Governing Global Antimicrobial Resistance: 6 Key Lessons From the Paris Climate Agreement

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OPINIONS, IDEAS, & PRACTICE

Governing Global
                                                                                                        antimicrobial consumed has global
                                                                                                        implications. Some microbes have

Antimicrobial Resistance:
                                                                                                        already developed resistance to all
                                                                                                        known antimicrobials, meaning previ-
                                                                                                        ously curable diseases have become
6 Key Lessons From the                                                                                  untreatable. If immediate action is not
                                                                                                        taken, the effectiveness of these vital

Paris Climate Agreement                                                                                 medicines will continue to diminish, fur-
                                                                                                        ther undermining modern medicine’s
                                                                                                        ability to treat infectious diseases and
Isaac Weldon, MSc, Susan Rogers Van Katwyk, PhD, Gian Luca Burci, Dr Giur,
Thana C. de Campos, DPhil, Mark Eccleston-Turner, PhD, Helen R. Fryer, DPhil,                           perform essential medical procedures.1
Alberto Giubilini, PhD, Thomas Hale, PhD, Mark Harrison, DPhil, Stephanie                                 The global spread of severe acute
Johnson, PhD, Claas Kirchhelle, DPhil, Kelley Lee, DPhil, Kathleen Liddell, DPhil,                      respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
Marc Mendelson, PhD, Gorik Ooms, PhD, James Orbinski, MD, MSc, MA,
Laura J. V. Piddock, PhD, John-Arne Røttingen, MD, PhD, Julian Savulescu, PhD,                          (SARS-CoV-2) and its variants that cause
Andrew C. Singer, PhD, A. M. Viens, PhD, Clare Wenham, PhD, Mary E.                                     COVID-19 has sparked new discussions
Wiktorowicz, PhD, MSc, Shehla Zaidi, MD, PhD, and Steven J. Hoffman, JD, PhD, LLD                       on the need for an international pan-
                                                                                                        demic treaty,2 presenting a unique
        ABOUT THE AUTHORS
                                                                                                        opportunity to reflect on AMR as one
        Isaac Weldon, Susan Rogers Van Katwyk, A. M. Viens, and Steven J. Hoffman are with the
                                                                                                        pathway through which new cross-
        Global Strategy Lab, York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Gian Luca Burci is with

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        the Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva, Switzerland.           border global health threats emerge.
        Thana C. de Campos is with the School of Government, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de          Similar to zoonoses such as COVID-19,

                                                                                                                                                                  April 2022, Vol 112, No. 4
        Chile, Santiago, Chile. Mark Eccleston-Turner is with the Department of Global Health
                                                                                                        AMR can lead to untreatable infectious
        and Social Medicine, King’s College London, United Kingdom. Helen R. Fryer is with the
        Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, Nuffield            diseases in humans with the potential
        Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom. Alberto Giubilini         to become deadly pandemics. AMR
        and Julian Savulescu are with the Oxford Martin School and the Uehiro Centre for Practi-        diminishes the global common pool of
        cal Ethics, University of Oxford. Thomas Hale is with the Blavatnik School of Government,
                                                                                                        antimicrobial effectiveness—a nonex-
        University of Oxford. Mark Harrison is with the Faculty of History and Oxford Martin
        School, University of Oxford. Stephanie Johnson is with the Wellcome Centre for Ethics          cludable but rivalrous resource—
        and Humanities and Ethox Centre, University of Oxford. Claas Kirchhelle is with the             meaning that maintaining the viability
        School of History, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland. Kelley Lee is with the Faculty
                                                                                                        of antimicrobial therapy is a global
        of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada. Kathleen
        Liddell is with the Centre for Law, Medicine and Life Sciences, Faculty of Law, University of   common-pool resource challenge.3
        Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom. Marc Mendelson is with the Division of Infec-             Overcoming this challenge will require
        tious Diseases & HIV Medicine, Groote Schuur Hospital, University of Cape Town, Cape            global mechanisms to coordinate inter-
        Town, South Africa. Gorik Ooms is with the Department of Public Health and Primary
                                                                                                        ests and investments, limit free riding,
        Care, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium. James Orbinski and Mary E. Wiktorowicz are with
        the Dahdaleh Institute for Global Health Research, York University. Laura J. V. Piddock is      and steer cooperation toward preserv-
        with the Global Antibiotic Research and Development Partnership, Geneva, Switzerland.           ing the common pool. This aspect of
        John-Arne Røttingen is with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Oslo, Norway. Andrew C. Singer
                                                                                                        AMR enables us to draw lessons from
        is with the UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom. Clare Wen-
        ham is with the Department of Health Policy, London School of Economics and Political           other common-pool resource chal-
        Science, London. Shehla Zaidi is with the Department of Community Health Sciences, Aga          lenges, such as climate change, in
        Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.                                                             building collective action to target the
                                                                                                        pathways by which AMR may emerge,

A
     ntimicrobial resistance (AMR) is             across sectors and the ability of                     maximize the antimicrobial commons
     among the most urgent global                 microbes to transfer among people,                    for everyone’s benefit, and avoid fur-
health challenges of our time. AMR can            animals, food, and environments;                      ther descending into this tragedy-of-
develop with each use of an antimicro-            spread across borders through global                  the-commons scenario.
bial, regardless of the setting. The              trade and travel; and bring entire                      Building global collective action while
ongoing use of the same antimicrobials            economies to a halt means that every                  accommodating varying national

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OPINIONS, IDEAS, & PRACTICE

                                    circumstances is a monumental but, in       choice as the dominant strategies to        Paris Agreement’s annual Conference
                                    our view, achievable task. The 2015         reduce global antimicrobial use.5,6         of the Parties to the United Nations
                                    Paris Agreement under the United            These strategies, which are reminiscent     Framework Convention on Climate
                                    Nations Framework Convention on Cli-        of climate change mitigation strategies     Change could be highly effective in
                                    mate Change, for example, successfully      that offload the responsibility for action   shaping consensus and action over a
                                    mobilized substantial collective action     from governments to individuals, are        short time horizon.8 A high-profile
                                    to protect a shared global common-          now acknowledged as insufficient. Anti-      AMR forum composed of countries
                                    pool resource similar enough to antimi-     microbials have become such widely          and nongovernmental organizations
                                    crobial effectiveness that it can provide   used tools that they are effectively        would ensure ongoing and inclusive
                                    lessons for advancing global action in      invisible infrastructure underpinning       dialogue to build a culture of account-
                                    this area. While countries struggle to      our health and food systems and paper       ability, trust, and good faith among
                                    meet their specific climate targets, the     over shortcomings in basic hygiene,         relevant actors. Crafting an inclusive
                                                                                                              6
                                    Paris Agreement has stimulated global       equality, and labor systems. Individu-      process will be essential for shaping
                                    cooperation by engaging countries in        als are therefore ill-placed to address     equitable goals and actions, especially
                                    an ongoing effort to mitigate green-        AMR through more informed decision-         because attempting to govern AMR
                                    house gas emissions and adapt to the        making. Instead, addressing AMR             globally requires confronting questions
                                    impacts of climate change. AMR lacks        requires a commitment to social and         about universal representations of the
                                    an equivalent global vehicle for building   economic transformation similar to the      global public and its objectives.9,10
                                    cooperation and would benefit from a         one in the Paris Agreement’s call to        Striking this forum, therefore, repre-
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                                    Paris Agreement–style coordinating          action.                                     sents an important first step to
                                    structure. The Paris Agreement offers         Third, escalating commitments             ensure that future initiatives proceed
                                    6 key lessons relevant to managing the      through national AMR action plans,          fairly.
                                    global antimicrobial commons (Table 1).     which outline each country’s AMR goals        Fifth, like the Intergovernmental
                                                                                and planned actions, will likely increase   Panel on Climate Change guiding the
                                    6 KEY LESSONS FOR AMR                       the effectiveness of global AMR efforts.    Paris Agreement, ongoing AMR action
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                                                                                Ongoing international monitoring of         would be best informed by a regular
                                    First, AMR needs a unifying global tar-     national AMR action plans by the World      and independent stock-taking to evalu-
                                    get to mobilize political attention and     Health Organization provides a key          ate existing measures and advise on
                                    benchmark global progress. For the          starting point, but more extensive and      evidence-informed adjustments.11,12
                                    Paris Agreement, the world united           ambitious global legal commitment           This endeavor must (1) recognize that
                                    behind the politically memorable, albeit    mechanisms are imperative.7 In their        different ways of knowing constitute
                                    scientifically ambiguous goal of keeping     nationally determined contributions         the global knowledge base, (2) ensure
                                    global average temperatures below           under the Paris Agreement, countries        that using evidence to inform adjust-
                                           
                                    1.5 C above preindustrial levels or at      are legally required to specify their       ments that work does not detract from
                                    least well below 2 C.4 For AMR, the        level of ambition, regularly monitor        the inherently political questions of
                                    world still needs to develop, agree to,     progress to that goal, and ratchet up       works for what purpose and for whose
                                    and unite behind a quantifiable goal         their commitments every five years.          benefit, and (3) come with a commit-
                                    that resonates with nonexperts.             Escalating national commitments over        ment to equitable evidence generation
                                          Second, effectively mitigating the    time makes it easier for countries to       and prioritization. Striking a panel to
                                    threat posed by AMR requires a              commit to action early, shape future        assess the global knowledge base on
                                    recognition of how embedded social          policy directions, and signal their will-   these terms will ensure that global,
                                    structures and incentives drive antimi-     ingness to cooperate. Although not          regional, and national goals and poli-
                                    crobial use across sectors. AMR efforts     perfect, this model could increase the      cies are continually informed by the
                                    over many decades have largely              level of ambition in current AMR            best available evidence and are in line
                                    focused on the behavior of individual       commitments.                                with leading practices.12
                                    health care providers and patients,           Fourth, a permanent multistake-             Finally, an enduring international
                                    emphasizing education and personal          holder forum on AMR similar to the          legal agreement could institutionalize

554                           Editorial        Weldon et al.
OPINIONS, IDEAS, & PRACTICE

    TABLE 1—                 Comparing the Paris Climate Agreement With Existing Global AMR Efforts

 Essential Elements                                          Paris Climate Agreement                            Current Global AMR Efforts

 1. Collective global goal                         Keep global temperature rise below 1.5 C above      No consensus on what a collective global goal
                                                     preindustrial levels or at least well below 2 C     could look like

 2. A focus on social and economic                 Implementation of the Paris Agreement requires       AMR discourse has historically emphasized
    transformation                                   social and economic transformation to                individual behavior instead of social and
                                                     decarbonize national economies.                      economic transformation.

 3. Nationally determined contributions pledged,   All parties must communicate their nationally        All WHO member states committed to having
    reviewed, and ratcheted every 5 years             determined contributions every 5 years and,          national action plans for AMR. Even though
                                                      during revisions, aim for maximally ambitious        this commitment is not legally binding, more
                                                      goals. Nationally determined contributions           than 100 countries have published plans, and
                                                      are reviewed to ensure the distribution of           many are under development. However,
                                                      responsibilities is fair and that countries are      there are no specified review, intensification,
                                                      ambitious in their goals. All parties must           or accountability mechanisms, and little
                                                      regularly provide information on activities          financial, technical, and infrastructural
                                                      and outcomes using methods that are                  support is provided for achieving necessary
                                                      articulated by the Intergovernmental Panel           policies. WHO, FAO, and OIE conduct self-
                                                      on Climate Change.                                   assessment surveys on national AMR
                                                                                                           activities, but there is no regular reporting
                                                                                                           or standard methodology for reporting
                                                                                                           outcomes.

 4. Annual multistakeholder forum                  The annual Conference of the Parties to the          AMR is normally discussed every 3 years at
                                                     UNFCCC serves as a multistakeholder                  the World Health Assembly, but there is
                                                     meeting place for advancing the Paris                no formal or regular meeting focused
                                                     Agreement.                                           on AMR and no permanent forum for

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                                                                                                          multistakeholder discussions on AMR across
                                                                                                          sectors.

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 5. Global scientific stock taking every 5 years    Requirement to assess the best available             No relevant comparison
                                                     science every 5 years; this stock-taking
                                                     exercise will help ensure that the Paris
                                                     Agreement’s ongoing efforts are in line with
                                                     scientific best practices.

 6. International legal framework                  The Paris Agreement is a legally binding             No international legal framework, although the
                                                     instrument of the UNFCCC. The UNFCCC                 constituting instruments of the WHO, FAO,
                                                     provides a broader legal framework for the           OIE, or UN could serve as the broader legal
                                                     Paris Agreement.                                     framework for a legally binding AMR
                                                                                                          agreement

Note. AMR 5 antimicrobial resistance; FAO 5 Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations; OIE 5 World Organization for Animal Health;
UN 5 United Nations; UNFCCC 5 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change; WHO 5 World Health Organization.

Source. Rogers Van Katwyk et al.15

these actions with a long-term vision              and link strategies across sectors,                  human health, animal, agricultural, and
and generate progress on AMR by                    countries, and time.     13
                                                                                                        environmental sectors through a “One
charting a clear path forward, distribut-            Whether through a standalone                       Health” approach to maximize the
ing responsibilities, and creating a sus-          agreement or within a new pandemic                   global antimicrobial commons for
tainable system that makes countries               treaty, an international agreement on                everyone’s benefit and simultaneously
active participants throughout the pro-            AMR could align incentives that switch               improve infection prevention measures
cess. Treaties are appropriate for cer-            the focus of AMR efforts toward pre-                 while promoting access, conservation,
tain kinds of challenges only—hence,               vention and preparedness and coordi-                 and innovation for antimicrobials, alter-
they are rare in global health. However,           nate investments to generate social                  native therapies, and diagnostic tech-
the escalating, transnational, and                 and economic transformation, espe-                   nologies.8 Coordinating a One Health
enduring AMR crisis means a strong                 cially because countries are unlikely to             approach that appropriately engages
international legal framework is                   undertake these initiatives on their                 ministries of health, environment, agri-
required to hold actors accountable                own. Such an agreement must unite                    culture, development, and finance

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OPINIONS, IDEAS, & PRACTICE

                                    requires new legal mechanisms beyond        antimicrobials. Without swift collective                 CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
                                    those available through the World           action now, though, AMR may undo                         S. J. Hoffman is Scientific Director of the CIHR’s
                                                                                                                                         Institute of Population and Public Health and is
                                    Health Organization, the Food and Agri-     one of humanity’s greatest discoveries.                  CIHR’s Scientific Lead for Global Health. The views
                                    culture Organization of the United          This outcome would make AMR the                          expressed in this article are those of the authors
                                                                                                                                         and do not necessarily reflect those of the Cana-
                                    Nations, the World Organization for         epitome of the global tragedy of the                     dian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR) or the
                                    Animal Health, and the United Nations       commons. To avoid such a catastrophe,                    Government of Canada. The other authors have
                                                                                                                                         no conflicts of interest to disclose.
                                    Environment Program, which are lim-         world leaders must take ambitious
                                    ited to the area-specific mandates of        action—similar to the steps they took
                                    each institution.                                                                                    REFERENCES
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                                    our expectations for global health lead-    of Oxford, in May 2019. The workshop was                  8. Rogers Van Katwyk S, Balasegaram M, Boriello P,
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