Frédéric Leroy Vrije Universiteit Brussels - Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era - Red Meat Sector Conference
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July 29th, RED MEAT SECTOR CONFERENCE, CHRISTCHURCH, NEW ZEALAND Red meat: facing the challenges of the post-truth era Research Group of Industrial Microbiology and Food Biotechnology Prof. Dr. ir. Luc De Vuyst Prof. dr. ir. Frédéric LEROY Prof. Dr. ir. Frédéric Leroy Prof. Dr. Stefan Weckx
Foodscapes are getting surreal/hyperreal Food. The future of food? Water, Mung Bean Protein Isolate, Expeller-Pressed Canola ? Oil, Contains less than 2% of Dehydrated Onion, Gellan Gum, Natural Carrot Extractives (color), Natural Flavors, Natural Turmeric Extractives (color), Potassium Citrate, Salt, Soy Lecithin, Sugar, Tapioca Syrup, Tetrasodium Pyrophosphate, Transglutaminase, Nisin “Egg-free” (preservative). (Contains soy.) Solid nutrition, Flimsy nutrition, in a flimsy shell. in a solid bottle.
The case of post-modern meat Food. The future of food? According to According to most people. a loud minority.
Propagation: the role of mass media In 2017, the Guardian received a $886,600 grant from OPP to publish a series (Animals farmed) that paints animal agriculture as inhumane, unhealthy and dangerous to the environment. OPP was founded by Moskowitz (Facebook), has links to animal right activists and is an investor in Impossible Foods. Appetite 125 (2018) pp. 345-355 • Post-truth (declared “an era” in 2004): the scientific method is sub- ordinated to the amassing of information via cherry-picking, invention, and bricolage • Attention economy (clickbait, etc.): media need to attract attention in a setting of information overload, driving sensationalism and favouring manipulation by activists
Propagation of the Narrative: the role of mass media In 2017, the Guardian received a $886,600 grant from OPP to publish a series (Animals farmed) that paints animal agriculture as inhumane, unhealthy and dangerous to the environment. OPP was founded by Moskowitz (Facebook), has links to animal right activists and is an investor in Impossible Foods. Appetite 125 (2018) pp. 345-355 2006 Red meat can 'raise cancer risk'
Appeal to authority shapes dietary beliefs and policies 2017 Flemish food pyramid To conclude, we regret that fermented meat products are being incorrectly stigmatized as unhealthy foods in certain nutritional models, whereas they have many nutritional and other benefits to offer.
Authoritarian push for a Great Food Transformation (and its Planetary Health Diet ) Vegan, vegetarian, or semi-vegetarian
When authority becomes controversy Vegan, vegetarian, or semi-vegetarian
Grand Narratives require solid backers: but what’s in it for them? $ $$ $$$ Where next? Pleasure Novelty (Quarterly Global Convenience markets & lifestyle revenue ) marketing growth High prices Added value = ultra-processing + story-telling Lofty promises Cheap materials • Economic capital Difficult sector (welfare, farmers, …) • Cultural capital limited processing, small margins • Scientific capital = the Narrative
We’ve been there before… ($$$ + ‘progressive’ appeal + scientific backup) Margarine was created in 1869 to meet a request of Napoleon III to create a butter substitute for the army and lower classes (from beef tallow), the patent was bought by Jurgens (NL, now Unilever). In 1911, P&G introduced Crisco, initially intended to make soap from cottonseed oil.
‘Systemic change’ requires social engineering The scale of change to the food system is unlikely to be successful if left to the individual or the whim of consumer choice. This change requires reframing at the population and systemic level. By contrast, hard policy interventions include law, fiscal measures, subsidies and penalties, trade reconfiguration, and other economic and structural measures….[C]ountries and authorities should not restrict themselves to narrow measures or soft interventions.
‘Types of behaviour change interventions’ "Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is defending his government's update to the Canada Food Guide in the wake of attacks by Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer who suggested the changes were riddled with "bias" and driven by "ideology.“ […] The process was flawed […] Complete lack of consultation. Seems to be ideologically driven by people who have a philosophical perspective and a bias against certain types of healthy food products. So absolutely we want to get that right."
Tax?
Ban? NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio • Reduce (by 50%) the city’s beef purchases • Phase out all purchase of processed meat by 2030 • Introduce Meatless Mondays in all public schools “How about restaurants in 10-15 years start treating carnivores the same way that smokers are treated? If they want to eat meat, they can do it outside the restaurant.” Christiana Figueres Former Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and convener of Mission 2020
But is a ban or a sin tax justified? Sin tax Prof. Michael E. Mann Earth System Science Center Penn State University
Individual GHG emissions of a Western individual 12 t CO2-eq
Breakdown in categories and effect of dietary shifts 12 t CO2-eq Switch to plants 1-6% effect 2.4 t CO2-eq Avoid flights London-LA - 1.6 t CO2-eq Vegan 6% 3% London-Rome - 0.8 t CO2-eq - 0.2 t CO2-eq Vegetarian 4% 2% Live car free - 0.5 t CO2-eq - 1.0-5.3 t CO2-eq Flexitarian 2% 1% https://ravijen.fr/?p=440; Carbone 4; Agreste; INSEE; 2015-2016 - 0.3 t CO2-eq Environmental impact of dietary change: a systematic review. Hallström et al. (2015) Journal of Cleaner Production The rebound effect of switching to vegetarianism. A microeconomic analysis of Swedish consumption behaviour. Grabs (2015) Ecological Economics The climate mitigation gap: education and government recommendations miss the most effective individual actions Wynes & Nicholas, (2017). Environmental Research Letters
Same order of magnitude (few %) is found on macro level Dietary change US • Vegan = - 2.6% Livestock • Meatless Monday = - 0.3% 4% Compared with systems with animals, diets formulated for the US population in the plants-only systems had greater excess of dietary energy and resulted in a greater number of deficiencies in essential nutrients.
Fossil fuels, the elephant in the room In Flanders, a single steel factory produces more GHG-e than all agriculture combined! 78 Mt CO2-eq/y Agriculture 7 Mt CO2-eq/y (9%) Transportation = 21% Energy = 22% Livestock: 5 Mt (6%) Industry = 28% Others = 19% ArcelorMittal Ghent 9 Mt CO2-eq/y (12%) Brussels Airport 6 Mt CO2-eq/y
Is livestock (meat/dairy) used as a scapegoat? The cement industry produces 7% of man-made CO2. If it were a country, it would trail only the US and China in emissions of CO2. China used more cement between 2011 and 2013 than the U.S. used in the entire Global tourism accounts for 8% of the world’s GHGE 20th Century. ICT is expected to reach >14% by 2040 (by 2020, the footprint of smart phones alone would surpass the individual contribution of desktops, laptops and displays) Umwelt Belastung Punkten Keeping a horse is >1/3 of a person’s environmental FAO: 30% of the world’s agricultural land is currently impact occupied to produce food that is never eaten; food waste is up to 20% of purchases US pet feed impact is 25–30% of the environmental impact from animal production
Beware of slogans and metrics 1 14.5% 2006 - 2013
14.5% number is a global number 2 GLEAM Per capita beef consumption vs. enteric methane (2013, FAOSTAT) India is #1 emitter, but with less than 1 kg beef/p/y FAO Spatial distribution of GHG efficiency of bovine meat production (kg CO2-eq per kg product) in the year 2000 Herrero et al. (2013)
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