Fuel efficiency and emissions of trucks in Germany An overview
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ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH © U. Steinbrich, pixelio.de Fuel efficiency and emissions of trucks in Germany An overview Authors: Commissioned by Frank Dünnebeil & Udo Lambrecht IFEU-Institute Heidelberg Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 1 Udo Lambrecht
ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH 1 Background and Scope 2 Road Transport in Germany 3 Emission Regulation Heavy Duty Vehicles in Europe 4 Development of Fuel Quality – Europe/Germany 5 Emissions from heavy-duty trucks – Measurements and Modelling 6 Fuel efficiency and GHG emissions from heavy-duty trucks 7 Development of Transport, Emissions and Fuel Efficiency 8 Summary Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 2 Udo Lambrecht
1 Background and Scope ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Background & Scope § The large increase of road freight transport in recent decades has made heavy-duty trucks a major source of greenhouse gas emissions as well as NOx and PM air pollutant emissions. As a consequence, air pollution emission standards have been tightened constantly during recent years, esp. in the European Union and the USA. Furthermore, efforts are made to optimize fuel efficiency of heavy-duty engines and vehicles. § IFEU was commissioned by GIZ to carry out an analysis and discussion of the road freight transport situation with heavy-duty trucks in Germany. This was done while considering transport developments and related emissions and energy consumption. § The objective of this analysis is to illustrate the efforts made in Germany and Europe to reduce air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions from road freight transport, to highlight German experiences and to outline conditions for successful reductions of air pollution and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from increasing road freight transport. § The study focuses on long-haul trailer trucks with a maximum vehicle weight of 40 metric tons as the by far most important size class in road-freight transport in Germany. Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 3 Udo Lambrecht
1 Background and Scope ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Background § Goods transport increasing worldwide § Heavy Duty Vehicles (HDV) with relevant contribution to air pollutants and greenhouse gases § Fuel quality and emissions standards help to reduce environmental impacts Scope § Lessons from experiences with increasing goods transports in Germany § Describe the situation of heavy-duty trucks in Germany considering transport and emissions § Give an outlook of the future Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 4 Udo Lambrecht
2 Road Transport in Germany ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Road transport in Germany I § Road transport has been greatly increasing in recent decades. In Germany road transport mileages today are more than 5 times higher compared to 1960. Concurrently, energy consumption and related (GHG) emissions have increased significantly. § The highest contribution to energy consumption in road transport comes from passenger cars (68% in 2010). In recent years though their energy consumption declined slightly despite ongoing mileage increases due to considerable efficiency gains. § In contrast, heavy-duty trucks contributed about 23% to energy consumption while having only 8% mileage share and their energy consumption is still on the rise. Hence road freight transport by heavy-duty trucks carries an increasing importance for fuel consumption and GHG emissions from road transport. § Air pollutant emissions also increased strongly with increasing road mileages over several years. However, the implementation and continuous tightening of emission regulations for all road vehicles have led to a strong decrease of important pollutants during the last 20 years, despite ongoing transport growth. § Especially the introduction of three-way catalytic converters has led to high reductions of NOx emissions from gasoline-fuelled light-duty vehicles. § Diesel-fuelled heavy-duty trucks have high NOx and diesel particle emissions. In the past, they contributed up to 46% to NOx emissions and 61% to particle emissions from road transport in Germany. Since the mid-nineties, their emissions were strongly reduced as a result of European emission legislation. Despite that they still contributed 39% to NOx and 23% to exhaust particle emissions in 2010. Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 5 Udo Lambrecht
2 Road Transport in Germany ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Road transport in Germany II § In the last 15 years, transport performance (transport volumes x transport distances) with heavy-duty trucks (>3.5 – 40 metric tons gross vehicle weight) increased by 55%. § This increase was mainly caused by increasing transport performances of long-haul trailer trucks with a maximum vehicle weight (empty truck + load) up to 40 tons. With a share of 88% on transport performance in 2010, they are the dominating size class in Germany. § As the increasing freight volumes were mostly transported by 40-ton trucks, which have considerably higher payloads than smaller heavy-duty trucks, total road mileages of heavy-duty trucks increased by only 16% from 1995 to 2010. § In 2010 40-ton trucks had a 63% mileage share and, thus, where the dominating size class in road transport. Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 6 Udo Lambrecht
2 Road Transport in Germany ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH High increase of truck transport leads to increasing energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions… Annual mileage of road GHG emissions from road transport in Germany transport in Germany 900 300 (well-to-wheel, inland values) others others 800 heavy-‐duty trucks heavy-‐duty trucks light goods vehicles light goods vehicles billion vehicle kilometres per year 250 700 buses buses million tons CO2 equivalents cars cars 600 two-‐wheelers 200 two-‐wheelers 500 150 400 300 100 200 50 100 IFEU/TREMOD 2011 IFEU/TREMOD 2011 0 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 7 Udo Lambrecht
2 Road Transport in Germany ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH …contribution from heavy-duty trucks on NOx and PM emissions from road transport on a high level NOx emissions from road Exhaust particle emissions transport in Germany from road transport in Germany 1'300 50 others 1'200 45 heavy-‐duty trucks 1'100 light goods vehicles 40 thousand tons PM 1'000 buses 900 35 cars thousand tons NOx 800 30 700 25 600 500 20 400 others 15 heavy-‐duty trucks 300 light goods vehicles 10 200 buses 100 cars 5 two-‐wheelers IFEU/TREMOD 2011 IFEU/TREMOD 2011 0 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 8 Udo Lambrecht
2 Road Transport in Germany ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Trailer Trucks > 34 tons gross vehicle weight (mostly 40 t) have a high and increasing share on ton-km and mileage Transport performance of heavy-‐duty trucks in Germany ton-‐km share 2010 500 +55% 3% 400 5% 4% billion ton-‐km 300 trailer truck >34-‐40tons 200 trailer truck 12tons 100 rigid truck 34-‐40tons 30 trailer truck 12tons 63% 20 rigid truck
2 Road Transport in Germany ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH How can specific emissions and fuel consumption of road- freight-transport with heavy-duty trucks be reduced? Exhaust emission treatment and energy-saving technologies source: Emitec © E. Kaliwoda, pixelio.de Increase of vehicle load factors source: EcotransIT source: EcotransIT empty Larger vehicles with higher payloads © M. Hirschka, pixelio.de © T. Siepmann, pixelio.de Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 10 Udo Lambrecht
3 Emission Regulation in Europe ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Emission regulation in Europe § Harmonized exhaust emission regulation for heavy-duty vehicles in European Union started with Euro I (valid from 1992 for new engine types and 1993 for all new sales). The so far most ambitious emission standard Euro VI will become mandatory in 2013/2014. From Euro I to Euro VI, emission limit values for NOx were reduced by 95% and by 97% for diesel particles. § In addition, the test cycles for type approval procedures have been refined. § Up to the Euro II emission standard, a 13-mode steady-state diesel engine test cycle intro-duced by ECE Regulation No.49 (1988) and then adopted by the EEC [EEC Directive 88/77] had been used for type approval emission testing of heavy-duty highway engines. § Since the Euro III stage (2000), the ECE R-49 has been replaced by the European Stationary Cycle (ESC), a 13-mode, steady-state procedure, plus the European Transient Cycle (ETC), based on real road cycle measurements of heavy duty vehicles (source: www.dieselnet.com). § With Euro VI, newly developed world harmonized stationary and transient test cycles (WHSC, WHTC) become mandatory. § European emission standards up to Euro III were achieved with internal engine optimization measures. With Euro IV and V, two different exhaust after treatment systems are applied to meet the NOx and PM emission limits: § Exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) + diesel particulate filter (DPF). § Selective catalytic reduction (SCR) without DPF § Both technologies require the use of diesel fuel with low sulphur content. § With the coming Euro VI emission standard which demands further strong reductions of NOx and PM emissions, the application of SCR systems and DPF is expected. Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 11 Udo Lambrecht
3 Emission Regulation in Europe ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Exhaust gas emission legislation since 1992/93: High reduction of NOx and PM emissions EU eemission EU mission limit values standards for fhor heavy-‐duty eavy-‐duty vehicles vehicles 0.40 0.35 Euro I 90/91 0.30 PM in g /kWh 0.25 0.20 0.15 Euro II 95/96 0.10 Euro III 00/01 0.05 Euro VI (13/14) Euro V(08/09) Euro IV (05/06) 0.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 NOx in g /kWh Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 12 Udo Lambrecht
3 Emission Regulation in Europe ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Exhaust gas emission legislation since 1992/93: High reduction of NOx and PM emissions NOx emission standards for Particle emission standards for heavy-‐duty vehicles in EU heavy-‐duty vehicles in EU 10 0.40 -‐95% -‐97% 9 0.35 8 0.30 7 NOx in g/kWh PM in g/kWh 6 0.25 5 0.20 4 0.15 3 0.10 2 1 0.05 0 0.00 Euro I Euro II Euro III Euro IV Euro V Euro VI Euro I Euro II Euro III Euro IV Euro V Euro VI (90/91) (95/96) (00/01) (05/06) (08/09) (13/14) (90/91) (95/96) (00/01) (05/06) (08/09) (13/14) Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 13 Udo Lambrecht
3 Emission Regulation in Europe ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Test Cycles for type approval have been refined from stationary tests to transient cycles Euro 0-‐II Euro III-‐V Euro VI ECE R49 ESC WHSC WHTC ETC Source: dieselnet.com Source: dieselnet.com Source: Emitec Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 14 Udo Lambrecht
3 Emission Regulation in Europe ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Aftertreatment: From exhaust silencer to chemical plant…. from 2 009 EGR EGR ++ SSCR CR ++ aactive ctive pparticle article ffilter ilter (for (for EEuro uro VVI, I, EEPA10 PA10 aand nd JJ09) 09) exhaust g as aftertreatment s ystems 2007 EGR EGR ++ aactive ctive pparticle article ffilter ilter (for E PA07) (for EPA07) SCRT SCRT (for (for EEEV) EV) 2005 SCR SCR (for (for EEuro uro IIV+V, V+V, JJP05) P05) EGR EGR ++ aactive ctive pparticle article ffilter ilter 1995 (for (for JJP05) P05) CRT CRT 2004 Passive Passive pparticle article ffilter, ilter, Euro EGR EGR Euro 22+3 +3 ((sporadic sporadic 1984 application) application) (for (for EEPA04) PA04) Soot Soot ffilter ilter Active Active pparticle article ffilter ilter (sporadic (sporadic aapplication) pplication) engine-‐ natural aspirated engines types es turbocharged inter-‐c ooled engines ar g ed eng in tu rboc h 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: Holloh Daimler, 2008 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 15 Udo Lambrecht
3 Emission Regulation in Europe ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH EGR, Particle Filters and SCR are advanced technologies for reducing exhaust emissions EGR+DPF SCR Source: CLAAS POWER SYSTEMS Euro IV/V: two alternative exhaust aftertreatment systems. • Exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) + diesel particulate filter (DPF). • Selective catalytic reduction (SCR), no DPF Euro VI: DPF and SCR expected Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 16 Udo Lambrecht
3 Emission Regulation in Europe ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH EGR more simple – SCR additional efficiency benefits EGR SCR Pros - No additional equipment (extra tank) - Simplicity of the system and possibilities for - No loss of payload and fuel capacity subsequent development (future standards) - No handling changes for haulier and - No impact on maintenance and oil change drivers intervals - Engine optimization can be focused on fuel efficiency Contras - Decreases power density, fuel - Additional urea tank reduces vehicle’s efficiency payload and can lead to complications - Potential engine durability and oil with bodywork assembly degradation issues (= shortened oil - Urea supply infrastructure needed change intervals) - Urea has a tendency to harden at low - Engines are larger and possibly heavier, temperatures (- 11°C) depending on power rating - Least effective in situations with low - Increases heat rejection, creating need exhaust temperature (e.g. urban for greater cooling capacity operations, stop+go) - Limited additional efforts for the driver Sources: Vialtis 2005, FleetOwner 2008 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 17 Udo Lambrecht
4 Fuel Quality in Europe ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Fuel quality in Europe § One important condition for the introduction of emission-reducing after treatment technologies with Euro IV and V was the regulation of diesel fuel quality – primary the reduction of the sulphur content. § In the European Union, standards for fuel quality were first developed by the European Standards Organization (CEN) and adopted by European legislation. The first fuel standard for the sulphur content of diesel fuels was defined with council directive 93/12/EEC, setting limits of 2,000 ppm (from 1994) and 500 ppm (from 1996). These standards have been tightened with EU directives 98/70/EC and 2003/17/EC up to “sulphur-free” diesel with a maximum sulphur content of 10 ppm, obligatory as of 2009. § Developments of fuel quality in Europe reflect the success of these fuel quality regulations. Sulphur content in diesel fuels was considerably reduced in recent years. § In Germany, diesel fuels were “sulphur-free” by 2003. § In the European Union, about half of all 27 EU countries had “sulphur-free” diesel in 2008. All other EU countries had average sulphur contents in diesel fuels of no more than 30 ppm. Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 18 Udo Lambrecht
4 Fuel Quality in Europe ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH EU regulation on sulphur content in diesel fuels – important condition for environmentally friendly vehicle technologies EU regulaOon on sulphur content in diesel fuels 2'000 1'800 legal sulphur content in fuel in ppm 1'600 1'400 1'200 2000 ppm 500 ppm 350 ppm 50 ppm 10 ppm 1'000 (93/12/EEC) (93/12/EEC) (98/70/EC) (98/70/EC) (2003/17/EC) 800 600 400 200 0 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 ... Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 19 Udo Lambrecht
4 Fuel Quality in Europe ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Diesel fuel in Germany is “sulphur-free” since 2003... Sulphur content of diesel fuels in Germany 2'000 1'800 sulphur content in fuel in ppm 1'600 1'400 1'200 1'000 800 600 400 200 0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Source: IFEU/TREMOD 2011 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 20 Udo Lambrecht
4 Fuel Quality in Europe ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH ... and Europe is on the way to “sulphur-free” diesel fuel NaOonal sales of low sulphur diesel grades across the EU (%) in 2001 & 2008 2001 (EU 15) 2008 (EU 27) 100% 100% 80% 80% 60% 60% Diesel (
5 Emissions: Measurements and Modelling ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Emissions from heavy-duty trucks I § As a result of exhaust emission and fuel quality regulations in Europe, specific NOx and PM emissions of trucks have improved in the last years. New heavy-duty trucks (Euro V, Euro VI) emit only a fraction of the emissions caused by older trucks. § Although the development of real emissions from new trucks is quite similar to the decrease of limit values, new emission standards did not always bring the expected emission improvements. E.g. from Euro I to Euro II, real world NOx emissions of heavy- duty trucks increased slightly instead of expected reductions. This underlies the importance of resilient, real-world suitable test cycles. Further information can be found in Dieselnet 2003: “German UBA finds increased NOx emissions in Euro 2 trucks” http://www.dieselnet.com/news/2003/02uba.php). § Emission measurements on heavy-duty trucks show a high impact of usage patterns on real-world emissions. § Vehicle use under unsteady, dynamic conditions with low speeds, e.g. in urban areas, leads to higher emissions than motorway travel at higher and mostly constant speeds. § This is of special concern for SCR systems that are least effective in situations with low exhaust temperature. Specific NOx emissions of 40-ton trucks in urban operations can be more than three times higher than on motorways. § Hence, for reducing truck-related air pollution in cities, defining additional requirements for inner-urban emission reductions could be helpful. Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 22 Udo Lambrecht
5 Emissions: Measurements and Modelling ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Emissions from heavy-duty trucks II § Furthermore, the utilization of vehicle’s payload affects specific emissions. Higher load factors usually increase emissions per vehicle-km due to increased pollutant levels in the engine exhaust. § Certainly, for NOx from SCR-equipped trucks this correlation is not that clear. On one hand, engine-out emissions increase with the higher engine loads. On the other hand, however, the effectiveness of the downstream SCR system increases as well due to higher exhaust temperatures. In the end, real emissions related to the transported goods (ton-km), decrease for all emission standards with increasing load factors. § The enhanced use of large 40-ton trailer trucks and their increasing share of road freight transport has also supported the reduction of air pollutant emissions per transported good (ton-km) in Germany. Trailer trucks with a maximum vehicle weight of 40 tons and about 26 tons of payload have considerably lower emissions per ton-km than smaller trucks with less payload. Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 23 Udo Lambrecht
5 Emissions: Measurements and Modelling ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH NOx and PM real world emissions improved significantly Average NOx emission factors Average PM emission factors of 40-‐ton trucks in g /km of 40-‐ton trucks in g /km 14 0.4 IFEU/TREMOD 2011 IFEU/TREMOD 2011 12 0.4 10 0.3 0.3 8 0.2 6 0.2 4 0.1 2 0.1 0 0.0 EGR SCR EGR SCR EGR SCR EGR SCR +DPF +DPF +DPF +DPF < Euro Euro Euro Euro Euro IV Euro V Euro < Euro Euro Euro Euro Euro IV Euro V Euro I I II III VI I I II III VI Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 24 Udo Lambrecht
5 Emissions: Measurements and Modelling ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH NOx and PM real world emissions improved significantly - though decreasing more slowly than emission legislation NOx real emissions PM real emissions compared to standards compared to standards 120% 100% IFEU/TREMOD 2011 IFEU/TREMOD 2011 90% 100% average emission factors 80% 70% average emission factors 80% limit values 60% limit values 60% 50% 40% 40% 30% 20% 20% 10% 0% 0% EGR SCR EGR SCR EGR SCR EGR SCR +DPF +DPF +DPF +DPF Euro Euro Euro Euro IV Euro V Euro Euro Euro Euro Euro IV Euro V Euro I II III VI I II III VI Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 25 Udo Lambrecht
5 Emissions: Measurements and Modelling ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Usage patterns have high impact on emissions NOx real emissions in g/km PM real emissions in g/km (40-‐ton truck) (40-‐ton truck) 18 0.6 motorway extra-‐urban urban average motorway extra-‐urban urban average 16 0.5 IFEU/TREMOD 2011 14 IFEU/TREMOD 2011 12 0.4 10 0.3 8 6 0.2 4 0.1 2 0 0.0 EGR SCR EGR SCR EGR SCR EGR SCR +DPF +DPF +DPF +DPF < Euro Euro Euro Euro Euro IV Euro V Euro < Euro Euro Euro Euro Euro IV Euro V Euro I I II III VI I I II III VI Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 26 Udo Lambrecht
5 Emissions: Measurements and Modelling ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH NOx and PM real-world emissions depend strongly from load NOx emission factors of 40-‐ton trucks PM emission factors of 40-‐ton trucks with different vehicle load factors with different vehicle load factors 18 0.6 in g per veh.km in g per veh.km 16 0% load 0.5 14 0% load 50% load 12 0.4 50% load 100% load 100% load 10 0.3 8 6 0.2 4 0.1 2 0 0.0 EGR SCR EGR SCR EGR SCR EGR SCR +DPF +DPF +DPF +DPF < Euro Euro Euro Euro IV Euro V Euro < Euro Euro Euro Euro IV Euro V Euro Euro I I II III VI Euro I I II III VI Source: HBEFA 3.1 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 27 Udo Lambrecht
5 Emissions: Measurements and Modelling ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH NOx and PM emissions per ton-km decrease strongly with vehicle size Average specific NOx emissions in 2010 Average specific PM emissions in 2010 for different truck sizes per ton-‐km for different truck sizes per ton-‐km (vehicle load: 50%) (vehicle load: 50%) 2.0 0.04 in g per ton-‐km in g per ton-‐km 1.8 0.03 1.6 1.4 0.03 1.2 0.02 1.0 0.8 0.02 0.6 0.01 0.4 0.01 0.2 0.0 0.00 rigid truck rigid truck trailer t ruck trailer t ruck rigid truck rigid truck trailer t ruck trailer t ruck >3.5-‐12 tons >12 t ons >20-‐34 tons >34-‐40 tons >3.5-‐12 tons >12 t ons >20-‐34 tons >34-‐40 tons Source: HBEFA 3.1 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 28 Udo Lambrecht
6 Fuel Efficiency and GHG Emissions ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Fuel efficiency and GHG emissions from heavy-duty trucks I § Long-term test reports for new, fully laden long-haul trucks with a total vehicle weight of 38-40 tons show significant reductions of specific fuel consumption since the mid 1960’s. However, during the last 20 years, fuel consumption of new trucks has nearly stagnated. A new 40-ton truck Euro V has about the same fuel efficiency as a Euro I truck. GHG emissions are directly related to the fuel efficiency, so specific GHG emissions per vehicle-km were not reduced. § This absence of further efficiency improvements of new heavy-duty trucks is strongly related to the introduction and tightening of European air pollution emission standards. Up to Euro III, these were generally achieved with internal engine optimizations, hampering fuel efficiency optimization. Also the EGR+DPF for Euro IV/V causes additional fuel penalties, compensating other, fuel-saving effects. Only, the use of SCR systems allows for engine optimization to focus more on fuel efficiency. § Similar to air pollutant emissions, fuel efficiency and GHG emissions per transported good (ton-km) improve with higher vehicle load factors. Increasing the load factor of a Euro V 40-ton trailer truck from 50% to 67% leads to an increase of fuel consumption per vehicle km by 8%. However, per transport-km, specific fuel consumption and GHG emissions decrease by 20%. § It should be noted that the vehicle load does not only depend on logistical optimizations of the transport chain and avoidance of empty trips, but also on the kind of good. Heavy goods such as coal or liquids lead typically to a higher utilization of the vehicle’s capacity than light volume goods such as furniture, clothes etc. Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 29 Udo Lambrecht
6 Fuel Efficiency and GHG Emissions ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Fuel efficiency and GHG emissions from heavy-duty trucks § 40-ton trailer trucks need on average moreIIthan twice the fuel per vehicle-km than small heavy-duty trucks with a gross vehicle weight less than 12 tons. However, a 40-ton truck has a several times higher payload (about 24-26 tons vs. 3-5 tons). Thus, per transported ton, a large trailer truck is about 3 times more energy-efficient than a small heavy-duty truck. Therefore, meeting the increasing transport demand using primarily large 40-ton trailer trucks, has supported the improvement of fuel efficiency per transported good (ton-km) in Germany. § The relevance of different effects for the total fuel efficiency gains of road freight transport in Germany is reflected by decomposing the individual improvements: § In the last 15 years, technological efficiency gains yielded only improvements of fuel efficiency by about 6%. Combined with increasing vehicle loads, the efficiency gain was 20%. § The shift to larger vehicle sizes, esp. the increased share of large 40-ton trailer trucks yielded additional efficiency gains. Thus, specific fuel consumption per transported ton with heavy-duty trucks in Germany was reduced from 1995 to 2010 in total by 27%. § Specific GHG emissions decreased by 29%, hence, slightly more than fuel consumption This can be attributed to the usage of biofuels in Germany and additional reduction of specific GHG emissions. Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 30 Udo Lambrecht
6 Fuel Efficiency and GHG Emissions ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Significant reduction of fuel consumption since 1965 higher payload and technological improvements Source: Manfred Schuckert, Daimler AG, presented by Daimler on EC/ICCT-Workshop , November 2011 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 31 Udo Lambrecht
6 Fuel Efficiency and GHG Emissions ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH …fuel consumption per ton km almost halved by technology improvements and higher loads Source: Manfred Schuckert, Daimler AG, presented by Daimler on EC/ICCT-Workshop , November 2011 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 32 Udo Lambrecht
6 Fuel Efficiency and GHG Emissions ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Significant reduction of specific fuel consumption before 1990; nearly stagnation the last 20 years Fuel consumpOon of long-‐haul trucks (GVW 38/40 tons) in long-‐term test reports Natural aspired engines Turbo charged engines Intercooled charged air 1986 changed route Source: ACEA 2011 Commercial vehicles and CO2 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 33 Udo Lambrecht
6 Fuel Efficiency and GHG Emissions ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Higher loads lower strongly the specific fuel consumption Energy consumpOon of heavy duty trucks depending on vehicle load (40 tons gross vehicle weight, Euro V, motorway, hilly) 1'600 40 g CO2 / ton-‐km L . diesel / 100 veh.km Specific CO 2 emissions in grams per ton-‐km Specific Fuel Consumption (Liter / 100 veh.km) 1'400 35 33 l/100km (exhaust CO2, 100% fossile diesel 1'200 30 30 l/100km 27 l/100km 1'000 25 800 20 typcial load average load typical load volume goods all goods bulk goods 600 e.g. i ndustrial parts, e.g. coal, ore, oil, 15 consumer goods such as fertilizer e tc. furniture, clothes e tc. 400 10 200 101 g/tkm 5 61 g/tkm 49 g/tkm 0 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 vehicle load (tons) Source: HBEFA 3.1, EcoTransIT (www.EcoTransIT.org) Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 34 Udo Lambrecht
6 Fuel Efficiency and GHG Emissions ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH …fuel consumption increases with vehicle size, but specific energy consumption (per ton-km) decreases Average specific fuel consumption Average specific fuel consumption for different truck sizes in 2010 for different truck sizes in 2010 (vehicle load: 50%) (vehicle load: 50%) 12 3.5 MJ per vehicle-‐km MJ per ton-‐km 10 3.0 2.5 8 2.0 6 1.5 4 1.0 2 0.5 0 0.0 rigid truck rigid truck trailer truck trailer truck rigid truck rigid truck trailer truck trailer truck >3.5-‐12 tons >12 tons >20-‐34 tons >34-‐40 tons >3.5-‐12 tons >12 tons >20-‐34 tons >34-‐40 tons Source: HBEFA 3.1 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 35 Udo Lambrecht
6 Fuel Efficiency and GHG Emissions ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Specific energy consumption of freight transport with heavy-duty trucks reduced by 30% in the last 15 years + Larger vehicles Decomposition of fuel consumption and GHG emission + Load factor Technology reductions per ton-‐km of road freight transport in Germany + Biofuels 120% 100% 80% 60% fuel consumption: constant truck size and vehicle load fuel consumption: constant truck size, increasing load factor 40% fuel consumption: increasing truck sizes and load factors GHG emissions (WTW): fuel efficiency gains and use of biofuels 20% IFEU/TREMOD 2011 0% 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 36 Udo Lambrecht
7 Development of Emissions and Efficiency ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Development of transport, emissions and fuel efficiency § Comparisons of past developments and future projections show the importance and the success of air pollutant emission regulations in Europe. They also demonstrate the limited success of efforts to reduce fuel consumption and GHG emissions from road-freight transport. § Transport performance and mileage of heavy-duty trucks increased strongly from 1960 to 2010. In the first decades, emissions of NOx and PM increased to a similar extent. However, with the introduction of European emission standards, emissions could be strongly reduced. Compared to 1995, transport performance increased by 55% and mileage by 16%. In contrast, NOx emissions were reduced by 55% and PM emissions by 76%. § By 2030, further considerable increases of road freight transport performance (+189% compared to 1995) and mileage (+87%) are expected in current transport projections for Germany. In the same time frame, air pollutant emissions are expected to decrease by 93% (for NOx) and 98% (for PM). § The development of fuel consumption and GHG emissions cannot show similar success’ as air pollutants. From 1995 to 2010, fuel consumption (+13%) and GHG emissions (+10%) increased only slightly lower than mileage of heavy-duty trucks. Also for 2010 to 2030, no clear decoupling of fuel consumption and GHG emissions from transport development can be seen. In case of the currently projected transport development, GHG emissions of road freight transport will continue to increase as the high transport increase overcompensates for future expected efficiency gains. Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 37 Udo Lambrecht
7 Development of Emissions and Efficiency ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Projections show further increase of transport performance and mileage of heavy-duty trucks in Germany Transport performance of heavy-‐duty trucks in Germany 1960-‐2010 trend scenario 2010-‐2030 1'000 1'000 Euro VI 800 Euro V 800 Euro I V billion ton-‐km 600 Euro I II 600 Euro I I 400 Euro I 400 < E uro I 200 200 IFEU/TREMOD 2011 0 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual mileages of heavy-‐duty trucks in Germany 1960-‐2010 trend scenario 2010-‐2030 100 100 Euro VI 80 Euro V 80 Euro I V billion veh.km 60 Euro I II 60 Euro I I 40 Euro I 40 < E uro I 20 20 IFEU/TREMOD 2011 0 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 38 Udo Lambrecht
7 Development of Emissions and Efficiency ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Despite of increasing goods transport NOx and PM emissions from heavy-duty trucks will decrease Annual NOx emissions from heavy-‐duty trucks in Germany 1960-‐2010 trend scenario 2010-‐2030 500 500 Euro VI 400 400 Euro V thousand tons Euro I V 300 300 Euro I II Euro I I 200 200 Euro I < E uro I 100 100 IFEU/TREMOD 2011 0 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual exhaust PM emissions from heavy-‐duty trucks in Germany 1960-‐2010 trend scenario 2010-‐2030 16 16 Euro VI Euro V 12 12 thousand tons Euro I V Euro I II 8 8 Euro I I Euro I 4 4 < E uro I IFEU/TREMOD 2011 0 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 39 Udo Lambrecht
7 Development of Emissions and Efficiency ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH ...but increase of fuel consumption and GHG since efficiency gains are overcompensated by high increase of transport Annual fuel consumption from heavy-‐duty trucks in Germany 1960-‐2010 trend scenario 2010-‐2030 800 800 Euro VI Euro V 600 600 Peta Joule Euro I V Euro I II 400 Euro I I 400 Euro I < E uro I 200 200 IFEU/TREMOD 2011 0 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Annual GHG emissions from heavy-‐duty trucks in Germany 1960-‐2010 trend scenario 2010-‐2030 60 60 Euro VI million tons CO2 equ. 50 Euro V 50 Euro I V 40 Euro I II 40 30 Euro I I 30 Euro I 20 < E uro I 20 10 10 IFEU/TREMOD 2011 0 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 40 Udo Lambrecht
7 Development of Emissions and Efficiency ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Strong decoupling of air pollutant emissions from transport development. For GHG emissions only lower effects expected Relative development of heavy-‐duty truck transport in Germany compared with related emissions and fuel consumption from 1995 to 2030 250% 225% past development trend scenario 200% +189% Mileage (veh.km) 175% Transport performance (ton-‐km) 150% Fuel consumption 125% GHG emissions 100% NOx emissions +87% 75% PM emissions +63% 50% +55% 25% 0% -‐2 5% -‐5 0% -‐7 5% IFEU/TREMOD 2011 -93% -‐1 00% -98% 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 41 Udo Lambrecht
8 Summary ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Summary § High increase of truck transport led to increasing share on fuel consumption and GHG emissions – and significant contribution to NOx and PM emissions. § In the last 20 years, NOx and PM exhaust emissions from heavy-duty trucks improved significantly as a result of EU fuel quality and emission legislation § Usage patterns, vehicle size and load still have high impact on exhaust emissions per vehicle km and ton-km. § Specific fuel consumption of new trucks decreased significantly before 1990, however, nearly stagnation in the last 20 years. § Higher vehicle loads and shift to larger vehicles considerably reduced the specific fuel consumption and GHG emissions per transport volume. § For the future, projections show further increase of transport volumes and mileage of heavy-duty trucks in Germany. § Even so, NOx and PM emissions from heavy duty trucks will decrease. § However, fuel consumption and GHG emissions will continue to increase as the high transport increase overcompensates expected efficiency gains. Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 42 Udo Lambrecht
ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Frank Dünnebeil Udo Lambrecht Dr. Harald Diaz-Bone Senior Researcher Scientific Director TRANSfer Project Director (AV) Dep. Transport and Environment Head of Dep. Transport and Environment Transport and Climate Change ifeu – Institut für Energie- und ifeu – Institut für Energie- und Division 44 Water, Energy and Transport Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Wilckensstr. 3 Wilckensstr. 3 Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH D-69120 Heidelberg D-69120 Heidelberg P.O. Box 5180 Germany Germany D-65726 Eschborn Germany Fon: +49 (0) 6221 / 47 67 -61 Fon: +49 (0) 6221 / 47 67 -35 Fax: +49 (0) 6221 / 47 67 -19 Fax: +49 (0) 6221 / 47 67 -19 Fon: +49 (0) 6196 / 79 25 54 E-Mail: frank.duennebeil@ifeu.de E-Mail: udo.lambrecht@ifeu.de Fax: +49 (0) 6196 / 79 80 25 54 www.ifeu.de www.ifeu.de E-Mail: harald.diaz-bone@giz.de http://www.transferproject.org/ Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 43 Udo Lambrecht
A TREMOD ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH § TREMOD: TRansport Emission MODel Developed by IFEU for and in close cooperation with the German Federal Environment Agency, Ministry of Transport, Association of Automobile Manufacturers and others (since 1993) Official database for emission reporting of the German Government § Based on a range of European measurement programs: Measurement of the driving patterns of vehicles • Cycles recorded in real world traffic (car following method) • Weighted by traffic volume for a specific traffic situation Measurement at vehicles (emission behaviour) • Vehicles grouped to different layers with comparable emission characteristics (vehicle types and sizes/ EURO stages, etc.) • Engine maps/ Real world cycles • Weighting according to fleet composition Harmonized with “Handbook of Emission Factors” (INFRAS Bern et al.) ERMES Group: European Research Group on Mobile Emission Sources Authors: Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 44 Udo Lambrecht
A TREMOD ifeu - Institut für Energie- und Umweltforschung Heidelberg GmbH Emission Calculation for Passenger Cars in TREMOD BEFA: Basic Em ission Factor Modelling all relevant factors: First Registrations EFA: Em ission Factor Age Distribution driving behaviour, Lifetime Functions Vehicle Stock " Emissions mileage, Layers of Vehicle Standards per 1st Reg. Year Stock " Stack and Mileage load factor, Mileage Behaviour per Layer Share per Road Category + Layer " Total Mileage Mileage Share per Mileage per Road " differentiated emission factors,.. Estimation of Road Category Category Share of Traffic Mileage per Traffic Situations/Gradient Situation/Gradient " fuel consumption and exhaust and evaporative emissions BEFA per Layer + Driving Pattern " Gradient-/Mileage -Correction warm EFA per Layer+Driving Stock, Mileage, (CO2, CO, NOx, NMHC, CH4, benzene, SO2, particulates, N2O, Pattern Energy warm EFA per Consum ption, Traffic Situation Layer+TrafficSit./ Em issions per Definition Gradient Road Category and Layer NH3). for all motorized passenger Cold Start Factors " Ambient Tempe- rature, Trip length, Cold Start Emissions per Start and goods vehicles. Standing Time and Layer Number of Starts and Stopps " for Germany year by year from Stopp Factors Stopp Emissions per Stopp and Layer 1950 to 2030 Vehicle Stock " for various scenarios. Tank Breathing Tank Breathing Emissions per Factors Vehicle + Day Authors: IFEU Heidelberg Frank Dünnebeil 24.01.12 45 Udo Lambrecht
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