Experience. Our greatest asset - GBL

Page created by Corey Patel
 
CONTINUE READING
Experience. Our greatest asset - GBL
Experience. Our greatest asset.

                                  June 2019
Experience. Our greatest asset - GBL
BUSINESS     INVESTMENT
OVERVIEW                                                    APPENDIX
                         UPDATE     CASE & OUTLOOK

  Overview of GBL                                    p.2

  Business update                                    p.9

  Investment case & Outlook                          p.15

  Appendix                                           p.18
  1. Asset rotation
  2. adidas case study
  3. Sienna Capital
  4. Management & IR

                                                                       2
Experience. Our greatest asset - GBL
BUSINESS                              INVESTMENT
                      OVERVIEW                                                                                                                 APPENDIX
                                                           UPDATE                              CASE & OUTLOOK

Leading investor in Europe focused on long-term value creation

      >60 years                                €18bn                                                             9                            €13bn
                                          Indicative
 Stock exchange                                                                Disclosed investments1 in listed                        Market
                                          Net Asset Value
 listing in 1956                                                               assets, leaders in their sector                         capitalization
                                          (“NAV”)

                   2nd                                               50%                             €495m                                      €2.8bn
 Largest listed investment                      Stable and supportive                                                             Solid liquidity profile
                                                                                             Dividends
 company in Europe (after                       ownership by the Frère                                                            from cash and
                                                                                             distributed in 2019
 Investor AB)                                   and Desmarais families                                                            undrawn credit lines

                          €16bn                       2018                                11.2%                                                 3.7%
                                                                                     2012-19ytd annualized
 Asset rotation carried out                       ESG commitment
                                                                                     Total Shareholder Return                          Next-12-month
 since the initiation of our                      to
                                                                                     (“TSR”), vs. 7.7% for GBL’s                       dividend yield
 new strategy in 2012
                                                                                     reference index

Note: All information as of March 31, 2019 with the exception of indicative NAV, market capitalisation, TSR and NTM dividend yield as of May 31, 2019
(1)   Excluding the participation into Total which was fully exited in March and April 2019 through forward sales maturing in January 2020
                                                                                                                                                            3
Experience. Our greatest asset - GBL
BUSINESS              INVESTMENT
                  OVERVIEW                                                              APPENDIX
                                       UPDATE              CASE & OUTLOOK

  Solid core values in support of long-term value creation in a sustainable manner

                                   Active &                                             Flexible
    Patrimonial                                              Focused
                                   Engaged                                              mandate

• Through-the-cycle          • Creative, challenging   • Team sourcing a          • Equity investments
  investor                     and supportive board      sizeable deal flow but     ranging in size from
                               member aiming at          selecting and              €250m up to €2bn
• Permanent capital            unlocking long term       overseeing a limited     • Majority stakes or
  with long-term               value (strategy,          number of core             minority positions
  investment outlook           selection of Chairman     investments                with influence
                               & CEO, remuneration                                • Public or private
• Conservative net                                     • Geographical and
                               policy, capital                                      companies
  financial leverage                                     sector focus
                               structure, M&A)                                    • Growing exposure to
• Solid and stable                                        ‒ Only invest in          alternative assets
                             • Willing to tackle
  family shareholder                                        companies             • Demonstrated
                               complex situations
  base                                                      headquartered in        co-investment
                                                            Europe                  capability
                                                                                                           4
Experience. Our greatest asset - GBL
BUSINESS                         INVESTMENT
                      OVERVIEW                                                                                               APPENDIX
                                                           UPDATE                         CASE & OUTLOOK

Shareholding & governance
A stable and solid family ownership

                                  GBL’s simplified                                                      Relations with the
                               shareholding structure                                                 controlling shareholder

               Frère family                                           Desmarais family           • The Frère and Desmarais families joined

                                                                   Power Corporation of            forces to invest together in Europe in the
               Frère group
                                                                      Canada group                 early 1980s

                                                                                                   – A shareholders’ agreement between the

                              50%            Parjointco           50%                                 two families was created in 1990 and
                                                                                                      has been extended twice, once in 1996
                                                                                                      and again in 2012
                                            56% (75%)

                                                                                                   – 25+ years of formal partnership
                     Swiss listed
                      company                                                                    • Multi-generational collaboration

                                                                                                 • The current agreement, effective until
      % ownership
      (% voting rights)                     50% (51%)(1)                                           2029 and with the possibility of extension,
                                                                                                   establishes a parity control in Pargesa and
                                                                                                   GBL
                              2%

(1)   Taking into account the treasury shares whose voting rights are suspended
                                                                                                                                                 5
Note: March 31, 2019 figures
Experience. Our greatest asset - GBL
BUSINESS                               INVESTMENT
                OVERVIEW                                                                                                   APPENDIX
                                                 UPDATE                               CASE & OUTLOOK

A broad and flexible investment mandate in Europe

                               Key sector focus                                                          Out-of-scope sectors
         Consumer                       Industry                          Services                   •   Utilities         •   Telecom
 •   Luxury                    •   Green economy                                                     •   Oil & Gas         •   Regulated
 •   Entertainment             •   Natural resources                                                 •   Financials        •   industries
 •   E-commerce/digital        •   Sustainability                       Healthcare
                                                                                                     •   Real Estate       •   Biotech

           Industry features                             Long-term investment                                  Industry features
               we seek                                   tailwinds we look for                                     we avoid

                 Long-term                                     Demographic shift                                Complexity requiring
              sustained growth                              (e.g. ageing population)                         specific expertise knowledge

                  Resilience                                                                                  Reliance on governments’
                                                         Increased health awareness
            to economic downturn                                                                              spending and regulation

               Barriers to entry                           Accelerating urbanization                             Significant ESG risks

             Fragmentation and                         Shift in global economic power                         Poorly positioned vis-à-vis
            build-up opportunities                      towards emerging countries                          threats from digital disruption

                                                       Well-positioned vis-à-vis digital
                                                          disruption opportunities
                                                       (Artificial Intelligence, automation, etc.)

                                                                  Sustainability
                                                               & resource scarcity

                                                                                                                                              6
BUSINESS                             INVESTMENT
                        OVERVIEW                                                                                                                     APPENDIX
                                                               UPDATE                             CASE & OUTLOOK

A portfolio of solid companies, leaders in their sector, where GBL is influent

                                                                                                             Process
                            Sports       Wines &                    Cement &       Specialty     Materials                    Hygienic       Leisure     Alternative
          Sector                                          TIC                                              technology
                          equipment      Spirits                    aggregates     minerals     technology                    consum.         parks        assets
                                                                                                           food sector

      Sector ranking          #2            #2            #1             #1            #1          Top 3           #1          Top 3         Top 3           n.a.

  GBL’s ranking in
                              #1            #3            #1             #2            #1            #1            #3            #1            #2            n.a.
   shareholding(1)

       Date of first
                             2015          2006          2013          2005          1987          2013           2017          2015          2017          2013
       investment

          Board
      representation                                                                                                                                n.a.

         GBL’s
                            7.50%         7.49%         16.60%         9.43%        53.91%        17.91%         8.51%         19.98%        21.19%         100%
       ownership(2)

   Stock price ∆(1)
                            + 53%         + 20%           + 0%         (13%)         (51%)         (32%)         (39%)          (45%)         (6%)
 since 01/01/2018                                                                                                                                            n.a.
                            + 40%         + 10%          + 15%         + 19%          (7%)         (23%)         + 9%           (15%)        + 29%
      and YTD

       Market cap.
                             51.3          41.9          17.3           26.0          3.1            6.6           4.4           1.3           1.1           n.a.
         (€bn)(1)

 GBL’s stake value
                             3.9           3.1            2.9           2.5           1.7            1.2           0.4           0.3           0.2           1.4
   (€bn) & % of
                             22%           18%            16%           14%           9%             7%            2%            1%            1%            8%
 portfolio value(3)

(1)    Information as of May 31, 2019
(2)    Figures as of March 31, 2019, except where superseded by more recent public disclosures
(3)    Information calculated (i) based on ownership as of March 31, 2019 and stock prices as of May 31, 2019 and (ii) excluding Total which was fully exited in March and   7
       April 2019 through forward sales maturing in January 2020
BUSINESS                                INVESTMENT
                                   OVERVIEW                                                                                                                  APPENDIX
                                                                       UPDATE                                CASE & OUTLOOK

  High-quality assets being well-diversified

            % of
                                      22%      18%                  16%         14%         9%                 7%       2%          1%              1%                    8%
      portfolio value(1)

            FY18
                                       n.a.    2.6x              0.6x           2.2x       1.6x               1.2x     0.1x         3.2x           3.3x                   n.a.
       net leverage(2)

         Ratings(3)                            BBB /             n.r. /        BBB /       BBB /                       n.r. /      BB- /
                                    Unrated                                                                  Unrated                            Unrated                   n.a.
      (S&P / Moody’s)                          Baa2               A3           Baa2        Baa2                        Baa2        Ba3

         Bloomberg
                                                                                                                                                                          n.a.
      consensus reco(3)

        Sectorial exposure(1)                          Geographic split(1)                            Investment type(1)                       Asset cyclicality(1)

                Sienna Capital &                                     Other                         Sienna Capital &                                      Counter-cyclical 1%
                   others 9%                             Spain 1%     9%                              others 9%
                                                                               France                                                         Sienna
          Services                  Consumer           Belgium                                                                               Capital &
                                      43%
                                                                                28%                                      Growth                                                  Resilient
            16%                                           8%                                                                                  others                               58%
                                                                                                 Growth/                  49%                   9%
                                                                                                  yield
                                                                                                   16%

                                                                                                     Value                                    Cyclical
                                                      Germany                                         26%                                      32%
             Industry                                                        Switzerland
                                                        24%
               32%                                                               30%

(1)    Portfolio value split (i) based on ownership as of March 31, 2019 and stock prices as of May 31, 2019 and (ii) excluding Total which was fully exited in March and
       April 2019 through forward sales maturing in January 2020
(2)    Ratio calculation based on (i) recurring EBITDA for LafargeHolcim and Umicore, (ii) current EBITDA for Imerys and (iii) adjusted EBITDA for Ontex, and as of
       September 30, 2018 regarding Parques Reunidos
                                                                                                                                                                                             8
(3)    Ratings and consensus as of May 31, 2019
BUSINESS     INVESTMENT
OVERVIEW                                                    APPENDIX
                         UPDATE     CASE & OUTLOOK

  Overview of GBL                                    p.2

  Business update                                    p.9

  Investment case & Outlook                          p.15

  Appendix                                           p.18
  1. Asset rotation
  2. adidas case study
  3. Sienna Capital
  4. Management & IR

                                                                       9
BUSINESS                                       INVESTMENT
                                OVERVIEW                                                                                                                                                     APPENDIX
                                                                                    UPDATE                                       CASE & OUTLOOK

2019 highlights

                                Total shareholder return(1)                                                                                               Key highlights

                  11.2%

                                                                                                                            Full exit                     Monetization of                       Intention to
                                                                                                                          completed in                      0.3% of the                           launch a
                                       7.7%
                                                                            7.0%                                           April 2019                         capital                            voluntary
                                                                                                                                                                                               takeover bid,
                                                                                                                            € 411 M                            € 86 M
                                                                                           4.9%                                                                                                 jointly with
                                                                                                                           capital gain                      capital gain
                                       Europe 50

                                                                                                                                                                                             EQT AB and Alba
                                       Stoxx

                                                                                                                                             € 250 M share buyback program 63% executed
                          2012-19ytd                                              15 years

                                Net asset value’s growth
                                                                                                                                                                                Dividend yield
                                   through the cycle
 (€bn)                                                                                                                                     Exceeding the portfolio’s weighted average
                                19.7
                                                                                                           17.9   (1)

                                                                                                  18.9
                                                                                                                                                           5.9%
                         16.8                                                              17.0
                                                                                                         16.2
                                              15.2                        14.9 15.3 15.2
                                                     14.3
                                       12.8
                                                                   13.2                                                                            4.2%
                                                            11.6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    3.7%
                  11.1                                                                                                                                                        3.5%
                                                                                                                                            3.2%                                     3.3%
                                                                                                                                                                    3.0%                                  3.0%
            8.9
      7.5
                                                                                                                                  1.7%                                                         1.8%
                                                                                                                        1.4%

                                                                                                                        adidas    Pernod    SGS     LH     Imerys   Umicore   GEA    Ontex     Parques   Combined   GBL
  2003                   2006                 2009                 2012            2015                  2018                     Ricard                                                      Reunidos

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           10
(1)    Information in terms of TSR, NTM dividend yield and indicative NAV as of May 31, 2019 (source: Bloomberg & GBL)
BUSINESS                               INVESTMENT
                       OVERVIEW                                                                                                                      APPENDIX
                                                             UPDATE                               CASE & OUTLOOK

Solid performance of our largest investments

                                    Indicative                   Unrealized                    Dividend                        % of
                                      NAV                      capital gains(1)                                                                         IRR / TSR(3)
                                                                                                 yield                      Portfolio(2)

                 2015                 €3.9bn                       €2.6bn                         1.4%                         22%                         37.9%

                 2006                 €3.1bn                       €2.3bn                         1.7%                         18%                         13.1%

                 2013                 €2.9bn                       €0.7bn                         3.2%                         16%                          7.6%

      Top 3 assets                   €9.9bn                        €5.6bn                         2.0%                         56%

                                    €17.9bn                        €6.3bn

(1)   Unrealized capital gains taking into account all impairments (including €0.4bn in 2008 on Pernod Ricard and €2.2bn primarily in 2016 on LafargeHolcim) accounted
      until December 31, 2017 (i.e. before the entry into force of the IFRS9 standard), calculated based on (i) ownership as of March 31, 2019 (except if superseded by
      more recent public disclosures), and (ii) stock prices as of May 31, 2019
(2)   Portfolio value split (i) based on ownership as of March 31, 2019 and stock prices as of May 31, 2019 and (ii) excluding Total which was fully exited in March and
      April 2019 through forward sales maturing in January 2020
(3)   IRR computed since first investment date until May 31, 2019 for adidas and SGS (source: GBL) / TSR calculated since 2012 for Pernod Ricard (source: Bloomberg)       11
BUSINESS                          INVESTMENT
                     OVERVIEW                                                                                             APPENDIX
                                                  UPDATE                          CASE & OUTLOOK

Path towards value creation

     1     2     3         4   5     6      7      8     9     10     11     12    13     14     15    16     17     18   19   20+   years

                                                                                                              GBL’s investment horizon

         average holding
          period of only
            2.6 years

 What we are doing:

 1       Increasing our involvement through regular working sessions with management teams

         Increasing our influence through improving governance
 2            Reinforcing our presence with an additional GBL representative when appropriate to do so
              Joining relevant committees when useful and possible to do so

 3       Support management in restructuring plan / operational improvements measures

 4       Performing additional due diligence, in the spirit of constantly re-underwriting our initial investment thesis

 5       Taking our time and avoiding the mistake of putting more capital at risk without adequate visibility and conviction

                                                                                                                                             12
BUSINESS                       INVESTMENT
               OVERVIEW                                                                                      APPENDIX
                                      UPDATE                       CASE & OUTLOOK

Influence developed further within our portfolio companies since January 2018

    Reinforced governance                 Acting as an active and engaged director notably in support of
          GBL’s increased                New strategic plans
          representation

 Received a second seat at the                  New organization by                           Business review initiated
  Board of Directors and joined                   market to further                              in 2018 and having led to
  Ontex’ Audit Committee and                      leverage the group’s                           the comprehensive
  Nomination & Remuneration                       successful repositioning                       transformation program
  Committee                                       as a specialty minerals                        “Transform to Grow”
 Received a second seat at Parques               company                                        announced in March 2019
  Reunidos’ Board of Directors
                                                 Strategy 2022 – “Building                     “Transform & Accelerate”
 Joined GEA’s Supervisory Board                  for growth”

         Evolution within
                                           Strategic moves
        Boards of Directors
                                               North American talc subsidiaries filing for US chapter 11 protection
                                                to seek permanent resolution of their historic talc-related liabilities in the
                                                United States

                                         Balance sheet                   Capital                         Return to
                                           strength                     allocation                     shareholders
      Executive Management
            upgrades                   Deleveraging plans           Focused on long-term          Increase in payout ratio
                                                                      value creation                 and share buyback

                                                                                                                                 13
BUSINESS                 INVESTMENT
            OVERVIEW                                                                       APPENDIX
                                      UPDATE                 CASE & OUTLOOK

Sienna Capital increasingly contributing to laying base for future growth

                                                                              Co-investment

                             €1.7bn                                   • Commitment of €250m
                    Cumulative capital invested
                                                                      • Co-investment alongside
                             €0.5bn
          Undrawn capital committed to existing managers              • Board representation for Sienna
                                                                        Capital consistent with GBL’s
                             €2.2bn
                                                                        DNA
      Total capital committed by Sienna Capital since inception
                                                                      • Carve-out of Unilever’s global
          Stake value                    Distributions received
                                                                        spreads division
           €1.4bn                +                 €1.0bn
                                                                      • €3bn of pro-forma sales in 2017
                                =
                             €2.4bn                                   • Closed in July 2018
                     Total value since inception

                               1.4x
            Implied multiple of invested capital (“MoIC”)

                              €48m
 Contribution to GBL’s cash earnings in 2018 (up from €42m in 2017)                                       14
BUSINESS     INVESTMENT
OVERVIEW                                                    APPENDIX
                         UPDATE     CASE & OUTLOOK

  Overview of GBL                                    p.2

  Business update                                    p.9

  Investment case & Outlook                          p.15

  Appendix                                           p.18
  1. Asset rotation
  2. adidas case study
  3. Sienna Capital
  4. Management & IR

                                                                       15
BUSINESS                              INVESTMENT
                      OVERVIEW                                                                                                                  APPENDIX
                                                           UPDATE                              CASE & OUTLOOK

GBL’s equity investment case reaffirmed

                    A diversified portfolio of:
                    • high-quality listed assets
                    • valuable alternative unlisted assets
                    where GBL is influent

                    Trading at a discount to NAV

                    Consistently outperforming its
                    benchmark over the long term
                                                                                            11.2%                        3.7%                      24.9%
                    Dividend yield exceeding the                                      TSR(1)(vs. 7.7% for                                        Discount to
                                                                                                                   Dividend yield(1)
                    portfolio’s weighted average)                                    our reference index)                                      indicative NAV(1)

            Solid financial                                      Sound                                                      Efficient cost
              position(2)                                      governance                                                     structure

      €2.8bn                   2.4%                                                                     18bps                     53%                     ~0%
                                                                            Management                                       Opex coverage
                           Loan To Value
      Significant                                                           remuneration            5-year average              by yield
                              (“LTV”)                Ability to                                                                                        No material
       available                                                             aligned with           Opex vs. NAV             enhancement
                            historically            move quickly                                                                                       tax leakage
       liquidity                                                            shareholders’              (2014-18)                income
                             below 10%
                                                                               interests                                       (2014-18)

(1)   Discount to indicative NAV, TSR and dividend yield as of May 31, 2019, with TSR calculated on an annualized basis with reinvested dividends, as from year-end 2011
                                                                                                                                                                           16
(2)   Information as of March 31, 2019
BUSINESS                   INVESTMENT
             OVERVIEW                                                           APPENDIX
                                      UPDATE                   CASE & OUTLOOK

Mid-term strategic objectives

  ›   Further development of our influence within our participations

  ›   Active management of our assets in portfolio

  ›   Increased agility to seize new quality investment opportunities,
      notably by bringing private assets in our portfolio

  ›   Pursued execution of our share buyback program

  ›   Strengthening of GBL’s exposure to alternative investments, through
      Sienna Capital, towards c.10% of the portfolio

  ›   Continuous structuring of our ESG approach and commitments

                                                                                           17
BUSINESS     INVESTMENT
OVERVIEW                                                    APPENDIX
                         UPDATE     CASE & OUTLOOK

  Overview of GBL                                    p.2

  Business update                                    p.9

  Investment case                                    p.15

  Appendix                                           p.18
  1. Asset rotation
  2. adidas case study
  3. Sienna Capital
  4. Management & IR

                                                                       18
BUSINESS           INVESTMENT
                       OVERVIEW                                                                                       APPENDIX
                                                     UPDATE           CASE & OUTLOOK

Continuous assessment of the portfolio is conducted, focusing on both
protecting our downside and creating value
                 Investment assessment                                            Divestment guidelines
             Strict selection of opportunities based on                  Continuous assessment of the portfolio assets,
             the following grid of investment criteria:                         focusing on the following areas:

    Sector                                                          Potential for further value creation
•   Exposure to long-term growth drivers
•   Resilience to economic downturn
•   Favorable competitive dynamics
•   Barriers to entry                                               Valuation risk
•   Build-up opportunities
                                                                •   Multiples above historical average
    Company                                                     •   Prospective TSR below internal targets
•   Market leader with clear business model
•   Foreseeable organic growth
•   Strong cash flow generation capabilities
•   Return on capital employed higher than WACC                     Specific company risk
•   Low financial gearing
•   Appropriate positioning vis-à-vis digital disruption        •   Business model’s disruption risk related to digital or technological
                                                                    evolutions
    Valuation
•   Attractive valuation                                        •   Other company risks including competition, geopolitics and ESG
•   Potential for shareholder return

    Governance
•   Potential to become first shareholder, with influence           Portfolio concentration risk
•   Potential for Board representation
•   Seasoned management                                         •   Objective not to exceed around 15-20% in terms of:
                                                                         •   portfolio's exposure to a single asset
    ESG
•   ESG strategy, reporting and relevant governance bodies               •   cash earnings' contribution from a single asset
    being in place for listed investment opportunities
                                                                                                                                           19
    Upside potential     Downside protection
BUSINESS                                  INVESTMENT
                             OVERVIEW                                                                                                                    APPENDIX
                                                               UPDATE                                  CASE & OUTLOOK

  A portfolio materially rebalanced since 2012

                                  Sectorial                            Geographic                                  Investment                                     Asset
                                 exposure(1)                             split(1)                                     type(1)                                  cyclicality(1)
                                                                           Other
                           Sienna Capital                                                                        Sienna Capital 3%                            Other 3%
                                                                            3%                                                                                                  Resilient
                                3%
                                                                                                                                                                                  15%
                   Consumer                       Energy
                     15%                           54%                                                  Growth
                                                                                                         15%

      2012                          €12bn                                   €12bn                                        €12bn                                    €12bn

                                                                                                        Value
                                                                                                         26%
                                                                                                                                      Yield
                      Industry                                                         France 97%                                     56%          Cyclical
                        28%                                                                                                                         82%

                    Sienna Capital 9%                                      Other 9%                     Sienna Capital                                         Counter- cyclical 1%
                                                                                         France
                                                                Spain 1%                                     9%                                     Sienna
                                                                                          28%                                        Growth         Capital
                                                            Belgium                                    Growth                         49%             9%
                  Services                                     8%                                       /yield
                    16%                                                                                  16%

      2019                          €18bn                                   €18bn                                        €18bn                                     €18bn

                                                            Germany                                                                           Cyclical
                                                              24%                                        Value                                 32%
                                                 Consumer                                Switzerland      26%
                      Industry                     43%                                       30%                                                                                      Resilient
                        32%                                                                                                                                                             58%

(1)   Portfolio value split (i) based on ownership as of March 31, 2019 and stock prices as of May 31, 2019 and (ii) excluding Total which was fully exited in March /                      20
      April 2019 through forward sales maturing in January 2020
BUSINESS                              INVESTMENT
                     OVERVIEW                                                                                                           APPENDIX
                                                         UPDATE                              CASE & OUTLOOK

A European base and a global footprint
          France                                                                                                                             Belgium

                                                                  Portfolio companies operating in
                                                                  100+ countries across all continents

       Switzerland                                                                                                                      Netherlands

                                                                                                 Portfolio companies
                                                                                                 headquartered in Europe

        Germany                                                                                                                               Spain

             Net asset value(1)                                                                                             Consolidated
          Spain 1%
                     Other                                                                                                   revenue(2)
                      9%
                                   France
        Belgium                     28%
           8%
                                                                                                                           Asia              EMEA
                                                                                                                           36%                34%
                      €18bn                                                                                                       c.€77bn

                                                                                                                                  Americas
       Germany                                                                                                                      30%
                                 Switzerland
         24%
                                     30%
 (1)   Breakdown of NAV by country of incorporation                                                                                                    21
 (2)   Portfolio companies’ geographical mix weighted by contribution to GBL’s portfolio value
BUSINESS     INVESTMENT
OVERVIEW                                                  APPENDIX
                       UPDATE     CASE & OUTLOOK

  Overview of GBL                                  p.2

  Business update                                  p.9

  Investment case                                  p.15

  Appendix                                         p.18
  1. Asset rotation
  2. adidas case study
  3. Sienna Capital
  4. Management & IR

                                                                     22
BUSINESS                              INVESTMENT
                   OVERVIEW                                                                                     APPENDIX
                                          UPDATE                              CASE & OUTLOOK

                   Investment thesis in 2015
Back in 2015, GBL’s investment in adidas was a contrarian move with an asymmetric risk profile (limited
downside and attractive upside). It aimed at acquiring a significant stake in a leading global brand that could be
further improved to yield attractive risk adjusted returns
         7. Governance                                       1. Market                          2. adidas brand
 • Supervisory Board to be strengthened   • The Sporting Good industry grew 8%          • adidas is a strong brand
   through the addition of new              p.a. over the past 10 years and is          • Strong innovation capability
   shareholder representatives              forecasted to grow at 6% in the next          throughout multiple sports and
 • Remuneration scheme of                   few years                                     sponsorship agreements
   management should be amended in        • Attractive industry, driven by secular
   order to better align interests          trends (athleisure, health & wellness)

         6. Valuation
 • Potential for multiple expansion,
                                                                                                3. Top line
                                                              7       1
   narrowing the discount to Nike’s
   multiple                                                                             • Potential for above-market top line
                                                     6                                    growth, through the recovery of
    -   EV/EBITDA NTM at ~11x vs. Nike                                        2
                                                                                          struggling geographies / activities
        at ~16x
                                                                                           -   Better address the US market with
    -   PE NTM at ~21x vs. Nike at ~25x                  5                3                    the right strategy and a new team
                                                                  4                        -   Identified difficulties in Russia
         5. Balance sheet                                                                      driven by the economic situation
 • Balance sheet was sound and can be                                                      -   Opportunity to either turn
   leveraged to enhance shareholder
                                                             4. Margin                         Reebok around or sell the brand
   remuneration                           • Potential for significant EBIT margin              should the plan not be successful
 • Net debt / EBITDA was at 0.1x            improvement (~7% vs. Nike at 14%)
                                             -   recovering of struggling activities       -   Portfolio Management:
                                                                                               Opportunity to sell non-core
                                             -   cost structure optimization                   brands (e.g. TaylorMade and CCM
        Downside protection
                                             -   improvement of the retail                     Hockey)
        Potential for improvement                operations
                                                                                                                                   23
BUSINESS                          INVESTMENT
                    OVERVIEW                                                                                                             APPENDIX
                                                         UPDATE                          CASE & OUTLOOK

                   Stock performance since 2014
adidas’ performance has been very robust

    €1.2bn                                                               adidas share price
                                                                             (since January 2014)
       Capital                       300
      invested                                                                                    +343%
                                                                                               Since Jan. 2015

                                                                                                                                                 256
                                     250
                                                                                                                                                +177%

     €3.9bn
                                     200
         Stake
         value
                                     150

                                                                                                                                                +36%

    €2.6bn
                                     100
                                                                                                 New management team
    Unrealized                                                                                    - CEO: Kasper Rorsted
    capital gain                                                                                  - CFO/COO: Harm Ohlmeyer
                                      50                                                         Market share gains in Asia and the USA
                                                         Contrarian                              Operating margin improvement
                                                         investment                              Valuation rerating

       38%                             0
                                                                                                 Enhanced cash returns to shareholders
                                       Jan-14   Jul-14    Jan-15    Jul-15   Jan-16   Jul-16   Jan-17     Jul-17   Jan-18     Jul-18   Jan-19
  IRR since first
    investment                                                     adidas         Stoxx Europe 600 Consumer Goods (rebased)

Source: Bloomberg / GBL as of May 31, 2019
                                                                                                                                                        24
BUSINESS                            INVESTMENT
                     OVERVIEW                                                                                                        APPENDIX
                                                       UPDATE                            CASE & OUTLOOK

                    Key achievements since 2015
Over the last 3 years, adidas has successfully addressed the key challenges identified in 2015, improving its
resilience and profitability. The Company should now focus on (i) the transition from the Originals franchises
to new products, (ii) digital transformation, (iii) supply chain optimization (moving towards fast fashion)

      Key challenges                                    Situation in 2015                                        What has happened
                                                                                                   •   Many initiatives were put in place:
                                                                                                       -  ‘Win the locker room’ strategy, i.e. being more
                                         •   adidas was under-represented in North America                active with High School / University students
                                             (c.15% of Group sales vs. 30-35% of the Global
                                                                                                       - New US-dedicated Management team
                                             Market)
                                                                                                       - New US-designers (mainly hired from Nike)
                                             - Lack of attractive products for the US
  Market share gain and                                                                                - Close relationship with key wholesalers (e.g.
                                                 consumers
  profitability in the US                                                                                 Finish Line, Foot Locker, Dick’s)
                                         •   adidas was losing market share against Nike
                                             and Under Armour (~4% market share 2015)                  - NBA contract has been stopped
                                             - adidas Group sales have declined at -1% p.a.        •   Market share increased from ~4% to ~6%, with the
                                                 over 2011-2014 when Nike has grown at                 potential to go to ~10% (vs. Nike 20%)
                                                 +18% p.a. and UA at +26% p.a.                     •   adidas has still a substantial US EBIT margin
                                                                                                       expansion opportunity, having already increased
                                                                                                       from 6% to ~15%(1) (vs. Nike at ~25%)

                                         •   Russian sales and profits have been under             •   adidas has closed underperforming stores,
                                             pressure as a result of (i) the macro slowdown,           improving the profitability of the region from
             Russia                                                                                    16% to 25%(1)
                                             (ii) international sanctions following the conflict
                                             with Ukraine and (iii) the massive devaluation of         -   adidas closed c.270 stores between 2014 and
                                             the Ruble against the Euro and the USD                        2017

                                                                                                   •   Launch of the Muscle-up turnaround plan to
                                         •   Since its acquisition in 2006 for ~€3bn, Reebok           restore brand heat and profitability
                                             has been a drag to the group’s growth and             •   Either the turnaround of Reebok is a success (in
                                             profitability                                             the near term) or the Group should initiate a
                                                                                                       disposal process

                                         •   TaylorMade (Golf Brand) was loss-making and
  Portfolio streamlining                     non-core                                              •   TaylorMade and CCM Hockey have been sold in
                                                                                                       the course of 2017
                                         •   CCM Hockey was considered as non-core                                                                          25
(1) Operating margin pre central costs
BUSINESS                    INVESTMENT
                OVERVIEW                                                                                   APPENDIX
                                            UPDATE                    CASE & OUTLOOK

               GBL’s involvement and positive long-term outlook
Over time, GBL has strengthened its influence, being involved into all key corporate governance decisions. We
remain confident in the long-term prospects, backed by a strong management team, executing the right strategy,
with the ambition to increase returns to shareholders

      GBL’s involvement since 2016                                            Why do we remain positive?
                                                  GBL’s involvement       • Industry trends remain attractive
• Operations:
                                                                            – Athleisure / health consciousness
  – Strong results in 2016 & 2017
  – adidas has closed the gap with Nike                                     – Sportswear adoption in China and other
                                                                              countries
  – Streamlining of the portfolio (TaylorMade
    and CCM Hockey)                                                       • Top line growth will be supported by:
  – Digital roadmap acceleration
                                                                            – Further market share gains in the US
• Governance                                                                – Digital transformation with online expected
  – Kasper Rorsted has been appointed CEO                                     to reach €4.0bn in 2020 (from €1.0bn in
                                                                              2016)
  – Ian Gallienne has become Board member
    and joined the audit Committee                                          – The ongoing strong momentum in China
  – CFO Robin Stalker was replaced by Harm                                  – Speed initiatives
    Ohlmeyer
                                                                            – Successful franchises (e.g. Yeezy) and new
  – Attractive LTIP package for Management
                                                                              partnerships (e.g. Beyoncé)
    to further align interests
  – Succession planning and strengthening of                              • Operating margin is expected to reach 11.5%
    Board skills                                                            in 2020 driven by:
                                                                            – Operational excellence (speed program,
• Shareholder remuneration                                                    operating leverage)
  – Share buyback program of €3bn
                                                                            – Reebok turnaround
  – Progressive increase in payout, anticipated
    within the 30%-50% range                                                – Increasing share of online sales
                                                                            – Margin expansion in the US
                                                                                                                            26
BUSINESS     INVESTMENT
OVERVIEW                                                    APPENDIX
                         UPDATE     CASE & OUTLOOK

  Overview of GBL                                    p.2

  Business update                                    p.9

  Investment case                                    p.15

  Appendix                                           p.18
  1. Asset rotation
  2. adidas case study
  3. Sienna Capital
  4. Management & IR

                                                                       27
BUSINESS                   INVESTMENT
                          OVERVIEW                                                                                               APPENDIX
                                                                   UPDATE                   CASE & OUTLOOK

 Overview of Sienna Capital
   Funds/year of                                                                  Capital     Remaining     Distribution     Stake     Implied money
                               Strategy           Funds             Commitment
 initial investment                                                              invested    commitment   received to date   value        multiple

                             Private Equity   ECP I, II, III, IV      €863m       €631m        €231m           €593m         €373m          1.5x
         2005

                             Private Equity   Sagard I, II, 3         €385m       €275m        €120m           €297m         €181m          1.7x
          2002

                               LBO Debt        KCO III & IV           €300m       €211m         €90m           €89m          €203m          1.4x
          2013
                                                 Mérieux
                              Healthcare
                                              Participations           €75m        €58m         €17m              -           €63m          1.1x
                            Growth Capital
          2014                                     I&2

                              European
                            mid-cap public     PrimeStone             €150m       €150m           -               -          €170m          1.1x
          2015                 equities
                               Long-term
                                capital to
                                                 BDTCP II             €109m        €71m         €40m            €4m           €88m          1.3x
                              closely held
          2015                 businesses

                                Digital
                                                 Backed 1              €25m        €20m         €5m               -           €29m          1.5x
                             technologies
          2017

                                                                      €250m       €250m           -               -          €275m          1.1x
         2018

      Cumulative                                                      €2,155m    €1,665m       €504m           €983m         €1,381m        1.4x

                                                                                                                                                       28
Note: figures as of March 31, 2019
BUSINESS     INVESTMENT
OVERVIEW                                                    APPENDIX
                         UPDATE     CASE & OUTLOOK

  Overview of GBL                                    p.2

  Business update                                    p.9

  Investment case                                    p.15

  Appendix                                           p.18
  1. Asset rotation
  2. adidas case study
  3. Sienna Capital
  4. Management & IR

                                                                       29
BUSINESS                       INVESTMENT
OVERVIEW                                                                                       APPENDIX
                          UPDATE                       CASE & OUTLOOK

        Ian Gallienne – CEO
    Earlier in his career, Mr. Gallienne worked at the private equity firm Rhône Group in New York and London.
    In 2005, he founded and was Managing Director of the private equity funds of Ergon Capital Partners in
    Brussels.
    He has been a Director of Groupe Bruxelles Lambert since 2009 and became Co-CEO in 2012. Since 2019, he
    assumes sole operational management of GBL as CEO.
    He holds an MBA from INSEAD in Fontainebleau.
    Mr. Gallienne serves as a Director of adidas, Imerys, Pernod Ricard and SGS.

        Colin Hall – Head of Investments
    Mr. Hall began his career in the Merchant Banking Division of Morgan Stanley and later worked for the
    private equity firm Rhône Group. He was also the co-founder of a hedge fund sponsored by Tiger
    Management.
    In 2012 he joined, as CEO, Sienna Capital. In 2016, he was appointed to the role of Head of Investments at
    GBL.
    He holds an MBA from Stanford University.
    Mr. Hall serves as a Director of Imerys, LafargeHolcim and GEA.

                                                                                                                 30
BUSINESS                       INVESTMENT
OVERVIEW                                                                                       APPENDIX
                          UPDATE                       CASE & OUTLOOK

        Xavier Likin – CFO
    Mr. Likin started his career in Central Africa in the car distribution sector where he held various
    administrative and financial positions at MIC. In 1997, he joined PwC where he became Senior Manager and
    was designated as C.P.A. by the Institut des Réviseurs d’Entreprises. In 2007, he joined Ergon Capital
    Partners as Chief Financial Officer. Later, in June 2012, he was appointed Group Controller of GBL. Since
    August 1, 2017, he assumes the CFO function.
    Mr. Likin holds a M.Sc. in Commercial Engineering and certificates in Tax Administration from the Solvay
    Brussels School of Economics & Management (ULB).

        Priscilla Maters – General Secretary & Chief Legal Officer

    Mrs. Maters began her career in 2001 with law firms in Brussels and London (including at Linklaters), where
    she specialised in mergers-acquisitions, capital markets, financing and business law.
    She joined GBL in 2012 and is now carrying the function of Chief Legal Officer and General Secretary.
    Mrs. Maters has a law degree from Université Libre de Bruxelles and from the London School of Economics
    (LLM).

       Sophie Gallaire – Head of IR, Communication & Corporate Finance

    Sophie Gallaire began her career in 1999 at Arthur Andersen in statutory audit in Paris. She then moved to
    the banking sector, working successively in the structured finance departments of Halifax Bank of Scotland,
    Bank of Ireland and Barclays Bank PLC. After 12 years of experience in LBO, real estate and corporate
    financing, she joined GBL in April 2014.
    She is in charge of Investor Relations, financial communication and Corporate Finance at GBL.
    Sophie Gallaire holds a Master in Management from the ESCP Europe business school in Paris.

                                                                                                                  31
BUSINESS                         INVESTMENT
                  OVERVIEW                                                                                                 APPENDIX
                                                  UPDATE                         CASE & OUTLOOK

Disclaimer

This presentation has been prepared by Groupe Bruxelles Lambert (“GBL”) exclusively for information purposes. This presentation is
incomplete without reference to, and should be viewed solely in conjunction with, the oral briefing provided by GBL.
This document should not be construed as an offer, invitation to offer, or solicitation, or any advice or recommendation to buy,
subscribe for, issue or sell any financial instrument, investment or derivative thereof referred to in this document or as any form of
commitment to enter into any transaction in relation to the subject matter of this document.
This presentation has not been reviewed or registered with any public authority or stock exchange. Persons into whose possession this
presentation come are required to inform themselves about and to comply with all applicable laws and regulations in force in any
jurisdiction in or from which it invests or receives or possesses this presentation.
Prospective investors are required to make their own independent investigations and appraisals of GBL before taking any investment
decision with respect to securities of GBL.
GBL does not make any representation or warranty (expressed or implied) as to the accuracy or completeness of the information
contained in this document and as to the accuracy of the projections, estimates, assumptions and figures contained in this document. By
receipt of this document, the recipient agrees that GBL (or either of its shareholders, directors or employees) shall have no liability for
any misstatement or omission or fact or any opinion expressed herein, nor for the consequences of any reliance upon any statement,
conclusion or opinion contained herein. All value indications included in this document are derived from the financial markets as of the
date of this report. It is therefore obvious that a modification of the conditions prevailing in the financial markets will have an effect on
the figures present hereafter.
This document is the exclusive property of GBL. Recipient of this presentation may not reproduce, redistribute or pass on, in whole or in
part, this presentation to any person.

In the context of the management of its public relations, GBL processes information about you which constitutes “personal data”. GBL
has therefore adopted a General Privacy Policy available on its website (http://www.gbl.be/en/General_Privacy_Policy). We invite you to
carefully read this General Privacy Policy, which sets out in more detail in which context we are processing your personal data and
explains your rights and our obligations in that respect.
By using or retaining a copy hereof, user and/or retainer hereby acknowledge, agree and accept that they have read this disclaimer and
agreed to be bound by it.

                                                                                                                                                32
You can also read