FINANCING THE FUTURE: FUNDING CIRCLE'S 2021 IMPACT - MARCH 2022
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Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword5 Executive summary6 1. State of the SME nation10 1.1 SMEs remain at the heart of the UK’s economic recovery 10 1.2 The pandemic, and recovery, continue to have an uneven impact on SMEs 12 1.3 Post-pandemic lending will increasingly be accessed online 14 2. Funding Circle’s 2021 economic impact18 2.1 Funding Circle continued to provide vital SME finance in 2021 18 2.2 Investment in technology is removing barriers for SMEs accessing finance 18 2.3 Funding Circle is helping communities level up across the UK 19 2.4 Funding Circle’s Economic Impact 22 3. Funding the recovery24 3.1 SME indebtedness has risen, but is concentrated in the smallest SMEs and overall debt levels remain stable 24 3.2 For the broader SME population, finance will be vital if they are to invest, grow, and power the UK economy 25 Appendix: methodology28 MARCH 2022 3
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact FOREWORD The past two years have asked a huge amount Over the past decade we have worked tirelessly from all of us, particularly the UK’s small to evolve our R&D capabilities and tech businesses, who have been forced to dig infrastructure. The results of this investment deep to manage their livelihoods during these continue to materialise, and our platform is challenging times. well-positioned to help more customers than ever over the coming years. The timing couldn’t This year’s Economic Impact Report—our be better; small businesses are set to play a key third in partnership with Oxford Economics— role in levelling up the UK and should be at the examines the vital role these entrepreneurs heart of the Government’s agenda. We know played in driving the recovery forward in 2021. the people we support run innovative, dynamic In order to maintain this recovery’s momentum, enterprises—providing jobs and investment to it’s imperative that small businesses continue to areas that need it most. Their work is being felt access the finance they need to grow. in communities located in every part of the UK. In 2021, small businesses used their Funding Not all businesses have been affected by the Circle loans to contribute £7.2 billion to UK GDP pandemic in the same way, and borrowing and support more than 100,000 jobs. motivations have changed over the past two years. If 2020 was characterised by the funding Our platform’s impact remains a source of pride provided through the Government’s guarantee for everyone connected with Funding Circle. programmes (where we were proud to play We were founded in 2010, in the aftermath of our role as the third largest CBILS provider), a crisis, to help small businesses and power 2021 saw the return of the commercial lending the economy. More than a decade later, we’re market as these programmes wound down and helping tens of thousands of business owners more businesses sought finance for growth, each year to reach their full potential. rather than survival. There is one long-term trend that has been accelerated by the pandemic: a fundamental shift in the way finance is accessed. It’s now becoming clear that small businesses’ relationship with the digital world has been permanently re-wired. After experiencing the speed and simplicity of online services, there is little indication businesses will go back to old ways. Results from the report show that last year 60% of Funding Circle borrowers were Lisa Jacobs first-time users of online lending and more than Chief Executive Officer three-quarters of these business owners say Funding Circle they will come back to us first in future. This trend is here to stay. I’m proud we are leading the way at transforming small business lending at Funding Circle. 5
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact EXECUTIVE SUMMARY SMES WERE ASKED TO DIG DEEP AGAIN IN 2021, BUT THEIR RESILIENCE IS PAYING DIVIDENDS 2021 was another challenging year for the UK’s small businesses. It started with a third national lockdown, and ended with cost pressures building on the horizon. However, yet again, SMEs demonstrated their resilience and ability to adapt, playing an integral role in driving the UK’s economic recovery as restrictions eased and the economy reopened. Rising SME confidence dovetailed with improved performance 80% SMEs became increasingly assured as high streets reopened and spending increased. More than half reported stable or rising income in Q2 2021, and by the end of the year more than 80% of SMEs confident were confident in their long-term future. Their success and that in their long-term of the UK economy are intertwined; SMEs make up 99.8% of all future. UK businesses and account for more than half of all turnover generated across the country. The ongoing recovery is having an uneven impact on three broad groups of SMEs The restrictions in place through 2020 and the first half of the year had an outsized impact on a group of survivor businesses; typically in retail and hospitality or smaller SMEs who were more likely to have taken out Bounce Back Loan Scheme (BBLS) funding. Hedgers took advantage of government-guaranteed lending to build precautionary cash reserves. A final group of thrivers continued to adapt to the challenges of the last few years; requiring growth finance to pivot to new models or implement investment plans. 2021 saw a resurgence of thrivers as the number of SMEs 48% intending to grow doubled The number of businesses reporting a significant reduction in turnover halved in the 12 months from Q2 2020, while the share Reduction in SMEs of SMEs that have spent all of their government-backed funding reporting significant has continued to rise. During the same period, the percentage fall in turnover. of SMEs intending to grow has doubled and is now at pre- pandemic levels. This trend is expected to continue, highlighting the vital role access to finance will continue to play. 6
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact ACCESS TO FINANCE REMAINS CRUCIAL IF THE RECOVERY IS TO CONTINUE While BBLS has driven an increase in SME debt levels, this is concentrated in the smallest SMEs and remains manageable Nearly all of the additional SME debt generated over the last two years was driven by BBLS, with 85% of funding going to micro-businesses. The percentage of SMEs with high debt-to- cash ratios has increased to one-third as a result, however the Bank of England considers this manageable and only 4% of SMEs are concerned about their ability to make repayments. The majority of small businesses remain debt-free. 75% SMEs are increasingly ready to invest in their future The number of SMEs happy to use finance to grow their business is at the highest level since 2016, and three-quarters of Funding Circle customers expect to require finance in the future. of Funding Circle £ With 86% of this future funding earmarked for investment and customers require growth, ensuring continued access to fast and simple SME future finance. finance will help the recovery maintain its momentum. THE SHIFT TO ONLINE LENDING APPEARS PERMANENT Once SMEs borrow online, they don’t look back Over the past year, 40% of SMEs have increased their use of online banking services, particularly in lending with 60% of Funding Circle’s 2021 borrowers accessing finance online for the first time. Even as the market normalises, evidence suggests SMEs won’t be abandoning the digital technology adopted during the pandemic; three-quarters of these first-time customers will come back to Funding Circle first next time they need finance. Platforms like Funding Circle are well-positioned to benefit 9 seconds from this transition The borrowing process is cited as the biggest barrier preventing As little as SMEs from applying for finance, while speed of access is also critical. Funding Circle’s technology platform and instant Funding Circle decision lending capabilities are helping dismantle these lending decision barriers—applications can be completed in six minutes, with times. lending decisions in as little as nine seconds. 7
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact ONLINE LENDING IS ACTING AS A CATALYST TO LEVEL UP THE UK Funding Circle reaches SMEs in traditionally under-funded areas… £7.2 billion In 2021, Funding Circle facilitated £2 billion of lending to SMEs located in every one of the UK’s 650 parliamentary constituencies, an average of £3 million per constituency. Funding Circle’s lending Contribution to UK is also over-represented in some of the regions with the UK’s GDP supported by largest investment gaps, including the Midlands and Yorkshire and Funding Circle’s the Humber. With businesses outside of London traditionally up to lending in 2021. 50% less likely to secure finance, Funding Circle is helping SMEs drive growth across the country. …and is generating investment in communities that need it most 13% of Funding Circle’s lending helped SMEs located in the 10% of local authorities experiencing the most social deprivation. Funding Circle’s lending continued to support a significant economic impact In total, lending through Funding Circle supported a £7.2 billion contribution to UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and more than 103,000 jobs. The activity and employment supported by these loans also raised significant tax revenues for the Government—totalling an estimated £1.9 billion. 8
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact FUNDING CIRCLE’S ECONOMIC IMPACT IN 2021 UK IMPACT Direct Indirect Induced GDP CONTRIBUTION EMPLOYMENT TAX REVENUES £7.2 billion 103,300 jobs £1.9 billion £3.9 bn £2.4 bn 51,200 £1.0 bn £1.0 bn 17,100 £0.2 bn 35,000 £0.7 bn EVERY £1 MILLION LENT THROUGH FUNDING CIRCLE … … contributes … supports … and generates £1.8 million 26 jobs £0.5 million to GDP in taxes IN 2021 … More than 80% of SMEs confident Lending through in their long-term future by the end Funding Circle of the year. reached SMEs located in every one Funding Circle customers were of the UK’s 650 9% more productive than the parliamentary national average. constituencies, with an average £ 75% of Funding Circle customers expect to require future finance. of £3 million per constituency. 9
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact 1. STATE OF THE SME NATION 1.1 SMES REMAIN AT THE HEART OF THE UK’S ECONOMIC RECOVERY In 2021, SMEs again Fig. 1: UK monthly GDP index demonstrated their resilience 2019 = 100 and ability to adapt to a 105 challenging environment. Their tenacity helped the recovery gather pace 100 throughout the year as Covid-19 restrictions were 95 eased and removed. Following a period of stronger-than- expected growth, the size of 90 the UK economy reached pre- pandemic levels in November 85 2021, and in December 2021 remained the same size as in 80 February 2020 (Fig. 1).1 This recovery can be seen 75 in the revival of retail sales. As the trend towards online 70 shopping continued and Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul Jan Jul retailers re-opened their doors, 2017 2017 2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020 2021 2021 retail sales for 2021 were up Source: ONS on the previous year and were comparable to pre-pandemic Fig. 2: Total monthly value of UK retail sales, 2019-2021 levels. Retail sales in 2021 £ billion 2019 2020 2021 totalled £423bn, 5% higher 55 than in 2020, and 7% higher than in 2019 (Fig. 2).2 50 SME confidence continued to rise throughout the year. The 45 gradual removal of restrictions, and full-reopening of England from the summer, helped drive 40 improved SME performance; 56% of SMEs reported stable or rising income in Q2 2021, 35 compared to 32% in Q4 2020.3 This has allowed SMEs to 30 become increasingly assured, with the share of businesses reporting high confidence 25 in their survival prospects growing throughout 2021 for 20 each size of business (Fig. 3).4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: ONS 1 ONS (2022) GDP monthly estimate, UK: December 2021 2 ONS (2022) Retail sales pounds data 10 3 BVA BDRC (2021) UK SME Finance Monitor (Q2 2021) 4 ONS (2022) Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) – Wave 45
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact Fig. 3: Percentage of SMEs reporting confidence in their survival Percentage share 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 100-249 employees 30% 50-99 employees 20% 10-49 employees 10% 0-9 employees 0% 20 20 20 21 21 21 21 21 21 1 21 21 21 21 21 l2 n b ar pr ay n ug p ct ov ec Ju ct ov ec Ja Ju Fe Se O M A D M N A O D N Source: ONS BICS In January 2022, the Fig. 4: SMEs role in the UK economy at the start of 2021 percentage of SMEs who were Percentage share either highly confident or 100% confident in their survival was 99.8 84%, with this figure having 90% reached 85% in October 2021— 80% the highest level since the start of the pandemic. 70% SMEs’ success is crucial to 60% 60.6 the ongoing recovery. SMEs 50% remain strategically vital 52.0 to the fortunes of the UK 40% economy; some 99.8% of all 30% UK businesses in 2021 were SMEs (Fig. 4).5 Together they 20% provided more than 60% of private-sector employment 10% (and 51% of all employment 0% when including the public Businesses Employment Turnover and non-profit sectors), and Source: BEIS accounted for more than half of all turnover generated across the country. 5 BEIS (2021) Business population estimates 2021 11
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact 1.2 THE PANDEMIC, AND RECOVERY, CONTINUE TO HAVE AN UNEVEN IMPACT ON SMES Over the last two years, three Fig. 5: Percentage of SMEs open and trading in 2021 broad groups of SMEs have 100% emerged. These cohorts of survivors, hedgers and thrivers 90% were impacted by, and have 80% responded to, the disruption and subsequent recovery in 70% diverging ways. 60% Survivors were the SMEs 50% Winter Non-essential All restrictions most significantly impacted lockdown retail opens removed by the pandemic, typically 40% in England being forced to pause trading. 30% While 2021 was a year of recovery for many businesses, 20% some restrictions remained 10% in place through the first half of the year. These continued 0% to negatively impact some 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 businesses— particularly those n b ar pr ay ne ly ug p ct ov ec Ja Fe Se Ju O M A D M Ju N A in the retail or hospitality Source: ONS, BICS sectors and smaller SMEs— with 28% of SMEs reported Fig. 6: Percentage of SMEs reporting more than 20% decrease as closed in January 2021 in turnover compared to normal expectations (Fig. 5).6 Meanwhile, one-third 35% of SMEs also reported being 2020-H2 2021-H1 2021-H2 ‘very negatively’ impacted by 33 30% 31 the pandemic.7 28 This group of survivors has 25% 25 25 reduced as restrictions eased 24 and the recovery gathered 20% pace. Between the second 19 19 halves of 2020 and 2021 there 17 15% was a 48% reduction in SMEs reporting a significant decrease 13 in turnover (of more than 20%) 10% 11 11 when compared to normal expectations (Fig. 6). However 5% some headwinds remain, with labour shortages, cost 0% pressures, and rising energy 0-9 10-49 50-99 100-249 prices continuing to build. Source: ONS BICS Number of employees 6 ONS (2022) Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) – Wave 45 12 7 BVA BDRC (2021) SME Finance Monitor (Q2 2021)
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact A second group of hedgers Fig. 7: Percentage of SMEs holding £10,000 or more in took precautionary measures credit balances by building up cash reserves. 40% While not as severely impacted by the pandemic, 35% many businesses took 35 33 advantage of government- 30% 31 31 guaranteed lending through 28 29 the Coronavirus Business 25% Interruption Loan Scheme 23 23 23 (CBILS) and Bounce Back Loan 20% Scheme (BBLS) to provide 15% a buffer against ongoing uncertainty. Approximately 10% 30% of BBLS users took their loan for financial security, 5% as opposed to funding working capital or day-to-day 0% expenses.8 And, in 2021, the 2018 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 2021 percentage of SMEs reporting Source: BVA BDRC Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 more than £10,000 in credit holdings reached historically Fig. 8: Percentage of SMEs expecting to increase investment over high levels of 30%, compared to the next three months 23% in 2019 (Fig. 7). 9 Evidence 35% suggests this “hedging” had some impact on business 30% investment, with BEIS’ Small Business Survey showing 31% of 25% SMEs that took external finance also reported postponing an 20% investment decision.10 15% As confidence among SMEs increased throughout 2021, the 10% share of SMEs holding high cash reserves has started to 5% decrease. The share of SMEs reporting they had spent all 0% of their government-backed 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 21 21 21 21 loan rose to 31% in Q2 2021, Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 compared to 22% in Q1 2021.11 Source: Federation of Small Business A third set of thrivers of 2020, during the past investment intentions have continued to grow their two years the percentage of continued to rise through the business and adapt to the SMEs planning to increase last nine months of 2021: one pandemic’s challenges. their investment over the in three SMEs reported plans Barring a dip in investment subsequent three months to increase their investment by intentions as the pandemic has not fallen below around the end of the year. loomed in the first quarter one-in-four (Fig. 8).12 And 8 National Audit Office (2021) The Bounce Back Loan Scheme: an update 9 BVA BDRC (2021) UK SME Finance Monitor (Q3 2021) 10 Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy (2021) Longitudinal Small Business Survey 13 11 BVA BDRC (2021) UK SME Finance Monitor (Q2 2021) 12 Federation of Small Business (2022) Voice of Small Business Index (Q3 2021)
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact In 2021, this group of thrivers Fig. 9: Percentage of SMEs reporting plans to grow their business has grown in size. The 60% share of SMEs intending to grow has doubled since Q2 50% 52 52 2020, with around half of 49 49 SMEs reporting such plans 45 (Fig. 9).13 These SMEs would 40% 42 41 have used both guaranteed 38 and non-guaranteed lending 30% in 2021 as the CBILS/BBLS schemes wound down and the 24 20% commercial market started to resume over the second half of the year. Continued 10% access to finance will be vital if their future ambitions are to 0% be realised. 2018 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 2021 Source: BVA BDRC Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 1.3 POST-PANDEMIC LENDING WILL INCREASINGLY BE ACCESSED ONLINE In 2021, the SME lending Fig. 10: Gross UK SME lending, 2019-2021 market started to normalise. CBILS from all lenders BBLS from all lenders While 2020 saw an injection of new lending, primarily through Banks' and building societies' gross lending to SMEs BBLS, in 2021 a similar amount £ billions (£57.7 billion) was lent to SMEs 50 as in 2019 (£56.9 billion).14 However, this lending was weighted toward the first 40 half of 2021 as the tail-end of the pandemic loan schemes concluded (Fig. 10). With 30 lending in the second half of the year lower than its pre- pandemic equivalent, there is 20 still some way to go before the market fully normalises. 10 0 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 21 21 21 21 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Source: Bank of England; HM Treasury 13 BVA BDRC (2021) UK SME Finance Monitor (Q3 2021) 14 14 Bank of England (2022) Monthly changes of monetary financial institutions’ sterling and all foreign currency gross lending to small and medium sized enterprises
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact The pandemic has accelerated The proliferation of online long-standing trends in digital lending is likely to be further transformation. Lockdown accelerated by embedded changed how companies and finance. This allows online individuals work, spend and providers to provide direct interact with each other. It access to each other’s forced late-adopters to take up products, to the benefit of digital technologies for the first the consumer, for example time, and existing customers through Funding Circle’s new to ramp up their usage. For embedded finance solution instance, online transactions which embeds the platform accounted for more than 30% into partners’ environments of retail sales in November 2021, through a native application compared to 22% in November programming interface (API). 2019.15 This is no different for The global market value of SMEs, with 40% increasing embedded finance is expected their use of online banking to grow from $43 billion in services over the last year.16 This 2021 to $138 billion in 2026—a is echoed by 60% of Funding 215% increase.18 Circle’s 2021 borrowers having used the platform to access Fig. 11: What first-time online borrowers are likely to do next finance online for the first time. time they require finance This shift towards online Approach Funding lending is here to stay. 78% Circle first Approximately two-thirds of SMEs expect the changes they Approach bank first, have made as part of this digital then Funding Circle 16% acceleration to be permanent, if unsuccessful according to OECD research.17 Further survey evidence Approach other shows over three-quarters of online finance 3% Funding Circle’s first-time online provider borrowers would approach the Approach other platform first next time they non-online 2% need finance (Fig. 11). finance provider 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Source: Funding Circle Percentage share 15 ONS (2022) Internet sales as a percentage of total retail sales (ratio) (%) 16 EY (2021) The five-step journey to SME banking transformation 17 OECD (2021) OECD SME and Entrepreneurship Outlook 2021 15 18 Jupiter Research (2021) Embedded Finance Market Value to Exceed $138 Billion in 2026, as APIs Intensify Fintech Competitive Landscape
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact 16
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact CASE STUDY: IN THE WELSH WIND DISTILLERY Founded in 2018, the In The Welsh Wind Distillery, owned by couple Alex Jungmayr and Ellen Wakelam, implemented expansion plans following the lifting of Covid-19 restrictions. In The Welsh Wind Distillery in Tanygroes—a hamlet north of Cardigan on the west coast of Wales—took off after opening for business in 2018. But plans for growth had to be put on hold as the global pandemic hit. With the lifting of restrictions, founders Alex and Ellen used a Funding Circle loan to invest in their business and its growth. They hired 15 people and began to expand their “grain-to-grass” ethos, using only grain grown within 10 miles to make their whisky. Able now to implement their unique distillery model, Alex and Ellen are also committed to providing training and jobs and opening up local opportunities. Despite the increase in online shopping, the couple still purchase face to face from small businesses. Producing a product made using local ingredients helps maintain links to the local landscape and community. 17
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact 2. F UNDING CIRCLE’S 2021 ECONOMIC IMPACT 2.1 FUNDING CIRCLE CONTINUED TO PROVIDE VITAL SME FINANCE IN 2021 Funding Circle started the Fig. 12: Loans originated through Funding Circle year by continuing to support £ billion SMEs through the Coronavirus 2.5 Business Interruption Loan Scheme (CBILS). By the time CBILS ended in the first half of the year, Funding Circle’s 2.0 2.1 scheme lending reached £3 2.0 billion, making it the third largest lender. Through the 1.5 second half of the year, 1.5 1.5 thousands of SMEs continued 1.3 to use the platform to access 1.0 finance through a combination of the Recovery Loan Scheme (RLS) and non-guaranteed commercial lending. In total, £2 0.5 billion of loans were originated through Funding Circle’s UK platform in 2021—an increase of 0.0 25% compared to 2019 (Fig. 12). 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Source: Funding Circle 2.2 INVESTMENT IN TECHNOLOGY IS REMOVING BARRIERS FOR SMES ACCESSING FINANCE The borrowing process is Fig. 13: Main reason for borrowing through Funding Circle in 2021 the biggest obstacle to SME funding. Would-be seekers Simple loan application 32% of finance cited the process of borrowing as their main reason for not applying, survey Fast process 21% evidence reveals.19 Speed is also critical; 66% of SMEs felt Better interest rate/fees 13% faster access to credit was very/extremely important for Took too long to apply for/ their business, with nearly obtain a loan with bank 13% six-in-ten desiring funds within or other provider seven days.20 And one-third desired finance in just three Good customer service 12% days—pointing to the time- critical nature of SME lending. Only option for an 5% unsecured loan Loan application with bank or other provider 4% was declined 0% 5% 20% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Source: Funding Circle Percentage share 19 BVA BDRC (2022) UK SME Finance Monitor (Q2 2021) 18 20 EY (2021) The voice of the SME (Banking experiences and expectations)
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact Instant decision lending seconds. 70% of all Funding represented 32% and 21% technology is addressing this Circle’s UK applications are respectively of respondents. problem by providing a much now receiving instant decisions. Only 4% of SMEs took a more seamless borrowing loan through Funding Circle experience. Introduced by The simplicity and speed of because their application was Funding Circle in 2020, the Funding Circle’s application declined by another provider. new technology facilitates an process continue to be cited (Fig. 13). average application time of six as the two most popular minutes and provides lending reasons for choosing the decisions in as little as nine platform. These answers 2.3 FUNDING CIRCLE IS HELPING COMMUNITIES LEVEL UP ACROSS THE UK Funding Circle’s lending Fig. 14: Value of loans originated per Parliamentary reaches SMEs in every corner constituency in 2021 of the UK. In 2021, it helped SMEs located in every one of the UK’s 650 parliamentary Loans financed constituencies, an average of nearly £3 million in lending per £0–£1 m constituency (Fig. 14). £1 m–£2 m This helped SMEs to not £2 m–£3 m just navigate a challenging £3 m–£4 m business environment, but also invest in their business, £4 m–£5 m thrive and create jobs in their £5 m + local communities. This is particularly important given access to finance is at the heart of the UK’s regional disparities, and is crucial to the Government’s Levelling Up plans. Source: Funding Circle 19
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact Fig. 15: Funding Circle loans under management as share of total outstanding SME lending East of England 5.0% East Midlands 4.2% South East 3.9% North West 3.5% Yorkshire and the Humber 3.3% West Midlands 3.1% UK (Total) 3.0% North East 2.8% Wales 2.6% South West 2.4% Greater London 2.4% Scotland 1.9% Northern Ireland 1.4% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Source: Oxford Economics Percentage share A greater proportion of Looking at specific • Highest rankings of the Funding Circle’s lending helps communities, Funding Circle English Index of Multiple SMEs outside of London, loans are most important in Deprivation—a composite where the probability of a firm Bolton (North West), where indicator covering seven securing funding is up to 50% the platform’s loans under domains of deprivation: lower.21 Loans under Funding management are equivalent to income, employment, Circle management represent 5.3% of the total outstanding education, health, crime, 5.0% of all outstanding SME SME lending.22 This was housing, and living lending in the East of England, followed by Wigan (also North environment—received 13% and 4.2% in the East Midlands West) at 5.1%. of Funding Circle’s lending (Fig. 15). In fact, Funding Circle lending is over-indexed in the Lending through Funding • Highest unemployment rate regions identified as having Circle is reaching communities received 13% of Funding the largest investment gaps in that have experienced Circle’s lending the Government’s Levelling Up deprivation. A higher White Paper: the East Midlands, proportion of lending through • Highest rates of economic inactivity received 12% of Yorkshire and the Humber, and the platform went to SMEs Funding Circle’s lending the West Midlands. located in local authorities experiencing socioeconomic challenges (Fig. 16).23 In 2021, businesses located in the top 10% of local authorities with the: 21 All-Party Parliamentary Group (APPG) on Fair Business Banking (2021) Scale up to level up 22 Data sourced from UK Finance SME lending within UK postcodes 20 23 HM Government (2020) English indices of deprivation; ONS (2021) Local labour market indicators by unitary and local authority; Business demography
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact Fig. 16: Share of Funding Circle’s 2021 lending to local authority districts experiencing socioeconomic challenges Percentage share Proportion over-indexed 14% 13% 13% 12% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% English Index of Multiple Unemployment rate Economic inactivity rate Deprivation (highest 10%) (highest 10%) (highest 10%) Source: ONS; Oxford Economics Funding Circle’s lending is Fig. 17: Funding Circle customers’ workers’ gross value added supporting highly productive per job versus national averages businesses. Improving £80,000 productivity is a key objective of the Government’s Levelling £70,000 Up strategy—the first mission of £69,300 which is to boost productivity £60,000 £63,700 and pay. Businesses who received funding through Funding Circle were on average £50,000 9% more productive (as measured by gross value added £40,000 per head) than the national average in 2021.24 £30,000 £20,000 £10,000 £0 UK average Funding Circle customers Source: Funding Circle, ONS 24 The gross value added per worker averages are calculated using ONS data on total gross value added (GDP output approach – low-level aggregates data set) and total employment (Labour Force Survey); Funding Circle customers’ gross value added per worker calculated from Funding Circle survey 21
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact 2.4 FUNDING CIRCLE’S ECONOMIC IMPACT At the end of 2021, we by Funding Circle customers’ loans supported a £2.4 billion estimate the loans under procurement from their UK contribution to UK GDP and Funding Circle’s management supply chains. In this case, we sustained 35,000 jobs across supported a total contribution estimate these SMEs spent £1.1 the country, as well as some to UK GDP of £7.2 billion and billion on purchases of goods £660 million in tax revenues. more than 103,000 jobs. We and services from UK suppliers also calculate that £1.9 billion in using their Funding Circle loan. Our results point to associated tax revenues were This significant spend supported consistency in the scale of supported by lending through a £1.0 billion contribution to Funding Circle’s economic the platform. This economic GDP and 17,100 jobs, alongside impact. Compared to our activity was generated through £240 million in tax revenues to 2020 report, its economic three key channels: the UK Exchequer. contribution to GDP (then £7.6 billion), employment (then Lending through Funding In addition, lending through 102,300), and taxes (then Circle is estimated to have Funding Circle supports £2.1 billion) remain consistent. directly supported a £3.9 further economic activity, This means Funding Circle’s billion contribution to UK GDP as its customers’ employees economic footprint remains and 51,200 jobs. Calculated and those employed in their far larger than in recent years, by scaling up the results of UK supply chain spend their with growth of 75% in its Funding Circle’s UK SME wages. This is known as the contribution to UK GDP, and survey, we estimate Funding “induced impact”. We estimate 45% in the total number of jobs Circle customers generated wage-induced spending supported by its lending, when £62.3 billion in annual revenues attributable to Funding Circle compared to our 2018 report. in 2021, and 8.2% of this can be apportioned to their loans Fig. 18: Total economic impact of Funding Circle in the UK, 2021 through the platform, based £ billion per annum Headcount, thousands on the loans’ share of these 8.0 120 companies’ liabilities. Of this 7.2 loan-related revenue, the firms’ 103,300 employment, capital costs 7.0 Induced 100 and net profits accounted for some £3.9 billion—known as 6.0 2.4 Indirect 35,000 the ‘direct’ contribution to 80 Direct GDP that is attributable to 5.0 the loans through Funding 1.0 Circle. In addition, we calculate 4.0 17,100 60 51,200 jobs and £1.0 billion in tax revenues were also directly 3.0 supported by these loans. 40 1.9 2.0 3.9 51,200 But the economic impact of 0.7 20 the lending through Funding 1.0 0.2 Circle extends beyond its 1.0 direct contribution to the 0.0 0 UK economy. We calculate GDP Tax Jobs the “indirect impact”, which (left scale) (left scale) (right scale) captures the activity stimulated Source: Oxford Economics Note: totals may not sum due to rounding 22
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact CASE STUDY: JUST STRONG Just Strong “athleisure” brand was launched by personal trainer Mark Robinson from his garage in 2017. A government-backed Funding Circle loan helped Mark to grow his business. Back in 2017, Mark Robinson noticed Loan Scheme (RLS). Supporting the how gym-goers were particularly loyal business’ expansion plans, the loan to small American brands. Inspired helped Just Strong increase capacity by UK phenomenon Gymshark, he and drive up sales. decided to enter the fashion industry, printing and packing “athleisure” The company now operates out of a clothes from his home in Yorkshire. In 10,000 sqft warehouse, employs 23 2021, as more women began wearing people and ships to over 110 countries “gym gear” while working from home, around the world. During 2021, Just orders began to accelerate. Strong’s turnover doubled, with the company reaching a landmark To meet increased demand, Just 200,000th order in just four years. Strong required additional funding. The label also has a strong presence Mark turned to Funding Circle, and on social media, including more than Just Strong became the first small 350,000 Instagram followers. business to benefit from a Funding Circle loan through the Recovery 23
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact 3. FUNDING THE RECOVERY 3.1 SME INDEBTEDNESS HAS RISEN, BUT IS CONCENTRATED IN THE SMALLEST SMES AND OVERALL DEBT LEVELS REMAIN STABLE The vast majority of the Fig. 20: Percentage of SMEs with high debt-to-cash ratios new lending created during 35% the pandemic went to the smallest SMEs. Section 1.3 of 30% 33% this report covered how the increase in lending volumes 25% to SMEs was driven almost entirely by BBLS. Some 90% of the total number of these 20% loans, or 85% of the total value (£39.7 billion), went to 15% micro-businesses: defined as 14% those with turnover below 10% £632,000 (the average Funding Circle customer has a 5% turnover of £1.4m).25 Another 14% of the total value of loans 0% (£6.8 billion) went to small Pre-covid Post-covid businesses with a turnover Source: Bank of England between £632,000 and £10.1 million (Fig. 19). Although this has raised As a result, concerns about SME debt levels, they remain repayments remain low. Fig. 19: The value of BBLS loans manageable. While the The percentage of SMEs received by size of business majority (55%) of SMEs hold no concerned about their £ billion debt at all, the proportion with ability to pay their debt has a high debt-to-cash ratio has continued to decrease through Other risen from 14% pre-pandemic 2021, with only a fraction of 293 to one-third (Fig. 20).26 This SMEs reporting low confidence 1% corroborates with the share in their ability to repay loans Small of survivor SMEs discussed in (Fig. 21). 6,805 section 1.2 that were forced 14% to pause trading, and report Other SMEs continue to hold being ‘negatively’ or ‘very onto their precautionary cash negatively’ impacted by the reserves. Bank of England Micro pandemic. The Bank of England evidence reveals some 32% 39,654 notes this debt is likely to be of indebted SMEs have 85% manageable for the majority of sufficient cash to repay their these businesses, pointing to outstanding debt in full if they most loans being government- wanted.27 This is in line with backed with longer terms, lower the share of hedger businesses rates, and support through pay- identified in chapter 1.2. Source: NAO as-you-grow options. 25 National Audit Office (2021) The Bounce Back Loan Scheme: an update 26 Bank of England (2021) Bank Overground: The impact of the Covid pandemic on SME indebtedness 24 27 Bank of England (2021) Bank Overground: The impact of the Covid pandemic on SME indebtedness
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact Fig. 21: The share of SMEs with low or no confidence in their ability to meet current debt obligations has decreased 7% 0–9 employees 10–49 employees 50–99 employees 100–249 employees 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Apr 2021 May 2021 Jun 2021 Jul 2021 Aug 2021 Sep 2021 Oct 2021 Nov 2021 Source: ONS BICS 3.2 FOR THE BROADER SME POPULATION, FINANCE WILL BE VITAL IF THEY ARE TO INVEST, GROW, AND POWER THE UK ECONOMY SME growth aspirations Fig. 22: SME growth ambitions for the next 12 months are on the rise. Through all Grow rapidly/ Remain the Downsize, close or of 2021, more than half of moderately same size hand on business SMEs reported an intention to grow over the subsequent Percentage share 12 months, a significant 60% improvement on the 31% reported in Q2 2021 (Fig. 22).28 50% The share of businesses with negative intentions (to downsize, close, or sell their 40% business) has also fallen to 11.9%, from a pandemic-driven high of 27.9% in 2020. 30% Indications that demand for SME finance is likely to 20% strengthen over the coming months can also be observed 10% in the number of SMEs happy to use finance to grow (Fig. 23). This has risen again in 0% Q3 2021, following growth 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 21 21 21 21 throughout 2020, and is now Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 at its highest level since 2016. Source: Federation of Small Business 28 Federation of Small Business (2022) Voice of Small Business Index (Q3 2021) 25
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact Fig. 23: Share of SMEs happy to use finance to grow Percentage share 40% 38% 36% 34% 32% 30% 28% 26% 24% 22% 20% 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 2021 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Source: BVA BDRC Investment intentions are Access to finance will continue Online lending platforms will expected to remain strong. to be crucial throughout 2022. help deliver this finance. By Some 76% of SMEs said they The data suggests a significant leveraging their technology were planning to invest more proportion of the UK’s SMEs are capabilities and focusing on in their business in 2022 than ready to play a leading role in serving small and medium they had in any previous year.29 maintaining the UK’s economic businesses, platforms like In addition to a recovering recovery. Simple and fast access Funding Circle will be able economy and gradual return to finance will continue to be to provide seamless and fast to normalisation, investment the catalyst for SMEs to unlock access to this finance, helping will be encouraged by further the investment required to break down some of the barriers government measures, achieve this, and in turn power to ensuring UK SMEs are able to including the super-deduction, communities across the UK. maximise their potential. which will allow companies to cut their tax bill by up to 25p Fig. 24: SMEs expectations for future financing needs for every £1 they invest between Percentage share April 2021 and March 2023.30 40% Funding Circle’s customers are 35% 35% no different. Three-quarters of 30% SME respondents expected to 25% need more finance in the future, 25% with 40% expecting to need 20% 22% this within the coming year 15% 18% (Fig. 24). And of these SMEs, 86% expect to use this funding 10% for investment and growth. 5% 0% No current 3–6 months 6–12 months More than plans for 12 months further finance Source: Funding Circle 29 Starling Bank (2021) Record investment and strong growth planned by small businesses, but loneliness and innovation are a challenge 26 30 HM Treasury (2021) Budget 2021 – Super-deduction
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact CASE STUDY 3: FLOWER STATION UK florist Flower Station creates hand-crafted bouquets. Its Director and Founder, David Cohen, used his Funding Circle business loan to launch new brands and grow his business. David set up Flower Station over 20 such as weddings and office plant years ago as a drive-through florist at contracts. He also began providing a disused petrol station. He now runs guaranteed same-day delivery on several flower shops, with a flagship orders up to 6p.m. in London. store in North London providing a 24/7 delivery service to customers all The company used a Funding Circle over the capital. loan to support these expansion activities and develop new brands–for During lockdown, with his stores example, its new Love Rose website, having to close, David pivoted the which sells high-end preserved roses company’s operations online. As a and Letterbuds—a subscription result, business quadrupled, more than service for home-delivered budded making up for Flower Station’s shop flowers. The funds also enabled the closures. David put as much money completion of an online flower school, as he could into his online operations which provides video lessons on and branched out into new services, flower arranging. 27
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact APPENDIX: METHODOLOGY ESTIMATING THE ECONOMIC IMPACTS In December 2021 a Direct impacts The gross operating surplus proportion of Funding Circle’s was then used to estimate The direct “gross value added” small business customers the size of each company’s contribution to GDP of these in the UK were asked to balance sheet (i.e. its net value respondents was taken to be complete a survey about their plus all outstanding liabilities), the difference between their loans and business. To enable using a balance-sheet-to- 2021 revenues and the value Oxford Economics to carry gross-earnings multiple of of their purchases from other out the economic impact three. This ratio was chosen firms that year. Their direct study for this report, survey as being within the various employment was taken straight respondents were asked about ranges recommended by from the survey answers. their company’s latest annual experts in the field—although revenue, purchases from it is towards the lower end of The “Funding Circle share” other firms, share of imports the scale, to reflect the small of those values then had to in those purchases, and size of the firms involved. The be calculated. Each company employment levels. ratio of each firm’s Funding that responded to the survey Circle loan to its estimated was matched with its record balance sheet size was then in Funding Circle’s entire loan used to scale down from total book, as adjusted to capture direct value and jobs, to the only loans under management share supported by Funding and not in default at the end Circle’s financing. of 2021. This enabled the value of the company’s outstanding The gross value added and loan, and industrial sector, to employment impacts for the be identified. sample of firms surveyed were then scaled up, to arrive at The industrial sector was impacts for the entire Funding used to split each firm’s value Circle loan book. Revenues, added between employment purchases from other firms, costs and the “gross operating and business taxes paid were surplus” (i.e. capital costs also scaled up in the same plus net profits—equivalent to way. Direct tax contributions earnings before tax, interest, of all kinds were worked out and depreciation in company from direct gross value added, accounts). This required using various tax-to-income sector-by-sector data from the and tax-to-spending ratios national accounts, adjusted derived from national accounts to be more specific to smaller and tax authority data. firms by taking into account relevant ratios from national statistical agencies’ data. 28
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact Indirect and induced impacts The pattern of procurement The results show the economic from domestic suppliers, contribution supported by Next, the indirect and induced excluding imports, was then lending through Funding Circle impacts were calculated. The fed into Oxford Economics’ per annum, based on all loans pattern of firms by industrial economic impact models, under its management at sector, both in the survey and which are based on the the end of 2021. They are not across the entire loan book, entire pattern of transactions cumulative, so do not show the was reasonably similar to that between industrial sectors (as economic impact of Funding of the wider business sector, found in an input-output table). Circle since its creation. excepting the relative absence The direct employment costs of mining and energy firms. of Funding Circle’s borrowers The pattern of economy- were also fed in. The indirect wide procurement found and induced gross value added, in the official “input-output employment, and tax impacts table”, by type of product were then calculated within the purchased and domestic- model, which also incorporates versus-imported supplier split, the latest gross value added- was therefore adjusted to to-jobs, tax-to-income, and tax- exclude non-business entities, to-spending ratios, on a refined and mining and energy firms, industry-by-industry basis. and applied to our estimate of Funding Circle borrowers’ total purchases from other firms. The share of imports in that total was checked against the share indicated by the survey results, and found to be very similar. 29
Financing the future: Funding Circle’s 2021 impact OXFORD ECONOMICS Oxford Economics was founded in 1981 as a March 2022 commercial venture with Oxford University’s business college to provide economic All data shown in tables and charts are forecasting and modelling to UK companies Oxford Economics’ own data, except where and financial institutions expanding abroad. otherwise stated and cited in footnotes, and Since then, we have become one of the are copyright © Oxford Economics Ltd. world’s foremost independent global advisory firms, providing reports, forecasts and This report is confidential to Funding Circle analytical tools on more than 200 countries, and may not be published or distributed 250 industrial sectors, and 7,000 cities and without their prior written permission. regions. Our best-in-class global economic and industry models and analytical tools give us an The modelling and results presented here unparalleled ability to forecast external market are based on information provided by third trends and assess their economic, social and parties, upon which Oxford Economics has business impact. relied in producing its report and forecasts in good faith. Any subsequent revision or update Headquartered in Oxford, England, with of those data will affect the assessments and regional centres in New York, London, projections shown. Frankfurt, and Singapore, Oxford Economics has offices across the globe in Belfast, Boston, To discuss the report further please contact: Cape Town, Chicago, Dubai, Dublin, Hong Kong, Los Angeles, Melbourne, Mexico City, James Bedford Milan, Paris, Philadelphia, Stockholm, Sydney, jbedford@oxfordeconomics.com Tokyo, and Toronto. We employ 450 full-time staff, including more than 300 professional Oxford Economics economists, industry experts, and business 4 Millbank, London SW1P 3JA, UK editors—one of the largest teams of Tel: +44 203 910 8000 macroeconomists and thought leadership specialists. Our global team is highly skilled in a full range of research techniques and thought leadership capabilities from econometric modelling, scenario framing, and economic impact analysis to market surveys, case studies, expert panels, and web analytics. Oxford Economics is a key adviser to corporate, financial and government decision-makers and thought leaders. Our worldwide client base now comprises over 2,000 international organisations, including leading multinational companies and financial institutions; key government bodies and trade associations; and top universities, consultancies, and think tanks. Cover Photo: Anton Balazh/shutterstock.com 30
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