ENERGY SERVICES MARKET INTELLIGENCE REPORT - GreenCape
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GreenCape GreenCape is a non-profit organisation that works at the interface of business, government, and academia to identify and remove barriers to economically viable green economy infrastructure solutions. Working in developing countries, GreenCape catalyses the replication and large-scale uptake of these solutions to enable each country and its citizens to prosper. Acknowledgements This market intelligence report was produced in partnership with the Western Cape Government Department of Economic Development and Tourism. We thank Argon Poorun (lead author), Jack Radmore, Bruce Raw, Reshmi Wolvers and Johan Strydom for the time and effort that they have put into compiling this market intelligence report. Disclaimer While every attempt has been made to ensure that the information published in this report is accurate, no responsibility is accepted for any loss or damage to any person or entity relying on any of the information contained in this report. Copyright © GreenCape 2021 This document may be downloaded at no charge from www.greencape.co.za. All rights reserved. Subscribe to receive e-mail alerts or GreenCape news, events, and publications by registering as a member on our website: www.greencape.co.za Cover image courtesy of New Southern Energy 2nd Floor, North Wharf, 42 Hans Strijdom Ave, Foreshore, Cape Town, 8001 ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 Authors: Argon Poorun and Jack Radmore Editorial and review: Cilnette Pienaar, Jack Radmore. Lauren Basson and Nicholas Fordyce Images: GreenCape, City of Cape Town, New Southern Energy, Solar MD, Pxhere and Nicholas Fordyce Layout and design: Tamlin Lockhart i
CONTENTS Policy, legislation, and governance 35 3.1. Governance 37 3.1.1. National government 37 3.1.2. Local government 37 3.1.3. Industry bodies 37 3.2. Legislation and regulation 37 3.3. Policy and white papers 39 Introduction and purpose 9 0 2 1 3 Sector overview 11 Executive summary 1 2.1. International energy services market 14 What’s new? 7 2.2. South African market context 14 2.2.1. South African electricity landscape 14 2.2.2. The development of the energy services market in South Africa 14 2020 MIR 2021 2.3. Energy Services market drivers 16 2.3.1. Rising electricity costs 16 2.3.2. Falling costs of renewable energy technologies 17 SERVICES: 2.3.3. Supportive energy policies and regulations by the local and national government 19 2.3.4. Energy finance – facilitating the right type of finance into the sector 27 WATER: MIR 2.4. Key players 28 ENERGY 2.5. Energy Services market size 30 2.5.1. Small-scale embedded generation – rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) market size 31 2.5.2. Energy storage market size 32 2.5.3. Energy efficiency market size 32 03 ii
Funding and incentives 55 5.1. General funding opportunities 55 5.1.1. Green Finance Database 55 5.1.2. Government funding and incentives database 55 5.1.3. Finfind database 56 5.1.4. AlliedCrowds database 56 GreenCape’s support to businesses and investors 61 4 6 8 5 7 The Western Cape: Africa’s green economy hub 57 Emerging opportunities, drivers and barriers 41 4.1. Small-scale embedded generation 44 4.1.1. C&I rooftop PV diversification 44 4.1.2. Solar Power Purchase Agreements 45 4.1.3. PV for energy resellers 46 4.1.4. In-house capacity building 47 4.2. Battery energy storage 47 4.2.1. Backup power and UPS 48 4.3. Energy efficiency 49 4.3.1. Smart metering and demand-side management 50 4.3.2. Aggregated interventions for commercial new builds and retrofits 51 References 65
LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Energy Services interlinked market segments 13 Figure 2: Global Energy Services Market Share 14 Figure 3: Energy Services sector overview 15 Figure 4: Average Eskom tariff versus inflation (CPI) projected to 2022 16 Figure 5: Levelised cost of electricity (LCOE) per renewable energy technology in South Africa’s utility-scale programme, and Eskom average tariff trajectory 2010-2020 (Rand/kWh) 18 Figure 6: South African small scale solar PV price in 2018-2022 18 Figure 7: Uptake of SSEG processes in municipalities 21 Figure 8: Western Cape municipalities allowing SSEG to connect to the grid 25 Figure 9: Western Cape municipal SSEG feed-in tariffs 26 Figure 10: Western Cape municipal SSEG fixed tariff portion 26 Figure 11: Energy Services market value chain 29 Figure 12: Distribution of solar PV installations across end-user segments in South Africa 31 Figure 13: ESCos market for energy efficiency in South Africa 32 Figure 14: Energy consumption in South Africa by source (TWh) 33 Figure 15: Energy consumption in South Africa by sector (TWh) 34 Figure 16: Behind-the-meter energy storage cost trajectory per technology 2014-24 48 Figure 17: Number of energy efficiency projects by sector in South Africa 49 Figure 18: Average capital cost of energy efficiency projects in South Africa 50 ENERGY 03 iv 2020 MIR 2021 SERVICES: WATER: MIR
LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Eskom price increases 2010-2020 17 Table 2: South African solar PV price in 2020 19 Table 3: Provincial SSEG uptake summary 22 Table 4: List of municipalities allowing SSEG to connect to the grid 23 Table 5: Roles of key players in the Energy Services value chain 30 Table 6: Total energy savings opportunities and capital leveraged for small and large businesses identified by the PSEE programme 33 Table 7: Licensing and registration for different SSEG system sizes 38 Table 8: Emerging Energy Services opportunities 43 Table 9: Barriers and drivers of the Candi rooftop PV diversification opportunity 45 Table 10: Barriers and drivers of the Solar PPAs opportunity 45 Table 11: Barriers and drivers of the solar PV for energy resellers opportunity 46 Table 12: Barriers and drivers of the in-house capacity building opportunity 47 Table 13: Battery technology comparison 48 Table 14: Barriers and drivers of the energy storage opportunity 49 Table 15: Barriers and drivers of the smart metering and demand-side management opportunity 51 Table 16: Barriers and drivers of the aggregated commercial opportunity 52 ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 v
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AEEE Alliance for an Energy-Efficient Economy ESCo Energy services company BEE Bureau of Energy Efficiency GOF Green Outcomes Fund BTM Behind the meter GW Gigawatt CAGR Compound annual growth rate GWh Gigawatt-hours Candi Commercial and industrial HVAC Heating Ventilation and Cooling Capex Capital expenditure IEA International Energy Agency CCT City of Cape Town IEP Integrated Energy Plan CMVP Certified measurement and verification personnel IFC International Finance Corporation CO2e Carbon dioxide equivalent IPP Independent Power Producer COTS Commercially available off-the-shelf IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency CPI Consumer price index IRP Integrated Resource Plan CSIR Council for Scientific and Industrial Research kW kilowatt CSP Concentrated solar power kWh kilowatt hours DFI Development Finance Institution kWp kilowatt peak DMRE Department of Mineral Resources and Energy (National) LCOE Levelised cost of electricity DoE Department of Energy (National) MIR Market Intelligence Report DPE Department of Public Enterprises Mt Megatonnes dti Department of Trade and Industry MW Megawatt EAF Energy availability factor MWh Megawatt hours EE Energy efficiency MWp Megawatt peak EEMS Energy Efficient Monitoring System MYPD Multi-year price determination 2020 MIR 2021 EG Embedded generation NBI National Business Initiative EOI Expression of interest NCPC-SA National Cleaner Production Centre South Africa SERVICES: EPC Engineering Procurement Construction NEES National Energy Efficiency Strategy EPCM Engineering Procurement Construction Management NERSA National Energy Regulator of South Africa WATER: MIR ERA Electricity Regulation Act O&M Operation and maintenance ENERGY ES Energy services OEM Original equipment manufacturer ESC Energy supply contracting PACE Property Assessed Clean Energy ESt Energy storage PAYS® Pay As You Save® 03 vi
PPA Power purchase agreement PQRS Power quality and renewable services PSEE Private sector energy efficiency PV Photovoltaic RE Renewable energy REIPPPP Renewable Energy Independent Power Producers Procurement Programme RFP Request for Proposal SABIA South African Biogas Industry Association SAESA South African Energy Storage Association SALGA South African Local Government Association SANEDI South African National Energy Development Institute SAPVIA South African Photovoltaic Industry Association SASGI South African Smart Grid Initiative SAWEA South African Wind Energy Association SMEs Small- and medium-sized enterprises SMME Small-, medium- and micro-sized enterprises SONA State of the Nation Address SSEG Small-scale embedded generation StatsSA Statistics South Africa TOU Time of use vii ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 TWh TerraWatt hour UNIDO United Nations Industrial Development Organization UPS Uninterruptable power supply Exchange rates used: 1 US Dollar = R16.23 (October 2020)
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This market intelligence report is compiled for foreign direct and local investors that are looking to invest directly in the South African green economy through project development, asset management, equity, debt, equipment manufacturing, or support services. It highlights investment opportunities in embedded generation and energy efficiency, created by South Africa’s diversifying energy services market. The term ‘energy services’ is There are five main factors Despite the systemic shocks It showed remarkable resilience used to describe two key energy driving growth in the energy caused by the COVID-19 economic with full development pipelines market segments in the South services market: lockdown, the well-established holding the expected growth African energy space, namely (i) South African Energy Services trajectory through 2020 close to small-scale embedded generation South Africa’s above-inflation market continues to grow at the saturation point of 500 MWp (SSEG), which includes rooftop electricity price rises; national an increasing rate. annual installed capacity. As such, solar photovoltaic (PV) systems energy insecurity; decreasing the market is still expected to and energy storage, and (ii) energy technology costs; supportive The national embedded reach a total capacity of 7.5 GW by 2020 MIR 2021 efficiency. These market segments policies, regulations, and tariffs; generation market for installations, 2035 at an estimated market value are increasingly bolstered by and well-adapted finance options, operation and maintenance of R75 billion. SERVICES: offerings in the energy finance have all played an important role of rooftop solar PV has been sector, which in and of themselves in driving the growth of the energy identified as an important part WATER: MIR also present opportunities to services market. of the country’s immediate ENERGY financial investors. efforts towards energy security. 103
This steady growth, which The flexibility of application Energy efficiency was the hardest Significant untapped potential translates to the potential use-cases and the increasing hit by the economic shutdown still lies in this market for investors creation of ~1 250 jobs, is relevance of load-shedding- period of the lockdown. Unlike the and businesses, as it serves as an significant, considering the related risk will lead to an embedded generation segment, important, favourable option national expanded unemployment increasingly prevalent role of the decreased demand appetite and going forward in optimising energy level reaching 42.0%. in 2 storage segment in energy service access to stockpiled equipment led costs. The estimated market by 020. provision. The market is expected to a market contraction, with many 2035 is ~ R21 billion. In 2020 the SA energy storage to rise to ~ R31 billion, with 6.5 GWh companies being forced to limit market saw a surge in demand installed energy capacity by 2030. their workforce. from the commercial and agricultural sectors. ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 Solar PV installation in Cape Town CBD. ©GreenCape 2
Within the embedded There is significant opportunity This allows them to circumvent Within the energy efficiency generation market segment, in partnering with engineering, contractual arrangements with market segment, there are there are four emerging procurement and construction EPCs and reduce project costs. two emerging opportunities opportunities for investors: companies (EPCs) to back the The growth potential of this for investors: investment in meeting this demand. opportunity is highly attractive for Rooftop PV model diversification early-funding partners who can Smart metering and demand- for the commercial and industrial Solar PV for energy resellers: assist in backing such projects. side management: Development (Candi) sectors: A strong business In traditional resale, property in smart metering technologies case is driving increasing maturity, development owners (residential Within the energy storage market and increasing awareness of concentration, and competition in estates or shopping malls, for segment, there is an emerging the opportunity to both reduce the market. Hence, developers are example) can benefit from bulk opportunity for investors: commercial and residential extending the types of offerings, electricity, discounted from electricity bills and improve such as O&M-only contract rebuys municipalities. They can then sell Behind-the-meter (BTM) battery revenue collection result in and system bundling. This provides it to their tenants at the retail storage: The need for energy growing penetration over standard attractive, alternative access to rate instead of the potentially less independence and resilience, in prepaid meters in municipalities. the market for new entrants and preferential individual unit tariffs. light of on-going load shedding, is smaller players. Similarly, the property developer driving demand in back-up power Aggregated interventions for can install a solar PV system, and uninterruptible power supply commercial new builds and Solar power purchase agreements benefiting from a reduced power (UPS) applications, particularly retrofits: The end of the private (PPAs): Although access to purchase agreement rate. They in commercial, industrial and sector energy efficiency (PSEE) finance has improved with can then ‘on-sell’ the electricity agricultural applications programme in 2015, growth of commercial banks having generated by the PV system where the opportunity costs of the rooftop PV market, and tight developed dedicated solar to tenants at a rate equivalent energy insecurity are high. This margins against operational portfolios and spesific financial to the higher residential or opportunity is still small due to the and contracting costs have led mechansims, corporate and commercial tariff, depending on prohibitive high cost of batteries, to a decline in energy-efficiency capital-constrained customers the development. though it is expected to grow market participation, despite this 2020 MIR 2021 are opting to transfer the significantly as lithium-ion battery being an attractive intervention performance and investment risk In-house capacity building: prices continue to decrease over for consumers. However, there has SERVICES: onto the service provider, whilst Property development owners the next 5 to 10 years. been a resurgence in centralised also ensuring a long-term fixed who have identified the significant solutions for medium to large WATER: MIR reduced tariff. potential for rooftop PV across commercial buildings, particularly ENERGY their available portfolio are in water heating, which presents entering the market by developing the opportunity to aggregate in-house delivery capacity. benefits and project return. 03 3
ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 Ground mounted solar PV installation at Marlenique Estate. ©New Southern Energy 4
SUMMARY OF MARKET OPPORTUNITIES Opportunity Key drivers Requirement and barrier Expected Macro-environment timeframe Candi rooftop PV • Smaller rooftop PV projects are bundled • Competition can drive instances 1-5 years • Load shedding and security of supply diversification together to reach a scale where they of cost-cutting and installations are major concerns become attractive to larger investors of sub-par systems • Eskom and municipal electricity tariffs • Renewal of O&M contracts after 2-5 • Regulatory uncertainty on the rise years (project dependent) • Enables international project developers and investors to establish a footprint in South Africa Solar PPAs • Energy user does not need to raise • Offered at a premium in comparison 1-5 years • COVID-19 economic contraction has led upfront capital to buy-own model to businesses being conservative with • Long-term future energy cost stability • Complexity in negotiating PPA their balance sheets • Transfer performance and maintenance contracts • Eskom and municipal electricity tariffs risk to the installer on the rise • Option to buy system can be negotiated at a later stage PV for energy • PPA financing • Regulatory uncertainty 5-10 years • 3-5 solar PV tenders per month resellers • Wheeling frameworks are emerging • Lack of standardisation nationally in the last year — green in PPA contracts building industry on the rise • Reduction of carbon footprint • Home-owners association approval • Eskom and municipal electricity tariffs on the rise • National energy insecurity • The carbon tax bill currently in effect at R120/tCO2 with increases scheduled from 2022 onwards 2020 MIR 2021 In-house • Easy access to commercial finance • Regulatory uncertainty 5-10 years • Increasing awareness of strong PV capacity building • Access to a large portfolio of properties • Bridging the gap in technical expertise business case on medium to large SERVICES: and available roof space commercial properties • Circumvent PPAs • Eskom and municipal electricity tariffs WATER: MIR on the rise ENERGY • The carbon tax bill currently in effect at R120/tCO2 with increases scheduled from 2022 onwards 03 5
Opportunity Key drivers Requirement and barrier Expected Macro-environment timeframe Behind the • Easy access to commericial finance • Regulatory uncertainty 5-10 years • Increasing awareness of strong PV meter (BTM) • Access to a large portfolio of properties • Bridging the gap in technical expertise business case on medium to large battery storage and available roof space commercial properties – 1.5 GWh • Eskom and municipal electricity tariffs • Circumvent PPAs on the rise • The carbon tax bill currently in effect at R120/tCO2 with increases scheduled from 2022 onwards Smart metering • Complex time-of-use tariffs • Willingness to transition from standard 1-5 years • Utilities lose between 10 and 45% and demand-side • Developments in technology for wider prepaid meters of revenue to tampering and copper management accessibility and ease-of-use • Privacy concerns cable theft • Standardisation of smart meter • Uncertainties in municipality-wide • Eskom and municipal electricity regulations (NRS 049) implementation tariffs on the rise • Monitoring and bill reduction as a • The carbon tax bill currently in effect service • Reduces rates of tampering and theft through real-time alerts Aggregated • Legislative and regulatory changes for • Target market education and business 1-5 years • COVID-19 economic contraction has led interventions green buildings (SANS10400-XA) development to the businesses being conservative for commercial • The requirement of a 50% limit with their balance sheets new builds and on electricity used for water heating • Eskom and municipal electricity tariffs retrofits is driving the shift to centralised on the rise energy solutions particularly in building retrofits. ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 • 12L tax incentive • Falling cost of energy-efficient technologies 6
WHAT’S CLICK HERE NEW? TO WATCH A SUMMARY OF THE 2021 ENERGY SERVICES MIR OPPORTUNITIES This MIR provides an update on the opportunities, barriers, and regulations discussed in the 2020 Energy Services MIR. It also outlines emerging opportunities and barriers in small-scale embedded generation, energy efficiency, and energy storage. What happened in 2020 • March: Amendments to Schedule be in charge of registering the • July: The City of Cape Town 2 of the Electricity Regulation installations and report to NERSA. (CCT) launched a Small Scale • Feburary: The new draft Act 4 of 2006 were gazetted Embedded Generation Feed-in Energy Efficiency Standards on 26 March 2020. It exempts • May: Draft low voltage wiring code Incentive (R0.25/kWh) (SANS10400-XA 2nd edition) were certain power generation SANS 10142-1-2 – Part 1-2: Specific published for public comment. facilities of less than 1 MW in requirements for embedded • January – December: Rolling size from the requirement to generation installations blackouts (load shedding) • March: Phased national have a generation licence. If an connected to the low voltage continued with Eskom unable 2020 MIR 2021 lockdown in response to the installation meets the criteria distribution network in South to match current demand with COVID-19 pandemic led to a halt as stipulated in the amended Africa were released for public available supply. SERVICES: in economic activity and the schedule, the installation can be comment. It stipulates additional delivery of energy projects from registered with NERSA, instead of special requirements for low WATER: MIR 26 March 2020 to 31 May 2020 requiring a licence. It is expected voltage small-scale embedded ENERGY (2 months). that distribution operators, i.e. generator installations connected municipalities or Eskom, would to the electricity grid. 03 7
State of the Nation Address 2020 • Procuring emergency power This MIR updates the 2020 report • Energy Services market drivers from projects that can deliver and highlights the following: and barriers; In the State of the Nation Address electricity into the grid within 3 (SONA 2020), President Cyril to 12 months of approval. • updates on the state of small- • COVID-19 lockdown and its Ramaphosa announced measures scale embedded generation in impact on the Energy Services that the government would take to • Generating own-use power. South Africa; market; and rapidly and significantly change NERSA will continue to register the trajectory of energy generation small-scale distributed generation • updates on the state of energy • the influence of changes in policy in the country, including: for own use of under 1 MW, for storage in South Africa; and regulations such as the IRP which no licence is required. on future opportunities. • Bringing more renewable energy, • updates on the state of energy natural gas, hydropower and • Enabling municipalities to efficiency in South Africa; battery storage into the energy produce their power directly or mix through the Integrated procure from independent power • opportunities for players within Resource Plan 2019. producers (IPPs). the Energy Services market; ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 Gouda Wind Farm. ©Nicholas Fordyce 8
INTRODUCTION AND PURPOSE In response to changing demands, energy service providers are broadening their 2020 MIR 2021 market offerings. The South African Energy Services market holds opportunities for SERVICES: equipment suppliers, project developers, technical advisors, and financial investors. WATER: MIR ENERGY 03 9
Over the past 10 years, the concept The report is compiled for • In Section 4, emerging of energy services (ES) and energy foreign direct and local investors opportunities and their related services companies (ESCos) has (persons or organisations) that drivers and barriers are CLICK HERE evolved and matured in several are looking to invest directly in highlighted, followed by sections TO EMAIL markets around the world, the South African green economy that outline various finance GREENCAPE’S including South Africa. through project development, and investment incentives ENERGY SERVICES asset management, equity, debt, (Section 5), present the case for SECTOR DESK This market intelligence report equipment manufacture, or the Western Cape as a potential provides potential investors support services. greentech hub for Africa in the small-scale embedded (Section 6), and explain generation, energy storage, and In what follows: GreenCape’s work within the energy efficiency markets with a green economy (Section 7). greater understanding of market • The sector overview (Section 2) opportunities in South Africa, provides a national economic taking into account the size of overview of the ES market, Manufacturing job the opportunities, the level of risk including: opportunities in the SSEG market. involved, and current barriers. • the market context (small- ©GreenCape scale embedded generation, energy storage, and energy The global energy as a service efficiency); market is projected to reach • four major market drivers in USD 86.9 billion by 2024 from the South African ES market; an estimated USD 52.0 billion in • market sizing (small-scale 2019/20, at a compound annual embedded generation, energy growth rate (CAGR) of 10.8%. storage, and energy efficiency); This growth can be attributed • key players in the South to factors such as new revenue African ES market. generation streams for utilities, ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 increasing distributed energy • This is followed by an overview resources, decreasing cost of and update of policies, renewable power generation legislation, and governance and storage solutions, and the (Section 3) that guide and affect availability of tax benefits for the ES market. energy efficiency projects. (MarketsandMarkets 2019) 10
SECTOR OVERVIEW Rising electricity prices, national energy insecurity, dropping technology costs, 2020 MIR 2021 supportive energy policies, and incentives are prompting consumers to explore SERVICES: alternative energy options driving the growth of the Energy Services (ES) market in South Africa, and creating a thriving value chain. WATER: MIR ENERGY 03 11
ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 Solar PV installment in Cape Town ©GreenCape 12
This section provides an overview energy space, namely small-scale Figure 1: Energy Services interlinked market segments of the national ES context, embedded generation, which is covering market developments, currently dominated by rooftop key industry players, and the size solar photovoltaic (PV) systems, Small-scale embedded generation of the market. The term ”energy energy storage, and energy services” is used to describe efficiency. Figure 1 (to the right) three interlinked energy market breaks down the three interlinked ● Generation facilities of less than 1 MW. segments in the South African energy market segments. ● Located at residential, commercial or industrial sites, where electricity is generally consumed. ● Installed on the customer’s side of the Energy efficiency electricity meter. improvements – street light retrofitting. ©City of Cape Town Energy storage ● Energy storage systems are technologies in which electric energy is loaded and, when needed, discharged for consumption. 2020 MIR 2021 Energy efficiency SERVICES: ● Implementation of behaviour WATER: MIR change or technology to reduce ENERGY energy consumption, while producing the same or greater outputs. 03 13
2.1. International Energy 2.2. South African versus 79% in 2019) (Wright & Services market market context Calitz, 2020). However, a historic imbalance of supply and demand The global ES market is projected When breaking this down into Within a global landscape context, in South Africa’s single buyer to reach USD 86.9 billion by 2024 specific services, the market for the South African ES market energy model over more than 10 from an estimated USD 52.0 billion energy services is divided into remains nascent; however, each years has resulted in intensive load in 2019, at a compound annual supply, demand, and optimisation of these global trends can be shedding experienced country- growth rate (CAGR) of 10.8 per services, as seen in Figure 2. With a observed in the local market. wide during 2019 and the first half cent (MarketsandMarkets 2019). global focus on renewable energy of 2020. An estimated 1.3 TWh was This growth can be attributed (lower costs, reduced carbon 2.2.1. South African loadshed during these periods to factors such as new revenue footprint), it is projected that the electricity landscape (Wright & Calitz, 2020). Load generation streams for utilities, supply portion of the market will shedding has been driven by a increasing distributed energy dominate market growth over the South Africa’s electricity supply combination of factors, including: resources, decreasing costs of next five years. On a sector basis, is currently dominated by coal- renewable power generation the commercial, agricultural, and fired power generation. The • delayed commissioning and and storage solutions, and the industrial segments are projected country has coal-fired generation underperformance of newly built availability of tax benefits for to register the fastest growth over stations with an installed capacity coal generation capacity; energy-efficiency projects. the next five years. of between 36.5 GW and 40 GW. • degradation of the existing This represents more than 80% Eskom coal fleet energy of the country’s total installed availability factor (EAF) capacity, amounting to 48 GW declining from ~94% in 2002 (The Department of Energy 2019). to 67% in 2019/20. 45+15+40L Figure 2: Global Energy Services Market Share These stations are primarily (MarketsandMarkets 2019) owned and operated by Eskom, 2.2.2. The development of the the national power utility. Eskom Energy Services market in 45% supplies ~95% of South Africa’s South Africa 40% total electricity demand. The remaining 5% is met through As detailed above, the South ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 municipalities, imports, and African electricity market is independent power currently managed on a single 15% producers (IPPs). operator model by Eskom, a state- owned entity. Eskom is responsible There has been distinct demand for generation and transmission, DEMAND flattening since 2010, resulting and also controls a minority share SUPPLY in reduced dependence on coal- of the distribution market. OPTIMISATION SERVICES based electricity (87% in 2010 14
This single operator model is South Africa’s dependence on small-scale embedded generation scale embedded generation, designed to support developing this single operator model has and energy storage markets. energy storage, and energy electricity markets in need decreased over the past 10 years Continual increases in the cost efficiency), four major of structured long-term with the introduction of new of traditional electricity supply market drivers in the South infrastructure investments technologies, which are cheaper, have also led to improved demand African Energy Services (with 10 to 15-year construction capable of being decentralised, efficiencies (energy efficiency). market, and key players in timelines), and diverse demand and more low-carbon. The growth the South African Energy balancing of centralised of this decentralised market is The sections that follow detail Services market, as shown generation facilities. evidenced by the evolution of the the market context (small- in Figure 3 below. Figure 3: Energy Services sector overview Energy Services Small-scale embedded generation (SSEG) Energy efficiency Numbers refer to sections Rooftop solar PV Energy storage in the document 4.1.1. 4.1.3. 4.2.1. C&I deversified PV for energy resellers Behind-the-meter backup 4.1.2. 4.1.4. 2020 MIR 2021 4.3.1. 4.3.2. Solar PPAs In-house capacity building Smart metering and demand- Aggregated commercial side management retrofits SERVICES: WATER: MIR ENERGY 2.3. Drivers: Electricity price, RE price, supportive regulations (wheeling; SSEG) and tariffs, innovative finance, and service provider accreditation. 03 15
2.3. Energy Services • falling costs of renewable energy investors and businesses, in Figure 4 compares Eskom price market drivers technologies such as rooftop particular equipment suppliers, increases to the more conservative solar PV; project developers, technical increase in South Africa’s inflation Five major developments are • supportive energy policies and advisers, installers, and rate as reflected by the consumer transforming South Africa’s energy regulations by the local and financial investors. price ndex (CPI). The average market from a monopoly model national government; and standard Eskom tariffs have to a distributed generation model • energy financing programmes 2.3.1. Rising electricity costs risen by almost 300% since 2007. made up of multiple smaller and incentives. Historical data from both Eskom generators, buyers, and sellers: Rapidly rising Eskom electricity (2019) and StatsSA (2019), shown in In turn, these developments, prices have created a sizeable Figure 4, reveal that while inflation • rising energy prices; discussed in more detail demand for viable alternative has almost doubled since 2009, • national energy insecurity; below, create significant energy sources in South Africa. Eskom prices have tripled over opportunities for energy services the same period. Figure 4: Average Eskom tariff versus inflation (CPI) projected to 2022 Sources: Statistics South Africa (StatsSA) and Eskom (2019) 800 700 Normalised index (2012 = 100) 600 500 400 ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 300 200 100 3 4 5 6 07 8 9 0 1 2 13 4 15 16 7 18 19 20 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Year INFLATION (CPI) ESKOM TARIFF 16
Table 1: Eskom price increases 2010-2020 Inflation- Furthermore, as can be seen 2.3.2. Falling costs of renewable Average price in Table 1, the National Energy energy technologies Year Inflation (%) adjusted price increase (%) (c/kWh) Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) has approved an above CPI Renewable energy technology 2010 24.80 4.26 67.18 increase for Eskom for the past prices have been dropping 2011 25.20 4.99 80.45 10 years. steadily since 2010. For example, the global average price for solar 2012 24.80 5.62 88.90 The average standard Eskom tariff PV in 2018 was R1.22 kWh, down will increase from 116.72 c/kWh to from R5.33 kWh in 2010 (IRENA 2013 16.00 5.76 90.25 128.24 c/kWh in 2021— an increase 2019). It represents a ~77% drop 2014 8.00 6.09 91.65 of 9.8%. This is on top of the 5.22% in eight years. tariff increase the power utility has 2015 8.00 4.58 94.30 already negotiated for the same The most significant decreases year, which will bring the total in average cost have been in 2016 8.00 6.34 96.08 price hike to about 15%. solar PV and wind technologies. 2017 8.20 5.27 99.23 Figure 5 shows the levelised cost of electricity (LCOE) per 2018 5.20 4.62 99.32 renewable energy technology in South Africa’s utility-scale 2019 13.90 4.13 108.79 Renewable Energy Independent 2020 3.90 2.43* 116.72 Power Producer Procurement Programme (REIPPPP)1, and Eskom average tariff trajectory 2010-2020 (Rand/kWh). WATER: MIR ENERGY 2020 MIR 2021 SERVICES: 1 For more information on the REIPPPP, please see the GreenCape Utility Scale Renewable 03 Energy Market Intelligence Report 17
Figure 5: Levelised cost of electricity (LCOE) per renewable energy Figure 6: South African small-scale solar PV price in 2018-2022 technology in South Africa’s utility-scale programme, and Eskom average tariff trajectory 2010-2020 (Rand/kWh) 250 2 1,8 200 Round 1 1,6 Round 4 (b) 1,4 Rand 150 1,2 c/kWh Round 2 1 100 Round 3 0,8 0,6 Round 5 (estimate) 50 0,4 Round 4 (a) 0,2 0 0 2010 2015 2022 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Year and REIPPPP bid windows Year REIPPPP blended LCOE (c/kWh) ESKOM TARIFF (c/kWh) < 100 kWp < 500 kWp > 500 kWp This trend of falling technology Currently, the South African SSEG Figure 6 shows the trajectory of Technological maturaty, improved prices is also present in the South market is dominated by rooftop falling prices for small-scale solar finance, reduced costs of metering, African small-scale embedded solar PV, given the competitive PV installations from 2018 – 2020 and professional sign-off will be generation (SSEG) market. price, technical maturity, and (real) and 2021 — 2022 (estimates). the main drivers of cost reductions ease of implementation of over the next two years. ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 this technology. 18
In 2020, the small-scale solar PV levelised cost of energy is already less Section 3 (legislation, regulation, 1. The Department of Mineral than R1 kWh, as seen in Table 2 below. and policy) and Section 5 (funding Resources and Energy (DMRE) opportunities and incentives) has approved the capacity Table 2: South African solar PV price in 2020 discuss these in more detail. for municipalities to buy Regulatory developments as electricity from independent Capital cost of the described in Section 3 facilitate power producers (IPPs). In System size (kWp) PPA tariff (LCOE) system (R/kWp) the growing uptake of renewable the Amendment of Electricity energy options, particularly in Regulation Act 4 on New < 100 kWp R12 000 – R15 000 0.90c – R1.20 the 500 kWp R8 000 – R12 000 0.60c – 0.90c wind energy installations, to the in good financial standing will uptake of bioenergy. Similar to now be allowed to formulate an the amendments to licensing energy plan that does not rely regulations and guidelines from solely on the government-run As these prices continue to 2.3.3. Supportive energy the Department of Mineral Eskom. A specific ministerial drop across a variety of ES policies and regulations by Resources and Energy (DMRE) determination, like the one technologies, the financial case local and national government and NERSA, changes in municipal that enabled the various IPP for investment into ES regulation of SSEG installations programmes, may still be interventions improves. The regulatory environment has have contributed to increasingly needed to allow municipalities a direct impact on investment conducive market conditions to purchase directly from IPPs. This financial case is also opportunities, market growth, and for investors, project developers, Currently, there is no precedent supported by national energy job creation. To lower demand equipment suppliers, and technical for this. insecurity, as it is expected that on the national grid, and to advisers. Three major changes load shedding will continue for reduce carbon emissions, the are taking place on the local However, the City of Cape Town the next three to five years as new national government has put in government level: (CCT) has requested such a generation capacity is procured place several energy policies and determination2, and Ekurhuleni and brought into operation. incentives to encourage energy- municipality released a Request efficiency interventions and for Proposal (RFP) for IPP 2020 MIR 2021 alternative energy generation. generation in the second half of 2016, followed by Buffalo SERVICES: City in 2019. WATER: MIR ENERGY 2 The City of Cape Town has committed to purchasing ±520 MW of renewable energy over the next 15 years, with the majority of the other metro-municipalities also having committed 03 to purchases of a similar scale. 19
More recently, Merafong a. Electricity wheeling3, as There is currently In addition to enabling renewable municipality in October 2020 allowed by the National only one licensed energy energy technologies, the off- published an Expression of Regulator and implemented trader in South Africa, but take options detailed above interest (EOI) for solar PV by local municipalities, will there are numerous other would provide a platform for clusters. The success of such a allow generators to wheel entities currently applying to municipalities to engage and programme would ultimately rest their electricity to a willing the National Energy Regulator retain customers. Through on a ministerial determination buyer anywhere in the of South Africa (NERSA) for offering an additional avenue being made. Accordingly, the municipality or country. This trading licences. It is expected to prosumers5, municipalities ongoing changes in legislation is currently being implemented that in 2021 there will be would propose a new service to around generation licensing and by City of Tshwane, Nelson multiple electricity traders electricity generators as well as own-use present opportunities Mandela Bay Metropolitan operating in South Africa. consumers interested in procuring for municipalities to increase Municipality, the City of Cape clean energy. their participation in the Town, Stellenbosch, These new off-take options generation sector, and thus their Drakenstein and Eskom. present an opportunity for high 3. The country-wide rollout of energy autonomy. and medium voltage commercial national small-scale embedded b. The release of regulations and industrial customers with generation rules, regulations, and 2. Increasing off-take agreement that allow private sector high energy bills, and buildings tariffs to promote the safe and options under third party energy trading4 has opened that currently are not able to legal uptake of SSEG for own use6. grid access regulations the market to private sector install rooftop PV. The associated for small-scale embedded power purchase agreements costs for making use of a local electricity generators and on-sales to private distribution utility network remain consumers using the national high (30 c/kWh – 90 c/kWh off- and local distribution networks. peak vs peak time). ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 3 Wheeling is the transportation of electrical energy from a generator to a separate electrical load, by making use of municipal or Eskom grid infrastructure and power purchase agreements (PPAs). 4 Electricity trading is the transportation of electrical energy from a generator to a separate electrical load, by making use of municipal or Eskom grid infrastructure and power purchase agreements (PPAs). The difference is that a private sector electricity trader or third party will purchase the electricity, pay the local municipality/Eskom to wheel it over their network, and sell it to a willing customer. 5 A prosumer is an entity or person who produces and consumes a product, in this case electricity. 6 The generation of electricity on the load site where it will also be consumed. 20
Figure 7 shows the upward trend of municipalities adopting SSEG processes from 2016 to 2020. Figure 7: Uptake of SSEG processes in municipalities Source: SALGA 2020 60 56 50 Number of municipalities 41 44 40 34 31 30 29 25 21 25 20 17 18 10 10 12 5 3 0 Feb 2016 Nov 2016 Oct 2017 Oct 2018 Jun 2020 ALLOW SSEG OFFICIAL APPLICATION PROCESS SSEG TARRIFF 2020 MIR 2021 SERVICES: More and more businesses are installing rooftop WATER: MIR solar PV systems ENERGY with municipalities allowing SSEG. ©GreenCape 03 21
Table 3 represents the best level have a formal application process, of information obtained by the and those that have NERSA- South African Local Government approved SSEG tariffs. This allows Association (SALGA) on the uptake them to credit customers for excess of SSEG processes in municipalities electricity exported onto their by October 2020. It gives a regional distribution networks. The table breakdown of municipalities that also shows the percentage of the allow SSEG installations on their national registered SSEG systems distribution network, those that in each province. Table 3: Provincial SSEG uptake summary Source: SALGA 2020 Number of Number of municipal Number of Number of Percentage of municipalities with Provinces electricity distributors municipalities allowing municipalities with national registered official application in the province SSEG installations SSEG tariffs SSEG systems processes Eastern Cape 22 6 6 2 4 Free State No data Gauteng 9 4 3 2 46 KwaZulu-Natal 25 3 2 1 13 Limpopo 16 6 5 1 1 Mpumalanga 14 4 4 3 6 Northern Cape 24 9 4 3 2 ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 North West 13 2 2 0 6 Western Cape 25 24 18 19 23 TOTAL 165 58 44 31 – % of licensed 38 28 20 – – distributors: 22
Table 4 gives a more detailed overview of the municipalities that allow SSEG installations within their municipalities, either on a case-by-case basis or through an application process. Table 4: List of municipalities allowing SSEG to connect to the grid Source: SALGA 2020 Have an official SSEG Have a NERSA approved Province Municipality Allow SSEG onto the network? application process? SSEG tariff? Buffalo City Yes Yes Yes Dr Beyers Naude Yes Yes No Eastern Cape King Sabata Dalindyebo Yes Yes No Kouga Yes Yes No Makana Yes Yes No Nelson Mandela Bay Yes Yes Yes Ekurhuleni Yes Yes No Johannesburg Yes Yes Yes Gauteng Tshwane Yes Yes Yes Rand West City Yes No No Umhlathuze Yes No No KZN eThekwini Yes Yes Yes Greater Kokstad Yes Yes No Ba-Phalaborwa Yes Yes No 2020 MIR 2021 Elias Motswaledi Yes Yes No SERVICES: Ephraim Mogale Yes Yes Yes Limpopo Greater Tzaneen Yes Yes No WATER: MIR ENERGY Polokwane Yes Yes No Thaba Chweu Yes No No 03 23
Table 4: Continued... Have an official SSEG Have a NERSA approved Province Municipality Allow SSEG onto the network? application process? SSEG tariff? Mbombela Yes Yes Yes Emalahleni Yes Yes Yes Mpumalanga Govan Mbeki Yes Yes Yes Msukaligwa Yes Yes No !Kheis Municipality Yes No No Gamagara Yes Yes Yes Hantam Yes No No Kai!Garieb Yes No data Yes Northern Cape Karoo Hoogland Yes Yes No Nama Khoi Yes No No Sol Plaatjie Yes No data Yes Thembelihle Yes Yes No Ubuntu Yes Yes No Matlosana Yes Yes No ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 North West JB Marks Yes Yes No 24
Figure 8 gives a more detailed While the average tariff remains low, Municipalities are moving tariffs In 2020 the City of Cape Town overview of the Western Cape there is still a viable business case, to be more cost-reflective7, with implemented a 25c/kWh municipalities that allow built on the value of self-consumed the bulk of their costs accounted SSEG feed-in tariff incentive SSEG installations within their electricity. Figure 9 below details for by energy time-of-use above the existing feed-in tariff. municipalities, either on a case- the current feed-in tariffs across the purchases from Eskom. Figure 10 This is available for a year for by-case basis or through an municipalities in the Western Cape. below details the current fixed all new customers, and means application process. There is a There is currently no guarantee on portion of Western Cape the feed-in tariff would be large range of SSEG tariffs across the structure and cost of municipal municipal SSEG tariffs. as high as R1/kWh. the municipalities listed in Table 4 consumption and feed-in tariffs and Figure 8. from year to year. Figure 8: Western Cape municipalities allowing SSEG to connect to the grid Matzikama Cederberg Beaufort West Bergrivier Witzenberg Saldanha Prince Albert Bay Laingsburg Swartland Breede 2020 MIR 2021 Oudtshoorn George Valley Drakenstein Stellenbosch Langeberg SERVICES: Theewaterskloof Mossel City of Cape Town Hessequa Bay Bitou WATER: MIR Cape ENERGY Knysna Agulhas Swellendam 7 Two part tariffs with both variable and fixed portions. Overstrand 03 25
Rand Rand Be Be au au fo fo r tW rt W R- R0,20 R0,40 R0,60 R0,80 R1,00 R1,20 es es R- R500 R1 000 R1 500 R2 000 R2 500 R3 000 R3 500 R4 000 R4 500 Be tL Be tL rg oc rg oc riv al r iv al ie ie r Lo rL Bi c al Bi oc al Br to Br to ee u ee u de Lo de Lo Va ca Va ca C lle l C l l ap ap le e y e y Ag Lo Ag Lo ul ca l u lh ca l RESIDENTIAL FEED-IN TARIFF 2019/20 RESIDENTIAL FEED-IN TARIFF 2019/20 ha C s C as ed Lo ed Lo er ca er ca C be l C be l ity r g ity rg of L oc of Lo C al C ca D ap D ap l ra e ra e ke To ke To ns w ns w te n te n in in Lo Lo G ca G ca eo eo rg l rg l Figure 9: Western Cape municipal SSEG feed-in tariffs H e H e es Lo es Lo se ca se ca qu l qu l Figure 10: Western Cape municipal SSEG fixed tariff portion Ka a Ka a nn L oc nn L oc al al al al an an d d Lo Lo Kn ca Kn ca ys n l ys n l a a COMMERCIAL FEED-IN TARIFF 2019/20 COMMERCIAL FEED-IN TARIFF 2019/20 La La in Lo in Lo gs ca gs ca bu l bu l La rg La rg ng Lo ng Lo eb ca eb ca er l er l M g M g ai Lo ai Lo zi ca zi ca ka ka m l m l M a M a os Lo os Lo Western Cape Municipalities Western Cape Municipalities se ca se ca lB l lB l O ay O ay ud L ud L ts oc ts oc ho al ho al or or RESIDENTIAL AVERAGE O n O n ve Lo ve Lo rs ca rs ca tr tr Pr a nd l Pr a nd l in in ce Lo ce Lo AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL FIXED FEE Al ca Al ca Sa be l Sa be l ld rt ld rt an Lo an Lo ha ca ha ca St Ba l St Ba l el y el y le Lo le Lo nb ca nb ca os l os l ch ch Sw Lo Sw Lo ar ca ar ca tla l tla l COMMERCIAL AVERAGE Sw nd Sw nd el le L oc el le L oc Th nd Th nd ee al ee al w am w am at Lo at Lo er ca er ca sk sk lo l lo l W of W of itz Lo itz Lo en ca en ca be l be l rg rg AVERAGE COMMERCIAL FIXED FEE Lo Lo ca ca l l 26 ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021
Overall, these changes at The investment is recovered as • The Green Outcomes Fund: patient, and affordable finance municipal level complement a portion of the monthly rates The Green Outcomes Fund (GOF) packages for commercial and legislative updates on a national collected by the respective is a first of its kind structure, residential solar PV. The inclusion level, e.g. the gazetted Integrated municipality. which incentivises local South of the commercial banking sector Resource Plan 2019, and future African fund managers to may reduce some opportunities changes such as the unbundling • Pay as You Save® (PAYS®): increase investment in green for less traditional investors such of the national utility, Eskom. PAYS® is an inclusive financing small-, medium- and micro- as equity funds; however, it could Together these changes herald solution that allows all utility sized enterprises (SMMEs). unlock the SSEG opportunity a freer, more ‘liberalised’ customers to access cost- for end-users and installers, electricity market, in which all effective energy efficiency engineering, procurement and FOR MORE INFORMATION stakeholders are empowered in upgrades and distributed construction contractors (EPCs), ON GOF, PLEASE VISIT their energy choices. renewable energy assets, and ESCos by providing accessible THE GOF WEBSITE regardless of income, credit and affordable financing. 2.3.4. Energy finance – history, or renter status (The facilitating the right type of Lab 2018). This is particularly Financing for SSEG, specifically Banks’ offerings include finance into the sector important for financing rooftop solar PV, is underpinned mechanisms that cover 70% to programmes that aim to serve by thousands of small contracts 100% of capital costs with a five- to The growth of the South African market segments that are with consumers. Traditionally, ten-year loan repayment. However, ES market is aided by ”green” hard to reach. Of the three commercial banks have favoured by making use of pre-selected energy finance offerings that mechanisms listed here, this big solar/wind farms because they EPCs and meticulous energy facilitate the tailored finance is the least developed in are generally based on contracts audits, banks ensure that financed solutions for the energy sector. South Africa. with investment-grade utilities and projects are designed so that the Several exciting finance international companies. Only in the customer’s savings generated mechanisms are being tested past two years have the majority from the solar installation are in the market. CLICK HERE TO of the commercial banks started greater than the loan repayments. ACCESS THE PAYS to provide tailored mechanisms for This results in a positive cash flow. • Property assessed clean energy INDUSTRY BRIEF rooftop solar PV investments. (PACE): PACE is a financing 2020 saw commercial banks' 2020 MIR 2021 mechanism that enables low- Commercial and residential debt SSEG risk profiles improving, cost, long-term funding for largely remains closely tied to resulting in reduced finance SERVICES: energy efficiency, renewable strong individual credit scores and costs. Commercial banks have energy, and water conservation existing bank-customer relations. seen significant growth of WATER: MIR (resource efficiency) projects However, in 2017, the big five banks successful projects on their loan ENERGY installed by ESCos on properties. in South Africa started to focus books with portfolios tripling in on rooftop PV’s unique financing the past two years. needs, providing more targeted, 03 27
As a result, perceived risk 2.4. Key players is stabilising, and finance offerings are becoming more Figure 11 shows the Energy competitive. The commercial Services (ES) value chain and key banks are also exploring new players in the value chain, with the approaches to loan collateral. roles of specific actors outlined in Whereas in the past security Table 5. has been tied to the asset or balance sheet of the client, The value chain is based on financiers increasingly prefer the stages of a generic energy agreements which tie security intervention, showing the types to the property on which the of services or products provided asset is installed. by key players during an energy service provision. This represents a Amortising debt is still the most simplified view of the value chain. cost-competitive form of finance In practice, the roles of these actors for invest-to-own scenarios. often shift with relative fluidity. For However, financiers have noted example, the boundary between that PPAs, whilst more expensive, a project developer, Engineering, are growing for the following main Procurement and Construction reason — cash flow stability. A (EPC) company, and installer is PPA provides a clear indication often blurred, with players taking of electricity costs, and the client on different roles depending on the does not always want to own the size, cost, ease of implementation, system or take on the performance or other project-specific factors. risk. This is especially true for large corporate clients. ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 ACCESS TO INNOVATIVE FINANCE INDUSTRY BRIEF The green economy has the potential to create a wide range of decent jobs. ©GreenCape 28
Figure 11: Energy Services market value chain Energy Energy Technical Operation & Measurement Services Finance Installations audit design maintenance & verification Value Chain Energy Service Companies Consultants Consultants Banks Self fund PPA Funders Product/Service Providers Manufacturers Suppliers 2020 MIR 2021 Installers SERVICES: Engineering Procurement, Engineering Procurement, WATER: MIR Construction (EPCs) Construction & Management (EPCMs) ENERGY Project developers 03 29
Table 5: Roles of key players in the Energy Services value chain As with much of South Africa’s green economy, the Energy Key player Role Services value chain is dominated by small- and medium-sized Energy services companies (ESCos) ESCos are active across the whole value chain, aside from measuring and validation, as enterprises (SMEs). As the market independent consultants also perform this function. There are two generic ESCo-type energy contract models: continues to develop, disruption • Energy supply contracting (ESC), which delivers units of energy. will be a feature of this nascent • Energy performance contracting, which provides energy savings economic sector. Adapting to this determined by comparison to an established and agreed-upon baseline. type of rapid growth is easier for SMEs, as pre-existing corporate Consultants Consultants include energy auditors, planning engineers, certified measurement and verification personnel (CMVP), accountants, and lawyers. structures and sunk investment do not hamper them. That said, Financiers Financiers provide funding and financing mechanisms to realise projects. their growth could be stifled by • Project finance – commercial banks (commercial and asset funding), their inability to scale up or down self-funded individuals (with cash reserves) and PPA financiers (such as private equity funds, debt facilities). fast enough to take advantage • Funding for ESCos (not detailed in the diagram) – commercial banks, of opportunities. private equity funds, corporate foundations, private and family foundations, and venture capitalists. 2.5. Energy Services Manufacturers and suppliers Manufacturers and suppliers include technology suppliers or original equipment market size manufacturers (OEMs). They manufacture and supply equipment, and form part of typical energy efficiency or supply interventions. Using the total available market for the small-scale embedded Installers Most energy service companies, EPCs and project developers make use of specialised installers for both energy efficiency and SSEG (technology specific). generation (solar rooftop PV systems) installed in the country, Engineering, procurement and EPCs design interventions, procure and install tailored turnkey energy efficiency and/or energy storage, and capital construction (EPC) company renewable energy solutions. leveraged in energy efficiency EPCM (Engineering, Procurement, Under an EPCM contract, the owner maintains more control of the project. interventions implemented by Construction Management) The contractor manages the construction project, but only under the direction of the South African energy users, South ENERGY SERVICES: MIR 2021 owner. With an EPCM contract, the owner is responsible for hiring suppliers, construction workers and other contractors, and the EPCM contractor will manage these contractors. Africa’s total available ES market is valued at ~R131 billion by 2035. Project developers Project developers handle tasks that focus on moving the project along toward successful completion. In the ES value chain, they play more of a business development role as they focus on, for example, project design The total available market is and procurement, but make use of specialised installers. the total untapped demand for a product or service in the ES market. The total available market size detailed in this 30
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