Evaluating the Single Financial Services Regulator Question
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
ISBN 978-1-932795-66-0 Evaluating the Single Financial Services Regulator Question Single Financial Services Regulator George A. Hofheimer Chief Research Officer Filene Research Institute Foreword by William E. Jackson III, PhD ideas grow here Professor of Finance PO Box 2998 Professor of Management Madison, WI 53701-2998 The Smith Foundation Endowed Chair of Business Integrity Phone (608) 231-8550 PUBLICATION #187 (5/09) Culverhouse College of Commerce www.filene.org ISBN 978-1-932795-66-0 University of Alabama
Evaluating the Single Financial Services Regulator Question George A. Hofheimer Chief Research Officer Filene Research Institute Foreword by William E. Jackson III, PhD Professor of Finance Professor of Management The Smith Foundation Endowed Chair of Business Integrity Culverhouse College of Commerce University of Alabama
Copyright © 2009 by Filene Research Institute. All rights reserved. ISBN 978-1-932795-66-0 Printed in U.S.A.
Filene Research Institute Deeply embedded in the credit union tradition is an ongoing search for better ways to understand and serve credit union members. Open inquiry, the free flow of ideas, and debate are essential parts of the true democratic process. The Filene Research Institute is a 501(c)(3) not-for-profit research organization dedicated to scientific and thoughtful analysis about issues affecting the future of consumer finance. Through independent research and innovation programs the Institute examines issues vital to the future of credit unions. Ideas grow through thoughtful and scientific analysis of top- priority consumer, public policy, and credit union competitive issues. Researchers are given considerable latitude in their exploration and studies of these high-priority issues. The Institute is governed by an Administrative Board made up of the credit union industry’s top leaders. Research topics and priorities are set by the Research Council, a select group of credit union CEOs, and the Filene Research Fellows, a blue ribbon panel of academic experts. Innovation programs are Progress is the constant replacing of the best there developed in part by Filene i3, an assembly of credit union is with something still better! executives screened for entrepreneurial competencies. — Edward A. Filene The name of the Institute honors Edward A. Filene, the “father of the U.S. credit union movement.” Filene was an innova- tive leader who relied on insightful research and analysis when encouraging credit union development. Since its founding in 1989, the Institute has worked with over one hundred academic institutions and published hundreds of research studies. The entire research library is available online at www.filene.org. iii
Acknowledgments • Matt Bland, Association of British Credit Unions Limited, Man- chester, England, UK • Martin Cihak, International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC • Diana Dykstra, San Francisco Fire Credit Union, San Francisco, CA • Rob Folsom, USA FCU, San Diego, CA • David Grace, World Council of Credit Unions, Madison, WI • William E. Jackson, III, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL • Louise Petschler, Mark Degotardi, and Luke Lawler, Association of Building Societies and Credit Unions, Sydney, Australia • David Snodgrass, Affinity FCU, Basking Ridge, NJ • James Wilcox, University of California–Berkeley, Berkeley, CA v
Table of Contents Foreword ix Executive Summary and Commentary xi About the Author xiii Chapter 1 Introduction 1 Chapter 2 Benefits and Drawbacks of a Single Financial Services Regulator 11 Chapter 3 Is There a “Best” Financial Regulatory System? 21 Chapter 4 An Agenda for Reform and Regulatory Consolidation 27 Chapter 5 Implications for Credit Unions 35 Appendix 1 A Brief History of U.S. Financial Services Regulation 43 Appendix 2 Types of Credit Union Regulatory Structures in G-20 Countries 45 Endnotes 47 References 49 Additional Reading 53 vii
Foreword By William E. Jackson III, PhD, “The world has changed. The world is changing. The world will University of Alabama continue to change.” This is an old saying that is especially relevant for our current dynamic financial system. Whether we like it or not, the U.S. financial system has changed. For example, who would have imagined that in the year 2009 there would not be even one major American investment bank—that they all would either go bankrupt or merge with a bank holding company or change their charter and become a bank holding company? Our financial system is changing, and it will continue to change. Because of these dramatic changes, it is imperative that the regulatory system and the structures that guide our financial system also change. And, changes to our financial regu- latory system are coming. This fact is apparent given the announce- ments and activities of Congress and the Obama administration. For example, consider the recent remarks of President Obama on April 14, 2009, at Georgetown University’s Gaston Hall: The first step we will take to build this foundation is to reform the outdated rules and regulations that allowed this [financial] crisis to happen in the first place. It is time to lay down tough new rules of the road for Wall Street to ensure that we never find ourselves here again. Just as after the Great Depression new rules were designed for banks to avoid the kind of reckless speculation that helped to create the depression, so we’ve got to make adaptations to our current set of rules: create rules that punish shortcuts and abuse; rules that tie someone’s pay to their actual job performance—a novel concept; rules that pro- tect typical American families when they buy a home, get a credit card or invest in a 401(k). So we’ve already begun to work with Congress to shape this comprehensive new regulatory framework—and I expect a bill to arrive on my desk for my signature before the year is out. The fact that major changes to our current financial regulatory sys- tem are coming raises at least three questions for credit unions: • What major changes are likely to occur? • How will these changes affect credit unions? • What should credit unions do to prepare for these changes or to become involved in the policymaking process that leads to these changes? These are very timely and very important questions. Fortunately, these are also the exact questions that Filene Chief Research Offi- cer George Hofheimer addresses in this excellent report. With this report, Hofheimer has done a great service for the credit unions of America. This report provides value in every chapter—from an excel- lent summary of our current “fragmented” regulatory system to well- reasoned suggestions for what credit unions should do in the face of ix
potential major changes to the current regulatory framework. What about the question, What major changes are likely to occur? The answers are in this report. And the question, How will these changes affect credit unions? Hofheimer provides very intelligent scenarios to address this question. And finally the question, What should credit unions do to prepare for these changes or to become involved in the policymaking process that leads to these changes? The answers to this question provide perhaps the most valuable and thoughtful analysis in the report. The answers are so good that I cannot help but give a little preview here. In 2009, it is commonplace to hear policymakers and financial researchers speak about how our regulatory system has failed us. I agree; it has. But, we must also recognize that we have failed our regulatory system. We are currently in a major financial crisis. Who has the moral authority to lead the United States out of this critical situation? Certainly it is not the big banks, insurance companies, investment companies, or mortgage brokers. Credit unions may be the only major financial institutions that continue to have reputa- tions for honesty, integrity, and fairness. As such, credit unions have a unique opportunity to help lead the political process that results in a new financial regulatory system for the United States. How should credit unions prepare for this role of leadership? Read George Hofheimer’s excellent report to find out. x
Executive Summary and Commentary This report explores the forthcoming reregulation of the financial services sector in the United States with a special focus on the impact a single financial services regulator may have on the credit union sys- tem. I examine this specific topic because a variety of political, eco- nomic, and social trends foreshadow its creation, and credit unions stand against the creation of such an entity. My analysis is based on an extensive and independent review of existing academic and policy research on this topic. I report the following: • Financial regulation is a constantly shifting standard due to new innovations and marketplace realities. • The U.S. financial regulatory system is viewed as “fractured” and “archaic” and full of regulatory gaps that don’t effectively police the complexities of the financial system. • The current economic crisis is viewed, in part, as a failure of financial services regulation, and therefore a major overhaul of the regulatory system is necessary. • The worldwide trend in financial services regulation has been toward a more consolidated structure. • The benefits and drawbacks of a single financial services regulator are well documented. • The academic literature is inconclusive and scant about the link between financial regulatory structure and financial sector safety, soundness, and/or performance. • New frameworks, structures, and processes have been introduced and considered by key policymakers as the potential road map for a single financial services regulator. Implications for credit unions: • Beware the tide: Public and political opinion seems to be push- ing for a major overhaul in the financial regulatory structure. In normal times, such proposals would end up in the trash heap of previous modernization proposals, but these are not normal times. While I don’t expect credit unions to wither up and accept a new regulatory structure, it may be wise to prepare for a single regulator scenario. • Getting to yes: If the tide of change is indeed too strong, credit unions should be proactive in getting what they want. The experiences of UK and Australian credit unions may be beneficial models to study and understand. xi
• Be helpful: Influential policymakers have extolled credit unions’ behaviors leading up to and during the current economic crisis. Credit unions have the unique opportunity to influence the new public policy structure to benefit “simple” banking organizations like themselves. Paradoxically, credit unions may have the oppor- tunity to benefit in a new, more limited regulatory structure. The days, months, and years ahead portend a financial services regulatory structure that looks very different from the current model. While it is foolish to predict what the exact regulatory structure will look like, the probability of a more consolidated structure is quite high. My aim with this report is to present an independent view of this topic so that your credit union may traverse the future a bit more confidently. xii
About the Author George A. Hofheimer George A. Hofheimer is the chief research officer for the Filene Research Institute, where he oversees a large pipeline of economic, behavioral, and policy research related to the consumer finance industry. He is the current vice chairman of the board of directors at the Williamson Street Grocery Cooperative, a $17 million natural foods store. He earned a BBA and an MBA from the University of Wisconsin–Madison. xiii
Chapter 1 Introduction The current U.S. financial services regulatory environment was recently described as “out- dated,” “ill-suited to meet the nation’s needs,” and “fragmented and complex” by an indepen- dent study. The desire for a change to the finan- cial regulatory system is not new. Regulatory restructuring has been going on for more than a century. Academics and practitioners have offered dozens of serious reform proposals.
What Is the Purpose of Regulation? In sports, referees, or umpires, play a critical role over the course of a match. The best referees are barely noticed. They toil in the back- ground by vigilantly applying a set of well-understood rules evenly to both teams. At the end of a well-played match, the team that puts forth the best effort, gets the luckiest bounce, or has the most talent usually prevails. Arguably, the ultimate test of a well-functioning Much like in sports, many regulatory framework is whether it contributes to businesses are bound by a set of the financial system’s intermediation capacity, while rules that define what is per- decreasing the likelihood and costs of systematic missible and what is forbidden financial crises. on their playing field. In most —Martin Cihak and Alexander Tieman (2008, 4) cases these regulations emanate from legislative bodies and are “refereed” by administrative groups like the Environmental Protec- tion Agency, the Food and Drug Administration, and the National Credit Union Administration. As each business operates under its specific set of rules, the most innovative, most customer-centric, or most flexible generally thrives and grows. It is the regrettable moment when the referee becomes the central focus of any endeavor—sporting, business, or otherwise. Sometimes, due to close calls (however accurate), when much is at stake, referees are unavoidably and even usefully visible. Other times, regulators become prominent if they have “bad rules” or incorrectly enforce “good rules.” One person’s estimation of a bad rule may be another person’s permissible rule. Organizations may have different opinions than regulators of what constitutes “risky behavior,” partly because of their differing assessments of risk and partly because of how wide their relevant purviews are. These tensions are a natural, and likely constant, element of regu- lated markets. This friction is captured in the following observations 2
from leading experts in financial regulation and helps get us closer to an understanding of the purpose of regulation: • “Government regulation helps to promote general financial stability and to protect investors and consumers against fraud. . . . [Regulation] must weigh the social costs and benefits of the contemplated intervention” (Bernanke 2007). • “Getting financial market regulation right is a difficult, painstak- ing job. . . . The ‘less’ vs. ‘more’ argument is not helpful. We don’t need more or less regulation; we need smarter regulation” (Rivlin 2008). • “On the one hand, we may want to encourage welfare-improving innovations by limiting the extent of regulation. On the other hand, because of possible systemic concerns, some policymak- ers may want to regulate innovative instruments and institutions even as they are developing” (Ferguson 2005). • “The regulation of credit unions (as with other depository institu- tions) should provide as much consumer choice as possible by promoting a competitive and innovative financial marketplace that recognizes the unique cooperative nature of credit unions, while insuring a safe and sound financial system” (W. Jackson 2003, 104). • “I believe we, as the regulator, have the responsibility to ensure credit unions can respond to today’s challenges and are not restrained by burdensome and unnecessary regulations” (Hood 2006). • “The National Credit Union Administration has the following stated goals: To ensure the safety and soundness of the credit union system; To foster cooperation between credit unions and NCUA (the regulator/insurer); To improve the efficiency and Figure 1: Innovation vs. Safety the effectiveness of NCUA’s supervision including reducing the regulatory burden; To ensure fair and equal access of financial services for all Americans” (National Credit Union Administration 2006, 8). I n Regulation, therefore, is best visualized as a seesaw, n o with “innovation” on one side and “safety” on the v other side. In the middle is a precarious “regulatory” a S t a fulcrum about which these competing interests are i f balanced. Move too far toward safety via heavy- o e n t handed regulation, and innovation is squelched; shift y too much toward innovation via laissez-faire oversight, and safety is endangered. Further complicating the issue of regulatory balance is that the external world is not constant. New technologies, changing con- sumer demands, macroeconomic events, and new 3
competitors can move the fulcrum as innovations and risks materi- ally shift from year to year and even month to month. Such is the nature of our dynamic financial markets. The Current U.S. Financial Services Regulatory Environment The U.S. financial services regulatory system was recently described as “outdated,” “ill-suited to meet the nation’s needs,” and “frag- mented and complex” by an independent study undertaken by the Government Accountability Office (GAO; Dodaro 2009). It is fair to say that no one deliberately set out to design the system that has evolved. Recent Senate testimony on the adequacy of the current U.S. financial regulatory system by several experts went right to the jugular, describing the current system as “archaic” (Davidoff 2009) and “inefficient . . . redundant . . . wasteful” (H. Jackson 2008). With these ringing endorsements, it is perhaps instructive to under- stand the general organization of the current system so that we have a common frame of reference for the remainder of this report. • Federal Reserve System: The “Fed” is the central bank of the United States. In addition to its considerable role in regulating banking companies and activities, it has other responsibilities: ■■ Its board of governors guides monetary policy. ■■ Its Federal Open Market Committee works in conjunction with other internal parties to set the federal funds rate. ■■ Reserve banks are regional arms of the central bank that help coordinate monetary policy on a local basis. Addition- ally, reserve banks regulate the operations of all national banks and also oversee state-chartered banks that are part of the Federal Reserve System. • Department of the Treasury: The Treasury’s main function is to manage the government’s revenues. Financial regulatory duties are conducted by two subagencies: ■■ The Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) charters, regulates, and supervises federal savings and loans (S&Ls) and federal savings banks. ■■ The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) charters, regulates, and supervises all national banks (banks that have “National” in their name or the letters “N.A.” after their name) and the federal branches and agencies of foreign banks in the United States. 4
• Federal Deposit Insurance How Is the U.S. Financial System Different from the Finan- Corporation (FDIC): The cial Systems of Other Countries? FDIC insures consumer • Size and importance of U.S. capital markets are unmatched. deposits at member banks • Importance of investment banks in credit intermediation up to $250,000. The FDIC process. examines and supervises some banks to ensure the • Regionalized and localized nature of deposit-based banking health and stability of the institutions. Bank Insurance Fund (BIF). • No national-level insurance regulation. • National Credit Union • Government’s role in promoting home ownership and home Administration (NCUA): financing. The NCUA supervises ——Group of 30 (2009) and charters federal credit unions and insures savings in federally chartered and most state-chartered credit unions across the country through the National Credit Union Share Insurance Fund (NCUSIF). • State banking regulators: In addition to federally chartered finan- cial depositories, the U.S. banking system permits state-chartered institutions. State-chartered institutions can theoretically be regulated by multiple parties: states and either the Federal Reserve or the FDIC or NCUA.1 • Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC): The FFIEC is a formal interagency body of the U.S. government empowered to prescribe uniform principles, standards, and report forms for the federal examination of financial institutions by the Fed, FDIC, NCUA, OCC, and OTS, and to make recommen- dations to promote uniformity in the supervision of financial institutions.2 • Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC): The SEC regulates the U.S. securities markets, enforces securities law, and monitors the nation’s stocks and options exchanges along with other electronic securities markets. • Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA): FINRA is the largest independent regulator for all securities firms doing busi- ness in the United States. It oversees nearly 5,000 brokerage firms, 173,000 branch offices, and 659,000 registered securities representatives. Its chief role is to protect investors by maintaining the fairness of the U.S. capital markets. • Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC): The CFTC protects market users and the public from fraud, manipula- tion, and abusive practices related to the sale of commodity and financial futures and options, and fosters open, competitive, and financially sound futures and options markets. 5
• Insurance regulators: The insurance industry is regulated on a state-by-state basis by an insurance commissioner. Each state insurance commissioner has different rules and regulations. • Consumer protection: Each regulatory body has some form of consumer protection capabilities; however, the main body to deal with this topic is the Federal Trade Commission (FTC). It is important to note that the FTC monitors all consumer protection topics—or in the words of its Web site, it “deals with issues that touch the economic life of every American.” This alphabet soup of financial services regulators is, to any objective eye, a complex web of interrelated but uncoordinated organizations. Adding to this complexity are the increasingly influential un- regulated financial firms and products such as hedge funds, private equity, and credit default swaps. If you were to sketch out the cur- rent regulatory landscape, you would probably need more than two dimensions to get your point across, and you would probably end up with something akin to a Rube Goldberg contraption. Figure 2 attempts to capture the complexity of this regulatory landscape. For the current financial services players (banks, credit unions, insurance firms, investment managers, etc.), the regulatory environ- ment is a complex and sometimes vexing structure to operate within. Time and again the industry has called for deregulation to make the players’ jobs less complex, and until recently, the referees have largely acquiesced. Since 2008, however, the issue has not been about more or less regulation, but about wholesale reregulation. Or more specifi- cally, the reach or coverage of regulations is very likely to be broad- ened so that functions rather than charters are the defining sphere of regulations. Why Reregulation? The demands for reform of the regulation of our financial system are ongoing and will become more insistent. Demands for regulatory restructuring have been going on for more than a century. Academ- ics, practitioners, Congress, and regulators have advanced dozens of serious reform proposals since the 1930s. A 2005 paper published by the FDIC documents many of these proposals. The study concludes: The dynamic tension created by the presence not only of state regula- tors but also of multiple federal regulators has led many banking commentators to observe that nothing will change the regulatory structure of the financial services industry unless the politics of the current system are taken into consideration. Unlike citizens of other countries, who may not worry about concentrations of power, U.S. citizens have demonstrated a clear preference for decentralization. Further, it is commonly said that regulatory reform in the United 6
Figure 2: Simplified Framework of U.S. Financial Services Regulatory Structure 7
States will be very hard to achieve without a big event to propel it forward. Although some tinkering around the edges may be possible, wholesale change—which would require congressional action—is not likely in the absence of a crisis that would minimize battles over turf and unite the entrenched constituencies. (Kushmeider 2005, 18) Since then, a tsunami has rolled over our financial markets, damag- ing them and the global economy. While it is beyond the scope of this report, many experts agree this tailspin is primarily attributed to the activities of the U.S. financial sector. Some of the most well- documented examples include extension of risky loans to unqualified borrowers, the securitization of these loans into collateralized debt obligations, the emergence of credit default swaps, and the meteoric growth of a highly leveraged (and unregulated) shadow banking sec- tor. The regulatory system largely missed the boat on these activities. As a result, the demand for change is loud and growing louder. A proposal put forth by former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson (2008), entitled Blueprint for a Modernized Financial Regulatory Structure, could have been relegated to the historical trash heap if not for the current economic environment. While it is unlikely the Blueprint proposal will be implemented as originally proposed, the paper enabled serious discussion and debate on the topic of regula- tory restructuring. Recently President Obama (2009) stated in a speech to his economic advisory team, “The choice we face is not between some oppressive government-run economy or a chaotic and unforgiving capitalism. Rather, strong financial markets require clear rules of the road, not to hinder financial institutions, but to protect consumers and inves- tors and ultimately to keep those financial institutions strong.” This sentiment is largely shared by legislators, who will be tasked with developing a new framework to overcome what Kushmeider calls “the entrenched constituencies.” These legislators—represented by the current chairs of the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs and the House Committee on Financial Services (Senator Dodd and Representative Frank, respectively)—are fairly clear in their exhortations for regulatory consolidation. Frank states, “While we will continue to work with the Obama Administration on stabilization, it is now essential that we continue work on our reform agenda and address the need for financial regulatory restructuring to diminish systemic risk and to enhance market integrity.”3 Dodd adds, “While we must ensure we do not unduly cramp innovation and creativity, for me the need for stronger protections for ordinary Americans is not negotiable. It is the key to restoring confidence in our financial system and, as such, must be the bedrock foundation upon which we build our new regulatory architecture.”4 8
Research Methodology The remainder of this report explores the pros and cons of a new regulatory structure in the United States. The focus is squarely on the notion of a single financial services regulator for a variety of reasons. First, the executive and legislative branches are calling for a consoli- dation of financial regulators as part of the restructuring process. Second, worldwide, the trend has been toward financial regula- tory consolidation in such developed markets as South Korea, the United Kingdom, Germany, and Australia. Third, the Credit Union National Association (CUNA) lists financial services regulatory restructuring as its number one legislative issue in 2009.5 My analysis is based on a review of existing research on this topic. 9
Chapter 2 Benefits and Drawbacks of a Single Financial Ser vices Regulator While there is no consensus regarding the ideal structure of financial regulation around the world, the trend toward a more consolidated regulatory structure is evident. Still, there is a great deal of debate in policy, academic, and practitioner circles about the effectiveness of each approach.
Before we examine the benefits and drawbacks of a single financial services regulator, it is important to define what a single financial services regulator actually means in today’s interconnected economy. A single “prudential” regulator6 regulates the safety, soundness, and activities of banks, nonbank financial institutions (e.g., credit unions), insurance firms, and securities markets. Whether a single regulator would have others under its aegis, such as finance compa- nies, is an open issue. As stated earlier, the United States currently has multiple regulators for each major financial services sector. Figures 3 and 4 provide a simplistic overview of two major single Figure 3: Simplified Structure of South Korea’s Single Financial Regulatory Structure Governor Supervisory service Financial investment Deputy governor division division Corporate disclosure Strategic planning services Capital markets Consumer protection Banking services investigations Nonbanking Accounting services services Insurance services Mutual savings Cooperative finance (credit unions) Full version available at www.fsc.go.kr/eng/ab/img/organization_img02.gif. 12
Figure 4: Simplified Structure of the United Kingdom’s Single Financial Regulatory Structure Chairman Wholesale and Retail markets institutional markets Cross-sector industry leaders: Banking, insurance, retail and mortgage, asset management Cross-sector thematic leaders: Auditing/Accounting, capital markets, financial stability Major retail groups Wholesale firms Retail firms Markets Small firms Prudential risk Insurance Retail policy and Wholesale and conduct prudential policy Investments Financial crime and Insurance intelligence Mortgages and credit unions Full version available at www.fsa.gov.uk/pages/About/Who/PDF/orgchart.pdf. regulator countries and where credit unions fall in the supervisory structure. The common theme of all single regulatory structures is prudential supervision of all financial firms; the organizational charts and details of this supervision vary by locality. While there is no consensus regarding the ideal structure of financial regulation around the world, the trend toward a more consolidated regulatory structure is evident in Figure 5. Still, there is a great deal of debate (and a little research) in policy, academic, and practitioner circles about the qualities of each approach. The following is a summary of the benefits and drawbacks of such a single regulator structure. 13
Figure 5: Number of Fully Integrated Supervisory Agencies, 1985–2006 35 30 25 No. of agencies 20 15 10 5 0 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Source: Author’s calculations, based on data in Central Banking Publications (2005), information in the International Monetary Fund’s Article IV reports, and Web sites of the regulatory agencies; Cihak and Podpiera (2006, 4). Data are through October 2006. What Is “Prudential” and “Non-Prudential” Regulation? Regulation is prudential when it is aimed operations and do not ultimately aim specifically at protecting the financial to protect the solvency of the financial system as a whole as well as protecting system. These rules tend to be easier to the safety of deposits (and perhaps other administer because government authori- liabilities) in individual institutions. When a ties do not have to take responsibility for deposit-taking institution becomes insol- the financial soundness of the organiza- vent, it cannot repay its depositors. If it is tion. These issues include, among others, a large institution, its failure can undermine consumer protection; fraud and financial confidence enough so that the banking crimes prevention; credit information system suffers a run on deposits. There- services; interest rate policies; limita- fore, in prudential regulation, the govern- tions on foreign ownership, management, ment attempts to protect the financial and sources of capital; tax and account- soundness and solvency of the regulated ing issues; and a variety of cross-cutting institutions. issues surrounding transformations from one institutional type to another. Non-prudential rules encompass regu- lations about the institution’s business Source: CGAP/World Bank. 14
What Are the Benefits of a Single Financial Services Regulator? The following high-level benefits have been widely acknowledged in various academic and independent studies and are based on the experiences of policymakers here and around the world. Consolidated View The financial services marketplace has become more complex (see sidebar on pages 16–17). Deregulation and financial innovation have been rapid and extensive over the past few decades. For the handful of mega-sized financial institutions, the lines between banking, secu- rities, and insurance are so blurred that it is often difficult to clas- sify these organizations into a neat taxonomy. With the emergence of such conglomerates as AIG, Citigroup, UBS, HSBC, and Bank of America, the argument for a single financial services regulator “is advantageous because it mirrors the nature of modern financial markets” (Ferran 2003, 13). For example, in the United States, Citi- group’s various business units have been supervised (sufficiently or not) by multiple regulators according to each unit’s function. How- ever, no one regulator had authority over the entire conglomerate’s activities and resolution. It is thought that a single regulator could effectively fill the regulatory gaps, take a consolidated view, and effectively assess and mitigate groupwide risks (Cihak and Podpiera 2006, 9). Filling the regulatory gaps is important because “experience has shown that, while firms generally claim to have financial firewalls between their various operations, they are often proven to be largely illusory when serious difficulties arise” (Abrams and Taylor 2000, 10). One only has to consider the experience of AIG to understand the importance of this observation. Economies of Scale Much like individual credit unions, each U.S. financial services regu- lator conducts a variety of overlapping activities. For example, each regulatory body has costly operational functions like information technology, facilities, and personnel. The following list provides esti- mates of the number of employees at the major regulatory agencies: • FDIC: ~5,000 • OCC: ~3,000 • OTS: ~1,000 • NCUA: ~1,000 • Federal Reserve System: ~24,0007 • SEC: ~4,000 • FINRA: ~3,000 • CFTC: ~500 15
The Changing Face of Financial Services Financial services are much more com- doing business is a powerful example of plex today mostly due to regulatory this new complexity. changes over the past several decades Source: Correspondence with William (see Appendix 1). The list of activities now E. Jackson, III, professor of finance, permissible and executed by “new” finan- University of Alabama, March 2009. cial firms contrasted with the “old” way of Figure 6: The Old World Order of Financial Services Financial Commercial Investment Insurance Finance P. Equity service bank bank company S&L company V. Cap. Other Start-up capital XXX Checking XXX XXX account Growth capital XXX Plant XXX XXX expansion Asset-based XXX XXX XXX loan Insurance on XXX equipment IPO stock XXX Credit cards XXX Brokerage XXX needs Mortgages XXX Real estate IPO debt XXX Risk XXX XXX XXX management Seasoned XXX equity 16
The Changing Face of Financial Services (continued) Figure 6: The New World Order of Financial Services Financial Commercial Investment Insurance Finance P. Equity service bank bank company S&L company V. Cap. Other Start-up capital XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX Checking XXX XXX XXX XXX account Growth capital XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX Plant XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX expansion Asset-based XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX loan Insurance on XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX equipment IPO stock XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX Credit cards XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX Brokerage XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX needs Mortgages XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX Real estate IPO debt XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX Risk XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX management Seasoned XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX equity 17
A single regulator should theoretically be able to rationalize a number of overlapping functions and activities to deliver a more Benefits of a Single Regulator efficient regulatory regime under a single management structure, • Consolidated view. saving firms and the government money. • Economies of scale. • Economies of scope. Economies of Scope • Consistent objectives. Similar to the economies of scale argument, a single regulator may be able to deliver a greater scope of services than regulators • Accountability. could individually. The scope of these services could include the • Flexibility. following: • Standards setting (prudential and non-prudential) for the entire financial services industry. • More comprehensive supervision of individual firms. • Development of a high-powered staff. • Ability to address financial services-wide risk issues. Consistent Objectives A single regulator would provide a consistent regulatory framework simply because it is the only game in town. This regulatory con- sistency would eliminate turf wars between competing regulatory bodies over the interpretation of rules or attraction of specific entities under their charter specifically because they have different regula- tions.8 Additionally, consistency would eliminate the regulatory, or jurisdictional, arbitrage many financial firms use to their advantage regarding a particular product or market niche. Finally, consistent objectives and practices would create a level playing field of rules and regulations each player would have to abide by. Accountability Who is responsible for the current financial crisis? Various reports, congressional testimony, and media coverage put the onus on consumers, speculators, the SEC, the Community Reinvestment Act, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, George W. Bush, Bill Clinton, Phil Gramm, Democrats, Republicans, and greed. With a single regula- tor, one of the primary goals of granting it statutory authority is to allow it to protect the safety and soundness of the financial system. In other words, the buck stops here. In the current patchwork of regulatory bodies, the tendency for a “blame disbursement strategy” is present (Abrams and Taylor 2000, 15). Flexibility Because of the “coherence and clarity of its mandate” (Ferran 2003, 21), a single regulator may be more flexible in dealing with the emergence of new innovations in the marketplace. As with any 18
organization, the better defined its mandate, the more likely it is to deal with exigencies not specifically stated in its specific charter. What Are the Drawbacks of a Financial Services Regulator? The following high-level drawbacks are sourced from a variety of aca- demic papers, independent research, and experience of policymakers around the globe. Many of these drawbacks focus on the difficulties inherent in a major change process since most single regulator struc- tures evolve from a legacy structure that embeds differing objectives, personnel, traditions, and skills. Unclear Objectives Developing a single regulator structure involves drafting specialized legislation to define the purpose and charter of a new regulatory organization. The legislative process, often referred to as “sausage making,” may result in an ambiguous mission and an unclear set of objectives. If the objectives are unclear, the risk of a single regula- tor “can give rise to problems of holding the regulatory agency to account for its activities. Vague objectives may also provide little guidance for when (as inevitably will be the case) its different objec- tives come into conflict” (Abrams and Taylor 2000, 17). Change Process Drawbacks of a Single Regulator Even if the single regulator’s objectives are clearly stated, the • Unclear objective. enormous risk of change management remains. Imagine for • Change process. a moment the difficulties of consolidating different agencies’ • Unrealized synergies. cultures, IT systems, and personnel. The addition of com- • Too large to be effective. pletely new regulatory duties (e.g., shadow banking sector activities) will need to be integrated with established regula- • Moral hazard. tory bodies. This is not a trivial issue. Unrealized Synergies The main bet for any organizational merger is that the whole is greater than the sum of its parts. The risk is that the economies of scale and scope synergies imagined in the section above may fail to materialize. These unrealized synergies are likely to happen because of conflicting cultures and insufficient change management programs among the various insurance, banking, and securities regulators. Too Large to Be Effective As stated above, consolidating regulatory agencies may create gener- ous economies of scale, but the flip side is that a single regulator may also become too big to be effective. The regulatory monopoly 19
enjoyed by a single regulator necessarily creates a large bureaucracy that may lead to slowness and rigidity. An additional hazard can be what Abrams and Taylor (2000, 10) term the “Christmas-tree effect.” This situation results in the piling on of noncore, nonstatutory regu- latory responsibilities, such as real estate broker regulation, to the sole financial services regulator. Moral Hazard If a certain party perceives it is insulated from risk, it may behave differently than if it were fully exposed to the risk. The most com- mon example of moral hazard is a person who buys fire insurance for his or her home and then is more negligent than before about risky activities such as smoking in bed or replacing batteries in the fire detector. In a single financial services regulator model, moral hazard refers to the assumption “that all creditors of all institutions supervised by an integrated supervisor will receive the same protec- tion” (Cihak and Podpiera 2006, 11). For example, bank investors may assume they have the same protection as bank depositors. This so-called moral hazard may cause regulated firms to act in an overtly risky manner. Conclusion This chapter outlined the major benefits and drawbacks of a single financial services regulator as sourced from various academic papers, independent researchers, and policymakers from around the world. In the next chapter I will examine whether the consolidation of financial services regulation into a unified body has benefited selected financial systems. Again I access the most relevant research available on the topic. 20
Chapter 3 Is There a “Best” Financial Regulatory System? Thirty-three percent of countries have imple- mented a single regulator structure as of 2007. An additional 26% have so-called semi- integrated, or “twin peak,” regulation, where a single entity supervises two of the three major financial services sectors (banking, securities, and insurance). Finally, an additional 41% of countries, preferring a decentralized regulatory environment, employ a model similar to the U.S. model.
As stated in Figure 7, 33% of the countries have implemented a single regulator structure as of 2007. An additional 26% of countries have so-called semi-integrated, or “twin peak,” regulation, where a single entity supervises two of the three major financial services sectors (banking, securities, and insurance). Finally, an additional 41% of countries, preferring a decentralized regulatory environment, employ a model similar to the U.S. model.9 Given this diverse set of structures, which approach is most effective? True to the age- old economists’ maxim, “It depends.” Unfortunately there is scarce research about the impact of regulatory form vis-à-vis financial insti- tution performance and/or overall financial sector safety and sound- ness. This chapter reviews the few studies that address this important topic. The benefits of financial regulation are multi-faceted and likely vary across jurisdictions. Even once specified, many of these benefits are difficult to measure. . . . Thus, the task of comparing marginal costs to marginal benefits in the field of financial regulation may be fundamentally intractable, and international comparisons of the sort . . . may be highly problematic. — Howell Jackson (2007, 255) In “Is One Watchdog Better than Three?” International Monetary Fund (IMF) economists Martin Cihak and Richard Podpiera (2006) review international experience with different forms of financial regulation and supervision. They conclude integrated financial regulators are characterized by more consistent and higher-quality supervision, although a significant amount of these advantages can be explained by the comparatively high level of economic develop- ment in single regulator countries. For example, the higher quality of regulation in Denmark is attributable to both the economic develop- ment10 of the country and the structure of financial regulation. They also discover that the presence of a single regulator does not necessar- ily create noticeable economies of scale, refuting one of the benefits listed in Chapter 2. 22
Figure 7: Jurisdictions with Single, Semi-Integrated, and Sectoral Prudential Supervisory Agencies, 2006 Agency supervising two types of financial intermediaries Single prudential supervisor for Multiple sectoral supervisors (at least the financial system (year of Banks and Banks and Securities firms one for banks, one for securities firms, establishment) securities firms insurers and insurers and one for insurers) Australia (1998) Kazakhstan* Finland Canada Bolivia Albania* Italy* (1998) Austria (2002) Korea (1997) Luxembourg Colombia Bulgaria* Argentina* Jordan* Bahrain* (2002) Latvia (1998) Mexico Ecuador Chile Bahamas* Lithuania* Belgium (2004) Maldives* (1998) Switzerland El Salvador Egypt* Barbados* New Zealand* Bermuda* (2002) Malta* (2002) Uruguay Guatemala Jamaica* Botswana* Panama Cayman Isl.* Netherlands * Malaysia* Mauritius* Brazil* Philippines* (1997) (2004) Czech Rep. (2007)* Nicaragua * (1999) Peru Ukraine* China (Mainland) Portugal* Denmark (1988) Norway (1986) Venezuela Croatia* Russia* Estonia (1999) Poland (2007) Cyprus* Slovenia* Germany (2002) Singapore* (1984) Dominican Rep* Sri Lanka* Gibraltar (1989) Slovak Rep.* Egypt* Spain* (2007) Guernsey (1988) South Africa * France* Thailand* (1990) Hungary (2000) Sweden (1991) Greece* Tunisia* Iceland (1988) UAE* (2000) Hong Kong Turkey (China)* Ireland* (2003) UK (1997) India* Uganda* Japan (2001) Indonesia* USA* Israel* As share of all countries in the sample (percentage) 33 6 11 9 41 Note: The table focuses on prudential supervision, not on business supervision (which can be carried out by the same agencies or by separate agencies, even in the integrated model). Also, we do not consider deposit insurers here, even though they play an important role in banking supervision in a number of countries and can do so under any regulatory model. * Banking supervision is conducted by the central bank. Source: Author’s calculations, based on data in Central Banking Publications (2004) and on Web sites of supervisory agencies. In “Bank Safety and Soundness and the Structure of Bank Supervi- sion” (Barth, Dopico, Nolle, and Wilcox 2002), a group of academ- ics study whether supervision structure impacts bank safety and soundness. The research team concludes, “Countries with multiple authorities tend to have lower bank capital ratios and to have higher liquidity risk. Thus, the results indicated that having multiple banks supervisors (rather than one supervisor) is consistent with a ‘competition in laxity’. This finding that multiple supervisors tend to reduce equity capital ratios and increase liquidity risk comports with the hypothesis that having multiple bank supervisors weakens corporate governance of banks.11 We also find that, when a coun- try’s central bank also supervises banks, its banks tend to have more 23
non‑performing loans. Our finding that non-performing loans are higher when the central bank supervises banks supports the hypothesis that a more focused bank supervisor might strengthen the monitoring and control of banks” (185). Their conclusions, therefore, hint that the regulatory structure currently present in the United States may be more lax and risky than a single regulator or a similarly structured regulatory regime in another part of the world. It is important to note that one of the drawbacks of a single regulatory structure mentioned earlier, moral hazard, appears to rear its head in the fragmented regulatory structure as well. In “Quality of Financial Sector Regulation and Supervision around the World,” IMF Economists Martin Cihak and Alexander Tieman (2008) attempt the Herculean task of measuring and comparing the quality of the world’s financial regulatory regimes. They state, “The main finding of this paper is a confirmation that there are significant differences in the quality of regulation and supervisory frameworks across countries, and that the level of economic development is an important explanatory factor. . . . On balance, therefore, our research cautions that despite the higher grades obtained by high-income countries, the supervisory knowledge about the financial strength of their institutions may not be higher than that for low- or middle- income countries. Indeed, the developments in the global financial system in late 2007 and early 2008 suggest that the higher quality of supervisory systems in high-income countries may not have been sufficient given the complexity of their financial systems” (20). In short, the authors offer little in the way of a definitive answer to the question of whether regulatory structure impacts supervisory quality. “A Cross-Country Analysis of the Bank Supervisory Framework and Bank Performance,” by James Barth, Daniel Nolle, Triphon Phu- miwasana, and Glenn Yago (2002), attempts to provide a system- atic and empirical analysis linking supervisory structure and bank performance. They conclude, “Our results indicate, at most, a weak influence for the structure of supervision on bank performance . . . given the dearth of empirical evidence on the issues, advocates of one form or another of supervisory structure have asserted that a particu- lar change is likely to affect (favorably or adversely, as the advocate sees fit) the performance of banks. Our results provide little support at best to the belief that any particular bank supervisory structure will greatly affect bank performance” (1). So, this group of research- ers can’t find a link either. “A Pragmatic Approach to the Phased Consolidation of Financial Regulation in the United States,” by Harvard law Professor Howell Jackson (2008), reports a much more definitive view, “Consolidated oversight as implemented in leading jurisdictions around the world offers a demonstrably superior model of supervision for the modern 24
financial services industry.” Jackson goes on to expound on the benefits of a single regulator model, including, “consistent regulatory requirements across different sectors . . . capacity to attract and retain higher quality staff . . . develop[ment] of broadly-based consumer financial education programs . . . accountability have been hardwired into many modern supervisory structures” (3–4). Jackson also raises questions about the current U.S. financial regulatory system: “The emergence of a near consensus among other jurisdictions regarding the desirability of a more consolidated financial regulatory oversight Formation of the UK Financial Services Authority The first stage of the reform of financial infancy, although there are certainly many services regulation in the United King- possible signs, in particular the emphasis dom was completed in June 1998, when on an integrated approach to regulation responsibility for banking supervision across all parts of the financial services was transferred to the Financial Services industry” (28). Much has been written Authority (FSA) from the Bank of England. about the United Kingdom’s experience in In May 2000 the FSA took over the role of the development of the FSA, but there is UK Listing Authority from the London Stock a dearth of analysis on its effectiveness. Exchange. The Financial Services and Mar- A recent report, though, slams the FSA’s kets Act, which received approval in June supervisory role in the recent run on North- 2000 and was implemented in December ern Rock, a large UK bank. This report is a 2001, transferred to the FSA the respon- black eye to the idea of the world’s most sibilities of several other organizations, integrated regulator and one that has many including the regulation of financial institu- similarities to the U.S. financial system. tions, securities, and insurance firms. The Additionally, in 2008 the UK Financial Ser- legislation also gives the FSA some new vices Compensation Scheme (FSCS; similar responsibilities—in particular, taking action to FDIC) paid out £20 billion to consum- to prevent market abuse and mortgage ers who had money in financial services regulation. firms since September 2008. According to David Hall, the chairman of this orga- Cambridge University law Professor Ellis nization, “Between December 2001 and Ferran (2003) reflects on the lessons other September 2008, the FSCS paid about countries can learn from the United King- £1bn in compensation” (5). (www.fscs.org. dom’s experience in adopting the single uk/industry/latest_industry_news/2009/feb/ regulator structure. He states, “Political FSCS_Plan_and_Budget_2009_10/) support for change [to a single regulator] will be greater where the existing system Source: Adapted from www.fsa.gov.uk/ is, or is perceived to be, malfunctioning. Pages/About/Who/History/index.shtml. . . . It is impossible to draw firm conclu- sions because the new regime is still in its 25
should at least raise questions as to whether our [U.S.] national resis- tance to regulatory consolidation is well-founded” (15). This “under-researched” (Abrams and Taylor 2000) topic does not allow us to make sweeping conclusions about the “best” or “right” regulatory structure for the U.S. financial system. The papers referenced are inconclusive: Some report significant benefits of a single regulator structure, while others fail to correlate structure to financial industry safety and soundness. Also important to note is all the research studies quoted above were performed before the current financial crisis. If the authors were to replicate their studies today, they might get materially different findings. A recent paper by Cihak and Podpiera (2006, 24) provides a sufficiently balanced perspective on this topic by stating, “Integrated supervision may be associated with substantial benefits, particularly in terms of increased supervisory consistency and quality. This strengthens the case in favor of integrated supervision in the medium-to-long term. Country authorities considering whether to integrate their supervisory frame- work need to compare the likely medium- and long-term benefits with the short-term challenges and risk involved in the integration process and in the chosen model.” Given the political and economic climate in the United States, it is likely that policymakers will view short-term dislocations as a neces- sary means to the medium- and long-term ends of a more consistent and higher-quality regulatory system. Therefore, the final chapter explores a number of serious reform proposals for the creation of a single financial services regulator in the United States. Figure 8: A Summary of Major Research on the Impact of Financial System Regulatory Structure Title Conclusion “Is One Watchdog Better than Three?” Structure is important, but economic (2006) development of a country may be more important “Bank Safety and Soundness and the Countries with multiple regulators and central Structure of Bank Supervision” (2002) banks as regulator may be more lax and risky for banks “Quality of Financial Sector Regulation and Higher-income countries have better Supervision around the World” (2008) supervision and regulation than low-income countries, but complexity of higher-income countries’ financial systems may negate this advantage “A Cross-Country Analysis of the Bank Supervisory structure does not impact bank Supervisory Framework and Bank performance to any statistically significant Performance” (2002) manner “A Pragmatic Approach to the Phased Consolidated supervision is a superior Consolidation of Financial Regulation in the model for a variety of reasons and should be United States” (2008) implemented in the United States 26
You can also read