EPEE F-GAS INDUSTRY ROUNDTABLE - 15 April
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EPEE F-GAS INDUSTRY
ROUNDTABLE
15
April
2019
Agenda
13.00 – 14.00 Registration of participants - Lunch
14.00 – 14.10 Introduction - Andrea Voigt, EPEE
14.10 – 14.25 Evolution of HFC prices - Öko-Recherche
14.25 – 14.35 Q&A
14.35 – 15.05 EPEE EU HFC Model update - Ray Gluckman, Gluckman Consulting
15.05– 15.15 Q&A
15.15 – 15.30 Coffee break
15.30 – 15.45 Update on implementation of the F-gas Regulation - Arno Kaschl, Bente Tranholm-Schwarz,
European Commission (DG CLIMA)
15.45 – 15.55
Q&A
15.55 – 16.05 Update on Brexit – Russell Patten, Grayling Brussels
16.05 – 16.15 Q&A
16.15 – 16.45 Dedicated industry activities – Andrea Voigt, EPEE; Angelica Candido, EFCTC; Wolfgang
Zaremski, ASERCOM
16.45 – 17.00
Q&A
17.00 – 17.10 HFC phase-down implementation: from a global perspective – Didier Coulomb, International
Institute of Refrigeration
17.10 – 17.20
Q&A
17.20– 17.30 Closing remarks
Andrea Voigt, EPEE Director General
Welcome Andrea Voigt, EPEE
Evolution of HFC prices
Öko-Recherche
Development of HFC prices
EPEE F-gas Roundtable
15 April 2019
EPEE offices, Brussels
Julia Kleinschmidt
Öko-Recherche GmbH
Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Agenda ► Methodology ► Update on price developments in 2018 ► Short outlook to 2019 15 April 2019 6
Methodology
Companies
• from the RAC sector Level 1
• from all supply chain levels 2 to 3 gas producers (selling prices)
• from eleven different EU Member Level 2
States (Austria, Czech Republic,
4 to 6 gas distributors (purchase and/or selling prices)
Estonia, France, Germany, ~ 25 OEMs (purchase prices)
Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Slovakia,
Spain, UK) Level 3
~ 30 service companies (purchase and selling prices)
• provide data on purchase
and/or selling prices of HFC
Level 4
refrigerants and lower GWP
alternatives
(End-users)
• provide additional information
on sectoral use, regional
availability, prices of quota
authorisations ► On average, 60 companies per quarter
15 April 2019 7
Methodology
• Ex-post price analysis
• Data collected via
1) Standardised questionnaires
2) Personal interviews
• Additional information on underlying factors, transition to
alternative refrigerants in different sectors, expectations for market
and price trends in the next quarters, etc.
• More information and questionnaires for download (as excel files)
on the Öko-Recherche website
• https://www.oekorecherche.de/en/implementation-f-gas-
regulation-eu-no-5172014
15 April 2019 8
Methodology
Refrigerants covered by the price analysis so far:
Refrigerant GWP100 years (AR4) Refrigerant GWP100 years (AR4)
R134a 1430 R449A 1397
R404A 3922 R450A 604
R407A 2107 R452A 2105
R407C 1774 R513A 613
R407F 1825 R507A 3985
R407H 1495 R1234yf 4
R410A 2088 R1234ze 7
R422D 2729 R717 (ammonia) 0
R507A 3985 R744 (CO2) 1
R32 675 R290 (propane) 3
R448A 1387 R1270 (propylene) 2
► Assessment of price developments for the entire refrigerant
supply chain and each supply chain level
15 April 2019 9
Update on price developments in 2018
• 2018 was split into two parts:
− Flattening of price increases after strong price rises at
the beginning of the year
− Price decreases in Q3 and Q4
• According to the interviewed companies, different
aspects might have affected refrigerant prices
− Residual quota quantities (mainly Q4)
− Stockpiling in previous years
€ − Increased care in handling refrigerants
− Move to lower GWP alternatives
− Illegal trade
15 April 2019 10Price development of R134a (GWP 1430)
Average prices at all levels of the supply chain
(price index, 2014 = 100 %)
900
Gas producers (selling price)
800
Gas distributors (purchase price)
700
OEMs (purchase price)
600
Service companies (purchase price)
Percent
500
Service companies (selling price =
end-user price)
400
300
200
100
Source: Öko-Recherche (2019)
15 April 2019 11Price developments at service company level
Average purchase prices of various HFC refrigerants
(price index, 2014 = 100 %)
1500
1300 R404A (GWP 3922)
R410A (GWP 2088)
1100
R407C (GWP 1774)
900 R134a (GWP 1430)
Percent
700
500
300 * Data recorded in the
previous price monitoring
project
100
Source: Öko-Recherche (2019)
15 April 2019 12Development of abatement costs at OEM level
Average purchase prices of various HFC refrigerants
(in €/t CO2e)
30
R404A (GWP 3922)
25 R410A (GWP 2088)
R407C (GWP 1774)
20
R134a (GWP 1430)
€/t CO2e
15
10
• Prices of R134a/R410A
were stronger than for
5 R404A when
considering the GWP
0
Source: Öko-Recherche (2019)
15 April 2019 13Price developments at service company level
Average purchase prices of various alternative refrigerants
(price index, Q2/2017 = 100 %)
300
R448A (GWP 1387)
250 R449A (GWP 1397)
R452A (GWP 2140)
200
R513A (GWP 631)
Percent
150 R1234yf (GWP 4)
R32 (GWP 675)
100
50 ► Natural refrigerants:
no price changes
0
Source: Öko-Recherche (2019)
15 April 2019 14Update on price developments in 2018
• Broad price ranges at service company level
• Both purchase and selling prices of R404A, R410A,
R407C and R134a differed widely
► 75 % – 230 % and 190 % – 280% difference
between minimum and maximum prices,
respectively
• Regional price differences
• Gas availability:
• The indications have been significantly reduced
towards the end of the year
• Prices of quota authorisations varied from 15 to 28
€/t CO2e in Q4/2018
• Some gases sold at 50 % lower prices; these may be
of illegal sources
15 April 2019 15Short outlook to 2019
• According to first indications, the trend of late-2018 seems to
continue in Q1/2019
− (Very) low demand
− Further price reductions of refrigerants and quota
authorisations
15 April 2019 16Thank you very much for your attention!
Julia Kleinschmidt
julia.kleinschmidt@oekorecherche.de
Öko-Recherche
Büro für Umweltforschung und -beratung GmbH
Münchener Str. 23
60329 Frankfurt/Main
GERMANY
www.oekorecherche.de
@OekoRechercheAny questions?
EPEE EU HFC Model
update
Ray Gluckman, Gluckman ConsultingAny questions?
Coffee break
Update on implementation
of the F-gas Regulation
Arno Kaschl, Bente Tranholm-Schwarz,
European Commission (DG CLIMA)Any questions?
Update on Brexit
Russell Patten, Grayling
BrusselsAny questions?
Dedicated industry
activities
Andrea Voigt, EPEE; Angelica Candido, EFCTC;
Wolfgang Zaremski, ASERCOMIllegal imports of HFCs into the European Union April 2019
What are HFCs and what are they used for?
Potential Impacts of Illegal trade in HFCs
Impact of Illegal Imports
• Scope: HFC-products affecting broadly into sectors
STATAC, Heating, Refrigeration and Automotive
(Service)
• Import of potential serious health & safety hazardous
products (flammability/pressure/toxicity) – and lower
product performance
• A missed economic revenue for Member States:
• Loss in Duty & VAT revenue
• The environmental goals of the F Gas Regulation are
being undermined and postponed
ConfidentialWay forward to stop Illegal trade
Targeted Action at Customs level is needed
• Short term - URGENT:
1. Stop the illegal imports
1. from surrounding countries;
2. into main EU harbours
2. Identify false import declarations
1. into EU28;
2. in transit
• Mid-term: need a solid electronic notification system for customs
to access the F Gas Quota Database
How can we work together to stop illegal HFC traffic in the EU and
its Member States?
30
ConfidentialEFCTC Action plan against illegal imports:
Communication strategy
• Press release: out on 28 March
2019
• Associations, magazines,
journalists, users
• Website:
• Banner and Info tab published
on the EFCTC website:
https://www.fluorocarbons.org/EFCTC hotline
Reporting of Potential Illegal impacts
• Action Line powered by EQS is active:
• https://efctc.integrityline.org
• Webform can be completed in any language
• Reporting of suspicious illegal actions can be done in
full confidence
• Use of the Action Line will be confidential and
independently operated by the consultant
• EFCTC members will have no access to individual
reports
• Further information: https://www.fluorocarbons.org/
Title of Presentation 32We need your help
Basic immediate first steps
• Register on the HFC Registry – your main tool for controlling
product flows
• Setup a Database for tracking product flows:
imports/exports/local use/stockpiling
• Increase controls, and notify your authorities and DG CLIMA of
any suspicious activity: CLIMA-HFC-REGISTRY@ec.europa.eu
• Check key Product codes at Customs (both EU and UN codes)
• R134a, R404A, R410A, R32, R125
• Create a “Positive List” of responsible companies
33
ConfidentialConclusion – we have work to do!
Together, we can have an impact on illegal trade
• Many actions can happen today
• Collaboration across all players:
• At National level and in the region
• EU Commission support
• Industry support
• We are here to listen
• We need your local experience to better help you
Title of Presentation 34Contacts EFCTC – European Fluorocarbons Technical Committee Cefic – The European Chemical Industry Council Rue Belliard 40, Box 15 B-1040 Brussels, Belgium http://www.fluorocarbons.org/
Any questions?
Framework – Phase down
The European F-Gas Regulation and other legal regulations are forcing a rethink within the HVAC & R
industry:
The refrigerants that currently dominate the market, such as R404A, R410 A and R134, the so-called
hydrofluorocarbon's (HFCs), have to be gradually phased down by 2030! Refrigerants with a higher GWP
value will be replaced be more environmentally friendly alternatives, such as flammable refrigerants.
This will be accomplished to:
New and longer term product solutions, that deliver equal and
better cooling performance, but a lower GWP (global-warming
potential) for new equipment's
Supporting the market to adapt new technologies through
training and awareness especially about the safe use of
flammable solutions
17/04/2019 38Framework – High relevance!
Lack of individual advice: The market – decision makers, planners and operators – does
not have the necessary individual solutions to be able to make the right short-term (refilling)
and long-term decisions (new installation) within the prescribed time.
Hight relevance for the HVAC & R industry:
without solutions, the F-Gas Regulation cannot be implemented
adequately!
17/04/2019 39Coolektiv – Shaping change together.
Industry experts developing solutions.
The expert committee
On the initiative of the Westfalen Group, experts from companies
and institutions of all relevant market participants have joined
forces.
Within two years, solutions for the refrigerant market will be
generated and made available to support the market.
Every market perspective – whether a specialist company,
manufacturer, operator, dealer or trade association – should be
included. The aim is to illuminate and answer relevant questions
on many different levels.
17/04/2019 40Coolektiv market launch in October 2018
Panel discussion in front of 150
guests: as part of the Chillventa on the
evening of the first day of the trade fair
in Nuremberg
Audience participation
Subsequent survey of promoters:
Guests commented very positively on
the Coolektiv initiative and showed
great interest in participating in further
expert committee information events
17/04/2019 41COOLEKTIV participants – initiated by the Westfalen Group
Wolfgang Zaremski – Sebastien Casterman –
Asercom AISBL Honeywell Deutschland GmbH
Heribert Baumeister – Federal Guild Burkhard Rüßmann –
Association (BIV) of the German L&R Kältetechnik
Refrigeration Trade
Egon Schrezenmaier –
Laurent Zielezinski – Schrezenmaier Kältetechnik
Chemours International GmbH & Co. KG
Operations Sàrl
Harald Conrad –
Westfalen AG
17/04/2019 42Goals of Coolektiv
To identify the problems/challenges of the industry
By compiling & evaluating existing market intelligence
To prioritise and evaluate problems/challenges
Expert committee & event formats (inclusion of other market participants)
Develop solutions and tools for the market
Expert committee
To perform preliminary tests
Market test & event formats (inclusion of other market participants)
To make solutions and tools available to the market
Implementation & publication by participants of the expert committee
43
17/04/2019Market-relevant focus topics and working committees
Policy Operators Training and
and planners further
Illegal placing on System concepts / education
the market of refrigerants Normative
refrigerants DIN standards /
Security /
insurance guidelines
17/04/2019 44Work results and next steps
13.11.2018: Expert 18.01.2019: Expert
18.01.2019: Political March 2019: Political
committee meeting, committee meeting, Neu-
committee action committee action
Dortmund Isenburg
Definition of the relevant Cover letter on the illegal Development of three 2. Cover letter sent to
topics / working placing on the market of focus topics customs offices, customs
committees: refrigerants to the investigation offices and
Definition of next steps
Policy European Commission labour inspectorates on
Operators & and politically responsible Discussion about the illegal placing on the
planners institutions collaboration with VDKF market of refrigerants
Training and further Supersmart, Mr Jeschkeit
Feedback from the Various feedback
education & Mr Egly
European Commission
Press release
Press release Press release
45
Sample slides 17/04/2019Work results and next steps
02.04.2019: EHI Refrigeration 10.04.2019: EFCTC 15.04.2019: EPEE F-Gas
April 2019: Exclusive
Technology WG, presentation meeting, presentation of round table, presentation
interview KKA
of COOLEKTIV COOLEKTIV of COOLEKTIV
Exclusive interview in the Mr Casterman Mr Zielezinski/Mr Gerstel Mr Zaremski (Asercom)
KKA with Mr Kemler, Mr (Honeywell) and Mr (Chemours) present presents COOLEKTIV and
Zaremski & Mr Zielezinski Rössling (REWE) present COOLEKTIV and outline outlines the measures for
on the illegal placing on COOLEKTIV, the measures for combating the import of
the market of refrigerants presentation of case combating the import of illegal refrigerants
studies illegal refrigerants
After publication: Interview
to be sent to entire
refrigeration/air-
conditioning press
46
Sample slides 17/04/2019Work results and next steps
16.04.2019: EPEE F-Gas 08.05.2019: Expert 07.11.2019: COOLEKTIV
working group, presentation committee meeting, Event, Grand Hall
of COOLEKTIV Münster Zollverein, Essen
Mr Zaremski (Asercom) to Development of further Presentation of the
present the initiative and content and measures previously developed
outline the measures for solutions / measures
combating the import of Coordination of results
with all experts Evaluation and further
illegal refrigerants
elaboration of solutions /
Definition of next steps measures
Press release
Press release
47
Sample slides 17/04/2019Events – The market is also participating in development
COOLEKTIV is in a constant dialogue with the market
This permits the best possible resolution and overcoming of market-relevant
problems and challenges.
At events, the market participants should evaluate the solutions developed so far, test
them and provide a new and important impetus for further development.
In cooperation with the market participants, COOLEKTIV will
develop the best (individual) solutions for the market!
Save the date, 07.11.2019 in the Grand Hall Zeche
Zollverein in Essen!
17/04/2019 48Contact Jeannine Daniels & Evelin Stusek Tel. 0049-251 695-934 / -144 coolektiv@westfalen.com
Any questions?
HFC phase-down
implementation: from
a global perspective
Didier Coulomb, International Institute of
RefrigerationEPEE F-GAS ROUNDTABLE
MONDAY 15 APRIL, 2019
HFC PHASE-DOWN IMPLEMENTATION:
FROM A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE
Didier COULOMB
Director General
INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE OF REFRIGERATION (IIR) ― www.iifiir.org
www.iifiir.or
53
gThe Kigali amendment
Entered into force in January 2019
Creates several categories of countries:
→Developed countries, the EU is a pioneer
→Developing countries, except Gulf countries and
some South Asian countries
→Other developing countries
→Hot countries (stationary air conditioning)
www.iifiir.or
54
gA5 countries A5 countries
A2 countries (Group 1)** (Group 2)***
Baseline 2011-2013 2020-2022 2024-2026
Formula Average HFC Average HFC Average HFC consumption
consumption consumption
HCFC 15% or 25% baseline* 65% baseline 65% baseline
Freeze - 2024 2028
1st step 2019 – 10% 2029 – 10% 2032 – 10%
2nd step 2024 – 40% 2035 – 30% 2037 – 20%
3rd step 2029 – 70% 2040 – 50% 2042 – 30%
4th step 2034 – 80%
Plateau 2036 – 85% 2045 – 80% 2047 – 85%
* Belarus, Russia, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan
** Group 1: Article 5 parties not part of Group 2
*** Group 2: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, India, Iraq, Iran, Pakistan
www.iifiir.or
gVarious willingnesses initially, thus various obligations
But finally, a real ambition almost all over the world
Examples:
‒India: R32, hydrocarbons …
‒Saudi Arabia: district cooling …
US case
Everywhere, however, the energy issue :
A key discussion within the Montreal Protocol bodies
A need for internal cooperation to define a national
strategy: the Paris agreement
www.iifiir.or
56
gThe EU is in advance illegal trade…
But other regions start to change
→An opportunity for EU companies
→However, an adaptation is necessary: each country
is different. We cannot simply export our models:
ex: CO2 as a refrigerant.
→Cooperation UNE – R. Gluckman
→Presence of EPEE in international conferences: UN
conference, IIR Congress …
www.iifiir.or
57
g25th IIR International Congress of
Refrigeration 2019
www.iifiir.or
gThank you!
Questions?
Didier Coulomb, Director general
iif-iir@iifiir.org
INSTITUT INTERNATIONAL DU FROID | INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE OF REFRIGERATION
www.iifiir.org | iif-iir@iifiir.org | | | | #refrigeration
www.iifiir.or
59
gAny questions?
Closing remarks Andrea Voigt, EPEE
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