General Insurance Update 2017 - Major forces and influences shaping our world and industry
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General Insurance Update 2017 Major forces and influences shaping our world and industry November 2017 kpmg.com/nz
i | KPMG | General Insurance Update 2017 To prosper and fuel New Zealand’s economy, insurers must continue to adapt their business strategies to respond to changing customer needs, technology advances and regulatory demands.
General Insurance Update 2017 | KPMG | ii Contents General Insurance Update 2017 1 3 7 Foreword Major forces and influences: Major forces and influences: Shaping our world and the Preparing to disrupt and grow general insurance sector 13 17 19 The best pathway to future Productivity is a strategic Augmented and virtual reality: success explores new solutions imperative for New seizing the opportunity and embraces failure Zealand insurers 23 27 33 Digital Labour in insurance Seizing the cyber The rise of digital ecosystem insurance opportunity insurance products 35 45 47 Are you prepared? Our authors Our thought leadership
1 | KPMG | General Insurance Update 2017 Foreword Jamie Munro – Partner, Head of Insurance Major forces and international ‘mega trends’ are shaping the Kiwi insurance industry. The way everyday New Zealanders will buy, manage, and use insurance could become dramatically different. Emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, robotics and machine Augmented and virtual reality learning, the Internet of Things Augmented and virtual reality are and blockchain, are redefining expected to become multi-billion- insurers’ operating models. Other dollar industries in the next few major forces shaping the industry years and should create a multitude include demographic change, ever- of new risks for individuals and changing customer expectations and businesses. On page 19, Tuhi preferences, the sharing economy, Isaachsen explains why this matters and other innovation and productivity and how to seize the opportunity. initiatives. In our first article, on page 3, Nick Moss highlights these The latest edition of major forces shaping our world. our annual KPMG Our next article on page 7 draws out the themes from our latest publication, the KPMG Global CEO Outlook Survey of nearly 1300 CEOs. Particular focus is General Insurance provided on the views of insurance sector leaders internationally, and Update 2017, local perspectives from the New Digital labour highlights the major Zealand CEOs surveyed. We tested those themes with the CEOs of the Next up on page 23, our resident forces shaping three largest insurance companies in New Zealand, and we share some KPMG expert on cognitive technology and robotic process automation, Karl our world and the of their insights in this article. Arndt, explores what ‘digital labour’ might look like for the insurance insurance industry. There is no doubt that innovation is a top concern for insurance CEOs. industry. Automation of manual processing tasks across the value In today’s market that means doing Contributors to our publication have chain and optimisation of internal things differently than in the past. this year explored productivity, functions has the potential to deliver We explore themes of innovation, innovation and technology change better business outcomes and a mindset, divergent thinking and in the sector. For New Zealand’s better experience to customers. productivity in our next two articles economy to prosper, insurers will on page 13 and 17, from need to adapt and innovate in Steven Graham and Dylan Marsh. response to changing customer needs, technology advances and The next four articles in our publication regulatory demandschanging all highlight new opportunities customer needs, technology for insurers, through innovation advances and regulatory demands. and emerging technology:
General Insurance Update 2017 | KPMG | 2 Legislative and regulatory reform is There is change too, on the also abound in the changing landscape. accounting front. The long- Our previous annual publications anticipated insurance contracts considered the reform of two major standard – IFRS 17 Insurance New Zealand Crown entities with Contract – has finally been fundamental connections to the published, heralding fundamental general insurance industry: Fire and changes to international insurance Emergency New Zealand and the accounting. The new standard Cyber insurance Earthquake Commission (the EQC). brings both benefits and challenges New technology also brings a new The latter EQC reforms are anticipated for insurers. The date the new range of cyber threats to both to come into effect in 2020. standard comes into effect tangible and intangible assets, is 1 January 2021. That may The International Monetary Fund many of which are not covered seem a long way off, but the released findings from its Financial by established insurance policies, implementation effort required will Sector Assessment Programme leaving organisations of all types be significant, and insurers should in July of this year. Their report dangerously exposed to the impact get started now. We close on declared the New Zealand financial of cyber perils. On page 27, page 35 with our comprehensive services sector to be resilient, but Phil Whitmore addresses the assessment of the new insurance also recommended ways to improve cyber insurance opportunity. accounting standard, and pose the strength of the country’s financial the question, are you prepared? sector, the regulatory framework, and the intensity of supervision for both On behalf of KPMG, we the banking and insurance sectors. hope you enjoy the read. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand Please do not hesitate to contact (the RBNZ) has since embarked on one of the team at KPMG to a legislative review of the Insurance assist your organisation in (Prudential Supervision) Act 2010. addressing any of the matters Through the release of an issues paper raised in this publication. and an industry consultation process, the RBNZ received extensive feedback The digital ecosystem from insurers and market participants. In our final article of the series on Those industry submissions page 33, Martin Blake from our are currently under review. Australian practice considers the rise of digital ecosystem insurance products. Alliances with technology partners are creating opportunities for insurers to improve distribution and reach through partner technologies, methodologies and distribution channels.
3 | KPMG | General Insurance Update 2017 Major forces and influences: Shaping our world and the general insurance sector Nicholas Moss – Director, Audit Geographically isolated? Perhaps. In every other sense, we are undoubtedly connected to the global community. On a people level, we see this in both emigration and immigration statistics. A 2016 study by Statista1 identified New Zealand as having 14.1% of its citizens living overseas, Rise of the individual – advances ranking it second only to Ireland in global education, health and at 17.5%. Looking at this from the technology have helped empower other way, more than one million individuals like never before, leading to of us currently living here in New increased demands for transparency. Zealand were born overseas.2 Eighty percent of Kiwis are worried about the future and whether or not What about global megatrends enough is being done to ensure that – forces that impact everyone on New Zealand remains a safe and the planet? Even in New Zealand? healthy place to live. Interestingly, And, if New Zealand, what about despite the fact that Kiwis are New Zealand – the general insurance sector? Let’s first take a look at some of becoming increasingly committed to green and sustainable lifestyles, only 2,155 kilometres the megatrends and how we see 31% of us will buy more fair trade or them playing out in New Zealand. ethically, socially and environmentally from Sydney, friendly products over the next year.3 9,145 kilometres One would expect this percentage to grow if we act on how we feel. from Hong Kong, 14,185 kilometres from New York and 18,325 kilometres from London. 1 https://www.statista.com 5 http://www.stats.govt.nz 9 http://www.radionz.co.nz 2 http://www.stats.govt.nz 6 Natalie Jackson, Massey University 10 http://www.icnz.org.nz 3 Colmar Brunton, 2016 Better Futures Report 7 Natalie Jackson, Massey University 4 https://www.nbr.co.nz 8 http://www.icnz.org.nz
General Insurance Update 2017 | KPMG | 4 The sharing economy – this economic Urbanisation – almost two-thirds The environment – rising greenhouse system takes unused assets and of the world’s population will reside gas emissions are causing climate unlocks value by matching ‘needs’ in cities by 2030. Over this time, change and driving a complex mix and ‘haves’ in ways that create greater Auckland is expected to grow by 52%. of unpredictable changes to the efficiency and access. This is not new to How does this compare to the growth environment. Whilst not scientific, New Zealand – local examples include expected in some of our regions? a simple analysis of the natural BookaBach (2000), Holiday Houses Bay of Plenty – 22%, Waikato – 28%, disasters published on the ICNZ (2003), Holiday Homes (2004), Look Taranaki – 19%, Otago – 19% and website over the last three decades After Me (2011) and Harmoney (2014). Southland – 8%.6 indicates New Zealand experienced 30 natural disasters between 1988 and 1997, 51 between 1998 and 2007, and 66 between 2008 and 2017.8 New Zealand is also not immune to the impact of rising sea levels. A 2015 report to the Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment reported that New Zealand has 43,683 houses within 1.5 metres of the high tide level and 8,806 houses within Enabling technology – information Demographics – higher life 0.5 metres of it.9 In September 2017, and communications technology (ICT) expectancy and falling birth rates are the ICNZ warned that up to 70,000 led primary sector revenue growth in increasing the proportion of elderly New Zealand properties may be 2016 (up by 17.3%). Financial services people in populations across the uninsurable within 20 to 30 years.10 technology recorded the highest world. What are we seeing in New percentage gain (31.2%).4 Zealand? In the 65+ age bracket, expected growth to 2033 is 33% in Auckland, 61% in Wellington, 69% in Christchurch and more than 100% in So, we can see that New Zealand is many of our regions.7 not isolated from global megatrends. Now let’s take a look at how some of these trends are playing out in the insurance sector – particularly personal lines. We’ll do this by breaking down the insurance value chain into four basic components: Economic power shift – New Distribution, Product design and Zealand’s trade relationship with China underwriting, Claims, and Capital has nearly tripled over the past decade, and investment management. with two-way trade rising from $8.2 billion in 2007 to $23.0 billion in 2016.5
5 | KPMG | General Insurance Update 2017 Distribution Product design and underwriting The notion that insurance is a low- —— Cross-industry collaboration: 98% Product design ultimately needs to engagement industry in which of New Zealand CEOs surveyed focus on what the customer wants and customer relationships can be in KPMG’s Global CEO Outlook respond to evolving customer needs. delegated to brokers is becoming Survey agreed that they’re more open to new influences and Take the expansion of the sharing increasingly obsolete. Distribution new collaborations than they economy. An article by the BBC models are changing to focus on have been at any other points in forecasts that the sharing economy understanding the customer better their careers. In New Zealand, will be worth NZ$465 billion globally and improving the quality of customer we are now seeing the likes of by 2025, with NZ$5 trillion of idle interactions through technology. The Warehouse and Countdown assets across the world.11 The sharing offering a range of both life and economy brings with it new types of —— Channel digitisation: A growing general insurance products, and business model and risk that general number of New Zealand insurers we expect this trend to increase. insurers may not have had to deal have digital capabilities. For with previously. These include the use some, this remains limited to —— Role of the agent: As insurers of personal property for commercial the ability to provide online move to digitally enabled purposes, high-frequency transactions quotes. However, increasingly, distribution models, we should (assuming that each transaction capabilities are being expanded expect the role of the broker has to be underwritten and priced to include quotes, purchasing to change as well. Expect the individually), low premium amounts cover and lodging claims. broker of the future to be digitally per transaction, less control over how —— Insight-driven customer and social media savvy, and assets are used (with a degree of experiences: More and more, increasingly willing to cross- variance between transactions) and insurers are transitioning from a sell, provide more complex significant reliance on external data for product-focused sales process to advice and build stronger underwriting, pricing and claims. The one that is centred on the needs rapport with customers. ability to insure new business models of the customer. For example, —— The Internet of Things: The use efficiently may also require updates Accuro Health Insurance, a New of telematics is not widespread to a country’s laws and regulations. Zealand-owned health insurance in New Zealand. In contrast, in provider, recently released a places like the UK, the use of In places like Australia and the UK, we service called HUGO. This is an telematics is common in motor are seeing innovative new products underwriting engine that guides products. Average motor premiums such as on-demand insurance. users through a series of simple are comparatively cheap in New Companies like Trōv are looking to questions determined by a Zealand because bodily injury address the issue of redundant/wasted complex system which asks only losses are not part of the cover. As insurance cover – such as separate the questions needed. The result a result, it can be hard to justify the cover taken out for a device, which is that customers complete only additional expense of telematics may then remain at home and could a simple, tailored questionnaire for marginal improvements to be covered by contents insurance. and, in many cases, receive an loss ratios. Overseas, the focus Trōv’s on-demand insurance can instant, fully underwritten and is turning increasingly to the be ‘turned on’ and ‘turned off’ all personalised contract online. use of telematics and sensors from a personal phone. How long in areas such as homes and will it be until we see this type of buildings, and health and fitness. cover offered in New Zealand? 11 http://www.bbc.co.uk 12 http://www.mckinsey.com 13 http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk 14 http://www.mckinsey.com
General Insurance Update 2017 | KPMG | 6 Claims Capital and investment management Let’s consider an insurance policy that A recent McKinsey study12 noted that In July 2017, Swiss Re announced pays out conditionally, based on the automation can reduce the cost of a that it is switching US$130 billion quantity of rainfall in a given month. claims journey by as much as 30%. into ethical investments. Institutional Does an insurer need the customer An Oxford Martin School13 study investors are increasingly looking to notify them of a claim if all the forecasts that the traditional roles of at how companies perform on required information is available from insurance appraiser and insurance environmental, social and governance external sources? A smart insurance claims processing clerk have a 98% (ESG)-related issues, given the contract stored on a blockchain waits chance of becoming computerised potential for poor behaviour to until the predetermined time, retrieves within 20 years. Outside of the claims lead to share price hits. Increased the weather report from an external process, the traditional role of an pressure on companies to be service and behaves appropriately insurance sales agent was given a transparent about how they perform based on the data received. Whilst the 92% likelihood of computerisation against ESG-related metrics is concept of smart insurance contracts is within 20 years and, of an insurance being seen in New Zealand too. still relatively new, it may well pave the underwriter, a 99% likelihood. In May 2017, the New Zealand Stock way forward for the insurance industry. If the use of robotics in the Exchange (NZX) released a new Be it blockchain or some other form claims process is the future, Corporate Governance Code, which of technology enablement, we expect let’s consider what the claims follows a three-tiered structure of the insurance claims process of process might look like.14 principles, recommendations and the future to be far slicker than the commentary. The Code is effective for more traditional claims process. In What is striking about this example is reporting periods ending 31 December October 2017, the FMA granted an that it is not particularly complex. One 2017. One such recommendation is that exemption from our current financial would imagine that a new entrant, not issuers should provide non-financial advice regime to allow personalised hindered by legacy systems, could set disclosure at least annually, including robo-advice to foster innovation and up this kind of process relatively easily. consideration of material exposure to improve customer access to advice. environmental, economic and social This exemption was strongly supported sustainability risks. Issuers should explain by industry participants following a how they plan to manage those risks consultation process and is a sign that and how operational or non-financial the use of robotics in the New Zealand targets are measured. The Code insurance industry may not be far off. requires issuers to comply or explain. Whilst the new NZX Corporate Governance Code is relevant only From To to NZX-listed entities, every New Zealand insurer should consider its shareholders and its own ESG-related Customer waits on hold Claim reported instantly through performance. New Zealand insurers are to report claim responsive mobile site or carrier app generally well supported by offshore parents and reinsurers, and the Lengthy first notice of loss call Automatic data collection success of the New Zealand insurance to give information on claim based on simple questionnaire, industry is reliant on their continued photo upload and sensors support. We only have to look at the regeneration of Christchurch to see No transparency on Proactive updates sent via email, how New Zealand has benefited from status of claim SMS and online messengers this offshore support. Total insurance of NZ$33 billion being applied to Communication with human Communication with chatbot a population of around 360,000 is adjustor to check for status and via digital channels unprecedented worldwide – and a large share additional information proportion of this has been funded via phone and email during by offshore parents and reinsurers. normal business hours Payments triggered manually Payments triggered automatically Our next article, authored by Jamie and deposited directly into Munro and Nicola Raynes, explores customer’s bank account ‘where to from here’ and provides a snapshot of views from CEOs and insurance sector leaders.
7 | KPMG | General Insurance Update 2017 Major forces and influences: Preparing to disrupt and grow Jamie Munro – Partner, Head of Insurance and Nicola Raynes – Director, Financial Services There are multiple challenges facing the industry and these “As the leading are forcing bold decision-making around where to invest, where insurer in NZ, it is to grow and where to change. our responsibility to In a market where customer preferences and demands are be leading change. changing and disrupters are shaking The skill is in how up the business operating models of old, insurance companies need to we transform our adapt their outlooks and strategies and focus on continuous business business, growing transformation to remain competitive. This is not an easy task in a low- customer relevance, profit-margin environment! simplifying Anticipating what customers are thinking, what competitors are our business Picking up from Nick doing and which environments an organisation might have to operate and delivering Moss’ opening article in (be it technological, geopolitical or amazing customer environmental) is at the forefront of on major forces and any CEO’s mind. And whilst we all experiences.” wish a crystal ball were on hand to influences, it comes help guide us through these dilemmas, Craig Olsen we need, instead, to ensure that as no surprise that, the mindset of the organisation, CEO, IAG New Zealand at present, insurance and particularly that of the CEO, is one which is open and adaptive to companies are facing emerging influences and changes. a huge balancing act, We see this thinking coming through loud and clear in the results of the New Zealand perspectives which will become latest KPMG Global CEO Outlook Survey. In 2017, for the first time, With the Kiwi ‘can-do’ attitude even more prevalent New Zealand participated in KPMG’s shining through in the responses, our CEOs were generally upbeat global survey of nearly 1,300 CEOs. as we move into More than 100 were insurance sector about the future. New Zealand CEOs see themselves as open leaders while 51 were New Zealand the future. CEOs from a wide range of market to collaboration and technological sectors, including insurance. disruption, viewing the disruption as an opportunity, rather than a threat. 1 51 New Zealand CEOs from across a range of market sectors participated in the KPMG Global CEO Outlook Survey in 2017.
General Insurance Update 2017 | KPMG | 8 Mindset Trust Adaptability We’re talking about adopting a New Zealand CEOs feel a growing Being open to new ideas and growth mindset and being open to responsibility to represent the best collaboration is a hallmark of New opportunities. New Zealand CEOs interests of their customers. Zealand CEOs — and openness agree that they’re more open to new is seen as the way forward. Companies are placing greater influences and collaborations than They keep the door open to the importance on trust, values and culture at any other point in their careers. management table so that new to sustain a long-term future. Trust They see the benefits of orientating specialist skills areas are covered. in leaders and in collective purpose their organisations around purpose inspires and motivates employees, They adopt flexible approaches to by adjusting the collective mindset to in organisations large and small. business strategy and planning. one that is overwhelmingly positive. New Zealand CEOs are increasingly Our Kiwi DNA enables adaptability New Zealand CEOs see technological focused on prioritising trust as a and New Zealand CEOs recognise disruption as much more of an core part of their products, services the importance of adaptability, opportunity than a threat. Despite and their brand, and building especially in times of change, which the shortage of locally based talent loyalty with their customers, are challenging for every organisation. in this sector, for now, we remain people and other stakeholders. able to attract people with the appropriate skills, perhaps because of our appealing lifestyle. And those who operate in New Zealand in the technology sector tend to punch above their weight on the international front. From the New Zealand CEOs surveyed: 100% felt an increase in responsibility to represent the best interests of 90% see technological disruption as more of an opportunity than a threat. 82% are spending more time on scenario planning than they have ever done before. the customer. 98% agreed that they correlate being a more 90% expect a major disruption in the coming three years as a result of 78% are investing more significantly in the Internet of Things. empathetic organisation technological disruption. with higher earnings. 96% are confident about their growth prospects over 88% are actively disrupting rather than waiting to be disrupted. the next three years.
9 | KPMG | General Insurance Update 2017 Insurance perspectives A view on disruption From the international survey results, insurance CEOs were also confident about change, and see themselves disrupting the sector: for example, through collaboration with InsurTechs, and the use of artificial intelligence and robotics. But is the 30% scale of self-disruption in the market and the adoption of technologies driving real transformational We see technological 31% change? That remains in question. That is not to say it won’t happen – sometimes ‘testing the water’ is disruption as more of an opportunity than a threat 19% better than a big-bang approach. However, the scale of change is rapid and organisations need to be 16% conscious that decision-making around responses to that change needs to be equally swift to 04% ensure they are not left behind. Insurance CEOs may be confident in their current market position, but they also recognise that they face an uncertain future where new innovations, technologies and operational risks will upset the status quo and catalyse further disruption. 43% As insurers start to transform their organisations and embrace new My organisation is 37% models and technologies, the risk landscape is changing. In fact, according to insurance CEOs, the actively disrupting the sector in which we operate 09% most concerning risks today are those related to people, processes and emerging technology. 07% Changing market, environmental and geopolitical forces are driving insurance companies globally 03% towards spending more time focused on scenario planning. As each company identifies and monitors emerging risks and trends, it will need to develop its future according to these to ensure it maintains a competitive placement in an ever-evolving market. 36% This is essential, if a company is to ensure that it can sense market We expect major 17% signals, understand the needs of disruption in our customers and, thus, prioritise the use of its time and investment for sector in the coming 3 years as a result of 11% changes that will ignite growth technological innovation and solidify market positions. In response, New Zealand insurers 27% and their global counterparts are moving to optimise and align their operating models, 10% processes and distribution channels to accommodate the preferences of customers. Source: CEO Outlook, KPMG Internation al 2017 Strongly agree Agree Neither Disagree Strongly disagree
General Insurance Update 2017 | KPMG | 10 Top of mind risks “At Suncorp New Zealand, we 29% 19% are creating a connected network of brands, partners, 36% 33% solutions and Emerging technologies Operational risk channels. We are creating a market place to meet 13% 42% New Zealanders’ needs and to support them in the 27% 26% key moments that Talent Cyber matter in their lives.” Paul Smeaton Source: CEO Outlook, KPMG Internation al 2017 CEO, Suncorp New Zealand A 2016 A 2017 It is imperative that insurers in this situation – without this, “as the challenger in the market, clearly articulate their customer CEOs and their management teams we believe disruption provides us value propositions. The new are not working with a full deck with a significant opportunity, our insurance CEO must lead with a of cards and will not be able to size provides us with the ability to high level of emotional intelligence make the right decisions for their move faster and be more nimble than that really understands what customers and their people. the larger industry incumbents.” motivates a customer. Efficiency in insurance operating Harding sees the big opportunity as The insurance sector is not alone in this models is a continued area of “how we use data and partnerships challenge and there is much still to do focus and should be integral in the to change and improve the claims for it to become fully customer-centric drive to adapt operating models, process… customers are buying a – for instance, only 50% of insurance processes and distribution channels promise to be protected in the future, CEOs globally say they have aligned to the new market environment. we need to innovate and use data to middle and back-office processes to improve our fulfilment of that promise.” Whilst new technologies can be become more customer focused. brought in to improve the time The potential for a non-traditional Data insights is, therefore, an required to service the customer, provider, such as one of the essential cog in the transformation for example, a holistic review of technology giants, Amazon or Apple, journey of an insurance company. the end-to-end processes, which to step into the market adds to a identifies pain points and blockages, clear imperative for the industry to There is a real concern amongst is needed to avoid merely pasting continually challenge itself and evolve. insurance CEOs, both from New wallpaper over the cracks. Zealand and across the world, that poor data quality is inhibiting innovation We also tested themes from the So what could this mean? and effective decision-making for global survey with the CEOs of the For a start, imagine seamless change. Business information and data three largest insurance companies customised solutions during key is not robust enough and there are in New Zealand, and we share some life events; insurance along with gaps in customer data which hinder of their insights in this article. banking and legal advice as well as the depth of customer insights that relevant services — for example, So how fast can existing players insurance companies can obtain. when buying a house or a vehicle, react and change their own business Great technology can drive innovation models? Richard Harding, CEO of or getting married or divorced. The and enable creativity. Investment is Tower Insurance commented that new reality will be tailored insurance needed to rectify the inadequacies effortlessly delivered, and responsive to your changing situation.
11 | KPMG | General Insurance Update 2017 CEO of Suncorp New Zealand, Paul Smeaton, says, “At Suncorp New Zealand, we are creating a connected Five takeaways as insurance CEOs prepare to disrupt and grow. network of brands, partners, solutions and channels. We are creating a market place to meet New Zealanders’ Disruption is long-term needs and to support them in the key CEOs are aware that their businesses moments that matter in their lives.” need to significantly transform in Imagine car insurance on demand if 01 order to meet changing customer demands and optimise business you are going away for just a few days. and operating models. However, it Your cover might also take care of any may take some time and significant roadside assistance or accommodation effort before the benefit of this needs. You’ll be able to turn your cover transformation can be fully realised. on and off using your phone or tablet. And insurers can provide access to more services that fit at that right moment. Customers are key Craig Olsen, CEO of IAG New CEOs have sharpened their Zealand, agrees. “As the leading organisational and personal focus insurer in NZ, it is our responsibility 02 on the customer and have made to be leading change. The skill is in efforts to align processes to improve how we transform our business, customer relationships. Yet most still growing customer relevance, have a long way to go before they can simplifying our business and delivering say that they have truly differentiated amazing customer experiences.” themselves from their competitors. Internationally, insurance sector leaders highlighted their people as being critical to their future success and something they worry about. Risks are changing This theme resonated with all the CEOs are concerned about the local CEOs we spoke with. Craig changing risk environment and worry Olsen of IAG underlining that “talent 03 that their transformation efforts is paramount, not only in the current may be creating additional risks environment but also in looking for the business. As a result, firms ahead to the workforce of the future should be concentrating on their and creating the work environment governance and control environments that retains and attracts talent.” as well as core capabilities such as program management. The future is eveything CeOs will need to understand their strategic positioning for the future 04 and what it means for their innovation strategy. This will require significant foresight and bold decisions, particularly as new business models emerge and evove within the industry. Focus for results CEOs will want to be more strategic with their investments. With 05 budgets remaining tight, CEOs will need to be focused in the way they invest, targeting technology and investments that truly compliment the business model and future direction of their organisation.
General Insurance Update 2017 | KPMG | 12 Preparing to disrupt and grow So, if tomorrow belongs to those who prepare for it, what are some of the things we could be doing to prepare? 1 Prioritise strategy and investment for trust – integrate the impact of trust into business cases; understand how product and service attributes can influence trust to achieve long- term sustainable growth 2 Adapt the governance and management framework for increase focus and quality of engagement to create new value 3 Invest in scenario planning to become an organisation that is truly fit for transformation 4 Fuel the adaptability with innovation focused on the customer 5 Consult widely: with technology strategists and advisors, innovators and millennial coaches 6 Establish and empower advisory groups within your business to tackle specific strategic issues and launch growth campaigns 7 Consider the skills and capabilities your workforce will require in the future – find talented people with both global skills and emotional intelligence
13 | KPMG | General Insurance Update 2017 Ensure future success by exploring new solutions and embracing failure Steve Graham – Director, Head of Digital Futures Assuming we want In this hyper-disruptive age, insurance firms face unprecedented challenges: to stay relevant, the emerging customer expectations, new business models, global competitors, question is, “Have insurtech start-ups, technology solutions, robotic processing, and you agreed to the a myriad of emerging trends and issues that are likely to have an future you will impact on the status quo. Most of choose to pursue?” these predicaments are new and emerging and require leaders to abandon habitual ways of responding. The New Zealand insurance industry Scenario s is in the throes of futu re le disruption, but the ul tip M Assumed Future more provocative twist would be Past Present Scenario challenging industry incumbents with Preferred Scenario the hypothesis: “If you do nothing, you Scenario will quickly decline Straight-line thinking into obsolescence!”
General Insurance Update 2017 | KPMG | 14 2 3 1 Prevalence Time A mindset of emerging possibilities Divergent thinking —— Traditional approaches may not leadership, is often ignoring the The capacity to integrate divergent be effective in a highly volatile, need to lead from the emerging leadership capabilities will also be uncertain, complex and ambiguous future. In exploring this territory essential in the era of new thinking. world. Consequently, changing more deeply, we realised that Insurance organisations need to think our mindsets may be the most most of the existing learning of ways in which to combine the significant approach to maintaining methodologies relied on learning viewpoints of various types of leader: relevance and reframing these from the past, while most of 1. Traditional leaders – architects challenges into opportunities. the real leadership challenges of past success, who were born —— According to Otto Scharmer, “The in organisations seemed to in the ‘pre-disruption’ era, are quality of results produced by any require something quite different: comfortable with the status quo system depends on the quality of letting go of the past in order and are reliant on tried and tested awareness from which people in to connect with and learn from management approaches. the system operate. The formula emerging future possibilities.” 2. Disruptive leaders – people who for a successful change process —— Otto goes on to highlight the are actively looking for change, is not ‘form follows function,’ but notion that energy follows experimenting with new business ‘form follows consciousness.’ We attention: “Wherever you place models, thriving on disruption cannot transform the behaviour your attention that is where the and eagerly seeking new skills. of systems unless we transform energy of the system will go. the quality of attention that people ‘Energy follows attention’ means 3. Intrapreneurial leaders – apply to their actions within that we need to shift our attention people who are impatient with those systems, both individually from what we are trying to avoid to the present, open to future and collectively. A blind spot of what we want to bring into reality.” possibilities and perceiving trends and signals that are obscure to others, while anticipating the business models of tomorrow.
15 | KPMG | General Insurance Update 2017 Customer-centricity versus Competition is within Accelerating change product-centricity Noel Condon, CEO of AIG in Australia, According to KPMG global research, As we race towards a rapidly shifting said that his firm could consider taking insurance organisations need to emergent future, we need to focus our on the big two of the New Zealand accelerate their transformation efforts attention on re-imagining the customer market – IAG and Suncorp. “We are if they hope to live up to their growth journey and moving from product- increasing pricing, staying the course and market ambitions. Insurance centricity to customer-centricity. and we are trying to take on the big sector research has revealed five guys,” Condon said. “Actually, we key takeaways as insurance CEOs Design thinking, human-centred are going to take on the big guys prepare to disrupt and grow: design and journey mapping are all because I think they have a big piece customer-centric approaches that —— Disruption is long term – it may of the home insurance market over break the mould of organisation- take some time and effort before there and it is time for disruption.” Raj centricity in order to move to customer- the benefit of transformation Nanra, CEO of general insurance at empathetic ways, thus enabling firms can be fully realised. Zurich Australia, continues the theme: to understand genuinely the goal- —— Customers are key – most “75% of that market (New Zealand) driven journey of targeted customers. CEOs still have a long way is controlled by two carriers and there Customer insight is paramount is opportunity to disrupt for Zurich”. to go in improving customer to survival! Understanding the relationships and in truly Although existing markets will differentiating themselves. behavioural drivers implicit in the be exposed to increased global consumption of general insurance —— Risks are changing – firms should competition, insurance firms will reveals the customer circumstances, concentrate on their governance need to look within at their abilities preferences, habits and goals that and control environments to adapt to the increasing pace of underpin the organisational energy and core capabilities. change; these may, in totality, be necessary for shaping future offerings. —— The future is everything – better indicators of future success. Hindsight, insight and foresight CEOs need to understand their are all valuable components of the strategic positioning and innovation collaborative process in designing strategies for the future. new services. They are essential —— The focus is for results – for working in conjunction with CEOs need to be focused in the customer at the centre, with the way they invest, targeting insights from frontline staff and technology and investment that with a sophisticated real-time-data truly complement the business analytics capability that enables your model and future direction. company to respond, intervene and adapt as rapidly as change itself. Your competitors will be using unstructured and structured data to look for patterns (machine learning) that may not have been detected! The best way to tackle these issues is with a new mindset, customer-driven empathy, and rich qualitative and quantitative data.
General Insurance Update 2017 | KPMG | 16 Hope Confidence Swamp of despair Insight Innovation and failure – two sides of the same coin common: they all go through the Where do we start? Start by “At the beginning of a project, we swamp of despair. Accepting that this developing and expanding your feel hope; at the end, we might feel is an integral step for moving from organisational capability to glean confident, but in between there is ‘Hope’ to ’Confidence’, as opposed insights about customers; through a negative emotional valley labelled to avoiding it, will serve you well. the lens of emergent futures, we ‘insight’ and during this phase, are enabled to take a more robust it’s easy to become downhearted Despite the volatile market conditions approach to anticipating change. because it’s immensely difficult to causing a tumultuous riptide of Invariably, your organisation will figure out what to do next.” Tim change, the question remains: have identified the key drivers and Brown, CEO of IDEO, the world- “How do we adapt to the forces of assumptions that underpin your class purveyor of Design Thinking, change?” We tend to respond in evolving business model, regularly goes on to say: “Encourage people one of two ways. Either we freeze, revisiting these indicators as part of to ‘seek out Failure’ because it’s the instinctively attempting to swim the monthly strategic conversation. only way for genuine growth to occur. against the tide, reverting to old This approach will be fundamental to Without failure, our work stagnates. patterns or, less commonly, we open identifying and communicating your Without failure, we’re not frustrated up ourselves to the uncertainty and firm’s role in the future. This shared enough to seek new solutions to vulnerability of the unknown journey. view of the future inherently creates the challenges we’re confronting.” This journey is littered with failure a shared context in which to focus on but, if we embark on it, allowing the I recall reading a story about Tim internally driven disruptive innovation. force to carry us forward, it moves Brown and how he concluded As the saying goes: “Disrupt yourself us towards an uncertain but well- that all projects have one thing in or others will do it for you”. thought-through horizon of success.
17 | KPMG | General Insurance Update 2017 Productivity is a strategic imperative for New Zealand insurers Dylan Marsh – Associate Director, Performance At the same time, the insurance industry faces a barrage of challenges, such as the following: —— A shifting and broadening of —— Inconsistent use of internal customer expectations. The and external services. Sourcing expectations of some groups of versus internal capability customers are shifting, creating versus specialisation versus a different and broader set of managed services adds expectations and needs. complexity, bureaucracy and unnecessary cost burdens. —— New competition. New forms of competition are entering —— The regulatory and compliance the market; they are geared burden. This burden continues for innovation and the ability to to grow unfettered. cherry-pick markets, and are —— Staffing and operating models. not constrained by physical Staffing levels and salaries have infrastructure or geography. grown consistently over time, with —— Product portfolio complexity. low spans of control and a skew The New Zealand Product portfolios have expanded towards non-customer-facing roles; this is particularly so in head- to provide a greater range of insurance industry options for customers, raising the office and supervisory functions. levels of complexity and increasing —— Reliance on third-party origination. has seen its cost frontline time requirements. This results in sub-scale and base expand over These bring into question the profitability of different products. inefficient physical distribution channels and service. the last five years. Consider that, in 2012, there was a cost of 31c for every dollar of net premium earned. By 2016, this had risen 14% to 35c – an increase of $180 million for the industry.
General Insurance Update 2017 | KPMG | 18 New business models and So how can an insurer rethink its —— revert back to core by advancements in technology promise approach to productivity to achieve exiting non-core businesses, to improve productivity and respond both? Typically, a successful products and markets. to industry challenges yet, in practice, financial services firm is pursuing —— develop strategic outsourcing/ many senior business leaders struggle cost productivity in a consistent offshoring propositions and to look beyond the complexity inherent way. For example, it will: partnerships to leverage in their organisations; this constrains scale and innovations. —— leverage analytics and their ability to respond. This pressure customer insights to focus —— work persistently towards focuses senior leaders on optimising productivity improvement and digitisation and simplification the current cost base for profitability, rationalise customer, channel of end-to-end processes delaying focus and investment and product investment. and products. that will position their businesses to navigate future challenges. —— improve customer satisfaction —— transform technology through by aligning acquisition and infrastructure, changing delivery We strongly support the need to service resources to the and system/platform rationalisation. continue to invest in the medium needs of priority segments, Leading financial services firms are term but it is clear that a radically creating a nimbler corporate tackling these challenges through different approach to productivity is core and management layer. clear business-wide strategies that required to release resources and —— optimise channels by designing are built on tangible insights and that create financial capacity to invest cross-channel experiences draw from the innovation of others in transformation while delivering that fit seamlessly into the – both within financial services and acceptable financial results. lives of customers – while still from other sectors (e.g. technology). offering economical options. —— ensure that customer coverage is refocused on sectors and segments that deliver value.
19 | KPMG | General Insurance Update 2017 Augmented and virtual reality: seizing the opportunity Tuhi Isaachsen – Director, Global Strategy Group We estimate that these risks could result in annual net losses of around US$20 billion, some of which could be covered by the insurance industry; this presents a new growth opportunity What is augmented reality? What is virtual reality? “A technology that superimposes “The computer-generated simulation a computer-generated image on a of a three dimensional image or user’s view of the real world, thus environment that can be interacted Augmented and providing a composite view.”1 In this with in a seemingly real or physical article, we categorise ‘mixed reality’ way by a person using special virtual reality (believable virtual objects visible in the electronic equipment (such as a real world) as ‘augmented reality’. (AR and VR) are helmet with a screen inside, or gloves fitted with sensors).”2 expected to become multi-billion-dollar industries in the next few years and should create a multitude of new risks for individuals and businesses. 1 Definition of augmented reality from Oxford 3 A car crashing into a tree in New York driven by 4 Pokemon Go: Two men fall more than 50ft off cliff Dictionaries online: https://en.oxforddictionaries. a US Pokémon Go gamer, The Independent, 14 while playing mobile game, The Independent, 14 com/definition/augmented_reality July 2016. http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/ July 2016. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/ 2 Definition of virtual reality from Oxford Dictionaries gadgets-and-tech/gaming/pokemon-go-car-crash- world/americas/pokemon-go-men-fall-off-cliff-san- online: https://en.oxforddictionaries.com/definition/ new-york-a7137261.html diego-android-ios-app-a7136986.html virtual_reality
General Insurance Update 2017 | KPMG | 20 Why this matters Emerging risks on the rise As AR and VR products and services become more widely accepted by Health risks Behavioural risk society, a range of major risks is Personal accidents caused by negligent likely to evolve, including information There are already reports that female players may have hit the headlines users of VR spaces experience security, privacy violation, virtual but VR experiences can also cause harassment and motion sickness. All frequent harassment; this is a serious side effects, including nausea problem that could escalate when VR these risks need to be considered and dizziness. A VR session could when making underwriting decisions. becomes mainstream. We believe the affect your ability to drive safely perception of ‘limited responsibility’ For example, the recently or carry out hazardous workplace in a virtual environment, which is successful AR game, Pokémon tasks. Companies are already faced already prevalent on the internet, might Go, has been associated with with high costs associated with cause frequent destructive behaviour, multiple accidents, as reported: sickness and we believe employers including in business situations. will be keen to avoid additional —— a car, driven by a US Pokémon absences created by AR and VR. Go gamer, crashing into Privacy risks a tree in New York3 Security risks We are entering an environment where —— a pair of men falling off a cliff every head/eye movement is tracked while playing Pokémon Go.4 In the short term, risks should be and every conversation in a virtual We believe this is just the mostly related to AR games, which, environment can be recorded, and this beginning of losses related to AR by their nature, involve interaction with data is shared with any AR and VR app and VR. By swiftly addressing the real world. AR users increasingly provider. Serious data leaks are likely to growing customer concerns, the engage actively with the technology, become more frequent and impactful, insurance industry has a potentially taking photos and capturing videos on as relatively unsafe applications start significant revenue opportunity. devices that often track geolocation storing unprecedented amounts data. The safety of this information of detail about the behavioural depends largely on user behaviour: characteristics of their users. how actively they share their AR experiences on social media and how Insurance carriers and brokers are freely they share their information well placed to seize the opportunities with AR application providers. and begin addressing these emerging risks. But, if they delay their responses, we expect three market developments could drive disintermediation of traditional insurers.
21 | KPMG | General Insurance Update 2017 Market disruption from outside the industry – or insurtech Augmented and virtual reality companies could form cross-sector partnerships or even establish their own insurance arms, leveraging their customer networks and detailed customer behaviour data. Technology companies are attempting to enter the insurance industry and further sector convergence. Third party specialists could seize prevention and response support services In an environment where insurance cover is not available, customers may seek alternative means of mitigating their exposure. Prevention and response solutions (for example, measures to minimise data security or privacy risks) will be key. Specialised agencies are already actively involved in providing risk management and response services for other risks, and would be well placed to step in. Influx of alternative capital as carriers unwilling to provide capacity Alternative capital solutions could show inflated rates, as insurance carriers hesitate to provide capacity until they are more familiar and comfortable with risk quantification. This could incentivise alternative captial holder to step in as some AR and VR risk categories might provide uncorrelated returns that would be used for diversification purposes.
General Insurance Update 2017 | KPMG | 22 The way forward for insurers Business enhancement Underwriting discipline We believe the usage of AR and VR Utilise AR and VR technologies Consider how various applications devices should increase exponentially to improve the effectiveness and of AR and VR technologies are in both the consumer and commercial efficiency of insurance businesses. changing risk profiles for existing space over the next few years. For Real-time information for claims products, and determine whether or many businesses, these technologies adjusters, 3D modelling and not underwriting policies and specific could be seen as interesting simulations are some of the product health wordings need to be new tools to improve customer applications that might improve realigned. We expect AR and VR experience and drive efficiency; customer appeal and drive technologies to impact the loss ratio however, customers require peace profitability for insurance players. of existing products significantly (e.g. of mind and reassurance that they for categories like personal accident are protected should something and liability, cyber insurance may go wrong. Insurance solutions intentionally or unintentionally cover provide a suitable response to these some of the AR and VR-related risks). emerging risks and the opportunity Therefore, some adjustments might is likely to be there for the taking. be needed to price these policies We believe there are several areas accordingly. Furthermore, some executives need to address in order specific AR and VR technologies might to seize this significant opportunity: require ‘spin-off’ products that provide customers with optimal coverage. Strategy and tactics Identify those AR and VR risks that are likely to be too big to ignore in particular markets at specific times, and decide where to play and how to win. For example, analyse the take-up rates of various AR and VR technologies across industries and segments, and consider Market intelligence behaviour differences of users, to assess the likelihood and potential Invest in market intelligence in impact of various risk factors. emerging AR and VR trends and pioneer the development of new solutions – instead of reacting to customer issues too late. A critical success factor is to understand the ways in which the industry drivers are changing the future risk landscape, as well as to identify and profile future customers.
23 | KPMG | General Insurance Update 2017 Digital Labour in insurance Karl Arndt – Associate Director, Consulting What is Digital Labour? Digital Labour, or robotic and Enhanced Process Automation cognitive automation, describes (Class 2) takes this further. It has the continuum of technologies that built-in knowledge and the ability to companies can use to automate have an understanding of human business processes and operations. communication, to recognise patterns and to understand unstructured Robotic Process Automation (RPA) data to support machine learning. is Class 1 (see diagram below): the simplest form automation takes. It Cognitive Automation (Class 3) is the addresses rules-based transactions most advanced class of automation. and processes that follow explicit, This uses artificial intelligence and defined steps, and often works across a range of other inputs to automate multiple platforms and systems to processes that require cognitive deliver an integrated process. intelligence, either augmenting or entirely replacing humans. Digital Labour is positioned to impact the insurance industry, automating manual tasks across the value chain and optimising internal functions to deliver better value for money to customers.
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