world. This feeds into the inequality we advance cybersecurity and data protec- find in our Data & Infrastructure pillar. The levels of tion legislation. infrastructure and data availability required to sup- port AI development is concentrated in the same Within the Government pillar, we emphasise the countries. Low levels of technological infrastruc- importance of a national AI strategy. A strate- ture in developing countries contribute to Digital gy creates a unified definition of ambitions and Capacity’s status as one of the lowest-scoring priorities for AI in a country in response to the dimensions of the Government pillar across de- cross-sector, cross-departmental opportunities veloping countries. Arguably, with governments in and challenges that AI presents. In 2021, coun- some developing nations having limited capacity tries have continued to publish or start work on to build and deliver AI in their public services, few national AI strategies.3 We have found that 30% are at the stage in AI readiness to publish their of the countries included in our rankings now vision for AI (see Figure 3 below). have a national AI strategy and a further 9% have confirmed they are drafting one. Visible in the Figure 3 below, these national strategies remain concentrated in the Global North, contributing to the wider inequality in AI readiness globally. 3 New national AI strategies in 2021 from Brazil, Bulgaria, Chile, Ireland, Italy, Slovenia, Turkey, Viet Nam 14 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
Figure 3: National AI Strategies in 2021 Full Strategy Forthcoming Strategy No Strategy Going beyond our Vision dimension, which scores directly, many Western European countries tracks the major starting point that is a national build off the EU-level work in the creation and im- AI strategy, we are seeing signs of more detailed plementation of their own national-level strategies. approaches to AI governance emerging in some regions where governments are at a later stage Implementing an AI strategy depends on further in AI readiness. The USA’s Office of Science and government action to create a safe environment Technology Policy announced it has started work for the use of AI in both the public and private on an AI Bill of Rights to codify the rights and sectors. In our Governance & Ethics dimension, freedoms AI technologies must protect. Profes- we include measures of two crucial aspects of sor Gina Neff, Executive Director of the Minderoo such an environment: cybersecurity and data Centre for Technology & Democracy at the Uni- protection. Promisingly, we have seen govern- versity of Cambridge and Professor of Technol- ments advancing in cybersecurity in this year’s ogy & Society at the University of Oxford, thinks index. The ranked countries increased their cy- the announcement signifies a maturation in the bersecurity score by an average of almost 10 country’s approach to AI strategy: (out of 100) since 2018. Moreover, 72.5% of countries included in index rankings have data We’re starting to talk less about AI ethics, and protection legislation in place. much more about what we actually do at the coalface in organisations, in workplaces, and These indicators are crucial to assessing the in everyday life; it’s getting more practical. government’s capacity to integrate AI technolo- (Professor Gina Neff, Interview, November 19, 2021) gies into their public service delivery safely. As more and more governments integrate AI, more Similarly, the European Union’s AI Act, proposed questions will be asked about whether they have in April 2021, will create a unifying, horizontal reg- the infrastructure and regulatory frameworks in ulatory framework that defines how AI will be de- place to do so. We look more closely at these veloped and deployed in the region. While these questions in a sub-index focusing on responsible steps at a supranational level do not impact index AI, to be released in early 2022. 15 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
Technology Sector Data & Infrastructure Pillar Pillar • The tech boom increases Technology • Data & infrastructure pillar scores are Sector pillar scores for countries able to at- the highest across all regions as the world tract the sector’s most successful companies. moves online. Within the Technology Sector pillar, we can see a The Data & Infrastructure pillar is the highest-scor- boom in the size of large public technology firms ing globally, with an average score of 58.56 out of and number of private technology unicorns. The 100. The trend continues at a regional level; it is total market value of large technology firms as the highest-scoring pillar across all regions. This measured in our index has risen as a result of can in part be put down to increasing scores in their growth in the COVID-19 pandemic, with the the dimensions of Data Representativeness and top 7 largest public technology firms adding $3.4 Data Availability, which measure the growing ac- trillion in value in 2020. cess to and use of the internet and mobile de- vices. Primarily, internet and mobile access act Private markets have also poured capital into as an indication of the amount and coverage of technology firms. Countries which are attractive data which can be collected on internet users to private technology firms saw an increase in for the training of AI models. Secondarily, these the number of technology unicorns. For exam- measures indicate whether a population has the ple, Canada, Israel, and Singapore all more than means to make use of the digital public services doubled their number of technology unicorns which are likely to come with the adoption of AI compared to 2020. The increase of their scores by governments. as a result is compounded by the introduction of the indicator Number of AI unicorns to the in- Despite the continued growth in internet users, a dex. Countries such as Israel, where 4 of their 2021 UN report found that 2.9 billion people have 15 technology unicorns are within the AI sector, still never used the internet — 96% of whom live experienced a greater boost to their overall Tech- in developing countries. Similarly, within popula- nology Sector scores. tions, our indicators continue to show differenc- es in access to the internet between genders We hope that these private sector advancements and socioeconomic groups. While we do not will translate into improvements in public service measure it, the total percentage of internet users delivery. There are many ways in which govern- in a country also likely masks urban-rural divides ments can harness these developments, wheth- in internet access. All three of these divisions are er through procurement (especially with the rise obstacles to AI readiness; governments must re- of GovTech startups), building in-house AI skills flect on them as they interpret their scores. and capacity through strategic hires from the private sector, or by creating knowledge-shar- ing practices between the private and public sector via initiatives like AI Councils that provide multi-sectoral expert advice to governments. 16 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
Additions to the 2021 Government AI Readiness Index This year’s index is based on a very similar meth- We have also added two new indicators to the odology to the one used in the 2020 index. How- human capital dimension of the Technology Sec- ever, we felt the addition of certain indicators tor pillar: Research papers published in AI and could provide a more robust and comprehensive Github commits. These act as indicators of the measure of government AI readiness. In particu- AI skills present within the population. The num- lar, we felt additional indicators could be included ber of research papers published in AI indicates in our framework to hone in on a government’s the scale of research being done at the highest capacity for implementing AI specifically rather level. Within the AI sector, there is significant than its just digitalising more generally. We there- crossover between researchers in academia and fore added the following indicators: within private companies. Therefore, the indi- cator captures an important part of the AI sec- • Number of AI unicorns; tor’s skills pool. Number of Github commits on • Number of research papers published in AI; the other hand recognises that the programming • Github commits per 1000 population; and, skills required to build AI systems can be devel- • Number of Top 500 Supercomputers. oped without a formal education in the subject. Online platforms such as Github — the world’s Within the Technology Sector pillar, we measure largest source code host — are often the centre the size of a country’s technology sector in part for learning and project development within the by looking at the number of unicorns. Previously, programming community. A commit is an individ- we included the sole indicator Number of tech- ual change to files in a user’s code repository; the nology unicorns within the size dimension. This number of commits, therefore, measures the level year, we include both Number of AI unicorns of engagement on the platform within a country. and Number of non-AI technology unicorns. By making AI unicorns a separate indicator, a great- AI research and commercial development re- er weight is put on companies operating in and quires advanced technological infrastructure and making advances in the AI sector. However, we a key part of this is computing power. We have still retain the number of non-AI technology uni- thus added the Number of Top 500 Supercom- corns. We recognise that not all companies de- puters indicator to the infrastructure dimension veloping AI will focus solely on AI and that there of our Data and Infrastructure pillar. The Top500 are important spillover effects, like talent and list of supercomputers maps out the location of knowledge exchange, that come from having a the top 500 supercomputers globally. We have large technology sector more broadly. included the number of supercomputers a coun- try has within the top 500 as an indicator of the level of large-scale computing infrastructure available within the country. 17 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
Regional analysis Our analyses of the major trends affecting a re- • Western Europe (Gina Neff, Executive Direc- gion’s AI readiness are based on combinations tor of the Minderoo Centre for Technology and of: the opinions of regional experts interviewed Democracy at the University of Cambridge, for this report; examination of our index scores; and Professor at the University of Oxford) and complementary desk research and analysis. • Eastern Europe (Radu Puchiu, Open Gov- Due to the complexity and breadth of the index, ernment Partnership Envoy) it is not always possible to draw a clear causal • Middle East and North Africa (Fadi Salem, Di- line between a particular policy or event and a rector of Policy Research, Senior Fellow in Fu- change in score in a specific indicator. Our goal ture Government, MBR School of Government) has been to provide broader insights into coun- • Sub-Saharan Africa (Abdijabar Mohamed, AI tries’ and regions’ AI policy contexts than can be Specialist and Affiliate of The Future Society) provided by numerical scores alone. • South and Central Asia (Raj Shekhar, Lead of Responsible AI at NASSCOM [National Asso- We have divided the world into 9 regions, based ciation of Software and Service Companies]) on a combination of the UN and the World Bank • East Asia (Karthik Nachiappan, Fellow at regional groupings, each with a regional expert National University of Singapore) as an interviewee and contributor: • Pacific (Yaseen Ladak, AI Leader) • North America (Elissa Strome, Executive Director of the Pan-Canadian AI Strategy at CIFAR) • Latin America and the Caribbean (Claudia May Del Pozo, Executive Director of the Eon Resilience Lab at C Minds) 18 Government AI Readiness Index 2021
North America 19 North America
North America 100 80 88.16 77.73 60 47.42 World 40 20 0 of America United States Canada By Pablo Fuentes Nettel with Elissa Strome Key Developments as interviewee and contributor A key factor in the region’s overall success in AI is the existence of institutions that are continually implementing new initiatives in terms of R&D as Summary well as fostering cross-sector cooperation. This North America, comprising the US and Canada, year, the National Artificial Intelligence Initiative is the highest ranked region in the 2021 Govern- (NAII) came into force in the US following a bi- ment AI Readiness Index with an overall score of partisan bill approved in 2020. The main purpose 82.94 out of 100. This is in large part a conse- of this bill is to coordinate AI R&D across all U.S. quence of the USA’s dominance: it is the high- Departments and Agencies, as well as to foster est-ranking country in the whole index, and also cooperation with academia, the private sector, ranks highest in both the Technology Sector and and civil society through the NAII Office located Data and Infrastructure pillars. Canada ranks 7th at the White House Office of Science and Tech- overall and 6th in the Government pillar. nology Policy. Both countries have leading innovation ecosys- tems supported by high-skilled labour forces In Canada, the Canadian Institute for Advanced and data infrastructures highly conducive to de- Research (CIFAR) has been fundamental in pro- veloping AI. Moreover, AI is a priority in both gov- moting AI innovation. CIFAR plays a major role ernments’ policy agendas. It is also worth noting in bringing together renowned researchers and their efforts to improve data availability, which will scientists in various fields. Since its creation in potentially feed into higher scores in this dimen- 1982, artificial intelligence has been one of the sion in the next few years. institution’s priorities, fostering research in areas like machine learning, robotics and computing. Besides being a research body, CIFAR is also 20 North America
involved in AI policy having led the work of the Pan-Canadian AI Strategy’s focus on fostering Pan-Canadian AI Strategy since 2017. Earlier innovation and establishing research centres this year, there was an announcement regarding in cities with outstanding potential: Montreal, the renewal and expansion of the Pan-Canadi- Toronto, and Edmonton, for example. Accord- an AI Strategy, which will bring an investment of ing to Elissa Strome, Executive Director of the roughly half billion dollars for research and devel- Pan-Canadian AI Strategy, these cities host opment in AI. If well-spent, this spending should very dynamic startup ecosystems, whilst at- filter through to improved scores in the Technol- tracting significant amounts of both investment ogy Sector dimension in future years. and talent. The region’s Technology Sector pillar sets it It is also worth mentioning that the COVID-19 apart from other regions with an average score pandemic has catalysed innovation amongst of 73.53 compared to the second-highest re- Canadian and American startups, particularly in gional average of 56.70 (Western Europe). The areas like GovTech and healthcare. Our regional difficulty of tracking the exact impact of particular expert Elissa Strome emphasised that Canada policies on specific indicators notwithstanding, is developing pilots to enhance data availability active and committed governmental support for with the purpose of boosting research on ap- R&D and developing human capital is crucial in plied AI for public health services. At the same creating the conditions for success in this pillar. time, the healthcare sector in the US—which To deepen this, the US National Science Foun- is one of the largest industries in the American dation (NSF) has announced the creation of 18 economy—is receiving large amounts of venture AI Research Institutes embedded in universi- capital for tech R&D purposes with close to $40 ties across the US. This initiative represents a billion USD in 2021. total investment of $360 million USD aimed at boosting multidisciplinary research on AI. More- over, the White House recently announced the Looking Ahead creation of the National Artificial Intelligence Re- Both Canada and the US are planning new ini- search Resource Task Force. This will establish tiatives to enhance data availability for innova- an action plan for improving educational tools tion purposes. It will be important to monitor related to AI. Consolidating high-quality aca- the progress of the National Research Cloud in demic institutions has been crucial for the US, the US, which is being promoted by the feder- given the increasing demand for AI talented hu- al government in coordination with tech giants man capital from tech companies. like Microsoft and Oracle. This platform will be focused on improving data sharing amongst ac- As stated above, the US ranks the highest of ademic institutions and tech companies, with the all countries in the Technology Sector pillar, goal of spurring data-based innovation and at- scoring 83.31 out of 100. The size and value of tracting further investment. Similarly, our regional American tech firms stand out from the rest. To- expert highlighted that Canada is in the process day, the US has the largest number of unicorns of building a national computing platform. This is globally with 297 (more than three times that of the first year since its creation that the Pan-Ca- China). Similarly, Canada presents one of the nadian AI Strategy establishes investment in AI most notable stories globally in terms of start- computing as one of its main objectives. It will be ups: it had 2 unicorns in 2020, but this has risen important to follow these developments closely to 13 in 2021. This is arguably an effect of the to track their impact on the regional AI spectrum. 21 North America
Canada Data Representativeness: Vision: 90.41 100 Index Score Governance & Ethics: 88.92 77.73/100 Data Availability: 88.64 Digital Capacity: Rank 69.49 7/160 Infrastructure: Adaptability: 76.19 79.04 Regional Rank Size: 51.68 2/2 Human Capital: 71.18 Innovation Capacity: 68.40 Government Technology Sector Data and Infrastructure Score Rank Region Rank Score Rank Region Rank Score Rank Region Rank 84.36/100 6/160 2/2 63.75/100 10/160 2/2 85.08/100 14/160 2/2 WORLD AVERAGE: 48.65 WORLD AVERAGE: 35.17 WORLD AVERAGE: 58.43 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100 The significant increase in the number of Canadian uni- lion USD aimed at funding research programmes in AI corns is one of the most notable stories of this year’s in- and training young researchers on the matter. Today, dex. It had 2 in 2020 but has 13 in 2021, 3 of which are AI 109 researchers take part in the AI Chairs programme in unicorns (TensTorrent, Coveo and Ada Support). As men- three AI Institutes across the country: Amii in Edmonton, tioned by our regional expert, consolidating a rich pool Mila in Montreal, and Vector Institute in Toronto. of highly skilled individuals has been one of the priorities These research centers are currently developing cut- for Canada’s tech policy. This has been achieved through ting-edge work in different applied AI topics — from investment in capacity building amongst Canadians, but health and machine learning to transport and language also attracting human capital from all over the world. prediction. Furthermore, they are attracting talent and investment. An example of the latter is the fact that In this regard one of the top priorities for CIFAR is bring- Edmonton hosts Google DeepMind’s first international ing global leaders in AI research to Canada, while also research lab. DeepMind is one of the leading organisa- developing local talent and avoiding human capital flight, tions globally in terms of AI research and development. through programmes like the AI Chairs programme. This Actions like this will potentially have a positive impact on initiative has resulted in a total investment of $86.5 mil- Canada’s AI innovation capabilities. 22 North America
Latin America and the Caribbean 23 North America
Latin America and the Caribbean 100 80 60 60.64 60.42 58.91 57.93 54.36 47.42 World 52.62 46.19 40 42.98 42.20 41.50 40.89 40.78 40.56 39.19 38.58 37.35 36.61 34.91 32.41 32.28 32.25 31.62 31.57 30.54 30.38 25.14 20 0 Brazil Chile Colombia Uruguay Argentina Mexico Costa Rica Panama Barbados Jamaica Dominican Republic Trinidad and Tobago Peru Ecuador Suriname Paraguay Saint Lucia Honduras El Salvador Belize Guatemala Bolivia Nicaragua Venezuela Cuba Haiti By Pablo Fuentes Nettel with Claudia May Key Developments Del Pozo as interviewee and contributor In 2021, Latin America and the Caribbean made important progress in terms of developing AI strategies and policies aimed at fostering innova- Summary tion in the field. Today, there are a total of 5 AI na- Latin America and the Caribbean had a region- tional strategies compared to 3 in 2020. In that al average score of 41.26 — the third lowest vein, the launch of national AI frameworks by the globally after the Middle East & North Africa and governments of Chile and Brazil has been one of Sub-Saharan Africa. The region is comparable to the main events in the subcontinent and had an South & Central Asia both in terms of average impact on the regional ranking. Considering that score and the disparity between countries. The Brazil is the biggest economy in the region and top four countries in the region (in order, Brazil, has the largest tech sector, the incorporation of Chile, Colombia, and Uruguay) score similar- a solid policy framework could catalyse AI-inno- ly overall, with Brazil at 60.64 and Uruguay at vation within the region at large. 57.93. They also cluster in the overall rankings, with Brazil at 40th and Uruguay at 48th. Colom- As the region moves towards an AI-ready eco- bia enters the global top 50, consolidating its role system, one of the most interesting trends, ac- as a leader in Latin America. Barbados, mean- cording to our regional expert, C Minds’ Claudia while, is the highest-ranking Caribbean country May Del Pozo, is the incorporation of develop- in the region, at 9th out of 26 countries. ment-sensitive initiatives. A common thread amongst most of the existing AI strategies, as well as other regional programmes, is the fo- cus on the social impact of fostering AI readi- ness. In that sense, the fAIr initiative led by the 24 Latiin America and the Caribbean
Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) and With regards to Data & Infrastructure, there is co-designed with C Minds has the purpose of evidence of solid cross-sector cooperation with- impacting public policy and the entrepreneurship in the region. Currently, Meta Inc, the IDB, and spheres to reduce social inequalities through the C Minds are working with the industry sector to promotion of responsible artificial intelligence. To develop an AI transparency prototype in Mexico, that end, reducing the digital gap and improving with the support of local regulators (INAI) This public services through digital transformation will initiative will be the first of its kind and seeks to be crucial. create recommendations for more explainable and transparent AI systems, serving as input to In 2021, some Latin American countries present- the local and international conversations on how ed developments relevant to the Government pil- to design and implement AI systems responsibly. lar. Colombia is a notably high-ranked country in this pillar, where it is positioned 26th globally; this is reflected in the policy framework around arti- Looking Ahead ficial intelligence that it has built in recent years. Despite big improvements in the Government and In 2020, the Colombian government launched Data and Infrastructure pillars, the regional leaders the National Policy for Digital Transformation still have a long way to go to be more competitive (AI Strategy) and recently created an AI Task globally in the Technology Sector pillar. It will be Force comprising government officials and sub- important to monitor progress in the Technology ject matter experts. The AI Task Force has the Sector pillar in the short and medium term. So far, objective of offering technical guidance across the region only hosts 9 unicorn companies — 5 in government institutions. It also seeks to facilitate Brazil, 3 in Mexico, and 1 in both Chile and Argen- AI deployment through the design of policies to tina. It will thus be intriguing to closely follow the enhance data sharing mechanisms and improve emergence of startups in countries like Colombia, capacity building within the Colombian civil ser- which, according to Claudia May Del Pozo, have vice. These developments could potentially embraced efforts to enable innovation amongst improve tech governance whilst spurring innova- their technology firms. Also, the COVID-19 pan- tion in the private sector. Similarly, Uruguay, the demic has triggered investment flows in sectors second-highest ranked Latin American country like GovTech and healthcare, which could bring a in the Government pillar, has consolidated a solid boost to the Latin American innovation ecosystem. governance framework for AI and is also focus- ing on civil servants’ AI skills. The AI Community In addition, one of the main challenges of the re- for Public Administration, launched earlier this gion will be to reduce disparities in terms of infra- year, demonstrates this. This initiative aims at structure, access to digital services, and capacity having a more AI-ready public sector. building. According to the Wilson Center, more than half of the households in Latin America & Compared to the rest of the region, Central the Caribbean (55%) don’t have access to broad- American and Caribbean countries have room band internet. There is an evident socioeconomic for improvement in terms of the Government pil- angle here. As reported by the Wilson Center, the lar, and particularly the Vision dimension. So far, difference in terms of internet access between the none of the countries that we measure in these top and bottom income quintiles is about 40% sub-regions have presented a national AI strat- and only 23% of the rural population in the region egy. However, there are some important efforts have access to the internet. For countries like aimed at creating more AI-ready environments in Haiti, Nicaragua, Belize, Guatemala, and Hondu- these countries. Most notable is the Caribbean ras, where the share of rural population is above Artificial Intelligence Initiative led by UNESCO, 40%, the digital divide has serious implications in which seeks to create a sub-regional strategy on terms of infrastructure, education, and capacity the responsible, inclusive and human adoption of building. Reducing this gap, especially in Central AI in the Caribbean. As an international initiative, America and the Caribbean, will be fundamental however, this will not be picked up in our index. to achieving a more AI-ready region. 25 Latiin America and the Caribbean
Chile Data Representativeness: Vision: 80.63 100 Index Score Governance & Ethics: 55.07 60.42/100 Data Availability: 84.24 Digital Capacity: Rank 51.64 41/160 Infrastructure: Adaptability: 42.51 73.25 Regional Rank Size: 32.47 2/26 Human Capital: 47.42 Innovation Capacity: 46.52 Government Technology Sector Data and Infrastructure Score Rank Region Rank Score Rank Region Rank Score Rank Region Rank 69.99/100 33/160 2/26 42.14/100 42/160 2/26 69.13/100 52/160 3/26 WORLD AVERAGE: 48.65 WORLD AVERAGE: 35.17 WORLD AVERAGE: 58.43 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100 In 2021, the government of Chile launched the Nation- the private sector with the purpose of incentivising the al Policy for Artificial Intelligence. This initiative sets an employment of PhD professionals in tech companies. action plan for the next 10 years and incorporates an In terms of infrastructure, the National Policy for AI AI approach across the Chilean ministries and other seeks to accelerate the deployment of the 5G network government bodies. The strategy represents a public in- across the country as well as to increase the availability vestment of roughly $30 million USD and is divided into of data. According to their vision, undertaking these ac- 3 main areas: developing AI enabling factors; use and tions could transform Chile into one of South America’s development of technology; ethics and security. tech hubs. One of the most innovative elements of the Chilean It will be relevant to follow new developments in the national strategy concerns education and training in country as their national AI strategy gets to the imple- AI-related fields. The action plan includes increasing mentation phase. Having a solid policy framework could government funded scholarships for AI-related pro- potentially bring positive impact to the Technology Sec- grammes in foreign universities through the already ex- tor pillar, which, despite being one of the highest in the isting scheme Becas Chile. In addition, it seeks to foster region, still has room for improvement in the global arena. greater cooperation between Chilean universities and 26 Latiin America and the Caribbean
Western Europe 27 North America
Western Europe 100 47.42 World 80 81.25 79.23 78.51 78.16 77.26 76.96 76.41 76.14 73.37 72.80 68.56 68.07 67.68 60 67.07 66.16 64.85 64.31 59.71 58.53 56.22 40 20 0 United Kingdom Finland Netherlands Sweden Germany Denmark France Norway Luxembourg Ireland Switzerland Austria Spain Italy Belgium Malta Portugal Cyprus Iceland Greece By Annys Rogerson with Gina Neff Professor Gina Neff, Executive Director of the as interviewee and contributor Minderoo Centre for Technology & Democracy at the University of Cambridge and Professor of Technology & Society at the University of Oxford. Summary Countries from Western Europe dominate the top places in this year’s rankings, making up half of Key Developments the top 20 and 6 of the top 10 ranked countries. The region’s high scores are broadly attributable Europe’s Vision for AI to political will amongst governments to harness The region stands out for its governments’ vi- the benefits of AI, strong economies geared to- sions for AI. The vast majority of countries in wards digital business models and populations the region have either published their national AI with advanced digital skills. strategy or confirmed that there is one in prog- ress. Professor Gina Neff emphasises the impor- Within the region, the United Kingdom ranks first tance of national AI strategies for laying out the with a score of 81.25, followed by Finland with a opportunities and challenges faced by different score of 79.23. Beyond these two leaders, there parts of government as a result of AI develop- is a cluster of countries with similar scores, in the ment. Such strategies can offer a unified plan to range of 76 to 79 (Netherlands, Sweden, Ger- deliver multidisciplinary, multi-sector, multi-actor many, France, Denmark, Norway). This cluster solutions to these. partly reflects the cross-border approach to AI readiness taken within the region, with much of In 2021 we saw the UK publish its National AI the recent capacity building on AI happening at Strategy, following the recommendations of its AI the EU level, according to our regional expert, Council’s AI Roadmap earlier in the year. Ireland 28 Western Europe
also published its national strategy, AI - Here erlands) score on a par with USA and Canada for Good, boosting its score in the Government in the Human Capital dimension. This could in Pillar. Ireland’s national strategy recognises the part be explained by high investment in higher benefits of AI for public service delivery and, im- education across Western Europe, resulting in portantly, assigns responsibility to its GovTech both high scores in indicators measuring techni- Delivery Board for its approach to AI adoption in cal AI skills, including Quality of engineering and the public sector as part of its wider function to technology higher education and number of AI drive digital transition of the public sector. Research papers, and high scores in the broader Digital Skills indicator. Having digital skills across The strategy also emphasises the need to build the population is crucial for the workforce read- trustworthy AI, which Ireland plans to achieve in iness required to implement AI technologies in a large part via its activities at the EU level.4 In workplaces. Western European countries have particular, Ireland wants to do this through ac- shown initiative in preparing their workforce tively contributing to the EU’s proposed regulato- through programs such as Elements of AI, a ry framework for AI, its AI Act put forward in April short, publicly available course on the basics of 2021, which defines a regional vision for AI that AI. Having started in Finland, where 1% of the aims to incentivise transparent, accountable, re- entire population has enrolled, the program has sponsible, and inclusive AI. since expanded to other countries in the region. Ireland’s collaborative, international approach to In another sign of development for the Western its AI strategy is common across EU member European technology sector, we’ve also seen the states. Italy has taken a similar approach with its number of AI and non-AI technology unicorns three-year Strategic Program for Artificial Intel- rise from 43 to 62 in the region. The Netherlands ligence, released in November 2021, which in- is home to the highest number of new tech uni- cludes as its first guiding principle that “Italy’s AI corns, adding 3 in the past year. This growth is is a European AI”. paired with increased venture capital investment in the region, with startups in the UK, France, Notably, those countries in Western Europe Germany, Sweden and the Netherlands raising who are not developing national AI strategies more money in the first six months of 2021 than (Iceland and Switzerland) are not EU member any previous whole year. states. They have nonetheless made strategic commitments on AI. Iceland became a part of Challenges remain for the technology sector. the 2018 Declaration on AI in the Nordic-Baltic Companies building AI systems depend on Region and Switzerland adopted guidelines in access to data and computing infrastructure. November 2020 on the use of AI within the ad- Promisingly, the United Kingdom scores the ministration. However, the lack of unified vision in highest globally in the Data Availability dimension part explains why we see them falling below the and Belgium the highest in Data Representa- cluster of countries at the top of the rankings for tiveness. However, Professor Neff suggests that Western Europe. governments will play an important role in de- termining how the data available for AI develop- European Tech ment can reach more varied kinds of companies Although the Technology Pillar scores in Western that support a wide range of national economic Europe still lag significantly behind North Amer- goals, rather than a narrow range of companies ica, Western Europe has seen progress within and industries. In the future, Professor Neff be- this pillar of AI Readiness. In particular, many lieves that this challenge will be one that shapes Western European countries (Switzerland, Swe- the divisions we see between regions in the lev- den, United Kingdom, Germany, Finland, Neth- els and kinds of growth in AI capacity. 4 Strand 2 of Ireland’s strategy “A Governance Ecosystem that Promotes Trustworthy AI” 29 Western Europe
Looking Ahead With a backdrop of enormous financial, legal and ethical capacity, Western Europe is at a mature stage of its AI readiness that puts it in a good position to consider the fine-grained details of AI implementation. Turning lofty plans and princi- ples into practical actions, Professor Neff sug- gests, now requires bringing together concerns from a wide array of citizens and organisations to have country-specific conversations about how to have responsible technology development and investment in the AI space. Moreover, Western Europe is on a clear path to emerging as a global leader in responsible AI. The EU approach, as detailed in its proposed AI Act, is one that takes accountability, inclusivity, and privacy as pillars to successful AI imple- mentation. We are already seeing the benefits of such thoughtful consultation at the national level as countries in Western Europe use this work as scaffolding from which to build national consulta- tions of the same kind. 30 Western Europe
United Kingdom Data Representativeness: Vision: 94.24 100 Index Score Governance & Ethics: 91.09 81.25/100 Data Availability: 97.16 Digital Capacity: Rank 73.03 3/160 Infrastructure: Adaptability: 81.02 78.63 Regional Rank Size: 53.23 1/20 Human Capital: 75.49 Innovation Capacity: 73.05 Government Technology Sector Data and Infrastructure Score Rank Region Rank Score Rank Region Rank Score Rank Region Rank 85.69/100 4/160 2/20 67.26/100 5/160 4/20 90.81/100 2/160 1/20 WORLD AVERAGE: 48.65 WORLD AVERAGE: 35.17 WORLD AVERAGE: 58.43 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100 The UK government has a track record of taking AI read- The strategy recognises the demands the AI sector iness seriously. The government has invested £2.3bn in makes on the country’s data and infrastructure avail- AI since 2014 and the sector is likely to benefit from ability, including its computing resources. As an aspiring its pledge to increase overall public and private sector global superpower, the UK should be concerned that R&D expenditure to 2.4% of GDP by 2027. In 2021, there are fewer supercomputers from the Top 500 locat- the government took further significant steps to define ed in the UK than existing global leaders in AI such as its vision for AI in the country. Most significantly, the UK the US and China as well as some other Western Euro- launched its National AI Strategy, which aims to position pean countries including France and Germany. The UK’s the country as a global AI superpower. Office for Science recognised this in a recent analysis of the UK’s large-scale computing capacity which calls for The strategy sets out one of the UK’s priorities as the a long-term roadmap to address research needs. commercialisation of AI, one of the areas we highlighted as needing most attention from the government in our The UK sits in third place in the global rankings. Singa- 2020 Index report. The strategy introduces the National pore, in second, outperforms the UK across indicators AI Research and Innovation Programme as a key mech- within the Digital Capacity and Adaptability dimensions, anism for supporting the translation of research discov- suggesting that a priority for the British government eries into real-world AI applications. This focus is likely should be an intensified focus on the highest-quali- to boost the UK’s already globally high-scoring Technol- ty digital services, the further adoption of AI and new ogy Sector pillar in the future. technologies within government, and an increased ca- pacity to respond rapidly to disruptive events. 31 Western Europe
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