Fair Move Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne - September 2020
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About us Infrastructure Victoria is an independent advisory body with three functions: \ preparing a 30-year infrastructure strategy for Victoria, which is refreshed every three to five years \ providing written advice to government on specific infrastructure matters \ publishing original research on infrastructure- related issues. Infrastructure Victoria also supports the development of sectoral infrastructure plans by government departments and agencies. The aim of Infrastructure Victoria is to take a long-term, evidence-based view of infrastructure planning and raise the level of community debate about infrastructure provision. Infrastructure Victoria does not directly oversee or fund infrastructure projects. Aboriginal acknowledgment Infrastructure Victoria acknowledges the traditional owners of country in Victoria and pays respect to their elders past and present, as well as elders of other Aboriginal communities. We recognise that the state’s infrastructure is built on land that has been managed by Aboriginal people for millennia.
Contents Fares that reflect the time and place of travel 35 Peak use contributes to an unbalanced network 36 New peak fares 39 Locational peak fares 42 Executive summary 04 Directional peak fares 45 Introduction 10 Will peak pricing make any difference? 46 Recommendations 12 Ticketing that supports reform 52 Problems facing public transport 16 Ticketing that reflects fare reform 53 Problem 1: The public transport system A more flexible ticketing system 54 is under strain and out of balance 17 Open up third-party access to the Problem 2: Fare setting objectives are public transport ticketing system 55 not clearly defined, fares neither encourage Make the ticketing system easier to use 57 the best use of the system nor inform choice 18 Problem 3: Public transport fares are unfair 19 How will users respond to variable fares? 59 How well do users understand fare elements? 60 Principles 20 As complexity increases, comprehension declines 61 Presenting and communicating change 62 Improving how fares are set 22 Balance multiple outcomes to make the best use of the transport system 23 The benefits of change 62 Consider equity 25 Fare reform shifts demands on the transport network 68 Provide informed choice 26 Who changes their travel when offered greater choice? 70 Transparent fare setting 26 Who benefits the most from fare reform? 71 The way forward 26 How does fare reform change the cost of public transport? 74 How does public transport demand Fares that reflect the shift across Greater Melbourne? 76 mode of travel 28 How does demand across the network Flat fares are simple, but don’t make the change with travel patterns? 78 best use of the public transport system 29 Flat fares are unfair 31 Where do we go from here? 84 More services alone are not the solution 32 Fares for multimodal trips 33 References 86
Executive summary The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted almost every aspect of Victorians’ daily lives. Stay-at-home orders, social distancing requirements and greater numbers of people working from home mean that public transport use is down and private car use is up. However, at some point, restrictions on In that report, we called for pricing of the Fare reform can also be fair reform. Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne the way Victorians connect and travel entire transport system across roads, While the top 20% of income earners will be eased and removed, migration public transport and parking. We also make up the largest group of public to Victoria will resume and Melbourne’s acknowledged that this would take some transport users overall, fare reform can public transport system will be under time to implement. In this report, we focus significantly improve travel choice and pressure again. Instead of drifting back solely on public transport fare reforms that affordability for low income travellers to ‘normal’, there is a unique opportunity could be implemented in Melbourne in the and households. to undertake fare reform so that when short to medium term. Melburnians return to public transport, We propose a fare structure that the network is better balanced, better Melbourne’s public transport system faces maximises the use of the public transport managed and operates more efficiently three major problems: it is under strain and network so that it generates the most and fairly for the benefit of all Victorians. out of balance (being overcrowded in peak benefits to Melburnians, whether they times and underused at other times); fares use public transport, private vehicles While COVID-19 has hit the Victorian are not set to encourage the best use of the or active transport. Infrastructure Victoria economy hard, it has also created greater system or to give public transport users flexibility in work and commerce, generating greater choice about how and when they Fares make up only a part of the public behaviour change that can have lasting travel; and the current fare structure is transport system, but they have the ability benefits once the pandemic has passed unfair. The system also has limited ‘slack’ to support Melbourne in getting the most (such as reduced congestion from more to cover disrupted services, meaning that out the infrastructure it has today, as well flexible working hours and increased cancellations, problems with vehicles, as the infrastructure of tomorrow, such working from home). A well priced public incidents and other delays quickly ripple out as Metro Tunnel. transport network can help lock in some of across the network, affecting thousands Fares, new infrastructure and service reform those benefits and take pressure off the of commuters. These problems are likely can all work together to help meet the entire transport network. to continue even as Victoria rolls out major growing travel needs of Melburnians. new transport infrastructure investments. Public transport fares fall within the And right now, while the pandemic broader transport network pricing Fares are a powerful tool for addressing continues, fare reform can support social framework presented in Infrastructure these problems. Fares can be set to make distancing by encouraging off-peak travel Victoria’s previous report Good Move – the best use of the entire transport system and better use of underused services, Fixing Transport Congestion. (roads and public transport). They can such as buses. provide incentives for people to change their travel behaviour and make the best travel choices for themselves, as well as for the wider community. 04
Our recommended reforms: Executive summary Fares that vary by mode of travel Having different fares for different times This balance needs to be transparent, using and places would encourage travel in the clearly defined objectives determined by the Introduce different fares for each off-peak periods, making more efficient Victorian Government, with an independent public transport mode to reflect the use of the network and reducing crowding. body to advise on and monitor transport different costs and benefits of each It would also support social distancing prices (like IPART in NSW). mode, and to encourage the best use Infrastructure Victoria on public transport while the COVID-19 of public transport services. Fares would To see the effects of fare reform over time, pandemic persists. be lowest for buses and slightly more for we have modelled how things would look trams, with trains being the highest priced Consistent with our transport network in 2031, comparing the current flat public of the three modes. pricing approach that all modes and routes transport fare structure to one that provides should be priced, we also recommend stronger incentives for making better use Currently, buses are overpriced and removing Melbourne’s free tram zone. This of the network. underused, which impacts people on low free zone fails to price travel in a busy tram incomes the hardest − as trains and trams corridor that is already at capacity. It is also are used disproportionally by people on unfair, as it largely benefits a relatively small high incomes. Our research shows that group of people − those who live in or drive if buses were cheaper than trains and to the CBD − while all Victorian taxpayers trams, many people would make the foot the bill, regardless of whether they use switch to buses. the free tram zone or not. There is also no evidence that it increases tourism. Fares that reflect the time and place of travel Better ticketing Introduce peak and off-peak fares on Alongside this new fare structure, we are trains, trams and express buses in recommending ticketing reforms to make places and at times that are at capacity. the system more convenient and fairer, Congestion and the cost of expanding and allow for the introduction of new the train network in and around the digital platforms for planning, booking CBD is greater than the rest of the and paying for travel. network, so when CBD public transport Improving how fares are set travel patterns return to pre-COVID-19 levels, we also propose creating a new Public transport fare setting needs to ‘City Zone’ on the metropolitan train balance multiple outcomes to make best network, covering the CBD, City Loop use of the network and improve fairness. and Metro Tunnel. 05
The potential benefits of public transport fare reform Our modelling was done pre-COVID-19, we have identified include: Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne but the outcomes will hold assuming Melbourne’s transport patterns return to normal. We are currently doing a range of More people using Fewer cars on Melbourne’s roads modelling to investigate how COVID-19 public transport Decreasing traffic volumes along some might change the travel and land use of Substantial shifts to public transport of Melbourne’s busiest arterial road links, Melbourne into the future, and how across Melbourne, especially in the relieving pressure on the road network and transport reforms and infrastructure middle and outer ring of suburbs. reducing vehicle emissions and air pollution. may need to adapt. We found that the impacts of fare reform More people travelling Most people are better off, would reach all Victorians, whether through during off-peak especially low income households reduced road congestion or less crowding Relieving pressure during peak periods and Up to 71% of people could pay less to on trains, trams and buses or simply reducing crowding on trains and trams travel on public transport, with people on Infrastructure Victoria through lower pollution and a cleaner during peak times, making commuting to the lowest incomes paying 26% less for environment. the central city safer and more comfortable. fares on average*. Those who may pay Ultimately, fare reform means that more, such as city office workers who travel Melbourne’s transport users would be into the CBD via train at peak times, would More people using buses enjoy a more efficient, less crowded and the equivalent of $520 million a year better off in lower cost public transport Making buses a more attractive and more comfortable service. alternatives, reduced crowding and inexpensive travel choice and getting * Fare revenue was down in our modelled fare reform. See congestion and better environmental much better value from Melbourne’s ‘How does fare reform change the cost of public transport?’ outcomes. underused bus network. on page 74-75 for a breakdown of who pays less under an approximation of a revenue neutral-fare reform. We also found that these benefits can be achieved with little-to-no change in cost recovery levels and fare revenue. 06
While more extensive fare and ticketing Executive summary restructuring will take time, two fare changes could be implemented immediately by the Victorian Government: introducing peak and off-peak fares and removing Melbourne’s free tram zone. While the COVID-19 pandemic continues, these reforms would Infrastructure Victoria also support social distancing on public transport by spreading demand across the day and across different modes, and reducing crowding on CBD trams. A third reform that could proceed now is the appointment of an independent adviser to recommend and review transport prices. This would signal the start of a broader reform process and also provide the government with guidance on future fare-setting objectives and the best way to proceed with greater fare and ticketing reforms. With Melbourne’s public transport network now costing nearly $2 billion to operate each year and fares covering less than 30% of these costs, it is critical to make the best use of this investment by Victorian taxpayers. Introducing the fare reforms recommended in this report would mean that the majority of people would pay less to travel on public transport than they do now, but total fare revenue would be similar. At the same time, the network would be more efficient, more balanced and fairer − producing a better overall return to the wider community and extracting much greater value for all Victorians from their substantial investment in public transport. 07
The benefits of fare reform The benefits of 71% Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne paying implementing fare -$ reform by 2031, of users pay less 26% $ less compared with what happens if we keep Up to 71% of public transport users Households on the lowest incomes on doing the same pay less to travel on public transport benefit the most – paying 26% less thing include: than they do today.* for fares on average.* Infrastructure Victoria 96,000 over 78,000 tonnes cut less Mon-Fri car trips Over 96,000 car trips are taken off Greenhouse gas emissions cut Melbourne roads on a typical weekday. by over 78,000 tonnes per year due to increased public transport use. 30,000 fewer peak train new off-peak boardings 100,000 boardings * This includes the effect of total fare Crowding on busy train services is revenue being lower in the modelled reduced, with 30,000 fewer boardings Fares Reform scenario than the during peak times – equivalent to Over 100,000 new off-peak boardings Current System. See Benefits of 08 Change section on page 62 for detail. 27 new High Capacity Metro Trains. across trains, trams and buses.
$520 million The benefits of fare reform better off Fare reform would generate about $520 million in value each year for Victorians through more transport pricing options, Infrastructure Victoria reduced crowding and congestion and better environmental outcomes. over 56,000 new public transport users Over 56,000 new public transport users on a typical weekday. 93,000 new bus boardings Cheaper buses create over 93,000 new bus boardings across the typical weekday. 09
01. Introduction The current COVID-19 pandemic has brought significant disruption to the way Victorians live. People are unable to connect and travel as freely as they once could, and this has affected the use of Victoria’s transport networks. Public transport use is down, and private At some point, however, restrictions on the Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne cars are currently the preferred mode for way Victorians connect and travel will be social distancing – and this will have flow eased and removed, migration to Victoria on impacts across both the public transport will resume and Melbourne’s public transport and road networks in the immediate future. system will be under pressure again. While Travel restrictions, social distancing and not currently apparent, Melburnians do greater working from home have dampened not have to cast their minds back very far the demand for public transport – particularly to recall the significant crowding on trains to the Melbourne CBD.1 and trams during peak periods – making journeys uncomfortable, frustrating and unsatisfactory experiences. Infrastructure Victoria 10
The public transport system has limited Fares fall within the transport network pricing In this report, we focus solely on fare ‘slack’ to cover disrupted services, meaning framework presented in Infrastructure reforms that could be implemented in that cancellations, problems with vehicles, Victoria’s earlier report Good Move: Fixing the short to medium term, ahead of incidents and other delays quickly ripple Transport Congestion (Infrastructure Victoria, introducing any form of road pricing. out across the network, affecting thousands 2020). In that report, we called for pricing of the entire transport system across roads, We also focus on how public transport of commuters. This pressure is likely to public transport and parking. We also fares can be part of the set of tools used continue even as Victoria rolls out its acknowledged that such a framework to support social distancing while Victoria Introduction pipeline of new infrastructure investments. would take some time to implement – deals with COVID-19 and to manage the To support people as they return to including time to gather the information state’s transport network in the post- travelling for work, education and leisure to implement correctly. COVID-19 world. (whether by public or private transport), Infrastructure Victoria we need to better manage the existing metropolitan public transport network, particularly at times and points of strain. Research for reform Fares are a powerful tool for informing people so they can make the best travel choices for themselves, as well as for Infrastructure Victoria has made Fare reform is part of our ongoing society. Fares can provide incentives for transport network pricing a core research program. The project people to change their behaviour to make focus of our research program, with takes a more detailed look at best use of the network; however, this the aim of designing a system that is metropolitan fare reforms that tool has been mostly left unused for suitable for Victoria, that is effective, could be implemented in the short metropolitan Melbourne. There are efficient, fair and sustainable, and to medium term. limited incentives to shift trips away from that can attract community support. peak times or to encourage greater use in This paper focuses on Melbourne’s parts of the network with excess capacity, Transport network pricing is a system public transport network. Infrastructure particularly metropolitan buses. where prices are set to influence how, Victoria recognises the need for when and where people use the improvements in regional fares and the Providing travellers with more alternatives transport system. Prices can be set independent transport pricing advisory through more variable fares can change to encourage people to travel at body recommended in this paper the attractiveness of using different modes times, to places and by modes that would be well placed to conduct of public transport at different times. This provide the greatest benefits relative research into regional fares. would increase comfort and safety for to the costs. Prices can also be set public transport users and enable better to take into account factors such as Our final recommendations for the government decision-making in the timing the costs of air pollution and road introduction of transport network and selection of future public transport trauma. Infrastructure Victoria’s pricing in Victoria will be made in infrastructure. Fare reform should also research shows that making the the 2021 update of our 30-year be fair reform: any changes to fares should shift to comprehensive transport infrastructure strategy. be progressive and equitable − making a network pricing would deliver positive difference in the lives of Victorians significant benefits to Victorians. and their use of the public transport network, and delivering significant benefits for low income travellers and households. 11 1 T his is a classic example of how disruptions can lead to behaviour change. See Ortmann and Dixit (2017) for more detail.
02. Recommendations Infrastructure Victoria’s recommendations focus on the metropolitan public transport network. The rationale for these recommendations is discussed in the relevant sections of this paper. Full details of the research and analysis undertaken to prepare the paper and determine our recommendations are provided in the technical report that accompanies this paper. Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne Infrastructure Victoria 12
Improving how Fares that reflect the Ticketing that fares are set time and place of travel supports reform 01. 06. 09. Recommendations Set public transport fares transparently, Immediately introduce peak and off-peak Discontinue myki Passes (unlimited travel using clearly defined objectives. fares on public transport in places and over a specified time period for a fixed fee) locations which are at capacity. Modes to facilitate fare reform and remove 02. and zones which are rarely at capacity complexity. should have all-day off-peak fares. Fare setting objectives should be to 10. Infrastructure Victoria make the best use of the public transport network, take equity into account and 07. Review the level of the daily fare ensure people are provided with informed Consider a new ‘City Zone’ with its cap when using myki Money. travel choices. own peak price composed of the City Loop service train stations (Parliament, 11. 03. Melbourne Central and Flagstaff, Open up the ticketing system to third Southern Cross and Flinders Street) Immediately appoint an parties. Third parties should be enabled and the Metro Tunnel stations (Arden, independent body to advise to hold accounts for purchasing travel Parkville, State Library, Town Hall and on and monitor transport prices. on behalf of travellers, including for Mobility Anzac). This City Zone would be subject as a Service. to a specific peak price. Introduction should be contingent on CBD public Fares that reflect transport travel patterns returning to 12. the mode of travel pre-COVID-19 levels, with significant Make the ticketing system easier to use crowding during peak times. for Victorians and visitors by: a. reducing or removing the myki 08. card purchase fee 04. Introduce directional pricing so that trips Immediately introduce different fares on in counter-peak directions are not charged b. allowing other inputs for validation each public transport mode to reflect their a peak fare e.g. those travelling away from through an account-based system different costs and benefits and to the CBD in the morning peak. (such as credit and debit cards). encourage their best use. 13. 05. Develop a set of principles to guide Abolish the free tram zone to improve safety concession design, followed by a review and access for those who need it most. of all discounts, removing or adding concessions as necessary. 13
Improving how fares are set Overarching \ Public transport fares should \ Fares should make the best use of the Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne be set transparently and meet public transport network, take equity into stated objectives. account and ensure people are provided with informed travel choices. Immediately 0-2 years 2-5 years \ Adopt peak and off-peak \ Introduce directional off-peak fares \ Allow other inputs for public transport fares validation for myki Infrastructure Victoria \ Remove myki Passes \ Adopt fares that differ by mode \ Consider implementing a new \ Review daily cap limit on fares City Zone with a specific peak \ Appoint an independent body price when crowding increases to advise on and monitor \ Develop principles for concessions to pre-COVID-19 levels at transport prices and review and reform existing ones peak times \ Abolish the free tram zone \ Remove myki purchase fee and change the touch on credit requirements 14
15 Recommendations Infrastructure Victoria
03. Problems facing public transport Melbourne’s public transport system faces three major problems. Firstly, it is unbalanced, being under While such reform would take time to significant strain at peak times and develop and implement, public transport underused in off-peak periods. Secondly, is already priced, so fare reforms could be Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne fares do not rectify the imbalance, considered by the Victorian Government encourage the best use of the public in the shorter term. transport system or provide public transport users with options that vary Fare reform would take the first steps with price. Finally, current fares are not fair. towards achieving the goals of transport network pricing, while also addressing Our report Good Move: Fixing Transport the problems facing Victoria’s public Congestion outlined a comprehensive transport system. Some immediate fare transport network pricing system across changes can also contribute to managing all roads, public transport and parking to the COVID-19 pandemic by helping to reduce growing congestion and crowding achieve social distancing on public on Victoria’s roads and public transport, transport in Melbourne and improving as well as getting more out of our the health and safety of commuters. transport system. Infrastructure Victoria 16
Problem 1: The public transport system is under strain and out of balance Under normal pre-COVID-19 conditions, The peaks and troughs of public transport Figure 1 Public transport the public transport system is both boardings throughout 50,000 the day overcrowded and underused. At times of peak use, passengers are crammed on services or unable to board full trains 40,000 and trams. Reliability suffers as timing Problems facing public transport or mechanical issues have large flow- 30,000 on effects on the congested network, resulting in high rates of re-routed 20,000 and late-running services. 10,000 Boardings Outside the peak times, the network is underused. Buses, trains and trams sit idle in holding yards waiting for the peak 0 4am 5am 6am 7am 8am 9am 10am 11am 12pm 1pm 2pm 3pm 4pm 5pm 6pm 7pm 8pm 9pm 10pm 11pm 12am periods. On weekends, public transport use is only 41% of its weekday use while roads Infrastructure Victoria are congested. At these times, moving any Average Tram Boardings (Department of Transport)* * Department of Transport (DoT) 2018 road trips to public transport would have VISTA boardings Train** ** Victorian Integrated Survey of Travel significant benefits. Activity (VISTA), 2018. VISTA boardings Bus** Melbourne’s bus system is underused The public transport system is out of balance: overcrowded at peak times and underused outside the peak. Overcrowding and underuse vary not just by time of day, but also mode. Many metropolitan bus routes have excess capacity, particularly those in the outer suburbs. Modelling undertaken for Infrastructure Victoria estimates that Figure 2 Melbourne bus 70% of bus routes run at below a third network performance, 2016 of their capacity during the AM peak.2 Bus routes with over 20 boardings per service hour Bus routes with less than 20 boardings per service hour 17 Source: Analysis based on Transport for Victoria 2016 patronage data 2 S ee CIE (2020) for discussion of the results and Jacobs (2020) for a description of the modelling.
Problem 2: Fare setting objectives are not clearly defined, fares neither encourage the best use of the system nor provide choice Despite the overcrowding and This structure provides little variation in Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne underuse imbalance of the public recognising the different costs and benefits transport network, fares currently that different trips have. The flat price play a very minor role in trying to means that some trips are overpriced, rebalance the system or in providing while others are under-priced. This results people with greater choice. in too many trips taken at some times and on some modes, while too few trips are People who are conducting casual trips taking place at other times and on other around Melbourne face the same price modes. As an example, short trips to the all day as those travelling for time-critical local shops via bus are priced the same business at peak hours. The only exception as long commutes to the CBD at peak is the Early Bird discount for train travel. time via train, failing to reflect either the value to the user or the cost to government There is little-to-no price incentive for those in providing the trip. using public transport for non-time critical Infrastructure Victoria trips to travel outside the peak. Worse, The objectives for fare setting are currently someone who may wish to use public not clearly articulated. In general, fares have transport for social or shopping purposes, been set to encourage public transport use, but who value the trip at less than the but charging a mostly flat fare has likely current fare, will stay home or drive − increased the use of the most popular even though the trip could be provided modes at the most popular times rather for a low cost due to spare capacity in than encouraged use across all modes the off-peak periods. throughout the day. There are two ways in which the current metropolitan fares system doesn’t help to reduce imbalances across the network or provide choice: first, in its structure; Some trips are overpriced, and second, in the values applied in setting fares. others are under-priced and there is little-to-no price Currently, the fare structure of the public transport network is relatively flat. The incentive to travel outside price for metropolitan fares is $4.50 for the peak periods. a two-hour ticket regardless of whether a person is travelling in busy times or quiet times and regardless of mode, distance or trip purpose. Zone 2 provides cheaper 18 fares for travel solely within that zone.
Problem 3: Public transport fares are unfair Fig 3 The issue of equity is currently Income levels vary by mode of transport Problems facing public transport addressed in the fares system through concessions. Concessions provide a All Victorians 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% partial solution to the issue but miss Public transport users 19% 17% 20% 21% 23% out on the very significant benefits that Train users 15% 17% 21% 22% 24% can be provided by variation in fares − and not just discounts on a flat rate. Tram users 18% 15% 18% 22% 27% Bus users 27% 20% 19% 19% 15% While there is a perception that public transport is used by or provided for a Quintile 1 (lowest) Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5 Infrastructure Victoria greater number of users on lower incomes, this is not actually the case. Figure 3 Public transport users, by weekly equivalised household income quintile On average, those using public transport Fig 4Source: VISTA data 2018, Infrastructure Victoria analysis have household incomes 8% higher than those who don’t. Those in the top 20% of income earners (the top quintile of equivalised household income) make Peak travel is largely represented by high income, off-peak by low income up a disproportionate number of public transport users, and make up the largest Offpeak 24% 21% 21% 17% 17% group of public transport users overall.3 However, as shown in Figure 3, different Peak 16% 15% 19% 24% 26% modes are used by different income groups to different degrees: while trains Quintile 1 (lowest) Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5 and tram have higher rates of high income users overall, buses are disproportionally Figure 4 Peak and off-peak public transport users, by weekly equivalised used by those on low incomes − and household income quintile significantly so. Source: VISTA data 2018, Infrastructure Victoria analysis While high income earners make up a greater share of public transport users during peak periods, the situation is Given these patterns of use, it is very clear benefits to low income earners, as almost reversed in the off-peak when the lowest that prices that vary by mode and time of half of bus users are in households in the 20% of income earners (the bottom quintile day may provide significant benefits to bottom 40% of incomes (Figure 4). Making of equivalised household income) become low income Victorians, above and beyond off-peak fares cheaper would similarly the largest users of public transport those provided by concessions. benefit low income households. Low (Figure 4). income earners make up 45% of those For example, making bus fares cheaper than travelling off-peak and less than one third train fares would provide more extensive of those travelling in peak. 19 3 V ISTA 2018 analysis carried out by Infrastructure Victoria
04. Principles Infrastructure Victoria first called for transport network pricing in the 2016 30-Year Infrastructure Strategy. In the same year, we also analysed the Our five pricing principles were distilled Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne case and options for road pricing in from Australian and international economics The Road Ahead. In 2018’s Five Year literature on pricing and are designed to Focus, we made a number of research- ensure that prices are set to yield an based recommendations for public efficient outcome (where people travel at transport fare reform. times, to places and by modes that deliver the greatest benefits relative to the costs) In March 2020, we provided a while also meeting important equity comprehensive analysis of transport objectives that are essential to gaining network pricing in Good Move: Fixing community support. Transport Congestion, including five pricing principles that would set a strong We have applied these principles foundation for transport network pricing to setting public transport fares in Victoria. in this report. Infrastructure Victoria 20
The principles are: Principle 01 Principle 04 Principles All modes, routes and Different prices for parking are priced different products in different markets Infrastructure Victoria Prices should be the central tool for allocating trips within the transport Prices should reflect demand and network. A trip that isn’t priced is cost conditions, and permit different effectively under-priced, distorting the prices to be charged by mode, time choice made by travellers to take that of day or location. trip instead of a more efficient one. This principle also implements the beneficiary pays equity principle.4 Principle 05 Equity Principle 02 This principle implements vertical equity (where different groups of people are All costs are priced treated differently) and also permits Prices should take into account all costs different prices to be charged in different and benefits for trips, including road locations where possible. Lower prices congestion, public transport crowding, are set for groups of people identified pollution, contribution to road trauma and as less able to pay. the costs of raising revenue through taxation. This principle ensures that prices include the social marginal costs linked to externalities related to each mode 4 T his principle states that those who use (or benefit from) and trip. a service should pay the full cost of using that service. Conversely, those who do not benefit should not have to pay. Principle 03 Provide choices, but not too complex There should be a range of products that provide choices to consumers. It should be possible to use the transport system without it being too hard to choose and make informed decisions. 21
05. Improving how fares are set Recommendations Our approach to fare reform focuses on achieving three aims: balance multiple outcomes to make the best use of the transport system, improve equity and provide informed 01. choice to users. A fare structure that achieves these aims Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne Set public transport fares ensures that the public transport network provides the most transparently, using clearly benefits to all Victorians. defined objectives. 02. Fare setting objectives should be to make the best use of the public transport network, take equity into account and ensure people are provided with Infrastructure Victoria informed travel choices. 03. Immediately appoint an independent body to advise on and monitor transport prices. 22
Balance multiple outcomes to make the best use of the transport system Price is an effective way of sending Our focus on balancing multiple outcomes the most benefits to Melburnians, whether Improving how fares are set public transport users information is important because public transport is not they use public transport, private vehicles and providing incentives for making a goal in and of itself; rather, it is a means or active transport. Fares should reflect the decisions about when and how they that provides people with travel choices to costs to society of the different transport travel, taking into account not just their access employment, social connections options, and then allow individual travellers private costs, but also the costs and and services that they want and need. Fare to choose the best fit for them − implicitly benefits they might impose on others. setting approaches that focus on individual taking into account the costs on society targets alone (such as cost recovery or through the fare. Public transport fare setting needs to patronage growth) come at a cost to other Infrastructure Victoria balance multiple outcomes to set the right important factors, and will always be open Accordingly, our research uses an approach price. Too little use of public transport results to criticism as they prioritise one outcome that balances a full range of outcomes to in congested roads and high environmental above others. What is needed is an determine what fare levels should be. Our costs. Too much use creates overcrowded approach that balances multiple objectives. approach is similar to that used by the New and unreliable public transport services as South Wales Independent Pricing and networks struggle to manage demand. Our goal is to recommend a fare structure Regulatory Tribunal (IPART, 2015) and that maximises the use of the public seeks to balance the following costs While new infrastructure can be built to transport network so that it generates and benefits: accommodate extra demand, this must be balanced against the costs of adding the infrastructure and the alternatives available Benefits of additional public transport use Costs of additional public transport use to meet people’s transport needs. \ Reduced road congestion \ Costs of adding public transport services Overall, our approach is to set public \ Reduced environmental costs \ Infrastructure costs transport fares so that they take account \ Reduction in road accidents \ Public transport crowding of the many different social impacts from \ Increased walking \ The impact of taxation on people and public transport use and balance those businesses to provide subsidised fares impacts to ensure the best possible use of Melbourne’s entire transport system. Public transport is not a goal in and of itself; rather, it is a means that provides people with travel choices to access employment, social connections and services. 23
Fig 5 The process used to balance all these How we determined the optimal fare Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne costs and benefits is the measurement of the social cost of additional public transport use (known as the social marginal cost pricing approach).5 $3.00 The social cost is made up of the financial cost of providing an extra public transport trip (new services or $7.00 - $4.00 = new infrastructure needed to provide new services or reduced road the trip), minus the benefits to society infrastructure congestion, generated by an extra trip on the network pollution and accidents (such as reduced congestion, lower pollution and reduced road accidents). Infrastructure Victoria Cost to society to Social benefits from Optimal Fare The gap between these two is the optimal provide additional trips additional trips fare, which represents the net cost to society to provide the additional public Figure 5 Optimal fare derived from the social cost transport trip (as shown in Figure 5). of additional trips (illustrative values only) This method ensures that the fare level encourages the best use of the entire public transport network. If people are willing to pay the fare (because their personal benefit This is a fair way to price public transport as from the trip is greater than the fare price) people are paying the cost they impose on then that trip makes everyone better society. It also makes the best use of the This method ensures off. If they are unwilling to pay the fare entire transport system across roads, public (because their personal benefit from transport and active transport. that the fare level the trip is less than the fare) then they encourages the best will find an alternative, and society Our analysis takes into account not just is better off. the network as it exists today, but also use of the entire public the pipeline of committed works. Our transport network. modelling (2031) and social cost analysis (2026) incorporates future infrastructure 5 As measured in analysis performed by CIE and Jacobs for such as the Metro Tunnel, West Gate Infrastructure Victoria, which modelled the impacts of a fare Tunnel and the Cranbourne-Pakenham change and then valued the impacts of the change using accepted transport impact valuations (CIE, 2020). Line Upgrade. 24
Why is it so important to make the best use of the public transport network? Consider equity Making the best use of the public As outlined in Problem 3 on page While the fare setting approach outlined Improving how fares are set transport network is vitally important 19, subsidised fares are on average above encourages public transport because public transport is a very benefiting those on higher incomes. use that provides the most benefits significant investment by Victorians. If Victorians are willing to continue to all Victorians, there are also equity For example, in the 2017-18 making such a large investment in implications that must be considered. financial year operating costs public transport, government should Additional analysis has been undertaken alone for the Victorian public be making the most of this to determine if the overall benefit from transport network totalled over investment so it produces the optimal fare setting comes at a high $3.25 billion, $2.61 billion of which greatest overall return to society. cost to more vulnerable groups. Infrastructure Victoria was specifically for metropolitan Melbourne. The high level of public transport Each proposed change in fares has subsidy is funded through general undergone analysis that shows which When the capital costs of the taxation, and is often justified on groups of people, by income, are most network and rolling stock used the grounds that public transport affected from reductions and increases by the network are factored in, provides benefits not just to the in fares. estimates suggest the amount users of public transport, but also is around $4.91 billion per annum to road users (primarily through The results are somewhat surprising. (based on annual depreciation reduced congestion), and because We found that in almost every case, a and a weighted average cost of it provides a basic level of transport move to a fare that makes the best use of capital of 5.5%). access to people who have limited the public transport system is also a fare private transport options.6 change that is more equitable. Our research The vast majority of this expenditure shows existing metropolitan fare levels are is paid for by taxpayers, not public Our proposed reforms balance the much less equitable than they should be, transport users. costs of additional public transport and changes that make the best use of with the benefits, while also the public transport network will also Fares cover 30% of metropolitan improving the ability of the network better serve the needs of most low- operating costs (29.7% in 2017-18) to serve those with limited private income Melburnians. and even less when taking into transport options (by making it account the cost of capital (20.8% cheaper on average for those on low in 2017-18). The cost recovery for incomes, and lowering the fares of regional services is lower still. Over local tram and bus trips). A move to a fare that time, taxpayers have paid a higher and higher proportion of the costs 6 How does public transport benefit New makes the best use of the Zealanders, The NZ Transport Agency and public of public transport use, with transport, 2013 https://www.nzta.govt.nz/assets/ public transport system is resources/public-transport-information-pack/docs/ cost recovery from fares falling significantly over the past decade. public-transport-information-pack.PDF. also a fare change that improves equity. 25
Provide Transparent The way informed choice fare setting forward The final consideration throughout our Infrastructure Victoria’s view is that fare The next two sections of this paper Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne research was regarding how people setting should be transparent and have cover the two primary components might react to a different set of fares. clear objectives. of our proposed reforms to public transport fares: Prices are only as good as people’s ability Our approach is an example of how to understand and use them for decision- we believe fares should be set. Public (1) fares that vary by mode and (2) fares making. If people don’t understand the transport fare setting currently lacks that vary with the time and place of travel. fares, they will not use them to make clear objectives and transparency, and We focus on these two reforms for two decisions. Fares can then no longer help we believe an independent body should reasons. First, they are the changes people to make the best travel decision be appointed to advise on and monitor that are going to make the greatest for themselves and society. Fares must transport prices. improvements in system performance be set in such a way that they provide towards achieving the aims outlined above. an informed choice to users and do not Fares can help manage transport use create confusion. in the short term and should change as Second, the behavioural economics circumstances change. Having an research conducted by SGS and BIT Infrastructure Victoria To understand the effects of different advisory body that regularly monitors, suggests that travellers can respond to fare structures on people’s choices, researches and advises the government these changes in a way that supports Infrastructure Victoria commissioned SGS on transport fares would keep information achieving the aims. The implications of Economics & Planning (SGS) and The and research up to date, as well as provide a forum of former politicians, bureaucrats Behavioural Insights Team (BIT) to conduct a transparent process for fare setting similar and decision makers convened by a study examining how people responded to that facilitated by IPART in NSW. BehaviourWorks (Monash University) for to complexity in public transport fares Infrastructure Victoria7 suggests simply (SGS-BIT, 2020). An advisory body that regularly monitors, presented and understood reforms are researches and advises on transport fares more likely to be socially and politically We have relied on this research in is particularly important in a world that is acceptable.8 considering various fare options and in experiencing significant change due to the making our recommendations. This is ongoing effects of COVID-19. Fare setting The SGS-BIT research suggests this will discussed further in the How will users can be a powerful tool to help make the be the case for a combination of peak respond to variable fares? section. most out of the transport system we have charging and mode-specific fares. In today, but further research and analysis is addition, Victorians will be familiar with required to apply our proposed approach to these types of fares if they have used the specific circumstances of each location public transport in Sydney or several and point in time (see COVID-19: a new set major cities across the world. of problems for public transport, page 27). 7 T his was part of the research for Good Move: Fixing Transport Congestion (Infrastructure Victoria, 2020) 26 8 (Kunstler et al, 2019)
COVID-19: a new set of problems for public transport COVID-19 has changed the social For example, the Australian Bureau of areas, with those living closer to the costs of using public transport − Statistics’ census showed in 2016, CBD unable to board without breaching and those social costs will continue only 4.2% of people worked from social distancing guidelines. This means to change as we transition back to home in metropolitan Melbourne. By that both demand and supply side a world either without the disease early June 2020, 25% of paid workers measures are likely to be needed, or a world in which we need to reported that all their work had been along with operational changes (such continue to manage the virus performed remotely. The rate is higher as different boarding and alighting because there is no vaccine. for CBD workers, with 41% reporting procedures, floor markings, new that they performed all work remotely timetables and extra staff). Improving how fares are set This means that fares should also (BehaviourWorks, 2020). According to change with the circumstances when a national survey taken by the NBN in In addition, travellers can’t be relied necessary. This kind of ongoing late April, 81% of respondents said the upon to sufficiently socially distance analysis would be a key tasks for experience of working from home has on public transport. Even if travellers an independent transport pricing positively changed the way they think are concerned about their own risk advisory body. about managing work/life flexibility of catching the virus, they won’t take (NBN, 2020). into account how changing their travel Actions taken as a result of COVID-19 plans could reduce virus risks for Infrastructure Victoria could put persistent downward During the transition to the post- other travellers. This means additional pressure on public transport and COVID-19 economy it is likely there incentives are needed to get the right the demand to travel to previously will also be a shift in demand across level of distancing. A mix of restricted crowded destinations like the transport modes and travel time. Before numbers and fare surcharges/ Melbourne CBD. This is largely COVID-19, some components of the discounts could be the best mix because the costs of working from network operated assuming significant to achieve this. home, including communicating crowding for considerable lengths of between widely dispersed workers, time. This isn’t compatible with social As restrictions ease, people return have fallen substantially. distancing. Travellers who are to work and patronage increases on concerned about the risks of COVID-19 public transport, governments around Workplaces have adopted technology the world are exploring ways to will choose modes and times where it is that enables staff to access work maximise levels of social distancing by easier to socially distance. Some of resources from home and staff have encouraging people to travel off-peak. these travellers could shift from peak to learned to collaborate using video off-peak travel and/or shift from public conferencing and other online In July 2020, the NSW Government transport to private transport (active communication tools, making remote announced that it would halve public transport or motor vehicle). This work more viable than it has ever transport fares for three months for increases the social benefits from been. The change was also rapid and Sydney commuters who travel outside reducing congestion. co-ordinated, with a large proportion peak periods.9 The move was of workplaces switching to remote Analysis by WSP shows that applying designed to encourage commuters working at the same time, making strict social distancing would reduce to ‘retime their day’ after capacity on working from home arrangements trams to 13% and trains to 20% of their public transport services was cut due more acceptable across industries. respective total capacity – and buses to to social distancing. Peak travel times Even if COVID-19 is eliminated, various 16% of their seated capacity. This has were also extended by an hour and surveys showing increased employee serious implications for management a half in both the AM and PM peaks. productivity and reduced business of the network. Unless prices are used costs point to a greater proportion to spread peak demand, trains will be 9 h ttps://www.transport.nsw.gov.au/news-and- of work taking place remotely for ‘full’ by the time they reach inner urban events/media-releases/new-off-peak-travel- the foreseeable future. savings-start-today 27
06. Fares that reflect the mode of travel Recommendations Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne 04. Immediately introduce different fares on each public transport mode to reflect their different costs and benefits and to encourage their best use. 05. Infrastructure Victoria Immediately abolish the free tram zone to improve safety and access for those who need it most. Our research shows that a flat fare system that does not distinguish between travel modes overcharges for some services and hits people on low incomes the hardest. A better and more equitable approach is to set fares differently for each public transport mode. 28
Flat fares are simple, but don’t make the best use of the public transport system Fig 6 Melbourne’s metropolitan fare Additional train travel has high social costs, followed by tram and bus Fares that reflect the mode of travel system currently charges the same fare regardless of which public transport $18.00 mode a person chooses to travel on. $16.00 Social cost estimate range (impleid fare) This system is appealing because it $14.00 is simple to understand, gives certainty $12.00 on cost to users and encourages $10.00 multimode travel. $8.00 $6.00 Hong Kong, London and Sydney, all $4.00 major international cities with extensive Infrastructure Victoria $2.00 public transport systems, charge separate $- fees based on which mode is used.10 $(2.00) While flat fares have the appeal of simplicity, $(4.00) our research shows that pricing all modes of public transport travel with a single fare Figure 6 Range of estimates for Peak Train Peak Tram contributes to the imbalance in the public the social cost of additional public transport system, increases road and public Peak Express Bus Peak Bus transport trips during the peak transport congestion and reduces equity. This is because each mode is unique − not Source: Estimates produced by Infrastructure Victoria using the CIE model for social marginal cost. just in the service it provides, but also in trip See Fare Reform Technical Report for details. purpose, level of crowding, income levels of users and the benefits from reduced road congestion, pollution and increased The low result for buses is driven by the fact The outcome of our analysis is clear: fares active transport. that many bus services are not crowded, and should be higher for trains than trams, and Our analysis shows that the costs so additional trips can be accommodated buses should be the lowest priced mode on society from increased bus use are without significantly increasing costs. Buses − and there are clear practical reasons why much lower than for train use, with trams also require much less infrastructure than this is preferable, including differences in sitting in the middle (shown in Figure 6). trains and trams, which require their own trip purpose and distance by mode. network of track and electrification. Despite these lower costs, bus trips generate 10 There is a tension between the preservation of mode fares and the shift towards simpler fares with respect significant benefits in reduced road to distance travelled (King and Streeting, 2016). congestion and other social benefits. 29
Fig 7 Travel is dominated by work trips, buses for education and shopping Public transport trip purposes are quite Fair Move: Better Public Transport Fares for Melbourne different by mode. Train travel is dominated by work trips, while the standout difference Multimode 48% 24% 11% 7% 10% for bus travel is the significant share of Train 57% 11% 10% 7% 15% people using bus trips to buy something, Tram 38% 11% 16% 11% 24% as well as to get to education. Trams are unique in the number of social and Bus 21% 34% 14% 23% 8% recreation trips they provide. Work Related Education Other Buy Something Social Trip lengths also vary by mode. Research by CIE shows that average trip distances Figure 7 Trip purpose by mode Source: VISTA data 2018, Infrastructure Victoria analysis for additional trips on public transport are around 12km for train, 4.5km for bus and 2km for tram (CIE, 2020). Trip quality is also Infrastructure Victoria affected by the public transport mode used. Trains are typically time efficient, covering large distances in short amounts of time while trams are much slower, followed by buses which are both slow and indirect. The result of the current fare structure is that people are charged the same for high cost, high value public transport trips (such as a CBD train trip to work at peak hour) as low cost, low value trips (such as a trip to the local shops). 30
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