ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK'S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION
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Knowledge Transfer Network Knowledge Transfer Networks Accelerating business innovation: Materials a Technology Strategy Board programme ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION www.materialsktn.net
AUTHOR Dr Kathryn P Jackson National Metals Technology Centre Ltd (NAMTEC) DISCLAIMER The views and judgements expressed in this report reflect the consensus reached by the author and contributors and do not necessarily reflect those of the organisation to which they are affiliated. Whilst every care has been taken in compiling the information in this report, neither NAMTEC nor the Materials KTN can be held responsible for any errors, omission or subsequent use of this information. FURTHER INFORMATION Please contact: Materials KTN Metals and Alloys Group National Metals Technology Centre Ltd (NAMTEC) University of Sheffield Advanced Manufacturing Research Centre Wallis Way Catcliffe Rotherham S60 5TZ T +44(0)114 222 1747 E info@namtec.co.uk
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Nuclear energy will have a significant role to seven threats have been identified: uncertainty play in the UK’s future energy mix, providing in the economic climate; engagement of Tier 1 a zero-carbon base load alongside a mixture suppliers; supply of ultra large forgings; global of renewables and low-carbon fossil fuel competition; manufacturing capabilities; culture sources. The UK’s ambitions for nuclear of quality; and shortage of skills and loss of energy in 2020 offer significant challenges knowledge. Overall, the UK is regarded as and opportunities for UK manufacturing strong in terms of manufacturing capabilities, industry; ambitious timescales for new builds with some improvement in capacities required will be progressed to replace existing fleet in some areas. which is close to decommissioning, which will be followed by further expansion to Opportunities to alleviate these threats include increase the UK’s nuclear capacity. The aim engagement with nuclear OEMs, development of this Materials KTN review is to highlight the of the UK’s capacity for ultra large forgings, opportunities and challenges for materials and support for Tier 2 to 4 suppliers, and training manufacturing arising from the UK’s nuclear and skills. Knowledge transfer with other new build programme in three areas: supply high value manufacturing sectors such as of raw materials; manufacturing supply chain; oil and gas, aerospace and fossil fuel power and operations and maintenance. This review generation will help the UK to develop has been derived from a combination of a its capabilities and quality of culture in stakeholder consultation and literature survey. preparation for penetrating the market for Four areas of potential risk arising from the nuclear new build. supply of raw materials have been identified: In the area of operations and maintenance, availability of speciality alloying elements; the UK has established capabilities for availability of certain grades of stainless operating and maintaining nuclear plant steels; the impact of REACH regulations; and maintaining the traceability of supply of developed through the UK’s civil nuclear materials across the supply chain. The risk legacy. Challenges to the operations and of supply of speciality alloying elements is maintenance of new build plant include limited regarded to be low, whilst the availability of access to data and knowledge sharing on down-stream materials is of greater concern materials for PWRs, and loss of knowledge to the nuclear industry. through aging of personnel. Opportunities for innovation to mitigate these Opportunities to mitigate these risks include risks include consolidation of production of engagement with international knowledge- specialised steel grades to mitigate supply sharing programmes, knowledge retention chain bottlenecks and improve quality control, and storage, and development of condition retention of scarce materials by closed-loop based monitoring. Knowledge transfer with the recycling, and quality control of the supply aerospace and fossil fuel power generation chain by monitoring and training. sectors will help to develop approaches to In the area of the manufacturing supply chain, operations and maintenance. www.materialsktn.net 3
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This report has been written by the Materials KTN Metals and Alloys Group in co-ordination with the Materials UK Energy Materials Working Group (EMWG). The author would like to express her gratitude to the EMWG alongside all other contributors to the stakeholder consultation for their input to the report. The contributors are listed below. Steve Court Nuclear AMRC David Hall Nuclear AMRC Martin Ride Nuclear AMRC Rob Mitchell Rolls-Royce plc Juan Matthews UKTI Chris Savage Nuclear Industry Association (NIA) Michael Burke Dalton Nuclear Institute 4 www.materialsktn.net
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION CONTENTS 1 Introduction 7 1.1 Trends in the UK Nuclear Energy Landscape 8 1.2 Technology Overview 11 2 Supply of Raw Materials 16 2.1 Threats to Supply of Raw Materials 17 2.2 Opportunities to Alleviate Threats to Supply of Raw Materials 19 3 Manufacturing Supply Chain 21 3.1 Threats to Manufacturing Supply Chain 22 3.2 Opportunities to Alleviate Threats to Manufacturing Supply Chain 30 4 Operations and Maintenance 35 4.1 Threats to Operations and Maintenance 36 4.2 Opportunities to Alleviate Threats to Operations and Maintenance 38 5 Conclusions and Recommendations 41 References 44 www.materialsktn.net 5
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION 1 INTRODUCTION Nuclear power generation will have a Written by the Materials KTN in co-ordination with the significant role to play in the UK’s energy Materials UK Energy Materials Working Group (EMWG), the aim of this review is to provide a fresh perspective mix in 2020 and beyond, providing a zero on the threats and opportunities for the UK’s 2020 carbon base load to supplement a variety nuclear targets, focussing specifically on materials of renewable and low-carbon fossil fuel aspects. The review is based primarily on stakeholder energy sources. The UK’s existing nuclear consultation, the contributors to which are listed in the capacity of around 10GW is predicted Acknowledgements, with references to supporting to be mostly be decommissioned by literature made throughout the text wherever possible. 2020, meaning that the initial focus of This review will build on the findings of previous the nuclear new build programme is reviews of the manufacturing supply chain for nuclear. to replace the existing capacity before The UK’s capability to deliver a new nuclear build expanding capacity. This section outlines programme was reviewed by the Nuclear Industry Association (NIA) in 2006 [1] and updated in 2008 the trends in the UK’s nuclear energy [2]. The review gave a detailed evaluation of the landscape towards 2020 which are driving UK’s capability to deliver both the AREVA EPR and the need for development in materials and Westinghouse AP1000 designs. A new issue of manufacturing. the report is currently under review and is due to be released later this year. The supply chain for a nuclear new build programme was also reviewed by NAMTEC in 2008 [3], which reviewed both the capability and capacity of supply chains including aspects of planning, construction, operation, maintenance, waste management, and decommissioning of a nuclear power station. As part of the introduction, the trends in the UK’s nuclear energy landscape are outlined in section 1.1. The technology of future nuclear plant in the UK is summarised in section 1.2, with the two major plant designs (Westinghouse AP1000 and AREVA EPR) considered in sections 1.2.1 and 1.2.2 respectively. Opportunities and challenges arising from the supply of raw materials, the manufacturing supply chain and operations and maintenance are reviewed in sections 2, 3 and 4 respectively. Each section highlights the threats arising in each of the areas and opportunities to alleviate these threats through innovation and knowledge transfer. Conclusions and recommendations are given in section 5. References are listed at the end of the report, with hyperlinks to the original online sources where possible. www.materialsktn.net 1
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION 1.1 TRENDS IN THE UK NUCLEAR ENERGY and widely regarded as safe; control of radioactive LANDSCAPE waste is well understood and control systems and structures are designed to fail-safe and minimise The UK currently has ten operational nuclear power risk. Concerns over safety which were raised by the stations, ranging in capacity from 434 to 1210 MW, Fukushima disaster in 2011 were investigated and with a total installed capacity of around 10 GW (Table found to have no serious implications on the UK’s 1). Nuclear provided 16% of the UK’s electricity plans for a nuclear new build programme [4]. It is supply in 2010, the third largest contributor to the for these reasons that nuclear power will continue to energy mix (Table 2, Figure 1). Nuclear energy has make a significant contribution to the UK’s energy the advantages of being zero-carbon, economically mix for the foreseeable future, helping the UK to competitive, and producing a steady and controllable achieve its carbon emissions targets whilst ensuring base-load of supply. The technologies involved that supply continues to meet demand and mitigating in nuclear power generation are well-established future price increases of electricity. 2 www.materialsktn.net
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION Year of Installed commission or Cease Operator Plant Reactor type Capacity (MW) year operation generation began Dungeness B 1040 1983 2018 AGR Hartlepool 1190 1984 2019 AGR Heysham 1 1160 1984 2019 AGR Heysham 2 1210 1988 2023 AGR Hinkley Point B 870 1976 2016 AGR British Energy Sizewell B 1191 1995 2035 PWR Hunterston B 890 1976 2016 AGR Torness 1205 1988 2023 AGR Oldbury 434 1967 2012 Magnox Wylfa 980 1971 2012 Magnox Total installed 10170 capacity (MW) Table 1 Nuclear power stations in the UK operational at the end of May 2011 [5]. Cease dates from [6-7]. Primary and Secondary GWh Percentage Production Gas 175,003 46 Coal 107,694 28 Nuclear 62,140 16 Other renewables 12,837 3 Wind 10,216 3 Oil 4,860 1 Hydro 3,603 1 Other 1,625 0 Total production 377,977 Table 2 Primary and secondary production of electricity in the UK in 2010 [5] www.materialsktn.net 3
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION UK Primary Electricity Production 2010, GWh 3,603 4,860 1,625 10,216 12,837 Gas Coal Nuclear 62,140 Other renewables Wind 175,003 Oil Hydro Other 107,694 Figure 1 Primary and secondary production of electricity in the UK in 2010 [5] Seven of the ten nuclear power stations which are sources, possible scenarios for the future energy currently operational in the UK are due to cease mix have been put forwards by the National Grid [8], operation by 2020 (Table 1). The UK has steadily which predicted that the UK’s capacity for nuclear reduced its nuclear capacity over the last two in 2020 could be between approximately 5 and 10 decades, with most of the older Magnox reactors GW, depending on the rate of growth of the various reaching the end of their lives. The initial objectives for energy generation methods. In 2011 the Government the nuclear new build programme to 2020 and beyond suggested that by 2030 new nuclear could contribute are therefore to replace the UK’s existing capacity 10–15 GW, with up to 20 GW achievable if build rates for nuclear. However, it is possible that the operation are higher [9]. Industry has announced ambitions of the existing fleet may be safely extended for a to build 16 GW by 2025, and if one reactor could be limited period of time to supplement supply whilst the completed each year from 2019 onwards, it would new fleet is built. This will be dictated by materials be possible to reach around 20 GW by 2030 [9]. The degradation issues, and hence understanding of total new build programme is predicted to consist of materials will be essential to underpin any possible approximately 8 plants, with the first one likely to be lifetime extension. Hinkley Point C (3,260 MW output) operated by EdF The UK government is committed to a low-carbon Energy, which is currently the subject of a nuclear site economy and transitions in the UK energy mix will licence application [10] due for completion before make a significant contribution to this. The UK is the end of 2012. EdF will not give a target date for setting a leading example for low-carbon energy generation until after it has made its final investment generation by supporting innovation and development decision [11], but this is likely to be set a few years of skills in energy technology which have the potential behind its previously stated date 2017. Electricity to be a major facilitator of economic growth in the generated by nuclear is currently cost-competitive with immediate term, whilst providing a sustainable, other electricity generation technologies, and recent affordable and low-carbon energy supply in the longer independent studies indicate that new nuclear is likely term. The coming decades will be an exciting and to become the least expensive generation technology dynamic time for the UK’s energy industry, with the in the future [9]. low carbon transition mainly facilitated through rapid Despite the UK’s clear commitment towards a nuclear growth in offshore wind, carbon capture and storage new build programme, progress has been hampered and new nuclear. by economic uncertainty and the Fukushima disaster. Although the UK government has not defined targets Plans for the second plant at Wylfa in Anglesey had for the UK’s future energy mix with the aim of leaving been expected to be submitted by Horizon Nuclear the market open for competition from different energy power (joint venture of E.ON UK and RWEnpower). 4 www.materialsktn.net
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION However, in March 2012 Horizon withdrew its plans for 1.2 TECHNOLOGY OVERVIEW nuclear new build at Wylfa due to uncertain economic conditions and the accelerated nuclear phase out Two designs have passed generic design assessment in Germany [12]. As a result, plans for nuclear new (GDA) in the UK and therefore can be used for build in the UK have been delayed from the 15-year the UK’s new nuclear fleet: the Westinghouse timelines that were initially projected in 2010, and AP1000 (1154 MWe) [13] and the AREVA European a revised timeline of development is impossible to Pressurised Reactor (EPR) (>1650 MWe) [14]. predict with any certainty at this stage. The delays Both designs are Generation III+ pressurised have placed additional pressure on the timescales for water reactors (PWRs) and are based on similar completion and commissioning of the new nuclear technologies and materials. However, there are plants, and extended safe operation of aging fleet may some fundamental differences in the designs which be necessary to support the early build phases of the will have implications on the required capabilities of new nuclear fleet. the supply chain, the manufacturing processes and the method of construction. The technologies of these two designs and the key issues related to their manufacturing are summarised in this section. Figure 2 Basic principle of operation of a pressurised water reactor (PWR) based on [5] Steam Generator Pressurised water reactor Steam Control rods Turbine Reactor core Generator Electricity Water Condensor Hot water Containment Structure www.materialsktn.net 5
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION The basic principle of operation of a PWR is illustrated etc, and hence increases construction costs in Figure 2. In a PWR the primary coolant (water) and complexity. The reactor pressure vessel is is pumped under high pressure to the reactor core manufactured from ductile steel but as the plant is where it is heated by the energy generated by the operated neutron flux from the reactor causes this fission of atoms. The heated water then flows to a steel to become less ductile (radiation embrittlement). steam generator where it transfers its thermal energy Eventually the ductility of the steel will reach limits to a secondary system through a large number of determined by the applicable boiler and pressure narrow tubes which act as a heat exchanger. This vessel standards, and the pressure vessel must be generates steam in the secondary circuit which repaired or replaced. This might not be practical or turns a steam turbine which, in turn, spins an electric economic, and so determines the life of the plant. generator. After passing through the turbine the A further risk associated with PWRs is the need for secondary coolant (water-steam mixture) is cooled ongoing cooling for one to three years after shut down and condensed in a condenser before being down to avoid overheating and meltdown. If the pumped back to the steam generator as feedwater, primary coolant is lost (as in the Fukushima disaster prior to which it is sometimes preheated to minimise in 2011) the zirconium alloy used for casing the thermal shock. The condenser maintains a vacuum nuclear fuel rods can reach very high temperatures at the turbine outlet so that the pressure drop across (above 2200oC), at which it spontaneously explodes the turbine, and hence the energy extracted from the in contact with water, producing hydrogen and oxygen steam, is maximised. and therefore hydrogen explosions. PWRs constitute the majority of all western nuclear power plants and are favoured for the following reasons: 1.2.1 Westinghouse AP1000 || The primary and secondary steam circuits are separated, and hence the transfer of radioactivity The Westinghouse AP1000 is the only Generation from the reactor core to the steam turbine is III+ reactor to receive Design Certification from mitigated the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) [13]. Around half of the world’s 440 nuclear plants || PWRs are inherently stable and therefore safer are based on Westinghouse technology. The than other designs because they produce Westinghouse design is rated at 1154MW, slightly less power as temperatures increase because smaller than the APR at >1650 MWe, which pressurised water is used as the moderator and allows for modular construction (Figure 3). Safety primary coolant systems unique to the AP1000 include the passive || PWRs operate with a fail-safe design because containment cooling water tank held above the in the event that power is lost the control rods reactor core for release in an emergency (4 on Figure drop by gravity because they are held by 3) and the steel containment vessel which surrounds electromagnets, and therefore shut down the the nuclear island (3 on Figure 3). primary nuclear reaction Westinghouse achieved significant improvements Whilst the design of the PWR offers a range of in the number of components, volume of materials advantages in terms of safety and operation, this and construction time of the AP1000 in comparison is accompanied by materials challenges. The high to earlier Westinghouse designs. The construction pressure of the primary coolant water requires high period is approximately 36 months from the pouring of strength piping, a heavy pressure vessel, reactor the first concrete to the loading of fuel. Savings in the coolant pumps, pressuriser, steam generators, materials and construction are illustrated in Figure 4. 6 www.materialsktn.net
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION 1. Fuel-handling Area 7. Reactor Vessel 2. Concrete Shield Building 8. Integrated Head Package 3. Steel Containment 9. Pressuriser 4. Passive Containment Cooling 10. Main Control Room Water Tank 11. Feedwater Pumps 5. Steam Geneartors (2) 12. Turbine Genearator 6. Reactor Coolant Pumps (4) Figure 3 Sectional 3D view of Westinghouse AP1000 [16]. Image courtesy of Westinghouse Electric Company Figure 4 Savings in the materials and construction of the Westinghouse AP1000 [16]. Image courtesy of Westinghouse Electric Company 50% Fewer 35% Fewer 80% Less 45% Less 85% Less Valves Safety Grade Pipe Seismic Building Cable Pumps Volume 7
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION 1.2.2 AREVA EPR The AREVA European Pressurised Reactor (EPR) (Figure 5) is the first Generation III+ reactor to be deployed on an international scale, being built in three different countries. The EPR is rated at a higher capacity than the Westinghouse AP1000 at around 1650 MWe. The method of construction of the EPR is therefore more strongly focussed on assembly on site rather than modular construction off site. The EPR is currently under construction in Finland (Olkiluoto), in France (Flamanville) and in China (2 units in Taishan), and is currently undergoing certification in the United States and the UK [14]. EdF has applied for a nuclear site licence for the AREVA EPR at Hinkley Point C, and hence the EPR is likely to be the first Generation III+ reactor built as part of the nuclear new build programme in the UK. Figure 5 Sectional 3D view of the AREVA EPR [17]. Courtesy of AREVA. © Image et Process – AREVA 1: Reactor building reinforced concrete shell 2: Reactor building metallic liner 3: Reactor vessel 4: Steam generators 5: Pressuriser 6: Reactor coolant pumps 7: Corium spreading area 8: Turbine building 9: Diesel generators 8 www.materialsktn.net
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION 2 SUPPLY OF RAW MATERIALS A wide range of materials will be used in 2.1 THREATS TO SUPPLY OF RAW MATERIALS the UK’s new nuclear fleet. Beyond the Threats to the supply of raw materials for the UK’s vast quantities of concrete used in the 2020 nuclear targets are reviewed in this section. construction of the plant, the majority Four areas for potential threats are discussed below: of materials will be steels, with coatings the availability of speciality alloying elements; the used to enhance performance where availability of specific grades of stainless steel; the necessary. Four areas of potential threats impact of REACH regulations; and maintaining the traceability of materials through the supply chain. in the supply of raw materials have been identified: availability of speciality alloying 2.1.1 Availability of Speciality Alloying Elements elements; availability of certain grades The availability of raw materials that constitute the of stainless steel; the impact of REACH alloys used in nuclear plant has previously been regulations; and maintaining traceability investigated by Oakdene Hollins on behalf of the JRC of supply of materials through the European Commission in 2011 [18]. A total of 21 supply chain. Opportunities to alleviate speciality metals were identified used in a variety of components in nuclear reactors. The starting point for these threats include consolidation of this review was to ascertain through the stakeholder production of specialised steel grades, consultation whether any of these risks associated retention of scarce materials through with the availability of speciality alloying elements are closed-loop recycling; and quality control perceived to be a threat to the nuclear industry. of the supply chain. These threats and The consensus of opinion obtained through the opportunities are discussed below. consultation was that, although constraints in the availability of these materials caused by economic or political factors may cause increases in the prices of these materials, these price increases can be accommodated by the nuclear industry. Application of alternative compositions of materials is generally regarded as not an option for the safety-conscious nuclear industry in which confidence in designs is developed through lengthy testing of known materials; the risks associated with substitution of materials outweigh the cost increases associated with the continued use of materials with constrained supply. The levels of risk that have previously been associated with the availability of raw materials are further mitigated by decreases in demand in comparison to earlier projections, which is likely to be a result of constrained economic growth and the curtailing of nuclear plans in several countries following the Fukushima disaster. This suggests that demands are not currently causing shortages or lead time lengthening. However, if economic demand continues www.materialsktn.net 9
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION to be weak this may lead to some reductions in the quantities of certain specialised grades required output, which could subsequently lead to price by individual manufacturers may not be enough to increases. constitute a full melt (around 500 t) in themselves, Where availability of raw materials could be perceived and therefore bottlenecks in supply may occur; (3) as a risk for other industries, the nuclear industry is older grades that have largely been superseded by in a strong position of influence to secure supply due newer grades elsewhere may still be used in some to its large market size, ability to absorb increases in areas by the conservative nuclear industry where cost, and its demand for primary products as well as tried-and-tested materials are not always substituted by-products of extraction. For example, the largest by alternatives, hence leading to bottlenecks in supply use of zirconium is in the nuclear industry for fuel (e.g. 304 has largely been superseded by 316 which cladding due to its low neutron absorption coefficient, has superior corrosion resistance). whilst a by-product of zirconium production is 2.1.3 Impact of REACH Regulations hafnium which is also used extensively in the nuclear industry due to its high neutron absorption The impact of REACH regulations is regarded coefficient for nuclear shielding applications. Hence as a risk affecting the use and supply of raw continued demand for zirconium helps to sustain materials for the nuclear industry. The introduction the supply of hafnium, whilst the supply of both is of REACH regulations in Europe necessitates the largely concentrated in the countries which have the rapid development and introduction of alternative strongest nuclear programmes. materials or manufacturing processes which meet the required safety and environmental standards, offering 2.1.2 Availability of Grades of Stainless Steels opportunities for innovation across the manufacturing Availability of certain grades of stainless steels supply chain. However, the rapid implementation of was highlighted as a potential threat through the changes is at odds with the conservative and risk- stakeholder consultation. The majority of steels aware nuclear industry, in which tried and tested that are used in nuclear power stations are nuclear materials and processes are preferred to minimise grades of low alloy steels (with limits on the content risk. An example of this is electroplating of cobalt in of Cu, Ni, S and P due to radiation embrittlement). valves and pumps which may be replaced with vapour More specialised grades that are used in nuclear deposition as a result of REACH regulations. power stations include SA508 and SA533 (plate and forgings for shelves, heads, bodies, primary pipework, 2.1.4 Maintaining Traceability of Supply of Materials reactor pressure vessel (RPV), pumps and steam across the Supply Chain generator), austenitic stainless grades 316 (used for A threat to the nuclear industry that has been weld overlay cladding, typically 6mm thickness) and reiterated across other power generation sectors is 304, martensitic stainless grades 403, 410, 416 (pump the propensity for sub-standard materials to enter shafts, turbine blades) and martensitic precipitation the supply chain, either as a result of deliberate hardening grades 600 and 690 (steam generator counterfeiting or inadequate knowledge of quality tubes, exchanger tubing, pressuriser). control procedures amongst suppliers. The threat Three reasons have been highlighted why the is particularly acute for safety-critical components availability of the above grades of steel for the UK’s such as high pressure and temperature steam supply nuclear new build programme could be compromised: systems. OEMs generally have less control over (1) demand from the UK may compete with growing the lower tiers of the supply chain, and materials demand from other countries which simultaneously that originate from China or India are recognised as execute ambitious nuclear new build programmes; (2) particularly strong risks. 10 www.materialsktn.net
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION 2.2 OPPORTUNITIES TO ALLEVIATE THREATS TO have been highlighted for offshore wind [19] and SUPPLY OF RAW MATERIALS combined cycle gas turbine power generation [20]. For example, improved retention of chromium, Three opportunities to alleviate threats to the supply of molybdenum, vanadium and nickel through closed- raw materials have been identified: (1) consolidation loop recycling of steels from a range of applications of production of specialised steel grades; (2) retention could help to mitigate price increases and maintain of scarce materials through closed-loop recycling; availability into the future. Note that closed loop and (3) quality control of the supply chain. These recycling from the nuclear industry itself is unlikely to areas are discussed below. be able to contribute to this due to the low number 2.2.1 Demand Aggregation of Specialised Steel Grades and long lifetime of nuclear plants, the need for careful processing of radioactive waste, and the variety of There is the potential to improve control over the designs that have been used in the UK’s nuclear quality of raw materials and mitigate bottlenecks in legacy. supply by consolidating the bill of materials to enable the material for several components to be produced 2.2.3 Quality Control of the Supply Chain in a single melt from a single known supplier, where Control of quality in the supply chain is an opportunity the quality and composition are closely monitored. to alleviate risk arising from the supply of raw Whilst diversity of suppliers for steel is desirable materials. The supply chain is already acutely aware to reduce cost through open competition, it is of the need to monitor and control quality to prevent possible that consolidation of requirements of some the infiltration of sub-standard or counterfeit material, specialised grades for safety-critical applications which is particularly concerning for safety-critical could help to control quality whilst also ensuring that and high integrity components such as the nuclear bottlenecks in supply are mitigated by increasing the steam supply system (NSS) and secondary steam total volume of material required from a single melt. circuit. The higher tiers of the supply chain already This would require co-ordination across the supply take a pro-active approach towards monitoring and chain to allow the materials requirements for a range improving quality from their suppliers, which includes of components fabricated by a range of suppliers spot checks on material compositions alongside to be brought together. Sourcing of materials for training of quality procedures to improve the skills of components is currently carried out by a large number their suppliers. This approach is effective although it of companies across the supply chain to meet their places additional demands on resources from top-tier individual requirements and commercial sensitivity manufacturing companies, which are likely to become restricts communication between these various facets increasingly challenged over the coming decade of the supply chain. Hence consolidation of the as the nuclear supply chain expands. Ensuring the bill of materials across the supply chain could be a availability of suitably skilled and qualified quality challenge without the assistance of OEMs at the top engineers will help to alleviate this risk. level. 2.2.2 Retention of Scarce Materials through Closed- Loop Recycling Whilst the availability of speciality alloying elements is not considered to be a significant risk for the UK’s 2020 nuclear targets, the availability of materials in the long term could be improved by retention through closed-loop recycling. Similar opportunities www.materialsktn.net 11
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION 3 MANUFACTURING SUPPLY CHAIN Manufacturing of components and sub- 3.1 THREATS TO MANUFACTURING assemblies for the UK’s nuclear new SUPPLY CHAIN build programme offers considerable The manufacturing supply chain for nuclear can opportunities and challenges for the UK’s be categorised into at least four tiers: Tier 1 – manufacturing industry. Seven areas of technology suppliers and architect engineers; Tier potential threats have been identified: 2 – large companies with nuclear experience; Tier 3 – smaller mechanical or electrical equipment uncertainty in the economic climate; suppliers and niche service providers; and Tier 4 engagement of Tier 1 suppliers; supply of – raw material or basic component suppliers. The ultra large forgings; global competition; origin of this hierarchy is the licensees, e.g. EdF manufacturing capabilities; culture of Energy. Vendor companies such as AREVA and quality; and availability of skills. Four Westinghouse are focused on design, engineering opportunities to alleviate these threats and project management. In general, the number of have been identified: engagement with companies at each tier and hence the propensity for competition in the market place and diversification nuclear OEMs; development of the in manufacturing methods increases as the level of UK’s capacity for ultra large forgings; the tiers increases (Figure 6). The supply chain for support for Tier 2, 3 and 4 suppliers; nuclear is global, and hence UK companies that and training and skills. These threats participate in the nuclear industry are competing on and opportunities are discussed in this an international level. section. Figure 6 Nuclear new build market •EDF Energy/Centrica structure. Based on a diagram •Horizon Nuclear Power by Doosan Babcock in [21] Licensees •NuGeneration Ltd •Nuclear Power Delivery UK Tier 1 - •Westinghouse Technology •Toshiba Suppliers, Architect •Shaw Group Engineers •Laing O’Rourke Tier 2 - •Civil Enabling Works •Main Civil Contractors Large Companies with •Marine Works Nuclear Experience •Infrastructure Works •Mechanical Equipment Suppliers Tier 3 - •Electrical Equipment Suppliers Smaller Mechanical or Electrical •EC&I Installation Companies Equipment Suppliers, Niche Service Providers •Mechanical Installation Companies Tier 4 12 www.materialsktn.net
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION Supply chain challenges are different for This was in spite of a clear commitment towards Westinghouse and AREVA due to the sizes of the nuclear new build from the UK Government; it was plants, the way that they are constructed, and economic rather than political factors that were the their strategic plans for supply chain development. major influence on Horizon’s decision. Westinghouse hopes to source everything locally The consensus of opinion across the manufacturing from the UK, which will present opportunities but supply chain is that there is a need to develop their place pressure on suppliers. The Westinghouse knowledge and capabilities in preparation for a AP1000 is smaller than the AREVA EPR at 1154 MW, nuclear new build programme now, but investment to and therefore can use modular construction. This expand capacities is expensive and therefore will not means that large sub-assemblies can be assembled take place to its full extent until the market is at a more off site, e.g. in shipyards, and there are significant advanced state of readiness. In the first instance, opportunities for plate materials, pipes and joists for this will be after EdF Energy has achieved its nuclear skid-mounted modules. UK shipyards are already site license for Hinkley Point C and civil engineering preparing to address this need through international works are underway. The timing of investment poses consortiums. In contrast, AREVA reactors are much a challenge for UK companies in comparison to larger (1500MW) and therefore must be fabricated companies in other countries which already have onsite. There is less opportunity for modular large capacities and established track records in the construction, but significant opportunities in terms of pumps and pipework for the turbine island. The nuclear supply chain; UK companies need to develop rapid expansion and upskilling required for nuclear the capabilities and capacities to manufacture new build from both AREVA and Westinghouse for nuclear in enough time to win business whilst will necessitate a high level of technology transfer, postponing large scale investment until a high level of innovation of new technologies and investment in certainty is achieved to mitigate investment risk. The capacities, and therefore the opportunities for the UK first UK contracts for Hinkley C are likely to be won in supply chain are considerable. mid to late 2013. This section considers the threats to the UK’s 2020 Whilst most companies are not yet ready for large targets for nuclear arising from the manufacturing scale investment, some Tier 1 suppliers already have supply chain. Seven areas of potential threats have the confidence at this stage to invest in capacity for been identified through the stakeholder consultation: nuclear new build, and example being Rolls-Royce uncertainty in the economic climate; engagement of which is planning to build a factory in Rotherham Tier 1 suppliers; supply of ultra large forgings; global adjacent to the Nuclear AMRC [22]. The commitment competition; manufacturing capabilities; culture of of companies such as Rolls-Royce will help to build quality; and shortage of skills and loss of knowledge. confidence at lower tiers of the UK supply chain. These are discussed further below. 3.1.2 Engagement of Tier 1 Suppliers 3.1.1 Uncertainty in the Economic Climate The engagement of Tier 1 suppliers is regarded Uncertainty in the economic climate is an overarching as essential in securing the UK’s place in the threat which is stifling investment at all tiers of the manufacturing supply chain for nuclear. It is manufacturing supply chain for nuclear in response to recognised that the winning of major supply increased risk. As highlighted in Section 1.1, in March contracts by leading Tier 1 suppliers such as Rolls- 2012 Horizon withdrew its plans for nuclear new Royce, Doosan Babcock, BAE Systems, Sheffield build at Wylfa in the UK due to uncertain economic Forgemasters, Wyman Gordon and Balfour Beatty will conditions and the accelerated nuclear phase out in help to ensure that more UK companies are recruited Germany as a result of the Fukushima disaster [12]. as Tier 2 to 4 suppliers. www.materialsktn.net 13
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION It is widely regarded that the UK’s Tier 1 suppliers IFA and Firth Rixson, and large forgings such as the are well prepared for engagement in the nuclear primary pipework for the pressuriser and main coolant supply chain, and as a result there are no support pump through Sheffield Forgemasters Limited (SFL), programmes specifically aimed at the top tier of the UK does not have the capacity to manufacture the the supply chain, although Tier 1 suppliers are largest forgings required for nuclear, including casting developing the technical capability to compete on the required size ingots. cost, quality and delivery through membership of the Nuclear Advanced Manufacturing Research Centre The number of suppliers of ultra large forgings is (Nuclear AMRC) [23]. Whilst the UK’s capabilities and limited to a few suppliers worldwide, and individual capacities to manufacture for nuclear have diminished large presses have a low throughput of around four over the previous two decades, capabilities and pressure vessels per year, though the potential is capacities have been retained particularly strongly greater than this. A summary of the world’s forging amongst the top tier of the supply chain as a result capacity for large pressure vessels is given in Table 3. of supply to the new build programmes of other The limited number of suppliers of ultra large forgings countries, the ongoing maintenance programmes is generally not regarded as a bottleneck in the of the UK’s existing nuclear fleet, and the UK’s nuclear new build programmes of the UK or other nuclear submarines. Tier 1 suppliers are generally countries. Although in 2009 Westinghouse was well equipped for nuclear new build in terms of restricted in that the AP1000 pressure vessel closure accreditation for the nuclear industry, a culture of head and three complex steam generator parts could quality, the relevant skills and expertise, and an only be made by Japan Steel Works, the demand for established track record in the global market place. large forgings has been reduced by the curtailing of The UK’s newest nuclear reactor, Sizewell B, which nuclear plans from several countries following the was commissioned in 1995, allowed the UK to Fukushima disaster, and the capacity of many of acquire and retain some knowledge of PWR systems, the forging presses is predicted to increase to 2013 although the designs of the new-build PWRs will have as a result of investment, as shown in Table 3. The some considerable differences to Sizewell B and the manufacture of large forgings for nuclear new build supply chain structure has changed significantly. is carefully scheduled to ensure that enough time is 3.1.3 Supply of Ultra Large Forgings allowed, for instance some large forgings for Hinkley C have already been ordered from La Creuset forge in The area that has been identified as the greatest France and Japan Steel Works. threat arising from Tier 1 supply in the UK is ultra- large forgings, which require forging presses of A greater concern arising from the supply of ultra large around 14-15,000 tonnes and capacity to accept forgings is that the UK’s incapacity to deliver in this hot steel ingots of 500-600 tonnes [24]. A defining area may mean that the UK also loses opportunities to feature of Generation III+ reactors is the need for supply at lower tiers of the supply chain. An example larger integral forgings; around twice the amount of this would be the RPV head; if the forging of the of large forgings are required by Generation III+ head takes place overseas, it is more likely that the reactors than Generation II, and integral forgings are drive assembly for the control rods attached to the preferred to welded split forgings. The UK does not RPV head will do also. have the capability to deliver forgings of this size for 3.1.4 Global Competition components such as the reactor pressure vessel (RPV) head, steam generator and large turbine. Whilst The competiveness of UK suppliers in the global the UK has the capability to deliver small to medium market for nuclear is highly renowned as a result of the sized forgings through a range of suppliers such as UK’s long-established expertise developed through 14 www.materialsktn.net
MATERIALS KTN TECHNICAL TEXTILES: DEVELOPMENTS IN OLYMPIC CLOTHING AND TEXTILES Table 3 Summary of world forging capability for large pressure vessels. Courtesy of Rob Mitchell, Rolls-Royce plc [24] Heavy forging Heavy forging by Max. ingot - tonnes Country or region Company press mid 2009 2013 (2013) Japan Steel Works 14,000 t 14,000 t x 2 600 (650) JCFC 13,000 t from 2010 500 Japan Nil, uses forgings to MHI make RPVs South Korea Doosan 13,000 t 17,000 t from 2010 540 China First Heavy 15,000 t, 12,500 t same 600 Industries (CFHI) Harbin Boiler 8000 t same China Shanghai (SEC) 12,000 t 16,500 t 600 China Erzhong + 12,700 t, 16,000 t same 600 Dongfang L&T 9000 t 15,000 t 600 (in 2011) India BHEL 10,000 t Bharat Forge 14,000 t AREVA, SFARsteel 11,300 t same 250 Sheffield Forgemasters 10,000 t 15,000 t ? 500 ? Limited Pilsen Steel 100 MN (10,200 t) 12,000 t 200 (250) Europe Vitkovice 12,000 t same Saarschmiede 8670 t 12,000 t (in 2010) 370 Nil, uses forgings to ENSA make RPVs USA Lehigh 10,000 t same 270 OMZ Izhora 12,000 t 15,000 t 600 Russia ZiO-Podolsk South Africa DCD-Dorbyl our nuclear submarines, design and operation of our However, competition in the expanding global market existing nuclear power plants, our current participation place for nuclear against established suppliers in nuclear supply chains for other countries, and our remains a formidable challenge for UK manufacturing renowned expertise for high-value manufacturing companies. Expansion of UK companies to the acquired through other sectors including oil and required capacities may take place at a late stage to gas and aerospace. UK companies are preferred mitigate investment risk, placing overseas companies to overseas suppliers in many areas of the nuclear that already have the required capacities in a stronger supply chain due to our trusted culture for quality and position to penetrate supply chains for nuclear new ability to deliver reliably to the required price, quality build. A specific challenge is developing an ‘export and timescale. package’ derived from a fully integrated supply chain, www.materialsktn.net 15
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION from raw material to finished component manufacture. all forged components and tubing materials to supply Components that will be required in large quantities its own needs and that of other countries, although include extruded steel pipework, joists and plates. its rate of growth in the nuclear sector is lower than Pumps and valves will offer significant opportunities, China’s. with around 8000 valves in around 20 packages 3.1.5 Manufacturing Capabilities required for the AREVA EPR and over 5400 valves required for the Westinghouse AP1000. Improvement of manufacturing capabilities to achieve the required quality standards for nuclear products An example of the challenge associated with capacity is a formidable challenge and opportunity for UK expansion is the manufacture of stainless steel manufacturing companies at all tiers of the supply pipework for the primary circuit. Sandvik Materials chain. This is because, whilst the technology and Technology [25] and Valinox Nucléaire [26] are processes for manufacturing to the high integrities established suppliers in this market, and it is a required for nuclear already exist elsewhere in the considerable challenge for UK companies to compete global supply chain, these technologies are generally alongside them even when the can already achieve proprietary and therefore the UK is required to the required quality. A further example is the major innovate its own technologies that can achieve or primary circuit large bore thick walled pipework, where exceed the required quality whilst also competing Germany is already better placed in this market than on cost to achieve competitiveness in the global the UK. market place. The nuclear industry is notoriously The UK has strong competitors for nuclear new conservative and risk aware, which has stifled build from within Europe where cost competiveness, development in some areas in recent years, but capacity and track record are challenges. Italy is also plays to the UK’s advantage because there regarded as more cost competitive than the UK, with is the opportunity to accelerate rapidly through a four to six companies that are already established learning curve facilitated by knowledge transfer in forging, casting and heat treatment for nuclear. with other high-value manufacturing sectors and The Czech Republic and France are formidable innovation. Key challenges for manufacturing process competitors, both with fully integrated supply chains development include high quality forgings, machining, from supply of raw materials to manufacture, and the weld cladding, welding, fuel cladding and powder ability to supply to the UK market whilst competing technologies. These challenges are summarised on cost. Finland, Germany, Italy, Scandinavia and below. Spain also have strongly established supply chains High Quality Forgings for nuclear and are competitive in the supply of ASME accredited materials for nuclear. A significant challenge is manufacture of forgings that have the required properties and microstructure, Outside Europe, many countries which already have are machined to tolerance, assembled by high operational nuclear plant, e.g. China, Japan, India quality welds, and can maintain integrity in exposure and Korea, have developed capabilities for supply to radiation, temperature, pressure, corrosion and for nuclear through repairing and maintaining their erosion for 60 years. own plants which were originally supplied by other Machining countries. China has a rapid rate of development for nuclear but is more likely to focus its attentions on Machining to high tolerances including deep hole supplying to its own nuclear new build programme boring is a key challenge area for manufacturing. The than other countries. India is competitive on cost and recently-opened Nuclear AMRC is addressing this with has its own forge with the capability to manufacture the use of state-of-the art machining centres and the 16 www.materialsktn.net
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION support of leading machining companies. online in 2013 for the UK to assist with material de- risking in support of nuclear new build. Weld Cladding 3.1.6 Culture of Quality New methods of laser weld cladding are being developed to deposit a lining of stainless steel in A culture of quality is paramount across all levels of the primary steam supply system to protect from the nuclear supply chain. It is widely regarded that corrosion and erosion. manufacturing companies that are already engaged in high-value manufacturing for other sectors such Welding as oil and gas, aerospace and fossil fuel power Welding poses some significant challenges for generation are well prepared for making the transition manufacturing including narrow gap welding using to the nuclear industry, although it is perceived to be a lasers and high-integrity transition welds between low greater challenge for small to medium size companies alloy steels and transition steels at the connection of that are at lower tiers of the supply chain. the pipework with the reactor. Two main internationally recognised accreditation Fuel Cladding systems are used for nuclear: the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) ‘N’ stamp and The fuel cladding material currently used for PWRs RCC-N developed in France. N-stamp accreditation is Zircalloy due to its very low neutron absorption means that the authorised vendor has produced the coefficient, adequate strength and resistance to commercial nuclear grade components in accordance corrosion in the operating temperature range. with the ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Nuclear However, the temperature range of Zircalloy limits the Codes and Standards. It applies to both design and operating temperature range of the reactor, and if the fabrication of components, but is only likely to be material overheats it loses its strength rapidly due mandatory by companies and contractors involved to ballooning whilst reacting with water to produce in the supply of safety critical components. RCC-N hydrogen. If the hydrogen leaks into the surround is used outside the USA for nuclear mechanical and building, it can produce an explosive mixture with air pressure components. Specifications of components which is what caused the explosions in the Fukushima will be developed by the project lead contractors and disaster of 2011. As a result alternative fuel cladding then fed down the supply chain ultimately arriving materials are being researched in addition to coatings with the companies tasked with the production of the which would slow down the rate of reaction of Zircalloy components. Suppliers will be required to provide with water. One alternative material that is receiving a manufacturing and quality plan for approval which attention is carbon-silicon carbide composites. This must then be adhered to during the manufacturing has the potential to operate at up to 400oC higher than process. A summary of the two nuclear accreditations Zircalloy. is given in Table 4. Powder Technologies 3.1.7 Shortage of Skills and Loss of Knowledge Powder based (hot isostatically pressed or HIP’d) Availability of skills is widely recognised as a concern technologies will have a significant role to play for the UK manufacturing supply chain for nuclear. A in the nuclear industry of the future as a result of rapid increase in the numbers of skilled personnel improvement in mechanical properties and reduction of material wastage and hence cost. Work on code employed in the nuclear manufacturing sector will case development for powder based technologies be required to facilitate the growth anticipated in the are rapidly advancing and the Nuclear AMRC will be manufacturing supply chain, whilst also retaining the bringing HIPing technology development capabilities knowledge of ageing personnel who are approaching www.materialsktn.net 17
ENERGY MATERIALS: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN ATTAINING THE UK’S 2020 TARGETS FOR NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY GENERATION RCC-M ASME Section III Rule for Construction of Nuclear Facility Section 1 Nuclear Island Components Components A General Requirements NCA General requirements B Class 1 components NB Class 1 components C Class 2 components NC Class 2 components D Class 3 components ND Class 3 components E Small components None G Core support structures NG Core support structures H Supports NF Supports J Storage tanks NC / ND 3800 – 3900 P Containment penetrations NE Class MC components Z Technical appendices Appendices Section 2 Materials Section II Materials Section 3 Examination Methods Section V Non Destructive Examination Section 4 Welding Section IX Welding and Brazing Section 5 Fabrication Various parts of Section III Table 4 Summary of RCC-M and ASME nuclear accreditations. Courtesy of David Hall, Nuclear AMRC retirement age or already retired from the UK’s earlier 3.2 OPPORTUNITIES TO ALLEVIATE THREATS TO nuclear programmes. Some knowledge of methods MANUFACTURING SUPPLY CHAIN of manufacture and drawings of components from In response to the threats to the manufacturing supply the UK’s existing nuclear fleet has already been lost chain identified above, four opportunities to alleviate as a result of retirement of personnel or ineffective these threats have been identified: engagement with storage and retrieval of data, which will diminish the nuclear OEMs; development of the UK’s capacity UK’s ability to take forwards our previous learning for ultra large forgings; support for Tier 2, 3 and 4 experiences for the economic and technical benefit suppliers; and training and skills. These opportunities of future nuclear plant. Skills shortages that are are discussed further below. recognised include accredited welding engineers 3.2.1 Engagement with Nuclear OEMs and hands-on skills such as machining, fabrication, inspection and testing. The more highly skilled Engagement of the UK supply chain with the engineers are generally over 50 with fewer in the 20-30 OEMs for nuclear (AREVA and Westinghouse) will age group, and hence there is a need for up-skilling help to prepare companies for the challenges and of the younger demographic. The supply of forgings opportunities that the nuclear industry has to offer by informing of the procurement procedures and work and castings must be underpinned by metallurgical packages, facilitating knowledge transfer and helping knowledge, and currently there is a burden on OEMs to raise the confidence of the nuclear OEMs in the and Tier 1 suppliers to educate their supply chain UK’s capabilities. The need to increase the level of in these areas. This is can be a strenuous burden expertise in the UK supply chain is recognised by whilst also trying to expand their own capabilities. EdF Energy and its established suppliers in France, The shortage of skills for nuclear will be further and hence EdF are working with the UK supply compounded by competing demands from other chain with the support of UKTI, OND and the NIA in growing industries such as oil and gas and other preparation for Hinkley Point C to help to develop power generation sectors. UK expertise through partnerships with established French suppliers [27]. This includes UK nuclear suppliers’ forums, such as the one held by EdF in 18 www.materialsktn.net
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