Generation Rent A lifetime of letting? Will rental rungs replace the property ladder?
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Generation Rent A lifetime of letting? Will rental rungs replace the property ladder? Perceptions of the first-time buyer market 2014
Generation Rent 2014 Introduction Who makes up Generation Rent? The Generation Rent Report is the definitive annual research by Halifax, the UK’s leading lender to first-time buyers, which examines the current perceptions and views of the first-time buyer market. This is the fourth annual 1. report and now contains data from interviews with over 32,000 20-45 year olds built up over four years, and over Plan to buy 3000 parents of 20-45 year olds over the past three years. in the next 5 years... The global recession which began in 2008 has had a huge impact on the UK housing market, in particular for first- time buyers who, facing a difficult mortgage market, high deposits, poor job security and stagnating incomes, found it difficult to muster the financial means to get onto the property ladder. 2. Our first report in 2011 found that despite a strong desire Would like to buy... for homeownership, over a third (35%) of 20-45 year olds could be defined as ‘Generation Rent’ – a group with no realistic prospect of owning their own home in the next five years. Three years later, despite the economic recovery and the implementation of government initiatives such as ‘Help to Buy’, this proportion has not changed, with 36% of today’s 20-45 year olds falling into ‘Generation Rent’, those that are either unable to get on the property ladder or those that have no desire to do so. This latest report looks back on the past four years to see what has changed, and the impacts that it may have on the 3. profile of the housing market overall: Have no desire to buy... The makeup of the UK housing market? Over a third (35%) of 20- 45 year olds could be defined as ‘Generation Rent’ – a group with no realistic prospect of owning their own home in the next five years. 02
Generation Rent 2014 1. Plan to buy in the next 5 2. Would like to buy... years... . Profile: Profile: ■ Younger (52% aged 20-29, mean = 30) ■ Predominantly female (59%) ■ From a middle/high social grade (34% C1, 29% AB) ■ Early 30’s (23% 30-34, mean = 33) ■ Have a higher household income (mean = £33k) ■ From a ‘lower’ social grade (56% C2DE) ■ Have a higher level of savings (mean = £11k) ■ Have a lower household income (mean = £23k) ■ Work full-time (62%) ■ Have lower levels of savings (mean = £3k) ■ Be London-based (27%) ■ Work part-time/be temporarily unemployed (35%) ■ Have grown up in an ‘owned’ home (73%) ■ Have grown up in rented accommodation (36%) Views: Views: ■ Worried about getting ‘stuck’ renting ■ Worried about future finances ■ 58% agree they’re worried that if ‘I have to rent all my life ■ 60% are worried that if ‘I have to rent all my life I won’t I won’t be able to retire’ be able to retire’ ■ 67% agree renting means they never get to feel like ■ 49% expect to be paying off their mortgage into their they’re fully settled retirement ■ 67% agree renting means they’re not able to make it feel ■ Feel a social division between those who can/cannot buy like home homes ■ Think owning is better than renting for all reasons as ■ 78% agree the country is in danger of dividing into two, above, but more accepting that change is going to between those who can afford a house and those who happen will never be able to ■ 53% agree it is important for parents to bring up children ■ 65% agree the division between people who can afford in a home that they own, not rent a house and those who can’t will create long-term social ■ 64% agree buying a home is one of the ways that people problems take a stake in society ■ Tend to disagree that non-homeowners aren’t willing to ■ 85% agree owning your own home is a good financial make sacrifices. Feel government is not doing enough investment for the future ■ ‘Only’ 37% agree people aren’t willing to make the ■ 50% agree Britain will become a nation of renters within necessary sacrifices in order to buy their first property the next generation ■ ‘Only’ 45% agree first-time buyers today are guilty of trying to find their perfect property rather than adjusting their expectations to their means The global recession which began in 2008 has had a huge impact on the UK housing market, in particular for first-time buyers. 03
Generation Rent 2014 3. Have no desire to buy... Opinions of homeowners. Profile: Profile: ■ Young (26% 20-24, mean = 32) ■ Predominantly male (53%) ■ From a ‘lower’ social grade (49% DE) ■ Older (57% aged 35+, mean = 35) ■ Have a lower household income (mean = £19k) ■ From a higher social grade (36% AB) ■ Have fewer savings (mean = £3k) ■ Have a higher household income (mean = £40k) ■ Are not likely to be working/students/house person ■ Have higher levels of savings (mean = £16k) (55%) ■ Work full-time ■ Have been brought up in owned accommodation (49%) ■ Have grown up in an ‘owned’ home (83%) Views: Views: ■ Do not feel that owning a home is important; renting ■ Think non-homeowners not willing to make sacrifices/ is fine and Britain should lose obsession with home compromises ownership ■ 54% agree people aren’t willing to make the necessary ■ 23% agree it is important for parents to bring up children sacrifices in order to buy their first property in a home that they own, not rent ■ 57% agree first-time buyers today are guilty of trying ■ 39% agree buying a home is one of the ways that people to find their perfect property rather than adjusting their take a stake in society expectations to their means ■ 56% agree owning your own home is a good financial ■ Feel owning your own home is still important, for investment for the future settling down/taking a stake in society and as a financial ■ 36% agree Britons should lose their obsession with investment home ownership - we’d be happier as a result ■ 41% agree owning your own home is less important in ■ Do not feel social division between those that can/ life now than it was a generation ago cannot buy homes. ■ 46% agree it is important for parents to bring up children ■ 57% agree the country is in danger of dividing into two, in a home that they own, not rent between those who can afford a house and those who ■ 63% agree buying a home is one of the ways that people will never be able to take a stake in society ■ 45% agree the division between people who can afford ■ 85% agree owning your own home is a good financial a house and those who can’t will create long-term social investment for the future problems ■ 66% agree Britain should remain a nation of ■ Tend to disagree that non-homeowners aren’t willing to homeowners and do not think this should, or will, change make sacrifices. Feel government is not doing enough ■ 41% agree Britain will become a nation of renters within ■ 36% agree people aren’t willing to make the necessary the next generation sacrifices in order to buy their first property ■ 33% agree the Government is doing enough to support ■ 41% agree first-time buyers today are guilty of trying people trying to buy their first home to find their perfect property rather than adjusting their ■ 66% agree parents are now expected to help young expectations to their means people buy their first home ■ Do not expect support from parents ■ 46% agree parents are now expected to help young people buy their first home 04
Generation Rent 2014 Attitudes to homeownership Barriers to homeownership and renting Financial concerns are again cited as obstacles to While homeownership remains an aspiration for the majority purchasing property. Almost half (48%) of non-owners claim of 20-45 year olds (85%), there is evidence that attitudes that the biggest reason they are not buying property at towards renting as a lifestyle option have softened, with the the moment is lack of sufficient earnings, followed by the proportion of non-owners who don’t want to raise children high level of required deposits (43%). These concerns are in a rented property falling to 40%, and also the number of particularly acute for women (50% and 46% respectively) people worried about renting having a negative impact on compared to men (46% and 40% respectively). their retirement also decreasing by 6% to 51%. Despite this, saving for a deposit remains one of, if not the, Almost half (48%) of this year’s respondents agree that most significant barriers to homeownership for first-time Britain will become a nation of renters within the next buyers, and over half (57%) of those who would like to buy a generation, with 46% also agreeing that Britain is becoming home admit that while they want to save for a deposit, they more like Europe, where renting is ‘the norm’. don’t have the spare cash to do so. The cycle of renting is also perpetuated by the fact that In 2013, increasing house prices meant that the average people who grow up predominantly in rented accommodation deposit for first-time buyers in the UK increased from are themselves more likely to rent than buy. 36% of people £28,001 to £30,943. Although deposit sizes as a proportion that would like to buy but are unable to have grown up in of the total house price have remained stable at around 20%, rented accommodation. this is still 10 percentage points higher than 2007 (10%)1. Of those who don’t want to own, over a third (36%) think that On average, non-owners think they can afford to save £31.72 the nation should lose its obsession with homeownership towards a deposit each week. Indeed, 36% say they can’t and that people would be happier as a result. save anything towards a deposit and would have to rely on a If this pattern were to continue, then this would suggest that windfall, and another 14% say they could only save between the people entering the housing market are less likely to want £1 and £10 (compared with 35% and 12% respectively in to own a home, and are more likely to remain in ‘Generation 2013). Rent’, irrespective of changing market conditions, leading to a longer-term shift in the homeownership profile of the UK. Barriers to homeownership Plan to buy in Would like to Total next 5 years buy, but unable The size of the deposit required 59% 65% 62% High property prices 55% 52% 53% Stamp duty 7% 3% 5% Low income 39% 60% 50% Lack of job security 27% 26% 27% Other debts 14% 16% 15% Extra fees (such as solicitors' fees or mortgage arrangement 17% 14% 16% fees) Finding the right property 14% 6% 10% Not feeling able to apply for a mortgage because they believe 16% 16% 16% most applications are rejected in today's economic climate Not knowing how to go about applying for a mortgage 8% 5% 7% Lenders having unrealistically high expectations of people's 20% 23% 21% credit histories Higher repayments from mortgages that have been secured 24% 16% 20% with relatively small deposits 1 Halifax first time buyer review, 2012, 2013 http://www.lloydsbankinggroup.com/globalassets/documents/media/press-releases/halifax/2014/0401_first_time_buyers.pdf 05
Generation Rent 2014 Sacrifices for homeownership Nine-in-ten (90%) young non-owners are prepared to compromise in order to buy their property – a steady Only 23% of those who want to buy a home claim to be increase since 2012 (84%). Willingness to compromise is saving every penny for a deposit and making sacrifices particularly high amongst respondents from London (93%). to do so. Those who are currently trying to put together a Respondents are most likely to compromise on parking deposit are more likely to be doing so by making sacrifices (41%) and garden space (41%). – cutting down on spending on hobbies (35% vs 26%); going out (49% vs 39%), clothes,(41% vs 30%) or holidays The features that young respondents are least likely to (36% vs 32%) compromise on are the number of bedrooms (28%) and having a smaller living area (27%). 20-45 year-old homeowners are far more likely than potential owners to have lived with their parents for longer On average, non-owners would be prepared to save up for (31% vs 15%) or borrowed money from friends/family (23% a deposit to buy their first home for 5.29 years, down from vs 4%). 5.41 years in 2013. 40-45 year olds are prepared to save for This suggests that, for this generation, simply cutting longer than their younger counterparts (5.69 years vs. 4.91 down to save up may not be sufficient to put together years for 20-24 year olds). Following a similar pattern, part enough money for a deposit on a home, and more dramatic time workers are prepared to save for longer than full time measures such as moving back home to save on rent or workers (5.29 years vs. 4.95 years respectively). borrowing money may be necessary. Base: Parents who have ever owned a home; all homeowners aged 20-45; non-homeowners aged 20-45 who would like to buy a home and want to save for a deposit. Which of the following are you doing/did you do to get Homeowners Homeowners Potential enough money for a deposit for you first home? (Parents) (16-45) Homeowners (16-45) Living in lower quality accommodation to save on rent 15% 11% 14% Cutting down on / stopped going out 43% 39% 49% Spending less on clothes, toiletries or personal grooming 35% 30% 41% Going on fewer / cheaper holidays 37% 32% 36% Spending less on Christmas, birthdays and other special events 24% 22% 31% Spending less on my hobby / hobbies 26% 26% 35% Borrowing money from friends or family 9% 23% 4% Keeping a bonus or windfall to one side rather than spend it 14% 19% 16% Working an extra job 18% 15% 13% Living with parents 15% 31% 15% I'm not doing any of these things 32% 20% 22% 06
Generation Rent 2014 Parental assistance The future of the UK Housing Market Relying on parents or other family members and friends for support when getting on the property ladder is now The report highlights a disconnect between the desire and expected, with 6 in 10 of 20-45 year olds agreeing that perceived ability to buy a home. Although homeownership support is from family members is now automatically is seen as advantageous by a majority, many of Generation assumed/ a given to help first time buyers. Rent admit they are not taking the steps they need to purchase their own home. Of those that have purchased only 37% of 20-45 year old homeowners received no help from their parents when Deposit sizes and mortgage accessibility are cited as the purchasing their home. key barriers to homeownership between those that plan to buy in the next five years than those who are unable This is a marked generational shift; while both 20-45 year- to buy. Those that are unable to buy are far more likely old homeowners and their parents cut back and made to identify low income as one of the top three barriers to sacrifices in roughly equal measure, this generation of homeownership (60% vs. 39%) unsurprising given their homeowners is far more likely than the preceding one to household income is, on average, £10,000 lower. This have lived with their parents for longer (31% vs. 15%) or suggests that if issues of ‘affordability’ continue to worsen, borrowed money from their friends/family (23% vs. 9%) in then those in ‘Generation Rent’ may be more vulnerable. order to pull together a deposit. However, it also means that there is more scope for issues of affordability to impact likely homeowners moving Government assistance homeownership out of their reach. Since the last research was conducted in 2013, the government has introduced the ‘Help to Buy’ initiative to Implications try to help first-time buyers onto the property ladder either This potential, and perceived movement in the UK towards through equity loans or mortgage guarantees. 17,395 renting is not necessarily viewed as a good thing (only homes have been bought under the scheme in its first nine 27% agree that Brits should lose their obsession with months, 88% of which were to first-time buyers2. homeownership), nor is it viewed as something that will affect everyone (68% of 20-45 year-olds think the country When asked, approximately 3 in 10 20-45 year olds thought is in danger of dividing into those who can afford a house that government initiatives were working, but the same & those that will never be able to). 56% of the population amount felt that it wasn’t, and more (4 in 10) didn’t know. agree that the division between homeowners and non- homeowners will create long-term social problems. 48% of 20-45 year olds believe Britain will become a nation of renters in a generation. 2 https://www.gov.uk/government/news/pm-hails-help-to-buy-success 07
Generation Rent 2014 A widening of the existing With current estimates of a housing shortfall and an estimated 232,000 new homes required each year to meet wealth gap between demand, the house building industry needs to continue to homeowners and supply new developments. But changes in the proportion of people who rent, and the length of time they rent for, non-homeowners are likely to affect the number and nature of new build properties, and may lead to fewer homes being built than 79% of 20-45 year olds agree that owning your own home is necessary. As first-time buyers are regarded as crucial is a good financial investment for the future. As housing to the housing market and house building industry to keep represents a large proportion of Britain’s wealth, accounting the market moving, any decrease in the number of first for approximately 60% of the UK’s non-financial assets, time buyers will have an impact on the funding of new this could result in a widening of the existing wealth gap builds. It will also be important that, when planning any new between homeowners and non-homeowners. developments, the likelihood of some of it being privately rented is considered, to ensure the stock is of high quality Lack of financial resources to support people and well managed. during retirement Any decrease in first-time buyers will have an overall impact Homeownership has long being viewed as a financial on the future housing market. First-time buyers are viewed investment; many homeowners view their home as as the life blood of the housing market and are key to a resource that they could potentially draw upon in getting the market moving. In order for the market to remain retirement. An increasing rental sector would therefore sustainable, homeowners need to be able to move up the mean an increasing proportion of the population would not property ladder. Without a first-time buyer, many people have that resource to draw upon in their retirement, with living in their first home will be unable to move up the 51% of non-homeowners aged 20-45 are worried that if property ladder and, without this movement, the market will they rent all their lives they won’t be able to retire. come to a standstill. 08
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